Claims: in conspiracy theory dynamics

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28 Mar 2022
Conspiracy theorists must present their theories with absolute certainty immediately after an event to convince audiences.

But there's a side aspect of this dynamic where, in order to make your immediate theories seem more convincing to people in those early times, you have to be completely emphatic in your certainty. People are looking for answers, and you seem like a bad source of answers if you present your theories as possibilities that you can't prove. You have to push them as if you have a rock-solid case, or else you run into the risk of your audience searching for someone else to give them the impression of that certainty that they need in order to comfort them.

28 Mar 2022
Conspiracy theorists soften their positions over time because the foundation of their narratives falls apart.

As time goes on, this position needs to soften because, as is always the case with these kinds of conspiracy theories, eventually the foundation of your narratives just fall apart and it becomes too obvious that there was no basis for your certainty in the first place. Like, it's no good to be certain ten years after the fact when everything looks stupid.

28 Mar 2022
Conspiracy theorists satisfy the audience's emotional need for certainty, leading the audience to forget that past definitive claims were incorrect.

There's an unspoken agreement between the conspiracy theorist and their audience, where the theorist satisfies the emotional need for certainty that the audience is looking for, and the audience conveniently forgets later that the things that the theorist was certain about were bullshit. it. Without this status quo, a show like Alex's could not exist. If Alex didn't provide that certainty, his audience would find him weak. If his audience held him to his past positions and demanded he explain how this certainty about things waned, Alex wouldn't be able to do the show that he does, and thus he'd be unable to provide the audience with that comfort and certainty that they need next And thus, definitive positions will be taken that are quietly disowned later, and the audience will get ready to unquestioningly believe the next definitive position They don't!

17 May 2019
Releasing surveillance footage would not stop conspiracy theories because theorists simply pivot to new angles.

So, James Tracy is acting from a dishonest position. He knows fully well that releasing the footage would not put anyone's queries to rest, and here's how I know that. In Paul Joseph Watson's framing of the original question, he uses Columbine as an example of a school shooting where the surveillance footage has been released. And guess what? I've heard Alex call that a false flag a hundred times. All the releasing of footage does is take away the argument that it never happened. It's so easy for the conspiracy to survive by pivoting into talking about a different angle.