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March 17, 2025 - Tim Pool Daily Show
01:01:16
Democratic Party IS DEAD, Poll Shows COMPLETE Collapse Of Support, Trump Support STABLE | Timcast
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01:00:50
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tim pool ▲ ● ▼
Ladies and gentlemen, the Democratic Party is done for.
I'd say they're dead.
Now, of course, they can be risen from the grave like some kind of undead corpse.
But for now, we've got two big polls, CNN and NBC News, basically saying that favorability for the Democrats is in the absolute gutter.
Now, I know many of you may be looking at the screen.
Those that are watching live, you can see that the Republican Party ain't doing too much better.
So for what?
What is the basis by which?
Tim Pool is claiming Democrats are dead, but not the Republicans.
Well, it's the internals.
It's beyond just do support the Democratic Party.
In the NBC News poll, they go a bit further and ask which politician of the Democrats represents the party best.
Guess who won?
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Congratulations, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez.
You are, in fact, the winner.
Your percentage was 10%, by the way, which is apocalyptic.
Now, we all know that, of course, the Republican Party is not viewed too much better with a seven-point advantage, according to CNN. However, Donald Trump's support is within the margin of error in aggregate.
And 36% of people in the country claim to be MAGA. Support for Donald Trump among the party is pretty high.
And for many people who don't like the Republican Party, myself included, I do like the job Trump is doing.
I don't like the job the Republican Party is doing because I got to sit here at the same time I'm watching Donald Trump say, you know, we're going to get the job done.
We shut down the border.
We secured the border.
We dealt the immigration crisis.
We're going to bring on the tariffs to bring back our manufacturer.
I'm going, yes, yes, please, more and more.
You get the likes of Lindsey Graham and Dan Crenshaw and Mitch McConnell, etc., etc.
I'm not here to gripe on these individual politicians just right now, but to make the point, Democrats may be looking at a party and saying, I largely don't like what any of these people represent, but they have no leadership.
And that is the true demise of the Democratic Party.
How do they pull it back?
Gavin Newsom tried doing this podcast with Charlie Kirk, and what happened?
Look at the polls on this one.
It's amazing.
Republicans largely view it as fake and manufactured, and Democrats think he's a bigot.
There's no path forward if you're a Democrat.
You try to go moderate, you fall right off.
Now, if you are pro-America, and this means you might actually be in favor of funding Ukraine, you'd still find arguments and support or opposition.
You might be on the right and say, maybe we should provide Ukraine with some assistance.
Maybe we should support Israel.
You're going to get an argument.
But you can still find support in Donald Trump.
And I know a lot of people are going to argue that and be like, no way, America first.
Yeah, well, how about this?
Donald Trump is pledging weapons and resources to Ukraine and Israel right now, and he's still enjoying large support.
unidentified
Why?
tim pool ▲ ● ▼
Leadership does not mean you always do exactly what the mob with pitchforks and torches want you to do.
It means that even though I completely disagree with Donald Trump on the issue of TikTok, I still support his efforts largely because it is a massive net positive.
So there's basically the argument.
But how about this?
How about I show you everything?
Because it is a it is calamitous, as it were.
But you know the best part about all of this is, my friends, is the I told you so of all of it.
That for many of us, we were talking to family members, to friends, and we kept telling them the Democratic Party represents nothing.
We kept saying things like they're going after Trump for the sake of going after Trump.
And they didn't believe us.
They said Trump is a tyrant.
Trump doesn't have the authority to do this, that or otherwise.
They get mad at Donald Trump and his administration for doing things that are comparable to what the Joe Biden administration did, but they never cared about.
Let me give you a few examples before we dive in, but I'll tell you the point of why I'm getting into this.
When polled, what should Democrats be doing?
What do you think the number one issue is?
Opposing Trump.
I kid you not.
It's a party with no support because it exists solely in opposition to the other party.
They have no ideals.
They have no mission.
They have no goals.
It is not unified.
It is a hodgepodge of people who simply say, I hate.
But let me give you some examples.
Joe Biden's president, egg prices through the roof.
Democrats don't care.
Donald Trump becomes president.
Egg prices are the biggest issue with rumors that Democrats wanted to wave egg cartons in the air at Donald Trump during his State of the Union.
Not so State of the Union.
Egg prices have now come down.
Are they coming out here and congratulating the president?
Of course they aren't.
And my favorite, Donald Trump sells Teslas at the White House.
He says, they're going after Elon.
You can't, they're saying, you know, they're going to vandalize the vehicles and not to buy the car, so I'm telling you to buy them.
And all of these Democrats come out saying outright.
Trump's a used car salesman now.
What has become of our White House?
Forgetting that Joe Biden promoted the hybrid Jeeps all the same.
And I didn't care that Joe Biden did that.
Literally never complained about it.
I don't care that Donald Trump is promoting Teslas.
Let me tell you, my friends, Donald Trump has done things I'm critical of.
Joe Biden brought leftist influencers of the White House.
Now, aside from that thing where, you know, you had the people that were getting naked.
Whenever he brought, like, prominent liberal personalities, I didn't come out and say, I can't believe what has happened to this country.
Donald Trump brings prominent influences.
I also similarly do not care.
It's PR. I get it.
But on the other side, prominent, prominent.
Let me tell you the distinction here.
I don't want violence.
Democrats do.
They'll come out and say, that's a straw man, Tim.
That's not the case.
Yeah, Bill Burr is not a random run-of-the-mill nobody.
He is a prominent liberal personality comedian, not super political, but he is.
He's advocated for death, for the murder of individuals, of billionaires.
He has yelled free Luigi on more than one occasion, advocating for an alleged murderer of a wealthy individual.
And I can sit here and talk to you about the middle class, the working class, getting screwed over all day and night, but I don't want the violence.
Kamala Harris.
Directly solicited funds for violent rioters.
They then come out and say, yeah, well, Trump pardoned the J6 writers.
Indeed, after they served prison terms for three or four years, about three years.
These people actually know, is it for many of them?
Some of them, it was actually four years.
So we're talking about Trump pardoning people for a riot after they had served years of punishment and other people with misdemeanor trespass who got their sentence pardoned.
I think that's reasonable, and I have long called for the writers to go to jail.
We are not the same.
At the mainstream level, they have advocated for violence and they got away with it.
So I will say this as we dive into the news today, my friends.
The Democratic Party is a party of chaos that seeks only to be the opposition to what the rest of us are trying to accomplish in securing this country and making it better.
So let's talk about it.
We got the story first from Mediaite, my friends, lowest ever recorded CNN drop staggering poll.
Showing brutality of Democrat disapproval ratings.
Now, for all of you that are watching on YouTube, this is the morning show's last week on YouTube.
That means we will be Rumble exclusive for the morning show at noon starting next week.
Timcast IRL is still going to be YouTube and Rumble and exist where it exists, but watch it wherever you so desire.
But the morning show will be moving as we have the lineup now in full swing.
Shout out to Steven Crowder for throwing it my way.
And we will be throwing it to Jeremy.
Before we get started, my friends, we got Cast Brew Coffee.
If you want to buy some delicious coffee, we got Cast Brew.
And sorry, no Ian's Graphene Dream.
But if you like Phil Labonte, of all that remains, dressed like Santa Claus, it is available.
And how about this?
Go to boonieshq.com and pick up your Step on Snek and Find Out Skateboard.
We also have some other funny ones.
If you believe that bears should have weapons, you can pick up the Right to Arm Bears.
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And as always, I know most of you may already have this, but if you don't, you gotta get Rumble Premium.
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You're instantly dropped off here, where you can sign up for Rumble Premium using promo code TIM10 to get $10 off your annual membership.
And then you can watch our Green Room show.
We got two feature-length documentaries.
More are currently in production.
We are talking with producers.
We are getting documentaries made, ladies and gentlemen.
And more shows to come.
Most importantly is the Culture War show, for those that aren't familiar, is going to be...
In person, on stage, with you guys, as members of the TimCast Discord, joining on stage, at the table, to debate me and our guests on the issues that you think are important.
So maybe you're sitting there being like, ooh, I'd like to get Tim Pool.
He's so wrong about all these things.
Our first show is scheduled for the beginning of May.
So members of the TimCast Discord at TimCast.com will be invited first come first serve to sit in the audience, submit their debate talking point, and actually sit at the table for a few minutes and state their position clean with no up, like we're going to let you speak.
And then we will debate you for a few more minutes before switching out for another member of that audience so we can get deep dives into these ideas and bring in people who don't normally get to be a part of that conversation.
That being said, let's start with the story from Mediaite first.
Lowest ever recorded CNN drops staggering poll showing brutal reality of Democrat disapproval ratings.
CNN's Manu Raju shared a poll on Sunday's Inside Politics, he said, shows the brutal reality of how negatively Americans view Democrats with the favorable, unfavorable rating at its lowest point since the network began tracking this metric some 30 years ago.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼
Raju opened Sunday's show with a full breakdown of a CNN-SSRS survey, reporting that it found only 29% of those polled viewed Democrats in a favorable light.
54% of those surveyed told CNN they viewed the Democratic Party unfavorably, something Raju called staggering.
Well, Democrats found themselves historically upside down in the survey.
The Republican Party fared better, but not by much, with 36% favorable and 48% saying they view the party unfavorably.
Americans' favorable views of the Democratic Party's brand are at a record low, just 29%.
It is the lowest ever recorded for Democrats in CNN polling going back some 30 years.
Yikes.
But let me give you the nuance here.
Because I know a lot of people are going to come out right and say this proves the Democrats have been wrong and they're losers.
I mean, yes, kind of, but not completely in the way you hope.
Now, for me, as somebody who supported Democrats in 2020, namely Andrew Yang and Tulsi Gabbard, Yang was a disappointment.
Tulsi's great.
I am not looking at a poll that says for someone like me, Tim Pool, the party has gone astray.
I don't think that's what the poll says.
I think it shows that to a certain degree.
I think it's largely showing that of the psychotic individuals who remain as party loyalists, they are upset the party is not doing more to obstruct Trump.
What are they really mad about?
Take a look at Stephen Colbert.
Colbert, after Trump's not-so-State-of-the-Union State of the Union, Colbert held up one of those little signs saying, try doing something.
The real outrage over the Democratic Party, while it does It does include people who think the party's gone nuts.
Don't get me wrong.
A large component is that most of the party is nuts and they're angry they're not being more nuts.
CNN poll.
Democratic Party's favorability drops to a record low.
But there's some other data here that I want to show.
Actually, I think I have the hard poll pulled up over here.
And this image right now that you're looking at.
The number one individual representing the values of the party is AOC. But there's a lot more than just Democratic favorability.
They say with many in the party saying publicly that their leaders should do more to stand up to Trump, Democrats and Democrat-aligned independents say 57 to 42 that Democrats should mainly work to stop the Republican agenda rather than working with the GOP majority to get some Democratic ideas into legislation.
And this is the point.
and Democrat leaning independents.
42% of the independents and 57 are, I'm sorry, I'm sorry, between the two groups.
57 say, just stop Trump.
Don't know what it is.
Don't care what it is.
We just plum do not like Donald Trump.
Now, let's take a look at how Trump is doing over NBC's poll.
They say Trump faces early challenges on the economy as United GOP backs big change.
But I'm going to scroll way down for you before we get all that data.
Because NBC News is...
has additional proof.
A record low share of voters view the Democratic Party positively.
Take a look at this.
55%, according to NBC News, view the Democratic Party negatively.
Only 27%, according to NBC, say they view the party positively.
And that is an inversion.
Because if you go back quite a ways, certainly, you know, we can take a look at the Democratic Party positive views, 40%.
So when we look at the Republicans at 36, we're like, ooh, that's bad.
Actually, that's only a little bad because party approval is usually below 50%.
And that's inverted.
The Democrats have gone plum nuts.
Now, here's the good news for Trump, right?
Because this is why I said this is an issue for the Democrats, not an issue for Trump.
While Trump's approval rating is kind of eh.
The country still feels like we're on the right track.
And that's pretty crazy because right now the right track, wrong track polling is the best it has been in 20 years.
To me, that's incredible.
NBC News reports voters are starting 2025 sour on the state of the economy and President Trump's handling of it so far, even as his election to a second term sparked an upswing in positive feelings about the direction of the nation, according to a national NBC News poll.
Buoyed by jubilant and unified Republicans who are standing in lockstep with Trump and his expansive agenda.
I got to pause there.
You mean we like what Trump is doing with We voted for it and we support the president?
Shocking, I suppose.
I love this is the position that they're deciding to roll with.
They say, meanwhile, driven in part by a pessimistic shift among Democrats since Trump's election, just 18% of the voters rate the economy as excellent or good, not as low as the poorest economic marks during the Biden admin, according to CNBC polling from 2022. OK, let's take a look at the polling right now.
47% approval, 51% disapproval.
I can already hear all the liberals screaming, saying, aha, Trump's disapproval.
You take a look at Trump's approval rating from his first term, and it was worse.
It was about 40%.
This is a market improvement.
And my friends, it is almost within the margin of error for NBC News.
But I'll take it.
I'll take it.
For the purpose of citing NBC News, if we do want to play this game of let's take this one poll for what it is, if we want to argue that Democrats suck, then we're going to take with it that Donald Trump has majority disapproval.
And I'm fine with that because Trump's a polarizing figure.
But to be fair, we have two polls, CNN and NBC, saying Democrats ain't doing so bad.
And I always want to make sure I pull up the aggregate, which does have Trump down 0.4 points in the spread.
This is aggregate.
You can see NBC News has him down by four.
You've got Rasmussen with him up two.
Reuters Ipsos has Trump down eight points.
YouGov minus 10. And then I just got to tell you, my friends, RMG Research has Trump up 10 points one week ago.
So here's what I really have to say about all of this.
And I'm going to say this.
This is true of the Democratic Party polling and what we're citing.
I think to be fair, I need to stress.
Nobody has any idea what's going on.
The narrative machine is completely destroyed and everyone's trying to argue who has the real finger on the pulse.
I'll tell you what I think.
I think everybody's faking it.
I think there's only a small handful of actual producers and channels that are not flubbing their numbers.
And I judge this based on interaction and...
I don't know.
There's a lot of metrics in here.
Sellability.
There's a handful of podcasters who really go the full distance.
And you can tell because...
There's something else going on behind them in terms of growth, infrastructure, support, appearances, etc.
But I genuinely believe across the board and on all sides, people are faking their numbers.
I really do think so.
For a while, we were getting...
And to however they're doing it, I don't know.
I don't know.
But let me tell you.
For a while, we were getting these podcast numbers.
And famously, podcasts never really gave up their ratings.
I've had no problem saying over and over and over again that Timcast IRL does about 100,000 downloads per episode within like 24 hours.
And then it can drop seasonally, but that's the average.
So in like the warmer months, like May, it might go down to like 80,000.
And then winter, it's like 100, 120 or whatever.
I've never had any problem saying that.
I mean, we sell against it, right?
But everybody was claiming they were getting millions and millions and millions.
And then, uh-oh.
A new analytics company drops, showing the actual numbers, and they're like a quarter of what was actually claimed.
Everybody wanted to say they were the biggest and the best.
Now, why am I bringing this up?
Not to rag on the podcast industry or whatever, to make the point.
When you see these polls, when you see the corporate press, they want to claim to be the authority.
I'll tell you why.
Why is it that every time Bill Maher farts, everybody's got to get...
Got to get a segment up about it.
Why is it that people care about what Don Lemon has to say?
I mean, to be fair, I recorded a segment about Bill Maher and Don Lemon for today.
It's because they're both on TV and they present themselves as some kind of authority, despite the fact we know nobody really watches those shows.
I'm not trying to be a dick to Bill Maher.
OK, I've got my criticisms of him.
But relative to the space, they're not particularly big shows.
But these companies know you've got to create a sense of authority.
So you can be in the news cycle, so you can promote your product, and you can sell.
They want to be premium associations.
They want to be premium, like, for brands.
So when they go to a brand, they say, hey, look, everybody knows this person is big.
That's the game they're playing.
So anyway, I digress.
My ultimate point is everybody's trying to claim they know for sure.
And as much as I'm basically sprinkling this over my own assessment, I don't know.
What is true and what is not?
Because I'm going to say it again.
How could the spread be so psychotic?
How could Kupiniak, for the same period as RMG, have an inversion?
Quinnipiac in the polls say Trump is down 11. RMG says Trump is up 10. It's a difference of three days.
Quinnipiac was the 6th to the 10th, and RMG was the 6th to the 13th.
Yet, in those three days, Trump's approval?
No.
None of these people have any idea what's going on.
And that's why, for the most part, I say this.
We're going to go through the polls.
I'll show you fine.
I think we agree, based on our own, about, I'll say it again, Tulsi, Trump, RFK Jr., Elon, all former Democrats joining the Republican Party and joining Trump.
The Democratic Party ain't doing too well.
At the same time, take a look at public sentiment when you watch shows like this, or Crowder, or formerly Bongino, who's now in the FBI. Congratulations, good sir.
The Republicans get criticism.
The Republican Party is viewed as feckless.
When the Democrats, let's do this.
Mike Johnson, okay, he's presiding over the censure of Al Green, who wiggled his cane at Donald Trump during the not-so-State-of-the-Union.
They vote in Congress to censure him.
Instead of presenting for censure, Democrats flood the well and sing songs.
And what did Mike Johnson do?
Adjourned.
So instead of censuring the guy, he just leaves.
See, what I would like to see, not too dissimilar to what Democrats want, is action.
The Democrats want obstruction of Trump.
I want enforcement of law.
They arrested how many J6ers for meandering through a building?
Oh, Democrats are going to scream, the rioters fought cops.
I ain't talking about the rioters.
They should have been arrested.
They should have been charged.
They did.
They went to prison for years, and they should have been released, and finally they were.
You go to prison when you hit a cop.
Ain't nobody disagrees, right?
Well, I guess Democrats don't.
But for the people who showed up after the riots and the doors were open, why were they getting these misdemeanor charges being hunted down?
When it came to the Democrats who obstructed an official proceeding, Mike Johnson did nothing.
That just pisses me off.
That's just me, though.
Let's read more.
We'll pull up some more polls.
But my friends, make sure you smash that like button.
Share the show.
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And they've been amazing to start.
Shout-outs to everybody on the Rumble lineup so far.
It's been a big, big show.
Here we go.
They say Trump's expanded base and key issues.
Trump's job approval rating 47% and personal favorable rating 46, along with the 44 who believe the country's on the right track, are all-time highs in NBC News polling during this political career.
I want to stress this.
This is the point I was making.
As they say, the Republicans aren't so favorable either.
Donald Trump is experiencing, even though he's underwater, I'll give it to him, to NBC News, all-time highs for his political career.
I've been saying it.
They are also far below where previous presidents stood during the honeymoon period.
Yeah, we get it.
We are not in a typical political time.
This is some kind of administrative civil war, whatever you want to call it.
They say slightly more disapprove of Trump's job performance, 51%, and view him personally negatively, 49%, and 54% see the country as on the wrong track.
Indeed.
Take a look at this.
Do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction?
Now, here's what I care about.
Among independents in November, 19% said were right direction.
Today, 26%.
That's not bad.
It's only been a couple of months and already 6% of independents have started to shift their views.
Among Republicans, 5% and now 83%.
We get it, guys.
You're partisans, okay?
To be fair, though, Trump shut down the border and the illegal immigration, and that was a huge issue.
What I'm really loving is that all of these Democrats over the weekend, they're posting this poll where they say, immigration has dropped from the number two to number four most pressing issue.
And it's like, well, right, because Trump solved it.
You know, who was I think it was Sean Davis.
He said, my broken ankle upon healing went from being my most pressing issue to an issue I didn't care all that much about because it was healed.
Exactly.
Among Democrats in November, only 53 percent said we were headed in the right direction.
Now, only six percent do.
unidentified
Why?
tim pool ▲ ● ▼
Because they want Joe Biden to do these things.
They want they wanted Joe Biden to be AOC. Well, unfortunately, you don't get it.
You don't get it.
Among independents, 30% approve and 67% disapprove of Trump's performance in office.
A large gender gap still persists with men approving of Trump's job performance 55 to 43, while women split the other way 40 to 58. Now, why is that?
Honestly, why is that?
I'm going to give my assessment.
I think it's because men are disagreeable and women are agreeable.
I think men look at Trump as a guy who's disagreeable.
And you say, I'll tell you how I see it.
Man, I really don't like that he's going to reopen up funding for Ukraine and do this.
You know, I want the ceasefire.
We'll see what happens.
I'm largely supportive of his efforts so far.
The Tic Tac thing is really bad, but I'm going to let him lead.
I'm going to let him lead.
I think among women, they're more agreeable.
So instead of trying to adhere to what what personally think may be good, they're more concerned about what appears to be good socially.
I believe the moment.
The narrative machine is completely purged and collapsed.
Women are going to be totally on board with Trump.
Totally on board.
Because, but we'll see, we'll see.
That's if the narrative machine collapses.
Because I've been warning everybody, the machine is now focused on launching podcasts and promoting them.
What do you got?
You got Gavin Newsom.
You got Michelle Obama.
It is only a matter of time before they put $20 million plus per year per podcaster and promote them.
Into oblivion.
I shouldn't say into oblivion, but into the atmosphere, right?
Everybody can see their faces.
That's why I keep talking about ubiquity.
Cultural ubiquity.
The reason why CNN wanted to be in airports.
The reason why CNN wanted to put billboards up all over the country.
It's not so much about making you watch, but it's about making sure that even the people who don't watch know exactly what is being talked about.
Or I should say, that people who don't watch know Who is doing the talking?
That's what I mean to say.
Let's let's grab some more here.
Do you approve or disapprove of Trump's handling of border security?
55 percent said yes.
Foreign policy, 45.
So 53 percent says disapprove.
The economy, 54, disapprove.
Inflation and the cost of living, disapprove, 55 percent.
The war between Russia and Ukraine, 55, disapprove.
You know, I'm going to say it, my friends.
I don't trust any individual point necessarily, but I will give you my honest assessment.
I do believe that you will see the majority of Americans are not going to like what Donald Trump is doing.
I think that's a fair assessment.
I also think they're inundated with falsehoods and lies coming from the machine, the corporate press.
which targets your average person who does not pay attention.
So what do I always say?
I ask you all.
To be active participants in the news and not just passive observers.
That way we can reach these people who, and I don't blame them for it, are more interested in watching the game.
I don't disparage that at all.
I love watching UFC, right?
I'd much rather be playing video games than having to deal with the minutia of polling and economics.
But the reality is, if you don't pay attention, it'll fall apart.
And for the longest time, this country was not paying attention.
We largely just said, don't know, don't care, do your thing, I'll vote for you and walk away.
And what do we get?
USAID, mass government bloat, waste fraud, abuse spending on these ridiculous NGOs.
Eventually, the system came to a head, began to buckle.
And we realized we really do got to get involved.
And what happened?
We won.
Now, I will say this.
I don't really care about these individual polls.
Like I often say, aggregate matters more to me, and the aggregate polling shows that no one has any idea what's actually going on, which is pretty crazy.
But what matters more than a poll is an election.
And Donald Trump won the popular vote.
He won every swing state.
And until we get to the midterms, this is a lot of noise.
Don't get me wrong.
I will gloat when two mainstream media polls come out and insult the Democrats.
Would you say the current state of the economy is excellent or good?
Democrats, before the election, 52% said it was good, and now only 11. Independents said 19, and today only 8. Republicans inverted.
5% said it was good, and now you have 26% saying it is good.
Is Trump bringing change on key issues?
America's handling of the border security and immigration.
Right kind of change.
Now this is interesting.
We are registering the highest right track, wrong track.
So the largest percentage of people believe the country's on the right track in 20 years.
That's amazing.
And that's under Trump.
They may not like everything he's doing, but strangely, they're still saying he's going in the right direction.
That's funny to me.
Federal spending.
Right kind of change.
Look at this.
Federal spending in the size of the federal government.
So as Doge is ripping everything to shreds.
47% of the plurality say it's the right move.
This is the important thing to understand.
When they say they don't approve of what Trump is doing, that's because you have not sure, not bringing change, and the wrong kind of change.
But the reality is the plurality support this.
Look at this.
America's handling of the war between Israel, Hamas, and Gaza.
Plurality supports the right kind of change.
America's handling of the war between Russia and Ukraine.
41%, once again, a plurality.
Trade and tariffs of other countries, once again, a plurality.
Inflation and the cost of the link.
To be fair, every single issue has a plurality of people saying this is the right direction for this country.
Thank you, NBC News.
Doge and Musk as key flashpoints.
The question was, which best describes what you think about Elon Musk, Doge, and their efforts to reduce spending and the size of the federal government?
33% said it should continue as much more needs to be done.
33% said it is reckless and should stop now before more damage is done.
28% said it is needed but should slow down to assess the impact.
And only 4% said there is no need to cut the size of the federal government.
Somebody put it this way.
Doge support wins.
61% said to some degree it's a good thing.
Either it should slow down or it should do more.
More people want to do more, but I'll take it.
And then we get back to where we were with the Democrats.
Only 27% of registered voters view the party positively.
That includes just 59% of self-identified Democrats.
Well, my friends, you reap what you sow.
This is the game the Democrats wanted to play.
They wanted to embrace all of these issues, 80-20 issues.
They wanted men and women's sports.
They wanted to sterilize kids.
They wanted to bring back illegal immigrants.
Donald Trump, over the weekend, he's deporting Tren de Aragua.
And the Democrats demanded he turn the planes around and bring them back.
Listen, I got my qualms about executive authority, but foreign policy, deportations, invasions, wartime, etc., is going to be at the commander-in-chief's discretion.
So Democrats, what is their argument for wanting them to bring these people back into this country?
Sorry, look, man.
On a constitutional grounds, I might argue, I want hearings.
I want to see that when Trump deports these people, they say, here's the list of the people deported.
And then we can say, yeah, those guys are criminals.
They're not citizens.
That's what Trump should do.
Democrats are trying to bring him back?
I don't know, man.
You got no real argument there.
So the Democrats are going around saying, vote for us and we'll bring violent criminals into the country.
Open up the borders.
Flood your communities.
People are going to be like, why?
Because that's what we stand for.
You know what I really love?
What Democrats largely want.
Democrats want their party to oppose Trump.
What the Democrats end up doing is instead of saying we're going to stop Donald Trump, which is still a stupid position, they're like, we're going to do the opposite.
OK, listen.
Stopping Donald Trump does not mean bringing the illegal criminal aliens back into the country.
It doesn't mean stopping the things that he's doing that are popular, okay?
But I gotta be honest.
If the Democrats really are in a bland, no matter what Trump does, it's a bad thing position, then the only thing they can do is insane things like try to bring Trendy Aragua into the country.
Okay, well, good luck winning the midterms, I guess.
Let me tell you where we are.
Ryan James Gerduski, pulling from the NBC News poll, 36% of Americans say they consider themselves part of the MAGA movement, the highest number ever recorded.
Hear, hear.
Real numbers, my friends, real numbers.
And let's take a look at this one.
I love this one.
This is my favorite portion from the poll.
Ocasio-Cortez leads poll of Democrats on which leader best reflects the party's core values.
Okay.
AOC ain't going to be winning any presidencies anytime soon.
The Democratic Party is done for.
That's my point.
That's my point.
I'll stand by it.
I'll tell you why.
This is CNN polling.
Question 29. Thinking about Democratic leaders today, which one person best reflects the core values of the Democratic Party?
AOC with 10%.
Well, I'd like to give Ocasio-Cortez a standing ovation on this one.
You have tremendous support in the Democratic Party.
Thank you very much.
Guess who came in second place?
Kamala Harris.
Is this it?
2028?
Harris, Ocasio-Cortez, or I guess technically it's Ocasio-Cortez Harris.
Wow, they might get five votes.
I'm kidding.
They'll get a couple million.
But can you imagine that ticket?
There's no way they could possibly win.
Here's a question I have for you.
Because I mentioned that Cassie Hunt asked this on CNN of Tim Walz.
Who is the leader of the Democratic Party?
Right now, honest question.
Who is the leader of the Democratic Party?
Do you know?
Tim Walz responded, the American voter.
And Cassie Hunt made this face like, what?
Is that a joke?
No, like, who's in charge?
I guess it's AOC, because, like, she's polling at the highest.
Let's run the list, though.
In third place, Bernie Sanders, followed by Hakeem Jeffries.
Look where Barack Obama is.
That's crazy.
Jasmine Crockett.
Bravo on your sixth place.
With four percent.
Is that four percent?
Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi, Alyssa Slotkin.
It's noise.
To be fair, the only names that really matter are AOC, Kamala, Bernie, and Hakeem Jeffries.
Obama's hitting, what, 4%?
Meaningless.
Hakeem Jeffries barely qualifies at 6%, but at least is in office.
And then we get this.
My favorite.
Guess who beats Obama?
Jasmine Crockett, Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi, Alexis Lakin, Chuck Schumer, Tim Waltz, Andy Beshear, Cory Booker, Al Green, Chris Murphy, Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Elizabeth Warren, Ken Martin, Joe Biden, Adam Schiff, Amy Klobuchar, Jamie Raskin, Hillary Clinton, John Fetterman.
Guess who beats it?
None.
None!
None beats all of those names I just listed.
That's incredible.
You also then have other responses at 5%.
But considering that could be just a random spattering of names, who knows?
So they have other responses, no names included, whatever that means.
unidentified
Oh, wait, wow.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼
Okay, hold on.
Other names wins against all those people at 5%.
None of them...
Beats them all at 5%.
And other responses, no names included.
What could that possibly mean?
Honest question, guys.
Comments, right now.
Other responses with no names included.
That means someone said, thinking about Democratic leaders today, which one person best reflects the core values of the Democratic Party?
What could you say in response to that question that does not include the name of an individual?
I'd imagine, like, Deez nuts?
Maybe.
Because you can say none of them.
Here you go.
All of them.
Too many to name, got 1%.
I think no names included must mean like disparaging nonsense comments, like a ham sandwich.
Maybe I'm wrong.
I don't know.
Further trends, the next page.
Compare this to 2017. Incredible.
Obama with 18%.
I'm telling you, my friends, this is why I'm saying the Democratic Party is done.
Because Barack Obama had 18%, 18% in 2017. You know, it's been eight years.
It's been seven and a half years.
And now there's nobody.
Hillary Clinton.
Listen, AOC is polling as well as Hillary Clinton did.
Yikes.
Other and no other was only 6%.
It is remarkable to see this is where we have ended up.
Now we got this from Common Dreams.
Calls for AOC to primary Schumer mount after gutless surrender.
Schumer should step down from the Democratic leadership or be forced out and let someone actually willing to fight Trump and Musk take his place.
Alright, I'm going to say it.
I think AOC and Harris are the frontrunners for 2028. Not kidding!
I imagine AOC might want to run for the Senate first, but she is probably the most famous Democrat right now.
But for real?
This is where we're going.
I don't see how Republicans lose.
You know, Bill Maher made the comment that Democrats, he doesn't see a Democrat winning ever again, like a Democrat president.
The reason why it's fascinating is because for a while we were concerned that if the Democrats were to win and shut down Trump, the right was routed.
And that Democrats would become a single state party and just run everything with the Republicans being the Washington generals.
I didn't expect it to go the other way.
The Democrats have no leadership.
Their issues make no sense.
They're on the unpopular side of most of the issues.
Donald Trump's a leader.
You may not like him.
He may not have most of the country.
But take a look at party favorability.
Most people don't like either party.
So Trump's actually doing pretty well.
But let me tell you the real reflection here.
And I hope everybody gets this.
I'm going to do something right here.
I'm going to pull up some YouTube.
Let me see if this is, what is it, trending?
Let's take a look at the old trending tab on YouTube.
And I'm going to tell you why Donald Trump's approval rating ain't so high, but why it's still massive.
So 18 hours ago, we've got soccer.
I'm sorry, football for my international viewers with 730,000 views.
Barcelona 3.4.
To be expected.
What's this?
Sean of the Mom got 322. Sports.
That's pretty big.
8.5 million.
Not bad.
Sports again.
Here's Mark Rober with 10 million.
That guy always has really big ones.
Here's a Minecraft video with 400. Tornado with 358. The reason why I'm bringing this up is that when you take a look at some of these videos that are getting millions and millions of views, Here's Emma Chamberlain.
I don't know who she is.
390,000 views.
You've got WTA Sports, 367. We tried every viral celebrity product, 132. There's a couple things I'm pointing out.
And a couple ways to view this.
YouTube ain't the end-all be-all.
We know it.
Timcast IRL gets more viewership than many of those videos.
All the time.
So the question then becomes...
And look, I know I can speak to other channels if I knew their viewership.
I don't really pay attention to all that much.
Maybe, you know, I don't know, whoever's on YouTube.
What I'm saying is YouTube intentionally does not put our show, Timcast IRL, on the trending list despite the fact that we routinely get way higher numbers instantly, overnight, much faster than all the rest.
Well, the argument on the surface is, well, it's because you're not trending if you're always hitting those numbers.
Otherwise, everybody else would be trending, right?
My point is this.
YouTube is intentionally taking off what is consistently popular and putting up things they choose.
Sports, of course, is always going to be massively popular, getting tens of millions of views.
I ain't surprised about that, nor disparaging sports.
What I'm saying is the narrative machine is over.
It's gone.
There is no unified broadcast tower.
We are no longer in the era, and this has been the case for some time, and I predicted this a long time ago.
I was at the National Association of Broadcasters in the Netherlands.
It's 10 years ago.
Actually, it's 13 years ago.
I told these guys, fame is over as we know it.
Right now, you still have some semblance of fame.
You have personalities with millions of followers.
They put out a video.
They get a million views instantly overnight.
That's going to go away because of the decentralization of the space that we're currently witnessing.
Actually pretty incredible.
Let's go back in time.
Let's take a look at the ratings of the big networks 20, 30 years ago.
I mean, shows were getting 40 million views.
There's estimates Nielsen, but the issue was there was nothing else to watch.
Man, I remember hanging out with the homies, sitting on the couch, and this is a shout-out to Brandon, who works here now.
And we were hanging out, this is back when, well, we're 18. And we were watching, I think we were watching Real Time with Bill Maher.
And they had, our buddy Roger had TiVo.
And I said, you know, in the future, we're going to have The Simpsons channel.
Like, you're just going to, because we were already looking at what TiVo was doing.
You know, these channels.
And one of them, I can't remember which channel, it was like, nothing but fishing.
And I was like, sooner or later, it's going to be a channel that just says The Simpsons.
Because you're like, we wanted to watch one show.
We don't care about anything else.
Here we are.
You open up your Hulu, Disney +, whatever, and the show has its own page and you just watch it.
Not to mention, MTV is literally just the ridiculousness channel.
My point is ultimately this.
With an infinite, near infinite number of shows to watch, perspective and morals and worldviews and other proclivities are decentralizing.
And so, not everybody shares their worldview the way they used to.
You go back in the day, everybody in the country watched the same news channel.
That means the next day at work, they all were talking about the same thing.
Millions of people across the country showed up to work in the office, no remote work, watered the water cooler and said, did you hear about Nixon?
Sure did.
Can you believe it?
Drink the water and carry on with your day.
Today, you go to work and you go, hey, did you hear about Trump?
Which story?
The one about how he's refusing to comply with a constitutional directive from a judge and he's violating the law and then you go, that's not true.
What I, Donald Trump doesn't have to, and here we are.
Decentralization of the narrative and mass communications has changed the game.
I don't see a scenario where the Democrats are going to be able to muster anything up without real leadership.
But if they choose to be an opposition party and that's all they're going to be.
Then no one will ever agree.
And how can they possibly ever win?
Or better yet, I'll put it this way.
The scenario in which I envision Democrats actually winning is when they unite against Donald Trump.
So if enough people, let's say you've got your core base of 29% of Democrats that like what the Democrats are doing.
If enough people are genuinely disaffected with Donald Trump's job, And they just say, I don't want to vote for this man.
Let's try the Democrat.
Then you end up with this hodgepodge of a Democratic Party that is apathy, hope for something different, and we hate Donald Trump as the core element.
What happens when that party wins power?
They do nothing.
And that's Joe Biden.
Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in 2020 off of the we just plum hate Trump.
But they didn't offer up anything substantive.
So what did they do in terms of any kind of real leadership?
Nothing.
Afghanistan was bedlam.
They gave up Bagram Air Force Base.
We got more troops in the Middle East.
We got war in Ukraine.
The border exploded.
The economy took a tank because they had nothing.
Yo, let me put it this way.
Angry Cursing, swearing, fat, stinky guy says, I'm going to cook dinner for your family, and I'm going to swear the whole time I'm doing it, and I am going to make the most delicious beef bourguignon.
It will be the best you've ever had.
And then your family's going to vote.
Another guy walks in and says, I'll tell you what.
Vote for me to cook dinner, and I won't do what he's doing.
What happens?
Okay.
People get mad at the angry guy who's cussing, but you know he makes a good struggling off.
I'm sorry, a Bergen-Yon.
What did I say stroganoff for?
He's making both!
What happens?
The guy you chose to cook you dinner never had a plan to make you dinner!
So this is where we're currently at.
And it's why I said the Democratic Party is done.
But hey, my friends, we got about 15 more minutes, and I got a really great example.
Some other examples for you.
The absurdity and insanity of the Democratic Party.
Kevin Bass, PhD, MS. He says, I was a lifelong Democrat.
I thought most conservatives were ignorant or evil or lying.
I believe almost everything written in the New York Times, the New Republic, and the Atlantic.
I was horrified when conservatives criticized the authorities.
Every criticism I saw, I thought all of it was motivated by animus, resentment, self-interest, ignorance.
Whatever truth there might have been in the criticism, I saw as a mere half-truth.
An exploitation of this or that cherry-picked fact being weaponized.
Why did I see it in terms of weaponization?
Because I was biased.
I saw liberal establishment institutions and figures as fundamentally good.
So all criticism of them was automatically interpreted as being in bad faith.
Didn't the critics know that these institutions or figures were fundamentally good?
If they didn't, they were ignorant.
If they did, they were evil.
It was simple.
This meant that any legitimate criticisms would be dismissed, as if bouncing off of an impenetrable bulletproof shield.
This all changed once I started writing about the pandemic.
Soon people started talking about me the way I once thought about conservatives.
This led to a complete identity collapse as I came to understand that my old worldview was hateful and ignorant, that I hadn't understood what I had been judging.
Indeed, my friends.
He goes on to mention the hearing that led to his dismissal from medical school, but he exemplifies what many people saw and felt.
For me, it was pretty easy.
After I left Fusion, I was working independently.
Donald Trump goes on at a rally and he says, did you see what happened last night in Sweden?
I knew what he meant.
It was a Fox News report last night about Sweden.
Nothing happened in Sweden, but he misspoke.
It was whatever.
I understood the idea that he was conveying.
Democrats were apoplectic.
And they said, nothing happened in Sweden.
Trump's a liar.
So, Paul Joseph Watson said, I challenge any journalist to spend the night in Malma, Sweden, and I'll pay for it.
And I chuckled, and I DM'd him, and I said, I'll do it.
And, you know, Paul says, look, I was taking the piss, but tell you what, like, you going?
And I said, I gotta GoFundMe set up right now.
We're gonna go and do this video series in Sweden called Last Night in Sweden.
Many of you know this story.
For those that don't, I was immediately hit up.
My former colleagues at Vice.com telling me not to do it.
People I had traveled the world with.
People who had done the exact same thing I was about to do.
One guy hits me up and he says, don't go.
Trump's a liar.
And I said, I agree.
Trump is a liar.
So I'm going to prove him wrong.
And they said, no, don't do it.
I got another DM from another vice person.
You shouldn't do this.
Don't go to Sweden.
And I'm like, well, hold on.
Don't we all agree Trump's a liar?
So I'm going to go prove him wrong.
They all told me not to go.
That was weird.
So I went.
What did I find?
Everybody was a little bit wrong.
It wasn't.
The crime was up quite a bit.
But relative to many other parts of the world, still not a lot of crime.
And then I went to Rinkaby and I saw the enclaves they had built.
And we were told by the police to leave and they'd follow us out to our cars.
And the media lied about everything we did.
First, Huffington Post wrote, Tim Pool finds largely nothing, confirming what everyone largely believed, blah, blah, blah.
And I said, yeah, that's accurate.
Actually, it was a really great piece.
Then I went to Rinkaby.
And when there, there were people yelling at us and the cops said, you need to get out of here now.
They might start throwing stones as soon as that happened.
And I filmed it all.
They instantly started claiming that I was far right, that I was a conspiracy theorist, that I was lying, that I fabricated the whole thing.
The funny thing was, at first, Swedish press said police didn't give Poole an escort.
That was the immediate response.
And then I uploaded the video right away and said, here's proof they did.
I had the camera point at them as they got in their van and followed us straight to our car.
They then changed the story.
No, no, we were just coincidence.
They first said, I followed them.
And then I responded with, like, they're behind me.
And they went, it was a coincidence.
And I'm like, sure.
The police said they would follow us to our car.
And that was a coincidence, right?
Indeed.
They were lying the whole time.
And so what began for me is this journey of, I still supported liberal policies.
Tulsi Gabbard.
I was like, Tulsi's anti-war.
That's what matters to me.
Let's roll.
But they lied about Donald Trump and the Republicans.
So many times that all I could do is say, guys, that didn't happen.
That's not true.
The Covington kids being a great example.
I know many of you experienced the same thing.
Many of you saw the exact same thing.
The Democrats were lying to us.
The media was lying to us.
And finally, we snapped.
Now, you know, it's really remarkable.
A lot of the people that finally snapped and said, I am sick of living in a false reality, found themselves religious.
Born again, reborn, whatever you want to call it.
Shout out to Russell Brand.
He goes on this journey and he finds himself a Christian.
Many people sought a new reality and were given reason and debate and they found faith along the way.
It's remarkable that the psychotic rage of the left and the lies and manipulations have fueled what they so despised.
And now, what do we get?
Very decentralized and decentralizing further.
The important thing to understand is this.
Viewership may appear to go down across the board for many channels.
You may see a new show emerge and it gets a million views and say, wow, it's a big show.
But relative to the top shows, everything started starting to flatten out.
Everybody is in a race.
The trend across the board is the flattening out of viewerships with some resisting and proving otherwise.
We will not have fame the same way we did before.
This means that we have an obligation right now to build networks so that we can link up and create spheres of influence and communal power.
What does that mean?
The Rumble lineup.
Why I'm a big fan of this.
Why I said let's do this.
Steven Crowder's got Mug Club.
Timcast has the Timcast members only.
We both team up with Rumble and now...
The TimCast viewers can watch the Stephen Crowder content.
The Crowder viewers can watch the TimCast content.
What we are trying to do, nay, nay, what we are doing right now, with all of you watching, is creating a sphere of positive influence for the morals that we believe in, for a meritocratic society, for duty.
The libertarians, they say freedom.
I say duty and responsibility.
And this is the sphere of influence we are building.
This network of individuals, when we are all watching similar individuals, similar shows with similar ideas, it is not that we expect to create a monolith of a broadcast tower, but it's that we create a sphere of influence where the stories people know about, the things they talk about, will be in a similar line.
Not homogeny, not completely in agreement, but a general understanding of the facts.
So as I mentioned, that water tower, or the water cooler, sorry.
As people walk in and they say, do you see the news yesterday?
They'll say, yup, I was watching Crowder.
Other person says, I was watching the quartering.
We both agree on the facts because we are watching people that actually care to deliver the facts.
Our opinions may slightly differ, but it's not like you're going to come out like a Democrat arguing that a thing that did happen did not.
And that's largely what they do.
This is the story I've pulled up from the New York Times.
We were badly misled about the event that changed our lives.
We?
Excuse me?
Everybody watching right now on Rumble, 43,000 people.
None of us were misled.
We knew that lab leak was a prevailing theory for a long time.
Now, a lot of people think that it was an instantly bannable thing on YouTube.
That's not really true.
We talked about it quite a bit.
But, you know, if we don't know, we don't know.
And then Jon Stewart came out along with everybody.
I started to say, guys, I think it's pretty obvious.
So when you say we were badly misled, who's we?
The New York Times audience.
The rest of us.
Who watched and cared about people who wanted to tell the truth were never misled.
They just weren't.
This is what I'm talking about with the network effect.
Let's create a network.
Let's create a prominent network of news, media, comedy, etc.
Where you know you can trust the individuals.
Sometimes we get things wrong.
We try not to.
But then...
The average person will vote based on what is true and how they see it instead of incorrect information.
We're going to grab some Rumble rants from all of you guys and and of course, some super chats.
But I recommend you guys join Rumble Premium.
Use promo code Tim one zero and become a member of the Discord server.
Go to Timcast dot com.
Join the Discord server.
This is 24 seven.
Tens of thousands of people are talking.
They're launching shows.
They're working on video games.
And then we're going to bring you guys to our culture war debates, and we're going to put you on the show.
That's right, you.
We already brought on Roman Nation and Sienoski from the Quiet Part podcast.
We want to build new spheres of influence.
Let me put it this way, my friends.
It's not just about Steven Crowder, me, the quartering, Jeremy, Bongino, whoever else.
It's about you guys at home.
How many of you...
Share our ideas, share our worldviews, and have ideas we've never considered.
My goal, what I want to see is, what happens when I'm gone?
Will we plant the trees whose shade we know we shall not sit beneath?
And that means we want to do the Culture War show with members of our Discord and our audience on stage at the table with us.
Why?
Because there will come a time when I can't do this show anymore.
There will come a time when Dan Bongino, as you already know, We want the community discord.
We want the Rumble Premium Network and the lineup so that when people We have wildly different views, I know.
But there's an Overton window.
And what am I trying to say?
That Overton window should be us.
So y'all can debate it, we can debate it, but at least we know we don't cross certain boundaries.
For example, sterilizing kids shouldn't even be in public conversation.
It shouldn't even be an issue.
It shouldn't be here.
It's well beyond the Overton window as far as I'm concerned.
We're going to pull it back.
Let's see what we got.
Ballistics Computer says Tim needs to run his own polls, branch out a little.
You know, we did talk with the People's Pundit, Rich Barris, and we probably should.
We probably should.
That's a really good point.
Sir Chill-A-Lot says Tim, you need your own custom emotes for premium.
Congratulations on the Rumble deal.
What are you most excited about for the future of the next four years?
To be honest, everything I just laid out with community building.
When we discussed we were launching this Rumble lineup, I was like, guys, this is going to be like one of the biggest things in media.
It's happened in a long time.
Rumble is going to dominate the conversation.
Rumble is going to dominate the charts.
Rumble is going to instantly have some of the biggest podcasts in the world overnight when we start treating this like a network and a sphere of influence instead of just different creators popping up here and then, you know, here and there.
Very excited.
Whiskey Stick says the lineup is a fat W. Oh yeah.
Oh yeah.
I already described it.
I don't want to just beat it at a horse, but you get it.
When we all have these different audiences that have this overlapping agreement on a lot of issues, and we bring them together, and y'all who watch, don't just tune in in the morning for Timcast, don't just tune in for Crowder, don't just tune in for Bongino, or The Quartering, or Glenn Greenwald.
But when you tune in to watch this like it's a whole channel, this is what I was telling the guys at Rumble.
I was like, look at Fox News.
I mean, right now, Fox is enjoying massive ratings.
In the key demo, Jesse Waters, he's getting 500k.
He's getting 3 million with the older demo included.
This is not a channel where they say, go to Fox News.
Once you pull the channel up, search for Jesse Kelly.
This is a channel where...
I'm sorry, Jesse.
Shout out to Jesse Kelly.
But Jesse Waters, sorry.
This is a channel where you turn it on, you get the show.
And I was like, we want that sphere of influence where we can say, and I'll tell you this, that we agree, right, on these issues.
But here's the best part.
No one editorially controls me or Crowder or the quartering.
Now I'll tell you this, my friends.
We're about to wrap it up.
I know I didn't get enough super chats in.
Y'all are going to go watch Jeremy at the Quartering right now because the network effect continues.
And Jeremy is getting ready to go live right now.
And so as he is up, we are going to hit that and send you his way.
So smash that like button.
Share this show right now with everyone you know.
Share the Rumble lineup.
Share the morning show.
Become a member of Rumble Premium.
Follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
Thank y'all so much for hanging out.
Let's try this.
Here we go.
Let's get it.
It says the quartering.
Trump and Putin meet.
Tesla's psycho Fafo.
Jerno smacks Trump in the face.
Give Jeremy some love.
Subscribe to this channel.
Subscribe to Jeremy.
Thank you all so much for hanging out.
And I will be back tomorrow at noon, same time.
Raid confirmed.
Mustering the raiding party.
Gearing up.
Oh, this is how it works.
Gearing up, gassing up the raid rocket, preparing for action.
I don't want to shut it down just so I want to make sure you guys go...
So it's got like a little timer.
Am I supposed to be narrating this?
I don't know, but I'm having fun.
And the raid is beginning in 3, 2, 1. Adios.
Timcast has raided the quartering.
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