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Nov. 5, 2024 - Timcast IRL - Tim Pool
08:59:15
LIVE ELECTION Results Trump v Kamala w/The Daily Wire | Timcast IRL
Participants
Main voices
a
andrew klavan
05:22
b
ben shapiro
05:12
c
carl benjamin
08:15
d
debra lea
13:26
d
donald j trump
19:08
e
elad eliahu
19:25
i
ian crossland
27:37
j
james klug
11:04
j
jeremy boring
11:17
j
jordan b peterson
12:20
l
lisa reynolds
22:59
m
michael j knowles
14:35
p
phil labonte
01:08:38
s
seamus coughlin
53:23
s
siaka massaquoi
13:36
s
steven crowder
07:05
t
tim pool
02:43:06
Appearances
d
dennis prager
02:30
j
joel berry
01:57
m
mary morgan
02:57
s
shane cashman
03:53
Clips
a
abby phillip
00:22
c
chris wallace
00:20
d
dana bash
00:49
g
gerald morgan
00:31
j
jake tapper
00:04
n
nick di paolo
00:56
| Copy link to current segment

Speaker Time Text
tim pool
Ladies and gentlemen, it is the night you have all been waiting for.
It's hard to believe, but we're finally here on election night with data already pouring in, and Trump supporters are fairly optimistic.
It's being reported that based on exit polls, Republicans have flipped Guam!
Yeah, we got a lot of data, but there's very little coming in, so we don't know exactly what's going to happen as of right now.
But we're going to be hanging out for the next several hours.
I think our plan right now might be nine plus hours of live coverage.
We are coming to you from Daily Wire HQ. Right behind us is their election night party.
So I thought it'd be really funny if Dennis Prager walked up and started banging on the glass.
Dennis is always welcome to come in and join us, but we have a bunch of really awesome people who are going to be joining us tonight.
And we're going to start by going through a bunch of the latest data and developments that we have for you, which is pretty crazy.
Of course, the corporate press is trying everything in their power to make sure that Trump loses.
But we do have some fun stories.
Joe Biden is skipping Kamala Harris's party.
That's interesting.
As I already mentioned, there's a lot of data suggesting that Guam may have flipped.
And based on what we know about early voting and mail-in voting...
And with current exit polling, it is looking particularly good for Trump.
But we really don't know.
Anybody who is still waiting in line, you need to stay in line.
Make sure you all go vote.
The time is coming close.
There have been some issues.
Ignore the fake news.
We're going to do our best to make sure we're getting you the best up-to-date information.
There are a lot of people spreading lies because they're trying to screw with you.
Let's just have a good, clean election.
And hopefully, I think what we're hoping for is clear and obvious results by tonight.
But that seems rather unlikely.
So before we jump into everything, make sure you guys go to castbrew.com and buy castbrew coffee because it is the best coffee.
Everyone agrees.
At least that's what I've been told.
We got Ian's Graphene Dream.
We got Appalachian Nights.
That's everybody's favorite.
And a bunch of other flavors.
And I should say blends.
And of course, go to boonieshq.com.
Check it out.
Step on snack and find out boards are available.
And we also have stickers.
We've got step on snack and find out stickers.
They're much, much cheaper.
As well as everybody's favorite, The Boobies.
If you like The Boobies stickers, those are also available, of course.
Go to TimCast.com, click Join Us, become a member.
You may be wondering why.
Well, a lot of people have talked about how they've made friends, how they want to make friends, and the Discord server is a community of tens of thousands of people where you can hang out and talk to like-minded individuals, have meetups, there's pre-shows, there's after-shows.
It's going to be a lot of fun.
Smash that like button.
Share the show right now with everyone you know.
We are going to be live all night.
We're going to have tremendous guests coming in.
Daily Wire crew as well as many of the party guests.
And then there's at a certain point we are going to merge streams.
I will be joining the Daily Wire crew and we will have one big show very briefly where we talk about what's currently happening.
So I hope you guys are sticking around.
And hanging out with us to start things off, we have a bunch of really amazing people, Mr.
Freedom Tunes himself.
seamus coughlin
Thank you so much, Seamus Coughlin of Freedom Tunes.
We just put up a video today.
It's our first place video out of the last ten.
People are really loving it.
It's called what the interview would look like if Joe Rogan agreed to Kamala's terms.
So if you guys want to watch that, we just made a cartoon of what a Kamala Harris Joe Rogan interview would have to look like.
Yesterday, we released a cartoon called Kamala Harris polling at 100 percent with people who vote at 3 a.m.
The audience is also really enjoying that one.
So if you want to check those out, subscribe, like and share.
I'd really appreciate it.
You know, we're building culture here and trying to make entertaining content, and I hope that you guys enjoy and can support us in that.
And as for tonight, very excited to see the results, very excited to be at the Daily Wire.
I hope we win, but if we lose, you know, Venture Pair will come in here and comfort all of us.
There, there, gang.
unidentified
Okay, there, there, gang.
It's all good.
seamus coughlin
You're fine.
tim pool
I'm looking forward to that because I'm worried, Sheamus.
seamus coughlin
Are you worried?
tim pool
No, I'm feeling pretty good, but we'll see.
seamus coughlin
We got Mary hanging out.
mary morgan
Yes, I was hanging out last night.
My name is Mary Morgan.
You will usually find me on Pop Culture Crisis, so I guess everyone is tuning in for my political insights tonight.
shane cashman
What's up?
Shane Cashman, host of Inverted World Live.
I think this is the most inverted election we've had in a long time.
Our current president is a skeleton that eats children.
Okay.
Welcome to the nightmare.
seamus coughlin
It's literally true.
tim pool
Fact check.
shane cashman
True.
tim pool
He bit two babies.
Okay?
seamus coughlin
Missing contact.
shane cashman
Publicly.
tim pool
Missing contact.
shane cashman
Talking about the privately.
seamus coughlin
Fact check.
Those children were dressed as chickens.
tim pool
Not all.
seamus coughlin
All right.
tim pool
So, host of Inverted World Love.
shane cashman
What's up?
Yeah, yeah.
Inverted World Live every Sunday at 6.
tim pool
Ian's here.
ian crossland
I tell you what, this has been a crazy season, dude.
So let's wrap it up with a crazy nine-hour stream.
Ian Crosslin in the house.
I want to give a special shout-out to Roman Nation, holding it down on the Discord.
Bro's hot.
He knows what to do.
Also, speaking of hot dudes, got one to my left.
phil labonte
Hello, everybody.
Thank you, Ian.
I appreciate that.
My name is Phil Labonte.
I'm the lead singer of the heavy metal band All That Remains.
I'm an anti-communist and a counter-revolutionary.
tim pool
Ladies and gentlemen, You know, I think we're the best live stream.
Because I don't know how many other election coverage live streams have purchased a bottle of a 10-year-old old Rip Van Winkle.
Because, you know, on the way here, we drove.
I was in Gatlinburg.
And went to a liquor store to get some martini mix for our good friend Seamus Coughlin over here.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I want to try it.
tim pool
And I couldn't help but notice there was this very fine bottle of Pappy Van Winkle.
And I thought, we're going to need it.
I'm not a drinker, but if Trump wins...
We're going to need it.
seamus coughlin
By the way, by Martini...
tim pool
If he does not win, we're really going to need it.
And then, if there are no results, and we're all feeling a little bit of anxiety, we're definitely going to need it.
But you know what?
We're going to crack it open now anyway, and so all of our guests who are coming to hang out are going to sip on some very fine Kentucky bourbon.
phil labonte
If he doesn't win, I think some of us are going to need lawyers, too.
seamus coughlin
I want to clarify that when Tim said martini mix, he actually meant a much manlier thing than that.
It was some whiskey that I asked for.
ian crossland
With like dirt in it?
seamus coughlin
Oh, is this your special request?
No, honestly, Tim literally goes out.
I asked for some vodka.
But he goes out and he buys this insanely expensive whiskey.
And I'm like, that's beautiful.
tim pool
It was for you, Sean.
phil labonte
It looks nice.
seamus coughlin
It was just for me.
tim pool
It was for all of us here so that we can enjoy tonight's and, you know, this is just it.
This is the day, okay?
It's crazy because I remember I'm waking up in the morning and I'm looking at the TV and it's like Fox News, 98 days till the election.
And now it's right now.
And I would describe, so I only did a couple morning segments and I was talking to some people.
I said, you know, I gotta be honest, the news right now is like a Jackson Pollock painting.
It's someone took a shotgun full of paint and just on the wall because the news is changing so rapidly.
The data is flying back and forth.
You got liberals posting their electoral college maps where it's like Kamala wins in a landslide.
The Republicans are posting theirs.
Trump wins in a landslide.
And I'm just like, yo, this is nuts.
You've got people saying that the voting machines have shut down in Cambria County, PA, but then other people coming out back, stop!
They repaired that a long time ago.
It was a minor issue.
They've extended voting hours till 10 p.m.
unidentified
Okay.
tim pool
So it looks like a Jackson Pollock painting.
It is just chaos.
shane cashman
And to your point, I want to read a headline I read earlier.
Outrage over Peanut the Squirrel's death sparks bomb threats.
tim pool
That's crazy.
I do want to say this too, though.
We got a lot to go through.
And we are going to be reading news in real time, updates in real time.
So I do want to start off with one very powerful thing, and that is...
The assassination of Peanut, I do think, may factor into a minor mobilization.
And I will stress, for those that don't know the story, there's a guy who had a squirrel.
Rescued a baby squirrel, raised that squirrel for seven years.
The state came in, took the squirrel and a raccoon, and assassinated them.
And I call it an assassination because it was literally a politically motivated killing of a prominent figure with a large following.
The squirrel had 2 million followers.
mary morgan
I'm sorry, it's not funny.
shane cashman
Thank you for retracting the laugh.
ian crossland
Funny's strange.
tim pool
Peanut was our JFK. Well, you know, it's almost like another Harambe.
So Peanut the squirrel had like 2 million followers and was killed by the state and it doesn't make sense.
They said that the agents who came in to search the house were bit by the squirrel and the raccoon, so they had to do a necropsy or whatever it's called on the brain so they can see if it's got rabies.
And I'm like, I don't bite that for a second.
This is a tame squirrel that's been living here.
It's not biting anybody.
ian crossland
You can also test the saliva and or skin fat.
They could have.
They probably just didn't have access to the tech.
tim pool
I'm gonna tell you what I think.
I think the reason they went in and took the squirrel and the raccoon is because New York does not want people to start getting raccoons and squirrels to make videos on Instagram and get millions of followers.
I think they intentionally went in to kill those animals because they did not want the cultural ramifications, which I believe qualifies as an assassination.
seamus coughlin
Well, I just want to say, obviously, this has been compared to Harambe.
One key difference is that in the instance of Harambe, a kid fell into the enclosure.
And so they were trying to protect a child.
They just went and killed this squirrel for no reason.
mary morgan
There's also another cute animal in danger of execution right now, and her name is Mudang.
She's this baby hippo.
Are you familiar with that?
She just predicted Trump's victory.
They presented her with two watermelons.
One said Harris and one said Trump.
She's a psychic hippo.
And she chose the Trump watermelon.
So now she might be in the crosshairs.
seamus coughlin
Media Matters is going to publish a video of her tomorrow saying every slur in the book.
It's over for her.
unidentified
Where are the Mudang N-word tweets?
phil labonte
I should also clarify.
ian crossland
I don't know if it's skin fat.
She's only four months old.
tim pool
Apparently, people were saying that the original account that Mudang uses was a Trump supporter.
mary morgan
Oh my goodness.
tim pool
I don't know if it's true.
I just saw memes where it was like, do not search the history of Mudang, and it was like MAGA 2020 and stuff like this.
Anyway, let's talk about some of the results we're seeing right now.
We've got this from Robert Bortons on X, and I don't know how true or whatever.
This is just stuff we're seeing.
I have seen numerous reports that Republicans have flipped Guam.
Exit polling suggesting that there's a major shift.
We've got official data showing there's at least a 12-point swing from Democrat to Republican with still a Democrat edge.
But we have this.
He says, first of the day, GOP flips Guam delegate for Congress, Rep.
Moylan James C. with 15,000 votes, 52%.
It's looking pretty good.
It's looking pretty good.
Decision Desk has their final probabilities at Trump, 54% to win.
The Republicans with 76% to win at the Senate and 52% to win at the House.
That's where we're at so far.
We're going to be waiting for the polls to close.
And the bad news is...
I don't think we're going to have any real results.
And with Pennsylvania extending voting hours in Cambria County to 10 p.m., that means we have to wait until at least then.
It's not an insignificant county.
I think it might have been 60,000 votes in 2020.
It's not insignificant, and it could matter.
I suppose we'll have to wait and see.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
The thing with Guam, I was paying a little bit of attention to that, and I didn't know that Trump flipped it.
I'm not sure if he did, but my understanding is that for the final results, it swung 10 or 11 points in his direction from where it was in 2020.
tim pool
The delegate is reportedly flipping.
Let me get the official source on this.
See if we can get some official reporting on if we have any news on the Guam delegate.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, what do you guys think of the Guam election?
ian crossland
I think that's indicative of a sea change of the feelings of the people.
I mean, we're still going to have...
I wish not, but I have a feeling that it's going to take months for this stupid election to get resolved.
I hope it doesn't.
abby phillip
Multiple months.
ian crossland
I voted by mail, unfortunately, but I voted by mail.
And the website said as long as you get a post dated or dated by the 5th, it doesn't have to get there until the 15th of November.
mary morgan
Wow, I thought you were joking this morning.
ian crossland
No, it's super legit.
I mean, I was shocked when I read it.
I'm like, well, at least maybe my vote will be counted, but it's almost to the point where I'd rather the Supreme Court overturn that and say, hey, if you didn't get it in by the 5th, just disregard.
Get your votes in by the 5th.
seamus coughlin
I think that's how it should be.
The idea that votes can be counted after Election Day, and by counted, I mean votes that are cast after Election Day could be counted.
I understand having to count the ones that were already received past midnight.
But the idea that someone could deliver a ballot the next morning or the day after an election and have that count is insane.
And by the way, if you don't believe in that, then you actually don't believe in the quote unquote sanctity of democracy.
You just want a one party system where the Democrats win all the time.
Because if you really believe that there's a civic duty to vote, then people should be motivated to get their vote in on time instead of allowing the slacker vote, which always happens to go for the Democrat to be counted at the last second.
tim pool
I do want to point out, we have this from Guam PDN, Pacific Daily News.
Moylan wins re-election.
Republicans retake legislature in unofficial tally.
So it does look like a...
It's not a flip, I don't believe.
I believe that was...
They say he will remain Guam's delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives.
While the 38th Guam legislature will see the return of a Republican majority come January based on unofficial election results tallied up by the Guam Election Commission.
So it's not that the delegate was already the delegate, but they flipped the legislature in Guam.
So it is a flip, but I believe it was...
He mischaracterized or misunderstood.
At least it's from Pacific Daily News.
So we're really trying to squeeze whatever we can out of the early election data.
But as everyone knows, once Guam calls it, the rest of the country just falls in line, right?
seamus coughlin
Well, listen, I mean, Indiana is reporting 1% in Trump's winning there.
Where?
Indiana is reporting 1% vote.
phil labonte
That's it.
tim pool
Let's call it.
The Tim Kass decision desk has officially called it.
phil labonte
Indiana closed at 6, right?
Six o'clock East Coast, which is five o'clock here.
tim pool
So then, of course, we had...
Was it Dixville Notch?
shane cashman
That's right.
phil labonte
Dixville Notch.
Three to three.
tim pool
Three to three.
And this is big because in 2020, it was all five votes for Biden.
phil labonte
Also 2016 was all for Hillary Clinton.
unidentified
Wow.
phil labonte
Oh, man.
tim pool
So this is a town that votes after midnight, and there's six people who live there, and they all meet up to hang out and then cast their ballots.
So I mean, like...
Imagine us sitting right now being like, so who are you voting for, Ian?
seamus coughlin
Yeah, exactly.
tim pool
And you're like, calm down.
I'm like, no, you shouldn't.
You should vote for Trump.
It's like, no, I'm going to vote.
That's okay.
That's like Clinton and Harris.
shane cashman
And then at 3 a.m.
seamus coughlin
there's 20,000 mail-in ballots.
You're like, hold on a second.
joel berry
How did this happen?
shane cashman
We got together and they're like, it'd be funny if the three of you vote for him and the three of us vote for her.
tim pool
Yeah, they talked about it and they're like, we don't want to be involved in this.
Let me pull this up.
We have this from a clip from CNN. Colin Rugg tweeted, this is massive.
I don't even want to say what this is.
I want you all to hear what Chris Wallace says based on the polling data CNN is showing.
This exit polling data.
chris wallace
In the country, I mean, in conventional terms, it would be a miracle that Kamala Harris could win with that kind of headwind, and also with the president.
Remember, she was part of the administration.
The Biden-Harris administration was 41% approved, 58% disapproved.
This isn't even close to the 50%.
tim pool
Chris Wallace is saying, based on the...
So if I jump to the beginning, I'll play this for you.
unidentified
Said, let's look at the numbers on the mood of the country.
It's a pretty dour mood in terms of the way people feel things are going in the United States.
Nationally, only 7% of voters say they're enthusiastic.
19% say they're satisfied.
Look at these numbers.
43% dissatisfied.
29% angry.
72% of the electorate nationally say they're dissatisfied or angry.
What about America's best days, we ask?
Are they in the future or are they in the past?
61% of voters in this election across the country say America's best days are ahead of the country.
Six in 10 say so.
34% say the best days are in the past.
And finally, President Joe Biden's approval rating, it's at 41% in these early preliminary exit poll findings.
58% of voters in this election across the country nationally disapprove of the way that the incumbent Democratic president is doing his job, Jake.
tim pool
So with this early exit poll data, with the current trends that we've seen, Chris Wallace says, quote, in conventional terms, it would be a miracle that Kamala Harris could win with that kind of a headwind.
seamus coughlin
Well, what he's going to say is, it's a miracle!
We found 12 million ballots!
ian crossland
Yeah, that's the thing.
seamus coughlin
We found just the number she needed!
ian crossland
When I said it might go two months, I'm concerned with malfeasance.
But the thing about our decentralized system is a lot of states are just legit.
Like, I mean, they seem like...
Trump could win in enough states soon enough that it doesn't matter that other states haven't reported yet.
tim pool
I want to get into this data as much as we can because it's going to be rapidly changing, but we have 5 p.m.
Eastern Time Edison Research data published by Reuters.
We've got this on interactive polls, and this is massive news for Republicans.
Voters, as of right now, via the exit poll, 53% women compared to 52% in 2020.
That's an increase in women.
That's bad for Republicans.
However, 67% were white in 2020.
They're now 71%.
13% in 2020 were black.
They're now 11%, and Hispanic is down from 13% to 12%.
So what we are seeing is an increase in white voters, a decrease in black and Hispanic voters.
That's good for Republicans.
Of course, you know, Democrats are going to come out and say, haha, it proves racism.
It doesn't.
But black voters tend to Democrat.
Hispanic voters tend to Democrat.
White voters, if Trump is getting the right, rural white conservative voters, it's a boon.
I don't know how much we can extrapolate off of four points because it could be white liberal women.
But this does reflect better for Republicans in the long run.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I think that a lot of black people were also just personally insulted by the way Obama spoke to them when it seemed to the Democrats that there wasn't enough enthusiasm for Kamala.
It came off as very condescending.
unidentified
You know, you boys need to get out there and you gotta vote like I'm telling you to.
seamus coughlin
I just think that any voter is going to find that a little bit insulting and condescending to be told, like, this is your skin color, this is how you have to vote.
And it doesn't necessarily make it the case that they're going to become a Trump supporter and vote for him, but it probably does make them less likely to vote for your candidate.
phil labonte
I think you're probably right about having a bit of being put off by it, but I don't think that that would put them off from voting for Harris if they were actually going to vote for her.
Yeah, I think it didn't convince them, though.
I think mostly what it is is just that they're not convinced that she's a good candidate, that That Kamala Harris doesn't have any type of actual plan that's going to benefit that community.
And I do think that the black community looks for the government to have things that are specifically geared towards them.
Because historically there have been a lot of, at least in the past 50-60 years, there have been a lot of policies and there's been a lot of Democrats that have kind of catered to To the minority communities and stuff.
So I think that it's probably that she doesn't actually produce any policy in particular that they can look to and say, this is something that I believe is going to be for me.
And I think that's, and also there's likely some sexism in there, but I think it's more about, you know, more about her being, her not catering to the community.
tim pool
We just got some pretty interesting news.
So first, we do have this story, which has been known for some time.
Joe Biden will skip Kamala's watch party and chill in the White House two miles away.
But Jack Posobiec says he's got a source in the White House with an update.
And I know it's only a single source.
mary morgan
Shade war.
tim pool
It's a single source.
And I think for this to be confirmed, we need multiple sources.
But I'm going to throw it to Jack Posobiec, who says word out of the East Wing is that Jill wrote in Biden, according to a White House official.
unidentified
Ah!
tim pool
I love it.
I bet that's true.
I believe it considering we know Biden's skipping her watch party.
unidentified
And we've heard them beefing.
ian crossland
Jill Biden has been silent in the media since Kamala got the nomination.
I haven't even seen her face.
tim pool
Jill was running the show.
She was in that meeting with Biden.
He's like, authority, you can't burn.
And then she's like, okay, listen to me now.
She wanted him to be president.
She did not want to leave.
And I'm also, I believe, she wants Hunter pardoned.
She wants power for the family.
She's losing power.
I think she's pissed.
I believe it.
seamus coughlin
Well, the one thing she doesn't want, if she's not voting for Kamala, apparently, is she doesn't want black men to have their crypto protected, which Kamala Harris promised.
tim pool
Is that what Kamala...
seamus coughlin
That was going to sway the election.
phil labonte
That was one of the...
seamus coughlin
Yes, no, that was one of her promises.
What was the plan?
And this goes back to what we were talking...
I have no idea what the plan was, but this kind of goes back to what we were talking about earlier, where, Phil, you mentioned that I think that the...
You were saying you don't believe the black community really feels that she's actually going to support them in any substantial way.
And of course, for me, I don't think that the federal government should be privileging any racial group over others with targeted spending.
Of course not.
But that said, if you're going to try to do it because you're pandering to win an election, you have to do it in a coherent way.
Nobody knew what she was talking about.
unidentified
What do you mean you're going to protect crypto for black people specifically?
tim pool
What does that mean?
shane cashman
How are they going to protect crypto for black people if Joe Biden says black people don't know how to use computers?
phil labonte
There has been nothing coherent.
There's been nothing coherent about the Kamala Harris campaign at all.
It has been all responsive to Trump.
I mean, you might as well throw a MAGA hat on her.
She was talking about deporting immigrants last week because she was so far behind in the polls.
seamus coughlin
Did you see, she was asked how she voted on a specific proposition, and her response was to say, I won't answer that because the election's in a few days.
Which is just a mind-blowing response from a presidential candidate.
Like, I will not tell you how I'm voting because I'm afraid it would cost me the election.
Are you serious?
mary morgan
And her posturing is 2A, like she's talking about her Glock.
And she knows how to use it.
phil labonte
It's all 100% responsive to what Donald Trump has been doing, because Donald Trump has been leading in the polls...
I mean, essentially, even though the polls say they're close, it's like the country has kind of been leaning towards Donald Trump since Biden was running.
Everyone knew that Biden was essentially an empty candidate, that he was mentally unfit, and he was probably not going to make it to be inaugurated should he even win.
So when she took his place, she had to do something to separate herself from President Biden because President Biden's policies have not worked.
They've not produced positive results for America.
seamus coughlin
No.
phil labonte
She has not had any kind of policies that people like.
She's taken a step back from every single policy that she...
Every policy position that she had in 2019, she's walked back from, and all of those policies have been replaced by something that Donald Trump has done.
No taxes on tips.
She's talked about her Glock.
She's talking about immigration.
She's talking about fixing immigration.
mary morgan
During the primary, she called Biden racist.
seamus coughlin
A racist, and she called him a rapist.
shane cashman
Yeah, she said that was just politics.
unidentified
And then she went, it was a debate!
Ha ha ha!
mary morgan
You know, I have a hot take, and I want to know if any of you agree.
I think that Kamala doesn't want to win.
I think she's afraid of winning, and she genuinely...
It's not imposter syndrome, because when people refer to imposter syndrome, you're in a position that you think you don't deserve or you're not qualified for, but you are.
She actually just knows that she is unqualified, and she's really scared right now, and I think she wants the same outcome as all of us do.
She wants to lose.
seamus coughlin
She actually voted for Trump.
phil labonte
I think if that were the truth, I think that she could be doing more to torpedo her campaign.
seamus coughlin
Could she?
mary morgan
I don't think you can be that obvious about it.
tim pool
Nah, I disagree, bro.
Let me grab this clip.
You know what I'm going to pull up.
mary morgan
She just ended up here.
She knows that she didn't win any votes, so it's just the butterfly effect.
tim pool
Let me show you this clip.
unidentified
Have you voted already?
No.
Give me a second.
You did?
tim pool
Thank you.
I'm going to pause right there.
Did you hear what she said?
She said, you voted already?
She waits.
You did?
Thank you.
She's at her campaign HQ at DNC headquarters.
She's got her phone to her ear.
You vote already?
Pause.
Thank you.
And then...
She holds up her phone, and it's the camera app open.
I want to say this again, make sure it's very clear for everyone here.
She has the camera app open.
seamus coughlin
She does this over and over.
tim pool
And everybody knows that there is a symbol that appears in the top when you were on the phone.
Now...
I suppose there's a slim possibility that we just can't see that she was on the phone but accidentally, for some reason, opened the camera app.
Guys, I think the obvious thing here is she's not really on the phone.
seamus coughlin
Well, I think it's actually possible that she believed she was talking to somebody.
I think that, at the very least, could have been what was occurring there.
But yes, that's the camera app, and you don't see the little green bar at the top of the phone to indicate that she's on a call.
tim pool
I believe it's an iPhone, so there'd be like a circle.
shane cashman
Maybe the voices were from her earrings.
ian crossland
I can't imagine she would have shown her phone if she wasn't really on it.
seamus coughlin
But she did!
ian crossland
Maybe she bumped the camera button with her ear or something.
phil labonte
Maybe she's a moron.
tim pool
I gotta be honest, I believe it is possible, but I have never accidentally bumped the camera I bump buttons while I'm on the phone, which is why I wear earpieces when I use my phone anyway.
Gentlemen, shall we pass the old Rip Van Winkle in our direction?
ian crossland
Let's do it.
seamus coughlin
I think it's hilarious.
Well, I mean, look, she's got the mirror camera open, so she was talking to her biggest fan.
unidentified
Ha ha!
tim pool
I don't think that's true.
I don't think she's her biggest fan.
Did you guys hear about the bacon as spice story?
phil labonte
No.
tim pool
She's an idiot.
She was on a podcast with a Muslim guy and she said bacon as a spice and he was like, no, no, no, stop, stop, stop the show and then said, you can't say that.
So then she said, okay, I like anchovies and he's like, okay, this is boring and he shut it down.
mary morgan
Why does she like talking about food so much?
She gets really into it.
Explaining how you dress a turkey and she goes really in-depth about the rosemary and marinating things.
unidentified
Because she's an idiot.
seamus coughlin
Which seems like...
Which is fine.
mary morgan
You're just a normal aunt.
You're just a wine aunt and you love cooking and getting drunk in the kitchen.
That's fine.
Just don't run for president.
tim pool
What's the time frame, guys, for...
20 minutes?
seamus coughlin
20 minutes.
tim pool
And the first crossover with Crowder?
You heard it, everybody.
So right now, the reason I'm asking the crew is because we're going to be doing a crossover to join Stephen Crowder for a brief period.
We'll be joining the Lotus Eaters later tonight, and we will be joining the Daily Wire later.
It's going to be a big show.
But in the meantime, we got this from the New York Post.
Harris botched interview with Muslim influencer by celebrating bacon as a spice.
ian crossland
Oh, my God.
mary morgan
She's also not wrong, so I don't know how to feel about this.
tim pool
It was the Instagram show Subway Takes.
It never aired, the New York Times reported, because she spent time trying to convince him that bacon is a spice.
Rama, a firm opponent of the Harris Biden administration's support for Israel, told the outlet that he believed the topic of the conflict was important enough to break his usual protocol and discuss with David.
There's something going on in the world that 100% of Muslims care about.
Harris has been heckled at rallies.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, we get it.
And I don't know Rama.
I don't know.
Rama, who is Muslim and doesn't eat pork, responded to Harris in their video interview, according to the Times.
Think about it.
It's pure flavor.
mary morgan
She prodded.
ian crossland
Wow!
tim pool
I'm 100% unsure on both of those.
They made it worse by talking about anchovies.
Boring.
I never wanted to be a politics person.
The more I think about it, the more I feel like I got lucky.
phil labonte
Wow.
tim pool
Well, no one's surprised by this story, but it's funny.
seamus coughlin
I mean, look, she was one of the least popular VPs of my lifetime, and they had to hide her away, the media did, because she was a liability for the approval rating of the Biden administration.
And then they just all came out full force in favor of her as soon as sharp as attack Joe Biden had to get removed from the race.
And now we're expected to believe that she's got a rapport with people and voters like her and she's charismatic.
This is a person who nobody liked four months ago, and now she's on a podcast with a Muslim trying to push bacon on him, which is such a bizarre thing.
shane cashman
I've been mainlining CNN into my skull at the hotel, and earlier today CNN said, a Trump presidency will bring more war, but a Kamala presidency will be pragmatic.
seamus coughlin
What?
shane cashman
It's just unbelievable.
unidentified
What does that even mean?
shane cashman
I had to play it back a bunch of times, like, did they really say this?
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
shane cashman
But they just, because they're propping her up, they're doing overtime, working overtime to make her feel like, to make her seem legitimate.
seamus coughlin
A real candidate, make her look like a real candidate, yeah.
She totally isn't.
It's ridiculous.
ian crossland
I haven't really seen a good VP. Have you?
seamus coughlin
That's a really interesting question.
shane cashman
Not since Teddy Roosevelt.
unidentified
Wow.
shane cashman
I can't think of any others.
tim pool
They're all kind of B-tier, you know what I mean?
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
ian crossland
I mean, George Herbert Walker Bush was Reagan's VP. He was influential.
tim pool
He became president.
Yeah.
shane cashman
Terrible.
tim pool
And then I guess what, Ross Perot spiked the election for him?
ian crossland
Oh, I loved that guy.
phil labonte
Yeah, but if he didn't make the promise about no new taxes and then actually not raise taxes, he would have won the election.
ian crossland
You think that's because presidents are loathe to appoint a VP that's cooler than them?
Like, more charismatic than them?
Maybe more intelligent than them?
phil labonte
Maybe in modern times?
gerald morgan
It depends.
Democrats have never done.
It's not impossible.
tim pool
Can I ask a broader question?
ian crossland
Yes.
shane cashman
Why does it always...
steven crowder
You want to ask a broad question?
gerald morgan
Yes.
unidentified
Is she here?
Steven Crowder is now live on our show because they've...
tim pool
You guys, just close the Zoom window.
ian crossland
No broads here!
nick di paolo
Why?
tim pool
Just close the Zoom window.
ian crossland
You look dirty like an eavesdropping.
nick di paolo
You're always so crucial.
I know you...
tim pool
There we go.
unidentified
All right.
tim pool
Now we're back on TimCast again.
ian crossland
the looking glass.
What's up, Crowder?
seamus coughlin
Oh, but Ian, you made this point about VPs and charisma.
It's interesting because so with Bill Clinton, you had a very articulate, charismatic man and then you had Al Gore who basically everybody recognized was very boring.
Then with George W. Bush, I won't say you necessarily had an articulate man, but certainly a more charismatic man than Dick Cheney.
Then with Obama, right?
Obama was very charismatic compared to Biden, who was a known gaffer even back then.
You look at the people he ran against, John McCain, I wouldn't call him like a powerhouse of charisma, but Paul Ryan was.
So there's kind of been this element of like, we want the exciting guy and the pragmatic guy in our campaign.
What's kind of interesting about the Trump ticket right now is they're both these really exciting outsider candidates.
And we're not used to seeing that.
Usually there's at least one person on the ticket who's perceived as an establishment candidate.
ian crossland
Yeah, JD is legit.
He's like one of my...
Guys I would have went to high school with that was just super successful and went off into politics.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, he just seems like a cool guy.
ian crossland
Same age, same state.
He swears on Theo Vaughn's show.
Like, he's super loose.
The guys...
tim pool
He passed the grocery store test, they say.
ian crossland
What's that?
tim pool
They asked him how much milk costs.
Or he was talking about, I think it's around like $3.60 a gallon right now, and then they checked.
They're like, that's about the price.
Because a lot of these people who are running for office are so out of touch, they don't even know the cost of groceries.
ian crossland
Yeah, man, he's the kind of leader we need.
He served in the military.
He's seen it firsthand.
He knows why not to do it.
seamus coughlin
And it's wild because they spent so much time calling him weird.
What you have to remember is, with these people, every accusation is an admission.
They think a disgusting, perverted man wanting to go into the women's bathroom is normal, right?
And so, of course, J.D. Vance is weird.
The people who are calling that kind of disgusting stuff good are going to call him bad.
But every normal person who hears from him or speaks to him goes, this seems like a regular guy.
mary morgan
I think he seems weird because he's a normal person in a really weird situation.
seamus coughlin
That's also fair.
mary morgan
Like, he was talking about the experience of having Secret Service following him around on Rogan.
And you don't really realize how strange of an experience that is until he tells his first-hand experience.
Like, I'm sure anyone would seem out of place doing that in the public eye for the first time.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I think that's fair.
ian crossland
I agree.
And that whole weird campaign, they try to get ahead of it.
They're like, quick, someone call him weird before any of us get called weird.
Because Tim Waltz with the purple frown.
mary morgan
I thought the left was like, proud of being weird.
I thought that was something you're supposed to be proud of.
unidentified
You are.
mary morgan
Brag about.
ian crossland
Yeah, the weirding way.
You know, it's wizardry.
It's cool, weird, magic.
tim pool
So let's just, we'll cover the data when we can.
We have some information coming out of Indiana and Kentucky.
Trump's got 68% in Kentucky.
61% in Indiana.
It's currently at 69,000 for Harris, 123,000 for Trump.
It means absolutely nothing, but I think we're going to call it.
That's it, everybody.
Trump wins.
seamus coughlin
Election's over.
tim pool
I'm going to try and go home at every opportunity when any amount of data comes in.
ian crossland
I've said it multiple times.
I think if this was a fully legitimized election on the face, he would win in a landslide about 74%.
I think it would be like the Reagan landslide, similar, with the amount of support he's got.
I am concerned that it's not all on its...
We understand that there's been corruption in the elections in the past.
tim pool
The 1980 wasn't a landslide, but it was 50-41%.
ian crossland
So a nine-point swing?
tim pool
Well, but there was also a third-party independent.
So, this is the map.
This is not the 49-state landslide.
It was 50.7% to 41, and John B. Anderson helped swing it.
1984 is when things were big with Mondale.
That was 58.8% to 40.6%.
So, Trump doesn't need 74%.
ian crossland
I think 74% is an extreme way of me putting it.
tim pool
No, I mean, Trump could get 53% or 54% and still see a 49-state landslide.
ian crossland
If you would, it's just a matter of stay alive, Donald Trump.
Keep yourself healthy and make sure you have legitimized security and survive until the 20th.
You know that.
That's your job, man.
Keep your body alive and healthy.
phil labonte
If it is that kind of significant win, I think we would know before the 20th.
seamus coughlin
Oh, absolutely.
If it was a landslide win like that, if you were to do something really crazy like flip Virginia or something, you know, they would be able to call it tonight.
tim pool
But interestingly, some people have pointed out the data that's already coming out of Florida shows Miami red.
But we expected that because of what we've seen in the past few years, especially people who have fled Venezuela and Cuba.
They do not want Kamala Harris.
change their voting to the paper ballots only.
I'm wondering if that will show us a visible shift towards Republicans.
It's going to be hard to track because if it just skews to the Republicans a little bit to Trump a little bit, it's like, OK, well, you know, a lot of places are showing that trend.
It doesn't mean much.
If Virginia, which is considered to be not in play, not a swing state, ends up somehow becoming Republican, that is a massive, massive showing in, I would say, cultural but also ballot security issues.
phil labonte
If there are any states that are not, you know, that are considered like safely blue, that surprise anybody, that's going to make massive waves through the Democrat Party.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
phil labonte
You know, never mind the stuff that is called in play.
Even if New Hampshire, which is, you know, they're saying maybe it's a toss-up, even if that goes for Trump, that's going to have a significant impact psychologically on Democrats.
And I think even if Trump doesn't win, Those kind of things are good for the country because that will get your average boilerplate normal Democrats to reject the stuff that comes from the progressives.
Now, that's not a win, but it's better than the Democrats feeling like they have a mandate to continue doing things like forcing women to accept men into women's bathrooms.
shane cashman
Do you think if that happens, the Democratic Party will recalibrate?
phil labonte
I do.
shane cashman
It's hard to imagine because they've gone so far into depravity.
phil labonte
Democrats will tend to do what, like Ben was saying the other night, they're a professional party.
They're very professional.
That's true.
If the top Democrats say, this stuff, the pro-Hamas stuff, we're done with that.
All the LGBT stuff, we're done with that.
If they say that, that will filter through the rest of the party.
And now this is not the optimum outcome that I want.
I want a Donald Trump victory.
But if we do get that, that is better for the country than continuing down the progressive...
Insane policies that we've been doing.
seamus coughlin
Here's why I don't share your optimism on that.
And I wish what you were saying was true, but in 2016, when Trump won, you would have thought that that would be a moment for them to pause and go, maybe we've gone a little bit off the deep end.
Because they were certain that Hillary was going to win, and then she didn't.
And all they did was move further to the left.
But my point is, all they did was move further to the left.
phil labonte
No, but the point is, there has been eight years of people seeing the results of that.
Of that move to the left.
unidentified
Yeah, but they've consistently moved to the left for decades.
phil labonte
In 2016, if you told people there's going to be a time in the next couple years where we're going to be chopping penises off of healthy boys and then telling them that they're girls, people would have said, you're nuts.
I knew this because I was telling other dudes in the metal industry that were, I was like, look, this trans stuff is going to be a big deal.
tim pool
Yes, yes.
Yes, yes, but that's way actually beyond where we need to be.
And that is, in 2008, when the conversation was Bubbling Brown gay marriage, Republicans said, they will teach these things in school.
They said that's impossible and it will never happen.
The idea that we would be seeing child gender ideology and sex change surgery was so far beyond that even today, when you sit down with people like Bill Maher and say, hey, look what they're doing.
He says, you're lying.
You're making that up.
phil labonte
Today, they're saying it's literally happening.
The video you're referring to was like 2018.
You're talking about when Bill Maher was sitting there with Dennis Craker.
tim pool
What I'm saying is, right now...
If right now today you go to the average default liberal and say, did you know that they are giving these books to children?
Don't even mention surgeries.
They will say, you're lying.
Because we had Marianne Williamson on the show, and I said, have you seen the book?
And she goes, no.
phil labonte
Marianne Williamson was a year and a half ago.
tim pool
My point is, yes, and today my point is, if you go to your average liberal and you mention child sex change surgery, they will say, you're a psychopath, you've made that up.
If you say they are showing children books on gay marriage, they will say, you are lying and you made that up.
phil labonte
I understand your point.
The average person that's a Democrat, the average person on the street that's a Democrat, the average normie, the person that we talk about that only has a diet of an hour or so of news per week or so, they're not the ones that are setting policy.
The people that set policy are the progressives, and they're the people that are in position of power.
tim pool
My point is...
When you're saying no one would have believed you if you went back and told them what was going on today, they still today don't believe you.
Today, you can go and talk about detransitioners and their experiences, and regular default libs will say that's not happening.
phil labonte
I understand what you're saying, but I think that what we're talking about is the people that are deciding policy for the DNC, not what the average person is going to believe.
seamus coughlin
Hold on, but this is my greater point, which is, I don't entirely disagree with your point that more and more people are waking up to how insane the Democratic Party has become, but my point is the Democratic Party has always been to the left of even what most left-leaning people in the country want, and they still keep pushing in that direction because they can't let go of what they believe is their mandate from heaven.
phil labonte
That's a function of the left.
Yes, I understand that.
I just think that if there is, and again, I'm not saying that this is my preferred outcome either.
My preferred outcome is clearly a Donald Trump win.
But I am saying that if you were to have a situation where the Democrat Party had to recalibrate, that would be a positive for the country.
shane cashman
I think they might recalibrate, but they'll fracture.
mary morgan
I have a bigger question for Phil or whoever has an answer.
If the left does recalibrate, that means they're going to become more competitive.
tim pool
Yes.
mary morgan
So what does the right do to compete with that?
phil labonte
The right should keep doing what they're doing.
Because the right stands on principle.
tim pool
The right will.
The right will moderate.
So in the 90s, if you look at Pew data, you can see the Republicans and Democrats were very, very similar to each other and disagreed on very few issues.
Over time, the polarization has split.
Now what you see is that Elon Musk, Colin Wright, Joe Rogan, me, for instance, and many of us are now aligned with Republicans or the Republican Party, even though we rag on them all the time, because they are more of the big tent party.
And I don't know who wants to unify with the Democrat Dick Cheney party.
That seems insane to me.
But if there is a realignment and Democrats realize the progressive left and the woke cult has cost them a major election, first, that only happens if Trump wins the popular vote today.
If Trump loses the popular vote but wins the Electoral College, they will stay on course and say, we were right the whole time, and they will focus on manipulating swing states through illegal immigration to just destroy and decay the Electoral College system.
If Trump wins the popular vote, that's a popular mandate.
Democrats are going to be screwed.
They're going to say, we can't stand this path.
Bud Light shows it.
Disney shows it.
Get what go broke is palpable.
And now we're losing elections.
If Trump sweeps, if Republicans sweep everything.
They will have to recalibrate.
They will start coming around and doing things like, well, I always thought it was a little over the top.
I never believed in this.
You're going to see Anikasparians times 10 when you're going to start seeing liberal personalities start realizing that they cannot make money and sustain themselves off of this insane wokeness, which is going further and further to the left.
And I don't even know if that makes sense, but it's just getting crazier and crazier.
They will adopt moderate policies.
They will try and do some kind of reformation.
They will start losing some of the dispected liberals who will be like, see, this is what we are hoping to accomplish, political competition.
Republicans will have to then compete for the middle-of-the-road votes, and this will result, in my opinion, in the right.
Maybe it moves left one degree or so, because it's already fairly moderate right now.
The Democrats, if they want to be competitive, would have to move over substantially.
But again, that's only if Trump wins the popular vote today.
seamus coughlin
So here's...
Where I would disagree.
And I wish I could share that view, but I just don't see the left moderating in the long run.
I agree with you, there might be a temporary recalibration.
But if you look at Nixon's election in 1972, or Reagan's election, where they won in absolute devastating landslides, how did the left respond to that?
Well, by importing voters, promising them welfare, getting people dependent on the government, and trying to force them to vote for them for the rest of time by holding the welfare benefits over their head.
So if the left loses, they're not going to change any of their policies.
They're just going to try to find sneakier ways to get their policies through.
phil labonte
Yeah, but what you're talking about is a feature of the left.
The revolution never ends.
And that's the way the left operates.
It's not like you're going to have a situation where there's going to be an election and then the left is going to say...
seamus coughlin
We did it!
phil labonte
We're done!
That's not it.
The revolution never ends.
There's always going to be pushing the boundaries.
Whether they seem like crazy policies or not, they're going to continue to push the policies because what they're trying to achieve is utopia on earth.
They're trying to achieve the perfected society.
They're trying to achieve a government that can perfect man.
And man is imperfectable.
unidentified
That's right.
phil labonte
It's man is flawed.
That's the way that it is.
We're always going to be imperfect.
So the best thing that we can hope for as men is to have a society that is accepting of people that are different, that has laws that are the same for everybody and treat people equally under the law.
You're not going to have everyone come, you know, have equal results.
You're not going to have everyone come out the same, come to the same place, which is what Kamala Harris talks about.
She says, we want to have people end up in the same place because they start in different places.
We want to have people.
Different people need different things so they all end up at the same place.
But if everyone ends up at the same place, you have to cut the legs out of the people that will excel.
You have to prevent people from doing good.
And that's literally the best reason to vote against the Democrats is they will hamstring people that will bring everybody along with them.
They talk about taking the contracts away from Elon Musk.
Elon Musk is the space industry right now.
His company is what's...
All of the important research and stuff is happening at SpaceX.
All of the impressive accomplishments, they're all happening at SpaceX.
And what does the Harris administration talk about doing?
Take things away from him because he has the wrong politics and he's doing things that no one else can do.
seamus coughlin
He's our enemy, exactly, so we have to punish him.
tim pool
We got some results.
We're going to be joining CrowdStream in a minute, so I can pull this date up after we go through this.
But it looks like we've got the first House race called for Andy Barr in Kentucky's 6th District.
Some are saying there's a district that was leaning more Democrat last time around.
I'm not entirely sure I can't pull the date up.
9% in for Indiana Governor with Mike Braun.
He's currently leading 55 to 41.8 against Jennifer McCormick.
We'll have more data coming soon.
We'll see.
Kentucky and Indiana, it's the data that we've got so far, but we're still waiting for a lot more, and we'll check out the data as it comes.
ian crossland
I've got to hand it to humanity.
We've put together a pretty complex system that's really working.
I mean, there are some messed up pieces and parts here, but damn, there's three million of us.
It's just fascinating that we've got so many small little communities that are choosing their leaders and we're all working together.
phil labonte
James Madison boundaries.
You're giving the credit to James Madison.
seamus coughlin
I hear a big part of what you're saying.
I want to add this, Phil.
You mentioned something about man being imperfectible.
I think it's true that by human means man is imperfectible.
Obviously, as a Christian, I believe God can perfect us.
But the point is, I would agree with you that when it comes to political systems, you're never going to have a perfect system.
Because people can't build anything perfect.
And what that essentially means is we can't build anything that lasts forever.
So every civilization that we construct is eventually destroyed.
Leftism is a highfalutin political label that we give to that social decay.
Anytime people rationalize the dismantling of civil and normal norms for human behavior, we just give it a left-wing rationalization and we act like it's a legitimate political perspective and not the destruction of our culture.
tim pool
We are going to jump over to join Steven Crowder live.
Let's see if this works, huh?
ian crossland
The crowd man.
tim pool
Here we go.
We've got...
Now we're waiting.
And I don't know what's going on.
ian crossland
Dude, Steven Crowder.
Dude, don't say that about Steven Crowder.
Tim, take it back.
Seamus, why have you been disparaging Steven Crowder all night?
seamus coughlin
Why are you doing this here?
phil labonte
Ian's like, let's throw everyone under the level.
ian crossland
I love Gerald and Steven personally, Phil.
I don't agree with all those things you said about them.
tim pool
Okay.
I'm going to call it in three seconds, guys, and we're going to pull this off.
ian crossland
Throw him a life preserver, Serge.
tim pool
So we are working to get the zoom up, and it is not...
unidentified
Louder with Crowder.
ian crossland
Coming in.
tim pool
Oh, okay.
ian crossland
I see him!
tim pool
I see him as well.
steven crowder
Give him a rat's ass who's having problems.
ian crossland
I hear you now.
steven crowder
They're gonna go, what's going on?
This is a disaster.
This is supposed to be better than CNN and Fox, and it is, and they're gonna go, what's going on?
I'm looking at a box and a box and a box.
We're back to Black Mirror.
nick di paolo
Is this part of a gig?
gerald morgan
No.
steven crowder
We were doing a bit.
tim pool
We were doing a bit.
seamus coughlin
It was set up perfect.
steven crowder
Are we there?
Mr.
Poole, can you hear us, see us, sir?
tim pool
We can.
unidentified
What's up?
steven crowder
Well, what's up is my fever.
I apologize.
I have a puke bucket next to me.
I had the stomach flu from hell, so we're still making this happening.
And how are you guys?
I see a whole table there.
We are already subject to a DDoS attack.
The election integrity map right now is down temporarily.
So we know that they're going full tilt tonight.
What have you guys been seeing thus far?
What are your predictions?
seamus coughlin
Well, I just want to...
Oh, well, that was for you, so I won't.
tim pool
Sure.
I mean, honestly...
I think if we're wary of a shadow campaign, that's what they called it, their words, then I honestly have no idea, but I think if we're looking at the early voting data, the mail-in voting data, as well as the results that have come in so far, it's looking really, really good for Donald Trump and the Republicans.
So the reason I don't want to say outright, oh man, Trump's going to win, is because a shadow campaign?
Again, their words, not mine.
ian crossland
Yeah, what do you think, Stephen?
steven crowder
We just kind of went through some of the early voting data.
We have analysts here tonight, and we're also able to look at some of the API data.
Look, no one wants to say this, because everyone's afraid of offending half of their viewers, but I think that we're all grown up enough.
The only reason Donald Trump would lose tonight would be white female voters.
Let's be honest.
The only reason he would lose tonight, all of the other numbers that you see in the early voting data seem to favor him.
It's just, if they are breaking, you know, enough for Kamala Harris because vagina.
And by the way, that's not all female voters.
It's the female voters who go up to the voting booths dressed as Handmaid's Tale when they drove there in a forerunner, and they believe that they're saying, well, they say, we're literally voting for our lives.
I don't like them, and it's not because they're women, but I don't respect them.
shane cashman
I have also seen feminine fathers crying at the polls so they can make their daughters be promiscuous and have abortions.
unidentified
I'm doing this for you, sweetie.
seamus coughlin
I want a dead grandchild.
So the thing with the Handmaid's Tale thing is I've seen a number of these women dressed up as if they are characters from the Handmaid's Tale.
And part of what's so repulsive about it is there are actual women in the world who are actually forced to wear burqas, which are real.
But liberal women in America would rather stand in solidarity with imaginary characters than real women if it means acknowledging that someone besides white Christian men has done something bad to women.
steven crowder
Well, hold on a second.
You say that like brokers are a bad thing.
Have you seen the women in these countries?
It's not always an unacceptable remedy.
seamus coughlin
By that logic...
It does work itself out.
tim pool
So, what do you guys think?
Are you seeing any indications of, again, I'll say shadow campaign, or let's just call it malice or untoward?
unidentified
Yes.
steven crowder
Yes, we definitely are.
So, again, we've been hit with a DDoS attack tonight just in the election integrity map, so that people can't report what's going on in these different locations, but we have a backup where people can send their emails to lwctips.protonmail.com.
But we covered what was going on in Pennsylvania earlier, where you saw that in Cambria County where it didn't work.
The big story to me, that a lot of people for some reason just skimmed over, you know, you have a Chinese national in Michigan who voted Who asked for their ballot back.
I don't know why, but that's how they caught the person.
And the vote will still count.
This person is not a citizen.
This person will be punished for election fraud, but the vote still counts.
Which is very similar to what happened in the last election when we called Clark County in Nevada and said, hey, this address isn't real and this person doesn't live there.
They switched the address in the middle of the night.
We went to that address.
It also didn't exist.
And when I spoke with the registrar, I said, yeah, well, there's nothing we can do.
So when people say, hey, there's no shenanigans going on, we know before we get to any of this, you're talking about media malpractice, you're talking about the weaponizing of the DOJ and big tech.
But make no mistake, Tim, and everyone, and sorry, I don't mean to not have everyone's name, but I can't see everyone because you're in a small box.
None of us think that there's zero election interference, right?
No one thinks that.
So is it 1%?
Is it 99%?
And to me, we know that in Michigan, if you vote illegally and you're caught, your vote will still count.
phil labonte
It's enough!
tim pool
Did you see James O'Keefe's video from this morning where there was a voter outreach organization telling non-citizens they could vote as long as they had a tax ID number?
They sent an undercover reporter to one of the locations where they talked with an official who said, yeah, that's fine.
Then when he goes and questions them, they're like, get him out of here.
He's screwing with us.
They're screaming.
phil labonte
Hey, currently, there are several polling locations in Georgia that are being evacuated due to bomb threats.
Yeah, there are hoaxes, too.
This is multiple.
steven crowder
These are new ones?
phil labonte
Yeah, three minutes ago.
Well, right now, I'm getting this.
Three minutes ago, Nick Sorter tweeted that there were several polling locations in Georgia being evacuated due to bomb threats, forcing voting at these locations to be suspended.
So, yeah.
shane cashman
How about California plan power out issues today?
steven crowder
How much do you want to bet that Stacey Abrams is just behind those voting booths?
We actually have somebody on our way to DeKalb County right now to investigate that.
It's probably nothing.
That's the challenge with doing this.
Most of this is probably nothing.
Look, I'm tired.
Aren't you guys at the point...
We're tired of the gaslighting to the American people.
dennis prager
What?
steven crowder
Are you saying it wasn't the most secure?
You know what?
I'm actually going to say it's not even close to being potentially one of when you have 14 states with no voter ID. How about that?
seamus coughlin
No, absolutely.
I mean, this is one of the insane things.
I remember after the 2020 election, watching it go down on the show, having questions about it, and it was really when they started saying this is the most secure and safe election that has ever happened in all of history that I went, okay, now I know there's something going on.
You can't Be that hyperbolic and expect me to believe you.
shane cashman
Safe and effective.
seamus coughlin
But the point about mail-in, I'm sorry, not mail-in ballots, but voter ID, I mean, for as much as we as Americans are accused of being far right compared to every other Western nation, if you talk to Europeans about voting, they will look at you incredulously when you say there are people in America who oppose the idea of having to show an ID to vote.
It is a very bizarre American phenomenon.
steven crowder
Yes, in Bangladesh, they require proof.
I don't know if that's where they do the little purple ink on your thumb or they burn it into your forehead, but, you know, the point remains.
They do something in Bangladesh.
They do it in countries where they cut off your hand if you steal an apple.
seamus coughlin
Or vote fraudulently, maybe.
steven crowder
Yes.
Well, that's old Mr.
One-Hand voter fraud.
But if you go back to the tax ID number, you know, I was renewing my driver's license in the state of Texas.
And I believe you have to go in with two forms of picture ID and something that proves your Social Security number.
So I brought in a tax return.
And they said, sorry, we can't use that because it doesn't say social security number.
They said, it says tax ID number.
I said, you're the one who calls it tax ID number, you little shits.
It's clearly a government document, and it's the right number of numbers.
I didn't call it that.
Just run it in your system, and you'll see it.
And they go, no, no, no, no, you can't.
You just have two pictures.
You have a passport.
You have your previous license that you're renewing, and it says tax ID. I had to have a producer go to my house to get my social security card.
unidentified
Wow.
nick di paolo
No, but producer?
ian crossland
That would say it's your license?
It's a driver's license?
steven crowder
That was to renew it.
ben shapiro
Yeah.
ian crossland
Jeez.
If you want to go to the movies, you need an ID. You know, I'm really concerned with digital, like, the electronic voting.
And you can't, obviously, Rudy Giuliani learned the hard way.
Don't make claims you don't have data worth of evidence about.
You can't back up 100%.
But, like, dude, without viewing the source code of machines, the potential to flip votes...
It's a non-zero chance, which could be 99%.
phil labonte
There's a potential to flip-vote to have problems, even if you have the source code, because whoever's writing it, you're trying to eliminate the human condition.
tim pool
But I do agree.
At least if source code was public, there would be people of various political backgrounds who could assess whether or not the code was legitimate.
ian crossland
Yeah.
And it's a foreign corporate...
I don't know how many foreign corporations are involved with that.
I think Dominion's staged in Canada at the moment.
Could be wrong about that.
But, like, that's just, like, the painting on the wall that people tend to not look...
steven crowder
To give you an idea, we had someone report into the Mug Club Army in Texas.
The actual...
There was a login name.
There was the passcode and the information of the machine, and we can't prove that anyone did anything with it.
It was on a piece of paper not more than 20 feet from the polling station.
All the login information needed to get on the machine.
We called.
Actually, Gerald called and reported it.
And they said, yeah, you know what, we'll look into it.
So, again, it's one of those things you can't prove, but don't gaslight Americans into believing in the election integrity.
They, of course, don't.
gerald morgan
It wasn't even just that.
When I called in and talked to them at the county level, they were like, well, yeah, that shouldn't have happened.
And I'm like, well, can we do anything about it?
They're like, I'm not really sure about that.
Then I called the AG's office for the state, and they're like, yeah, there's not a whole lot we can do about it.
I'm kind of simplifying it here.
I'm like, do you understand that theoretically it could be compromised for three days now?
We have no idea, and you're telling me to trust you guys?
This is the kind of thing that we need to make sure doesn't happen.
nick di paolo
Is Smartmatic still involved?
I'm asking a serious question.
steven crowder
Yes.
unidentified
Huh?
steven crowder
Yes.
nick di paolo
All right.
steven crowder
If you need to scream, we can mute your mic.
tim pool
I got a question for you, Stephen.
Did you see the Fifth Circuit Court ruling on mail-in ballots that are brought in after the election date?
steven crowder
Yeah, well, which one?
Because we were just talking earlier in Pennsylvania.
I know for sure that they said they have to be brought back by the correct date and sitting in Georgia, Supreme Court.
tim pool
The Fifth Circuit, the ruling, which was last week, said that ballots that are received after Election Day, even if postmarked before Election Day, are illegal to count.
So I'm wondering, unless there's been other updates in other courts, there is a potential that if we get another 3 a.m.
mail-in ballot drop that gives it to Kamala, Republicans could sue, Supreme Court could say those ballots don't count, and block that.
But I'm wondering what you think.
steven crowder
It could happen.
You know, the problem is this goes state to state, right?
And so this, for example, like we were just talking about Virginia with the 1,600 non-citizens, right?
It was ruled, okay, you can purge these voter rolls.
Then there was a Supreme Court or a higher court, I believe it was a Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, said, no, no, you can't do this close to the election.
So I had to go to the actual Supreme Court.
Did I say Pennsylvania?
gerald morgan
Virginia.
steven crowder
Virginia said, no, no, you can purge your voter rolls of these 1,600 self-identified non-citizens.
So it's one of those things where they keep on playing pong back and forth.
It seems like it could be, but again, the big lie, when people talk about the big lie, it's that Donald Trump lost every single case, or the Republicans lost every single case.
I believe there were, if I'm not mistaken, was it 60-something or 90 cases, and only 32 were heard on merit.
Most people don't know that in 24 of those...
The ruling leaned with the GOP. The ruling leaned with Republicans.
But nothing was done.
Very little was done about it.
So we have to go through so many steps just to ensure basic security provisions.
So I feel like I'd have a better chance at predicting Pennsylvania than giving you an answer.
ian crossland
Yeah, to follow up with Smartmatic, I don't know how involved they are with the election itself.
It's a private company, and the headquarters is in London, England.
So it's a British company, private company, that is involved with global election voting systems.
unidentified
Right.
steven crowder
Wonderful.
I think we're better than the Brits.
That's why we left.
ian crossland
It's the Five Eyes Spy Club.
That whole British imperial installing a candidate with the Democratic Party, putting Kamala there without a primary.
It's just such a disgusting...
nick di paolo
There was a clip on the internet of a former CIA guy who was like a medal winner.
It's about 16 minutes long and he goes through the imaginations of it.
It had something to do with the Venezuelan cartel.
And then the Brits bought it.
It's...
After watching it, I was totally...
unidentified
I tried to watch it, but I was cut off by my pillow.
ian crossland
This guy doesn't know about election interference.
dennis prager
I have the best documentary on election interference.
steven crowder
Just watch mine.
dennis prager
You'll know all you need to know.
seamus coughlin
My pillows aren't lumpy.
You're an asshole.
nick di paolo
Now you're just being an asshole.
seamus coughlin
I was recently married, and my wife has all these pillows.
And as soon as I saw that clip...
Of the MyPillow guy.
I was like, this is you when I talk about the pillows.
unidentified
Like, they're not lumpy pillows.
These pillows are great.
steven crowder
I love how these sheets are like, they're the finest American sheets made with the best Egyptian cotton.
dennis prager
My American sheets.
steven crowder
You're like, what?
gerald morgan
I know.
ian crossland
Lumpy sheets, you're an asshole.
unidentified
You're an asshole.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, that was hilarious.
Part of what's so disturbing, though, isn't just that there are all these clear examples It's that the establishment in charge doesn't even seem to be interested in convincing us that this is free and fair, because there's some interest in subjugating us and letting us know that we will do what we want.
You won't have a say and you're going to obey us.
One of the most important parts about having a democratic system isn't just that the elections are fair and functional.
It's also that you believe that they are, that you actually think that your vote counts.
If someone's just waving in your face that people who fraudulently vote in the elections are still going to have their vote counted, at some point it's really just a domination ritual.
ian crossland
Yeah, they're targeting enough people to just buy it.
Sorry to interrupt, what were you saying?
nick di paolo
The last couple of elections, I just showed up just in case.
Just in case my vote counted.
That was my mentality.
steven crowder
That's how some people feel.
nick di paolo
You know, I mean, just in case it counted.
But to be honest with you, I gave up a long time ago.
steven crowder
It's the castrating of a nation.
They do it with men, and they want to do it with the election.
They're more interested in making you believe that everybody is...
nick di paolo
I think it's the left poking the right in the chest saying, we're calling your bluff.
We're going to turn this into a comedy shithole.
What are you going to do about it?
ian crossland
I know.
nick di paolo
And we're not doing anything about it.
steven crowder
Well, that's also a dangerous game.
nick di paolo
Fuckin' buskets.
Enough of this shit.
steven crowder
People just transitioned.
It's a dangerous game to play.
Double mastectomy doesn't work great.
ian crossland
I think that no matter what happens after this election, we should focus on securing, literally, the digital machines.
Like, making them open and secure.
tim pool
After the Civil War?
There's interesting data showing.
Right now it is still early, but people are suggesting that with the data coming in, Florida is shifting red.
nick di paolo
Redder.
tim pool
Redder.
They enact these voter security measures and all of a sudden it's Republican.
With Virginia enacting paper ballots, that may contribute.
But I think it's fairly obvious.
If you have a secure election where you need an ID to vote, It's paper ballots, they're counted, it's done on the day of, no early, late, whatever garbage, then Democrats struggle.
nick di paolo
Yeah, exactly.
Like an island.
steven crowder
I don't think it necessarily takes Nostradamus to know that Florida's going red, but the point remains.
unidentified
Well, CNN just said, redder than a baboon's ass.
steven crowder
Race alert.
gerald morgan
I got a couple of calls that we can make.
steven crowder
Okay, we have a couple of calls.
I don't know if you guys...
We do actually have...
I don't know if they get programmed.
nick di paolo
Yeah, Guam and things.
tim pool
Send it to them.
steven crowder
Oh, no, that's okay.
Hey, Tim, where's the best place for people to go and watch you guys tonight?
Because we have to go call some states.
We actually have Donald Trump calling some key states for us.
tim pool
Timcast IRL on YouTube.
steven crowder
Timcast IRL on YouTube.
ian crossland
I was just going to say, you gorgeous humans.
steven crowder
I don't know if that was aimed at us.
ian crossland
That is aimed right at you and your friends.
Hello, Gerald.
unidentified
Hello.
steven crowder
Thank you very much.
You all look very good, but you're in a small box.
The one guy looks like he's wearing suede, which is a risky choice in elections.
nick di paolo
That looks like a school board meeting.
unidentified
All right, Tim Full, we appreciate it, brother.
steven crowder
Everyone, we'll probably check back in with you later, because God knows how long this will go.
ian crossland
Where do people go to find you, Stephen?
steven crowder
Just Rumble or YouTube, and as soon as the DDoS is over, you guys can use the election integrity map, too.
There's no reason to give your money to CNN or those bastards.
tim pool
Sounds good.
Thanks for coming, Matt.
nick di paolo
Or an elementary gymnasium.
steven crowder
Love you guys.
Tim Pool, ladies and gentlemen, and friends.
phil labonte
Take care.
ian crossland
Love that guy.
tim pool
There we go.
That was great.
That was fun.
There is a bit of data that's coming in.
Trump's currently at 312.
He's got 8 electoral votes already.
seamus coughlin
I'm seeing 19 on Google.
tim pool
19 on Google.
Let me hit that there refresh.
Kentucky's called.
seamus coughlin
Google called Vermont with 0% reporting.
That's what it says on my map.
I hope that's true.
phil labonte
They're just like hippies, hippies, hippies.
seamus coughlin
Go to Google and look up 2024 election results.
unidentified
Every vote in Vermont needs to be counted.
tim pool
Well, the governor, I believe, also announced that he is...
Whoa, Google's not giving it to me.
seamus coughlin
Oh.
ian crossland
Give it to me, Google.
tim pool
Yeah, Google is saying no.
ian crossland
You have to pray to Alphabet for that to work.
tim pool
But I believe the governor of Vermont voted for Kamala Harris.
unidentified
Okay.
tim pool
Let's see what we got over here at the...
phil labonte
Indiana and...
tim pool
You know what I want to find, we've not been able to find, is the New York Times needle.
seamus coughlin
Dude, they're not going to give it to us, bro.
ian crossland
It's behind a paywall?
seamus coughlin
There we go, look at that.
tim pool
Alright, ladies and gentlemen, Trump has 19 electoral votes.
We believe that that's enough.
We're calling it Trump.
seamus coughlin
We're calling it Trump won.
tim pool
Every time.
So they're calling Indiana.
Is that it?
phil labonte
Yeah, Indiana and Kentucky.
seamus coughlin
And Vermont.
But what's weird, I mean, it's not an unreasonable call, but Google's map says 0% is reporting there, so I don't know.
phil labonte
They're calling Rick Scott for Florida as well.
Really?
Well, I'm sorry.
No, that's front.
tim pool
Yeah, so we did have a bunch of polls just closed.
I think Georgia and Florida, parts of New Hampshire are closed.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, well, the data is coming in.
ian crossland
The road to 270.
tim pool
This New York Times map is not fun.
ian crossland
What are the best places people can follow along when they want to find incoming data like this?
Are there particular websites?
phil labonte
You can just go to google.com and it's just 2024 election results and there's the election map that is being updated as the information comes in.
unidentified
There's no government website?
phil labonte
No.
tim pool
This is amazing.
8% in on Florida, it looks like Trump is up 56 to 43, but that's obvious.
I mean, Florida is just, it's no longer a swing state.
seamus coughlin
Well, you know what, the Google poll I'm seeing, it seems to be going back and forth.
It says Florida's at 52% Trump, but with only 19% reporting, so.
tim pool
Well, right now, I've got, it's saying that, yeah, 19%, okay, yeah, it's We're good to go.
Who knows, man?
As we were just mentioning with Steven Crowder, you would be a fool to think there is no shadow campaign.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
tim pool
And I don't know what you do about that.
ian crossland
That's why you want all the votes in day one.
I think the Supreme Court's move to nullify any votes that arrive after November 5th makes a lot of sense.
It might squeeze a lot of people, but, you know, you don't want the numbers to be there so that you know what you need to change to change it.
mary morgan
I don't think there are very few legitimate reasons in general to vote by mail-in ballot.
Unless you're, like, deployed in the military, like, what else...
shane cashman
I think that should be it.
phil labonte
Ben was talking about the way that Florida does it.
They count all of their ballots that are mail-in ballots before the day.
So everything that should be in by the day of.
And if they count everything except for the ones that come in on the actual day...
Then they count, so they have those already buttoned up on the day before.
Then they count the ballots that are done on the actual election day.
And then they count whatever came in mail-in ballots.
You could feasibly have it done very easily that same night.
mary morgan
It's just been funny watching this all go down on Twitter, watching non-Americans comment on it.
And they're like, you guys just leave your votes in a box on the street?
phil labonte
Wow.
That shouldn't happen.
mary morgan
I agree.
It's insane.
phil labonte
It shouldn't happen at all.
All of the ballots, in my opinion, I think there should be one day of voting.
I think you should have to go there, and I think you should have to do it by paper.
shane cashman
I was in the Maricopa County court for the Cary Lake trial, and we learned that tens of thousands of votes had no custody of the ballot.
Yeah.
People, we were caught, Democrat overseers of that election were caught in lies that week.
they printed out the wrong size of the ballot.
And then we found out they did know, which obviously nullified the vote.
There were so many things just in that county that were a crazy problem.
Can't imagine that's not happening elsewhere.
You know, and hopefully we fix a lot of that.
But the Dominion voting machine should be like a bipartisan issue.
It used to be like...
Elizabeth Warren, way back when, had a whole problem with Dominion.
phil labonte
Elizabeth Warren used to be a Republican, too.
shane cashman
She was also Native American.
tim pool
Jumping over to Polymarket right now, Trump has dropped a few points.
He's down to 58.4% chance to win, or I should say the prediction market is leaning to Kamala's 41.8%.
But here's the best part about Polymarket.
Who cares about winning the election?
Who's going to be inaugurated as president is the question.
And so right now Donald Trump is at 57.9 to Kamala Harris is 38.3, which is weird because while this market is substantially smaller, there's a difference.
58.8 think Trump will win the election.
57.9 think he'll be inaugurated.
ian crossland
That's funny.
tim pool
There is a window of Trump might win but not become president.
ian crossland
When you hear the rhetoric of people like Jamie Raskin, that's a reasonable fear, I think.
tim pool
But let me throw this in.
There's an other with 3.6.
Kamala Harris at 41.3 to win the election, with other at 3.6.
Kamala Harris only at 38.3 to be inaugurated, meaning there is a larger window of Kamala winning the election and not becoming president.
I actually think if either scenario could play out, that one makes the most sense.
And I'll tell you why.
We brought this up when Crowder's on a little bit.
Ben Shapiro has his worst case scenario, and he's talking about the census comes in, the data is wrong.
The electoral count is wrong.
I believe I may be getting his point correctly, I may be getting it wrong.
If Kamala Harris wins with Pennsylvania, and it's 270 to 268, Florida files a lawsuit saying we are materially harmed by the incorrect census and we should have more electoral votes giving Donald Trump the win.
unidentified
Yep.
tim pool
And if the Supreme Court says yes, Trump wins even though Kamala Harris won on paper.
There's also the Fifth Circuit Court.
They ruled that ballots received after Election Day can't be...
It's illegal to count.
They didn't stop it though.
If Kamala Harris loses tonight...
But at 3 in the morning, mail-in votes come in.
And I mean literally, they say, we're waiting on the mail-in votes.
They've already said we're not going to get dated until later.
Ian pointed out, Maryland said, if your ballot arrives on the 15th, it would be accepted.
If the Supreme Court says no, Kamala Harris loses.
What happens then if the Democrats say, no, no, she actually won the vote.
She won, but Trump's cronies in the Supreme Court several weeks later overturned it.
That would mean that the...
So let's take a look at the polymarket requirements.
AP, Fox, and NBC have to call the results for one candidate.
Let's say...
Mail-in votes come in at 3 in the morning.
Kamala Harris has declared the winner.
Republicans suited the Supreme Court.
AP, Fox, NBC called the election.
Kamala Harris wins.
Three weeks later, four weeks later, whatever, Supreme Court says no.
She received ballots after the election day.
They are void.
Trump then gets inaugurated president.
That's a potential scenario.
I don't think it's likely, but I gotta tell you, I got no effing idea.
Nobody thought the country was in a lockdown for two years either.
So everything is in play now.
Have fun, guys.
shane cashman
It's absurd times.
You can't predict absurdity.
ian crossland
No.
I guess this is a little bit of a throwback to the concern about digital voting, too, is that I feel like all these votes should be happening in isolation.
All these counts should be happening in isolation.
They should be figuring out theirs.
They should be figuring out...
And then we all come to one big place, and everyone puts their thing in there, and then there's a final tally.
Not the whole...
Hey, how's your vote going along?
How's yours going?
Hey, we've got this many.
How many do you got?
How many do we have to add?
It's happening if it's connected to the internet, these machines.
They could just be telling each other, like, alright, so far we can see the shifts.
tim pool
George is at 3%.
Kamala Harris has taken the lead.
She's at 55 to Trump's 45, but it's completely meaningless because it's meaningless.
Right now, we're looking at Atlanta districts reporting.
It means nothing.
We've not seen any red districts give any substantial reporting.
So if Atlanta suburbs send data in, it's going to look like Kamala's winning and we'll have to wait and see.
But Georgia is substantive.
ian crossland
Are there states where people vote up until midnight?
Right up until the clock strikes?
tim pool
No, I believe New York will be the latest, closing at 9 Eastern.
But now with PA extending voting in Cambria County to 10 PM, oh boy, we're going to be here all night.
ian crossland
Why did they extend?
tim pool
Because there was a glitch in the system.
They say it was quickly fixed.
Georgia also had issues where bomb threat hoaxes came in, so they will be extending hours there as well.
I don't know how late it will be going in Georgia, but...
ian crossland
Now, that is a simple piece of terrorism to pull off on a voting company.
That's really ridiculous.
seamus coughlin
Well, and also an easy false flag to pull off, right?
So this is one thing that we've seen become a staple of left-wing rhetoric over the last 10 years or so.
But essentially, anytime the right has effective rhetoric that persuades people, what the left says is, someone's going to shoot people if you keep saying that.
Someone's gonna believe that and then shoot people or bomb people if you keep saying that.
That is always the argument that they use when they have nothing left to say.
Once calling you racist or sexist or transphobic or whatever hasn't been effective, they go to, that's gonna incite terrorism, you better not say it.
afraid that what your actions are going to harm someone else well and this is what happened when people were complaining about the fact that 20 000 migrants were dumped in ohio without the consent of the people who were citizens there well there's bomb threats there's bomb threats there's bomb threats those all turned out to be hoaxes but it doesn't matter they just keep repeating the lie every single time you step out of line with their orthodoxy
someone's going to get shot because of you someone's going to get bombed because of you do you think there's um reason to believe a third assassination attempt on trump is a possibility if he wins tonight I think it's less likely that there isn't another attempt, unfortunately, at this point.
ian crossland
That's why I was praying for his physical health.
And hopefully he's super focused on just hunkering down and staying alive.
tim pool
We have some data from political polls.
Boone County, Indiana is currently reporting with 91% and Trump is up 10 points.
However, in 2020, he was up 18 points.
seamus coughlin
Oh, wow.
tim pool
So this is going to be weird.
shane cashman
A long night.
tim pool
Yeah, so it's still very, very early.
That is a bad sign for Donald Trump.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, it's not a good sign.
tim pool
Not a good sign.
Trump is currently up in Virginia with less than 1% reporting.
This is the Norfolk Beach, Hampton Roads area, it looks like.
seamus coughlin
900 votes are counted in Virginia.
shane cashman
It's in play.
I wonder how many...
tim pool
Nope, not Hampton.
shane cashman
So many people moved in the last four years that it's going to change the way we view the 2020 election numbers, too.
tim pool
This is what people need to understand about 2020, was the mass internal migration because of COVID did change things.
shane cashman
For sure.
tim pool
And while a lot of people find the bellwether results to be very suspect, I think out of what, like, there's 19 counties and Trump won 18 but still lost.
They said these were never wrong.
I do think it's fair to say, yeah, absolutely look into that.
This is suspicious.
I also think there's a plausible explanation in that 250,000 people moved out of Manhattan who are more moderate to right-leaning because of the COVID policies.
Also, many liberals moved out of these places and spread around to various suburbs outside of New York, which were more red, which could dramatically alter what you would expect to see.
No one saw this coming.
We don't know.
I think it's fair to say the Democrats themselves in Time magazine called it a shadow campaign.
shane cashman
There's a cabal.
tim pool
Their words.
shane cashman
Cabal.
unidentified
That's right.
shane cashman
They used that word.
tim pool
Not my opinion.
They said a cabal engaged in a shadow campaign, which they refer to as a conspiracy.
shane cashman
Yeah, they said Trump said it was a conspiracy theory, and he might not be wrong.
unidentified
No, no, no.
tim pool
They called it a conspiracy.
unidentified
Right.
seamus coughlin
I'm going to pull this forward.
tim pool
This is important.
shane cashman
It's the craziest article.
tim pool
Because we are not making this up.
ian crossland
Yeah.
tim pool
Okay?
The Secret History of the Shadow Campaign.
Y'all need to understand this.
I am not saying this to besmirch anybody or push any weird theories.
Time magazine ran a story called The Secret History of the Shadow Campaign that saved the 2020 election.
In it, they literally say there was a conspiracy unfolding behind the scenes involving CEOs and politicians and unions to fortify the election.
So call it what you want, but no one saw it coming.
ian crossland
Who wrote that, by the way?
tim pool
Molly Ball.
ian crossland
What was she thinking?
seamus coughlin
Yep.
tim pool
They always return to the scene of the crime, figuratively, I'm saying this, but they want to brag about the quote-unquote...
Look, ladies and gentlemen, Time magazine wrote an article claiming that Democrats engaged in a conspiracy with CEOs and unions to fortify the election to stop Trump from winning.
Their words, not mine.
The article is easily searchable.
By all means, you go read it.
seamus coughlin
Sort of relay out what I was saying earlier.
In part, it's a humiliation ritual.
Like, look, we just did this in front of you.
shane cashman
Yeah.
tim pool
Yeah.
shane cashman
We could get away with.
unidentified
Yeah.
shane cashman
What are you going to do about it?
seamus coughlin
Look what we're able to do.
Yeah.
unidentified
Yep.
seamus coughlin
Yep.
So we'll see how this goes.
Certainly.
shane cashman
It's insane.
unidentified
All right.
ian crossland
I see somebody I like in the corner.
phil labonte
Declab County response to multiple bodies.
tim pool
Oh, we've got a wise gentleman joining us on the show.
ian crossland
Look at that suit, dude.
Look at the dapper.
seamus coughlin
That is a very sharp suit.
tim pool
No, it's a dapper.
ian crossland
You got good angles on your body there, Clavin.
tim pool
Mary will be stepping out for a moment.
Thanks for hanging out, Mary.
She'll be back.
And we have Andrew Clavin.
I stole your hat.
It's my hat.
seamus coughlin
Good to see you.
andrew klavan
Good to see you.
tim pool
Welcome to the show.
phil labonte
Dressed to impress.
tim pool
Do you want to introduce yourself for those that don't know you?
andrew klavan
Sorry, I am the host of the Andrew Klavan Show on the Daily Wire.
I'm Ben Shapiro's competitor.
I was there from the beginning and I'm a novelist and a screenwriter as well.
tim pool
Thanks for hanging out.
What have you seen so far?
What do you think is going on?
andrew klavan
So far, it's all vibes.
We've seen Trump win the states we know he's going to win.
We've seen Kamala win Vermont, which would have been a shock if Trump had won it.
But the vibes are good.
Vibes are not meaningless.
I think no one knows anything, and anybody who's talking about it as if they know something is not telling the truth.
tim pool
We called it for Trump already.
andrew klavan
The big thing is actually people sitting here and the Daily Wire have changed the game.
There's just no question about it.
The left's domination of the cultural apparatus of what's called the social imaginary, the things we think are true and the things we think are ethical, has been so complete until about four or five years ago.
seamus coughlin
I think that's right.
andrew klavan
The Daily Wire took off.
It shows like this took off.
We've been able to debunk their lies at a speed that we've never achieved before.
tim pool
Are you a bourbon drinker?
andrew klavan
You know, I am, but I'm going to be here until 2 in the morning.
unidentified
Okay, okay.
andrew klavan
If I start drinking now, I'll just pitch forward.
tim pool
Because we have this wonderful bottle of old Rip Van Winkle.
andrew klavan
Look at that.
You're tempting me.
tim pool
Well, I just wanted to say, based on what you're saying, too, is how many election night shows are going to crack open a bottle of bourbon?
andrew klavan
That's right.
tim pool
Have a good time.
andrew klavan
Talk about vibes.
Talk about different vibes.
seamus coughlin
We're either going to want it or we're going to need it.
That's right.
ian crossland
We were just talking.
I do agree with the vibes.
I keep thinking if everything's on the table and legit Trump's got this by a landslide.
But I am in sort of an echo chamber, too.
So there's that.
But those are what I'm feeling.
But then we just pull up this Time magazine article about the shadow campaign to fortify the election of 2020.
andrew klavan
Yes.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
ian crossland
The cabal of CEOs and...
andrew klavan
I'm a little bit wary of these things.
I mean, first of all, the last election was done under such insane circumstances that all kinds of things were possible that aren't possible now.
The Republicans have upped their game.
They deserve some credit for upping their game and keeping the election tight.
And I don't believe...
You know, most elections are run by local folks who are actually good people, who actually are out there volunteering their time to do what they're doing.
And so I'm not as worried as a lot of conservatives are I think we're going to see the will of the people.
And I think that, unfortunately, sometimes the will of the people, you know, in democracy we get what they deserve, which is a terrible thing sometimes.
But I think that, you know, it really depends on whether or not the, for me, on whether or not the information weight has shifted enough so that we can expose them to enough people fast enough.
So when Donald Trump comes out and he says, there'll be a bloodbath in the car industry if I'm not elected, and George Stephanopoulos on ABC says, you know, Trump is calling for death and murder if he's not elected, we now have the ability to strike back.
It takes a beat.
You know, it doesn't happen right away, but it takes a beat.
And the question is, how far is that spread?
How effective is it?
It is going to get more and more effective.
They're going to try and stop it.
They're going to lose.
We will win eventually.
The question is whether we win tonight.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I think that's right.
And there's another point to be made here.
This didn't originate with me.
I wish I could take credit for it.
But democracy is in many ways just ruled by mass media when you have one set of people controlling everything.
from what you were just discussing earlier, this idea that everything we were told about what's moral or good or true or beautiful has just come from a handful of corporations who have similar interests, who are very aligned ideologically.
You end up in a position where even if the election is free and fair in the sense that you don't have shenanigans going on with ballot harvesting, it almost doesn't matter because people are pushed in a specific direction by the media.
This is this idea of manufactured consensus, which I'm not the biggest fan in the world of Noam Chomsky, But he's not wrong about that.
There was a really brilliant moment with him, I think, was it on PBS? This was a very long time ago.
He was having an argument with a female journalist, and they were asking him, are you alleging that I am pretending to have the opinions that I have for this job?
And he said, no.
I believe you're sincere in your beliefs, but my point is you would not have this job unless you did have those beliefs.
andrew klavan
That's the lesson of transgenderism for me, that an academic theory with no scientific basis that goes against the wisdom of the ages could almost instantaneously be turned into holy writ.
unidentified
Amen!
tim pool
Immediately.
andrew klavan
Yeah, immediately.
unidentified
Immediately, dude.
andrew klavan
If you just said, no, that doesn't sound right to me.
You were canceled.
You were thrown off YouTube.
You were called all kinds of names.
However, we were able to strike back in ways we have not been able to strike back in the past against America's racist narrative, against the idea that you're anti-feminist if you believe in motherhood and homemaking is noble pursuits.
All of these ideas that have spread so fast and immiserated people.
They've made people miserable, but even as they've made people miserable, they keep clinging to them because they are absolutely surrounded by this idea.
phil labonte
I want to drill down on that point real quickly.
The fact of the matter is, you point out, it's made people miserable.
And I think that's the real problem that even the zeitgeist in the United States, people don't realize why they're unhappy.
That's right.
People can't articulate the things that they're unhappy about.
Only people, and not that I'm particularly religious, but people that are religious have been saying, look, it's because you don't have a family, because you're not putting the things that are important first.
It's because you're not having children and focusing on your relationships first.
These are the reasons why you're unhappy.
I think a lot of Americans, particularly people that are considered progressives, disregard those ideas just as a knee-jerk reaction because of who's saying them because they're people that they conceptualize as bad or oppressive or whatever.
When really what's going on is the people that believe these things, that have lived lives where their families have been the focus of their life, and those things have brought them joy throughout their whole life, those people are trying to actually help by saying, no, these things are actually good.
And I think that there's too many Americans that Just knee-jerk reactions say, no, that's not good.
And it's making America miserable.
And you see it in suicide rates.
You see it in depression rates.
You see it in drug use.
You see it in substance abuse.
You see it all in divorce rates.
You see it all over society.
And again, I'm not a particularly religious guy that's saying, oh, you should practice this kind of religion.
But these things have been...
It's been just common knowledge that these are the things to aspire to, a family, a home, you know, relationships with the people that you love.
Those are the things that make you happy, and it's been common knowledge for 100,000 years.
As long as there have been human beings in society, it's been common knowledge.
It's been obvious, and now it seems that society has just, since maybe the birth control pillar or the past 60, 70 years...
seamus coughlin
Speaking my language.
phil labonte
I completely understand this.
Has really said, oh no, we have all these new ideas and we can just change everything on a dime.
And speaking to what you guys were mentioning about how fast everyone has to take to adopt the idea of transgenderism being a positive or even being something that's possible.
I think that that kind of just change in society does make people unhappy and they refuse to acknowledge it out of fear.
tim pool
We do have a big update with the data coming in from Florida.
We've got Miami-Dade County, 77% in.
Trump is winning 55-44 with 481,714 votes to Kamala Harris's, 389,287.
Now, we did see this flip, I believe in the midterms, it went red.
Everybody kind of was surprised to see that was massive.
But this is a flip from, I believe in 2020, Joe Biden won Miami-Dade.
At least that's the reporting I'm seeing right now.
Correct me if I'm wrong.
andrew klavan
You know, I think you may be right.
I can't remember now.
tim pool
Right.
andrew klavan
Yeah.
tim pool
The reporting that I'm seeing right now is that Biden won Miami-Dade last time around, and that Trump is now winning in Miami-Dade with 77% reporting.
It's looking like Trump is going to win a major urban metropolitan area, which is massive.
What I'm really interested in seeing is actually Philadelphia.
Yes, of course.
In downtown Philly.
Trump flags.
Now, there were Harris-Waltz flags, too.
But there were big Trump flags.
And that was significant.
A lot of people said people aren't scared.
andrew klavan
But that's what it speaks to.
It speaks to that change in the fact that people are not intimidated.
They will come out.
And Trump has normalized himself.
I mean, this is...
Look, whether he wins or loses tonight, this is the greatest comeback in American political history.
seamus coughlin
And that's right.
andrew klavan
And coming back against, you know, two impeachments, you know, 90 indictments, conviction, assassination attempts.
It's...
phil labonte
An entire industry of media bent on destroying him for almost a decade.
andrew klavan
And the thing you have to remember is underneath the issues themselves, the left has controlled the terms of the debate.
So for instance, going back to what you were talking about before, if I come out, as I have often said, and said, I'm anti-feminist.
That immediately defines me as someone who doesn't believe women should have human rights, which is nonsense.
I utterly believe that.
I'm an American.
I believe everybody has human rights.
phil labonte
I'm extremely anti-feminist.
I'm with you.
andrew klavan
But I think what makes women happy is different than what makes men happy, and we should advocate for that, and we should advocate for the nobility of it, and we should never allow someone to say something like, I am just a homemaker, or I am just a mother.
Because then you get these headlines.
One of my favorite headlines of recent years was, in spite of feminism, women are unhappy.
Are unhappier.
And I thought, no, no.
Almost right, but not quite.
And they set the terms of the debate.
It makes it very hard for us to speak without being demonized.
phil labonte
I agree completely.
And I think it confuses young people because they hear all the narratives that say, you should want this.
You should want that.
You should put off having a family.
You should put off all of these things that actually do bring you joy.
and then they wonder why they're not happy.
That's part of why they get depressed.
Not only is it that they're depressed because the things that are fulfilling they don't have in their lives or whatever, but also because they can't figure out why and they don't believe, oh, maybe the people that I've been listening to have been leading me astray and telling me that I should want things that don't make me happy, that will never make my life feel fulfilled.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I think at a really, really fundamental level, the issue is that, let me tell you, I'm too neurotic to look at election maps with 3% in reporting because I'm like, he's going to lose there now!
But I think what this boils down to is something very basic, which is our inability as a culture to agree on what man is.
And I'm not just talking about in the sense that Matt Walsh exposed with his documentary, What is a Woman?
I mean, like, what is man?
And the two dominant beliefs in our culture today Are, man is a creature created in the image and likeness of God himself, who is of unfathomable worth, and whose soul will outlast every star in the sky, and man is an accident of a series of self-replicating coils of DNA giving rise to consciousness in a way that lends itself to adaptation.
andrew klavan
Spoiler alert, the answer is A. Amen.
But I have to get back to my show.
ian crossland
Andrew Klavan, ladies and gentlemen.
andrew klavan
Thanks for joining us.
phil labonte
Great talking to you.
tim pool
We have a lot of speculation.
I think this one's actually interesting from Swan Marcus on X, saying that, I'll give you the gist of it.
The theory, conspiratorial, is that Democrats were registering people as nonpartisan.
So as we see in early voting, Republicans with an edge over Democrats, we make the assumption that independent voters are breaking 2-1 for the conservatives, as we've seen with most polling data over the past two years.
But the conspiracy now is independent voters may be split because Democrats intentionally registered people as unaffiliated, obscuring the data.
The theory that this gentleman is proposing is that Democrats, they have better data allocation.
They can see which nonpartisan people are going to break for Democrats.
Republicans don't know.
This would affect Republicans' ability to get out the vote in key areas, and they wouldn't know where they were going to lose based on the raw data.
If Republicans assume that independent voters track with the polling and not with Democrats having skewed it in that direction, Republicans will not anticipate a big Democrat push.
They may not put people in the right areas.
Well, we got another gentleman joining us, sir.
Who are you?
unidentified
Bryson Gray in a building, you already know.
ian crossland
What's good, Bryson?
unidentified
What's happening?
tim pool
Is Trump going to win?
unidentified
I think he will.
I think the reason he's going to win is because the same rift that's happening on the right is happening on the left.
So a bunch of liberals are actually voting for Jill Stein because of...
phil labonte
More power to him.
seamus coughlin
Jill Stein is the only person who's going to be able to free Palestine today.
unidentified
Yeah, it's silly, but I think that's what's going to actually give Trump the edge.
A lot of women already voted, and it depends on where the married women go.
They might flip-flop depending on the election, but single women definitely going to Kamala.
Wow!
seamus coughlin
Did you see the ad with the married women looking at each other?
Yeah, look at each other.
Telepathically communicating with their eyes, like, I am voting for Kamala.
tim pool
With 65% of the votes in Florida, Trump is up 8 points.
I mean, Florida's...
No one expected to be in play.
Miami going red, massive.
It's very likely.
They're going to call Florida soon.
I mean, it's at 65%.
West Virginia's been called for Donald Trump.
seamus coughlin
I can't believe it.
tim pool
With 0% reporting.
ian crossland
They just know.
tim pool
We know.
I don't need any data for West Virginia.
unidentified
They know when you poop.
seamus coughlin
West Virginia was going to...
ian crossland
We tracked all the analytics.
We saw the way they moved their hands.
We know.
seamus coughlin
Right.
tim pool
West Virginia, you don't even need.
But what I am interested to see is Riley Moore winning.
Riley's a friend.
He reps our district.
He's a good dude.
He skateboards.
unidentified
He's great.
tim pool
So I'm excited to see.
shane cashman
Also, shout out to Patricia Rucker out there.
tim pool
Absolutely, absolutely.
There we go.
We got more data from Georgia right now.
Donald Trump is ahead in Georgia.
57% to 43, but they're 6% in, so it's meaningless.
South Carolina, Trump is up 62 to 37.
Once again, 3% meaningless.
Virginia's got Kamala Harris up 58 to Trump's 41.
3% in, and it's meaningless.
ian crossland
What's Maryland looking like?
tim pool
Maryland?
That's going blue, brother.
There's no data yet.
New Hampshire with 3% in.
He's got Kamala Harris winning 54 to 45, but it's only 13,000 to 11,000, so nothing big.
Some are suggesting, I guess, wishful thinking.
People on the right think New Hampshire may go Republican.
What do you think, Phil?
phil labonte
I mean, if it does happen, it'll be because of a lot of the libertarians that are voting for Donald Trump.
I don't know that I believe that Donald Trump will win.
I would like to see it.
There's a lot of people.
I would love to see Lily Tang win.
She would be my rep in New Hampshire 0-2.
tim pool
She's great.
ian crossland
She's fantastic.
phil labonte
She's going against Jake Sullivan's wife.
Jake Sullivan is the ultimate swamp monster.
ian crossland
He was Hillary Clinton's number two.
seamus coughlin
She shredded her.
phil labonte
She did.
It was beautiful.
It was brilliant.
ian crossland
They were like, if you ever want to see someone shred a neocon in broken...
I don't know what she referred to.
What's her name?
phil labonte
Lily?
ian crossland
No, Sullivan's wife.
phil labonte
I don't remember.
ian crossland
But in broken English, which is the tweet.
And it was like, well, it's Lily Tate.
phil labonte
She got crushed.
tim pool
Ladies and gentlemen, just real quick, we may not have the New York Times needle.
And for those that aren't familiar, this is one of the greatest moments, memories that I have in 2016, when it said 99% Hillary Clinton.
And then throughout election night, it slowly started moving towards Donald Trump.
I remember when it hit 50-50 and people started freaking out.
And then when it got to Trump 99%, it was just absolutely hilarious.
We have the decision desk live forecast just broke for Trump.
It's now showing Trump with a 63.7% chance of winning to Harris' 36.3.
It is skewing in his direction.
Now, hey, take it all with a grain of salt.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, it's early.
tim pool
Because it is still early, and it's already gone down a little bit.
So it's now at 61.6 to Harris' 38.4.
ian crossland
We need Trump to work with the deep state, everybody.
Yeah!
tim pool
So right now, their projection is Trump 277 to Harris 261 based on current data.
It is largely meaningless.
As we have very little data in, this thing's going to go wild.
ian crossland
I want to follow up about New Hampshire.
Why would there be any possibility that it wouldn't go to Trump?
phil labonte
Well, there's a lot of people that have moved from Massachusetts to New Hampshire, and it's always been a fairly purple state, but there are a lot of people that move out of Boston and from Boston into the suburbs and into New Hampshire.
They move and they bring their Massachusetts voting record.
So they think that they move to New Hampshire because they want to escape the taxes of Massachusetts, and they want to escape the legislation and the laws and stuff, but then they vote like They still live in Massachusetts.
seamus coughlin
That's such an insane phenomenon.
phil labonte
It's completely insane.
It's terrible because if you want to stay in Massachusetts, just stay in Massachusetts.
tim pool
We've got huge data from CNN's exit poll.
Trump among independent voters...
Trump is up 11 points.
So it's a 20-point swing towards Trump among independent voters from four years ago.
This is massive for Trump.
It is indicating...
It's early, but it's indicating a Trump victory as...
But we will see.
We will see.
ian crossland
Probably because of RFK. Big time.
tim pool
Potentially.
ian crossland
My state of mind was that I registered unaffiliated, and I had every intention of voting for Trump at that stage.
But I still registered unaffiliated.
I'm not playing the game.
I'm not here to give you my data.
You don't get to know ahead of time what you think I'm going to...
And that's why I think I was getting bombarded with Kamala Harris emails.
For the last four weeks because I was unaffiliated.
tim pool
I'm changing my phone number and never giving anybody money again.
unidentified
I know.
tim pool
My phone gets 7,000 text messages every day.
shane cashman
Who gave Dick Cheney my phone number?
seamus coughlin
Dude, I literally...
It was the NSA. I did a cartoon about this, about the texts you get leading up to the election.
It's like, you look at it, it's abusive because it says, makes it seem like it's somebody you know.
phil labonte
Political polls is called.
seamus coughlin
They're like, I'm telling your wife about us.
And then it's like, U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson and his club.
tim pool
Yes, yes.
phil labonte
Political polls are called Florida.
tim pool
You can't do this.
They called Florida.
Guys, guys.
Florida's been called.
Political polls is calling it for Trump.
ian crossland
No cap.
seamus coughlin
Beautiful.
tim pool
Oh, dude.
Trump's at 54 to 45.
But take a look at this.
Decision desk.
Probability meter just jumped 64.5 for Donald Trump to Harris's 35.5.
I gotta be honest.
If this slowly starts shifting towards Harris...
phil labonte
I'm gonna laugh.
seamus coughlin
I'll cry.
tim pool
I will be laughing.
unidentified
I will.
shane cashman
There's your demoralization campaign.
tim pool
See, in 2016, when it was for Hillary and it started shifting towards Trump and I saw everybody crying, I just laughed.
Because if you can't laugh at yourself, what are you gonna do?
I want it to keep going towards Trump higher and higher and higher so we can have a clean win, we can go home, I can go to sleep, I don't have to think twice.
But if it goes to Harris, I'll be laughing and I'll be pouring some paper.
phil labonte
If it goes to Harris, I'm looking for a lawyer.
seamus coughlin
A nice clean election tonight.
No Maryland ballots.
Over by nine.
unidentified
What is North Carolina looking like?
phil labonte
No data yet.
unidentified
No data yet?
Okay.
No data yet.
seamus coughlin
Georgia is leaning.
No, no, no.
We got data.
tim pool
We got North Carolina data.
We've only got a little bit in.
It's from urban.
unidentified
Whoa.
That's my hometown.
That's not good.
tim pool
No way.
Look at this.
Brunswick and Hanover.
unidentified
Oh, man.
tim pool
A lot leaning towards Harris, but it is still early.
seamus coughlin
It's early, yeah.
tim pool
It's still very early, but with 2% of the votes in, Harris is up 69 to 30.
seamus coughlin
But you know what, though?
tim pool
Guys, it may be 2%, but this is 74,000 votes for Harris to 32 for Trump.
Still very, very early in North Carolina, but that's massive.
I mean, look across the board.
It's looking very, very narrow in even some of these rural areas.
So we will see.
unidentified
We will see.
tim pool
But hold on.
This data may be early vote data.
It may not be the...
I'm not entirely sure.
But, you know, we'll see.
We'll see.
Right now in Virginia, it's 60 to Trump.
Kamala Harris is winning 60 to Trump's 39 percent.
More data starting to come in.
We got Ohio 1 percent.
Trump's 61 to Harris' 38.
1 percent in.
But we're looking at 46,000 to Harris' 28,000.
4 percent in New Hampshire.
Harris is up 56 to Trump's 43.
Still, it's...
We gotta wait.
We gotta wait.
ian crossland
What's up with D.C.? Does D.C. all go to Maryland?
phil labonte
DC doesn't...
tim pool
No, DC's got three, I believe.
phil labonte
Yeah.
ian crossland
It's got three delegates?
tim pool
Yeah, and where are they listing old DC? Where's that at?
phil labonte
No, I'm...
tim pool
DC's got...
phil labonte
DC's up in the top...
tim pool
Where's it?
phil labonte
No, I'm looking at Decision Desk.
tim pool
DC's got three votes, right?
phil labonte
Am I wrong?
ian crossland
I imagine it attends Democrat every time.
unidentified
Of course, every single time.
tim pool
Yeah, I'm looking at New York Times, I'm like, where's DC? Yeah, Decision Desk's got it.
phil labonte
Okay, yeah.
tim pool
Yeah, but the New York Times doesn't.
Am I just blind?
I can't see.
Is it a tiny little dot somewhere?
shane cashman
That's hilarious.
tim pool
There's Nebraska's 1-2-3, Maine 1-2, and then...
I gotta just zoom in to try and find D.C. on New York Times?
shane cashman
I don't know.
They forgot D.C.? Whatever.
tim pool
Decision Desk is doing a better job anyway.
phil labonte
It's going to Kamala Harris anyways.
tim pool
D.C.? Oh, dude, it's 90%.
phil labonte
Always the Democrat.
tim pool
So, political polls called Florida, but I don't believe Decision Desk or AP have called it yet.
seamus coughlin
Do you remember when there was a time when networks felt it was a feather in their cap to call the election early instead of dragging it out of the bus?
Well, I hope we get back to that.
tim pool
There we go.
Big news.
Jim Justice has won.
It's been called for Jim Justice in West Virginia.
That is a flip from a Democrat from I believe it was Manchin previously.
So that's predictable, but still big.
There we go.
Look at that dark red West Virginia.
That is a flip.
There we go, ladies and gentlemen.
Massive.
I gotta tell you guys, we all saw this coming.
Everybody who's in West Virginia knew exactly what was gonna happen.
shane cashman
There's no city in that state.
phil labonte
We're safe.
unidentified
We're safe.
seamus coughlin
It's pretty good.
tim pool
You're right.
shane cashman
I mean, that's why I love it.
tim pool
But even the small towns in West Virginia are woke as they come.
It's so weird.
seamus coughlin
It's insane, dude.
It's crazy.
Well, because this is what happens.
Lefties and liberals will go gentrify these little country towns.
They'll go in there, they'll buy the real estate when it's super cheap, and they start hanging their gay flags outside, and they start putting their futurist female crap out, and their love is love signs on their lawns.
It's like the local population doesn't believe in that stuff, but people with a little more money.
tim pool
But I think it's important to say it's not that you're just gay flags, it's the Pride Progress flag, which is more of a cult ideological symbol that goes beyond just gay pride.
seamus coughlin
But even that, I mean, the perception used to be small.
Yeah, exactly, exactly.
unidentified
I was there with you.
tim pool
You shouldn't have sat us together.
In Frederick, Maryland, they have eagles on pride flags flying from buildings.
They have the Pride Progress flag flying from city buildings.
So this is an ideological...
shane cashman
For sure.
seamus coughlin
The eagle's bold, but it does identify as a woman.
It has a dress on, it's got...
tim pool
So guys, we do have some races to call, I guess.
Jim Banks, Republican in Indiana, has won.
Yes, everybody expected that.
And Bernie Sanders has won in Vermont.
Nobody is surprised by these outcomes.
shane cashman
Let Bernie win.
tim pool
Come on.
They call him independent, but...
shane cashman
Come on.
phil labonte
How old is he now?
shane cashman
100?
unidentified
At a bare minimum, it has to be 100.
ian crossland
I wish he was more open-minded to what's going on with the media and the DOJ targeting Trump.
I wish he was more in the camp of Tulsi Gabbard.
phil labonte
He is a died-in-the-wool communist, and he caters to the Democrats.
There is not an independent bone in his body, even though he calls himself...
unidentified
We're not attacked by the Democrats too with him versus Hillary Clinton.
They screwed him.
phil labonte
Look, he's a coward.
He kissed the ring.
seamus coughlin
I agree, dude.
phil labonte
He bent the knee.
When he was on stage in those...
tim pool
South Carolina's called...
They called South Carolina already?
seamus coughlin
I can't believe it.
phil labonte
They did.
tim pool
Decision that's called South Carolina for Trump.
Trump is currently winning 32 votes to Harris's three.
None of it matters because we're just waiting for the swing states.
Georgia's going to be massive.
Currently, Trump is up with 9% in.
58.4 to Harris' 41.1.
The independent voters breaking.
This is exit polling data, so who knows what it means?
It could be BS. But an independent voter shifting 20 points in four years is tremendous.
ian crossland
That's RFK, man.
unidentified
Did Jill Stein have 14% in South Carolina?
seamus coughlin
Is that what it said?
unidentified
That is nuts.
Yes.
Whoa!
That is nuts.
phil labonte
That is huge.
seamus coughlin
South Carolina is going to save Palestine today because Jill Stein got 14%.
tim pool
It's 6% in.
They called it for Trump, but Jill Stein currently having 14.5% is just an urban center voting for Jill Stein.
shane cashman
How frequently Cornell got 214?
tim pool
I imagine Jill Stein just went up.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, well, this is what I'm going to say.
If right now the numbers are that Jill Stein has half of what Kamala has...
tim pool
Jill Stein won Lawrence County?
ian crossland
Oh, yeah.
tim pool
With 48% in, they called Lawrence County for Jill Stein.
ian crossland
That's impressive.
unidentified
I told you, that's what's happening on left.
seamus coughlin
And that's the crazy thing, because if Jill Stein wasn't running, Trump would have another 14%.
tim pool
Oh, yeah.
seamus coughlin
Taking all his votes.
ian crossland
How often do they call it and then it changes?
tim pool
This is actually pretty substantial.
In Lawrence County, Trump has 26 votes.
48% reporting.
9,739 for Jill Stein.
Kamala Harris with 4,279.
Have we ever seen Jill Stein or a Green Party person win a county?
phil labonte
I've never seen that.
seamus coughlin
Dude, I don't even think I've ever seen Jill Stein.
unidentified
I don't know.
But if you go to Twitter, a lot of liberals are mad because a lot of liberals are honing Jill Stein because they're so pro-Palestine.
seamus coughlin
Or they're writing in Free Palestine.
Which, if you're a liberal, please do that.
phil labonte
No, don't write in Free Palestine.
Write in Jill Stein.
ian crossland
She's all in the ballot.
You just marked her name.
seamus coughlin
They got it confused.
They're like, yes, my heart goes out to Jill Osteiner.
ian crossland
Is Florida considered a swing state?
phil labonte
No.
unidentified
Was it?
ian crossland
No.
seamus coughlin
Eight years ago?
It was at a time.
DeSantis turned it solidly red.
ian crossland
But like four years ago, it was?
phil labonte
Not four, not four.
seamus coughlin
It used to be a swing state.
ian crossland
Okay.
So how come then everyone's relying on the swing states?
seamus coughlin
Swing states change a lot.
This is the thing.
So people who don't like the Electoral College will say, why is it that our vote and our democracy should be dependent upon these several states?
But what they neglect to mention is that those states change every 8 to 10 years.
unidentified
Yep.
seamus coughlin
And the reality is, if we didn't have swing states, they would just have to campaign in the most population death centers.
unidentified
California and New York.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
So there'd be like six places they'd campaign, and it would not change as often as the swing states do.
phil labonte
It would be Florida, New York, and California.
tim pool
Can we do some quick math real quick?
So there's, with 48% reporting, we're looking at about 15,000 outstanding votes in Lawrence County.
Meaning, Kamala Harris is going to have to win a third of all remaining votes in, is this just one county?
In that one county to beat Jill Stein.
If this trend in voting continues, Jill Stein's up two to one on Kamala Harris.
seamus coughlin
Jill Stein could take the White House if she keeps these comments up.
tim pool
No, but she may want to retire to Lawrence County where she's a megastar.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, honestly, that's a fair point, dude!
Or she's going to be hated by all the other lefties there.
unidentified
Like, Kamala didn't win here because I bet you that's happening on Twitter as we speak.
seamus coughlin
Hold on, hold on.
tim pool
Guys, I want to actually pause for a second.
And I want to say, with the utmost respect and admiration, thank you, Jill Stein.
And I mean this sincerely, this is not a joke.
Jill Stein said she wants Kamala Harris to lose.
This was a big story when she said, vote for me.
She didn't want Harris to win.
People voting for her in protest may hate Donald Trump, but it does help us.
And Jill Stein knew exactly what she was doing.
Whether she likes Trump or not, willing to stand up to the uniparty establishment, be it Kamala Harris, whatever the outcome is, I do respect that, and I am grateful for the vote.
ian crossland
I've always thought she was a woman of principle, and I voted for her in 2016 when I just didn't know what else to do.
I'm like, you know, I always can appreciate that she speaks her truth, whether I agree with her or not.
Just that she's honest.
Like, she seems legitimately honest.
tim pool
Guys, I want to say this again.
Give Jill Stein your respect.
From Newsweek, end of September, Jill Stein, how and why I will stop Kamala Harris winning the White House.
She may not agree with you.
You may not agree with her.
But hey, at least for now, we are aligned in saying Kamala Harris should not win the White House.
And I want to stress...
Whatever you may think of Jill Stein, what she is saying is that Donald Trump is the better alternative to Kamala Harris.
So, I'll take it.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I'll take it too.
Listen, I'm going to hop off now.
It's been fun.
I'll be back in a bit probably, but I'm going to sub out my buddy Elad here.
I just want to say before I go, it was great chatting with everybody.
I'm having a blast.
And to all the audience, if you want to know where you can find me, go to Freedom Tunes.
We released a video today.
It's really blowing up.
It's what the Joe Rogan episode would have looked like if he agreed to Kamala's terms, and it's him interviewing her.
And then the day before that, we released a video called Kamala Harris polling at 100% with people who vote at 3 a.m.
So go check those videos out.
You guys will love them.
tim pool
And I'm half the voices in that cartoon.
seamus coughlin
And he's half the voices in that cartoon.
So go over there, check that out.
And if you want to know how you can support me while I'm trying to create culture and media that isn't woke and insane and left-wing, go to freedomtunes.com, become a member.
We have our podcast where we discuss how we make the cartoon, and we're planning on putting together a plan to put some really cool stuff up there in the future.
tim pool
Do you want to sip a pappy before you get going on?
seamus coughlin
I do want to sip a pappy before I head out.
tim pool
We got this very fine bourbon.
And for everybody else, as Elod's about to jump in, smash that like button right now.
Share the show with everyone you know.
seamus coughlin
Feel that's on.
You're going to need a drink.
tim pool
Absolutely.
Become a member at TimCast.com to support our work to make things like this possible.
There is a strong possibility, although I hope not, that we are live again tomorrow in much the same way.
Because if we do not get definitive results, if...
Let me put it this way.
If Trump does not win handily to a degree that Harris cannot overcome this by any reasonable measure, including lawsuits, this will likely extend into the weekend and who knows how long.
If Trump gets a decisive victory that lawsuits cannot overcome, that's it.
We win.
But look, it's not Ilad.
It's someone else.
ian crossland
You're not Ilad.
phil labonte
Welcome to the show.
unidentified
Surprise.
ian crossland
Who are you?
debra lea
I'm also Jewish, though.
tim pool
Oh, okay, that works.
unidentified
I'm Debra, so nice to meet you.
ian crossland
Debra?
abby phillip
Yes.
ian crossland
Tell us about yourself.
Tell the world.
debra lea
From New York, conservative influencer, fighting the good fight out there.
I've also tried rallying the Jewish vote a lot, but recently retweeted by Elon Musk.
I feel like that's my thing now.
tim pool
Right on.
ian crossland
Your full name?
debra lea
Debra Lea.
tim pool
So here's a question I have for you, then.
Do you think Jewish voters are going to shift for Trump?
debra lea
Absolutely.
They've been rallying in the streets every single day.
I brought like a Hebrew Trump hat, honestly, to give to Ben tonight.
But we love Trump.
Like, we love Trump so much.
He's the only right option for this country, for success, for the future of Israel, for just religious safety and freedom.
Absolutely.
tim pool
I saw that.
Did you guys see that commercial that's been running on Fox where it's the three women who are implied to be Jewish?
And they're saying, I never wanted to vote for Trump, but at least he'll keep us safe.
And I understand it's a commercial, but the commercial exists because they're targeting a legitimate fear that Jewish people in New York have.
And I kind of feel like it seems obvious that they would shift heavily for Trump, but is it going to be the majority?
Is it going to be more than 50%?
What do you think?
debra lea
So this is a problem, honestly.
I was raised as a religious Jew, but the majority of Jews are not religious.
It's some, like, 98% are not Orthodox, and only 2% are Orthodox.
And Orthodox is the most observant, following the actual Torah and everything.
And so it's been difficult to try and get those tikkun olam, the social justice warrior Jews, to kind of understand what the importance is for us to have Donald Trump as president.
In New York alone, there's been over a thousand violent crimes against Jews.
There's been not even one person arrested in those cases or charged or tried or anything.
So I think we definitely understand that we want to raise, we have strong values about our families, very heavily strong values in the Jewish community, education, you know, safety, good communities.
And these are all things that Democratic leaderships have been destroying in every city.
ian crossland
I think that in the time...
tim pool
Guys, guys, I just, sorry, I got a break.
Decision Desk published the wrong data.
Jill Stein is not winning.
That is totally incorrect.
They gave Donald Trump's votes to Jill Stein.
debra lea
I went undercover at a pro-Palestine rally in New York and I ran into Jill Stein.
Didn't know it was her at first for 30 minutes.
I'm talking to her on camera.
She's saying we have to support Hamas, the freedom fighters.
I asked her to talk about the sex crimes committed on October 7th.
She's like, those are just accusations.
I have this all on camera of Jill Stein at a Palestinian rally with a keffiyeh on.
She's crazy.
I hope she doesn't win.
phil labonte
We were enjoying the fact that Jill Stein, it seemed that Jill Stein had stymied Kamala Harris taking a county in South Carolina.
And it was fun while it was lasted, but apparently that's not the case.
tim pool
They still have it up, and I think they just changed it.
They just deleted the data from Lawrence County because Jill Stein did not actually win.
Shout-outs to, who do we have?
Matthew Funnel in Super Chat, who says those Stein votes are actually Trump's check AP. Wow.
So, yeah, unfortunate.
But I'll still give a shout out to Jill Stein.
Jill Stein said she will stop Kamala Harris from winning.
She wrote an op.
I think she wrote an op.
This is what we have from Newsweek.
How and why I will stop Kamala Harris from winning.
And Kamala Harris cannot win the election because she has lost the crucial support of Muslims and Arabs, Jill Stein has said.
So, I've been seeing this for a while that Jill Stein was saying outright that Or to some degree that she was going to be a spoiler candidate for the Democrats.
I'll take it.
I ain't complaining about it.
Although I wish we lived in a reality where she won Lawrence County.
Trump actually won Lawrence County.
phil labonte
I don't know.
I don't like communists, though.
ian crossland
You know, like, supporting...
I don't know about supporting Hamas.
Like, the verbiage, I support Hamas, is like...
Indicates you're supporting an organization that's, like, desperately attacking another...
But the idea that you could uplift everyone by creating stability and peace, I feel like that would be a way to support all of them, including those that used to be.
Maybe we could de-radicalize people.
phil labonte
If Hamas wanted stability and peace, they could have turned over the hostages instead of holding them for an entire year.
They could have turned them over and had a ceasefire and turned themselves in and could have ended all of this at any time that they wanted.
But they didn't because they're terrorists.
debra lea
Yeah, I think that's a false thing that people struggle with.
It's a unique Western situation to think that people who are raised since they're born, raised with Nazi flags, and people who attacked us on 9-11, they idolize these people.
I think it's hard for us as Americans to understand that you really can't change that mindset.
It's not like a Democrat becoming a Republican.
It's a truly different ideology.
ian crossland
I would think of it as like a long game, like of a 20 or 30 or 40 years in the future, because like it takes generations to create radicalism and also to de-radicalize a lot of times.
So if you could establish legitimate, like organized peace and like I would love nothing more.
debra lea
I would love for the people in Gaza to live prosperous lives, to thrive again.
I think that would be amazing.
It's just difficult that Israel kind of set that up for them in 2005 when they willingly gave over the Gaza Strip.
And two years later, the people in Gaza elected Hamas as their leader.
So it's just difficult, I think, when you're trying time and time again to have peace and let these people achieve their own freedoms.
But time and time again, they're choosing terrorism.
ian crossland
Do you think that Donald Trump, and I guess I ask you not to represent the entire Jewish people, but that he represents more of a stabilizing force in the region?
debra lea
Absolutely.
Everything that he did in Israel.
I was actually living in Israel at the time when he, for American side, recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights.
That was a huge strategic decision.
Also moving the embassy to Jerusalem.
He has done so many things to just help with the sovereignty of Israel and peace in the region.
The Abraham Accords were the greatest peace deals in the history of the Middle East.
And I think his idea of peace through prosperity, peace through economic strength, Meeting with the UAE and having really good deals for everybody so they become richer and it becomes a better region.
I think that's the best plan for the Middle East and I think that's everything that Donald Trump represents there.
tim pool
So we got...
There's big data coming out of Georgia.
It's looking really good for Donald Trump.
So far with 20% reporting, Trump is leading 60% to 40%.
Still only 20% reporting, but we do have a lot of data coming from the counties surrounding Atlanta.
And I don't know that...
We've got this from Election Wizard.
With an estimated 90% reporting, Trump leads 53 to 46.6 in Baldwin County, Georgia, a county won by Biden in 2020 by one point.
So that's with 90% reporting.
It's looking good so far in Georgia.
We'll have to wait and see.
Of course, it's still very early.
ian crossland
Debra, do you mind passing me that bottle of Pappy?
tim pool
Oh, I got it.
unidentified
I got it.
ian crossland
Thanks, dude.
unidentified
There's a lot of liberal places left in Georgia.
That's for sure.
ian crossland
You said 90% reporting in the whole state or just in that county?
unidentified
No, I think it was just the county.
tim pool
You want to jump in?
We're pulling him in.
Yo, we got another...
ian crossland
Oh, Bryson Grant stepping up out.
tim pool
We got another fine young gentleman joining us.
Do you want to introduce yourself?
unidentified
Yeah, my name is Cody McIntyre, and I'm a professional skateboarder, and hang out with Tim and skate a skate park all the time.
tim pool
That's indeed, and it's a heck of the first show to join Cody.
unidentified
Yeah, this is a hell of a show.
I mean, if I get a sip of that Pappy's, I think that's what I'm going to do.
ian crossland
Oh, I think we can make that happen.
Yeah, let me cork it up.
tim pool
He's sitting here like, I want to come on just for the booze.
unidentified
Yeah, I don't care about any of those.
tim pool
There's a glass right behind you on that shelf.
ian crossland
Is that a buckler behind you, or is that a hat?
That's a UFO. It's a UFO. Oh, okay.
tim pool
You see that glass?
That's a fresh glass we just put up right there.
Cody is a pro skateboarder, and I guess we'll just talk about it, the wokeness in the industry.
unidentified
Yeah, I mean...
tim pool
You're a guy who had a Gadsden flagged mini ramp.
unidentified
Yeah, I guess that's kind of how me and Tim wound up meeting.
Well, actually, I think you saw my mini ramp online.
tim pool
Oh, I've been following your videos for a while.
unidentified
Yeah, I came out to Maryland, and then I actually just DMed Tim on Instagram.
It was raining, and I was like, oh, he has a really cool mini ramp in his basement.
Let me see if I can go hang out with him.
Turned out to skate way better than I thought.
tim pool
Cody, you're not a super political guy.
unidentified
No.
tim pool
You've been skateboarding your whole life.
For those that don't know, Cody's one of the top pro skateboarders, and you had a Gadsden flag mini ramp.
I've seen your videos all the time, for a long time.
And I saw that and I was like, oh, this dude's cool.
He gets it.
But you got flack from people.
The industry has gone woke and gone broke at the same time.
I think what we're starting to see now, and I'm hoping this is true, is that, you know, for everybody who's like, oh, you know, I don't really care about skateboarding.
That's fine.
You don't have to.
I want to talk broadly about general culture in this country with Bud Light, with Target, with Disney, and what I see in skateboarding as wokeness is killing industry.
And we need to see if we want to bring it back a shift.
But you look at, like Target for instance, they lost a bunch of money.
Bud Light lost a bunch of money.
You've directly experienced, you're not even saying anything political and people coming at you.
unidentified
No, no.
I've never expressed any sort of political views.
I mean, I'm pretty moderate.
I hold some conservative views.
I think some liberal views.
I grew up as a skateboarder.
I mean, you know, I'm pretty against cops and authority and things like that.
But just by having that one statement, I guess it was, oh, Cody's a crazy Trump supporter.
He must be into the Blue Lives Matter shit.
So it was kind of crazy how I got thrown into the pit on all of that.
tim pool
Skateboarders, I would say, are the least political people on Earth.
unidentified
Yeah, for them.
Well, prior to 2020, I would say so.
tim pool
So, you know, in 2020, we saw many people who I think had no business in politics.
Like everybody, it's fine.
If you want to be in politics, do your thing.
I'm just saying people who had no idea what was going on.
I was talking to Steve Bannon about whether it was stolen or whatever happened in 2020, and I said, I know a guy, he's a skateboarder, and he filmed himself carrying a mail-in ballot on his phone like this, walking to a mailbox, and I went, holy crap, when you've convinced a skateboarder guy to go cast a mail-in vote, I can understand how Biden's going to win.
But now, I'm wondering if...
With you, at least, and with more people who are starting to be like, hey, we've got to say something or we've got to do something.
It's not like you're the most political guy in the world.
But do you feel like we're going to...
You sitting here, I feel like, is still indicative of something happening.
unidentified
Yeah, I mean, I don't, again, like you said, I'm not political.
I'm just normal.
I'm just kind of tired of seeing things get so far one way and being, I mean, I own my own skateboard company now, so I don't have to worry about it, but God forbid if I'd spoken out or said anything, and again, I'm pretty moderate in my beliefs.
I don't think I hold any extreme views.
I would have been canceled or blacklisted from the industry.
phil labonte
To be normal nowadays is to have actually chosen a side because the progressives really need you to affirm the things that they believe or else you're counter to whatever it is that they're trying to do.
We saw that with, what was it recently?
It was someone with people deciding to not endorse Kamala Harris, right?
Jeff Bezos decided that he's not going to endorse Kamala Harris.
And the reaction from the left was as if he had come out and said that he was endorsing Trump.
So anytime that you don't side with them, you're against them.
It is an all-or-nothing perspective where you're either on our side or you're against them.
So by being normal and not political, you're siding against the left.
unidentified
You don't even have to side with somebody.
With Tim, for example.
Tim's one of my friends.
I skate with him all the time.
A lot of my really good friends in skateboarding are on the left, super heavy.
But when I hang out with him, it's not an issue.
There's no, oh, Cody's a leftist, Cody's this.
Well, when I hang out with Tim, I'm this hard right guy.
It's like, no, I hold beliefs that...
I kind of straddle both sides of the fence on some things.
tim pool
Politics flows in one direction.
If you stand next to Ben Shapiro, you are far right.
If you stand next to a far leftist, the far leftist is also far right.
There's no inverse, but we got some big updates.
Ladies and gentlemen, Polymarket has broke 70% for Donald Trump.
And Decision Desk currently has Donald Trump chance of winning at 69.8%.
Lord help me if by like 9 o'clock it's shifting in the other direction and Kamala is at 99% and everyone's crying.
debra lea
More like 2 in the morning.
I bet $100.
They just became legal in New York to bet for the first time, so this is my first time ever betting on anything.
And hopefully I win.
tim pool
This is massive.
Oh, we've got another person jumping in.
Who's this?
lisa reynolds
I didn't know I was coming in.
Hi, I'm Lisa, Lisa Elizabeth on Twitter.
I work for the culture war and all kinds of stuff.
I work for 10, the greatest organization ever.
I always do that.
I always worry I'm loud.
tim pool
What's going on in Philadelphia?
Who's going to win?
lisa reynolds
Let me tell you, from doing on-the-ground reporting there, I am surprised.
It is definitely way more 50-50 than it seems.
You know, Pennsylvania, there's been a lot of irregularities with stuff going on there.
Everybody knows that the GOP in Philadelphia and the DNC are corrupt, so I don't know.
I worry about that kind of stuff, but I'm telling you, I've Living in Philadelphia for so long, I've never seen as many Trump flags, Trump signs.
Even when I was in West Philly, a total Democrat stronghold, there were Kamala signs with spray-painted tees in red over top of it.
I posted to Twitter.
I'm telling you, it's wild what's happening there.
I've never seen anything like it.
tim pool
Decision Desk currently has Trump at 69.8 to win, despite Ohio currently trending towards Kamala Harris at 55%.
Georgia's trending towards Trump at 54%.
ian crossland
You mentioned how in like 2016, I think it was, that it, the needles, it said like what?
Hillary Clinton, 99%.
And then it just went.
Overnight.
But the difference here is she was like the Potemkin candidate.
Everyone wanted Bernie.
They forced her in, the DNC. Nobody really liked her.
It's the same as Kamala.
That's not the inverted thing right now.
We're not looking at that.
We're looking at a guy that people really like and that has been our president before and he's got a massive groundswell.
tim pool
We got this from NBC News.
Allegheny County anticipates it will have 186,000 mail-in ballots reported soon after 8 p.m.
Another 36,000 should be reported not so long after that.
debra lea
Hopefully men are finally showing up to the polls.
That's been a big thing on Twitter.
We've been trying to get men to go out and vote because since the 1980s, men have undervoted, underregistered, and if men just show up and vote, this election's in the bag for Donald Trump.
tim pool
Another big update.
We got Oklahoma and Missouri have been called for Donald Trump.
Decision Desk increases his chance to win to 71.5%.
So with more data coming in, we got Mississippi and Alabama.
Tennessee have been called for Donald Trump.
Maryland has been called for Kamala Harris.
Massachusetts for Kamala Harris.
Shocker.
And Rhode Island for Kamala Harris.
North Carolina is currently trending Kamala at 52.2 to Trump's 46.8.
I mean, I understand if we go into...
Excuse me.
North Carolina.
We are seeing a lot of suburban and urban areas reporting, but there are some areas that don't look to be too urban that are skewing blue right now.
I guess the data is just too early to tell.
I do think it's interesting that Decision Desk currently has Trump at 71.5, considering Ohio and North Carolina are currently trending Democrat right now.
ian crossland
What's the percentage in in North Carolina?
tim pool
I'm sorry, D.C. has been called for Kamala as well.
ian crossland
North Carolina, what's the percentage of...
tim pool
5%, fair point.
ian crossland
Okay, how about Ohio, similar?
tim pool
Ohio, I think, is higher.
It's at 20%.
phil labonte
Ohio's 25.
tim pool
25 now.
lisa reynolds
That's kind of scary.
debra lea
Feels like it's coming in fast compared to the last time.
unidentified
How's Summit County doing?
ian crossland
That's my hometown.
My home county.
Summit County, it was known as kind of a liberal area of the state.
The Northeast was sort of like a liberal pocket in a conservative state.
debra lea
I have a good feeling about this.
I had a dream last night.
It felt too real for it to not be real tomorrow.
ian crossland
That's cool.
phil labonte
Please no.
Please no.
ian crossland
Tell the family-friendly version of the dream.
phil labonte
What happened?
debra lea
I just had a dream of those feelings of Donald Trump winning, like that excitement where you just wake up and you can stop worrying about everything and the whole world falling apart and can I buy a home?
I'm only 24 years old.
What should I do with my finances?
Do I invest?
Is that risky?
Do I even want a treasury bond with the U.S. government?
tim pool
I will eat a whole pizza.
debra lea
That's what you're gonna do?
tim pool
If Trump wins, I am going to order a whole deep dish pizza from Uno's and I'm going to eat it and I'm gonna sit back and I'm gonna have a beer.
unidentified
I don't drink, I don't eat bread.
tim pool
If Trump wins, I'm eating a whole pizza and drinking a beer.
debra lea
Gotta make a New York pizza.
Make it worth it.
tim pool
I'm from Chicago.
I gotta have my Chicago tourism pizza.
phil labonte
I'm from New England, so I like the New England pizza.
debra lea
Dave Pornway Jr.
I thought he was going to be here.
I saw Ms.
Peaches flying out on their private jet to Nashville today.
I was hoping he would pop up.
tim pool
That'd be cool.
Is he coming?
phil labonte
I don't know.
tim pool
I mean, look.
phil labonte
I didn't hear anything.
tim pool
Look, don't count your chickens, okay?
Trump's at 70.1 to win on Polymarket.
And this may just be a response to the early data.
Decision Desk currently has Trump at 71.5.
People are seeing that and saying, sure, why not take a bet?
Get free money.
ian crossland
Of course.
tim pool
No guarantees, man.
These mail-in votes, unpredictable.
elad eliahu
Texas...
tim pool
With 12% in Texas is blue.
phil labonte
Yeah.
tim pool
Dude, it's 49.5 to 48.9 in Texas.
But 11,000 votes.
It's just Dallas reporting.
It's almost 1.4 million votes.
debra lea
No, 11,000 difference.
tim pool
Oh, right.
debra lea
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
tim pool
But it's just Dallas reporting, so it means nothing.
lisa reynolds
It doesn't even matter.
Even if he's up everything, we could all go to bed again and wake up and all of a sudden there's some massive spike in Joe Biden.
Kamala Harris.
ian crossland
Exactly.
debra lea
We don't go to bed.
tim pool
You mean Barack Obama.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, there you go.
debra lea
We just need to stay up all night.
lisa reynolds
Right.
Dab, I'm with you.
phil labonte
If staying up all night meant Donald Trump was going to win, then I could handle that.
tim pool
I wouldn't sleep for three days.
You know, but Ben Shapiro made this point last night.
He said the order of outcomes that we want is Trump wins by a lot.
Trump wins by a little.
Kamala wins by a lot.
Kamala wins by a little.
If Kamala wins but only by a little, it's a disaster.
And I completely agree.
People are going to lose their minds.
If Trump wins by a little, the left will lose their minds, but at least Trump will have authority and can be able to start cleaning things up.
lisa reynolds
If she wins it all, it's a disaster.
tim pool
Right, but one's better than the other.
lisa reynolds
Right, but if either one of them wins by a slim margin, we're looking at some unrest.
We're looking at some people being very unhappy with the results either way.
tim pool
We got some data coming in from New Jersey.
Of course, Kamala Harris is winning in New Jersey.
We've got Gloucester County.
lisa reynolds
You know how Gloucester County is.
I just drove through there.
There's plenty of Trump signs.
Hardly any Kamala.
That will go.
tim pool
What's going on, New Jersey?
unidentified
Huh?
debra lea
I'm excited to see in the cities...
lisa reynolds
South Jersey's red, North Jersey's blue.
debra lea
I just want other liberals to know that they're not the only ones.
Like after the Madison Square Garden rally, every single restaurant outside of Madison Square Garden was filled with MAGA hats.
You've never seen anything like that in New York.
Probably never will again.
And I just want them to know that they're not the only opinion.
They should watch how they're speaking.
The guy who was leading the poll station today when I was voting this morning in New York came up to me and literally told me Donald Trump will rape women.
Sorry, I don't know if I'm going to use that word on the show.
ian crossland
He was leading the polls?
debra lea
He was the guy who was checking you in to sign you up to go vote this morning.
He's like, yeah, I said vote no on Proposition 1, which is transgenders and women's sports.
And he's like, well, Donald Trump's going to protect women by raping them.
ian crossland
Is that not voter intimidation?
debra lea
I thought it was something illegal.
It's in New York, so are they going to actually do anything?
They only arrest Mayor Adams, apparently.
tim pool
We've got some data from PA starting to come in right now.
Let me see if we, where are we currently at?
Where's the, we got 3%, and this is for the Senate results.
Bob Casey is up.
It's only 3%.
Doesn't mean a lot.
This is kind of a bummer so far, but I'm hoping we see a shift.
In Virginia, Tim Kaine is leading 54 to Hongkau 46.
Dude, Hongkau is awesome.
Did you guys see that ad he made where he's banging the table?
He talks about how his family fled Vietnam.
America gave him safe harbor.
He served this nation in the Navy for 25 years.
Now he's running for Senate.
I'm like, how could this country not just say this guy obviously is the best choice for leadership in this country?
And that they would choose someone like Tim Kaine is insane to me.
Politics aside, you put these two guys next to each other and it's like, I'll take the 25-year veteran of the Navy who fought for this country, who was grateful for everything he's been given, and who will serve the people.
Tim Kaine is just a crony.
What does he represent?
lisa reynolds
They don't care.
He represents the machine.
They want the machine.
ian crossland
Yeah, I've been thinking a lot about Einstein because he got really good PR. If he had had PR like Elon Musk is getting, he would not have been looked favorably upon by history.
We would think that guy was a piece of garbage, like bad...
The way that they're demonizing and dragging Musk is like...
If the media wants to make you seem great, they'll just put you on Time Magazine and say it.
phil labonte
And to that point, not only is the image that the media wants you to have malleable It's malleable at any point.
There was a long time where Elon Musk was the golden child for the left, right?
He was doing the rocket thing, and he had the solar stuff going on, and he was building electric cars.
He was the golden child of the left.
lisa reynolds
So was Donald Trump.
tim pool
Harris has won Connecticut.
phil labonte
Shocker.
tim pool
Update coming in.
New Hampshire with 15% reporting.
Harris is at 56%.
We'll see.
Georgia's at 37% right now.
Trump is at 57 to 43 with 37% reporting.
Still very, very good news for Donald Trump.
North Carolina now at 7%.
Harris at 55 to Trump's 44.
Ohio with 32% reporting.
Harris has 53 to Trump's 46.
Oh boy!
32 is a lot, but we're getting a lot of data coming out of big cities and not as much coming from the rural areas, so we won't see.
ian crossland
Do you get Summit County?
Northeast?
tim pool
Where's that?
ian crossland
It's in the Northeast.
It's the highest county in the state.
That doesn't matter on this map.
It's near...
No, it's like south of that couple.
It's a square.
tim pool
You said it was the highest.
ian crossland
Like a rectangle.
Yeah, one of those rectangle counties.
Is that yours?
Yeah, it's my home county.
I don't think they're in it yet.
lisa reynolds
It's too early.
tim pool
No, but it would still tell us which county we're looking for.
ian crossland
Summit.
Summit.
Yeah.
It's like right around there, maybe down and a little to the left of where you're at.
tim pool
There it is.
I got it.
Yeah, Kamala Harris, 62% with 35% of the vote in.
lisa reynolds
Tim, is it too early to break down demographics for the counties for how they're going?
tim pool
I don't know if they have that data on it.
lisa reynolds
I feel like they used to.
I don't know if they do anymore.
Usually if you click on it and scroll to the bottom, you're on New York Times.
No, you're on the other one.
Never mind.
unidentified
Oh!
tim pool
It's here.
The needle's here.
They're not giving us any data on the needle.
I love this.
They're so embarrassed about how bad the needle is that it's just nothing.
ian crossland
What is the needle?
tim pool
So, look.
Look here on the screen.
lisa reynolds
The forecast.
tim pool
It's the forecast showing you which direction it's going.
ian crossland
This is basically the 70% that they say elsewhere.
They just represent it as a needle.
tim pool
So, the live presidential forecast famously in 2016 said it was all the way to the left.
It said 99% Clinton.
And then as the night went on, it slowly moved over to the other side and everyone made fun of it saying it was worthless.
What's the point?
Now the New York Times finally published it and it's nothing yet.
Decision Desk has no problem showing us Trump has 72.3% chance of winning.
Please be true!
These forecasts mean very little.
They're currently projecting Trump to win with 283 electoral votes.
I hope that is the case.
The night is young, my friends.
Polymarket is back down a little bit.
Trump's at 68.5.
Let's go!
ian crossland
Are people buying and selling on Polymarket in real time?
Yes.
So they're making money as it goes up and down?
tim pool
Wow.
Yeah, so the thing to understand about these contracts is that you can buy, yes, and then sell, yes.
So some people may be buying Harris right now, and it's shifting not because they think she's going to win, but because they think a certain state is going to skew in her direction.
Spike her price, they can sell it, make a profit.
ian crossland
They don't have to hold for a day or anything.
unidentified
And they're already getting taxed on their unrealized gains.
LAUGHTER Oh, Texas turned red, finally.
tim pool
There we go, with more data coming in.
They didn't fix Lawrence County yet.
Come on, Decision Desk.
Jill Stein is not winning Lawrence County.
ian crossland
I think the concern in Texas is a lot of people from California moved to Texas.
unidentified
Oh man, 2020, it was a migration.
Just in my town alone, I can tell you the home prices have spiked so much.
It's just...
It's kind of a different demographic.
One of my buddies owns a ranch and they're trying to create an HOA out there on just a bunch of rural properties.
He has a big skateboard ramp and a big pink dinosaur because his brother is kind of an artist.
Yeah, they wanted to tear it down and they started trying to, we need to HOA all this.
tim pool
Dude, it's the worst thing in rural areas.
Out by us, there's a gun range.
It's been there for a long time.
Wealthy people move in and start buying properties nearby and then complaining about the gun range and they're demanding it get shut down.
And we're all like, it's not happening.
If you choose to live downrange from a gun range, you chose to do that.
These people think, oh, we're going to get a discount price on the property.
Then we'll complain, win the elections, force them out, and get a premium on our property.
I think that's dirty stuff.
That's dirty stuff.
debra lea
I think you should have to live in a state for a certain amount of time before you're allowed to vote in local elections or any legislation.
Like, one year, just to make sure.
unidentified
Two.
phil labonte
One election cycle.
If you move a year before the presidential election, you shouldn't be able to vote in that state's presidential election.
tim pool
Can we go back to your old house and vote there?
Guys, Jill Stein dressed in red?
Is this confirmed?
I see a photo.
unidentified
Is this?
phil labonte
I saw that earlier.
unidentified
Wow.
debra lea
It might be blood for protesting.
tim pool
No, but people are saying everybody knows what it looks like when the wife of a Democrat dresses in red on election day and the report is that Jill Stein voted for Biden.
A protest vote against Kamala.
phil labonte
Whoa.
debra lea
She wouldn't vote for herself?
ian crossland
Yeah, wait, that's strange.
She's on the ballot.
debra lea
It must be so weird voting for yourself.
phil labonte
Wait, was that Jill Stein?
Or was that Biden's wife?
ian crossland
I would have done it.
debra lea
I wrote Trump in 10 times.
tim pool
I'm sorry, Jill Biden, not Jill Stein.
Jill Biden wore red.
debra lea
Oh.
tim pool
I'm sorry, we're talking about Jill Biden.
lisa reynolds
That makes more sense.
tim pool
Right, sorry, sorry.
I was thinking South Carolina is a good catch.
debra lea
What does it mean if the white wears red?
tim pool
People are saying that if Jill Biden is wearing red, she's the wife of the Democratic president, it's a statement against Kamala Harris.
lisa reynolds
It 100% is.
debra lea
I forgot he wasn't even running anymore.
lisa reynolds
I had a white dress in the rotation, but I'm like, oh, they always do that white suffragette thing in white.
I can't wear that.
You have to think about what you're wearing.
phil labonte
Pennsylvania voting site evacuated as disruptors try to upset election results.
tim pool
Let me pull that up.
phil labonte
I'll retweet it.
lisa reynolds
Where is it?
phil labonte
I didn't see it.
unidentified
I just retweeted it.
debra lea
I think they're going to have the worst protests.
tim pool
We got it right here.
Daily Mail reporting.
Pennsylvania voting site evacuated as disruptors try to upset election result.
A voting site in Pennsylvania has been evacuated.
Multiple people burst into the Center County Election Office in Bellefonte shortly after 7 p.m., triggering an evacuation by police.
Polls do not close until 8 p.m.
It's unclear if they're supporting Trump or Harris.
lisa reynolds
I don't even know where that is, and I live in Pennsylvania.
phil labonte
Wow.
tim pool
Center County Report journalist Haley Jacobs shared a clip of the scene with multiple locals forced into the parking lot while cops probe the disruption.
Okay, it's crazy.
I thought we would see stuff like this in 2020.
There's not much more data here.
It seems to be a small polling location.
I hope we don't see any more of that stuff.
I hope it chills out.
I just...
Can we just get through this?
phil labonte
Oh no!
tim pool
Decision desk with the update.
Trump's chance of winning has just dropped to 62.2%.
I told you!
Don't do this to me, Decision Desk.
lisa reynolds
I'm going to have a hard check by the end of the night.
ian crossland
How much total has come in?
Is there a number like 17% of the total?
tim pool
I don't think that really...
You can't really calculate it to that degree because we're looking at swing states.
So we can see the reporting totals for the key swing states here.
Georgia's 38% in.
Trump's up 14%.
Michigan with 2%.
Harris is up 47%.
That doesn't mean anything.
lisa reynolds
Nope.
tim pool
There's nothing else substantive in the swing states.
They're still favoring Trump to win, but Decision Desk just dropped his chance down by 10%.
That's a massive drop for Trump.
lisa reynolds
Pennsylvania just went with the lines in it, meaning it's leaning that way?
tim pool
It's looking real good for Trump in Georgia.
1.2 to 1 million.
lisa reynolds
What's in for Pennsylvania so far?
tim pool
Pennsylvania's got less than 1% reporting, so rather meaningless.
I think the New York Times is showing PA at 6%, with Harris at 75% to Trump's 24%, so still just meaningless.
New Jersey with 6% reporting, 59% for Harris, 39% for Donald Trump.
debra lea
Have we gotten anything on Congress yet?
tim pool
We do.
In the Senate, we flipped West Virginia.
That was obvious.
And in the House, I don't think we've seen...
Nothing's flipped yet.
So all the House races that have been called are predictable.
And we'll have to wait and see, I suppose.
ian crossland
Is anything flipped to the Democratic Party?
tim pool
Nothing's flipped.
No.
Republicans have taken one seat in the Senate, which is huge.
But we knew that was coming because Manchin didn't really count anyway.
ian crossland
So I'm seeing all these East Coast states coming.
I assume this is just a time zone thing?
tim pool
Yes.
ian crossland
Okay.
tim pool
Yep.
I mean, look, California, if they're going until 9, we're going to have to wait quite a bit.
ian crossland
And then what, Hawaii?
Is that the last state to report, or they just wrap their voting early in the day?
tim pool
Pretty sure.
Pretty sure.
Alaska and Hawaii are going to be way late.
debra lea
I want to see Puerto Rico.
I want to see who they vote for.
ian crossland
Yes.
tim pool
Yeah, nobody cares to track Puerto Rico right now.
debra lea
Oh, it's not even...
tim pool
Right, because there's no...
debra lea
They vote.
People don't know.
tim pool
Sure.
unidentified
They vote.
tim pool
Yeah, they have delegates, I believe, more than one.
I could be wrong.
ian crossland
Interesting.
tim pool
Decision Desk has Connecticut Red with less than one reporting, but they've already, New York Times, I believe, has already called Connecticut.
ian crossland
Does Guam have a delegate?
tim pool
Yes, and I believe the delegate was already, so the reporting said that the Republican won re-election, but the local legislature flipped Republican, which is big.
They were saying that it was a, I believe, was a 12-point swing in favor of Republicans in Guam.
I don't know, man.
This is pretty wild right now.
Trump is still favored 2 to 1 by decision desk, but he just dropped 10 points.
That's a massive drop off.
ian crossland
Hey, look.
tim pool
I made my prediction earlier.
269 to 269 because Elon's law says the outcome that's the most entertaining is most likely.
phil labonte
That's not entertaining.
debra lea
RFK's gonna come in.
unidentified
Dude, Phil's gonna lose his shit.
phil labonte
No, fair point.
Indigestion for the next week.
tim pool
The most entertaining outcome would be a Trump landslide.
Because then all the memes and all the videos of people losing their minds.
ian crossland
Yeah, of him like sliding down on like an avalanche, a mudslide.
Literal landslide.
debra lea
I think Democrats have underestimated, at least in New York, how much illegal immigration has lost them the minority vote.
We have new families from all over the world popping up on every single block in Manhattan.
Every single week, Oura Ring, which is like $500, brand new Jordans, things of that nature.
And all the people like my family who came here illegally, I think they're fed up and they're mad about it.
And I hope they vote Republican.
tim pool
Yo, Miami-Dade County, they're 89% and it is red.
debra lea
I registered my brother there and all of his friends, so...
tim pool
And it looks like Florida has rejected recreational marijuana.
phil labonte
Oh no.
unidentified
Haters.
ian crossland
Maybe not the worst move.
I got mixed feelings on that because it sure does smell bad.
debra lea
I hope Proposition 1 in New York...
tim pool
I have mixed feelings on legalization as well.
I think it certainly shouldn't be Class 1, but I'm not convinced that blanket legalization and decriminalization is an effective path towards figuring out what the problems are in the first place.
ian crossland
Is alcohol...
tim pool
I think alcohol's bad too.
ian crossland
Recreational?
But you gotta be 21?
But you don't smell it when someone's drinking it next to you.
tim pool
The challenge is always substance abuse.
So, my concern is, are people abusing alcohol?
Are they abusing marijuana?
And how do you regulate something like that?
ian crossland
Well, you just gotta hope they don't.
Just don't let them drive.
phil labonte
People are clearly abusing alcohol.
I mean, there's Alcoholics Anonymous, and the number of deaths that come from car accidents because of alcohol has to be 10,000 or so a year, because there's like 45,000 deaths from car accidents.
And a lot of times, there has to be a significant portion of them that are from alcohol.
lisa reynolds
Right, but you look at other countries like in Europe and other things where the age to consume alcohol is way lower.
There's something else going on here.
They don't have the same problem.
So there's an underlying symptom of why people are abusing recreational substances.
Here, as compared to other places.
phil labonte
In other countries, there's less driving.
Usually, there's some kind of public transportation or whatever that's in significantly better condition than in the U.S. They don't have the suburbs that we do, at least not to the same degree.
So, that's one of the things.
And also, they have a different relationship with alcohol to the way that the United States does.
The U.S., there's...
I don't know exactly what it is, but the way that other countries behave around alcohol.
And it's not that they don't get drunk.
There's plenty of dudes in Europe that love to go to Taiwan on.
I've been to plenty of shows over there where dudes are just assed out.
But there is a different relationship to alcohol over there than in the U.S. So, Jim Jordan's one?
tim pool
Jim Jordan has won re-election.
There's some news.
steven crowder
Jim Jordan's great.
tim pool
And he won handily.
unidentified
He was only on that one when we had his CPI. Dude, he's so smart.
ian crossland
I love that guy.
lisa reynolds
He's a great guy.
ian crossland
Friendly.
He's an Ohio guy, yeah?
Is he Ohio?
He's Ohio.
tim pool
Waiting more data, but right now 29% in in Ohio.
Kamala Harris is up 54.2 to Trump's 45.1.
Looks like we got this fine gentleman joining us.
ian crossland
Hey, buddy.
tim pool
Who are you, sir?
Say your name.
james klug
What is going on?
I am James Klug, owner of the James Klug YouTube channel.
I do political commentary and street videos.
Thank you guys for having me.
phil labonte
Do you partake, sir?
james klug
I'm good for right now.
phil labonte
Protect her.
james klug
I'm good for right now.
Thank you, though.
phil labonte
You also protect Lisa frequently, right?
When Lisa's getting herself in trouble?
lisa reynolds
It's obviously the other way around.
james klug
I'm messing up my chair.
Sorry, what was that?
lisa reynolds
He's saying you protect me when I'm getting in trouble, but I was like, well.
james klug
Maybe a little bit of both, you know?
But yeah, she gets it.
If we're out on the street, she's getting in trouble fast.
She'll find the fastest way to get in trouble on the street, absolutely.
phil labonte
It's the long legs is what it is.
james klug
Right, right, right.
unidentified
I think it's the mouth, but I meant the laser.
tim pool
We do have an update.
The chance of Trump winning has just dropped once again to 61.8, so it just dropped another couple of points.
The projection now is Trump 276 to Harris 262, but I'm curious, James, what do you think is going to happen?
james klug
Well, you guys, I honestly, I feel good about it in my gut.
I feel good about it.
You know, a Donald Trump victory.
We know that the regime is going to be doing everything that they can to possibly make this not happen.
But I'm seeing Americans all over the country, on the street, talking to people.
One, there are people that are completely motivated to vote for Donald Trump and they're first time voters.
People that are just sick of it.
They're sick of the lies.
They're sick of the nonsense.
They're sick of the world burning around them.
And they are voting for Donald Trump for the first time.
I don't know.
I don't know.
And they're obviously going to be pushing to prevent this, but I think the right is putting their heads down, going to vote, and I feel like they're going to deliver.
tim pool
The needle is live, ladies and gentlemen.
Right now, the New York Times has finally published it, showing Trump with the slight chance of winning.
The current estimates have him winning 275, Harris' 263.
However, the popular vote estimate has skewed 1.4 towards Harris, and the Trump electoral vote count just dropped by one vote!
I don't know what that means.
Whatever.
But sure.
So right now, they have needles for every state.
They're giving 53% to Harris in Michigan and Wisconsin.
Pennsylvania is still considered a tie.
Nevada is going Republican.
North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona all skewing Republican.
This giving Trump the advantage.
Ladies and gentlemen, they're considering it still a toss-up.
We have no idea.
And like I said, look, Trump was at 1.72.5, I believe it was the peak, 72.3.
Percent chance of winning.
It's now dropped down to 61.8.
We will see as the data comes in.
ian crossland
How's the polymarket looking?
I wonder if in real time it just snapped.
tim pool
68.3 in favor of Donald Trump.
debra lea
I'm excited, guys.
You're excited.
I'm buzzing.
I feel like good things are happening.
It's coming in faster than the last few years.
And we're all here.
lisa reynolds
I have PTSD. I don't know if I can handle that.
phil labonte
I'm right there with you.
I have very little confidence in the way that it'll turn out in a positive way.
And I love everybody that does have confidence.
I adore it.
I love the uplift of spirits.
I have very little confidence because I really believe that the average voter, the average person that, and I say this all the time, but the average person that goes to work every day and consumes about an hour of news per week, those people believe the media.
They believe the Legacy media, they still go to NBC and they still hear what the talking heads on NBC are saying.
And what the talking heads on NBC are saying is completely insane.
It's absolutely full of lies.
It's absolutely one-sided propaganda from the Democrats.
They're not hearing anything reflective of reality.
And because of that...
Your average person believes a significant portion of the slanderous stuff that people say about Donald Trump.
You can come up with all kinds of legitimate criticism for Donald Trump.
I truly believe that.
That doesn't mean that he's worse than Kamala Harris.
It's just that you can come up with plenty of reasons to criticize him.
But the legacy media has created this caricature, this imaginary cartoon monster of Donald Trump.
james klug
It's also his base, too, I would say.
Of his base as well.
phil labonte
Oh, yeah.
Absolutely.
Absolutely.
They called me a Nazi.
I'm Jewish.
Of course.
Yeah.
100%.
And that's something that does actually move the needle with the average American.
Again, that doesn't consume a lot of news.
That doesn't look much deeper.
unidentified
Wait a minute.
lisa reynolds
As the other black-pilled person here, let me give a little white pill.
There has been a momentum shift and you can feel it.
phil labonte
Yes.
lisa reynolds
Like, you can totally feel when you're in Philadelphia and you're seeing all, and James can tell you because we've been on the ground there so much.
People are not afraid anymore.
phil labonte
I want to be wrong.
lisa reynolds
Listen, me too.
You can definitely feel the shift.
Everybody has Trump signs out.
They're not afraid anymore to put them out, to put their flags out, to put the bumper stickers on their car.
Their cars are not getting...
In Philadelphia, they were getting torched in 2016 for having a Trump sticker on their car.
That's not happening anymore.
unidentified
However...
lisa reynolds
I'm not afraid of the popular vote.
I'm afraid of the machine.
I'm afraid of extra balance and things like that.
tim pool
Interesting.
Preliminary but interesting.
Bergen County is currently...
Donald Trump is currently leading in Bergen County.
This is a North...
debra lea
That's a Jewish county in New Jersey.
That's where all the Jews live.
tim pool
A North Jersey, New York City suburb that went for Joe Biden last time.
I believe it was...
Let me see if I have the data...
debra lea
The Jews are showing up and showing up for Donald Trump.
tim pool
And Bergen County was 285,000 for Biden, 204 for Trump.
It is a single county, so there's 22% reported.
Trump is currently favored.
If that does hold, that's a massive flip, even if it's by just a point.
james klug
You guys, I also think when it comes to 2020, like the arguments from everybody, right, was that they were blaming Donald Trump and they were blaming Donald Trump for the lockdowns.
Governor said, no, no, no, look over here.
It's Donald Trump that mishandled COVID, not us.
It's not us that locked you down.
It was because of Donald Trump.
That was sweeping the nation.
Now, that boogeyman doesn't really exist.
And I don't think it lands as well because Kamala Harris and Joe Biden are in office.
And that's who I think a lot of people are blaming.
As for blue areas, I think Donald Trump is taking a massive chunk out of these areas across the United States, and I just don't see their voters being as motivated as the Republicans and the independent voters as well for Donald Trump.
lisa reynolds
Hey Dave, can you go back to New Jersey real quick?
So Cape May County, that's like the lower blue half down there, not much reporting because that is an absolute Trump struggle.
tim pool
It's Wildwood.
It's my country.
lisa reynolds
That's where my mom lives.
I'm telling you.
phil labonte
Your mom's awesome.
lisa reynolds
She's great.
But that should be...
How much is reporting there in Cape May County?
tim pool
25%.
lisa reynolds
That's where Van Drew switched sheets, right?
That's wild that it's even coming in blue.
unidentified
That's...
tim pool
We used to...
I used to be in Gloucester County.
I'm pretty sure we're in Gloucester.
lisa reynolds
No, Gloucester's...
Yeah, Gloucester's up there.
tim pool
That's where we were in Deptford, right?
lisa reynolds
Yep, that's right.
tim pool
So, we didn't like our member of Congress.
lisa reynolds
No.
tim pool
And it's...
With 42% reporting, it's up 8,000 for Harris, 38 to 30.
But this is interesting.
lisa reynolds
We just drove through there.
James and I just drove through there.
We went to Duffield, said the whole thing.
tim pool
So, take a look at New Jersey.
It was MAGA. I don't know if it's...
It makes sense to say it's in play or anything like that.
But...
With Bergen flipping, right now it's 52 to 46.
We're going to see, I think, a massive rightward shift in New Jersey.
I do want to make sure I keep you guys up to date.
Trump's chance of winning has just spiked once again to 71.1.
ian crossland
What is going on?
What's this company here?
james klug
Machine punching air right now, you guys.
Machine punching air.
tim pool
I got data for you.
We've got this from NBC's exit polls in Pennsylvania.
Trump is up among independent voters by six points.
unidentified
Massive.
tim pool
Yeah, RFK. Massive.
RFK Jr.
for sure.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
So if these hold, it's really good news.
james klug
I also think Elon Musk has had a massive impact on this.
unidentified
Joe Rogan too.
james klug
Joe Rogan as well, with not just independent voters, but also maybe some Democrats that weren't totally on board with Kamala Harris.
I was just texting my friend's dad the other day.
He's absolutely liberal, and he switched his vote because of Elon Musk.
Wow.
lisa reynolds
That's wild.
james klug
Yeah.
tim pool
We like Elon.
phil labonte
The good thing, I think that, you know, the argument that Elon Musk is making goes beyond just Donald Trump is the guy to elect, right?
He's making the argument that, first of all, the Democrats are the party of censorship.
He's made it clear that the Democrats are going to come after people for having the wrong opinions if you're if you're influential.
And I think that the fact that he has been able to point to all of the DOJ attacks against SpaceX and all the companies that he has.
james klug
It's bringing it to a personal level.
phil labonte
Exactly.
james klug
And that's why selling it is so much more clear to people listening to him and talking about it.
phil labonte
Absolutely.
He's speaking to the...
He's speaking to the regulations that he has to deal with just to do business the way that he needs to.
And if you're going to have an aspirational society that looks to do big, incredible things, which he has demonstrated are possible, he has reminded the American people that we are capable of amazing things.
When the rockets come down and they land standing up, people look at that and they are blown away.
I know.
james klug
It's joy.
siaka massaquoi
It is.
tim pool
When you catch a skyscraper.
phil labonte
Exactly.
When you catch a skyscraper coming out of space and you catch it, he's demonstrating that we can do absolutely amazing things.
We have the technology and this is all right in front of us, but the government literally gets in the way.
Go ahead.
tim pool
So we got a big update.
The needle...
Has now shifted for Trump in PA. 53% likelihood for Trump in Pennsylvania.
That is the keystone state.
If Harris, they're saying right now, Nevada's now leaning Republican, giving Harris only a slight edge in Wisconsin and Michigan.
Trump has the edge in Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona.
Georgia is now 71% Republican.
They're giving it heavy to Donald Trump.
phil labonte
I see what you did there with that is the keystone state.
It is the Keystone State.
unidentified
People don't realize that it is the Keystone State, but it is the key.
tim pool
It's the nickname.
debra lea
Are you feeling the energy now?
phil labonte
I feel nothing.
I have a cold, frozen heart.
ian crossland
I got an empathic burst of these guys sitting in a room thinking, we can't stop him.
And that could lead to some crazy shit in the future, but they can't stop him.
lisa reynolds
Ian, I'm going to grab you and try to steal your vibes.
unidentified
Who can't be stopped?
tim pool
This is massive, guys.
ian crossland
Trump can't be stopped.
tim pool
With Election Wizard, with 74% reporting, Fulton County is showing a 2.6% shift towards Trump from 2020.
This is likely why they're starting to say it looks like Trump is going to win Georgia.
It's still only 51% reporting, but Trump is up nearly 10 points.
So this is massive.
And with the shift towards Trump, it's looking really, really good.
PA right now with 8% in, still very heavily for Kamala Harris, but it doesn't mean anything because we're looking at Harrisburg and Pittsburgh.
lisa reynolds
What's Philly look like?
tim pool
Philly's blue.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, but how much is it?
tim pool
15% in and Philly and Delaware County are very blue.
lisa reynolds
What's the percentage of 15% in?
tim pool
11% in Bucs, and Bucs is 2-1.
Kamala Harris.
lisa reynolds
Philly went 85% for Biden, and I'm thinking that it's going to go 75% or less based on what we've been seeing on the ground there.
So I'm just curious.
tim pool
70% chance that Trump wins this one says decision desk.
Let's just, decision desk, do me a favor, if you're watching, just keep it there and just stop moving.
ian crossland
No, they're going to put it back to 61, dude.
Get ready for the curves, baby.
They want to make it exciting for everybody.
tim pool
It's got to go down and come back up.
ian crossland
They're getting a lot of traffic because of this stuff.
tim pool
Polymarket has Trump at 71.2.
Look at this.
$1.3 billion wagered on Donald Trump to win right now.
james klug
Is there a live chart of all the betting markets?
tim pool
I don't know, but there's probably, I don't know it.
debra lea
Kalshi was doing that, like everybody's, as their money's coming in about who's spending on which candidate.
tim pool
But all the different betting markets.
debra lea
Oh, all the markets?
No, I don't know.
lisa reynolds
Has the inauguration map changed at all since the last time you guys looked at that one?
Because that's the one that actually...
tim pool
The inauguration bet?
ian crossland
Oh yeah.
tim pool
So let me pull up the betting odds.
I believe we have the latest from RCP, but it's updated daily.
So yeah.
It's not up to date right now.
Polymarket says 59, so this data is no good.
This data is no good.
It's changing too rapidly right now.
unidentified
For sure.
tim pool
But we have Polymarket inauguration.
Trump is currently at 66% likelihood to be inaugurated.
lisa reynolds
I like this.
tim pool
It's kind of wild.
Other is at 2.6.
People are starting to get a little sure.
It's looking like it's pretty good for Trump so far.
ian crossland
They realize that Jill Stein, an analytic, was a mistake.
They were like, oh, maybe not Jill.
tim pool
Nevada leaning...
Leaning towards Trump in the New York Times needle is big.
Wisconsin just shifted a little bit more towards the Democrats on the needle.
I don't know if it means anything.
But they're projecting 279 as of right now for Donald Trump to win.
Harris with a 1% popular vote margin.
lisa reynolds
I want to win everything.
The popular vote.
tim pool
We need it.
unidentified
We need it.
tim pool
Oh, big news.
Arizona just skewed heavily Republican.
Oh, let's go.
It looks like Arizona and Georgia are going Republican.
But I will say this too, the polling at the last minute showed Arizona wasn't even a swing state anymore.
They basically took it off the map and they said it's Republican.
Really?
Yes.
james klug
I think most of us would agree that worst case scenario is going to be a close election.
There needs to be the popular vote.
It needs to be the electoral college.
It needs to be undeniable.
ian crossland
That's what we were just saying.
I think right before, maybe before you got in, that the worst case, they said best case, I don't know who was saying this, Trump wins big.
Next best is he wins small Ben Shapiro.
Third is that Kamala was big.
Worst case scenario, she wins by a small margin because then people will be like, what are you talking about?
lisa reynolds
Well, he wins by a real small margin, too, because they're not going to be real happy about it.
james klug
Well, for the sake of our small businesses in our cities, for sure.
lisa reynolds
Correct, correct.
debra lea
They're boarding up across the country.
Did you see those videos today?
I forgot which state it was, but they're preparing.
james klug
What do they call it?
The Plywood Index?
So it's looking good for Donald Trump if the Plywood Index is, you know, if everyone's putting plywood up.
ian crossland
Oh, big plywood.
Plywood up.
debra lea
Is that why wood prices are up, all the protests?
ian crossland
Wow, maybe.
That's not unrelated.
lisa reynolds
Did you guys talk about whether you really think we're going to know tonight or not?
Do you really think it's going to take a week?
ian crossland
I just voted in Maryland by mail, and I had to have it postmarked by today, but as long as it gets there by November 15th, it'll be counted.
That's what they told me.
debra lea
New York's November 12th.
It's a similar thing.
I went to college in Maryland, and I had to vote by mail for the 2020 election, and I had to have it arrive by November 5th.
I don't know why they changed it this year, like, so quietly.
ian crossland
And it's being challenged by the Supreme Court.
I think it's a circuit court in the Sixth Circuit, maybe.
So they're saying it has to be in by the Fifth.
But then we're going to see if that even becomes put to the courts, if they get challenged, if that actually goes through.
I think it's the righteous thing to do personally.
shane cashman
Sorry, real quick, have we talked about the Amish?
ian crossland
No, give it to me.
tim pool
I want to hear all about it.
shane cashman
Just turning out in droves.
tim pool
Let me tell you, I want to ask Lisa's thought, because you live by many of these Amish, as do we.
And there was this video that went viral where an Amish guy was asked, what's happening, are they turning out, and who are they turning out for?
And the guy said, well, our freedom's been affected.
We were more free under Trump and less so under Kamala.
And I found that to be a rather simple answer.
But...
There was a story where, apparently, Democrat, like, federal regulators went into organic farms.
lisa reynolds
Amos.
Amos' farms.
I spoke to him on the phone.
I was going to try to get Amos to come on, actually, and do a show on the culture war with Thomas Massey, right?
Because he's on that raw milk camp.
And he obviously, it was hard to even get him on the phone because they don't believe in the technology and he couldn't do the video.
And he was like, maybe I'll send my lawyer.
Anyway, what happened was they came in and they seized his farm and put everything under wraps for selling raw organic milk, which he's been doing for years.
This is, like, this is where their way of life is compromised, is because these regulations and these things under this administration, under this justice system, are totally targeting average working people all the time.
Look at the squirrel case, right?
Like, same thing.
Rip peanut.
Poor peanut.
It's all these little things that are adding up, but when they watch one of their own, they're a very tight-knit community, and when they watch one of their own being persecuted, they all stand up for each other.
And that's the way the rest of the world needs to be, by the way.
Can we all be more like the Amish and stand up for one another and really have each other's backs no matter what?
And that's why they're turning out in droves.
It really has to do with you're attacking one of their own.
james klug
Who are we thanking for identifying this and rallying them?
Are we thanking Scott Pressler?
Who are we thanking?
debra lea
He deserves an award.
james klug
When it comes to actually informing these people, making sure that they know what is at stake.
I know that they know when the government's interfering with their businesses, but are we thanking...
lisa reynolds
In Berks and Bucks County, he has moved mountains, for sure.
james klug
Scott?
lisa reynolds
Yeah, Scott has done amazing things.
shane cashman
I'm calling Pennsylvania for Scott right now.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, me too.
Listen, I hope.
james klug
You guys, the guy moved there for the purpose of adding one Republican vote.
debra lea
Under a new law, he wouldn't have been able to vote.
ian crossland
Oh yeah, having to wait.
debra lea
I should have to live in a state for an election cycle before voting.
tim pool
I'm not the biggest fan of this idea of moving to someone else's state and then altering their elections in that way.
That being said, I'm not going to look a gift horse in the mouth.
Scott Pressler, if Trump wins, it is because of the work of that man.
james klug
Who do we blame for loose election laws right now?
tim pool
So we have to get a hold of things if we're going to start securing our election system.
Don't even say security.
How about bring confidence back into the system?
lisa reynolds
Nobody has confidence.
tim pool
I know, we've got to bring it back.
lisa reynolds
People forget that there were Democrats before, during the Hillary one, that actually stood up and wanted to object to the election results as well.
This has been going on forever.
james klug
I mean, talk about the year 2000, 2004, 2016.
In 2004, a senator joined in as well.
lisa reynolds
So none of this has been, like, nobody's had any confidence for the last couple of years.
It's only now been exacerbated, and now Republicans care.
ian crossland
I'm going to take a little break.
It's been absolutely spectacular.
lisa reynolds
I needed the good vibes.
ian crossland
You're still going to feel it.
Can I be in the house partying?
tim pool
We got some more people here.
shane cashman
Alad's fishing out there at the party for people.
lisa reynolds
Alad is doing a bang-up job, though.
He really is.
james klug
Yeah, Alad's crushing it tonight.
Shout-out to Alad.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, shout-out to Alad.
tim pool
Alad's doing my job.
lisa reynolds
He's, like, rotating people.
james klug
Him and his American flag.
unidentified
See you, guys!
tim pool
Oh, look who it is!
debra lea
Wow, it's so different without the hydrograph.
lisa reynolds
We'll see you back then.
chris wallace
Deborah.
tim pool
Sir, would you like to introduce yourself?
debra lea
I'm kidding.
joel berry
Yes, hi.
Hi, everyone.
debra lea
Gotcha.
Gotcha.
joel berry
I'm Joel Berry, managing editor of the Babylon Bee.
james klug
You do great job.
debra lea
I know your face from Twitter.
lisa reynolds
He was just on the culture war.
Thank you very much, Joel.
joel berry
This set is a little different than I remember.
tim pool
It's a little different.
We got the party right behind us.
It's a lot of fun.
Sir, are you having fun yet?
joel berry
I'm having a lot of fun.
Yeah, I'm a little worried.
I've maybe had one too many to drink.
phil labonte
I thought you guys brought the fun with you at the Babylon Bee.
It was like in your pocket.
joel berry
Yeah, yeah.
We try to.
james klug
I appreciated the colorblind post today about the electoral map.
tim pool
What was one?
I think you guys had Babylon Bee projected that Kamala Harris will win unless she doesn't, then Trump will win.
Was that one of them?
joel berry
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
We like to make fun of the pollsters.
No one has any clue what's going on.
tim pool
I think Mark Halperin basically said that.
There was a video going around where he's like, I think Kamala Harris is going to win by a good margin unless she doesn't, then Trump wins.
And I was like, what?
unidentified
What?
joel berry
My favorite was Nate Silver's like 80,000 simulations that he ran, and he came up with like a 50-50 shot at the end.
tim pool
This is the best, though.
Nate Silver, and I'll give him respect for this, he wrote saying, I ran 80,000 simulations, it came up 50-50, it was statistically insignificant, but I know someone's going to write, Nate Silver calls it for Kamala Harris, and then Newsweek literally did it.
He was like, I can't, he's like, it's not even a coin toss.
Coin tosses have more odds, have more of an edge than this because of the weight of the coin.
joel berry
Yeah.
lisa reynolds
What do we think about the Notre Dame guy, right?
Like the guy who has like the keys.
tim pool
Oh, Lichtman?
lisa reynolds
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
How do we feel about that?
Because that makes me nervous.
Yeah, but he's predicted like all of them except for maybe one.
phil labonte
He changed all the details though.
lisa reynolds
Like this time?
phil labonte
Yes, he's made a lot.
I don't know the specifics, but he has...
lisa reynolds
I did not like that.
phil labonte
Certain criteria have to be met, and apparently, everybody that looks at his, has looked at his outlook this time, they're like, you've changed this, you've changed this, you've changed this.
james klug
That doesn't seem very scientific.
I follow the Trump and Kamala cookies.
debra lea
I was about to say that.
Has anybody checked in on the cookies?
tim pool
The cookies have predicted Trump.
Cookies have predicted Trump, and Mudang has predicted Trump.
lisa reynolds
Okay, okay.
unidentified
I was unaware of the Mudang.
tim pool
That's right, guys.
james klug
So, we're back.
That's it.
debra lea
There was like an MSNBC, some liberal documentary about the cookies, and they so confidently said that the only year they were wrong was 2020.
And they just didn't think anything of it.
They're like, yeah, they predicted Trump, but that was the only year they ever messed up.
lisa reynolds
Because they didn't mess up.
phil labonte
They didn't mess up.
joel berry
Mudang was a failed opportunity for a fulfilled prophecy for the Babylon Bee because we had a headline in our drafts folder where Mudang endorsed Trump.
This was like a month ago.
tim pool
Well, it came true.
joel berry
Yeah, we should have published it.
It would have been a fulfilled prophecy.
tim pool
Yeah, there you go.
Wow, I can't believe you missed that one.
Well, we all know that Peanut was assassinated.
No, hold on.
Hear me out.
I said this in the beginning.
I'm going to say it again now for anybody who missed it.
Peanut the Squirrel.
Okay, so what's an assassination?
How do you define assassination?
lisa reynolds
But did you hear the real story?
tim pool
A prominent individual who was killed for political purposes.
Peanut had two million followers and was killed by the state to affect a culture.
lisa reynolds
No, he was provoked.
So there's something else.
I think that a lot of people aren't following that story, but I really am following that story.
james klug
She's going to ruin it now.
lisa reynolds
Get the squirrel.
The squirrel felt trapped and attacked them, and so they had to test them for rabies.
tim pool
We already mentioned all this.
It's not true.
lisa reynolds
They just euthanized it for nothing.
tim pool
They euthanized it because a guy had 2 million followers with a pet squirrel, and they don't want people to build social media profiles on exotic pets, which New York City bans ferrets, for instance.
That's why I'm saying it's an assassination.
lisa reynolds
I agree.
tim pool
There's no reason to go into a guy's house and kill his raccoon and his squirrel.
The idea that both the raccoon and the squirrel bit somebody is absurd.
You have a handful of agents coming in knowing what they're coming in for.
You can easily contain house animals even if they're not traditional domesticated pets.
I think what happened was they said, look, this guy's got 2 million followers, he's making a lot of money, and there's going to be copycats.
More people are going to make squirrel accounts, and we are going to have 10,000 houses with squirrels.
People are going to get bit, and we're going to get rabies.
You need to go in and stop it.
Here's the problem.
If you confiscate the squirrel, he sues, he gets the squirrel back.
You take the squirrel, claim it, bit you.
You can necropsy its brain.
It's dead.
He can never get it back.
I believe it was political.
They didn't want people having squirrels for pets.
They wanted to affect the culture.
So they killed a prominent personality.
That's an assassination.
lisa reynolds
So you know how Australia has been known to be a little more authoritarian than we are, right, with the COVID lockdowns and things like that?
unidentified
A little more.
lisa reynolds
A lot weren't, right?
But there was a similar thing that happened.
There was a lady who had a magpie.
And the magpie would come and play with all that.
James makes me watch these animal things.
So there was like this magpie.
james klug
There's no evidence of that.
lisa reynolds
There's a hundred percent.
Devil attests it to.
So there was a magpie.
Anyway, somebody called and complained about the magpie.
And they came and they took it away.
And everybody petitioned.
And then they finally let the guy go get the license and do the thing.
and then now he could have the magpie because he followed all these simple steps.
They didn't do that here.
They did this here.
I really do think for political reasons, but I don't know, man.
If we're getting worse in Australia, I think that's a little bit of a right.
tim pool
I absolutely think, I'm being a little bit tongue-in-cheek.
It was, there was a cultural and political element to whether or not people can own exotic pets.
It's a huge issue of contention.
That's why the woman filed the complaint against him in the first place.
The state said, If you confiscate that squirrel, he's going to sue and get it back overnight.
joel berry
Well, it's like what the...
I remember when the director of the EPA under Obama talked about how the way we regulate things is we do what the Romans did.
We crucify someone outside of the town to make an example of them.
And that makes our regulation easier.
We don't have to go after all these little cases.
We just make an example of one person and intimidate the rest of the populace, and that's what they did here.
james klug
You guys know what the right has been so good at?
This election cycle has been capitalizing on those big moments.
The garbage truck, you know, peanut the squirrel.
It was all over social media.
It was everywhere.
Even Elon Musk is talking about it, and the media was having to address it, saying, oh, right wing has grabbed onto this new thing.
Trying to get it under control, and they couldn't control it because it was all over X. They actually...
tim pool
And I didn't believe...
There were a lot of fake headlines and jokes that were going around, fake tweets.
There were...
The media was explaining, why is the right talking about a squirrel?
But they were very light on it.
They didn't say, like, you're far right.
However, on social media, there absolutely were posts.
Because I checked into this, I'm like, are they really going to walk into this trap?
And there were liberals being like, why does anybody even care about a squirrel anyway?
This is stupid.
Squirrels are dumb.
And I was like...
joel berry
Did you see what Jennifer Rubin posted?
tim pool
There's no way that's real.
joel berry
Jennifer Rubin posted that mega squirrel deserved to die.
tim pool
I saw that too.
james klug
I didn't think that was really either.
unidentified
Was it deleted or was it fake?
tim pool
It was a screenshot that was posted and there's no way that woman said that.
It's funny.
joel berry
I wouldn't be surprised, though.
lisa reynolds
They were fighting in the comments, though.
There were definitely comments saying, this was definitely a MAGA Karen.
And then other people were like, no way, that's absolutely a Democrat.
And there were big threads fighting back and forth, whether it was like a MAGA OnlyFans.
tim pool
We got an update for you guys.
We got updates.
North Carolina is now Trump ahead.
With 24% reporting, Trump has 52.8%.
And Decision Desk has increased his probability of victory to 71.9%, the highest yet.
joel berry
Wow.
tim pool
Stay that way.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
Just look at that curve right there.
james klug
Just freeze up there.
tim pool
Let's just go.
Let's go.
So Ohio is still looking interesting.
joel berry
Why is Ohio lean in blue?
That's weird.
tim pool
Well, it's just who's reporting.
With 37% reporting, Trump has been closing the gap.
So 50.3% for Kamala Harris to 49% for Donald Trump with only 37% in.
And it just turned red right now.
Trump has just jumped ahead to 51.1.
Kamala Harris is 48.1.
I'm willing to bet Decision Desk is going to change his chance of winning even higher now in just a moment.
They are projecting 282 votes for Trump to win.
james klug
The needle!
joel berry
Let's go!
tim pool
Currently has Harris' popular vote chance at.8.
debra lea
Wow.
tim pool
Look at this, man.
PA is skewing.
Republican, Nevada Republican, North Carolina Republican, Arizona Georgia.
The only two states with a Harris edge are Wisconsin and Michigan.
And I gotta be honest, I ain't even confident for her in that regard.
Michigan currently has 8% in, and she's at 56% to 41%, but we're largely looking at Detroit.
We do have Eaton County, and we've got Oakland, and we've got Washington, and that is just outside of Detroit, outside of Wayne County.
So, right now...
Hey, look, man.
We all remember when Donald Trump was winning on election night in 2020, so...
joel berry
Yeah.
tim pool
We're gonna go to bed, we're gonna wake up, and they're gonna be like, oh, actually, no, Kamala won.
lisa reynolds
I'm hearing that Mark Halpern just said that Wisconsin is not looking good for Democrats at all.
So that could be...
tim pool
Is it exit polling data?
unidentified
Yeah.
debra lea
Zero percent in.
tim pool
We got 13% in PA, and this is just Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia, so we're not seeing the rural counties yet.
lisa reynolds
No, I'm talking about Wisconsin.
james klug
For Wisconsin, I know that Trump's internal polling, they were also saying it was great news for Donald Trump, so they were looking at that, thinking it was going towards Trump.
tim pool
Uh-oh, Kansas is blue!
james klug
What percentage of this is just for in-person voting today instead of the ballots?
tim pool
I think there is some data, we mentioned this, some of the data is mail-in voting that's already been counted.
So, don't know for sure.
The funny thing is going to be like, oh, we found a bunch of ballots that came in the mail.
Those are being counted in two weeks.
joel berry
Yeah, Michigan in particular is a disaster.
I mean, there are several precincts in Detroit that don't even have Republican poll watchers.
The DNC has spent hundreds of thousands on overseas votes in Michigan.
unidentified
This is big.
tim pool
63% are in in Georgia, and Trump is up 51.9 to 47.5.
What is it, 4.4?
That's a big lead.
He's up around 150k votes up.
So that's good news.
They adjusted downward a little bit.
That surprised me to 71.1.
But still looking good for Donald Trump.
Polymarket currently has him at 74%.
joel berry
Wow.
tim pool
And that's not even his highest?
No, no, no.
lisa reynolds
Guys, aren't you nervous to get too excited?
I am so nervous.
debra lea
We're going to be depressed if he loses.
We may as well be hopeful now.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, but the higher the high, the lower the low.
joel berry
He was in the 90s in 2020, I remember.
At one point in the 90s.
unidentified
Yeah, right?
debra lea
At like 1am.
unidentified
I'm afraid.
tim pool
90% to win?
joel berry
Yeah.
Before midnight, Trump was 90% to win in the betting markets.
tim pool
This is going to the Supreme Court.
In the betting markets?
joel berry
In the betting markets.
tim pool
I can't imagine this doesn't go to the Supreme Court.
lisa reynolds
Why?
tim pool
There's going to be 50 billion lawsuits no matter what happens.
Democrats, Republicans, whoever wins, whoever doesn't win, they're going to sue the pants off everybody else.
So, if Trump wins handily, if he actually takes the popular vote and the Electoral College, then it probably is just thrown out and we know.
It's done.
No mail-in votes are going to change anything.
But if it's close, because New York Times is still saying Kamala Harris has the edge for the popular vote, and that makes sense, then I think this goes to the Supreme Court, and there's a strong probability we end up seeing With the Fifth Circuit Court's ruling that mail-in votes accepted after Election Day are illegal, the Supreme Court's going to say, you're correct.
Any vote received after Election Day is gone.
And that eliminates a massive amount of likely Kamala Harris votes.
debra lea
But then one of the override states like New York, where it said on our actual voter instructions that we were mailed, that your ballot can be postmarked by November 5th and received up until November...
Wow.
tim pool
What was the date?
debra lea
November 12th.
unidentified
That's insane.
debra lea
I know, I made a whole video about it.
tim pool
We don't have election month.
debra lea
November, that's a whole week after.
tim pool
The Constitution says Congress shall choose how the election happens.
It is codified.
We have an election day.
You can't count ballots after the fact, which they did in 2020, and the Fifth Circuit Federal Court already said that's illegal.
Supreme Court, I imagine, will agree if they're not cowards and they actually take the case.
joel berry
If they're not cowards.
tim pool
Exactly.
lisa reynolds
If they're not cowards.
However, if they do take the case and rule that way, there will definitely be not only unrest, but packing of the courts.
That will intensify their incentive to pack the courts later on.
We don't want that at all.
james klug
By the way, California, the deadline for fixing your signature, I believe, is December 1st.
lisa reynolds
Fixing your signature?
james klug
Yeah, if they send it back and it's having an issue.
I might be wrong about that, but I believe it's December 1st.
phil labonte
This is something that Ben was talking about the other night.
The Supreme Court does try to stay out of these kind of arguments.
These aren't things that you want your court to be deciding.
You want the legislature to figure it out.
You want the legislature to make the decision because that's something that the legislature is something that people vote on.
So if the Supreme Court can keep out of it, they're going to try to, regardless of whether they were appointed by Donald Trump or whether they were not appointed by Donald Trump.
It is best if the Supreme Court doesn't make the call because the Supreme Court's not voted on by the people.
So that's just something that we genuinely should hope for as Americans, that it doesn't go to the Supreme Court, and that if it does go to the Supreme Court, that the Supreme Court kicks it back and says, no, we're not going to decide on this because it's not our job to do that.
These things are decided by your state legislatures or by people that are elected, not by people that are appointed.
tim pool
I just want to give a quick heads up.
We're having, I would consider to be the minorest or the most minor of internet issues, which I don't believe is on our end.
I'm not sure.
It could be the area, so who knows.
But just giving a heads up just in case.
Everything so far seems to be fairly good, but I'm just keeping an eye on things.
lisa reynolds
Keeping an eye on Nathan, can we look back in on the eastern blue states one, Pennsylvania and New Jersey?
I just want to see what's reporting.
Both.
I want to see what the percentage reporting is.
tim pool
13% reporting in PA, but it's still mostly just Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia.
So those are huge, and some rural counties are starting to come in, but there's still...
lisa reynolds
All those rural counties will be good.
debra lea
So not to make your whole show about the assassination of Peanut, but that was something I wanted to mention because I actually toured the border.
lisa reynolds
Kate McCowney now red, like I said.
tim pool
What turned red?
lisa reynolds
Kate McCowney on the bottom.
tim pool
Right, and Bergen flipped blue.
That is a bummer with 37% reporting.
We'll see, we'll see.
debra lea
I'm so proud of my people.
tim pool
Yeah, well, hopefully they're going to vote for Trump.
What about Peanut?
debra lea
I toured the border recently, and animals are like the top three largest category, exotic animals, trafficked into this country.
It's people, drugs, and animals.
And this is just, I think, the highlight of this election, what a lot of people are frustrated with.
Democrats will pass any rule.
They'll say you can't have an exotic animal, but then they're doing nothing for the people who are already breaking the rules.
We've had floods of illegal immigration in Manhattan, which couldn't be further from the border.
And so I would be really disappointed in all the border states if they don't flood out red to protect their children, like the Uvalde bailout.
That was a cause of illegal immigration because the students were so used to bailouts where the illegal immigrants just jump out of the car and run in five directions.
They didn't know it was a real school shooter.
So to protect our kids, I would be very disappointed.
tim pool
So in about five minutes, I believe five minutes, right, guys?
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
Five minutes, I will be getting up and I will be joining The Daily Wire as we will both be streaming a combination of their show with me joining and making one big stream.
So we're all good back there.
Guys, is audio coming in properly and all that stuff?
Looking good?
Alright, we're four minutes out.
Just want to make sure everybody knows because we're flying by the seat of our pants.
And, uh, excuse me.
You know, with Crowder, we had that audio hiccup where he jumped in too early.
Not him, but the audio kicked on our end.
And then, what's our time frame for Lotus Eaters?
That's midnight, right?
Midnight Central.
Eastern?
Central?
Central.
So, 1 a.m.
Eastern, we'll be live with the Lotus Eaters because we don't get to sleep.
You guys do.
And then hopefully you don't wake up to bad news.
Here's hoping.
But so far, everything's looking pretty good.
Trump's chances ticked down a little bit to 70.2%.
We'll see.
lisa reynolds
It's still way above 50.
james klug
Are we able to compare this time to like 2020 to see where it was at in 2020?
phil labonte
I don't want to.
unidentified
Don't look back.
debra lea
Just keep looking forward.
james klug
I would love context on this to see what they were saying.
debra lea
Let's wipe that data from the internet.
tim pool
People are saying the New York Times actually has that data.
So how do we find that data?
Someone said check the 2020 New York Times map.
james klug
I think that's a good comparison.
tim pool
How do we find that?
phil labonte
I think you have to first self-harm before you can actually find that link.
You have to do something.
tim pool
No surprises, more polls, no idea how we check the previous data.
No idea.
We have the needle, which is slightly, it's still in toss-up territory, but Kamala Harris is.8 for the popular vote estimate.
Trump is still leading.
It's going back and forth.
This is actually something interesting.
Kamala Harris has lost her Michigan edge.
She now only has Wisconsin.
Still a toss-up, but Michigan is dead even.
PA, Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, all-leaning Republican.
phil labonte
Big news!
debra lea
Michigan goes for John Stein.
tim pool
Trump's chance of winning has just dropped down to 67.7.
They're doing this on purpose for the entertainment value, I swear.
lisa reynolds
I want everybody to give me a number.
Like, on a scale of 1 to 10, how confident are you feeling?
Like, that's what I want to be.
Tim, what are you feeling?
I don't know.
tim pool
Ohio is red right now with 45% in.
Trump is up about, what is that, 4.4 points.
4.4 points.
What a way to say it.
But that is the number.
4.4.
james klug
Scale of 1 to 10.
unidentified
Yeah.
Yeah.
lisa reynolds
Give me a scale of 110.
How are you feeling?
Like, overall, your confidence level.
Six?
tim pool
Yeah, I would give it a 6.77.
lisa reynolds
That's very particular.
tim pool
Yeah, I'm 3.23 unhopeful.
unidentified
Oof.
abby phillip
That's scaring me.
joel berry
I'll give it a 5.1.
debra lea
Double decimal places.
Come on.
unidentified
What about you, Lisa?
lisa reynolds
You know me.
No, we're not doing that.
james klug
I'm going to go 7.2.
I do feel good about it.
I think that there's going to be some shenanigans, but I think we're going to pull through.
lisa reynolds
Too big to rig.
james klug
I feel good about it.
I feel really good about it.
tim pool
Polymark is absolutely wild.
james klug
The thing that I'm actually most concerned about was the propaganda that you were talking about earlier, which, I mean, the last seven days, there's been massive hoaxes, one after the other after the other, and people regurgitate these things.
I don't want to talk about me on the street all the time, but I hear it all the time, and it is rampant.
I mean, they don't talk about any policies.
They don't talk about anything they like about Kamala Harris.
They only talk about the hoaxes, and that's basically it.
phil labonte
It's Donald Trump.
It's surprising.
It's Donald Trump.
They spent a week talking about how the Madison Square Garden was just like the Nazi rally.
Never mind the fact that Bill Clinton was there.
Never mind the fact that, I believe it was, Carter was there.
Never mind all that stuff.
Donald Trump was there, so it's Nazis.
And they spent time talking about, you know, the comedian was insulting Puerto Ricans, or Puerto Rico, because he made a joke about...
james klug
Because they have a trash problem, a garbage problem.
phil labonte
Because they have a landfill problem right there.
And so he made a joke about it, so he's insulting them.
james klug
Liz Cheney.
phil labonte
Liz Cheney, you know, there was all the...
He's talking about assassinating Liz Cheney.
It's the same thing as the bloodbath hoax.
It's the same thing as the very fine people hoax.
It is never, ever...
tim pool
We are about to...
Are they coming in?
Maybe?
We don't know.
No, they're not coming in.
Keep going.
unidentified
It's never...
tim pool
I got people looking at me, and they're going, like, thumbs up, and they're pointing, and...
lisa reynolds
Wait, are they coming in here, or are you going to them?
tim pool
They're gonna come in, and we're gonna...
I'm gonna go join them, and then you guys will be...
You won't exist anymore, because object permanence isn't a thing, and...
lisa reynolds
No, no, no, it's fine.
I just want you to wear your...
debra lea
You must not be a cat.
james klug
Phil, I'm still interested in what you're saying.
phil labonte
The point is, the Democrats have totally stopped trying to argue on policy.
They didn't do it in 2016.
They didn't do it in 2020.
And they're not doing it now.
Because the Democrats' policies are bad.
They produce negative results.
They don't produce results that the American people want.
So what they do is they have to scare the American people.
james klug
They produce death and destruction, honestly.
unidentified
Yeah.
joel berry
And the scary thing is that for 45% of the country, that approach works.
james klug
Yeah, but this is the benefit of being able to lie with impunity.
Like, I'm over here as a conservative commentator, street interviewer, and I'm getting my memes fact-checked on Instagram, right?
Where they're able to say all of this stuff, Kamala HQ is probably the most outrageous of examples that they can get away with.
phil labonte
They do.
So they have an apparatus, and it's something that Mike Benz was talking about.
It's not just the media.
It's also the State Department.
unidentified
Totally.
phil labonte
It's the government itself.
So you've got the State Department feeding BS to the American people.
You've got the entire Democrat establishment feeding BS, the DNC. You've got the media that desire nothing more than access to these people that are feeding the same narrative bullshit.
And so the American people that don't spend any time looking into these hoaxes, they think, why would the government doesn't take sides?
lisa reynolds
Not only that, they've infiltrated every social media.
They've infiltrated Reddit.
They've infiltrated community notes.
unidentified
They've infiltrated all of it.
debra lea
academies and BMI is racist.
phil labonte
So the idea that this is a fair election.
tim pool
We're good to go.
We are jumping over.
Share the show with everyone you know right now.
We're going to be joining the Daily Wire live.
lisa reynolds
All right.
dennis prager
So here we go.
The Daily Wire Bible is those of you who love God must, it's a commandment.
debra lea
I've only heard Dennis.
Wow, it sounds so different now.
dennis prager
If you don't hate evil, you don't love God.
phil labonte
How long do we have?
dennis prager
So for a pastor or a rabbi that's irrelevant or a pope to say that Jesus doesn't take sides...
He doesn't take sides on whether you cut girls' breasts off if they save their boys?
That's frightening.
unidentified
Could you deliver that message to the evangelicals?
dennis prager
I do.
I speak to Christians more than to Jews.
jeremy boring
I will say that there is an aspect of Jesus which is...
You hate to use modern political vernacular to talk about ancient religious figures, but there is a liberal aspect to Jesus in the sense that Dr.
Jordan Peterson often says that the purpose of the liberal in a healthy society is to speak for the underrepresented.
It's to speak for anyone who...
Because in any sort of hierarchy of any kind, there are going to be people who get disenfranchised, there are going to be people who the system looks over, and someone has to remind those of us who are in power, those of us who are ascendant, to remember those people and to care for them.
But that's about where the comparison can stop, right?
Religion is fundamentally a conservative exercise because it posits that the greatest wisdom that's ever existed We're good to go.
michael j knowles
Largely a rejection of religion.
I mean, you think of the French Revolution as where we get the terms left and right.
And what does that come from?
That comes from the National Assembly, where the Catholics sat on the right and the atheists sat on the left.
And that was pretty much the breakdown.
jeremy boring
Speaking of the French Revolution, our friend Tim Poole is joining us now.
And not a moment too soon, because the polls are closing in a number of states just in the last few minutes.
All throughout the central part of the country, including...
Including Texas, my home state, which you will be shocked to learn is being universally called for Donald Trump.
So going into the election, there were all kinds of things that people were...
Maybe New York will go for Trump, and maybe Texas will go for Harris.
All that is wish-casting.
We still live in a world where gravity works.
ben shapiro
Here's some quick calls.
Trump wins Wyoming.
Trump wins Kansas.
Trump wins North Dakota.
Trump wins South Dakota.
Trump wins Nebraska.
Trump wins Louisiana.
And Kamala wins New York.
So Donald Trump's big dream of winning New York.
Well, that one went down in flames because that's a really stupid idea.
jeremy boring
Hey, Kamala Harris did campaign in Texas.
tim pool
Did that all just came in right now?
ben shapiro
Yeah.
jeremy boring
All just, yeah, as you were walking over.
unidentified
Right, right, right.
tim pool
Well, how are you guys feeling?
We've been tracking the decision desk forecast, giving Trump's about 70% chance to win.
And it's going down a little bit, but it's staying about two to one.
So what do we think?
ben shapiro
I don't know, man.
What do you think?
tim pool
The whole time, the scariest thing is the quote-unquote shadow campaign.
Time Magazine writes that article.
2020 had a shadow campaign.
We go to bed, Trump's ahead in all the numbers, and then we wake up and he's not winning.
Based on what I've seen on the ground, based on...
I went to Philadelphia, and there were Trump signs in downtown Philadelphia and the surrounding residential areas.
That, to me, was crazy to see an urban center that was Republican or that people were unafraid.
And so my gut just says Trump's got the edge, whatever that means.
But I don't know the Republicans have the procedural capabilities that Democrats have.
I think, Ben, you were saying they're way more professional.
That is worrying to me.
ben shapiro
Yeah, so there was some Gallup data that suggested that a much higher percentage of Democrats had heard directly from the Kamala campaign than Republicans had heard from the Trump campaign.
The Democrats are granular on this sort of stuff.
They know how to ballot harvest.
They will knock on doors.
They will do whatever it takes to get their people out.
Republicans, it always feels like, okay, guys, just please just go.
And the more we just shout vote at people, somebody out there, you open your window, you'll shout vote and some person in Pennsylvania will hear you.
With that said, I mean, the enthusiasm that Trump, you know, does enable in the voting population on both sides, but largely on the right, is unprecedented, obviously, in American history.
And you are seeing that show up.
If you had to game it out right now...
Trump is a slight favorite.
I think everyone sort of acknowledges at this point that Trump is a slight favorite, but it's a very slight favorite.
So like the needle, the New York Times, the famous needle.
They right now have it leaning right between it's a toss-up and lean Trump.
Like they have it very slightly favoring President Trump.
He is very slightly favored.
To win Pennsylvania.
He's slightly favored still to win Nevada and North Carolina, according to the New York Times.
So I'm not citing a left-wing source right there.
And of course, it seems as though we're having a better time tonight than the people on MSNBC are.
From what I'm hearing from my...
I'm getting a lot of text from...
dennis prager
That was part of the reason my joy...
You know the whole night I watched the left-wing media.
ben shapiro
We're going to live stream MSNBC. If this goes the wrong way, we're just going to put a live camera outside Kamala's headquarters, and we're just going to watch people scream into the night, and it's going to be just wonderful.
dennis prager
There will be joy.
michael j knowles
There will be joy.
dennis prager
You guys all know the term schadenfreude.
Joy in others' misery.
So I don't generally have that, but that night eight years ago, If they do it tonight, it's like the purge, right?
ben shapiro
All moral rules are off.
Just continue to avoid the suffering of others.
michael j knowles
I have been very honest with myself for the past several days.
I have relatives and friends who are big libs.
You know, I'm from New York.
I lived in L.A. A lot of Democrat friends.
And I won't bring it up with them.
And it won't come up at Thanksgiving.
Right.
dennis prager
Exactly.
michael j knowles
However, I have two buddies who are New York Democrats.
And I am...
I don't want to get ahead of myself, but...
I am salivating at the prospect of rubbing it in their faces so hard.
They're the only two.
I think it's otherwise we have to have a politics of grace.
But there will be some schadenfreude.
I think it might be unavoidable.
ben shapiro
As a warning to others, we must engage in schadenfreude.
I do not repeat this exercise again.
It's like punishing your child.
You don't want to do it.
You really don't want to do it, but it has to be done.
It hurts you more than that.
tim pool
This is why I really hope that Trump wins the popular vote.
If Trump wins the Electoral College and loses the popular vote, I know I'm going to go to Thanksgiving and they're going to say, you guys only win because of some archaic procedure.
We're the popular man.
michael j knowles
A procedure called the Constitution.
You guys only win because of your government.
tim pool
I want Trump to win the popular vote so I can just say you're wrong about everything and we're right about everything.
dennis prager
So wait, you have that too?
You have a lot of relatives who are on the left?
tim pool
Oh yeah.
dennis prager
Oh yeah.
So this is a fascinating question.
I love this sort of thing because I always ask people about their own personal lives.
I'm fascinated.
The only human being I know, and you must understand how many I've asked, including people I meet, which is a lot, on the radio, just people calling in.
Literally, the only person I know, all of whose relatives are conservative, is my wife.
unidentified
Wow.
jeremy boring
Really?
dennis prager
Yes.
andrew klavan
Lucky her.
unidentified
No kidding.
dennis prager
She's going to live until 170 years.
She has no misery.
No.
michael j knowles
At that point, though, what's the point of going to Thanksgiving?
ben shapiro
I feel like Biden's having a bad election.
tim pool
Is this true that Joe Biden was wearing red?
ben shapiro
So Jill was.
When Jill voted.
For sure, 100% Jill voted for Trump.
michael j knowles
Gotta be, gotta be, right?
ben shapiro
She despises Kamala Harris.
michael j knowles
At the very least, they wrote in Joe Biden.
There is no way they voted for him.
tim pool
I heard she wrote in Joe, and she wore red.
ben shapiro
That's amazing.
dennis prager
She wore red, that matters.
Is that a new thing?
jeremy boring
We're in the Republican colors, right?
dennis prager
Yeah, no, I didn't know about that.
jeremy boring
Remarkable.
tim pool
It's like a nudge-nudge, you know?
dennis prager
But doesn't...
But doesn't Donald Trump often wear a blue tie?
andrew klavan
No, he's got the red tie, the yellow tie.
dennis prager
He always has a red tie, really?
michael j knowles
Occasionally the blue.
You know, something people forget about election night history.
ben shapiro
They switched it.
michael j knowles
Yeah, it was always up in the air.
Sometimes, you know, when Reagan won, blue was Republican and red was Democrat.
dennis prager
Which is the way it ought to be.
michael j knowles
Yes, they're the reds.
But it was the 2000 election.
I think it was Tim Russert in particular.
That was really when it started to solidify as red for Republican, blue for Dem.
And I totally agree with you, Dennis.
They are actually reds, so it fits them.
And red is an unattractive color.
I'm wearing a red shirt jacket.
But I mean that bright red, it's like a stop sign or something.
This is burgundy.
This is more like a plum.
Yes, yeah.
ben shapiro
In Ohio, it looks like Bernie Moreno is going to cruise to victory over Sherrod Brown.
Let's go.
dennis prager
Really?
michael j knowles
Let's go.
ben shapiro
Sherrod Brown is going to be ousted.
unidentified
All right, baby.
dennis prager
Wow, that's big.
ben shapiro
Yeah, that takes the Republicans to 52 in the Senate.
Wow.
Which is a more durable majority, obviously.
tim pool
West Virginia was fairly obvious.
When they called it, I'm like, I live there.
Shane on our show is like, there's no cities in West Virginia.
You've got nothing to worry about.
dennis prager
No, no, that's a great line.
michael j knowles
Yeah.
jeremy boring
So we're being joined right now from Harris HQ in D.C. by our very own Spencer Lindquist.
Spencer, how are things shaping up over there?
Have you been able to talk to any attendees inside the party?
unidentified
Thank you.
jeremy boring
I don't mind that they're jittery.
What do you think is the most likely victory map if she does end up winning tonight?
unidentified
You don't have to win.
jeremy boring
And as you've been looking around D.C. for the last day or two, we see reports about shopkeepers boarding up their businesses.
is.
Are you seeing that?
unidentified
Are you seeing that?
jeremy boring
If they start boarding up the windows at the White House, please text us.
That's the thing.
I'm going to want to get a head start.
ben shapiro
Well, really appreciate it, Spencer.
We'll check back in with you in just a little bit.
Daily Wire's footprint at Harris HQ was made possible by friends at PDS Debt.
Get a custom plan right now to become a debt-free at pdsdebt.com slash dailywire.
By the way, a good exit poll alert.
This one from NBC News suggesting that Donald Trump may win up to 45% of the Latino vote.
That is a big number.
That is a very, very big number.
andrew klavan
Mostly Puerto Ricans.
michael j knowles
What did Bush get in 04?
He got a huge number.
ben shapiro
I think he had about 45%.
michael j knowles
Somewhere around there, okay.
That was the biggest ever, right?
ben shapiro
Yes.
Wow.
It's a major realignment.
Again, the Democrats, for a couple of reasons, have totally misread the Hispanic population in the United States.
They misread them on policy because they think that they're just a bunch of left-wing San Francisco liberals so long as you keep the border open.
But they also, I think, made a huge mistake in 2020, misreading the Hispanic population by using this dumbass notion of BIPOC. This idea that every member of minority was the same as every other member of minority.
So Asians were the same as black people, the same as Hispanic people.
First of all, Hispanic people ain't even the same as Hispanic people, right?
michael j knowles
Of course.
ben shapiro
Cuba is not the same as Argentina, which is not the same as Venezuela.
These are all different countries with completely different histories.
And they think different ways.
And the attempt to lump everybody...
And then I think in 2020, when they were like, listen...
If you're Latino, you must believe that Black Lives Matter is the most important thing in the world.
You start to see the shift then.
I think you saw a lot of Hispanics go, you know, no.
The answer is no.
That's not the same thing.
unidentified
I think Latinx was probably offensive to a lot of Hispanics as well.
andrew klavan
They said so.
tim pool
I mean, they're like, what does that mean?
Who are you talking to?
michael j knowles
We do know, though, actually, that the Democrats are aware at some level that Hispanics are not all the same.
because Obama, as he was opening up immigration from everywhere in Latin America, did close the door on the Cubans.
He said, no, for the first time, forget about those Cubans.
You're going back.
But everyone else, Venezuelans, please come over.
ben shapiro
Meanwhile, another NBC News exit poll in Wisconsin, suggesting this Dasha Burns of NBC News, suggesting that Trump has doubled his black support in Wisconsin Wow.
Trump is pulling apparently about 20% of the black vote versus 78% for Kamala Harris.
Four years ago, he won 8% of black voters in Wisconsin.
You're looking at identity realignment happening in real time in this election cycle.
It's amazing.
And so the final identity the Democrats are just banging on is white ladies.
White single ladies.
Really, honest to God.
dennis prager
Well, black ladies too.
tim pool
We call them...
ben shapiro
Single ladies.
We should say single ladies are the constituency of the Democratic Party.
dennis prager
That's right.
ben shapiro
Which is why Kamala Harris has campaigned so hard to get those people out to vote and campaign almost solely on abortion because she's dropping support like flies with Hispanic men, with black men.
andrew klavan
People with the capacity for reasons.
ben shapiro
I mean, also...
It actually is not distributed evenly.
Among single women, it's not as though everybody of every race who's single, I think that it really depends on how likely you are to get married as a single woman, as a member of those populations.
This is a question that we were talking about with Jordan, was married women obviously vote very much like their husbands.
Is that because they're being forcibly abused by their husbands?
Or is it because the types of women who tend to get married tend to be the types of women who vote like their husbands?
andrew klavan
And people also marry people like themselves a little bit.
jeremy boring
Marriage also changes people.
I think that's an important part of it.
andrew klavan
And children.
jeremy boring
And children change people.
ben shapiro
But it's also increasingly a self-selected group, meaning the kinds of people who want to get married are also the kinds of people who are going to tend to vote Republican a little bit.
By the way, Kelly Ayotte is now your governor of New Hampshire.
She's a Republican, so Trump doesn't win the state, but Ayotte is the governor of New Hampshire.
unidentified
That's the first Republican governor they've had in 2000.
andrew klavan
No.
Oh, yes.
michael j knowles
Okay, I'm sorry.
jeremy boring
I do want to say the worst thing that I saw...
andrew klavan
The New York Times needle has now shifted over to leaning to Trump.
tim pool
He's now leaning Trump.
michael j knowles
66 to 34.
dennis prager
Wait, wait, wait.
What's 66-34?
michael j knowles
66% likelihood, according to the New York Times.
dennis prager
Why do you keep saying it's...
No, you kept saying it's just slightly.
I don't understand.
That's not slight.
michael j knowles
They're saying leaning Trump, but they're saying the likelihood given that lean.
So it went from toss-up into the lean category.
This is all this stupid needle.
dennis prager
Why is 66 lean?
That's all I'm asking.
66 is not lean.
tim pool
That's two to one.
michael j knowles
They're not saying Trump is going to win 66%.
dennis prager
No, no.
They're saying it's a 66% chance he'll win.
michael j knowles
Yes.
dennis prager
But that's not lean.
michael j knowles
No, I mean...
dennis prager
I don't know why that's...
Lean is 54.46.
jeremy boring
Dennis, the same needle once said that Hillary Clinton had 99%.
dennis prager
Okay, I agree.
I agree with that.
It's just the word lean juxtaposed to that.
michael j knowles
Because you do think the last time we talked about this needle, it was to watch it just go like...
jeremy boring
I don't want to move too far from this conversation about the gender gap in the electorate without talking about the hands down, bar none, worst political ad of my lifetime put out by a PAC supporting...
Kamala Harris, that encouraged women to lie to their husbands.
I think divorce is a grave evil, something we could argue about one of these days.
I might divorce my wife if I found out that she lied to me.
I would not divorce my wife for voting for someone with whom I deeply disagree.
I mean, that would be a challenge.
You'd have to, because you, in a marriage, need to have a common set of values and a common mission.
tim pool
But to find out that your spouse just lies to you about who they vote for, Did you see the whisper campaign that the Washington Post was reporting on?
They said after that ad went out, women were putting post-it notes in bathroom stalls saying, your husband won't know, your boyfriend won't know, your vote is a secret.
I kind of feel like if I went to the bathroom and I saw a post-it on the wall, I would not consider what it was telling me.
andrew klavan
What's wrong with you?
tim pool
You know, that's not what women were doing, and if it worked for them, I guess.
michael j knowles
This is a reminder, though.
I agree with you.
That ad drove me so bonkers.
jeremy boring
So vile.
michael j knowles
But it's so perfectly exemplary of the Democrat Party because, you know, the fundamental political unit is the family.
It's not the individual, right?
The political unit means it's the family.
And the Democrats have been so relentless in their assaults on the family.
Taking your kids away from you, promoting divorce, discouraging marriage, promoting abortion, all down the line.
All the way up to, hey, folks, our best argument for victory is you divide up your marriage.
And that will divide up the country and we win.
andrew klavan
You know, the New York Times, if you follow the New York Times, they run at least three articles a week suggesting various kinds of sex that will probably destroy or enslave you, unless you're married.
If you're married, they keep saying, you know, you don't have to have sex when you're married.
They literally have these articles, but you might want to consider it a throuple.
jordan b peterson
If you're childless and alone...
Maybe a decent evolutionary strategy is to break up other people's marriages.
I'm dead serious about that.
You have no idea what sort of machinations people are capable of when what they're fighting for is the probability that they will end up in a couple.
There's no holds barred.
And it certainly is a useful strategy.
If you're not in a couple, and other people are, then one of your strategies is to do everything you can to break that up.
Why wouldn't you?
What, are you going to solidify the situation?
And you might say, well, that's counterproductive in the long run.
It's like, well, maybe you're not concerned about the long run if you're that desperate.
Because desperate people tend not to be concerned with the long run.
We do have this terrible mystery that conservatives haven't unlocked, which is the absolutely aberrant pattern of attitudes and voting patterns that characterize Single women between the ages of 18 and 34.
There's a big problem there, and it's a real mystery.
It can't just be passed over because what they're doing is radically different than what everyone else is doing, and it's enough to consistently swing the elections.
jeremy boring
Tim, we were talking about this last night on your show, this idea that people like Chelsea Handler and others keep talking about how they do drugs and have sex with themselves all day, and they're so genuinely happy.
And my argument was that they actually are happy.
I don't think that they're lying.
I think that they don't know that there's an entire realm of human emotion that happens in marriage and then when you have children that they're not even aware of.
jordan b peterson
Happy is a trivial emotion.
The fact that we're obsessed with happiness even on the psychological side is an indication of how trivial our culture is.
One of the things that you see quite consistently in psychological research is that children without Couples without children are happier than couples with children.
It's like, well, you shouldn't have children.
It's like, no, you shouldn't use happiness measurements as your index of outcome.
Of course you're less happy, because your three-year-old is fragile, and if you have a three-year-old and a one-year-old, it's like, well, you're juggling catastrophes all the time.
Well, seriously, you don't have time to be happy.
But happiness is a fleeting, hedonic emotion, and it's not an indicator of...
Participation in a process that's going to stabilize your life and the life of your family across decades.
tim pool
It's the permanent adolescence of the coming generations.
I look at wolves and I look at dogs and the story of how dogs came to be domesticated.
They say that dogs are effectively just permanent adolescent wolves.
I see that's what's happening to humanity right now with the current trend.
Telling people not to grow up.
Play video games.
Stay home.
Stay single.
Live in your own internal world.
But I believe that is spiritual suicide.
jordan b peterson
That's the Peter Pan story.
Peter Pan has Tinker Bell the porn fairy.
Dan's serious.
I mean, he's king of the Lost Boys, right?
Well, that's a form of king.
It's not, perhaps, the kingship that you'd choose.
And he forgoes the possibilities of maturity to remain in this childhood fantasy.
It is hedonistic.
tim pool
Our media is telling everybody to keep doing it.
They're telling you you're selfish if you try to live and have a family and experience what you should be doing.
And also, I believe, your moral duty...
Which is, for those that are religious, to be fruitful and multiply.
But for the sake of humanity, if you look at it from a more secular point of view, something like Elon Musk, if we do not reproduce, civilization collapses.
And they are telling people to just be hedonistic and to be permanent children.
andrew klavan
You know, I kind of disagree with you a bit about this because...
People who do these things, I've known a lot of them.
I worked in Hollywood for quite a while, and I've known a lot of people who live like that.
I don't think they're happy.
You know, I think they have that kind of surface, brittle, smiley happiness, but you only have to question them, talk to them for 10, 20 minutes, and the depth of despair underneath that.
It's like thin ice over a bottle.
jordan b peterson
Well, that's why the measurements are terribly out of whack.
It's like, if you're going to do research on something as fundamental as human well-being, you bloody well better make sure your measurements are accurate.
michael j knowles
We also need to establish...
We have to establish the definition of happiness, which is like, these guys are talking about happiness as though, in the way we talk about it in modern times, which is as some fleeting little emotion or you get tickled or something.
But, you know, happiness we used to understand as rational activity done with excellence in accordance with virtue.
jordan b peterson
Exactly.
michael j knowles
Aristotle wrote a very good book about this.
And so we used to believe that actually there was an end to mankind.
There was like a purpose for man.
There was a purpose for marriage.
We could know things by their purpose.
That ground has totally shaken underneath us.
So when we disagree over what makes us happy, unfortunately the problem is even more fundamental.
We don't even agree on what happiness is.
jeremy boring
And maybe this is actually why I always say this in a way that you...
Because we talk about this from time to time and you guys disagree with me, but...
For example, 2023 was the hardest year of my life.
I mean, it was genuinely traumatizingly hard.
And I still would have told you I was miserable, but I was also happy.
I was certainly not at my best.
But I still would have considered myself a happy person even in my misery.
And I think that it may be that I'm just defining happiness differently.
I don't think of happiness.
tim pool
We are coming back, everybody.
That was a lot of fun.
And we may do another jump over.
At some point.
But let's get back into it.
What were you guys doing?
Were you guys...
seamus coughlin
We were just talking smack about you.
The entire time.
We were making fun of you.
I was wearing a beanie.
tim pool
He's got to knock me down a few pegs.
He's got to get your ego too big hanging out with Jordan Peterson.
unidentified
I ate some chicken wings.
tim pool
Oh, really?
unidentified
I'm jealous.
tim pool
I'm kind of hungry.
unidentified
It's like you have to wear the beanie of chaos if you ever want to rescue your father from the underworld, man.
tim pool
It is tough because it's their show and I'm also sitting there and Jeremy is trying to like...
You know, because they're like, okay, I guess you're ready to go.
And Jeremy's like, no, no, no, wait, wait, wait, wait.
Like, we need more from Tim.
But we might jump back over later.
But we do, let's grab the data.
While we're here, and Wisconsin is currently skewing Donald Trump with only 6%.
And let's give this a refresh.
And look at that.
Georgia, 69%.
And Trump is up.
unidentified
Wow!
tim pool
Trump is up 6 points!
seamus coughlin
In Georgia, that's not bad.
In Florida, I think he won by about 14 points.
That's what it looks like.
phil labonte
Oh yeah!
seamus coughlin
Just destroyed.
tim pool
Around 13-something.
seamus coughlin
And Nate Silver was shocked at the idea that he could win it by 8, if I'm not mistaken.
tim pool
Is that what he said?
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
If I'm not mistaken, let me double-check that.
I don't want to besmirch that.
phil labonte
All of the numbers have shrunk compared to what Joe Biden won by.
If I understand correctly, all the stuff that Kamala Harris is actually winning, none of the margins are larger.
They're all smaller, from slightly smaller to significant.
tim pool
Ted Cruz wins.
Was that just called in Texas?
unidentified
Ted Cruz, it looks like...
tim pool
Let me see if I can get the official...
So, New York Times needle officially has it for Trump right now.
It has officially crossed the threshold into lean Donald Trump.
Keep going!
Harris at.4.
Are we stupid in thinking that Harris can win this?
unidentified
No.
seamus coughlin
No, because you would have been stupid to think that Joe Biden could win it as well.
I mean, the man was a walking corpse.
We knew it all the way back then.
He was not a great candidate.
phil labonte
The conditions are different this time because of the fact that we don't have COVID and the...
Ballot harvesting situation is different, and the mail-in ballots is different.
People are able to go.
But that's not to say that Kamala Harris couldn't take it.
That's not to say that Donald Trump is definitely going to take it.
seamus coughlin
Guys, they called Virginia, but Trump's ahead, but they haven't finished tallying yet.
tim pool
He is ahead, and he's up by.4.
But look at who's reporting in Virginia.
These are rural counties that have yet to report.
And with 58% reporting, I suppose, what are they saying?
They're saying that the urban areas have not...
68% reporting in Fairfax.
You've got 19% in Richmond.
So with 19% of Richmond, I think that's fair.
Richmond's going to be massive.
And it looks like Hampton City is 4%.
Trump is leading right now, but I think what they're saying is that the rural areas have all largely reported.
So he's not going to be able to make up the difference.
So they're calling Virginia.
Because a lot of people keep saying he's winning in Virginia, but...
seamus coughlin
Well, he was ahead for a little bit, but they'd only counted a small fraction of the vote.
The reality is if he were to win...
Exactly.
He's barely ahead.
If he were to win Virginia, it would be an early night.
That would be fantastic.
That's like the best case scenario.
But listen, no one really expected that.
tim pool
At this point in the night in 2016, the needle was shifting from 99%...
Hillary Clinton towards toss-up to Trump.
As of right now, it's moving towards Trump.
Harris' popular vote estimate has diminished to.4, and Trump's electoral college estimate is now.285.
I will take it.
Kamala Harris has no edge anymore in any swing state.
Wisconsin's dead heat.
Michigan is Republican.
Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, all-leaning Republican.
Look, it's 2020, right?
phil labonte
Pennsylvania's not Republican yet.
seamus coughlin
No, Pennsylvania is a toss-up.
It's a tiny bit Republican.
tim pool
So I'm talking about the probability.
The edge right now in all the swing states, Harris has no probabilistic edge.
And they are giving the Republicans 54% to win Pennsylvania.
elad eliahu
Absolutely.
And Pennsylvania is where the election will most likely come down to.
And then we can obviously talk about the mistakes, the perceived mistakes that we think Kamala Harris has made in Pennsylvania.
I'm wondering, what do you think President Joe Biden is thinking tonight as he's seeing Kamala Harris struggle against Donald Trump?
I think he's pissed off.
I think he's like, wow, I got backstabbed for this.
Like, I gave it all up for the ideal of what?
You being able to beat Trump.
And you're going to lose to Trump.
You're about to be the second woman to lose to Donald Trump.
So it's a very exciting time here.
phil labonte
That's speaking way too early.
tim pool
78.1% on polymarket for Donald Trump.
So here, I'll just say this.
Everybody, feel as good as you can right now.
Because when we go to bed at 3 a.m., No, that's also what I'm saying.
We're going to get a good night's sleep.
seamus coughlin
In 2020, the night of 2020, Trump was at 90-something percent in the betting markets as well.
We cannot get too comfortable.
I really hope that he wins.
phil labonte
Even talking like he's going to win or something, it is way, way, way too early for that to be in a position or to start thinking, oh, we've got this in the bag or it's going to be or tomorrow.
None of that is even close to reality.
It is way too early.
shane cashman
There's a different energy towards Trump this time around, but it's still the machine.
I just don't...
I do not...
phil labonte
I am so...
tim pool
We've got to...
I mean, look, right now it's looking good.
In Ohio, it's looking like Bernie Moreno is beating Sherrod Brown.
He is, by three points.
And that's 58% reporting, and it sounded like some people may suggest this could flip the Senate.
I mean, this would be 52 in the Senate, I believe, right?
phil labonte
I'd love to see it.
elad eliahu
Absolutely.
Guys, I also wanted to introduce somebody that we have on today.
It's Rebecca Rouse.
She is a fitness influencer.
She's a weightlifter as well.
Rebecca, do you want to say hello and introduce yourself?
unidentified
Sure.
Thank you so much for having me.
It's great to be here with all of you.
Like you said, my name is Rebecca Rouse.
I am a competitive weightlifter.
I have my own business.
I have a non-profit.
I do a little bit of this, a little bit of that.
But my brother works for Daily Wire, which is why I'm here.
And I got to be part of the influencer party.
phil labonte
Cool.
Are you a powerlifter or are you bodybuilding?
unidentified
Olympic weightlifting.
phil labonte
Oh, weightlifting.
unidentified
Okay.
elad eliahu
And could you tell us a little bit more?
I'm not sure on the current rules in weightlifting for biological men in the sport, but as somebody who's in the space, can you talk to a little bit if that's an issue and how big of an issue it is in the weightlifting scene?
unidentified
Fortunately, I personally have not had any experiences.
tim pool
Ohio's called for Trump.
Ohio has been just called for Trump.
I mean, that is massive.
That is massive.
phil labonte
That was expected, wasn't it?
I mean...
elad eliahu
It was needed.
It was needed.
tim pool
But that's still great.
Great, great, great.
So Wisconsin...
I'm sorry to interrupt you.
unidentified
No.
tim pool
This is more important.
Leaning Trump and...
Oh, Wisconsin just flipped.
elad eliahu
Oh, wow.
tim pool
Oh, man.
Anyway, I'm sorry.
Continue, continue.
elad eliahu
So you haven't personally competed against any biological men, but do you see them in the space?
And does it impact any of your peers?
Do you know anybody who's had to struggle through that?
unidentified
I personally don't.
I think they're out there.
It exists.
It's definitely in the athletic world.
Obviously, Riley Gaines has been a huge voice in that space.
But personally, I have not competed against any men, but they did have a memo go out after, it was around the time of the Olympics, that was basically laying out the rules and criteria for transgender athletes and they were saying that they will allow it.
I believe you have to have two years on hormone therapy to reducing the competitive edge that would exist from being prior male.
I still think it's ridiculous.
seamus coughlin
It's still ridiculous.
elad eliahu
What do the other girls in the weightlifting scene think?
Is there consensus that this is right or wrong among the weightlifters?
unidentified
I think if you ask most women, they would think that it's wrong, and every woman I know personally would not want to compete against a male, nor would I. Do women tend to speak up?
tim pool
I'm sorry, I'm sorry.
Trump currently has 87 million votes.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
87 million votes.
elad eliahu
I think, is that more than he got in the last election?
seamus coughlin
Biden won with 80 million.
tim pool
This is the record for most votes ever, isn't it?
Biden at 84.
Is this correct?
Trump is sitting at 87 million votes.
seamus coughlin
Is this a projection or something?
tim pool
No, this is the actual hard numbers.
It's looking like Donald Trump currently has the record for most votes yet.
And if Kamala Harris somehow beats that...
seamus coughlin
Yeah, that's nuts.
I thought voter enthusiasm was low based on what we were seeing from the CNN polls earlier.
tim pool
Colorado has been...
So we got some calls.
Colorado has been called for Harris.
Illinois has been called for Harris.
It's obvious.
seamus coughlin
Shocking.
tim pool
New Mexico has it, but I am seeing postponing reporting that Harris has won New Mexico, but we don't have that from Decision Desk just yet.
But 87 million?
Can someone look up the record for most votes?
seamus coughlin
So Biden got 81 million, which was the most votes.
phil labonte
Biden got 81 million, 283 thousand votes.
Donald Trump got 74 million.
tim pool
Right, and that's the most votes ever, isn't it?
phil labonte
That's what I believe.
tim pool
The most popular president in history.
seamus coughlin
We found a lot of those at 3 a.m.
It's still 9.35.
elad eliahu
The thing is, I don't I think we should get too excited because California hasn't even started counting.
seamus coughlin
Listen, I agree with you.
I agree with you.
Don't get too excited.
tim pool
88.1 million.
Is this correct?
phil labonte
This is crazy.
88.1, yeah.
seamus coughlin
Listen, dude, I hope it holds.
I really hope it holds.
phil labonte
If those are actual votes that they've already counted, they're not going anywhere.
seamus coughlin
No, no, I understand that.
I mean his electoral lead.
tim pool
Yeah, but I mean, what, is Harris going to get 100 million votes from California?
seamus coughlin
What I'm saying, but the thing is, so here's the thing, if Philadelphia swings and then he can't pick up Michigan or Wisconsin...
tim pool
What if Trump wins the popular vote and loses the electoral college?
That's completely possible.
elad eliahu
We'll start to have to argue against the electoral...
tim pool
Then I am all of a sudden in favor of...
unidentified
I'm just kidding.
elad eliahu
It's interesting because the scenario for Trump winning is he needs to win Georgia, which it looks like he's winning, North Carolina, and then I think either Pennsylvania or Michigan and Wisconsin.
So the path for Kamala Harris is Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
They're looking like they're...
tim pool
Guys, Trump won North Carolina.
seamus coughlin
Amazing.
tim pool
Beautiful.
seamus coughlin
That's very good.
He needs it.
elad eliahu
He needed it.
seamus coughlin
So the problem is...
tim pool
A key swing state just went to Donald Trump, ladies and gentlemen.
Let's just make sure we stress that.
Georgia is now, I believe it's 81% favored.
It is at 81% favored to go to Donald Trump.
They haven't yet called it.
But with North Carolina going to Donald Trump, that was a much, much required victory.
phil labonte
Georgia right now is 74% in with Donald Trump leading by...
elad eliahu
Six points.
tim pool
5.8.
seamus coughlin
The thing is, for people who have been paying attention to this election, they know that the big meme is that if Trump wins Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, Kamala can't win.
But if he loses Pennsylvania, it's not necessarily a guaranteed victory for her.
He could still pick up Michigan and Wisconsin.
But if he wins Pennsylvania, that's huge.
phil labonte
Does he need both Michigan and Wisconsin to win?
elad eliahu
If he loses Pennsylvania, then yes.
seamus coughlin
If he loses Pennsylvania, yeah.
Unless he flips California.
elad eliahu
Yeah.
So obviously it seems like it really is going to come down to Pennsylvania.
I think this is a good time to mention that she actually was having an inkling towards picking the governor of Pennsylvania, Josh Shapiro, who is incredibly popular in the state but decided not to.
What do you guys make of that decision and do you think it would have any impact or am I just recklessly speculating here?
seamus coughlin
Listen, I think it was a brilliant decision.
Coach Walls really speaks to me as a man, and I know every guy I know sees Tim Walls and they go, what a really cool manly guy.
I want to vote for the ticket that he's on.
tim pool
He can run a mean pick six, I hear.
seamus coughlin
That's exactly right.
What else did he say?
tim pool
He said AOC can run a mean pick six, and everyone started going after him over that.
seamus coughlin
Listen.
elad eliahu
It's wild for a coach to say that.
tim pool
Exactly.
He was a football coach.
seamus coughlin
Have some respect.
He did a tour in Italy.
Remember he said that?
He said he had a weapon of war in a war and it turns out he was in Italy.
elad eliahu
I think he did many tours in China too.
tim pool
What's he doing walking around Italy with a gun for?
seamus coughlin
Well, we did a cartoon about that where a journalist calls him out on that and then it cuts them having PTSD flashbacks of Italy where he's shooting his gun and they're like, stop it!
You can't do that!
tim pool
Trump's currently got 88.6 million votes.
seamus coughlin
That's actually insane.
unidentified
This is nuts.
tim pool
Harris is 70.
This is the craziest election of my life.
seamus coughlin
This is really nuts.
tim pool
Trump's chance of winning has dropped to 64.7.
Harris has improved to 35.3.
They're projecting 278 for Trump as of right now.
Could you imagine Trump getting 88.6 million votes if it stopped right now and still losing?
It would be nuts.
But if they stop the count right now, Harris has PA, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
elad eliahu
Obviously, the presidential election is the big fish to fry, but there's still a lot on the line with Congress considering how close it is.
The path to conquering the House for Republicans, I believe, is through New York, where there's a handful of swing districts on Long Island and right above Manhattan in New York, where if they do swing to the right, Donald Trump will be able to have a majority in the House.
The thing is, if the Democrats get a majority in the House, they are almost definitely going to impeach Donald Trump right out of the gate.
tim pool
So right now, I got 270 to win pulled up.
Nevada doesn't matter.
If Kamala Harris holds the expected deep blue states, Trump takes the expected red states, but Harris takes Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, she wins 270.
There's a possibility, although I don't necessarily think so.
I think New York Times is giving the edge on Wisconsin to Republicans as of right now.
So Democrats have no edge anymore at all.
Republicans have the edge probabilistically in every swing state.
But if right now the map were to stop looking at decision desk with the three, the blue wall states, Harris would win at 270.
I don't think that's the reality considering what they're tracking with Michigan and Wisconsin over the New York Times.
I don't know why Decision Desk lowered Trump's chance of winning just now, considering these are the states that matter.
seamus coughlin
It's possible because the information from Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania is showing that she is further ahead than she would have to be if Trump wins Nevada.
tim pool
So if Trump takes back Michigan, takes Nevada, and loses PA, he still wins.
seamus coughlin
Oh, fair.
No, you're right.
Screw Nevada.
He doesn't need Wisconsin.
tim pool
Sorry.
If she wins Nevada, as long as Trump gets Michigan, he still wins.
If he takes Wisconsin and Kamala takes Michigan, Trump still wins.
He just needs, at this point, one blue wall state.
One.
That's it.
unidentified
Yeah.
elad eliahu
It's crazy how significant Michigan and Pennsylvania are.
And it's also, it's really been crazy to see how the uncommitted vote in Michigan, these are predominantly Arabs and Muslims, frustrated with Kamala Harris' pro-Israel stance, saying that they won't support her.
You know, if this comes down to tens of thousands of votes in Michigan or Pennsylvania, which has a large Jewish population, which has been Democratic and could potentially flip because they're distressed to see how Kamala Harris has also been handling the Israel situation.
tim pool
Okay, so this is...
This is way wrong.
Decision Desk is just very, very wrong.
So someone pointed this out.
Trump does not have 88 million votes.
seamus coughlin
Okay, yeah, that's what I was saying.
Is it a projection?
tim pool
No, they added an extra 10 million or an order of magnitude to Florida.
So shout out to Spoonclank saying Florida numbers are wrong on Decision Desk.
phil labonte
The population of Florida is 22 million.
tim pool
Yeah, they put 100 million people in Florida.
Decision desk, what are you doing?
I'm taking you down.
phil labonte
Even saying that...
I don't think that's included in the thing because the decision desk says that it's 114 million in Florida.
That would mean that...
I mean, Trump only says 89 million.
tim pool
And look, anybody using Decision Desk right now, your data is all wrong.
It's all, all wrong.
The numbers are way off.
I mean, it sounded crazy, and that's why we were so shocked that it made no sense.
It's 6 million to 4 million.
Decision Desk gave Florida an order of magnitude of population.
Yeah.
seamus coughlin
Well, and also, I think that the numbers they're throwing up for Harris likely aren't true, either just given where the count is at.
This is funny.
We were talking about the race coming down to Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, potentially.
The Daily Wire broke this story that Kamala is running pro-Israel ads in Pennsylvania and pro-Palestine ads in Michigan, which is super funny.
Just like two different positions in two different states.
shane cashman
That's how she's been running.
seamus coughlin
Well, and it's, you know, it's one thing to stay silent about an issue or not run on a specific issue in a state if you think it's not popular.
But to take two opposing positions, I don't know.
elad eliahu
What do you make of the uncommitted movement in Michigan that is saying, although we would traditionally be Democrats because we are so principled when it comes to Israel-Palestine, that we cannot support her because of this?
seamus coughlin
It's an interesting question.
One thing that the Democrats have always relied on is being able to import immigrants who they believe are going to vote for them as long as they give them welfare benefits.
And I think that they're starting to learn, especially when we're discussing the issue of Israel and Palestine, they're not going to side with establishment Democrats because they're not going to side with Israel.
And so, when you look at Muslim voters in general, one of the interesting things is, even though migrants, and especially migrants who tend to be welfare recipients, are going to vote Democrat, and even though I am in no way, shape, or form celebrating the growing influence of Islam in America or anywhere else, the reality is these are not liberal people, right?
they're in the long run not going to end up voting in Democratic interests unless they can find a way to keep those interests in line with identity politics.
And on the Israel-Palestine issue, they just can't.
tim pool
So I just want to shout out Decision Desk once again for claiming that Donald Trump and Jill Stein have tied in Lawrence County in South Carolina.
I'm sorry, dude.
Decision Desk, you dropped the ball big on this one.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, that's pretty bad.
tim pool
I thought they were going to be good.
We got all excited seeing that Trump had 80-something million votes.
It didn't seem to make sense.
seamus coughlin
You've ruined my evening.
tim pool
Yep, my disappointment.
What is it?
seamus coughlin
My disappointment is immeasurable.
My day is ruined.
Yes, my day is ruined.
And my election night is ruined.
tim pool
So, bye-bye, Decision Desk.
We're not going to be paying any attention.
So, right now, New York Times has...
Let's hit the refresh on this one, just to make sure.
PA is currently listed as a toss-up.
Michigan, toss-up.
Wisconsin, toss-up.
We just don't know.
Minnesota, they're expecting a Democrat.
seamus coughlin
Iowa.
A number of sources have called North Carolina already, but it looks like they aren't.
tim pool
Look at this.
Kamala Harris is winning in Iowa.
Seltzer was right.
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
Stop, stop.
Here's the shift from 2020, Matt.
Take a look at this.
This is amazing.
This is what we were looking for earlier.
All of these areas, look how much has moved to the right.
Wild.
Massive.
The West Virginia, Appalachia strongly.
You know what?
I think that may be J.D. Vance.
That's massive in Appalachia right there.
A huge shift to the right.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, no, I think you're right.
I think you're right.
Look, J.D. Vance was a great candidate, and at the beginning, a lot of people doubted him.
They thought that he was, A, somebody who Trump shouldn't pick on the basis of the fact that he initially didn't like Trump, and also, B, he was perceived as being too far to the right.
He made some comments that were offensive, and it was also obvious that J.D. Vance is more of a true believer when it comes to right-wing thought as opposed to Trump, who's more of a moderate.
But, man, I mean, he's really turned out to be a phenomenal pick.
He's really turned out to be a phenomenal pick.
tim pool
Alright, Mark Green wins.
Re-election of the House in the 7th.
You know, it's funny.
I mean, we could go through all of these House victories.
There are a lot that are coming in.
You can see them all popping up.
But no flips.
So what we're really looking for is these swing areas and to see the incumbents lose.
And so there's, you know, Rashida Tlaib.
She's winning in her district.
Surprise, surprise.
Let's see if we can look at any other.
Right here, we got 2% of the vote in District 13.
The Republican is currently winning, but it's minimal, beating the incumbent Democrat.
So we will see.
Ian's back in the house.
ian crossland
What's happening, homie?
tim pool
What did you learn, Ian?
ian crossland
So many things, Tim.
I learned about multidimensional artificial intelligence, 1,500 different dimensions.
tim pool
Were you actually talking to people in the press?
ian crossland
Yeah, it was phenomenal.
shane cashman
He was in the corner alone.
ian crossland
Met the girl that was the lead in Lady Ballers.
She's super cool.
tim pool
Okay, cool.
ian crossland
We talked to the guys that run the sports show here at Daily Wire.
Blaine, epic, epic.
Humans out there, man, what a party.
Shout out to Daily Wire for hosting this thing, too.
This is incredible.
shane cashman
I don't like the idea of the multiverse AI. That sounds terrible.
ian crossland
Dude, multidimensional artificial intelligence vectors.
So basically, you've got all these different things.
It's like, well, why the thing?
Well, why, why the thing?
seamus coughlin
And that is the issue that will decide the election.
ian crossland
How, how, how the thing?
There's all these different ways that it could be on top of each other.
tim pool
Like a hundred years in the future, they're like, he was a visionary.
No one understood him.
ian crossland
They can use binary to do the math super fast because there's so many dimensions of, like, how does it do the thing that it does the thing to do the thing to do...
Like, how does it...
How...
Anyway.
What did you guys learn?
tim pool
Well, right now Kamala Harris has 99 electoral votes.
Donald Trump's 178.
shane cashman
Trump doesn't have 88 votes.
tim pool
Decision Desk has wildly bad data.
And we saw 88 million votes for Trump so far.
And we were like, whoa!
Turnout must be massive.
Oh, I heard that.
ian crossland
87 million.
I was like, wait, isn't that more than...
seamus coughlin
Yeah, exactly.
ian crossland
Half the country already, and it's like halfway through the night.
shane cashman
It's more of what Biden got.
seamus coughlin
Right, right, right.
tim pool
When you factor in 30 million people in California, we're like, wait, wait, wait.
And then someone super chat is saying they gave Florida 100 million residents.
And I'm like, dude, I am not using Decision Desk anymore.
seamus coughlin
I mean, at this pace, it will.
ian crossland
Any big states?
Did any big states lock in?
tim pool
Trump won.
So they've called it for North Carolina, but New York Times has not.
So Decision Desk did, but...
Actually, I think we also had a...
Someone else may have called North Carolina, too, because I think I... Was that just Decision Desk?
seamus coughlin
I saw other places there on the television out there where they're projecting election results for the party.
I noticed that North Carolina was called, and I think that was a different source.
But I could be wrong.
tim pool
Dude, Decision Desk has been bad all night.
This is embarrassing.
ian crossland
They're probably freaking out over there.
And they're like, oh my god, this was our one big moment.
The kid can't just shut us down.
unidentified
Oh my god.
tim pool
North Carolina, I believe everyone is basically saying Trump has won North Carolina.
But the New York Times is taking their sweet-ass time.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, of course.
ian crossland
They should rename their news site Sweet Ass Times.
tim pool
We're last!
But let's see, does the AP... The AP's got results up too, but who are they using?
If they're using Decision Desk, I'm just like, get out of here.
But the AP is usually just the AP, isn't it?
So I don't think they've called North Carolina for Trump just yet.
shane cashman
When do polls close in Arizona?
tim pool
Oh, dude, we're going to be up all night.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, it's going to be a long one.
elad eliahu
Who knows?
Fox News may call them early.
tim pool
Holly Market has Trump at 79.7% and rising.
ian crossland
That is the highest I've heard all night.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I mean, that's the highest of the night.
It's not the highest it's been, though.
Like I said, don't get your hopes up.
He was up 90 in 2020.
tim pool
I just have PTSD. So everyone's saying Decision Desk just fixed it.
seamus coughlin
Okay, beautiful.
phil labonte
They fixed the numbers.
ian crossland
I'm all about those second chances.
tim pool
Trump has 54.9 million votes.
seamus coughlin
Listen, we're in a good spot.
ian crossland
Oh, that's a lot of votes.
What's Kamala Harris have?
tim pool
44.6.
Florida does not have 100 million residents.
Apparently, they say it has 70 million residents.
lisa reynolds
Right.
tim pool
I don't think they fixed it.
shane cashman
They're counting the illegals.
tim pool
Right now, Decision Desk...
What is going on at Decision Desk?
Can you not input integers?
It's 40 million to 30 million?
Florida, is it...
Man, shoulder to shoulder over there, huh?
The actual numbers, according to New York Times, is 6 million for Trump, 4 million for Kamala Harris.
With 95% reporting.
Decision desk.
Guys, are you watching?
Watching the show?
Look at your numbers.
What is going on?
40 million votes for Trump?
Dude, this is miserable.
seamus coughlin
Well, right now, the New York Times, which, as we all know, is my favorite news source, is giving Trump a 69% chance of victory.
They're saying it's likely he'll get 286 electoral college votes.
So he's ahead there.
Listen, I agree with you.
We're not there yet.
We're not there yet.
But I think that's better than...
phil labonte
Kelly Ayotte won in New Hampshire as the governor, so she was the Republican running.
And her opponent conceded, so that's good news.
tim pool
The Republican just won the...
But she's the incumbent.
phil labonte
No, no.
The incumbent was Sununu.
tim pool
Right, right, right.
So that's a flip.
phil labonte
Well, no, I mean, no, he was a Republican, but it's so...
Oh, so it was a Republican versus a Republican?
No, he wasn't running again.
She was running, and her opponent conceded, so...
tim pool
Okay, okay, okay.
So not a flip, but Republicans have held New Hampshire.
elad eliahu
Did Trump carry Mark Robinson across the finish line in, I believe, North Carolina?
Because I think he was running for governor there, and he had that scandal, and people were scared that that was going to drag Trump down, but it looks like Trump's going to be able to overcome that, and Republicans are going to benefit off of some of Trump's coattails in some of these elections, so it seems.
unidentified
Hmm.
seamus coughlin
Right now, the New York Times, the possible spread it has for Trump is 224 to 341.
And of course, 341 is unlikely.
Yeah, yeah.
But that would be hilarious.
tim pool
What are you looking at in the New York Times?
seamus coughlin
I'm looking at the presidential election results right now.
So they have a live forecast outcome.
tim pool
We have it pulled up.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, if you scroll down a bit, see that?
Leaning Trump.
Yeah.
tim pool
286, 252?
seamus coughlin
Yeah, but if you go below, it gives you the potential range.
So right below 286, it says 224 to 341.
So they're saying it is possible.
It's unlikely, but it is possible for him to get 341 electoral votes, which would be nuts.
tim pool
I mean, 69% chance of victory on the old needle.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
tim pool
I swear, it's going to be 11 to start going the other way, and we're going to have an inverse 2016.
Exactly.
It's all a big pendulum swing.
seamus coughlin
So you can't get too cocky.
You can't get too cocky, especially not at this point in the night.
tim pool
Yeah, Georgia, with 77% reporting, Trump is up five points.
So they're still refusing to call it, but this is going to be close, and the lawsuits will be mind-numbing.
elad eliahu
That's awesome.
And in the future, they need more to pick up the Senate seats.
The Republicans need to pick up these Senate seats in Georgia.
It's crazy that I believe it's Warnock and a Jewish guy.
I forgot his name there.
But it's two Democrats, senators, I believe, from Georgia that should be easy Republican pickups.
I mean, they have Brian Kemp in the governorship and Trump seemingly leading.
leading here by five points.
It's supposed to be a red state, and that's what honestly could flip the Senate.
So Trump's, I think, bad picks in the past in Georgia, where he tried to run the football player Walker or whatever.
ian crossland
Yeah, Herschel Walker.
elad eliahu
Herschel Walker.
And the same in Pennsylvania when he picked up Oz.
So we'll see if McCormick in Pennsylvania, which would be a huge pickup, could pull through because that, again, could help flip the Senate.
That was somebody Ben Shapiro was telling us that he was personally campaigning for.
tim pool
I'm seeing a lot of chatter about Virginia and Decision Desk already calling it, but a lot of people are saying, no way.
So Norfolk, Richmond, Alexandria are all...
Alexandria looks like, I'm sorry, Richmond looks like only 18% of the votes are in.
You've got Norfolk, it's about 68%.
Alexandria looks massive with 73%.
But apparently on Twitter, they're like, it's still too close to call.
And the New York Times has not called it.
Donald Trump is currently leading by 2%.
2% in Virginia.
seamus coughlin
Listen, if he wins Virginia, then we will not be here until midnight.
shane cashman
Those moms flipped Virginia when they got rid of Northam.
It's possible.
tim pool
Well, they changed to all paper ballots.
shane cashman
That's great.
seamus coughlin
In Virginia they did?
unidentified
Mm-hmm.
tim pool
Yeah.
seamus coughlin
Well, there you go.
tim pool
So let's adjust the map.
If Trump takes Virginia...
elad eliahu
And loses Wisconsin.
tim pool
Loses Wisconsin.
If Trump loses the blue wall, but takes Virginia on the chance that, I don't know if it's going to happen, he wins, 275.
seamus coughlin
Wow, exactly, yeah.
tim pool
He can still lose Nevada.
seamus coughlin
Like I'm saying, if he wins Virginia, we're going home.
tim pool
This would be absolutely wild if PA turns out not to matter at all.
unidentified
Mm-hmm.
tim pool
It was a keystone state.
They said Kamala Harris can't win without it.
Trump can't win without it.
They campaigned like maniacs in that state.
Right now Trump is ahead.
In Virginia with 65% reporting.
And they're saying it's going to be likely Democrat.
Okay, probably.
You're going to watch this tomorrow and you're going to say you guys were dumb.
You thought Virginia was going...
Well, look.
Right now Trump's ahead.
Many people are saying it's too close to call.
Democrats are freaking out about it.
If somehow Virginia ends up Republican...
Trump wins.
seamus coughlin
Yep.
tim pool
Like, if we look at the map right now and say Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, all go Democrat, and then Georgia is leaning Republican, North Carolina is leaning Republican, if Trump loses Nevada, Arizona is already projected to go Republican, and the Blue Wall, but wins Virginia.
If Virginia flips for some reason, that's it.
It's over.
unidentified
Yep.
seamus coughlin
Yep.
It'll be an early night.
That would be a wonderful gift.
Instead of having to wait 10 days.
ian crossland
Sheamus keeps me like, and I want to leave.
And I'm going to leave.
Did I tell you guys yet?
seamus coughlin
I want to go home.
It's not that I want to leave because if I have to leave because Harris just comes in with a landslide, I'm going to be like, ugh.
ian crossland
You want to leave with your head down high.
seamus coughlin
I want...
ian crossland
Yeah, your chest out.
seamus coughlin
Dude, listen.
It's just an important election, and there is some anxiety in waiting for the results, and you go, man, is it going to take 10 days or whatever?
Are they really going to try to drag this out?
You had Obama tweeting earlier today, you know, sometimes it takes 11 days.
Stuff like that.
I don't like the noises they're making.
phil labonte
Florida's counted 100% of the votes.
They did it two hours and 41 minutes after the polls closed.
ian crossland
That's it.
phil labonte
That is something that you can do.
All of the states could do that.
Actually nothing preventing that, except for the lack of will.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
phil labonte
So the states themselves do not want to have the polls, to have their voter rolls taken care of that cleanly.
It is because of a lack of will and a lack of...
elad eliahu
There's a few things at play here, though.
For example, in Pennsylvania, they choose not to open any of the mail-in ballots before Election Day.
phil labonte
But that's a choice.
shane cashman
That's ridiculous.
phil labonte
But the point that I'm making is these are choices.
The fact that it takes this long is a result of decisions, not in a bill, not a preventive, not some kind of something preventing it.
It is active decisions by the people that are actually counting the votes.
And if they wanted to do this, they could do what Florida does.
tim pool
Take a look at this story from Newsweek from two days ago.
Donald Trump's support from black voters plunges new poll shows.
Man!
And then read this one.
Trump more than doubles black support in Wisconsin, according to NBC exit poll.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
Wisconsin is not a general national poll.
But it is fascinating how I'm seeing people tweet that black voters have shifted towards Trump.
He's overperforming among black voters.
And everybody was saying it wasn't going to happen.
It wasn't going to happen.
The Florida decision desk still has not fixed their busted data.
shane cashman
There was a BLM leader who voted for Trump.
elad eliahu
It's so interesting to see how hard Trump has been vying for the black vote, considering the things that he'll do for them, and how historically they haven't rewarded him for that support that he's given them.
So for example, he did criminal justice reform.
Some of what I thought is actually a horrible policy that let out a lot of violent criminals.
That was supposed to be a give me for the black community.
Then he'll give pardons to a bunch of rappers and murderers.
For example, Kodak Black.
And this was just really a gimme to the black community.
And in the past election, they didn't reward him for it.
And we'll see if in this upcoming election they do.
shane cashman
The prison reform wasn't all that bad, though.
There were definitely some bad people who got out.
But I'm all for prison reform.
I was pretty into that.
tim pool
With 41% reporting in Pennsylvania, Kamala Harris' lead is now only.9%.
Donald Trump is closing the gap easily in PA with Philadelphia and Pittsburgh already having largely reported.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
So we're still waiting for Clearfield County and a lot more to still come in from many of these rural counties.
Philadelphia's at 32% reporting and it's 80% for Kamala Harris.
So we will see.
This, no idea, but I believe the New York Times is projecting that PA is still in slight, I believe it's slightly to the right.
But we'll see.
What do we got here over at...
Pennsylvania is a 59% Republican likelihood of winning.
So this is massive.
With the data coming in, Trump has the edge in every single swing state in their probabilistic needle meter.
unidentified
In the universe.
ian crossland
I thought you were going to say that.
tim pool
Hey, look, it's getting better and better.
Harris has lost her popular vote margin.
It's gone.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
New York Times is now forecasting a dead even popular vote with Donald Trump likely to secure 289 electoral college votes.
Let's just keep it this way.
But how much do you want to bet they're going to pull up some, oh, but the mail-in votes haven't come in yet?
seamus coughlin
Well, I mean, yeah, the people who vote at 3 a.m. haven't gotten an opportunity.
And she polls at 100% with them.
shane cashman
Have the cemeteries reported yet?
tim pool
Yeah, let's take a look.
seamus coughlin
Are we getting Ouija board in ballots? - What's...
tim pool
We should have brought a Ouija board.
That would have been great.
seamus coughlin
No, absolutely.
No, no, no.
That's right.
My man knew right away.
unidentified
It's your subconscious.
ian crossland
I proved it to my friend.
It's your subconscious moving it around.
seamus coughlin
Me and Shane are like, we gotta...
Absolutely not.
ian crossland
You're just moving it subconsciously.
It's not real spirits.
I mean, there might be spirits involved, too.
shane cashman
No, they try to get through you.
ian crossland
Maybe you're right, actually.
tim pool
82.7 on Polymarket for Trump.
Let's hope the wisdom of the crowd is right.
75.5 that Trump actually becomes president.
ian crossland
People buying and trading.
People making a lot of money tonight on this stuff.
tim pool
Come on, let's call Ohio for Bernie Moreno.
With 58% reporting, he's up three points in the Senate race.
Let's just say 52 for the Republicans.
All right, Utah just got called, it looks like.
John Curtis, nobody's surprised by that.
shane cashman
Did you see that Riley Moore one?
Not that that's a big surprise, but that's awesome.
unidentified
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
shane cashman
That's awesome.
tim pool
We knew he was going to win.
elad eliahu
It was the primary.
I didn't even think he had a big primary.
Well, the Moors own West Virginia, so...
tim pool
Oh, Riley's great.
I'm so excited.
shane cashman
Yeah, shout out to Riley.
tim pool
I told him he's going to be the only member of Congress who can land a kickflip.
shane cashman
That he can.
I'm looking forward to seeing what happens with Joe Kent.
I'm looking forward to Kerry Lake.
ian crossland
What state's Joe Kent?
shane cashman
Washington.
phil labonte
CNN says Nevada experiencing issues counting mail-in ballots because young people don't know how to sign their names.
seamus coughlin
That is hilarious.
Throw it out.
If you can't sign your name, then you shouldn't get to vote.
It's not complicated.
Like, don't do forensics on that, bro.
phil labonte
They have several days to work that out, says Costa.
tim pool
Trump has won Montana.
Not surprising.
Donald Trump has won Utah.
seamus coughlin
Not surprising.
tim pool
Let's see.
Republican John Curtis wins Utah.
We got that one.
phil labonte
All right.
tim pool
Let's go, everybody.
I'm just checking the other data, and it looks like that's all the big updates for now.
How are you guys doing?
What is this rock, paper, scissors going on over here?
ian crossland
We're figuring out who's going to bounce on the next cycle in.
shane cashman
You've got to do rock, paper, scissors.
ian crossland
The next guest.
elad eliahu
All right, come on.
tim pool
Who's coming in now?
I don't know.
ian crossland
I can't see yet.
seamus coughlin
It's a mystery guest.
It's going to be a surprise.
ian crossland
And behind this door...
tim pool
Oh, it's a mystery guest.
ian crossland
I don't know if we've ever met before.
elad eliahu
Please join.
ian crossland
Come on down.
Good to see you, dude.
unidentified
Hey, I'm a lot.
elad eliahu
It's nice to meet you.
tim pool
Welcome to the show.
Good to see you.
phil labonte
Phil, nice to meet you.
seamus coughlin
Shamus, good to meet you.
tim pool
Here we go.
This is like the best greeting anyone's given us when entering the show.
Everyone else just comes in and says hi.
seamus coughlin
All right, introduce yourself.
siaka massaquoi
Well, hello, hello.
A lot of your viewers might know me as Black Jeremy, but I'm actually White Siaka because I didn't vote for Joe Biden.
seamus coughlin
Oh, yeah, you ain't black.
james klug
That's right.
seamus coughlin
You lose your melanin.
unidentified
I lost the condolences.
tim pool
How are you feeling right now?
Because, I mean, we're feeling pretty good.
siaka massaquoi
I'm feeling fantastic.
I actually had a dream about a month ago that everything was red except for a few of the crazy states like California, which I fled from.
And I saw 311.
I saw the number 311 in there and I saw the media try to call it, but I saw 311 for Trump and I just woke up the next day and I was like, that's it.
It's going to be fine.
ian crossland
Did you put on 311 when you woke up?
siaka massaquoi
Yes.
phil labonte
Decision desk has Trump has predicted that or is looking like Trump is leading in PA now.
49.8 to 49.3.
unidentified
I don't believe it.
siaka massaquoi
Guys, I actually thought this.
There's going to be two outcomes today and both of them will lead to Trump winning.
Either one a blowout and we're just going to be celebrating and popping bottles.
seamus coughlin
That'll be amazing.
siaka massaquoi
Or two, court cases and all that stuff, but it'll still end up being a Trump.
I don't think they can stop any and everything that's coming right now.
tim pool
New York Times currently has Kamala Harris up by.3 in Pennsylvania.
Trump is closing the gap, and now she's only leading by about 9,900 votes.
elad eliahu
Do they have the Senate race?
Any updates on the Senate race there in Pennsylvania?
tim pool
Let's take a look.
In the Senate race, Bob Casey is up two points.
elad eliahu
He's up like 60K. Pennsylvania's known for splitting the ticket, though.
They will split the ticket in Pennsylvania.
It's crazy because it's usually that they have a split senator situation, and only recently did they have two Democratic senators.
They have a Democratic governor in there.
So Trump, I believe, won the state, or Republicans haven't won the state since 2016 when Trump won the election.
So this is his path, again, back to the White House.
And Amazing things are happening in Pennsylvania.
tim pool
Trump is up 220,000, just about 220,000 in Georgia with 83% reporting.
It's looking like he's going to take it.
In North Carolina, he's up comparably about 200,000 with 67% in, and it's projected he's going to take it.
Trump is still winning by two points in Virginia, but they are still saying it's likely going to go Democrat.
And news from Oregon, Trump is currently winning 71% to 26% with less than 1% reporting.
seamus coughlin
That means four guys voted for him.
unidentified
Yeah.
siaka massaquoi
And everybody else melded in.
tim pool
Trump is currently winning in Arizona by like 40, by literally 40 votes!
seamus coughlin
Holy crap!
unidentified
That's crazy.
seamus coughlin
Every vote counts.
unidentified
In Arizona.
seamus coughlin
Every 40 votes count.
tim pool
Guys, look.
With 36% reporting in Arizona, Trump is winning by 40 votes.
I told y'all, it's gonna come down to the wire and your vote may be that vote.
elad eliahu
We're not going to get the results out of Maricopa County until next month.
Arizona will never be called.
tim pool
Maricopa is already reporting 54% with Kamala Harris 51% to Trump's 49%.
elad eliahu
Is there Carrie Lake info on there too?
tim pool
I had to interrupt you right away because we had the data from Maricopa.
Wow, that's amazing.
We don't have the...
Senate for...
Yeah, they don't have the governor races there, but for Senate...
elad eliahu
Is she running for governorship?
tim pool
Oh, right, right, right.
Sorry, my bad.
Carrie Lake is currently down by eight points.
elad eliahu
Ticket splitters in Arizona and Pennsylvania.
seamus coughlin
I think the really good news is that if Trump wins, the Democrats are going to peacefully accept it.
And everything will be fine.
siaka massaquoi
I didn't know you'd do a comedy routine.
seamus coughlin
I'm curious about this.
Yeah, a mostly peaceful George Floyd right.
So I want to ask you about this because you mentioned that you had a dream that he won by 311.
And so obviously you're leaning towards him winning.
You're convinced he will.
I hope you're right.
My question is, how do you think the left is going to react to that?
siaka massaquoi
They're going to lose their mind.
They're going to fall apart.
Stanford and Yale and Princeton will cancel classes again and bring out social workers to help them get through it.
But no, seriously, it is one of the reasons why my wife and I left California.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, good call.
siaka massaquoi
Because I think they're going to make us suffer.
They're going to make us suffer in the cities because there's also going to be a narrative for their news report moving forward.
Oh, look what Trump brings.
tim pool
Ha!
siaka massaquoi
Because they're all about the narrative.
They're all about the destruction and chaos in order to sell their story.
phil labonte
There can be people out with Joe Biden t-shirts on smashing things, and the news will be telling you that it's Republicans and right-wingers.
They could literally, not just Antifa, but actually be wearing Harris gear, and they would be out there smashing things, and they could be screaming, we hate Donald Trump, smashing stuff, and they will still tell you...
Don't believe what you see.
It is Republicans and the right-wingers out there doing it.
It is not...
They would never even mention the left.
siaka massaquoi
And they'll make it seem like this is the mood of the country because of Trump.
Even if it is, they're left doing it.
They'll try to sell you like...
If it wasn't him, none of this would have happened.
phil labonte
If it wasn't for Trump, this wouldn't happen.
It would just be peace.
Even though, and I've said this a million times, Donald Trump is a symptom of what's going on in the country.
Donald Trump is not a cause of anything.
Donald Trump is a result of what is going on.
Donald Trump is a result of the political climate in the United States.
He's a result of the Tea Party not being treated with respect.
unidentified
That's right.
phil labonte
He's a result of the Tea Party coming out and protesting peacefully and cleaning up after themselves and being called all the names in the book because of it.
So they said, we're going to stop worrying about electing the nice guy.
You brought Mitt Romney, the most milquetoast, most polite politician ever.
And they called him all the names that they called Donald Trump.
And so the Tea Party said, we don't care.
tim pool
Donald Trump is now the favorite for the popular votes.
unidentified
Wow.
siaka massaquoi
Let's get the mandate right now.
Let's get the mandate so we can stop.
We can turn this insanity around in the schools.
Oh, man.
tim pool
By.3, Trump is now favored, according to the New York Times, for the popular vote, projecting 291 electoral votes.
Let's keep it that way, I hope.
elad eliahu
Is it saying Arizona's Republican on the bottom over there?
tim pool
Yes, 73% likelihood.
North Carolina, 87%.
Georgia, 90%.
PA is now 60%.
seamus coughlin
Ladies and gentlemen, if he gets Pennsylvania, it's over.
phil labonte
If he gets Pennsylvania, it's pretty much over.
siaka massaquoi
And as the only black guy on this dais right now, I have to say...
phil labonte
What are you talking about?
siaka massaquoi
Oh, I forgot.
The only two black guys on this dais right now.
No, it's Arizona and Georgia.
No one talked about those numbers.
And even Nevada.
That was POCs that did that in there.
And no one's talking about it.
I don't care about the suburban wine moms anymore.
Let's talk about the ones over there.
tim pool
Trump's popular vote margin has just increased to.4.
It is skewing higher.
So smash that like button.
Share the show right now wherever you can.
Everybody watching, share the show on all social media.
Get everybody to jump in.
We are tracking this.
New York Times has Trump's chance of winning at 77% right now.
The needle is moving!
seamus coughlin
Dude, I cannot tell you how amazing and hilarious and cathartic it would be for them to not even be able to blame the Electoral College.
If he gets the popular vote, that is going to be incredible.
Now, to what you guys were saying earlier about the fact that when there's violence from the left, if Trump wins, they're going to blame him.
This comes right from their playbook, and I was talking about this earlier tonight.
One bit of rhetoric that they have that's been very useful for them over the past five to ten years It's dangerous.
tim pool
Donald Trump has taken the lead in Pennsylvania by.3 with 1.666 million votes to Harris' 1.621.
unidentified
Oh, shameless.
ian crossland
You hear that?
1.666.
Does that even mean anything?
seamus coughlin
I told you boys to get out and vote!
siaka massaquoi
What was the percentage on that?
tim pool
I'm sorry, 1.3.
My bad.
1.3%.
ian crossland
I jumped the gun on that one.
siaka massaquoi
How many percentage?
ian crossland
God is real.
tim pool
We have an update.
It is updated.
Trump is leading by one point with 1.718 million to Kamala Harris' 1.655.
So, he's winning bigly so far.
Bigly.
ian crossland
What you guys are saying about street violence, Mike Benz, we had him on the show a few weeks ago, and he was talking about, like, basically the State Department's playbook, what they'll do in other countries, how they'll send in, like, the Maidan protests in the Ukraine.
They'll have these people uprise against the government that they want out of power, and then they'll call them freedom fighters in the news, and this violent, eruptive mob will basically destroy the country, and then they'll say, see what your president caused?
unidentified
Yeah.
ian crossland
And then the people will start to hate their president, and he said, expect that at home.
siaka massaquoi
That's the color revolution.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
phil labonte
Yeah, yeah.
seamus coughlin
Hillary Clinton did that in Libya.
phil labonte
Wisconsin's showing 95% in, and they're 55% to 43% for Donald Trump.
tim pool
Yo, yo, yo!
phil labonte
Oh, wait, no, I'm sorry.
50...
Oh, it just flipped.
tim pool
Decision desk is busted, bro.
phil labonte
Check this out.
tim pool
Pennsylvania exit poll.
Trump is up seven points among people who believe democracy is being threatened.
seamus coughlin
What?
siaka massaquoi
So all the liberals.
tim pool
I think if you were to ask me if the fabric of our nation was being threatened, I'd say yes.
Democracy is just a word they choose.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
unidentified
Whatever.
tim pool
And I think it's coming from Democrats.
I think these people are being asked, do you think democracy in jeopardy?
They're going, yeah, they're trying to arrest the front runner for the presidency.
elad eliahu
And they swapped out the president and the primary no longer counts for anything.
Does democracy no longer important there?
The thing about political violence that's really troubling is that it's not treated equally by both sides.
That's So, for example, all of the Republicans are constantly pressed on January 6th and January 6th this, and they're forced to condemn it.
But I'm very ambivalent when it comes to that, as somebody who is on the ground covering it, because when there's any violence from any people, from the George Floyd stuff to the BLM riots, all of the Democrats are actually behind them and support them.
siaka massaquoi
Yes.
CNN is literally having a camera on there.
tim pool
The New York Times has Trump at 79% chance to win.
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
elad eliahu
So while BLM and George Floyd riots are the voice of the unheard and therefore justifiable, none of that can be said allegedly for January 6th.
And everybody, it has to be widely condemned.
Although, why isn't January 6th the voice of the unheard?
Why are they dealing with their valid concerns that they have?
And obviously there were some bad players involved in January 6th.
But as somebody who was there, that was less than 1% of the people, and I think it's too broad of a brush to paint, as opposed to somebody who also covered the George Floyd riots, where most of the people there were participating in violence.
And what did the Democrats do?
Take a knee and put their hand up in support of that.
tim pool
Alright, Bitcoin is currently at $74,811.
So, whatever that means, Bitcoin's at all-time highs and everyone's...
siaka massaquoi
That means they know America's hoping for business, baby.
Let's go.
Let's go.
tim pool
Ron Paul...
Tweeted at Elon, I want to work on Department of Government efficiency.
If every single right-leaning libertarian didn't immediately be like, Trump's got my vote at that moment, then I don't know what does.
siaka massaquoi
Then you're crazy.
Then you're crazy.
seamus coughlin
Oh, I'm sorry.
I want to give you a chance.
siaka massaquoi
Well, I was going to say about the political violence.
That actually happened in my mother's home country of Liberia, West Africa.
In 1983, they installed a general.
He took everything over.
And then about 10 years later, they used Charles Taylor...
tim pool
Trump said 90% on Polymarket.
Sorry.
siaka massaquoi
Oh, yeah.
No, that's great.
No, this is great, but this is how they use it.
They brought in Charles Taylor.
Charles Taylor gets weapons from the CIA. He goes through a 20-year civil war where kids are cutting out other kids' hearts.
Like, they're doing crazy stuff.
And just by George Bush's last decree was telling Charles Taylor, if you don't leave, we're coming to get you.
And he left.
He ended up going to The Hague and all that stuff.
But It's so easy for it to happen.
I literally have it in my family of how they did that in the country.
And they've been trying to take us down that road.
seamus coughlin
I think you're right.
siaka massaquoi
Where everything you've done is bad and everything we do is good.
And that justifies us to go in there and literally take your property, take your life, take everything that you own.
seamus coughlin
I think so.
tim pool
Melissa Chen says Tony Hinchcliffe can take a deep breath right now.
Trump is currently at 90.5% on polymarket.
That doesn't mean much.
It's just predictive.
So, we will see.
Current data out of Wisconsin has Kamala Harris up by.1 with 44% in, so it is looking very good for Donald Trump as of right now because Madison is at 72%, Milwaukee is at 48%.
Look at this, Waukesha County, 77% in, and Trump is winning by 19 points!
siaka massaquoi
I got a question.
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
siaka massaquoi
Tim?
unidentified
Wow.
siaka massaquoi
Guys?
Trump wins the popular vote.
Wins the mandate.
Do Democrats ever win the presidency again?
And if they do, how long?
seamus coughlin
Well, it depends on if he deports who needs to be deported.
It depends on if he does the deportation.
tim pool
The answer is, of course they will.
They will have to completely and radically transform their party.
ian crossland
Can they, though?
siaka massaquoi
They've lived on abortion for so long.
seamus coughlin
That's what I was saying earlier.
unidentified
I agree with you.
seamus coughlin
I don't think they can change it.
I don't think they're willing to.
tim pool
What was the period where, I think before the early 90s, Republicans didn't control Congress for something like several decades?
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
So, it will not be easy, but there will be a massive repudiation of the Democratic Party.
Incumbents will lose.
Primaries will be launched.
You are going to see a bunch of moderate Democrats run primaries and say, these people are psychopaths.
And then, hopefully, I hope this is what happens, in maybe, I don't know, eight or ten years or whatever, The Democrats are a much more moderate party that looks more like Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr.
The Republican Party looks like Donald Trump, and our disagreements are substantially more mundane.
We hang out, we eat pizza together, and then we debate minor issues but mostly agree.
elad eliahu
It's funny because I kind of think actually the exact opposite.
I think Trump's a legendary politician.
And uniquely fit to unify the party, which is going through a realignment currently.
He's still managing to bring all those factions together.
But in a post-Trump world, I don't know if there is a Republican figure who could bring together all these factions, as opposed to the Democrats, who will fall in line with almost anybody, I believe, who votes for president.
seamus coughlin
I think that's an interesting point.
I'd have to think about it more, but you're probably right about that.
elad eliahu
Trump is so great at unifying this party.
It's amazing how he really has it.
It's Trump's party, frankly.
It's not the Republican Party.
siaka massaquoi
It's Trump's party.
I'm thinking, though, we have to factor in what he wants to do in four years.
Let's just say he reduces the income tax to the point of where he wants, and we're using the tariffs like we did pre-1900 to actually fund our government.
Success goes up.
People can live normally.
People can live in California like we live in Tennessee, right?
And so everyone doesn't have to move.
What can the left actually offer, even moderately, that can compete with that?
I don't...
elad eliahu
There's one issue, guys.
There's one issue the Democrats offer.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
That's it.
phil labonte
They don't offer anything at all, and they haven't for the past four...
siaka massaquoi
That's what I mean.
Guys, you're missing the biggest...
seamus coughlin
I am glad Jeremy's here for this part.
siaka massaquoi
There we go.
phil labonte
They haven't offered anything except for fear.
They've literally only, all they've done is accused their opponents of being evil.
It's all been about their bad, their evil, you should be frightened of them.
They don't offer policy.
tim pool
Guys, Trump, Decision Desk is calling Iowa for Trump.
I just want to shout that out.
seamus coughlin
Ann Selzer!
tim pool
Who's wrong?
siaka massaquoi
Jeremy, are you kidding me?
tim pool
Jeremy is here.
phil labonte
Hi, sir.
tim pool
Jeremy, are you a bourbon drinker?
siaka massaquoi
I thought, is that...
tim pool
There's two, Jeremy?
siaka massaquoi
Yes, it's crazy.
tim pool
Are you a bourbon drinker?
jeremy boring
Say again?
tim pool
You a bourbon drinker?
jeremy boring
Not on a night where I'm on...
You may not know this.
In 2016, we thought the election would be over very early.
If you may recall, the New York Times, for example, is calling for Hillary by 90...
She had a 99% chance of winning.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
jeremy boring
And so we thought this was going to be the shortest broadcast of all time.
We should drink on air.
siaka massaquoi
Oh, jeez.
jeremy boring
And if you go back and watch the video, by hour nine, I'm laying in my chair.
I am so drunk.
unidentified
What?
jeremy boring
I drink so rarely, and I drink to such excess.
siaka massaquoi
It was done.
jeremy boring
No more election night.
seamus coughlin
He was the only person to cover the election to not know the results the next morning.
He was like, who won?
What happened?
tim pool
Where am I? I'm feeling really, really good right now.
jeremy boring
Yes.
tim pool
How are you feeling, Jeremy?
jeremy boring
You know, Dr.
Phil was on the show a moment ago, and he introduced me to a new term, which is nauseously optimistic.
seamus coughlin
I saw that.
I heard that today, too.
jeremy boring
I would say that I am nauseously optimistic.
seamus coughlin
That's how I feel.
siaka massaquoi
Like, you're going to win and throw up.
How's that work out?
unidentified
Yay!
jeremy boring
I do want to call out my boy, though, for saying that he thought that Donald Trump was going to win New York.
Optimism can carry you far.
unidentified
I said I wouldn't be surprised.
siaka massaquoi
The way things were moving, I wouldn't be surprised if, if, big capital I and F, you won, and it didn't happen, it's okay.
I put a dollar on it.
jeremy boring
This election was probably always going to come down to the Rust Belt.
It's obviously now coming down to the Rust Belt.
There are real challenges because I think in every presidential election in my lifetime, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan have voted in unison.
seamus coughlin
Yes.
jeremy boring
And while it is possible for Donald Trump to pick up all three of those states, it is more likely that he will not.
Right.
Which, again, none of us on this panel were alive the last time that that happened.
But I do think that it's possible tonight.
I think he's looking great in Wisconsin.
There's actually some pretty encouraging signs, even in Michigan.
And I'm not giving up on Pennsylvania yet.
He could sweep the Rust Belt, and then you would have a truly decisive victory, which I think, listen, I want Donald Trump to be president.
Obviously, we've talked about that ad nauseum.
If he loses, I wanted him to lose by a lot.
The worst thing for the country is a narrow, like within the margin, Kamala Harris victory.
That's a disaster.
So if Donald Trump can be the one who has the huge victory, then that's like, you know, saints be praised.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
tim pool
With 53% in, Trump is up one point in Pennsylvania.
And in Wisconsin, he is up by 0.3%.
So this shift just came in in Michigan.
Only 21% reporting, but Harris has the edge with 49.8 to Trump's 48.4.
seamus coughlin
So Jeremy, I just want to ask you, do you think it's more likely for him to break that coalition apart or for him to sweep all three?
jeremy boring
Well, if past is precedent, then it has to be more likely that he would sweep all three.
That said, I don't think that it is in practice more likely that he sweeps all three.
I think in the actual moment in which we live, the most likely outcome is probably that he wins Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, I think he breaks it up, too.
I think there's too much...
tim pool
He only needs one, then, right?
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, he only needs one.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, he only needs one.
So, yeah.
And if he wins Pennsylvania, we're just...
jeremy boring
If he wins Pennsylvania, he wins the presidency.
phil labonte
Do you think it's likely to win two?
tim pool
He could lose.
So right now, based on the numbers we're seeing, if Trump just takes any one of the blue wall states and loses Nevada, he's won.
That's it.
Wisconsin being the smallest of the three, he still gets 272.
jeremy boring
He still gets there.
phil labonte
Yeah.
And it's clear.
siaka massaquoi
That's losing Nevada.
Nevada looks like it's...
unidentified
Ooh!
tim pool
New York Times is pushing it a little bit further.
80% chance Trump's going to win.
Projection is 296 votes.
jeremy boring
Now listen, I do want to say, like, this exact needle said 99% Hillary.
So in a way, watching it move toward Trump throughout the night is like my one cause for concern.
tim pool
Yes, but they didn't start the night with the needle.
And because they were horribly embarrassed the last two times.
elad eliahu
Jeremy, I wanted to ask you, so it seems like the two swing states that are going to be most crucial here are Pennsylvania and Michigan.
These are both, obviously, states that were dealing with the Israel-Palestine issue in a tangential way.
So in Michigan, they had the uncommitted vote.
And in Pennsylvania, there's a large Jewish population.
Kamala Harris famously didn't pick the Jewish governor, Democrat there, who's very popular, Mr.
Shapiro.
Not your Ben Shapiro.
unidentified
Yeah.
elad eliahu
What do you think of these two states?
Is that the most important issue or one of the issues that's really moving the needle there is something else that we should be paying attention to?
And what do you think about Israel playing a role in these two states as a political issue?
jeremy boring
In fairness to Kamala Harris, I think it was very important that she secure the Minnesota vote.
seamus coughlin
I said Walls was a great pick.
As a man, you look at him and you go, this is a really cool guy.
siaka massaquoi
Man, he's really soft around the middle.
jeremy boring
She is speaking to me.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
jeremy boring
Now, listen, I do think that the Gaza, you know, the Palestinians of Gaza massacring a thousand Jews and actively holding Americans hostage.
Listen, the last time Americans were actively held hostage during a presidential election, Ronald Reagan came to power.
Like you had one of the great victories, Republican victories of the second half of the 20th century.
elad eliahu
And then they were immediately let out.
jeremy boring
Yeah, it's remarkable.
It's remarkable that we don't talk more about the fact that there are Americans being held hostage.
And the reason is because it's so bad for the Democrats.
It's so bad for Joe Biden and therefore Kamala Harris that this is happening.
Obviously, the fact that Kamala couldn't bring herself to choose the swing state governor, who's very popular in his state, to be her vice president simply because she couldn't be seen to be cozying up to Israel.
I do think could wind up being part of what cost her the presidency.
Now, Michigan's slightly different.
Michigan has one of the largest Muslim populations in the country.
It takes a much different position on...
I don't know that we can say that Israel's seven-front war that they're currently fighting, which I very much support, is going to be decisive.
I think far more likely what you're going to see in the Rust Belt.
The reason we've said for years in this country, as goes Michigan, so goes the country, is because Michigan represents It's a core American industry.
It represents kind of the American economy.
We call it the Rust Belt because it's where industry happens.
You know, you have the steel mills of Pennsylvania.
So I think these are the people who are sort of the most adversely affected by the economic policy of the Biden-Harris administration.
That's not to say that I don't think that the conflict in the Middle East has any bearing on the vote.
But while it's fun to say she should have picked Josh Shapiro, and while it would probably be the case that has she picked Josh Shapiro...
She would have transcended some of these issues by picking a very popular swing state governor to be her vice president.
I don't know if that's the same as saying that the decisive issue in those states is Israel's war effort, which I don't think is the case.
tim pool
So I know this was mentioned when I was joining you guys, but the New York Times hasn't called the Senate race in Ohio, but it does look like Bernie Moreno is crushing Sherrod Brown.
jeremy boring
Crushing.
tim pool
78% in, five-point lead.
I wonder why they're not calling it yet, but I'm down to wait.
It's looking good.
jeremy boring
You can't emphasize enough how important it is that we control the Senate, and I think it's becoming more and more clear that we will control the Senate, even if we lose the House, although I'm hopeful about the House.
At the end of the day, though...
If we lose the presidency, it will be essential that we have the Senate so that we can stop the Harris agenda.
If we win the presidency, it will be essential that we have the Senate so that we can advance the Trump agenda.
The Senate is the key to everything.
It's the key to either approving or not approving appointments, judicial appointments, ultimately passing legislation.
tim pool
This is big.
I mean, New York Times is now projecting a.8% advantage for Trump on the popular vote.
unidentified
Oh my goodness.
tim pool
That will be a good day.
siaka massaquoi
What time is it?
We got another probably 20 minutes that probably hit about 1%.
elad eliahu
Jeremy, I also wanted to follow up with you.
So in Pennsylvania, it's a really interesting state because there are a lot of people who split the vote.
And they historically usually have one senator from one party and one from another.
So while Trump's leading in Pennsylvania, McCormick, I believe, is losing in the race to Casey, I think it is.
What do you think about those who are splitting the ticket?
Somebody who could vote for Donald Trump, but then not support the Republican Senate candidate.
jeremy boring
It's a really interesting thing.
I think McCormick is a very strong candidate.
It'll be a real shame if he doesn't make it into the U.S. Senate.
That said, splitting the ticket is such a peculiar thing.
And there's been this big movement, particularly among...
Supporters of Israel to say you should vote for Donald Trump to be president because it's in Israel's interest, but you should not vote for the Republican to be in the Senate because the people saying it are still broadly left, and they're typically secular Jews who are politically left-leaning but who have seen since October 7th something that they didn't think they would see in their lifetime, which is the importance of the American presidency for the security of Israel.
And so it actually may be a point in favor of your position that you took a moment ago that maybe the Shapiro choice is more decisive.
Maybe the Gaza war is more decisive.
I think that would be one possible takeaway.
elad eliahu
Some other contributing factors.
Also, Pittsburgh was the location of a horrible mass shooting at the Tree of Life Synagogue.
There are a lot of Jews in Pittsburgh.
There's a large Jewish community there.
They've historically been left-leaning.
But things like attacks, anti-Semitic targeting of themselves, seeing these chants that are coming out of some of these anti-Semitic protests that we're seeing around We were all overly excited.
tim pool
We knew this was going to happen, but Harris is now leading in Virginia.
One could hope...
A lot of people were saying online it was called too early, and there was a chance Democrats were actually freaking out.
Virginia, why is it close?
But yeah, Virginia is now...
jeremy boring
I mean, if Trump had won Virginia, it would just be like game over, of course.
It was never very likely, but man, it would have been fun.
siaka massaquoi
When you're talking about the conflict in the Middle East, I think, like in Michigan, while it may not completely sway the electorate over there, the big swath where you have the Muslims in Michigan and you have Jews in Pennsylvania, that can influence a lot of a lot of other people to move in certain directions so from that standpoint i think it does i just don't know if like each of those pockets if they all voted one way then it's all one no
but if you're in you're around you live in michigan around a lot of muslims and you you kind of talking to your neighbors you go yeah that kind of makes some sense same thing in in pennsylvania so i think their influence of who starts to lean that way like Like we saw, there were so many that came up at Trump's Michigan rally and they came up on stage and they were just talking like, we support this, we support him.
Because also, I think they see the right on the wall.
They're losing.
A lot of their people are dying right now.
It's not Israel that's dying like crazy over there.
October 7th was terrible.
But who's losing right now is the people they know.
So if they go, hey, this guy's saying he's going to at least stop it.
neighbors around them maybe to shift too.
jeremy boring
It's also the case that had Donald Trump not lost the presidency in 2020, the Gaza massacre in Israel by the Palestinians of Gaza never would have taken place.
elad eliahu
The prerequisite for that to take place was Joe Biden unfreezing all the assets of Iran and essentially giving them billions and billions of dollars to feed their proxies to launch I don't agree with this, but what do you make of the argument that it was because the Abraham Accords were coming to fruition that kind of sparked this by Hamas as a kind of last-hitch effort to kind of ruin peace between the Jews and Arabs?
jeremy boring
It's not an argument against the good things.
It's not an argument against the good things.
siaka massaquoi
Exactly.
seamus coughlin
So, well, this is a point that I made earlier just before.
Sure, sure.
tim pool
Put a minute, some updates.
Decision Desk has been wonky all day, but I do want to at least track what they're saying because it's being reported far and wide.
Georgia has now been called for Trump.
North Carolina is clear for Trump.
Wisconsin has just flipped with Trump in the lead.
Pennsylvania, Trump is in the lead.
New Mexico, this makes no sense.
They're saying Trump is in the lead, but that's probably going to flip back.
And Arizona is likely going to flip as well.
jeremy boring
I have family in New Mexico, and I can just tell you that New Mexico is the closest thing to an actual communist state that we have.
siaka massaquoi
It's bad.
jeremy boring
It's so bad.
siaka massaquoi
I drove through it, and I couldn't get out of it fast enough.
jeremy boring
Well, I kind of love it, but...
siaka massaquoi
Man, the meth users, there's a lot...
I'm not saying all New Mexico meth users, but it was pretty high.
jeremy boring
Listen, I want to come on this show if I know we're going to have a meth conversation.
A bigot.
An anti-meth bigot.
seamus coughlin
He's anti-Methodist.
jeremy boring
Somebody's waving at me that I have to leave.
I don't feel like I've been here long enough.
tim pool
Well, I agree.
You can stay as long as you want.
jeremy boring
Can I come back?
unidentified
You're in charge.
tim pool
At the time you want.
siaka massaquoi
You want to switch with me?
jeremy boring
This was a lot of fun.
tim pool
Thank you, guys.
Thanks for coming.
elad eliahu
Thanks for coming, Jim.
tim pool
And we got a lot of people.
unidentified
See, we should call some other people.
phil labonte
Where's Frater?
elad eliahu
I'm going to go get some other people.
phil labonte
I love Albuquerque, New Mexico.
tim pool
I want to go get some other people.
seamus coughlin
Is there anyone else?
I can pop out in a second if anyone tries to sub it.
All right.
jeremy boring
Cool, cool.
seamus coughlin
Hey, I'll see you all in a little bit.
Freedom Tunes.
Check us out.
We just uploaded some cool new stuff today.
It was great meeting you, bro.
siaka massaquoi
It was great meeting you, too, brother.
unidentified
What's that?
tim pool
New York Times seems a bit more reluctant to update the map here.
phil labonte
It seems like they want to make sure that they're calling things that are accurate and not what they want.
They don't want to get out at them.
tim pool
But right now, New York Times' projection is Trump 297.
They're saying Republicans have the overt probability in Michigan, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.
If we stop there, Trump won.
Game over.
Georgia is now greater than 95 for Trump.
Trump's clearly taken it.
Decision Desk already has North Carolina.
Arizona's obvious.
If this Michigan holds, it's over.
phil labonte
Michigan is actually leaning a Republican.
Harris has just a slight lead right now, but it's by 5,000 votes.
Wisconsin, Harris is down.
PA Harris is down.
It is possible that Trump takes out the whole blue wall, which would be brilliant.
It would make for a mandate for Donald Trump.
tim pool
have to win the popular vote so that if Trump wins the electoral vote and Kamala wins the popular vote, they will claim they are the mass, they are the majority, they are the popular mandate.
Let's say no to that.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah.
jeremy boring
Right.
siaka massaquoi
It stops the trans stuff It stops the open border.
It actually encourages the deportation without feeling as much backlash because the population is down.
phil labonte
I agree with all of that.
That's all true.
tim pool
Elon Musk tweets, game, set, and match.
unidentified
Stop it.
phil labonte
Stop it.
siaka massaquoi
That's better than any of this.
unidentified
I'm out.
siaka massaquoi
All right, guys.
Well, I'll see you in the morning.
phil labonte
No, no, no.
I mean, I want to believe that.
unidentified
I don't like counting our chickens.
phil labonte
Exactly.
I want to believe it.
I like counting chickens.
unidentified
I know you do.
ian crossland
The chickens like it, too.
lisa reynolds
It's like bad juju.
phil labonte
The point that I was trying to make, right, like is...
It makes it clear that the American people are clear on what they want.
It is a clear victory.
And as much as like all of the policy that we want, we're going to get it more more than that.
It makes it so that way you can't have these these people that want to tear apart the fabric of the United States.
That want to tear down the structures.
They'll want to tear down the electoral college.
They want to tear down the filibuster.
They want to expand the court.
They want to add states.
If you get a solid win...
Where there's the electoral college win and the popular vote win.
It puts all that stuff to bed.
It makes all of the arguments for that stuff go away.
And then when you're making those arguments, normal people, which I keep referring to, the normies that only watch about an hour on news per week, they're going to look at those people and say, you are effing crazy.
Stop it.
There's a clear winner.
All the stuff you're talking about is all crazy.
Shut up.
lisa reynolds
But even back to the deportations, like you were talking about.
phil labonte
The Americans love that.
lisa reynolds
A third of Democrats.
james klug
Yeah, exactly.
It goes to show that people are in support of mass deportations as well.
It says you can't just bring in 10 plus million illegal immigrants in the United States, unvetted, letting everyone in here without paying the price.
phil labonte
70% of Americans are pro-mass deportation.
lisa reynolds
Not pro- And one third of Democrats support that as well.
phil labonte
Which is wonderful.
But it's not just closing the border.
It's not just preventing more people from coming.
It's actually doing the hard thing, which will be hard to stomach, honestly.
There will be times where it sucks to see where you round people up that are here illegally and deport them.
I don't think it will be rough.
Well, the point is, with that kind of popular support, you can do it because there will be times.
Listen, I'm old enough to remember Elian Gonzalez, okay?
And I remember that picture going around.
The guy's got his kid, and there's a dude with an MP5 grabbing the kid.
lisa reynolds
But is that worse than what happened to that 12-year-old girl that went to the store and got...
phil labonte
I'm only making the point that those are the things that you're going to see.
siaka massaquoi
It's not worse, but we know the media we're playing against.
They barely talked about that 12-year-old, but they will put their Elian Gonzalez everywhere.
james klug
It's undeniable that public support will drop if that stuff starts.
chris wallace
It's undeniable.
james klug
But I think the way that they roll it out needs to be careful.
It needs to be almost low-key.
siaka massaquoi
Go for the gangsters first.
james klug
You know, it almost needs to be low-key, but it also needs, yeah, they need to take it step by step when it comes to mass deportation as well.
lisa reynolds
But then we need people like Tim and Rogan and everybody else who's obviously shown through this election cycle that mainstream media isn't the way to pull up those other events that have happened and say, this looks bad, remember this.
Remember when these kids were dying.
tim pool
But we made it...
Four and a half hours without it doing any shout-outs, but considering the extended duration, we're going to give a shout-out to our sponsors, which are ourself.
We sponsor ourselves.
So go to castbrew.com, buy Cast Brew Coffee if you want to support the work that we do.
Appalachian Nights is my favorite.
We got Ian's Graphene Dream Low Acidity.
And of course, everybody, Step on Sneck and Find Out Skateboards are back in stock at boonieshq.com.
And also, the boobies are still unfortunately sold out.
But shout out to ourselves.
We sponsor ourselves.
If you guys want to support our work, that's always available.
And head over to TimCast.com.
Click join us.
Become a member.
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There's pre-shows.
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We have a members-only show where you get to call in and talk to us and our guests.
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Become a member at TimCast.com if you'd like to see the work that we do.
And CastBrew.com, Boonies HQ. Let's get back to you.
What were you guys saying?
ian crossland
I could use a little CastBrew right now.
Anybody can run out and grab a little...
Thank you so much.
Kellen's giving me the thumbs up.
Give me more than one there, Kellen.
tim pool
Actually, here it's probably...
ian crossland
A slew of coffees, if possible.
tim pool
It's probably Black Rifle here.
ian crossland
Black Rifle coffee for the win.
tim pool
We like them.
ian crossland
Yeah, shoutoutcastbrew.com.
I got Ian Crossland's Graphene Dream.
It's low acidity, which is very good for you.
A lot of times coffee can make you...
You're a little jittery.
siaka massaquoi
I can't do it.
ian crossland
I've been going through it lately because I've been drinking a lot of coffee.
tim pool
Alright, now, to segue away from our shoutouts, we have this from The Needle.
The Needle on New York Times, 84% chance that Trump wins.
Projection is 297 votes.
Michigan, looks like Michigan shifted a little bit back from Tatasa, but it's still 65%.
And Trump needs one of those blue wall states, and he's got the advantage by 12, 13, 14, 15 points, probabilistically in each one.
So, tremendous.
siaka massaquoi
Question.
tim pool
Yes.
siaka massaquoi
I know we're talking about what we're seeing right now, and I know everyone has a little PTSD from 2020.
tim pool
Yep.
siaka massaquoi
As we're having these discussions, as we're seeing the numbers shift, and we're seeing all this stuff come in, are we calculating the possibility of these mail-in ballots moving the needle the other way, or is it too far one side and the other?
tim pool
I believe many of them have come in already, but it is not being factored in the way that it was in 2020.
Four years ago, they were all saying, hey, hold on, we're sitting on these ballots.
They're not doing that right now.
Additionally, you have the Fifth Circuit Court ruling out of Mississippi.
This is the Fifth Circuit Court lawsuit in Mississippi.
That federal court ruled ballots received after election day are illegal to count.
siaka massaquoi
That's right.
tim pool
So if Democrats do try to pull off a 3 a.m.
mail dump just arrived, Republicans will sue, and likely Supreme Court will kick that out.
It's bad news for this country if that happens.
siaka massaquoi
Right.
tim pool
Because that means the Democrats will claim they won the Electoral College and the popular vote, and Trump stole it with his cronies in the Supreme Court.
Hopefully, the way things are going right now, I don't think...
The New York Times, look, they just increased it to an 86% chance to win for Trump with a.8 popular vote.
If Trump wins the popular vote and the Electoral College, holy crap, they just...
Okay, so the New York Times just shifted from toss-up to lean Republican Wisconsin and Michigan.
siaka massaquoi
Wisconsin and Michigan.
Wow.
tim pool
It looks like it's going so well for Trump that by the end of the night, it may be a Trump winning by such margins.
siaka massaquoi
They can't.
tim pool
Nothing matters.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah.
unidentified
Yeah.
ian crossland
I just gotta emphasize, we are a country at war right now, whether we want to admit it or not, in the Ukraine and this whole Israeli thing, we need to treat it as such.
The Commander-in-Chief is in severe danger at all times and should be treated like, really, really, really take this guy's life seriously.
It is super important right now.
siaka massaquoi
I mean, we're a country of war with ourselves, too.
lisa reynolds
I was just going to say the same exact thing.
siaka massaquoi
It's going both ways.
There's people outside, but there's people in here, you know, when they want to go on a statement about the enemy from within, I'm like, you know, that's part of the Constitution from fight foreign and domestic, and unfortunately, I think there's a lot here.
tim pool
He's talking about illegal aliens that are committing crimes, that we need to arrest people who have broken the law, and we need to...
Send them home.
And it's remarkable how, hey, the people who are here illegally committing crimes should go home, and they're like, that's cruel and unusual.
Get them a plane ride or a train ride home.
But I do have this from CBS News exit poll in Michigan.
Younger voters aged 18 to 29 are narrowly going for Trump right now.
The deficit for Harris is in large part to younger men in Michigan who are more for Trump...
james klug
Let's go, boys.
lisa reynolds
I'm so proud of the men.
siaka massaquoi
Let's go.
Get out there.
Finally, right?
Where you guys been?
tim pool
The boys are showing up in Michigan for Trump.
james klug
Republicans did such a good job at making it fun to get out to vote, showing up to college campuses.
Thank you, Barron Trump.
And all of these people, all these streamers hopping on board saying, you know what?
Donald Trump is awesome.
siaka massaquoi
He's our future.
james klug
Let's get after it.
Kamala Harris, not the move.
Donald Trump, the move.
And they made it fun.
ian crossland
They made it fun for young men.
tim pool
So this is from Libs of Tick that says, Osceola County in Florida, one of the largest populations of Puerto Ricans outside Puerto Rico, and Trump has flipped it.
siaka massaquoi
Wow.
tim pool
Remember when the media cried for a week about a joke about Puerto Rico and how he'd lose votes?
ian crossland
Probably so many Puerto Ricans love that joke.
I know.
He's talking about our country, our state.
siaka massaquoi
They're like, I know, they need to clean that place up.
Oh, I'm offended?
james klug
Well, Democrats also tried to grab onto like a few viral clips of a guy saying...
I'm no longer voting for Donald Trump.
And you're just asking yourself, all of us are asking ourselves, seeing that, thinking, who on earth would do that?
That doesn't make any sense.
tim pool
It's a joke.
88% now on New York Times.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
It is 1041 Eastern Time, and I'm hoping we can wrap this up in a little bit so I can go eat some chicken wings.
siaka massaquoi
Mmm.
We should start calling ourselves the Grand Opportunity Party now instead of the Grand Old Party, because I think those young people you're talking about in college, they have a binary choice.
phil labonte
That's not bad.
siaka massaquoi
You like that?
Patent pending.
You see that, and it was Trump's pick for J.D. Vance, whereas Kamala picked Waltz.
Just from a visual standpoint, one guy is going, I'm picking the future for you guys.
And the other person is going, I'm picking that same old, same old.
So Vance actually, he represents those young men who want to come up, even people like ourselves.
And Trump goes...
This is your future, guys.
phil labonte
I got you.
To your point, not only is it just Vance, but the support from Musk, which I was mentioning earlier, the support from Musk and the things that Elon Musk is trying to do, these are all people that are forward-looking.
siaka massaquoi
Yes.
phil labonte
Lisa, you were saying?
lisa reynolds
No, I was just going to say, with the Walls pick, it was somebody that was...
Weaker than she was.
Even if that can even be comprehensible.
She's so brutal.
Vance was strong.
He's our future.
He's strong.
He can push back against Trump.
james klug
And wildly relatable as well.
tim pool
Real quick, McCormick is up in Pennsylvania by one point with 60% in.
So this is in the Senate.
This is big.
To defeat incumbent Bob Casey would be massive.
In Ohio, Bernie Moreno is up by five against Sherrod Brown, the incumbent.
This would be two seats if that holds.
Now, it could be a split vote, but right now, we've got, according to the New York Times, Trump is up by three points in Pennsylvania with 61% reporting, and they're projecting it to lean for Trump in Pennsylvania.
lisa reynolds
Let me say that Berks County was where Scott Pressler did tons and tons of his work.
And he's leading there 56 to 43.
Trump is leading.
That is huge.
tim pool
If the Senate flips in Pennsylvania as well, I mean, that's tremendous.
siaka massaquoi
That's amazing.
lisa reynolds
Casey's been there forever and he's horrible.
siaka massaquoi
I hope that it shows what Scott Pressler did and what a lot of other people.
I mean, I was vice chair of the LA GOP, and we ended up gaining about 60,000 new votes, new registered voters for Los Angeles County, while the left lost 40,000, and it was a net loss of the population of 240,000 people.
So it tells you that not the transplants, but the people who grew up in LA are changing over there.
So I'd like to give a shout out to California and LA. Don't be surprised if their numbers help out with this popular vote, but also that within the next four to five years, Los Angeles County and California alone starts to turn around.
lisa reynolds
Because they remember how it was.
They remember how great and how normal it was.
And now it's so insane.
siaka massaquoi
One day I saw a guy walking my dog.
I saw a guy walking straight butt naked down the street.
Just the opposite.
lisa reynolds
I saw a man do number two on a church steps in Philadelphia.
It's really out of control.
tim pool
Trump is at 92.9 on Polymarket.
92.8.
lisa reynolds
And we can't go to bed and this will change, right?
james klug
The fact that it has to get that far in those cities where people are roaming around, murdering children, doing what you were just talking about.
The fact that it has to get that far before people start waking up and say, hold on, let's take a U-turn here because this is completely out of control.
It's disappointing, but I am thankful that we're there to where people are waking up and running away from what they've originally been voting for the last handful of decades.
siaka massaquoi
Well, it's the idea of everyone has their different rock bottom and people don't make the change until their stomach starts to hurt.
And so now we're seeing people going, wait a minute, that person who's destroying my neighborhood, that's starting to hurt.
Where before when you heard about it, it was from a distance and it's like, oh, or the story's not real or it's just being suppressed so people don't have no idea.
lisa reynolds
Or it's a one-off, right?
Even if they saw it on their own, they're like, oh, well, that's...
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, that's not everywhere.
lisa reynolds
Exactly.
james klug
One of the major wake-up calls was definitely illegal immigrants flooding people's communities that were already struggling, right?
So they're saying, why aren't you putting me first?
Why are these people getting free housing?
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, Chicago.
james klug
Why are they getting free healthcare?
Why in some places are they getting debit cards?
And why is this all on the taxpayers' dime?
unidentified
Right, right.
lisa reynolds
That really broke them.
Also Twitter, because, you know, sometimes, what is it, like the frog in the pot, right?
unidentified
Yeah, yeah.
lisa reynolds
So you see this happening to your community, you kind of become numb to it, but then he opened the floodgates and like, oh, it's not just here, it's everywhere, and it's progressively getting worse and worse and worse.
I thank Elon for so much of this.
So much of this because it opened everybody's eyes.
james klug
It also allowed the tech industry to be openly pro-Trump as well.
I have a friend that's pretty high up in tech, and he's always sending me people that are leaders in the tech industry openly supporting Donald Trump.
We weren't seeing this stuff in 2020.
We weren't seeing this stuff in 2016.
This is a massive shift.
phil labonte
This speaks to the same thing that we were talking about in Philadelphia, how you see a lot of people with Trump You know, flags and stuff like that.
And that was absolutely unacceptable in 2020.
Absolutely unacceptable.
siaka massaquoi
You would lose your job.
phil labonte
You would be attacked.
There were people that would literally physically attack you if you wore a MAGA hat.
And the fact that that changed.
It gave people the permission, social permission, to say, I'm going to vote for Donald Trump.
They don't have to go out and put a flag up.
They don't have to wear a MAGA hat.
They don't have to put stickers up.
But they did feel like, okay, I'm not going to be treated like a pariah if people find out that I voted for Donald Trump.
james klug
It's comfortable enough to where Lisa's kid is going around.
Trigger tree.
unidentified
I knew you were going to say it.
james klug
Trigger treating as Donald Trump.
lisa reynolds
In Philadelphia.
james klug
People were loving it.
All sorts of people were loving it.
lisa reynolds
They were lining up to take pictures with her.
At least seven different houses asked to take pictures with my daughter.
james klug
Her daughter, by the way, dressed up as Trump wearing a mask.
phil labonte
And the reason is because once you get past the fact that he's been demonized by the left and by the media, he's totally memeable.
He's completely memeable.
siaka massaquoi
He talks about 20 minutes.
Jeremy was right.
tim pool
Trump now has the popular vote estimate by a single point with a projection of 299 electoral votes.
87% chance of victory.
Don't count your chickens, everybody.
Don't count your chickens because we don't know just yet.
siaka massaquoi
Don't count them, but you can estimate your chickens.
tim pool
Hey look, we're all going to sit here and cheer for Donald Trump, go to bed and wake up and who knows what's coming next.
james klug
Don't count your chickens, but have a good time.
siaka massaquoi
Have a good time.
Enjoy yourself.
james klug
Keep the positive attitude.
lisa reynolds
How about pray?
Can we all have 12 o'clock, everybody say a good prayer?
phil labonte
It's too late to vote now, definitely, but I am still of the opinion that it's out of your hands now, but I'm still going to worry.
tim pool
It is remarkable how close it is in these blue wall states.
Decision Desk, which I will stress has been bad all night, has Trump up with 61% of the vote.
He's up by 0.3 in PA. He's leading Wisconsin by 1.1.
In Wisconsin with 57% in.
Arizona with 53% in.
Kamala is up by.2, but everyone's basically saying that's because Flagstaff, Phoenix, and Tucson have already voted, and rural red districts are going to get their results in soon, so it's likely going down on Trump.
lisa reynolds
I'm getting reports that they are celebrating at Mar-a-Lago because the internal polling says they already won.
phil labonte
I don't want to hear any of that.
unidentified
I'm just saying that's what's coming through the microphone.
siaka massaquoi
I like that one.
I like that.
lisa reynolds
I'm just letting you know.
siaka massaquoi
They celebrate in Tennessee, too.
tim pool
Lisa, how long did you work on the Hill for?
lisa reynolds
12 years.
tim pool
Your sources are good.
lisa reynolds
My sources are very good.
tim pool
All right.
Well, I hope this is what's going to happen.
phil labonte
So CNN is saying that, is saying, is reporting, oh, it could take days for Pennsylvania, et cetera, et cetera.
This is something that's really, really bad, in my opinion.
Like, these things should not take this long.
And I don't know that there's anything, one individual, or it's not a federal issue, but we...
The individual states need to do what Florida has done.
Florida is done counting.
We mentioned this earlier.
They were done counting two hours after the polls closed.
This is completely doable.
It is absolutely something that every state should desire.
They should want to be able to do this.
And if they don't, it is literally because the Democrats do not want them to do that because Because they want to have ambiguity.
If you have room for it, if you have ambiguity, you have room to cheat.
And that is what the Democrats want.
It's the same thing that the left wants when it comes to law.
They don't want clearly defined laws because clearly defined laws are easy to follow and they're hard to...
james klug
What you're saying is incredibly reasonable here, and it just goes to show that a lot of the Democrat base has turned off their ability to critically think because they will buy the argument that what you're talking about right there is racist.
siaka massaquoi
I don't care.
phil labonte
That word does not work on me.
I know I'm not a racist.
That word...
It does not work on me anymore.
I know I'm not a racist.
I don't hate anyone because of their color.
I'm not a bigot.
I don't hate anyone because of the color of their skin.
You can call me all of the names you want.
That word has no power over me.
I am not afraid of it.
siaka massaquoi
But that's what it's done.
It's done so that it's been used so much that now people are like, I don't care.
But the best thing about it, and he pointed out, is they need that chaos.
That's what the Democrats say.
It benefits them on multiple levels.
They need that in order to win their spaces.
tim pool
I just want to say, too, just to keep in mind, everybody.
Yes.
It is not just a popular mandate.
It is not just winning the seats of power in this country and reshaping culture.
It is that media will have fundamentally shifted to such a degree in this country that the narrative machine is broken.
I'm looking at these poll results.
I'm looking at the comments online.
And I'm thinking about a post-November 5th United States with all of these things in alignment.
And the question is, how is it that after everything they said about Donald Trump, I'm the data coming from Florida, Florida shifted further to the right than 2022 and 2020, which means these people ignored the corporate press, We're good to go.
siaka massaquoi
Even to a certain extent CNN and after that, it was a death nail.
CBS death nail.
So Trump wasn't just taking out the Democrats, he was actually taking out the legacy media because of what they have done to him and to people like ourselves over the last seven, eight years.
So it was going to be a quiet whimper, but they're done.
They are done.
No one trusts them.
No one watches them anymore.
And people watch things like Tim's show.
They'll watch Joe Rogan.
They'll watch PVD. They're done.
james klug
The amount of people that I find on the street that are saying, I'm getting my news from people that I trust on X, the number has skyrocketed over the years.
People used to say that they watch Network X, Y, Z. A lot of people just bypass that.
They go to the journalists that they trust.
And they follow that person.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, exactly.
But you know, and also, even the style of it, right?
Joe Rogan had J.D. Vance and Trump on.
They had a three-hour conversation.
What they're used to doing on these news shows are just popping emotional, like, manipulated points.
Like, the border wall's racist, right?
Yeah, it's racist.
Well, tell me why it's racist.
Even when Shannon Sharp had Kamala.
Trump is gaining with black guys.
Can you tell our history of racism?
You're like, what?
That's not a conversation.
That's just a talking point.
tim pool
Decision desk.
Has just called it for Bernie Moreno in Ohio, giving the Republicans a two-seat Senate flip.
siaka massaquoi
Wow.
tim pool
Massive.
Which, now with what we're seeing already, we could theoretically be looking at 53 Republicans in the Senate.
That is...
phil labonte
That is tight.
These are good signs.
james klug
These are good signs.
phil labonte
That is massive.
siaka massaquoi
And correct me if I'm wrong, you were talking about the voting.
Can't they, in a sense, do things like they can pass the law to make Election Day a holiday, which opens up the time of getting it done?
phil labonte
It looks like they'll have the...
tim pool
Banning election month?
phil labonte
So if everything goes the way that it seems like, you're talking about the House, the Senate, and the office of the presidency, that means literally the whole conservative agenda.
Everything can go.
tim pool
If the House goes Republican, the Senate, and the executive branch, they need only on January 3rd, when's the first day they can draft a bill in the House?
lisa reynolds
Oh, not until after the new Congress is sworn in.
phil labonte
On the 21st, right?
tim pool
The 3rd is when they get sworn in, isn't it?
unidentified
The 3rd.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, the 3rd.
tim pool
They say voter ID. That's it.
Mandate voter ID every state.
lisa reynolds
They won't do that.
tim pool
Why?
So, well, let me say this.
The Constitution says the states decide.
unidentified
To be honest.
tim pool
The Constitution says the states decide.
True.
That's what their excuse will be.
lisa reynolds
They won't do it.
I'm telling you, the Republicans will not do that.
I'm sorry.
I love y'all, but they're not doing it.
tim pool
Okay, okay.
siaka massaquoi
Even with everyone?
tim pool
I will say this, though.
I will say, I would lean more in your direction...
4, 8, 12 years ago.
Today, I would say you're probably still correct, but the margin has increased slightly based on the populist mandate.
lisa reynolds
Yeah, I think that they'll go right to border.
I think if they're going to do anything, they're going to go right to border.
tim pool
If the Republicans enact any kind of election security measures, Democrats will never win again.
lisa reynolds
I hope they do.
tim pool
They will have to realign their party to actually address the issues Americans care about and stop pandering to non-citizens.
siaka massaquoi
I don't know if they can.
I really don't think they're capable of it.
It's kind of like Hollywood.
You can't have them correct the ship when everything they've been doing has been woke and crazy and then you're going, Okay, Wolverine and Deadpool did well, so now make stuff like that.
They don't have the capability.
These are the same people.
james klug
If we don't think that they're going to implement a voter ID, do we think that they would at least get rid of election month and mass mail-in?
Do you think that they would be successful or go after that?
tim pool
The challenge, I believe, is that the state legislatures per the Constitution have the right to decide how they run their own elections.
And so that's a challenge for federal Congress.
This is why it's so important that Republicans win the state level, state legislatures and state senates.
siaka massaquoi
Well, can they...
In a sense, just play the political game of, hey, we want to vote that we should do this.
Yes, it doesn't play in the state, but if your state goes, no, we're not going to do it now, in a sense, it shows your electorate, we don't care about security because the country federally looks like they care, but yet California goes, it's illegal to even ask for somebody.
lisa reynolds
Guys, I have another update from inside.
This is from inside polling.
Georgia and North Carolina are ours.
Once PA goes, that's 270 and it's over.
phil labonte
And they think PA's going?
lisa reynolds
That's from internal Trump polling.
Internal Trump results.
When I worked for Congress, we would be sitting down and they would be getting the results in quicker than the news.
I remember in 2016 telling my mom, like, mom, Pennsylvania's done.
We got it.
She's like, they're not calling it.
I'm like, I already have the data.
It's in.
phil labonte
Tell the people the difference between external polls and internal polls.
lisa reynolds
There's just somebody else who, like, the reporting is coming to them before it goes to the media.
That's basically what's happening.
tim pool
So typically, internal polls are extremely expensive and extremely meticulous, whereas...
lisa reynolds
They get the reporting first, too.
So, like, members of Congress or people that are running in the things, they have somebody standing there with, like, a live feed that comes in for the state.
I want that job.
Yeah, me too.
unidentified
I was thinking we should have had one of them.
phil labonte
Wait, wait, wait.
tim pool
They're suggesting that they've already won Arizona.
Is that what they're saying?
lisa reynolds
They're saying Georgia and North Carolina are ours.
Once PA goes, it's 270 and it's over.
That's all I got.
Do you want me to ask about Arizona?
tim pool
But it's not.
So right now, if I go to 270, Arizona's leaning right.
If we include Arizona in this, which was not a toss-up according to 270, it's 281 Republican if Pennsylvania flips.
lisa reynolds
I'm asking right now.
tim pool
Ask them about Arizona and Nevada.
Do they think they have Arizona?
Because obviously we're tracking the blue wall states.
lisa reynolds
Okay.
siaka massaquoi
I'll tell you like this.
I saw her text messages.
ian crossland
In Chile over there?
unidentified
No.
siaka massaquoi
It's like, no.
Inside is warm.
That's all I'm going to say.
ben shapiro
I like to push my phone out.
unidentified
I know.
And I was like...
tim pool
If Trump does not win Pennsylvania...
If Kamala Harris holds the blue wall and Trump wins Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, Trump loses.
This is Ben Shapiro's worst case scenario where he says Florida then files a lawsuit because the census was done wrong and PA has too many electoral votes.
The Supreme Court will likely agree and flip it, giving Trump 270.
There's also the mail-in ballot scenario.
lisa reynolds
Why does PA look really blue there?
How much is reporting there?
tim pool
No, no, no.
This is 270.
lisa reynolds
Oh, that's 270.
I was like, oh, wait a minute.
Mess me out, Tim.
Don't do that.
tim pool
Don't scare me.
Okay, guys.
Arizona is not considered a toss-up on 270.
If Trump takes Georgia and North Carolina, he's at 262 without Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, or PA. At that point, it doesn't matter which.
He doesn't even need Nevada.
So long as he takes Arizona, he needs only one of the blue wall states, and he wins.
So PA doesn't even matter.
lisa reynolds
Well, maybe that's what they're saying.
Maybe they're counting that without Arizona.
tim pool
This is big because we were told Pennsylvania was the state that he had to win.
And this is where everybody went to the...
That's right.
But imagine this.
Kamala Harris wins PA, wins Michigan, Trump takes Wisconsin, Kamala Harris takes Nevada.
Doesn't matter.
Trump wins 272.
Trump needs, he doesn't even need PA at this point.
He just needs any one, and he can still lose Nevada and win.
siaka massaquoi
Wow.
tim pool
This is massive, which is why the New York Times has 89% chance Trump wins with 301 projected electoral votes.
phil labonte
CNN is saying silence at Harris HQ. And Kamala HQ hasn't tweeted in hours, apparently.
Yeah.
siaka massaquoi
That's because they all just lost their job.
Everyone's packed up.
They're heading home.
They've been heading home for two hours ago.
james klug
The intern running it.
siaka massaquoi
I'll keep the light on.
phil labonte
Guys, guys.
CNN is reporting that Kamala Harris' headquarters has fallen into complete silence with crowds of supporters visibly tense, with some seeing pacing while others are beginning to lose hope.
james klug
Do we believe that, though?
siaka massaquoi
I'm sorry.
james klug
Well, no, I'm just gonna say, first of all, if that's true, if that's true, good.
Look at how they treated the American people over the last few years.
Donald Trump, not just the American people, the entire party, you know, or the country.
It's despicable.
So good.
I'm so glad.
tim pool
It looks like Sheehy is probably gonna win in Montana.
We don't know for sure.
The date is super preliminary.
siaka massaquoi
What's the number?
tim pool
It's only 5% reporting, but I can't imagine Tester winning.
What do you think, Lisa?
lisa reynolds
I don't know, man.
I am so black-filled that this is hard for me to believe I'm getting the thing that they're winning.
It's so hard for me.
siaka massaquoi
Hey, have you heard of Jesus Christ?
unidentified
I do.
lisa reynolds
Listen.
siaka massaquoi
Because he'll help you.
lisa reynolds
I have a rosary right there on my thing.
I said to my mom, I said, look, it doesn't matter either way because it's God's will, right?
And I prayed.
I prayed the rosary at James on the plane, right?
james klug
That's true.
lisa reynolds
I said, let God's will be done.
I'm 100% there.
It's just, I have PTSD from Eagles in the Super Bowl.
How many times did we go?
The one time might have been a fluke.
siaka massaquoi
Fair enough.
lisa reynolds
So I get nervous.
james klug
I'm over here keeping...
Yeah, he keeps me saying.
Yeah, we got to keep it a positive attitude, especially for Mama Kluge.
You know, she's out there.
We want to make sure she's comfortable tonight.
So we're staying positive, you guys.
tim pool
So currently, Decision Desk has 50 Republican Senate seats.
Democrats have lost two.
Republicans have flipped two.
If Republicans take PA, and they're currently ahead by.8 with 64% in, 51%.
Minnesota is meaningless.
Montana, I think we may be looking at 52 seats.
That may be it.
52 in the Senate.
ian crossland
I keep thinking about, what are we going to do next, man?
This is it.
Because they call it a win.
It's over.
But no, no.
This is just a step on a road.
siaka massaquoi
Oh, yeah.
phil labonte
There is a significant plan.
tim pool
What is this you're showing me?
james klug
You guys...
lisa reynolds
You can just pass it along.
james klug
In 2017, during the inauguration...
Lisa, you went to the inauguration, right?
lisa reynolds
Yes.
james klug
And they were rioting and blocking.
lisa reynolds
They were rioting.
So everybody was always talking about how the crowd size wasn't that big.
Because the whole Senate side, the whole side of the Senate was blocked off.
You couldn't even get in because there was rioting and police.
And it was insane.
Me and my mom had to like walk all the way around and then sneak past a cop to even get in to see him be inaugurated.
It was awful.
james klug
Ian, piggybacking on what you were talking about.
lisa reynolds
It was dystopian.
james klug
That's next.
If this is the case, if this goes well, if Donald Trump wins, that is next.
Mass political unrest in the street.
siaka massaquoi
That's their punishment to us.
tim pool
I just want to stress this for the point Lisa's making.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but it's looking like internally the Trump camp believes they've already won.
lisa reynolds
Correct.
tim pool
That it is so tremendous right now that it's just going to come through for them.
ian crossland
I do expect that there will be civil unrest.
We've talked to Mike Banks about it.
But I'm wondering, what do we do next?
Because we've got a lot of authority, power, and opportunity.
tim pool
Abuse is we!
ian crossland
We've got to create something great.
tim pool
Who's we?
siaka massaquoi
Me?
ian crossland
You?
phil labonte
Tim?
This doesn't translate to power.
ian crossland
How do you spell that, by the way?
james klug
S-I-A-K-A. Ian, first things first is cleaning up the mess that Democrats have created the last three and a half years.
That's first things first.
tim pool
Three and a half?
james klug
I'm actually primarily talking about the 10 million illegals that came in the last, you know.
lisa reynolds
Can we talk about the House and Senate races, how we look in there?
tim pool
Right now, we've got some updated data.
So currently, we have 50 Republican seats confirmed according to Decision Desk.
Maine is immaterial, and Minnesota is immaterial.
But if Tester loses in Montana...
If Pennsylvania flips and Wisconsin is currently, Hovde is currently leading, that could be 53.
But Hovde is only up.1 against Tammy Baldwin.
I'd love to see it.
I'm thinking we might end up with 52 Senate seats, but 53 would be based.
lisa reynolds
I definitely think McCormick can pull it off.
I think people are going to be surprised by Pennsylvania, especially because the Amish turning out.
siaka massaquoi
They came out.
lisa reynolds
I'm telling you.
phil labonte
They came out to the Amish.
Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, like 70% votes in.
He's up 51 to 48 in Pennsylvania.
lisa reynolds
I think it's going to go better than that.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah.
tim pool
Yeah, Trump's up three points now in PA, 70%.
That's massive.
phil labonte
Let me show you the House.
lisa reynolds
I want everything.
tim pool
I want it all.
So let's take a look at the House.
We have the heavy Democrat, light Democrat, competitive, light Republican, heavy Republican.
This is where it's interesting.
When you look at the expected Republican seats, they've won.
When you look at the leaning Republican seats, they've won.
When you look at most competitive districts, what do you see?
Well, there's a lot of data that's incomplete, but it looks like there's some going Republican, a little bit more going Democrat.
However, when you look at the light Democrat seats with 40 percent reporting, Alabama's second is leaning Republican.
With 75 percent reporting, Maryland's sixth is leaning Republican.
Ohio's 9 with 89% is.37 Republican.
We don't see the same trend on the Republican side of the House, which is indicative of a swing for the Republicans on the House.
They already have the House.
So this just makes it look like they're going to take the House.
They've basically already got the Senate.
50 seats, and it's looking like the New York Times says 88% chance Trump wins, one point popular vote, 301 electoral votes.
They are now giving every swing state but Nevada is lean Republican.
siaka massaquoi
Wow.
tim pool
Massive.
siaka massaquoi
Well, you know, to your point about what we do next is, you know, we clean up, but we also have to continue in what Tim's been huge in this whole, you know, production's been huge on with Prairie U and Daily Wire, Babylon Bee.
We have to continue to create the culture because there will be nothing left and a population is really only as strong as its stories.
So if we're not making stories for people to get on board with, yes, we can have people who are one plus one always equals two.
Great, but that doesn't move people.
So now we have to, you know, as Tim's done music and Daily Wire has done more comedy and more scripted and PragerU and so on, they're making the culture.
That's where we go next.
tim pool
California has been called for Harris with zero reporting, but...
siaka massaquoi
That's how California works, guys.
That's how it works, everyone who's been there before.
phil labonte
To your point, as for stories, this whole situation here, if Donald Trump does win, there has never been a better political story.
In all of American history, this is...
It is historic, but this is the best political story, or among the best political stories in American history.
So you've got a president that is an upstart, that has never been in political office before, right?
He gets into office, and he does a good job.
Then he's faced with a...
siaka massaquoi
Uh-oh.
unidentified
Ah, drag.
phil labonte
I ruined Phil Knight.
Vindman's gonna win.
ian crossland
Keep telling your story, though.
siaka massaquoi
You have a good story.
phil labonte
Then he faces the opposition of an entire media and government system put against him.
Then he faces a pandemic.
He loses...
In a questionable and novel election, totally under novel circumstances, had never been an election like that, right?
He loses that.
lisa reynolds
You mean rigged?
unidentified
Go ahead.
siaka massaquoi
That's why I say you lose, he lose did.
phil labonte
I completely agree that it was not a normal or fair election.
The details are not...
lisa reynolds
That's fine.
phil labonte
Then he's impeached twice after he's been in office.
He then goes and is attacked by the Justice Department and they fail and fail.
There's two attempts on the man's life.
And then he comes back to win, not just barely, but to win the...
lisa reynolds
What would you say is the defining moment that made the turn, or do you think it was a culmination of things?
Do you think it was him getting shot?
Do you think it was Rogan?
Do you think it was Elon, or do you think it was a comedy?
phil labonte
The picture of him with the fight, fight, fight, that will be the thing that people remember.
I don't know for sure if that is the actual turning point.
ian crossland
The fire was him on Theo Vaughn's show, and that's credit to Barry.
phil labonte
No, it wasn't on Theo Vaughn's show.
ian crossland
That was when he went through to six million new people that really matter.
phil labonte
It was a good show, but the picture, the point that people want a strong leader.
The thing that's iconic is the picture.
james klug
People want a strong leader.
They want a strong leader, and that's what that represented.
phil labonte
The fist in the air.
siaka massaquoi
Blood on his face.
phil labonte
The fight, that was beyond iconic.
And that will be a picture.
I mean, the picture was so powerful that the left was hiding it.
They were saying, you can't put that up.
You can't use that.
siaka massaquoi
They were criticizing him.
phil labonte
Who stands up after people are Yeah, it was completely, totally, because they saw how powerful that was.
lisa reynolds
They saw his character.
phil labonte
They saw, not just that, but they saw the story.
And that's the whole point of what I'm talking about.
They saw the story.
That was him saying, fight.
And now to come back and...
God willing, he wins.
There has never been a political story in history like this.
There has never been.
james klug
To piggyback on the building culture, it's the perfect man to build culture around.
When it comes to making the Republican, this is what the Republican Party is.
lisa reynolds
He was an entertainer.
james klug
This is Donald Trump.
It's badass.
Come on board.
That's what it is.
When was the last time it was this cool to be a Republican?
Honestly, honestly, not the year 2000. - It's never been, never. - In the 80s, in the 80s when I was a kid. - For sure.
- Not even then. - Ronald Reagan was kinda cool. - It is very cool to be a Republican today.
phil labonte
Michael P. Keaton was cool.
When you think of the people that the American Psycho were based off of, they weren't uncool people.
They weren't riding They were riding Lamborghinis.
The Wolf of Wall Street, those were cool people.
That was the last time it was this cool to be a conservative, to be around 40 years ago.
james klug
It's a major shift in culture.
siaka massaquoi
Well, they did a movie, kind of already like that, that came out.
It's called Vindicating Trump by Dinesh D'Souza, which I'm in, if you want to check that out.
So it's a shameless plug.
Just get me a link.
So we're kind of getting in that.
But you're right.
I think now we can do the fine.
Because that one, of course, came out before the election was done.
But now, if you saw that in a movie, you would think the movie was fake.
tim pool
Guys, Decision Desk is reporting two house seats have flipped.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
So I'm not sure which they're referring to.
However, they believe the House has there's a 57.6% chance the Democrats will win the House.
siaka massaquoi
Whoa.
tim pool
It was trending Republican, but it has now shifted Democrat.
phil labonte
Wow.
tim pool
Wow.
lisa reynolds
And they didn't say which ones that they're talking about?
tim pool
It's hard to track, and I don't know, because there's so many, it's hard to know which ones they're saying have flipped.
However, the New York Times is saying no such thing.
They have not made such determinations.
phil labonte
If he wins, if they take the House, they will try to impeach him again.
siaka massaquoi
Of course.
tim pool
Try, they will.
100%.
siaka massaquoi
Yeah, no question.
tim pool
Instantly.
siaka massaquoi
We've got to get it all.
tim pool
If the Democrats win the House, they will not certify the election.
siaka massaquoi
Because then they can hold on.
phil labonte
Even though he will win the popular vote and the electoral college, they will not certify it.
tim pool
Jamie Raskin said he is ineligible to the 14th, and they will not certify if he wins.
But I don't think that's true.
He said that in February at the Fro's bookstore.
ian crossland
Yeah, that says you can't be an officer of the United States if you've been part of an insurrection, and he wasn't.
siaka massaquoi
Right.
tim pool
Sorry.
Yes, we all agree.
ian crossland
I'm not even sorry.
That's the way it's read.
tim pool
We all agree.
The point is, they'll do it anyway.
phil labonte
I want this fight in the courts.
siaka massaquoi
Well, I think part of it is, again, they do really well at poking the bear.
And someone like Jamie Raskin, when he said it that early, he's trying to, I believe it's more trying to get us to do something stupid.
Us to react in an uncouth way, because then they can go, okay, see, got him.
Just like they did January 6th.
lisa reynolds
Yes and no.
I mean, because they did Letitia James and she campaigned on the same type of thing, right?
siaka massaquoi
Well, she wasn't in power yet.
I'm saying the ones in power, I feel like they sprinkled that stuff out to see how we're going to move.
lisa reynolds
I think they mean it.
I think they're deranged and they mean it.
phil labonte
We were talking last night and I forget who it was.
I don't know who it was.
It was someone from the Daily Wire.
But they were saying that, look, the Democrats do the things that they say they're going to do.
And it was Jeremy Boring.
He was saying the Democrats, they don't just do the things that they say, but they do more.
They go further.
So they'll take it as far as they possibly can.
So there's no question about whether or not they will try to prevent it.
There's no question.
If Donald Trump wins, we will see some kind of civil unrest in cities across the country.
lisa reynolds
It'll be less if it's overwhelming, though.
tim pool
Joe Kent is currently leading District 3 by 16 points with 20% in, so feeling good, but we'll see.
ian crossland
It's not just Democrats.
It's an evil tactic.
Accuse your opponent of what you're doing.
I mean, that's an ancient evil tactic.
phil labonte
Yeah, and they've been doing that, you know, nonstop.
They say Donald Trump is going to do these things while they're actually doing it.
Donald Trump is going to use the DOJ against his political opponents while they're prosecuting Donald Trump, while he's showing up in court, while his mugshot is being prosecuted.
Paraded around as another image of defiance.
That's something that they didn't intend to happen, but that mugshot became an image of defiance.
People put it onto shirts.
They put it up as their AVI on Twitter and stuff, as an image of defiance.
Big middle fingers because that's what Donald Trump has been from day one.
He has been a middle finger to the establishment from day one.
He said, I'm not going to do things the way that you tell me that I have to.
I'm not going to lay down and just do whatever so that way I can make a million bucks or two million bucks like all the other presidents because they weren't rich before.
He was a billionaire and he didn't give a shit.
He had big dick money when he got in, so he didn't need to worry about if he was going to be a millionaire when he got out, because he knew he was going to be a billionaire.
siaka massaquoi
Now, with those moves that you said they will make, and I do believe they will make, I do believe that violence will happen, I do believe they'll try to do some shenanigans.
To her point, and I want to see what you think, I think the bigger the win, the less of, not saying at all, but the less of the crap.
james klug
It's going to happen either way.
It's going to happen either way, but 100%, the bigger the win, the less chaos in the streets.
Absolutely, 100%.
phil labonte
And also, not only is it going to be less severe and stuff, it's going to be less tolerated by the normies that I keep referring to.
siaka massaquoi
Thank you, guys.
tim pool
Shamus is back!
james klug
You know what's funny is they always push the, oh, well, he's pushing hatred, right?
He's pushing hatred.
It's literally the only thing that they've been campaigning on right now.
phil labonte
Yeah, it's exactly like we were saying just a little while ago.
It is, they will go ahead and accuse people of exactly what they're doing.
They're going to say that he is pushing hatred while they're calling people Nazis.
While they're saying that...
The Republicans want to...
While they're saying the deplorables.
While they're saying the garbage people.
While they're saying the maggots.
But it's Donald Trump that's pushing the hatred.
They'll call you names and then they'll scream that you're hurting them while they do it.
james klug
And it's not just one person.
It's the entire system.
It's the media.
It's academia.
It's everything that's shaping that narrative of people.
Pure hate.
phil labonte
Mike Benz was on and he talks about it.
He calls it the blob and it actually is and the media is a part of it.
So it's the State Department, it's CIA and it's DOD. It's the official policy makers of the United States.
The media, and for a time at least, all of the social media networks and big tech, were all one big blob of power.
And honestly, if things end up the way that they look, Donald Trump and Elon Musk took that on, and they're possibly...
And the fight wouldn't be over.
I'm not saying that it's done.
But they are standing up to the blob.
They're two...
Two dudes, just guys, standing up to the block.
tim pool
This is going to be very, very big for the next four years.
If Trump does win, it's going to mean that podcasts will own the political media landscape.
james klug
That's right.
tim pool
Cable TV's done.
seamus coughlin
And YouTube cartoons also.
YouTube political cartoons will own the political landscape.
tim pool
Probably not, but...
seamus coughlin
No, no, well, let's just see how it goes.
You can't rule that out, because we haven't seen this happen yet.
tim pool
Could you imagine if Trump comes out, declares victory, and says, it was largely not our efforts, it was this cartoon, and he shows...
unidentified
And he starts showing my videos.
tim pool
So, New York Times just called North Carolina.
And it's funny because you could have called it a long time ago, but now it's confirmed.
Of the swing states, New York Times says Trump has won North Carolina.
Georgia is greater than 95%.
And PA is about to go likely Republican any second now.
elad eliahu
Not one of them is likely Democrat, and I think that's the most important thing here.
There's a chance Trump wins all of these so-called blue wall states, the Rust Belt states, and that would be insane for the future of electoralism here.
tim pool
There are some rumors circulating, I don't want to say too much, but the rumors circulating among some journalists is that they believe Trump has already won the entire blue wall.
He's going to take every swing state.
seamus coughlin
Dude, if that happens, Rachel Maddow is going to be inside the Capitol chanting, stop the steal.
unidentified
I can't let this happen!
elad eliahu
We can't certify!
It's like Jill Biden hedged her bets wearing all red today when she went to go vote.
Jill Biden all red.
james klug
She definitely voted for Donald Trump.
phil labonte
If Donald Trump does win, then we should absolutely humiliate those people.
seamus coughlin
Hold on, wait, hold on.
You can't say that before he wins for sure.
phil labonte
We're going to be your best friend.
unidentified
We're all going to be good friends together, which is how you should do it if you win.
phil labonte
No, no, no, guys.
seamus coughlin
Just don't listen to him.
phil labonte
If Donald Trump wins, these people need to be humiliated and shamed.
You can disavow.
Stay over there and be small.
It's fine.
tim pool
Seamus, you're not convincing any of these people.
seamus coughlin
I'm doing a bit.
I'm doing a bit.
I'm obviously joking.
tim pool
I'm obviously kidding.
And I'm making a larger political point that many Republicans are more concerned about the opinion of the New York Times than their own constituents.
seamus coughlin
That's true.
tim pool
So, no matter what happens, they're going to try and throw a pie in your face.
seamus coughlin
Dude, there's going to be Republicans who, if we win, are going to be like, I'm sorry.
I'm sorry we did that.
james klug
It was the same thing in, you know, 2016.
seamus coughlin
I know.
james klug
It was like, oh, we're gonna be super nice.
Don't worry about it.
tim pool
Who wants to read that number?
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
tim pool
Polymarket has Donald Trump at 94.2%.
That means that if you were to buy a share of Donald Trump, you can't in America, by the way.
seamus coughlin
Buy the dip right now.
tim pool
You're gonna win a nickel.
You're gonna win five cents.
seamus coughlin
Dude, Kamala went down like crypto.
She went down like black men's crypto that wasn't protected by her policy, which is going to happen to this country.
tim pool
She went down like a bad crypto scam.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, exactly.
Man, she's really down there.
tim pool
Hey, these are betting odds.
These are event contracts.
These don't mean much at all.
Don't count your chickens.
seamus coughlin
Before they hatch, baby.
unidentified
Don't count them.
lisa reynolds
I'm mad that they're not turning Georgia red on that matter.
phil labonte
If Donald Trump does win...
lisa reynolds
It's over 95% in and it's a huge market.
seamus coughlin
But hold on.
There's a contingency of people who show up to vote at 3am and they poll...
I know.
james klug
We cannot forget about those people.
That's a very important voting bloc to the Democrats.
seamus coughlin
Trump has not done enough to appeal to them.
phil labonte
If Donald Trump does win, these people need to be humiliated publicly.
tim pool
I agree.
phil labonte
They need to understand that they have been rejected totally, that they no longer hold the power that they thought they had, and that they're no longer to be looked at in any esteem.
Michael Malice was right.
And it is true, the job will be done when the average journalist is looked at like a tobacco executive and treated with the same disdain.
tim pool
So Cardi B tweeted an hour ago, we need a Hail Mary.
lisa reynolds
I'm the question asker, right?
That's kind of what I'm doing right now.
What do you think...
What do you think is the thing, if he does win, if it looks like what we think it looks like, what do you think is the thing that motivated and changed people the most?
Do you think it's the economy, the trans stuff?
phil labonte
I think there's a lot of things.
I think it was different things for different people.
james klug
I think it's so overwhelming, the list of things that are so out of control right now.
It just gave people an idea.
You know, they feel it in their gut.
They know everything is wrong with what's going on right now.
elad eliahu
I think we overhear.
phil labonte
For young men, it was the fact that the Democrats hate them and they know it.
joel berry
Yes.
phil labonte
It's the fact that you cannot do anything right as a young man and get the approval of Democrats.
For women, I do think that...
I think that the trans issues really do matter, and I think it's more about women that care about their daughters going into the bathroom with a man possibly.
tim pool
I want to play this clip from CNN for you guys.
jake tapper
Abby, you and Jeff have been talking to people inside the Harris campaign.
What are they telling you?
abby phillip
Yeah, Jake, let me just give you a gut check here about what we are hearing here as we've been sitting here reporting from the Harris headquarters.
And I think the operative word right now is silence.
There's not a lot being said because the Harris team appears to be searching for bright spots in the map as these results very, very slowly have ended.
unidentified
Searching for bright spots and also very aware of the warning signs throughout the electorate in Virginia, in Iowa, in other places.
I am told that Milwaukee and Detroit and Philadelphia, that is what the Harris campaign tonight is holding out hope.
tim pool
First of all, there's two, and it's this.
elad eliahu
Oh, okay, you're right, you're right.
tim pool
And the golf swing.
Well, you were driving a car over here a lot.
unidentified
I'm just dancing.
seamus coughlin
I'm having a good time.
I feel like he did one of these.
unidentified
I wasn't expecting it.
seamus coughlin
I feel like he gave us one of these.
tim pool
Enough.
Everyone now is doing the Trump dancing.
Even back behind the cameras, everyone's Trump dancing.
phil labonte
So, Harris campaign put out a memo.
seamus coughlin
He also did this.
phil labonte
Hey, the Harris campaign.
unidentified
That's true.
phil labonte
Guys, guys.
The Harris campaign put out a memo that says, get some sleep.
We need to wait until 3 a.m.
to determine who won.
So, listen.
unidentified
Listen.
phil labonte
Listen, listen.
Subject, what we're seeing so far, team.
As polls close across the country, I wanted to give everyone an update on what we're seeing.
As we have known all along, this is a razor-thin race.
Thanks to this amazing team, we have seen incredible turnout across the battleground states, and the closeness of the race is exactly what we prepared for.
While we continue to see data trickle in from the Sunbelt states, we have known all along that our clearest path to 270 electoral votes lies through the Blue Wall states, and we feel good about what we're seeing.
In Pennsylvania, we overperformed turnout expectations in Philadelphia and overperformed in our early vote expectation in Bucks County.
We don't have election day results from Philadelphia, but we do know that we have overperformed turnout expectations there and have seen especially high turnout in places with large non-white and student populations.
We expect to see higher turnout in Philadelphia than in 2020.
Outside of Philadelphia, we have limited data on turnout and support right now, but we do know...
What we do have is tracking with our expectations.
We are awaiting more results, like everyone else, and hope to get a closer read in the coming hours.
In Michigan, we are awaiting a significant amount of votes to come in.
The city of Detroit won't be reported until roughly midnight, but we have seen strong enough turnout throughout the early vote and election day there.
Other results in Michigan are harder to parse, since results are coming in more piecemeal than elsewhere.
In Wisconsin, we know there is a significant amount of votes remaining in Delaware, in Dane and Milwaukee counties, And we are seeing signs of strong performance in the Wow counties where we have partial data.
We don't expect complete results from Wisconsin until tomorrow morning between 3 and 5 a.m.
tim pool
So I have this Axios national correspondent posted a portion of this memo, so it appears to be confirmed.
elad eliahu
It's a long, cope-y sounding memo.
lisa reynolds
If you're explaining you're losing, right, but that doesn't mean that they're not going to go pull out extra stops to change the results that they're getting.
james klug
It's a cope, but you have to wait until the middle of the night.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
Exactly.
Well, because they've done it before, right?
We've seen them do it before, so this is very clearly a very bad taste.
tim pool
In 2018, we saw the same thing.
In the midterms, the day of, it looked like Republicans had won, and then we wake up the next day and they're like, oh, we found a bunch of ballots.
unidentified
Right.
lisa reynolds
Are they going to do that again?
You said they're not, Tim.
seamus coughlin
Well, certain states have ruled that they're no longer able to do that.
unidentified
No, no, no.
tim pool
Federal court has ruled ballots to come in after.
Yes, the federal court has ruled that after election day, you can't count ballots.
It's illegal.
Republicans will likely sue.
And we're hoping the Supreme Court then throws it all out and says you cannot bring in votes after election day.
james klug
With the overnight ballots, weren't most of them like 98% blue?
unidentified
Yes.
tim pool
And they said it's because they skew Democrat.
lisa reynolds
This is why, see, this is why you got me hyped for a minute now.
I'm miserable again.
tim pool
Hey, hey, don't count your chickens.
seamus coughlin
Well, that's what I was saying earlier.
Don't count your chickens before they hatch.
lisa reynolds
I said that.
tim pool
Trump is up three points in PA. With 77% reporting, Trump is up three points in Pennsylvania.
Very good news.
New York Times has just called to Oregon for Kamala Harris.
That was obvious.
In Wisconsin, Donald Trump is up three points with 68% reporting.
In Michigan, Donald Trump is up six points with 35% reporting.
It is looking good for Trump in all of the blue wall states.
How about we just call it the Rust Belt from now on?
New York Times, officially now, every swing state is likely or going to be Republican.
All of the swing states right now, it is lean.
I'm sorry, it is likely.
seamus coughlin
It says likely or very likely.
tim pool
Likely or very likely.
seamus coughlin
So let's see what happens when they pause the count and then we get a bunch of ballots at 3 in the morning.
tim pool
Well, you know, we're all having a good time tonight.
unidentified
Here we are.
michael j knowles
Oh, my man.
elad eliahu
What if you guys stay?
unidentified
We lost cigars.
michael j knowles
I'm not ready.
I'm not ready to light them up yet.
seamus coughlin
Come on, man.
michael j knowles
Are you guys celebrating yet?
tim pool
You gotta toss me one of those.
seamus coughlin
How you doing, brother?
elad eliahu
Something about not counting your chickens too soon.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
michael j knowles
Someone just put a little pappy in front of me.
tim pool
Absolutely.
michael j knowles
I could use a glass.
Where do the glass go?
seamus coughlin
Where are the glasses at?
elad eliahu
No, no, no.
tim pool
We have fresh cups.
seamus coughlin
Somebody grab me one, too.
tim pool
The Daily Wire brought in a bunch of fresh glasses for this delicious Kentucky bourbon that I insist you partake.
michael j knowles
Look, I was going to wait to celebrate, but that was before Tim brought out like a $2,000 bottle.
elad eliahu
You might as well light up a cigar while you're at it.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
michael j knowles
I'm tempted to do it.
phil labonte
You look great, by the way.
You look great.
michael j knowles
Thank you.
seamus coughlin
He looks all right.
tim pool
Dapper is the word we use.
michael j knowles
This is my Mayflower Cigars smoking jacket, which is sold out now, so no one can get it, unfortunately.
But we're doing it with Shepherds, which is the men's clothing company that is owned in part by Harrison Butker.
And I just feel that the right right now...
It feels good.
I don't want to get out in front of my skis.
It feels good, though.
unidentified
I hear you.
seamus coughlin
No, I'm there with you.
Can I get a cigar?
michael j knowles
You can.
seamus coughlin
I'm just asking.
Listen, I'll take whatever ones I can get.
It's the art of the deal.
I was asked earlier.
michael j knowles
The light, the dark, the The big, the small.
seamus coughlin
I'll get one of the light ones.
michael j knowles
The light one is the Mayflower Dawn.
Is it dawn in America?
The dark one is the Mayflower Dusk.
lisa reynolds
You clearly don't watch this podcast because I do and I know the things and the smoke.
elad eliahu
Did you want to advertise it instead of it?
seamus coughlin
My man.
Toss it.
lisa reynolds
Ladies don't smoke a cigar.
seamus coughlin
How dare you?
I caught that.
If I didn't catch that, my career would be over.
michael j knowles
It would be over.
seamus coughlin
Instantly.
Humiliating.
Humiliating.
This is the art of the deal.
They asked me to do trivia on camera about elections for a cigar, and I was like, I'll get something wrong and look stupid.
No.
I was like, I'll just ask Michael for the hookup.
Boom.
michael j knowles
And we're in.
tim pool
We're in.
When it's good advertising, it's free.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
Exactly.
tim pool
So, Michael, 89% chance of victory says The Needle.
michael j knowles
I've been watching The Needle all night because people said beware of The Needle.
The Needle betrayed its partisans in 2016.
But you've got to remember, The Needle betrayed its partisans because it started out for Hillary and then it moved toward Trump.
This time, it's not that it's been totally consistent, it's kind of stalled out and doubled back a little bit sometimes, but it's basically moved consistently in Trump's favor all night, including for the popular vote.
seamus coughlin
Yeah?
phil labonte
Yeah.
lisa reynolds
Which means it's pretty far over for the popular vote.
michael j knowles
Yes.
lisa reynolds
For him.
michael j knowles
I think now we're past one, and so the popular vote doesn't matter, and it actually offends me that we have to talk about the popular vote, because that's not how elections are conducted, but it would be.
phil labonte
I love that.
michael j knowles
I mean, it's just, we have a system of government here, and the libs, whenever they lose according to the rules, they say, ah, but the popular vote...
phil labonte
The thing that doesn't matter.
seamus coughlin
Yes, that's right.
michael j knowles
Moo-dang the hippopotamus actually said such and such, and that's not in the Constitution.
But really, if the...
If Trump wins the popular vote as well as the Electoral College vote, there's just nothing for them to say.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
It would just be incredibly cathartic for them to not be able to complain about the Electoral College.
michael j knowles
Yeah.
elad eliahu
Well, they could always go back to voter suppression.
Let's not forget that.
Of course.
They could always go back old school, guess what, voter suppression.
michael j knowles
The greatest number of voters in the history of American elections.
elad eliahu
I'm coming for you, you son of a bitch.
michael j knowles
Oh, man, where he is?
Oh, hey, are you coming for my cigars?
elad eliahu
I'm all over for you.
michael j knowles
You, yeah, hey.
phil labonte
Finally found your nice jacket.
michael j knowles
Can I offer you?
lisa reynolds
Yeah, yeah, no, here, Ian, please.
michael j knowles
Wait, hold on, this seems like a down break.
ian crossland
She's much hotter.
michael j knowles
I love Ian, I love Ian, but I don't.
elad eliahu
I like Lisa's hair more.
lisa reynolds
Michael's my favorite.
michael j knowles
Stop it, get out of here.
phil labonte
Come on, you come back.
Look at Michael, you walk in and you get all of the compliments.
And Jameis is begging?
seamus coughlin
I asked him politely.
ian crossland
Tell me about these cigars, Michael.
What is this?
tim pool
Are we celebrating already?
seamus coughlin
Hold on.
Let's be careful.
We are not going to count our chickens before they hatch.
Because 300,000 eggs will be found in Philadelphia for the other side.
ian crossland
What do you think, Michael?
Are you ready to celebrate?
michael j knowles
I'm not ready to celebrate.
I was alive in 2020, so I'm not ready to celebrate yet.
However, going into this election day, a lot of people were saying it has to be too big to rig.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
michael j knowles
And I said, I don't know if it really can be.
It's very difficult with mail-ins and early voting.
Right now...
It's looking pretty big.
Let's put it that way.
I mean, right now, I wonder if there are enough votes in Philadelphia, no matter how powerful the machine is, to really turn this thing around.
Pennsylvania, right now, looks good.
Wisconsin looks really good.
Wisconsin, I did think earlier in the night, Wisconsin could be the determining factor.
By the way, if he wins Wisconsin, I think it's over at this point, isn't it?
Michigan looking good.
elad eliahu
I think he needs Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania, the two of the states, if I'm not mistaken.
michael j knowles
But it's looking really strong right now.
So there is a chance.
The other thing I was wondering is, are we going to be here all night?
It's going to be 3 o'clock in the morning.
I don't get to spark up my Mayflower.
But actually, I don't know.
I spoke earlier today to Senator Marsha Blackburn, our senator here in Tennessee.
And I said, okay, Senator, look, I'm not asking who's going to win.
You think the Republicans are going to win.
But what time?
And she said she thinks we get to 270 before midnight.
seamus coughlin
Wow.
I think so.
Did you hear what the Harris campaign is saying?
michael j knowles
Nothing.
seamus coughlin
No, no, no.
They said something.
They sent out a letter.
We were talking about this just before you came on, where they were basically saying, we're expecting votes to come in late tonight, so this isn't over.
tim pool
I'm sure they are.
But I want to give a shout out to Lisa, who mentioned she's got sources at Mar-a-Lago.com.
They think they won.
michael j knowles
They think they won.
They're operating.
tim pool
Internals are showing that they won already, but...
ian crossland
Lisa, come back on.
elad eliahu
I'm going to sit down for a little while.
seamus coughlin
Can I get a cup?
michael j knowles
I won't read it out loud.
tim pool
Lisa is sharing secrets with Michael.
elad eliahu
Oh, but you can make faces, though.
phil labonte
I see a picture there!
Lisa, forward that to me, please.
seamus coughlin
Lisa, you gotta show me that.
elad eliahu
Noles, what's going on?
Come on.
In many words, in many words.
seamus coughlin
This is unbelievable.
michael j knowles
Well, the first thing that's going on is I feel very cool, because I have information now that you guys don't, and it makes me feel like a real cool guy.
tim pool
Well, she texted me that, so.
michael j knowles
All right.
I'm actually not surprised to read that the tenor at Mar-a-Lago is pretty jubilant right now.
You've got to remember, I mean, the public polls, until you had that crazy outlier from Iowa in the past few days and these kind of last minute nonsense things, the public polls were looking good for Trump.
seamus coughlin
Agreed.
michael j knowles
And so the public polls compared to the internals are, you know, it's like night and day.
Okay.
So if that's what we were getting, the campaigns were getting much better information.
And given the way that things have skewed tonight, you know, probably the Trump campaign went into tonight feeling quite confident, more confident than we Trump supporters out here.
seamus coughlin
They were speaking very confidently leading into this.
And I understand that when you're running a campaign, there has to be a certain degree of confidence or else people aren't going to turn out.
But especially with J.D. Vance on Joe Rogan, the noises he was making didn't really make it sound as if he was desperate, though.
elad eliahu
Mr.
Noles, I wanted to ask you about one of the more potent issues that the Democrats are running on this election cycle, and it's obviously abortion.
I know you guys here at The Daily Wire are extremely pro-life.
Nowadays, Donald Trump and the campaign is saying that they don't want to move forward with any sort of national abortion ban.
Do you feel as though the Trump campaign has abandoned the issue, and do you have any reluctance supporting them because of that?
michael j knowles
No, I don't think the campaign has abandoned the issue.
Of course, there's always some confusion and confusing messages that come out of any campaign.
Where there was confusion, I think it was resolved in the right way when President Trump said he would support pro-life in the ballot amendment in Florida and elsewhere.
What President Trump has said on this is that he is pro-life and we have to win elections.
That's what he says.
And so when he says something like that, I don't think he's really talking about the substantive issue of abortion so much as he's talking about Prudence as a political virtue, which Aristotle tells us is actually the paramount political virtue.
And so if you were to come out and say, no, I actually, I believe in my heart of hearts as a matter of principle.
We need to be able to kill kids up to 14 weeks, but not at 15 weeks.
And if you said something like that, I'd say, okay, well, I don't know where that's coming from.
Here's what I know, though, for a fact, because Trump actually has a record that I can look at.
I know he's the first sitting president ever to show up to the March for Life.
The Bushes didn't do it.
Ronald Reagan didn't do it.
He's the first one that did it.
I know that he appointed the judges that actually overruled Roe v.
unidentified
Wade.
michael j knowles
We've been trying to do that since 1973.
It actually happened under Trump.
I know that when Roe v.
Wade was overruled, Abortion went back to the states because the Supreme Court said there will not be a federal law.
This is not a federal matter.
They would strike down a law.
So for President Trump to say he's not going to pass a federal ban, well, okay, he's just listening to what the Supreme Court said two years ago.
So then it goes back to the states.
This totally changes the calculation.
And I think this is where I am as pro-life as it is possible to be.
However, I think sometimes people in the pro-life movement have just misinterpreted what it meant when Roe v.
Wade got overruled.
It's not as though it just pushed us down the field and that was that.
It pushed us down the field and it also reset the field.
It changed the calculus on everything.
To use an example, before Roe v.
Wade was overruled, it was in the Republican political interest to take a strong pro-life stance in the national platform.
It's a good thing to do also, but just as a matter of political prudence, it gave them political dividends.
After Roe v.
Wade is overruled, that might no longer be the case.
So we still want to fight for life everywhere.
I mean, reasonable people can disagree with that.
We'll see how it pans out over the years.
But the goal remains the same.
We want to end abortion.
We want to protect innocent life.
But we are called to be innocent as doves and wise as serpents.
Republican politicians are usually innocent as serpents and wise as doves.
I think Trump is just being prudent here.
And he's got a good track record.
elad eliahu
If I could follow up, don't you feel as though some Republicans are starting to run away from this issue?
And are you nervous that it's losing potency in the party as a political issue?
Because I think it's something like 50-50 within the Republican Party nowadays.
michael j knowles
The consistent pro-life view, which is...
Bioethically, I think the only really supportable view is a minority position among voters.
People are incoherent on abortion.
They say it's okay to kill babies in 12 weeks but not 13 weeks.
You know, it's crazy.
Or 14 or not late.
elad eliahu
People hate late-term abortion but are very okay with 14 weeks.
michael j knowles
Right.
Or 18 weeks even.
So it's incoherent.
However, I will point out There was one Senate candidate in particular who I like personally, but I felt she was misguided on this.
She was running in Arizona, Carrie Lake, and she came up with a defense of abortion, you know, in a way that was more substantive than other Republicans who were trying to be wishy-washy on the issue.
And I thought this was misguided, and I felt I gently and charitably tried to guide her campaign in the other direction, and I guess, I don't know, I don't think they liked that general guidance.
And...
She is the most notable Republican Senate candidate to be losing right now, to not be doing well.
And so that might have other reasons for it.
However, I think if Republicans want to draw a conclusion about the abortion issue, right now, it's don't do that.
elad eliahu
I think it was Live Now who ended up unendorsing them, one of the pro-life groups.
What's your reaction to some pro-life groups who were saying Trump is no longer sufficiently pro-life?
michael j knowles
Unendorsing Trump?
Yeah, I don't know.
There were a number of pro-life groups who expressed concern, which I think is totally legitimate.
However, I think even Lila Rose, who is one of the great pro-life leaders in the country, and she had raised a lot of concerns about the way Trump was talking about abortion.
And I think she helped move the conversation in the right direction.
But she came out and she said, I'm voting for Donald Trump.
And so I think she showed a lot of moral clarity on that issue.
It's good for the pro-life movement to keep building upon the wins that they have won and that President Trump has helped them to win.
But we're not opposed here.
Trump is the most pro-life president we've had.
And it would be good to see even greater pro-life victories.
elad eliahu
I think it was in Florida where he was saying that he was rejecting the amendment they were doing.
seamus coughlin
He changed his position on that.
And actually, thankfully, that amendment failed.
elad eliahu
Could you explain that?
seamus coughlin
So basically what Amendment 4 did, it was an attempt to overturn the abortion law that existed in Florida, which makes it illegal to have an abortion after six weeks.
And the majority of abortions, other than those caused by abortifacients, I should say, happened between about six and 14 weeks.
And so it would have effectively outlawed abortion throughout the state, or I should say did effectively outlaw abortion throughout the state.
And then what Amendment 4 sought to do was repeal that and make it the case that abortion was legal all the way up until the ninth month of pregnancy.
Thankfully, Floridians voted against it and it ended up failing.
I'm very grateful for that.
Fortunately, also Trump reneged on his earlier comments.
As far as being wise as serpents and gentle as doves or innocent as doves, I agree with you.
That has to be the strategy.
I would just say, though, and I'm sure you would agree with me on this, there's a huge difference between making some of the noises on the issue that Trump made where he was actually speaking in favor of it or saying that a six-week ban is cruel and just not commenting on certain elements of it that aren't going to be politically advantageous to you without ever abandoning the principle.
michael j knowles
Yes.
Look, there's a delicate balance here because what Trump was looking at is what we were all looking at, which is that Whenever abortion has been put up for a ballot amendment, until tonight, actually.
But since Roe v.
Wade was overruled, whenever it's been put up for a vote in states, the pro-abortion side won.
And so that is alarming information.
If you want to protect life, you need to change your strategy to accommodate that.
And so I entirely agree with you, Chambers.
There's a way to talk about it.
You think about the way Trump talked about Project 2025.
I kind of wish he hadn't totally tossed them under the bus, but there was part of what he said about it that I thought was wise, which is, huh, this thing?
I don't really know anything about it.
I don't know.
Some of the stuff seems okay.
Some of it I don't know about.
Anyway, whatever.
I don't have anything.
What are you talking about?
What's that?
And so he could talk about abortion even in that same way.
What's going on?
I'm not running in the states.
I'm at the federal level.
So, I don't know.
It seems good to protect life.
But of course, we've got to work it out.
We're going to work things out.
And it's going to be really great, folks.
We're going to work out the best kind of defenses of life.
And that kind of wishy-washiness, that choosing what to focus on.
This is the great power that the media really has.
It's not that the media always lie to you about a story.
It's that they choose which stories to focus on.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
michael j knowles
And which ones to suppress.
And so that's actually a political skill.
And I think Trump has used it well, and we can continue to use it well.
elad eliahu
The reason why I want to focus and keep bringing up abortion is because I do truly believe this is one of the only things that Democrats have going for them.
And it is extremely potent in their party.
That is the number one thing by far.
And the two, three, and four are far down the list after that for many Democrats.
seamus coughlin
I think you're not entirely wrong, but that's in large part a product of the fact that Republicans have messaged very poorly on this.
They haven't been unified around a single message.
The singular message of the Democratic Party is it has to be allowed during the process of birth And in some cases after, as you mentioned.
The Republican Party has been very wishy-washy and back and forth.
I said this on last night's show.
I think what the Republican Party has to do is lay out the most consistent possible pro-life ethic, but then say, look, your alternative is either this or the people who want abortion to be legal during the process of birth.
There is no in-between.
And the reality is I think most people would rather have abortion completely banned, even though that's not the most politically popular position, if that is the alternative to it being legal across the board.
tim pool
So right now in Pennsylvania, we got 82% reporting and Trump is up by 3%.
So it's starting to look exceedingly good for Trump in Pennsylvania.
That is the last state.
If Trump takes Pennsylvania, it's over.
elad eliahu
So much red on the map.
tim pool
So right now, so let me reset the 270 to win map.
Arizona is not a toss-up.
Georgia is already Trump.
North Carolina is already Trump.
At this point, Trump need only win one Rust Belt state.
michael j knowles
So they're saying Arizona is, they haven't called it, but it's heavily lean Trump.
tim pool
Yeah, so the forecast model, you can see here, 270 uses the standard polling.
Arizona is basically similar to Iowa.
Well, it's slightly less than, say, Iowa or Texas, but it's leaning Republican.
So if we assume Trump takes Arizona, and he's already got Georgia and North Carolina?
michael j knowles
Yeah.
tim pool
Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania doesn't matter.
We can give Harris Pennsylvania.
We can give Harris Michigan.
We can give Nevada.
Trump still, he wins Wisconsin.
It's over.
michael j knowles
He wins Wisconsin.
That was a prediction earlier on in the night.
I thought Wisconsin is going to be the one that might be the easiest to pry away.
The Times has had it floating all around all night.
The easiest one is going to be Pennsylvania.
The easiest one is going to be Michigan.
I still sort of think it's Wisconsin, but I don't know.
The numbers out of Pennsylvania are very encouraging.
tim pool
Well, right now, Trump is up three points in Wisconsin with 70% reporting, and in Pennsylvania, it's 3% with 82% reporting.
They're saying Arizona right now, 53% reporting.
Trump is up by.4.
However, it looks like Phoenix and Tucson have already reported, and what is that, Coconino County?
michael j knowles
So then it's done.
tim pool
So it's looking like Arizona...
Right, that's what the New York Times is saying.
Arizona's basically...
Arizona's 80%.
seamus coughlin
It's just...
tim pool
At this point...
Right now, I mean, look at this.
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada can go out the window with these four states.
Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.
It's done.
North Carolina sealed the deal.
Georgia sealed the deal.
Arizona's 80%.
PA's 71%.
It is looking like Trump got it.
seamus coughlin
It is looking like they're thinking they want to pause things.
unidentified
They want to say, hold on guys, let's count tomorrow.
michael j knowles
How's the water pressure in the pipes?
seamus coughlin
Is there a gas leak in here?
Well, I don't know if you know this, but people watching you count the vote actually changes the outcome of the vote.
It's an act of election.
It's actually basic quantum physics.
It's Schrodinger's ballot.
When someone sees you open the ballot, it changes the outcome of the ballot you've counted.
michael j knowles
You know, no joke, there was the chairman of the Republican Party tweeted out about an hour or so ago, there was a move in one of the counties to stop counting, in one of the precincts, to just stop counting, and that was against the law.
So the RNC threatened to sue, and just the threat of suing got them to continue counting.
So you've got to give credit to the RNC here.
They were not prepared in 2020 for pipes bursting.
They were prepared this time, and the election officials are following suit.
phil labonte
There are more things that they can do, I think, but I think that the fact that they had been ready to go with legal challenges right off the bat is an actual credit to Laura Trump and the job that her and the team have done.
ian crossland
I want to talk a little bit about pro-life because I consider myself pro-choice with reason.
But one of the things that makes me want to have kids is the hope to live.
michael j knowles
Before this beautiful monologue...
ian crossland
Yeah, the soliloquy that I'm going to deliver.
michael j knowles
I'm being dragged out in here.
I can't wait to do that.
ian crossland
I whisper to the winds.
seamus coughlin
Thank you for the cigar, brother.
michael j knowles
I look forward to catching up on your argument that you're about to make.
ian crossland
It's beautiful.
michael j knowles
And on finishing the rest of that pappy after a good night.
ian crossland
You can take that with you if you want.
unidentified
Cheers.
Thank you for coming.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, thank you for stopping by.
ian crossland
Nice jacket, bro.
michael j knowles
Oh, this whole thing?
ian crossland
Yeah, what is that?
Purple velvet?
phil labonte
You're leaving the cigar.
Nice one.
ian crossland
So it's...
What I was saying about the pro-life thing is like I've always...
My whole life I've been pro-choice.
tim pool
Cody Mack is back!
ian crossland
What's up, homie?
Just in time to hear this immeasurably beautiful...
tim pool
How's the party?
How's the sentiment?
What are people feeling?
unidentified
I mean, it feels pretty optimistic from what I've seen outside.
Everyone seems pretty stoked and pretty...
tim pool
Stoked.
unidentified
Yeah, yeah.
Everyone's happy.
tim pool
We're chilling.
I wanted to get chicken wings at some point.
ian crossland
You should have them bring them in.
tim pool
I'm not eating chicken wings on this show.
ian crossland
Do people want to see your tongue, man?
That's what they want.
It's a party, baby.
It's a new dawn.
seamus coughlin
You ever see the chat?
ian crossland
So I'll end the story quickly.
What I'm saying is a reason to live, hope for the future, makes me want to have kids.
If I'm afraid for the future and I feel like there's no hope, I don't want to have kids to the point where I'm like, yeah, whatever.
If you want to kill the thing, kill the thing.
I don't care.
What's the point anyway?
But when I feel like there's hope, I really want to have children.
So there's the pro-life movement.
tim pool
I want to make sure I grab this because we got this great tweet from Tim Kennedy.
A list of Kamala Harris's endorsements.
Taylor Swift, Oprah, Lady Gaga, Katy Perry.
The Diddy Parties, The Avengers, Christina Aguilera, Rihanna, Jennifer Lopez, Madonna, Cardi B, Lizzo, Cher, Mark Anthony, Lizzo, again, Usher, all of Hollywood, John Lennon, Kesha, Billie Eilish.
With all of this, it's looking really good for Trump right now.
Again, we don't want to count our chickens, but the fact that we're where we are right now, let's pause right here and say Trump has a massive advantage.
It's looking like it's in his favor.
The Harris campaign is dead silent.
They're worried.
They're talking about needing 3 a.m.
votes.
All of these celebrity endorsements meant nothing.
The institutions have failed.
They got woke and they went broke on probably the largest scale imaginable.
ian crossland
This is why I said that the turning point, and I agree that it was the turning point for Trump in this campaign was that moment where he raised his fist in the air.
That was...
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
ian crossland
The shows, look at these numbers.
tim pool
I'm sorry, Kamala Harris' polymarket odds are now 2.9%.
seamus coughlin
It was bad crypto.
It's bad crypto.
ian crossland
I mentioned I thought the big shift was when he did, when Joe Rogan, or when Theo Vaughn and Donald Trump did the show, and Donald Trump went on Theo Vaughn's show.
Shout out to Barron Trump for putting that stuff together.
It was only because people got to see and hear from not only his endorsements, like Cardi B, where's the two-hour podcast of her bearing her soul to the world, expressing why she did that.
unidentified
People aren't resonating with these big celebrities anymore.
ian crossland
It's near impossible.
unidentified
No, it is.
They have no grasp on what's actually happening.
They don't know the price of groceries.
They don't know what an actual normal house costs.
It's these massive million-dollar homes.
Nobody knows what's happening anymore.
So the normal blue-collar workers are not gravitating towards these celebrities anymore.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, they're very out of touch.
It's a part of who they are.
I mean, you also look at this coalition of celebrities and how far to the left they always lean and how they lose their career if they're not.
We put a joke in a video.
Members of Democratic Party less likely to endorse Kamala than members of Diddy Party.
The reality is that's true.
tim pool
91% for Trump.
seamus coughlin
Oh my God.
phil labonte
Someone just tweeted, Florida just counted all of their votes again for fun.
seamus coughlin
It's true, man.
tim pool
It is true.
seamus coughlin
Like you said, it's a choice, right?
Yes, it is absolutely a decision.
It's not just that we look at the example of Florida.
We look at the example of all these other states and almost every other year.
Back in 2000, when it took days and days and days for the ballots in Florida to be counted, we considered that to be a disgrace.
Now, maybe Florida had PTSD from all the criticism they were getting about being slow, and now they're on top of it.
phil labonte
That's part of what happened.
So after the debacle with George Bush and Al Gore, Florida went through and they revamped their system and they changed everything so that way they would never have that happen again because, to be honest with you, the state of Florida as an entity really didn't like being the reason that there was all that drama.
So they went and they looked into it and they fixed the problem.
The problems that have happened since with voting and stuff, none of it's necessary.
It is all a decision by the people in charge.
And if any all these states out there, if you're if you live in a state that has an issue with with counting the votes, get politically active.
Go after your legislature and get them to fix it.
Because you do have that power.
If you want to try and get something to happen at the federal level, it's really hard.
But it's significantly easier to get a state to make a change, particularly if it's not one of the larger states.
Still, the point is, these problems are not actually insurmountable.
They are decisions by your state legislature that can be fixed.
seamus coughlin
And it's not just that.
They're not problems to them, right?
They aren't even problems to them.
ian crossland
I think DeSantis...
seamus coughlin
Yeah, we got a new guest.
phil labonte
Introduce yourself, please.
unidentified
Hi, I'm Joel Patrick.
phil labonte
Nice to meet you.
seamus coughlin
How's it going, man?
ian crossland
Let me cap this off.
I think DeSantis is running for president in 2028, for sure, at this pace.
Justifiably so.
He turned Florida around during COVID, opened it up.
He was kind of like a leader just with the voting here.
And I know it's not him alone.
It's the legislature, but he's very persuasive and influential in that legislature.
This voting, this system of secured voting, this rapid turnaround, like it's just, it is a...
It's a benchmark for what we can be state by state.
So I think he's going to be a great candidate in 2028.
Joel?
tim pool
I do want to add real quick the worrying thing we have.
We're all cheering.
We're all happy about what's going on.
But Decision Desk says there is a 61.7% chance that Democrats take the House.
unidentified
Oof.
carl benjamin
That's no good.
tim pool
What are they doing back there, right?
ian crossland
They're dancing around, making a scene.
seamus coughlin
They're counting ballots!
Cover the windows!
unidentified
This is the same website that said there were 88 counting chickens.
I just want to say real quick, Joel, I've seen your truck.
That thing's awesome.
Oh, thank you.
Big fan, dude.
That thing's sick.
ian crossland
What's the truck?
unidentified
It says white privilege on it.
I'm not even talking about that.
seamus coughlin
So you never get pulled over?
phil labonte
The whole thing's white, right?
seamus coughlin
So you never get pulled over then?
unidentified
No, I do.
seamus coughlin
Because the truck has white privilege?
unidentified
Well, sometimes, but most of the time, I just smile, and I'll roll down the window, and the officers think it's so funny.
Well, didn't you have a card for a while?
Yeah, that's what I did.
So I sold a bunch of white privilege cards, and then I bought the truck with the money.
seamus coughlin
I got my white privilege card.
I never leave the home without it.
ian crossland
Is it a Cybertruck?
unidentified
No, no.
It's a Ford F-350 on an any-level lift.
So it's like a big lifted truck.
tim pool
So I think Decision Desk has called the Senate.
No, maybe not.
Who's calling this?
Political Poll says the Senate control has flipped.
Republicans have taken control of the Senate.
So I'm wondering who's calling that.
New York Times has still not called it.
They're still saying 50 Republican seats.
ian crossland
That Decision Desk screwed the pooch with that 88 million people in Florida.
tim pool
Wait, what?
ian crossland
Earlier they said that 88 million people had voted for Trump in Florida.
unidentified
But there's not 88 million people.
ian crossland
No, there's like 12 million or 10 million or something.
tim pool
They still have Lawrence County with a tie.
Trump and Jill Stein tied with the same amount.
Because clearly Jill Stein didn't get 21,000 ballots.
ian crossland
So they might be right about the House.
They might be off.
unidentified
Wait, so is she from there?
tim pool
No, no, no.
It's a mistake.
The decision desk has been terrible all night.
But I'm seeing political polls are saying that they've taken the Senate.
unidentified
What about Associated Press?
tim pool
It may be AP reporting.
Look at this.
Greater than 99% chance.
Well, I think it's because we're looking at...
Holy crap.
74% reporting.
Hovde is leading by two points in Wisconsin.
Rogers is leading by.3 with 47% in.
Michigan is still, who knows?
And in Pennsylvania, leading with 51.1 to 48.9 in McCormick.
It looks like we may flip Wisconsin, PA, and Montana.
Montana, I don't know for sure, but we're looking at 52 or 53 seats.
Massive.
seamus coughlin
By the way, I want to follow up on something.
We mentioned earlier that Cardi B tweeted, we need a Hail Mary.
Great response.
Lila Rose retweeted, Cardi, Mary is pro-life.
Fair emoji.
unidentified
Are we allowed to talk about Cardi B? Yeah.
seamus coughlin
Well, it depends on what you're going to say.
That's our one rule on this show.
unidentified
We do not talk about Cardi B. Well, so fundamentally, I don't think I've ever seen a more tone-deaf, ignorant celebrity than Cardi B. Wow.
And when I saw her failing to be able to read at like a fourth grade level on national television, at first I started to feel bad for her and I was like, where is her like personal assistant?
Why did they let her?
She literally called for her personal assistant from the microphone on stage and then proceeded to not be able to read what was directly in front of her.
And I was like, yo, this is like beyond poor planning.
ian crossland
I thought it was a very strange choice when she endorsed Bernie.
I think it was Cardi that came out for Bernie early on.
unidentified
And then she switched to Kamala?
ian crossland
They all did after the decree came in.
phil labonte
I have one thing to say.
tim pool
Butler County.
ian crossland
Early in 2016 or 2020 or something.
unidentified
I said something about...
She was like...
Trump's got PA. Yeah.
seamus coughlin
You don't think they could get a ballot drop?
tim pool
I mean, look, Philadelphia's got 78% in, and it's 77% Kamala to 22% Trump.
So that's big.
Trump is up 219,000 votes.
phil labonte
Yeah.
tim pool
So with 22%, we're looking at half...
There's not enough in Philadelphia alone to come in.
Montgomery, I... It could, but Trump's up three points with 84% reporting.
I think this is why they're basically saying it's looking like PA is going Donald Trump.
unidentified
Wow.
phil labonte
In regards to Cardi B, I have one thing to say that is, I wonder how pee tastes like.
unidentified
Gross.
phil labonte
That was her actual tweet.
unidentified
She tweeted it?
seamus coughlin
Did she tweet that?
phil labonte
Yeah, she did.
unidentified
Didn't she acknowledge on a podcast that she used to provide men with substances and then remove their wallets?
seamus coughlin
Yes.
unidentified
While they were under the influence of said substances.
seamus coughlin
That was a very polite way of saying that.
tim pool
Look at this.
I saw this tweet from Ryan James Gerdusky.
New Jersey with 88% reporting.
Harris is up 5 points.
It's 2 million to 1.8.
I mean, that's remarkably close.
ian crossland
What was it in 2020?
tim pool
Let's do the shift.
Look at this shift.
elad eliahu
Oh my gosh.
tim pool
So these little arrows show you the direction everything is going in this country.
ian crossland
From 2020 to now?
That's a benchmark.
That's an analytic.
That's fascinating.
phil labonte
It surely is.
tim pool
So look at all these arrows shooting to the right.
I mean, that is massive.
phil labonte
Like nothing moved to the left.
tim pool
I mean, you got some in some places outside of Atlanta.
phil labonte
Very, very few places.
tim pool
Very few.
Look at this.
unidentified
You know what they did in Atlanta, right?
tim pool
What are they doing in Atlanta?
jeremy boring
I don't know.
tim pool
Look at this, man.
unidentified
They improved the transportation system.
tim pool
Let's just stress this.
What you guys are seeing, and I'll try and zoom in a little bit.
These are arrows.
The bigger they are, the bigger the shift in that area, in that direction.
You can see there certainly are some blue arrows.
Overwhelmingly, the entire Midwest and East Coast has shifted to the right.
There was a post I saw from Aaron Rupar, and he said...
I'm paraphrasing that, yeah, people are going to blame Russia, they're going to blame whatever, but people need to accept that America wants what Trump is selling.
He then goes on to add misogyny, transphobia, homophobia, etc., whatever, who cares?
But the fact remains.
Yeah, America wants what Trump is selling.
Secure borders, better jobs, and none of this woke nonsense.
seamus coughlin
I think that's right.
So Trump is constantly referred to as some far-right fascist Nazi candidate.
The reality is his perspective is very, very moderate.
I mean, he's basically a New York Democrat from 2008.
He's not a far-right person by any means.
And his positions are actually pretty in line with, at the very least, what most voters consider to be palatable.
Now, the thing is, he will say things in very bombastic ways because he's an entertainer.
And frankly, it works for him because it gets him in the headlines.
But the Democrats will take him, somebody who says extreme sounding things, but ultimately has a series of positions in his platform that the average American would not even consider remotely extreme.
They try to paint him as extreme.
And then they'll bring out people like Kamala Harris to very softly and gently say extremely insane, unhinged extreme things.
But because of her tone, it's not crazy.
Now, unfortunately, even though that's their usual strategy with their political leaders, it didn't work very well with Kamala.
Because she's not as talented a communicator as they would need to get that message across in a way that doesn't sound threatening or upsetting or repulsive to your average person.
She sounds silly.
She cackles to herself a lot.
She trails off.
She doesn't know how to speak without a teleprompter.
She ends up sounding either very foolish or very angry.
I'm not sure if you...
I've been seeing the clips of her floating around, these cheap fakes, as I'm sure the media would call them, speaking in different accents to different crowds, trying to quote the Bible, just generally embarrassing herself.
unidentified
But she's a black woman.
seamus coughlin
But she's a black woman, so that means we have to vote for her.
She has the good skin color, and she's a woman.
That's the good gender.
We have to vote for her.
tim pool
I'll read this.
Dark Gift Comics presents as Detroit and Project Veritas on X. Votes being dropped off from California vehicles at 11 p.m.
seamus coughlin
Wait, wait, repeat that?
unidentified
Look up Project Veritas on X. And again, shout out to James O'Keefe.
seamus coughlin
But let me ask you this, because you mentioned a huge part of the campaign strategy for the Democrats.
It's like, well, this is a black woman, so black people have to vote for her.
Like, how is that received?
Like, I would imagine you'd consider that condescending, but I'm just curious.
Like, what's your perspective, and what do you usually hear?
tim pool
Is this real?
It's so offensive.
Guys, is Jen Cougar is crying?
Really?
seamus coughlin
Stop that.
ian crossland
I don't think he wanted Kamala Harris to win.
tim pool
No, no, it's fake.
unidentified
It's fake.
seamus coughlin
Oh, come on, man.
ian crossland
He's pretty straight up.
seamus coughlin
I want to ask you about that.
Like, how is that regarded?
unidentified
Well, I watched a video where this lady said, uh, I can't believe Kamala had to tell y'all people that you need to vote for her.
These black men, they ain't voting where they supposed to be.
And I was like, listening to her and I was like, so your argument is vote for somebody because they share your skin color?
That's not an argument.
Vote for somebody because they share your values.
And if you can't even articulate what those values are, why am I voting for you?
She didn't give any policy.
It was just like, oh look, celebrities are endorsing me.
I'm black.
Celebrities are still endorsing me.
I'm still black.
And it was like, she's like, oh we can't do four more years of this.
Four more years of what?
You've been in charge for these four years.
ian crossland
You know who got a lot of votes because of their skin color?
unidentified
Obama.
ian crossland
Adolf Hitler.
Well, you might be right too.
He was all about that Aryan race, man.
unidentified
It was funny because I heard he was not pure-blooded.
seamus coughlin
That was the October surprise in the Hitler election.
He's not really pure-blooded.
He's like, it's not true!
Don't look at the 23 at me!
ian crossland
But yeah, he was all about identity.
Identitarian politics.
unidentified
Actually, I think what really happened was he was just mad that he didn't make it as a patron.
tim pool
MSNBC is reporting 50,000 ballots to be dropped off in nine minutes.
Where at?
phil labonte
That's in Pennsylvania.
And also, they said, while on air, possible new ballots just arrived.
It's on the top of my Twitter page.
unidentified
What percent of Pennsylvania is reporting?
phil labonte
Something like 85% is what it was, I think.
unidentified
Is that $50,000 enough to flip it?
phil labonte
Not right now.
$50,000 isn't enough, but it matters.
tim pool
I will say, guys, at this point, based on the sentiment we're seeing from the left and the right on X, it would be the most psychotic, deranged thing if we wake up tomorrow and it's the same as 2021.
In 2020, everyone's saying, no, no, it's the red mirage.
Chill.
Democrats were not giving up.
They were telling Trump to give up.
Trump, they were saying, don't declare victory.
Right now, the left is saying, we lost.
Right now, the right is saying, ha ha, we won.
If after all of this, we wake up and some shenanigans happens, how do you rectify that in the record?
Everything right now on social media is Trump won.
ian crossland
I think it's indicative that...
seamus coughlin
They're skilled gaslighters.
tim pool
America wants what Trump is selling.
Oh, I guess I was wrong?
ian crossland
Even the voting machines, I've had a lot of issues and concern about electronic voting machines that we can't identify the code and that they can flip the dude.
States are independent and they're doing it right.
A lot of these are just like, you cannot seize the power from the people in this country.
You can try, but that's the essence of this nation.
tim pool
I'm going to play this clip that Phil just pulled up.
unidentified
50,000 ballots to be released in the next nine minutes, and then 37,000 tomorrow.
I want to just quickly show you.
tim pool
Okay, well, that's still not enough.
Trump is up 200,000 in PA right now, so that wouldn't change anything.
unidentified
What do they mean the ballots are to be released?
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
unidentified
Where are they coming in?
But I do want to show you, Rachel, just come take a look through the window here, because this is the one angle you can see election workers here in Philadelphia that is not their camera processing the ballots.
And they're all in there now going through the process.
tim pool
OK, well, any ballot received, it is currently 12 or 5 a.m.
So every ballot received at their midnight should be challenged to the Supreme Court.
seamus coughlin
That's correct.
tim pool
Should be disqualified.
Because, let me explain something to everybody.
Here's how it's supposed to work.
You go to your polling location, you cast your ballot, it goes into a machine or into a box, they count it there, and they report the totals.
Those totals get sent up, it goes up through a decentralized system, and then they say, they've all reported, here's our numbers.
That's how we do it so fast.
The idea that there is some location where trucks bring ballots to, where did those ballots come from?
They're all mail-in or early ballots are now coming in.
No, we cannot run elections that way.
Nope.
You show up, you vote, we count it on the spot, it's decentralized, it is secure, this is insanity.
phil labonte
This is not over until it's actually over.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
phil labonte
This is not.
As much as we want to be excited and we have our hopes and stuff, this is not done until everything is counted and they stop counting.
Actually, technically, it's not over until it's certified in January.
That's exactly right.
This is not done.
expect challenges it's it's entirely likely that tomorrow you're gonna wake up and they'll say well you know it looks like trump won but there's challenges here there's challenges here there's challenges here expect that anticipate that because the last thing the left wants to do is leave any possibility of losing because again if they lose this is a mandate for donald trump
If they lose, this makes their entire agenda, everything that they've been pushing for for the past...
Probably decade.
It makes it almost impossible to get that back.
tim pool
And Trump's lead has shrunk by about 25 to 30 or 5,000 votes or so.
So he's currently up in Pennsylvania with 3% more reporting.
3% more have come in.
He is up 173,000 from 210 or 220,000.
So it's narrow...
We will see as more data starts to come in.
Looks like those votes came from Philadelphia County now with 86% reporting.
Man, I don't know.
I mean, they have Montgomery County with what looks like maybe 100,000 votes may come in.
Less than that, 70,000.
Allentown, much less.
I don't know if they...
This may come down to them being able to call it.
ian crossland
How many people total are they waiting for?
What percent is Pennsylvania at now?
phil labonte
85%.
ian crossland
And that's before these...
What were they?
80,000 votes roll in?
phil labonte
Something like 80,000, yeah.
And right now the difference is 173,679 votes.
tim pool
So they've got 27% in Montgomery County.
That is yet to be counted.
And we're looking there at about...
I don't know.
Let's just give it 350.
So...
That could be 70,000 ballots, potentially, and it's two to one, which means they're looking at potentially picking up 45,000 when those come in.
Then you've got Delaware County, 91%.
That's negligible.
Philadelphia County's got 14% remaining.
They're looking at about 600,000.
So that's only about 60.
So it's 130 between these two districts, these counties.
I don't think they can bring enough based on the amount of reporting.
If we look at the additional red counties where there are small numbers, I don't think enough ballots exist in these two counties to actually beat Trump.
And that's also not considering that 20% of those ballots are going to skew Republicans.
ian crossland
At least, yeah.
Slews of these ballots are Republican ballots.
tim pool
This is how they end up calling races very early when there's limited voting because they know, hey look, not enough ballots exist in the rest of the state to overcome They're not calling it just yet, but the percentage we're getting from the needle on PA is 75% chance Trump wins.
phil labonte
I don't know why they haven't called Georgia yet.
tim pool
I know, that is really weird.
seamus coughlin
Maybe they're waiting on some magic ballots to show up!
unidentified
Georgia's been called on Associated Press.
tim pool
Yeah, Trump's up 120,000, and there's no votes left for Democrats.
unidentified
Did they already call Atlanta?
tim pool
So Chatham County, maybe there's 10,000, 20,000?
That's not going to overcome 120.
Atlanta's 95, Fulton County's 95% in.
DeKalb is 95% in.
It ain't happening.
Gwinnett's 95, 95 across the board.
ian crossland
The illegal immigration thing, dude.
People just saw it so hard.
Especially in big cities.
And then the diaspora of people.
I mean, that Venezuelan gang taking over a hotel in Colorado.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, and not just the Venezuelan gang taking over a hotel in Colorado, but a media pundit speaking to the vice president saying it was only a handful of apartments that got taken over by Venezuelan gangs.
unidentified
Like, what?!
ian crossland
Yeah, that's just, nobody is normalizing.
That is not, anybody I talk to in my family is like, the border is a mess.
unidentified
Well, just it's weird that in Denver, like, I used to go to Denver to go skateboard when I was a little kid.
It was safe.
Denver was like a white people place.
Now you go there and you're sketched out.
Wait, are you assuming that places are safe when there's white people?
Well, it was a little white people place.
I mean, they are.
I was just wondering.
Well, you'd go to the skate park, and it was at the skate park, and you'd sit down on your cell phone and be fine.
And now you go there, and it's like, you're scared to be at the skate park in downtown Denver.
Like, somebody gets stabbed.
What's up?
tim pool
Red Planet?
Is that what it's called?
unidentified
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
I don't know.
tim pool
Everything's red.
unidentified
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yeah, it was weird.
Like, you would go there, and it was fine.
Now you can't even go there.
tim pool
There were riots?
phil labonte
I don't know.
Is that confirmed?
I retweeted you.
You can think, look.
tim pool
Let me...
You retweeted it?
phil labonte
Yep.
It's at the top of my...
Oh, they're coming out on bikes!
unidentified
My goodness.
phil labonte
The cops are coming after him on the...
I don't know that it's actually...
tim pool
You just retweeted this?
ian crossland
Fund the police.
Fund the police.
seamus coughlin
Exactly.
ian crossland
Let's start a new movement.
seamus coughlin
Refund the police.
ian crossland
Refund the police.
phil labonte
It's a post-millennial video.
tim pool
So, wait, wait.
unidentified
Hold on.
tim pool
I'm gonna...
unidentified
Yeah, that does not look good.
Iowa called for Trump, so there goes that nonsense.
ian crossland
That looks like a deep fake, by the way.
unidentified
I'm getting revved up here on a significant rant.
But I think if we find the video, probably a legitimate video of him crying.
tim pool
Phil, your tweet is not popping up for me.
phil labonte
It's not retweeting here.
It's in the IRL Slack.
tim pool
Let's see what's going on with this video.
Is this legit?
So we've got this video.
Let's pull it up from the AF Post.
ian crossland
Waffle Sensei.
tim pool
Seattle police breaking up Antifa riot, 1146 p.m.
Alright, so this just looks like a single arrest.
It looks really small.
I don't think this is significant at all.
It's like 10 people.
And that's Seattle.
So what do you expect?
seamus coughlin
That's what Seattle's for.
It's just people getting to pop off and riot whenever they want.
tim pool
Alright, what do we got here?
Let me pull in this tweet.
We got a clip from CNN for you.
dana bash
And the thing about North Carolina, and John has been talking about this and will do more, at the wall is you do have kind of a sense of Of the country in the state of North Carolina, in that there are growing minority populations and there is a growing suburban, maybe more moderate population in and around the big cities.
And so that is why the Harris campaign thought With the dynamics of the country right now that she would have a better shot.
But look, the headwinds of the economy, the inflation that people are feeling, the difficulty in everyday, their everyday lives.
unidentified
Yeah, she could not outrun that Biden economy.
dana bash
Yeah.
The economy, Chris, that is what people are feeling every single day.
seamus coughlin
These networks were all telling me the economy was great.
What happened?
That's right.
I thought everything was fantastic.
tim pool
She could not outrun the Biden economy.
CNN basically in mourning right now.
But that's right.
We've been saying this over and over again.
Nobody thinks the economy is good.
Everybody feels the pain at the grocery store.
And they were lying and saying the numbers are great.
Don Lemon went out and said everything's fine.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, of course.
He's completely and totally out of touch.
He has no idea what matters to regular people.
It's Don Lemon.
He's a person who was handed a platform by somebody else who never had to build it up, who never had to say or do anything interesting.
He just had to say and believe things that the people who were paying him money wanted him to say and believe.
That's all.
And he made a lot of money doing it.
And he goes around saying a lot of horrible things.
And guess what?
He doesn't know what the average American cares about or is going through.
He's totally out of touch with the people he's supposed to be communicating with.
How is that a viable structure for media?
tim pool
Wait, I gotta pull this New York Times update.
This is a big one.
Let me see if I can get the live presidential updates.
We want the updates.
So I can see if I can find this.
Because I see it on Twitter.
unidentified
Give me the updates!
tim pool
This is a good one.
If I can find it, it's from Nicholas Nahamas.
So, let's see.
Here we go.
23 minutes ago, New York Times, the Harris campaign just shut off the sound on the TVs at her watch party and replaced it with music after a guest on CNN said tonight felt more like 2016 than 2020.
The crowd is significantly thinned here and the mood feels seriously downcast.
ian crossland
That sounds like a submission.
seamus coughlin
Well, yeah, well, they're all going out to vote right now.
unidentified
At 3am.
seamus coughlin
They had to leave.
They're like, we gotta bring some ballot boxes in.
unidentified
But somebody said something interesting.
They said that she couldn't outrun the Biden economy.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
unidentified
Well, it was the Biden-Harris economy.
She literally went on national TV and said, hey, I wouldn't have done anything different than Joe Biden did.
And then she claimed responsibility for all of his successes.
As her own.
So it wasn't about her outrunning the Biden economy.
It was her outrunning her own economy.
seamus coughlin
She's responsible.
Well, they were so inconsistent about that, too, because sometimes she would never do anything different from what Biden was doing, and she would argue that he was just a great president in the country who was in a phenomenal place.
And then other times you'd have media publications literally saying things like, a new Republican tactic is to try to associate Kamala Harris with Joe Biden, as if she wasn't and isn't his VP. Not only that, the only reason that she was selected as the presidential frontrunner is because they didn't want to give up the money.
That's exactly right.
unidentified
So if you make a donation to a Democrat campaign, they can't keep the money if they don't complete the campaign.
They would have had to have sent all the donations made to Biden back, except they made her the not questionable.
seamus coughlin
And even that's a stretch.
tim pool
And even that's a stretch.
Awesome.
I don't know which one they locked in.
Currently with 15% in, Sheehy is beating Tester in Montana.
I would be surprised if John Tester won in Wisconsin with 78% in.
Hovde is up by just about two points.
On track to defeat Tammy Baldwin, we don't know for sure.
In Michigan with 56% in, Mike Rogers up.5.
And in Pennsylvania with 82% in, David McCormick is up about, I think,.8 against Bob Casey.
That could be 54 Republican seats.
phil labonte
Yeah.
ian crossland
I'm just going to say, tongue-in-cheek, if there's anybody that's going to unify this country right now, it's she-he.
That name is hilarious.
I don't even know the guy.
I don't know who it is, or if it's a woman or a man.
tim pool
It's not looking good right now.
ian crossland
It is tongue-in-cheek.
tim pool
Carrie Lake is down by 6.3 in Arizona with 55% reports.
ian crossland
What is going on there?
Is she too polarizing?
phil labonte
She's a terrible candidate.
You can't listen.
Donald Trump can be Donald Trump.
Carrie Lake cannot be Donald Trump.
That's an excellent point.
No one else can be Donald Trump.
And to be honest with you, this may sound sexist, but I don't care.
Women should not try to act like men.
unidentified
Amen.
phil labonte
They have different ways of appealing to people, and if a woman tries to act like a man, it does not come across the same way as if it was a man.
Women absolutely can do everything, can do things that men can do.
I'm not saying that women aren't capable.
I'm not saying that women shouldn't be in positions of power.
I'm saying that the road to get there is not the same road that men would take.
tim pool
Caleb Sinan on X says, imagine if there were 46 female presidents in a row and the first two men got beat by Roseanne.
unidentified
Oh my gosh.
seamus coughlin
Phil, you made a good point there about Carrie Lake.
You know, the message that a lot of people have taken away from Trump, which has just been a silly and inaccurate message, is what Trump taught us is that we should act like Trump.
No, no, no.
What Trump taught you is that you should act like yourself instead of wearing a mask.
The reason people like Trump is because he's authentic.
tim pool
Seamus, you're going to love this one.
Alright, let me hear it.
Okay, this is from Storm Robinson.
Justin, Democrats shocked to learn that women buy milk and eggs more often than they get abortions.
unidentified
Oh!
seamus coughlin
Oh, that is beautiful.
phil labonte
That is a good one.
seamus coughlin
That is beautiful.
ian crossland
You're right, Seamus.
He did teach people to be themselves.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I think so.
ian crossland
And I just thought about Rogan.
I mean, talk about one of the canaries in the coal mine of reality.
Like, the guy's about as based as you can get.
Just sitting there with base for three hours with that dude.
Being based...
seamus coughlin
Well, he just says his opinions, and he's not really worried about people getting upset or offended by them.
tim pool
We have a new guest joining.
ian crossland
Welcome back.
unidentified
Thank you.
ian crossland
Welcome back.
phil labonte
All right, so we're allowed a small amount of optimism now.
seamus coughlin
A small amount.
ian crossland
What's your take on what's happening here?
tim pool
We can count some of the eggs before they've hatched, but not all of them.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
ian crossland
You've been following along on the outside?
debra lea
I have been following along.
I think it's unbelievable.
This is more than we ever expected.
I am expecting election results by 10 a.m.
unidentified
at the latest tomorrow.
phil labonte
Easy, easy, easy.
We said small amount.
debra lea
Hey, listen.
I'm the trendsetter here, okay?
Bit by bit, you're getting there.
But I was watching the ticker, I guess.
It's insane.
Polymarket went to like 91% at a point, which is just...
I'm ready.
I'm excited.
tim pool
Oh, it's above that.
It's at 96.7.
seamus coughlin
96.
Oh, my goodness.
ian crossland
They put the music on at Kamala's headquarters, I hear.
tim pool
They turned the news off.
debra lea
Yeah, they said no comments or something.
tim pool
At the watch party, the news is playing.
They turned it off.
So now everyone's just slowly thinning out.
They're like, we're done.
seamus coughlin
They're going out to harvest ballots and vote, guys.
No, but in all seriousness, another thing to take away from this is that Trump won some of the places he won in ways that was totally unexpected or were totally unexpected.
So there's a clip that's going on.
It was almost certainly racism and misogyny, but you're forgetting transphobia.
unidentified
Right.
seamus coughlin
You're forgetting transphobia, my friend.
But no, Nate Silver was talking about this, and there's a screenshot going viral of him telling someone, I think he'd bet him $100,000 if Trump won Florida by 8 points.
He was basically telling this guy he was crazy for saying Trump could win Florida by 8 points.
Now Trump's like, I think it was 14 points?
I mean, there were people supporting Kamala claiming that Florida was in play.
Trump won by 14 points.
unidentified
So I live in Florida, and one of the things, all of the corners by the voting booths, they all had Kamala Harris signs.
People were putting Kamala Harris signs in their front yard.
And if you thought that people were actually voting that way, it looked like Kamala Harris had strong support in Florida.
But, I mean, everybody that I know, nobody trusts her, nobody was voting for her.
Apparently somebody spent a bunch of money to put a bunch of signs out.
seamus coughlin
Isn't it horrible that their votes were suppressed?
tim pool
I want to play this clip for you guys.
This is big, and it's hopeful and copium, whatever.
unidentified
We continue to be talking about North Carolina, which has been projected for Trump by Decision Desk HQ, and I suspect others will project it soon.
Georgia and Wisconsin.
Still a lot of Trump confidence in Pennsylvania, but there is some Democratic pushback there.
But if Donald Trump wins Georgia, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, he simply needs to win one of Arizona, where he is expected to win, Pennsylvania or Michigan.
And I'd say right now there's a fair degree of confidence in Trump land that he may win all seven, and maybe six of seven.
let's see, let's just watch the TV here and see if anybody else projects North Carolina when they're projecting Montana.
tim pool
So in this clip, quote, if the exit polls are accurate, says Mark Halperin, Donald Trump may have the coattails to bring in as many as seven Republican senators winning Democrat held seats.
We may be talking about a Trump realignment, which is in some ways more profound than what he did in 2016, because if he adds to the working class realignment, young people, Hispanic voters, black voters, and independents, now we're talking about a realignment that's seriously Love it.
ian crossland
And I think it's important to remember, I'm going to be a little bit of a wet blanket because, hey, the fire's hot.
It's not about Don.
It's not about him.
It's about the movement.
It's about making this country legit, re-industrializing our nation, making ourselves solvent.
tim pool
I just want to pause real quick.
We didn't actually celebrate the fact that Republicans control the Senate at all.
I did.
seamus coughlin
I went, woo!
tim pool
But it's funny because we just assumed it to be like, oh yeah, okay, great.
But like, no, the Republicans have the Senate.
seamus coughlin
That's good.
tim pool
That is confirmed now, done, with 51 seats.
Now we're hoping it goes to 54?
Maybe?
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
tim pool
Beautiful.
Are we looking at possibly 55 seats?
If they take Montana and the Rust Belt, it's 55 seats.
ian crossland
What was it like the last time the Republicans were in control of the House, or in the Senate, rather?
tim pool
Oh, they did a whole lot of nothing!
ian crossland
Do you know how many there were?
tim pool
No, I don't know.
ian crossland
Is 55 like a big deal?
Is it normally 52?
tim pool
It's like 52.
55 is a big deal.
We'll see if Republicans actually end up doing anything, but Trump probably will.
And what I'm hoping for, because, you know, we had Lisa Reynolds here, she's saying, they're not going to do anything, they're not...
I'm hoping that Donald Trump makes them.
phil labonte
Vice grad 24 reporting that Donald Trump starts preparing to make a statement to Mar-a-Lago as his supporters celebrate.
tim pool
Oh, man.
seamus coughlin
Oh, man.
debra lea
I think J.D. Vance was the perfect pick and completely syndicated from this, and I wish that there was more people.
I read his book when I was in college.
We were studying him about class migration, and to see him just move up from everything that he went through has been unbelievable.
And I think that he's not going to be a useless vice president and actually continue to build his reputation.
He's only been in politics for a few years now, and I think by motivating the Senate to actually pass bills, he's going to take the credit and build himself for 2028.
phil labonte
It's my sense that he's going to be, he will be an active vice president.
Obviously, he doesn't have any, won't have any special or official powers beyond what the vice president already has, but he does have influence, he does have the president's ear, and I think that Donald Trump is going to lean on him to work in the Senate.
As the president of the Senate, he'll be able to influence other senators.
He already has relationships there because he is a senator.
So it's my sense that you're right because he's also a great resource.
He's a very, very brilliant guy.
He's really smart.
So between J.D. Vance and the other people that it seems like are going to be on Team Trump, Tulsi Gabbard, RFK, I imagine Elon Musk.
I don't know how this man is going to have time to do it, but I imagine he is going to be involved in in.
debra lea
I'll clone himself.
tim pool
Alan Lichtman, who they call the election Nostradamus...
unidentified
Called it for Harris, didn't he?
tim pool
He called it for Harris, and he's tracking to be very, very wrong.
And what I will say about this is...
In this neocon, neolib, uniparty world, perhaps it was easy to predict elections.
things started to rapidly shift in the social media era he could not accurately understand or predict what was going on that being said the night is young we don't know it's looking very good for trump i have no idea how they turn this around and if they do shadow campaign i guess fortification man exactly why isn't why isn't georgia being called for trump when it's 95 percent reporting it's it's an absurdity especially considering there's nothing left i
I can go through every single county, and it's all greater than 95% reporting in these urban districts.
Chatham County is the only one, and there's nowhere near enough votes to shift anything.
seamus coughlin
I suspect that they're having...
unidentified
What about on 270 to win?
What is it showing?
tim pool
270 doesn't make any predictions.
unidentified
Oh, really?
seamus coughlin
I actually, I suspect that phone calls are happening, the kind of which they accused Trump of, gotta find some votes in Georgia.
tim pool
Yeah, so the current 270 to win map, It's just showing the toss-ups from before the election.
But I might be able to show the live election results.
Currently shows...
So you're right.
Sorry about that.
Georgia has been called by 270.
unidentified
Beautiful.
debra lea
Feels good.
I feel like we're resetting the clock back to 2016 and everything's just gonna be good again.
seamus coughlin
I hope we are.
I hope we are.
debra lea
I'm proud of Americans, guys.
We really have been showing up and, like, actually making it.
tim pool
Yeah, well, the House...
debra lea
Hey, listen, we still deserve some kudos.
So I want to see, like, compared...
I'm curious to see how many more people have voted in this election, especially the demographics.
tim pool
Real quick, some good news.
The Democrats' chance of winning the House has diminished to 57.4.
unidentified
Beautiful.
tim pool
So Trump needs everything.
Need everything.
93% chance to win, says the New York Times.
The needle is now almost to very likely, and they're projecting 302 electoral votes.
ian crossland
Yeah, it's the landslide.
debra lea
Everything except Nevada, which is almost...
tim pool
It's 63%.
debra lea
Why haven't they called it yet?
ian crossland
It's a...
What would you call that?
Not a landslide.
tim pool
These are probabilities.
debra lea
No, but it's not saying, like, leaning on the past.
It was red.
tim pool
65.
debra lea
Oh, 65.
ian crossland
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
debra lea
That's exciting, guys.
unidentified
Hello.
ian crossland
Who are you?
unidentified
How are you?
Alex.
ian crossland
Alex, who are you?
Tell the world.
unidentified
Yes.
tim pool
Hold that mic a little closer.
unidentified
I have claimed the name Verbal Sniper.
ian crossland
Tell me more.
unidentified
I talk really fast.
ian crossland
Oh, you do?
unidentified
Every once in a while.
Sometimes I'm chill.
I'm feeling a little chill right now.
Oh, no.
TikTok hates me.
I've had like seven accounts deleted already.
Instagram and X. What are you thinking?
tim pool
You're coming in.
You're hanging out at the party.
How are the vibes?
unidentified
Um, I was really nervous when I woke up this morning that I showed up.
I seemed pretty, pretty leveled out.
And now I'm feeling very optimistic.
I am.
I feel like Trump has it.
Of course, this is kind of like a deja vu with 2020, though I know in 2020 was a little bit tighter than Michael Knowles says, nauseously optimistic, and I like that.
Oh, Jim Klug says, cautiously optimistic.
phil labonte
I prefer nauseously.
unidentified
Yeah, nauseously.
debra lea
That's me.
The whole time here.
unidentified
We're all kind of having a bit of a panic attack all at the same time.
ian crossland
I think I'm pensively optimistic.
Because I keep thinking about, what do we do next?
Assuming that this does go the way of Trump, and that we're able to at least wrestle some sort of control of the censorship mechanism.
tim pool
It's not complicated.
phil labonte
Gotta win first.
ian crossland
You rest, get healthy, work out, eat really healthy foods.
tim pool
I'm going to have a goat cheese omelet because one of the first things we did when we got here is we went to Publix and I got goat cheese and eggs so I can have goat cheese omelets and sleep.
debra lea
I think we need a parade.
phil labonte
Okay.
unidentified
I'll vote on that.
A parade's good.
debra lea
Listen, but no, I gotta celebrate.
My worst fear is waking up tomorrow morning at a random time, opening my phone and seeing somebody that I follow saying something.
I want us to all celebrate together because this has been a really tough four years.
It finally feels like it flew by quickly now, but it's been difficult.
I graduated college, I started working my big girl job, all things like that in the last few years, and I'm just excited to get back, and this means a lot for my future too, and I think it means a lot for America that We're not willing to take this.
We have certain lines that have gone too far, like the open border, like the crime and the drugs and every single thing going after our children.
I don't have children, but some people here might.
And the chickens, maybe, or Tim, but the cats.
But I think it's a huge step in the right direction.
So I'm really excited and hopeful, and I think it deserves a monumentous celebration to mark this moment.
phil labonte
Fair enough.
I think that you do make a good point when it comes to the negative things that we've all kind of seen happening.
And so it's worth taking a minute to say, you know, if this is the case, if it does turn out that Donald Trump wins, because I'm still...
debra lea
Nauseously optimistic.
phil labonte
I'm very concerned about fortification, right?
I mean, there are some...
Go ahead.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, I just want to mention, I'm stepping out real quick.
It's been great chatting with everybody.
If you want to see more of my work, go over to FreedomTunes, youtube.com slash FreedomTunes.
We released a video today on what the Joe Rogan Experience episode with Kamala would have looked like if he agreed to her terms.
Our video yesterday, Tim did half the voices.
jeremy boring
You want to check it out?
ian crossland
Seamus Coghwin, ladies and gentlemen.
seamus coughlin
Love you guys.
God bless.
tim pool
Decision Desk has Trump's chance of winning at 92.2.
Wisconsin has 83% in, and Trump is up what looks like, was it 3.9 points?
So it's pretty good.
ian crossland
Hello, sir.
debra lea
We got a special guest over here, a TikTok star.
unidentified
Oh, is it?
That's the description right there?
tim pool
I like it.
unidentified
I like it.
ian crossland
Who are you?
What's going on?
Tell the world.
unidentified
So I'm the least intellectual at this table, I can tell you that.
You guys are very intelligent.
I don't know, dude.
phil labonte
I yell at a stick.
unidentified
My name is Tyler Bergantino.
Kind of a crazy story.
I actually just met Jordan Peterson.
I went to his tour, and he said, the We Who Wrestle with God tour, and essentially he said, get off the beaten path, go have the adventure of your life, quit my job.
And I interviewed that beautiful lady out there and went absolutely viral.
And now we're here.
tim pool
Right on.
How are you feeling?
What do you think?
unidentified
Man, I've been...
I haven't had a lot of emotions about it.
More just...
I keep seeing commercials and stuff like that.
But got really nervous today.
Had a couple of margaritas.
And now we're here.
And it's feeling good.
But I'm still...
I'm a little bit of a pessimist.
So I'm definitely a little nervous, you know?
There's a nice vibe out there, too.
Everybody's been, like, very negative.
phil labonte
Everybody was really traumatized by 2020.
unidentified
No, I understand.
phil labonte
You really thought that...
I mean, first of all, it didn't seem realistic that Joe Biden could win.
He was such a terrible candidate.
He barely ran.
Donald Trump had done great things up until COVID, and COVID obviously was a challenge, and there's a lot of bad things that happened because of COVID, but...
But for the most part, conservatives kind of thought, this is in the bag.
And then to see the election night results, all the way up until midnight, and a lot of people went to sleep.
And then they woke up and they were like, what the fuck happened?
You know, where it's just like, I can't even believe this.
Because it's like, you know, 90% Trump's gonna win or something like that.
And then you see, in the middle of the night, that essentially there was a massive influx of votes.
And Because it was a novel election, it was totally different than anything else, and there were all the mail-in ballots.
It was something that was completely new.
The ballot harvesting was pretty new as well.
tim pool
We got an update.
Erie County has flipped for Trump.
95% reporting.
unidentified
What's up?
tim pool
That was blue.
And that's it.
Trump takes it.
We've also got an update out of Arizona.
They've approved their abortion constitutional right overturning the 15-week ban.
So that's interesting because currently Donald Trump is winning with.8 with 53% of the votes in.
So it's looking good for Trump in Wisconsin right now.
He's up four points with 83% reporting.
PA 88% reporting and Trump is up three points.
So it looks like his lead is relatively stable so far around 170,000 or so.
Trump, he's got Georgia, but New York Times won't call it.
Assuming he takes Arizona, which is what everyone expects, he only needs one of the Rust Belt states and we're done.
We've already got the Senate.
phil labonte
So, like I was saying, the fact of the matter is there's a lot of people that are really cautious because of that.
It left a really, really bad taste in everyone's mouth.
And then to see the gloating that happened with the Time article, how they fortified the election, the secret history of the Shadow Campaign.
I mean, that was literally burned into my mind.
That not only did this seemingly...
To clean victory, get torn away, but to see that they were literally gloating about it.
And as far as I was concerned, when you read it, it was like, okay, well, they stole it.
They lied about a bunch of stuff, and they changed the law, and they changed the rules, so that way they could steal it.
And that was the way that it felt.
Now, I understand that there's nothing specifically illegal, and calling it stolen is probably inaccurate, but that's what it felt.
And so I think that that's probably why you've got so many people with this kind of...
ian crossland
This Elon Musk was on Rogan, I think that today or yesterday it launched, and he was saying this is the most important election of your life.
Legitimately, we're on the precipice of going in two directions, one of the censorship monolith taking control, and the other way is freedom, the opportunity to censor ourselves.
You have to choose right now.
And I'm like, yeah, it almost sounds hyperbolic, but the thing is, it's true.
If these electronic voting machines are able to flip votes behind the scenes, which seems likely from testimony, the code's proprietary, so it's unknown, which is a dangerous place for it to be, it hasn't gotten its tentacles in yet.
It's partially trying to.
And this is an indication that we can warp our way out of that.
tim pool
Okay, so we got some big updates.
Trump is on his way to speak.
Kamala Harris will not be speaking tonight.
unidentified
What?
tim pool
So, Grace Chong says Trump is en route to the convention center.
I'm currently looking and tracking.
I assume it's going to be popping up all over every election tracker and every video.
Donald Trump is expected to speak soon, and he is likely going to declare victory.
phil labonte
And Kamala Harris is not going to speak because of exactly the things that I'm afraid of.
Now, I'm not saying that there are going to be some kind of shenanigans, but the reason she's not going to concede tonight is in the hopes that they are able to produce enough votes to get her over the line.
debra lea
I think she's also embarrassed, but you brought up COVID.
phil labonte
She deserves to be embarrassed.
debra lea
It sucks to say that there was anything positive to come out of it because, of course, millions of people lost their lives and their loved ones.
But COVID was the best thing to ever happen to Republicans and the voter blocks.
It was the time when people realized what happens when you let them pull the sheep's wool over your eyes, what Democrats do when they're in complete power, and they just make your life worse.
And so I think now, over the last four years, people have really woken up and we've seen this is like a washout thus far.
I know, nauseously optimistic.
But I think that this was a good thing to happen to us.
And overall, the country is moving in direction where people feel comfortable to talk about this stuff now.
Like I mentioned when I was on earlier, somebody who did not look like they would be your average Trump supporter in New York voting for Donald Trump right next to me this morning in New York City.
So I'm positive about the direction of this country.
And I really do think that Americans will never forget what it means to be Americans.
You know, we stand strong for freedom.
tim pool
I think we're seeing right now, Reuters has, I guess there's no sound, but it looks like the motorcade, Trump's motorcade is preparing to speak.
So we'll just, I don't hear any sound coming out of this, so we'll just wait for a moment.
unidentified
So this might be a potential victory announcement?
phil labonte
Yes.
Hello sir, how you doing doctor?
ian crossland
We have a new guest in the house.
tim pool
Ah, it's Ben himself!
phil labonte
Hello sir.
ian crossland
Tell the world who you are.
jordan b peterson
Jordan Peterson here to offer whatever I can offer.
tim pool
Dr.
Peterson, how do you feel about the results so far?
jordan b peterson
Well, we'll see if they hold till the morning.
tim pool
That's kind of where we're all at.
jordan b peterson
Well, the margin keeps narrowing, eh?
And so that's an interesting thing to watch.
But it's hard if you're hoping for a Republican victory to see this as anything other than pretty much everything you could have hoped for.
What has he got?
The House, the Senate, the presidency, and maybe the popular vote?
tim pool
I don't know if we're there with the House just yet.
So Decision Desk currently has...
57.4% that Democrats will take the House.
But the Senate has flipped.
And it's looking like there's no real path for the presidency.
But if Trump doesn't get the House, they're going to try and block certification.
They're going to screw with him the whole time and they're not going to let him do anything.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, right, right, right, right.
Well, so there's still lots of things to shake out still.
Yeah.
However, much better than it might have been.
That's for sure.
tim pool
Yeah, indeed.
I think Reuters, I think we're about to see a Trump victory speech.
unidentified
Does that not make sense to you?
jordan b peterson
Well, no.
unidentified
I mean, we're pretty good at saying 89% of the vote is.
tim pool
So we'll keep this up.
I'll keep the volume low for now until we see.
But it's looking like Donald Trump is en route.
I imagine he's declaring victory.
What do you guys think?
phil labonte
I mean, I hope so.
unidentified
I think so.
I want to bring it back to your point real quick.
In 2020, I remember the feeling was very, like, amped up.
We were pumped.
We felt like we had it in the bag.
The election, it was totally ours.
And now this time, I think we're confident in our abilities to vote.
I think we're confident in Trump's abilities.
But I think it's more of, like, a desperation feeling.
We need a stronger leader in this country.
We're tired of four more years of whatever the hell that was.
And it's a desperation of, like, we...
Physically and mentally cannot do this any longer for four more years, what Biden and Harris have put us through.
And I think that we're feeling that right now.
I almost got a little underwhelmed for a little.
I was like, what's happening?
I feel like something needs to be happening a little bit more.
But I think this almost is like a quiet victory that we're like building up.
And if this is actually what we're about to see, which is a victory from Trump, I think this is going to be pretty monumental.
Their pessimism is slowly disappearing.
Yes, exactly.
ian crossland
Even if he says, I won, it doesn't mean, you know, it's still, it's 88%.
tim pool
Well, because they did this in 2020.
Trump came out and said, I win.
Three in the morning, everything changes.
jordan b peterson
That's right.
It's not three in the morning yet, is it?
unidentified
No.
tim pool
And Dr.
Peterson, do you see what the Harris campaign put out in their memo?
No, that they're waiting till 3 a.m.
for votes to come in.
And Harris is not going to speak, and it's looking very similar to 2020.
Trump's winning on election night.
We're going to go to bed.
We're going to wake up and say, actually.
ian crossland
So assuming this works the way it looks like it's working, Jordan, it looks like I think he's going to win.
Assuming this happens, we have an opportunity to reshape this country.
What's your advice?
What are you going to do next?
jordan b peterson
What would I do in his shoes?
ian crossland
No, what are you going to do?
jordan b peterson
What am I going to do?
Well, I'm going to offer my services to the people I know who are part of that administration, so we'll see, you know, if there's anything of any utility in that.
I'll continue my efforts on the university education side, that's for sure.
It'll make me much more confident in my business dealings in the United States.
You know, I'm caught between two countries at the moment, Canada and the United States, and things are kind of rough for me in Canada for all sorts of different reasons.
Now, there's some possibility of a leadership switch there in the next year or two.
But if Trump's in power here, even to a reasonable degree, well, the business climate here is going to be much more positive.
And so that's really good for me because I have lots of enterprises in the United States.
And so I'd be very happy about that.
And I'll sit back and watch an open-mouthed amazement as whatever it is that's going to unfold unfolds over the next year because we're in uncharted waters in 10 different dimensions, man.
There's so many things changing that you can't even keep track of them.
tim pool
Everything changes tonight.
No matter what.
Whatever it is.
I feel like both sides are sitting patiently, believing that they had a chance to win, but things have started to shift dramatically.
As the results come in, it's looking like Trump is going to win.
I'm curious what the reaction on the left is going to be.
jordan b peterson
Well, I can't understand what they're going to do, because there's so many things that, if Trump wins, there's so many things that the left has lost that I can't see how they're going to respond.
The legacy media is stone dead, as far as I can tell.
There isn't a hope in hell they're going to be able to rejuvenate themselves.
They can't compete economically with YouTube and the internet, like, obviously not, because the entry cost to, To broadcasting there is zero.
You can't compete with that.
I think the Joe Rogan podcast with Trump was the death knoll for the legacy media.
It was so radically successful.
Then it was followed up with Vance's podcast, which was also highly successful.
Trump's strategy to use the new media in the last month and a half of the campaign was radically successful.
I mean, every single thing he did on the podcast side worked extremely well.
Like, Why do you need the legacy media anymore?
I think they're completely stone dead.
I have no idea what they're going to do about that.
I can't imagine in the least what the Hollywood progressives are going to do.
I think they've disgraced themselves to the point where the average person has almost no interest in Hollywood whatsoever anymore.
And that's a very interesting thing to see.
It's not like there's not a new crop of celebrities that even on the new media side that can just take their place.
There is.
And so, I don't know what the hell the left is going to do.
You know, one possibility is that the Democrats will restructure themselves and toss out the radical leftists.
tim pool
Mm-hmm.
jordan b peterson
Well, it's also the case that the progressives got hoisted their own intersectional petard because black men tilted hard towards Trump, which shows that on the intersectional identity front, they identified more as men than as black, at least a large percentage of them.
But it's obviously the case that the Democrat appeal to the...
To the marginalized ethnic minority, so to speak, has been a colossal failure.
They've certainly burnt their bridges with the working class, which has been the Democrats' stronghold forever.
Their whole ideological policy has been a cataclysmic failure.
Their new candidate has been a complete bloody disaster.
I just don't see what they're going to do.
It's going to be fascinating to watch.
tim pool
So we've got some...
Here we go.
unidentified
Good evening, HU! I want to say good evening to all of the Harris campaign, the campaign family.
Thank you for all that you have done.
Thank you for being here.
Thank you for believing in the promise of America.
We still have votes to count.
We still have states that have not been called yet.
We will continue overnight.
To fight to make sure that every vote is counted, that every voice has spoken.
So you won't hear from the Vice President tonight, but you will hear from her tomorrow.
She will be back here tomorrow to address not only the HU family, not only to address her supporters, but to address the nation.
So thank you.
We believe in you.
May God bless you.
May God keep you.
And go H.U. and go Harris!
Thank you all.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, remarkably brave of her to appear like that.
ian crossland
She sent her champion.
tim pool
We will see.
So we also have, I suppose they're waiting now for the, so that's the best we're going to get from the Harris campaign?
unidentified
Very underwhelming.
ian crossland
I think, you know, the tactic, if we're looking at the devious tactic that's going to come next, is they're going to try and smash up X. They're going to try and break it up.
Whether that's with the Justice Department or some technical malfeasance destroying the back end.
So I think what Elon's got to do is start decentralizing that protocol.
Because we're going to be able to communicate, it's just through mesh networks, where our devices are the servers.
Because if we put all our data in singular local places, they're vulnerable.
That could be, I mean, that's a de facto tactic.
phil labonte
I don't think that there's any kind of problem, or I don't think that that would be a bad thing.
I don't see that as a clear and present danger, considering the possibility or the likelihood of a Trump victory.
ian crossland
And I can't imagine that the Justice Department in the 30 days or 80 days between now and being sworn in is going to go do...
phil labonte
Oh, I see what you're getting at.
Okay.
ian crossland
But apparently, according to Mike Benz, the Justice Department is where all this power, maybe not all that's hyperbolic, but...
A swath, a large chunk of his power is emanating out of that thing.
He talks about State Department and CIA. It's the Justice Department.
phil labonte
That's where they have the ability to apply pressure onto the American people is the Justice Department.
That's literally sending the cops.
And so that's how the government applies pressure to U.S. citizens.
They charge you...
jordan b peterson
There's plenty of those, plenty of the people who would be power mongers are going to blow whatever way the wind is blowing too, right?
They're going to be a lot more cautious in their approach if they know that Trump and his people are coming to take power relatively rapidly.
So, I don't know, like, I've thought for a long time that I can't see things more than about six months into the future now.
Everything's changing so incredibly rapidly and you strap on and watch and that's about all you can do.
But, like, this is a very, so far, we'll see what happens by tomorrow morning, but so far, this has been a very positive night.
So, you know, but it is very interesting that Harris didn't show up and she's waiting until tomorrow to make any announcement.
unidentified
Yeah.
ian crossland
Scraphing revolution, baby.
unidentified
Tell me you're trying to cheat without telling me you're trying to cheat.
Yeah.
Dr.
Peterson, you had a video go out about Trump's X-Men.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, yeah.
unidentified
And you put that out.
And it really is like when you're voting for Trump, you really are voting for this team around him.
And do you think that that's something, I mean, it relates to that proverb where it goes back to a wise leader surrounds himself with his counsel.
But do you see that shaping the political landscape as we move forward in this?
Like, do you think that's going to be something that we see that's more common, where you have an actual council and you get people around you when you're voting in for somebody?
And is that going to be a strategy that presidential candidates use in the future?
jordan b peterson
Well, a couple of observations on that front.
It would have been lovely to see the Trump team realize earlier what they had, because they really didn't start marketing the team until about two weeks ago, something like that, two to three weeks.
And I think it was because the fact that all these remarkable people aggregated themselves around Trump was such a surprise to everyone that it wasn't obvious how that shifted the narrative.
But it should have and then eventually did shift it dramatically.
And it was also something that I saw as an extremely positive development because it is definitely the case that narcissistic people would be very unlikely to do what it was that Trump allowed to have happen around him.
You know, like a narcissist isn't going to want to have Elon Musk around because he's serious competition.
And Trump has a lot of remarkable people around him now who have the same level of charisma that he does.
And he seems not only to put up with that, so to speak, but to welcome it and to invite it and actually to listen to the people that he's got around him.
And those are very positive things.
That put a lot of the doubts I had about him to rest to a large degree.
What's that going to mean for the future?
Well, you'd hope that...
It's hard to say, because now that the legacy media is dead, thank God, and we don't have our political discussion reduced to 30-second soundbites that are determined a priori by the political elite, that means that highly credible people can make their case directly to the people.
And that's going to reshape the political landscape dramatically.
And that's happened in Canada already, right?
Because the new leader of the Conservative Party in Canada, Pierre Polyev, is not popular with the legacy media in Canada.
So he just ignored them.
He set up his own YouTube channels.
He set up all his own social media communication networks.
And he did that extremely effectively.
He just talked directly to Canadians.
And he swept the Conservative Party and he'll be the next Prime Minister.
And so...
The fact of unlimited video bandwidth is going to reshape the political landscape 100%.
We have no idea exactly how that's going to happen except that it's going to be a lot harder to be nothing but an empty actor And convince people that you're the right person.
You know, I talked to Rogan, and you guys, of course, know this because you have extensive experience in the new media space, but, you know, Rogan's experience with his long-form podcast, especially, and of course, his famously go for three hours, is that the empty people exhaust themselves after about 20 minutes.
Because, I mean, you can only memorize so many persona-related lies.
And one of the things that's really interesting about YouTube, too, is that it viciously punishes editing and persona, right?
You better not edit.
Your production quality better not be too high.
You better not engage in any manipulation because people on YouTube hate that.
It doesn't fly.
And so I'm very happy to see that.
And it's also such a wonderful opportunity for people who actually do have something to say because the cost of Entry to YouTube, the financial barrier is zero and there's no bandwidth limitations.
So if you actually have something interesting to say, you can just say it.
And if people want to listen, they can.
And that could be absolutely revolutionary.
Because we've never had a situation where politicians could just talk directly to people with no intermediation.
And so, I'm pretty happy to see that.
And I have no idea what that'll mean in the future.
ian crossland
I think there's going to...
Oh, sorry.
jordan b peterson
No, go ahead.
ian crossland
There'll be a window of opportunity because once the AI starts deepfaking and you can create your avatar to communicate three hours for you, and it'll be pulling...
jordan b peterson
Yeah, yeah.
Well, that's a big problem.
tim pool
We're already here.
They're...
There are people who are already creating AI avatars of themselves that they can feed news into and create podcasts and channels, and it's not an exaggeration.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, yeah.
Well, I had a colleague of mine, we built an AI out of my last three books, and I had it help me write this next book.
So some of the things, like I did a lot of biblical analysis for this next book, and there were biblical passages that I couldn't crack, and I could ask this AI system that we built for its opinion, and it would give me a pretty good first-pass approximation.
And that's a very weird thing to contend with, because I'm actually asking a system that answers in my voice.
And so, you know, I don't really know what to make of that.
It's kind of an uncanny thing to mess with, but that technology is already there.
tim pool
I want to jump in real quick.
The New York Times has formally called Georgia for Donald Trump as a flip.
Huge news with 92% reporting Trump has strengthened his lead in Pennsylvania with about 221,000 votes.
If right now they call Pennsylvania for Donald Trump, it's over.
So if we pull up 270 to win...
Even if he doesn't have Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, or Wisconsin, if he takes Pennsylvania, he should hit 270.
That's it.
jordan b peterson
There we go.
unidentified
Really, it's about when will they call it Pennsylvania?
tim pool
Right, so I'm seeing, of course, various news outlets reporting that we're not going to get the results tonight, even though 92% of the votes are in and Trump is up 221,000.
We'll see you.
jordan b peterson
Wouldn't it be lovely to have him have a big enough margin so that there isn't any doubt about the results of the election?
unidentified
It would be amazing.
phil labonte
I think that would be the best thing that could possibly happen to the country.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, that's for sure.
phil labonte
The Republicans are, I believe, it looks like Mitch McConnell is going to be stepping down.
unidentified
Yes.
phil labonte
That was reported a while ago.
They're going to have to pick a new Senate majority leader.
ian crossland
When you did your AI book, did you put written by Jordan Peterson and AI? Yes.
jordan b peterson
Well, the passages that I had it consult with me on, I extensively rewrote.
But the thing that was interesting about it was that it...
See, in your thought patterns, there are connections that you don't know.
That's partly why you can think up new things.
And because this AI system had mapped thought passages that were characteristic of my previous books, it could draw on things that I knew that I didn't know I knew.
Now, authorship, well, I haven't been hiding the fact that I've been using this system.
I didn't use it particularly extensively, but it is also not trained on my work as thoroughly as it could be.
Like, I can imagine having my colleague build an AI system that knows more about how I think than I do.
ian crossland
When it would tell you things you didn't know you knew you knew, were you like, Oh yeah, I knew I knew that.
jordan b peterson
Well, it was more like it made sense rapidly.
You know, and that often happens to people.
If you think up something that's an intuition or a revelation, it'll strike you in a manner that makes sense.
And the reason for that is that it's tying things that are already close together more tightly together.
And so it feels like you knew it but hadn't been able to articulate it completely.
There's a lot of things you know implicitly because they're part of the pattern of your thought, but you haven't put the words together.
ian crossland
I'm going to be jumping out of here pretty soon, man.
We've got another guest coming in.
Great to see you.
jordan b peterson
Good to talk to you, man.
tim pool
We're still waiting.
Trump is en route, I understand, to deliver remarks.
It looks like Trump won.
jordan b peterson
Alright, I guess I'm departing, so it was really good to talk to you guys.
tim pool
Good to finally have you on the show.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, absolutely.
We'll have to do this longer and more often.
tim pool
Absolutely.
jordan b peterson
Yeah, it was good to see you.
tim pool
Likewise.
unidentified
Likewise.
tim pool
Nice to talk to you all.
unidentified
You bet.
phil labonte
Thank you very much.
jordan b peterson
Bye, guys.
tim pool
Alright, next up, we've got a couple people joining in as we're waiting for the Trump statement.
And, oh boy, 1 a.m.
ian crossland
I am beat.
tim pool
We have been streaming for seven hours.
unidentified
I remember in 2016 when they called it for Trump at 2.30 in the morning.
I wish they would do that again.
tim pool
I just really wish right now, collectively, everybody just comes in and says Trump won so I can be like, thanks for hanging out.
I'm sleeping.
unidentified
It's like, man, I walked through the door to leave and got turned back around by the chaos demons.
Maybe not.
I think I do.
I've got a flight at 11 a.m.
I don't want to be sitting at the airport, kind of like what Debra said.
I don't want to be sitting at the airport finding out on Twitter or X that Trump won.
I kind of want to be with a bunch of people.
I feel like kind of talking...
tim pool
Man, this is hard.
unidentified
I have a toddler.
I already stay up till four.
tim pool
In five minutes, we will be doing a crossover with the Lotus Eaters podcast.
unidentified
Oh, no way.
phil labonte
I can't wait.
tim pool
Our British buddies from across the pond.
This is going to be a lot of fun.
Carl Benjamin is fantastic.
He's a good friend.
phil labonte
I retweeted Carl.
It's not even really a meme, but Carl retweeted an absolutely banger of a pic from the Young Turks today, and it's on my X account.
It's worth going to take a look because...
Cenk just looks so terribly dejected and Anna Kasperian just sitting there smirking.
It's beautiful.
tim pool
I do need to stress, we had this call planned with the Lotus Eaters.
But we are also waiting for Donald Trump to speak, and he is en route to speak, so...
seamus coughlin
Well, who's more important, you know?
Sargon, Donald Trump.
It's a tough one.
unidentified
We'll figure it out.
tim pool
No, but maybe we'll have to hang out with the Lotus Eaters while Trump gives his remarks.
seamus coughlin
That could be fun.
tim pool
We'll be joining them in a couple of minutes.
In the meantime, can we just speed things up, Trump?
seamus coughlin
Yeah, come on.
tim pool
I just want to hear him say a win, and the New York Times say it's over.
seamus coughlin
I decided I win.
I decided I win.
tim pool
Hey, look, Nevada's finally reporting.
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
Yeah, I mean, look, 92%, he's 220,000 ahead in Pennsylvania, if I'm not mistaken here.
It's looking pretty good for him, I think, at this point.
I think we can safely say it looks good.
tim pool
Mylon Yiannopoulos is a very funny guy, but I cannot read what he said.
seamus coughlin
Oh, man.
unidentified
I love him.
tim pool
He just said that he likes Scott Pressler's work.
And who was it?
Was it you, Phil, who said Trump should give Scott Pressler the Medal of Freedom?
phil labonte
Yes, it was me.
The Congressional Medal of Freedom.
And I mean the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
I don't know specifically what the criteria are for the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
So if I'm saying something that's out of line, the point is that Scott Pressler deserves a lot of kudos and a lot of thanks for all the work that he's put in Pennsylvania, not only getting people out to vote, but getting people registered.
And really doing the hard grassroots work.
The man moved to Pennsylvania, lived there for, I think, for two years or something like that.
And he worked tirelessly to get Pennsylvania to flip.
And it's looking like he was successful.
And so without Scott Pressler, Pennsylvania likely wouldn't be in the situation that it is.
And that means that it's possible that Donald Trump wouldn't win.
So if you...
Follow Scott Pressler.
Make sure you give him kudos on X. The man did an absolutely amazing job, and he deserves tons of love and credit.
seamus coughlin
He's been working hard, and they were trying to smear him.
tim pool
And also, Elon Musk.
Elon Musk's purchase of X was probably one of the most, one of the riskiest and boldest moves we've seen.
I always complain.
Where are the rich people?
And there's a lot working behind the scenes we know, but where are the wealthy individuals who talk about this stuff to actually spend their money?
Elon Musk put everything up.
Bought Twitter, turned it into X, and gave speech back to a lot of people.
It's not perfect.
Some people, not restored, but he did a great job, and I believe that had a profound impact.
phil labonte
There's one thing that I want to say about that.
People love to get upset about...
Elon Musk, any moderation at all on the platform.
The point of X isn't just so you can be as vulgar as you want.
And I understand there are people that are going to say, oh, if I can't swear and say whatever vulgarity and be however rude I want, then it's not truly free speech.
And I guess by the letter that is true.
But the point isn't so you can swear like a teenager.
The point is exchanging ideas.
And if you're respectful...
You can talk about really controversial and un...
Like, really controversial ideas that people are really uncomfortable talking about, but you have to do it in a delicate way.
So it's not about being able to swear and say things in a dirty way or insult people just the way you want.
The point of it is to be able to exchange ideas and talk about really controversial things without being kicked off.
tim pool
The New York Times is now giving a 95% chance to Donald Trump to win.
And we are ready to go for the Lotus Eaters.
phil labonte
Let's go!
unidentified
Alrighty.
tim pool
What do we got?
I see Carl Benjamin.
I can't hear him.
I cannot hear old Carl Benjamin.
phil labonte
It's because you don't have a license to hear him.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
tim pool
And you can see our display is screwed up on our end again.
I see him trying to talk to us.
carl benjamin
Can you hear me?
tim pool
We're not seeing you properly though.
Oh my god, what's wrong?
Oh, it's on our end.
The display's not popping up properly.
phil labonte
It's good to hear your voice, Carl.
tim pool
We can hear you, Carl.
Are you excited?
Are you watching the results and partying like we are?
carl benjamin
I, of course, am.
I was very nervous early on in the night, and I have seen that there are suspicious-looking trucks rolling up to certain areas of the country, which feels much like a kind of bad rerun of 2020.
But honestly, it looks like it's basically not going to be enough.
phil labonte
Carl, I think you were right.
He had to come back, and he had to win, and I think you were right, man.
I hate to get too excited, but you were friggin' right.
seamus coughlin
But to be clear, this is the last time we're going to take a British person's advice on who should be running the country.
That's all I'm saying.
carl benjamin
Listen, man.
Just saying, we know what's good for you.
unidentified
That's all.
tim pool
Well, we're sitting here waiting at any moment Donald Trump is going to speak and we believe it's going to be a victory speech.
So we may just have to have you hanging out with us.
unidentified
There you are.
tim pool
We got you.
seamus coughlin
Can I ask him something about the British condition?
What I'm curious about, the people around you in the UK, how do they feel about this election?
How do they feel about Trump?
How do they feel about the brat who fell from the coconut tree?
Where's sentiment at across the pond?
carl benjamin
I mean, people don't like Kamala, but they don't like Trump either.
We don't really spend that much time thinking about it.
It's more the political class that thinks about it, and the political class in Britain are almost entirely behind Kamala Harris.
Nigel Farage and the Reform Party, the only major party that are pro-Trump, basically.
Which is kind of disgraceful when you realise that the Conservative Party and almost everyone in it is basically pro-Kamala.
And it's like, okay, that's gross.
It's meant to be our right-wing party, so what's happening here?
But frankly, they're just going to be...
I mean, British Breakfast TV is starting now, and they look miserable.
unidentified
LAUGHTER Beautiful!
carl benjamin
And so it's across the aisle, you know, they can hug each other in Parliament later on today, weep into one another's shoulders, and Donald Trump will be on the phone, hopefully.
We'll have to give him a piece of his mind.
tim pool
Do you think this has any implications or indications for you guys over in the UK? No, not really.
carl benjamin
Unfortunately, British politics is very stagnant, and we've got another five years of the Labour government, which means nothing interesting is going to happen here for quite some time.
But it is nice to see that at least you guys have something good going on.
Like, there's a ray of hope and sunshine on the horizon.
For us, it's going to be a thousand years of darkness, but at least for you, it might be quite decent.
seamus coughlin
Well, it's the UK. It's going to be dark.
But I get what you're saying.
I mean, we're excited, but we don't want to be too optimistic.
And we're trying not to go to sleep because when you close your eyes, that's when the mail-in ballot fairies come.
Oh, yeah.
Well, it's already happening.
carl benjamin
I've been retweeting some of it.
It's already happening.
But I think it's too late.
tim pool
Yeah, I don't know if that's going to matter.
I mean, right now we've got 93% reporting in Pennsylvania, and Trump is up by about, it looks like 230,000 votes.
seamus coughlin
I think he's broadened his gaps.
tim pool
His lead is increasing in PA. If he takes PA, that's it.
He wins.
And Nevada is 68% in.
It's leaning Donald Trump.
Nevada doesn't really matter at this point.
If Arizona goes Trump, which we believe it will, and Trump wins PA, it's done.
But actually, I don't believe he even needs those.
carl benjamin
It looks like Wisconsin's going to be enough.
So he's got Pennsylvania, he's got Wisconsin, that's it.
tim pool
So the New York Times has emit greater than a 95% chance of victory with an estimated 306 electoral votes and a 1.2 popular vote lead, which is the mandates.
That means we have told the woke, the left, the insanity, enough.
elad eliahu
Wow.
There was a time where Kamala Harris needed to win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, and it looks like there will be a huge repudiation of that, and Donald Trump will win all three of the Rust Belt states.
phil labonte
Carl, why don't you give a quick outline about the story that I mentioned earlier, how you had talked about how Donald Trump had to come back and win.
Give our listeners, our viewers, a quick outline of that.
carl benjamin
Sure.
Basically, the current American cycle has taken on the aspect of essentially kind of a movie trilogy, a sort of three-act movie trilogy.
So you get the initial success of the heroes in the first film.
In the second film, you get the return of the Empire, as in the two towers in Lord of the Rings, or the Empire Strikes Back in the Star Wars trilogy.
And then, of course, you get the final payoff in the third Movie, where the heroes realize, no, this is what we have to do to win.
The team comes together, and of course, darkness is vanquished forever, which means the Democrats.
Hopefully they'll be vanquished forever.
But these stories, they resonate for a reason, right?
There's a reason that all major film trilogies have this kind of three-act structure to them.
And you even see this reflected in the films themselves, this basic three-act structure.
It's because the general sort of pattern of how humans understand the world around them is always built into narratives.
And there's a moral payoff at the end of these narratives.
And we're actually seeing that play out in real time in front of us, in real life, politically.
Uh, so it's, it was, it was very clear to me a couple of years ago that it's, oh no, no, wait a minute, you know, cause like when Ron DeSantis was running, I love Ron DeSantis, but it's like, no bro, it's not your time.
It's Trump's story.
We're a part of it.
We've all got a place and you're not the guy yet.
It could be you later, but it's not you now.
phil labonte
I think that was the first time I heard you mention it was talking about Ron DeSantis.
You were like, I like DeSantis, but not now.
It has to be Trump.
Trump has to come back.
He has to come back and win to finish the story.
So, sorry for cutting out.
carl benjamin
Exactly.
And it has to be Trump to shove it in the faces of the Democrats, those people.
I don't know where you're streaming, so I'm not going to give my opinion on what happened in 2020.
But it has to be Trump to come back and destroy them.
It has to be him, because he's the one that they particularly hate and screw over.
Now, it has to be him, and it has to be them learning a lesson from this.
They're not going to learn a lesson, but it has to be him destroying them for it to be essentially the correct moral payoff to the tale.
And we seem to be getting the good ending.
seamus coughlin
I sure hope so.
tim pool
It's because we live in a simulation that it's a trilogy.
seamus coughlin
Well, I will say, you know, there is still a 5% chance that we lose this thing and Trump doesn't win.
Less than 5%.
But I will say, Carl, I appreciate you broadening my horizons here because you mentioned that there are people on British television who are going to be crying over Trump winning.
I thought I was only going to get to watch American liberals cry.
But there's a whole other category of liberal I get to see suffer.
carl benjamin
There's a Conservative Party member and former politician called Rory Stewart, who runs a very popular podcast in Britain called The Rest is Politics, very pretentiously named.
And he tweeted, I think it was yesterday, oh, Kamala's going to comfortably win because of these factors.
And he was wrong on all of these points.
And people were pointing out, Rory, you don't know anything about American politics, do you?
And of course, come this evening, he's been doing a live stream with his fellow left winger, Alistair Campbell.
And they had this particular point that people clipped and cut out because it was so good.
He was like, well, if Kamala Harris was winning, we'd be correct.
And then he just starts giving his why Kamala Harris won spiel.
And it's like, Rory, are you delusional?
Like, Saying, well, if things worked out as I said they would, I'd be correct.
Yeah, no kidding.
But they didn't.
And you've done no introspection, no self-reflection, and you are not the political authority on America that you thought you were.
tim pool
The New York Times saying Trump will very likely be the next president, and they are projecting he will be the first Republican in decades to win the popular vote.
seamus coughlin
I just want to point out that it appears to be the case that just like Kamala Harris' husband, Trump only beats women.
carl benjamin
He saved America from a woman president twice now.
I think the guy needs to be added to Mount Rushmore or something.
But, you know, what's interesting is that what this is showing is like legitimacy lies with Trump.
There's the sort of, you know, the ancient Chinese concept of the mandate of heaven, where it's like, look, it's just chosen by the heavens.
You don't really get to say, you know, you don't get to capture it.
It's either with you or it's not with you.
And the popular vote is a good way of revealing who has this mandate.
Even if, like, technically, oh yeah, on various technicalities in the system, I managed to get enough electoral electors in the states and whatnot.
Yeah, okay, fine.
But it doesn't have that kind of oomph behind it, where, no, most people wanted this.
You know, and we have this at the moment, where, like, the Labour Party is in power with a large majority on 20% of the vote.
80% of the people did not vote for this.
They are not legitimate.
They do not have the mandate of heaven.
Whereas Trump getting the popular vote here and, of course, winning, he will have the mandate of heaven.
So basically, whatever he does now will be legitimate.
And everyone will be like, yeah, okay, fair enough.
This is what we voted for.
tim pool
The coping is just copious.
I got one tweet.
They said, at this point, it's abundantly clear that it was never really but her emails.
It was but their females.
unidentified
Ha ha ha ha!
seamus coughlin
How do you feel about that as a female voter?
debra lea
I'm glad that she's not winning, honestly.
I think we can have a woman president.
I think that would be great for our country at some point.
I would be in full support.
I don't want to get too much hate here, but I love Nikki Haley.
I don't think it was her time now.
I'm a Trump fan over Nikki Haley fan.
seamus coughlin
You two should talk.
debra lea
But I do love Nikki Haley.
And I think that an American president or a female president for America could be great.
But the thing is...
If Kamala Harris were to win, she would make sure that no other woman was ever elected president in the history of the United States of America.
She would ruin it for all of us.
I would maybe want to be a president one day.
unidentified
We'll see.
debra lea
I'm only 24.
I got some time.
But I'm glad that she's not the first.
Same with Hillary.
Why do we have to throw the worst women up there?
Women can be so incredible and so smart and accomplish such amazing things for this country.
And to throw the worst two representatives of women and American women is just embarrassing.
Like, We're so much better than that.
elad eliahu
I think the compelling thing here is that we were told constantly that, oh, it's not going to be called on election night.
It's going to be a close election.
You might have to wait a few days, maybe even a week to get the results.
No, it came in tonight and actually relatively early for an election night.
This is a mandate, as Carl was saying earlier.
And I guess all I have to say is cheers to MAGA and hopefully we can make America great again.
unidentified
Cheers.
elad eliahu
Thank you, Donald Trump.
seamus coughlin
You're calling it...
Elad calls the election.
elad eliahu
Forget New York Times.
We're calling it here at TimCast first.
unidentified
No, no.
elad eliahu
No, we're not.
unidentified
We're not.
elad eliahu
We rescind that, actually.
tim pool
We're not calling it first.
seamus coughlin
I'm like one of the battles show up.
phil labonte
So I do think that...
It is good that Kamala Harris is not going to be the first woman president because I do think that legitimacy matters, like Carl was saying.
Our first woman president has to be someone that the people pick that wins the nomination and beats the other opponents that are running and wins the presidency.
debra lea
And is qualified.
At a bare minimum.
That's the one thing Kamala Harris has just never lived up to.
She's never been qualified.
phil labonte
Clearly, but you...
carl benjamin
Can I interject here?
Please, please.
debra lea
I forgot you were still there.
carl benjamin
I think you guys are approaching this in the wrong way.
So, the remarkable thing about Margaret Thatcher was not the fact that she was a woman, right?
The remarkable thing about Margaret Thatcher is that she was good.
She was a very effective politician.
She was a very strong capitalist during the Cold War and made a great ally to Reagan, right?
It was through Reagan and Thatcher that the Cold War was won.
elad eliahu
And the fact that she's a woman More Reagan, but I understand why you want to say some Thatcher, but sure.
carl benjamin
I wouldn't worry about that.
I would worry about just finding someone who's really good for the moment.
And if they happen to be a woman, then great.
If not, then okay.
But trying to fulfill an arbitrary category, well, you'll end up getting someone like a Kamala Harris because the category becomes more important than their techniques.
Exactly.
Yeah, that's honestly, I really believe it.
I really believe it.
debra lea
Yeah, I don't think we should have a woman president just for the sake of having a woman president.
I think that whoever the best candidate is to run this country and to lead us should win.
And if that happens to be a woman, I think that would be fantastic.
I think women are more than capable, but definitely not the Democratic women.
carl benjamin
Yeah, just another Democrat.
seamus coughlin
Just another Democrat, that's fine.
carl benjamin
That's all you need to say.
seamus coughlin
This is also something I've pointed out in the past.
People make it sound as if, oh, it's just a bunch of evil, sexist men who would never vote for a woman.
Look, the reality is, presently, the kind of woman involved in politics is not the kind of woman who appeals to other women most of the time.
It's like a very specific kind of personality trait that usually rubs other women the wrong way.
So it's kind of a catch-22 for people who are trying to push for that.
elad eliahu
I don't want to get...
carl benjamin
It's also quite a rare personality trait as well.
Margaret Thatcher won three elections in a row, right?
So that's a hell of an achievement.
I'm not even sure if there is another British politician in the 20th century who ever did this.
But again, it wasn't because she was like, oh, I'm a woman.
She literally repudiated all of feminism.
She was completely against it.
Her quote is, I owe nothing to women's lib.
Right?
Nothing.
Because it was about the fact that she had that kind of personality and she was that person at the right time.
So, basically, you've got to wait for that kind of rare character to come along.
debra lea
Shout out Golda Meir.
elad eliahu
Yes, sir.
One thing that we weren't talking about, because we're so focused on the presidential election, but again, these down-ballot races and how that impacts this, because Trump is winning by such an impressive margin so far right now, we saw him flip the Senate seat in Ohio.
I think it's likely that the Republicans will expand their lead in the House, so Trump will not have to deal with Congress constantly trying to stymie him with the Democrats.
So hopefully he increased that lead and maybe up to 52 or 53 senators.
So we'll see.
debra lea
Did they get the House?
elad eliahu
I think the House has already been read, but I think they're holding it or increasing some of their...
phil labonte
If it does flip to Democrats, then there will be impeachments.
unidentified
100%.
phil labonte
There will be attempts at impeachment.
elad eliahu
That will go nowhere like the last two or three.
phil labonte
Fair enough.
And also, I think that it would do significant damage to the Democrats.
I think that it would be far more discrediting than any of the past shenanigans because of the fact that there's a clear mandate.
The American people want him.
He won the Electoral College.
He won the popular vote.
And if they're trying to impeach him, it looks purely political.
So I think that that could actually hurt the Democrats in the long run.
seamus coughlin
I'm going to add something else.
I think we're almost looking at this in the wrong way, and this might sound grim, but it's an important thing for us to pay attention to.
We need to pray for Donald Trump's physical safety, because lawfare didn't work.
Trying to impeach him didn't work.
Trying to bankrupt him didn't work.
Smearing him in the media didn't work.
So they've started to attempt assassination And we should not expect that to stop.
We need to pray for him.
And he needs to have more stringent security protocols surrounding him in his presence than any other president in American history.
tim pool
So I just want to give the quick update.
Still, New York Times has greater than 95% chance to win.
With 87% reporting in Wisconsin, Trump is up 225,000.
In Michigan, with 66% reporting, Trump is up 240,000.
And in PA, with 93% reporting, Trump is up 224,000.
With some saying there aren't enough votes left in PA. If Trump takes PA with the other projected wins, it's over.
seamus coughlin
It's over.
ben shapiro
That's it.
debra lea
We did it, boys.
elad eliahu
We did it!
debra lea
Can we celebrate for half a second?
We'll just enjoy a moment.
tim pool
I need to stress right now, while many people are saying yes, but they're going to bring in votes at 3 in the morning, it won't matter if Wisconsin and PA shift.
There's a lot of people saying there's no way they're going to be able to...
Nevada is...
Trump is up 4 points in Nevada at 68%.
Nevada and Arizona, you've got 17 electoral votes right there.
10 in Wisconsin, 15 in Michigan, 19 in PA. It's seeming very, very unlikely anything they do is going to turn this around.
It's not guaranteed yet, otherwise the New York Times would have called it.
But we'll put it at that, and it's looking very, very good.
carl benjamin
Also, just a quick thing on that.
If you remember from 2020, because I was watching live, the ballot dumps were about 130,000.
Trump's up by more than that in several of these states.
So it really is going to be too big to rig.
tim pool
Decision Desk has Trump with 251 electoral votes sealed.
If the 19 votes come in, in PA, and right now they're reporting, Decision Desk has 220,000 up, it's done.
The moment they call PA, this thing is over.
seamus coughlin
And we celebrate.
elad eliahu
It seems unreal, frankly.
After all Trump's been through, after the multiple assassination attempts, after all of the legal warfare against him, for him to reach this moment, after being a threat to democracy, after all the media, all of the spin for things to come to fruition like this, it seems...
Unreal, frankly.
seamus coughlin
Well, hold on.
It hasn't quite come to fruition.
On Inauguration Day, it comes to fruition.
No, I'm not even talking about winning tonight.
I'm saying if he wins, who knows what kind of shenanigans they're going to try to win.
Like I said, Rachel Maddow is going to be storming the Capitol shouting, stop the steal.
tim pool
How amazing will it be if we get to go to bed by 2 a.m.?
seamus coughlin
Oh, my God.
elad eliahu
I'm not going to go to bed by 2am.
If he wins, we're...
debra lea
Yeah, if he wins, we're on Broadway or something.
seamus coughlin
Tim was like, I can't wait for the greatest political victory in history so I can go to bed.
tim pool
I have work in the morning.
elad eliahu
I know, me too.
unidentified
Let's just party through the night.
debra lea
Can you come and speak already?
I'm getting antsy.
I just want him to come out.
tim pool
Here's the secret, guys.
If you stay awake until the sun comes up, your tiredness goes away.
seamus coughlin
100%.
tim pool
And you're totally fine.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, you're totally fine.
tim pool
Your brain doesn't work properly for a little bit, but whatever.
unidentified
The hallucinations kick in a little bit.
tim pool
Yeah, but you know what?
Look, we've all pulled all-nighters before.
It can get through it, no problem.
debra lea
Historians will write about these times.
We don't need to remember them too well.
seamus coughlin
What if at the end of the night...
tim pool
Carl, did you get sleep?
unidentified
Yeah.
carl benjamin
I had a nap this afternoon, which is really rare because I've got four kids, and I don't usually get to do that.
So all of the kids are out of the house.
So I'm actually doing pretty well, to be honest.
seamus coughlin
Good for you, man.
tim pool
NBC reporting that the atmosphere at a Democrat donor event was like a funeral.
carl benjamin
Yeah, apparently people have been leaving Kamala's watch party in droves.
seamus coughlin
I can't believe that.
carl benjamin
It'd take a half stone not to laugh, really, wouldn't it?
seamus coughlin
And the worst part about the funeral is the dead person voted for Kamala after they died.
elad eliahu
And it's still not enough.
seamus coughlin
Too big to rig!
It might be too big to rig here.
carl benjamin
Sorry, just a quick thing.
I understand that Nevada is usually very Democrat, and currently it's like 75% in, and Trump's got a lead.
Are we expecting that to change?
tim pool
I don't actually think it matters.
Nevada is only six.
carl benjamin
No, it doesn't.
I think he's got it either way, but I want to know the magnitude of the victory.
tim pool
I mean, yeah.
If Trump wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada, I mean, that's landslide-ish.
That's massive.
And with the popular vote, the New York Times is now estimating a 1.3% popular vote margin.
This is big.
seamus coughlin
This is really big.
For a Democrat to lose the popular vote is insane.
elad eliahu
Guys, if you're Joe Biden right now, how are you feeling?
unidentified
First of all, if I'm Joe Biden, I'm asleep right now.
tim pool
This is the official reporting is that he is asleep.
I shouldn't say official reporting.
This is the rumors from the press that he is asleep.
seamus coughlin
Wouldn't it be hilarious if he comes out on stage with Trump?
unidentified
He's like, come on, guys.
carl benjamin
He did get the magnet out.
I mean, this is a question we've been debating all night.
It's like, did Joe realize that he actually...
unidentified
Oh, my gosh.
tim pool
I think Trump is...
Sorry, Carl.
I think Trump is speaking.
carl benjamin
Oh, yeah.
unidentified
Here we go.
debra lea
This is life-changing moments right now.
This is history.
phil labonte
It would be hilarious if Biden came out.
It's a mini Trump rally.
Hi, Kamala!
siaka massaquoi
I bet you're gonna know, Jack.
debra lea
Do you do this one time or something?
seamus coughlin
Sort of, yeah, yeah.
tim pool
Cartoonist.
Elad, what don't you understand?
unidentified
It's one arm in, arm out.
seamus coughlin
He does different dances.
He does do this, too.
phil labonte
I can't believe this.
debra lea
You need the rhythm.
unidentified
267?
seamus coughlin
267?
elad eliahu
What was called?
unidentified
267.
tim pool
Oh, they're playing Fox News.
carl benjamin
I hate to do this, guys.
I'm going to have to duck out.
phil labonte
Carl, thanks for talking to you, man.
carl benjamin
I'll see you very soon.
tim pool
Absolutely, thank you.
phil labonte
Take care, bud.
tim pool
Anytime, buddy.
carl benjamin
Take care, guys.
unidentified
All right, let's pull up Trump speaking.
tim pool
So it looks like they announced Donald Trump will be speaking.
Everybody's screaming and cheering and waving their phones.
And they started playing Fox News.
unidentified
Right.
tim pool
PA's been called?
phil labonte
That's what I'm looking at.
Someone said...
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh.
Is it really?
phil labonte
Fox just called Pennsylvania.
unidentified
Fox has called Pennsylvania.
That's it!
Yes!
That's it!
Decision Desk has passed Pennsylvania for Trump.
270 electoral votes Trump is the 47th President of the United States!
We're back, people!
We are so back!
seamus coughlin
We are so back!
It is unbelievable!
Kamala Harris, the joys have gone.
It's been redistributed!
unidentified
It's all set!
You're fired!
Mega!
Wow.
seamus coughlin
266. Oh, my gosh.
phil labonte
Decision Desk has 65, currently 65,310,486 votes.
unidentified
Wow, they just got the news behind us.
Wow.
At the Daily Wire watch party behind us.
Wow, Ian's dancing and having a great time.
elad eliahu
Wow, the vibes are immaculate.
unidentified
You just have to wonder how it's going at the Kamala watch party.
Like a funeral.
Like a funeral.
seamus coughlin
I can't stop laughing.
This is how Kamala feels all the time.
unidentified
Ladies and gentlemen, look at that check mark next to Trump's name.
Whoa.
tim pool
This is good news.
We don't got to move to El Salvador.
seamus coughlin
The lawfare didn't work.
The assassination attempts didn't work.
The impeachment proceedings didn't work.
unidentified
The decent coups didn't work.
They're terrified.
tim pool
It's currently 1.23.
I've got to wake up in six hours.
I'm going to chug a bottle of cold brew concentrate.
elad eliahu
I am Serge.
Cheers, MAGA.
Cheers, everybody, all of our production people.
Our entire team at Tim Keth.
Tim, thank you for doing this.
seamus coughlin
I say this.
elad eliahu
Seamus, you're the best.
The Daily Wire is awesome.
unidentified
Wow.
phil labonte
Mad God.
elad eliahu
Thank you, Donald Trump.
seamus coughlin
This is not an exclamation.
This is not taking his name in vain, genuinely.
Thank you, God.
Thank you, God, that that woman did not win the election.
unidentified
America.
Thank you, God.
phil labonte
America won the election.
debra lea
I'm proud to be an American every day.
tim pool
I want to read a tweet from Hassan Piker.
Fox News called PA for Trump.
It's over.
elad eliahu
It's over.
It's over for Democrats.
unidentified
Yes!
seamus coughlin
It's over!
unidentified
Guys, I want money!
I got money!
elad eliahu
Another one!
unidentified
Hey guys, it's not over.
We're just getting started.
seamus coughlin
We are just getting started.
debra lea
Our country is back.
It's ours.
Today Americans showed up and showed out.
Hello, am I vindicated or what?
phil labonte
Yes, you're vindicated.
Now we can celebrate.
seamus coughlin
I just want to say, the other day I posted on both Twitter and my YouTube community page 99% polymarket Trump wins.
tim pool
Harris with less than 1%.
They're waiting on AP Fox and NBC to formalize the win for everybody who made a bet on Trump.
seamus coughlin
I just want to say, I said this to my followers the other day on Twitter and on YouTube.
A lot of people were saying, young men aren't coming out to vote.
Men aren't coming out to vote, and if men don't vote, it's going to cost us the election.
And I said, I know my followers, and I know there are patriots and alpha males, and they will get out and vote for Donald Trump.
unidentified
I got two words.
Two words for you.
seamus coughlin
You didn't let me down.
I love you.
ian crossland
Two words I got for you, Seamus.
Graphene, hydrogen.
unidentified
What is that mean?
debra lea
This is early, guys.
It's literally 1226.
unidentified
This is so early.
debra lea
There's confetti everywhere behind us.
I feel like I'm being pranked right now, guys.
Are the clocks going to turn back?
The numbers are going to reset?
elad eliahu
Well, guys, guess what?
It's not only four more years of MAGA because he's never going to leave.
unidentified
Alaska comes in.
seamus coughlin
All of the worst people in the world are miserable that they don't get to do the horrible things to your family that they want you to do.
unidentified
Yes!
Wait a minute, wait a minute.
lisa reynolds
This is for my brother, David Reynolds.
We did it, we made it.
Let's be what God called us to be.
Merciful, gracious, good servants of God.
unidentified
No!
There is a time for celebration and this is it.
seamus coughlin
You are not a bad servant of God to celebrate.
tim pool
I just want to say...
Guys, I'm letting Harry Sisson know he's on the wrong side of history.
unidentified
Guys, they're crying.
debra lea
Who do you think's crying harder?
All her white men or her...
tim pool
We are still waiting for Trump to make a statement, but Decision Desk, it's there.
PA has been called.
There's not enough votes left.
Even if they bring them in at the last minute, it doesn't matter.
elad eliahu
It's not going to end at 270.
debra lea
The coconut did not win this time.
elad eliahu
Michigan is coming too.
Wisconsin and Michigan are all the way.
phil labonte
There needs to be more.
unidentified
All of them.
phil labonte
All of them.
tim pool
This is it right here.
The New York Times, so Decision Desk has already called it, but the New York Times says there's a greater than 95% chance Trump has won Pennsylvania.
That alone gives Trump 270.
It's done.
But Arizona's at 85% Republican.
Wisconsin's 82% Republican.
Nevada, 77.
Michigan, 71.
Trump likely will win substantially more the popular vote and 306 projected Electoral College votes.
seamus coughlin
The people who were cheering for his assassination lost the election.
He was standing in between them and your family.
He's not a perfect man.
He won't be a perfect president.
But all the people who are losing their minds over the fact that he won are the people who want children to be mutilated with sex changes.
They're the people who want abortion to be legal at nine months.
They're people who want to strip your family of all of the wealth that you've earned and want to pass onto your descendants.
tim pool
They're on the wrong side of history.
seamus coughlin
They're on the wrong side of history.
And even worse, they are on the wrong side of eternity.
phil labonte
They were the people that were literally campaigning on vice.
They were campaigning on lie to your wife, lie to your husband.
They were campaigning on sit around and jerk off to pornography all day.
They were campaigning on do drugs.
They were campaigning on literally everything that will destroy your life and make you miserable if you do it into excess.
And they were campaigning on that.
tim pool
So we still don't have the results for the Senate race.
David McCormick is up what looks like almost two points with 116,000 votes.
phil labonte
Yes.
tim pool
And we're looking at, with 89% in Wisconsin, Eric Hovde is up a lot.
It's 1.45 to 1.39 million.
In Michigan, Mike Rogers is beating Slotkin by, it looks like, about 54,000 votes with 76% in.
And in Montana, Sheehy, it's a very narrow, only 3,000 votes, 31% in.
So I don't know what's going to happen in Montana, but it looks like we may have at least 52 Republican seats in the Senate.
We're still waiting on House results.
Let's see what decision desk has for the House.
The current projection is Republicans are favored to take the House as well.
Guys.
57%.
phil labonte
Donald Trump got 38% of California.
debra lea
No, I wanted to say this.
Despite Trump winning, what I had hoped for in the beginning, in New York City, in Dallas, I don't know if we can compare it up here, they're saying that his numbers have doubled in deep blue cities year over year.
That's what I wanted to happen in New York.
You're not the only opinion.
There are Trump supporters in New York, MAGA Square Garden.
phil labonte
He got 44%.
elad eliahu
We did it!
unidentified
He got 44% of New York.
phil labonte
Guys, 44% of New York State.
So don't think you have to sit out because you're in a blue state.
38% of California.
He got 42% in Oregon.
He got 39% in Washington State.
debra lea
Wow.
phil labonte
These numbers.
He got 36% in Massachusetts.
Chusets?
elad eliahu
Ladies and gentlemen.
unidentified
Great.
Let's celebrate.
elad eliahu
Thank you so much.
phil labonte
Wow.
unidentified
Wow.
debra lea
We need a real cheers.
seamus coughlin
Do you guys know?
tim pool
Ladies and gentlemen, let's just real quick.
I think we need to at least acknowledge there is someone who is suffering tonight, and that is Grover Cleveland.
He is no longer the only non-consecutive two-term president.
Now it's Donald Trump.
seamus coughlin
I would just like to raise a toast and say this.
I like to imagine that as soon as he got the news that he won, Donald Trump called his secret ally on the phone who was helping him behind the scenes and said, We did it, Joe.
phil labonte
To liberty.
tim pool
Oh, that is good.
Ah, beautiful.
seamus coughlin
The joy has been redistributed.
debra lea
I'm heading out.
It was great to be on with you guys.
tim pool
Thanks for coming.
debra lea
I'm so proud of this country.
God bless America.
seamus coughlin
God bless America.
unidentified
We're still waiting for Trump to come out and say, I won!
tim pool
I hope he just...
seamus coughlin
I can't wait to see the grin on that man's face.
tim pool
I can't believe we got the results.
phil labonte
Great to see you.
Thank you for joining us.
elad eliahu
Can you please introduce yourself?
unidentified
Hi, I'm Megan Basham, resident church lady at The Daily Wire, and I really feel that this was clearly an act of God, so it's appropriate that you guys waited kind of until the end of the night to bring me on to talk about, I mean, is this not a miracle?
seamus coughlin
Amen.
Amen.
I'm Tim Kass, resident church man.
tim pool
Indeed.
unidentified
When it See, that's why we're here.
We're here to bring a little revival up in this room tonight.
seamus coughlin
Well, you know, it's really a beautiful thing.
I'm very, very glad that he won.
I'm excited.
Again, he's not a perfect candidate, but when you look at the things that Kamala Harris and her administration wanted to do, it was the most antithetically oppositional platform to Christian values.
elad eliahu
I'm not a deeply religious person, but it feels like there were so many miracles during this campaign.
The assassination attempt, him getting struck through the earlobe thanks to him moving his head.
I'm in shock.
unidentified
That was the big one, but you also even look at some of these smaller moments.
They tried to put the man in jail.
You have that mugshot go viral.
You know they didn't plan for it to go down that way.
You look at little things like the McDonald's moment.
Every single thing the man did was sort of untouchable and iconic.
Even on the other side.
If you're on the other side, you're like, man, that photo, after getting shot, everybody was like, shoot.
That looks pretty sweet.
That was pretty cool.
Even Trump couldn't stop that.
He tried to step on that moment, and he couldn't.
tim pool
Yet, 270 to win, it's called for Trump.
Decision Desk has it.
The New York Times has still not called it.
unidentified
No.
tim pool
But their needle basically says it's done.
phil labonte
They're just pouting.
elad eliahu
I don't think any of these swing states have never been red.
I mean blue.
They were never hinting.
It feels like there was never a lean blue on the New York Times.
tim pool
We got more coming in from Pennsylvania just now.
It just ticked up to 94%.
Trump's lead has gone down a little bit.
He's about just shy of 200,000 votes.
But again, I guess it's just too narrow at this point.
There's not enough votes, so...
unidentified
Fox has called it as well.
tim pool
Yeah, Fox called it.
Trump has one.
phil labonte
There's no way that...
I'm confident now that there's no way that he can...
unidentified
I'm good, dude.
I'm good.
It's a big day.
tim pool
Indeed.
Introduce yourself.
You didn't introduce yourself.
unidentified
I thought you introduced me.
I thought I'd come on, but I'm John Chris.
tim pool
It's so late.
unidentified
I just stopped by.
I live like two blocks from here.
phil labonte
You're welcome to hang out with us.
unidentified
Oh, yeah, dude.
Fire it up.
What are we looking at?
tim pool
We're looking...
We're waiting for Trump to come out and speak.
unidentified
We want...
Oh, man.
tim pool
So this is just it.
I want him to come out.
unidentified
And nobody expected this tonight.
tim pool
Oh, man.
seamus coughlin
No, no.
tim pool
I thought it was going to take weeks.
Let me tell you guys the truth.
I was talking with the Daily Wire people like, guys, if we're stuck here until Saturday, what do we do?
I mean, if the results aren't ending, they're like, don't worry.
chris wallace
We'll stay.
tim pool
We'll make sure the show can keep...
I was like, thank you so much.
No joke, no joke.
We thought the likelihood of being live for a second day was 90-something percent.
unidentified
No, I was brought out until Saturday, so I work remote from Charlotte, and they said, listen, we need you to come in and plan to be here until Saturday.
tim pool
But Trump, it looks like he won the popular vote.
ian crossland
Oh, that's so beautiful!
unidentified
What's going to be interesting, the mandate.
So not only did he win, but this is sort of an overwhelming mandate.
seamus coughlin
Amen.
elad eliahu
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
seamus coughlin
Landslide.
tim pool
Look, I keep seeing all of these leftist pundits throughout the past week putting up these electoral maps, showing Harris winning these blowout victories, and I'm thinking to myself...
I don't know.
Look, I understand shadow campaign, all of that weird stuff.
But if you're just looking at the polls alone, it's at least 50-50.
I'm sitting here being like, hey, people say, Tim, you think he's going to win?
I'm like, man, I really don't know.
And these liberals are like, nah, we got it.
You got Kyle Kalinske right now saying his worst case scenario for Harris was 276 and he was wrong.
Well, yeah, you were wrong.
michael j knowles
Way wrong.
tim pool
I mean, people ask me.
We went to go eat at a restaurant.
Some guy recognized me.
He said, Tim, who's going to win?
I said, dude, I have no idea.
seamus coughlin
That's a lot of pressure.
unidentified
They always think you have secret information.
No, no.
seamus coughlin
Well, the reality is, I mean, this is not an original talking point.
This is something Republicans have been saying for years.
But these polls basically exist to demoralize Republican voters.
The media always makes it look like the left-wing candidate is going to win every single race.
And the reason they can retain any kind of credibility is because, you know, around half the time they're right.
But generally what they do is they oversample or exaggerate the support that the Democratic candidate has.
And so...
That turned out to be the case here.
People were wondering, is this going to be a Trump blowout, or did they correct the polls?
Those were the only two options.
It looks like they did not correct the polls.
tim pool
I still think shenanigans are possible, so I am so nervous.
But at this point, with so many different outlets, and it's a handful, calling it for Donald Trump, if we wake up tomorrow and they say we are reversing these calls, no way that flies.
seamus coughlin
Here's the thing.
Here's the rule.
We have to accept the results of the first election that happens that night.
Okay?
We're not doing more elections.
We're not calling for somebody else later.
elad eliahu
Is Minnesota still in play?
Isn't that Tim Waltz's state?
Is it going to be such that the VP candidate doesn't win his own state?
phil labonte
It could be.
elad eliahu
A trouncing.
phil labonte
Kamala Harris is up.
And it's likely Democrat.
Wow.
unidentified
I mean, we're even talking about Minnesota.
tim pool
I just want to hold this up.
It's the decision desk.
We are declaring Donald Trump as the winner of Pennsylvania decision desk.
elad eliahu
Wow.
tim pool
This is the tweet where they said he's won Pennsylvania.
It's over.
phil labonte
Dave Smith just tweeted, is democracy over yet?
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
tim pool
Hey, look, man.
As I said, when Ron Paul tweets at Elon Musk, I want to work with you on government efficiency, I'm like, okay, like, half the Republican Party just voted Trump.
unidentified
Right, right.
phil labonte
We'll take it.
unidentified
And that's kind of when I knew, even early on, like, you know, you get these push-pulls, they do kind of demoralize you, but when there were all of these stories about Mark Zuckerberg Bezos!
phil labonte
Michael Malice thinks that Kamala Harris is not...
He goes, Kamala Harris had a concession speech ready, unlike Hillary in 2016.
She's not giving a speech because she's fucking drunk.
Or nursing a black guy from Doug.
Or both.
Michael Malice is the best at Twitter.
seamus coughlin
He's brutal, man.
I mean, look...
The establishment press and Democrats have been making noises like they think she's going to lose for weeks now.
You could tell that they at the very least really believe that they didn't have a great chance of winning even if they thought there was some possibility.
You even have people like Chris Cuomo saying, you know, I think we need to turn down this rhetoric against Trump.
But, you know, at some point you go, these people are all angling for something.
elad eliahu
There's also John Fetterman who was saying, in my state, there is so much support among the general population.
And it's something really, it feels like the Democrats and many in the media were just denying, as though nobody really supports Trump.
And clearly, at least more than half of the country does by at least the popular vote.
tim pool
So right now, we got the presidency and the Senate.
We need the House.
phil labonte
We need the House.
We do.
tim pool
This will...
If the Republicans take everything, with Trump's pressure on members of Congress, with the shift in Congress with more populist members, I believe we will get more done than we have seen in our lifetimes.
unidentified
Even just to think about the Senate, though, at this point, all of his appointees are going through.
I mean, that changes things so significantly.
elad eliahu
It's a two-seat majority situation.
So far, still very thin, but yes, and good.
Something to consider.
Two-seat majority, all it takes is two.
unidentified
I mean, and I won't put it past it, you know.
elad eliahu
We should still be very happy tonight.
unidentified
Our team is always very bad at cohesion that way.
There was just too many, I feel like for a regular person, there was too many Kamala Harris things to overlook.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
unidentified
You're like, gosh, I gotta overlook it.
Just so many, like, missteps.
phil labonte
Is it your sense that it was Kamala Harris things, or do you think that it was Democrat Party and policy things?
tim pool
I think all of it.
unidentified
I mean, the combination of, like, I feel like with the way of Trump was so, like, I feel like people were, like, give us any reason to vote for Kamala Harris and we will.
And there was, she constantly, like, didn't.
Anybody that was like, Trump is too much, or Trump's racist, all those people were like, please just tell us some policy, and for however long she's been kind of the candidate, it was tough.
tim pool
I want to find the official post on the New York Times, but Ryan James Gerduski tweeted in the New York Times has projected Trump will win the popular vote.
That is wild.
It looks like it's not just a projection.
It's not just a probability.
I think they're not estimating.
I think they're actually projecting he has won the popular vote.
So let me...
phil labonte
Mary Morgan just tweeted, I guess Kamala has to start an OnlyFans now.
elad eliahu
Man, if I'm a Democrat, I'm so furious that Joe Biden didn't...
Joe Biden was the one guy who beat Donald Trump, and no, we had to replace him with Kamala, and now we lose in this embarrassing fashion.
She gets absolutely trounced.
If I'm a Democrat operative, I'm furious.
If I'm a Joe Biden campaigner, I was like, my guy has beaten Trump before, and now you're here putting this loser who didn't even stand a chance.
It was called on election night.
Yeah.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, it's going to upset a lot of the donors.
elad eliahu
Poor Joe Biden.
unidentified
Joe Biden's the only guy tonight having a better night than Donald Trump.
elad eliahu
Democrats would say he was trying to undermine the Kamala campaign.
Joe Biden in red today.
Him saying Ron DeSantis is great.
The MAGA hat stunt that he did.
unidentified
He said no eating dogs and cats.
seamus coughlin
That's hysterical.
Yeah, man.
Look, if I were a Democratic donor, I would also be furious because part of the reason they selected Kamala is, and even this is legally dubious, but you can only transfer the money from one candidate to another if they're on the same ticket together.
And so these people are going, well, we cut this check for Joe Biden, who has beat Trump before.
unidentified
You gave it to the DEI hire.
seamus coughlin
It didn't work out.
phil labonte
The Hill is reporting Donald Trump wins presidency for his second term, completing improbable comeback.
So the Hill is reporting that he's won.
tim pool
Decision desk is widely used.
So when they called it, it was dominoes falling over.
We're stopping on the AP, however.
unidentified
Do y'all remember 2016 when it would just show up a new state and you were like, wow.
And then it was just all night.
tim pool
It was incredible.
phil labonte
It was an amazing day.
unidentified
The whole time I was like, I can't believe this is happening.
Starting at like 5 p.m.
It was like just these random states that didn't really matter, but they were kind of good.
And you're like, huh?
phil labonte
What?
unidentified
Wait, what?
seamus coughlin
Remember that?
No, I do remember.
It was wild.
And I didn't think it was going to stick, actually.
At the time, I was afraid.
unidentified
That's why I'm really apprehensive now a little bit.
seamus coughlin
Me too.
Well, I followed the 2012 election very closely.
And I remember Romney was way ahead all night long because usually what happens is precincts that don't have their stuff together release votes later.
They tend to vote Democrat.
Right.
So usually Democrats get their votes in later.
tim pool
Florida defeated an abortion rights amendment.
seamus coughlin
Oh, yeah, I know.
They defeated Amendment 4.
I thought you guys talked about that earlier.
Yeah, I would have brought that up earlier on the show.
So Amendment 4 got defeated.
unidentified
And weed.
seamus coughlin
And weed.
This is great.
Our country's turning the dial.
unidentified
We are so back, baby.
tim pool
We are so back.
I think, you know, the idea that you could be like Chelsea Handler and wake up late, do drugs and masturbate, and that's life.
I think largely what happens is young people hear that and it causes psychological pain.
unidentified
Yes.
tim pool
Young people are wondering why can't I have the American dream?
It's one thing when you're a multi-millionaire who's been on TVs and movie shows and you say, I can do whatever I want.
It's another thing when you are a struggling, working class person being told to sit down, shut up, do drugs and masturbate and you're like, I just want a family.
I just want a place to live.
And these people who have a choice for that are telling you, nah, you don't need it, go live this way.
And they say no.
unidentified
Yeah, the bragging about not having children.
A lot of people, regular people, I think, want to have a family.
And that they leaned into the porn pitch at the end of the campaign, and they were like, here's what we have to offer you, young men.
Not respect, not significance, not meaning, but, you know, you can watch porn and smoke weed.
It is so insanely insulting.
phil labonte
It's really problematic when one of the parties literally is...
Is doing their entire campaign on vice.
Now, I'm not a religious guy, so I don't have a spiritual objection to any of the stuff that they were talking about.
It's just not in me.
unidentified
We'll talk later.
We'll fix that.
tim pool
Guys, real quick.
It's looking really good for McCormick in Pennsylvania with 94% of votes in.
He is still up just shy of 90,000.
In Michigan with 67% reporting, Rogers is up.
Looks like 165,000 votes.
So that's very good.
In Wisconsin, with 88% reporting, Hovde is up just about 76,000 votes.
So it's looking really good for Republicans to not only...
They've already won the Senate, but we're looking at potentially...
I think 52 seems...
Likely, 53, 54, and even 55 is possible.
Yeah, Sheehy is up by four points with 31% reporting in Montana.
We could theoretically...
unidentified
I thought you were saying somebody's pronouns.
elad eliahu
This really is a mandate.
If you get to 55...
tim pool
55 Republicans exit, if that happens.
unidentified
Thank you, Megan.
tim pool
That is tremendous.
unidentified
It's very big.
tim pool
If it happens.
And right now, Decision Desk says Republicans have a 61% chance of winning the House as well.
unidentified
Wow.
phil labonte
That would be absolutely amazing.
Absolutely amazing.
seamus coughlin
What a gift from God.
unidentified
What are your thoughts then on the midterms two years ago, that that was supposed to go all red and it didn't?
What happened between then and now?
tim pool
Trump mobilizes people.
Okay.
That was 20 as well.
unidentified
Because we were like, the red wave was going to happen and it never did.
elad eliahu
He wasn't on the ballot.
tim pool
2018, Trump voters, Trump's base didn't turn out.
unidentified
They were just like, they gave up hope?
tim pool
No, no, no, I think they hate the system.
phil labonte
People don't turn out for midterms, and this is probably going to upset some of the people here, but the Roe versus Wade...
unidentified
Yep.
phil labonte
Situation was fresh in people's mind, and it was something that people were really upset about, and it motivated Democrats to get out.
Obviously, you can't do anything to motivate Republicans when they're, literally, they got what they wanted.
They got what they'd worked for years and years and years about.
unidentified
Stop it!
tim pool
Here's what I want to say.
Day one, Donald Trump inauguration.
January 20th, I want to see commutation and pardons for J6ers.
And I say commutation because I think if you smashed things and broke in and attacked people, you should have gotten charged, but 20 years is psychotic.
Time served is fine.
For the misdemeanors, for the trespassing, get out of here.
Pardons.
seamus coughlin
I will just say on the midterm thing, I think the Republicans did a very bad job of messaging on abortion and promoting their victory, but it's obviously something we've argued about a hundred times and won't agree on.
elad eliahu
It's magazine, baby.
Abortion, abortion.
phil labonte
The point is, that's why there was such a bad result for the midterm election.
I'm not trying to say whether one is right or wrong.
I'm saying this is what inspired Democrats to get out.
I hear what you're saying.
seamus coughlin
I don't disagree with that part of it.
I just think Republicans could have done a better job mobilizing pro-life voters after that.
I think Jeremy said yesterday they don't know how to motivate people in a post-row era.
tim pool
20 more House seats and the Republicans will have the majority and they are closer than Democrats.
seamus coughlin
Is he coming out?
elad eliahu
It's Trump.
People are cheering behind us in the Daily Wire after party.
unidentified
It's looking like it.
tim pool
It's looking like it, man.
unidentified
What's so weird to me is that they just thought the Democrats that the fundamentals did not apply to them.
That you can have a 70% wrong track number and still so psychologically manipulate the public, they were going to re-elect that.
tim pool
There was a great tweet.
I forgot the guy's name, so forgive me, but Seamus loved it.
He said, Democrats learn the hard way that women buy milk and eggs more than they get abortions.
unidentified
Yes.
Well, that's the same thing with going back to January 6th.
If you're like, we're going to put this guy in jail for like a year for trespassing, you'd be like, okay.
But then he's like, 20 years?
tim pool
You go, yeah, 20 years.
unidentified
All right.
Like, you went too far.
They just went too far.
tim pool
Enrique Taria was not even in D.C. He said they tweet that said don't leave, and so they lock him up for 20 years.
phil labonte
And the reason they did that was because it was intended to intimidate their political foes.
unidentified
Correct.
elad eliahu
But the issue here, too, is there's no consistency with the George Floyd riots.
They didn't send anybody to jail.
phil labonte
No, but that's part of the issue.
Guys, guys, guys, guys, guys, that doesn't matter.
The point was that it was to intimidate Republicans.
I understand what you're saying, and that's fine.
And that was the intent, was to have an unequal application of the law.
They wanted to scare Republicans.
They wanted to scare conservatives.
They want you to know that it's okay for the George Floyd rioters to do what they did, and if you try to do it, they're going to throw the book at you.
It was intentional, and that was the goal.
elad eliahu
And they scared them all the way to the ballot box, baby.
phil labonte
Well, they did.
unidentified
And a bunch of people, I'm guessing by this result.
tim pool
Wisconsin was just called for Trump?
elad eliahu
Yes!
It won't stop.
phil labonte
No, don't stop.
Keep getting points.
Keep putting points on the board.
unidentified
It looks like Fox News has called Wisconsin for Trump.
elad eliahu
Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, all of it.
phil labonte
We're talking about abortion.
elad eliahu
All of it.
No abortion anymore.
tim pool
Looks like Fox News is calling it.
I don't have a decision desk or New York Times up, but I'm seeing it on Twitter right now.
unidentified
Well, based on these results, who showed up that didn't show up last time?
phil labonte
I don't know that there are people.
We don't know.
But if you look at the numbers, Kamala Harris right now is looking at 62 million, 62 and a quarter million.
Donald Trump, 67 and a quarter million.
So it's not that there was a new, you know, people that I didn't vote last night because there were way more people that voted the previous one because of the fact that there were mail-in ballots and all of the ballot harvesting.
So this is probably indicative of more committed voters, people that actually had an idea about what they were voting for and cared about the vote more than the people that were just like...
Someone came to my house and said, fill this out, and so I did.
unidentified
He did convert some of the traditional Democratic base.
I can't remember which district, but there were certain districts in Georgia where something like 20-25% of black men voted Trump.
They saw the same thing in certain districts in Arizona where he got an astronomical number when looking at the male Latino vote.
So there was a really strong contingent of that minority male vote that turned out for him, and I think that did make a difference.
elad eliahu
And she's also such a garbage candidate.
It's like, what does she actually really believe?
tim pool
Is she for fracking?
elad eliahu
Is she against fracking?
Does she want to decriminalize border crossings or not?
Like, what do you believe?
We don't know.
tim pool
I want to pull this up.
This is Fox News' projection.
They have called Wisconsin.
Donald Trump has won.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
So they're putting Trump at 277.
phil labonte
277, and it's not done.
tim pool
And it's not done.
ian crossland
Seamus said he didn't ever want to come back, so I just felt like I'd come.
Get in here, you big galoom.
seamus coughlin
You big galoom.
unidentified
I just need Donald Trump to come out and say it.
Anything like what has detracted.
seamus coughlin
It's not official until Trump says it's official.
Standby patriots.
tim pool
The Babylon Bee tweets, America unburdens itself from what has been.
seamus coughlin
They were waiting on that.
They were holding on to that.
unidentified
I was actually talking to their managing editor.
I'm like, how many headlines did you pre-write?
He's like, we had a few in the hopper.
tim pool
Michael Knowles posted that meme from the video where he's at his Thanksgiving nodding as the Trump flag comes down.
So I'm really looking forward to the holidays this year.
unidentified
That is wild.
tim pool
Shout out to my family.
It's going to be fun this Thanksgiving.
unidentified
Which side are they on?
tim pool
Well, one side is Trump, one side is Harris.
unidentified
And you're all together?
tim pool
No one in my family is crazy enough.
To have been like, how dare you vote that?
We're ending our family.
unidentified
No.
Peaceful.
seamus coughlin
This family is dissolved.
tim pool
I can't believe that there are people like that.
That's ridiculous.
Do you see the video of the woman crying?
unidentified
She's like, I'm from Texas and my family is like, oh my god.
tim pool
It's like, jeez.
unidentified
Was her name David French?
Oh, you know what's awesome?
That was beautiful.
phil labonte
Bill Crystal is miserable.
That's the best part!
unidentified
Bill Kristol, everybody at the LinkedIn Project is really, really sad.
I know this is not that Christian of me, but I am looking forward to getting back to my hotel tonight and just sitting and scrolling through all the weeping and gnashing of TV. I don't know if Scott Pressler drinks, but I owe you a drink.
seamus coughlin
Dude, you know what we need to do?
We need to see how many votes Trump won Pennsylvania by and then measure it up against how many people Scott Pressler registered to vote.
tim pool
We have a Polaroid.
We've been taking pictures.
I just want to say Polaroids are the most fun thing ever.
They are very fun.
It's an Instax.
Is that what it's called?
Instax?
unidentified
Yeah.
phil labonte
It's a big deal.
seamus coughlin
It's a big deal, Lisa.
tim pool
As we're waiting for Chuck, I want to say this.
I won it at an arcade.
And it's one of those mini Insta cameras.
And I go to our house and Phil opens the door and I just grab a quick photo of him.
And I was like, if I was using my phone to do that, it'd be the creepiest thing ever.
Like, you answer the door and I pick up my phone and take a picture of you.
It's like, what are you doing?
But if it's a Polaroid camera, it's totally fine to jump in front of people and take pictures of their faces.
What's going on?
lisa reynolds
We're taking pictures because we're so happy.
It's so monumental.
unidentified
I know I'm trying to listen, but like the activity going on behind Tim's head.
I love you guys.
elad eliahu
It still feels unreal to me.
It still feels like a dream just because it seems like all odds against him.
seamus coughlin
I know.
elad eliahu
All assassination attempts, this, that, switch out Joe Biden, all the legal warfare, everything.
All of the states.
All of the rust belts he'll take.
All of it.
seamus coughlin
You know, there's a wise woman who once said, Joe cometh in the morning!
Do you guys have that clip, Tim?
Can you pull that up?
Kamala yelling, Joe cometh in the morning.
Joey cometh in the morning.
tim pool
It's done.
lisa reynolds
God made a decision in Butler, Pennsylvania.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
She's trying it.
Dude, it was great.
Kamala, she's trying to quote the Bible.
She's hilarious.
phil labonte
Did she concede?
unidentified
She's not going to.
seamus coughlin
They're going to ask her to concede and she's going to say she was raised in a middle class family.
elad eliahu
The libs went back into their hole, and it's four more years of magazine.
phil labonte
Someone just tweeted this.
It says, looks like Gen X delivered the White House to Trump.
People from 45 to 64 were 53% for Donald Trump.
30 to 44 were 46% for Donald Trump.
18 to 29, 42% for Donald Trump.
And then 65 or older was 49%.
You are welcome!
unidentified
Does this make us the greatest generation now?
phil labonte
Well, we were, but this is confirmation.
lisa reynolds
I'm a millennial.
tim pool
I will gladly call millennials the worst generation.
lisa reynolds
Hey!
tim pool
I'm a millennial.
lisa reynolds
Alright, fine.
seamus coughlin
We're terrible.
unidentified
Gen X is silent, but badass.
That's right.
seamus coughlin
I don't know if this is petty of me or bad of me, or if I should even think about it, but I bookmarked so many Kamala's Gonna Win prediction tweets.
So many of them.
lisa reynolds
Just get Harry Sisson.
phil labonte
I have a great gift or little video you can reply with.
It's just me laughing.
It's scary.
I'm going to get to using it right now.
lisa reynolds
Do we have Latino and black demographics yet?
tim pool
Trump overperformed.
Yeah.
I'm seeing tweets where they're like, literally Hitler did really well with minorities.
unidentified
That's what I wanted the most!
seamus coughlin
Even though he won't protect their crypto.
unidentified
You know what's really interesting is a Republican won the governorship of Puerto Rico after all of that meltdown about the joke at the rally.
lisa reynolds
You know why?
seamus coughlin
Turns out Hispanics have a sense of humor.
lisa reynolds
Not even that.
They're Catholic.
They're good people, right?
They understand.
They understand that when they come here, they have to go through the process, and they want people to do the same.
Right?
Like, they get it.
Like, they act like we think...
tim pool
Is CNN calling it a landslide?
seamus coughlin
Well, they...
The thing is, all of these voters who end up going for Trump and...
They don't not notice the rhetoric aimed at other people.
So, for example, they, you know, were in histrionics because an insult comic made a mean joke about Puerto Rico.
And then Joe Biden comes out and says Trump supporters are all garbage.
Now, I remember a time when Mitt Romney accurately pointed out that 47% of people are not net taxpayers and receive more benefits than they give in the system.
And everyone said that was the most horrifying thing that anyone who's even...
Pursuing an elected office could say because of the contempt it shows for the American people.
Then Joe Biden calls half the country garbage.
I'm sorry, people notice that even if the media doesn't want them to.
tim pool
I'm seeing a couple people say that CNN said that it's a landslide.
lisa reynolds
The two things that changed this election was the assassination attempt and independent journalism.
seamus coughlin
And freedom tunes.
phil labonte
Oren McIntyre said, I want to thank Jim Cramer for predicting a Kamala Harris picture.
And that actually did happen.
unidentified
He predicted Kamala Harris was going to win.
tim pool
Alan Lichtman, the keys to the White House, his predictions made no sense.
We kept saying his predictions made no sense.
He told Nate Silver he was right, everybody was wrong, and he loses.
lisa reynolds
He scared me.
He scared me.
unidentified
I'll be honest, he scared me.
Yes, you're like, okay, maybe I'm not that smart.
I don't know.
lisa reynolds
No, he scared me, and I'm like...
But the way that he was coding each individual key, like, you know, there's this, but there isn't that, whatever.
He scared me.
unidentified
That is noise designed to make you forget the fundamentals.
That you're like, yeah, as it turns out, people still really care about what they're paying for milk.
lisa reynolds
Yes.
Philadelphia.
From Aldi.
Organic Pesherese eggs.
$8.99.
$8.99 for 12 eggs.
unidentified
That's insane.
lisa reynolds
I bought like eight items the other day and it was $87.
tim pool
The Electoral College estimate for Trump has gone up.
lisa reynolds
Oh my God, I'm going to cry.
Can I cry?
The needle is...
phil labonte
Yeah, you're a woman.
elad eliahu
They're supposed to cry right out.
It's like Republicans are constantly accused of being out of touch.
And after everything was said, Trump's a racist and Trump's this, he's going to win 300-plus electoral votes and the Democrats are getting mega-mogged right now.
seamus coughlin
It's beautiful.
tim pool
With more votes coming into PA, Trump's lead is still just about 200,000.
It's not changing.
74% for Michigan.
Trump is...
His lead's improving.
He's up six points now with 71% reporting.
Wisconsin now 89% reporting.
Donald Trump is still up 124,000.
He's up four points.
It's looking like he's going to take the entire Rust Belt.
Arizona and it may go Senate as well.
So Hovde is up two points right now by about 70,000 votes in Wisconsin.
It's close.
Michigan looks like we've got just about 200,000 for Mike Rogers.
Mike Rogers is up five points with just about 70% reporting.
It's looking like it's going to flip.
And then we've got PA. McCormick is up.
It's close, but he's improved.
He's now up about 100,000 with 94% in.
It's looking like Republicans may take 55 seats in the Senate right now.
seamus coughlin
Oh, man.
tim pool
They've already won the Senate.
jordan b peterson
Wow.
tim pool
There's a chance it could be 55 Senate seats.
seamus coughlin
That's incredible.
Look, I just want to say, when you pay attention to politics for a living, or even as a hobby, it is unbridled punishment 99% of the time.
And when there are these moments where your faith is rewarded, it is such a beautiful thing.
lisa reynolds
I had faith in 2016.
I have to admit, I didn't have it now, but imagine my surprise.
The most unpopular vice president of all time didn't pull it off.
unidentified
I know.
phil labonte
She has never won anything fairly.
lisa reynolds
Why are we shocked?
We're shocked because of the vitriol that has been propelled at our president, a man who actually cares about us, whether they want to say he does or he doesn't.
He does, and we're shocked because they have been manipulating and lying.
elad eliahu
We're shocked because after everything that went on, the assassination attempts, the lawfare against him, and he overcame all of it.
tim pool
Now, hold on, guys.
He's still supposed to go to prison in New York.
lisa reynolds
On the 26th, right?
On the 26th, we have...
seamus coughlin
Let's see how that goes.
lisa reynolds
To see if they're going to put them...
I bet you they will.
They will do anything they can.
But the country...
Actually, at this point, when the landslide like this...
phil labonte
Secret Service will not allow it.
lisa reynolds
When it's a landslide like this...
phil labonte
It is not going to happen.
lisa reynolds
I think that they'll know that it would cause such civil unrest that they're like, all right, we have to pull back these people.
phil labonte
Not even civil unrest.
Secret Service will just say no.
lisa reynolds
I don't think they can at that point.
elad eliahu
Yes, they absolutely can.
They can, for sure, yeah.
phil labonte
They absolutely can.
seamus coughlin
I don't know.
I mean, we've never seen something like this before, but I don't think the Secret Service is going to let some New York cop...
phil labonte
How on earth do you...
elad eliahu
He's going to the White House.
Not to jail, guys.
To the White House.
seamus coughlin
Not to jail.
elad eliahu
What are we talking about?
phil labonte
The President of the United States in a White House.
lisa reynolds
Are they going to put him on house arrest with an ankle bracelet?
And he's like, sworn in with an ankle bracelet.
seamus coughlin
We did a cartoon about that.
Yeah, where they put him on house arrest and so he builds a giant mecha-trump that's technically classified as his house.
tim pool
There is a slim possibility.
In the Senate race, Sam Brown is up by.3.
There is a slim chance of 56 Republican senators.
Now that is a mandate.
lisa reynolds
I want everything to go through right now.
unidentified
I want everything we want now.
phil labonte
They haven't had a mandate like this in God knows how long.
lisa reynolds
If the Republicans don't impose their will, that's when we need to rally.
elad eliahu
It's the Americans' will, not our will.
unidentified
What do they do with it immediately?
seamus coughlin
They need to push as hard as they can because the reality is if the Democrats get back into power, they're going to try to undo everything.
unidentified
They've got two years to dismantle the deep state.
seamus coughlin
Two years.
Listen, Donald Trump is in a unique position of not having to run for re-elections after all is said and done.
We can do everything that he feels he needs to do to dismantle the deep state and the bureaucratic state and the administrative state.
And we just need to make sure that he has the support, or I should say our elected representatives need to make sure that he has their support.
phil labonte
Everyone GS-13 and up at state, everyone GS-13 and up at the Department of Defense, everyone GS-13 and up at CIA, gone.
GS-13 and up at NSA, gone.
See ya.
unidentified
Can we put Project 2025 back on the table now?
That's what it is.
It was secretly there the whole time!
lisa reynolds
We had them on.
We had them on an episode of The Culture War, and the poor guy, he was like, he didn't have anything to do with it.
And then a day later, they let him go, and I'm like, he really doesn't have anything to do with it.
unidentified
It was a policy book.
It was a good policy book.
lisa reynolds
And they do that all the time.
tim pool
So on the Robin Hood app, you can buy contracts...
For who's going to win the election, but the determining factor is who gets inaugurated.
So you can still right now buy Kamala Harris for two cents.
Trading is still open.
lisa reynolds
Two cents?
tim pool
Yeah, Trump's at 99 cents to win.
But winning the election is, I believe it's, I think for them it's January 6th, certification.
Because the electoral count is when the president wins, not the popular vote.
phil labonte
So...
lisa reynolds
I can't take any more stress.
Can we just have it be peaceful transfer of power like they've been requesting forever?
I'm hard-pressed to think, you know, they always say things the opposite of actually what they're doing.
elad eliahu
I'm curious.
lisa reynolds
I really want a peaceful transfer of power right now.
phil labonte
Is it riot season now?
lisa reynolds
It is.
By the way, I'm not going to lie.
elad eliahu
Oh, mega season.
Stop.
We're still in mega season.
lisa reynolds
James Flug knows I love riot season.
I'm not going to lie.
There is nothing more exhilarating than going undercover, you know.
You have done this?
I got my hair pulled by Antifa.
phil labonte
CNN called Pennsylvania.
tim pool
They called it.
lisa reynolds
I love doing riot cover.
phil labonte
Someone just texted me.
I'm checking to verify, but someone just texted me.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, no, they're going to lose their mind.
Keith Olbermann is going to go swinging fire extinguishers at cops at the Capitol.
lisa reynolds
Yeah.
They already attacked the White House.
tim pool
Let's look at what CNN is saying.
Trump's got two...
Trump's edge grows in race to 270.
unidentified
That means he won!
tim pool
No, no, no, no, no.
No, they're saying he has 265.
lisa reynolds
Come on!
tim pool
They're so lame.
What are they claiming he doesn't have?
seamus coughlin
Yeah, let's see.
tim pool
They don't even show the map.
unidentified
Where is it?
seamus coughlin
It's too red.
elad eliahu
It's too red.
tim pool
Here we go.
phil labonte
Oh, they don't say that he has Wisconsin yet?
tim pool
They called Pennsylvania for Trump.
phil labonte
Yeah.
seamus coughlin
What are they saying?
lisa reynolds
But see how it's like...
tim pool
So what are they claiming?
lisa reynolds
The same thing with Georgia.
tim pool
They're not calling Alaska yet.
That's why, huh?
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh!
They're so lame!
tim pool
No, well, Alaska's...
elad eliahu
I don't know what time's on there.
tim pool
Hold on.
How are they claiming Trump only has 265?
Is it because they're not giving him Maine and Nebraska?
There's five electoral votes.
What are we missing here?
He's got PA, North Carolina, Georgia.
elad eliahu
Do they call Arizona there?
tim pool
Arizona doesn't matter.
With PA, it's done.
So, let's pull up Decision Desk for the President and compare it to CNN's garbage.
And you can see here, they got Trump at 280.
Decision Desk has called Wisconsin for Trump.
unidentified
Okay.
tim pool
Wow.
So, what are they not giving Trump?
I don't understand where they're missing five electoral votes.
What am I missing here, guys?
seamus coughlin
I don't know.
elad eliahu
Something about Russia, they'll say, maybe?
unidentified
Yeah, I don't know.
seamus coughlin
Russia stole some of our electoral votes last night, so they actually don't go into Trump.
tim pool
What swing states are they?
Wisconsin, Michigan haven't been called.
Fine.
PA has been called.
That's 19.
North Carolina and Georgia.
That's it.
elad eliahu
You know, the media's having a huge sigh of relief.
They're happy in a way because they are going to be a ton of action.
unidentified
Ah, okay.
tim pool
Well, they did give Alaska, but Alaska's only three, isn't it?
So Decision Desk did give Alaska to Trump.
CNN's really trying hard not to call it for him.
But with PA going Trump, I don't know what you're going to do at this point.
unidentified
That's it.
tim pool
So I do have, while we wait, this thread.
lisa reynolds
I want to see his face.
I love him.
tim pool
Here's Rory Stewart.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably because Biden's admin has been solid.
Trump lost ground.
We then have Joe Walsh.
She's going to lose.
It hit me for the first time this morning.
Trump is going to lose.
We have Mike Madrid.
Trump knows he's going to lose.
Scaramucci.
Trump knows he's going to lose.
Maria Shriver again.
Harris is going to win.
lisa reynolds
He was door knocking.
tim pool
I am going to have to go through this tomorrow, this big list.
And what I'm really looking forward to is when I saw all of these liberals showing these electoral maps, showing Harris getting 300 electoral votes or whatever, and I'm just like, how are you so confident?
I wouldn't even go near that.
unidentified
I think they thought that they have such control of so many levers of communication, of the bureaucratic state, that they could just push their will through because they had done that with him in so many ways.
phil labonte
Ben Shapiro tweeted, Season 8 of Trump has had its ups and downs, but the finale, 10-10.
Watch again, downloading for the plane ride home.
Amazing.
lisa reynolds
Dude, how long do you think Ben had that tweet stored ready to go?
phil labonte
I don't know.
lisa reynolds
It's perfect.
phil labonte
He's a really smart guy, so he might have just come up with this now.
lisa reynolds
I know, but that's so good.
phil labonte
But still.
unidentified
I heard it workshopped on the set a little bit.
There he is!
lisa reynolds
Megan here for the insider.
elad eliahu
Our insider, yeah, our source is Daily Wire.
lisa reynolds
Hey, wait, can we just admit that I was right about Pennsylvania and Georgia months ago, like hours ago from...
tim pool
I saw Trump flags in Philly.
phil labonte
Yeah.
unidentified
I told you.
Yeah.
lisa reynolds
I told you.
tim pool
One of them was yours.
lisa reynolds
My house is so bad.
I have three Trump signs.
tim pool
Your house is beautiful.
lisa reynolds
Thank you.
But I have three Trump signs.
I have a McCormick sign.
And there's one neighbor.
Her name is Jody.
She'll love that I'm saying this.
She put it out first, like on 18th Street.
It said, like, Italians for Trump, she has a million women for Trump, whatever.
So a neighbor put out a Kamala Harris sign.
All of a sudden, the whole street, Trump flags, Trump signs.
They totally annihilated this whole street.
There was one Kamala Harris thing, and the entire street, it was like one, two, three, four, five.
Trump's got the popular.
I would drive my kids home from school and I'm like, I took my mom on Halloween.
I was like, Mom, you gotta see this.
I was like, it's a Trump, whole Trump flagpole.
A Trump sign, a Trump sign, a Trump sign.
Even my brother was walking in Rittenhouse Square, which is so liberal.
It's like black voices for Trump in the window at 20th and Lombard.
It was crazy.
It was definitely a different vibe.
That's why I'm really interested to see...
The turnout in Philadelphia because it was a completely different vibe.
tim pool
So CNN just gave Trump one more electoral vote.
I'm assuming what they're missing right now is either Nebraska or Maine's and Alaska.
They've got no data for Alaska, and despite everybody else having more than half of Alaska, and it's being called by decision desk.
seamus coughlin
They're scrambling.
They're like, here's our comma.
I can still win.
We've got to get some ballots up to Alaska right now.
lisa reynolds
Kellen fist bumping behind the scenes is making me so happy right now.
tim pool
Yeah, so right now they have Nebraska, but Maine and Alaska are not in.
That's the four electoral votes.
CNN knows at this point the Maine vote is done.
That's going to Trump.
And the Alaska vote is done.
That's three going to Trump.
Trump has won.
CNN is just desperately trying not to report it.
lisa reynolds
It was hard to look while I was out there.
What does New York's breakdown look like?
Was it close at all?
tim pool
So, as of right now, with 89% in, Kamala's up 10 points.
lisa reynolds
Wow!
tim pool
Yes, but that's a huge shift.
Isn't New York like D plus 25?
lisa reynolds
Yeah.
elad eliahu
Did you look at the house races for New York?
There were a few on Long Island.
lisa reynolds
Look at that.
elad eliahu
Despacito was in a close race over there.
There was also Waller was in a close...
He's a first-time...
tim pool
Yep.
It looks like he'll get re-elected.
elad eliahu
He'll get re-elected.
Because in Long Island, outside, there are parts of New York and parts of California that are still relevant for congressional seats that really will determine the House.
tim pool
So far, I don't think anything's flipped in the House.
elad eliahu
Okay, nice.
lisa reynolds
James Klug was in the Bronx, and he said it was unbelievably, overwhelmingly...
Trump.
And he's like, I don't understand.
elad eliahu
He had a few rallies there.
He had one at Cortona Park.
lisa reynolds
I mean, but it was overwhelmingly, he's like, I was struggling to make the video even because there was hardly any Kamala supporters.
I'm like, this is not how this goes.
So that's why I'm really interested in looking at the cities and the demographic breakdowns.
tim pool
More votes coming.
It's not changing anything.
I think...
New York Times and CNN just don't want to admit it.
seamus coughlin
They don't want to admit it.
They're trying to scramble to find ways that she can still win.
It's copium.
phil labonte
What about AP? They don't want him to win, so they're trying to hold off as long as possible.
seamus coughlin
See what they can finagle.
lisa reynolds
Is it only Fox that called it?
phil labonte
No, no, no.
unidentified
Newsmax also, but I'm wondering about AP. The Hill's reported that it's called.
AP's got inches closer to the presidency.
Trump inches closer.
lisa reynolds
I need like a huge eye roll emoji on my face right now.
tim pool
Right now, according to CNN's electoral map...
Alaska data has just come in, and they have still not given Trump the three electoral votes, and they know Maine's data is already at 46.
They know Trump is taking one electoral vote.
They've given Nebraska to Trump and Harris.
They know Trump's at 270 right now.
Ain't nothing changing that.
seamus coughlin
Hold on.
phil labonte
That's it.
tim pool
Wisconsin and Michigan don't matter.
They've called PA. It's done.
seamus coughlin
They've called Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.
It's over.
It's over.
He won all three.
lisa reynolds
That's what I said earlier.
I just wanted to put that out there.
The Trump campaign told me three hours ago, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
I just want to say I knew that.
unidentified
Well, I don't think AP has called Pennsylvania.
tim pool
No, they haven't.
seamus coughlin
AP hasn't, but CNN has.
But CNN has, and they're still not saying that he won.
tim pool
Decision Desk, Fox, and CNN have called PA. They're literally children.
elad eliahu
Kamala needs to concede tonight.
If it's this clear...
phil labonte
She won't.
lisa reynolds
They never do.
unidentified
No, no, no.
tim pool
She should come out and just start laughing.
lisa reynolds
That's all she would do anyway.
unidentified
She'd be like, we kind of made it close, but I'm a middle class.
elad eliahu
I think Seamus could do Seamus.
You want to do your Kamala?
lisa reynolds
I can't do any impressions.
Clearly.
seamus coughlin
Yeah, no.
I love old Kamala.
You have to ask me a question and I'll answer it to Kamala.
elad eliahu
How do you feel about decriminalizing the border crossings?
unidentified
Well, the border, okay, is a line, okay, and on one side of the line...
tim pool
Guys, guys, guys, Candace Owens, I never wanted to watch The View more in my entire life.
unidentified
Oh my god, so true!
tim pool
I can't agree more.
I think maybe tomorrow morning I should just live stream myself watching The View.
lisa reynolds
I really want to know what the Krasen scenes are saying right now.
tim pool
No, no, no.
They were very like...
lisa reynolds
Were they being cool?
tim pool
Yes.
This is democracy.
This is what the people expected.
We're going to have to try hard.
But this is how they always play it.
seamus coughlin
A buddy from Philly just texted me.
You're welcome.
unidentified
Let's go.
lisa reynolds
We love our Philly people.
tim pool
We're just waiting for Trump.
lisa reynolds
Everybody say bye to Megan and thank her for coming.
unidentified
I would say, I don't know.
Should I sneak out?
lisa reynolds
No, no, no.
Megan's from the Daily Wire.
unidentified
All of this chatter was hitting me.
I'm like, oh, I'm still on the clock.
I still have a job to go to.
lisa reynolds
We have to have her on the Culture War about her new book about pastors.
unidentified
Oh, yeah.
You're going to love it.
tim pool
We'll bring Seamus on.
unidentified
Shepherds for Sale.
seamus coughlin
Oh my gosh, I've heard about this.
unidentified
Thank you!
It was a New York Times bestseller.
seamus coughlin
Well, I heard a bunch of feckless weaklings who call themselves Christians complaining about it, so I assumed it was a good book.
unidentified
Oh, yes, it is an excellent book.
seamus coughlin
I want to check it out.
lisa reynolds
Seamus, we'll bring you guys on together.
unidentified
That'll be awesome.
Alright, thanks guys.
This was the perfect way to end the night.
Thank you.
lisa reynolds
We'll grab an Anne, and then we'll grab James.
tim pool
Mike Cernovich, the evil of the last eight years cannot go unpunished.
seamus coughlin
He's not wrong.
tim pool
My man!
unidentified
Ian, what do you think about these almost official results?
elad eliahu
Donald Trump's coming back to the White House.
ian crossland
He's winning.
He won.
It sounds like they're holding off because it's just like they're living in shock right now.
And it's like, well...
Let's wait till the last minute and then we'll roll the carpet out.
elad eliahu
How do you feel?
ian crossland
I feel like there's a lot of work to do now.
Like, we need a plan.
lisa reynolds
Don't be a doer right now.
Can you just be happy?
ian crossland
I am happy.
lisa reynolds
Okay, good.
ian crossland
But also very concerned for the future of our country.
I have been the whole time.
And now's an opportunity, like, with great responsibility.
We can develop a plan of how to really fix our economy.
That is the key to the next 18 months.
tim pool
RFK Jr.
said he's going to get fluoride out of our water.
lisa reynolds
Dude, do you know how insane that is?
That's amazing.
elad eliahu
Yeah.
I like fluoride in the water.
unidentified
I think it's good for the general population.
elad eliahu
Wait, wait, wait, wait.
tim pool
A lot.
Are you joking?
lisa reynolds
No, he's not.
elad eliahu
As I understand.
tim pool
I hate to tell you, but when he announced that, there were no smears against him.
Quite literally, even CNN said studies show it lowers IQ. I think that proves...
unidentified
Elad...
lisa reynolds
You're drinking too much tap water, Elad.
I just want to say that, Elad, not that I haven't worked with you here, but I've done riot coverage with you and spaces with you, and you love to be the contrarian just to be the contrarian.
elad eliahu
I mean, I have a bio...
Never mind.
ian crossland
The thing about Elad, what he's saying is true.
It is good for your enamel.
It remineralizes the enamel.
lisa reynolds
Is it good for the rest of your body?
tim pool
So why swallow it?
ian crossland
It's horrible for your endocrine system.
It's why they say don't swallow toothpaste.
That's a lot of the reason.
So to put it in the water supply seems like a very strange move.
unidentified
Me, Elad.
ian crossland
But it is good for the enamel.
tim pool
I just want to send a message to all of our friends over at YouTube who are watching.
The mandate is clear.
Stop censoring everybody.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
The American people.
tim pool
Get it together.
The new CEO has been great.
Yeah, exactly.
I'm not trying to rag on YouTube.
I'm saying the mandate is clear.
But I also want to give a shout out.
Thank you, YouTube.
We were on the front page.
We were on the default for the show.
That's been a new development in the past couple of months.
So I saw a lot of people.
People were hitting me up being like, dude, I went to YouTube.com.
You were right there.
lisa reynolds
Did you see where your live views were?
tim pool
It's, I mean, still a big show.
But everybody had big numbers today.
So, you know, we're certainly not the biggest, but shout out to YouTube.
It seems like they're not playing those games anymore, at the very least, or at least to this degree.
lisa reynolds
The message was clear.
The message was clear that it was alternative media that was ruling this election cycle.
And it has been for maybe the last three months.
unidentified
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
tim pool
Hold on, hold on, hold on.
lisa reynolds
Uh-oh.
Don't give me bad news.
elad eliahu
Philly, what's happening in Philly?
tim pool
I'm hearing rumors that Kamala may have conceded.
unidentified
Oh!
Oh!
lisa reynolds
It's probably BS. A lot's about ready to pour me a drink to tears.
tim pool
It's just tweets.
elad eliahu
Just tweets.
lisa reynolds
Alright, let me see what's going on here.
tim pool
It's inevitable.
elad eliahu
The concession is inevitable.
seamus coughlin
That's right.
She has to.
I don't know, man.
I'm worried because Trump's only at 266, according to NBC. Stop it.
elad eliahu
At a minimum.
It's confirmed he has at least 266.
Kamala Harris has 160, it was?
lisa reynolds
I mean, she's so popular.
I don't understand how this happened.
tim pool
Lisa, can you reach out to any sources to see if there's any...
unidentified
I did.
lisa reynolds
They're not answering me.
I think they're celebrating.
They're literally ghosting me right now.
They've been texting me all night, and all of a sudden it's empty.
They're probably having a drink and having fun.
elad eliahu
They're not the only ones, Lisa.
ian crossland
A big part of producing a plan to excite the American population is using alternative media.
So this show, and shows like it, is such a great opportunity to showcase brilliant scientists that are ready to re-industrialize in a way that benefits us.
And the oil companies, man.
Because you can just turn that stuff into graphene.
tim pool
New York Post, front page.
He's Don it again.
Trump pulls off comeback win.
lisa reynolds
Don it again.
elad eliahu
Teflon Don.
seamus coughlin
But you know what, though?
He deserves that.
Oh, man.
tim pool
Is this the actual photo?
phil labonte
So, 11 minutes ago, someone's reporting that Kamala Harris has called Trump to concede the election.
tim pool
Who do you have?
elad eliahu
According to who, though?
unidentified
Who?
tim pool
I'm seeing a bunch of rumors on X, but they're not from prominent media outlets or from people we trust in independent media.
lisa reynolds
I'm texting a few people.
Hold on.
elad eliahu
We'll see an official...
tim pool
Like, if New York Times comes out and says she can see that, you know she didn't.
ian crossland
What do you think about it all, Seamus?
seamus coughlin
I think that CNN has a really brilliant strategy, because if they say he's only at 265, then he can't win.
Did you guys say it's not happening?
It isn't.
tim pool
I think this photo is legit.
Let me pull this one up.
seamus coughlin
I'm excited, man.
I'm in a good spot.
tim pool
Here we go.
seamus coughlin
Is that real?
Why are there so many iconic photos?
He's just a machine.
ian crossland
That's very Abraham Lincoln.
seamus coughlin
Yeah.
tim pool
We're waiting for him to speak.
It's 221 Eastern.
lisa reynolds
Is anybody going to cry?
I think I'm going to cry, guys.
I think I'm going to cry.
tim pool
It's always loud.
ian crossland
I kind of feel like it, too.
lisa reynolds
I'm not a crier, though, but I'm pretty emotional right now.
elad eliahu
You're not going to be the only one crying tonight.
A lot of Libs will also be crying, Lisa, so you won't be the only one.
phil labonte
You'll be crying for the right reason.
seamus coughlin
You're going to cry?
lisa reynolds
Don't make me get the filly out in me and jump across this table.
No, but I am emotional.
This is not only history, but it's deserved.
It's the right thing.
tim pool
All the things about awards or whatever, Scott Pressler needs to be a guest of honor at the inauguration.
lisa reynolds
What can we do for him?
I know they got him a car, right?
tim pool
That dude's going to sleep for a week.
seamus coughlin
100%.
He deserves it.
lisa reynolds
He was looking like he was tired, that poor man.
We have to have him on.
elad eliahu
Maybe he could run for something in the future.
unidentified
Scott Pressler is a charismatic, smart guy.
tim pool
Decision desk is...
elad eliahu
We need people like Scott Pressler to run.
Scott Pressler did a great job in his advocacy and outreach and ground game work.
Something that's been missing from the Republican Party.
Him among other people.
I mean, obviously the Republican Party did a great job here too, but...
All unreal.
ian crossland
You know, you're right, and he's such a humble guy.
The thing about public office, when you're calm to do it...
elad eliahu
You need people like that.
tim pool
Mark Cuban says, Congratulations, Trump.
You won fair and square.
elad eliahu
Wow.
tim pool
That was a couple hours ago.
lisa reynolds
I'm going to cry.
I don't know.
I'm very much getting emotional right now.
Like, that...
tim pool
Don't cry.
lisa reynolds
Stop it, Janice.
Don't cry.
unidentified
This is so wonderful.
seamus coughlin
No, you can cry if you want.
I won't hold it against you.
It's a beautiful moment.
Exactly.
unidentified
I'm a girl.
tim pool
I would also like to thank Chase Oliver for basically being a spoiler for the Libertarians to force everybody to vote for Trump.
ian crossland
That's a really good point.
elad eliahu
Also, shout out Jill.
Jill Stein.
Don't forget Jill Stein.
I think he ended up teaming up with Trump.
No, that's what I'm saying.
seamus coughlin
Oh, no, no, but what I'm saying is thank you to RFK for stepping out and getting off the ballot in many states.
tim pool
Raw's Alerts is another account saying that there's reports coming in that Kamala has conceded to Trump over the phone.
ian crossland
Maybe that's what he's waiting for to speak.
He's probably having...
seamus coughlin
He's like, wait, can you say it again?
unidentified
Slowly.
ian crossland
You're on speakerphone.
lisa reynolds
No, we'll be gracious.
unidentified
That's how it is.
lisa reynolds
He will be kind and he'll be gracious to her.
seamus coughlin
Wait, hold on.
I was going through a tunnel.
Could you say that one more time?
unidentified
I'd like to hear it.
ian crossland
Yeah, I can see him with just full, like, we are moving forward together energy.
seamus coughlin
No, he's putting her in the crystals.
tim pool
Do we have any hard data on the house just yet?
seamus coughlin
That's a meme.
tim pool
Decision Desk says 65% chance of retaining the house, and they're calling things earlier than everybody else, but we're still 20 seats shy of taking the house.
elad eliahu
They're not going to call a lot of this stuff until even a week out.
I wouldn't be surprised, because these races will be closed, and there are a lot of districts where they're not counting them up.
lisa reynolds
Can we drink to no more foreign wars?
Can we drink to our money not going to a foreign country?
ian crossland
The purpose to drone wars, man.
unidentified
I will not.
tim pool
I will not.
Because while I think Trump is substantially better than any president of my lifetime...
I do not believe we are going to get an end to foreign wars.
lisa reynolds
Some.
tim pool
It's some.
unidentified
To peace in Ukraine.
seamus coughlin
To 70% less foreign wars.
ian crossland
Yeah, we could.
lisa reynolds
Agreed.
Anything's better than what we have going on right now.
ian crossland
We could make the military-industrial complex more money by starting a drone war program where we build our own drones and blow them up.
seamus coughlin
He's coming out?
ian crossland
But we've got to figure out the whole processing resources on overseas territory, so mining asteroids and things.
lisa reynolds
Here we go.
unidentified
Let's turn it up.
lisa reynolds
James, get over here.
unidentified
There he is, Donald Trump!
DCJ. Look, Barron's right behind him.
ian crossland
Yeah, Barron's a superstar.
unidentified
Where at least I know I'm free.
And I won't forget the man who died Who gave that right to me And I'd love to stand up next to you And defend her still today But there ain't no doubt I love this land.
God bless the USA! Baron is so tall.
Here we go!
tim pool
I want him to say Kamala conceded.
lisa reynolds
Look, here's the Daily Wire crew behind you.
We're living it up.
unidentified
I'm going to cry.
It's gonna happen.
phil labonte
Good.
ian crossland
Couldn't have done it without his family, man.
unidentified
Wow.
seamus coughlin
Is that Dana White out there?
unidentified
Yeah.
lisa reynolds
He was there all night.
unidentified
To be an American where at least I know I'm free.
And I won't forget the men who died who gave that right to me.
And I proudly stand up next to you when they've been hurt till today.
But there ain't no doubt I love this land.
God bless you today.
seamus coughlin
I love you Donald Trump.
unidentified
I love you.
I love you.
Look at that face!
I'm gonna eat a whole pizza.
seamus coughlin
I love him.
unidentified
And have a beer.
And have a beer.
Look at that!
Look at that!
Oh, my God.
I'm going to stand up next to you in November still today.
But there ain't no doubt I'm going to stand.
God bless the USA.
Woo!
Thank you very much.
Wow.
siaka massaquoi
Wow.
unidentified
Series finale or season finale?
donald j trump
I want to thank you all very much.
This is great.
unidentified
We have thousands of friends in this incredible movement.
donald j trump
This was a movement like nobody's ever seen before.
And...
Frankly, this was, I believe, the greatest political movement of all time.
There's never been anything like this in this country and maybe beyond.
And now it's going to reach a new level of importance because we're going to help our country heal.
We're going to help our country heal.
unidentified
We have a country that needs help.
donald j trump
And it needs help very badly.
We're going to fix our borders.
We're going to fix everything about our country.
We made history for a reason tonight, and the reason is going to be just that.
We overcame obstacles that nobody thought possible, and it is now clear that we've achieved the most incredible political thing.
Look what happened.
Is this going on?
But it's a political victory that our country has never seen before.
Nothing like this.
I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president and your 45th president.
And every citizen I will fight for you, for your family.
And your future.
Every single day I will be fighting for you and with every breath in my body.
I will not rest until we have delivered the strong, safe and prosperous America that our children deserve and that you deserve.
This will truly be the golden age of America.
That's what we have to have.
This is a magnificent victory for the American people that will allow us to make America great again.
And in addition to having won the battleground states of North Carolina, I love these places, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
We are now winning in Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, and Alaska, which would result in us carrying at least 315 electoral votes.
But it's much easier doing what the networks did or whoever called it because there was no other path.
There was no other path to victory.
We also have won the popular vote.
That was great.
unidentified
Amazing!
Look at Serge, he's so happy.
I love Serge right now.
seamus coughlin
Dude, Serge is kidding.
unidentified
I've never seen Serge this happy.
Get in here, Serge.
You're the man.
donald j trump
Thank you very much.
Winning the popular vote was very nice.
unidentified
I want to start just to lay on the table and spread out.
donald j trump
We have a great feeling of love in this very large room with unbelievable people standing by my side.
These people have been incredible.
unidentified
They've made the journey with me.
donald j trump
We're going to make you very happy.
We're going to make you very proud of your vote.
I hope that you're going to be looking back someday and say that was one of the truly important moments of my life when I voted for this group of people beyond the president.
This group of great people.
America has given us an unprecedented And powerful mandate.
We have taken back control of the Senate.
Wow, that's good.
unidentified
We've taken it back.
donald j trump
The Senate races in Montana, Nevada, Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin.
The great commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
unidentified
We're all won by the MAGA movement.
donald j trump
They helped so much.
And in those cases, every one of them, we worked with the senators.
They were tough races.
And I mean, the number of victories in the Senate was absolutely incredible.
And we did tele-rallies.
We did tele-rallies with each one of them.
And sometimes we did two or three.
And it was amazing to look at all of those victories.
Nobody expected that.
Nobody.
So I just wanted to thank you very much for that, and you have some great senators and some great new senators, and it also looks like we'll be keeping control of the House of Representatives.
unidentified
Amazing!
Amazing!
I'm going to cry all again.
donald j trump
And I want to thank Mike Johnson.
I think he's doing a terrific job.
Terrific job.
I want to also thank my beautiful wife Melania, first lady.
unidentified
Her makeup didn't melt off like mine. - Thank you!
donald j trump
Who has the number one best-selling book in the country.
unidentified
She does love him.
I don't care what anyone says.
seamus coughlin
You've got to love him to stick by him through this.
donald j trump
She's done a great job.
Works very hard.
Works very hard to help people.
So I just want to thank her.
But I want to thank my whole family, my amazing children, and they are amazing children.
We all think our children are amazing.
Everybody here thinks their children are amazing.
That's a good thing when you think they are.
But Don, Eric, Ivanka, Tiffany, Barron, Laura, Jared, Kimberly, Michael, thank you all.
What a help.
elad eliahu
Is Ivanka there?
tim pool
Yes.
donald j trump
My father-in-law, Victor, is tremendous.
And we miss very much Melania's mother, Amalia.
We miss Amalia, don't we, huh?
She would be very happy right now, standing on this stage.
She'd be so proud.
She was a great woman, that one.
Beautiful inside and out.
She was a great woman.
I want to be the first to congratulate Our great, now I can say, Vice President-elect of the United States, J.B. Bernal.
unidentified
Look at his wife.
He's so happy.
He wants to cry, too.
lisa reynolds
He wants to cry, too.
seamus coughlin
They're both happy.
Yeah, he's trying to hold it back.
donald j trump
He's an absolutely remarkable and beautiful wife, Ushabez.
unidentified
She's shocked.
She's like, did this really happen?
donald j trump
And he's a feisty guy, isn't he?
You know, I've said, go into the enemy camp, and you know the enemy camp is certain networks and...
A lot of people don't like this.
Sir, do I have to do that?
He just goes, okay.
Which one?
CNN? MSDNC? He'll say, all right, thank you very much.
He's like the only guy I've ever seen.
He really looks forward to it, and then he just goes and absolutely obliterates them.
unidentified
Say a couple of words.
President, I appreciate you allowing me to join you on this incredible journey.
I thank you for the trust that you placed in me.
And I think that we just witnessed the greatest political comeback in the history of the United States of America.
And under President Trump's leadership, we're never going to stop fighting for you, for your dreams, for the future of your children.
And after the greatest political comeback in American history, we're going to leave the greatest economic comeback in American history under Donald Trump's leadership.
lisa reynolds
We're back!
unidentified
It's so good.
Thank you very much.
donald j trump
It's...
He's turned out to be a good choice.
I took a little heat at the beginning, but he was...
I knew the brain was a good one, about as good as it gets.
And we love the family, and we're going to have a great four years, and we're going to turn our country around, make it something very special.
It lost that little...
unidentified
It lost that little...
donald j trump
That little thing called special, we have to make it so, we're going to make this so great.
It's the greatest country and potentially the greatest country in the world by far and right now we're going to just work very hard to get all of that back.
We're going to make it the best it's ever been.
We can do that.
We just, if we had to wait longer, I don't know, it was going bad and it was going bad fast.
We're going to have to seal up those borders and we're going to have to let people come into our country.
We want people to come back in, but we have to let them come back in, but they have to come in legally.
They have to come in legally.
Let me also express my tremendous appreciation for Susie and Chris, the job you did.
Come, Susie.
Come here.
Come here, Susie.
Chris.
Come here, Chris.
Susie likes to stay sort of in the back, let me tell you.
The Ice Baby.
We call her the Ice Baby.
unidentified
Come here, Chris.
Chris, come here, Chris.
lisa reynolds
The rail behind the scenes.
donald j trump
Susie likes to stay in the background.
She's not in the background.
Come here, Susie.
unidentified
This wasn't expected, but I just want to thank, obviously, President Trump for this journey.
It was a great one, and he's a hell of a candidate, and he's going to be a hell of a great 47th president.
And this team that we had, the best team, and, of course, even my boss, Susie Wiles, the best.
Thank you.
ian crossland
Susie gets what Susie wants.
donald j trump
Thank you, and thank you, Susie.
tim pool
Flip to Montana for the Senate.
donald j trump
I've never seen her be shot before.
Susie!
They're great.
Everybody up here is great.
Everybody up here is very special.
unidentified
Who did you say?
donald j trump
Oh, let me tell you.
We have a new star.
A star is born.
unidentified
Elon!
donald j trump
Now he is.
Now he's an amazing guy.
We were sitting together tonight.
You know, he spent two weeks in Philadelphia and different parts of Pennsylvania campaigning.
You know, he sent the rocket up two weeks ago, and I saw that rocket, and I saw it coming down.
I saw it.
When it left, it was beautiful, shiny white.
When it came down, it didn't look so pretty.
It was going 10,000 miles an hour, and it was burning like hell.
I said, what happened to your paint job?
He said, we've never made a paint that could withstand that kind of heat.
But I saw it come down and turn around.
It's like 22 stories tall, by the way.
It looks a little smaller than that, but it's big.
And it came down and down, and you saw that fire burning.
And I said, only Elon can do this.
It must be an Elon.
And I tell the story.
I told it last night.
I had a man on the phone.
I had the screen muted.
No sound.
I was talking to a very important man.
Happens to be here.
And that very important guy, one of the most important people in, I would say, the country, actually.
But, you know, I was president, and now it looks like I was going to be maybe president again, so I figured I could ask him to hold.
So I asked him to hold.
And especially because you're going to be president again, they hold.
So I took the phone down, and I'm looking at the screen.
I'm seeing this crazy thing that's going around and coming down.
It looks like it's a crash into the gantry.
And I said, oh, no.
And I said, do me a favor.
Do you mind holding for a couple of minutes?
I want to see this.
I thought it was a space-age movie or something.
I put the phone down.
Bad point, I didn't pick it up for 45 minutes, and he was holding.
But this spaceship came down, and I saw those engines firing, and it looked like it was over.
It was going to smash, and then I saw the fire pour out from the left side, and I put it straight, and it came down so gently, and then it wrapped those arms around it.
unidentified
Still doing the weave.
donald j trump
And it held it.
And just like you hold your baby at night, your little baby.
And it was a beautiful thing to see.
And I called Elon.
unidentified
I said, Elon, was that you?
donald j trump
He said, yes, it was.
I said, who else can do that?
Can Russia do it?
No.
Can China do it?
No.
Can the United States do it other than you?
unidentified
No.
donald j trump
Nobody can do that.
I said, that's why I love you, Elon.
That's great.
And you know when we had the tragic hurricane Helene, and it hit, in particular it hit North Carolina, they were really devastated the water.
This was a big water, as big as we've ever seen, water hurricane.
It built lakes out of nothing.
Fields became lakes, and the danger was unbelievable.
And the people from North Carolina came to me and they said, would it be possible, at all possible, for you to speak to Elon Musk?
We need Starlink.
I said, what's Starlink?
It's a form of communication.
So I called Elon.
And I'll tell you what, he had...
And it was very dangerous.
People would die.
They had no communication.
All the wires were down.
I called Elon Musk.
I said, Elon, you have something called Starlink.
Is that right?
Yes, I do.
What the hell is it?
He said...
It's a communication system that's very good.
I said, Elon, they need it really, really badly in North Carolina.
Can you get it?
He had that there so fast.
It was incredible.
And it was great.
It saved a lot of lives.
He saved a lot of lives.
But he's a character.
He's a special guy.
He's a super genius.
We have to protect our geniuses.
We don't have that many of them.
We have to protect our super geniuses.
I want to thank some of the guys.
You know, we have up here today the U.S. Open champion.
He's fantastic.
Slightly longer than me.
It's a little bit longer than me.
Just a little bit.
Bryson DeChambeau is up here someplace.
What happened to Bryson?
Where is he?
Bryson!
He was shot.
He's hitting balls.
Oh, he's on the way.
He's hitting balls.
Bryson.
Oh, look at him.
He had a great, he's got a great career going.
Great U.S. Open, Bryson.
That's a fantastic job.
And we also have Amanda White who has done some job.
He's that tough guy.
So Dana started UFC and came to me.
Do you mind if I use your...
Nobody wanted to give him a rinse because they said it's a rough sport, a little rough.
And I helped him out a little bit, and I went, and I said, this is the roughest sport I've ever seen, but I began to like it, and he loved it, and nobody's done a better job in sports.
unidentified
And you know, he's a very motivational kind of a guy, what he does.
donald j trump
He gets these fighters, and they really go at it, and it's become one of the most successful sports enterprises anywhere at any time.
It's doing so well.
I'd like to ask Dana just to say a couple of words because people love to hear from him.
Dan, please.
unidentified
Nobody deserves this more than him and nobody deserves this more than his family does.
Thank you.
This is what happens when the machine comes after you.
What you've seen over the last several years, this is what it looks like.
Couldn't stop him.
He keeps going forward.
He doesn't quit.
He's the most resilient, hard-working man I've ever met in my life.
His family are incredible people.
This is karma, ladies and gentlemen.
He deserves this.
They deserve it as a family.
I want to thank some people real quick.
I want to thank the NELF boys, Aiden Ross, Theo Vaughn, Bustle With The Boys, and last but not least, the mighty and powerful Joe Rogan.
lisa reynolds
I'm telling you.
unidentified
And thank you, America.
lisa reynolds
Thank you.
unidentified
Have a good night.
The producer.
lisa reynolds
He was a sleeper.
unidentified
He hooked all those pockets up.
tim pool
Go back ten years, tell Joe Rogan he helped make a president.
donald j trump
He's really an amazing guy, but most of all I want to thank the millions of hardworking Americans across the nation who have always been the heart and soul of this Really great movement.
We've been through so much together, and today you showed up in record numbers to deliver a victory like really, probably like no other.
This was something special, and we're going to pay you back.
We're going to do the best job.
We're going to turn it around.
It's got to be turned around.
It's got to be turned around fast, and we're going to turn it around.
We're going to do it in every way, so many ways, but we're going to do it in every way.
This will Forever be remembered as the day the American people regained control of their country.
So I just want to say that on behalf of this great group of people, these are hard-working people.
These are fantastic people.
And we can add a few names like Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
unidentified
He came in.
donald j trump
And he's going to help...
Make America healthy again.
And now he's a great guy, and he really means it.
He wants to do some things and we're going to let him go to it.
I just said, but Bobby, leave the oil to me.
Liquid gold, oil and gas.
We have more liquid gold than any country in the world, more than Saudi Arabia.
We have more than Russia.
Bobby, stay away from the liquid gold.
unidentified
Other than that, go have a good time, Bobby.
donald j trump
We're going to be paying down debt.
We're going to be reducing taxes.
We can do things that nobody else can do.
Nobody else is going to be able to do it.
China doesn't have what we have.
Nobody has what we have.
But we have the greatest people also.
Maybe that's the most important thing.
This campaign has been so historic in so many ways.
We've built the biggest, the broadest, the most unified coalition.
They've never seen anything like it in all of American history.
They've never seen it.
unidentified
Young and old, men and women, rural and urban.
donald j trump
And we had them all helping us tonight when you think.
I mean, I was looking at it.
I was watching it.
They had some great analysis of the people that voted for us.
Nobody's ever seen anything like that.
They came from all quarters, union, non-union, African-American, Hispanic-American, Asian-American, Arab-American.
Muslim American.
We had everybody and it was beautiful.
It was a historic realignment, uniting citizens of all backgrounds around a common core of common sense.
You know, we're the party of common sense.
We want to have borders.
We want to have security.
We want to have things be good, safe.
We want great education.
We want a strong and powerful Military, and ideally, we don't have to use it.
You know, we had no wars.
Four years, we had no wars, except we defeated ISIS. We defeated ISIS in record time, but we had no wars.
They said, you will start a war.
I'm not going to start a war.
I'm going to stop wars.
But this is also a massive victory for democracy and for freedom.
Together, we're going to unlock America's glorious destiny.
We're going to achieve the most incredible future for our people.
Yesterday, as I stood at my last stop on the campaign trail, I'll never be doing a rally again.
Can you believe it?
I think we've done 900 rallies, approximately.
Can you imagine?
unidentified
Can you imagine working harder than him?
donald j trump
900?
901?
lisa reynolds
Well, in general, as the president of Canada.
donald j trump
A lot of rallies.
And it was sad.
Everybody was sad.
Many people, I said, this is our last rally, but now we're going on to something that's far more important because the rallies were used for us to be put in this position where we can really help our country.
That's what we're going to do.
We're going to make our country better than it ever has been.
When I said that, many people have told me that God spared my life for a reason.
And that reason was to save our country and to restore America to greatness.
And now we are going to fulfill that mission together.
We're going to fulfill that mission.
The task before us will not be easy, but I will bring every ounce of energy, spirit, and fight that I have in my soul to the job that you've Entrusted to me.
This is a great job.
There's no job like this.
This is the most important job in the world.
Just as I did in my first term.
We had a great first term.
A great, great first term.
I will govern by a simple motto.
Promises made, promises kept.
unidentified
We're going to keep our promises.
donald j trump
Nothing will stop me from keeping my word to you, the people.
We will make America safe, strong, prosperous, powerful, and free again.
And I'm asking every citizen all across our land to join me in this noble and righteous endeavor.
That's what it is.
It's time to put the divisions of the past four years behind us.
It's time to unite.
And we're going to try.
We're going to try.
We have to try.
And it's going to happen.
Success will bring us together.
I've seen that.
I've seen that.
I saw that in the first term when we became more and more successful.
People started coming together.
Success is going to bring us together and we are going to start by all putting America first.
We have to put our country first for at least a period of time.
We have to fix it.
Because together we can truly make America great again for all Americans.
So I want to just tell you what a great honor this is.
I want to thank you.
I will not let you down.
America's future will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer, and stronger than it has ever been before.
God bless you, and God bless America.
Thank you very much.
unidentified
Alright, so I want to give a shout out to the opera singer who's definitely singing tonight.
His name is Christopher and everybody should follow him.
Christopher Macchio.
He's definitely going to sing.
He's going to sing tonight.
I know.
Definitely go follow him.
tim pool
We do have some updates.
Pennsylvania has now been called by basically every outlet.
AP's called it.
CNN's called it.
CBS has called it.
Hill has called it.
And with that, it's done.
CNN still trying to play these stupid games where we know Trump's got it.
Trump just announces he's got it.
Everyone is reporting Trump says he's got it.
And they're like, we know he's won Alaska.
We know he's got a district in Maine.
But we're still saying 266.
phil labonte
The New York Times has called Minnesota for Kamala Harris, but it hasn't called Alaska, hasn't called Wisconsin, which has got 90% of the vote in, hasn't called Michigan, Nevada, or Arizona, all of which are leaning towards the electoral college projection 312.
unidentified
Wow.
tim pool
312 for Trump.
unidentified
Thank you, America.
phil labonte
Thank you, America.
And a victory of 5 million votes, around 5 million votes in the vote.
tim pool
Right now with, yes, right now with 39% of the vote in, in Montana, Sheehy is up 6 points.
And Charlie Kirk tweeted out that they've called it.
I don't know.
unidentified
Who cares?
We won.
tim pool
Yeah, but if we get 56 seats in the Senate, that's true, that's true, that's true.
unidentified
Let's go.
Let's implement the people's will for once.
I'm crying.
I'm still crying.
tim pool
Go to castbrew.com and buy our coffee if you want to support this show and the work that we do.
Castbrew Coffee.
We've got Appalachian Nights, everybody's favorite, of course.
Head over to boonieshq.com.
We're sold out of the boobies boards, but we got Step on Snack and Find Out.
We got Step on Snack and Find Out stickers.
Become a member by going to timcast.com.
Join our Discord server.
Tens of thousands of people.
Make friends.
Share ideas.
Building community is how we do this.
The Founding Fathers hung out in bars.
That's how they make this change.
You guys come together.
You meet each other.
You make friends.
And as a member, you get access to our uncensored members-only shows Monday through Thursday.
We are back tomorrow night.
It's 3 a.m.
So I'm going to try and go to bed to wake up so I can start my morning show at 8 a.m., Before you go, man, I just want to give a shout out to our fucking crew.
unidentified
Kellen, Surge, Carter Banks, Andrew, Brian.
I love you guys.
ian crossland
Thank you so much.
Allison, I see you over there.
You guys fucking rock.
unidentified
That's so true.
tim pool
All right, everybody.
Smash the like button.
Share the show with everyone.
You know, hit that subscribe if you didn't.
Give us a good review if you're listening for some reason on Apple, but we're going to upload it.
And follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
Seamus, what up?
seamus coughlin
Well, what an incredible night.
Thank you so much for having me, Tim.
I love you guys.
This has been an incredible election.
And God bless all of the audience members.
Thank you for getting out there and voting.
If you want to find me and my work, go over to FreedomTunes, youtube.com slash FreedomTunes.
Trump thanked the meme makers and keyboard warriors.
We're making really, really funny cartoons.
So if you guys go over there, we released a video today on what it would have looked like if Joe Rogan gave in to Kamala's demands and interviewed her.
We did a video two days ago about how people who vote at 3 a.m.
poll 100% with Kamala Harris.
We do videos several times a week, cartoons.
I think you guys will love them.
Go over to Freedom Tunes, and if you want to help support us making more, go to freedomtunes.com and become a member.
Thank you so much.
God bless all of you.
Let's make America great again.
tim pool
Lisa, what is up?
lisa reynolds
God, I'm crying.
I've been crying all day.
So I'm going to try to make this as quick as possible.
I want to thank The Daily Wire for hosting us, Tim for having this, everybody here for participating.
Thank you, Pennsylvania.
Thank you, America, for actually waking up.
But above all, thank you, God.
Amen.
Thanks, God.
Right?
We should thank God every day for being here and for giving our country another shot.
So thank you, God.
Thanks, Tim.
Um, everybody have a great night and go celebrate and be as happy as I am, even though it doesn't look like I am because I'm crying.
But like, thank you.
Thank you, everybody.
Thank you, God.
Thank you for voting.
I love you all.
Thank you.
elad eliahu
Absolutely.
My name's Alotta Liahu.
I wanted to thank everybody here at Timcast Media and Daily Wire that without them, we wouldn't have been able to put this on.
I know there's a lot of options out there for election night specials and we're glad that you chose to spend the night with us.
Donald Trump is a true patriot and we're extremely lucky to have him and Ian?
ian crossland
Man, again, shout out to The Daily Wire for hosting this amazing event.
You guys are exceptionally awesome, all of you.
And this is another step.
This is a great step on the journey of humanity.
Happy to be doing it with you.
Now, tomorrow we're making another one.
And then we're going to repeat that process and keep fucking going.
I'll see you there.
lisa reynolds
We have a culture war, too, Friday morning.
tim pool
Tomorrow night is going to be fun.
ian crossland
Phil Labonte.
phil labonte
We'll see what's up.
Thanks to all the crew.
Thanks to everyone here at the Daily Wire.
Thanks, Tim.
And thank you guys very much.
Thank you to everyone that went out and voted.
Obviously, in our system, it doesn't work without you.
So thank you for not sitting on your ass.
Thank you for getting out.
lisa reynolds
Thank you to the men.
phil labonte
Thank you to the men.
lisa reynolds
Thank you, men.
Thank you for finally sitting up and out.
Women run all over the place.
phil labonte
Thank you.
seamus coughlin
She interrupts a man.
lisa reynolds
Thank you.
phil labonte
Thank you to everyone that got out and voted.
My name is Phil Labonte.
You can follow me on Twix at PhilThatRemains.
I'm PhilThatRemains on Instagram.
So we'll see you guys tomorrow night.
tim pool
I want to read this one super chat.
phil labonte
Oh, the left lane is for crime.
tim pool
One super chat before we go from Jerry says, Tim, I live in California, but your comments leading up to tonight encouraged me to vote for the first time.
I know my vote does little.
However, many others also heard you, Elon, Rogan, etc.
I want to say this.
It is because of you in California who voted Trump won the popular vote.
And that is the mandate.
seamus coughlin
God bless you.
tim pool
That is what we needed.
And we got there.
This is incredible.
We will be back tomorrow.
And I imagine tomorrow night's show is going to be dealing with all of the cope and seethe.
And we will have smiles on our faces.
phil labonte
Mind that salt.
Mind the salt.
Mind the salt.
tim pool
Thank you all so much for hanging out for the past nine hours.
We will see you all tomorrow night.
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