Sean looks at the key November races and just how important each race is! Now, we're getting into the "October Surprise" season where silly stories about candidates come out in an effort to discredit their candidacy... See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
My name's Joe Biden, and I don't want the headline to read, Biden brings storm to Puerto Rico.
Some of the farmers and the growers are saying, why are you shipping these immigrants up north?
We need them to pick the props down here.
That you cannot conceive of a Democratic ticket that doesn't have a woman, person of color on it.
And pretty soon you're going to line up behind that gay Latino, and you're going to have to have, you know, a deaf Eskimo.
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All right.
Thanks, Scott Shannon.
35 days until the all-important midterm elections.
We have some good news on that front today.
Monmouth midterm polling finds that Republicans have gained a whopping 10 points since August.
The moment survey released yesterday showed that there had been a massive 10-point swing from August to September in favor of Republicans controlling Congress after the midterms.
Take nothing for granted.
Remember, it's a snapshot in time.
What matters is what happens 35 days from now.
And I know most of us would probably prefer same-day voting, paper ballots, get the results at the end of the night, and everybody go home.
And partisan observers observe, et cetera, et cetera.
That's not going to happen.
So you've got to deal with the hand that you're dealt.
And right now, state legislatures have allowed for early voting, et cetera, et cetera.
And if your state has, Republicans have to get in that game because you never know what happens.
It's election day and you get covid.
What happens?
It's election day.
You're not feeling well that day.
What happens?
It's election day.
You have horrible weather outside.
You don't feel like going outside.
So if the Democrats, that is their game.
They want as many early votes as possible.
That's why none of these Democrats are debating.
They're all waiting.
You've got tens and tens of this is happening in every gubernatorial, every senatorial.
Race, tens and tens of millions of dollars that are being poured all over the airwaves in negative ads slamming smearing, slandering Republicans, and then, of course, the candidates themselves.
They don't, they don't want to talk to the media, they're not doing media avails, they're not out there.
Uh, you know, pressing the flesh, as they say.
They've taken the page from Joe Biden and that is hiding as much as they possibly can in their basement bunker, using social media as a means of campaigning, never having press events or press avails.
Uh, And if they agree to debate because they're shamed into debating, they want to make it the latest date possible.
And in the case of, you know, look at John Fetterman, the trust fund brat in a hoodie, you know, that's the end of October, last week in October.
Perfect.
Anyway, so this is this should give people some hope that, in fact, that this is a reality.
It's within reach.
Republicans can win the House.
They can win the Senate, but it's not easy.
I've been saying, especially in the Senate.
I think the House is easier.
I think the Republicans, for the first time in 28 years, putting their signatures on a piece of paper with an agenda that is positive on what they're going to do.
It's basically the MAGA Make America Great America First agenda.
You know, they're going to deal with taxes.
They're going to deal with the economy.
They're going to deal with inflation.
They're going to deal with high gas prices.
They want us to be energy independent.
They want to get back to controlling our borders, the Trump border policies.
All of these things matter.
It's really simple right now if you're running for office.
If you, and Jen Saki was right, if you focus on 41-year high of inflation, record high gas prices, and I told you that they'd be going back up.
I'll get to that later.
They're going up dramatically because Joe Biden, in terms of national security, he actually, I think it's a national security risk because he draining, had been draining the petroleum reserves and strategic petroleum reserves just to artificially increase the supply on the world market to lower prices.
I told you it was a band-aid, and I told you once they stopped, prices were going to go up.
And here we are.
Prices are going up again dramatically.
And we'll give you more information on that.
But if they focus on bread and butter issues, 41-year high of inflation, record high gas prices, wide open borders that is impacting every state and small town in this country, if they focus in on law and order and safety and security and compare funding the police and enforcing laws versus defund the police,
dismantle the police, no bail laws, if they focus on education, age-appropriate material for kids in school, no CRT, and they focus on reading, writing, math, science, history, computers, and give parents choice in education.
If they just focus on those issues, they will win because of what they're promising to do.
Then it's going to be a matter of them following up on their promises.
And that, you know, that makes for good politics.
Even the New York Times, by the way, has confirmed that voter momentum has now shifted in the GOP's favor.
Democratic Party prospects have dimmed significantly in the last few weeks, so much so the New York Times can't ignore it.
And they're saying now it's clear the race has shifted towards Republicans in important ways.
Democrats may still lead enough races to hold the Senate, but their position is starting to look quite vulnerable on average.
Republicans have gained three points across 19 post-Labor Day polls on the key Senate battleground states with the pre-Labor Day polls and the same states by the same pollsters.
The shift is similar to what we observed a few weeks ago.
What's changed with more data?
We can now be sure that the polling shift is real.
We have more clarity about where Republicans are making their biggest gains.
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, other states, it's Nevada, where Republicans seem closest to assembling a convincing evidence of a breakthrough.
The recent polling out there showing Adam Laxalt leading the Democratic state incumbent out there, Masto.
Nobody even knows who Masto is.
Nobody knows.
Anyway, I've barely ever heard of her.
She doesn't do anything except vote the way her party makes her vote or insist that she votes.
Anyway, in the only two post-Labor Day surveys with a pre-Labor Day counterpart, Laxall gained nearly three points out there.
You see, Ron Johnson is now pulling away from Mandela Barnes, but again, you can't take that poll and think, oh, we got this in the bag.
JD Vance, look, look at the states that we're dealing with.
You got Florida.
Well, Senator Rubio in a poll yesterday was up seven.
Ron DeSantis was up eight.
Herschel Walker had been up over Raphael Warnock.
I know the issues that came out yesterday.
Herschel was on TV last night.
An accusation made by an anonymous person in the Daily Beast that he had paid for an abortion back in 2009.
He denies it vehemently.
Then issues involving his son.
I don't get into family business.
That's not my forte.
I just keep families out of it.
And people now in Georgia are writing me that they're concerned about that particular race.
You know, the one thing I can say is if you, if we're going to go, if you're going to bring up one family's dirty laundry or one or make these attacks, then that also makes a fair game in terms of Senator Warnock, whose ex-wife claims that he deliberately struck her with his car and says that, you know, she's been covering up for him.
I just can't believe he'd run me over.
I've been quiet about the way that he is for the sake of my kids and his reputation.
And, you know, but those are issues.
If you're going to ask all these questions of Herschel Walker, I would imagine that those questions towards Raphael Warnock have to come out as well.
But the ex-wife of Georgia Senate candidate Raphael Warnock told police he deliberately ran over her in a 2020 domestic dispute, that her ex-husband was a great actor, according to the report.
And I tried to keep the way that he acts under wraps for a long time.
And today he crossed the line.
So what is going on here?
He is phenomenal at putting on a really good show, said his ex-wife, telling Atlanta police that Warnock ran over her foot during this dispute.
All he cares right now about is his reputation.
And anyway, according to body cam footage that apparently has been released.
So there's going to be, you know, you get to this point where, I mean, I can't say one way or the other.
This is the silly season when accusations are flying everywhere, anywhere and everywhere.
You know, you get to a point in an election.
How is it always the thing that it comes out, you know, 35, 40 days, 21 days, 14 days, three days before an election?
You know, here it is, October.
They use the term October surprise for a reason.
Now, people sometimes have information.
They purposely hold it back until it will be most impactful, which is just before an election.
We've seen this time after time.
You know, I look, I personally, I just take the same position I take on every other issue, and that is I read everything.
I have an open mind about it.
I always assume somebody's innocent until proven guilty, the presumption of innocence.
I mean, remember, these charges were flying all over the place in the case of Justice Kavanaugh.
And I remember the Republicans actually, for the first time in their lives, they took the allegation seriously.
They had those hearings.
They brought in these witnesses.
And bit by bit, a lot of these people making their allegations, it just fell apart.
So I don't know what to think, but, you know, follow the rule that you assume somebody's guilt, innocent until proven guilty, presumption of innocence.
But it's only going to get uglier.
I mean, politics is a blood sport.
They say that.
It definitely is.
I've never seen the divide this great in the country.
I don't like it.
I wish it weren't so.
I don't know how you reconcile two very unique and different worldviews.
You know, one would have open borders, one wouldn't.
One believes in new Green Deal radical socialism.
One believes in capitalism.
One wants to raise taxes and redistribute wealth.
The other, you know, believes in free markets and less government bureaucracy in our lives.
You know, one group wants to defund, dismantle, and have no bail laws, and the other wants law and order so everyone's safe and secure.
You know, some people have an agenda that the schools are responsible to teach critical race theory, transgenderism, et cetera, et cetera.
And others say, can we just stick to the basics, reading, writing, math, science, history, and computers?
So I don't know where there's the middle ground here in terms of political ideology and political philosophy.
And that's at the heart of where this country is right now, because that's what we're dealing with.
If you compare the results, the reason the Democrats, they're never going to discuss or talk about, now, our friend Selena Zito wrote this piece analyzing a recent John Fetterman event.
And all these people, you know, were out there talking, getting louder and slamming Dr. Ros.
They didn't talk about inflation.
They didn't talk about record gas prices.
They didn't talk about law and order, which is out of control, especially in places like Philadelphia.
I mean, they're having record crime.
We had, what, a man shot 20 times in Philly in broad daylight.
I think they had, what, they passed a thousand hardjackings for the year recently.
Things are that out of control.
Record crime everywhere.
They didn't talk about any of that stuff.
And I don't think Democrats want to.
And Jensaki's right.
If this election is about Biden and the climate alarmist cultists in the Democratic Socialist Party, they will lose.
If they can distract the American people enough that those issues are not the focal point, then their odds are dramatically higher that they can hold ground that they otherwise wouldn't hold.
But with record high gas prices, a 41-year high of inflation, wide open borders, we see record high crime in big cities and small town around the country.
We see teachers and educational districts around the country that have just gone so overboard woke that parents now are even being investigated as domestic terrorists.
If you focus on those issues, I think Republicans win.
The high cost of energy, all of this.
So it's pretty simple to me.
We'll see.
It's going to be, let me just buckle up because the next 35 days, it's going to be one thing after another.
Trust me, I've been here.
I've seen it.
It happens every election season.
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I mean, Georgia in particular.
I mean, it's like the whole state is going off the rails between Raphael Warnock's issues, allegations now against Herschel, which he has denied passionately.
And then you got Stacey Abrams' running mate, this guy Charlie Bailey.
Now it was discovered 36 days before the election that he was charged with a DUI in 2011.
Had nobody picked up on that before?
And of course, she says the worst state to live in is the state of Georgia, and she wants to be the governor of the state of Georgia.
Somebody explain that to me because I can't wrap my mind around that particular comment.
And of course, the issue of the Major League Baseball All-Star game being taken away from Atlanta, which had a huge financial impact on the state.
And I just have no idea how this is going to play out, any or all of it.
But it seems like Georgia is ground zero for the messiest campaign in the country so far.
Things seem very stable for Ron DeSantis and for Marco Rubio down in Florida.
Then we move up.
It looks like Ted Budd is holding his lead in the state of North Carolina.
Tim Scott, I don't think we'll have a hard time with it.
Dr. Oz now has not only narrowed the gap, he seems to be on the verge of taking over the lead over John Fetterman as the people of Pennsylvania begin to learn about the radicalism of John Fetterman.
We'll talk to Dr. Oz at the top of the hour.
Then you go to Wisconsin.
Ron Johnson has built a pretty healthy lead as people learn more about the radicalism of Mandela Barnes.
JD Vance continues to lead in that race in Ohio.
Eric Schmidt leading in Missouri.
Adam Laxalt leading in Nevada.
Blake Masters is behind, but not by much, definitely within the margin of error.
Harry Lake seems to have taken a decent, healthy lead in terms of the gubernatorial race out there.
And then you got to look at states like New Hampshire.
Patty Murray is literally teetering on the brink in the state of Washington, which is surprising to pretty much everybody.
And then we've been following the great state, Rocky Mountain High state of Colorado.
And this guy, Joe O'Day, is doing a really good job in his campaign out there.
And, you know, can he pull it off?
It's a pretty blue state.
You never know.
All right, 25 now to the top of the hour.
800-941, Sean, if you want to be a part of the program.
New poll.
According to Axios, 43% of Americans fear inflation will continue to soar under Democratic rule if the party remains in power.
Only 24% say the same about Republicans.
Isn't it kind of obvious?
We were energy independent.
Energy is the lifeblood of the world's economy.
I am an all of the above guy.
Just for simple financial reasons, if you give me cleaner, cheaper energy, I'm in.
You don't have to sell me.
I'm going to save money.
Everybody else will save money.
Probably could go a long way if they ever developed the technology that was workable and doable.
It would probably be great to end world hunger for crying out loud.
Probably be great to make the entire world rich if you have cheap energy.
Energy is the driving force of every economy.
You know, whoever comes up with whatever the technology will be that's workable, that's clean and cheap, it's great.
But I don't see it happening in the foreseeable future.
And I define foreseeable future as the next two decades.
In the meantime, why are we unilaterally disarming economically and refusing to produce energy domestically and relying on countries that hate our guts as fossil fuels remain the lifeblood of the world's economy?
You know, what difference does it make if you're importing oil from OPEC, which is now voting to decrease production?
That's how much respect I guess they have for Joe Biden, just like the Saudis.
You know, he went to the pariah nation, Saudi Arabia, to meet MBS, who he himself had said he believes is the murderer of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and gets nothing for it.
You know, how did it work out sending emissaries to Venezuela?
How's that Iranian deal?
Why would we make Iranian mullahs that chant death to America, death to Israel?
Why would we count or rely on them for the lifeblood of our economy, which is energy?
It's insane.
I mean, these countries have got to be looking at the United States, knowing we have hundreds of years worth of natural resources, supplies of gas, oil, and coal.
And they got to be saying, how dumb are these people?
They have more resources than we do.
And we're getting really, really rich off of energy while they continue to beg us to increase production.
I mean, half of the world's energy comes from OPEC.
OPEC's response to Joe's numerous requests for more production and increase in production have been met with nope.
They just say no.
Because if they increase production, then the price will go down.
So they are artificially keeping prices up because that increases their profits.
It's crazy.
You know, we watch now Western Europe go down a really foolish road, give into climate alarmists in their respective countries, and give up all domestic production.
Now they're racing to get back as quickly as they can to producing their own energy.
They deal with billion-dollar deals with Vladimir Putin, like Germany, Italy, and other countries.
And then this war in Ukraine happens, and they're supporting Ukraine, the sovereign nation.
And as a result, Putin says, you know what?
He turns off the spigot, and now he sells his energy to China and India and just cuts off Western Europe.
Now, imagine if Joe Biden never abandoned energy independence and he held on to that, then we could just ratchet up our production in every aspect, provide Western Europe all of their needs.
We would get rich just like these countries, these OPEC nations have gotten rich for decades and decades and decades.
How is Mother Earth impacted?
If you're going to drill for a barrel of oil, you're going to frack for natural gas.
What difference does it make if you get it from Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, OPEC countries?
What impact on the environment does it have versus domestic production?
That never made sense to me.
I would rather, for national security reasons, we produce our own energy.
We create high-paying career jobs in the energy sector.
We get the benefit of lower prices at the pump because we do it cleaner.
We do it faster.
We do it cheaper.
We get the benefit then of providing Western European allies that would import energy from us and it would be certainly more stable than the deals they were making with Vladimir Putin.
And that would help bring peace and stability to the world as a net result of that.
I mean, it's insane to me.
So much at stake here.
But anyway, so that's that poll.
Energy giants now are returning to fossil fuels like coal.
Europe is now expecting heating prices to take up as much as a third of people's annual incomes if they want to heat their homes.
And I'm sure at a lower level than they perhaps used to.
It's not going to be as warm as it usually is.
But they're talking about a third of people's annual income will have to go towards heating, you know, with higher prices, 200, 300% higher than ever before.
You have firms in Europe now starting or trying to restart operations at three fossil fuel facilities after being ordered by Danish authorities to do so.
And you have governments all around Europe now trying to ready themselves for winter amid the energy crisis.
There's been predictions of a lot of people may die as a result of freezing to death over the winter.
In a statement over the weekend, this group, Ørsted, whose biggest stakeholder is the Danish state, said the direction had been made to ensure the security and electricity supply in Denmark.
And they said they have ordered now to Unit 3 and other mothballed coal production facilities to go get back in operation.
OPEC now is planning production cuts.
That will send oil prices skyrocketing as they reduce the world supply, just heading into the winter.
Midterm elections now are just weeks away.
OPEC, which now includes Russia, threatening to cut oil production.
Russia needs more money to fuel their war against Ukraine.
And Saudi Arabia, the de facto head of OPEC, is punishing Joe Biden.
I don't know why.
The summer oil price drop to $85 a barrel hit Russia's economy hard, pushing the federal government budget into a deficit, causing the stock market to sell off sharply.
Putin desperately needs higher prices.
And so he's convincing and working with and coordinating with OPEC countries, including Saudi Arabia, to decrease production, which will reduce supply, which will increase prices.
Simple Economics 101.
Job openings, by the way, here in the U.S. have unexpectedly plunged as the Biden recession is taking hold.
It was Lawrence Summers that predicted this.
He's the one that said, if you want to solve the inflation problem, you have to have a much higher unemployment issue to deal with.
But anyway, U.S. job openings dropped in August to the lowest level in over a year because the Fed is trying to bring down record high inflation and cool the labor market.
And remember, it was Summers that said we'd need at least a year or two of 10% unemployment for this to have any dramatic impact on inflation.
So the labor department is now saying that there were 10.1 million job openings in August, a major decline from the previous month, and their revised reading of 11.17 million jobs available.
So the Fed is watching those numbers as they try to gauge the labor market tightness.
The lower than expected number of openings could provide some relief for policymakers.
Meanwhile, the number of Americans quitting their jobs rose to 4.2 million or about 2.7% of the entire workforce.
I think it's a pretty high number.
That's below the high of 4.5 million recorded earlier this year, well above the pre-pandemic level of 3.6 million.
Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, conceded higher rates could give rise to increases in unemployment.
We think we need to have softer labor market conditions.
We have to get inflation behind us.
I wish there was a painless way to do that.
There isn't.
The so-called soft landing is just not going to happen.
I've been telling you, I told you that this was a band-aid.
I told you, mark my words, they're going to start running out of strategic petroleum reserves.
They're flooding the market, artificially increasing supplies.
So yeah, for a period, gas prices went down, but you're also risking national security in the process.
It's a dangerous proposition.
Anyway, in California, the last two weeks, pump prices in San Diego now rapidly approaching $7 a gallon.
NBC News says the average price of a gallon of self-served regular gas in San Diego County rose to a record Tuesday for the fourth consecutive day, going up 2.6 cents overnight to $6.42 a gallon.
Average price has risen 18 consecutive days from and 31 of the past 32 days.
I mean, that is a massive increase.
And just this Thursday, by the way, Monday and 50, what it went up a lot, six-tenths of a cent on Monday, 15.7 cents on Thursday last week, the largest daily increase since July.
And now this, as goes California, watch this is going to happen around the country.
Home prices, as we predicted also, unfortunately, I wish I was wrong.
New home construction has come to a halt.
Sale of pre-existing homes has now slowed to just a crawl.
And the value of the most substantial asset that most Americans own, which is their home, is now plunging at a pace not seen since the real estate collapse of the Great Recession.
Median home prices down 0.98% in August from a month earlier, following a 1.05% drop in July.
And, you know, watch that, that's not going to get better.
That's going to get worse.
But back to gasoline, we now have record high new prices in Los Angeles, Orange, and Riverside counties.
Gas prices rising up in Michigan, up 23 cents a gallon week over week.
Ohio, now, a lot of people in Ohio now seeing gas at over $4 a gallon again.
In Vegas, you know, people are feeling the impact of higher gas prices, and it's up dramatically out there, over $5 in a lot of the state.
And now we're having predictions by some of the biggest firms on Wall Street that we may see gas, a barrel of oil price go up to $150 a gallon.
But anyway, so gas prices extend, rebound.
We're now close to $4 a gallon nationally.
California increased to 6.257 average from last week's 5.727 per gallon.
Washington State, it's up to $5.20 a gallon.
Arizona is up to $4.5, $4.46, $4.46 a gallon.
Michigan, up to $4.15.
But it's, you know, this is the stuff that, you know, is budget killing for people.
This is why the Heritage Foundation estimates that Biden's inflation is costing the average household $7,200 more than when Donald Trump was president.
You might not like Donald Trump.
You might not like his personality.
You may not like his tweeting, might not like the fact that he was combative.
But certainly you can say on the issue of the economy, energy, borders, law and order, safety, security, education, rock solid.
This is the competing visions for the future of the country.
You know, I'm a conservative because conservatism works, not for any other reason.
It's basic common sense.
You believe in limited government, our liberty, freedom, our constitution, capitalism.
We want less government.
We're not undertax.
We're overtaxed.
We need less bureaucracy, less government involvement in our lives.
You need law and order so everyone can pursue happiness freely and safely.
You need an education system that lives up to the basics, and that's the reading, writing, math, science, history, and computers.
You need secure borders.
You need energy independence.
Start there.
Then you need peace through strength and free and fair trade deals.
It's simple to be a conservative.
It's not that complicated.
Anyway, one other article on Europe that I had today, energy experts are sounding the alarm on Europe's energy crisis.
They're calling it a clear and present warning for America.
In other words, what they're saying here is you got a group of energy and environmental experts on U.S. climate policy.
They're looking at what happened in Europe as they abandoned their energy security and domestic production and relied on Vladimir Putin.
And they're saying, don't make the same mistakes here, which we're doing.
By the way, supermarket discounts now are harder to find because food prices are rising.
And if they're not rising, you know, what a lot of companies have done is they're just cutting back on the size of the items that you buy.
If you're buying a 20-ounce Coke, for example, you might get a 16-ounce Coke for the same amount of money.
And I'm not singling out Coca-Cola.
I'm just saying as an example that comes straight to my head.
Anyway, 800-941-Sean is our number.
You want to be a part of the program.
We have Dr. Oz at the top of the hour.
That race is now in play.
Even the Cook Report has now moved it to a toss-up from Leaning Democrat.
And I think the more people in Pennsylvania learn about how radical John Fetterman is, the more likely Dr. Oz gets elected.
And I think the fact that he's been hiding from the people of Pennsylvania and hiding his record and cleaning up his website, not helping them.
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Every day, Sean Hannity is on his arm.
All right, loaded up today.
Dr. Oz's massive comeback.
It is now the tightest race in the U.S. Senate right now going on as John Fetterman is hiding from the media, not answering any questions, doesn't want to debate.
And when he does a rally, doesn't mention anything of substance.
We'll get to that.
Elise Defana coming up and a school teacher that bailed on the union.