Dave Rubin outlines his 2026 predictions, forecasting a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by summer, Gavin Newsom's non-candidacy, and the Seattle Seahawks winning the Super Bowl. He anticipates Bitcoin hitting $150, Tesla's Optimus robot launch, and President Trump firing cabinet members while facing a clash with Mayor Eric Adams over ICE raids. Rubin also expects interest rate cuts, Corey Booker's marriage dynamics, and a "midget" pop culture resurgence, concluding that these diverse forecasts will define the year's political and technological landscape without moving goalposts until January 3rd, 2026. [Automatically generated summary]
And then, of course, most of them will pretend they were right no matter what happens.
Well, I'm not going to do that.
I am recording this at the end of December of 2025 before any of these things actually happen.
And in this video that we are putting out on January 3rd, 2026, I will lay out all of my 2026 predictions, what's coming in politics, economy, culture, celebrity, and the media narratives that they'll be pushing, whether they're true or not.
Some of this stuff, I suppose, will sound obvious.
Some of it will make you uncomfortable.
And a few of these predictions are probably going to age pretty well.
We're going to revisit this at the end of 2026 and see how I did.
No moving goalposts, no rewriting history.
We're going to put it all on the record.
Oh, and for the record, my team put all these questions in, so I have no idea what I'm about to make predictions on other than the broad topics that I just mentioned.
So without further ado, here are my predictions for 2026.
Here we go.
Will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential campaign?
That's how we're starting this thing.
Will he do it in 2026?
That seems very early to me.
And with the midterms coming, he won't do it before then.
And then that really only leaves the rest of November and December.
I'm going to say no.
Gavin Newsom will not announce a presidential run in 2026.
Who will win the NBA finals?
Oklahoma City Thunder, Denver Duggets, New York Knicks, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Lakers, or San Antonio Spurs?
In that I have not watched a minute of the NBA this year, and I suppose you could have picked any of the teams in that entire thing.
I'm going to pick, you know, and the heat were not on that list even.
I was going to try to pull for my own Miami heat.
I'm going to say the San Antonio Spurs because they've got the tall guy, Wembawako, who doesn't have to dribble and can dunk from the three-point line.
It's something that I said towards the latter half of 25, which is that Trump is going to need major wins before the midterms.
I think there's going to be a bunch of economic wins, but I think doing something on the Russia-Ukraine thing before the midterms will bode really, really well.
I'm thinking like summer of 26, June, July of 26.
That's what I would look at.
I think, yes, it will mostly be wrapped up.
Maybe not like the perfect piece.
You know, it may end up sort of like an Israel-Hamas thing.
It's not like peace peace, but at least the temporary stoppage of the killing.
And if the rates come down and people start seeing they can buy houses again and it just loosens up that liquidity in the economy, that will be real good.
Will Tesla's Optimus robot be available for purchase?
I think Elon said, well, didn't he originally say end of 25, if I'm not mistaken?
Now they're probably looking at end of 26.
Yeah, I'm going to say yes.
I feel like he's got something big coming this year.
It's probably not going to be the colony on Mars just yet.
You know, people, we've had sort of joke in the house about like whether we're going to get the Optimus robot or not.
And it's like, in some sense, you can't fight City Hall.
These things are always coming.
Now, do we want more devices that are listening to everybody and spying on you?
And is the robot just going to attack me in the middle of the night?
Like all of those things.
But to me, I think I'm going to get it when that thing comes out.
And it's going to sit right there and it's going to be staring at you guys throughout the show.
Will Trump fire anyone in his cabinet?
That's a good one.
So will anyone get fired this year?
Well, look, what do we know?
We know that Bongino just left.
He hasn't fired anyone yet, right?
It feels like for a little bit of drama, that sort of thing.
Will Trump's tariffs be shut down by the Supreme Court?
That's an interesting one.
I don't think so.
But it seems like some of it will get fought in the Supreme Court.
But I don't think so.
I think they would ultimately, especially the more conservative members of the Supreme Court, would view that as that.
That would be a pretty big bridge to have to say that the judiciary branch is allowed to stop the economic branch as it comes to trade deals and economic policy.
I know a lot of people thought it wasn't as great.
I really enjoyed it.
It's beautifully shot.
If you haven't watched it, the music's great.
The acting's great.
It's funny and dark and twisted and weird and all that stuff.
Will Zorhan and Trump have a public clash similar to Zelensky's meeting this year?
You know, that's interesting because Trump definitely did keep your friends close and your enemies closer with him at the White House and that whole moment with Trump sitting at the Oval Office at the desk and Zorhan standing there.
There's going to be something.
There's going to be something.
I mean, what would be the obvious one is that it's going to come down to ICE because if ICE continues the raids, which they damn well better, they're going to be up against it in New York where they're going to actively, it's not just that they're not going to work with ICE, but he's making it clear the city is going to use its resources against ICE and gin up the people against ICE.
So yeah, a clash is a coming there.
Will the USA sweep the Winter Olympics in February?