First time in his career, as a pollster, he has no idea what's going to happen in the election.
And I think I figure I think that's probably true.
I think none of the pollsters have any idea what's going to happen, which is why all these polls show it tied within the margin of error.
Nobody knows.
And in fact, it is rare that anybody knows before an election what's going to happen.
I mean, there are very few times that circumstances are such that you just know.
64 was one of those times.
1980.
I mean, the electorate's a different demographic makeup and all that than 1980.
But 1980, nobody knew it was that.
You remember that Reagan landslide, 1980?
I'll never forget that.
Jimmy Carter conceded before the California polls were closed.
And in the polling in that election in 1980, nobody knew.
They had it toss up.
Some even had Carter ahead.
Now, there weren't nearly as many polls back then.
There weren't nearly as many polls as often back then.
And much different voter demographic, ethnic makeup, so forth.
Entirely different.
Still, the parallels are fascinating, nevertheless, just for the sake of discussion.
Great to have you back with us here, folks.
El Rushbo, serving humanity simply by being here.
Our telephone number, 800-282-2882.
And the email address, so we do check them.
Sometimes I even read them.
It's El Rushbo at EIBnet.com.
They have no clue.
Although I should say, Dan Rather was on MSNBC this morning.
He was on with Joe Scarborough.
And Dan Rather said that he thinks Mitt Romney is going to have a very good day today.
I don't know anybody else in the lib media saying that.
Romney does look.
What do you mean Romney looks good?
Oh, I'm told that Romney looks good today.
Don't look nervous, doesn't look worn out.
You know, Obama showed up at Chicago.
He went to one of his campaign offices, stopped in there on his way home.
Hey, here's another thing.
I've mentioned the blog Hillbuzz to you before, and I check it occasionally.
Kevin Dujan, if I'm pronouncing that right, runs that blog.
I remember when I first heard about him, I thought it was a bunch of women for Hillary, but it's a guy who was for Hillary.
He became a big fan of this program during Operation Chaos.
But he pointed out a couple weeks ago that, you know, Obama did not book Grant Park for tonight for his election night address to the troops.
Grant Park was where he held his election night celebration in 2008.
Obama has booked McCormick Place in Chicago, which reputedly, it's not the most accessible place in the world.
It's not the easiest place in the world to get to.
It's on the lakefront, but I don't know why it's not easy to get to, but it certainly is not as accessible as Grant Park.
But they didn't apply for permits and permission, Grant Park, ever at any time.
And some people are reading into that that the Obama camp figures it's going to lose.
You know, you book McCormick Place where not nearly as many people can get in.
Hey, folks, I'm just sharing you.
You want to know what I'm hearing?
I'm telling you.
I'm not attaching any weight to any of this.
I'm not predicting an outcome here subtly or openly in any way.
I'm just telling you what I hear.
I mean, everybody emails.
What are you hearing?
Have you got any exit polls yet?
When I hear stuff, I'll tell you.
Obama goes into his campaign office and starts, and he makes phone calls.
He sits down, he gets a nice round of applause in his own campaign team, which makes sense.
They're all jazzed in there, and he starts calling voters, part of the get out of the vote drive.
And the first woman he calls doesn't know who he is or doesn't believe it's him, you know, one of the two.
So he's laughing and chatting with her.
What?
When do I find out the early voting trends?
I'm on the tail end of finding that stuff out.
Other people have to find out and then shovel it to me.
So probably 5 o'clock is when I'll hear something.
That's when it was last year.
Or 2008 is when it was.
And the same thing in 2004.
2004, actually, there was a wave that was released before the program ended.
And it was bad for Bush.
It was really bad for Bush.
And I'd have to go back.
I think I mentioned, maybe I didn't mention the 2 o'clock wave because I didn't want to depress anybody.
But I don't think I did mention it, but I remember I didn't believe it.
I do remember.
Yeah, that's what it was.
I didn't tell you.
I had the 2 o'clock wave, and it was disastrous for Bush.
Folks, it was, and I was debating whether or not to mention it.
And then after a while, I said, even if Bush is going to lose, it ain't like this.
This just doesn't make any sense.
And it turned out that the exit poll wave at 2 o'clock and 5 o'clock, both of them, were dead wrong.
Yes, I'm not holding back anything.
I haven't heard anything.
And I'll tell you this.
Not only that, we learned about the exit polls.
We learned that they were fraudulently taken.
We learned that the exit pollsters were sort of like interns that were hired.
There's only one company that does exit polls for every network.
The networks don't do them individually.
Just one outfit.
I don't remember who it is.
Well, I'll tell you this.
I have heard, and it's secondhand.
It's from a friend.
But, you know, the toughest part of my life is weaving through the BS.
Everybody tells me stuff has good intentions.
They want to help.
But it's like the guy who called from Iowa.
Hey, I got big news here, man.
The Republican turned out himself in the room.
Really?
How many?
38.
Oh.
But to him, that's big news.
38 Republicans, seven Democrats in his polling place.
Percentage-wise, it was big.
But you can't extrapolate anything from that.
It doesn't mean anything.
You've got to be very careful.
So I have to sift through everything everybody tells us.
I got a little blurb this morning.
I don't even know whether it's true.
So that's why I didn't make a big deal out of telling you.
In fact, I don't think it is.
It doesn't sound believable at all.
But the person who told me to it swears by it.
It is simply this, that the exit poll firm, there's a guy who's been hired, and he told a friend of a friend that he has been ordered not to interview any white elderly people when he does his exit polls.
Okay, so that would mean that whoever's doing the exit polls wants a rigged result to use before the polls have closed to affect our so there's so much of this kind of stuff happens on election day,
And I have so much of it flowing in here that you the, the the the best thing to do is believe none of it and then make note of it and then go back after the fact and look at see if any of it was true so that you can make some value judgment for the uh, for the future.
For example, Obama finishes last night in tears in a half empty arena.
Now, what does that mean to you?
What does it mean in terms of the election?
Because somebody just said to me it was HR, yeah, Romney really looks good.
So what does that mean?
Well, he doesn't look nervous, he looks really happy.
Oh okay, from that we infer that Romney knows he's winning.
No, we don't know that.
I don't know that Romney knows he's winning.
I, he may, I have the slightest idea.
But then Obama, no voice Clinton, no voice Clinton, saying odd stuff.
Like you wanna, you want to elect the guy lies you all the time.
Well then, keep voting Obama.
He finishes before a half empty arena in tears, crying.
Is it because it's his last election here?
Folks like I put together here at the top of my stack just to show you your fired-up crowd, empty seats.
Greet Obama in Ohio.
That's some real clear politics.
Tearful Obama ends campaign in Iowa.
Ended his campaign by crying, but if you remember, it worked for Hillary.
Crying worked for Hillary.
It's how she won the New Hampshire primary in 2008.
So maybe Bill's telling Obama to cry.
He's crying because he knows he's losing, it's his last campaign.
Michelle is talking about how it's the last campaign and then there are a couple of other stories from the drive-bys that if you, if you lose control, you can tell yourself that they are setting the stage for an Obama defeat Obama.
Not so happy warrior.
That's one headline.
It's Politico if Obama loses.
Why?
There are stories to explain why Obama lost already out there.
And then Obama, not so happy warrior.
Barack Obama's enthusiasm gap began at home.
There's a surprisingly simple explanation for Obama's up-and-down performance as a candidate for the lackluster TV appearances, for that epic flip-flop October 3rd and the November debate stage that might yet cost him the presidency.
If Obama loses, who is to blame?
That's a headline.
And some of that stuff's from Politico.
Then in the next one, this is New York Times.
A president's last race, win or lose.
And here's the last couple of paragraphs.
The president did not contemplate the possibility of defeat, but said he and his family would be fine no matter what the outcome.
Well, we've heard that two or three times.
He said, whatever happens, Michelle and I'll be fine.
The Obama Center for Social Justice in Hawaii.
He's not a nervous man, but even his famous cool may be challenged on Tuesday night.
For the prop, it's all over but the waiting while Mr. Pluff makes some phone calls and bothers some more people.
That's how the New York Times story ends.
And then there was Stephanie Cutter.
Don't panic over the early exit polls.
Don't get yourself into any trouble.
So if you look, you can find evidence.
And you guys said, Dan Rather, Romney's going to have a good day.
And by the way, grab somebody to A.B. Stoddard, A.B. StoddardoTheHill.com.
She was on Reda last night.
Greta Van Sustrin, I think it's one of the hardest working women in TV, by the way.
Greta Van Custran spoking with the Hill editor or columnist A.B. Stoddard about the presidential race.
Greta said, Dick Morris, Carl Rove, Newt Gingrich, Michael Barone, Rush Limbossi, Romney going to win, and they give it by pretty sizable margins.
What would you say to them, A.B.?
I think that they could be right.
I think Romney can win small and he can win very big.
I think if President Obama wins, he eks it out with a small margin.
But I think it's entirely possible that the Republicans are right and that the electorate, the model that the Democrats are looking at is not correct and that Romney not only wins, but wins big.
I also think there's a very good chance if you look at all those states we're talking about where it's so tight that he wins small.
So she sees three outcomes.
By the way, which is an echo of Mark Halper in Time Magazine two weeks ago.
Three outcomes.
Romney wins big or small, or Obama wins small.
So my point is, whatever you want to believe, you can find it out there.
If you want to believe Romney's toast, you can go find it.
If you want to believe Romney's winning and it's going to be a secret big read, you can find it.
If you want to read that the exit polls are corrupt, you can find that.
I'm hearing it all.
Now I have to take a brief obscene profit time out, my friend.
Sit tight.
We'll be back with more right after this.
The most dangerous man in America, Rush Lynn Boss, serving humanity would have my brain tied behind my back.
Just to make it fair.
Here's Tim in Champaign, Illinois.
I'm glad you called, sir.
Great to have you on the EIB network.
Hello.
Sir, it's an honor.
I just wanted to call and thank you.
About three years ago, I found you and you kind of opened my mind and educated me on the whole process.
I was a Democrat since I was able to vote.
I voted for Gore Kerry, and I am sorry about this, but I voted for Obama.
But today I want to say that I'm proud and I voted for Mitt Romney.
Well, that's encouraging news.
Why were you a Democrat?
There's no wrong answer here.
I'm just, I'm curious.
What was it?
I grew up in a Democratic family.
I grew up in Chicago.
My mom worked for Democrats.
She worked for a couple aldermen out there, mayor, and just kind of got brainwashed with the whole Democratic Party seeing that the Republicans were for the rich and they were the boogeyman and et cetera, et cetera.
And I kind of fell into that trap that, you know, you were the boogeyman not to listen to you.
And, you know, in 2008, when I voted for Obama, I kind of fell into that whole thing.
Were you listening?
Let me ask you.
I don't mean to make this about me, but I'm genuinely curious from a professional reason.
Were you listening to me in 2008?
Kind of on it off, not too much.
I didn't give you too much credit or whatnot.
I believed the whole Democrat thing that you were a bad man.
When you did hear me in 2008 during the campaign critical of Obama and warning about Obama, you just ignored it, rejected it, or thought that I was full of it, something like that.
Pretty much the whole thing.
I just rejected the whole thing.
I was like, Obama's a good man.
He's going to give us hope and change, etc.
I voted for him, and after about a year, you know.
And you were mad at me for not seeing that about Obama.
Were you mad at me that I was saying so?
I wasn't mad to each his own.
It was your own opinion.
I just ignored it.
I thought you were completely wrong.
Like I said, I was brainwashed.
So I was all in that Obama phase where he was.
Well, then what was it that I said?
And I'm not trying to make this about me.
There are professional reasons for asking this.
What was it I said that reached you?
Basically, you started telling the truth, and I started realizing, hey, you're not lying to you.
But I always was telling the truth.
What made you start hearing it?
Just a lot of the actions that Obama was doing, you know, after he got voted in, everything he was doing, and then it coincided with.
So this is important.
I didn't talk you out anything.
Obama exposed himself as the fraud.
True.
See, this is why I was asking.
I didn't talk you out of anything.
You eventually, Obama was not what he was said to be.
He was not what he said he was going to be.
He was not what the media said he was going to be.
And you saw that.
Yeah, and the bad thing about it is, you know, at the time, I didn't see, I didn't much care for Bush, but our finances were fine at the time with me and my wife because we're middle class.
And since Obama's taking over, me and my wife are essentially living paycheck to paycheck.
We're paying higher for fuel, higher for, you know, our efficiencies, gas and all that, higher for food.
It's taken all his presidency is taking a real huge finance.
It is totally reasonable, totally understandable why you would hate Bush.
A, you're born a Democrat, you raised a Democrat, and during that period of time, the media is doing nothing but dumping on Bush for five years straight.
Bush is lying, Bush is this, Bush is Hitler, counting the number of deaths in Iraq.
If you're a Democrat, you couldn't help hating Bush.
Oh, yeah.
And like I said, I had a closed mind.
I wouldn't open myself up to listen to you until after Obama.
And then after that, I found you and Hannity and Levin and started realizing, hey, these guys are telling the truth.
They're not just out here making Obama.
But what made that happen was that somehow you saw through Obama.
Obama revealed himself to be unlike what you thought he was when you voted for him.
Yeah, absolutely.
And I just wish some of the people I knew who...
My point is that you're not the only one to whom this has happened.
No.
So, and I, like I said, I just wish some of the other people would realize that.
You know, over the years, my mind has been opened up by what I'm saying.
Well, we'll see how many have.
I don't think you're alone by any stretch of the imagination.
But like I said, I am proud today.
I went and I did cast my vote for Mitt Romney.
I'm not ashamed to say that.
You know, hopefully tonight he'll be the president and we can move forward and things get together.
This has got to be, because I can't imagine how you feel.
I mean, I know you feel liberated and happy, but you know, I can't, for myself, I can't imagine this happening to me the other way around.
I can't imagine somebody opening my eyes and, for example, making me vote Obama.
For this to happen to these people, I mean, these people who voted for Obama were committed for one reason or another.
This is this could be big.
Okay, from the politico.
It is more blame in advance if Obama loses.
This time, it's the youth vote was ignored.
If Obama loses, rock the vote.
Youth vote was ignored.
The story in a nutshell is that whoever runs rock the vote says nationally most young people have been ignored by both campaigns.
And the youth enthusiasm, it just wasn't what it should have been.
Well, folks, we got a major problem here because I was watching earlier before the program started and that loco weed, Van Jones, was on CNN.
And they asked him, what's going to be the difference in the election today, Van?
And Van just said the youth vote.
You watch us what nobody's talking about.
The youth vote, they're going to come out.
They're going to come out in bigger numbers even in 2008 for Obama.
The youth vote is going to make...
Hey, here, rock the vote says nobody's paying attention to us.
There's no enthusiasm in a youth vote.
I've heard plenty of anecdotal evidence stories that the college, college professors have said their students couldn't care less this year, like compared to 2008.
They're just not into it.
This last guy that called the longtime Democrat voted for Obama.
Did you hear what Realville was for him?
Realville for him.
Gas prices, the economy, living paycheck to paycheck.
And did you hear what he said?
He said he hated Bush, but the economy was okay then.
The economy was okay then.
And he thought Obama was going to make it better, but it's gotten worse.
Those are real life things.
And that coupled with the bloom came off the Obama rose.
And then that mixed with the fact that he was finally hearing things uttered by me and others that started to make sense to him when combined with all the other things he was thinking and feeling.
But I was telling Snerdley and everybody during the break, we hear from Democrats on this program all the time who say that they're former Democrats now and that they've been listening to this show for a long time and they finally switched and they're calling me very happy about it.
Which is great.
And I'm not trying to impugn that at all.
I don't misunderstand.
Snerdley, I think, misunderstood me, the point I was making, and I don't want you to.
I can't imagine that happening to me.
There's nothing that anybody could say, and there's nothing that could happen short of Obama doing a 180 and becoming a different guy that would make me support him.
It would just never happen because conservatism is an intellectual pursuit and it results from an attachment to the founding of the country and to the notion of freedom and liberty and the role of government in that whole equation.
It's not a popularity contest.
To me, it's not about who looks better or who makes me feel better.
Well, that's not entirely true.
Reagan made a lot of people feel good about being Americans again.
So that does matter.
But I could never imagine that happening to me.
And we hear about it frequently on this program, Democrats giving it up, chucking it, and becoming conservatives or Republicans.
And it's a major thing, is my point.
It's not an insignificant thing when it happens.
I'll never forget after the 2002 midterms, when the Democrats thought, because of history, that they were going to pick up seats.
They hated Bush.
They were just starting in on their opposition to Bush on the way he was handling 9-11.
And the Republicans gained seats in the 2002 midterms.
Tom Dashel, at the time, was the majority leader of the Democrats in the Senate.
And he blabbed something he shouldn't have said.
The Democrats were really rocked by that election.
And that was the election where the exit poll showed that value voters made the difference.
So the Democrats were all out there saying, well, we're going to become value guys.
We're going to pay very close attention to values.
And Dashel said, our experts told us that it's not just Republicans who listen to Rush Limbaugh.
There are Democrats who listen to Rush Limbaugh and they change their minds.
And we are very concerned.
And it's ever since then that their efforts to impugn and discredit me have really ratcheted up.
But that's, it's still a major thing to have.
Can any of you imagine out of, I don't know, just changing your mind and becoming an Obama voter?
I don't think there are very many Republicans in this election that are going to vote for Obama.
CNN Pulse is 99% of all Republican votes are going to Romney.
1% are going to go to Obama.
And so Jay-Z, a noted rap figure in American pop culture, noted Obama bundler and fundraiser and supporter, performed live with Obama, who is the President of the United States, at a campaign event in Columbus, Ohio yesterday.
Now, remember, it is Obama and the Democrats who claimed that it's the Republicans who are conducting a war on women.
So here Mr. Z, who I think the most often used word in his lyrics is hoes and bitches, is performing for the President of the United States and his supporters at a half-filled arena in Columbus, Ohio.
Now, we don't know what's in Mr. Z's heart, but Mr. Z performed his song 99 Problems and he changed the lyrics.
He changed the word bitch to mitt.
And we have just a little 16-second blurb of this.
Now, this took place, again, in Columbus, Ohio, at a rally for the President of the United States, who is conducting a campaign accusing the Republicans of conducting a war on women.
If you're having girl problems, I come back to you, son.
I got $99 worth.
It ain't one.
I got the rap patrol on the gap and throw.
Foes that want to make sure my casket closed.
Rap critics who pay me his money cash up.
I'm from the hood, stupid.
What type of facts are those?
Need to repeat the lyric line there.
If you're having girl problems, I feel bad for you, son.
I got 99 problems, but Mitt ain't one.
The word bitch is normally in the lyric line there, but he said Mitt.
I got the rap patrol on the Gap Patrol, foes that want to make sure my casket's closed, rap critics that say he's money cash hoes.
I'm from the hood, stupid.
What type of facts are those?
That's at a campaign rally for the president of the United States, at a half-filled arena.
Prior to that, it was Bruce Springsteen who took the phone from Obama and called the governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie, fulfilling a lifelong dream of the governor to talk to the boss.
Governor Christie said he went home and wept that that call had such meaning.
Michelle Obama, last night in Des Moines, Iowa, at a campaign event.
This is a pretty emotional time for us because this is the final event of my husband's final campaign.
So this is the last time that he and I will be on stage together at a campaign rally.
Well, no, not really.
Not if you win, he's going to be, I mean, I know what she's trying to say here.
But this evoking the sympathy vote, it's our last rally together.
It's our last campaign.
Is that how you're thinking as you're embarking on a second term?
If you're thinking about embarking on a second term, with all the wonderful flexibility you're going to have to deal with Putin and Russia and all the wonderful flexibility you're going to have to do whatever you want to do to this country, that nobody can stop you and you're looking at it as your last rally.
Here's Obama himself in Des Moines last night.
I want to take this opportunity to say one thing to all the young people and not so young people, who've given so much to this campaign over the years, those of you who haven't done this just for me, but for each other, for a laid-off family member, for a sick child, for a fallen friend, to all of you who've lived and breathed the hard work of change, I want to thank you.
Sounds like a guy saying goodbye.
I'm sorry, sounds like a guy saying goodbye.
Michelle Obama is also telling crowds in Florida don't let anybody push you out of line don't let anybody push you out of what is she worried about bull Connor don't let anybody push you out of line that's the warning to Florida
I'm I'm I'm fascinated by the the view that liberals have of this country You haven't done this just for me, but you've done it for a late old family member, a sick child, fallen print.
Do you realize they look out across this, all they see is misery?
That's all they see is misery.
And everything they do bounces off of misery.
They want you to see it the same way.
They want you to feel miserable.
They're there to help you through the misery.
Anyway, I got to take a break, my friends, because of the constraints of the programming format.
We will be back.
I was just watching the Romneys in here walking to a rally.
I guess they're, I don't know, man, maybe it's New Hampshire, it's Ohio somewhere.
It's on television.
And, you know, I have to say, they are the most wholesome, the most normal, pleasant-looking couple that I can think of in public life.
Just they just look happy, confident, happy in their own skins.
Saying normal is going to offend people, and I don't want to offend anybody with this.
They're just, I just think it'd be a shame if a country miss out on such a good guy as Romney seems to be.
I think it'd be a real, real shame.
Just the contrast in the two.
Culturally and substantively, Romney knows it isn't about him.
If Obama, everything's about him.
You couldn't have a greater contrast here.
You couldn't, really couldn't.
And it's all about voting, folks.
All these stories and all of the media coverage and all the polling data, it just, it always comes down to voting.
And that's what you have to do.
Still have plenty of time if you haven't.
And never ever think that your vote's going to be made up by somebody else that you don't have to.
It doesn't work that way.
One other thing today is the absolute last chance to stop Obamacare.