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Nov. 6, 2012 - Rush Limbaugh Program
36:39
November 6, 2012, Tuesday, Hour #1
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Welcome to today's edition of the Rush 24-7 podcast.
I just have a couple questions for you today, folks.
Maybe three questions.
Well, actually it's going to end up to be more than that, but at least two to three questions to start with.
And of course, a couple of observations, and we will try to squeeze in some of your phone calls during the program today, all of it on election day.
And I may I've been really thinking about something that, by the way, greetings.
Great to have you here.
Here's the phone number if you want to be on the program 800-282-2882, the email address Lrushball at EIBNet.com.
Let me get to the questions first.
Very simple question.
Do you think that more Republicans will vote for Mitt Romney today than voted for John McCain in 2008?
I assume everybody's saying yes.
And by the way, welcome to all of the libs and Democrat buddies that we have.
I know that election day, they tune in here in droves because what they want to hear is us giving up.
They want to hear frustration.
They want to hear resignation.
They just can't wait.
They just want to hear that because they're not sure.
They're insecure.
They don't know who to believe, who to trust.
And so they want to get some sign from this program that everything's going to be okay for them.
So just these questions is to ask you the question again.
Will more Republicans vote for Romney than voted for McCain in 2008?
Yes.
Will fewer Democrats vote for Obama this year than voted for Obama in 2008?
You may be a little undecided on that last question.
Let me rephrase it.
Do you think more Democrats will vote for Obama this year than voted for him in 2008?
Does anybody think that?
Okay, so if you those those two questions alone answer this.
And it let me give you another set of facts, just to calm the by the way, Stephanie Cutter, the uh uh Obama campaign aide has warned all of the Democrats and liberals to ignore the exit polls.
She sent out tweets, she's been on uh media Facebook, everywhere, emails, don't pay any attention to the first couple waves of exit polls.
She says the reason that the exit polls are gonna show the Republicans ahead is that the Democrats have so much voted in advance.
So much early voting has taken place that their votes are already banked.
And it won't be reflected in the exit polls.
Now normally it's our side that's telling everybody be worried, don't don't don't pay attention to the exit polls.
Now they're doing it.
Brad Thor, the thriller author, lives in Chicago, is saying that he has heard that the regime is going to proclaim an early victory, say three or four o'clock this afternoon, in an effort to suppress Republican vote.
In Ohio, the Gannett newspaper, the Gannett website, Cincinnati Nile.com, inadvertently, it's according to our buddy Ed Morrissey in Hot Air, inadvertently published the fact that Romney is up 92,000 votes in Ohio early voting, and then Gannett pulled the link.
And nobody knows why Gannett pulled the link.
The data is still up at their site, or it was as of 930, but they have pulled that link from the front page.
And the reason that they put, I think, is that Ohio does not release early voting data separately.
They wait till the end of the day to release it all together.
But somehow Gannett got some early voting numbers that showed Romney up 92,000, and they pulled it.
I don't know what to I'm just telling you what's out there, folks.
You can digest this as you will.
But I think it's interesting, it comes on the heels of Stephanie Cutter saying, don't pay the attention to the first wave of exit polls.
Because they're going to favor the Republicans, because our votes are already in.
We've early voted out the Wazoo out there.
And it won't be counted.
Now, as you know, I have been making a big deal about 2010 as a turnout model as opposed to 2008.
I don't think there's any similarity in this election of 2008.
And let me repeat it again.
Why?
I mean, this is not wishful thinking.
This is direct pure analysis.
I I think everything about Obama has to be contrasted to 2008, not last week or two weeks ago or six months ago, but 2008 when it comes to voting for him.
2008, who was he?
He was whatever you wanted him to be positively.
You could make him a messiah, and he was.
You could make him a guy that was going to end partisanship, and he was.
You could make him out to be a guy that was going to make the world love us, and he was.
You could make him out to be a guy that was going to end all war and close club get mo and create jobs, and he was all of that.
This is, I think, crucially important, understanding the fundamentals of this election.
And the polling data isn't going to get anywhere near this.
The polls are not asking these kinds of questions.
They're not going anywhere near this.
But I don't know how you can avoid it.
I don't know how you can avoid the Obama of 2008 versus the Obama of today and the 2010 election.
And none of those things are factored in with anything that you see in any analysis or any polling that I could be all wet too.
We'll find out in due course.
But the Obama of 2012, in comparison to the Obama of 2008, is a giant letdown.
I mean, the you talk about air out of the balloon.
None of what people thought he was.
I mean, even this, you know, that that uh the black colonist in the LA Times who wrote the piece, The Magic Negro.
I mean, even not even that survives.
Not one of the positives that people attached to Barack Obama in 2008 is alive today.
It survives.
We know that he is a divider, not a uniter.
We know that the wars are not over.
We know that he's incompetent in foreign policy vis-a-vis Benghazi and the Arab Spring.
We know that jobs are worse, poverty is up, the number of Americans on food stamps is up, and home prices dipped in September.
The Obama economy continues.
Home prices uh slipped in September after gaining for six months in a row as values are weighed down by cheaper distressed sales.
There isn't any good economic news.
There isn't one thing that Obama has done that's improved.
Everything he's done, everything he's touched has gotten worse.
Now you compare that to 2008, and remember, you got a lot of votes.
Obama got a lot of votes because he was the blank slate, because anybody could make him out to be whatever they wanted.
Now he's a known quantity, not nearly as glittering, not nearly as shining, and so the votes that he's going to get today are perfunctory.
There are votes of loyalty, there are votes primarily Democrats that are going to be loyal, but if there's no enthusiasm, there's no energy.
Obama's crowds, I mean, even with Bruce Springsteen and Jay-Z, he filled only half an arena last night in Iowa.
Meanwhile, Romney at 1115 in New Hampshire is sold out of a huge amount.
To be fair, he had Kid Rock with him.
All of these fundamentals, all the externals, don't jive with what we're hearing in the polls.
That's what's so confounding about this.
That's what has people so confused.
The externals are things that you can see, the things you can feel, the things you can touch, the things that you can sense.
Don't jibe with the polling data.
But the polling data carries a lot of weight in people's minds.
People are afraid to go against it.
People are afraid to say polls are wrong.
But I'm just going to tell you that if the GOP turns out today like they did in 2010, it's over.
It's no more complicated than that.
And that's why 2010 matters.
And is there anything that's happened between 2010 and today to make the GOP less enthusiastic?
What would it be?
Somebody tell me why, what has happened between 2010 and today to make the Tea Party, for example, less enthusiastic.
And my take on it is the Tea Party's bigger.
The Tea Party has transformed now.
They're not just a bunch of malcontents at town halls.
They now are deep-rooted grassroots organizations that have gigantic get out the vote operations.
They're much different.
They have evolved and they've grown.
What has happened between 2010 and today to lessen Republican enthusiasm?
By the same token, what's happened between 2010 and today to jack up or ramp up Democrat enthusiasm?
So I'll go through these observations again and then take commercial break.
And when we come back, you know that CNN poll yesterday that had it tied 4949 with a Democrat plus 11 sample.
I looked at that poll.
And there is a piece of information in that poll that if it is accurate, makes Dick Morris right on the money.
It is a stunning, in fact.
Little bitty piece of information that's tucked away in a chart at nine out of ten, ninety-nine out of a hundred, nine hundred and ninety-nine out of a thousand people would gloss over and not even see.
But if it's right, if it's right, folks, we're whistling Dixie here.
I'll get to that in just a moment.
Again, the question.
Do you think more Republicans will vote today than did in 2008 for John McCain?
Do you think fewer Democrats will vote today than did for Obama in 2008?
Fine.
If the turnout, Republican turnout, is like 2010, Romney wins big.
If it's like 2004, Romney wins big.
How if the turnout today is like 2008, then Obama's gonna win.
It's that simple.
If the turnout's like 2000, does anybody think that the turnout's gonna be 2008?
Yeah, the polls do.
The polls all do.
And by the way, let me clarify something for you in these polls.
Let's use CNN.
CNN Democrat sample plus 11.
Many people misunderstand that CNN puts that together that way on purpose.
That's not what happens.
CNN is not deciding to interview 11% more Democrats than Republicans because they think that's what the turnout's gonna be.
CNN just calling their sample.
If 1,200 people and call 1,200 people.
And of that 1,200 people, there were plus 11 Democrats in that sample.
That's why they do it.
It's not that they're orchestrating it.
It's not that they're saying we want a sample of Democrat plus 11, so that's what we're gonna put together.
That's what genuinely happens when they make their phone calls or do their interviews.
Then you add some things that Republicans don't usually talk to pollsters, particularly evangelicals.
But that's why the polls believe what they believe.
They are not assembling these samples.
They're making their phone calls.
Now their sample, who knows what they know before they put it together, but I'm telling you, they will tell you, and any other professional pollster will tell you that no, no, no, we just called our 1200 people, and it turned out today that we ended up with a Democrat sample of plus eleven.
Scott Rasmussen today, by the way, said, I have no clue.
I have no idea.
I don't know what's gonna happen.
First time in my career, I have no idea.
Ed Goaz, the battleground poll, last battleground poll, has it Romney by a point and a half.
That's about 1,200,000 votes.
That's enough to win.
Plus the Electoral College.
But there's this little thing in this CNN poll.
That I want to run by you.
I don't want to make too big a deal of it because nobody has.
And it but it's there.
I mean, it's in their poll that everybody's touting is one of the polls that we should believe.
So we'll be back here brief, obscene profit timeout.
We'll come back and continue right after this.
And here we are.
Ill Rushball, your guiding light.
Times of trouble, confusion, murkiness, tumult, chaos, deceit, lying, and even the good times.
Happy to have you here.
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Email address Lrushbo at EIBNet.com.
Okay, let's look at this CNN poll from yesterday, which everybody touted.
We talked about it too.
The CNN poll had it tied 4949 and a Democrat sample of plus 11.
And it also had Romney ahead of Obama in independence 59 to 37.
Everybody talked about that.
And everybody was puzzled.
It was scratching their heads.
What is this?
Democrat plus 11, where you get that.
That's just how their sample turned out.
And Romney hit an independence by a large margin.
But there's something else in this CNN poll that nobody talked about.
I don't know if I when I first looked at it, I said, wait a minute, this can't be right.
And I looked at everything else, and everything else adds up.
Let me tell you what the CNN poll says on partisan preference, on who's going to vote and how.
99% of the Republicans are going to vote for Romney and 1% are going to vote for Obama.
And the independents, 59% going to vote for Romney, 37% for Obama.
Those numbers were all reported, but there's one more.
According to CNN's poll yesterday, 5% of Democrats will vote for Romney.
93% of Democrats will vote for Obama.
So So let's put it all together.
Democrats plus 11 tied poll 4949.
Romney wins independence 5937.
However, 99%, this is what CNN says.
This is the voting pattern in their poll.
99% of the Republicans voting for Obama, 5% of Democrats voting for Obama, and 59% of independent Romney, I'm sorry.
99% of Republicans voting Romney, 5% of Democrats voting Romney, 59% independents voting Romney.
That 5% that CNN says of Democrats is going to vote for Romney.
If that happens, this is all academic.
By the way, does anybody know anybody who voted for McCain who's voting for Obama?
Do you know anybody who voted for Obama who might be voting for Romney?
I know.
Well, it's anecdotal, but I know a bunch.
Anyway, this little number here is.
But it to me, it's it's if it's if it's accurate and it's it's a part of the poll, it's the one part of it that nobody mentioned.
I don't know if anybody saw it or if they didn't give it any weight.
But they reported the independence split.
They reported a Democrat plus 11.
See, the Democrat plus 11 doesn't tell us how that Democrat sample's gonna vote.
It's the internal in the CNN poll that tells you that.
So a Democrat plus 11 sample, yeah, it sounds bad if all Democrats are gonna vote for Obama.
But according to the CNN poll itself, five percent of Democrats today are voting for Romney, along with 99% of Republicans, and 59% of independents.
If that happens, no wonder Obama was crying last night in Iowa.
Now, I am not predicting it, and I'm not saying bank on it.
And none of this matters if you don't vote.
None of the answers to my questions matter if you don't vote.
This 5% Democrats voting for Romney doesn't matter if people don't vote.
The 99% of Republicans voting for Romney doesn't matter if people don't vote.
This is a turnout election.
And the best thing I can tell you is do not listen to anything anybody says from now on about exit polls, about fraud, about voting machines, about it just vote.
And take as many people with you as you can.
Just vote.
It's a turnout election, and it is voting that's going to determine the outcome.
I know it sounds simple, but it's true.
Sorry for delay there, folks, waiting for the printer to disgorge the latest job.
It's some early voting numbers out of Ohio.
Overall, this from Josh Crashour, by the way, who is uh with or is close to the Romney campaign.
Overall, early voting turnout in Ohio is up 2.44% overall in the state.
Early voting up 2.44.
The details.
Early voting down 4.1% in Obama Carey counties.
Early voting in Ohio up 14% in Bush McCain counties.
So the early voting in Ohio, now this kind of dovetails with the little blurb we got from Ed Morrissey this morning at Hot Air.
Hot Air published on their website the fact that Romney was up 92,000 in Ohio early voting.
Then they pulled the link.
And then it's acknowledged here that early voting in Ohio is up 14% in 2008 McCain counties and down 4% in Obama counties.
Now Gannett pulled that link because the state of Ohio doesn't officially release such things until tonight.
So everybody's wondering, well, did somebody at Gannett for example is Ohio got a direct line to the media?
Nothing wrong with that.
I'm just saying, how could this happen?
Does Ohio have a direct line to the media in addition to public websites with results?
And did Gannett inadvertently publish something that shouldn't have been?
And he took it down.
Whatever they did publish that Romney was up 92,000 in early voting, and it correlates with uh what what is known that early voting is up 14% in in McCain counties from 2008, down four percent in Obama Carey counties.
And Stephanie Cutter, this again, you gotta remind people say don't pay any attention to first wave exit polls are gonna show the Republicans up.
That's because our votes already banked, our votes already counted or taken place, and it's not going to be exit polled and all that.
So, look, I'm throwing this stuff out, because this is what I'm getting.
I'm just sharing it with you.
I'm not a I'm not making any predictions.
You know, everybody's asking me, what do you know?
Well, I'm just telling you what I know.
It's as though you had a direct line to me.
I wonder what Rush knows, but we don't.
I'm telling you.
Everything I find out, I'm passing on.
Uh good, bad, indifferent, what have you.
And mixed in with my own invaluable opinion.
Rudy Giuliani, uh, ladies and gentlemen, has been heroic the past week on television regarding Benghazi, regarding Obama's malfeasance and incompetence, dangerous incompetence.
And we learned yesterday, of course, that CBS, in an interview with Obama on September 12th, the day after the attack in Benghazi, CBS has the audio, mentioned this to you yesterday, where Obama specifically says It's too soon to know whether it's a terror attack.
Now, the reason this is important is because in the second debate, Romney got Obama on record as saying that he had said it was a terror attack in the Rose Guard.
And Candy Crowley, in brilliant incompetence on her part, joined in, teamed up against Romney with Obama.
And so, yeah, here's a transcript.
Here's the transcript.
Yes, he said it was terrorism.
He never did.
In fact, the next day, and CBS didn't air it.
CBS had it for two weeks and knew all along that Obama had not called it a terror attack.
CBS could have aired what they edited out of the original broadcast and settled this.
And you would think as journalists that that's what they would do.
They knew something nobody else knew.
That's what journalism is.
You find out what people don't know and you tell them.
Well, they found out what they knew, and it didn't help Obama, so they they held it.
Until last Friday, when Scott Pelley said, Oh, by the way, you don't get we we went back and we looked at our uh Obama interview on 60 minutes.
And you know what?
He look at this, and you know, they tell us this in the aftermath of the hurricane.
By the way, I am glad I reminded myself of that.
Last night I turned on Fox for the first time in a long time.
I don't watch cable news anymore, folks.
It's it's it's either too infuriating or there's nothing to learn there.
It's like I don't watch the Sunday shows either.
There's nothing against Fox.
I don't watch CNN or MSNBC, it's not just Fox.
But I don't watch the Sunday shows either.
I used to never miss them back in Sacramento, my early days in New York, they were all educational.
They ceased being educational years ago.
I don't learn anything.
All I learn is that the Democrats in the media are Democrats first and media second, and I know what they're gonna say before they say it, and I don't need to hear them say it to know what they're gonna say.
So I don't watch.
As a result, there was something I didn't know that has become Republican consultant conventional wisdom, that I think is full of it.
Do you know what I learned last night?
I learned that Romney lost all the momentum that he had because of Hurricane Sandy.
No, no, no.
I didn't know that.
But I watched, I don't care who it was that would that appeared on Fox.
It was on first O'Reilly and then Hannity, and then after that Greta.
There are all kinds of people.
Here's the story.
Romney lost the momentum.
He was on a roll, Gallup had him up five points, and the hurricane hits, and Obama automatically looks presidential.
And then Obama got the big bear hug from Christie, and that totally shut Romney's momentum down.
And only yesterday, all of these people say the same thing.
Only yesterday did Romney's momentum resume.
And I'm watching this, and I'm literally watching with incredulity.
Did these people I'm asking myself, do they really think people's attitudes change like this?
For example, you are hot to trot, Republican, or even independent Romney voter.
You can't wait for election day.
Then Hurricane Sandy comes and all of a sudden your enthusiasm for Romney dies, and you start thinking of voting for Obama.
But then, and of course, then the Christie hug, that makes you really lose your enthusiasm for Romney.
But then on Sunday and Monday, you know what?
You start thinking I like Romney again.
I don't know anybody who thinks this way.
Not in big numbers.
Now, Snerdley's looking at me like I'm loopy.
Do you disagree with me?
The thing that you and I think happens here.
I by the way, this didn't matter who, didn't matter who the consultant was.
That was Britt Hume, Dr. Crowdhammer.
Didn't matter.
That's what happened last week.
That's what was formulated to explain the polls tightening.
Hurricane Sandy.
I'm sitting here and said, this is why I don't watch this stuff anymore, folks, because it I just I don't I I don't conceive of human behavioral patterns that still what I think is going on.
I think it's somebody that everybody respects formulates a theory that's based on their own fear.
And then they project that to all of us.
And so their fears become your reality in their mind.
Uh they're the analysts and they think that people's attitudes shift on a dime like this.
And I think there may be evidence for it in some cases, the Bush DUI in 2000 that did deflate his poll numbers by three or four points.
But that was something real that involved Bush that uh and that's an open election.
There's no incumbent with a horrible rotten record.
I don't, it's not even comparable.
So I'm sitting watching this, and then but but but it's okay because the momentum's coming back now.
And the momentum started shifting back to Romney on Sunday.
So why?
Well, the reason the momentum started shifting back to Romney is because people then saw that Obama wasn't doing anything about Sandy.
He was out campaigning and he was uh he did that one appearance.
I said, Do you really think people think this way?
And they give up on Romney because of the hurricane, they see Obama looking presidential, they get all depressed, and then after a while they see Obama not doing anything.
They go, okay, I'm back to Romney.
And then I started asking myself, who knows that Obama's not doing anything?
This hurricane and the aftermath are being nowhere near covered like Katrina was.
Who outside of New York knows the hell these people are going through?
I submit nobody does.
Unless you watch Fox, you don't know the hell.
Unless you watch New York Local, you don't know what these people are going through.
We don't have Anderson Cooper on top of the supernova.
We don't have Shep Smith crying 24-7 from an interstate highway in New Orleans like he was during Katrina.
We don't have any of that.
We don't have CBS ABC NBC 24-7 reporting from New York and New Jersey about the hardships.
My contention that people around the country don't even really know.
They're not being told nearly to the extent they were about Hurricane Katrina.
Therefore, how can there be all this momentum shift?
I mean, this is not momentum.
This is stopping on a dime and then picking back up on a dime.
And I just had to make this observation too, because I saw this last night and it just did not compute.
And I'm not, I don't want anybody to misunderstand here.
I am not picking fights or feuds with anybody.
I'm just reacting.
If you would have been in my library last night watching this with me, you would have heard the same thing.
I'm looking around and say, how the hell can this happen?
How can the hell can this be?
So since you weren't in my living room last night, I'm telling you today what I was thinking last night and saying.
But I'm not picking, and then I try to understand, okay, why do they think this?
And then I started putting together my theory that, well, it's their fear that Romney's losing momentum.
And then they project that fear onto all of us as being just like them in their fears.
And of course, I don't think that happens.
What's the latest in this saga?
The latest in this saga is that Obama, wherever he was yesterday, Madison, Wisconsin, Springsteen concert, puts Springsteen on the phone to Governor Christie.
Governor Christie talks to Springsteen and then tells the AP went home and cried.
Because it meant so much to him.
Okay, what is now what does that do to the Romney momentum?
I I gotta leave it to the expert analyst To figure that out for me.
What did that do to the Romney momentum that Christie cried after talking to Springsteen?
Such drivel, you know, it just such.
I'll tell you something, that that whole that whole Sandy narrative that it helped Obama, who started that?
It wasn't our guys.
That was the media that started that, kept hoping and praying it Sandy would give Obama.
But they knew last week Obama needed a boost.
They've known all along that Obama doesn't even have his base cemented and tied down.
So they start that, then our guys agree with it.
No, even if you think it, why say it?
If you are a Republican strategist, if it says that on TV and it says that's what you are, people watching presume or assume it is a Republican strategist, you are strategizing to help Republicans win.
Why the hell say that?
Even if you do that.
I d uh don't understand this stuff.
Oh, something, two other things throwing the hopper.
The Romney campaign is saying that the Daily Mail story yesterday of their internals not true.
Their internals have not leaked.
They have not told anybody what their internals are.
And the story had that uh Romney was up a point and a half in Ohio and tied in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.
None of that's true.
Romney's camp has not leaked their internals.
They're not out.
Second thing, Howard Dean has just said the only way Obama can lose Ohio is if people are prevented from casting their ballots there.
So here we are at about one o'clock in the afternoon Eastern on election day, and the Democrats are already starting to make excuses for losing Ohio.
And I'll tell you why this is happening, because Howard Dean, anybody else can look at these early voting numbers.
These early voting numbers are public.
They're known.
Obama early voting down four percent in Obama counties from 2008, up 14% in Republican counties.
And right on schedule, here comes Howard Dean.
Well, the only way Obama can lose Ohio is if there's fraud.
Is if our guys are not allowed to vote.
Meanwhile, it's the new Black Panthers that have positioned themselves in Philadelphia again.
You want to talk about preventing people from voting.
The only people doing that are Democrats.
Now finally, Rudy, he's heroic on Benghazi.
He was last night on Fox.
He was with uh Fox and Friends this morning.
Brian Kilmead said, and by the way, he's not just Benghazi, this this is this is on on Katrina and and uh Hurricane Sandy.
Kilmead said you blasted FEMA.
You said this response is similar to what we saw Katrina.
It seems the president's getting a total pass.
What could you have done if you were thinking ahead?
Preposition the water, preposition generators, kind of anticipate the fact that there'd be a lack of gasoline and have a lot of that uh ready to go.
And then if I had forgot one of those things, they're airplanes to bring them in.
When FEMA said, Oh, you don't have enough water because we didn't pre-position it.
First of all, everybody should yell out, what are you a bunch of idiots?
They could fly it in immediately.
They can fly it in today.
You can fly anything you want to Kennedy Airport.
This is as bad as Katrina.
It is, it is, and this storm was a week out.
There was a week's worth of warning for people to stock up here from Obama to FEMA to whoever else.
I'll tell you, Rudy's kicking butt on this stuff, and then Killmead said, well, President Obama's getting a total pass.
And so are the governors.
They're getting a total pass.
This is like uh F minus.
This is about as bad as it gets.
President's getting away with it.
If this were a President Bush, you don't want to know what the media would be doing.
Oh my goodness.
But they're trying to protect this man, just like they're protecting him on Benghazi.
Same problem, by the way.
Campaigner-in-chief took over for commander-in-chief.
Chris Christie embraced him.
Great job.
He takes off of Las Vegas with his jacket, commander in chief.
Actually should say campaigner in chief, and then he forgets about us.
As soon as he got his credit, he's off and running, then his FEMA is fumbling day after day after day.
That is exactly right.
As soon as Obama got the credit with one stop, getting accolades, getting praise, getting job well done at a boys from Chris Christie.
Obama's gone.
Mission accomplished.
Yep, that's exactly right, Limbo.
I made it look like I care, made it look like I'm working on it, and I'm gone.
He knows exactly who his friends are.
Rudy is uh he's nailing this just like he's nailing Benghazi.
Yeah, I've been thinking, too, folks, about people like you and me who think this election is about maintaining America as founded, and those who think it's just the next election.
It's just the next contest between the Republicans and the Democrats, and who don't get that this is about America.
And thinking about how to reach those people.
I've been thinking about that for years, but really today I've been thinking about how to reach those people.
We'll be back.
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