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Nov. 5, 2012 - Rush Limbaugh Program
37:32
November 5, 2012, Monday, Hour #2
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And it looks like the final gallop is out, and it's got 49-48 Romney.
And in no poll that I can find is Obama plus or higher than 48.
In no poll is he over 48%.
I can't find a poll where Obama well, maybe one with 49.
I mean, there's uh CNN has him at 49.
He's not at 50 anywhere.
Anyway, greetings, welcome back.
Rush Limbaugh, the EIB Network and the Limbo Institute for Advanced Conservative Studies as always half my brain tied behind my back.
Just to make it fair.
Great to have you with us here, folks.
Again, just to repeat, Rasmussen's out with his final summary of party affiliation.
As of October 31st.
This is a huge sample of people that Scott Rasmussen asks.
Are they Republican or Democrat or independent or what have you?
He has the Republicans at their highest party affiliation he's ever recorded since he's been doing this.
Basically, it's Republicans plus six.
Republicans 39, Democrats 33.
The actual number is 5.8.
We'll round it up six points.
Rasmussen had the exact turnout in 2008 at Democrats plus seven.
So he has a track record here.
Just throwing this all into the hopper, because what we're doing here is we're comparing what we think versus what everybody in the establishment is telling us, and the two don't jive.
and So then you end up with a conflict of what you feel versus what you think.
In my case, what I think always triumphs over what I feel.
What I think, I've got no fear on the thinking side of this.
Now you tell me if this matters.
Bruce Springsteen in Madison, Wisconsin.
And he's performing in front of 18,000 people.
People go, oh man, oh wow.
Until you remember that Springsteen and John Kerry on the same day in 2004 turned out a crowd of 70,000.
Does that mean anything?
Springsteen and John Kerry in 2004, crowd of 70,000 in Madison, Wisconsin today, 18,000.
Barely 2,000 people in Cleveland for Stevie the Boy Wonder last week.
That was so small it didn't even get it, didn't even get uh commented on.
There was barely any mention of it.
There was one local story and uh and and that was it.
And you have all of the data on the ground.
You got the polling over here that shows the race tied, but then no matter where you go, you see that the Democrats' early voting advantage is either way down or wiped out.
And we've been chronicling all of that last week as the early voting numbers came in.
And the same thing with absentee requests.
And then we see that Obama.
Well, Obama's gonna do an interview either today or tomorrow with Ryan Seacrest.
Now, nothing against Ryan Seacrest, but I mean, that's an interview with your base.
That's not a broaden the base interview.
We got Muchell Obama trying to get out the uh the black vote at two black colleges on Friday in uh in Virginia.
You got Bill Clinton and Colin Powell in Pennsylvania.
They never I mean all these media people talk about Obama's got Pennsylvania wrapped up, eh?
He's got Minnesota wrapped up.
Apparently not.
You see, because they're on the ground working, those states.
And I will guarantee you that those states that they're Pennsylvania, Minnesota, they're the last places they thought they'd be the day before the election.
No way.
I mentioned Michael Barone.
Michael Baron admits that he's going out on a limb here, and he says he could be wrong about a couple swing states, but Michael Barone is not just anybody.
Barone is the gold standard Of election prognosticators and also post-election analysis.
I mean, this guy goes precinct by precinct by precinct after every election and puts together what is called the uh political almanac.
The almanac of American politics, and it tells you who voted for what, where, when, why, in the smallest burgs and precincts all over this country.
He knows the American electorate almost on a precinct by precinct level.
In election night coverage, they'll start talking about some county in Montana you've never heard of, and he's intimately aware of it.
Just to give you an example.
And he says what the polling data indicates that independents are breaking big for Romney.
Independents are what define a swing state.
Am I right about that?
I mean, a swing state's called a swing state because they're independent.
People go either way.
Independence.
So if Pennsylvania is now a swing state, you got then independents are the determining factor.
Independents are breaking for Romney all over the place.
He says the Republican turnout is going to be higher than the Democrats.
Well, every bit of evidence that we've seen so far indicates that that's true.
It was in 2010.
I'm sorry, keep going.
I think I think I'm the only guy that's looking at 2010.
It's making me wonder why.
Everybody, nobody is counting or calculating 2010.
I'm talking about the professionals.
When you turn on television, I don't care what it is, I don't care what network.
You don't hear any of these people talking about what happened in 2010.
I know they don't think it's an apples to apples comparison, but it is better than a 2008 comparison, because 2008 was a fraud election.
2008, Obama was an entirely different candidate.
In 2008, Obama was Mr. Perfect.
People that voted for Obama, and it was only 53%, by the way.
Let us not forget that.
It wasn't some massive landslide in 2008.
It wasn't this whole country voting for Obama.
53%.
Yep, it's a majority, but it it it's it's it's not commensurate what everybody thinks or thought Obama's wild, massive, uncontrollable popularity was.
It was just 53%.
But back in 2008, Obama was Mr. Perfect.
And by that I mean, you could make him whatever you wanted him to be.
He was an empty canvas.
All the circumstances came together.
The American people were tired of Bush.
They were tired of the wall.
They were tired of torture, tired of all of this, tired of the economy, tired of the media beating everything, tired.
And here came this guy that they portrayed as a messiah.
It's going to end all the strife.
There wouldn't be any more torture, there wouldn't be any more discord, there wouldn't be any more partisanship.
Believe me, that was to people that voted that way, that was huge to them.
That's gone.
There is no such candidate today.
In 2010, the electorate turned out to reject Barack Obama.
And nothing has changed except it's gotten worse, which to me, 2010 is a far more relevant turnout model and election model in 24 is, or 2028 is, because 28's gone.
That candidate's gone.
Doesn't exist.
They can't get that back.
There's no magic.
There's no messiah.
There's no empty canvas.
There's no magical fix.
There's no, gee, we've never seen a guy like this before.
Gee, man, this guy is smart.
This guy, he can gone.
He's uh at best.
He's a total incompetent.
So I go back to 2010 and I in all these swing states and I look at what happened at Tea Party, and nothing's changed other than to have worsened.
And I haven't seen any slackening of opinion or enthusiasm, rather for what happened in 2010.
The Tea Party's only gotten bigger.
The Tea Party has only, I mean, the ground game has only been improved.
The grassroots are deeper.
And yet everybody wants to go back to 2008.
Well, that's right, Rush, you just don't know what you're talking about.
2008's presidential race, 2012 presidential race, 28 midterms, can't count on midterms.
People always vote against the incumbent in the midterm, so forth.
Not always.
They didn't vote against Bush in 2002 in the midterms.
I'll never forget an election night coverage that night on NBC, and they were stumped.
So anyway, here's Baron, and basically he says Romney's gonna win handily.
He's got Romney at over 300 electoral votes.
So does Dick Morris, so does Carl Rove, so do Larry Cudlow.
There's a number of people that uh that do.
For their own reasons.
Barone is predicting Romney's gonna win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Virginia.
He said that scenario will give Romney 315 electoral votes to Obama's 223.
So even if Baron's wrong and Romney loses Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, he'd still win the election if everything else Barone thinks is right.
He says he can still lose a couple swing states and still win this.
I listen to the drive-by's, and they're talking about Obama's path to 271.
I don't hear anybody talking about Obama's pass of 300 plus.
The general, even among the drive-bys, you've got a narrow Obama win, a narrow Romney win or a Romney blowout.
But I don't hear anybody talking about an Obama blowout, and there certainly isn't one indicated anywhere in the polling data that uh anybody is looking.
So the bottom line for Michael Barone is Romney 315, Obama 223.
And he says that sounds high for Romney, but he could drop Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, still win the election because fundamentals usually prevail in American elections.
Fundamentals are bad news for Obama.
True Americans want to think well of their presidents.
And many think it'd be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.
But it's also true that most voters oppose Obama's major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery.
I cannot tell you, folks, I cannot overemphasize.
I would be impossible to exaggerate the role race plays in drive-by media analysis and hope.
I cannot exaggerate what a factor that is.
That is the primary factor in the coverage Obama got in 2008.
It's a factor in why the media is ignoring Benghazi.
It's why the media is doing everything they can to avoid any negative coverage of Obama.
It's about race and their view of the civil rights movement and their overall opinion, the liberals' overall opinion that the deck is forever stacked against African Americans.
It will never be a level playing field for them.
It'll never be fair.
This country doesn't have it in its capacity to be fair to blacks because of slavery.
Nothing will ever make up for it.
And so I'm telling you it's what animates them.
And I know this because I've talked to enough of them about it.
I've heard what enough of them say about it to know exactly what I'm talking about.
I could give you other real-world examples to illustrate how I'm right about this.
But it's not necessary for what we're talking about today.
So maybe some other time I will I will do that.
But other things out.
The Scott Walker Recall.
Wisconsin.
Three times Democrats thought they had that in the bag.
Three times.
They didn't even get close.
And what was the polling data on the last Scott Walker recall?
Well, Nick and Nick.
Have the Democrats won anything since 2008?
They lost the Walker recall.
Look at the Chick-fil-A boycott.
Look at that.
That just came out of nowhere, and that was not covered either.
Real world.
Realville.
The signs are everywhere.
But somebody tell me what what significant elections have the Democrats won?
Since 2008.
That's right.
They lost they lost Wiener's seat.
Huma Wiener's husband got beat by Bob Turner.
They lost Wiener's seat in a sex scandal.
That's usually that's usually in a resume enhancement.
For Democrats.
Let's get some of your phone calls in when we come back.
Don't go away.
I must correct myself, ladies and gentlemen.
There is a poll.
There is a poll with Obama at 50%.
It's the pew poll.
And it was released yesterday.
It is, but there's some fascinating stuff in this one too.
The pew poll has it Obama 50 and Romney 47.
How Handita?
What the here's the here's I know there's two things.
The pew poll data has it 4949.
Their projection is Romney 5047.
However, they admit in their analysis that Romney holds the edge on voter turnout by solid margins.
Romney supporters are more engaged in the campaign, are following news of the campaign closely, are more likely to vote, and yet Pugh gives the Democrats a plus four turnout sample.
They give the Democrats a plus four turnout sample while admitting Romney has all the enthusiasm.
I'm sorry.
The thinking half of me that doesn't compute.
A oversample of Democrats by four points and then admit that the Republicans have a turnout advantage and an enthusiasm advantage, and your data shows 4949.
But their projection is 5047.
Are i the answer's somewhat obvious, isn't it?
It's so obvious I can't believe it.
I guess you know what I'm having trouble with?
I can't, because I I was firmly convinced that all of these pollsters would want to be right at the end of this, and none of them apparently care about that.
That's what I'm having trouble with.
None of them apparently care about that.
It's it's simplistic to say that it's bias in the attempt to shape opinion.
And yet that may well be what's going on.
I don't know.
I I'm like you folks, this stuff doesn't compute.
In the the CNN poll, Democrats plus 11 is not happening.
On page 29, you have to read 29 pages to find that in their internals.
Romney winning independence double digits.
Romney with the turnout enthusiasm, Romney with the voter enthusiasm, and yet they give Democrats a plus four turnouts advantage in the pew poll.
So now I'm trying to figure out okay if Romney does win this big, like Baron says, what are these polls gonna say?
What is their excuse gonna be?
Well, let's guess.
Well, you know it's really tough to find Republicans.
Republicans traditionally don't like to talk to pollsters, so we might have undersampled.
Uh and uh we just got the sample wrong.
Uh people at Democrats told us that they were gonna vote, didn't uh any number of uh I I don't guess they'll say they were had the indicators right, they just things turned at the last minute that they didn't see.
Who knows?
But the interesting here's uh here's Amanda Pittsburgh, Amanda.
Hi, great to have you on the program.
You're up first today on the phones and welcome.
Hi, Rosh.
How are you today?
Very good.
Thank you.
Oh, I'm so hard you can take my phone call.
Well, I'm glad you got through.
Oh, absolutely.
Now, I'm calling because I'm a registered Democrat, but I'm absolutely voting for Romney tomorrow.
And I don't see how anybody my age can not care enough about their future to give their vote to Obama.
In fact, gosh, I'm you know, I just remembered this.
I just there's a couple of guys that recorded a song.
Somebody sent me the YouTube of it.
And we l Coco, send that link to Cookie so she can roll it off on on on uh on on tape.
I've got to put two guys, I'm not sure, I don't know if it's Oklahoma State or Ohio State.
OSU.
I've never heard of Ohio State referred to as OSU.
It's the Ohio State University.
But they might be from anyway, a couple of guys, your age, college guys, singing a song.
Uh it's a takeoff of you picked a fine time to leave me, Lucille.
It's uh you take the fine time to to to leave us Barack.
Uh and of course I, Il Rush will mention prominently in the tune.
That's why it was sent to me.
Uh I think you're right.
A lot of people your age, if you look at some of the people showing up for the Romney rallies, some of the people not showing up for Springsteen and uh and Obama and I got 15 seconds.
Why are you voting for Romney?
Because I have two young children.
I have two toddlers, and I think about their future, and I can't imagine that they would have a good opportunity in life if Obama gets voted back into office.
I don't think he's done one positive thing for America.
You're right.
You're right.
The Democrat realizes it.
There are probably a lot of those too.
Thanks for the call, Amanda.
We'll be back.
So Bruce Springsteen in his performance today for Obama in Madison actually said as part of his performance that that first debate scared the hell out of him.
Today, Muchell Obama is in North Carolina, and she is there with NBA players and others.
Which means that Muchel Obama's in rallying the base, the black vote base for Barack Hussein Obama.
That's again, there's the the thinking side of me that's okay.
They don't have the black turnout where they want it to be.
Why why be doing that?
Of course I could be dead wrong about it.
I just be shoring it up.
Who knows?
We'll all find out shortly.
By the way, there is a new pew poll out.
Yesterday's is not the most recent now.
And they've still got it three points, but this time it's uh Obama 4845 over Romney.
Obama's still not over 48%, other than the CNN poll.
They did a projection that got him to 50.
Their data yesterday said 4949.
Their pr their data today is tied, but they're projecting 4845 in the pew poll.
So folks, if you go poll to poll to poll, the big media bet is Obama at 48%.
That's what they're all saying.
Which there got to be a lot of undecideds in there that that's what their excuse is going to be.
Whichever way this way goes.
Whichever way it goes, they're gonna well, the undecided is broken away, because 4845 uh adds up to what?
93.
4949 adds up to 98.
A third party candidate, Jill What's her face, the Green Party might get one percent.
If that so there's a lot of people not accounted for here.
Yeah, Springsteen said, yeah, the uh first debate really freaked me out.
Hey, Bruce, you know what?
Obama's whole first term has freaked everybody out.
That's why we're here.
That whole first term freaked everybody out.
I'll leave it alone.
Back back to the phones.
Denise in Baltimore.
I'm glad you waited.
Great to have you on the program.
Hi.
Hi, thank you, Rush.
I can't tell you what an honor it is to to talk to you.
I've listened to you since like the first Bush score whole fiasco with the whole election.
So you're the only place I can always get the truth, so I'm so honored.
Um I'm calling because I am very scared when I woke up this morning that I am I am scared that Obama is gonna win.
I really don't want him to win.
I went to a concert on Saturday night.
It was it was a liberal comedian.
I'll give you that, but I was so amazed by all the people in the audience that truly believed all the misinformation.
I can't believe how many people believe that Paul Ryan is is evil and he's gonna take women's rights away from them, and it's it couldn't be further from the truth.
And I just need you to kind of give me put me back on a level playing field and make me feel safe again.
Uh Denise, let me uh let me f first place, you're in Baltimore.
Yes, uh so I am very I am I am like a believe me, it says uh nut number two, don't be scared, vote.
And then find a bunch of other people to take with you to vote.
Don't be scared.
The whole Denise, welcome to the club.
There are a lot of us have been w worried about those doomkoffs and what it means for the future of the country for years.
How old are you, Denise?
You sound young.
I'm I'm only forty.
I have a twenty-year-old who has been listening to you her whole life.
I have two 17-year-old twins, my son, he's good uh political science.
He he just loves you.
He listens to you all the time, so my kids have been raised on you.
Very good.
Smart kids.
Smart kids, yes.
Uh but I i look you're you're identifying something that scares a lot of us.
Uh l let's say that Romney wins this.
Uh let me 5246.
Let's say you know what that means?
It means forty-six percent of the people of this country buy this crap.
I I've I that's that is scary.
That's what this election's all about is trying to save the country from people who uh don't know any better.
They're they're they're for for whatever reason their minds have been polluted by education or by family or uh or uh w what have you, but it's it's a serious thing that a lot of people are worried about.
And uh it's you're you're not alone by any stretch of the imagination in this.
But I I'm so concerned because these women that were that were there, they truly believe that it's possible for Romney and Ryan to to reverse Roe v.
Wade and they can't do you know, that's that's furthest from the truth.
I mean, I don't know where these people get that from.
You know, I mean I just it just upsets me.
Yeah, I know how you feel.
There there's no there's no uh i it it's difficult to understand irrationality.
Uh you're a rational person and trying to understand irrational people is a very frustrating thing.
Okay.
At times like this, they're not to be understood.
They are simply to be defeated.
And we work on saving them later.
Uh but you know, let your fear work for you.
Fear can be a great motivator.
Vote vote in in and by the way, there's safety in voting in groups.
Uh places like Philadelphia, uh for certain precincts.
But you know, you just uh welcome to the club.
I I know your frustration.
I I feel sa I don't know with everything we know now, for just to give you one example about the hoax that is global warming.
Look at how many people believe that the car they drive is actually destroying the climate.
They actually can be made to believe this.
Now, psychologically, I understand why and how it works.
I I know how the left does it.
Uh and I understand how they psychologically scare women into thinking that Romney and Ryan are somehow gonna take their rights away from.
I understand it.
It doesn't it doesn't uh make it any easier, but I understand how the left preys on people.
The left preys on fear and crisis.
Um You know, here's there's a a saying that I evolved over the weekend.
Armageddon is a much easier sell than heaven.
People, human nature, Denise, is just that way.
People will believe the worst.
They'll believe disaster theories.
They will believe catastrophe theories.
The you know I know people in the financial advice business, and they laugh.
And they tell me if they ever need to goose their subscriptions, they simply put out a couple of issues predicting the financial collapse that everybody is convinced is going to happen.
It's predicted, and their subscriptions go way up.
People want to hear about it, hope to stop it.
Uh, but you tell people that the end is near, they're gonna believe it.
It's an it's just it's part of human nature.
It's why um people that write books on positive thinking can become millionaires, because it's hard to do.
It's quite natural to be a pessimist.
It is quite natural to believe Armageddon is coming.
It's it's as opposed to something good is gonna turn out.
That it that fear is a very, very powerful thing.
I'm gonna quote to you from Ronaldus Magnus back in 1976.
He said, I'm convinced that today the majority of Americans want what those first Americans wanted.
A better life for themselves and their children, a minimum of government authority.
Very simply, they want to be left alone in peace and safety to take care of the family by earning an honest dollar and putting away some savings.
This may not sound too exciting, but there's something magnificent about it.
Now that was Reagan 1976.
A lot of us fear we've lost that.
A lot of us fear that that's not what people want anymore, that a majority don't want to work.
They'd rather be taken care of, that they'll give up a little freedom and liberty for what they think is security.
And we've got an entire political party that's oriented around that premise.
The Democrat Party is oriented around the notion that people are incompetent, incapable, don't want to work, and will gladly turn their lives over to government.
And that's who Barack Obama's trying to win the election with.
Your fears are justified.
You see these people up close and personal.
You don't understand you're a thinking person.
You don't understand how in the world they can believe you.
Such ridiculous things that the comedian or whoever is telling them.
But they do is the bottom line.
For now, they do.
And yours is not to reason with them.
Yours is not to change their minds now.
You can't.
Yours is to outnumber them tomorrow.
That's our objective.
We just have to outnumber them.
You're part of that.
Just make sure you vote.
Take as many people with you as you can find.
Okay, we just had Denise on from Baltimore.
I want to play you an audio soundbite from Cokey Roberts.
Yesterday on ABC's this week, this is during the round table.
George Stephanopoulos said, if the president has an advantage in Ohio, even if it's a small one, that puts more pressure on Governor Romney to do better in Wisconsin or this late play for Pennsylvania.
What do you say to that, Coki?
Pennsylvania is a perfect place where this is a problem because you have those uh Philadelphia suburbs, and that's where all this conversation about contraception and rape and all of that are having a hold.
And you know, it's very interesting because women have not traditionally voted on those issues.
They've voted on economic issues.
But when you ask African Americans and Hispanics what issues they vote on, they say the economy is well.
And yet they have turned off the Republican Party in huge numbers.
Women are having the same reaction this time around where they are beginning to feel unwelcome in the Republican Party.
So I think I just think that is a crock.
I don't know on what she's basing that.
She just gets through telling us that women vote on the economy, but now all of a sudden they're not.
See, she's falling prey for this mythical imaginary war on women.
And you women in the Philadelphia suburbs particularly.
You are gonna vote on contraception.
You're gonna vote on abortion.
You're gonna vote on Roe v.
Wade.
That's what Koki Roberts says about you.
Romney and Ryan are gonna reverse Roe v.
Wade.
I have to tell you, for better or worse, a president has no role in constitutional amendments.
Reversing Roe versus Wade is not something a president can do.
Now, a president appoints Supreme Court justices, but my gosh.
Even if he does that, the fact Roe v.
Wade might not come up.
You never know that the opportunity is going to be presented again.
Who knows?
And outside of that, there's nothing a president can do.
Any president.
Bill Clinton couldn't save it.
And Nina Burley was willing to give Clinton Lewinsky's all day for saving Roe versus, but he can't save it.
Presidents have no role in constitutional amendments, which is what it would take.
And all of this talk, all of this talk about Romney taking this away or that away.
You know, women in this campaign have been the most abused intellectually during this campaign than any other group.
And by abused, I mean demeaned and dumbed down by Obama and his senior advisors in the Democrat Party.
It is really stunning to see how women are being insulted daily by the Obama campaign.
Assuming that women, for example, are nothing more than their vaginas, their sex organs.
Ladies, vote with your sex organs, with actually a a web ad, the Obama campaign put out.
Obama supporters are dressed up as vaginas at campaign events.
I've remarked two or three times that I'm stunned how insulting the Obama campaign is to women.
And they have been abused intellectually, more so than any other group in this campaign.
And there's Koki Roberts falling right in line.
Stunning to me.
I'll guarantee Cokie Roberts is not voting on her vagina.
She's voting on her ideology.
Coke Roberts isn't worried about Romney or Ryan taking away her precious right to an abortion because Cokey Roberts knows that no president can.
And yet she's willing to fall right in line and spread this myth that's part of the Obama campaign to gender up this fear precisely because of her ideology.
So even Cokey Roberts is willing to join in this intellectual abusement, abuse of women.
The SEIU, I mean, these people are panicked.
They just sent a tweet out.
The Service Employees International Union.
Romney's war on women game plan.
If he can't make birth control illegal, he's going to make it unaffordable.
He can't.
A Romney's not going to have anything to say about birth control.
And B, he doesn't care.
He said so in a debate.
Contraception is a state thing if it's a discussion at all.
This whole thing was started by George Stephanopoulos in a debate in the Republican primaries with a question.
And Romney said, I don't know what you're talking about, George.
And all Romney had to do is answer the question and say Romney talking about contraception now.
They're trying to say the same thing.
Obama talks about vote for revenge.
Romney goes out saying, no, vote for love of country.
The Democrats say that Romney's talking about revenge.
This campaign is as intellectually dishonest As any Democrat campaign's ever been, if not more so.
And no, I have not forgotten Benghazi.
And I have it right here how CBS has engaged in journalistic malpractice.
They announced, by the way, oh, guess what?
You know what?
We had tape of President Obama on September 12th, unwilling to call it a terrorist attack.
CBS News has known since the next day that he didn't call it a terror attack.
And they let that second debate go by without saying anything.
The Candy Crowley event go by.
They just on Friday happened to, oh, guess what we found here in our 60 Minutes interview on September 12th that didn't air.
This Benghazi thing, this four dead Americans.
This you people in the United States military, you're the second most abused group by the R of the Obama campaign in this in this election.
Stunning, I think.
But Benghazi, foreign policy, there is literally no competence.
We are a great nation at dangerous risk in the world, made more so with Obama in charge.
When we come back from the break here to the top of the arm, explain to you how this war on women that Obama has run actually is manifesting itself and where the lies in it all are, as reasonable people anyway already know.
Sit tight, my friends.
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