All Episodes
Previous Next
Nov. 5, 2012 - Rush Limbaugh Program
36:44
November 5, 2012, Monday, Hour #1
| Copy link to current segment

Time Text
Welcome to today's edition of the Rush 24 7 Podcast.
Well, the drive-bys are all excited to drive because Romney has announced he's going back to Ohio tomorrow.
He's gonna on election day, Romney is going to Ohio.
And the drive-bys are trying to interpret that as meaning it's slipping away.
Romney has to head back into Ohio on election day because it's slipping away.
The drive-by is all excited by their own polling data.
Greetings, my friends.
Great to have you here.
It's the Excellence in Broadcasting Network and the Limbaugh Institute for Advanced Conservative Studies.
Great to have you here.
Telephone number if you want to be on the program.
800-282-2882, the email address Lrushball at EIB net.com.
My friends, uh, I've been looking at all of the data that you have been looking at.
I've been trying to separate feelings from thoughts and come up with some sort of a uh an educated prognostication.
You know, common sense tells me this election isn't going to be close and shouldn't be.
And yet every poll, every single poll, has this race tied.
Obama's up one, down one, tied, doesn't matter where you go, till you get into the internals.
Then it gets really confusing.
Where it doesn't make any sense.
And I'm to be honest with you, I for the longest time, and you people who've been regular listeners know this.
I have said that as we get down to the election, the polls are going to reflect what's really going to happen because the pollsters want to get it right for the future.
That has not happened.
It has not happened.
There is there's not one poll that gives either candidate an edge.
Not one pollster's willing to stick his neck out here.
They're all saying that this is tied every which way from Sunday, at least in the in the overall popular vote, national surveys.
Now, when you get into the internals, it looks a little odd, and we're going to do that here at the uh at the beginning.
There's also something that I guarantee you, if a football game had a different outcome yesterday, you would be hearing nothing but this today.
But since the Washington Redskins lost at home on a game before the election, it means in what is it, 1918 of the last 19 elections, that the out of power party wins.
Honestly, it's called the Redskins rule.
And it's so well known, you can you can find it and look it up on uh on Wikipedia.
In the 18 presidential elections that have taken place since the Redskins moved to Washington in 1937.
Are you hearing the crackling in there?
In the 18 presidential elections that have taken place since the Redskins moved to Washington in 1937.
17 have been predicted by the team's performance in its final home game prior to the election.
If the Redskins win at home, the incumbent party wins the presidential race.
17 out of 18 times.
Going back to 1940.
If the Redskins lose at home, the challenger prevails.
Well, the Redskins lost to the Carolina Panthers.
That means Romney wins.
I guarantee you, if the Redskins had won the game, that's all you would be seeing on the media today.
I guarantee you, you can't find it anywhere.
You can't find it's only because I know the Redskins rule that I was looking this up, and I did see a little blurb in one of the pregame shows before the football game started yesterday.
And I just I just saw a tail end of the blurb, and I wasn't sure.
So I went and looked it up, and that is what it is.
Now let's for example, let's take a look at the latest CNN poll, the final CNN national poll.
It has the race tied at 49.
By the way, in none of these national polls is Barack Obama at 50.
And they keep telling us, they've told us for decades, for years, for months, for weeks, that an incumbent who doesn't get to 50 is in big trouble.
And that traditionally has been true.
Here are the internals of the CNN poll.
The sample is Democrat plus 11.
The Democrat turnout margin in 2008 was plus seven.
They're saying it's going to be plus eleven Democrats tomorrow in this poll.
In 2004 and 2010, it was even.
The Democrats and Republicans were evenly split.
In addition to all of this, in addition to a Democrat sample of plus 11, Romney is up 22 points with independence.
So I, as a standard ordinary average guy, look at this, this doesn't make any sense.
Because you look at all the conventional wisdom.
They say whoever wins independence wins elections.
Independence are how you define a swing state, right?
A swing state is where the independence determine the outcome, correct?
That's why so many states are now swing states, because the independents are up a grave.
So Romney's winning the independence in every poll.
Double digits for the most part.
So you have a CNN national poll where they're tied at 49, Romney up 22 with independence.
The sample is Democrat plus 11.
By the way, none of these polls factor 2010.
The reason they don't factor 2010 is because it wasn't a presidential race, and therefore they you cannot compare turnout in any way, shape, manner, or form.
I so profoundly disagree with that, but simply in common sense, not scientifically.
I'm not a pollster.
I'm just a common sense observer.
I look at what caused the massive 2010 Republican turnout.
And then I ask myself, has anything changed since 2010?
Yeah, it's gotten worse.
The enthusiasm that got people out in 2010, I'm seeing at every Mitt Romney rally.
I'm seeing Bill Clinton going into places they ought not have to go.
I'm seeing Colin Powell, I guess.
Uh ladies and gentlemen, Colin Powell is Obama's firewall in Pennsylvania.
Those are the ads that Obama's running in Pennsylvania today.
Colin Powell, the titular head of the Republican Party.
You've got Bill Clinton going all of these places.
You got Bruce Springsteen playing concerts in all these places.
You got everybody but Obama out there trying to gender up some sort of enthusiasm for him.
Meanwhile, Romney's drawing crowds at 20,000, 25,000, 30,000, 15,000.
The enthusiasm that we all saw in 2010 is there.
The same issues that existed in 2010 exist today.
There hasn't been anything that's gotten better.
There hasn't been one change in the nation's direction that would cause people who were fit to be tied in 2010 to you know what?
I'm glad I did that, but everything's okay now.
At least we're heading the right direction now.
Oh, I'm gonna go back to my traditional voting path.
That hasn't happened.
Now that's just common sense.
That's simply my common sense.
I've got nothing scientific to back me up on this.
All I know is that that maybe two polls and one of them is Dick Morris bothers to factor 2010 into any of this.
They're all doing 2008.
So you have CNN, just to review, CNN, national poll tide 49, Romney plus 22 with independence, a sample of Democrat plus 11.
Now, the way Carl Rove would look at that, or Dick Morris, well, you're not going to have Democrats plus 11.
You might have Democrats plus two if that.
So that's a swing of nine points.
Romney up 22 with independence.
I don't know how you factor that in.
But they would tell you that this poll 49-49 is actually going to be 54-46 Romney.
That's what they would tell you the CNN poll actually means.
But then I'm I'm I go back to why would CNN put a poll out?
If it's that easy to figure out this poll is wrong, why would they do it?
Well, the answer is, well, they're in the tank for Obama and they want to do you understand that.
And Rush, they don't care about after the election, they'll sweep it under the rug, and they'll just say, well, they were surprised by turnout.
That their poll was actually correct.
Rush, there's a built-in fix for this.
They just blame it On their turnout model, not on their polling.
They just say that if they get they'd had the turnout right, that they would have been able to predict it.
They covered no matter what they do toward the end.
So then that kind of thinking takes you to the point, well, they're still trying to impact the results of the election.
Do you believe that?
Do you Alleged, do you believe the polling units that are tied to networks or universities are still trying to impact the outcome?
You could believe that.
A lot of people would.
But in doing that, you have to ignore the 49-49.
You have to ignore the things tied.
I've done that once, and I got it came back to bite me.
I was telling Snertley earlier this morning, I think it was back in 2000.
Paula Zahn hosted a show at 8 o'clock on the Fox News channel.
And she asked me to be a guest.
So I showed up.
It was, I think, two weeks prior to the election.
This is the appearance where I told you the next day I got a call from an NFL owner attempting to alert me certain things I had said and why what I'd said was true and how it could be even more so.
The owner, by the way, was Al Davis of the uh of the Oakland Raiders.
I've never mentioned that before, but Al Davis has since passed on, so I figured it's safe to say.
Anyway, I said the race was either Gore plus one or two or it was tied, Gore Bush.
And I said, Paul, I just don't believe the polls.
I think I don't think these polls are anywhere near accurate.
Well, they were.
They were.
In fact, Gore won the popular vote in 2000.
So I'm a little reticent to just reject these polls.
I've been I've been bitten once doing that.
But still, all of my thinking says Romney big.
All of my feeling, if you understand all of my feeling is where my concern is.
But my thoughts, my intellectual analysis of this, factoring everything I see plus the polling data.
Not even close.
300 plus electoral votes for Romney.
Let's look at another one.
The DC examiner, Team Romney drawing satisfaction and a growing sense of confidence from a new CNN poll, that while overweighting Democrats shows that Romney's running away with independence.
They've got uh this is this is Paul Bedard in the Washington Examiner.
Romney winning independence 5935.
That is 24 points.
Twenty-four points, Romney up independence.
Folks, we're talking major landslide, if that's true.
And yet it's a CNN poll that shows Democrats plus 11 and the race tied at 4949.
NBC Wall Street Journal final national poll.
Obama 48, Romney 47.
Romney leads independence by seven.
The sample is Democrat plus two.
If Romney wins independence by seven, he wins the election.
And yet they've got their poll at 4847.
Rasmussen has it, what is it now?
4948 Romney.
A dead heat.
Not one race.
You watch the campaign appearances.
Romney has the aura of confidence, inevitability, uh, presidential.
The crowds the same way.
The Obama that we see is petulant.
He's angry.
He's reciting platitudes that come from a teleprompter.
He's aided and abetted by basically two people, Joe Biden and Bill Clinton.
Romney has hundreds of Republican aficionados out all over the country stumping for him.
Obama has just two or three, led by Bill Clinton.
Oh, plus Bruce Springsteen is out there.
Uh just it's it's amazing another one.
CNN Ohio poll shows Romney up 13 among election day voters.
This is from Reitbart.
If you want to understand why voters no longer trust pollsters, look no further than the latest CNN poll of Ohio voters shows uh Obama with a 50-47 lead over Romney.
A result that's within the 3.5% margin of error, but that suggests a slight Obama lead, three three points.
The internal numbers reveal that Romney's leading among independents by 2% and winning election day voters by a staggering 13%, meaning that most of the Republicans have not voted in early voting.
They show up on election day.
The lead for Obama is based entirely on the polls survey of those Ohioans who say they have voted early or who are likely to vote early.
But Ohio is not this weird extreme radical state that it would have to be to be supporting Obama here.
You know, you look at the the 2008 election, we've have to remember what that was all about.
That was about Obama as a generic.
You could make him whatever you wanted him to be.
But nobody made him out to be a radical extremist anti-America, anti-capitalism guy.
Nobody made him out to be that.
That's now what he is.
It's patently obvious he's also incompetent.
Ohio.
You look at what happened in Ohio in 2010.
It was a Republican sweep.
Bye-bye, Ted Strickland governor.
Bye-bye, everybody.
Hello, John Kasich as the governor.
Ohio was almost a bellwether in the 2010 minute.
What's happened in Ohio to make everybody forget all of that in 2010 and now go back to an Obama who never existed?
This is my intelligence guided by experience speaking, without looking at any of the polling data.
Then you go over here and you look at the polling data.
Something's not connecting here.
Now the bottom line is nobody knows is what all of this means.
Nobody knows.
And everybody today talking about this for the most part's going to be trying to still influence the way you and everybody.
Look at this.
But this CNN poll has a lot of people commenting.
That Democrat plus 11 sample, that isn't going to happen.
If it does, if it does, then nobody knew anything going.
I mean, there's just no, I mean, they are.
The Reverend Jackson is campaigning in Chicago for the black vote today.
Much of Obama was in Virginia on Friday at two black schools campaigning for the black vote.
That if that's not a guaranteed turnout for Obama, there can't be a Democrat plus 11 energy out there.
There just can't be.
Okay, now some people are going out on a Mike Michael Baron, who writes the political almanac and is as expert in all of this as anybody is, has gone out on a limb, he says, and he says Romney beats Obama handily.
300 plus electoral votes.
We'll get into all of that.
We're just getting started here, folks.
Sit tight.
We'll be right back and continue with all the rest of the program after this.
And we are back.
Ill Rushboat serving humanity simply by showing up.
Okay, the theme from the state control media over the weekend and today.
The theme that you're facing.
I warned you over the weekend not to watch this stuff.
I warned you Friday not to watch it, knew what it was going to be.
If you were faint of heart, don't watch it.
What it was, the theme over the weekend and today is that Obama has all the momentum.
He's got all the momentum, and you know why?
Because of Hurricane Sandy's aftermath.
Yeah, it's right.
Obama has the moment.
I've got it in the sound bites.
Hurricane Sandy.
That's been Obama's highest rated thing since uh since uh I forget what they're comparing it to.
But I mean, it's through the roo.
Hurricane Sandy is propelled.
That's what they're saying today.
It's what they said over the weekend.
And now he's either tied Romney or gone ahead of him.
All because of Hurricane Sandy.
I mean, after all, you got lots of people still sitting in the dark, cold without food and water.
Lots of people love waiting in gas lines for six to seven hours.
And those people aren't blaming their mayors or governors.
No, they're clapping for Obama.
That's what we are being asked to believe.
Everybody's jazzed about what Obama's doing after Sandy.
And those who are not only not blaming their mayors or governors, they'd never think of blaming Obama.
Oh no, because Obama cares.
See, back during Hurricane Katrina, the question everybody's lips was where's Bush during Sandy, it's where's the mayor?
Where's the governor?
Apparently nobody's asking where is Obama.
Now in this CNN poll, one other thing about it.
You have to go down to the 29th page of the PDF file to find their methodology.
That Democrat plus 11 sample.
Page 29 on the CNN release.
In other words, they don't expect anybody to get anywhere near discovering that that is their sample in their poll.
By the way, folks, this uh uh the notion of oversampling in all of these polls, these polls do not publish that.
Well, they publish it, that's not the correct way.
They they publish it deep in in their releases way back toward the end when they get into methodology and the internals, but when they write their accompanying stories, for example, the CNN poll that shows Obama and Romney tied at 49, you gotta go to page 29 to find the sample.
Now, the reason that the sample has become known is because we began to popularize this.
We began digging deep.
None of it made any sense.
None of these polls made any sense.
It was we here at the EIB network who started digging deep and finding where in the release of polling data in the methodology did these units spell out the party identification.
And it's always at the end, and note it is never in the story.
When you see the CNN story today, when you see them report it on television, or if you happen to read their release, you will not see that the poll has a sample of Democrat plus 11.
They don't report that, neither does Pew, neither does public policy polling.
It's there.
But if all you see is the TV report of it, or all you see is a news story, you won't know it.
But now everybody's digging deep and finding it because the only way they can have Obama as close as he is to oversample Democrats dramatically in all of these polls.
Now that, again, that's my thinking.
That's my analysis.
No feelings in that.
On the other side of it, just like you, kind of this this causes some concern.
Why would they be so blatant about it?
Why would they be so wrong?
Why would they willingly be so wrong on this?
And this we can only guess.
They don't think they are, or they are trying to shape opinions still, and they'll come up with some excuse afterwards.
Uh, or they're not, and that's accurate.
Those are the options that we have when looking at all these polls.
And then when you look at the polling data, then you sh that you you you uh you have that either confirm or conflict with what you see.
And there's no comparison in what we see.
And Obama rally Stevie Wonder.
Stevie Wonder was in Cleveland.
They had, I think I read 200 people show up for a Stevie Wonder.
It might be 2,000.
No, it wasn't that much.
Either nobody knew that Stevie Wonder was there or nobody cared.
This was in Cleveland.
Uh Obama's rallies last Friday.
He had one in Hilliard, Ohio, or it was Hilliard, some small town, 2300 people.
And the uh the campaign said, well, we're purposely going to small towns, or we're purposely drawing small crowds.
We want to have a more intimate feel, blah, blah, blah.
Meanwhile, it's Romney at 15,000, 20,000, 30,000.
Romney had to schedule today an event in Virginia, reschedule from uh change venues.
The uh venue is originally going to use in Virginia today was 1900.
They had to move it to a place that had the capacity for 10,000.
Blame Sandy for their polling data being wrong.
Blame Sandy for the fact that only 2,000 people show up to see TV wonder.
I don't know.
See, it's the conflict, therefore, is real.
And it's a conflict that's being created.
I tell let's let's let's go to the sound bites and have you hear some of the drive-bys that are in the tank totally for Obama.
Just you get a feel for it.
You're gonna have to have, you're gonna have to gut it up, folks.
You're gonna have to have strong resolve.
Listen to this stuff with me.
Because it's gonna conflict with everything you think you know.
It's gonna conflict with everything you think you feel.
You're gonna think you're listening to people live in a different planet, different universe.
Before that, though, there's one other thing.
I want to take you back.
For example, I don't you look at Ohio.
Here's the thinking again.
What happened in Ohio in 2010?
I just want to repeat this.
John Kasich was elected governor.
A Democrat was swept out.
Ohio 2010 was the epicenter of that humongous landslide.
Republicans picked up 50 plus seats in the House of Representatives.
It was a Democrat blowout.
They lost a total of 600 legislative elective seats, all the way down to dogcatcher in precincts all across the country in 2010.
It was the Tea Party uprising.
It was the people of this country after two years of seeing what Obama was all about saying no moss, no moss, we don't want anymore.
Now, in the two years hence, have Democrats all of a sudden in Ohio, have people in Ohio all of a sudden, you know what?
I don't like this casing guy, and I don't like what we did in 2010.
And I want to go back to the guy.
None of it makes any sense.
Ohio being close based on what happened in 2010 doesn't make any sense, but none of the pollsters are looking at 2010.
It's like it never happened.
And of course, for somebody in the Obama camp, 2010 didn't happen.
The last thing they want to do is focus on that, because it was an outright blowout.
And Wisconsin, same thing.
Ohio is a mirror of what happened to Wisconsin and Wisconsin.
The people of Wisconsin are happy with what they've done there.
And the people in Ohio are happy with the outcome of 2010.
In 2008, people were not electing a radical.
They were not electing somebody they thought was anti-capitalist.
They were not electing somebody who's going to do harm to the economy.
That's the last thing they thought Obama was, right?
Okay, so two years go by, four years now go by, and everybody knows Obama either doesn't know what he's doing or he's got an entirely different idea about the way the country ought to run.
But whatever, it hasn't gotten any better.
It's done nothing but get worse.
There's not one case the Obama campaign can make for their record, and yet we are to believe that people in 2010 who wanted no more of this have all of a sudden changed their minds and are now indecisive about this.
I just cannot accept that.
My intelligence guided by experience tells me this is not how things happen.
And Ohio, by the way, has never been a state that elects madcap radicals, not nationally.
You might find a Kucinich in Cleveland or a Sherrod Brown, but you but but nationally, the people that come out of Ohio are they're dry balls.
Oh, sure.
That's not the plot.
They're fine people, but they're not electrifying in one way or the other.
They're not known as radical.
John Glenn, yeah, he's a Democrat, but he wasn't a radical extremist.
At least he didn't appear to be.
Howard Metzenbaum, I mean, you go to look at the people the Democrats have elected and sent to Washington.
They're they're they're not the kind of people that are all in for a guy like Obama.
Again, it's my brain talking to me.
It's my brain informing me.
My brain and my own analysis, independent of what the polls say.
Then I look at what the polls say and I say, well, what wasn't there's the none of this computes.
This country is not gonna elect a guy president who's running around telling people to vote for revenge.
Revenge.
Might have been the first to point this out last week.
Obama telling his voters to vote for revenge.
What?
Revenge.
Revenge against who?
Revenge for what?
I want to take you back, just to show you how on the cutting edge you are, if you are a daily regular listener to this program.
We're gonna go back to February 27, 2009.
Obama has been president for barely a month.
Barely a month.
And I want you to hear what I told you one month into the Obama regime.
He thinks he represents the America that's been getting a shaft for 200 years.
He represents the Americas that's on the wrong side of every deal.
They get the raw deal, the rotten deal.
They have been screwed, they have been shafted, they've been taken advantage of, they've been discriminated against.
It's time to make it right.
It's time to show these people that have been doing these evil things to people exactly how it feels.
So you want to find out what it's like on welfare when you don't care people are on it?
Here you go.
Here's your unemployment check.
You want to find out what it feels like to be scared to death?
Here you go.
This is about revenge, a little vengeance.
It is about theoretical capitalism that they despise because they can't control it, and again, because they think it's unfair and unjust and unequal.
No, no, no.
They're not in their minds trying to destroy America.
They're trying to rewrite it.
That was me one month into this presidency.
And I told you it was about revenge.
The revenge I was speaking about here.
This is Obama getting revenge for the country since its founding.
It was unfairly founded, unjustly founded.
Too many people got the shaft, and too few people got the spoils.
And Obama's here to change all that.
You want to not enough people knew what it's like to be on welfare.
Not enough people knew what it's like to have hardship.
A country was founded so that certain people never did experience hardship, and it's time they did.
I have known who this guy is since before the election in 2008.
So there he is.
One month in, I'm telling you this guy's about revenge.
And vengeance.
And how they don't like capitalism at the Obama administration, because they can't control it.
Because they think it's unfair, unjust, and unequal.
And in their minds, they're not trying to destroy America.
They're trying to rewrite it, make it more fair, more just.
In fact, what they're trying to do is rewrite it so government is all powerful.
And here's Obama Friday in Springfield, Ohio, to campaign event.
No, no, no.
Don't boo, vote.
Vote.
Voting's the best revenge.
Voting is the best revenge.
One month in, one month in, pardon me while I pat myself on the back.
If I don't do it, nobody else will.
I told you that's what this guy is all about.
And here he is now voicing it himself.
Off prompter, by the way, this was not written.
The real Obama surfaced.
And they're struggling trying to explain this.
In fact, Jim Messina or Pluff, one of those two, one of the Obama campaigners, actually on television yesterday tried to say now that it's Romney talking about revenge.
Well, I don't know what you're asking me, Chris.
Here's what Romney said about it.
In this closing argument, just the other day, President Obama asked his supporters to vote for revenge.
For revenge.
Instead, I asked the American people to vote for love of country.
Love of country is exactly what propelled 2010.
Love of country is exactly what caused a massive uprising by the Tea Party and the grassroots and a massive Democrat landslide defeat in 2010.
Make no mistake about it.
It was love of country that generated that.
And it's love of country that has only intensified since then.
It has not evaporated any shape, way, manner, or form.
And we are back.
El Rushbow here, the cutting edge of societal evolution.
Aunt Romney's on a roll.
He's uh he's in Virginia right now at this very moment, saying that every action Obama took on the Economy did harm.
Every action he took did harm.
It's undeniable.
It is simply undeniable.
Everything Obama has done has hurt the economy, has hurt health care.
Everything he's has harmed the debt, has worsened the deficit.
There isn't anything that's improved.
Nothing.
Now, here's a little little tidbit on these CNN polls.
Remember now, CNN today has the race tied at 49.
Romney up 22 with independence.
Actually, it's more than that.
It's 24 with independents and a Democrat sample of plus 11.
A Democrat had a plus 7 turnout advantage in 2008.
The last three CNN polls.
Obama has come down from 50 to 49, and Romney went up from 47 to 49.
The trend is Romney in the CNN poll.
Now, if you just look at the CNN poll today, 4949.
Romney up 22 with independence.
Over the last three CNN polls, Obama has come down from 50 to 49, and Romney's gone up from 47 to 49.
So Romney's trending, and still by the way, Romney is trending with plus eleven Democrats in their sample.
Don't just take one poll.
Look at the rolling average or look at the last three as we're doing here.
Romney goes up two points in the last three CNN polls with a plus eleven Democrat sample.
Again, my thinking goes into gear and doesn't jibe.
It just doesn't make sense.
Now let's let's go and mention the audio sound bites of the drive-by types.
Matthew Dowd.
I don't know what happened to Matthew.
Matthew Dowd used to be a big Bush 43 guy.
Major Bush 43.
Used to be on TV 2000, 2004, all over the place.
Loved George W. Bush.
He's now in the tank for Obama.
He was on Good Morning America Today.
Stephanopoulos said the president's schedule today, and that's his path for 270 electoral votes, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio.
That gets him to 271 he needs, even if Romney wins all the other battlegrounds.
Even if Romney wins Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, New Hampshire, he can't get there.
Here's what Matthew Dowd says.
That's the difficulty that the Romney campaign is faced with.
The path to winning this Electoral College is so tight, it's almost as if he has to draw an inside straight tomorrow in what's going to happen in this race.
And he has to, in my view, if you take a look at Ohio, Florida, and Virginia.
Mitt Romney has to basically go three for three in those states in order to win this race.
Well, Matthew H tell you, but they're all all your precious polls are tied.
But you see, these guys are going by nothing but polling data.
They rely on nothing but polling data.
They're not thinking.
They're not adding their own thoughts to this.
In fact, what they're doing, they're looking at the polling data and attaching it to their bias and their preference, and they're allowing the polling data to confirm what they want to happen.
But I don't think we're getting intellectual honesty out of these people.
Here's F. Chuck Todd.
Now let's go.
F. Chuck Todd two weeks ago said that if if if Obama's below 50 points on election day, he's in trouble.
There's no other way around it.
Well, he's still below 50, and Fuch Chuck Todd's not saying that.
On the Today Show today, Savannah Guthrie said, let's go through some scenarios.
The first one is situation with a candidate's neck and neck nationally, president with a slight lead, key battleground states, then Romney could win the popular vote, lose the electoral college.
What do you think at F. Chuck?
It's a very narrow path for the president.
It means Pennsylvania stays where it is, Nevada stays in his column because of Hispanics, and then literally he just wins Wisconsin and Ohio, and that's it.
He does it by one electoral vote, 271.
This would mean all of these other states.
You see a trend here?
They're all talking about 271.
Every one of these people in the drive-by's have one path for Obama.
I mean, in the in the sense that they've all gotten the memo.
They're all on the same page here.
I gotta take a timeout, my friends, but we'll be back.
Don't go away.
Scott Rasmussen is out with his October 31st summary of party affiliation.
And Scott Rasmussen, as of October 31st, is the most recent, has Republicans at their highest party affiliation he has ever recorded since he's been doing this.
39.1 of the electorate say they are Republican.
33% say they are Democrat.
That is a Republican plus 5.8% margin, according to Rasmussen's latest party affiliation poll.
▲
Export Selection