March 18, 2026 - Human Events Daily - Jack Posobiec
48:14
China Offers Taiwan 'Reunification For Energy Security' Deal Amid Iran War & Trump Attends Dignified Transfer
Jack Posobiec opens Human Events Daily on March 18, 2026, reporting a federal judge blocked Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s vaccine changes while Operation Epic Fury escalates with U.S. strikes on Iran's South Pars gas field and the killing of intelligence minister Kateb. Mike Cernovich joins to debate DNI Gabbard's assessment of teenage Islamic extremists as the top terror threat, linking it to mass immigration. The episode analyzes China's offer of Taiwan reunification for LNG access amid the war, Trump's dignified transfer ceremony at Dover Air Force Base, and Jerome Powell's decision to hold interest rates steady despite rising energy costs. Ultimately, these events highlight a fractured global order where energy security drives geopolitical realignments and domestic threats intensify. [Automatically generated summary]
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A commentator, international social media sensation, and former Navy intelligence veteran.
This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobiec.
Christ is king.
A federal judge has blocked Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s sweeping changes to the nation's childhood vaccine schedule, a significant setback for one of the administration's most controversial health policy moves.
The ruling sides largely with major medical groups that argued the administration improperly changed vaccine recommendations.
I've worked with many people in this room.
Seems like you fight Republicans more than you work with us.
I did address those remarks.
I did explain your gimmicks by the amendment you put forth.
And as far as me saying that I invoke violence, I don't.
I don't think anybody should be hit by surprise.
I don't like that.
But if I do have something to say, everybody in this room knows I'll come straight to you.
I'll say it publicly and I'll say it privately, but I'll never say it behind your back.
Anyone who has been suspected of leaking or is proven to be a leaker will not be welcome in this administration.
I know that for a fact because I've heard the president say it myself.
There are investigations underway into leakers in this administration, and people will be held accountable for that.
The intelligence community assesses that Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and Pakistan have been researching and developing an array of novel, advanced, or traditional missile delivery systems with nuclear and conventional payloads that put our homeland within range.
Iran is just a military operation to me.
Iran is something that was essentially largely over in two or three days because the Navy was wiped out almost immediately.
The Air Force came next.
The anti-aircraft came next to him.
Overnight, Iran launching new strikes on Israel.
These apparent cluster warheads seen falling over Tel Aviv.
Israeli officials say an elderly couple in this building were killed by shrapnel from a missile interception.
In Iraq, flames also rising after the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad again came under attack.
Hours after an earlier wave of drones, air defense here seen shooting one down.
Meanwhile, the U.S. taking new action in the Strait of Hormuz, dropping multiple 5,000-pound so-called bunker buster bombs on hardened Iranian missile sites along the strait that could be used to target ships.
But the waterway remains virtually shut down, choking off global oil shipments.
Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily.
Today is March 18th, 2026.
Anno Domine.
Folks, the Iran military operation continues.
U.S., of course, involved in direct participation.
As we know, Operation Epic Fury.
We are in an active and highly escalatory phase as of this day.
The conflict is now in its third week, approximately day 19.
And what we're now seeing is Israeli and U.S. airstrikes intensifying, targeting Iranian leadership, military infrastructure, increasing economic assets.
Now, they've been met with Iranian ballistic missile and drone barrages in retaliation, the proxies, Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, threats to the Gulf states.
Over the last 24 hours, Israel has come out and confirmed the killing of Iran's intelligence minister, Kateb, in an Israeli strike on Tehran.
This is the third high-level assassination in two days.
Previously, we saw the security chief Ali Larajani, a key figure who was running aspects of Iran during the war, and the besieged commander, Soleimani.
Iran has, of course, granted the ID, Israel has granted the IDF blanket permission to target remaining high-value Iranian leaders without case-by-case approval, signaling what we see as an intensification of this decapitation campaign.
In retaliation, missile barrages on Israel.
Iran launching a major, what they call revenge wave of ballistic missiles, including reports of cluster warheads targeting central Israel, particularly near Tel Aviv.
At least two civilians killed an elderly couple.
It's reported in widespread damage in populated areas, sirens across multiple reasons.
Multiple missiles have been intercepted by Israeli defenses, the Arrow system, the Iron Dome, but impacts caused destruction, and at least one confirmed fatality pair near Tel Aviv.
Israel, and with U.S. backing, struck Iran's massive South Pars gas field.
This is the world's largest natural gas field.
Iran shares this field with Qatar.
And for the first time, we're seeing these targeting of Gulf-based energy and economic assets, plus oil, petrochemical facilities, and a gas processing plant in Fars province.
Iran, of course, vowing decisive action.
They are threatening retaliatory tit-for-tat strikes on Gulf energy facilities.
Think Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Hezbollah, launching missiles in northern Israel, multiple strikes in southern Lebanon, bridges over the Latani River that have been targeted by Israel.
We're also seeing the Iraqi Islamic resistance now in Iraq target those U.S. bases, Victoria Base in Baghdad, Erbil, explosions elsewhere at U.S. sites in Kuwait, elsewhere.
Multiple interceptions, Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, Saudi Arabia reported intercepting Iranian missiles and drones, blasts near Dubai airport and other sites.
And we're seeing the Houthis potentially, potentially coming on board in the Red Sea.
And of course, this would compound multiple issues with the resumption of their shipping attacks for the sea lane and the sea line of communication.
Probably the biggest bombing overnight, the U.S. deploying the 5,000-pound bunker buster bombs near the Strait of Hormuz, targeting potential underground Iranian mining threats, Iranian missile threats.
This has been the key intensification that we've told you was going to come.
Now, there's funerals underway in Tehran.
Human Events Daily continues to monitor the situation.
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Now it's time for everyone to understand what America First truly means.
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Back, Jack Posobic back here, live human events, daily, Real America's voice.
And we're here today on this occasion.
We're looking at this war.
We're looking at the continuation of this war.
We're looking at everything that's escalating.
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We've seen bombs on the gas fields.
We've seen the bunker busters on the street.
And Human Events, of course, is going to be here to give you all of the situational reports, the sit reps as this continues.
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Debating War Camps00:15:20
Now, I did also want to mention, by the way, so we have DNI Gabbard is out there.
She's testifying today at the, at the Senate, but the 2026 annual threat assessment was just released by DNI Gabbard.
It reveals the terrorism threats on the rise and specifically talks about the 2025 New Year's Day attack in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Boulder, Colorado attacks, and it talks about the fact that we are now seeing these teenage extremists, these teenage, in some cases, it calls them lone offenders or homegrown radicals, that this is becoming the largest terror threat in the United States.
And certainly we've seen multiple instances of this since the Iran operation, since Operation Iran has begun.
So DNI Gyber delivering that report and answering questions there up at the Senate today.
In order to go through this and some other stuff, I wanted to bring in filmmaker and author and sub stacker Mike Cernovich joining us here on the program.
What's up, Mike?
How you doing, man?
How you doing, man?
So actually, you know, I hadn't run that by you before, but seeing that headline come out from DNI Gabbard saying that this is the first time that we've actually seen, I think, this phrase teenage extremists.
They're calling it homegrown extremists of Islamic radicals.
We haven't seen that put in intelligence.
I just remember this from being in the IC.
We never saw that put at such a high level before.
What do you think it says that, you know, and the media has been trying to gaslight us for years about these things?
What does it say that we're actually seeing the administration put this front and center?
The timing is the problem, right?
And I'll tell you why.
You and I, we were talking about the Red-Green Alliance in 2017.
None of the neocons were talking about it.
Nobody talked about it.
People would sort of make fun of us.
Oh, Qatar.
And then a few months ago, suddenly they start talking about Qatar.
And now nobody believes it.
Nobody finds it trustworthy or credible.
People don't even talk about the Brookings Institute having a location in Doha.
So you can't really track how much money Qatar was putting into Brookings.
There's college campuses that would have a Doha campus.
So you can't track any of the spending.
And unfortunately, this is how I feel about the latest announcement.
All of this is true, but people think it's a distraction now.
People don't believe it's real.
We have MAGA people saying, well, what threat is Islamic terrorism to the United States?
And to you and me, this is like an obvious question.
Of course, why are we arguing about this?
But that's because the issue was not presented in a credible way and with credible timing.
And now everything looks like a distraction on Israel.
So I feel like I'm constantly, and you probably feel the same way too.
You can elaborate if you don't.
I want to speak for you.
But I constantly feel like I'm screaming into the air that all of this is true, but nobody's going to believe it because you don't want to talk about it until now.
So everything now is coming out is true, but it's not going to be seen as credible by most people due to the timing of it.
Well, and this was something that we saw in, so like when there was that attack in New York City, the bombing, and it was the two, I guess, buddies, they weren't brothers, but it was very similar to the Boston bombers who were brothers.
And they came out of Newtown, Pennsylvania, and then they drove up to New York City, throw some bombs near Gracie Mansion.
And for anyone who doesn't understand Bucks County, Philadelphia area, Newtown, I said, this is like the town from Gilmore Girls, right?
This is a place that you would never, ever associate with something like that.
But the idea that there could be ISIS extremist sympathizers here is because of mass immigration.
It's because of mass open borders.
It's because mass, but it's actually not just mass open borders because it's mass third world open borders because it's only from certain places, right?
There's actually immigration restrictions on certain parts of the world too.
And so this is just exactly what you and I have been talking about again since 2017, Sweden, everything else, that now it's here in the United States.
And we're seeing it again and again.
But because it's happening at the same time as the Iran operation, people are saying, oh, no, this must be something else.
This can't possibly be its own, you know, its own thing.
It's got to be fake.
It's got to be false, which is just obviously not true.
And you got Deanna Gabbard, who, by the way, she herself has always talked about this from the days that she was a Democrat, like freshman congresswoman from Hawaii.
She would always, she was the only one that would, in the Obama years, that would speak out about radical Islam.
And she would say, this is what we're fighting.
We're not fighting just some group.
We're fighting an ideology.
That's one of the reasons that I remember like she just came across my radar back then.
Yeah, you know this.
I know this.
Gabbard knows this, but it doesn't strike, it just doesn't come off as credible to most people because nobody was talking about it when we were supposed to be talking about it.
And that's the way it is with a lot of issues.
Nobody believes in the Qatar stuff, except for us, because we knew it.
But that's a messaging failure.
And then in terms of, well, why do we have this?
Why do we have Islamic?
Because you brought it, because the neocons brought him in, dude.
Because we all remember the tweets about, well, I don't care about the Browning of America.
We all know, oh, white people suck.
White people are, we all know this stuff.
It's so tiresome for people to try to go, oh, God, oh, gosh, oh, gosh, what happened?
Anti-white bigots, white people haters within the neocon movement wanted this.
And now they're saying, well, look, but look, we have Islamic terrorism.
I'm saying, well, I know because you supported open borders.
There's a reason that they're here.
And people don't even believe this is a problem now because you guys were the ones supporting it.
And now it looks like a huge distraction from Israel.
So I'm caught in the middle because everything that is being released now is true, but then it looks through the timing of it as being a distraction from Israel.
So I wanted to, I wanted to pull up a tweet because I pulled it up and it's just, it's just so revealing and I'm so sick of it.
So last night, there were primaries in Illinois and other states, and the media is trying to spin it as, oh, this shows that AIPAC won, but APAC had to create a bunch of different cutout groups to back candidates in these Illinois primaries.
There was a Media Matters person that she ran a close second and it took a ton of money to stop her.
And then I see people trying to spin this as, oh, look, this is proof that the left isn't that crazy.
And the answer is no, it took tens of millions of dollars to stop some of these people.
And then that race is a little bit different.
So I see this thing, and this is like, I'm just tired of it.
And I don't have patience with people.
Okay.
In that race as well, though, weren't there?
Weren't there like I think there were multiple candidates?
So it was actually, I think it was like two far left candidates and then one moderate Democrat.
So if you look at it together, that's a split of the far left vote.
So that means your actual far left vote share was like 45, 50%.
And so the moderate only had about what, 19, 20% or something like that.
So you could say she lost, but that doesn't actually mean because if you look at the full vote share, that's a huge number, again, for the far left candidates.
Yeah, the far left should have won.
The far left, SPLC, media matters back person should have won, should be in Congress.
And then you have all the spin, which is why there's just a level of trust.
So this is like a textbook thing.
And I'm just so tired of reading stuff like this.
And she was, she was the squad that the squad came in and they were trying to put her up.
Blah, blah, blah, blah.
But it's profoundly disturbing that a growing segment of the far left appears to be almost rooting for Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Iranian regime.
Gee, buddy, who let him in?
Who let him in, buddy?
Who let him in?
And we're all just so sick of it.
They let him in.
These people don't like Israel.
I'm aligned with Israel.
I'm fine with Israel.
That gets me a lot of heat.
I'm not some flag waiver.
I'm fine with Israel.
But I'm not fine with people being deceptive.
Just say we imported a lot of people.
They hate Israel.
I like Israel.
This was a mistake.
I'm voting Trump.
I'm voting MAGA.
I'm voting Republicans in the midterms.
I'm writing big checks.
This was a stupid thing that I did.
Let's roll, boys.
No, no, it's always, well, I'm not some filthy, dirty MAGA.
Mike, Mike, we have a quick break.
We have a quick break coming up.
More Mike Cernovich, Iran, mass immigration, Human Events Daily.
You talk about influencers.
These are influencers.
And they're friends of mine.
Jack or Selvik.
First guy, he's got a great guy.
All right, Jack Subik, we're back.
We're on with filmmaker Mike Cernovich.
That footage that we just had there, ladies and gentlemen, that was footage from Tehran.
It's going on right now.
And this is footage of one of the leaders who was killed in the recent strikes.
His funeral, his coffin there being paraded through the square.
I want to get Mike Cernovich in here to get your take on this because you had a tweet up recently talking about sort of the different camps on the war.
You know, some people totally for, some people totally against, some people skeptical but optimistic.
You see videos like this coming out of Tehran.
It seems to me like we're starting to see a rally around the flag moment by the Iranian people rather than sparking this protest revolt that obviously was what the hope had been.
I mean, I'm sure there's opposition out there still, but you also have supporters of the regime.
So where do we go in a situation like this?
That's the quagmire.
So if you spend time in the, in LA or Orange County, there's a huge Iranian diaspora.
They have friends and family back home.
And there's a large amount of people that wanted freed from the oppressive thumb of the mulatto.
The mulattoes did kill a lot of people.
I remember to argue with, and that's what really makes me sad about the info environment.
I remember arguing with a lot of MAGA people where they say, oh, the numbers are made up.
The Mulas didn't kill anybody.
Guys, you can be anti-Mulah.
You can be against, you can think this was an ill-advised thing and be anti-Mulah.
Please, for the love of God, we have a country to save and people are somehow forgetting that.
But there are people that obviously are part of the Mulas.
There's also a lot of foreign people who brought in from Iraq, just like they were Cubans in Venezuela.
Remember, the Maduro's Praetorian Guard was largely Cuban because he couldn't trust his own people in Venezuela, right?
He couldn't trust Venezuelans.
So they brought in Cubans there.
There's that element too with the militias and other groups are not always, are not always Persian, and they're more ready and willing to fire on people who supported, who would protest the Mulas.
And that's the problem.
Where does it go?
You don't know because the enemy gets a vote.
This is something that the podcasters and the chicken hawks and the neocons, they either don't know or they don't care about.
The enemy gets a vote.
You don't know what's going to happen.
And once you start kicking over trees, you don't know how many rattlesnakes are going to be under there.
That's a problem.
So in terms of the war in MA, because I get that a lot, because a lot of people call me a fence sitter, and I'm completely fine with that, is you can be, you can think that the Mulas are evil.
They are killing their own people.
You can want the Mulas to fail, but you can also not support a ramped up war, which it does look like the war is ramping up.
I was hoping this would be a two-week thing, and I didn't consider that realistic, but that's what my hope was.
And now they're talking about it lasting until what, September, blowing up natural gas fields now.
That's going to bring in the other Middle Eastern countries into the mix.
The whole situation is getting unpredictable and uncontrollable.
And so the question there, I think, you know, it comes down to, and I pointed out, by the way, that there are, and Politico, you know, kind of pulled some of my stuff.
I said, there's, there's ways you can neutralize things, oil infrastructure, et cetera, without having to go boots on the ground.
But at this point, when you see the Marines going, you know, heading over there from Japan, we're seeing social media people talking about deployments.
Do you think we're going to see boots on the ground?
Yeah, we were talking about that yesterday.
And I didn't want to tweet out because then people have Domain Hasaurus and that gets under my skin.
But the OPSEC on social media is not what it used to be.
There are things posted that the chain of command would not approve of and includes by a lot of family members.
And there have been way more deployments that have been reported.
I find it insulting that we're not getting the real information because I've seen deployment information posted by parents who either don't understand OPSEC or don't care, or maybe they do want to post what's going on.
And then somebody will find it and they'll say, oh, we didn't know, you know, Oopsie, my bad.
And don't, you know, don't blame my son for this.
I don't really know.
But there have been way more to play, way more deployments that have been reported.
And I've seen it.
And I know immediately somebody's going to say, give me a source.
No, I'm not going to get family members in trouble.
If you can't find this stuff on your own, that's your problem.
It's not my job, not my job to go spoon feed people.
They can go spend more time figuring this stuff out.
Now, there might be boots on the ground already.
We don't know.
We don't know anything right now.
It's almost impossible to find reliable information on that war.
So for example, that video you showed me, I hadn't even seen that.
I didn't even, the cemetery or the coffin video.
I hadn't even seen that yet.
I haven't even got caught up today.
It takes forever to find any kind of information to find out if it's reliable.
The UAE, and I don't disagree with these decisions, but a guy from the UK posted a video of bomb attack.
He's in jail.
We're not getting any kind of information.
The satellites haven't been updated, right?
There's a two-week lag that was imposed now.
So we don't know what targets have been hit and where.
We're getting no credible information about the war.
So what should, so how should people, and just in the last two minutes that we have you, how should people, you know, go about thinking about these things when it's obviously such a high, it's a hot topic, no, for sure.
And it should be.
It's questions of war and peace.
But how should people be thinking about that as they go about their day?
They're interacting with social media.
Obviously, it's very emotional.
But at the same time, there's real, you know, would you, would you say a healthy skepticism just to everything you see?
Bold Blackout Coffee00:03:49
Yeah, I don't believe anything.
I see stuff coming out because I follow Ryan Grimm, the drop set news guys.
You have to read all these.
You have to read everybody.
And that's not to say that I believe anything I see because I see information where they'll say, oh, the settlers in Israel, they drove over people and the Israel side says, no, the people they got run over were running at the car.
I don't believe any of this point.
And the big problem I have is I should be able to trust.
This sounds not even childish, but I should be able to trust this administration to give us accurate information.
And when I'm seeing information on deployments posted on social media by parents who shouldn't have posted it and not hearing that from the rest of, because they can't claim, well, we can't talk about deployments because that gives the enemy info.
Dude, it's out there.
The enemy knows.
I don't want to hear any more of this spin.
Let us know.
And by the way, the tenant.
And we know, we've covered here that China's watching the whole thing with their spy satellites now and posting it all in open source.
So it's totally out in the open for the other side.
And guess what?
Facebook didn't even exist when the Iraq war began.
Mike Cernovich, who's your go-longer man.
Thank you so much for being here.
Thank you so much for your words and providing expertise and a different perspective, perhaps, to other people.
Go give him a follow at Cernovich on X and other associated platforms.
We'll be right back, Human Events Daily.
Jack, where's Jack?
Where is he?
Jack, I want to see you.
Great job, Jack.
Thank you.
What a job you do.
You know, we have an incredible thing.
We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys, and these are the guys should be getting public.
All right, Jack Poseidon, here we are back.
Human events daily, Real America's Voice.
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Gold Transfer Strategies00:14:50
Also, folks, just as a programming note, I want to let everyone know that we do have the footage.
President of the United States, President Trump, along with Secretary of War Hegseth, have arrived at Dover Air Force Base there for the dignified transfer of the air crew that was lost in, went down in Iraq, the six-member crew, and he's there awaiting that.
We have footage.
This footage you're watching right now, this is from moments ago.
And of course, we're awaiting the live footage or whenever we can get the footage of President Trump attending that dignified transfer and the dignified transfer actually taking place.
Of course, we will cut to that as soon as we have the ability to do so.
So there you see the president coming down off of Air Force One.
You see him meeting with the officials there preparing to make the transfer of the beast in the background as well, meeting with the military officials.
You see Secretary Hegset there arriving just after the president.
And President Trump, of course, showing and making the case that this situation is not bloodless, that this is very serious business.
And the president, of course, taking time as he's done already to go and attend this transfer.
And we'll bring that to you.
If it happens while we're still alive, we will go directly to that on Human Events.
And so I wanted to bring in now as we're looking at Iran, as we're seeing this situation intensify.
I am seeing reporting from Axios Shelby Talcott here that she said she's told that, or excuse me, she's a semaphore, but she's confirming something from Axios.
Shelby Talcott says, I'm told the U.S. was aware of the Israeli strike against the gas facility in Iran, but the U.S. did not play a part in the attack.
This is notable as the Trump administration has previously been wary for few reasons of striking certain infrastructure in Iran.
I want to bring in here Malcolm Flex because Malcolm Flex, you were the man who told us last week, you said we are going to see intensification.
We are going to see this military operation intensify.
We're going to see it expand in terms of scope.
And that's exactly what we're now seeing.
We've seen there had been this, you know, this essentially a block on hitting the oil infrastructure, the gas infrastructure.
One of the reasons, I think, was because they were saying the oil infrastructure, obviously, that's the commodity, but the gas infrastructure, that speaks to the direct electric grid of Iran.
And of course, we're also seeing the deployment of the Marines now, 2,500 Marines from Japan.
The 31st MEU is now steaming its way towards the Persian Gulf, which of course provides that optionality for the president.
So, Malcolm Flex, you wanted to get your take on this in terms of how you see this going.
You're the man who called that it was going to escalate.
We're now seeing them hit the electric grid, Marines potentially on the way, bunker busters in the Strait of Hormuz.
What do you think is going on?
I think right now we're in a pretty tough situation because, you know, there's a couple of, there were a couple of cards in the president's deck, and I think he's rapidly had to shuffle through those cards, discard the ones that didn't work.
You know, we were looking at the cooperation of maybe some of the other countries, the other NATO countries, and we were hoping that, hey, maybe some of them will help us reopen straight.
Didn't happen.
A lot of them are looking out for themselves, which actually plays into a much larger issue.
I don't want to bury the lead here, but you know, that plays into a larger issue that's going to really come back and bite us.
But now that Marine expeditionary unit that we're about to send over there, again, they're going to be able to do a couple of things, but it's like if we're going to literally have them secure passage of Strait of Hormuz and whatnot, that's going to be dangerous because that's going to take a constant, almost eye of sauron-like focus on the straight in order to keep it open.
Demining is tough because a lot of the demining vessels that we have have been decommissioned.
You know, they're very old.
I think, you know, those are the Avenger class of ships.
We only have, I want to say about four, if I remember off the top of my head, you know, I've been doing a little bit of a deep dive on this.
So keeping Straight of Hormuz open just in order to keep the world economy and the gas, you know, the sort of the way the gas works and goes out to a lot of these countries that we buy goods from to keep those prices in check is going to be an all-around task.
It's going to revolve around having a lot of manpower.
So now you're talking about an optical failure here because now we have, we're in a spot where we have to put boots on the ground in order to keep the economy from going haywire.
And so it's going to be a lot of fun.
Actually, Flex, I've got breaking news because as you're speaking, none other than the chairman of the Federal Reserve is up publicly confirming exactly what you just stated.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says that rising energy prices will push up inflation.
It is too early to judge the magnitude.
And of course, too slow Powell, in defiance of President Trump, just announced that interest rates will remain unchanged.
He did not lower the interest rates.
They remain unchanged.
And this is, it exactly backs up what you've been saying.
Yeah, it's tough.
I don't know if we have audio of what he's saying.
And not that it's not going to be anything revelatory, but yeah, we're at a point now where it's economic jenga.
Trump is pulling out blocks and trying to rearrange them on the top because we're up against a metal versus metal conundrum, which is we are using resources and we're expending a lot of our resources, but also the American will to even continue the metal, M-E-T-T-L-E, to continue this war is also rapidly exhausting.
And as prices go up and as this goes downstream and the shipping costs into manufacturing costs, because China, other company, other countries that house company manufacturing, they're going, you know, they're doing what they can to get on Iran's good side.
And we're kind of seeing where that's lying.
And so remember what I talked about, which is that we didn't get that coalition to keep the straight of hormuz open.
That's going to have ramifications when we look at the international rules-based order that we've set up, which facilitates free trade and shipping.
Because now America is kind of giving them the side out like, hey, man, like I thought y'all were, you know, kind of wanting to help us.
They're like, I don't know, man.
We kind of want to want to stay on our good side because we get oil from Iran.
So America's not feeling it because we're a net exporter of oil still.
But at the same time, a lot of what we do that ties into NATO, the international rules-based order of friendship and all of this stuff, that does play into a bigger picture.
And we're kind of fracturing it for what I can only understand is such a short-term or nebulous gain.
And so, Rez, of course, but what I would add there is you have the economic Jenga, you have the metal versus metal, no question.
But the game, I think the great game here is not necessarily direct on Iran.
I mean, yes, that's part of it, but the bigger game is Iran or is Russia and China is the effects on Russia, the effects on China.
Because of course, for Russia, this is going to push up their oil price or their price of their oil, which of course benefits Russia because they are a net oil exporter as well.
And then, of course, for China, it's going to hurt them because this is one of their major suppliers.
They're going to be paying more for oil.
They don't like the instability either.
And in fact, and we're coming up on a quick break here, but I just saw coming across the headline that listen to this, China here, how are they trying to take advantage of the situation?
Because they've got massive LNG reserves right now that China just offered Taiwan a reunification deal in exchange for access to their LNG reserves.
So there you go.
The Chinese making a deal, perhaps one that Taiwan can't refuse.
I think they will, though.
I don't see it coming.
But of course, China looking to gain their advantage from this as well.
All of this and more coming up.
Human Events, Daily Real Narcos Voice.
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And we have to dig in more, folks.
This Reuters story, one of the hottest stories in the world right now.
No one else is talking about this.
China made an energy security deal offer to Taiwan amid the Middle East war, offering them reunification in exchange for energy security.
I want to bring Malcolm Flex back on here because Flex, is this just about Taiwan or is this perhaps really all about semiconductors?
It's all about the chips and China knowing that if that island, if the island of Taiwan, which we were talking about this yesterday here on the program at Vis-a-V-AI, that if they don't have the energy to be able to continue those supplies, then that's going to cause so many problems all around the world, not to mention for Silicon Valley and the power brokers there.
Yeah.
Well, what we're seeing now is probably a ram in the bush, so to speak, you know, if I want to use a biblical term for China here.
And the thing is, a lot of people don't understand is TSMC is extremely unique in the way that they create the semiconductors and the microchip and the silica and all of that.
It's a very intricate process and it's one that cannot be duplicated.
The United States has tried many times.
It's going to take a long time before we're even anywhere close to that.
China understands that, that if we go in, guns are blazing, Taiwan's just going to sabotage it.
They're not going to let it fall into CCP hands.
So again, you can do that, but what you're doing is guaranteeing sort of a doomsday scenario and Taiwan creating a headache for you.
And so they're seeing right now, hey, with the breakdown of the international rules-based order with a lot of the NATO countries and this coalition that was supposed to defend Taiwan sort of breaking down, why not let's go ahead and, you know, offer a little bit of a, you know, a sweet deal to them.
And now Taiwan historically has had issues with their electrical grid.
Now, they've announced that they were going to increase imports from the United States of LNG in order to sort of subsidize things, but that supply chain is still difficult.
And right now, what's going to end up happening, especially if the United States does decide to disembark from NATO, like Trump is sort of saying, then you're going to have a bit of an issue where, okay, how do we handle international waters?
How do we secure safe passage against things like pirates and all of that of energy that's going across there?
So then China really does become an easy way to just get consistent LNG.
And so, like I said, again, if I'm the leadership over there in the Taiwan, you know, over there in Taiwan, and I'm looking at the dignitaries from China's Taiwan Affairs Office.
I'm kind of looking at this deal.
I'm like, you know, what do we do?
Because again, you can either take the bloodbath, which it will be.
I know we lampoon China's Navy and whatnot, but that's still a war.
That's still a battle.
And it's one that you're not necessarily likely to win, especially even if Japan gets involved.
Like you're not necessarily likely to win it, especially if the U.S., which has been your biggest guarantor of freedom, is already overextended and over-leveraged in the Middle East.
And, you know, the enemy, of course, gets a vote over there and they drag us deeper.
And then you've got Israel, which is now going in Lebanon and other areas and starting to leverage other conflicts that they're going to need our help.
Taiwan's kind of wondering where do they fall on this?
And then Russia and Ukraine, you know, we're still kind of leveraged over there.
And China does have a relationship with Russia, who is still a gas exporter.
So there are opportunities there in that same sphere of influence where Taiwan can maybe secure a future that's not, you know, self-deterministic.
Maybe they don't exist as their own sovereign entity, but, you know, I mean, geographically, maybe makes a little bit more sense.
I'm not advocating for that.
I'm just saying that could be the play there.
And, you know, again, Putin's looking at that.
They're looking at an opportunity to where, hey, we can finally build up a cohesive system that's right over here on this side of the world, free from Western interference and free from the quagmires of everything else.
And Iran is basically, you know, it's the first domino to fall in that.
Assad Sanctions Dilemma00:03:39
So I don't know, man.
Yeah.
And you could even say, no, the economic Jenga is 100% right, because you could even say, I mean, Ukraine really started all of this, that Ukraine and having Russia in there is directly going to be the situation that has them bogged down.
Now, they're talking about a huge summer counteroffensive.
And of course, the Russian coffers are going to be flush right now because they are making money hand over fist in the oil markets.
So, and of course, they're selling it to China, who's in turn, you know, offering it to Taiwan here.
So, because they've got the cash reserves to be able to do so, as well as the LNG reserves.
So, Russia is going to plan this massive counteroffensive in Ukraine or excuse me, massive summer offensive in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, though, that means they don't have the free hand that they had in the past to help out with Iran.
They didn't have a free hand to help with the Wagner group when it came to Assad and be able to shore up his regime there in Syria.
So, that's why Assad fell.
That's why Assad is now over in Moscow right now.
And the same deal with Tehran.
They don't have the leverage that they would have normally to be able to respond or even act as a mediator here.
But, you know, that's kind of my big question, I guess.
And let me throw it to you is at some point, now we know that the president has already postponed this trip to Beijing that he was supposed to be taking at the end of the month, the end of March.
So, at some point, though, does he get Putin on the phone?
Does he get Xi Jinping on the phone and say, guys, we could do this the way we're doing it now, or we can come to some sort of grand strategy agreement?
What do you say?
He could.
The question is, are they going to pick up an answer right now?
Because, you know, everybody wants to have their cake and eat it too.
And at the moment, you know, the United States is kind of playing a little bit, a little bit sweet.
We are, I think we are stripping away some of the sanctions that we put on Russia.
This is more so a play at, you know, keeping the GCC countries from freaking out and destroying sort of the oil economy.
But, you know, we're kind of reducing some of those sanctions so that Russia can continue to provide oil so that the gas prices don't go high.
But, you know, Russia, if I'm Russia, what incentive right now do I necessarily have other than, and this is the only thing, if Iran falls or if Iran is in such disarray and Russia sort of leaves them out the dry, the Shahed drones that Russia is getting from Iran, which are, yes, manufactured in facilities in Russia, but that last 10% of the manufacturing process Iran still holds, those Shahed drones are off the table.
That's the only bit of, you know, sort of downside that Russia even has in this.
And China, I mean, China has like no motivation at all.
You know, they're collecting battle data right now on the United States and how we're handling the asymmetric warfare of Iran and sort of what strikes that we're leveraging.
And here's the thing: Iran is-they're learning more every chance they get.
Yeah.
And we have to increasingly, we've got to throw increasingly stronger munitions at them every single time.
So they're seeing what we got.
They're seeing our hands.
That's exactly right.
And China sees all of it.
Flex, where can people go to follow you?
Go ahead and follow me on X, Malcolm Flex.
You know, I'm getting a little bit more acerbic.
I'm getting a little spicier, but trust me, I will tie it in with some nice stuff.
But yeah, if you want to follow me there, follow me there.
Follow me on Instagram, Malcolm underscore Flex48.
If you like my MMA content and all of that stuff, but yeah.
Give them a follow, folks.
Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay ashore.