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Racial Disparities In Suspects
00:09:18
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| Hello, I'm Jared Taylor with American Renaissance. | |
| The internet censors hate my videos. | |
| They're especially going to hate this one. | |
| So if you like it, I hope you'll send the link to a lot of people. | |
| New York City has just released its report on crime and crime suspects for 2022. | |
| Despite its drab cover, this report is dynamite. | |
| Most cities don't publish race data. | |
| Like her predecessors, gave you the works. | |
| Keechan just resigned after only a year and a half on the job. | |
| Maybe she actually read the report that has her name on it. | |
| It paints a grim picture of the terrible damage blacks and Hispanics do to her city. | |
| The media, of course, will scrupulously ignore this report. | |
| The NYPD puts the data in graphs, and here's the one for murder. | |
| Last year, there were 414 homicides in the city, and this shows racial distributions left to right, beginning with American Indians, then Asians, blacks, whites, and Hispanics. | |
| Along the depth axis to the right are victims, suspects, and arestees. | |
| The vertical axis is the percentages by race for these categories. | |
| Those tall columns in the middle are blacks. | |
| Of the 414 murders, blacks were 63% of the victims, 64% of the suspects, and 58% of the arestees. | |
| As you can see on the right, Hispanics were mixed up with a lot of killing, too. | |
| They were 26% of the victims, 31% of the suspects, and 36% of the arestees. | |
| Whites and Asians didn't amount to much. | |
| And there are so few American Indians in the city, you wonder why the NYPD bothers with them. | |
| There were 20,295 robberies reported in 2022. | |
| As you can see, blacks in the middle were suspects and got arrested for robbery a lot more often than they were victims. | |
| This means many of them robbed people of other races. | |
| Asians to their left. | |
| We're much more likely to be victims than to be suspects or perps. | |
| It's fair to assume blacks robbed a lot of them. | |
| Whites were also more likely to be victims than perps. | |
| It's the same for Hispanics over on the right. | |
| But as you can see, they were a pretty good share of suspects and aristides, too. | |
| There are graphs like these for every major crime, and they are well worth studying. | |
| But to know what they really mean... | |
| The different rates at which people of different races commit crime. | |
| You have to know the city's racial mix. | |
| The NYPD kindly tells us. | |
| Whites are about 31% of the population, blacks a little over 20%, Asians 14%, and Hispanics 29%. | |
| It's as if the NYPD were begging you to calculate what are called Odds ratios and see how BIPOC crime rates compare to white rates. | |
| The numbers are staggering. | |
| Here are the racial odds ratios for suspects. | |
| Murder on the left. | |
| Since we're comparing everyone else to whites, I set their crime rate to 1. Blacks are a hair-raising 33.7 times more likely than whites to be murder suspects. | |
| Hispanics are also very high, at 11.2 times, and Asians are 2.2 times more likely to be suspects. | |
| Robbery is next. | |
| Last year, 20,295 New Yorkers told the police they were mugged. | |
| As you can see, robbery is another black specialty. | |
| Rape, though, like grand larceny two spots over, is a crime in which whites were relatively well represented. | |
| Blacks were only about six times, and Hispanics about four times more likely than whites to be suspects in last year's 1,224 rapes. | |
| Felonious assault, of which there were 26,301 reported cases, means attacking and injuring someone with a weapon or causing serious injury, armed or not. | |
| Grand larceny, which is stealing something worth $1,000 or more, was the most common of these crimes, with 50,577 reported cases. | |
| Hispanics were only twice as likely as whites to be suspects, and Asians are slightly less likely than whites to be suspects. | |
| Finally, we have shootings. | |
| This is when someone fires a gun and hits someone. | |
| That happened 1,566 times last year and includes all gun homicides. | |
| So there were at least 1,100 shootings in which someone was wounded but not killed. | |
| As you can see, this is very much a black specialty, with Hispanics well behind but still 25.5 times more likely than whites to be suspects. | |
| Interestingly, Asians are nearly three times more likely than whites to be suspects. | |
| These odds ratios for suspects are the most accurate indication of who is committing crime in New York City. | |
| If you're robbed or raped or assaulted, the police take your description of the perp, whether they catch him or not. | |
| A lot of criminals aren't caught, so the victim description is often all we know about the race of perp. | |
| This is the city's most recent quarterly report on clearance rates. | |
| As you can see at the top, New York is reasonably good at catching murderers, but it doesn't clear even half of robberies or rapes. | |
| That means the only information we may have on the race of robbers and rapists who got away is from victim descriptions. | |
| Let's calculate odds ratios for arrests anyway. | |
| If you could compare the two graphs side by side, you would see that generally odds ratios compared to whites drop. | |
| For example, for murder, blacks are 34 times more likely than whites to be suspects, but only 25.3 times more likely to be arrested. | |
| For robbery, the numbers drop from 23 to 18.4. | |
| This is probably because blacks are famous for not cooperating with the police, so there are fewer tip-offs and fewer witnesses. | |
| That makes it hard to get enough evidence to make an arrest. | |
| Whichever figures you take, BIPOCs are committing a huge amount of the crime in New York City. | |
| Even Asians, who normally have low crime rates, are worse lawbreakers than whites. | |
| Let's do one last set of calculations. | |
| What if New York were an all-white city, and the additional whites committed crimes at exactly the same rate as the whites who live there now? | |
| Actually, if the city were all white, white crime rates would probably drop. | |
| People are influenced by bad behavior around them, especially if they've been crime victims themselves. | |
| Here are the crime reduction percentages we would expect in an all-white New York City. | |
| I used the odds ratios for suspects because they are the best indicator of actual crime rates. | |
| Murder would drop by an incredible 90.6% and robbery by 85.8%. | |
| Rape, felonious assault, and grand larceny would also fall, though not by as much. | |
| Shootings would practically disappear. | |
| Now, I for one think these are interesting numbers, but what are your chances of finding them anywhere else? | |
| The media won't even write about the raw data the NYPD publishes every year. | |
| And for how much longer? | |
| If the police stopped reporting race data, do you think the New York Times would complain? | |
| Differences in the behavior between groups of humans are almost never as great as these enormous race differences in crime rates in New York City. | |
| If blacks or Hispanics were, say, drowning or catching pneumonia at 4 or 12 or 20 times the white rate, you'd never hear the end of it. | |
| But I'm the only guy in the world telling you about these numbers. | |
| And we know why. | |
| This report says that BIPOCs are wrecking the city. | |
| An all-white New York wouldn't have a crime problem worth talking about, or any other problem for that matter. | |
| You wouldn't need a fraction of the police, or social workers, or bum shelters, or street sweepers, or drug counselors, or graffiti cleaners. | |
| What a wonderful place it would be. | |
| But don't you dare say so. | |
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Eric Adams' Dilemma
00:01:38
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| And which way is the city going now? | |
| Over 100,000 migrants have arrived in NYC, says NBC News, with sympathetic profiles of these two Venezuelans. | |
| Will these two lads, along with the 99,998 others, improve the place? | |
| Even the city's bonehead mayor, Eric Adams, says migrant crisis will destroy New York City. | |
| But there they are, practically an African village, resting in the shade, dreaming of Broadway. | |
| That wall is supposed to keep them out, but they'll walk right through it with Joe Biden's blessing. | |
| Here are more. | |
| Ready for the open arms of what used to be called the Border Patrol. | |
| How many will end up on the streets of Manhattan, waiting for the free hotel rooms Eric Adams has promised them? | |
| Is the bonehead screaming at the president to close the border? | |
| Is he screaming at ICE to deport these illegals? | |
| Nope. He just announced 15% budget cuts. | |
| Including the police, so he can scrape together $12 billion to pay for these freeloaders. | |
| Have there ever been such foolish rulers? | |
| Has there ever been a more patient, long-suffering people than the Europeans who built a nation they thought they were going to give to their children? | |
| H.L. Mencken said, every decent man is a shame to the government he lives under. | |
| I can't imagine what he would say. | |