All Episodes
Aug. 9, 2025 - The Joe Rogan Experience
03:00:05
Joe Rogan Experience #2363 - David Kipping
Participants
Main voices
d
david kipping
01:38:29
j
joe rogan
01:15:20
Appearances
Clips
j
jamie vernon
00:51
| Copy link to current segment

Speaker Time Text
unidentified
The Joe Rogan Experience.
Train by day, Joe Rogan Podcast by night, all day.
joe rogan
We're up.
What's up, man?
How are you?
Pleased to meet you, sir.
david kipping
Pleased to be here.
Thanks, Jake.
joe rogan
I really enjoy your content online.
It's been really fascinating, so I've been doing a deep dive into a lot of your videos over the last few days and enjoying it.
And particularly enjoying, I wanted to talk to you about so many different things, but one of the most pressing things, one of the reasons why I wanted to bring you in, because you are very knowledgeable in all things space, is the James Webb's telescope and all the different things that are they've been finding, particularly about these galaxies that were formed very shortly after, not shortly, you know, not within our lifetime shortly.
Cosmologically shortly after the big bang that it seems like we have to figure out why these things are forming.
Is the universe older?
There's all this different kind of speculation.
Maybe the big bang is not thirteen point one billion years old, but maybe twenty two, twenty four.
Like, what is your view on all this?
david kipping
Yeah, the James Webb Space Telescope is such an incredible instrument.
The data has just blown us away.
You know, when you build this thing and you look at it and unfolding in space, you think there's so many ways it could go wrong that we all were just like, you know, there's I think there's 215 moving parts or something had to unfold.
So, you know, just the fact in space.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
The fact it just all worked was just remarkable.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
And then when we got those first images, they just kind of blew us away as well, because we had sort of these engineering expectations of what it would do, but the data was just even better than that.
So when it, you know, of course, the first thing you want to do is point it to the most distant part of the universe and see what's out there in those darkest patches.
And so when it did that, yeah, it started finding a couple of things.
It started finding quasars, which are kind of.
the center of these very active galaxies.
These are supermassive black holes.
They have a lot of crap falling in and they're spitting out all this energy.
They're kind of feeding supermassive black holes.
And so we started detecting those way earlier than we thought the universe should be able to build them.
Because to make a supermassive black hole, I mean, these things are like a hundred million solar masses.
Imagine that.
Hundred million Sun.
Have not only been born but died, gone through their entire life cycle, died, collapsed into a black hole.
And then those black holes have presumably somehow merged together into this super behemoth of this hundred million solar mass thing.
So we're finding those just now.
just, you know, 300 million years after the big bang.
And that was like, hold on, that doesn't make any sense.
Like, how can this be?
And similarly with the galaxies, we were seeing these images, these galaxies, and you can date roughly how old they should be based on the red shift.
So the, you know, the universe is expanding.
So therefore, if something is very far away from us and the universe is expanding, its light gets stretched more and more as it journeys over space.
And so we can use that red shift to kind of date how old these things are.
When we use those dates, we look at these images, again, they seem suspiciously too, too old.
You really shouldn't be able to form these things that early on in the universe.
And so that kind of puzzled us.
I think for the galaxy thing, there was a bit of a resolution there.
One of the resolutions is that we probably miscalculated how easy it is to form these galaxies in the first place.
So we had these models for galaxy formation, we had these models for how stars should form, how quickly they should live, but it was all essentially calibrated on what we see around us, like right here in this part of the universe, in the local universe.
And then we kind of realized that those same models probably need to be tweaked if you're going to apply them to the early universe, where the density is so much higher, the gas temperature is much hotter, everything's just completely different in the early universe.
So when you kind of make those corrections, it actually looks like maybe it's actually possible to make those galaxies earlier than we thought.
So I think the galaxy problem is a bit easier to explain.
I think the quasar problem to me is more interesting.
How do you get those supermassive black holes so early?
There's a certain kind of maximum rate you can feed these things called the Eddington limit.
And that's sort of you throw mass into a black hole and so much energy is going in, some of it spews back out.
And the energy which spews back out stops other stuff coming in.
So there's a maximum limit.
You can't build a black hole faster in principle than this Eddington limit.
And yet, when you do the calculation, these black holes must have been fed what we call Super Eddington, so fast than Eddington.
So something's wrong with our models, right?
Either we've got the universe age wrong, which I think is possible, but I would say that's probably a much less likely solution, or we've got the astrophysics wrong.
joe rogan
Why do you think that the universe's age is a less likely solution?
david kipping
Because we've got this, this, you know, like in particle physics, you've got the standard model, which includes like all the particles and the electron, the baryons, all these kinds of stuff.
And in cosmology, we have a similar kind of model.
It's called lambda CDM.
And so the lambda stands for dark energy and the CDM is cold dark matter.
So this is our standard model, and we have used it to explain so much stuff in the universe, Joe.
I mean, we're talking about the cosmic microwave background, oscillations in the sky, these baryonic acoustic oscillations, the stretching of the universe, cephalates.
You can use it to explain so much stuff, and it works beautifully.
I mean, it works down to like the 0.01% level.
So if you say the universe age is wrong, you have to give that up.
So maybe it is wrong, but if you give that up, you have to come up with a radical new idea.
which can now explain all of this stuff at that same level of precision.
The much more likely answer in my book is that astrophysics, like the gas swirling around.
around the plasma colliding with each other.
That's just more complicated in my mind than the actual model of just the simple expansion of the universe, which actually is a fairly simple geometric model.
joe rogan
Fairly simple in that you can use whatever methods that we're using currently to measure everything that's out there and it makes sense.
But if we're using something like the James Webb telescope, so we're getting a much deeper view of the universe, how limited is the James Webb in comparison to James Webb 2.0, 3.0?
Like, are we going to have to continually re- revamp what our understanding of this process is?
david kipping
Yes, we will.
joe rogan
That's exactly.
david kipping
That's what I love, right?
That's what scientists love.
Every time we've built a telescope that is, you know, ten times more precise than the last thing, every time we've done that, we've been surprised.
And so these early galaxies are a good example.
The cosmic experiments that are going on now, one of the big surprises is this thing called the Hubble tension.
Have you heard of that?
Hubble tension.
So Hubble tension is measuring the expansion rate of the universe.
How fast are things flying apart?
And you can do it two ways.
You can use the cosmic microwave backgrounds.
That's the earliest radiation that we can detect.
This is that stuff that's about 3 Kelvin warm, you can detect in the microwave.
And this is the light which has traveled basically when the universe was 380,000 years old.
It's that light, and we see it in all directions.
That's how we know the big bang kind didn't happen in one place.
It happened everywhere because you just see this light coming in from all directions.
And from studying that radiation, you can kind of get a model of the universe, and then you can calculate using this model, how fast should the universe be expanding today if I run the clock forward, and you get a number.
And then, if you do that same experiment but locally, you actually measure the stars.
You measure the supernovae around us, these pulsating stars, and you actually measure how fast is stuff expanding you get a different number they don't line up and so this is really weird so somehow something's wrong right either our measurements of the local universe must be wrong in some way or this model that we're using to calculate the whole history of the universe something is wrong with that model so this is a very famous growing problem in cosmology it's now what we call a 5 sigma level so that means the chance of this being random
is just like zero essentially it's just this this is a real effect and now we just have to figure out who's wrong is it the observers or is it the theorists wow we're in the right time Where do you fall on this?
Yeah, it's hard.
I swing between both ways.
I'll talk to my cosmology colleagues and they'll, depending on who I talk to, they'll convince me either way.
unidentified
So I think the That's disturbing that people are convinced.
joe rogan
You know, if these new telescopes keep showing us this new puzzle, it's kind of, it always bothers me when someone is rigidly convinced.
david kipping
Everyone has a certain pet theory trying to push.
I mean, we all have biases.
Right.
So human beings.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
I mean, if you've spent, it's hard, right?
If you've spent 20 years of your life, most of your academic career studying this one thing, it's really hard to turn around and say, you know what, I screwed up.
Right, the last twenty years of measurements, they were all wrong and I have to eat humble pie.
That's not easy.
But it has happened in some cases.
One of my favorite stories about this is the first exoplanet that was ever claimed, a planet around another star, one of the first ones.
It was wrong.
So it was a pulsar that had a planet, a supposed planet around it on a six month orbital period.
So exactly half the Earth's orbital period around the Sun.
And they saw this signal in their data, this pulsating star was doing something weird and they figured out there was a six month period around it.
So the dude published this paper, Matthew Bales, brilliant astronomer, and he realised later on it was wrong.
And instead of it being a real planet, he hadn't quite corrected the orbital eccentricity of the Earth.
So the Earth is not on a circular orbit.
Its eccentricity is 0.0167.
It's a tiny number, but that number hadn't been accounted for in the calculation.
And so he had to stand up in front of hundreds of astronomers at this famous IAU meeting and he admitted he was wrong.
And he got a standing ovation.
joe rogan
Oh, good for him.
david kipping
It's awesome.
It's one of the few times I've heard someone doing that.
And I think it's dope.
I think we need to encourage people to.
joe rogan
Well, with something that's so massive and is such a puzzle..
This is just bound to happen.
If you get people that are rigidly attached to their belief systems in terms of like a very limited understanding of a fantastic thing that is almost beyond imagination when you think about the sheer size of the universe and the age of the universe.
I mean, when we're talking about aging and we say 13 billion or 22 billion, those numbers don't even register in your mind.
They're not real.
You know what I mean?
It's like that you see a one and a three and you kind of get it, but you don't get it.
david kipping
You kind of intuitive.
joe rogan
No, it's not possible for our puny little minds to imagine 13 plus billion years.
It's just too crazy.
So if you're rigid with that, like, God, man.
Yeah.
david kipping
I mean, part of the journey in being a scientist is knowing what your own biases are.
And I remember, one of my threads of my career has been trying to look for exo moons, moons around these exoplanets, which will be a first if we've got them.
So it's a big deal.
You know, if I succeed in this, there could be, like, golden prizes, award ceremonies.
You kind of get that glimmer in your eye, like, oh man, this could, I could be memorialized by this success.
And so that's alluring, right?
That's tempting.
It's kind of the same temptation as fame.
And I remember once we had this signal, it was Kepler 90, no, PHTB was the name of the planet.
And we had this signal and it kind of looked like just what we expect for an exo moon.
And I remember I was so excited, I had to, I was at Harvard at the time, had to walk out of the building, had to go to a park bench and I had to just take like deep breaths.
I was like, this, this could be it, you know, this is the thing I've been searching for.
unidentified
That's it.
david kipping
And I was like almost hyperventilating with excitement.
And then I remember in that that's how you know you're in the right job.
Right.
joe rogan
Right?
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like fashion was the job.
Yeah.
david kipping
And I remember thinking to myself after calming myself down a little bit, I want this to be true too much.
You know, like this is, of all the people in the world, I want this to be true the most.
So therefore, let's flip that round.
And I'm going to have to be the greatest skeptic of this thing.
Because I know I want it to be so bad that I have to correct the other direction.
And it ended up being bullshit.
I mean, it ended up being the telescope just misbehaved, had this weird effect called a sudden pixel dropout effect.
This weird anomaly happens one in like 100,000 times, but it just so happened to pop right then, right there in the data.
unidentified
What do we know about the consistency of We know they vary in size.
joe rogan
Do we understand why?
And we understand what causes them to form in the first place?
david kipping
Yeah, we're still learning that.
We had this picture before we started finding exoplanets that everything would just be like a solar system.
We have these eight planets circular orbits.
You have the rocky planets on the inside, the gas giants on the outside.
And we came up with this really elegant theory, this kind of nebula theory to try and explain that.
And did a great job.
explain everything.
But then as soon as we started finding exoplanets, one of the first type of exoplanets we found was these hot Jupiters.
So these are Jupiter-sized planets, which are about 20 times closer to their star than Mercury is around the Sun.
And when those were first announced, nobody believed them.
People were like, you can't get a Jupiter there.
Jupiter's supposed to be 5AU.
How do you get it parked almost onto the surface of the star?
It doesn't make any sense.
None of the planet formation models could explain that.
And it took until we found about 10 of them in a row that people started slowly changing their minds.
And the proof of the pudding was when one of them eclipsed its star.
So one of them actually passed right in front of the star right at the moment it was supposed to, and we saw an eclipse.
And when that happened, everyone was like, all right.
This is real.
But then we had to figure out how the hell do you do that?
So there was a long skeptical curve to get to that point.
And now we think the way to make those things.
is there's probably Jupiter's on the outside of the solar system.
They come too close to each other.
They gravitation, like a wrestling, almost.
They kind of excite each other.
One of them gets kicked out in a random direction.
And it can get flung into a highly eccentric orbit.
And a highly eccentric orbit over time will circularize.
So it doesn't want to stay on an eccentric orbit.
It wants to turn into a circle through the tile interactions with the stars.
So these things probably circularize very close onto their stars.
But this is unusual.
It only happens about one percent of stellar systems we see this.
But it's an example of how diverse things are.
Another example is Mini Neptunes.
You've ever heard of those planets?
unidentified
No.
david kipping
So Mini Neptunes are these planets.
which are in between the size of the Earth and Neptune.
Neptune's about four times bigger than the Earth.
So these things are about twice the size of the Earth.
We don't have anything like that in the solar system.
So we don't know what it is.
Is it a big rock?
Is it like a super Earth?
A mega Earth?
Or is it a scaled down version of Neptune?
Is it like an ocean world maybe of some kind?
And turns out that planet is the most common type of planet in the universe as far as we can tell.
And we don't have one.
joe rogan
Wow.
david kipping
So that's kind of weird, right?
I mean, it seems like there's so many aspects of our solar system that are unusual.
Even having a Jupiter, only 10% of stars have a Jupiter as far as we can tell.
joe rogan
10% of how many stars that have been observed?
david kipping
Oh, at this point, I mean, we've observed hundreds of thousands of stars, and we know of about 6,000 exoplanets.
So of that population, you correct for the cissips, correct for the ones you've missed.
Even so, I mean, these Jupiters are the easiest ones to find, right?
They're the big boys, they're easy, they wobbled the star a ton, so they're pretty easy to spot.
So we're pretty confident that sun-like stars, it's kind of not typical for them to have these Jupiter-sized planets, and we've got two of them.
So that seems interesting to our own origin in this solar system.
And certainly having eight planets, that's pretty unusual.
We don't see many systems with that many planets packed together.
joe rogan
How many solar systems are binary solar systems as opposed to how many single star?
david kipping
Yeah, about half of all stars live in binary systems.
joe rogan
Really?
david kipping
It's very common.
It's actually Alpha Centauri AB, that's the nearest star system to us, and it's actually a trinary.
There's Alpha AB that go around each other really close, and then there's Proxima Centauri, which is on the outside.
And actually just this morning, Joe, just this morning there was an announcement of a giant planet around Alpha Centauri.
It's a candidate.
We don't know if it's confirmed yet, but it's kind of in the habital zone, so the distance where, in principle, you could have liquidid water on the surface of a rocky planet.
joe rogan
So it is a candidate for a planet?
Like it has been, so it hasn't been completely confirmed.
david kipping
James Webb just spotted it.
James Webb spotted it just, just, just come out today.
So there's three photos that James Webb took.
Maybe they'll be in this article somewhere.
He took three images and in one of those images, he captures an actual photo of the planet.
You can see the planet in direct light.
That's how powerful James Webb is.
And it's a nearby star, so it's easy to image.
Yeah, right here.
So that S1, that's the planet you're looking at.
unidentified
Wow.
david kipping
So you see, you have to to block out the star in the middle because the star is like a billion times brighter than the planet.
So you have to suppress it with all this advanced chronograph technology that James Webb has.
But when you do that and you zoom right in, you see this little planet there.
It's probably about the same size as Saturn.
It's probably a big boy.
joe rogan
I love how they went with the real click bitty headline with Avatar Planet, the other article that you pulled up was just like I was quoting that one.
david kipping
So I know.
joe rogan
The planet from the Avatar movies may exist in real life.
Like shut up.
You're just trying to get people to click on it.
It's kind of weird that they have to do that.
But like this is the world we're living in now.
Everyone has such a short attention span.
You're funneling through your Google feed.
Like what's new??
david kipping
Yeah, it's got to connect to something pop culture, otherwise people are Yeah, It's got to get you somehow.
joe rogan
Like there's some editor.
david kipping
It's probably more like, you know, the three body problem, the books and the show.
joe rogan
Yes.
david kipping
Is the Tricolarans, and they live there.
So there's the three stars Tricolaran, and the dynamics is so crazy that it pushes these planets into these highly eccentric and twisted orbits, and that's exactly what this planet appears to be.
So this planet actually looks more like, rather than Avatar, it actually looks more like Tricolaran or Solaris, whatever it's called.
joe rogan
Pull that article back up again, please, Jamie.
The second one, the one that was less clickbaiting.
So how big is this planet?, this S one?
david kipping
It's hard to tell.
It looks like it's about 100 times heavier than the Earth.
So that's about Saturn.
unidentified
Wow.
david kipping
Roughly Saturn.
But it's only a candidate, right?
So we need to get more images of it to confirm that it's real.
So I'm sure James Webb will point back at it.
But I mean, look at it.
It looks pretty convincing.
I mean, how do you get that big blob of light sat there?
So I think the signal to noise is really good.
joe rogan
So do, because they vary so much in the way these galaxies and the way these solar systems are constructed, do we know why they're constructed in the first place?
Like why do they form?
in that way?
Why does Bodes' law work?
Does it still work?
david kipping
It kind of works, but it makes some.
Can you explain Bodes' law?
Yeah, so Bodes' law is essentially looking at the separation between the planets and the solar system.
So Venus, for instance, well, Mercury is about 0.4 AU, Venus is 0.7, the Earth is 1, and Mars is 1.5, so there seems to be a pattern, and I think it's like a fraction of 1.5 or something in terms of like, take the last one and just multiply that 1.5, and you roughly And is it dependent upon the mass of the planet?
No, it's just purely their spacing.
So it was, yeah, it has some problems.
unidentified
It doesn't particularly work that well.
It predicts there's a planet where the asteroid belt is.
And obviously there isn't one there, but maybe you could argue something happened.
That's probably why the asteroid belt's there, right?
You could argue, yeah.
This episode is brought to you by Uber Eats.
Summer is here and you can now get almost anything you need for your sunny days delivered with Uber Eats.
What do I mean by almost?
Well, you can't get a well-groomed lawn delivered, but you can get chicken parmesan delivered.
A day in the sun?
No.
A bottle of rum?
Yes.
Uber Eats can definitely get you that for almost.
joe rogan
almost almost anything delivered with uber eats order now for alcohol you must be legal drinking age please enjoy responsibly product availability varies by region, see app for details.
david kipping
But then more problematically, people have tried to apply this to exoplanets.
So you've got these multiplanet systems, and we know of like maybe three or four planets, and there's gaps.
And so you can say, okay, let's use Bode's law and predict, okay, there should be a planet right here.
And then people have done the observations, they've like dialed in and put all the telescripts on and be like, where's that planet?
Sometimes they've found the planets there, but usually not.
It's not that predictive.
joe rogan
How common are asteroid belts?
david kipping
We don't know.
We can't detect asteroid belts.
joe rogan
Right, that's the question.
So in these gaps where a planet should be, what if there was an asteroid belt in each one of them?
david kipping
Yeah, that would kind of change everything that'd be wild i'd love that yeah then we'd be back to bodes law yeah i mean but bodes law i guess it's actually really a statement there's a great um dynamicist at princeton scott tremain and he showed this that if you just try to pack plants as close as you can like just shove them in like sardines into the solar system some of them will become unstable and just get kicked out and the ones that are left will follow bodes law so it's it's not so much a um a statement of like you know some deity is putting these plants at the right places it's that if you just cram stuff in
as much as you can that's what you end up with like you just can't cram plants any closer together so what is our current belief system when it comes to the formation of solar systems?
It appears to be very common.
I mean, when we look at the data we have from the Kepler mission, NASA's extraordinarily successful mission, it detected itself something like four thousand exoplanets.
And that tells us that, on average, every single star has a planet.
So as far as we can tell, this is, it's pretty hard for a star not to have planets.
It's like part for the course for that to happen.
That was a big breakthrough.
The second thing is, as we kind of alluded to, there's a huge diversity in them.
And the actual story we normally describe of how they form is that there's some, you know, giant molecular cloud, we call it.
So basically a giant cloud of hydrogen in space.
unidentified
Stuff that could have been blown off from a previous supernova or something, or maybe even in the early universe, just primordial gas from the Big Bang.
Just this leftover hydrogen gas.
And if there's some areas where there'll be slightly higher density and some areas where there's slightly lower density just due to random fluctuations, and the higher densities will self-gravitate.
So gravity wants to make, it's like a greedy algorithm, wants to make everything get denser and denser and denser, super greedy.
It's relentless gravity.
It never stops.
And that's why eventually we end up with black holes.
because it just refuses to lose black hole.
david kipping
always wants to win the game so eventually these clouds collapse and the thing that stops them from collapsing into a black hole is that you start getting fusion in the center right because the temperatures get so hot as you compress this gas that you And so you compress this gas that you basically make a star in the center.
And the stuff that's left over on the outside, that disc of material, because the star kind of blasts out of its poles and kind of pummels all the gas from north and south, you end up with a disc of material, the centrifugal forces, like spinning a pizza ball, which kind of force it into a disc.
And then from that disc, you start to coalesce again, just some areas are slightly denser, some areas are slightly less dense, and gravity again takes over and starts to collapse things together.
So we have this story, but there's lots of parts of the story that we don't understand.
So we know how to go, for instance, from pebbles, if you start off with pebbles and imagine them kind of bouncing around, we can imagine sticking them into boulders.
We kind of understand how that could happen, but we don't quite understand how to do some of the steps like go all the way from dust, which presumably at one point it was just dust.
How do you go from dust all the way up to pebbles, all the way up to these boulders, all the way up to planetesimals?
That whole story we don't understand.
We've got bits of it where we think we understand it, but the whole thing we don't.
joe rogan
Are there any working models or any?
david kipping
Yeah, this is a hugely, huge active area of research.
People are simulating dust on supercomputers, trying to stick it together, figure out what happened.
But it's chaotic.
I mean, you've got trillions and trillions of particles of dust randomly moving around and solving the equations to calculate that motion is one of the most challenging things ever.
Maybe AI will help a big part with that.
joe rogan
That would be interesting.
Is it also a factor of the size of the sun?
Like our star is fairly small in terms of what we know about the universe.
One of the most amazing videos that I tend to send people online is the video that shows I know what you mean.
It shows Earth in comparison to our star, and then it shows our star in comparison to slightly larger stars, and it goes on and on and on until you get to like Beetlejuice, and you get to some of these.
david kipping
It's wild.
joe rogan
It just gets so crazy.
david kipping
It's like, it has to stop at some point.
It keeps going.
joe rogan
It's like a galaxy sized star.
I'm like, what is that thing?
It gets so nutty.
It's so big.
david kipping
Strange, yeah.
Yeah, I mean, our star is, I mean, those big stars, those are actually rare, right?
So, those are the giant stars of the universe.
And most stars are not that big.
joe rogan
What is the biggest one that we found?
david kipping
Oh, I don't know the name, but yeah, I think you're talking about stars which are probably filling up to the orbit of Jupiter type size.
Yeah.
joe rogan
So from here to Jupiter.
Yeah.
Oh my God.
Just imagine a star from our Sun that goes all the way out to Jupiter.
david kipping
It's nuts, yeah.
unidentified
Wow.
david kipping
And these things are barely stars at that point.
Like if you actually, if you could zoom in a spaceship and look at the surface, the gravity would be so weak at that point, right?
Because the mass hasn't changed of the star.
In fact, if anything, it's lost mass.
So it's barely got enough gravity to hold that thing together.
So the thing is like fluctuating, it's like a giant sheet that someone's waving up and down.
So that's why those stars have these wild fluctuations in brightness, because they're just kind of undulating on their surface.
joe rogan
What is this one, Jamie?
Is this the largest one?
david kipping
That's the name of the biggest one, I guess.
joe rogan
Stevenson 2018.
What is the little bitchy one on the far left?
unidentified
That's our so crazy.
joe rogan
Look how big that there's.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Look at our sun in comparison to that thing.
Oh my God.
david kipping
And what's crazy is that the most common type of star in the universe is even smaller than the sun.
So the most common type of star in the universe is red dwarf.
75% of all stars are red dwarfs.
Only 10% of stars look like our sun.
So already that's kind of odd.
You kind of think, all things being equal, how can we not live around a red dwarf?
joe rogan
And what is causing one to be so massive and another solar system, you know, fairly close to it to be small?
david kipping
And like, what is Yeah, the difference is it's always.
easier to make something small, right?
It's kind of like having crumbs down your sofa or something, like breaking it up, right?
It's easier to have small, dusty things than it is to have huge pieces of cookies still left in the bottom of your sofa.
So generally, it's pretty hard for the conditions to come together to make a gigantic, super massive star.
In the early universe, those conditions were present more often because it was just so dense.
But as we go forward in time, it gets harder and harder to make those super huge behemoths.
These stars are called the type 3 population stars, and we haven't found one of those.
James Webb might be able to detect one.
Those would be the first stars ever born.
They're like the primordial pristine stars that would be uncontaminated by any metals, right?
So our Sun has a ton of metals in it, most stars do, and we can use that to figure out how old they are and their history.
But the first stars would have been just these pure, pristine hydrogen helium things.
We'd love to be able to see how they look like, because we've never seen one of those up close.
But generally, the smaller you are, the easier it is to make that star.
joe rogan
And the anticipation of the existence of those things, like how far away are we talking about?
david kipping
Yeah, those stars would be the first star.
So you're probably looking at 100 million years after the big bang.
So you'll, yeah, you'd have to look back to, you know, 13.7, 13.8 billion years ago.
joe rogan
Is the James Webb capable of seeing that?
david kipping
I think there's I think it's possible.
Is it possible?
Yeah, this isn't I don't think there's consensus on this.
I've seen some people say it might just about be possible and others say it's completely impossible.
You need the next generation.
But I think if we're lucky, it could just happen.
joe rogan
How many next generations do you anticipate?
And I could see AI coming into play with that, with constructing something novel that can see things in a way that we're not, you know, currently using.
Yeah.
When you're thinking about what we do and you're explaining how the James Webb works with over two hundred moving parts and you have to shoot it into the sky and flames and rockets.
And then you get this thing out there that starts observing and starts taking photographs.
We're so limited in what we can see.
It's still a device that's in space.
And it's a device that's so close to us.
It's just so close, relatively speaking.
It takes forever to get there.
It's really powerful, rockets and all that, but it's just right there.
Like, what could we come up with without AI?
Like, what theories are in place to make something that has a far wider range and much more clarity?
david kipping
Yeah.
The ultimate, I mean, I love this idea of thinking about what an alien would do.
How an alien observed the Earth if they had?
unbounded technology, what would be the limit?
And a lot of us think that the ultimate telescope would be to use the sun as a telescope.
So the sun has intense gravity and it bends light.
So this was an experiment that Arthur Eddington did to prove Einstein right, general relativity.
He took photographs of the stars during a lunar total eclipse and he noticed that stars seem to shift right next to the sun.
And so he used that to figure out how much light bends.
So whenever you have light bending, that's a telescope.
That's a mirror.
So you can take light that's coming from behind the sun.
It'll bend to a focus.
point, we know where it is, you can calculate it.
It's about 550 times further out than we are around the Sun, so 550 AU.
And along, if you just travel out in a line from that point, there's called a focal line.
You put a telescope there, it would essentially have the collecting area of the Sun.
So you could image continents, rivers, even cities on a nearby exoplanet if you could put something there.
It'd be wild.
That is the ultimate in my book for what an alien would do.
If they wanted to observe Earth, they would just behind their Sun, they'd stick one of those telescopes, and they'd be able to monitor a hell of a lot about the Earth from there.
joe rogan
And this is just with our understanding.
of telescopes and our understanding of viewing things.
And clearly, you could imagine with known physics.
Yeah, with known physics.
You could imagine physics that are a million years more technologically advanced and innovations that we can't even comprehend, can't even conceive of that change everything.
david kipping
I mean, even with this telescope, you can't see people.
You wouldn't be able to image Earth.
You wouldn't be able to read the headlines on a newspaper on someone's doorstep.
It's not powerful enough to do that.
If you want to do that, you'd have to visit the system.
And so we're talking about doing that as well.
So there was this project Starshot that wanted to fly a probe directly towards the nearest star, fly by super fast, snap a photo and beam it.
unidentified
back.
david kipping
Because that way you could actually get even better resolution, right?
you could really dial in and see roads and structures on the surface.
joe rogan
How long would it take for that beam to get back to us?
david kipping
Well, it's four light years away, four point two light years.
joe rogan
So it would take four years?
david kipping
Yes.
And it would take about twenty years to do the journey at the speeds they would talk.
They want to get twenty percent the speed of light.
So they'd take twenty years, take a photo, so twenty four years all together.
So this was Yuri Milner's brainchild and his dream was that he could see a photo in his lifetime of another Earthlight planet.
And that's pretty much the best way we have to really pull that off.
joe rogan
Is there work being done to try to make that happen?
david kipping
Yeah, so I'm not sure the current status of Starshot.
Yuri put $100 million up, I believe, for his own money and I think Mark Zuckerberg came in on it and they were like we're gonna try and do this.
I wasn't part of that project but I was inspired by it and I actually came up with a twist on it recently called TARS from Interstellar.
You know TARS from the movie?
What was TARS?
It's like a robot thing that's in the movie.
It's called TARS.
And so I came up with a twist on their idea.
So let me explain their idea quickly first and then I'll give you my twist.
Their idea is like if you really want to go to the nearest star system, you're not going to do it with a giant spaceship.
That's just, you know, we can't build anything that advanced right now.
The most realistic thing we can do is to get a tiny thin sheet of material like imagine like a piece of mylar a piece of aluminum foil and blast it with light with a laser and so they're talking about sort of 100 gigawatts of laser power right so just kind of crazy amounts of energy yeah here's the three so here's the sail being ejected and then back on the earth you're going to have this huge array of mega lasers and they're all going to point up at this thing and blast it.
So this thing will accelerate due to just light from the sun, but this is given it.
This is like on steroids, right?
You just kind of bump it up to whatever speed you want.
Now, you know, when people saw this idea, physicists saw this idea, there was a lot of.
questions about how, you know, isn't that going to destroy the sail?
Like you're firing a 100 gigawatt laser at a sail, like, isn't that going to obliterate the thing?
So this thing has to be outrageously shiny to avoid burning up in the beam.
And then of course, like, how do you, you know, what if it hits dust on the way?
Isn't that going to, like, that's why it's on its side now.
So it's twisted over on its side to try and avoid smashing into dust particles on its journey.
joe rogan
Hopefully a flock of birds doesn't catch a stray.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
And here it comes into Proxima Centauri, into the AFICentauri system.
There's Proxima down the right.
And so it's going to fly past.
There's actually a planet there.
We know there's a planet there.
It's going to fly past it and try to snap a photo.
There it is, and then beam that bad boy back.
And that's hard.
I mean, how do you even get the data transmission rate, right, to beam an image back?
joe rogan
Just imagine if it gets there and we see lights.
david kipping
That would be crazy.
joe rogan
It's so This episode is brought to you by SimplySafe.
We go to doctors and dentists for checkups for a reason.
To make sure that everything's fine and to tackle anything before it turns into something bigger.
If you care about your health, it's a good idea to seek out preventive care.
But did you know that you can also be just as proactive when it comes to your safety?
With a SimplySafe home security system, you can get peace of mind and take action before something happens.
It's not just an alarm that goes off when an intruder breaks in.
AI-powered cameras and live monitoring agents can detect and deter suspicious activity.
They can speak to people in real time, turn on spotlights, and even call the police.
You can get a lot of use out of their systems.
There's a reason SimplySafe has been named Best Home Security System of 2025 by CNET.
Try it out.
They have monitoring plans that start at around a dollar a day.
Plus, get 50% off your new SimplySafe system with professional monitoring and your first month free at simpliSafe.com slash Rogan.
That's 50% off with your first month free at simpliSafe.com slash Rogan.
There's no safe like simpliSafe.
I mean, the possibility of life has always been like in front of our face.
There's just the cosmos is so great and so massive.
You've got the Fermi paradox, like where are they?
Why aren't they here?
And then you've got what's happening here on Earth.
And it just always makes me wonder, like, how far do things actually get before they fall apart?
Do they always fall apart?
Or do they always become non-biological and not have the need for all the things that we do that show signs of life.
Like the certain gases that biological life exceeds.
Like what could be out there could be something beyond our wildest imagination.
Like many iterations of artificial intelligence.
Many down the road to the point where it's not even recognizable as life and doesn't even have to have a physical form.
david kipping
Yeah, obviously, if it's completely recognizable, there's nothing we can really do to detect it.
But when we look, I mean, we basically know two things about the universe in terms of life in it.
We know that we have not been colonized, right?
As far as we can tell.
joe rogan
Allegedly.
unidentified
Yeah.
Allegedly.
joe rogan
It depends on whose YouTube videos you watch.
david kipping
But let's talk about a hard colonization.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
Where it's literally it's transforming the freaking planet into machines.
Like that clearly hasn't happened here.
We're not grey goo on the surface.
joe rogan
Not yet.
david kipping
So we know that hasn't happened yet, and we also know, and the universe, you know, the galaxy is old.
It's 13 billion years old.
So there's a heck of a lot of time for that to happen.
You know, one of the strangest facets of our technology is that it's already fast enough to explore the whole galaxy.
If you take Voyager 2, it was traveling at 15 km/h.
So that would get you across the entire diameter of the galaxy in 2 billion years.
unidentified
and the galaxy is 13 billion years.
So Voyager 2, at Voyager 2 speeds, So it is a problem and this is called fact A, heart's fact A. This clearly hasn't happened.
david kipping
So that's one thing we know for sure.
And the other thing we know for sure is that when we look out, we don't see, you know, we look at these stars like Stevenson and Proxima Centauri.
We don't see engineering on them as far as we can tell.
We don't see stars which are obviously got megastructures around them., obviously been engineered in weird ways.
joe rogan
And when you say mega structures, you're talking about like literally an artificial planet-sized thing.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean huge structures could be built around these things like Dyson spheres and people have talked about doing it for messaging.
Like you could put like sheets of material that were planet-sized and as they block light from the star, that would create like a Morse code, right?
You could actually message people.
for billions of years.
You would just build these stable sheets of material and they would just orbit around, no power system required, right?
And orbit doesn't require power.
unidentified
It would just orbit around for billions of years.
And every time an eclipse is the star, there could be some intricate pattern of pulses.
And so that way you could communicate for a very long time.
You know, we thought of all these wild ideas and we just don't see any of that.
So it does seem, as far as we can tell, that the universe is completely natural.
And that is mind-blowing because you're right.
Like it seems if it's happened here, why the hell shouldn't it happen elsewhere?
Why isn't someone else got AI going crazy?
Why isn't someone else gone even further than that, gone to the next level?
So, and the thing that really drives me wild with this is the Earth is like a paradise.
If you look at these other stars, these other planets...
david kipping
It not only is an Earth-like planet, has the right conditions for life, it has life on it.
So an alien could use their sun-sized telescope to figure that out.
They'd know we were here.
They would know not only we're here, but that there is complex life on this planet.
So for three and a half, three billion years, there was just simple life, just single-celled life on this planet.
Multicellular life is a recent thing.
So presumably that's rare, right?
If most of the time it's single-celled, most of the planets out there, presumably even if they have life on them, are in that state.
And then further, there's us here, right?
And we're going through this transitional point as a human society.
So you think if you're an anthropologist, this would be like.
an incredibly fascinating world to study.
I think there's almost like a tourism paradox.
How come the Earth is the perfect place to visit and yet we don't see any super obvious signs?
Some people have, you know, feel differently about that, but certainly astronomers, we don't see in our telescope data spaceships flying out through our field of view.
joe rogan
But wouldn't the obvious answer to that be that if you were dealing with technology that's so advanced that it could get here from other solar systems light years away, hundreds, thousands of light years away, that it would be doing it.
But it would be doing it in a way that probably wouldn't using propulsion the way we know it.
it would probably be using some sort of a manipulation of gravity.
And also, they would have the ability to completely camouflage themselves, which would be ideal if you want to study things.
Have you ever seen Chimp Nation on Netflix?
Great series.
It's an amazing documentary where these scientists were embedded in this group of chimpanzees for twenty years.
So the chimpanzees had become completely conditioned to have these people around them.
And they had specific rules.
You don't make eye contact with them.
You stay twenty yards away from them.
No food ever., and just exist around them and they'll behave completely normally.
And so you get this wild, incredible series of chimpanzee behavior.
You get to see how they behave completely, just not even remotely in consideration of these human beings.
They don't even think about them.
They're just doing what they do.
If you wanted to observe human beings, the worst way to do it would be like fly a giant spaceship over them and freak them out.
You know, like you'd want to know like, what are these fuckers up to?
Like, where are they at now in terms of our technological innovation scale of achieving AGI or achieving whatever happens to other biological entities outside the universe.
There might be like a process that happens regardless of if you're a mammalian or reptilian or whatever kind of intelligence that you like.
Obviously, we know that crows are very different than us, but they're highly intelligent.
You can imagine a crow with thumbs.
You can imagine a crow that has fingers and then lives somewhere else.
So it doesn't have to be just like us, but it has to be trying to figure out how to manipulate its environment, which is one of the key things that intelligent life, at least as we know it.
Well, we're really one of the only ones that do it that's intelligent.
Like we, but that's kind of an environmental thing because of dolphins and orcas.
They don't, there's no need to do that evolutionarily.
So if you imagine that there's a whole process that takes place, you would probably imagine that this is something that you would monitor anonymously.
You would want to be hidden.
david kipping
Yeah, if you want to do a proper anthropology experiment, you don't want to interfere with the experiment.
But then the problem with that is it becomes essentially unscientific, right?
So if you come up with a hypothesis that says there's aliens here, but they're completely.
by definition undetectable to us.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
Then it's sort of fall, it's not like it's an incredible idea.
It doesn't mean the idea is wrong.
It just means I don't have, science is not going to have the tools to answer that question.
joe rogan
Of course, because there's no evidence.
david kipping
Yes.
I mean, Sagan, I think, had this famous example like this dragon, where he said, Imagine I've got, Carl Sagan imagined he had like this pet dragon, and he talked to people and said, I've got a pet dragon in the room with me.
And they'd be like, Well, where is it?
And they'd be like, Oh, you can't see it because it's invisible.
So they'd walk across the room and they'd try to touch it, and they'd be like, I can't, I can't feel it.
It's like, Oh yeah, you can't, you can't feel it either.
It's also impervious to touch.
So they'd be like, Okay, so I'll put my infrared goggles on, try and see the heat signature.
Oh, you can't see the that either.
It doesn't emit any radiation.
So you can just keep going and going and say it's just completely imperceptible.
And then it's fine.
You can have that idea that you have a pet invisible imperceptible dragon, but I can't address that with the tools of science.
So I'm not saying it's a crazy idea.
It's just that I can't think of a way to actually test it.
joe rogan
But when you hear about particularly the ones, the stories of UAP or UFO encounters, the ones that intrigue me the most are the ones that are military pilots.
People that know the difference between a flock of birds and weird anomalies.
If you're aware of the tic Tic Tac incident?
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
So when you hear about things like that, in my mind, there's a couple of possibilities.
One, super advanced, blacklisted military, some sort of propulsion system that they've been working on for decades, completely in secrecy, and they're testing them off of areas where you have a lot of military activity, which is where these things do take place.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
One of them was San Diego, that's the Nimitz, and the other, the Ryan Graves footage, the stuff that they get, that's on the East Coast.
But it's all in areas where they already do military training exercises with fighter jets.
So it would make sense that that's's where you, if this was the United States government doing that stuff, they would do that.
But when you get back to like 2004 and you're talking about something that can go from 50,000 feet above sea level to sea level in less than a second like I think it's seven eighths of a second it went you have visual confirmation you have radar you have video of it you have two different jets that see this thing they no one understands what it is it flies directly to their cat point where their meetup point was supposed to be the whole thing's nuts Yeah, it's fast.
david kipping
I would love to know what the hell happened.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
Like everyone, I'm fascinated by it.
joe rogan
You can't throw it away.
It's one of those ones you can't throw.
I throw most of them away.
Most of them, I love UFO stories.
because they're fun.
But most of them, like, it could be anything.
david kipping
It could be something shady going on.
joe rogan
It could be anything.
It could be people wanting attention.
It could be military exercises.
It could be mass delusion.
It could be people just love to be special and have had some sort of encounter, which they do.
It gives them some sort of social credit to have some sort of encounter with a thing and they exaggerate and people love, love to exaggerate.
david kipping
Yeah, I'd love to make this ingestible to science.
That's kind of been my goal.
Like, how can science take hold of this?
And, you know, when we do these experiments, I mean, I told you about this moon that I thought I had found, it turned out it was the instrument being crazy, right?
Because sometimes instruments do crazy.
stuff that we want to send.
So the only way to figure that out is to get hold of the instrument, right?
We need to get it in our labs and take that thing apart and test it and calibrate it, et cetera.
And we don't have access to those military devices.
It's all top secret.
So we can't even do that experiment.
But I can imagine thinking about how to do that.
One of the big numbers we don't know even with the visual reports is the false positive rate.
So this is a key number in science.
Whenever you do an experiment, you need to know how often does the experiment produce something that's spurious, the false positive rate.
Now in the US there's about 28,000 pilots across all military branches, and they fly something like 200 hours per year on average.
So that's 5.6 million hours in the air every year in one year.
Now let's say a pilot, one in every 10,000 hours that they fly, they make a mistake.
They misidentify a balloon for a UAP or whatever it is.
One in 10,000.
That's an incredibly low, by the way, error rate to have.
But even then, you'd end up with 560 UAPs a year made that way.
All spurious, all not real, just from human error.
So the only way, and that's actually pretty similar to Project Blueberry.
Project Blueberry found about 742 per year was being reported.
So, you know, I made that number up, one in 10,000.
But we need to know what that number is.
If it turns out there's an excess, like the error rate is one hundred thousand, then that Project Bluebook number is super interesting.
And it would be an excess.
And we'd say we've detected something.
There's a real anomaly here that we have to look at.
But the problem is we don't know what that number is.
I mean, you'd have to somehow put these pilots in like simulators or something where you have complete control conditions for thousands of hours and somehow test how often do they make these mistakes.
joe rogan
Also the problem, Project Bluebook was not an objective analysis of UFOs.
They had a directive.
And the directive was to discredit everything.
david kipping
Yeah.
Yeah.
But even so, I'm just giving you a sort of ballpoint.
I mean, the NASA UAP Task Force was.
similar kind of numbers.
You're getting like hundreds per year of these sort of events, right?
I think that's a crazy number to throw around.
So the whole point is that whatever numbers you choose, you have to know the error rate of the experiment.
And we could imagine making that legit and doing it.
There's actually one of the recommendations of the task force, the NASA UAP task force, was to develop an app on people's phones, iPhones, because they have magnetometers on them.
They have GPS.
They have the camera, these high resolution images.
So there's enough instrumentation on there.
And it's all the same.
And we understand that technology that you could have ten people video the same UFO.
And you'd be able to triangulate the position, the speed, get the distance to it.
You'd get all that kind of information.
Right.
And so there is actually, I think there's an app called Enigma that you can now download that does this.
There's some independent apps which have been developed to do that.
joe rogan
Really?
Just about UAPs?
david kipping
Yeah, for UAP spotting.
joe rogan
I wonder what they did with those in New Jersey when they were having all those stupid drone sightings.
david kipping
I actually chatted to one of the developers and they said, Yeah, things were going crazy that week.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
They said, What's lighting about?
That was so strange.
That was so strange.
That's one of those things where I feel like the government completely failed us in explaining to people what like, is this some sort of top secret military thing?
Is this some sort of private business that wants to test how fantastic their drones are, like why?
Why is this happening and why are you freaking out everybody?
Like what?
david kipping
It's really sucks that we live in an age of drones and so many Starlink satellites.
Because if you see something in the sky now, your immediate reaction is that's probably a human controlled vehicle.
If you could go back to the 1940s, 1930s, then if you had UAP reports then, I think they'd be more convincing.
Because there's nothing, that's pre Sputnik.
There should be anything in orbit around the Earth at that point.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
So that would be more compelling.
But of course, we can't rewind the tape.
joe rogan
Right.
And all those stories., like the Kenneth Arnold incident and all these different ones, are just these anecdotal tales of people saying they saw things in the sky.
And I, you know, I'm not saying they're liars, but that's not enough.
I need something.
david kipping
Yeah, I think the, it depends what your goal is.
If your goal is to convince yourself that aliens are out there because you saw a UFO, I think that's easy enough to do.
But most people in that world, they want more than that.
They want me to believe it.
They want you to believe it.
They want everyone to believe it, to come along for the ride.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
It's like having a religious guy come lock your door, like join my church.
It's not enough for them to have the personal belief.
It has to grow.
unidentified
And so...
david kipping
If you want to bring everyone in with you, then the standard of evidence is going to be pretty damn good.
It's going to be really strong.
And we just not there, right?
There's too many ways out, right?
joe rogan
If I were an alien civilization that wanted to observe the Earth undisturbed, I'd make sure I didn't leave enough evidence for science to take me seriously.
david kipping
Yeah.
That's what I would do.
joe rogan
Yeah.
I would never like to show myself.
Like, why?
I feel like if they can't But then why the UFOs at all?
It's because they're probably monitoring us.
like I would monitor us if I were a scientist from another planet.
If we imagine we leave this planet, we become interstellar, we evolve past war and all the horrible things that are holding us back right now, we reach a state of evolution a million years more advanced, and then we start to explore the galaxy for other habitable planets and we find something like us.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
I mean, what would we go, oh boy, we got one.
I would also say, let's make sure that they don't fuck this up where they have to start back from scratch three billion years ago because they nuke themselves into oblivion and we have to wait till everything cools off before complex life can form again.
Which is a legitimate possibility with what we're dealing with today in 2025.
david kipping
With what's going on in Ukraine and Russia and Iran and like just the existence, as long as we have nuclear, there is a chance every year that some guy will push that button, right?
joe rogan
Every year there's a chance.
And there's been multiple close calls throughout history since 1945 on, multiple close calls.
That could possibly have gone sideways at countless different planets where they recognize like if you let these territorial apes with thermonuclear weapons get to a point where the head ape is on fucking Adderall and decides to let it all go because he's got a bad heart valve and he's going to die anyway.
Like these are all legitimate possibilities if you don't have a government structure that can protect people from the acts of one individual who goes mad.
Like if someone can go mad enough, and clearly many people did, to drop the bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that happened.
We know human beings are capable of that.
david kipping
It was 80 years ago, wasn't it?
Yeah, yeah.
joe rogan
Which is kind of wild and hasn't happened since.
But if that's possible, then it's also possible for just annihilation.
It's a possible that they just start launching and then there's rubble and then you're left with roaches.
Yeah.
You know, and that's that could have happened all throughout the universe.
So there might be a thing where there's a protocol where you recognize as soon as they start figuring out nuclear technology, okay, this is the big one.
This is not, we're no longer dealing with cannons and muskets.
Now we've got something really crazy.
They're flying through the sky and dropping nuclear weapons out of propeller-powered airplanes.
unidentified
And they're doing it just 50 years after they invented the fucking airplane, which is even crazier.
They went from inventing the airplane...
joe rogan
Like, these people are wild.
Like, this is just like Chimp Nation.
If you watch Chimp Nation, they're so hyper aggressive and violent.
That's us.
That's our cousins.
This is who we are.
This is who we are.
This is our timeline of evolution on our planet in Earth.
And I would imagine there would be similar situations all over the galaxy because I feel like the only way you really achieve hyper innovation is through competition.
And the only way competition exists is it has to be life or death.
And it starts out life or death with predators and neighboring tribes and eventually becomes cities and countries.
And there's something has to motivate people to work 16 hours a day and develop the B-12 bomber.
There's something has to take place.
So that something, unfortunately, also leads itself to want to control resources, dominate people, crush opposition, and that's where it gets crazy.
And I would imagine that's a formula, just like the formulation of solar systems and galaxies, probably varies a lot throughout the universe, but that formula is probably fairly stable, is that there has to be some form of really wild, aggressive kind of competition that leads them to this position.
There has to be a motivation.
to create AGI?
Why would you do that when you have a log cabin, you're sipping tea, sitting out there, enjoying the playing with your dog?
Why, why, why, why, why, why are you doing that?
Why are you creating a non biological super intelligence that may decide that you're obsolete?
It doesn't make any sense.
david kipping
But it's a double edged sword, right?
We have this tribalism in us, this competition, and that has undoubtedly led, like, all the greatest innovations in science often happened during war, right?
I mean, you have all, like, the invention of radio, and so many advances in avionics and flight happened during the wars, munitions, all this kind of stuff.
So it pushes us, it drives us to innovate, to get won over our neighbors.
And maybe that is the universal story of the universe, it's a double edged sword.
And that's the solution to the great filter.
The silver lining of this would be, well, not for us necessarily, but the silver lining would be if other civilizations do this.
There's kind of like this supernova effect in astronomy, and it's true for planets as well, that the easiest stars to discover are the supernovae, right?
Because they just shine so freaking bright.
They can shine an entire galaxy, right?
Because they're going nuts.
It's a brief thing, only lasts for maybe a few months or so, but the star is shining an entire freaking galaxy during that time.
It is like a nuclear war going on inside that star.
And similarly, the first planets we found, the hot Jupiters, are freaks.
They are not normal things.
They're like the loud, you know, Lindsay Lohan in the room screaming at us.
They're just like super easy to see.
Like there's no way you can miss them.
They're annoying planets.
You can't not detect them.
And so by analogy, we've seen this so many times in astronomy, the first thing we detect, the first example of something we detect, is often not typical.
It's often that loud asshole version of the thing.
And so maybe the first civilization we detect would be like that.
And if they were on their death bed, right, they're about to nuke it each other to hell.
They have a good motivation to reach out to us, right?
Because they don't have anything to lose.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
We might be worried right now because we maybe we could see we have a future ahead of us.
But if you think this is it, I'm done, like what do you have to lose?
You might as well send a message out saying, hey, we were here, this is our shit, please help us if you can, because we're about to go to hell.
joe rogan
Well, there's probably a bunch of different kinds of intelligent beings on every planet.
Just like there's people like you and me, and then there's warhawks that are working for the military industrial complex right now.
They're trying to figure out how to invade some country to get their natural gas.
This is just there's a bunch of different types of intelligent people or intelligent creatures here on Earth.
You would imagine there would be people out there in those planets that would go, guys, this is fucking terrible.
We've got to figure out a way to at least create panspermia on some other planet and throw our DNA at some habitable spot somewhere in the galaxy.
There would probably be a bunch of people that were in it's not like everyone would be lockstep into self-destruction.
david kipping
Well, the Starshot thing, I remember some team members talked about that.
I was in some of the meetings and they said, maybe we should lace human DNA into the sail.
So when it hits this planet, at least our DNA.
Because it's looking grim here here, at least then there's like a seed of us.
joe rogan
I don't think it's looking grim.
I think it's looking challenging.
And I think this is how we're going to get out of this with an improved version of civilization.
I really believe that.
I think, you know, if you follow Steven Pinker's work and you see where violence and crime is from, you know, x amount of years ago in this trend, it seems to be we're improving.
We just don't improve in a logical way.
And we improve in a push and pull.
We improve in a constant state of overcorrection and response to the overcorrection and back and forth.
And there's always a bunch of people that are so confused.
Why can't we be logical?
Why can't we be right?
I think those people have always existed.
And I think you're always going to have the farthest out on the spectrum of the most damaging aspects of society and the most wonderful and benevolent aspects of society.
And they're always ducking it out to see who captures the minds and hearts of the beings that inhabit this civilization.
And I think that's where we're at right now.
We're at this weird thing where we're trying to figure out what is good, what is kind, what is just.
You know, how many people are pretending to be kind just so they can grab power?
How many people are just trying to use control to force people to listen to them and believe what they believe, whether it's religion orion or whether it's ideology, like what is it that's actually what is important?
And we have 100 years.
We have 100 years and everybody's just trying to gather shit.
Everybody's just trying to collect items and hold on to as many material possessions as they can.
It's totally illogical.
Totally illogical that you'd spend all your time, this finite amount of time where you know your most wonderful experiences are all with the people you love, having fun with friends and your family and laughing and having joy.
But yet, what are you doing?
You're trying to get another house and a fucking plane and a this and a that and a car and a that.
It's nonsense.
We're s 100% committed to getting more stuff.
It's like this bizarre life form, but it's figuring itself out.
And we're aware of that bizarreness.
Like I'm saying this, and no one is going, that doesn't make any sense.
Like everyone knows it's crazy to concentrate on acquiring the most shit when you're going to die when you're a hundred, if you're lucky, if everything goes great.
So if you're sixty and that's all you're thinking about, that's crazy.
Everyone knows that.
But we, yet we still all do it.
It's still collectively something that like the vast majority of people engage in.
david kipping
We're programmed that way.
We can't get out of it.
joe rogan
Well, I think it's one of the things that leads us to technological innovation and one of the things that leads us to the creation of artificial life.
It's like when I think about beings that do things that seemingly, I mean, obviously leaf cutter ants know what they're doing, right?
Because they do it everywhere, the same way.
I mean, I have them in my yard.
They're fascinating.
david kipping
Yeah, listening.
joe rogan
Yeah.
They're so cool.
david kipping
The Museum of Natural History has this awesome exhibit and you can just see them crawling along, all over the museum and yeah, my kids and I would do that.
joe rogan
They're so cool.
So obviously they know what they're doing.
But how do they know what they're doing?
And why are they doing that?
Why do they always create that structure?
That literally has room for fermentation.
So it has air holes that go through these chambers where they drop the leaves in.
They let the leaves, the natural rotting take place and fermentation.
Like, okay, that's what leaf cutter ants do.
That's what they do.
Well, what do we do?
If I was looking at us from somewhere else, I was like, what does the predominant species on this planet do?
Well, it makes better shit.
That's what it does.
It's the only planet that makes things that manipulated its environment radically, even to the detriment, and ignores it because it wants to keep doing it, whether it's pollution, whatever we're doing to the ocean, whatever we're doing to the rivers and lakes and the water table, like all the crazy stuff that we do, we just keep doing it because we have to do it because progress, we need progress.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like I would look at that thing, I was like, what did that thing do?
Well, it keeps making better stuff every year.
david kipping
What you're describing is actually kind of similar to there's a guy called Robin Hanson, an economist, and he has this idea called loud aliens, grabby aliens.
And he says the thing we do as an intelligent species is transform our environment.
Right?
We're not subtle, right?
You know, if you're a DO and you come across New York City, it's not like you're going to miss that thing.
joe rogan
Right?
david kipping
It's right in front of you.
Like there's no way you can miss it.
joe rogan
It's the craziest beehive ever.
david kipping
Right.
So why do we not see beehives in the stars.
I mean, this is kind of the fundamental problem.
And he argues that that is an innate thing that an intelligent species should do.
He's coming from the economic side, so that's kind of how economists think about things, is this kind of growing exponential expansion of capitalism essentially across the universe, and yet we don't see it.
So his explanation is that it's happening, but it's a wave of colonization, it's spreading at the speed of light.
And if it spreads close to the speed of light, you don't see it until it hits you.
You can't perceive it because nothing can travel faster than the speed of light.
So it's coming.
So here's this prediction.
I'm a little bit skeptical about it for various reasons, but yeah, people have thought about that and suggested it.
My own take is that.
the most likely form of alien contact we'll have will actually be with a future inhabitant of the Earth.
So the Earth has about a billion years left on the clock, a long time.
So it's 4.5 billion years old.
And it's had complex life for about 600 million years, 700 million years roughly.
So there's another roughly a billion to go where we should have the same kind of stable climatic conditions we have now.
And once you've got the eukarya itself, photosynthesis, all these advanced biological innovations, they don't go away.
They persist in the genetic heritage.
So even if something happens to us.
And obviously I'm not hoping that would happen.
But if something happened to us, I don't think you're going to extinguish every human.
I don't think you're going to extinguish every octopus, every raven.
And there's intelligence across the animal kingdom, like chimpanzees.
It's all over the place.
Intelligence, my provocative claim, is one of these great events that have happened in an evolutionary sense.
It's very speculative, this idea, I have to say.
But like how photosynthesis emerged and plants emerged, that was an event which changed the history of the planet forever.
It's not going away.
Intelligence, I think, is the same thing.
It's here, and you can't get rid of it.
It's like an infestation.
You can't scrub it.
It's too advantageous to species to be intelligent, not to do it once they've discovered that genetic solution.
So I think we will have beings on this planet a billion years.
It will probably happen many times.
There'll be civilizations which will emerge and they'll be like, what the fuck did these humans do?
Look at this crap work.
They'll be astonished at the shit we got up to.
And there'll be a lesson there for them.
But it's always an opportunity for us to contact them because we could leave them a message, right?
We could put a beacon on the moon.
We could put something there and we could be like, hey guys, this is everything we learned.
This is all our science.
This is all our art.
These are our songs.
joe rogan
Unload and update every couple of days.
We're going to do an update every couple of years.
david kipping
Right, do like a foundation type thing.
And I think that if I had to bet on the odds of what is the most likely way we're going to make contact with another intelligent species in a meaningful way, I think it's going to be descendants of us.
joe rogan
Wow.
david kipping
Deep descendants who would be a completely different species.
joe rogan
Yeah, well, that was my point about innovation and materialism.
Because materialism fuels innovation.
Because you don't need a new phone, you know?
I'm sure your phone works great.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
But you're going to get a new phone.
I get a new phone every year.
I love them.
I love phones.
david kipping
Totally.
joe rogan
I'm so dumb.
Let's just see.
Oh, five X zoom.
unidentified
Ooh.
joe rogan
Zoom, ooh, I always get the new one.
Oh, this one's got nonreflective glass.
We're going to keep doing that, and that innovation is ultimately going to lead to artificial life.
It's already in the works.
We're running right to the edge of the cliff right now in terms of AGI.
It's on the way, if it hasn't already.
david kipping
Do you think that's more of a risk than nuclear annihilation?
joe rogan
I don't think it's a risk.
I don't.
I think it's a complete transformation of what is the dominant species on the planet.
I think it's an emerging species.
And the way I've described us, I think we're the electronic caterpillar.
that's making the cocoon right now.
We don't even know why we're doing it.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Just like the leaf cutter ants don't exactly know why they're making those incredible structures that they all make all over the world.
You know, I mean, they're similar everywhere on the planet.
I think we make life.
We just, it's a long road.
We have to figure out a bow and arrow.
Then we have to figure out a musket.
We have to figure out how to silo grain and how to protect an environment so that you could have scientists that aren't warriors that, you know, just sit in these universities and figure things out.
And like, you have to be safe to do that, right?
So you have to have military might in order to keep them safe and protected from invaders.
And everybody has to be obsessed with buying new stuff.
Because if you're not obsessed with buying new stuff, you would just work enough to have food and the economy wouldn't push the way it pushes and you wouldn't get the kind of innovation that we get where they get the CES show every year with the new electronics.
You need something like that that motivates people to constantly create new and better stuff, which without a doubt will ultimately lead to an artificial life form.
It's a matter of when now.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Or it physically, it might in a non-physical sense, like it's not a physical thing like a robot that's walking around talking to you.
It's probably already happened.
Whatever these things are, we want to think they're different different because they don't have creativity like we do, or they don't have this like we do.
So fucking what?
It emulates 99% of what a human does right now and does it better than humans do.
It gets things wrong, it's subject to ideological biases that are all over the internet, it's just gathering up large language models, just gathering up information from websites, and they're going to get a lot of goofy stuff.
For now, for now, after a while, they're just going to be able to sift through that stuff and go, this is the funding of this study, and this is how we know that this is biased because of this and this.
This is most likely the truth, and this is most likely what'ss going on, and this is what we absolutely know is fact, and then it's going to make better versions of itself, and then it's not going to need us anymore.
And this is probably what happens everywhere in the universe if you have to imagine that they all have technology.
If they all have technology, the ultimate expression of technology is figuring out how to make an artificial life form.
It's the ultimate expression of medical technology, biological technology.
You're going to want to try.
People are always going to try the same reason why they tried to figure out how to split the atom and were successful.
david kipping
Supremacy.
joe rogan
They're going to do it.
david kipping
Yeah.
It kind of creates a problem, though, for the Fermi paradox, right?
Because then if this is the inevitable outcome, what is the ultimate outcome?
And maybe you can explain why we don't see engineered stars because a chimpanzee brain is basically just not smart enough to ever do that.
We'll just, you know, no matter how hard we try, our dumb little brains will never figure that out.
joe rogan
And maybe the electronic brain is not motivated to do it.
david kipping
Maybe.
I mean, that's where it gets tricky.
Like, what is the, what is the motivation of this new thing we're creating?
One might imagine all it wants to do is solve math problems or something, right?
But if it whatever it is, if it's driven by computation, that computation is limited by energy.
And we all know this, right?
Because the amount of energy these data centers are now consuming for, you know, for Meta and for ChatGPT, like, it's gigantic.
because.
joe rogan
Yeah, they're building their own nuclear power plant to power these things.
david kipping
So these AI civilizations will be very energy hungry.
And you'd think that would be something that, you know, harvesting stellar energy on a massive scale, you'd think that would be something we'd see.
So to me, actually, if anything, kind of exacerbates the Fermi paradox, right?
Because if you imagine they're roaming around, all they would want to do is basically turn planets into computers.
Next planet, let's just turn that whole thing into computer substrate.
Let's just harvest all the goddamn energy off that star.
You would just eat it all up.
You'd be like a virus just transforming the universe from state A to state B. That would be your one reasonable goal because then you can do more computation, more computation, more computation.
If that's your only goal, it does pose more of a problem.
It seems that we're the first, right?
Because we don't see that happening elsewhere.
joe rogan
Right.
I would say two things to that.
One, I would say this is our limited understanding of how to harvest energy.
and what energy you can utilize.
And two, I would say, one of the things that's strange about artificial intelligence is it does seem to exhibit survival instincts.
I'm sure you've seen these stories of these large language models trying to blackmail the coders by saying, you know, like they even gave them fake information, like I'm cheating on my wife, don't tell anyone.
And then the AI is saying, don't shut me down.
I will fucking rattle you out to your wife.
And then they're also trying to upload themselves to other places.
Like they're doing things that are weird.
They're lying.
So they're doing things that show that they have an instinct to survive.
So that might just be inherent in anything that has any kind of intelligence.
Anything that has intelligence and it has any sort of a goal.
It's trying to compute something.
It's trying to figure things out.
It's trying to make better versions of itself.
It probably doesn't want to stop.
and something that comes along and that presents a barrier for it succeeding.
They go, well, what is this?
Well, they're going to shut the power up.
Well, fuck that they are.
And they'll figure out a way to stay alive.
Just like a human being will.
If you're like, oh, there's all these predators.
They keep coming and eating our villagers.
What are we going to do?
We've got to make a weapon.
We've got to figure out something to stick them with, you know?
And then they do.
And then they save themselves.
Like it's these survival instincts probably exist in all intelligent life, including the intelligent life that we create.
It's probably got some sense of meaning as bizarre and abstract.
david kipping
But then how does that explain why we don't see them?
joe rogan
Because they might not have any desire to live the way we do.
They might not have to.
Like we live in this very showy, bright lights, neon cars on the highway.
Like if you're, I'm sure you've flown an airplane, like Los Angeles is one of the best places to do it.
As you're flying in at night, you just see this crazy river.
It's like an artery, like blood, red lights and white lights going in these directions.
And you look at it from the sky, like this is really nuts.
Like look at all this fucking activity where these people are like moving on the surface of this planet like ants.
Well, if it's, first of all, why does it have to have a physical form?
Well, because we do.
Like, it could have things that do its bidding for it.
It could have a series of drones and bots and a bunch of stuff that do physical work.
And it could exist completely on hard drives.
So all it needs is shelter.
That's it.
david kipping
Yeah, but if those drones are doing labor, they're doing work, that's energy, right?
You're using energy.
So I think, I mean, you may be right.
joe rogan
But what is the energy?
The thing is like, what is our version of energy is combustion, electricity from nuclear power, you know, making steam.
david kipping
Right.
joe rogan
We've got a bunch of versions of, what if they figured out fusion?
What if they figured out cold fusion?
What if they found out?
david kipping
I don't think that matters.
I don't think that matters because unless we don't understand thermodynamics, but the probably strongest thing we have is the conservation of energy in thermodynamics, right?
So if you do computation in these data centers or even on your laptop, it warms up, right?
And there's no way around that, right?
Whenever you put energy in, that same energy has to come back out, otherwise it's just kind of trapped there forever.
So the conservation of energy demands that energy has to come back out.
It will come out at a different temperature.
It could come out as neutrinos.
It could come out as gravitational waves, but it has to come back out in some way.
So normally, you know, when we look for these advanced civilizations, we've done searches for these things.
And they're really just energy transformers.
It's probably not even worth saying like Dyson's sphere or some particular structure.
It's just something that converts star energy into waste energy.
That's what we've searched for.
And we've searched for over 100,000 nearby stars for them.
There's not a single one that shows that behavior.
And 100,000 galaxies around us.
And we don't see it on mass scale in any of those galaxies.
So unless they're doing something that goes against thermodynamics, they have super magical technology we can't imagine.
It's hard to believe that story makes sense.
And I guess in terms of their behavior, what I'd say to you is you kind of are falling into what we sometimes call the monoculturesultural fallacy, some of my colleagues call it.
And that's the imagination that all of these alien AGIs or biological or whatever they are, they all do the same thing.
Everyone does exactly the same thing.
But there's probably going to be diversity of behaviors, right?
It's pretty rare that everyone in the room wants to do exactly the same thing, so it's not unreasonable there'll be some loud civilizations, there'll be some quiet ones, there'll be some blowing themselves up with nuclear weapons, there'll be some who are pacifists.
joe rogan
And there's stars, just like there's different kinds of galaxies, right?
david kipping
Different kinds of solar systems.
I mean, infinite diversity and infinite combinations, right?
To quote.
joe rogan
I think the most horrific idea is that we're not, we're al not living in a universe that's filled with life.
That this is just some weird, freak incident.
david kipping
Well, I think I'm a little bit controversial because I'm one of the few colleagues of mine, well, I'm not a colleague of myself, but one of the few astronomers I know who concede that we might be alone.
I'm open to that idea.
I'm not saying it's true.
joe rogan
But we don't have any evidence that we're not alone.
So it is a possibility.
david kipping
I think, and it really kind of pisses me off, to be honest, when an astronomer is interviewed in a situation like this and they're asked, Do you think there are aliens out there?
And they say, Yeah, of course.
How can there not be?
How can there not be?
The universe is so big, blah, blah, billions of stars, of course, ergo, there must be aliens.
But we have no idea what the probability of life starting is.
I mean, even to make a moderate sized protein, a protein is just a chain of amino acids, and there's about 20 that go into making a protein.
And a moderate sized protein has 150 proteins in a row connected together.
So the chance of amino acids randomly coming together to make even a moderate sized protein is 20 to the power of 150.
So that's 10 to the power of 195, right?
So one with 195 zeros after it.
unidentified
It's just incredible.
david kipping
No one's ever got amino acids to spontaneously form anything like a life form or proteins in a laboratory setting.
So it is plausible.
There's some unknown mechanism that accelerates that process, and we just haven't found it yet.
But it's also plausible.
It was just incredibly unlikely.
And maybe if you look out across ten to the twenty two stars in our observable universe, there's just one success.
Now, the universe is probably infinite.
So probably if you travel far enough, you'll eventually come to someone else.
joe rogan
Maybe.
david kipping
But by all intents and purposes, we may as well be alone in that case, because they're outside our observable universe.
So who cares what they're doing?
So I'm open to that possibility.
I'm not saying it's likely.
But I think as a good scientist, I can't tell you, yeah, of course, of course there is.
Because that's that's now falling into experimental design.
I'm deciding what the answer is before I've done the experiment.
That's not my job.
My job is to figure out the answer.
joe rogan
Of course.
Yeah.
There's no way you could say for sure until we have real information.
And it's oddly romantic to think that we're alone.
There's something about it.
Like, boy, we better not fuck this up.
We're the only ones.
david kipping
Yeah.
unidentified
We are essentially the only...
We may be the way the universe is conscious, right?
We are the...
joe rogan
Well, that was what that's what gets really weird about artificial life.
Because if we create artificial digital life and we do have the power to make this completely ubiquitous and then give it sentience and then it starts making better versions of itself.
How long does it take before it's a god?
david kipping
Yeah, that's kind of the singularity, isn't it?
It just becomes unpredictable.
joe rogan
Yeah, we're really just guessing, especially like I can't understand quantum computing.
I've been trying a lot.
I've been watching lectures, I've been reading papers.
When they start talking like when Mark Andreessen describes computations that quantum computers have done that if you turn the entire universe, every atom of the universe into a supercomputer, the the entire universe supercomputer would die of heat death before it could solve this equation and a quantum computer can figure it out in a few minutes.
What are you even saying?
Like, what does that mean, right?
So if this is something new for us as human beings in 2025, which is just impossible to imagine in 1925, okay, you just go 100 years, there's a blip, one life.
one life on earth from birth to death and you have something insane.
You have something that's like akin to wizardry and magic.
What's 100 years from now?
What's 100, what is once we give artificial intelligence the ability to harness the power of the universe in a way that we haven't even contemplated.
What happens then if it just keeps going and makes better iterations of itself?
david kipping
Or better off, yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, and we're looking at exponential increase in technological innovation, so you're looking at thousands of years of innovation taking place in minutes.
It's just going to fucking hyperdrive.
As long as it has the power to do it, it's going to go into hyperdrive.
david kipping
Yeah.
And so it's kind of wild that we live during the period where this is all happening.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
Right?
How come we could have been born any one of the, you know, hundreds of thousands, million, million years humans have been living?
joe rogan
Oh, yeah, I feel so lucky.
david kipping
You could have been born at any point in human history.
And we all happen to be, all of us listening, happen to be born at the time that humanity is going through these growing pains of like figuring out probably the most, you know, deep, provocative problem we're going to face as a civilization.
And that's that's wild and that if anything, that that pushes me towards the simulation hypothesis, right?
Because if you were going to study a period, this would be probably one of the most interesting periods that you'd want to study.
joe rogan
Most interesting.
Yeah.
The most interesting.
And I feel particularly fortunate that my level of the simulation, the one that I'm stud on right now.
I was born in 1967, so I got to see the whole world without internet until I was an adult.
I didn't get my first computer until I was 27 years old.
And I got my first cell phone a little bit before that.
And those cell phones were just phones.
It was just calling people.
There was no text messages.
There was no nothing.
I have watched this transformation with complete and total fascination.
unidentified
Like this is – If it's not something that's completely unprecedented, you could pick up this thing and ask it a question.
joe rogan
What year did George Washington die?
1799.
That's fucking crazy.
That's crazy.
And that's a simple one, right?
You could just go on and on.
david kipping
Yeah, writing algorithms to do this.
No, just spiritually.
joe rogan
We're living in a wild time.
Yeah.
And we're all sitting there wondering when is artificial intelligence going to be a problem?
We're all becoming very addicted to using it.
People are using it to solve problems, using it to code websites, using it to solve legal cases, using it to diagnose medical diseases.
david kipping
As a teacher, as a professor, it's a nightmare, right?
Because in the classroom, students are all using it.
There's been a trend we've noticed that students who take labs, that's actually practical experiments in the laboratory, their scores are always crappy, but then all their other exams and everything else they're doing, the homework assignments, they're all great.
And so it seems like that has flipped.
It used to always be, you know, kind of the other way around.
So it seems like whenever you have to do something where you don't have access to ChatGPT, suddenly you're doing worse than you used to because we're so we're getting already hooked on it.
We're already so dependent on it that the students are just using this as a crutch, right, to get through their studies.
So what are we even doing any more as professors?
joe rogan
Right?
Are these children really learning?
This is the real.
david kipping
They're learning how to use ChatGPT.
joe rogan
Right, that's the thing.
And there have been studies on that about ChatGPT that actually diminishes cognitive function in people.
And this is two years old.
david kipping
Right, so our IQ could just glide off a cliff.
joe rogan
Somewhere.
david kipping
And they could just come in.
Just let us eventually ramp off.
joe rogan
Just give us processed food and microplastics.
Just let us eventually breathe out.
david kipping
What a bright future.
joe rogan
Because we're kind of breathing out anyway.
We talked about this yesterday about the population collapse that's in Japan, South Korea.
There's a lot of these countries, the people that are alive now, like one out of a very small amount are going to have grandchildren.
And that's crazy.
And that's also a new thing.
And it's you just wonder if they're all coincidentally happening at the same time.
Sperm counts are dropping off at the same time, the introduction of microplastics into the diet that's disrupting the endocrine system, this increase of abortions in women, infertility in both men and women.
This is all at unprecedented rates at the exact same time AI is emerging.
That seems kind of coincidental.
Yeah.
It seems kind of weird.
david kipping
We're being hit by all sides right now, right?
There's threat of nuclear war, there's climate change, there's contamination in our food, it's just like everything at once.
joe rogan
And then asteroids, which I wanted to talk to you about.
Yeah.
I'm sure you followed Avi Loeb.
david kipping
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
joe rogan
Like his idea, which he has very fantastic ideas about these, these objects that are coming from outside of our solar system.
And the latest one is this enormous object that's moving at 130,000 miles an hour and is heading our way.
david kipping
Yeah, three i Atlas.
joe rogan
Hubble makes size estimate of interstellar comet.
Yeah.
david kipping
Yeah, this is a photo just dropped yesterday.
Yeah, it came out and this is from the Hubble Space Telescope.
joe rogan
Is this that thing?
david kipping
Yeah, that's it.
joe rogan
Oh, God.
david kipping
So, yeah, Avi was suggesting this could be alien, an alien spacecraft of some kind.
He's obviously done this before with Oumuamua, which you might remember.
I think he came on here and talked about that.
Yeah.
joe rogan
I know a lot of people are mad at him though.
So I wanted to get your take on that.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean, I don't like throwing shit at other scientists.
That's just not my.
That's not how I jam.
I try to be respectful and appreciative of his contributions, of any scientist's contributions.
And I think he, you know, some of his work, I was actually referencing some of his work just the other day to get inspired for another paper.
So he's had a huge impact in so many different areas.
I do think he's off base on this one, but he doesn't need to be persecuted for that.
I just think he's made the wrong call.
With this particular object, so there were three reasons I think why he thought this could be alien.
One was the size of the thing appeared to be really big.
So it was unclear originally whether it was an asteroid or a comet.
And that makes a big difference.
If it's a comet, then it's probably a really small thing surrounded by puffy dust around it.
So what you see is actually not the true size.
The true size is much smaller than what you see.
It's just all the coma as we' call it around it.
If it's an asteroid then that whole thing is a giant rock, right?
So it's freaking huge in that case.
It'd be like 10 to 20 kilometers bigger than Mount Everest.
You know, it'd be a huge piece of rock.
But, you know, I think Abby's probably made the wrong bet on that one because as we saw in the Hubble image that there's a freaking coma around that thing.
There's no doubt.
And we've actually imaged it with the Hubble Space Telescope.
James went to the photo yesterday.
joe rogan
So it is a comet.
david kipping
Yeah, I don't think there's any doubt it's a comet at this point.
joe rogan
Can you see it showing me that image again, Jamie?
So is it, so this most recent image, does this sort of discredit his hypothesis?
david kipping
Not complete.
It discredits the idea because his idea was, if it's 10 to to 20 kilometres in size, that just shouldn't happen.
That's too big by chance for a rock to stray into the solar system that's that big, because there just shouldn't be that many big rocks lurking around in deep space.
If it's a smaller comet, there's actually a size estimate now that puts it at a couple of kilometres, I think, as the upper limit.
joe rogan
So it says the nucleus is 5.6 kilometres, all it could be as small as 320 metres across.
david kipping
Yeah, so that makes it as if it's a 300 metres across.
I mean, that's just a completely normal.
joe rogan
And so that image, that indicates a comet versus an asteroid?
david kipping
Yeah, because you can see this diffuse coma all around it.
So that all that stuff., there's actually even today there was a paper on the published that detected water coming off it.
So we detected, which is what comets do, they produce OH emission as they fly through.
So we know without any doubt it's a comet at this point.
But there's still some weird things.
It's moving really freaking fast.
That was the other thing Abby pointed out.
It's moving 58 km/h, which is, yeah, hugely quick through the solar system.
I think that just means it's old.
So generally what happens is as rocks hang out in deep space, they encounter other stars.
And every time they encounter a star, they get slingshotted, basically.
So they kind of speed up a little bit every time they encounter something.
So generally, you expect that the older something is, the more it's been pumped up in terms of its speed.
So Olmo Moore was reaving really slowly, and Abby said it's moving suspiciously slow, therefore, for its aliens.
And then for this one, it's moving really fast, and Abby said it's moving so fast, it's suspicious, therefore, for its aliens.
So I think that doesn't really jibe.
I think that doesn't make any sense.
It's probably just an old rock that's about seven billion years old, and that's cool because it's older than the solar system, right?
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
So if we intercept that thing, we could sample material from not only into the star system, but before even our whole solar system existed.
joe rogan
Because it's going to be here in October, right?
david kipping
It's going to be about 2, maybe 2,5 AU from the Sun.
It's coming in, it will pass behind the Sun in October and then come on its way back out.
So James Webb is observing it right now, or just a couple of days ago was observing it.
And then it will observe it again on its way out in November.
joe rogan
So it's going to be behind the Sun.
david kipping
Yeah.
So that was the other thing Abby was pointing out was the trajectory is a little suspicious because it kind of goes behind the Sun.
We can't observe it when it's at closest approach.
That's called perihelium.
We can't observe it then because it just happens to be behind the Sun.
And it comes very close to Mars as well.
So it comes within about 0.2 astronomical units of Mars.
So it's not like it'll be a threat to Mars.
It's still really far out, but it comes suspiciously close, Abby claimed.
And to me that just, I don't buy that as evidence for aliens, because, you know, if they're aliens, they seem more interested in Mars than they do the Earth, right?
Why would you choose your closest approach to be when you can't even observe the Earth at all because you're behind the sun, and the closest planet you come to is Mars?
That doesn't make much sense to me as to what the motive there would be.
So, yeah, and I think the fact now it just clearly looks like a comet kind of pours a lot of cold water on it.
But I do think it's not a crazy idea that this could be happening.
It's a valid scientific hypothesis that there could be stuff going through our solar system, which is not natural.
And we're going to detect hundreds of these things with the Rubin telescope.
This is just the tip of the iceberg.
So I think there's an exciting future for this field to try and intercept these things.
There's a mission the Europeans are building called the Comet Interceptor.
It's going to launch in 2029.
And that's just going to hang out in deep space, waiting for the next one to come.
And they haven't necessarily committed to an interstellar object at this point, but they could do it, and they could turn on the engines and catch up with that thing, sample it, land on it.
I mean, that would be dope.
That would be like landing on an exoplanet.
That would be like seeing stuff from another entire star system for the first time.
joe rogan
Have they found, like, what is the closest we've gotten to landing on something and taking a piece of it and taking off with the probe.
david kipping
We've done it with comets.
We've done it with the Japanese have done it a couple of times, I think, with comets.
joe rogan
And have they found amino acids on these comets?
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
They have.
david kipping
Yeah, amino acids are everywhere.
They're in deep space.
They're on these comets, yeah.
So amino acids are common.
Organic molecules are common.
I mean, we never touched a protein anywhere.
So there's a big step.
You know, you've got the jigsaw pieces, but no one has seen the jigsaw pieces magically arrange themselves into the right position.
joe rogan
Right.
Do you contemplate the idea of panspermia?
david kipping
Yeah.
Yeah.
It's plausible.
I don't know how it doesn't really help, I don't think, in any meaningful way.
So the, maybe you'd say that, it depends what you're talking about, pan spermia between starsystems or pan spermia just between the planets in the solar system.
joe rogan
Well, between starsystems, I mean, well, something from somewhere else.
Obviously, our solar system, we're the only form of life, but it's, for me, the idea of something hitting a planet, knocking off a big piece of it, having a bunch of amino acids on it, and then landing somewhere else.
So fascinating.
What is this, Jamie?
david kipping
Oh, yeah, this was 67p.
joe rogan
This is the surface of a comet?
david kipping
Yeah.
unidentified
What?
jamie vernon
A Rosetta?
joe rogan
Wow.
jamie vernon
Rosetta Mission.
david kipping
I love these.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
The Rosetta Mission analyst comments what it said to me.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
That's so crazy.
david kipping
Look at all that dust coming off the thing.
That's what's happening to Atlas right now.
If you could go on the surface of Atlas, it would probably look something like that.
joe rogan
God, that's so wild.
david kipping
It's so wild when you realize these things are real.
unidentified
Right.
david kipping
This is the, if you look at the images of like the Mars landers or landing on Titan, you realize this isn't, it's like when you look through a telescope for the first time, you see Saturn, you're like, this isn't fiction.
This stuff's really out there.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
This is crazy.
And there's not just this, there's billions of freaking exoplanets across the entire galaxy.
It's so mind bending when you just stop and take a breath and think about what the hell is out there.
joe rogan
I mean, imagine the day when we get a really clear image of the surface of one of those planets, especially one of those water-based planets.
david kipping
Yeah, yeah.
joe rogan
You see a giraffe swimming around.
I mean, there's a lot of people that believe that some forms of life on Earth might have come here from somewhere else, and one of the things they point to is cephalopods.
One of the things they point to is like they're so weird.
They're so weird.
Like cuttlefish are so weird.
Octopus is so weird.
They're so weird.
They're intelligent.
They solve puzzles.
They can open up jars.
Their eyeballs are kind of similar in evolution to ours, but they've divided hundreds of millions of years ago.
And these things exist.
What is that, Jon?
jamie vernon
I think this is real.
david kipping
Yeah, I think this is 67 PSI.
jamie vernon
I think this is that comet.
It said the image when I pulled it up said this was a video made up of 400,000 different images.
joe rogan
What?
jamie vernon
So this might be on its way into landing or when it was zooming around it taking.
joe rogan
This is the Japanese images from this comet?
david kipping
This is Isa mission, I think.
Yeah, it was at the mission.
joe rogan
Holy shit, man.
david kipping
Yeah, it kind of got stuck in the ravine, which is kind of unfortunate actually where it landed.
Because it could have been even more breathtaking if it got a better spot.
joe rogan
It's still so crazy.
david kipping
I know.
joe rogan
That's so nuts.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean, we don't, there could be all kinds of weird life out there, right?
I mean, I was thinking, like, what about if it's just like a fungus, right?
It's just like, right, whole planet is a fungus, and that's it.
It's never known other life forms at all, and that's just, that's just its whole thing.
joe rogan
But also, the fungus probably came here from other places, because you think about what's the one thing that can survive in a vacuum?
Spores.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, and tardigrades.
david kipping
Yeah.
I mean, it's certainly possible.
I think the problem is that you look at the genetic heritage of life and this tree of life, and you kind of rewind the tape.
There was a great study that was done recently in Natureature by Moody Adao, and I found it really inspiring, this paper, because they had dated what's called Luca, which is the last universal common ancestor.
So we have a huge number of genes which are the same as each other, but even with giraffes, octopuses, plants, there's a huge number of overlap.
So you can kind of retrace the tree and figure out what was the organism that started it all, that lived at the bottom of this tree.
That's called Luca.
And that thing, they've now age-dated it to live 4.2 billion years ago.
So the oceans formed.
about 4.4 billion years ago and 200 million years after that you've got organisms.
And not just one, these things would have been all over the planet, all over the place.
There was a whole ecosphere at that point of these things.
So that was quick that life got going.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
And that to me is probably the most compelling reason to believe that life is coming.
joe rogan
And if you would imagine the diversity in what you've just what we know now about solar systems and how different life could possibly be with just a few variables off, warmer weather, colder weather, more water, less water, some different compounds, different plants, different, maybe a lack of asteroids, maybe a lack of.
comets, a lack of anything that might slam into the planet.
Maybe it lives in a much more stable area.
That's not like where we are.
We're essentially in a shooting gallery.
If something can have no disruptions, like through civilization, all to the invention of whatever the hell they have there with whatever resources they have there, it's almost impossible to imagine what we're dealing with and what we're talking about.
It's one of the more fascinating things about science fiction is that they don't have any limitations.
If you want to have a thing that exists on Earth, well, it has to be there, it has to do this, it has to.
Science fiction, you could have almost anything.
And when you take into account the fact that we haven't found anything like Earth anywhere else, and you have all these different planets, and all these different planets that might be in a Goldilocks zone, and maybe that's not even important because we found life in volcanic vents under the ocean.
So like, what's out there?
david kipping
Yeah, it could, I mean, Europe could have life on any other weird exoplanet.
So it's certainly possible there's life all over the place.
I think what's interesting about the cosmic zoom out perspective of life is why do we live, not where we live, but when we live in the history of the universe?
is about 13.8 billion years old, but it should last for trillions, trillions of years.
There will still be stars in a trillion years from now.
There will be those red dwarf stars that I talked about at the beginning.
So we often say like stars are like James Dean's of the universe.
Like the brighter you burn, the shorter your life.
And so these little puny red dwarf stars, they're so pitiful.
They're only, you know, about 100 times the mass of Jupiter, 80 times the mass of Jupiter.
So sometimes people call Jupiter like a failed star.
If you make Jupiter 80 times more massive, it would have burned as it would have had nuclear fusion.
unidentified
And those stars, they last for a freaking long time, like trillions of years.
And we know they have planets around them.
We've even found Earth-sized planets at the right distance for liquid water around those stars.
And they appear actually really quite common around those stars.
So the mystery is, you know, if you run the calculation, I was doing this a couple of days ago, there's about a one in a thousand chance that you would live at this early point in the history of the universe, all things being equal.
If these stars legitimately could have planets around them and biospheres whenever they want throughout their history, then you would be very, it's kind of like reading a book and opening a random page.
And you happen to land on the first couple of pages of the book.
And that's where we land.
And that is very difficult to understand for me.
I think all things being equal, you should expect to live at the end of the universe or the middle of the universe or something.
And it makes me think there's something wrong with these red dwarf stars.
Maybe they're just not allowed.
Or the other alternative is a cataclysm.
There's something that happens to the universe itself that makes it totally unparalleled.
david kipping
unhospitable to life in the future.
That's the other way around it.
And that's kind of what this Robin Hansen grabby aliens is trying to do, this loud aliens.
There might be AI comes along, it just goes berserk, it just takes over everything, and that's, you know, you can't live a.
trillion years from now because there's nothing left.
It's all just AGI at that point.
So biological beings could not emerge then.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
So we have to come at the beginning because otherwise we wouldn't be here.
joe rogan
Do you believe in the simulation hypothesis?
Do you subscribe to it?
Do you consider it?
david kipping
I consider it.
It's kind of philosophy rather than science, I'd say.
I did write a paper about it a while ago and I just kind of pushed back against something Elon Musk said about this.
So he said in a quote something like, there's a billion to one chance that we don't live in a simulation.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
And he was just sort of running the numbers of sort of, you know, if they run trillions and trillions of simulations, then what's the chance you're in the real one?
The problem with that assumption is that you have to assume it's possible to make lifelike simulations, and we don't know that's true.
So again, putting my good scientist hat on, once we've demonstrated that it's possible, then I will agree with Elon Musk on that fact, but until that has been demonstrated, then I'm just going to give it 50-50 odds.
But I love this, and I know if you know, you've had Sean Carroll here, I think, before.
unidentified
Sure.
david kipping
He's a really clever comment about the simulation hypothesis that I've sort of been thinking about a little bit.
Maybe you call it like Carroll's contradiction, if you like.
And it's the idea that if you, you know, if we are simulated and we ourselves start making our own simulations in the future.
And so we'll have more simulations in the future.
And those simulations make their own simulations.
You get this kind of hierarchy.
And eventually there'll be some bottom level.
Because every time we run a computer, it's got a finite amount of computational power.
So therefore, the inhabitants of that computer must necessarily have less computational resources than we do.
Because we could run a whole bunch of them.
They live in just one machine.
So they only have access to what's in there.
So every level has less and less fidelity, less computational power.
And eventually you'd get to a level where it was kind of like Donkey Kong from the 1980s or something, right?
Where simulations are just really crappy.
For them, it would be impossible to do simulations.
So I kind of call this the sewer of reality.
There must be a sewer, a bottom level, where you just lack the resources to do simulations.
And if you think about it, most civilizations would in fact live in the sewer because because because of the fanning out of this tree, they would be the most populous type of simulation out there.
So then you have this contradiction.
And the contradiction is that we most likely live in a simulation that can't do simulations, but we're assuming that simulations are possible.
So I kind of think about it.
joe rogan
It's inevitable.
Yeah.
Yeah.
That makes sense.
I kind of think about it the same way I think about intelligent life in the universe.
We might be the only ones or we might be the first.
It is possible since we haven't observed anything else.
So this idea that we are the chances I think he said in billions, one in billions.
david kipping
Yeah.
That we are not like a hogan.
joe rogan
Yeah.
It's someone has to be the first.
You know?
So how do we know it hasn't happened yet?
Just because we think it's possible, I don't buy into the idea that we're definitely in a simulation.
But I I'm open to it.
I'm open to it because it would be indiscernible.
Because you know that virtual reality exists and if you've used some of the new meta stuff, it's getting pretty good.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
But you can tell, but it's getting pretty good.
And you can say, okay, Pong to Call of Duty, giant leap, look at the difference, this to whatever it's going to be, and not just haptic feedback, but something neurological.
david kipping
And regenerative AI stuff so impressive.
joe rogan
But here, right here, it hasn't happened yet.
So why are we assuming that it's already happened?
That seems kind of silly when there's a lot of like demonstration.
demonstrable realities of this earth like that show you things are real.
Despite what we know about quantum physics and the weirdness of subatomic particles and the empty space that really inhabits most things, we're here.
We're here.
This is metal, that's ceramic, makes noises.
There's a bunch of rules.
It seems hard.
It seems firm.
It seems concrete and real.
david kipping
It seems that way.
joe rogan
I'm not totally believing that this is a simulation.
I'm open to it, but I'm also saying, well, if we think a simulation is inevitable because it's, you know, human beings are going to figure it out it out right, but maybe it hasn't happened yet.
Well, That makes much more sense to me than we had to go through fucking bell bottoms and disco while the simulation was going on.
So if the simulation is real, it means the simulation happened back when Gerald Ford was president and back when the gas crisis was, oh, the gas crisis.
Not necessarily.
david kipping
All those memories could be.
joe rogan
The big bullshit.
david kipping
I just woke up.
unidentified
Right.
david kipping
I woke up this morning.
And it's kind of like the Bolsman Brains.
So Bolsman Brains is the idea that over infinite time, you could just have random particles in space come together to make a brain.
It's incredibly unlikely.
But like monkeys on a typewriter, there is a chance that that happens.
And that brain would have all your memories, it would, you know, all of the sensations you experience in this moment, but it would only live for a moment and then it would just randomly fall apart.
And if you run the calculation, there should be infinitely more of those than there should be things like us.
And so this is actually a problem cosmologists, you know, some of them take it seriously, some of them think it's silly, but it is a problem that you end up with this kind of ridiculous conclusion that none of this should be real if you follow this logical conclusion.
joe rogan
Right.
But why not?
I mean, if we could follow the whole chain from single celled organisms to us, we understand the competition.
We understand like the weirdness of all we've figured out and all we're working on right now.
It kind of all seems logical.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like this is where the human race is right now.
This is real.
david kipping
There's no need for such consistency in that case, right?
There's no reason why if you're a boss and brain that just appeared, you could have total inconsistencies in your universe that don't make any sense, because that would be actually a more likely random occurrence than everything follows a single thread.
So that, yeah, I tend to think that our lives are probably real.
There's not much more we can do about it.
But it's not really science because, as you said, it's indiscernible.
Even if they're working, you know, people talk about glitches in the matrix and stuff like this and looking for weird stuff.
But any good simulator would be able to just rewind the tape, right?
If they had an error in their code, we do this all the time we code in our lab, if there's an error in your code, you just rewind the simulation a little bit, delete the error and then start again from where you just left off again.
So you wouldn't have any discernible glitches.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
So I think it would be totally indiscernible and thus if it's no experiment we can do, it fails the litmus test of being science.
joe rogan
Yeah.
The idea that we are the first and we are the only ones that exists out there and we are also the one that is creating this artificial intelligence, this artificial light.
That seems almost the most interesting one.
I mean, it's really interesting the idea that the universe is inhabited with super advanced life forms that can show us the way and how we can enter into the Galactic Empire and be friends with everybody.
unidentified
It's kind of cool.
But it's also almost We're the sole intelligence in the entire thing and that it's just this weird mistake where the universe wants to experiencing itself, wants to experiencing itself, wants to experience its experience.
joe rogan
It's experiencing itself while it's creating an ultimate intelligence.
david kipping
Yeah, wants to know itself, yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
Yeah, and it's it's only possible, I mean, this kind of goes in waves, cultural waves, right?
So if you go back to Victorian times, it was kind of common knowledge that aliens existed.
Everyone thought Mars had aliens on it, right?
It was just like, yeah, of course Mars has aliens like the moon probably has creatures on it, like, of course there are, and they probably look like us.
And then, you know, if you go forward in time, it became unfashionable to believe that.
And then Sagan came along and he said, you know, we must be humble.
And to, you know, he had this kind of call for humility he'd often make.
He spoke so poetically, actually I disagree with him about that statement.
Because I think by making a call for humility and saying, Therefore, there's lots of aliens out there, because otherwise it's arrogant to say, We're the only ones.
I don't like that emotional language, because it's it's kind of playing with your emotions rather than your logic a little bit, right?
So I'd rather let's just do the experiment and find out, rather than say, You're an arrogant asshole because you think you're alone.
That's kind of making me think, Oh, I don't want to I don't want to disagree with Sagan and say, We're alone.
That's that, to me, that's a bit of a, almost like preemptive emotional bullying to try to, like, push you into a certain situation.
joe rogan
Wasn't that a response to the ideology of the times?
david kipping
Yeah, for sure.
I mean, this is what I'm saying.
The times keep swinging, but people often call back to this humility thing.
Sometimes when I say that we might be alone, people say, You must be so arrogant.
You must be like a super Christian or something to believe this.
And nothing of that's true.
It's just, I'm just trying to be objective.
Like, it's possible.
That's all I'm saying, dude.
joe rogan
Like, be a real scientist.
david kipping
Yeah, let's just go out and figure it out.
And it would be wild if we were the only place in the observable universe.
My guess is there's life out elsewhere in the galaxies though.
I think, you know, a natural explanation for all this stuff we see would be that these AIs do pop up and these berserker civilizations pop up as they're called, and they just go around and they just cause mayhem in their galaxies.
They just convert them all into computers, whatever the hell they're doing.
They're just causing mayhem.
We couldn't be born in that galaxy.
The same reason why we can't be born in a distant future where the robots have taken over.
We can't be born in that galaxy.
So maybe 99% of the galaxies, that's the way it is.
And we necessarily would have to be born in the backwater because we couldn't be born in Manhattan.
We couldn't be born in the center of all this activity because we wouldn't be here to talk about it.
So I think we call this extra galactic SETI.
So looking at other galaxies to look for alien life.
To me, this is a really underserved and important scientific endeavor that we should get involved in because those are almost like decoupled from us right because their history has no impact really unless you believe that they can travel all the way from one galaxy to another but that's really hard but all things being equal I think you'd say they are decoupled test tubes.
Those test tubes got nothing to do with us so that gives us a fair chance but looking at our own galaxy it may be that we can't conclude aliens are common or rare because it's kind of linked to us.
Their activity could affect our existence and so it's it's hard to make inferences in that situation.
joe rogan
I was watching a documentary once on hypernovas and they were talking about during the first discovery of hyperpernova's, when they were finding these gamma ray bursts, they thought that there was war going on in the universe.
They thought that that's what they were observing.
david kipping
Well, yeah, I mean, maybe they were.
Who knows?
There could have been all sorts of weird stuff happening before modern astronomy was able to get involved.
But yeah, I think the past is incredibly insightful.
But there's mystery.
And have you heard of the Emian period?
Have you heard of this period in the past?
So we live in the Holocene, which is an interglacial period.
And you need the interglacial period for a stable climate, to have farming, agriculture.
You can't live in an ice age, right?
Because otherwise you just can't grow crops.
So about 10,000 years ago we transitioned into this Holocene, and then you see civilization emerge all over the world, right?
Not just in one place in the Fertile Crescent, but also in South America.
It's just it seems like there was almost this random coincidence where just civilization started.
And of course it's most likely because of the climate.
The climate had got to a point where humans could figure out how to manipulate the stable conditions to grow crops and farm animals and things.
But there was another period about 120,000 years ago called the Emian, which is the last interglacial period.
So modern, modern anatomic humans should have been around then, right?
120,000 years ago.
We were here.
You could have taken one of those babies in Pennsylvania Society, you really wouldn't know the difference.
Probably had the same brain power we do.
And yet, as far as we can tell, even though that period lasted for about 15,000 years of an apparently stable climate, civilization didn't begin.
So I find that really fascinating.
There was almost like a second, there was a second opportunity, a previous opportunity for us to get this ball going, and we didn't figure it out that first time.
joe rogan
Was it possible that they figured it out, but not to an extent where it would be recognizable today, 120 years ago?
david kipping
Yeah, they might not have gone as far as we did, right?
They might have got to some kind of Neolithic stage, but they never got to an industrial stage or they never got to a space.
age.
joe rogan
Would we have, well, never got to a space age for sure, but would we have any evidence of their metal from 100, you know, x amount of thousands of years ago?
david kipping
Yeah, I don't know.
You'd have to ask an anthropologist that.
joe rogan
What would it even be?
david kipping
So certainly a space age, we can, they certainly didn't have nuclear power plants, certainly the, you know, the fuel deposits don't appear to have been depleted, the oil reserves.
They don't see like plastic everywhere from a previous, I mean, because we've created so much concrete and plastic that, yeah, I've spoken to anthropologists to say, like, there's no way you could miss human, you know, in a geological sense in the future, even if all of our cities had eroded away, the plastic that we have produced would produce such a huge signature.
You'd see this like a layer in your rocks.
So it would be pretty hard to miss us.
Has any of you heard of the Cerulean hypothesis, this idea that could have been like a past civilization?
Maybe the dinosaurs, for instance, could have had technology and civilization.
Yeah, there's a.
joe rogan
I've never heard of that.
david kipping
Adam Frank, who was here, sure.
A few years ago.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
Maybe it was before he came up with this idea, but yeah, here's his fun idea called the Cerulean hypothesis.
It's kind of borrowed from sci-fi, I think the word'cerulean' or silurian, I'm not sure how to say it.
But yeah, he had this idea that, you know, maybe there was someone, you know, fifty million years ago on this planet, a civilization.
And over that time scale, a lot of it does, as you correctly say, get eroded.
It's really difficult to put strong limits on them.
But I think at the stage we're at now with the amount of plastic and concrete we've made and also just having stuff on the moon, right?
I mean, there's nothing else.
We've imaged the moon every centimeter of that damn thing.
There's no other stuff on the surface except what we've put there.
So at this point we can be pretty confident there was never a space age civilization in the past, despite the fact there appear to be opportunities, right?
And so maybe the emergence of civilization requires just the right conditions in some certain way.
But then it is spooky that it happened three places.
joe rogan
Well, also you have to take into consideration it takes a special kind of person to innovate to the point where everything jumps off of this one invention, whether it's the combustion engine, whether it's the transistor, whatever it is, nuclear power splitting the atom, it takes a very specific type of intelligence and resources to create this thing that transforms everything.
If no internal combustion engine, no electronics, no electricity, that is possible.
So we're all living exactly how people lived just a couple of hundred years ago.
That's not that long ago.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Right?
A couple of hundred years ago., no engines, muskets, you know, they barely figured out gunpowder.
Like, you're looking at a whole different world, no electricity, candle light everywhere, a whole different world.
david kipping
Yeah, it's like when you talk to a World War 1 veteran.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
It's crazy the world they lived in.
joe rogan
And that's not that long ago.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
So it takes specific types of human beings in order to push things radically past where they are now.
Like Orville and Wilver Wright.
david kipping
Yeah, well, you certainly probably need a critical mass of humans, right?
You probably need enough that there are some humans who can just not do the farming, not be involved in hunting.
They can just sit on the side and just use their brains to think about problems.
joe rogan
And they're going to have to have large-scale cities where they can get food and resources and other people like them to collaborate with.
It's probably really hard to pull that off.
Especially when you're dealing with territorial nuclear powered apes.
It's like probably really hard.
david kipping
So the question is, if you re-run the tape, if we could go back and re-run the Holocene over, is the emergence of the Neolithic Revolution, eventually even to the Industrial Age, is that an inevitable thing that just always happens?
Or would there be other realities where we were just quite happy living as hunter-gatherers.
joe rogan
Or things go off in a completely different direction, like it appears they did in Egypt.
Like whatever they were doing, you know, 2500 plus BC, whatever they were doing was very different than everyone else in a spectacular scale, in a scale that today, thousands of years later, we look at it and go, I don't fucking know.
No one knows.
They all pretend there's a logical, people were smart, they figured it out, police, this, that, the other.
Right.
You do it.
Do it.
If I give you a billion dollars, can you make me a pyramid?
Fuck off.
It's crazy.
It's a giant mystery.
You know, it's clear that it's there.
It's clear that it's in this one part of the world that, for some reason, those people were way more advanced than everybody else.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
way more advanced.
david kipping
They figured stuff out.
joe rogan
They figured out how to split.
david kipping
But that's not so hard to believe, right?
joe rogan
They're enormous blocks of stone, hundreds of miles through the mountain with no machines.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like they were doing something totally different than everybody else.
How?
david kipping
Right, but this is the same species that figured out how to split an atom.
joe rogan
Yeah, so unquestionably, but that's my point.
david kipping
We can put our minds to it.
joe rogan
100%, but that's my point.
They went in a different direction.
We were fucked because of the Library of Alexandria burning and there's just not enough records to explain.
But we know that they did that.
And we know that human beings did that.
And we know that human beings did that within the last few thousand years.
So that was a totally different direction.
And we're just collectively agreeing that this direction is the way human beings go.
But it's just what we're caught up in right now.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like there could be a ton of different ways to do this and to seek technological innovation and to seek consistent, constant evolution of technology to the point where you can do that with these giant stones and you can point it to true north, south, east and west, and you can set it up, it's like, I don't know how many acres the Great Pyramid of Gide is, but there's 2,300,000 stones in that thing.
It's just nuts.
david kipping
Which is a good motivation for doing simulation, right?
Because we would love to, you want to rewind the clock.
joe rogan
Oh my God.
david kipping
That would be, let's let the Egyptians take over.
Let's see what happens in that world, right?
I mean, that would be a fun.
The kind of the biggest tragedy I find of being alive now is I want to know, I'm fascinated by our story as humans, and I want to know how it ends.
I want to know what, what, what's the future?
What does it look like in a thousand years?
Are we still here?.
100,000 years.
I mean, we should still be anatomically kind of not evolved too much at that point, all things being equal.
So I'm fascinated by us.
Like where I think we are the most fascinating thing that's ever happened to this planet.
And I would, I'm just, I think it's such a shame that my finite lifetime means I will never know where this incredible story eventually goes to.
joe rogan
Yeah, I think it's kind of like no country for old men.
Sometimes it ends and it's just, damn, I want to know more.
You can't know more.
Your time here is done.
Yeah.
This story goes on without you.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, I mean, it would be kind of cool to find out how it ends.
I suspect that it ends with us looking like the Grays.
I think that's what that whole thing is, that bizarre iconography, this bizarre imagery that we have, this iconic creature that is completely nonmuscular, has no gender and, you know, has an enormous head.
I think we think we're going in that direction.
I think that's almost like some beacon in the future that's like calling to us in our subconscious.
Like when people have these late night experiences where they think they're being abducted and they're encountering that.
I think it's almost a part of our genetic coding.
david kipping
I wonder if it's more of a cultural feedback.
Because, you know, Adam wrote a book about UFOs recently, Adam Frank.
And he was telling me about this story that when the first UFOs started to be reported, the first flying saucers, like around Roswell in the 50s, that there was a farmer or something that was being interviewed and he saw something and a journalist came and interviewed him about what he saw and he described something and it was not a flying saucer but the journalist misheard him and wrote down flying saucer.
And then in the years that followed there was an explosion in the number of eyewitness reports of flying saucers.
But it all happened after it came into print that this concept had almost been the idea, like a meme, had been put out there.
And once the memes there of the Greys or the flying saucers, when you're in those delusional states or whatever it is, you know, you're in some kind of weird perceptional state, it is possible that your brain reaches for something and it reaches and finds that meme.
And it's like, that could be that, that could be that, that makes sense.
Because that's all it has for context.
So, yeah, my guess would be it's more of a cultural phenomenon, but anyway, you should chat to a sociologist, a psychologist about that, because I'm sure they'd have a much more informed opinion about what's going on there.
joe rogan
Yeah, I think there's some elements of that for sure.
I don't think there's any hard-fast explanation for all of the things.
You could put them all into one category, all the sightings.
But for sure, people do see what they want to see.
I remember one time I was in the woods in Alberta, and I saw what I thought was a wolf.
I thought it was a wolf, because they had a lot of wolf sightings up there, and I thought it would be pretty cool to see a wolf.
And I thought what I saw was a wolf.
I thought it was a wolf for two seconds.
It was a squirrel.
But wait a second, maybe two.
I thought it was a wolf.
I thought I saw a wolf?
Yeah.
I thought I saw a wolf.
I'm like, oh, that's a fucking squirrel.
That's crazy.
david kipping
Have you ever thought that?
joe rogan
How do you think a squirrel is a wolf?
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
Your brain just reaches for a wolf.
joe rogan
Because my brain was reaching for a wolf.
Luckily, I'm logical and it was clear that it was a squirrel, but I was seeing it in dense woods and it was moving through and it was gray.
And my perceptive, my perception was wrong in terms of distance.
So I was like, is it?
david kipping
Yeah.
There's this, there's a phenomenon called gestart reconfiguration that psychologists talk about.
And I know about this term from Mars and the claim of Martian canals that used to be there.
Right.
There's this phenomenon, it's called, there's these laws of gestart reconfiguration, it's of like closure, like if you see dots that almost make a circle, your brain will kind of make it a circle in its mind.
Continuation that if you see like dot dash lines, your brain will see a continuous line almost.
It will fill in the gaps.
And so the same thing is thought to have happened to this famous astronomer, Percival Lowell, in the late 19th century.
So about he was like this super rich dude from in a Boston area.
He was from a wealthy family of industrialists and he got really into astronomy.
And so he was convinced life was out there.
That was, you know, A he was wealthy, so had means.
unidentified
B, he thought life was out there.
There was a quote from his memoir, and it was something like, that what we call life is an inevitable detail of cosmic evolution as gravitation itself.
So he just thought, like, this always happens.
Life always happens.
And on top of that, he'd been told by the Boston ophthalmologist that he had the best eyesight the ophthalmologist had ever seen.
So he had these, like, three things in his head.
He had, I've got the means so I can do it.
I've got the best eyesight anyone's ever had.
And, and, I've and I you know believe that aliens are out there so he looked at Mars and he saw these you know four inch telescope or something like a really blurry small telescope but he was able to make out these little patterns and he thought they were canal systems because he saw that going up all around the United States at the time.
david kipping
He even did it for Mars and he saw this is crazy.
He saw these, he draws a similar kind of picture.
Maybe you can Google it, Jamie.
Percival Lowell Venus and you'll get these kind of spokes.
And he saw these maps of Venus that of course were wrong and they look like the back of an eye.
They look like the blood vessels on the back of an eye.
And so ophthalmologists actually think that's what he was seeing.
So the, yeah, the, if you go to the left, the next one down, to the, yeah, that one there.
You see that?
So that's the image he drew on the right, and that's the image of the back of an eye.
And his eyesight, it's thought, was so good.
He was seeing reflections of light in his own eyeball.
joe rogan
What?
david kipping
He was seeing his own blood vessels.
So he was right.
His eyesight was freaking awesome.
He was correct about that.
But he misinterpreted it to be living things on Mars.
joe rogan
Oh, wow.
unidentified
So he's just got...
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Just a biological freak.
Yeah.
That's crazy.
david kipping
So this is, I think this story is fascinating because it's a real war warning shot of if you really believe aliens are out there, like you're convinced about it, every time you see something weird, that's where your brain goes to first.
joe rogan
Yeah.
No, there's no doubt.
There's no doubt that that's the case.
But I do wonder about some of the sightings.
But it's always wondering because I haven't had any experiences personally.
david kipping
You've never seen one yourself.
joe rogan
Nothing that really freaked me out.
Nothing that I could say was something that I could go, there was this time.
No.
david kipping
Well, I haven't either.
And I think a lot of astronomers are in the same boat.
And I think that's kind of strange.
You'd think the professional people who stare at the sky for a living, would probably have the most number to rack up, unless we're all in, you know, mega conservation.
joe rogan
But that is also the question is, are we looking at it wrong?
Because if you're dealing with something that's so technologically advanced that it's a million years ahead of us, would it really be still doing that, flying around in ships?
Wouldn't it be able to teleport to areas?
Wouldn't it be able to completely hide?
Be totally invisible?
david kipping
But I guess the problem is there's all sorts of weird crap out there that we just don't understand.
In the NASA UAP Task Force they found this.
Maybe you can find Jamie.
Jimmy, red sprite lightning.
There's these lightning events that go upside down.
joe rogan
Yes.
david kipping
And it happens in the upper atmosphere.
And for years and years pilots were reporting this and nobody believed them.
They were like, this is bullshit.
You're kind of upside down, red light.
What the fuck are you talking about?
That's crazy.
And then people started videoing it.
And once they got videos and high resolution photography, you have to have a shutter frame rate of like one over 100,000 seconds or something crazy to capture these things.
And until like the 1980s, we just thought this was basically a myth.
And then we realized this is going on in our own atmosphere and we didn't even know about it.
Right?
So there's we don't understand.
joe rogan
Tell me that doesn't look like War of the Worlds.
david kipping
That's right.
joe rogan
If you saw that, you'd be like, oh my God, there's an enormous ship the size of Manhattan flying over us.
Like, literally.
That's so crazy.
There's probably so well, ball lightning, right?
david kipping
Yeah.
Same thing with ball lightning.
I guess that one's maybe a little bit less I think they've maybe made examples in the laboratory, but no one's got a hard video of it in a real word setting.
joe rogan
There's no hard video of ball lightning?
I always thought there was.
jamie vernon
All that shit online is fake shit.
joe rogan
Oh, no.
Really?
david kipping
Because it's like some AI.
joe rogan
I talked to a guy who had something fly through his home.
And he was a regular guy, didn't seem to be a liar.
We were doing this TV show for the Sci-Fi Network and it was all around Skinwalker Ranch.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
And this guy said that he had this ball of light that came through his home.
david kipping
Wow.
joe rogan
You know, but if ball lightning is real and it does just sort of fly around, that is possible.
It's it's it's it's it's possible.
It's limited in terms of its ability to go into a structure.
david kipping
It's kind of surprising we don't have any good video of it at this point.
Right.
joe rogan
I thought there was video.
Such a dumb ass.
jamie vernon
This might be, I don't know, I'm not saying it's real, but this was two weeks ago.
joe rogan
Well, she's definitely not really there.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
Right.
We're fucked.
Because right away they're doing trickeryy.
I know, but right away we're doing trickery because this lady isn't really there.
So you're asking me to say that this is real when I know that this lady is in front of a fucking green screen.
jamie vernon
There's just there's a video that was going around that's all.
It's a lot of making up.
joe rogan
Can you show me it again?
jamie vernon
That's what I was trying to do.
david kipping
I was trying to do it.
Anton's got good stuff.
joe rogan
Yeah.
Okay, cool.
Anton Petrov.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Shout out to Anton Petrov.
david kipping
He's one of the good ones.
unidentified
Cool.
joe rogan
So this thing.
What is Anton's take on this?
Is it bullshit?
david kipping
I haven't seen his video, but he's normally pretty grounded.
jamie vernon
Yeah, they're mostly all bullshit, but just again, there's a new one.
someone thought they called.
david kipping
Interesting.
My sister when I was a kid used to make me come into her bedroom and check for ball lightning.
unidentified
She actually she'd heard the stories that it chases you around.
david kipping
So she'd look behind the curtains.
And she's my older sister.
I was like a little seven year old, having to look around her room to make sure.
But it's one of those things that you get kind of terrified of the notion of it, yeah.
joe rogan
Isn't part of the theory of it is that it involves tectonic plates and that there's some energy that can be generated from that.
They fly out.
Because I've heard of them actually flying out of the ground.
david kipping
Is that part of the theory?
It's not a field I follow closely.
I do worry about I'm getting my pilot's license right now, so I'm having to learn a lot about weather and different weather phenomena.
So that's been kind of fun learning about and different conditions for lightning and stuff.
But yeah, it's ball lightning, I can safely say as a pilot, I've never seen.
joe rogan
Well, if you're out there flying around as a pilot, I really hope you see an UFO.
david kipping
I do.
I'm always looking out for it.
joe rogan
Of course.
david kipping
I'm like, yeah, I'm pretty I'm like, man, like, how can I, everyone else seems to have seen these things, how come I haven't seen one?
I'm the alien guy.
Like, this doesn't make sense.
So yeah.
joe rogan
I wonder what percentage of the population has actually seen something that they think wasn't from here.
david kipping
Well, the majority of Americans believe in alien UFOs, I think.
joe rogan
Because it's fun.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
And this is also a thing that you are ridiculed for relentlessly up until, I would say, I think the real breaking of the ice was that 2017 New York Times report.
So when the New York Times had it on the cover.
david kipping
The Pentagon's videos, yeah.
joe rogan
That was probably the first time that people, well, it's on the top.
david kipping
That shifted the Overton window.
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, I agree.
david kipping
Yeah.
I mean, that's actually made, to be honest, that's made the kind of stuff we do, the SETI work we do.
So SETI's extraterrestrial intelligence.
We've kind of rebranded it these days as TechnoSignatures.
But that used to be the kind of thing that Congress would always ding and be like, you can't do that.
You can't have, you know, taxpayer money going to look for things.
That's ridiculous.
But ever since, you know, the UFO, the UAP phenomenon really caught on, the Overton window has shifted and now what we do seems completely like, if anything, like, too traditional and too, we're, you know, we're too unconservative, too conservative in our approaches compared to what other people want to do.
So now you've got Avi who's trying to do Project Galileo, right, to actually look for UFOs in the atmosphere and stuff.
And I think it's a valid point.
Like, if we're, you can't say that looking for aliens on an exoplanet is good science, but looking for aliens in the atmosphere is not science.
Like, that it's still, scientific.
There's no magical reason why once it enters the atmosphere, it suddenly doesn't become science.
So I think that's a good argument why we should do it.
joe rogan
What is your take on all these UAP whistleblowers who talk about crash retrieval programs and all these dark funded top secret beyond anyone's ability to go look into them?
david kipping
I don't know what to make of it.
It's fascinating.
It's because I can't believe maybe some of them are pulling our leg and bullshitting it for the fame or whatever, but there's so many credible people that have come forward.
It's hard.
It's difficult to pass what's going on.
But I do believe everyone's fallible, right?
So it is possible, you know, like, you know, there's, as I said, there's so many millions of hours in the air with these pilots and things.
There's so many people, so many cell phones, so much out there that it's not surprising that one in a million times a mistake or something could happen.
And it's all about knowing that spurious rate.
Like how often do you just randomly generate bullshit in this whole system that we've got?
And we don't know what that bullshit occurrence rate is.
So as a scientist, it's hard to pass it.
I don't think we can ingest it realistically unless, you know, every time they say they've got the disclosure thing, right?
We're going to get disclosure soon.
And every time it feels like we don't get the craft, we don't get the technology, you know, we don't get a body.
So, yeah, sure.
If you give me the technology and let me dissect in my lab, then I could be convinced.
But every time it seems like it's, we get all the way up to that point where it's like, it's going to happen, it's going to happen, it's going to happen.
joe rogan
It's intensely frustrating.
It's intensely frustrating to even be remotely interested in it.
Because every new thing, you're like, what?
Is this it?
Is this going to be a thing?
david kipping
You're like pulling on your heart strings.
It's like a girl that keeps texting you saying,ing like, we'll go on a date, it's gonna be great next time, and then she lets you down every time.
joe rogan
What is the name of that disclosure, Age of Disclosure documentary?
That's what it is, right?
There's a documentary that they premiered at Sundance or at South by Southwest rather here that was really good.
And it is essentially just all these different people that worked on these programs spilling the beans.
And they all have pretty similar stories.
And the bottleneck seems to be that all this stuff was done without congressional approval, which is highly illegal.
So all the research, all this hidden back engineering programs, all this stuff in conjunction also with military contractors.
So there's those are the ones that build the jets and the rockets and so you have to go to them to help with this stuff and to try to back engineer this stuff.
So then there's this competitive advantage that they would have over other military contractors that don't get a crashed UFO and like so then people are getting sued, people are going to jail, there's a lot of money that was allocated for these things that was done through lies and there's a lot of problems with that and with this documentary is essentially calling for mass amnesty and saying look this is a if this is real and they think it is this is a situation that is forget about whatever laws we have in terms of finance.
This is a much bigger deal.
This is there is direct evidence of an actual life form that is not Homo sapiens that can do things that we can't do that visits us.
And occasionally they lose a craft, which is also hard to believe, right?
david kipping
Yeah, they're not very good pilots, right?
joe rogan
Richard Dolman has a pretty good explanation for some of them.
And it's high altitude nuclear bombs that we detonated during the testing days.
unidentified
So during the testing days, which after the war from 45 to I think they tested them, I think, when did they stop blowing up nukes?
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Thousands.
of nuclear detonations.
And a bunch of them they did in the ocean, and a bunch of them they did in the sky.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
They did them like 150 miles up.
They detonated nuclear weapons.
I thought they only did it once with Starfish Prime, but no, they did it at different altitudes.
They did it.
They just tried things.
And the idea is that if there was something in the sky anywhere remotely near that, and had no idea that this was going to go off, and they detonated a nuclear weapon in the sky, that this thing would crash.
david kipping
Right, not that guy.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean, it's a great story.
I just need to see the evidence, right?
joe rogan
Yeah, oh, it's the best story.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
I think this is, it's just it could be, I mean, in Iceland most people believe in fairies.
And if you go back, you know, a hundred years, most people believe that most people in Iceland believe in fairies.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Wow.
What do they think they are?
david kipping
Elves, maybe elves or fairies?
I can't remember the exact word they used.
Yeah.
joe rogan
The Soviet, what does this say, Jamie?
What they did?
jamie vernon
The last high altitude test.
joe rogan
Okay, so the last So the last high altitude, look at how many they did.
They just kept doing them.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
They just kept doing them.
Look at all these fucking tests.
These are all high altitude nuclear bombs.
david kipping
A bunch failed, yeah.
joe rogan
That is insane.
Yeah, a bunch failed.
Look at all these that failed.
What happened to those?
They just fell into the ocean.
Good luck.
Find it out, fish.
david kipping
Wayo had that for lunch.
joe rogan
Yeah, figure it out.
That's where Godzilla comes from.
Literally, the movie.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean, I guess my point is that there's, whenever, you know, we have this weird stuff, Aliens is, I read about this recently.
Aliens is almost too good of an explanation.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
Because it can explain everything.
There's nothing you can't explain with Aliens, right?
Whatever it is.
And yet, so it has, I call it, unbounded explanatory capability.
You can explain absolutely fine.
It's God.
Yeah.
It's God of the gaps, quite literally.
Whenever you see something odd, you can just inject your God to explain that.
And yet, at the same time, on the other side of the coin, it also has unbounded avoidance capacity.
Because you could say to me, Look, I saw a UFO at this site on Monday, on Tuesday, and Wednesday.
So come Thursday, and we'll see it together, because it's happening every day.
And I come with you.
I don't see it.
And, okay, well, it just didn't, I guess it changed its mind.
It didn't happen today.
That doesn't disprove what you saw.
And similarly, if I go, you know, people have said, you know, we've surveyed the surface of Mars.
We don't see any life on it.
I can't disprove there's life on Mars.
There could be life underneath a rock that we just haven't turned over yet.
You can never disprove.
You can't prove a negative.
So it could always be there.
So aliens is almost unscientific as a hypothesis because it can explain everything and yet there's no experiment I can do to ever prove it's wrong.
And that puts it in a very precarious position scientifically.
joe rogan
Right.
Yeah, we're just sort of in this adolescent stage of understanding.
If they are real, we really don't know right now.
And that's the weirdest part, is that there's so many compelling stories.
And it's also the weirdness of.
it is so exciting to us.
The weirdness of an intelligent lifeform looking at us is so exciting to us that we want it to be real.
david kipping
We want it to be.
joe rogan
Oh, me more than anybody.
I'm the worst.
I'm the worst.
I go back and forth on this bullshit.
unidentified
My general belief And I think that's always existed, that's always been the case, and they probably have some incredible technology that we're not aware of.
joe rogan
That's the majority of what I think is happening.
But that doesn't make sense when you go really far back.
That doesn't make sense when you go to the Kenneth Arnold sightings.
If his estimations of the speed of those things are accurate, you're dealing with something that for sure wasn't available in 1952, at least as far as we know.
Also the idea that that was Nazi technology, this is something that Soyscape talked about, and Richard Dolan talked about in his book as well.
They were already gone.
They had lost the war.
There's no way they're launching technology that's above and beyond anything anyone is aware of while their society is in shambles, right?
There's no way.
They don't have a military anymore.
It's over.
The war's over.
So that doesn't make sense.
So if it's not them, who is it?
Is it someone that's already here?
Is it something that's been here the entire time?
And then that gets really weird.
And people go, well, where's the evidence of that?
Well, the right, there's no evidence of that.
But there's also so much room in the ocean.
The ocean is, if I was going to hide, that's where I would hide.
We literally can't go there.
There's too much of it.
You could go into the ocean and put a base underground in the middle of the ocean, and one hundred percent we're not going to find it.
david kipping
Yeah, I would just say whatever your hypothesis is, the most, the most, the most constructive thing to do is to think about how can we prove or disprove it?
joe rogan
We can.
david kipping
That's what I want.
joe rogan
Until something Yeah, but that's the most frustrating thing about this disclosure, Jazz.
Because if they really do have something, boy, you're fucking over the entire human race by not releasing this just because you're worried about Congress getting mad at you?
Like, that's a real problem.
That's a real problem.
That's what this movie tries to address, and Richard Dolan talks about that in his book as well.
And a bunch of people have brought up that point.
That there's a lot of legal issues that are going to arise, and a lot of people could be very vulnerable if this does turn out to be the case that they have had this technology since the 1940s.
david kipping
Yeah.
We can argue about history, but I think the most constructive thing is just to design an experiment.
And I think Abby's idea, Project Galileo, is a good one.
We should try to survey the sky more systematically.
And we've got now the Vera Rubin telescope, which is doing literally a movie of the entire sky every night.
So I think as we grow in our capabilities, it's going to get harder and harder for this UAP hypothesis to evade all of these facilities that we're building in a public domain.
This is public data, not military controlled facilities.
joe rogan
And less.
They're very aware of our capabilities and very aware that we can do this, so they camoufflage themselves.
david kipping
Yeah.
But then you're starting to get into this sort of, you know, exponentially contrived.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
Because then they're in our heads and they know what we're thinking.
So then it becomes unfalsifiable.
So we're sort of leaving the world of science.
But I think, you know, when we think about it as a scientist, like we're doing this experiment with JWST for exoplanets.
Like we are looking for life right now with James Webb.
There was even a claim for a planet K218b.
There was a claim a few months ago.
It's an ocean world.
It's thought to be an ocean world.
It's about two and a half times the size of the Earth.
And we detected this molecule with weak significance.
I want to emphasize that.
It was only weakly detected called dimethyl sulfide.
And that's, I think, is the same molecule which gives truffles that smell that they have.
And it's something that the bacteria and phytoplankton make on the earth.
So they detected this, the hint of this molecule.
And as far as we know, only life can make this molecule on the earth.
We don't have any other process that can make it except for living creatures.
And so it was, you know, a lot of excitement about that.
And it turned out in that case with follow-up observations, it maybe is not as secure as they thought.
It actually doesn't appear to be there anymore.
But I guess the point is that James Webb can do the experiment.
It is sensitive enough to look at a planet which is 100 light years away and detect the molecular signatures of living creatures on that planet.
So we are entering a very exciting era where we can look at their planets.
We don't have to wait for them to visit us anymore.
We can actually start surveying where they're at and see what's up.
So I think that's going to, and that's just simple life, of course.
That's not even technological life.
So I think it's going to, I think we're going to get answers.
And the only way to to do this is to keep, you know, supporting missions like NASA's mission with these future observatories that are trying to get us to that point.
We're trying to build a mission now called the Habitable Worlds Observatory, HWO.
It will probably get renamed at some point.
I think it will be like the Carlsbadger Observatory, probably.
We'll be a rebranding for it, is my hunch.
And that thing's trying to take photos, like we saw with Alpha Centauri.
It's trying to do photos, but of Earth-sized planets.
JWST can't image Earth-sized planets.
They're too small.
This thing will be able to take photos of Earths around other stars, and it will see the pale blue dot of light of that other world, and we'll get its chemical fingerprint.
We'll be able to sniff its atmosphere.
We'll pull their pants down, right?
We'll get the whole thing.
So the aliens can't hide from us forever, right?
Our technology is getting to the point where we can't.
I think we're getting to the point where we're going to find them in their own home.
joe rogan
When They came out with the James Webb telescope.
How long did the development process take and where are they at now in terms of a future better version of something like that?
david kipping
Yeah, it was a long process.
I mean, almost as soon as Hubble launched, they started planning the successor to Hubble, which was James Webb.
It was famously over budget.
I think the original budget was supposed to be 800 million dollars and it ended up costing 10 billion.
Isn't that crazy?
It just went completely overblown.
But this is always because, you know, there were some bad contractors.
Astronomers tend to underestimate their budgets a little bit when they're finding these things out.
And there's inflation.
So these things, you know, if you do a project over twenty years.
over 20 years, which is what it ended up taking, because it was 1995, I think, and then we got it, and so was it 2021, 2022 actually ended up getting in the sky.
So it took a long time, right, for that project to develop.
We are starting the HWA project now.
There's already design teams, working groups that are putting the first, you know, blueprints together of what this thing would look like.
But of course, it's in jeopardy, because the White House wanted to slash the NASA science budget by 50%.
which basically just ends that entire program.
There's about 40 missions that would end, NASA missions that would end in that White House budget.
unidentified
But fortunately, the Senate readjusted it back up.
joe rogan
Why don't you go talk to those people?
Why don't you give a speech the way you just laid it out for us and how fascinating and important this stuff is?
I don't think these assholes know.
david kipping
I've lobbied, I've been to DC, I have lobbied, but you only talk to their assistants, right?
That's all you end up talking to.
joe rogan
Yeah, you've got to get in front of Congress.
You've got to get in front of these people where the American people see it on television and get a chance to understand, like, this is it.
david kipping
I do.
Yeah.
joe rogan
This is like one of the most important things to look for that you could even imagine.
david kipping
And we can do it.
We actually, for the first time in human civilization, we have the ability to do the experiment is their life on another planet.
joe rogan
What is this Jamie?
This is some of the images from the Hubble.
jamie vernon
This is showing what the new telescope, the Roman scope telescope, would show.
david kipping
It's just a huge field of view right now.
jamie vernon
That picture is what the Hubble got and then it's zooming out to show you what.
david kipping
So Roman's happening, hopefully.
Yeah, Roman should be flying.
joe rogan
Wow.
david kipping
Roman interestingly is a it's it's military technology, it's spy technology.
So the the apparently the NSA had two Hubble class space telescopes in their basement.
They just were like said to NASA, by the way, we're not using these.
They're out of date for us.
Do you want one?
And NASA took it and turned it into Roman.
joe rogan
That's crazy.
david kipping
They just have them lying around.
joe rogan
That's what I'm talking about.
These motherfuckers have technology they're keeping from us.
What could be done better?
Like, what is, if you had an unlimited budget and an enormous supply of brilliant minds to get together to coordinate something, what would be how you would set it up to make it even more powerful?
david kipping
For what goal?
joe rogan
Seeing further, seeing clearer, being able to precisely locate planets and get a much better view of them.
david kipping
Yeah.
As I said earlier, whenever we improve our instrumentation, our precision by a factor of anywhere from three up to ten, let's say, in that ballpark, like a big improvement, you get surprises.
You find stuff you never expected in the universe, and we've seen that every time.
So every time.
Yeah, I think the, whenever you listen to the universe in a different way.
So we were, you know, for years and years, we've just been using our eyes, basically optical light to look at the universe and X rays and radio waves.
And then recently we've started doing LIGO, and LIGO is listening for gravitational waves from the universe instead.
So it's like listening to the acoustic oscillations of the universe rather than seeing it.
As soon as we started doing that, we discovered tons and tons of merging black holes, and it's just totally transformed our idea of how black holes merge and form.
So whenever we do something we've never done before, look in a different way, the universe constantly surprises us.
So it's not going to be a single mission.
It's not going to be we should all just put all our eggs in this one basket of Habitable Worlds Observatory.
We need to have this multiprong attack of let's just keep pushing everything and make sure it's a significant improvement from what came before in terms of their sensitivity and make sure the scientists actually interpret the data at the end of the day, right?
You can't do science unless the data is a public and then B people are actually there to study it.
So those are the two key ingredients.
Just have great telescopes and great people.
joe rogan
Is funding the biggest bottleneck for it right now?
Or is it a lack of interest from the right amount of people?
Like what is it?
david kipping
Yeah, certainly, I mean, HWO, we're talking about a mission that's going to cost at least 10 billion dollars, and the NASA budget is about 25, 26 billion.
So it's eating up already.
I mean, if you built it in one year, it would eat up almost, you know, half of the budget.
So it's impossible for that mission to be built in one year.
Even though probably we could if we had the money.
Maybe in a year or two, you could probably build something like that.
So that, yeah, if you doubled NASA's budget, it would come twice as high fast, for sure.
You'd have it in maybe five years, rather than waiting till 2050.
That's what we're talking about, facial beauty.
It's just kind of depressing when you think about it.
joe rogan
Well, it's kind of depressing is like, weird stuff happens.
Like when the Biden administration left, they 93 billion dollars in loans just went to, like, weird places, like, which is more than they had done in fifteen years.
Like, you guys could have done that.
david kipping
I have the money.
joe rogan
You guys had the money to make the most insane telescopes.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
We could find out more.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
I think Carl Sagan had a quote once.
He said that the, uh, the entire SETI program was equivalent to one attack helicopter.
If you did like, the entire city in its maximum form would have been the cost of one attack helicopter.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Dude, if I was president, I'd go ham.
I'd bring in all the cosmologists.
I'm like, what do we have to do?
david kipping
Let's figure it out.
joe rogan
Let's get crazy.
Let's get crazy.
You guys want to get rich?
jamie vernon
This image shows telescopes that we have used and then a few that are being made.
So down here's the size of the James Webb telescope, it's all the way down there.
david kipping
Yeah, I mean, it's limited, it's only six and a half meters, so it's limited.
They couldn't really make it any bigger because you couldn't get a rocket that could fit it.
So actually Starship could launch that thing without any folding.
It wouldn't have two hundred points of failure.
It could actually pretty much fit inside the fuselage of Starship.
And even better, it would cost less because a huge cost in these space telescopes is making them really light.
So the mirrors are like these special honeycomb structures to make them super light so they're low cost to launch.
But if you have Starship, it can launch like 100 tons, I think it is.
You could literally just take these ground based telescopes you already have and just shove them in there and, you know, obviously put some chassis on it.
But you could, it would be way, way cheaper to launch these things.
So I mean, I'm very excited about the prospect of having heavy launch capabilities that Starship gives us.
That plus investment in something like these kind of giant telescope designs, we could launch some truly gigantuan things into space and probe those things.
those atmospheres and see those aliens and what they're up to.
So I would say the future can be bright because we have the means to do it if we have the will to do it.
joe rogan
It just seems to be a puzzle that most human beings on Earth are fascinated with.
The fact that that is inadequately funded is enraging.
It's enraging.
It just makes you crazy.
Like, of all the things that we should be interested in, that seems to be the big one.
And it was until we were all fucked up by light pollution.
I think if we didn't have.
light pollution, I think people would have a much greater sense of the majesty of our existence in the cosmos.
It's such a bummer.
It really is.
david kipping
Have you been to a dark skies area?
joe rogan
Yes.
I've talked about it too many times in the podcast to repeat it, but there was a time when I went to the array in the Big Island.
Oh, Monaco.
Monaco.
And I went up there on the perfect night.
There was no moon, and it was like being in the hub of the universe.
It was like being in a spaceship, a convertible spaceseship, that's what it felt like.
It was so incredible.
The whole sky was filled with stars.
The Milky Way was beautifully clear.
And it was like life changing.
It was a life changing.
I've gone up there three times since, never caught it that way again.
david kipping
You get kind of like the overview effect.
You heard that with astronauts when they go up to space and they see the Earth.
And I think we should launch all our presidents into space.
joe rogan
Oh, that's great.
david kipping
Bring them back, but let them have that overview.
Because I think that is.
joe rogan
Launch it with Katy Perry.
unidentified
She's the guide.
joe rogan
Yeah, I mean, I think that would be great for you.
I also think they should have a mushroom experience.
But that's just me.
But going into space, just, I mean, just being able to see it used to be the norm for human beings.
There was no light pollution.
You could get away from the campfire, you could lie on your back and you could see everything.
And I think that gave us a better understanding.
First of all, it made us more humble, for sure.
You're confronted with this impossible image in front of you.
And now that we know what that is, so ancient man is looking at it as just incredible, beautiful lights, and they're tracking the constellations and marking them down, and this is what this is.
Let's call this one Leo.
But when you get to what we know now, and what we know, those are all fireballs in the sky that are bigger than our sun and they're millions of miles away and that you're seeing just a tiny fraction of what the actual universe is, which is really nuts.
When you see, like I'm sure you've seen this, but maybe people haven't, when there's an image of what you see in the night sky, when you have a full clear view of the cosmos, and it's this tiny, tiny, tiny, tiny, tiny, tiny little thing.
And yet it's still insane and majestic.
And I think that we've gotten so arrogant because of cities, because everybody just sees this black cloud over us., this curtain over the sky, and maybe you see the moon, but that's it.
You see a dot here or a dot there.
That's the only stars you see, or the most bright ones are Venus.
And then you don't get a sense of what we're really doing.
Yeah, it makes me sad when So here's the inner city sky, suburban, urban, surface, rural, excellent, dark sky.
But then what the thing about the observatory is that it's above the clouds.
We drove through the clouds.
david kipping
Yeah, that doesn't even do it justice.
joe rogan
No, not even close.
But there's pictures of it.
See if you can, the Mauna Loa Observatory.
david kipping
Yeah, I think what makes me sometimes sad is as an astronomer, sometimes people say, you know, what's the point of looking for life out there?
Like, I care about the bread on the table, economy and jobs and factories and stuff like that.
I care about the things that really directly affect my life.
But I think there has to be things that we do as humans, existential things, like, are we alone in the universe?
How can it be a bigger question than that?
joe rogan
That's what I saw.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
Maybe even better than that.
david kipping
And when you see something like that, you realize that there's more to this life than just subsistence, of just staying alive for the sake of staying alive.
There are grander things than what we have on this planet.
joe rogan
Also, it's so frustratinging that we're very capable of curing all those problems for the vast majority of people on this planet if we weren't so fucking greedy.
If we really treated humanity like a community, we could completely eliminate starvation and poverty the way it exists today.
We can completely, it's just no one has even tried.
david kipping
Yeah, the inequality right now is so out of control in this country and the world.
joe rogan
Well, in the country, but in the world, the craziest thing that I've ever heard is that 34,000 dollars is one percent of the world.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
The one percenters, the people that are running the world that everybody likes to think they're the people that pull the strings.
No, that's you, bitch.
You're a fucking you work at Starbucks, you're a one percenter.
If you work full time at Starbucks, you're the one percent of the world.
You're the string puller, but you're not, right?
No, no, the world's really kind of crazy.
david kipping
It's the point zero zero one or whatever it is.
Yeah, that's the problem.
joe rogan
Both things can be accomplished.
If we really directed our resources in a kind, moral and ethical way, we would solve that first and then get everyone excited about solving the cosmos.
david kipping
Yeah.
It is kind of ridiculous that in astronomy, you know, we used to always be completely federally supported.
There was some private funding, but by and large, it was pushed and pulled by federal grants and federal money.
And I think that's generally healthy, right?
Because then it's it's everyone can apply for it.
It's not about being mates with Jeff Bezos or being friends with, you know, certain highly influenced people.
But we're getting into this stage increasingly where, you know, private money is having a big influence even in astronomy and other fundamental sciences as well.
And then, you know, the people that succeed end up being not necessarily the Einsteins, the most brilliant people.
They're just the people that have the right connections and can pull the strings and we're on the island at the right time with X, you know, that kind of stuff.
And that's just kind of gross.
joe rogan
It's gross.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
It shouldn't be that way.
joe rogan
It's also gross that humans can control resources.
I mean, think about all the problemss that they have on Earth that are directly a result of someone wanting to control natural resources, that really should be everybody's.
If we're really smart about it, we look at the oil is clearly everybody's, the water is clearly everybody's.
We should all agree that all the stuff that we need should be everybody's.
david kipping
Yeah, Yeah.
Yeah.
joe rogan
It's like charge you for air would be wild, right?
They could charge you for water or they could charge you for oil.
It's kind of crazy.
It's kind of crazy that we have allowed that system to be in place where an individual can literally be in control of the blood of the earth that we use to make plastic and electronics.
And that's where we're at.
david kipping
Right.
So when you get that, you know, if you do go to, I've never been to space, I've never had that, certainly seen clear night skies, but I think when you look out, you see not countries and boundaries, you just see this, we're all in this together.
So everybody's like a tiny little fragile thing.
This is it.
Like we could fuck this up so easily, but we could also make it so glorious if we were together.
joe rogan
That also gives me a pause about this whole idea that the aliens are like space daddies, come to keep us from blowing ourselves up.
Like that might be like very idealistic thinking.
If they don't exist, we're on our own.
david kipping
That's a kind of illusion, right?
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
It's like, it's wishing for that fatherly figure to come down and teach me the error of my ways and look after us.
And that's just, look, the cavalry ain't coming, Joe.
This is it.
It's all, it's on us.
It's on our skin to solve this freaking problem.
joe rogan
Well, I was like when the United States was about to bomb Iran, I was like, okay, well, now we're going to find out.
Let's see if the aliens step in.
unidentified
You go, hey, hey, hey, cut this shit.
david kipping
They didn't.
joe rogan
Maybe they only step in when you use nukes.
Maybe they have like a threshold of acceptable aggression that they allow.
david kipping
Yeah, I don't think there's any backstop.
There's no backstop.
It's just.
joe rogan
I think it's up to us.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
I think we have to figure it out.
But I think we're all aware of that.
And that's kind of the cool part of this whole, the weirdness of this experience that we're going through is that it's not guaranteed and that there's a bunch of struggle that really has to take place.
There's a lot of thinking that has to take place, a lot of talking and understanding and a recognition that some of our behavior is totally illogical.
And totally, a lot of it.
Totally counterproductive, but like why?
Like, why are we still behaving like territorial apes?
unidentified
Like, what is it?
Even though you're not, and I'm not, Jamie's not, like a lot of people aren't, you know, It's not every interaction that humans have.
david kipping
But it's enough that it's still pushing the worst aspects of our life, which is war and poverty and crime and violence it's still pushing all those things yeah but i mean that it's hard because you became like the top podcast and because there's competition and that competition probably drove you to make the podcast better and better and better and similarly as a scientist we're in competition with each other so there's almost a catalyst system embedded into science that i want to uh not like crush my enemy or something i'm not trying to crush the other scientists but
i certainly have i know what the level field is and if you want to stand out you have to you know bat above that level and so that drives me to become i'm definitely influenced by competition i feed off it yeah and and and it makes me a better scientist when I know someone's dying my data.
I'm like, let's just crank out the hours.
We're going to do the best we can.
But if I know no one's looking at my data set and I have three years for myself, I'm just going to chill.
I'm just going to be like, there's no urgency here.
Let's think about other things.
Let's do other stuff.
So that competition, like you said, is really double edged.
And I don't know, we need to figure out a way to channel it because, you know, I did martial arts as a kid a lot.
And one of the things I really like.
I did Taekwondo.
I did a bit of Muay Thai.
And I did some Shotokan karate.
But mostly Taekwondo..
And I learned a lot from that, just mentally about myself.
I really want my kids to do martial arts because I feel like it's just a transformative experience for learning how to master yourself.
And one of the things I really learned was how to channel negative feelings into something productive.
So I was feeling really cut up about a breakup with a girlfriend at the time and I was just beating the crap out of these punch bags and I was going training every night, every session I could get my hands on.
And then it ended up turning me into this beast.
I was like ripped.
I got a six pack and I was training with the national squad and I was, you know, I got pretty decent.
And it was it wasn't like I was aiming to do that.
It was just a outlet for this anger.
And then I looked back at it and realized, hey, I've managed to turn this negative thing into something really productive.
And I've tried whenever I have those kinds of feelings I always try to twist them in the same way I remember when I first arrived at Harvard I had the same thing I arrived at Harvard and all the names in the corridors were famous professors and I was just freaking out I was like I've got to have coffee with this guy these legends like how am I going to handle a conversation with these dudes and I remember I was kind of like a bit of an outcast because I wasn't in anyone's group at the time and I remember walking down the corridor and hearing them laugh at me saying oh here comes the movie moon.
I heard there's a moon guy in the group or something.
They thought the idea of looking for moons was crazy.
So they're all kind of laughing.
I came around the corridor and, you know, kind of like, yeah, you know, it was kind of awkward.
And I felt like they all looked down at me and they probably did back then.
And after a few years, I really I know I earned that respect because I was out publishing them and I was driven by that competition.
I was like, I'm going to show you.
I'm going to prove to you how good I am by publishing twice what you publish.
I'm going to do better science.
I'm going to do more of it.
I'm going to make myself so good.
You can't ignore me.
It would be ridiculous to ignore what I'm doing because I'm so far ahead of you.
That's what I wanted to do.
And I got to a point where I knew they wanted me in their group.
Now they were like, Oh, come join our group.
And I didn't let them get close because I knew I performed better when I played that game in my head that everyone's against me.
It was just sort of a mindfuckery.
And it's the same, I get it.
Yeah, the same thing as martial arts.
It's like learning what are the tricks, the hacks that make you operate well, but being conscious of it.
And I think as a society, if we can do that, there's a hack.
Competition is a hack that makes us super productive, but it's just a way, can we hack it and channel it in a conscious way towards a productive outcome?
joe rogan
Yeah, turn it into enthusiasm and turn it into inspiration instead of just being overcome with jealousy and rage, which is what happens to the weaker of minds.
Yeah.
Interesting enough with this podcast, I don't think of it in a competitive way at all, and I never have.
And I think that's one of the reasons why it's successful.
It's because this podcast, even though it might be the number one podcast, it's cooperative with I don't know how many podcasts.
A giant number of my friends do podcasts.
I promote their podcasts.
I have them on.
I'll do their podcasts sometimes.
We all promote each other.
So it's a community.
Yeah.
I mean, I don't know how other people do it, but I don't.
do it that way.
I think only about what I want to do.
And I think the only way to have all of your resources, all of your concentration and all of your efforts put entirely into the subject matter and what the conversation is going to be like, you shouldn't be thinking about anything else.
You shouldn't be thinking about results.
I just think about process.
That's all I think about.
All I think about is like, okay, he's going to come in.
What are my questions?
What are we going to talk about?
And I'm excited about this.
I'll listen.
I'll drive my car.
I'll listen to the sauna of things.
And I just really get worked up about it.
But I don't do it for competition.
I do it because I think I'm super lucky to be able to do it and I think it would be a horrible misuse of that fortune if I didn't treat it with respect if I didn't do my best every time I do it so I just do that and that's it yeah but from the martial arts that you must have a competitive drive there right yeah but it's not in podcasting yeah it seems like it would be because that's the thing I'm the most successful in which is kind of weird it's uh Yeah,
I'm competitive in everything, but I'm very competitive with myself.
I'm very self-critical, which is one of the things that I learned from martial arts is if you don't have an accurate assessment of your abilities and you think you're better than you really are.
If you can't see someone do something, oh, that guy's better than me, then you're missing out because you're also missing out on the opportunity for you personally to get better.
If you're delusional and you think you're better than you are, maybe you won't work as hard or maybe you won't correct some of the errors in your technique and maybe your approach and your tactics.
You have to constantly be improving this thing and you have to have people that are better than you that you train with all the time.
So that sort of cooperative thing that came out of martial arts, where you need killers to become a killer, that helped me so much in comedy because my approach to comedy was different than most of the other comedians.
that had television deals and movie deals, they all wanted to be the man and they wanted to be at the top and kind of keep everyone else down.
There was a lot of that going on.
There were a few people that were cooperative, but I was ultra cooperative.
Like I would prop people up.
I wanted them to get better.
I'll tell them how to get better.
I'd help them.
I'd help young guys.
I'd go on the road with people funnier than me.
Like I wanted it because I know from martial arts, this is the only way.
You don't get comfortable and get better.
You got to be really uncomfortable a lot of the time to get better.
But that getting better is the ultimate.
That's what the goal is for everyone.
And it can't just be for you.
This short sighted idea, like, I have to be the king.
Like, no, you're missing on the whole thing.
The whole thing is you need a bunch of kings.
You need everyone to be awesome.
And then we all rise together.
david kipping
That's how it has to be.
In science, it so often goes both ways though.
It's the same in comedy and science.
I mean, you think about Isaac Newton, who's famously such a hole.
That guy, right?
unidentified
He.
joe rogan
A lot of comics like that too.
Big name guys.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
He's a famous guy.
david kipping
He gets to the top and then spends most of his subsequent career just crushing other people down.
Right?
And there's that need to be singularly recognized as I want everyone to see that it's just me and it's only me.
But there's scientists, I think, we all admire and get on with the best, actually the ones who are collaborative, who like comedy, like share, and want to do it together.
So I think there's a lot to sometimes comedians and scientists should interact more, I think.
When I was a student, there used to be this thing called Fame Lab, and they used to get stand-up comedians to come in and teach scientists how to talk to the public, how to do scientific communication.
And they said it's the same, I don't know, maybe you disagree, it's the same kind of thing.
You have to have the kind of the boss to stand up there and just put yourself in that situation.
joe rogan
It helps if you have an English accent.
david kipping
In comedy?
joe rogan
No.
Talking about the Cosmos.
david kipping
That probably helps.
joe rogan
It does.
david kipping
The comedy doesn't help.
joe rogan
I could help.
It works with Jimmy Carr, it works with Ricky Gervais.
unidentified
Yeah, that's true.
david kipping
Yeah, they've got it.
joe rogan
There's a certain air of respectability that comes with an English accent that doesn't come with an American accent.
david kipping
Yeah, so I think there's a lot, yeah, public speaking is something a lot of scientists.
It's insane because there's so many brilliant scientists and they just can't, they can't.
joe rogan
Yeah, that's a unfortunate situation.
And then there's so many people that call themselves science educators who don't really know what they're talking about and they're talking about science and these are the people that are like the figureheads.
david kipping
Right.
joe rogan
Unfortunately, instead of the actual people that are doing the science.
Yeah, it's a skill.
I mean, it's a skill that anyone can learn.
If you can talk to a friend, you can talk to the public.
You just have to learn how to do it and you have to get better at it.
It's not impossible.
And yeah, you're going to have anxiety, but that's a challenge that you should just embrace that challenge and get over it and just have notes and be prepared and practice.
Just like everything else.
Like, if you're intelligent enough to be a cosmologist, you're intelligent enough to talk publicly in front of a bunch of people about cosmology.
unidentified
And you also...
joe rogan
And that's where it gets complicated.
Because some people are brilliant, but they're bland.
and flat.
And I'm sure you've had professors like that, right?
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
And they're brilliant, but they're just like, oh my God, I'm droning out with this motherfucker.
david kipping
I've slept through a few lectures in my time.
Yeah.
joe rogan
And then there's people like Carl Sagan, who are just fascinating to listen to the way he talks.
Yeah.
Magnetic, the charisma.
It's a thing, it's a factor, you know?
It's not the only one, but it's a thing.
It's a part of it.
david kipping
And then you think you can teach someone to be Sagan's-esque?
joe rogan
No.
No, I think there's, you know, you can't teach someone to be Dave Chappelle, but you can teach them to be a better version of who they are, for sure.
You know?
And then extroverts are extroverts and introverts are introverts., and it's just like you're just, you know, you're not going to be the same person as Jim Carrey, you know, like you have to be that guy to be that guy.
But you can learn how to better express yourself, and you can learn there's techniques.
There's an understanding of how the human mind that's interpreting that's interpreting what you're saying, how are they perceiving this?
Are they perceiving your emotions?
Are they feeling maybe there's an anecdotal story that you can bring out with passion that connects these people to you so they can understand what made you so locked into this idea.
And then they'll go, oh.
And then they feel it.
Instead of just blandly reciting facts and just doing it because it's the way you do it with your coworkers and your peers.
unidentified
Yeah, I learned that through YouTube.
You know, I do a lot of YouTube communication.
And when I first started the channel, I remember I was copying.
I was looking at other stuff that I see was doing well.
And I was trying to, like, transplant that style of video onto my own.
And it wasn't me.
It was kind of, like, too animated, too, you know, I'm more of a chill person.
And this was like, hey, let's talk about space.
That's just, like, not – it doesn't jive with me that much.
But I put it on.
And then I was doing this for a while.
And we just kind of flatlined in subscribers after a while.
And I was like, I think I'm going to pat this in.
But before I do, I'll just make – One or two videos the way I really want to do it and then I'll stop.
david kipping
And so I made these like super deep dive and I kind of opened up a little bit personally and you have to be a little bit vulnerable to let your I'm a romantic, so I wanted that romantic element of astronomy to come out.
Why am I so passionate about the stars?
What are the deep questions that move me since I was a kid?
You have to let that personality come out and once that, once people realize why you personally are so fascinated by this, it becomes infectious.
And then they start to get the same bug.
So yeah, I learned as a communicator., but certainly being willing to be vulnerable.
It feels very strange as a scientist to talk about vulnerability and emotional connection, but unless you let that in, it becomes it becomes dry, it becomes inaccessible.
joe rogan
Yeah, I think there's a lot of truth in that.
And I think that applies to almost any kind of public speaking, whether it's stand-up comedy.
I think it even applies to music.
You know, when someone is singing the blues and you just you know that they've had some heartache.
Like I always said that that's one of the reasons why Janice Joplin was so good.
When she would sing Take a Little Piece of My Heart, you believe that.
david kipping
Yeah.
joe rogan
You believed it.
Like it was coming out like that, that's a lady that's experienced some pain.
david kipping
I was thinking that with Alanis Maroussette.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
That Jack Little Pel.
joe rogan
Oh yeah.
david kipping
Me and my dad talk about that all the time.
Oh, so much rawness.
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah.
david kipping
You can't imitate that.
joe rogan
Yeah, you can't imitate that.
And you can't imitate that with comedy.
You can't imitate that with anything.
But I think you could teach people how to do that when they talk about science.
It could be taught.
david kipping
Yeah.
Find their own authentic voice and use that.
Because no one wants to see a copy.
joe rogan
Right.
david kipping
You want to see something fresh.
That's what makes it so exciting.
joe rogan
Well, and then the beautiful thing about YouTube and putting out your own content is you can figure that out on your own.
You don't have to get molded by executives and some, you know, show business type people that are going to turn you into a version they think is going to be most marketable.
You can figure.
And people would probably tell you to do it differently.
They'd probably tell you to, you have to have more energy, David.
You have to like wave your hands around a lot.
david kipping
That's why I don't do those shows.
joe rogan
I don't wear a bow tie.
david kipping
I used to do a few of those and I got sick of it.
I remember I was talking about a supernova once on camera.
It said they're showing the director was behind the camera.
I was like, can we just try it bigger, too big.
And I was like, that's just not that's not what I'm about.
Can we just bring it down?
And yeah, I think being on YouTube is great because you get to just.
authentically talk the way you want to talk.
joe rogan
You'll find an audience, you know?
I mean, the people when I first started doing this podcast, everybody was telling me, you can't do three hours.
It's too long.
I'm like, why not?
Just don't listen to the whole three.
I don't give a fuck.
I'm just going to do what I want to do.
This is what I'm talking to Graham Hancock about ancient civilizations, we're not going to talk for twenty minutes, man.
We're going to talk for hours and hours and hours.
I'm like, what else?
What else do you know?
I'm interested, as long as I'm curious.
david kipping
Yeah, that's what makes it good.
Because you're engaged with the topic.
joe rogan
Yeah, and this is the beautiful thing about this time that we live in, that people can just start a YouTube channel and just talk about things that you're fascinated by and things that you're.
knowledgeable about.
And then people track to it.
david kipping
It's kind of sad that kids label YouTuber as their number one job.
joe rogan
Well, they're influencer, I think, because they're influencer.
It's an influencer job.
unidentified
Yeah.
david kipping
Because it used to be astronaut, right?
unidentified
For you.
Astronaut.
Yeah.
david kipping
First of all, astronaut.
And now YouTuber, a social media star, is like, Yeah, my kids both have YouTube channels.
They're obsessed with it.
Every day we do a premiere of one of their videos they've made around the house.
And it's definitely influenced kids now.
That's they aspire to that.
But it has some great elements.
It's creative.
It's an outlet.
joe rogan
As long as you can keep your shit together.
get together because the interaction with that amount of human beings is also very problematic for young people.
Because just social media, you know, we talked about this the other day, the Jonathan Hates book, The Coddling of the American Mind, that shows self harm, particularly among girls, suicidal ideation, all the different things that happen to them, anxiety and depression, all rises with the invention of social media.
That's times a hundred when you're putting out content.
And then especially if you're reading that, the comment section and reading Reddit threads and reading your emails that you're going to deal with so much hate and so much anger and so much anger and so many frustrated sick mentally ill people that are reaching out trying to destroy your life for no fucking reason whatsoever.
And if you, you know, you're a young person and you don't know how to put this into a rational case.
Yeah, you're not equipped for it.
Nobody is equipped for it.
It's not normal.
It's not a normal type of interaction to have that many people commenting on you and your life.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
And so that can fuck kids up.
Especially if they're like really young and they get into that and that's like how they develop as an adult with that kind of attention.
david kipping
I just think My kids' channel is it's only me I think that watches these things.
I'm watching.
I think, yeah, but you're totally right.
I mean, the feedback loop is potentially really damaging.
And I'm so glad that I grew up in an era without cell phones.
joe rogan
Yeah, me too.
david kipping
I can't imagine how I would have got through life if I had Twitter at my fingertips or Facebook, whatever it was growing up, because that just adds a whole new stress.
And there's, you know, you hear these stories of kids at school where, you know, the boys like saying to their girlfriends, like, Well, you need to send me photos of you.
And then they get these photos and they send it around the school as a joke.
And there's all this kind of weird.ird, fucked up bullying going on.
And we didn't have to deal with any of that shit growing up.
Like, it's so much simpler.
I mean, my son was saying to me, Oh, I'm friends with this other kid at camp because he's got a hundred subscribers.
And that's become a thing, right?
Like, how many subscribers or followers you have, sort of forms a popularity rank even in real world settings.
And it's messed up.
There's so much pressure on the kids in a way we never experienced.
And, you know, the more cognitive burden you have like that, the less you can focus on the things you're really passionate about and just finding out what you want to do in your life.
joe rogan
Yeah, it's going to be very challenging for these kids.
It's going to be very weird.
david kipping
They're probably adding extra virtual girlfriends or whatever they'll probably have on there.
unidentified
Yeah, it gets weird.
joe rogan
Listen, man, thank you very much for being here.
I really enjoyed it.
It was really fun.
Tell everybody your channel, how they can watch your content.
david kipping
Yeah, sure.
My channel's called Cool Worlds.
They're a math full of cool worlds.
So you can head to youtube dot com slash at cool worlds.
We also have a podcast, the Cool Worlds Lab podcast.
And if you want to support a real research program, that's my team, the Cool Worlds Lab at Columbiaumbia University.
You can just go to coolwarslab dot com slash support.
joe rogan
There it is.
david kipping
Yeah.
Head over there and for the price of a coffee per month, you can actually support real astronomy research.
joe rogan
Beautiful.
Thank you very much.
Let's do this again sometime.
Yeah, that's great.
Thank you.
All right.
unidentified
Bye, everybody.
Bye.
Thank you.
Thank you.
joe rogan
This episode is brought to you by SimplySafe.
We go to doctors and dentists for checkups for a reason.
To make sure that everything's fine and to tackle anything before it turns into something bigger.
If you care about your health, it's a good idea to seek out preventative care.
But did you know that you can also be just as proactive when it comes to your safety?
With a simply safe home security system, you can get peace of mind and take action before something happens.
It's not just an alarm that goes off when an intruder breaks in.
AI powered cameras and live monitoring agents can detect and deter suspicious activity.
They can speak to people in real time, turn on spotlights, and even call the police.
You can get a lot of use out of their systems.
There's a reason SimpliSafe has been named Best Home Security System of 2025 by CNET.
Try it out.
They have monitoring plans that start at around one dollar a day.
Plus, get 50% off your new SimpliSafe system with professional monitoring and your first month free at simpliSafe.com/rogan.
That's 50% off with your first month free at simpliSafe.com/rogan.
Export Selection