| Time | Text |
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Election Day Paper Shortage
00:01:50
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| Hey everybody, today on the Charlie Kirk show, two concerns are popping up. | |
| Are we going to have enough paper for Election Day? | |
| That's right. | |
| They're already starting to warn that there might be a paper shortage at your local precinct. | |
| Secondly, are the polls too inflated? | |
| Are they using suppression tactics to make us seem like we're too far ahead? | |
| Andy Biggs joins us as well to talk about what's happening in the LDS community in Arizona. | |
| Email me your thoughts as always, freedom at charliekirk.com and subscribe to our podcast and make sure you have that subscribe button selected and checked. | |
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| Text these episodes to your friends. | |
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| That is A-M-F-E-S-T.com. | |
| As always, you can email me your thoughts, freedom at charliekirk.com, and subscribe to the Charlie Kirk Show podcast. | |
| Open up your podcast app and make sure you are subscribed. | |
| Buckle up, everybody, here. | |
| We go. | |
| Charlie, what you've done is incredible here. | |
| Maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus. | |
| I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk. | |
| Charlie Kirk's running the White House, folks. | |
| I want to thank Charlie. | |
| He's an incredible guy. | |
| His spirit, his love of this country. | |
| He's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created. | |
| Turning point USA. | |
| We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country. | |
| That's why we are here. | |
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|
Manufacturing Traffic Jams
00:03:43
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|
| I have now identified two threats to the looming red wave coming up on Election Day. | |
| We got a really nice email from one of our listeners where they said, Charlie, stop saying red wave because it's going to prevent people from showing up to vote. | |
| I actually think that's a very fair point. | |
| I'm trying to get people excited, but I don't want you to get confident or cocky or not want to get into the streets. | |
| We need to ignore a lot of these polls. | |
| And I am the worst culprit of focusing on poll after poll because there's only so much information and data out there that anything that shows a sign of movement or traction, you want to zero in on. | |
| And trends can be helpful, but individual polls can be very misleading. | |
| But there are two things that we want to talk about today that are very important. | |
| One, to do with the actual process of the election, as we predicted, election day plumbing, if you will. | |
| The infrastructure of the election, the process of the election, the administration of the election. | |
| And the media is now telling us that there might be some very big problems on election day. | |
| Oh, really? | |
| This is one of the reasons why I said that voting early in person might be the best decision for a lot of you. | |
| I received some hate mail for that. | |
| Charlie, no one should ever vote early. | |
| That is a silly thing to say. | |
| You're trying to tell me a truck driver who's going to be out of state on Election Day shouldn't vote early, or someone who's disabled, someone who's going to be traveling abroad. | |
| In life, when you make those broad generalizations, you got to be very careful. | |
| Now, voting in person and early gives you more time to correct it if they don't have your name right, if you're not registered in the correct precinct or in the right county or whatever. | |
| It extends the window of time to make sure that you can vote. | |
| However, I fully admit I'm not an early voting guy. | |
| I'm showing up on Election Day and I'm going to vote on Election Day because that is the most secure way. | |
| So we did an entire show last week warning about the different ways that Democrats could clog up the Election Day plumbing. | |
| Said differently, they could manufacture a traffic jam. | |
| That the Democrats would want the Election Day to look like the 405 at 5 p.m. on a Friday. | |
| You might say, what does that mean? | |
| Anyone in southern Los Angeles, in southern California, knows exactly what I mean. | |
| It is dead still traffic, frustrating. | |
| You just throw up your arms and you say, two hours, three hours, who knows? | |
| LA traffic is really something. | |
| I've spent a lot of time in LA traffic. | |
| You could also say it's going on 90 into downtown Chicago on a Friday afternoon for all of our friends on AM 560, the answer. | |
| Or trying to get into downtown New York, going through the tunnel at 3 p.m. in an afternoon. | |
| You understand the point. | |
| The point is a traffic jam. | |
| People are deterred by traffic jams. | |
| That is a provable fact. | |
| People change their travel. | |
| They stay later at work. | |
| They monitor traffic. | |
| No one wants to get stuck in a traffic jam. | |
| And what if the masters of our elections, what if the puppeteers, what if the people that are administrating our election are designing a traffic jam? | |
| What if the last thing that they have to stop this citizen response to their tyranny, to their authoritarianism, to the open borders, to the inflation, to the crime, to the economic carnage, to China taking over America, this citizen response is, we're just going to play games with whether or not we can actually facilitate their votes. | |
| ABC News has a new article out today specifically talking about Phoenix, Arizona, as we predicted. | |
| We talked about how Arizona is the railhead. | |
| As Arizona goes, America goes. | |
| Phoenix, Arizona. | |
|
Synthetic Crisis Explained
00:11:25
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| Ballot paper shortage could cause problems on Election Day. | |
| Oh, really, Nicole Motor and Devin Dwyer and Isabel Menenez? | |
| We said this last week and we were accused on the Charlie Kirk show of being conspiracy theorists and QAnon and Charlie Kirk is spreading election misinformation. | |
| And now ABC News says, oh, by the way, you might not have paper on Election Day. | |
| I know a lot of you are saying, hey, Charlie, I'm going to show up on Election Day. | |
| What guarantee they're going to have a ballot for you? | |
| Well, now ABC News says, yeah, we might not have paper. | |
| A tight supply of paper has left little room for error. | |
| Yeah. | |
| So, but by the way, who is going to use Election Day paper more disproportionately? | |
| Trump America First Populist Nationalist voters, people like you. | |
| Grassroots conservatives are the ones that are going to be showing up on Election Day. | |
| And now ABC News says, yeah, there might not be any ballots. | |
| A paper supply crunch is testing the preparedness of U.S. election officials and exposing a key vulnerability in America's democratic process as midterm voting gets underway. | |
| The 2022 election cycle will use an estimated 30 million pounds of paper, according to industry experts. | |
| Let me pause. | |
| This has a couple kind of points here. | |
| They're also trying to establish a narrative to go to digital voting and get rid of paper ballots. | |
| Long term, they're going to use this as a precedent. | |
| They're going to use this as a created mark of chaos to go towards all machines where you just push buttons and there's no paper. | |
| This is a synthetically created crisis. | |
| Just to understand how insane this is, Americans use way more paper than people realize. | |
| For office and writing paper, each American uses around 660 pounds of paper per year. | |
| That's equal to 660,000 sheets of generic printer paper. | |
| Multiply that across the whole country. | |
| We use 221 trillion pages of paper a year. | |
| And now we're being told that we can't make a preference or make a priority, I should say, to have paper on Election Day? | |
| Oh no, but we have plenty of paper to be able to print pornography in children's textbooks in their schools, but we don't have paper so that people can vote on Election Day. | |
| No, they're just saying basically, look, it's a supply chain issue. | |
| No, it's not. | |
| Go figure it out. | |
| Go pay more for paper if you need to. | |
| Now, it's so funny. | |
| They always say the Republicans are a threat to democracy. | |
| Oh, really? | |
| Who's actually the threat to our democracy, even though we're not a democracy? | |
| Maybe the people that say you're not going to have paper on Election Day. | |
| If you're watching in this audience, this should terrify you. | |
| All across the country are Patriots in Wisconsin and in Pennsylvania and in North Carolina. | |
| What if they run out of paper? | |
| What if they run out of ink? | |
| We said this, and that crook, Stephen Richer, who is running the Maricopa County elections, has been silent. | |
| We've asked repeatedly, what assurances can you give us that you have the personnel, that you have the ink, that you have the paper to be able to facilitate a red wave on election day? | |
| And it is silence. | |
| This is what Ricky Hatch says in Utah. | |
| This is the guy who's in charge of elections. | |
| We're all just crossing our fingers and hoping that the supply chain works just fine. | |
| Crossing our fingers. | |
| But the Democrats aren't really worried about this because they would love to see Election Day shortages because that's going to hurt Republicans. | |
| They would love to see same-day ink shortages, paper shortages, pipe bursts. | |
| We're trying to tell you guys. | |
| And if you're all of a sudden going to be caught up in this disaster in this circus, maybe voting early would have been a better option for you. | |
| When you put all of your eggs in a single basket on Election Day, we are broadcasting to the enemy when we are going to vote, and therefore they're going to stack the deck to try to prevent us from being able to do it. | |
| In Phoenix, Arizona, ABC News got an inside look at one of the nation's largest ballot producers, Runbeck Election Systems, which will deliver 50 million midterm ballots across 10 states, consuming more than 5 million pounds of paper. | |
| Runbeck CEO, Jeff Ellington, said defense production authorization was granted with help of DHS cybersecurity and infrastructure security and the Commons Department, which has prioritized paper supply for this election. | |
| The article continues: If we put an order for paper and Amazon put an order for paper, we're going to take precedence. | |
| Well, I hope so. | |
| And that has helped us make sure we have what we need. | |
| Continues by saying, with early voting underway, there have been isolated reports of trouble. | |
| In Arizona last week, Katie Hobbs, again, they don't even say Katie Hobbs in here, they say the Secretary of State. | |
| ABC News is so freaking dishonest. | |
| So dishonest. | |
| Secretary of State discovered, yeah, discovered that 6,000 mail-in ballots had been sent out that were printed with major errors requiring a second print and more paper. | |
| This is a looming problem, everybody. | |
| If we're all going to vote on Election Day, we're broadcasting how we're going to take back power from them. | |
| So they're just going to say we ran out of paper, ran out of ink, we ran out of people, we ran out of places. | |
| This is a huge problem, and no one, not enough people are talking about it. | |
| Hey, everybody, Charlie Kirk here. | |
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| Look, I am a game day guy. | |
| I'm going to show up in person on Election Day. | |
| I know many of you will join me. | |
| But what I'm trying to anticipate now that we are 12 days out. | |
| Can you believe it? | |
| 12 days out for the midterms. | |
| What do these people potentially have up their sleeve? | |
| What else they have left? | |
| I mean, again, I'm going to talk about some of the polling in a second because I actually think that there is an inverse suppression poll happening. | |
| It's actually very paradoxical. | |
| We're going to talk about that in just a second because the pollsters are now trying to totally retreat and change their modeling. | |
| And I think they're actually intentionally overcompensating, almost to try to change the Vegas line, if you will. | |
| I'm going to explain that argument in just a second. | |
| However, if we do not have the basic infrastructure to facilitate presidential-style turnout in person, there's no going back once the polls close. | |
| You just can't go back and be like, oh, I'd like to file my taxes late. | |
| You know, the thing with voting, it's very different than most other things in life. | |
| People say, oh, I could just be a couple days late on my taxes or a month late. | |
| Well, that's not a good idea. | |
| Don't do that either. | |
| Or I could pay the credit card bill a little bit at a time. | |
| It is very dramatic how Election Day ends. | |
| There is no going back. | |
| There is no going to a judge being like, hey, I'd like to go back and vote. | |
| Sorry, I got busy that day. | |
| And all of you know this. | |
| I'm not saying anything that isn't self-evident and something that isn't well known. | |
| But the point is that if there are any problems on game day, then by definition, once the polls close, there is no ability to reverse that. | |
| And so we need to anticipate this and we need to keep the pressure on. | |
| So someone says here, Charlie, this is a lie about paper shortage. | |
| We have been hearing about this paper shortage problem since July 2021. | |
| There's no excuse whatsoever in all caps for any state or polling place to run out of ballots on Election Day. | |
| We are a week away from the election. | |
| They know they're in big trouble and this is their newest way to cheat. | |
| Just say there are no ballots and blame the paper shortage. | |
| You need to spread the word. | |
| This is a bold-faced lie. | |
| Well, I am spreading the word. | |
| I'm the only one that I know of that's talking about this. | |
| I mean, they ran out. | |
| Again, some people in the audience might say, oh, Charlie, you're kind of, you're on shaky ground here. | |
| This is not substantiated. | |
| What happened in the Arizona Republican primary in Pinal County, they ran out of Republican ballots. | |
| They ran out. | |
| They just said, oh, sorry, we ran out of ballots. | |
| Now, in this case, just to understand how silly and how third world Arizona elections are conducted, they have to print ballots on Election Day. | |
| And let me just be very clear. | |
| If you can't get enough paper to facilitate an election, what are you using the paper for that could potentially be more important? | |
| Publishing copies of Nicole Hanna-Jones 1619 project? | |
| We could probably put that on hold for a little bit. | |
| This is all a bunch of nonsense. | |
| This is a manufactured media narrative for two things, to potentially prevent same-day voting and the MAGA wave that is looming. | |
| And the second thing is to try to then make the argument to go to digital voting and purely machine voting, which would be a big mistake. | |
| That doesn't allow auditing, recounts, and transparency. | |
| Okay, in just a minute, we have Andy Biggs joining the program. | |
| But I do want to just make this point. | |
| I don't have enough time to really build it out. | |
| But yesterday, there was a poll that was published that showed Kerry Lake up 11 points on Katie Hobbs. | |
| 11 points. | |
| And I had the exact opposite reaction of what you might expect. | |
| You might say, well, Charlie, were you celebrating? | |
| No, I was terrified. | |
| I trust these pollsters so little. | |
| I trust the media. | |
| I don't trust them at all. | |
| And so now we are seeing, in my personal opinion, and we'll build this out throughout the hour, a flurry now of inflated polls to make Republicans look better than I think they're actually even doing. | |
| To make us overly confident, to make people not show up in big numbers. | |
| This is the last trick they have in addition to running out of paper. | |
| If you believe the media is corrupt and an instrument of the regime, then it is fair to say that the administration and publicizing of polls near an election would be used for a specific purpose, especially alarming ones where all of a sudden we are now seeing a flurry of polls that I'll be honest that are too good to be true. | |
| I think Kerry Lake is winning. | |
|
Poll Suppression Tactics
00:09:02
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|
| I do. | |
| Up 11 points. | |
| That feels like a paradoxical suppression poll. | |
| Things are so good. | |
| Why do I need to vote? | |
| Why do I need to knock on doors? | |
| Why do I need to get my friends out to vote? | |
| It's the last trick they have. | |
| And it raises the expectation. | |
| So for example, if Kerry Lake only wins by three, they'll say, well, Katie Hobbs overperformed the polls. | |
| It's the same as like, well, they lost to Alabama, but they beat the line. | |
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| It's a serious problem. | |
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| I want to clarify something before we welcome the great Andy Biggs to our program. | |
| I keep on talking about Republican ballots in Pinal County, and people are getting very confused about this. | |
| And so understandably, I didn't do a good enough job of explaining it. | |
| That was the primary. | |
| So in a primary election, which happened in early August, you can then choose if you want to vote in the Republican primary or the Democrat primary. | |
| In the general election, everybody gets the same ballot. | |
| Now, you might get a different ballot based on where you live because there's Scottsdale referendums versus Chandler referendums versus Mesa referendums, stuff like that, or city council or whatever. | |
| However, the point I'm making is the vast majority of day of election voters are Republican voters. | |
| I'm talking 60, 70, 80% of people in some precincts of the people that show up and vote on Election Day are Republicans. | |
| People that vote early tend to be a little bit more moderate, independent, maybe center right. | |
| People that vote by mail, disproportionately Democrat, unless you live in Sun City or that part of Arizona, which is a more elderly population, there's a lot of mail-in voting there. | |
| Okay, joining us now is Andy Biggs. | |
| Andy Biggs is one of the most conservative members of Congress. | |
| He represents Arizona very well, and he is in an alarmingly close race, kind of coming out of nowhere against a total fraud, someone who is very similar to Evan McMuffin McMullen running in Utah. | |
| This seems to be a new theme that they're trying out to run people. | |
| And I don't want to religilize this in any way, but it seems to be LDS on LDS and trying to persuade and convince voters. | |
| This guy's Clint Smith. | |
| He's awful, trying to run up against you, Andy Biggs. | |
| Andy, welcome to the program. | |
| Walk us through what's going on. | |
| Hey, Charlie, I was good to be with you. | |
| Yeah, I mean, this is, I know people find this hard to believe, but there was actually in Gilbert, Mesa, Arizona, a little group called the Mormons for Biden, right? | |
| I mean, last election. | |
| So that's kind of what you got going on. | |
| And this is the same group, and it's the Mitt Romney wing of LDS voters. | |
| And so Evan McMullen running against Mike Lee in Utah. | |
| That's really astonishing to me. | |
| But in my race, you've got this guy and you got the Democrats. | |
| So you've got the traditional Democrat, and then you've got this other guy, this guy who doesn't live in the district, by the way, Charlie. | |
| And he's out there pitching. | |
| And turns out that he's trying to out leftist the Democrat in this race. | |
| And what can you say? | |
| I go out there and I think we're going to win, Charlie. | |
| It's just how much are we going to win by? | |
| And, you know, I'm a big fighter, so I want to win big. | |
| And that's important. | |
| Yeah. | |
| And so this is kind of a new strategy where these kind of they position themselves as independents. | |
| And you go to his website, Clint Smith's website. | |
| It's very similar to McMuffin-McMullen, where they have all these platitudes of working together and being a fair and independent voice and almost trying to appeal to people's better angels almost, when in reality, these people would be part of the Democrat Party. | |
| Is that right? | |
| Well, yeah, but you know what's weird about it? | |
| Both McMullen and Clint here, they've basically revealed that they don't know anything how Congress works. | |
| So they say, so in one of our forums, our debate, my opponent said, hey, look, I'm not going to confer with the Republicans or the Democrats. | |
| Well, okay, you know what that means then, that you'll get no committee assignments and you're not going to be given debate time on the floor. | |
| You're going to have to go down in the middle of the night when the floor is open to anybody because neither party is going to give up a committee seat or debate time to somebody who's not part of their group who is helping them out. | |
| So he's going to be in Own Island. | |
| I mean, nothing will get done from this guy. | |
| And that's what they don't understand that. | |
| And it's astonishing, quite frankly, this notion of where they don't know anything. | |
| I mean, just they flat out don't know anything about how this works. | |
| Yeah, I, I mean, I love the LDS community and some of my closest friends are LDS and I work with the LDS closely. | |
| And I think that in the LDS world, and maybe you could help, you know, explain this for our listeners, Andy, there is this kind of demand of decency in our politics, right? | |
| And, you know, not a huge fan of Trump's tone. | |
| And I think that was a common complaint. | |
| I think that's fair to say, right? | |
| And so kind of piggybacking off of that, there seems to be a more sinister campaign, though, right? | |
| Which is now to take non-LDS values packaged in a quote-unquote nice guy, you know, independent voice, right? | |
| A vessel, if you will, where now you have a guy who's basically pro-abortion. | |
| I mean, he says on his website, the quote-unquote independent running against you, he says, I think life is sacred, but I also think privacy and freedom is sacred. | |
| I mean, is that an LDS value? | |
| No, I mean, I always thought that we were, we were, we thought life came from God. | |
| It was designed by God. | |
| We believe, you know, like everything from life to gender. | |
| We think that there's two genders, male and female, and all those things that are what people would say they're traditional values. | |
| I mean, that was what we believe. | |
| That is what I believe. | |
| And so that's why I say I think he's trying to outleft the left. | |
| And you're right. | |
| It's kind of this package of, hey, I'm a sweet guy and people shouldn't be mean to me, even though I'm going to go out and lie about Andy Biggs. | |
| Okay. | |
| That's really what's happening, Charlie. | |
| This is the old, I'm perfectly tolerant unless you disagree with me, then I'll be intolerant. | |
| And I'm like, well, what's the beef with me? | |
| I mean, my district, they agree with the policies that I advocate for in Congress. | |
| I've been consistent, open, and transparent of that. | |
| So what's the deal then? | |
| I mean, you go out and lie and say things that are just blatantly untrue. | |
| In fact, not only the untrue, if I wasn't a political candidate, they would be defamatory and actionable. | |
| So I find, well, okay, Charlie, I just keep going along and doing my deal because it is important that there be somebody who's above the fray, who's honest and consistent, says what he's going to do and does what he says he's going to do. | |
| Well, you are that person. | |
| You're full of integrity and honesty. | |
| And I don't say that about a lot of people. | |
| You do a wonderful job in D.C. | |
| And so this weirdo Clint made a video about us attacking Turning Point PAC and Turning Point Action because our team decided to throw a couple fastballs and kind of educate the population, if you will, about this guy, calling us white nationalists and white supremacists. | |
| I don't know. | |
| I'm not a candidate. | |
| So maybe I'll sue. | |
| Play cut 121. | |
|
Fear and Integrity
00:12:36
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|
| Here's the latest pathetic, desperate attack on me and my church from Turning Point PAC. | |
| These are the same white nationalists who are anti-American, who want to use intimidation tactics to try to get their way. | |
| It's the same people that are down there at the polling booths trying to intimidate voters. | |
| This needs to stop. | |
| I did not bring the church into this. | |
| These guys did. | |
| These are the same people that formed Mormons for Trump a couple of years ago. | |
| They're the ones that bring religion and I did not. | |
| And I think it's despicable. | |
| Yeah, well, that's a pretty weak-hearted attack calling me a white nationalist. | |
| He's all over the place. | |
| But it is important to re-emphasize, though, Andy, that the broader national audience knows that the LDS population, awesome people, socially conservative, pro-American, pro-freedom, pro-liberty. | |
| There is kind of this splinter campaign. | |
| And I think it's being, I don't know who's funding it, but you kind of have this divide where we have rock stars like you. | |
| We have rock stars like Mike Lee. | |
| And then we have people like Jeff Flake and people like Evan McMuffin McMullen. | |
| I think he's LDS. | |
| And then Mitt Romney. | |
| Yeah. | |
| And so you kind of have this divide. | |
| And it's very important for the future of America, for the future of our values, right? | |
| That this gets kind of a fair hearing, would you say? | |
| Yeah, I mean, the reality of what happens, Charlie, is there's a misperception, even within our church membership. | |
| I mean, we're not monolithic. | |
| Let me just say that. | |
| The LDS church has never been monolithic. | |
| There are Democrat members of the church. | |
| There are independents and libertarians, and there's conservatives and Republicans. | |
| It's not monolithic. | |
| And I think the outside world looking in and says, oh, they're all monolithic, but we're really not. | |
| And the frame that you just said kind of gets to it. | |
| I mean, you've got this, the Mitt Romney wing kind of weak. | |
| By the way, Mitt Romney is the only U.S. senator that has not come out in support of only Republican U.S. senator that has not come out in support of Mike Lee. | |
| That just tells you all you need to know, not about Mike Lee, but about Mitt Romney, because the McMullen camp says, oh, he doesn't work well with the others. | |
| Every Republican senator except for Mitt Romney supports him, which tells you that Mike's respected and he's valued for his incredible intellect, his integrity, his articulate defense of Republican conservative principles. | |
| But then you have these other groups that kind of splinter off and they go and they want to, I'm not even sure what their motivation is, actually. | |
| But Mitt Romney, I guess, was hurt because he did lobby to become Secretary of State to President Trump, but President Trump picks somebody else. | |
| And so that really must have upset him. | |
| And I think that some of this is just personal animus that some of these people have. | |
| It's the Trump derangement syndrome manifests within some members of our church, I suppose. | |
| So, Andy, shifting gears just more broadly, I'm very worried that we might run out of paper ballots on Election Day in Arizona. | |
| And we saw that in Pinal County with Republican ballots. | |
| And now ABC News reporting live from Phoenix says ballot paper shortage could cause problems on Election Day. | |
| This looks like election interference, potential suppression of our voters. | |
| One minute remaining. | |
| What are your thoughts? | |
| Yeah, it is. | |
| When you start putting out fear-mongering like that, you will actually suppress some people from even showing up. | |
| And that is the meddling that the left always accuses the right of doing, but it's always the left that's doing this. | |
| So I just tell these county recorders they really need to make sure their acts together, get all the ballots ready and go and make sure there's sufficient ballots because you're going to have a big election day turnout this time, Charlie. | |
| Normally, a lot of people will vote. | |
| 80% or more will vote in the mail. | |
| They're voting in person this time. | |
| Yeah, I don't trust Stephen Richer. | |
| I think he's a crook and he's a bad guy and he has done a lot of damage. | |
| And, you know, look, this is now ABC News saying we might not have the ink. | |
| We might not have the paper. | |
| We might not have the personnel. | |
| Andy, this is a very big concern. | |
| How could people support you, Andy, as you're in this race up against the snake? | |
| 20 seconds. | |
| BigsforCongress.com. | |
| That's where you go. | |
| We have lots of volunteers walking regularly, working at our campaign office, calling. | |
| Just if you have time, want to volunteer, that's where you go. | |
| If you have some donations you want to help, bigsforcongress.com. | |
| Very good. | |
| Andy, thank you so much. | |
| Good luck. | |
| We're behind you 100%. | |
| Thanks, Charlie. | |
| This seems to be like an intentional supply chain issue when it comes to the most critical thing to be able to cast a ballot on election day. | |
| This fear-mongering very well might impact turnout. | |
| The article continues in ABC News that the operational predictability is not very good. | |
| We have to kind of guess how many voters might vote this way and then have to place orders. | |
| It's not realistic to think that the problem is solved. | |
| It's not. | |
| The ballot printing vendors have already made it clear to us that this is going to be a persistent problem and something we need to figure out. | |
| A persistent problem. | |
| Could you imagine if an article was written saying that they might run low on ballots in black neighborhoods? | |
| Could you imagine? | |
| The people that are most likely to vote on Election Day are Republican, conservative people that don't trust mail-in voting, and they prefer not to vote in person early voting. | |
| That's the key, in-person early voting. | |
| It's a very, very big concern here. | |
| We're getting a lot of emails, freedom at charliekirk.com. | |
| To Democrats, chances are there will be a shortage of paper ballots because this election will be a landslide for the Republican Party. | |
| We suggest you stay home with your family and don't waste your time voting, right? | |
| Warning to Democrats. | |
| We're going to continue on this topic, but I want to elaborate the one where I didn't really have enough time to get into, which is the polls. | |
| And I think these two things come together, which is there are only a few tricks left. | |
| And having been doing this for almost 11 years now and studying from some of the great minds of political commentary, Rush Limbaugh and others, when it gets close to an election, Democrats get desperate. | |
| They use social media to tilt the scale. | |
| They suppress stories. | |
| They use law enforcement, all these different things. | |
| They say that they're going to run out of paper. | |
| And the one that is the most effective is polls. | |
| So I do believe that Democrats know they're going to lose. | |
| I think that is starting to set in. | |
| So if you know you are going to lose, if you know that there are headwinds that you're not going to be able to withstand, if you know that Republicans have serious momentum, wouldn't it make sense to then raise the expectation to say, well, we're to make people think that they're going to lose by 15, and then all of a sudden you actually lose by five, and it looks like you did a lot better than one would have expected. | |
| There's a hidden Dobbs vote. | |
| So what I think is happening here is a couple of things. | |
| I think these overly inflated polls that are suddenly and shockingly showing Republicans in a certain direction have, of course, some truth to them, has a grain of truth. | |
| As Politico says, pollsters fear they're blowing it again in 2022. | |
| I do believe the trend is legitimately in the Republican direction. | |
| And in some ways, I am the worst offender of what I am talking about here. | |
| Because for those of you that listen to this program, I'm always talking about poll here and poll there and poll here. | |
| I fully acknowledge that. | |
| But I am now going to kind of put some breaks on my own commentary. | |
| I'm going to put some breaks on my ownness and try to take a step back. | |
| I'm a contrarian by nature. | |
| It's kind of who I am. | |
| And the one poll in particular that just got me to stop everything I was doing and to say, okay, now we're going to have to adjust some of this is the Arizona Fox 10 Insider Advantage poll that showed Kerry Lake up 11 points. | |
| However, there was another series of polls that got me thinking. | |
| And these polls were actually commissioned by Democrat firms. | |
| That's right, Democrat firms. | |
| So there's an organization called Data for Progress. | |
| And Data for Progress is a Democrat polling firm. | |
| And their polls almost always skew Democrat. | |
| So there's two explanations to this data. | |
| Number one, the wave is so big, it's so monumental that regardless of how you screw with your polling configurations, you can't hide it. | |
| Or the Democrats are trying to show Republicans up by more than what the actual accurate data would show to suppress Republican turnout and to raise the standard. | |
| For example, if the standard is that Republicans are going to win 50 seats and Republicans win 10 seats, who wins the narrative the next day? | |
| If the narrative going into election day is, well, Republicans are expected to win three seats in the Senate and we win one, who gets to take the victory lap? | |
| Yeah, Republicans do sort of, but then Democrats can say, we did a lot better in the face of misinformation and disinformation, and it's always hard. | |
| And then they actually get to save a lot of face with their donors, their activists, and with the media. | |
| What I'm saying is an artificial setting of the standard. | |
| Said differently for all of you college football fans out there. | |
| It's like when West Tennessee Community College goes and visits Alabama for a game and the line is set at 65 points and they lose by 30 and they say, well, they beat the line by 30 points, even though they lost the game. | |
| It's still a win in the sense of, well, the betters were off. | |
| The odds makers were totally incorrect. | |
| And so these Democrat polls are showing Carrie Lake up four, Ron DeSantis up 12. | |
| Data for Progress shows Michael's up one, Sununu up 13. | |
| These are Democrat published polls. | |
| Now, there is a chance they're correct. | |
| There is a chance that, in fact, I actually think that they're very well. | |
| If the trend continues, this could manifest there. | |
| But boy, I'm trying to warn everybody in our audience. | |
| You got to get the word out that as if there's suppression polls over the summer to try to have you not donate to certain candidates. | |
| I think that there are suppression polls right now that are trying to have you think that victory is guaranteed. | |
| Not to knock on that extra door, not to get your extra friend to go vote, not to get people out to the polls. | |
| They learned this in 16. | |
| So they're trying to overcompensate where they say, what if we tell Republicans that they're actually leading by a lot? | |
| And then therefore we're not going to see that momentous red wave. | |
| Yeah, you're upset about inflation. | |
| You're upset about crime. | |
| People are going to be complacent. | |
| People are going to be busy. | |
| People just watch from afar. | |
| You got to play like you're two points behind everybody. | |
| You got to act as if we are losing. | |
| And again, it is tempting, and I am the worst offender of this to just stare at the polls, stare at the poll, stare at the poll. | |
| What's the latest poll was? | |
| Let's poll. | |
| What's the trend? | |
| What's the, I get it. | |
| For those of us that are involved in politics, you just get obsessed about it. | |
| We've got to break away from it. | |
| We've got to get back to the fundamentals. | |
| How many doors are we knocking on? | |
| What's the message? | |
| What are the crowds you're doing? | |
| Who's showing up? | |
| How are you handling the media? | |
| All these different things. | |
| Do you have them aligned correctly? | |
| The trend is our friend, but be wary, everybody, of fake, synthetic, artificial polls that are then inserted into the media narrative for a designed and specific political purpose. | |
| And at this point, I think they're trying to artificially set the standard. | |
| So when Democrats, when we do okay but not excellent, they say, well, we withstood a red wave. | |
| Look how awesome we are. | |
| Be vigilant. | |
| Thanks so much for listening, everybody. | |
| Email me your thoughts as alwaysfreedom at charliekirk.com. | |
| Thanks so much for listening. | |
| God bless. | |
| For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to CharlieKirk. com. | |