Feb. 12, 2020 - Clif High
45:33
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| And good morning. | |
| As good as it can be. | |
| So this is February 12th, 2020, another episode of my critical thinking and analysis. | |
| We're starting off today talking about COVID-19, which is the official name now for or the consensus name for the coronavirus that's circulating in China and the rest of the world. | |
| And it's uh so we'll just refer to it as COVID-19 from this point forward. | |
| We're going to discuss some of the elements about it as well as um uh future impacts and so on. | |
| So uh we're now in day 7 of this because I'm counting from December 3rd. | |
| Uh there's some suggestion in the media that the Chinese government was aware of um potential cases as early as late October. | |
| Uh, but for certain they knew in January, and the supposition is, because I can find references to it, that the earliest um uh entrance of a person with the manifesting virus uh was in the early part of December, and uh I found references that went back to December 3rd if I'm interpreting those correctly. | |
| But nonetheless, it'll be within that boundary level of the um early part of December for the onset of the virus uh being unleashed on the planet. | |
| Um we're now in day 71, okay? | |
| So we've had our first two months, 60 days, to grapple with this and make um and and have an appropriate reaction. | |
| And our appropriate reactions are less than stellar in their performance so far. | |
| So some of the things over on my side here, you'll see a list of items for supplies, um, just to start thinking about this. | |
| For for my way of thinking that we're really in a situation of where the um uh the governments of the planet probably knew early in January or were suspecting or there were people within their intelligence organizations that were suspecting that we were dealing with um unleashed bioweapon. | |
| So I think that in early part of January, certainly the Chinese government knew. | |
| Certainly by their official reactions in January as of January 15th, they were demonstrating that they were thinking of this as being atypical to any other normal pandemic, and I put normal in quotes. | |
| The um reaction from the Chinese government from the initial point onward, in my opinion, has been as though somebody suspected and told everybody else to suspect an unleashed bioweapon. | |
| Uh the flow of the virus through the population and through the social infrastructure as manifested within the social infrastructure indicates to me that it's more likely it's a bioweapon than not. | |
| Um as that is the case, we're now in a particular situation where it's uh impossible to quarantine Earth or Earth is our ultimate quarantine. | |
| And so everybody on Earth has to consider that um they will become uh exposed to and have to deal with the consequences of COVID-19 over these next three or four years. | |
| The concept of bioweapon being what we're dealing with takes a while to filter through government. | |
| And we're now in mid-February here on the 12th. | |
| And by the the old 1960s, the idea was that if a bioweapon was used as part of an attack in this this plan of mutually assured destruction, that it would take the the uh opposing government approximately 100 days to understand that they were being attacked by a bioweapon. | |
| They may suspect it earlier, but by day 100 it would be certain in the understanding in the manuals I read that the opposing government, the target uh site would know they'd been attacked by a bioweapon and would be reacting in that way by uh that it was um uh affecting them. | |
| This is assuming a sneak attack with a bioweapon, right? | |
| Like unsuspecting. | |
| And that's kind of in a way what we've got appearing in China. | |
| No one suspected China was under attack or that a bioweapon would show up. | |
| So if we count from December 3rd and we go out a hundred days, then we can assume, make some assumptions that by that day, most of the governments on the planet should be thinking of this as a bioweapon, and we should start seeing effects within or start seeing within their responses that grasp, uh, that understanding of the situation that we're involved in. | |
| In other words, they'll start reacting as though it's a bioweapon. | |
| So basically, let's panic first. | |
| Let's get the jump on the governments, let's panic first, okay? | |
| And let's treat this as though it's a bioweapon, and we need to be proactive in our thinking, not reactive, because governments are always reactive, and you see what happens in China, right? | |
| So it's already affecting travel and shipping now. | |
| There's official notices out by the uh U.S. government by way of the post office that they can't guarantee shipments to and from Asia. | |
| Well, real soon, a follow-on to that will be that anything coming from Asia might have to sit in a warehouse for who knows how long until somebody can figure out some way to pay for um the uh a way to make it safe. | |
| Okay, I'm gonna bring this up later, but uh so the um uh so we may get to the point where mail just bogs down because nobody's prepared to deal with it. | |
| The thing about the bioweapon stuff is that unlike a um a usual virus, you know, say that we had a really nasty virus that was gonna end up having potentially the same level of devastation as COVID-19, but that it was naturally arising, it might take years to hopscotch around the planet just because of where it would happen stance arise by happenstance. | |
| And so we don't have that now because we're in a populist place and we know that there's been at least five million people that have left Wuhan after um the uh Wu province was exposed. | |
| So uh so there's five million carriers out there because you can be asymptomatic and and carry the and be contagious. | |
| So anyway, so travel and shipping is already being affected. | |
| Um it's gonna get worse. | |
| And so uh it would be prudent for anybody that's anticipating any kind of travel, especially in these next uh this next period, okay, the next uh 30 plus days until the governments uh understand that it's a bioweapon, | |
| or at least keep that knowledge to themselves and act as though it's a bioweapon and start putting social controls at a serious um uh uh backed up by by law enforcement and military way. | |
| All right. | |
| So I suspect that'll be forthcoming over these next 30 days, so that by the time we get into mid-March, we should be seeing uh reactions in the in the developed world that will include uh clampdown on materials out of Africa, out of Asia, and people moving to and from those areas. | |
| I suspect there will be some kind of an accommodation to try and keep travel more or less normal. | |
| I mean, they'll still be clamping down on it, and there will be a tendency on the part of people to not want to expose themselves, but I suspect that the governments will will be a little bit hesitant in this initial period here until the end of April to totally ban travel from you know various different continents by humans. | |
| Okay, they may they may do that to shipments fairly quick. | |
| That might be reasonable to expect within this next 30 days, but within it'll take them that that long or longer to come up with a plan that um uh relates to moving of of humans across the uh the continents and so on. | |
| By the way, uh it looks like CO uh or COVID 19 will be the end of immigration. | |
| No one will ever have to worry about mass immigration again. | |
| First off, there's some going to be so many people that will die that population pressures will be reduced in these areas from which the immigration is occurring. | |
| Uh resources will then be able to be spread further around among the survivors, and uh countries simply won't allow it. | |
| You know, you cross your their border illegally, they'll shoot you on site and bury you. | |
| Maybe they'll sample your body and say you had the virus so that they can justify shooting you, but they're gonna get real paranoid. | |
| Um so that's that's where we're headed on this, because by the time we realize by the time we get into day 100 here over these next 30 days, and governments realize it's a bioweapon, at that point the world has changed. | |
| Because bioweapons don't behave in the normal course of events as do naturally occurring viruses. | |
| So a bioweapon can be expected to hang around for a number of years, uh much longer than a virus itself might expect to circulate because but we then build up all of the antibodies, and we don't have to worry about it. | |
| Bioweapons don't necessarily allow you the opportunity to build up bio um antibodies in a surviving population, except under the extremity of lots of that population dying out to the point where there's no longer a potential uh web of interconnections to allow the virus to spread. | |
| Okay, that's the goal of bioweapons to kill enough people that the few survivors are essentially isolated, so if they've got it, they can't pass it on to anybody. | |
| Uh if and you know they survive and they have the the antibodies. | |
| Um at a 15% mortality rate, which is what was originally proposed, and an 83% infection rate based on the early uh numbers out of Wuhan, we're looking at a staggeringly huge part of the population of the of the earth that's going to perish as a result of this. | |
| Um this can be ameliorated. | |
| We can do a lot to cut down that number of people that die, okay, including ourselves, by taking uh uh proactive uh prophylactic measures and now starting to treat things as though we are in a biological crises, as though we've been invaded by the andromeda strain from space trying to kill everybody, right? | |
| If you treat it that way, there's no harm in being paranoid about it. | |
| You may come across a little bit nutty to the people around you, but if you survive and they don't, who gives a damn, right? | |
| So uh at this stage, some of the things that that we know is that we're gonna have systemic shutdowns in China that will affect the rest of the planet by the end of April. | |
| So this was the period of time where in that first chart I drew in two videos back on this subject, the progression of the virus through the population over time. | |
| This is at that point in April that we're gonna have this slight little from the governments saying, okay, we've got it controlled, we're all uh able to go back to work and stuff because we've shut down certain systems, so the virus can't transmit. | |
| And so they'll let it go over April, maybe into May, and have a 60-day quarantine on some stuff. | |
| Even during that period of time, we'll still see new outbreaks, and then because of internal pressures, we're gonna get the same effect here that we'll see in China before that, and I'll get to it in a second, and things will be let loose, and then the virus is just gonna super spread, | |
| okay, because it'll be summer, there'll be a lot of interpersonal contact, and people, even though they'll be out in the sun getting more vitamin D and building up some natural resistance, uh, it's gonna be very deadly nonetheless because this is a bioweapon, and and that transmission layer, that transmission contact part of it, uh, is gonna go to bloom. | |
| Now, before this occurs here in the West, all right, so we'll we'll go into some kind of travel lockdown, okay, some minor level of travel lockdown uh over the next 90 days. | |
| And then everybody will at a government level will say, Well, we're not seeing any real new numbers popping up, so so everything's good and we'll let it go again. | |
| The reason they'll do that is the same reason that China is under pressure to do that right now. | |
| And that is that their economy is crumbling. | |
| Supply chains are crumbling, the just in time supply system is breaking down. | |
| They need to have people go back to work at a general level, just in order to get key people back to work. | |
| You know, power plants, firefighters, all of these kind of guys, right? | |
| They need the infrastructure to support them getting into work. | |
| So China's under pressure to break the quarantines as soon as it may be possible to do so. | |
| Now China has other internal political issues that will drive their government's response. | |
| And to some degree, it may be predictable by intense China watchers and people that know the individual personalities in the CCP. | |
| But I don't believe I'm not able to predict many of the things that will come out of China from this point forward, because they will be reacting to their own internal political paranoia about the CC, the Chinese Communist Party losing power over this. | |
| If anything's gonna bring down that uh structure, that power structure, it will be a pandemic that is later becomes known to be a bioweapon released by their own governmental structure, whether through accident or deliberately is immaterial. | |
| The the crowds, the people won't stand for it. | |
| Further, if it turns out that that some of the rumors, some of the conspiracy stuff is true, such as it was a combination of a Canadian biolab and a Wuhan biolab that came up with this um uh virus, and that this virus is phenotypically focused on Asian Asian skin types, you know, I don't mean skin specifically, I mean Asian phenotypes, uh within humans. | |
| If that's the case, then you can imagine that the Chinese people might be justifiably angered to the point of um uh regime change, right? | |
| And so the Communist Party is extremely uh aware of this aspect of it, much more so than any of us here in the West, and is reacting to that already and will react in ways that are not predictable by me because I don't know the personalities that are involved in the Chinese Communist Party and who has power over what. | |
| Uh, but we'll see some really strange things come out, and it won't be because of the virus necessarily, it'll be because of what they need to do to have the appropriate perception within their own populace base to not lose power. | |
| Um so the world's entered into an entirely new phase of very dangerous times in ways that will actually end up precluding war. | |
| I don't think we're gonna have to worry about a war at this stage, but there's some small uh amount here where we're getting hints that uh uh radical elements within the um uh at least the linguistics purveyors of the Chinese government are stepping over certain lines that that don't auger well, and that is they seem to be blaming the West for the for the virus. | |
| Now, that indeed might be justified if it was a Canadian biolab that came up with a key component to this, or it was engineered out of the people in uh England, the Pilbright uh Institute kind of guys, then indeed Chinese people would have every right to be pissed at us for our participation in there, | |
| but we still have to acknowledge it didn't erupt in Canada, it didn't erupt in London, it's erupted in Wuhan and at a lab that the Chinese government military runs. | |
| And so anyway, so so a couple of things. | |
| Um the COVID 19 from the reports that are out there now, uh it's gonna be extremely difficult to engineer a vaccine for. | |
| The reason this is is because the attempts so far on similar corona viruses uh have resulted in vaccines that trigger the very same condition that the COVID virus can uh triggers, which is the cytokine storm, the the basically drowning in your own immune response to everything, a mucus storm, if you will, right? | |
| Okay, so um because of that, that that in my mind makes it even more imperative because of the assuming it's a bioweapon and assuming that that these uh reports are correct about the uh uh similar coronaviruses and the problems in engineering effective vaccines there, | |
| uh that so it so from my perspective, you can't believe anything a government is gonna say in hopeful language about a vaccine. | |
| Okay, so if government is saying to you that right now, whether you're to Chinese government or American government, it doesn't make any difference. | |
| If they if they realize at this stage here, within these 100 days, and they say down in here somewhere that a vaccine, and they they will be pessimistic, and they'll be pessimistic for a good reason within their own minds, but they may come out and say five months. | |
| Because that's what they'll be told by by biolabs, okay, and big pharma. | |
| And because the big pharma could ramp up production after a five-month period of time. | |
| All right. | |
| So it's not five months to engineer the uh to come up with a solution where it leads to a uh an injection in your skin, and you get get uh supposed immunity. | |
| In this case, we don't have this that sort of um a timeline available to us, because that it'll take some period of time for big pharma to ramp up to make enough vaccine for the planet, all right? | |
| Uh years, three, five years perhaps, uh, for that kind of production to be created. | |
| On top of that, we've got a real problem with this potential for a vaccine, and that is that this vaccine testing period will have to be extensive, because so far, similar coronaviruses have failed to have an effective vaccine for even animals in many cases, | |
| uh, because the vaccines themselves must go to the same nature, and and basically what happens is in order to induce an antibody into your system, you have to have some form of that um uh uh critter in there to trigger this response to build the antibody. | |
| But in triggering this response, you go into a cytokine storm and you die. | |
| Uh because they flood your system with this, and it's something that's so unknown, your body says, I gotta get rid of this real quick, and it and it freaks out on everything. | |
| Plus the way this stuff is supposed to act, it's supposed to kill you by triggering your immune system going crazy. | |
| So it's extremely difficult to engineer uh a vaccine for this. | |
| So, in my way of thinking, I'm not uh now I wouldn't take a vaccine anyway because of the crap they put in there. | |
| So let me be clear about that. | |
| I'm paranoid, they put in shit in vaccines I don't trust, they'll never tell me what's in there, so I won't take them. | |
| Okay, I haven't taken a flu vaccine, haven't taken any vaccine since I stopped being a military brat. | |
| Okay. | |
| So the the nature of, but the nature of a vaccine in this case will be such that it will be years before they are able to say they've got something that is effective, all right? | |
| Because they're gonna get into where they may indeed come up in five months with their first candidate. | |
| And candidate number one here, uh uh might take two years to crap out. | |
| It might take them two years to figure out that they can't make a vaccine out of out of this um antibody, supposed antibody-inducing uh chunk of the virus, and they'll have to start over. | |
| Now, there'll be other labs trying other approaches and so on, but nonetheless, the nature of a bioweapon is such that it is difficult to engineer a vaccine around it. | |
| Especially, well, specifically because of the way in which these kind of uh bioweapons triggering your own immune response to kill you work. | |
| So you in my way of thinking, I'm not looking at a vaccine and a big pharma or a government solution that's going to um you know to fix this or fix me. | |
| And what I'm assuming I'm gonna have to do in order to survive is to remain uh as as antiviral as van viral proof as I possibly can with the vitamins, chug of mushrooms, and so on. | |
| So, real quick, uh, since I don't want to lose the the thought on this, I want to try and keep these things down to 30 minutes or less because it looks like we'll be doing a lot of them. | |
| Let's quickly go through supplies that you're going to need here, okay? | |
| And so, always at the very top of my list is to have enough vitamin C, enough vitamin B, and so on to get me through. | |
| I also want to point out chaga mushrooms so far seems to be the only thing that anybody has had any hope at a supplemental level of suggesting will work. | |
| Don't rely on colloidal silver. | |
| It's not going to do any good, and if you take enough of it, it'll cause you issues with liver and veins and so on. | |
| And and colloidal silver is contact. | |
| If you've got the virus circulating in your blood, you're not going to get colloidal silver in your blood, so it'll never kill the virus in your blood, so there's no point in dosing yourself with it. | |
| Now, you're going to need masks, we'll get to that in a second. | |
| Those masks should include some form of eye protection because it's become quite clear that the Chinese government believes that that's a primary source of infection. | |
| Okay, that not only breathing it, but also getting contact on uh the wet surface of the eye. | |
| And there's a lot of stuff in the Chinese literature so far about wet surfaces. | |
| So you're gonna need masks with eye protection. | |
| You're gonna need bleach at your house to bleach down surfaces. | |
| If you're gonna be doing bleach, you better have gloves because bleach will crack your skin, making it uh susceptible to uh virus entry. | |
| All right. | |
| In my way of thinking, some of these things down here make a lot of a lot of sense. | |
| Uh get duct tape for sealing up windows because wherever if you're in a city, we may have to take the same kind of um uh approach that China is, and that appears to be uh effective uh gassing with bleaching agents in a 20-foot high column. | |
| Um they're figuring uh six meters, eighteen feet, right? | |
| More or less, that's 20 feet, uh, of air. | |
| So what they're trying to do is kill all the virus in the in the lower 20 feet of the air. | |
| And so they're they've got trucks with big blowers putting out this disinfectant. | |
| We've they've got drones trying to get it from above, trying to get the surfaces on the outsides of buildings. | |
| So if that's the case and and it starts getting that way in a general sense in cities and so on, you're gonna need duct tape to seal up your windows so that you don't get the bleach intrusion, so you don't get to start breathing the chlorine dioxide, uh, because that's bad for you anyway. | |
| You're gonna need your own thermometers for monitoring your temperature, but get the kind that read without touching any surfaces. | |
| There's two reasons for this. | |
| It prevents you from having a fever and transferring it to someone else, or vice versa, right? | |
| Plus, these are the kind of machines that the military will be using because no one's gonna want to touch your ass if they see you walking out in the street and they have to decide whether to deal with you or not. | |
| So if you're if you're monitoring your own temperature with something that's far more sensitive than what they've got, you may inadvertently report your temperature to them higher than then they will find it, and so they'll think that you've got a fever, right? | |
| Or had one recently. | |
| So you need to have the same kind of gear. | |
| Now, I'm saying also get blood pressure wrist things, right? | |
| And know your blood pressure in a healthy way, because that appears to be one of the key signs for differentiating between uh uh COVID-19 and a regular flu. | |
| The regular flu, you get some level of blood pressure rising, but with um COVID-19, the reports are that you get uh blood pressure rising in a lot of people because they don't monitor their blood pressure, uh, the first signs they get of it, they get very weak in the legs and their thighs kind of give out. | |
| And that's why you see the people collapsing in the street. | |
| Um, and then they go into to the other aspects of this, which is the um uh you know, the the hyper breathing trying to get rid of the fluids, the cytokine storms, and so on. | |
| But it's not the fever per se that's causing them to collapse in the street. | |
| It is actually being reported that it is this blood pressure flush where it just starts rising and rising and Rising and uh and oddly enough, high blood pressure, you get very weak. | |
| So if you may want to use that as a as a if you knew your regular blood pressure walking around, and then you knew your blood pressure when you had the sniffles and the and that kind of thing, then you would be able to say, Oh, hey, my blood pressure is good. | |
| I just have the sniffles and stuff. | |
| I no need for me to go to a hospital and expose myself to coronavirus, right? | |
| And then you're gonna need to get batteries to operate these guys and all your other gear, so get batteries. | |
| Then I think you need to actually have uh medical tape uh for the kind that you can put on your skin and leave on there for a long time, you know. | |
| That that it's medical tape, right? | |
| And I would advise getting it an inch and a half to two inches wide. | |
| And the reason that I think that you might need this is because at some point, no matter how many masks you get, you may find in a situation where someone's over at your house or whatever, and you've got to provide them with a mask, or you need to craft something that will have to stay on the skin. | |
| And so I'm gonna bring up this idea that we used here when St. Helens blew, and that was we didn't have enough mass, uh, we needed to go through an area where there was uh potentially going to be a lot of the ash, and we didn't want to breathe it. | |
| What we did was to make these pop bottle masks to take the two-liter pop bottles and slice them off where the handle part is up there, the the where you pour it from, slice it off in an oval such that it fits around your face here, and you sort of shove your face into the into the bottle, and it and if you have tape around the edges, you can tape it to your face, you can put a little string on it and keep it on your face, and you have eye protection built in. | |
| You're looking through a distorted surface, so bear in mind, you know, it's difficult to drive, especially if there's ash in the air from like volcanoes and crap, but it was difficult to drive because the surface is distorting, but it works, and you don't get the dust in the eyes. | |
| And what you do is you cut out the bottom of the um uh the pop bottle, the two-liter pop bottle, and with a lip in it, and then you put paper in the form of we did this for for particulates, but but you put paper in the bottom uh uh like paper towels and even toilet paper, whatever that you're breathing through, and so that would work. | |
| And you could even on these kind of things, you can even spray bleach on a piece of paper, put it on the on the outside, clean it and everything so that you've got a uh sterile surface, and then put paper on the outside of it and tape it there. | |
| So you'd have two layers of barriers paper that's set down on the inside, uh taped in place, and then paper on the outside for a little sandwich. | |
| So you can make emergency kind of things. | |
| These are also would be good for dogs. | |
| We made masks for our dogs at the time, so they could go outside without breathing in the ash from St. Helens. | |
| And we did it with the big pop bottles, and it fits dog snouts real well. | |
| Kind of hard to tape it on the fur, so you have to shave some of it, but but it works. | |
| Okay, so um, then you're gonna need your regular first aid supplies because bear in mind that the further we get into this period in time here, the more you are going to want to avoid going to urgent care facilities and hospitals and doctors any possible way you can and delay it uh until you're just need just a little bit get in and get it out because of the exposure to the coronavirus. | |
| Because bear in mind that as here we are in on February 12th, but by the time we get to March 12th, we will have had a number of governments realize this is a bioweapon. | |
| They're gonna say, Holy crud, what are we gonna do? | |
| Uh and you know, like government of Mexico, government of Guatemala, uh Canada, you know, there's gonna be different reactions all over the place based on where you are. | |
| So, for instance, Canada, you have a lot of population centers that are spread out. | |
| This is not really all that good because there's not a lot of population in between. | |
| Uh so if they got really hit hard in their population centers, their culture, the Canadian social order, might really suffer a larger level of disruption than maybe Guatemala, where everybody's living more rural, right? | |
| Even though there might be the same level of exposure and damage and and uh people dying and so on in both cases, it's gonna depend on our local arrangements, how we have our social order as to how we're gonna get through all of this stuff. | |
| But I'm expecting that by the time we get into uh the end of April, we'll have systemic shutdowns. | |
| Okay, and we'll know we're gonna have systemic shutdowns, at least here in the West, at least if you watch TV and that sort of thing, because all uh you know you'll see some period in something something in here. | |
| So, say sometime in March, you'll start seeing summer spring and summer ads disappear. | |
| No travel ads. | |
| They'll start ratcheting back on that right away because they're they don't want to um ramp up demand. | |
| Uh we're already seeing things hit the travel industry. | |
| We're already hearing about the IPO for Airbnb being impacted by the coronavirus. | |
| Uh, we know that the mail systems around the planet are are already uh shutting down as a result of this. | |
| Now, this was something I was going to bring up. | |
| It dawns on me that I know how to deal with my own mail, right? | |
| If I I've got stuff coming from China, Russia, all around the planet all the time. | |
| So, what I'm gonna do is take it and with gloves, put it into a bag, and uh and uh clamp that plastic bag and induce chlorine dioxide in there and gas it. | |
| Um, and so it'll be fine. | |
| Uh, you know, I don't get live animals or anything, so nothing's gonna be damaged by this. | |
| Uh, but it occurs to me that that might be a that will become a business response to this. | |
| I'm pretty certain that maybe by the end of summer, say by June or July, we'll start hearing about contracts here in the USA being let by the USA government for fumigation of packages for customs, for the military, for post office, um, as a first line of defense. | |
| So there will be people that will form businesses, maybe they'll get shipping containers, and you'll just run everything into a shipping container, seal it up, and you got vents on the top and everything, and you just gas everything inside the shipping container uh for X number of hours with uh you know chlorine dioxide uh to kill all potential viruses and pressurize it so it gets into you know all of the stuff. | |
| Then they'd have to have another shipping container where they could allow it to air out, then another shipping container where they would allow it to air out for that second time, and then it could go on, presumably would be safe at that stage. | |
| Um we know that this is coming here in the US, some kind of response like that, because the Chinese communist party just gave themselves, and they'll be the first government to start doing these kind of things, they just gave themselves the right to seize property, | |
| private property, which was a big deal to them to let happen way the hell back when, when Mao libered uh the liberalized the whole uh social order and allowed capitalism in, which is what boosted China up out of uh you know dire poverty. | |
| Uh uh, and so what the Chinese government has done is gone against something that has been a long-standing uh point of pride with them that the Chinese government uh uh you know the communist party has never had to seize on Moss uh private property once it had been granted. | |
| Um and so uh so they were justifiably uh pleased with their situation. | |
| Well, they've just given themselves the right to go and grab property for the purpose of dealing with the infection. | |
| Okay, so that was fairly of coronavirus, and that was fairly specific. | |
| And then I noticed the first thing that that pops up in the literature is there's their um suggestions that the communist party is going to be applying that first to ports, uh because they don't want to be reinfected by stuff being sent back to them, okay, or new stuff coming into them. | |
| Uh once it's out about everywhere, they don't want to be battling uh an infection in Wuhan and then have it start coming back into them on goods that were refused and sent back to Wuhan and thus have to go through their own ports again, or people coming through, or whatever, because they now face an outside exposure risk just like every other government. | |
| So uh I think that'll come to the US. | |
| Now I think US will just approach it and do it in contracts and be somewhat open about it, you know, saying, hey, we need to deal with this, let's get practical, let's um uh set up um you know XYZ contracting arrangement to get um these things to occur, you know, the the leasing of facilities, the ability to handle chlorine dioxide, get people trained, all of this kind of thing. | |
| And so I think that'll come by about day 100, which should be about mid um uh or end between mid and end of March, right? | |
| Now we're on a different calendar here. | |
| Our government can legitimately probably claim that they didn't even know about the virus until January. | |
| So their 100-day marker may start then. | |
| But at some point it's going to dawn on all of the governments that this is or should be thought of as a bioweapon and treated accordingly. | |
| So if you're planning any kind of activities in here, bear in mind the governments may uh get to the point where as a result of getting this this realization, they may say, no more travel. | |
| Boom, bring the hammer down. | |
| Okay, that's the expectation in the um uh paradigm modeling done in the 60s by uh the writers of these books on bioweapons that I read for you know, textbooks. | |
| Um the expectation is that once the government realized that they would uh then go full complete batshit crazy on everything, because they didn't want a social liability of being seen to be lax in protecting their own citizens. | |
| And that's just the problem that China has right now. | |
| China desperately needs to shut down the whole country for maybe five months, because we don't know how long it'll take for this virus to naturally wane and die off without being refed, right? | |
| Their suggestion it's on surfaces for 28 days if the surfaces are moist enough. | |
| Um so if that's the case, then five months is not atypical, not unreasonable. | |
| But China also desperately needs to get everybody back to work today and reopen the country and say, hey, everybody can come and you know travel and and trade and all of that. | |
| And so, you know, which one of those two things are gonna go to win, I don't know. | |
| Now, at some point, if the world as a whole realizes that we're dealing with bioweapon, then if China does as I said in the original or in the the one with the graph and the projection of the bioweapon through time, if if it follows that model, | |
| it will at some point around here say they've got everything under control and they'll open it all up and they'll breathe a sigh of relief, because for them it will have been uh through from February through the end of April that it's been a serious shutdown, but really from January through the end of April that had been a generalized shutdown in specific areas. | |
| And so they'll really be feeling the pressure at the end of April. | |
| And so they'll make make nice, they'll say their numbers are going down, everything's good, and then they'll open up and let everybody do business, and then the rest of the world just really gets hit hard. | |
| Now, at that point, blame goes back, okay, because at that point the other governments would realize that China fucked up, right? | |
| Not China, but the Communist Party fucked up. | |
| Should they do that? | |
| And uh so there would be recriminations, depending on how bad it is, you know. | |
| Uh China may become so weak as a result of um social breakdown and um population death as a result of this, and may become um socially unstable because of the anger of their own people at being treated this way by their own government, | |
| being sacrificed, that the Chinese government has other worries, not only revolution from within, but they don't have enough resources or manpower or willingness on the part of that manpower to cooperate with them to defend themselves against their perceived external enemies. | |
| And so China at that point is gonna become extremely unstable. | |
| That would be somewhat predictable. | |
| We're seeing early signs of that. | |
| There are reports out of riots in in, I don't know how people that are affected with this virus could efficiently or effectively riot, but of riots, disruptions, you know, uh upheavals in barracks of military police that have been quarantined. | |
| So the military police and the and the military are are in China are seriously affected. | |
| And the horror of this is that if this part is true, if October-November part is true, and it was actually really developing and coming out then, had been released sometime then, there were all of these military conferences in Wuhan over that period of time, especially for the Chinese Navy. | |
| And now what do we hear? | |
| The Chinese Navy is shutting down submarine exercises, shutting down planned big military exercises that are somewhat imminent. | |
| So they're feeling the effects already, and they're calling back all kinds of usual patrols, let's say. | |
| The rumors are they're getting into cruise ship-like conditions with infections and the inability to manage the stuff on boats. | |
| Here's the thing about uh about ships that people don't recognize. | |
| The U.S. Navy did a study. | |
| They did a study for like it was a long one. | |
| I mean, it was like 18 years or so. | |
| And they came to the conclusion that a couple of things are absolute facts. | |
| Any activity done on the water is 35% more likely to result in an accident just because you're on a moving platform out in the water. | |
| And they determined that there's three kinds of motion on a boat. | |
| If you get two of those kinds of motion, you're gonna get 80% of your crews to suffer debilitating seasickness, and it can come on them over a course of 24 hours. | |
| And then if you get 80% of your crew on a boat to have this seasickness, you can get to the point where the boat can't function. | |
| If all your people in the engines are are not working and they can't stand up and stuff. | |
| So it becomes really key to have fit people because you're always being marginalized as an effective force while you're on the water because of all that motion, right? | |
| And so imagine having a crew filled with people sick with coronavirus. | |
| Your performance is just gonna drop right through the toilet in 24 to 48 hours, and that's just if even a marginal proportion of the crew is sick because you don't have it's not like you can carry twice as many people as you need, right? | |
| You'd have to have carry twice as many uh supplies, have twice as many toilets, etc. | |
| And we navies and stuff are just cost effective to some extent, and they don't do that. | |
| So uh the rumors are that the Chinese regular Navy as well as their submarine groups are are suffering some serious issues as a result of this. | |
| How long will that be before it affects militaries around the planet? | |
| Probably not very long at all. | |
| So I think we're actually at this at this realization criteria. | |
| I'll break this off in a minute and we'll get done. | |
| I think that over the next 30 days we're at this point, and and we will know how bad it will be by what happens from April on. | |
| Do we go into a lockdown that China uh it's declares is done at the end of April because of desperate need, or do we keep locked down as a and deal with things as a sensible uh society and start reorganizing ourselves explicitly openly, and discuss why we need to do these things as we go forward. | |
| In other words, are we gonna be adults or are they gonna uh lapse back into personas and um uh pretens? | |
| So I'm doing all of my regular stuff, vitamins, chug of mushroom, exercise, exposure to sun, all of these kind of things, trying to keep myself and everybody around me is as uh fit as I can through this, just so that we don't add to or participate in the rest of the problems, | |
| and I suspect that a lot of us are gonna get to that uh same kind of a conclusion that uh first and foremost, I have to watch out for myself, especially as a male, because it's my job to watch out for everybody else. | |
| So, uh there we go, guys. | |
| That's a list. | |
| These things will be uh they're already you can't get masts already in China, so they'll fade fairly quick once the uh supplies run out because a lot of them are made in China and we're just warehoused here, and so we might not be able to get any of this material past this date here, which is why I bring it up. | |
| Not to incite sales, not to make everybody panic and buy a bunch of shit. | |
| But in my opinion, we're dealing with a very serious situation. | |
| I think it's a bioweapon. | |
| If it is, and even a regular kind of a flu, none of this stuff here would hurt you to have. | |
| Unlike some of the other things that people are saying to do. | |
| So best to us all, guys, uh, with respect, and I'll end up doing another one of these. |
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