Oct. 22, 2024 - Bannon's War Room
48:50
Participants
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| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
| This is the primal scream of a dying regime. | ||
|
unidentified
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Pray for our enemies, because we're going medieval on these people. | |
| I got a free shot of all these networks lying about the people. | ||
|
unidentified
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The people have had a belly full of it. | |
| I know you don't like hearing that. | ||
| I know you've tried to do everything in the world to stop that, but you're not going to stop it. | ||
| It's going to happen. | ||
| And where do people like that go to share the big lie? | ||
|
unidentified
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MAGA Media. | |
| I wish in my soul, I wish that any of these people had a conscience. | ||
|
unidentified
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Ask yourself, what is my task and what is my purpose? | |
| If that answer is to save my country, this country will be saved. | ||
|
unidentified
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War Room. | |
| Here's your host, Stephen K. Banff. | ||
| The reason it's important, even to the Trump voter, voter is because he is waving a red flag in front of the country in these final 16 days saying look how crazy I can be and to Vaughn's very important very substantive reporting he can make 30 of 50 Trump voters believe he won a state he lost by 5 million votes | ||
| And so the reason this is important is if you've already voted for Trump, I think God will forgive you. | ||
| But if you haven't made that mistake yet, he's making a fool of you. | ||
|
unidentified
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I want my children to know that there is someone sitting in the Oval Office that they can look up to. | |
| Someone who can be a role model. | ||
| And I'm incredibly proud. | ||
| And I know that Vice President Harris... | ||
| I have seen a lot of Republicans go up to Liz Cheney and thank her. | ||
| And they may not be doing it publicly. | ||
| They may not be doing it publicly, because I think she has shown, to your point, extraordinary courage. | ||
|
unidentified
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I've seen Republicans come up to her, and from my vantage point, she's actually not alone. | |
| I think the danger in these threats has already taken hold. | ||
| It's not that if he gets elected, he might do it. | ||
| It's that the impact has already happened. | ||
| The quieting of critics, people looking over their shoulder, folks like the three of us and others involved in politics wondering, am I really willing to put my family through being vocal in my criticism of Donald Trump? | ||
| The threat itself has already taken hold. | ||
| The best remedy is to defeat him. | ||
| This guy has no guardrails on him, right? | ||
| There's no consultant. | ||
| There's no smart group of people around him that's like, we really think you should talk about Arnold Palmer this weekend, right? | ||
| He's not on message. | ||
| He's not controllable. | ||
| So whether he's just an out-of-control crazy person or whether he's mentally declining, think about that four years from now. | ||
| Project that out to an 82-year-old Donald Trump. | ||
| With no one around him able to control him, with the nuclear codes in the White House, surrounded by Mike Lindell and Rudy or whoever's still around then, that's a very scary prospect. | ||
| I think if you look at the man we saw this weekend, it's scary enough, but projected out four years, and I think that should be alarming to anybody who's not yet voted that's thinking about what to do. | ||
| It's real. | ||
| And I really hope that, especially as the data has shown us, white Americans talk to their family members and help them get to the polls to understand that no one will actually be out of the sights of Donald Trump. | ||
| Good morning, Posse. | ||
| This is Dave Bossie sitting in for Steve Bannon. | ||
| Who will be back very, very soon. | ||
| The left has got to be just pulling their hair out, thinking that the last throws of this campaign, the great one Steve Bannon, is going to be back and fully engaged in this election. | ||
| You just got a chance to hear some of the rants of the lunatic left from last night. | ||
| The Stooges are coming out of the woodwork. | ||
| I don't know which one of these clips that we just listened to, they're complaining about what Donald Trump and Donald Trump's White House is going to do to the left. | ||
| The people on this panel are going to be under threat. | ||
| We can't allow our children to see this. | ||
| Liz Cheney, Tim Miller, they are circus clowns. | ||
| They are noise beyond belief. | ||
| I'll just go through them one at a time. | ||
| Liz Cheney is just a disappointment beyond words. | ||
| She had an opportunity to be a leader amongst the conservative movement and within the Trump administration, the Trump White House. | ||
| And she threw it all away for power. | ||
| Because she wants more of it, just like her father. | ||
| And what she did to the Republican Party, what she continues to do to the Republican Party, is just disgusting. | ||
| She was thrown out, everyone, thrown out. | ||
| She was thrown out of the party by the RNC when she was a member of Congress. | ||
| She was censured by a resolution at the Republican National Committee, which then got us Harriet Hageman to run against her and defeat her. | ||
| Thankfully, that was my resolution that I wrote and drafted and threw Liz Cheney out of the party. | ||
| It is a You know, I wish I didn't have to do it because I don't want to spend time on people like that. | ||
| But you have to make sure that actions have consequences in this world. | ||
| And then you got, you know, you got this clown, Tim Miller. | ||
| Oh my gosh. | ||
| You know, this guy, I was at the... | ||
| Recently, at the debate spin room, and he comes walking up to me. | ||
| I'm in the middle of another interview, and he blurts out a question, and I say, I'll be right with you. | ||
| Give me a minute. | ||
| And he reports that I don't have an answer to his question, that I need a minute to think about it. | ||
| He is a dishonest person, and it's no surprise to anyone listening here, for sure. | ||
| Look, this is the last throes, as Steve Bannon says. | ||
| This is it. | ||
| We're at a crossroads. | ||
| America is at a crossroads. | ||
| This is like nothing we've ever seen or heard of in the past. | ||
| We have to win on November 5th. | ||
| It's a must. | ||
| America's future is at stake. | ||
| That shining city on a hill, that light is flickering, folks, and it is only going to be because of the posse, the people listening to this show, the folks that have been with Donald Trump from the very beginning, that are going to power this engine, that is that are going to power this engine, that is going to knock on the doors, that is going to make the phone calls, and is going to make sure that we turn out to vote. | ||
| every single person in every single state across the country. | ||
| Obviously, we have to focus on the battleground states, and that's what I'm going to try to talk to you all about a little bit this morning. | ||
| And we have a terrific guest from Rasmussen, Mark Mitchell, who's going to be joining us in a few minutes. | ||
| But I want to just kind of give it as a roundup of kind of just the current state of affairs before we bring Mark in and talk about the trends and the polling that he is seeing so that everyone here can really Get a full understanding of where we are as we sit here today. | ||
| Because what happened a week ago, a month ago, you know, we're all living dog years at this point because it is a tremendous amount that happens every single day out there, and it's hard to keep up. | ||
| So let's just give it a moment, give us a moment where we can talk about Where we are on the path to 270, because that's all that matters. | ||
| I don't really care. | ||
| I don't care at all, as a matter of fact, about what the popular vote is in the state of California or New York or Illinois, where they're going to try to run up the tab, which is what they did in 2020. | ||
| We have to win 270 or more Electoral College votes. | ||
| And that is our goal. | ||
| And that is Donald Trump's destiny because he is going to do it. | ||
| And if you look at the red versus blue states and if you put 2016 back when Steve Bannon and I and Kellyanne Conway and and and and and a few others were helping Donald Trump get elected the first time, our path to 270 ran through the exact same states we're running through right now. | ||
| And in the in and Cameron, how many days until the election right now? | ||
| What are we at? | ||
| 17, 14. 14? | ||
| So we are 14 days from Election Day, of course. | ||
| 14 days from today. | ||
| And what we're looking at, what we're looking at is the polling data that I see puts us from 2016, we were down to Hillary Clinton, down to Hillary Clinton in most of these battleground states, 4, 5, 6, 7 points. | ||
| And in 2020, we were down by even more to Joe Biden in most of these battleground states. | ||
| Today, Donald Trump is in a dead heat or leading in all of them. | ||
| Things have changed. | ||
| They have whiplashed back We're good to go. | ||
| And policy positions of Kamala Harris. | ||
| And I think that what we're seeing here is it's coming back to the common sense American. | ||
| That's who's going to make the difference here. | ||
| And if you look at the common sense of open borders versus a secure border through Low gas prices because of deregulation and allowing oil and gas companies to drill and to pump. | ||
| It is the single greatest driver of inflation over the last four years. | ||
| The destruction of our economy. | ||
| You look at our foreign policy. | ||
| It needs to get back to the common sense policies of Donald Trump. | ||
| And that's really what I think Your average American who is looking at this really is focused on those policies, the economy, foreign policy, on border and immigration, as well as crime, because those are all, they all intersect. | ||
| So let's just run through a few things. | ||
| One is, in my opinion, and I'm very interested in our guest Mark Mitchell's opinion on this, but in my opinion, North Carolina, even though it's... | ||
| It's been difficult because of the hurricane that ravaged that state and voting has become difficult. | ||
| We are going to be able to continue to win and put North Carolina in our column, in the Trump column, as we did in 2016 and in 2020. | ||
| Arizona and Georgia, and I'm going to do this quickly because I want to hear what Mark has to say as it relates to these states, but Arizona and Georgia, two states that really a lot of things happened in 2020 that ought not have happened. | ||
| We had people like Raffensperger and others in Georgia. | ||
| We had problems in Arizona. | ||
| But, you look at the polling data in 2016, you look at the polling data in 2020, and you look at it today. | ||
| And then you look at the voter registration numbers that have come down and shrunk in not only those states, but in many others. | ||
| And I've talked about that on this show in the past. | ||
| I believe that Arizona and Georgia, if you look at the data, if you look at the trends, if you look at what President Trump has been doing in those states, they are going to be back solidly in President Trump's column. | ||
| And once you do that, once you reset the table where, you know, all of the red states are with Trump and all the blue states are with Harris, and you reset the table that North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona go to Donald Trump, it becomes a different map. | ||
| And Donald Trump has an opportunity to win 270 electoral college votes by winning only needing to win one of several states that are very close or that he's leading in. | ||
| It's either a dead heat or he's leading in. | ||
| And those are Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. | ||
| And so I'm very interested in when we come back from our break here that Mark Mitchell, the chief pollster for Rasmussen, is going to be with us. | ||
| And he's going to tell me maybe where I'm thinking of this wrongly, but hopefully he's going to give us some insight into why Donald Trump is in the position he's in today and what it looks like between now and Election Day on the early vote, what he's seeing in the early vote trends. | ||
| And what he sees that we need to do to turn out the vote for Election Day and on Election Day. | ||
| Be right back. | ||
|
unidentified
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Here's your host, Stephen K. Vance. | |
| Welcome back, everyone. | ||
| Welcome back. | ||
| This is David Bossie sitting in for Steve Bannon, who I know, like all of you, I can't wait until he comes back very, very soon. | ||
| I'm really honored to have... | ||
| Mark Mitchell, the head pollster at Rasmussen, joining us this morning. | ||
| You know, I was just talking to you before the break, everyone, about Donald Trump's path to 270, how I think the trends that I see in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona make those look very good, very promising for Donald Trump. | ||
| And then the path to 270 goes through... | ||
| Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, which President Trump doesn't need to win all of them. | ||
| He needs to win one, if my math is correct, if he puts North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona in his column. | ||
| So, Mark, good morning. | ||
| Thanks for joining us. | ||
| Good morning. | ||
| And I would, instead of taking a bottom-up approach, I would take a top-down approach because Donald Trump is polling better than he did in 2016 across the board in the states and nationally. | ||
| And if you just take his 2016 map where he won with 304 electoral votes, winning every single one of the battleground states except for Nevada, that's 304. | ||
| And I actually think he's got a really good case based on our polling to win Nevada. | ||
| All of those states, Trump is doing better in the polls than he was in 2016, including in our polls and including in the RealClearPolitics aggregates, which include all of the lefty polls. | ||
| So I think that's really what we're talking about. | ||
| And maybe he underperforms in one or two, but that allows him to lose Michigan and I think North Carolina or Georgia. | ||
| So that's pretty comfortable for Trump. | ||
| And I definitely think, like I said, there's a case that he picks up Nevada, bringing him up to 310. | ||
| So that's what we're at right now. | ||
| I agree with that. | ||
| Mark, let's go into what you see, because when you... | ||
| I totally agree with everything you said and having worked with Bannon and Steve and I and Kellyanne put together the path to 270 in 2016. | ||
| So it is something that I'm a little bit familiar with, but it's been eight years. | ||
| A lot has happened. | ||
| So let's go through Georgia first. | ||
| Yep. | ||
| What do you see? | ||
| Tell me about the trends there, the polling that you see there, the voter registration, and any data that's coming in on early vote. | ||
| What are you seeing? | ||
| I think that Georgia looks very strong because I myself pulled it and I think I found Trump up. | ||
| I forget if it was plus two or plus three. | ||
| All of the other pollsters are moving more and more to the right. | ||
| He is out. | ||
| Yeah, we had Trump plus three. | ||
| We have the Atlanta Journal Constitution now with a Trump plus four. | ||
| We have a massive string of Republican favorable polling. | ||
| even know why we're talking about Georgia anymore. | ||
| When the real clear politics aggregate is outside of the margin of error of a standard poll. | ||
| And again, Donald Trump outperformed the polling in a state like Georgia. | ||
| The left wing bias is a little less in Georgia, I will admit. | ||
| But there's a ton of reasons why, in my opinion, Donald Trump outperformed polling in all these states, because I think there's low propensity voters and first time voters who are breaking Trump more than they ever have that are not being picked up in polling, including my polling, unless there's hijinks. | ||
| To me, Georgia is totally off the table. | ||
| It's a strong Trump win. | ||
| Mark, I couldn't agree more, and that is why I put it in the Trump-Win column. | ||
| I do believe, like you, if you look at the trends of 2016, where we were 14 days out in 2016, 2020, and today, I agree completely, especially when you have... | ||
| These polls in Georgia over and over, consistently having Trump leading and expanding his margin outside the margin of error on these polls, it really, I think, it's pretty rock solid. | ||
| Let's go to North Carolina. | ||
| Tell the listeners, what are you seeing in North Carolina to make people feel a little bit better? | ||
| Look, the panic went out when the hurricane hit, obviously. | ||
| You know, everyone wants, everybody understands what those folks are going through in the western part of the state, but they are dedicated to winning. | ||
| And so what are you seeing? | ||
| So we were very concerned about North Carolina as well, specifically because of the hurricane. | ||
| And what you saw in the media was almost like the left wing glomming onto North Carolina as an alternate path. | ||
| Because quite frankly, if she loses Pennsylvania, she has to win North Carolina. | ||
| And a lot of people were concerned about Democrats' asymmetrical advantage on electioneering, let's just say. | ||
| And yet we polled it in September and we got a Trump plus three. | ||
| We polled it last week and we got a Trump plus five. | ||
| So I see movement to the right. | ||
| I see momentum. | ||
| Maybe it was because of the FEMA response. | ||
| Maybe it was because our September polling was too close to the presidential election and there was a little bit of a response bias. | ||
| There haven't been many post-hurricane polls out. | ||
| Everybody's paying attention to the Atlas Intel one that shows Harris taking North Carolina by two. | ||
| I think they would—I don't want to speak for them, but I think they would say, well, we don't have a lot of experience in North Carolina. | ||
| And they showed Trump winning the national popular vote by three. | ||
| So I think that maybe they got a leftward outlier here. | ||
| Quinnipiac, I think, should just be outright dismissed because they're all over the place. | ||
| Everybody else shows Trump winning North Carolina, although by a lesser margin than us. | ||
| But again, the RealClearPolitics aggregate shows Georgia going for Trump two and a half. | ||
| And I think that North Carolina is going to vote kind of like Georgia. | ||
| Yeah, I agree with you, Mark. | ||
| And let me ask you very quickly on this. | ||
| Does the governor's race have any impact up-ballot? | ||
| No. | ||
| In a world where Bidenflation robbed people of 50% of their purchasing power and Donald Trump got shot at, I don't think so. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| Let's go to Arizona. | ||
| Just give us your thumbnail on Arizona as well. | ||
| So we haven't been able to poll Arizona recently. | ||
| I think the last time we did it was August. | ||
| We showed Trump Plus 2 there. | ||
| I think there's a ton of reasons why we'd be in the ballpark with everybody else, and we're polling Arizona next week. | ||
| I mean, this looks, again, like a solid Trump win on RealClearPolitics. | ||
| What happens is all the lefties kind of drop out in the last week or two, and the polling shifts, right? | ||
| That's where we are right now. | ||
| And the aggregate shows Trump up, too. | ||
| So let me just— Yeah, I totally agree with you, but let me just run through some numbers. | ||
| CBS has a poll that came out a couple of days ago, Trump plus three. | ||
| Trafalgar, Trump plus two. | ||
| New York Times, Trump plus five. | ||
| The Hill, Trump plus two. | ||
| And Atlas, you know, which I'm not a believer necessarily in that, but they have it at Tide. | ||
| So that's the best case scenario for... | ||
| for Harris is the Atlas tide. | ||
| And I don't necessarily believe it. | ||
| So since the beginning of October, every poll, every single one has trended towards Trump. | ||
| And that's why, you know, if you look at that, if you look at that polling compared to 2016, 14 days out, 14 days out of 2020. | ||
| It puts Donald Trump in a driver's seat. | ||
| And I think you agree with that. | ||
| Especially when New York Times-Siena shows Trump up five. | ||
| And they've been all over the map because they're not waiting to recall vote. | ||
| But in that crosstab, they do have recall vote parity. | ||
| So New York Times-Siena has Trump winning Arizona by five. | ||
| I think we'll probably find something like that. | ||
| That's getting to the margin where Carrie Lake might get over the hump there, too. | ||
| So we're starting to talk about a long- And that's where I was- I think the bigger his margin, the greater chance that Cary Lake, a great MAGA warrior, gets across the finish line as well. | ||
| Let's talk about Pennsylvania. | ||
| We only got two minutes left. | ||
| Do a Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin in two minutes. | ||
| Go. | ||
| Okay, the industry is saying that Pennsylvania is tighter than the other states, but the industry also errs very strongly to the left in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Biden was up five points at this point in his cycle, only one by one. | ||
| So there's a four point polling miss. | ||
| And Clinton, it was like a seven point polling miss. | ||
| And yet, like you say, the recent polls are all very favorable to Donald Trump. | ||
| Us, Atlas and Trafalgar all have Trump plus three. | ||
| New York Times, Siena has Harris plus three, but they oversampled Biden supporters from 2020 by seven points. | ||
| So that would be like a Trump plus four poll, basically. | ||
| So every single poll, except for some, you know, lefty colleges since the beginning of October also show Trump winning massively. | ||
| And I don't even think that we've seen the state rightward polling momentum. | ||
| I think there's going to be a gut check in Pennsylvania and these other battlegrounds, too, because that's what we saw in the other states in the Real Clear Politics aggregate. | ||
| Again, I'm getting to poll Pennsylvania next week again. | ||
| McCormick's been very tight. | ||
| I think this is probably going to be a Senate pickup, and I think Donald Trump is going to outperform our polling in Pennsylvania. | ||
| So Mark, I'm hearing you that Dave McCormick and I have seen some polling this week that shows him leading for the first time. | ||
| And I think that his momentum is growing across the state. | ||
| And I think that the greater Donald Trump's victory, obviously, the more it helps Dave McCormick. | ||
| Mark, if it's okay, I'm going to carry you over through the break. | ||
| Can you stick with us through it? | ||
| Let's do it. | ||
| Okay, good. | ||
| So we're going to come back and we're going to talk Michigan and Wisconsin on the other side of the break, folks. | ||
| Thank you for joining us. | ||
| I'm Dave Bossy sitting in for Steve Bannon at the War Room. | ||
| There's a lot at stake in this upcoming election, but regardless of who is sitting in the White House, the fuse on the economy has already been lit. | ||
| Even four years of a conservative presidency will not be enough to turn the tide on our $35 trillion national debt. | ||
| And if the left wins, it's like throwing gas on a dumpster fire. | ||
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|
unidentified
|
War Room. | |
| Here's your host, Stephen K. Vance. | ||
| Welcome back, everyone, to the War Room. | ||
| This is Dave Bossie sitting in for the great Steve Bannon. | ||
| I am honored to be talking to Mark Mitchell, the head pollster at Rasmussen. | ||
| We've been going over what he sees as Donald Trump's path to 270, and I think that there's not a lot of happy talk here. | ||
| This is the real data, the real polling that we're seeing, that I'm seeing, that Mark is seeing, that we're talking about here. | ||
| And I got to tell you, none of this happens unless everybody gets out to vote. | ||
| None of it happens unless everybody is going to be turning out every single Trump voter because we all know what the left is going to try to do on election day and election night. | ||
| Mark, let's go to—you handled Pennsylvania real well. | ||
| Let's go to Michigan, if you would, and give us a quick rundown there because what I'm seeing, just like in the other states, is— Kamala Harris peaked too soon. | ||
| Donald Trump has been rising, and the trend lines in Michigan are very promising for President Trump. | ||
| What do you see? | ||
| If you believe the polling on a face value, yeah, I think that's 100% correct. | ||
| But let's talk about real. | ||
| My national popular vote numbers, and the reason I focus on them is because we do so much of it. | ||
| We've polled like 30, 40,000 people just in the last three months on the popular vote. | ||
| And what is said time and time again for every single week is that Trump is up at least two points, while every other pollster in the industry, except for like maybe three, are way out in left field with Harris plus five and Harris plus six leads. | ||
| That's absolutely insane. | ||
| And now they're all coming back to the right. | ||
| So yeah, I would say that all of a sudden, Michigan looks really great. | ||
| It went from a Trump plus like 0.1 to now a Trump plus 1.2 in the real clear politics aggregate. | ||
| Same story with every other state. | ||
| All the most recent polls are red. | ||
| I will say that we're not very experienced in Michigan, and we came out with a tie. | ||
| To be honest with you, I think I would probably trust. | ||
| I think Rich Barris had Michigan up like 3.5. | ||
| Makes a ton of sense considering Pennsylvania is up three points in our polling as well. | ||
| But this is all, I think, fake. | ||
| It's like Kamala Harris didn't peak too soon. | ||
| I don't think she ever peaked. | ||
| It's just she peaked in all of the fake polling. | ||
| Now those guys are ducking and running for the hills. | ||
| You're exactly right. | ||
| Yeah, you're exactly right. | ||
| She never peaked. | ||
| She just faded. | ||
| Maybe that's how I should put it. | ||
| She actually faded from her entrance onto the stage, being hoisted up by the mainstream media as their savior. | ||
| And so she is fading into obscurity just like Joe Biden is. | ||
| Let's go to Wisconsin. | ||
| So, I mean, Wisconsin in our polling was to the right of Michigan. | ||
| I think we had Trump plus two. | ||
| Not very many polls in Wisconsin. | ||
| This still says roughly a tie in the aggregate. | ||
| Trafalgar came out with a tie. | ||
| I think it's going to vote pretty much close to as far right as Michigan and Pennsylvania. | ||
| And we're going to get to poll it next week. | ||
| This one has a bigger fog of war around it. | ||
| But again, we're talking about an environment with a Trump plus two national popular vote win. | ||
| Those people are going to be distributed in every single battleground state across America. | ||
| And I did want to pile on, like you did talk about election integrity or implied it. | ||
| And this is something that we pull on that nobody else does. | ||
| And I want to take a moment to make an appeal To Republican secretaries of state, to poll watchers, to poll workers, America is watching you very closely right now. | ||
| 66% of voters in this country think it's at least somewhat likely that the outcome of this election is going to be affected by cheating. | ||
| In the swing states, it's like 70%. | ||
| We even had, I think, Pennsylvania was 72%. | ||
| People are not happy with the state of elections, and they're really worried about the future in this country. | ||
| We now have a new record. | ||
| These numbers aren't out yet, but 43% of voters think it's at least somewhat likely. | ||
| We're going to experience a civil war or revolution in the next few years. | ||
| And also really stunning results that it doesn't even really depend on which candidate. | ||
| Voters say that they fear a violent reaction by roughly a 50% vote. | ||
| Whether either Trump or Harris wins. | ||
| So I'm really concerned that what's gonna happen here is the polling environment is going to show that Donald Trump won. | ||
| And yet, in three or four swing states, we're gonna see them drag it out for three or four days and try and harvest overseas ballots, stuff like printed ballots and do all this stuff. | ||
| And everybody's gonna be watching them and really upset. | ||
| The best thing for this country, regardless of who wins, It's for us to know the night of election day. | ||
| I think that's really the only thing that's going to de-escalate where we're at. | ||
| Mark, thanks for that, because it's so important to be said. | ||
| We have to win and know that Donald Trump is the 47th president on late Tuesday night, early Wednesday morning. | ||
| It's really, really important for the future of this country that we win and win big. | ||
| And that's why I'm grateful for the posse. | ||
| I'm grateful for all the people who have been working for Trump since Since he came on the stage in 2015. | ||
| So Mark, thank you very much. | ||
| Look, I know you said you're going to be into the field next week. | ||
| Let's have you back when we can talk about those new polls fresh out of the field. | ||
| So thank you very much, Mark. | ||
| Appreciate your time. | ||
| Happy to be here. | ||
| Okay, everyone. | ||
| Now, I have a really phenomenal old friend of mine who is our next guest. | ||
| He is somebody who's been around with me in the foxholes every single cycle since we were both... | ||
| And Ralph Reed is joining me now and I couldn't think of a better person to follow up Mark Mitchell when talking about this polling data and the importance of turning out the vote. | ||
| Then Ralph Reed, who can really give us an indicator as to what is going on inside the Christian movement in this country, the Christian conservative movement, and why they are for Donald Trump and why they support him and continue to support him. | ||
| So Ralph, thanks for coming on the show. | ||
| Appreciate it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
You bet, Dad. | |
| Good to be with you. | ||
| I can tell you this, Dave. | ||
| So Ralph, why don't you give everybody an understanding of what's going on. | ||
| Have your finger on the pulse. | ||
| There's nobody better at it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, I can tell you this, Dave. | |
| We are chasing 26 million modeled pre-qualified evangelical and pro-life Roman Catholic voters in the key battleground states. | ||
| About 7 million of those are low propensity. | ||
| They voted in one I think we're good to go. | ||
| So if we can change that map, this thing won't even be close. | ||
| Remember, this is half of the entire Republican vote, our self-identified evangelicals. | ||
| And in states like Georgia, it's closer to 60%. | ||
| Ralph, talk to everybody about what a low-propensity voter is. | ||
| Just give them, because guys like you and me know what that is, but the average listener, I don't know if they understand, just give them a quick description of what a low-propensity voter is, because I totally 100% agree with you that that is the key to this victory on November 5th. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, if you take someone like you or me or probably a lot of the activists that are watching us today, Dave, they're what we refer to in the business as four by fours. | |
| They voted in four of the last four elections and they probably also voted in primaries. | ||
| The low propensity voters would vote at about half that rate on the high side and only about a third of that rate on the low side. | ||
| So, again, the lowest propensity voters we're really focused on are people who voted in one or fewer of the last three elections. | ||
| They'd show up casually. | ||
| They're not politically engaged. | ||
| They're not political junkies. | ||
| OK, they need an extra push. | ||
| Now, here's the good news, Dave. | ||
| Through Sunday, we at Faith and Freedom Coalition have knocked on 7,236,985 doors in those battleground states. | ||
| And I shared that number with President Trump yesterday. | ||
| I told him, and I'm telling you and your viewers today, that that is seven times what we did in all of 2016, Dave. | ||
| And it is three times what we did in 2020. | ||
| And we still have two weeks to go. | ||
| And we're knocking on a million doors a week. | ||
| We're also backing that with text messages and phone calls. | ||
| And our text messages, Dave, I don't want to give away our playbook. | ||
| So I'm not going to share everything here. | ||
| But they are not the text messages that you're probably getting on your phone. | ||
| They are all one way. | ||
| They engage in a conversation. | ||
| It's a back and forth. | ||
| We ask a question. | ||
| They answer us. | ||
| And based on their answer, do you have a plan to vote? | ||
| Do you not have a plan to vote? | ||
| If you do have a plan to vote, are you going to vote early or on election day? | ||
| If you're voting early, are you voting early by mail or are you voting in person? | ||
| And that branches out a conversation that can ultimately lead to us telling them where their early voting location is and helping them get there by sending them a link That maps them to where they need to go vote. | ||
| Why is that important? | ||
| It's important because in most states, Dave, where you vote early is not where you vote on Election Day. | ||
| We want to make this abundantly clear to everyone. | ||
| And if you don't remember anything else I say today, remember this. | ||
| It is absolutely critical if we want to win to vote early. | ||
| Everyone needs to vote early. | ||
| Why? | ||
| Because if our voters vote early, when we get down to the last three days, and especially Election Day when we're driving voters to the polls, literally driving them to the polls, our universe shrinks dramatically. | ||
| And we can take all our money and all our resources and focus it on the smallest number of voters possible. | ||
| That is how you win. | ||
| Look, Ralph, I could not be happier to hear what you're talking about because what you are doing is the key to victory. | ||
| Can you stay past this break with me? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Sure. | |
| OK, we'll be right back with Ralph Reed. | ||
| America is standing on the brink of an election meltdown. | ||
| And Jim Rickards, editor of Strategic Intelligence, the man who predicted the 2008 financial crisis, Trump's victory in 2016 and the covid disaster is sounding the alarm. | ||
| Rickards has just dropped a bombshell that could change everything you think you know about the 2024 election. | ||
| He's uncovered what he calls the Democrats secret plan to keep Trump out of the White House, even if he wins. | ||
| This isn't some far-off theory. | ||
| He's warning that this meltdown could lead to a 50% market crash, the total collapse of the U.S. dollar and violent riots in our streets. | ||
| The stakes are higher than ever, folks, and if you're not prepared, you could lose everything. | ||
| But Jim Rickards isn't just predicting disaster. | ||
| He's laying out five critical steps you need to take now to protect yourself, your family, and your financial future. | ||
| This isn't fear mongering. | ||
| It's coming straight from a man who's been at the highest levels of intelligence, finance, and national security. | ||
| Go to Meltdown24.com right now to watch his urgent presentation. | ||
| Don't wait until it's too late. | ||
| Meltdown24.com. | ||
| That's Meltdown24.com. | ||
| Let me ask you a question. | ||
| Do you think our country's going in the right direction? | ||
| Or does it feel like everything's falling apart? | ||
| If you're feeling alarmed, you're not alone. | ||
| In fact, Americans from all walks of life have taken action to prepare for whatever is coming next. | ||
| And that starts with having an emergency food supply. | ||
| Storing food in your home is the right thing to do because we're living in crazy times, which explains why so many people are preparing. | ||
| Right now, you can get ready, too, with a three-month emergency food kit from My Patriot Supply. | ||
| It comes with delicious foods like creamy stroganoff, honey wheat bread, mushroom rice pilaf. | ||
| The entire kit offers over 2,000 calories every day. | ||
| This food kit lasts up to 25 years. | ||
| Who knows what our country will look like then, but when that day comes, you'll be ready. | ||
| Go to mypatriotsupply.com. | ||
| Now, to order your three-month emergency food kit from My Patriot Supply. | ||
| Go to mypatriotsupply.com. | ||
| We will fight till they're all gone. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We rejoice when there's no more. | |
| Let's take down the CCP. Here's your host, Stephen K. Band. | ||
| Welcome back, everyone. | ||
| This is David Bossie sitting in for Steve Bannon here in the War Room. | ||
| I am just finishing up here with my old and dear friend, Ralph Reed, who is leading the effort to turn out evangelicals and Christians of all stripes across this great country. | ||
| Ralph, Just give our listeners the most important three states that you think you're able to activate folks that are part of that battleground plan, that are part of the seven states. | ||
| Give us the top three that you're working on and what your plan is from now until Election Day. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, and by the way, when I answer that question, it's going to be clear why this is important. | |
| Also, in addition to evangelicals and conservative Protestants, pro-life, and faithful Roman Catholics, Dave, because they're critical in the upper Midwest. | ||
| And right now, Trump is leading among evangelicals, 84 to 15. | ||
| He's leading among Catholics, 53 to 47. | ||
| No one has won the presidency without winning the Catholic vote since 1960. | ||
| So about a third of our universe that we're reaching out to are those faithful Roman Catholics. | ||
| And I would say where we are most effective right now and where we have the strongest infrastructure. | ||
| And by the way, we're strong just about everywhere. | ||
| So it's a close call. | ||
| But it would be Georgia and Pennsylvania, both of those states. | ||
| We will knock on over three quarters of a million doors. | ||
| And then third would be Wisconsin. | ||
| And we think, we personally think that those three states, we think Trump's going to win Arizona. | ||
| We think he's going to win Nevada. | ||
| We think those three states, almost in order, are going to decide the election. | ||
| Ralph, I couldn't agree more, and it is so great to visit with you. | ||
| Thank you for educating the posse here on The War Room about what you've been doing and what you're going to continue to do to make sure that Donald Trump is the 47th president of the United States. | ||
| So, Ralph, I can't thank you enough, and thanks for being here, my friend. | ||
| Appreciate it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Can I do one quick plug at the end? | |
| If anybody wants a copy of our voter guide or wants to walk their neighborhood, go to ffcoalition.com. | ||
| That's ffcoalition.com. | ||
| And you can download our voter education material and help us get this job done. | ||
| Thanks, Dave. | ||
| Ralph, this is a group of people who want to help, so I know people will do that. | ||
| Thank you for mentioning that because they're always looking for places to help out in this cause. | ||
| So thank you, Ralph. | ||
| I appreciate it. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank you, Dave. | |
| And now, we have just had two tremendous guests, and now I lead into our next guest right away, who is one of the all-time greats in Congress, a dear friend of mine, a fellow Marylander who is a member of Congress from the 1st Congressional District, the only Republican elected A member of Congress from the state of Maryland, Andy Harris. | ||
| Andy Harris is somebody who's been in Congress and is now the brand new, newly elected chairman of the House Freedom Caucus. | ||
| And I believe, Andy, this is your first time on The War Room. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It is. | |
| Good to be with you, Dave. | ||
| Well, thanks for joining me. | ||
| And look, Andy, what I really want to talk about with you is several things. | ||
| One is, I want to walk through some of the important races, house races that you see that either... | ||
| Incumbent members of the Freedom Caucus are involved in, like Scott Perry, and any others out there that are challenger races, open seats that might become members of the Freedom Caucus that the posse should be focusing on. | ||
| That's first... | ||
| And then secondly, and quickly, will be post-election, when we come back for a lame duck session of Congress, what the posse needs to be looking out for as far as a legislative agenda. | ||
| That is probably not good for America, quite honestly. | ||
| So let's run through some races. | ||
| I see that the former chairman of the Freedom Caucus and our dear friend, great friend of this show, Scott Perry, is in a tough race, which he is in every time. | ||
| But can you talk to us a little bit about Scott's race? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Absolutely. | |
| I was up there last week. | ||
| The bottom line is that the Democrat Party and liberals are throwing millions and millions of dollars against Scott. | ||
| They recruited someone who claims that she's a moderate, but she agrees to the whole liberal agenda. | ||
| But again, you know, and that's true across the country. | ||
| I've got to tell you, in almost every race that's close, the Democrats, you know, they're wolves in sheep's clothing. | ||
| I mean, the bottom line is they're claiming, you know, they should put the MAGA hat on, I mean, with what they're claiming. | ||
| But we have to call it for what we see. | ||
| Scott's going to work hard. | ||
| You know, the Freedom Caucus is helping him, House Freedom Action, House Freedom Fund. | ||
| I mean, we have everything lined up to help him. | ||
| I believe he's going to pull it out, but man, he's working hard. | ||
| He is a hard worker, and Scott's just been one of and will continue to be one of the true patriots in Congress. | ||
| I don't believe the hype in Pennsylvania. | ||
| He has to do the hard work, but I do believe that Pennsylvania, which is going to go for Donald Trump, I don't see a scenario where that changes. | ||
| And so I'm glad to see that. | ||
| I'm glad to hear that you were just there, because Scott is one of the all-time greats, and we need to keep him in Congress. | ||
| And Andy, if you could, just tell the war room... | ||
| Listeners, again, how can they help the Freedom Caucus, the organizations that help with the candidates? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Sure. | |
| So the big one is the House Freedom Fund, where they can go online, the House Freedom Fund. | ||
| They can bundle the candidates through the House Freedom Fund. | ||
| It's very convenient. | ||
| One-stop shopping. | ||
| You can pick all the ones you want to contribute to, you know, make one payment. | ||
| They divide it up, and they send it to candidates. | ||
| There's also House Freedom Action. | ||
| You know, if you have listeners who have given the max to some of these candidates, they can contact House Freedom Action, and they'll give them the details on how to help. | ||
| So there are a couple different vehicles. | ||
| Again, you go to House Freedom Fund on the internet, you will be able to see it all. | ||
| Well, thank you for doing that, Andy. | ||
| Look, you know, these folks on this show, they want to help and they want to support folks. | ||
| So when we come back, I'm going to hold you through the break, Andy, if that's okay. | ||
| And what we're going to do is go through a few more races and then the lame duck session and you can talk to us about the legislative things that are staring us square in the face. | ||
| And so with that, I thank you and we'll be right back. |
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