Speaker | Time | Text |
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This is what you're fighting for. | ||
I mean, every day you're out there. | ||
What they're doing is blowing people off. | ||
If you continue to look the other way and shut up, then the oppressors, the authoritarians get total control and total power. | ||
Because this is just like in Arizona. | ||
This is just like in Georgia. | ||
It's another element that backs them into a quarter and shows their lies and misrepresentations. | ||
unidentified
|
This is why this audience is going to have to get engaged. | |
As we've told you, this is the fight. | ||
All this nonsense, all this spin, they can't handle the truth. | ||
War Room, Battleground. | ||
Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
I mean, if you're on his campaign, and I know you are certainly not, I'm not making any implication of that, but what is the logic behind this, going to a McDonald's? | ||
I mean, we know the guy likes Big Macs and Filet-O-Fish, and he's used the word love to describe the way he feels about the food there before. | ||
But what's this about? | ||
There's no logic to it. | ||
It's a stunt. | ||
He has not put forth an economic agenda. | ||
He, as you know, appears to be not well. | ||
And he's engaged in some really bizarre types of activities during this campaign. | ||
So this is just another one of those stunts. | ||
That he will continue on through the campaign. | ||
And I think that we need to really focus on making sure that he is not elected, of course, because he is a threat to our democracy, but also the Harris loss agenda is about the economy, reducing the cost of living, reducing the cost of prescription drugs, reducing the cost of housing and making life better for everyone. | ||
And that's what we have to focus on and make sure we get every voter To the polls and make sure that the voters vote for the future, not taking the country backwards, as you see what Donald Trump continues to try to do. | ||
So I'm urging and encouraging everyone to get to the polls and vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walsh to be their next president and vice president. | ||
It's October 21st, the year of our Lord, 2024. | ||
This is Alex DeGrasse, guest hosting War Room Battleground for Steve Bannon. | ||
I've got my boy here, Luke Mahoney. | ||
We're going to get all the numbers, get in the weeds, get the signal, not the noise on the early vote metrics across the board. | ||
Things look great. | ||
Sorry it's been a while. | ||
I was out running around the country, Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia. | ||
We're out there hammering. | ||
I've never seen more energy from MAGA. And before we get into the weeds, I just want to say I was in upstate New York. | ||
I was campaigning. | ||
had an amazing posse member from Saratoga flag, the Spinelli family, and they gave me this. | ||
It's a great business, all Maine and American flags. | ||
I don't get paid by them. | ||
And they make these nice devices. | ||
They have got the prayer for Steve, St. Michael. | ||
Everyone's praying. | ||
It's important that we, of course, continue to pray, support our allies and friends that are in local business. | ||
And most importantly, everyone, get out to vote early, get your mail ballot in early in-person, Get your list. | ||
Three people, five people at this point. | ||
We'll take anything we can get. | ||
We need everything from the posse to get out there. | ||
So Luke, I know you've got some numbers, most importantly, in Clark County. | ||
Why don't you start there and then we'll kind of pivot across all the states. | ||
unidentified
|
Yeah, so in Nevada, we have a historically great early vote turnout that we're looking at. | |
Last year, after the first day of early voting, the Democrats had a 40,000 ballot lead statewide. | ||
That has been dwindled down this year in 2024 to just 1,800. | ||
That is a 95% improvement for the ballot split between Democrat and Republican. | ||
This is just absolutely phenomenal. | ||
And one of the most important numbers, if you dig deeper into the numbers, what you'll see is that the Democrats are cannibalizing their four out of four high propensity voters at 43.7 percent of the early voters that have voted Democrat. | ||
Early voting Democrats are four out of four voters. | ||
That number is only 36 percent for Republicans. | ||
So we are getting a lot more of our people off of our low propensity voters to get to bank their vote. | ||
And the Democrats are just giving up Election Day votes right now in out there. | ||
And I think that it's a very good sign because that's what we've talked about before. | ||
It's all about getting those low propensity voters to vote early. | ||
The four out of four voters will vote. | ||
Whether they vote on Election Day or early, they will vote. | ||
But getting those zero out of four, one out of four, two out of four voters to vote early, that's really getting those people off the board is huge. | ||
Yeah, let me explain. | ||
And we have spoken about it. | ||
For those that have not been and watched our previous shows, because Luke and I are talking in operative languages as a kid. | ||
I know the folks here love listening to operative languages. | ||
But what we mean by propensity is likelihood to vote, of course. | ||
And what you mean by a four for four is in the last four general elections, which includes local in the midterms up until 2020. | ||
How often have they voted, right? | ||
And so if you voted one out of four, that's the golden for us. | ||
Zero out of four, most of those are new registries, even more important. | ||
And you're seeing those registration numbers play into effect here as we are outrunning them hard on newly registered voters voting. | ||
And why that's important is because remember, we talked about it's all a model. | ||
It's all sort of really like a big spreadsheet. | ||
And you have to pull the votes out that we need by pulling off of and modeling based on what we assume will be the enthusiasm. | ||
Of let's just say 100 votes cast, right, break down the election into 100 votes cast in the state of North Carolina, you know, how many of those are Republicans? | ||
How many are independents? | ||
How many are Dems? | ||
You know, Steve was the big believer in there's no more persuasion. | ||
It's juice, juice, juice, turnout, turnout, turnout. | ||
Are people coming out at a higher level than their people? | ||
When you look at the early votes numbers, the name of the game there is expanding the model, breaking out the system, which would be banking those votes that maybe would have had the least likelihood of voting on Election Day. | ||
I mean we take all votes, four for four, three for four, everything matters. | ||
But when you turn out that voter that's only voted one out of the last four times and you get them to vote early, that's key because you get more of those voters. | ||
That's going to come on top of the votes that we have to get and we assume we are going to get from the loyal people that are going to come out. | ||
And that is how you change the system. | ||
And that is how we crush the Democrat Party as we know it. | ||
Of course, at the ballot box, peacefully. | ||
But, you know, that is the plan here. | ||
So, look, we can expand to some other states if you want to get more into details on that. | ||
But I just want to make sure people understand the language that we're using here. | ||
unidentified
|
Yeah, and we got some great news out of Pennsylvania, the all-important Pennsylvania as well. | |
A week ago, Democrats had an advantage of over 312,000 voter registrations. | ||
Now, that lead is down to 297,000. | ||
The Democrats gained 12,700 new voters, and the GOP gained 27,600. | ||
This is huge. | ||
I mean, these numbers are great. | ||
These are real numbers. | ||
These are not poll numbers. | ||
These are numbers that represent people taking action. | ||
And what we're seeing with people taking action all across the country in the early vote and voter registrations is that we have the momentum. | ||
But the key is you can't rest on your laurels. | ||
You can't feel good about the election until the election's over and Donald J. Trump is headed back to the White House. | ||
And so I think that this is good news, but we can't bank on this. | ||
We have to keep pushing as hard as possible to get those people to turn out to vote and to get everybody out. | ||
But these numbers are very encouraging. | ||
And I think we opened with that cold open. | ||
The left doesn't understand, right? | ||
Building the New York City skyline to cooking fries at McDonald's, and that does not compute with them. | ||
He has sacrificed so much for our country, and he's ready to serve again. | ||
True service. | ||
I mean, look at everything that he's given up and everything that's happened to him since... | ||
Since he ran for president. | ||
And this, the McDonald's, by the way, every campaign is a series of political stunts in order to get votes, right? | ||
Political stunts are the events, are the data points that make up a campaign. | ||
And so this was, it was brilliant. | ||
They don't understand it. | ||
And I think that's why you're seeing that we've got all of this momentum is that this is truly a movement and the numbers reflect it. | ||
And I think they will continue to, but I, Now, voter registration is ending in a lot of states. | ||
I know that Pennsylvania, it ends either today or tomorrow. | ||
And so we're going to have to shift our focus to chasing those ballots that are already out and turning out voters to the polls on Election Day. | ||
Yeah, it's huge. | ||
I mean, everything that we've worked for, we need it to be 15 days until we declare President Donald J. Trump the winner. | ||
It's 14 in a wake-up. | ||
The name of the game is to put this thing away on election night. | ||
That's the game. | ||
The longer this is sort of floating out there, the more dangerous it gets for Republicans. | ||
We need to run the score up. | ||
Too big to rig. | ||
Outside the margin of cheating, key terms that really started on the war room. | ||
And now you see them sort of mentioned everywhere in the media and sort of the right wing ecosystem online. | ||
That's the game. | ||
That's the goal here. | ||
We can't just win with 51 percent. | ||
We have to blow it out by more. | ||
We have to get every voter and especially young voters. | ||
That's the key because young voters... | ||
Make up a lot of those one out of four voters, two out of four voters that have only voted maybe once or twice over the last four or five years or have maybe never voted before. | ||
We need them registered. | ||
We need them voting. | ||
We need them turning up because the more we're learning is young voters are with us at a record number with President Trump and with Republicans. | ||
And we can't just only get in President Trump. | ||
President Trump has made it clear to all of us we have to win the House. | ||
We have to flip the Senate. | ||
I feel great about the Senate. | ||
I feel great about the House. | ||
The House is what the Democrats are putting in as their failsafe. | ||
It's been our failsafe against Joe Biden. | ||
But they believe that they're hedging, I believe. | ||
The Democrat donors are hedging on Wall Street in New York. | ||
And they are pouring money in a record number – and we spoke about it before. | ||
We won't get into the weeds on it – to try to flip the house. | ||
We have a three-seat majority. | ||
And then they will impeach him on day one. | ||
And not only that, I think they'll object to the election. | ||
They've said it so themselves. | ||
Jamie Raskin said, well, he's not a legitimate candidate, all this stuff. | ||
So we have to power through in all branches to get this in. | ||
Senate, House, Presidency. | ||
unidentified
|
I think in what we're looking at and with the polling numbers we're seeing for President Trump and how MAGA really truly is ascendant right now, right at the right time. | |
We're in the homestretch and MAGA is ascendant. | ||
The Trump message is resonating with the voters. | ||
The key is if we win, we've got to get our agenda passed. | ||
And we've really got to start right away. | ||
And one of the ways that we can supercharge our efforts and get our agenda passed and get everything moving, especially on the federal and the bureaucratic level, is by winning a significant majority in the Senate. | ||
We've got a bunch of great candidates, Bernie Moreno in Ohio, Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, who had a phenomenal debate performance against Tammy Baldwin in which he called her out for her girlfriend works on Wall Street, the same Wall Street and the same industries that Tammy regulates. | ||
But because of the nature of how things are set up between them, she's not precluded from doing so. | ||
And they live together. | ||
unidentified
|
And they live together. | |
And I'm sure they've never talked about a stock secret or a regulation or an industry that she's making a ton of money on in Wall Street. | ||
But the outside groups are coming in for Hovde. | ||
And he's right now running ads showing Tammy Baldwin saying terrible thing about Trump voters while Tammy Baldwin is running ads showing her with Trump. | ||
And we cannot let her have it both ways. | ||
Really want to see Trump. | ||
Folks turn out and push hard for Hovde because I think he's a great candidate and the type of leader we need that will push forward the Trump agenda without question. | ||
A note there. | ||
There is an America First candidate in Wisconsin that was put up by the Democrats, and he's pulling it around 2%. | ||
And we need everybody on the war room to know. | ||
Yeah, fake America First. | ||
unidentified
|
Fake America First. | |
Eric Hovde. | ||
On your Senate ballot. | ||
It's Eric Hovde, Hovde, Hovde, Hovde. | ||
And we spoke about this on the show. | ||
These Democrats, they did this – I mean it's totally illegal and you – we don't have the graphic here or the article, but give it a search, right? | ||
Democrats funding fringe Republican candidates. | ||
I mean you're talking about – this is how far they will go and make no mistake about it. | ||
On Election Day, they will do whatever they will take. | ||
Cheat, steal, break the law, because they've already broken the law. | ||
They were handing people cash, money, to pay for the filing fees. | ||
They met this guy in a parking lot. | ||
A nice guy, you know, he thought he was helping President Trump, you know, and they were tricking him and saying, you know, you want to go against your, you know, your rhino Republican member and you need to run and Trump's going to support you. | ||
And these were Democrats in a parking lot with fake names and they give him the money to file for Congress and he files. | ||
I mean, these are sick, dangerous people across the board, all of them, that are involved in this apparatus. | ||
And they've got it going on in Wisconsin where they've got this fake candidate. | ||
We need to educate voters. | ||
Republican ballot line. | ||
That's what we vote on. | ||
Down the line. | ||
Top to bottom. | ||
President Trump, your Senate candidates, any other statewides, down, town, local. | ||
Everything counts. | ||
Everything matters. | ||
So that is the top priority in the task I'd had. | ||
I mean, it's been two years and we're waiting on Steve to get back soon. | ||
And that was something that came up to me constantly when I was out there at rallies and grassroots events. | ||
Rallying supporters was, you know, a couple more days till Steve is back and everyone's really excited. | ||
But it's on our shoulders to get this done now. | ||
It is happening now. | ||
The election is right now. | ||
There is no more election day. | ||
It's election month. | ||
And if we could put this to bed on November 5th, it ends for them. | ||
If this thing gets dragged on, it gets tougher because of all the games that we all know about. | ||
So banking your votes early is going to – especially if you're someone that has voted less often but will take every vote early. | ||
That will really break the system in a sense that we will be able to put this to bed on Election Day. | ||
And the Senate's key and the House – I feel great about the Senate, and Luke is right. | ||
We have to dig deep to get that buffer for President Trump in the Senate. | ||
You know, 53, 54 seats would be huge, and I can't stress how important that would be. | ||
But the House is a total knife fight. | ||
We just were in Mark Molinaro's district with my boss, Elise, and we had a quick rally with grassroots people, a lot of War Room fans there. | ||
We invited the media. | ||
I mean, sometimes the media is not even covering Republican events. | ||
They're not showing up. | ||
So it's important people get out there. | ||
You be vocal, educate voters on their opportunities in every way to legally vote. | ||
I can't stress that there's really like 10 to 15 House races that we can get into after the break that are really up in the air. | ||
But Luke, I think you've got some more numbers. | ||
We want to kick it back on any of the other states. | ||
We focus on the presidential for now. | ||
unidentified
|
To finish up with Wisconsin, that's all model data. | |
They don't have the party registration, party ID for folks who are voting early. | ||
So that's an important point. | ||
Let me move down here to... | ||
North Carolina. | ||
The Democrats have retaken the early vote lead in North Carolina. | ||
And everybody knows about the tragic hurricane that hit. | ||
And we've got major issues and a lot of folks have talked about the efforts. | ||
President Trump was in Asheville today talking about how to vote if you were impacted by the storm. | ||
But they have regained about a 4,000 early vote lead in North Carolina. | ||
And we've got to press there because something that folks haven't talked too much about is the huge population shift from the Northeast down to the Charlotte suburbs after – 2020 during COVID. That's a whole lot of new voters. | ||
And you know, there's a real problem we've got is when folks move to red states, they keep voting blue. | ||
And so I think that messaging those folks and just making sure we can get our people out in North Carolina. | ||
And I know that the campaign has a phenomenal team on the ground in North Carolina, one of the brightest and smartest and hardest working operatives I've ever met and had the pleasure of working with is running the show down there. | ||
And so I We got to keep pressing though. | ||
And you can't give up. | ||
And we, again, can't rest on all our laurels down in North Carolina. | ||
Yeah, but I think one important stat is that we are still running at about eight or nine percentage points sort of ahead of where we were in 2020. | ||
And so while the Democrats have taken the lead, at one point, Republicans in North Carolina had taken the lead. | ||
And I think it's even more. | ||
It's almost like an 18 or 19 percent spread. | ||
I'm trying to pull up those numbers when you compare. | ||
Democrats have suppressed about eight or nine percent and Republicans are sort of increasing at eight or nine percent. | ||
And that's key. | ||
So we have to keep it up in North Carolina. | ||
We're going to get everyone out. | ||
That's key because we win the Sun Belt. | ||
You pick up Pennsylvania is done. | ||
I mean, the posse's task at hand and we've spoken about it is to provide President Trump and his team with as many paths to victory and possibilities. | ||
Now, Harris, the media won't report on, but she's got a very limited path of victory. | ||
I mean, she needs to pick up all the blue wall states and flip something down south. | ||
That includes Pennsylvania and the blue wall. | ||
So you stop them there, we're good. | ||
We stop them on either end, right? | ||
Nebraska is important. | ||
Omaha, let's try to stop them there. | ||
That's one vote. | ||
It's key. | ||
It could be a difference maker and depending on some scenarios on the metrics, although I don't think that's likely, but certainly anything is possible. | ||
And so it's so important. | ||
Virginia numbers look great. | ||
I don't know, Luke, did you have any Virginia numbers? | ||
Maybe not, but the numbers are amazing. | ||
Do you have those or no? | ||
unidentified
|
I can't speak to the latest, but something that we saw in the beginning of Virginia early voting, I think up to about a week ago, I haven't seen the latest numbers this morning, but was that the increase in early voting in Virginia was happening in the really, really heavily large increases in southwest Virginia. | |
And if you don't know anything about southwest Virginia, that's coal country full of amazing people. | ||
I lived down there. | ||
I worked on a campaign where we flipped the Virginia State Senate. | ||
And this area, it's in Appalachia, and it used to be the Union Democrats. | ||
And now it has switched. | ||
And with the great sort, it has switched to Republican, and folks are voting there. | ||
And it's really it's new voters and lower propensity voters that are turning out to vote in Virginia I think Virginia is absolutely in play. | ||
I was actually speaking two years ago with a Democratic lobbyist at a golf function, and he told me, he said, Donald Trump's going to win Virginia. | ||
And I looked at him in disbelief, and I think he's right. | ||
We're very close. | ||
You know, Virginia has elected Governor Youngkin and Attorney General Meares in the last... | ||
A couple of years, and I think that what we're seeing is a shift back to sanity and normalcy. | ||
You've got Alexandria City. | ||
You've got Arlington City. | ||
You've got Fairfax County. | ||
And half of Loudoun is the huge Democrat wall that they've got there, right? | ||
They've got a million-plus votes, multiple millions of votes there. | ||
And we've got to counterbalance that with Hampton Roads, Richmond, Southwest Virginia, the beautiful Shenandoah Valley, the Creasing God's Palm, where I went to school. | ||
And I think, though, that we've got a very good opportunity. | ||
One thing I've noticed, I live in Virginia, and it's very clear to me that there was a huge outbound marketing campaign by the Kamala Harris campaign in order to get signs out in rural Virginia, where I live. | ||
It was three days, Alex. | ||
There were no... | ||
Harris wall signs, now they're everywhere. | ||
And so that was coordinated and it's supposed to deject you, right? | ||
It's supposed to make, it's the social contagion part of it. | ||
It's mind games. | ||
And trust me, if you were to drive through where I live, you'd know that it was Trump country. | ||
But they have really made a big push to put out these signs. | ||
Don't believe what you see. | ||
Don't get dejected. | ||
Get out and vote. | ||
And once you vote, if you think, if you vote early, Alex, this is a good point. | ||
If you vote early, You say, oh, well, there's nothing left I can do. | ||
There is. | ||
You've got to volunteer. | ||
You've got to be knocking doors. | ||
Voting is the first thing you've got to do. | ||
That's the first on the list and taking action and just putting it all on the line because after November 5th, there is no more we can do, right? | ||
That's – it's over. | ||
The election is over and we've got to get people to just give everything that they've got in all of these swing states. | ||
And if you're not in a swing state, you can get involved. | ||
You can go on the Trump for president website.com. | ||
Early Vote Action up in Pennsylvania has got a great app where you can communicate with voters. | ||
But just do everything you've got. | ||
I know that I'm working 12, 13, 14 hours a day, seven days a week. | ||
I'll hang out with my son when the election's over. | ||
We've got limited time, and we've got to do everything we can to get all the votes out. | ||
So I pulled these numbers. | ||
They're great. | ||
And Nevada, the first day of early votes in terms of not just Clark County, but in 2020, 40,000 vote lead, and now they've got an 1,800 vote lead. | ||
unidentified
|
That's that 95% improvement that we're seeing. | |
That's the... | ||
The delta between – the difference between 2020 and 2024 Republican and Democrat ballots. | ||
Yeah. | ||
Open Source Zone on X is a great Twitter handle because he's sourcing all the public information. | ||
At Open Source Zone on Twitter and it's great and they're looking at Florida, which is a landslide for us. | ||
I'm looking at Pennsylvania and they're pulling the data that's sort of public across the board. | ||
And if people are kind of interested in looking at very specific in the weeds, if you're interested, I think it's fascinating. | ||
But the key across the board, whether it be in the House, early vote, is we're running about 10-15% better. | ||
It's sort of my back of the envelope average across all the battleground states. | ||
It's huge. | ||
I mean, we are at the precipice. | ||
We are here. | ||
This is it. | ||
Everything right now. | ||
But if we don't close strong and continue compounding, build, build, build, we have to grow these leads. | ||
We have to expand these margins that we're picking up in the early votes. | ||
We need folks to join Trump force. | ||
Captain, become a Trump force captain. | ||
Become a poll watcher. | ||
Text your friends. | ||
Text everyone. | ||
I mean, get other people to text people. | ||
It has to be vocal and all hands on deck. | ||
You have to be public and out front talking about President Trump's policies, his results, his agenda, contrasting with Kamala Harris. | ||
We have to keep the momentum. | ||
I mean... | ||
They're absolutely melting down. | ||
And what I get nervous about is just the desperation and how far they will go. | ||
Because in 2016, we snuck on them, snuck up on them. | ||
20, they stole it from us. | ||
And now we've never been in a better position, not just in the early vote numbers and the metrics, but in the polls. | ||
I mean, we were down, I think, about 8 percentage points, 9 percentage points in 2020. | ||
And then they, I mean, Trump won on election day and then it slipped from us. | ||
They took it. | ||
And with Hillary Clinton, she was up by five or six across every poll. | ||
And now we're like up by one, down by one, tied. | ||
So compare from 2020 to now, just like in the early vote numbers, you see this sort of nine percentage points, anywhere between eight to ten percentage point sort of bump in the numbers. | ||
And that's the ballgame. | ||
But if people don't come out and vote, it doesn't matter. | ||
The only poll that matters is the poll on Election Day and the ballot box. | ||
And that is why you have to dig deep. | ||
You have to get everyone else out. | ||
We have to move the ball forward to put this to bed. | ||
Outside the margin of cheating, too big to rig. | ||
I love both those sayings. | ||
And it's not just in those seven states, again, the key battleground states that President Trump's campaign is focusing on. | ||
Everything else is sort of in play on the peripheral as well. | ||
New Mexico, Minnesota, Virginia. | ||
I think Virginia is going to be a couple points either way. | ||
And they're melting. | ||
I mean, I think they have like 50 staff. | ||
Democrats are spending, I think, tens of millions of dollars in Virginia. | ||
They're panicking. | ||
I was driving through. | ||
I was listening to the ads, just manically all these super PACs saying crazy stuff on the radio. | ||
They're very desperate. | ||
And if we can keep their focus spread out, President Trump could run right up the middle in the seven key states where he's on average leading in. | ||
And so it's really just a turnout game. | ||
It's really just an execution game at this point for our side. | ||
And, I mean, Steve's been very clear when I communicated with him. | ||
We need the war room and we need the posse to be the central hub. | ||
It is on your shoulders. | ||
We are the ones that have moved and the ball forward have gotten us to this point. | ||
We have to finish the deal. | ||
We have to close this out. | ||
We have to dig deep. | ||
Donating money, if you can, $5, $10, $1,000, $25,000. | ||
If you're Ableton, you've been blessed. | ||
We have to do not wake up on November 6th and say, well, I wish I... You know, spent the last two Saturdays, you know, grinding it out, knocking doors, calling your friends, texting your friends. | ||
Turning Point's got the app we can use, you know, to get involved with your network. | ||
Look, we have about 30 seconds. | ||
unidentified
|
Alex, to that point, I worked on a special election in Virginia back in 2013, and we lost by 13 votes. | |
And after the recount, after it was all settled, we lost by 13 votes. | ||
And I thought to myself, that was for control of the Virginia State Senate after Ralph Northam got elected lieutenant governor. | ||
And I thought to myself every single day after that about what I could have done to get those extra 13 votes and the laws that were passed between when that election ended and when we won the special election down in southwest Virginia. | ||
You don't want to wake up on November 6th, 7th, 8th and think about what more you could have done. | ||
You want to be thinking about how happy you are President Trump won. | ||
Yeah, we have to do this. | ||
I mean, we will lose everything. | ||
We will lose our country. | ||
It has never been more important. | ||
This is the most important election. | ||
It is not just enough for you to go vote. | ||
You have to be involved. | ||
You have to be a player in this game and get people out. | ||
We're going to cut to the brick. | ||
We're going to come back. | ||
We're going to get into the weeds on the house. | ||
Let's get this done. | ||
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unidentified
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All this nonsense, all this spin, they can't handle the truth. | |
War Room Battleground with Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
It's Alex DeGrasse. | ||
I'm Luke Mahoney. | ||
You're in the War Room. | ||
We're going to keep it going on the Senate. | ||
We're going to refocus on the House after that, get back into the weeds on the early vote numbers, the task on hand. | ||
So, Luke, what you got for us? | ||
unidentified
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I just want to reemphasize how important it is that we elect as many Republican senators, as many America first Republican senators this year in 2024 to the Senate. | |
It's If you look at how the votes break down, the folks that have gotten to the Senate more recently are the folks that are voting with the posse and with the war room almost every single time. | ||
And so we've got to take this opportunity. | ||
We've got President Trump on the ballot. | ||
That's a huge benefit. | ||
That brings people out of the hills into the polling places. | ||
And we've got a chance for Senator Lake, Senator Hufti, Senator Moreno. | ||
Rogers. | ||
unidentified
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I think I'm forgetting one. | |
Senator Brown. | ||
There's a really, really exceptional opportunity here to also insulate against the 2026 map, which doesn't look as good as the 2024 map in the Senate. | ||
And one final note I'll make there. | ||
Looking at these numbers, they just came out yesterday. | ||
ActBlue, September. | ||
We've got 13.7 million going into Tester's campaign. | ||
We've got 13.5 million going into Allred's campaign against Senator Cruz. | ||
Who, you know, is just phenomenal. | ||
We've got to protect him at all costs. | ||
Sherrod Brown, $11.6 million. | ||
And this is just in the month of September. | ||
Powell down in Florida bringing in $7.4 million. | ||
Gallego is $6.6 million. | ||
And Slock in $5.7 million. | ||
This is a huge cash advantage that they've got going into the final stretch here. | ||
And so we don't know what's coming, but we know it's going to be big, and we know it's going to be well-funded by the Democrats. | ||
Yeah, October is tough. | ||
I think they're going to raise even more than what they had possibly raised over those three months, if not maybe at parity in the last five weeks of the campaign. | ||
Plus, they can kind of keep raising and backfill after the fact. | ||
So they usually will even – campaigns will even kind of overspend knowing that maybe they'll make back some or take debt. | ||
So it really is a huge issue. | ||
I also think it's criminal. | ||
I think there's foreign money coming in, but we won't go down that rabbit hole. | ||
But follow James O'Keefe. | ||
Look at what they're doing. | ||
There's an investigation going on in Congress on the Act Blue stuff, how they don't take CVV numbers. | ||
It's very sort of bizarre. | ||
And you see the fraud going out there. | ||
Caroline Wrens talked about it. | ||
But Senate's key. | ||
It applies to the House, too. | ||
And the people that have gone on the ballot and come into the game sort of in the Trump era of They're very grassroots. | ||
They understand sort of what's going on more so than anyone else. | ||
That's not a knock on anyone. | ||
I'm just saying that's the reality is this movement is breeding the next round of politicians that are going to carry the torch long after this election as we move forward for this fight against the liberal elite, against the globalism, to protect our sovereignty. | ||
That is the stake at hand to protect our traditional values, our borders, law and order. | ||
The Constitutional Republic as we know it. | ||
I mean the stakes are very high and the grassroots understands that and certainly the politicians that have come in. | ||
That's why we get this next round of Senate. | ||
Candidates across the finish line, and I do think President Trump will lift many boats and get people in across the board. | ||
That's the game. | ||
That's key because I think you will see Trump 47 agenda move forward at a record pace. | ||
Again, those plannings are already happening. | ||
No one's getting ahead of anything, but people are working so that when we win, that we're able to put forward the most aggressive American first agenda. | ||
I'm going to pivot to some house races. | ||
These are races I think we're going to win, but this is where the Democrats, based off their spending, based off their focus, based off social listening tools and observing where they're focusing their fire, I'm going to give that a punch list of where the posse needs to get double involved. | ||
Every house race matters. | ||
If you're not in a quote-unquote presidential state, it doesn't matter. | ||
Get involved. | ||
Vote early. | ||
New Jersey, New York. | ||
Anywhere, New Hampshire, which is a presidential state as well, Maine, which also is a presidential state, but it's critical. | ||
So this is the list of our defensive seats because they're trying to pick some guys off or some ladies off and stop us on the offense. | ||
So on defense, here's the punch list. | ||
California 45, I feel great about it, but they are really dumping in money. | ||
This is in the L.A., Michelle Steele, sort of in the L.A. area. | ||
You've got to dig deep if you're around the area and get involved because they're coming after her hard. | ||
Anthony D'Esposito, New York 4, they laundered some vicious hits through the New York Times, baseless attacks on his time as a police officer. | ||
It really is an attack on all police officers, what they're doing against him. | ||
It's disgusting. | ||
We have to send a message. | ||
We've got to get in. | ||
That's in Long Island. | ||
That's South Shore. | ||
That's the five towns, the western side of Nassau County. | ||
It's critical. | ||
It's a seat Joe Biden won by 15 and we're up in the polls. | ||
It's tight. | ||
Everything is tight. | ||
We have to get it done. | ||
We have to get Anthony back in there. | ||
He's a great guy. | ||
Endorsed by President Trump. | ||
Endorsed President Trump as well. | ||
Tom Keene in New Jersey. | ||
I mean they are going crazy in that race. | ||
I think he's going to win. | ||
We're outspending them. | ||
I feel great about it. | ||
But there's all these like media polls that are coming out. | ||
They're claiming the race is tight. | ||
We have to repair that it is tight. | ||
So we have to just put that to bed and be done with it. | ||
Because the woman running against him is a lunatic. | ||
I mean, she's a nut. | ||
Working families person. | ||
She's been arrested. | ||
She's assaulted cops, I think. | ||
I mean, she's a lunatic. | ||
Far leftist. | ||
Can't have that, of course. | ||
None in Iowa 3. | ||
Won it by like 0.5%. | ||
Dems are really going into Iowa because Iowa kind of used to be a battleground state for president and now it's become so Republican statewide that there's not much real sort of effort in there because it's sort of a Republican state. | ||
But they're trying to pick off one or two House seats by dumping in like $10 million. | ||
So you got to lock in there. | ||
You can't take anything for granted. | ||
Make sure you get out to vote in Iowa. | ||
General Scott Perry in Pennsylvania. | ||
I mean, they are going insane on that race. | ||
I mean, $10 million, $15 million, $20 million, actually, I think, is being dumped. | ||
I think he puts it to bed, and I understand he's on the radar for most of our grassroots folks, but make sure you get there. | ||
We're going to put this to bed so we can kind of stay above water here and try to focus on some other areas. | ||
Mike Garcia. | ||
He's a hero, Los Angeles veteran. | ||
It's tough every time he wins by a tight margin. | ||
I mean, these seats that we hold currently, which the posse was hugely getting in, these are seats that Joe Biden won by 10, 15 points. | ||
And these are not easy seats, no matter how hard they were coming after us. | ||
These we have to work every time. | ||
We can't let up an inch. | ||
So Mike Garcia in L.A., that's important. | ||
Mark Molinar just was there. | ||
Hudson Valley down the southern tier. | ||
That is critical. | ||
That's the most expensive race in the country. | ||
In upstate New York, in Lisa's area, no room for error. | ||
The guy running against him is a lunatic, represented Chinese companies. | ||
This guy is such a fool. | ||
He literally went to the Supreme Court and led the argument to claim that President Trump didn't have the ability to open the border or just sort of close the border, make decisions, this and that. | ||
And then Kamala Harris and Joe Biden used his arguments as the framework for their arguments and their reasoning on the executive orders to open the border. | ||
Let me say that again. | ||
This psychopath running for Congress went to the Supreme Court and argued... | ||
On that, why we need an open border and how it was to be done. | ||
And Joe Biden and Kamala Harris used his legal briefings to justify their executive actions to open the border. | ||
And he's running ads claiming he's for the border. | ||
That's how much of a scam this is. | ||
We have to vote in New York where they're putting in $250 million combined spending across the board with the super PACs, this and that. | ||
Lori Chavez-Daremer, important, that's in Oregon. | ||
Juan Siskamani, Arizona, that's important. | ||
We're looking at great numbers right now. | ||
Brandon Williams, New York. | ||
Upstate, Syracuse, Utica, also Alisa's area, also an area that Joe Biden won by about 10. | ||
It's tight there, but I think we're going to win. | ||
Valadeo, that's an important one. | ||
Don Bacon in Omaha. | ||
And Duarte also in the L.A. area, sort of actually the Valley. | ||
So... | ||
Those are the key sort of defense seats where they're dumping in money, dumping in effort. | ||
If we stop them there, stop them at those seats, and I think we'll win every one, but it's going to be tight... | ||
We hold the house because we're going to pick up a few of these seats. | ||
Joe Kent looks great and definitely watch the debates. | ||
They're insane, some of these Democrats. | ||
I mean it all sort of unravels when they have to answer basic questions. | ||
I mean I understand the posse streamed and war room streamed Joe Kent's debates. | ||
I'm surprised this Maria person even agreed or Maria whatever her name is. | ||
To these debates because she looks like a fool. | ||
I mean, you watch her. | ||
She's manic. | ||
She's freaking out. | ||
She's got paper. | ||
She's writing no scribbling. | ||
I mean, she can't defend her votes to open the border, her votes to destroy this country as we know it. | ||
So let's get involved. | ||
Get out there. | ||
Vote early. | ||
Get your friends. | ||
Luke, what do you think? | ||
unidentified
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I think you're exactly right. | |
And Joe Kent, heck of a guy, great candidate. | ||
I think he'll be a wonderful member of Congress. | ||
Marie out there, she's got the Tim Walls hands, the Tim Walls hands going all crazy. | ||
And I think that he's got a great one. | ||
He can always use a couple extra bucks if you want to go to his website and donate. | ||
I know he'd appreciate that. | ||
I'm looking though, you know, Alex and I worked together on the House GOP Battleground Fund, where we're really, really pushing. | ||
Because in 2022, we won the majority in New York and in Florida. | ||
That was where we really picked up a lot of seats. | ||
And that's where we got ahold of them. | ||
And California. | ||
unidentified
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And California. | |
That's right. | ||
And so those are, you know, really New York and California are where we have the most seats that we've got to hold and hold on to. | ||
I think though, and, you know, Democrats, when they say things, they're... | ||
They're not kidding. | ||
And Jamie Raskins has a plan to use the 14th Amendment to preclude President Trump from taking the presidency if the Democrats win the House. | ||
And I think it would be tragic if we were to win the presidency, win the Senate, and come up short in the House. | ||
That's their plan. | ||
That is their plan. | ||
That's their strategy. | ||
They are creating a failsafe. | ||
They are telling donors your protection plan is to flip the House because they're cutting bait on Kamala because they see the same numbers we do. | ||
unidentified
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They're running ads with President Trump in them. | |
They know what's coming. | ||
And there's, as Steve always says, signal in the noise. | ||
They're in the Senate. | ||
That's a signal. | ||
When you've got Senate campaigns in battleground states, running ads, showing the Democrats working with President Trump, you know that they see the writing on the wall at the internal polling. | ||
I was talking to somebody today who, I said, "What's going on? | ||
We're going on War Room today. | ||
And he said, everything that you hear about the bottom falling out of the Kamala Harris campaign is true. | ||
And if that's the case, there's a lot of money that's behind the Democrats. | ||
There's a whole lot more money behind the Democrats than behind us. | ||
And they are not stupid people. | ||
They're not good people, but they're not stupid people. | ||
And what that means is that they're going to take – they see this as an investment, right? | ||
So they're going to take their investment. | ||
There's all the corruption, all the cronyism. | ||
This is an investment. | ||
This is how they keep making more money and keep power. | ||
And what they're going to do is they're going to shift their focus and they're going to say, where are my dollars best spent? | ||
Because it probably isn't putting up Kamala Harris, who can't even show up to the Al Smith dinner, and instead sends one of the most embarrassing, cringe-worthy videos that's ever been produced. | ||
I heard it was an old SNL skit. | ||
I had to turn it off. | ||
I couldn't listen to that woman talk for another second. | ||
It was disrespectful. | ||
President Trump did an excellent job at the Al Smith dinner. | ||
Even Chuck Schumer was laughing. | ||
But what we've got to do is we've got to make sure that They're going to pivot, right? | ||
They see what's happening. | ||
They see people who can't stand Kamala. | ||
They see her kicking out folks who say crisis king from her rallies and saying, you're at the wrong rally. | ||
If you say crisis king, you're never at the wrong rally. | ||
You're always in the right spot at the right time because it's been true every single day of human history before and after. | ||
But what we're looking at is that they're going to shift their focus and they're going to shift their money. | ||
And a $15 million goes a whole lot farther in a House race than it does in a Senate race or in a swing state. | ||
Or in the presidential race. | ||
unidentified
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Or in the presidential. | |
And so the impact of a dollar, you know, what is it now? | ||
752,000 registered voters is how big a congressional district is, maybe a slightly larger. | ||
Yeah, those are a little bit old numbers. | ||
But it's easier to push, you know, the margins of those people with a million, two, three, four more dollars than it is in a Senate race. | ||
But I think all of these races are going to be incredibly tight. | ||
And so, again, you can't. | ||
You can't rest. | ||
You can't rest for a day until it's over. | ||
taking away economic opportunity, undercutting, committing violent crime, undercutting our, our, our workers. | ||
But I think the worst is, is the migrant crime, which is a serious issue. | ||
And you know, what do you think happens when the third world empties their prisons and mental institutions into our country? | ||
You're going to get exactly what you're seeing. | ||
And a note on that, I think that this is worth saying they waited, the FBI waited until after the presidential debate to update their crime numbers for the most recent year. | ||
after the presidential debate to update their crime numbers for the most recent year. | ||
And it turns out crime isn't going down. | ||
And it turns out crime isn't going down. | ||
And that's no surprise to anybody in the posse, me or you or Alex. | ||
We all knew it. | ||
And now it shows that they are going up, even with the suspect data issues that are coming in. | ||
And so to solve these problems, which really are generational and nation-defining issues, will our republic thrive once again? | ||
Or will we be bound to the course of history as so many other empires have been? | ||
I think though that – and that is a very broad statement and it comes down to the smallest thing, which is winning the House, winning the Senate and winning the presidency. | ||
And I think that I'm most worried that the Democrats will be able to effectively spend money in the House and be able to pick off these seats just because of the sheer amount of cash that they've got at their disposal, which they're looking to invest and move voters and build ballot chasing programs, which is why, again, if you don't live in Pennsylvania, this election is still important. | ||
You are somewhat close to a competitive congressional district, and you've got to get involved, and you've got to take action and get everybody out to vote. | ||
And there are, as we've talked about, The Turning Point Action app, Early Vote Action has got a great one. | ||
Become a Trump force captain. | ||
That's how we do this. | ||
And be proud. | ||
Again, I think Elon Musk was talking about this. | ||
You've got to be proud to be a Trump supporter. | ||
Wear the hat. | ||
Wear the shirt. | ||
Put the sign out. | ||
Because the social – it's like – when we talk about the sides with the Democrats focusing in the Republican areas because they want to play mind games. | ||
But it really works to our own people when we do it, right? | ||
I mean it's a huge validator. | ||
It's a social validator for the young voter that's on the fence. | ||
Is he going to vote for Trump? | ||
He's told Trump is a racist. | ||
His parents have said this or that. | ||
But – He likes what he sees from Trump. | ||
He's on the fence. | ||
And he sees his neighbors. | ||
He sees his friends wearing Trump stuff, speaking out for Trump. | ||
It really has the ability to push that voter over the line. | ||
It is critical. | ||
It is critical that people get vocal now on social media, among your friend group, among your neighbors. | ||
You have to do it. | ||
You have to dig deep, get people out because it's critical. | ||
And it could decide the election as where things are sort of tight, whether it be the House, Senate, anything else, Luke. | ||
unidentified
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I think the young voters and the young male voters, that is such a key demographic. | |
I'm going to talk directly to him right now. | ||
I was a young male voter about 10 years ago. | ||
And what I've seen happen over the course of the last 10 years and the things that once used to be normal, like owning a home, like buying a home and starting a family, the level of difficulty that has become because of exclusively the 16 out of the last 20 years of Democrat control in this country, if you don't vote for Donald Trump, it is not going to get better. | ||
It's going to get worse. | ||
You're going to keep having a higher and higher bar to have to jump over just for being A young man. | ||
Somebody, you know, and you're competing with all of these illegal immigrants who were coming here for jobs. | ||
And that's one of the reasons why I think the McDonald's visit was so important, was it shows that, like, again, Donald Trump went from building the skyline of New York City to making fries at McDonald's because there is dignity in work, and we need to have a national revival of that dignity and to really push forward and to give these young men something to look forward to, something to aspire to. | ||
Give them hope, right? | ||
There is no hope in the democratic message. | ||
The government giving you $10,000 to buy a house isn't going to help you buy a house because everybody selling houses is going to increase the cost of their – the sale price of their home by $10,000. | ||
It's only true economic success in a vibrant, growing economy and innovative ideas and bringing in the best people of the world like RFK on the health side, Elon Musk on the government efficiency side. | ||
This is something – and you don't have to love everything about Donald Trump, but his policies are the only way that the young men in this country and the young women frankly – But they're too concerned about the abortion issue are going to have a future and that they're going to have a country to inherit. | ||
And so just pushing those people out to vote. | ||
If you know a young man or a young woman that's in college, give them a call and talk to them about it, right? | ||
Or just after college or starting their career because they know they feel it. | ||
And they're actually quite – getting quite wise to the lies of the legacy media. | ||
And so I think there's such opportunity there. | ||
But the young vote – the young male vote particularly is so important. | ||
Yeah, it is. | ||
And we have to run the margins up. | ||
We definitely have to cut into the gender gap on the other side. | ||
The key with the women voters is all issues are women's issues. | ||
The economy, security, the border, the chaos across the world. | ||
No president in history has done more for women in this country. | ||
Modern sense. | ||
You look at the economic metrics for the women, new women jobs, highest income. | ||
I mean, all this stuff is amazing story that needs to be told because if we can move the numbers there in the closing days, it's huge. | ||
Everything's in play. | ||
Everything matters. | ||
We're closing out here. | ||
Luke, what's your social media for the folks to follow you where to get information? | ||
I'm at Luke R. Mahoney on X. I'm at DeGrass81 on X. This is Alex and Luke Mahoney. | ||
You're in the war room. | ||
14 days in a wake-up. | ||
We need 15 days. | ||
We need to declare President Trump the winner. | ||
It's on you. | ||
It's on the posse. | ||
Let's get this done. | ||
Don't let Steve down. | ||
You definitely can't let the Constitutional Republic down. | ||
Thank you all. | ||
unidentified
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God bless you. | |
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Even four years of a conservative presidency will not be enough to turn the tide on our $35 trillion national debt. | ||
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