I believe that what Alex is doing is engaging in a practice that's known as postdiction, the opposite of prediction. This is when an event happens and a supposed prognosticator, they sort of massage variables about their prior claims so as to make them fit the actual event that they're claiming to have predicted. This is closely related to what's known as the hindsight bias. Studies have been done where participants have been asked to predict which outcomes they believe are likely to happen about upcoming events. One of the more notable examples of this was researchers asking people about Nixon's trips to China and the USSR. After the events happen, they're asked to remember what their initial predictions were, and people consistently show heavy skewing towards thinking that their predictions were more in line with what actually happened after the fact. I see a very high level of hindsight bias in Alex's coverage here on the 17th. He's already decided with no evidence that this is a false flag. He's already decided, again, with no evidence, that they're either going to have a right-wing Patsy or Islamic Patsy, who is still only being blamed in order to take right-wing people's guns away. This completely manufactured reality is being propped up by his insistence that he predicted all of these variables.