These are just some of the ramifications 60 days into the war, 45 days into the strait being essentially closed. And now the numbers are coming in compounded. And the numbers were always a few weeks old. So the numbers from 30 days into the thing being shut down, we're now like 45, the war is 60, is huge inflation, huge energy price increases, massive famine because a third of the world's fertilizer is not going through. I mean, this was guaranteed, and now we are deep into it and we are sinking into the quicksand very quickly.

But by then, a year of this, we are in a great depression. Guaranteed. There's no debating that.

The Iranians are getting through the blockade, but all they need is to keep it shut down where 30% of oil, gas, and fertilizer go through. It's already causing massive problems with food production. The international organizations that track this are estimating mass famine to be kicking in next year because this is killing the growing season.

Because the world's civilization needs this to end because the world needs oil. And if oil goes to 150 plus, I mean, we're actually toast. The global inflation will be insane.

The big energy war that we're in now is clearly the Strait of Hormuz, because 20% of the world's Uh, gas and oil come out of there, and at least 20 percent, and more than that of fertilizer.

But at the end of the day, all of these choke points, and if you can put up, I don't know if you have these things available, but my number one, the choke point maps. If you control these choke points, There, you can see like there's eight major choke points, and two of them are right next to each other actually, three the Suez Canal, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Red Sea, all very close.

To try to run past the Strait of Hormuz would be a suicide dash.

But then he's got the big news here at 8 06 a.m. Iran has just announced that the Strait of Iran is fully open and ready for full passage. Thank you. I think he means the Strait of Hormuz, but yes, we get the point. Okay, so it's open, it's ready for all passage.

Economic terrorism by threatening to blow up ships going through the Strait of Hormuz. Thankfully, so far, that appears also to have been a bluff because it's not really all that, it's not totally possible. I mean, it's just not really, it's just not very possible for us to do, considering the fact that if we want to close the Strait of Hormuz, we have to actually get close to the Strait of Hormuz, and we aren't capable of doing that.

The Strait of Hormuz, you can see there, is one of the most critical energy choke points on this planet.

He said it was not about the oil, but yet it's straight up about the oil. It's all about the Strait of Hormuz.

Basically, the average is usually about 30% of everything goes through there.

And the Iranians have closed the strait again.

This rescue mission of taking the Strait of Hormuz is like it's designed by God to be a trap. 2,000 foot sheer cliffs, five and seven foot thousand mountains above that, all perfect. Tiny beach, dozens of islands, weapons bases, hidden missiles, howitzers.

A third of the world's fertilizer comes out of the Strait of Hormuz, about 32%.

The U.S. is already softening up the Strait of Hormuz for an invasion.

Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has halted roughly one third of global seaborne fertilizer trade and nearly half the world's urea, the critical nitrogen source for crop growth.

But in general, if you try to run ships into the Strait of Hormuz, it's going to be a suicide mission. It'll be worse than Gallipoli.

That does not leave Iran in control of the Strait of Hormuz, which means $100 to $150 barrels of oil from here to forever.

We'll have global recession.

The only other thing is a big Middle Eastern war, particularly that cuts off the Strait of Hormuz.

The Strait of Hormuz really is shut down.

So dropping, dropping marines onto one of these islands in the Strait of Hormuz, to what to like be a missile target, a missile magnet, it's totally insane. Or even that northern tip of Oman, opposite the, the Strait of Hormuz, just a missile magnet, a caisson.

So the concept of going through the Strait of Hormuz now with ships is total insanity.

Even if Israel nukes Tehran, that won't open the Strait of Hormuz.

Then how come the Strait of Hormuz is closed and it's going to stay closed?

Right now, the Strait of Hormuz remains essentially closed. It is de facto closed. And I don't know why it's so difficult to get this through the thick skulls of some people who say, well, no, it's open. It's not blocked. Well, okay, it's not physically blocked. But if you try to go through without permission, as a tanker just found out last night, you get bombed and set on fire.

The bottom line is the situation is dire. And unless this gets back online, you are not going to see Western civilization function.

Basically, the Strait of Hormuz being closed is having and will continue to have catastrophic consequences for the world economy for as long as it remains closed. And it will remain closed for as long as Iran exists, as far as I can tell.

The Strait is open if they don't attack because Trump wants to say the war's over and it's open. And no, go on through ships. It's fine.

But they can continue probably for months, if not longer, firing these ballistic missiles and they can close the Strait of Hormuz. They have closed the Trader Hormuz. And they've said, we've just done that by shooting at ships and sinking a few.

The Strait of Hormuz is closed.

If they can't keep it open, this war will, in fact, be an American defeat before very long, because the entire world, including the American people, will react to the price of oil if the strait stays closed very long.

I doubt that they're going to be able to completely eradicate all of the threats for the straits to allow those ships to be insured to get through there unscathed. It's just not going to happen.

And then you have a Strait of Hormuz that is closed, sunken ships in it, but not fully blocked, but closed because the insurance companies won't let any ships go through because they get attacked. They get sunk. So effectively, they have closed it without having to physically close it by sinking a couple oil tankers in it.

If we go into, if we now extend this mission to securing the north shore of the Strait of Hormuz, people don't understand. This is like securing something that's hundreds of kilometers around and deep, all mountains. It would take an effort bigger than Normandy or Okinawa in World War II to pull it off.

Well, Iran's not exporting oil anyway. If you keep an eye on VesselFinder.com, nothing's going through the Strait of Hormuz. And, you know, you can filter the Vessel Finder for just tankers. It's already closed.

You close the Strait of Hormuz for a week, you get a 20% increase in oil prices.

You do it for two months, you get a doubling of oil prices.

So the Strait of Hormuz has been closed for four days.

They all agree that a closure of the Strait of Hormuz for three months would more than double the price of oil and send shockwaves.

It is arguably the number one most important strategic choke point in the world where 27% of oil and gas, the whole world, goes out daily.

And I don't think the Trump administration understands the cascading economic effects of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which isn't even fully closed, but ships are not going through. Like Maersk and the major shipping companies, they've suspended operations. And as I said, Qatar's cut off LNG to Europe. So this will take like a month for LNG to come back if the war ends today. This is going to have enormous cascading effects on the economy going through for like the rest of the year, all the way to midterms when he and the Republicans probably get clobbered because Donald Trump decided to focus on nation building and neocon BS instead of the original agenda that he marketed to his support base that wanted to make America great again. It's so devastating what we're going to see economically when the Strait of Hormuz is closed.

That's killing the economy.

Then you have a Strait of Hormuz that is closed, sunken ships in it, but not fully blocked, but closed because the insurance companies won't let any ships go through because they get attacked. They get sunk. So effectively, they have closed it without having to physically close it by sinking a couple oil tankers in it.

It has been closed by the insurance companies just by attacks on ships, some of which have been damaged and sunk.

The Strait of Hormuz has already been closed by insurance companies after Iran began to attack ships and blew up and sunk a few in the last three days.

They have effectively already closed the Strait of Hormuz because the insurance companies of the world told tankers and other ships, and you got 27% a day on average of the world's oil going through it, to not go through it. So effectively, the Strait of Hormuz is blocked right now.