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Nov. 8, 2022 - Viva & Barnes

02:51:21

ELECTION NIGHT SPECIAL! Viva & Barnes LIVE & It's Going to be EPIC!

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	Okay, let me just make sure we're good on Rumble.
	Are we actually having a problem?
	It's becoming a joke, and I'm starting to get angry with it.
	It says we're good.
	It says we're live on Rumble.
	I'm going to refresh on Rumble.
	There's 164.
	Good!
	We're live on Rumble, except they missed the intro video.
	So we'll go through the intro video one more time.
	Let me just make sure my audio is on the right mic.
	Settings.
	Audio.
	We're on the right mic.
	Let me just take my camera out of there.
	Good evening.
	Who's nervous?
	Oh, look, I'm not saying that I'm having a gin and tonic, but I'm having a gin and tonic.
	With this fiver tree, this is not the ad, by the way.
	With this fiver tree thing, tonic water, that has 50 calories for five fluid ounces, that's a lot of calories.
	But who's nervous?
	I'm looking in the chat and people are nervous.
	Gonna go back to Rumble and make sure that we all good on the Rumbles, which it looks like we are.
	Okay, good.
	Good.
	Let me just...
	Yeah, there you go.
	I see myself there.
	Very nice.
	Oh, people, this is officially my first election, American election, midterm or presidential in America ever.
	And the tension...
	I remember when we were kids, we read a book, and they said the air was pregnant with tension.
	And I never forgot that analogy.
	The air, at least in this...
	I don't know.
	You might notice the echoes better because I put a carpet down on the ground that's drying out because the dogs pissed all over it.
	Not the dogs.
	One of them.
	Pissed all over the carpet.
	It's a ruggable carpet, so they're easy to wash, but not easy to fit into the washing machine, the dryer.
	So that's been lying on the floor to dry up, but I think the audio is going to probably sound a little more muffled.
	I'm seeing some black pills in the chat already.
	It's all rigged, won't matter or make a difference.
	That will be true.
	If you have esposed the Michael Malice, both parties are bad mentality, which I think they are.
	And then it brings you into that little, you know, the next Wittgensteinian level of black pill.
	Both parties are bad, so settle for the party that's less bad, and that's how they create a two-party system where, you know, you just alternate which boot is kicking you in the butt or which boot is stepping on your neck.
	But it's midterms.
	I've never been in the States for midterms.
	I've watched it in Canada many a times.
	Do you have to be a citizen to vote in the USA?
	You do?
	I'm not sure if people with permanent residence status, green cards, can vote.
	It's a stupid question.
	I don't know why I don't know the answer to that, but it doesn't matter.
	It doesn't apply to me anyhow.
	But I have not voted.
	I would like to make the jokes that I voted many times for Democrats, but that's not a nice joke, and it's also a problematic joke because people who want to pretend they don't get jokes will take it out of context.
	Both parties are bad.
	I agree.
	Then the question is only going to be, Which party's less bad?
	Which party's more good?
	And which party has the capability of being turned good?
	There are good candidates running for the Republicans.
	Like, objectively good.
	But then it's only a question, like, I bet a lot of people thought AOC was objectively good when she started running for the Democrats.
	And now even Democrats look at AOC and they say, you've lived long enough to become the enemy.
	You were our hero.
	You were our savior.
	Now you've become just another one of them.
	There's a lot of Republican candidates, populist candidates, who I think look the same.
	And then it might just be a matter of time before people look back at just picking one out of the hat, Marjorie Taylor Greene.
	And they say, you started off so good, and now look at this.
	It's 2034, and you're supporting a war against Ukraine this time, because that's how the earth has shifted.
	Funny thing is, people were talking about...
	It's a total side thought.
	The war in Ukraine.
	And everyone says, we have to support our allies.
	And I don't want to get into it too much, but I was like, oh, which allies?
	You know, like the ally that helped us defeat Nazism in World War II?
	Once upon a time, communist Russia was an ally.
	Allies, as we know from 1984, they come and they go, and they go from ally to foe.
	And that rhymed, and I didn't even do that on purpose.
	But like, yeah, we should really support our allies.
	Russia was our ally once upon a time.
	Then they became an enemy.
	Now Ukraine's the ally.
	And people could have difficulty understanding the ebb and the flow of international global conflict.
	We've always been at war with East Asia.
	So here's the plan for tonight.
	It's going to be a long haul.
	I'm not going past 10 o 'clock.
	I'm an old man.
	The kids are not going to let me.
	Also...
	I don't, you know, if we're live streaming until we get the results, I'm going to be two weeks old and dead by the time it's done.
	I got some video clips lined up.
	We're going to talk about some other stuff.
	And as the results start trickling, by the way, word on the street, this joke is never going to get old.
	Fox News has called Arizona with 0.01.
	I'm joking.
	It is good to be here in Florida, although we are now entering our second tropical storm.
	The hurricane missed us.
	This tropical storm...
	Nancy?
	What's it called?
	Starts with an N. Looks like it's going to cause some...
	Not some problems, but we're going to get it.
	But it's good to be here.
	I've got some videos lined up.
	Barnes is going to join.
	As the votes start trickling in, we'll see just how long this takes to get the results.
	I've got so many good clips lined up.
	You have no idea.
	I'm going to go back to the first one because...
	A lot of people missed it on Rumble.
	First of all, there was a Rumble rant.
	A Rumble rant.
	Okay, boys, make your bets.
	From the scale of 1 to 10, how blatant will the fortification be this time?
	Oh!
	God, it's so bad.
	I've got video clips lined up.
	I've got clips lined up.
	But first, this was a crystal glass that we took from Canada.
	And someone chipped it.
	Someone chipped the crystal glass.
	It was the only glass.
	You get to be an adult and you get to be a parent.
	You can't have nice things and you can't have things that you like.
	I was going to make a joke and make a swear word, but I don't want people thinking there's any truth in jest.
	Children cannot be trusted with anything.
	Children are the embodiment of the biggest jerks you meet as adults.
	That's what a kid is.
	They don't think twice.
	They don't think before they do things.
	They are the center of the universe.
	They have difficulty even conceiving of other people's desires.
	They don't understand value.
	They don't understand price.
	They don't understand work and money.
	A kid can work for money.
	They can have an allowance.
	They don't understand what things cost, how hard it is in life to make money, to keep money.
	I don't know.
	It could very well have been the dishwasher that did this.
	So that's the other thing.
	One thing I've learned about adults.
	They blame everything on kids, even their own mistakes.
	I lose the car keys, it was the kid's fault.
	Even if I find it in the bathroom by the toilet, right where I was playing Wordle in the morning, it's the kid's fault.
	So, kids are responsible for everything.
	Irresponsible adults who are forgetful, senile, stubborn, reflexively blame everything on the kids, even when it's not their fault, and then refuse to admit it was their fault when they find out the kids were not responsible for that.
	It's going to be one heck of an evening.
	I did not bet on any of this.
	Damn, kids.
	You damn whippersnappers.
	I didn't bet on any of this.
	I did not bet on Trump in 2016 when I knew that I wanted to put a few hundred dollars down.
	I did bet in 2020 and lost.
	I bet again.
	I bet...
	Who did I bet for?
	Conor McGregor, I think.
	Whenever I bet...
	I lose.
	So I'm just not betting anymore.
	And I don't like losing money.
	It makes me feel dumb.
	Anyway, so that's it.
	So I did not bet because I always bet badly.
	But tonight's going to be interesting.
	Okay, what was I going to say?
	Oh, hold on.
	Before we get going much further, let's take care of some...
	Speaking of not appreciating things.
	Hold on, let me just see what I'm doing here.
	Speaking of not appreciating things that we have, where kids think air quality just comes like that.
	And then you get a filter.
	You get a beautiful filter in the house.
	They don't know.
	They don't understand technology.
	They don't understand how fancy these things are.
	They put their slime on top of the filter.
	It didn't get sucked into the filter, but my goodness.
	They put their slime on the filter.
	It drips down the side.
	But I'll tell you one thing.
	This is the home purification system, I think they call it.
	It is a system that I use at home.
	EnviroCleanse.
	It's the sponsor of tonight's video.
	It's a product that is fantastic.
	It's glorious.
	The kids don't appreciate that it's not a bookshelf or a slime shelf.
	I can tell you this from my experience.
	The smell of slime also makes me nauseous, especially when it has too much shaving cream in it.
	It just smells like you're in the perfume section of a store.
	Wherein comes the use of EnviroClean's filter?
	It removes the VOC's volatile organic compounds from the air.
	It removes odor.
	It filters the air.
	It neutralizes bacteria and germs.
	It will minimize your risk of getting the flu.
	It is used by the Department of Defense.
	It's in 300,000 classrooms across the states.
	It is $700, and it is expensive.
	But air filters, everybody knows, are expensive.
	Once you're going to spend the money on it, get a good one.
	It has patented technology in the filter that neutralizes bacteria to a smaller size than the Rona, which reduces your chances of transmitting the flu virus around the holiday season.
	It's amazing.
	EKpeer.com, it'll bring you to EnviroCleans.
	If you use promo code VIVA, you'll get 10% off the unit and a free air control, air quality monitor, which is worth something like $100, and it'll tell you what your air quality is and that the machine is working.
	There is 0% financing.
	Anybody who knows that they need an air filter, you don't need to be sold on this, but this is the one I use.
	It's fantastic.
	And thank goodness that there's a company that's not too scared to sponsor the fringed minority with unacceptable views who will laugh at those who laughed at those who said elections cannot be problematic and you're a conspiracy theorist for even suggesting that they are.
	And by the way, it could take us weeks to count the ballots.
	Right-wing extremists are literally trying to steal the election.
	Yeah.
	How often do you have to change the filters?
	One of them is every...
	One of them is six months.
	I think the neutralizer and the HEPA, I think, is every year.
	You can get the filters online.
	And that's it.
	Okay.
	ekpure.com.
	Echo.
	Kilopure.com.
	Promo code Viva.
	Let me bring back...
	Oh, the links will be in the stream also.
	I'll have to put them up there at some point.
	Let me go back to the opening video.
	We're going to talk a bit about COVID stuff tonight because the results are not yet coming in and there's only so much filling the air with jibber-jabber that anybody can do in good conscience.
	Election jibber-jabber.
	We'll fill the air with other stuff.
	Today in Toronto, they had, what do they call it?
	The Board of Health Toronto City Council meeting, where they talk about the issues.
	The two people, oh, I don't know if you're going to see the other one, but this woman that you see right here, she's a doctor.
	She's on the Toronto Board of Health or whatever.
	They make the decisions.
	They determine protocol.
	They are the decision makers.
	And there was a city council meeting at which...
	My brother was, what do they call them?
	A deputant?
	A deputant?
	My brother, I'll play that video also.
	I won't play all five minutes of it.
	He had his questions and he showed up to ask his questions.
	I proceeded to listen to this live stream of the city council meeting.
	We're being governed by idiots.
	And I think it was Plato or Socrates who said, the price that we pay for Not getting politically involved is we end up getting governed by our inferiors.
	Now, the thing is, though, there are experts involved in this governing process.
	They also appear to be idiots.
	Hold on a second.
	Oh.
	They also appear to be incompetent buffoons.
	They also seem to be tacitly admitting they don't know what they're doing and they are experimenting on humans in real time.
	But don't take my word for it.
	Listen to a question that I think the person asking the question is the chair of the board or I don't know.
	It doesn't really matter who the person is, but listen to the question and then listen to the answer.
	With the new vaccines that target the more recent variants, do we know the extent to which it's the case again?
	That the vaccine actually significantly reduces your risk of getting the virus.
	Transmission.
	And by the way, you'll notice some stealth edits.
	The only thing I edited out of this was the dead air so that I could get it to fit into two minutes and 20 seconds.
	Dead air, and there was like one or two words which changed nothing.
	I wanted this to fit into two minutes and 20 seconds.
	So I can put it on Twitter.
	This individual is asking the questions, do we have any data this time around as to whether or not the bivalent jibby jab, it will significantly reduce transmission?
	That's the question.
	I know that it's well documented that it reduces your risk of severe illness, but to what extent does it actually protect you from catching it?
	For you, Mr. Chair.
	So I think we would have to extrapolate from our experience.
	I see that Barnes needs a link.
	I'm going to get it to him.
	Hold on.
	Because the bivalent boosters were studied in terms of their antibody response.
	So we do know that the bivalent booster provides very robust antibody response.
	We're extrapolating from our experience.
	But we would have to have more experience with following people over time to see.
	To what degree it reduces your chance of infection.
	But just based on extrapolation from the antibody response, we do believe that it's going to provide a booster protection to lower your chance of infection.
	The main reason we encourage people to get boosters right now is to boost to prevent severe infection.
	Okay, by the way, if we extrapolate from experience, you will recall recently...
	They're extrapolating from experience, and they've recently just admitted that they were never doing studies on transmission.
	So they're extrapolating from experience that they don't have that they never looked into to come to conclusions based on data that they don't have.
	Enraging.
	I see Barnes is here.
	Let's bring Barnes into the house.
	How goes the battle?
	Good, good.
	I was on with Richard Barris, who's doing, for those folks out there, he's doing a members-only YouTube live stream, People's Pundit Daily.
	Some people asked, oh, well, you know, it's basically like five bucks to watch it.
	People asked why.
	He needs thousands and thousands of people just to be able to recoup how much money he spent so that he can get live-time election results tonight.
	So, I mean, basically he's going to lose money again doing this, and it's purely a public service.
	The only reason to get it that quickly is so the audience can get it that quickly.
	So for those folks that want, like, real, live-time election results with context and analysis that understands where that vote is coming from, what it means, what its historical context is, what its relevance is to that particular election, and so forth.
	You can tune in all night.
	I'll be on there a little bit later tonight.
	He'll be on through midnight Eastern.
	That's it.
	People's Pundit Daily.
	YouTube.
	You have to be a member.
	You subscribe through it.
	It's a one-time subscription fee, basically.
	It's more than worth it if you want live-time election results and reporting information.
	People's Pundit Daily, Robert.
	Is that it?
	That's it.
	That is it.
	Just YouTube this time because Rumble doesn't quite yet have that functionality to it yet.
	Otherwise, he would have done it on Rumble.
	So it's a members-only live stream.
	He has paid...
	Tens of thousands of dollars for live, immediate, early election result information from the direct sources.
	These are people that go into the precincts and in the counties and they gather information for paid services.
	The media often only pays for delayed production of this.
	That's why you get delays in media reporting.
	He's getting the information as early as anyone in the business.
	You have to pay a big fee for that.
	And that's what he's doing.
	And you get the added benefit with Barris that he's able to contextualize it.
	Oh, that's the early vote.
	Oh, that's a late vote.
	Oh, that's a mail-in vote.
	Oh, that's from this part of the county, not this part of the county, this part of the state, not that part of the state.
	So he can give it meaning so you know how to process and absorb it.
	So if you want to follow it in live time, that's where you can.
	And we got two live chats, well, three live chats up and rolling.
	One live chat at Rumble, another live chat at vivabarneslaw.locals.com, and another live chat where I'm putting out picks, sportspicks.locals.com.
	That's for those that like to bet on the election.
	Last time in 2020, when we did this, you know, told people to sell around midnight, a lot of people locked in a lot of profit before waking up to those people that didn't, weren't part of the live chat, didn't know to sell.
	So giving people live odds as to what that works.
	And I'm wearing a Duran sweatshirt and a totally nonpartisan hat.
	Robert, yeah, people wanted a tie, but that is a dapper looking...
	Sweater.
	Yeah, so you got the Duran Eagle, you got the U.S. flag right in the middle, and they got these nice colors.
	So I think it's the Duran store.
	They get a lot of cool stuff.
	You can get your own flag in the middle, so you can get any flag in the country, and you get a wide range of colors, and you can get hoodies, sweatshirts, long T-shirts, short T-shirts, hats, mugs, you name it.
	Yeah, we're going to...
	We'll have our own little Viva Barnes University ones and some Hush Hush and Good Good.
	We've got our merch on VivaFry.com for anybody who wants it.
	Oh, yeah.
	Oh, and by the way, there's a way to apparently link now the banner of the merch store at vivabarneslaw.locals.com.
	That would be good.
	I know that they don't get it.
	It's actually there.
	I found it today when I was going through sports picks.
	So it's a new Locals edition.
	So that might be a way to help for those people that want high-quality merch, including to be a good graduate of Viva Barnes University, the best law school in America.
	Right here.
	And Robert, someone said, I went to see what was going on, just over at the Young Turks, somebody needs to tell Senk to cut back on the booger sugar.
	I thought that meant he had a booger in his nose, but now I get it.
	I put that on the backdrop.
	We'll go back there and see what's going on.
	Something is obviously broken with Robert.
	He isn't wearing a suit.
	That's elected night.
	So it's emerging Republican majority night.
	Early voting in your state, Florida, I guess, well, you're an honest person, so you couldn't vote.
	If you're a Democrat, you could vote there in Broward County.
	Or if you're planning on voting Democrat, you could vote.
	I was telling folks I got my I Voted sticker.
	I wasn't a Democrat, so I didn't get multiple I Voted stickers.
	That's a privilege reserved for Democrats.
	But it was a brisk line.
	You now have to sign your name.
	To get your live ballot, which is interesting.
	So they're making signature matches, Universal and Nevada.
	That's promising because that suggests some future check on election fornication that we can talk about freely.
	We're just on Rumble, right?
	No, we're on both.
	Should we end it on YouTube and bring it over exclusively to Rumble?
	Yeah, so we can talk freely about the...
	I'm going to post it anyhow.
	Let me see one thing, Robert.
	I've been posting them.
	And now, some of them have been getting demonetized.
	Our discussion about Nancy Pelosi and Robert Pelosi, it's demonetized for now.
	Of course it is.
	We'll see if it gets the green light, but let me see.
	I posted the full Robert Malone interview a day later.
	Let me see if it's still...
	It was demonetized and then...
	Oh, I'm on the wrong channel.
	I can't tell.
	I'll see if it was re-monetized.
	But no, no, we'll go in a few minutes.
	Let everyone...
	Oh, I'll put the links up so everybody gets there.
	Yeah, because it's going to be a party, and we have to reward the folks at Rumble for this.
	Link here.
	I'm going to go put it in the pinned comment.
	Robert, you're following the news of the day, correct?
	Like all of the stories of malfunctioning machines, et cetera, et cetera?
	Yeah, yeah.
	So there's lawsuits already been filed in Maricopa County by Harmy Dillon concerning what happened there.
	There was a little copyright right at the bottom.
	I hadn't seen this before.
	A copyright at the bottom of the voting machines here in Las Vegas that had Dominion by it.
	It's like, are they actually trolling us with this?
	I thought that was kind of interesting.
	But yes, aware of that and other issues and anomalies and questions in Pennsylvania.
	A lot of last-second lawsuits that a bunch of judges stepped in for Democrats in like eight lawsuits yesterday to extend deadlines in Cobb County, extend deadlines in Pennsylvania, extend deadlines in other cities and counties and parts of the country.
	I don't think it will be enough to ultimately make a difference.
	There's always a risk of that.
	But, you know, at least from early voting results, from leaked exit polling results, it looks like a disaster for Democrats tonight.
	Well, I mean, my concern is that it's going to look like that.
	And then as Psaki, Jean-Pierre, Biden saying, give it a couple more weeks, they'll find something interesting.
	But Robert, let me...
	I think this guy just proves if your name is Bill Gates, you're probably a criminal.
	Okay.
	I was going to make two jokes about that, but I was going to make a joke that Bill Gates can't make a vaccine and Bill Gates can't run a computer, but Bill Gates didn't make the vaccine, so the joke wouldn't exactly work.
	Hello, Maricopa.
	Just tell us what's...
	Let's listen to this, Robert, and then you'll flesh out what he's admitting to here, because it sounds bad.
	I'm Bill Gates, the chairman of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, and I'm Stephen Richard, the Maricopa County recorder.
	And we're here to give you...
	Hold on a second.
	Isn't that guy on the right from the office?
	Wasn't he the auditor from the office?
	He looks sort of like Bill Burr.
	He even talks like the auditor from the office.
	We've already had almost 44,000 people show up this morning, check in, and be available to vote.
	What's the deal with Maricopa County in terms of its importance, Robert?
	Why is it so important?
	So state of Arizona, big governor's race, big Senate race, big congressional races, big state legislature races, all in the state.
	One of the most watched states this election cycle, one of the most watched states for multiple election cycles because it's very, very competitive, very close.
	In Maricopa County, which is Phoenix, dominates the state.
	It's voting-wise and otherwise.
	So that's why what happens in Maricopa tends to shape and dictate the outcome of Arizona elections.
	Okay, so Bill Gates is not new to this.
	This guy has been around for a few years now.
	As far as I know, yes.
	And things are going great out there, but there's one...
	Things are going great, but...
	I mean, it's so terrible.
	Okay.
	...thing that we wanted to address...
	Things are going great, but there's one thing we want to address.
	There's one big fuck-up.
	I mean, there's one big hiccup.
	Sorry, did I say fuck-up?
	...to make people aware of today.
	And that has to do with our tabulators.
	We've got about 20% of the locations out there.
	Where there's an issue with the tabulator, where some of the ballots, after people have voted them, they try and run them through the tabulator, and they're not going through.
	20% of the locations?
	That's only one in five locations where your votes are not being read.
	So how does it work?
	I have no idea what this looks like compared to what I see in Canada.
	They fill out the ballot as to who they vote for, slide it in, it's supposed to be read automatically, and then what, put in a box?
	Yeah, yeah.
	And I don't know in Arizona.
	I think like in Nevada, it works differently.
	Every state, it kind of works differently.
	My understanding is you put it through, it counts, and you get to see some confirmation that it counted.
	And people were trying to put it through, and they weren't getting confirmation that it counted.
	And the bigger concern is we now have had a massive shift in America.
	Part of it happened in 2020, but it's accelerated because of 2020.
	Where people vote by different methods based on which party they're in.
	So if you're a Democrat, you increasingly vote by mail.
	In Arizona, that didn't used to be the case.
	You Republicans used to vote more by mail than Democrats did.
	And Arizona has been a vote by mail state for decades.
	But 2020 changed all that because of perceptions of the reliability and integrity of the vote by mail system in these states.
	And so vote by mail is now Democrat.
	Vote in person is now Republican, especially vote in person on Election Day is now Republican.
	So the concern was that that gives a motivation for partisan election officials to make voting by mail as easy as possible if they're on the Democratic side of the aisle.
	And it gives...
	them a motivation to make voting in person as difficult as possible if that's their bias.
	And in the past, this wouldn't be the case because you wouldn't have a partisan effect by the method of voting like you do now.
	And that's why people are on hyper alert.
	And here you have Maricopa County knew that, I mean, was the center more criticism of this county than any other county in America for what happened in 2020.
	Massive criticism.
	Massive audits done by the Arizona State Senate and others.
	A lot of continuous criticism of Maricopa County's handling of this.
	And here it is.
	On Election Day 2022, they know there's going to be a massive surge of Republican voters, and magically the machines don't work in a bunch of Republicans.
	Not all of them, Robert.
	Only 20. That makes it even worse.
	It's disproportionately Republican precincts, my understanding, where these didn't work.
	It'd be one thing if it was Democratic precincts it was all not working in, but that...
	It's not the case, apparently.
	And he said 20% of locations, without referring to the percentage of machines, it's conceivable it could go either way, but it's conceivable it's far more than 20% of the machines if some locations have more machines than others.
	But let's hear this out here.
	But the good thing is, is we do, first of all, we're trying to fix this problem as quickly as possible.
	It's election day, by the way.
	We're trying to fix this problem as quickly as possible.
	Yeah, you're right.
	That guy could also, other than being the auditor from the office, the guy on the right could also be, could be Bill Burr on meth.
	Yep.
	We also have a redundancy in place.
	If you can't put the ballot in the tabulator, you can simply place it here.
	Oh, I understand it now.
	Okay, now I understand.
	So it goes through the digital.
	They fill it out.
	It goes through the digital reader.
	It gets automatically calculated so they know as of the shutting of the closing or the ending of the votes.
	If it doesn't go through there, then you put it into the metal box.
	Someone's going to take it out manually.
	He's going to specify Republican and Democrat and count it manually later so you won't have an immediate.
	Count from the automated system, but someone's going to do it by hand later.
	Okay.
	So this would function much like early voting functions in that we would get your ballot back.
	Once we've signature verified it, we would send it to our central tabulators.
	Ballots that are in here will already be in effect signature verified.
	What does that mean?
	Do you understand what that means?
	The ballots in the box will be effectively signature verified?
	I don't know what he means by that.
	We will central tabulate them.
	This is actually what the majority of Arizona counties do on election day all the time.
	By the way, this guy looks like he's being held hostage on the right.
	Bill Burr.
	Right off of his shoulder, someone's like, keep saying it.
	Keep saying it.
	Good.
	You're free now.
	Back to Bill Gates.
	And just one thing to keep in mind, we have 223 vote centers across the county.
	So if there are lines at the location you're at...
	Okay, so I think I understand.
	Oh, why did this happen?
	No, no, I can't do that.
	I adjusted it before, but I guess, Robert, you'll have to have the face, an avatar over you when we're in the big box.
	So Maricopa County.
	20% of the voting precincts are having issues reading the votes or reading the ballot automatically, put it in manually, and they'll count it later.
	The other concern was some people might be tempted to leave.
	Once you checked in, you had to spoil your vote or you wouldn't be allowed to vote at another precinct.
	So the message that Republicans put out, Blake Masters and Carrie Lake and others, was stay in line, get your vote in there.
	Make sure that's done.
	Don't make the mistake of leaving and hoping to come back later or going to another precinct because fair chance you won't be able to get the vote in.
	The Republican edge in Maricopa County and in Arizona was anticipated on election day to be something like 2-1.
	Through the last update I saw, it was at 4-1.
	Now, some people have been asking on the live chat at SportsPix about the betting markets predicted.
	Dropping for Walker and Oz and some of these other people.
	I'd put it, the exit polls are notoriously wrong.
	Now, the nationwide exit polls were unusually favorable to Republicans that got leaked earlier in the day.
	But these individual state exit polls are atrocious.
	I have been betting against exit polls now for almost 20 years.
	One of the first times I made a lot of money.
	I made little bits of money over the years, but the first time I made a lot of money on an election.
	Was on election night in 2004 when George W. Bush dropped to a 3-1 underdog to win the presidency on election night.
	And that's because there were bad exit polls out of Ohio, bad exit polls out of Florida, bad exit polls out of multiple states that convinced people that Democrats, that John Kerry was going to win.
	And the reason why exit polls have been abominable and atrocious is because of who they sample.
	They send out a bunch of college kids.
	They end up sampling people like themselves.
	And when there's such a massive cultural gap between the kind...
	Actually, it's always been a problem.
	I spotted it in the late 80s, early 90s, when I was just a teenager in Tennessee.
	Because it was showing patterns.
	I was like, this doesn't make any sense.
	Dug into the precinct data and none of it matched up at all.
	Found out later that they manipulate the final exit poll results to look like the final results, but their internal numbers are completely skewed and don't reflect the precinct results because they're almost never right.
	So people don't respond to the exit polls.
	Any exit polls notoriously inflate Democratic support.
	If there's any exit polls coming out showing Democrats losing...
	That you can pay attention to because they're already inflating Democratic support.
	But don't look to the ones that say Warnock's going to win in Georgia, Uncle Festerman's going to win in Pennsylvania.
	Not buying any of that at all.
	I'm putting the link in there again.
	Do we want to head over to Rumble now?
	Yeah.
	Okay, everybody, there's 4,574 people on YouTube.
	There are, and I'm just looking at this, 11,157 on Rumble.
	Go over to Rumble.
	Do it, even if...
	And I say don't do it, like I'm not telling you what to do.
	Some of you don't like the user interface and whatever, or you're on mobile and you can't rumble rant.
	Don't worry about that.
	In fact, forget rumble rants.
	The best deal, Robert, what's the best deal to support us or to join the community?
	Absolutely.
	Yeah, you can go to vivobarneslaw.locals.com.
	We have a live chat up there as we speak.
	If you're looking at political bets, also sportspicks.locals.com.
	Both live chats.
	Up and going.
	I'm watching them right here on both screens.
	And now I'm taking it off of Rumble.
	So see you all.
	I'm taking it off of YouTube.
	See you all on Rumble.
	Ending on YouTube in 3, 2, 1. Okay.
	And we'll put this up tomorrow.
	It will only be for those who were watching live that they will have seen it live and interacted live.
	Okay, Robert.
	So Maricopa County having problems.
	How much?
	What percentage of the...
	I don't know.
	Voting population, does that represent of Arizona?
	More than half.
	So I don't know what the exact number is, but it's a very, very large share because Maricopa County dominates the state.
	Okay.
	So they're having problems.
	Bill Gates is screwing up.
	There are machine problems in New Jersey, machine problems being reported in other cities and counties.
	It's just the nature of the animal with machines.
	I mean, these problems don't occur.
	When you don't rely on machines.
	You have a human being, you just give them a paper bow, they get it, they stick it in the box, end of story.
	What kind of bullshit is this?
	Here.
	I had two responses to this.
	Supreme bullshit.
	But Robert, let's listen to this and then I'm going to ask you a question.
	It took two weeks to call every state.
	In modern elections, more and more ballots are being cast in early voting and also by mail.
	In modern elections.
	I don't know what she means by that other than 2020.
	Don't start counting those ballots until after the polls close on November 8th.
	So you heard the president say this the other night.
	He has been very clear on this as well.
	It's been very clear.
	You may not know all the winners of elections for a few days.
	It takes time to count all legitimate ballots in a legal and orderly manner.
	That's how this is supposed to work, and it's important for us.
	It took two weeks.
	Robert, so this is the question.
	To steelman the argument, even though people are not going to like it, the steelman of the argument is we've never historically had this many mail-in ballots.
	2020 changed it.
	COVID radicalized the way elections were fortified, fornificated.
	So that's that we have more mail-in ballots.
	It takes more time to count.
	Robert, that's the steelman, and I think I steelmanned it enough, but the obvious retort to that is when you've had paper ballots, They still had the results within the day.
	And mail-in ballots are nothing more than paper ballots that are mailed in.
	So why the hell can't they do it?
	We've gone from...
	When did America go to electronic ballots?
	So, well, no, it varies.
	I mean, most states have a paper ballot still.
	It's just they incorporate machines into the process at different levels.
	But, you know, Arizona's had mail-in ballots for a long time.
	Washington has had them.
	Oregon has had them.
	Colorado has had them.
	Florida has had them.
	And, you know, Florida's able to get the ballot, the votes counted by, you know, by midnight, typically, pretty quickly.
	So the idea that mail, the fact that the method of the delivery of the ballot...
	Doesn't preclude the ability to count them.
	Some states, like Nevada, have laws that say your ballot can count as long as you postmark it on Election Day, even if for some reason we don't get it until four days later.
	That's what's controversial, is this willingness to count late-received ballots in some jurisdictions.
	In other jurisdictions, they've self-imposed rules that limit when they count the ballots.
	You know, Florida and other places, you can count the ballots when you get them, or you definitely can count the ballots as soon as the polls open.
	You know, I get the argument not to count them until after election the polls close, but at least then you should report your total number of ballots.
	That's the other controversy.
	Why do the total number of ballots change?
	I mean, Georgia famously kept finding new ballots hour after hour after hour after election night closed, day after day.
	After election night's closed.
	So Brazil can have an election done with more votes and fully counted in three to four hours.
	Most of the world can.
	So as a State Department employee put out, ex-State Department employee from the Trump administration put out, it said, look, if any other government said they couldn't count their ballots for weeks afterwards, we would call that very concerning about the nature of their election.
	And yet, that's what's happening here.
	And it's Democrats' intent.
	What it looks like is the notorious way in which you steal an election is you count all the Republican ballots first, and then you magically find enough Democratic votes to counter it.
	And that's what it looked like on 2020 when they suddenly stopped counting in Pennsylvania, suddenly stopped counting in Wisconsin, suddenly stopped counting in Michigan, suddenly stopped counting in Arizona.
	People were like, oh, Florida's not suddenly stopping counting.
	Why are you suddenly stopping counting?
	Texas isn't suddenly stopping counting.
	Why are you?
	Why is Georgia suddenly stopping counting?
	And it smelled of fraud, and it looked like fraud because it was fraud.
	And I think that was in the opinion of a lot of people.
	According to the exit polls, at least one-third of Americans think 2020 election was stolen.
	My guess is if it was an honest exit poll, that number is more like 40% to 45%.
	Okay, so that's interesting.
	The argument is, well, we're getting more mail-in ballots now, but it's not the issue that we have them by 8 o 'clock or by the day of.
	It's that we're still getting some that come in late, and so we should count those as well.
	We don't know how many.
	They keep coming in, and magically they keep breaching the differential between what was the day of and what needs to be beat the day after.
	Historically, when there were mail-in ballots, people overseas, etc., if they were received after Election Day...
	Post-dated before, they would be counted?
	Yeah, it depends.
	In places like Florida, they count them as soon as they get in.
	In other places, they count them during the election day.
	Others start to count them until after the polls have closed.
	The argument is if they are able to count them beforehand, that information might leak out and give people some inside information on the state of the election.
	There's not a lot of evidence that's occurred much.
	But even then, if you just wait until after the polls close, you should be able to count them and process them pretty darn quick.
	Well, except what are the rules this time around on receiving...
	Oh, it all varies by state.
	It all varies by state.
	Some states, you know, you can receive them.
	You have to receive them by Election Day.
	Some states, you have to have them postmarked several days before Election Day.
	Some say you have to drop them off at the polls.
	Some place you can drop them off at drop boxes.
	In Nevada, you can, as long as you postmark it today, or somebody at a post office claims it was postmarked today, it will count as long as they get it by Saturday.
	And had that been the case historically for military people overseas?
	Just not received by the day of?
	Too bad, so sad.
	And in fact, military people, there's a special publishing of ballots for the military people.
	They have to get it like 45 days prior to Election Day.
	All these protocols.
	Because they use that as their pretext to keep people off the ballot they don't want.
	They say, oh, you know, we have to print this ballot to make sure they get it so they can return it in time.
	They make different arguments depending on what it is they're wanting to do as to how this works.
	And then controversy in, I think it's Milwaukee.
	Somebody was doing something with mail-in balloting and military ballots that raised questions.
	Apparently, I think, gave some to a Democratic person, an election official did.
	That's led to an investigation.
	That's apparently led to a lawsuit that's been filed.
	Harvey Dillon has already sued Maricopa County tonight.
	Over what's been taking place in Maricopa County.
	So I think there's great concern.
	Like Mark Robert was concerned that the Senate races would all get stolen.
	And a lot of gubernatorial races would get stolen.
	He's from New York.
	So that's what he's accustomed to.
	He's more on the skeptical side of the aisle.
	I am less so.
	I think that we face a risk in certain states.
	I don't think it's a global risk.
	And I don't think we'll see 2020 repeated in 2022.
	What would be, I don't know if the word is, an anomaly.
	Like, what would be anomaly results in terms of Senate versus congressional races?
	Like, what would not make sense if some people picked up seats somewhere and lost seats elsewhere?
	I mean, that's one of their problems tonight.
	Because, in my view, they outsourced the fraud in 2020.
	What they did is say, everybody, the safe is open.
	The front door is open.
	The cameras are off.
	The security guards are going to be gone.
	We're on vacation.
	There's a bunch of ballots in the safe.
	And what happened is it varied county by county by county all across the country, but it even happened in states like South Dakota, Nebraska, Tennessee, places where there were no Dominion machines.
	This was my point to all the Dominion machine people.
	It was not that I like machines.
	I don't.
	It's not that I like Dominion.
	I don't.
	It is instead...
	That Dominion didn't explain what took place because it happened in places where Dominion was not even present.
	But in order for that to happen, you need mass mail-in ballad.
	And most states dramatically limited that this time around.
	They got away with it last time with special consent orders and specialized lawsuits.
	There were governors and secretaries of state.
	We're not playing ball.
	We're not on the ball.
	Republican lawyers were not on the ball.
	Trump's team was not on the ball.
	And the net effect of all of that led to them being able to have mass mail-in balloting.
	This time around, mail-in balloting was less than half.
	In some cases, a third, sometimes as low as 10% of what it was in 2020 in many states.
	So there isn't the margin to soften that.
	And to give an example, people like John Ralston, notorious lefty, who prides himself on being accurate about Nevada elections.
	I think he's overstated that, but to his credit today, he predicted Democrats would take every seat but the governorship in Nevada.
	By middle of the day...
	He was saying, what predictions are you talking about?
	I'm trying to find the delete button on my computer.
	And it's because he could see Republican tsunami.
	So here would be the issue.
	If a state like Pennsylvania or a state like Michigan or Illinois, New York, or California and some of these contested congressional districts have...
	A weird divergence from the whole national trend that shows up in, say, Arizona or Nevada or Florida, North Carolina or Georgia or Louisiana, these other states, people are going to know that something went AWOL.
	One reason they did it the way they did it in 2020 was so it was hard to make that comparison because it happened in states that weren't even competitive.
	And that was part of the reason.
	It was to show, it was to create an impression.
	This was why they were never going to use machines, folks, to do the election.
	It would look terrible if the counties with machines, everybody would know it was the machines if the counties with machines had weird results that didn't compute with counties without machines.
	So they were never going to rely on that.
	That was a telltale sign.
	This time around, this election cycle, because of the changes of election rules in Arizona, Georgia, even to some degree Nevada and in Wisconsin, A lot more attention at every level, but at the local, county, and state level by a wide range of legal and political actors make it much harder for them to pull that off again.
	A sign of generally a fraud is disparate results in similar communities.
	Usually you look at neighboring precincts or counties that are alike, and you look to see if there's some weird disparity.
	What happened in 2020 was, I'll take an example, two coal mining counties in Tennessee.
	They always trend the same way.
	Whichever way they trend, they trend together because demographically, culturally, socioeconomically, ancestrally, they're near identical.
	You saw weird disparities where one trended toward Trump, one trended toward Biden.
	What you found in county after county, precinct after precinct, when you did a deep dive, was that the ones that had unusual Biden trends also had unusual turnout.
	That almost all of Biden's margin was a much higher turnout of voters for Biden.
	And when you dug deeper, you found that turnout disproportionately came in precincts that came from certain locations, came from mail drop boxes, came from apartment complexes, came from nursing homes.
	That's where you can engage in mass mail-in voter fraud if you want to, especially if nobody's doing a real signature match check on the backside.
	It didn't come from urban precincts like a lot of Republicans have thought.
	They thought this was an urban black political machine product.
	And that's because there's a history of allegations of corruption of urban political machines in America, often tied to certain ethnic support groups.
	It's varied over time, Irish in some elections, Italians in others, African Americans or Latinos in recent elections.
	And in places like Detroit, in places like Philadelphia, in places like parts of New York City, places of Atlanta.
	That isn't where it happened.
	It came in suburban counties, like Stacey Abrams.
	We did an overlap analysis in Georgia.
	And I said, take a look.
	And see if the unusual drop-off between the presidential voting and the Senate voting in Georgia, whether it was disproportionately in the exact same places that happened in 2018, where there was also an unusual drop-off between Stacey Abrams and the lieutenant governor candidate.
	And guess what?
	It overlapped almost exactly.
	So what it told you was that Stacey Abrams' political machine could get some old 2000 Mule-style ballots to pad the ballot box advantage, and while everyone was running around chasing computers, they were able to steal it right in clear sight of day.
	Steal it according to the applicable rules, unless the idea is that some of those signatures were not real people.
	Are you talking, Robert, more like going to these places, getting people to fill out ballots the way you want them to?
	Not through coercion, but rather through inducement.
	I think they just filled out.
	I think they did what that idiot on The View said today.
	Let me pull that one up.
	For those that don't know, the person on The View basically admitted that she voted for her son, is my understanding.
	It's more like that.
	It's even worse in some cases.
	Let's say you're a nursing home administrator.
	This happened everywhere.
	In other words, you didn't have universal.
	Unusual nursing home turnout.
	You didn't even have it in places that a political machine would operate.
	So a political machine, let's say you have a lot of influence at a public housing project or an apartment complex or a nursing home, as an example.
	And you go there and you get a bunch of people to fill out the ballots the way you want and you make sure that you're delivered.
	That's an old school machine style voting.
	If that's the case, it would show up in certain places kind of universally.
	That isn't what happened.
	You got it wildly all across the country.
	Even like I said, in coal country in Tennessee, which wasn't competitive.
	Because when you outsource the fraud, the advantage is there's no centralized organizing source for you to track or trace.
	There's no weird disparities that you can point out between states.
	And so that was the genius of it.
	What I think took place, the most logical evidentiary inference from what I saw in Georgia, is that, because like, I'll give you an example.
	You could have a nursing home in two different, two nursing homes, you know, a mile apart from each other.
	One had 95% turnout.
	One had 60% turnout.
	And there was nothing about those nursing homes that, like, it wasn't like one is not really a nursing home.
	People are more, you know, there was nothing like that.
	They were comparable by every measurement.
	What you have in that circumstance.
	And it wasn't like one was predominantly African-American or connected to a particular church or anything else.
	You'd say, hey, that's an organizational effort.
	Not like one is private, one is public, so one they might want to go target.
	Okay.
	Because we did a deep dive trying to figure out what...
	And it turned out it was purely Rambo.
	I was like, this is genius the way they did this.
	To outsource the fraud is just brilliant.
	Now, it's a hard thing to recreate, right?
	2020, you got the pandemic.
	Allows you to loosen and liberalize the rules so you know the signature match checks won't meaningfully apply.
	Ballots are being dropped off.
	It's in intermediary spaces, so people can't trace its custody.
	It was being opened without the signature match ever being done, so then you could disconnect the ballot from the signature.
	So there's multiple brilliances, but it was also limited because you could only get people to say, well, I've got to beat Hitler, right?
	But to get that same person's motivation to take a big gamble the second time around is harder.
	There's movies like 2,000 Mules.
	Everybody's talking about it.
	Suddenly people are watching at Dropboxes.
	They're watching videos at Dropboxes.
	Your motivation goes way down to be able to...
	We'll pull it off a second time.
	That was the downside to it.
	Very tough to replicate.
	But what it is, is you have somebody in that nursing home that has access to the mail.
	Somebody at the apartment building that has access to the mail.
	And they just fill out a bunch of ballots for people.
	And that's what was taking place.
	And they had confidence.
	That's why you...
	One of the ways it got flagged was people showing up at the ballot box and being told at the polling station, being told as did still happen to some degree today, but not...
	You've already voted.
	Yes.
	Said you've already voted.
	That's because somebody filled out your ballot for you.
	And that's like the African-American gentleman that appeared on Tucker Carlson that lived in Nashville, that somebody voted for him in Arizona.
	He's like, that couldn't have been me.
	I moved.
	I voted here in Tennessee.
	I didn't cast that ballot.
	Most likely they looked at demographics of certain groups, if they're smart, and knew what the probable vote pattern would be.
	And knew what the likelihood that person would vote is.
	And they most likely took...
	And see, this was showing up in Georgia.
	Because in Georgia, when I got down there, they said, well, a bunch of people that were what's called zero for four.
	And for those people that don't know, what they do is they look at the last four federal elections.
	And the four for four people are people that have voted in every single federal election the last four once.
	So that would mean, in this case, 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014.
	Three out of four...
	Two out of four, one out of four.
	Your zero out of four, one out of four people are people that often never vote, particularly your zero out of four people.
	In some cases, zero out of ten people.
	Now, that was happening in Trump country because a bunch of Trump people were new voters who had given up on voting for a decade plus.
	But it was also happening in these disproportionately Democratic ballot produced areas, mostly in the suburbs, in places like nursing homes and apartment buildings.
	So what you do is you go through a list.
	You match it up with a list of how many people within your nursing home or your apartment building never vote.
	And that's who you fill in the ballot for.
	And that's why you're unlikely to get caught, because those people are unlikely to actually vote anyway.
	It is genius.
	I mean, it's genius in its simplicity, Robert.
	But hold on.
	Speaking of people admitting to crimes.
	On national television.
	This is it.
	You'll explain to me what I think I understand from this.
	Put that phone down, girl.
	God bless you.
	It's my son.
	Oh, I didn't see the put that phone down, girl.
	Put that phone down, girl.
	Sonny's on the phone with her son.
	It's my son.
	Who, by the way, wanted to make sure that his absentee ballot was...
	That I did that.
	And I had trouble actually voting for him absentee ballot today.
	And that made me very concerned the first time.
	I was told to put it in an orange bag on the floor.
	And the orange bag looked to me like a Target bag or something.
	And I said, isn't there a formal election box that says absentee ballots or something like that?
	And then she said, let me check.
	And then found it.
	So that concerned me.
	Robert, so...
	What concerned her is that when she filled out her son's ballot for him, I presume, she filled out her son's ballot as per his wishes, undoubtedly.
	And if he said vote for DeSantis...
	You can't do that.
	In other words, outside of very limited circumstances.
	If she has a power of attorney.
	She could have a power of attorney.
	Not even all states.
	Some states, even that's not enough.
	She's probably in New York, so I don't know what the rules are in New York.
	In most states, you can only help deliver a ballot in limited circumstances.
	You can't help fill out the ballot.
	That's not legally an option.
	Anywhere that I know of, to be honest with you.
	That's not something you can do at someone's direction or instruction or anything else.
	That's election fornication just the same.
	Some people in the chat on Rumble are saying she's lying.
	She's lying.
	It never happened, but she thought it would make it look bad.
	Make a good story.
	Good stories are not stories where you admit to election fraud on TV.
	She filled out her son's absentee ballot and then delivered it for him.
	Or she's going to say, he filled it out and then left it for me.
	Mom, can you deliver it for me?
	That clip is going to be part of documentaries for like 50 years.
	It's outrageous.
	There's only two options and neither of them are good.
	She either filled it out for him or he filled it out and said, Mom, can you deliver this for me?
	Both of which are not permissible.
	Depending on circumstances.
	Maybe the latter, sometimes a close.
	But I'll give you an example.
	Those laws, those absentee ballot exceptions were intended for disabled people.
	So people who physically are incapable of delivering their ballot.
	Now as a whole, I've never understood that because even disabled people can give it to the postman.
	But you're not supposed to be doing this business of other people voting for you by proxy.
	That's what that is.
	You can do that for stockholders.
	You can't do that for presidential or official elections.
	Music and Fiction says, word from friends in Virginia Beach and around Fredericksburg.
	VA2 and VA7 are about to flip, and VA10 is under massive threat.
	Do you know what that means?
	So Virginia7 has a CIA spook Democrat elected official.
	I would love to see that person lose.
	Virginia2.
	So those are two Republican seats.
	Virginia 10 is the Alexandria Loudoun County D.C. swamp seat.
	So that's a seat that voted for Joe Biden by, I think, 20 points.
	If that seat's anywhere near competitive, it's going to be a long night for Democrats.
	Well, but they're not going to know anything, Robert, because it's going to take weeks.
	Days, if not weeks.
	Well, Virginia's got a Republican governor, and so that's the trickier.
	They're going to have harder times in those states.
	Like, where they have the most leeway is New York, where they control the state legislature, they control the governorship, they control the state officials, they control a lot of the local county officials in questionable jurisdictions, they control a lot of the judges.
	Same in Illinois, same in California, same in some degree in Washington.
	A little bit, but not as much in Oregon.
	And they have a little bit of that to a degree, though it varies in Nevada.
	They don't have that in Arizona.
	They don't have that in Georgia.
	They don't have that in Florida.
	They don't have that in Wisconsin.
	They don't even have that to the same degree in Pennsylvania or Michigan.
	That's their problem.
	And they got away with a lot of people not paying attention last time in some of those states.
	That ain't happening this time.
	The laws changed in Arizona.
	The laws changed in Georgia.
	The laws changed even to some degree in Nevada.
	Like I said, I don't recall ever having to sign and do a signature match check as a precondition of me getting to vote.
	That happened today in Nevada.
	So I like that.
	That's going to deter.
	And it provides an evidentiary mechanism of catching it after the fact.
	Now, I'm still worried about Harry Reid's machine magically coming up with 10,000 postmarked ballots from Clark County on a Saturday that supposedly were postmarked on Election Day.
	I'm still concerned about that, but it's going to look like that, right?
	I mean, the thing with fraud, I always call it the margin of fraud.
	It needs to be within one to two points.
	It needs to be very close because you can get away with a little edge here, a little edge there.
	It's tough to get away with it big time.
	And it's even tougher to get away with it big time when everybody on the world on the Republican side is watching, waiting, thinking it's going to happen.
	And it's even tougher than that when the rules have changed.
	And it's even tougher than that when a whole bunch of Democrats know that.
	Right?
	I mean, 2,000 mules.
	Let a whole bunch of people to watch Dropboxes all across the country.
	If you think people are just going to be eager for 20 bucks to try to steal 50 ballots, you're wrong.
	There's a bunch of people going to be like, yeah, who cares this time?
	This old guy sucks anyway.
	You say people are watching this time, Robert.
	I'm just on the...
	Well, you know what?
	I can share it.
	I'm on the front page of Rumble, let alone YouTube, because everyone on Rumble, that's here.
	Look at this.
	Talk about people watching this.
	There's a ton of people waiting for Louder with Crowder.
	46,000.
	47,000 watching War Room.
	Rubin Report's got 3,500.
	We've got 17,000.
	Charlie Kirk has got 55,000.
	The world is watching this time.
	It's glorious.
	Compare this to 2020.
	Yeah, just me and you and Richard Barris talking to Steve Bannon and me telling people in the live chat, you know, time to sell, time to sell.
	So, you know, a lot of people saved money on the betting odds, but I could see what was happening in live time.
	And I remember, it's just, I'm hearing what you said the first time for the second time now, and it makes, I mean, now I have the knowledge to actually understand what you were saying back then that I sort of only understood 20% of.
	But Robert, let's get a good clip here.
	Let's get a...
	People in panic mode.
	Listen to this, people.
	It's going to blow your freaking minds.
	Hold on, it's on mute.
	Always talk about voter suppression.
	One key thing, it's almost 5 o 'clock, right?
	In the state of Georgia, I think this is the greatest indicator that we have to always talk about voter suppression.
	One key thing, it's almost 5 o 'clock, right?
	In the state of Georgia, thanks to Brian Kemp and Raffensperger, they changed the state law so that you cannot get a provisional ballot in Georgia before 5 o 'clock.
	So if you waited in line for two and a half hours, got there, and they said, oh, there's some sort of mistake, you can't get a provisional ballot here.
	The level of voter suppression is beyond anything that we saw in 2018.
	So I think it's completely up in the air.
	There has been youth turnout at levels we haven't expected.
	Democrats feel confident.
	Republicans I've spoken to feel confident.
	But we can't say that whatever happens tonight is a fair and equitable election because there have been too many laws passed by election deniers to keep people from being able to suppress themselves.
	Hold on.
	Fair and equitable.
	I don't know what equitable means under those circumstances.
	He means there's been a lot of voter fraud suppression.
	I am hearing that they may have already called Florida for DeSantis, which gives you an idea where the election is trending.
	Listen to the last part again.
	It's a fair and equitable election because there have been too many laws passed by election deniers to keep people from being able to suppress it.
	Too many laws passed by election...
	Fill in the word election deniers with Democrats and then go back to 2020, which nobody understood at the time.
	The laws that were passed, the rules that were passed, litigation settlements entered into before the election that don't allow voters to express themselves.
	Hold on.
	Hold on.
	I have it in the backdrop here.
	Someone said I should get a producer.
	Never!
	I'm a control freak.
	That's our thing.
	Don't judge me.
	For bringing up NBC.
	If we don't bring up NBC, they might delete it and then we'll never know that it existed.
	Let's see what they're announcing on NBC.
	50-50 matchup there in the Senate, but we will see if that changes tonight.
	And we want to start getting into the governor's races at this hour.
	And we will project that Ron DeSantis cruises to victory over Charlie Crist by double digits.
	Florida, stay safe.
	Stay safe.
	Governor's race, Josh Shapiro, Doug Mastriano.
	That is too early to call Mastriano.
	Don't call everything else too early to call.
	Isn't Shapiro the one who predicted that Trump would lose Pennsylvania?
	And he was the Attorney General at the time?
	Yes, yes.
	And by the way, this tells me that if Abrams is up in this vote, this is a heavily Democratic vote that's been counted.
	So that means Walker's in better stead than some of them have said.
	Obviously, they know Arizona.
	They know which way Alabama's going to go no matter what.
	So they're just declaring it in advance.
	But this is shocking, right?
	Connecticut being too early to call.
	Illinois being too early to call.
	These are states, like Alabama, they would normally call.
	Maine, I hope the LePage is competitive.
	The fact that it's too early to call.
	Maryland, too early to call.
	They've all closed, right?
	These are states that have closed and they're still saying too early to call because 8 o 'clock was the shutdown for more states.
	Same with Massachusetts.
	I don't think it will end up being closed in Massachusetts, but what this tells you is...
	In each of these jurisdictions, that's a heavily Democratic vote that's in, because Sununu's going to romp.
	So people can use that to counter look at the Senate races.
	If you're looking at betting on the political markets, do a comparison, and it'll give you a sense of whether things are where they say they are.
	So when you look at, like, see, for example, here, only 5% in, they're already calling it for the Republican in South Carolina, calling it for the Republican in Arizona.
	I mean, not Arizona, in Alabama.
	The fact they couldn't call it in states like Massachusetts, in Connecticut, in Illinois, these massively Democratic states tell you how nervous they are based on whatever data they have seen.
	So it suggests a big Republican cycle.
	And for those folks out there, one way you can look at it, it's like Sununu's going to win by, I think, 20 points or something in New Hampshire.
	And so compare that to the Senate race.
	And so if Sununu's down four and Baldick is down 10, then that tells you that Baldick's very much in that race.
	Same in Georgia.
	Kemp is going to win big by double digits.
	So if Abrams is up by three or four points, is Walker down by 14 or 15?
	Because if he's not, then Walker's in good position.
	I'm placing an order with my daughter here.
	Let's see if I can get a...
	Something in the room so I don't have to leave.
	Okay, it's fantastic.
	I'm nervous, Robert.
	At least someone in the Rumble section said at least Viva doesn't have to move to Texas now.
	Yes, Florida will stay safe at least for two years unless DeSantis decides to run for president.
	Robert, I've been thinking about the answer and have not looked it up yet.
	What would happen?
	DeSantis gets re-elected.
	Okay, fine.
	He decides to run for president in 2024 and gets elected.
	What happens to the governorship of Florida?
	Go to the lieutenant governor, I believe.
	And who's the lieutenant governor right now?
	Cuban.
	A sort of populist-oriented female Cuban.
	Okay, not Mark Cuban.
	Like a Cuban woman.
	Okay.
	You look down in Miami.
	You got to know that distinction by now.
	So I'm safe in Florida for at least until 2020.
	How long is the governor?
	It's every four years.
	So I'm safe.
	I'm safe.
	All right, because we just got a Florida car and I don't want to have to worry about selling.
	What'd you get?
	I don't want to say because people are going to get angry because I'm supposed to boycott.
	It was a used car, so technically I'm not supporting Volkswagen.
	I supported a used car dealer.
	You got a Volkswagen.
	Robert, I had no choice.
	You got the Nazi car.
	You got a German Nazi car.
	I had no choice.
	There are no seven-seater.
	The seven-seater's options are I could not bring myself to get a Hyundai or a Honda.
	So it was a Ford Explorer, which, you know, we found a beautiful, used Tiguan.
	Seven-seater, tiny car, perfect.
	And it was used, and, you know, within the range.
	There are cute little cars.
	I mean, Nazis made some good cars.
	Well, you know what the funny thing is?
	My first reflexes didn't go to Hitler in World War II.
	It went to Twitter, and they pulled their advertising from Twitter.
	It's like, yeah, I...
	But I can say, to the extent I bought it used, I didn't buy it from Volkswagen.
	I bought it from a local car dealership.
	I can feel good about supporting the economy.
	Yeah, so we got that.
	So that's it.
	We got one problem resolved, one headache resolved, but others are going to come.
	Okay, so Florida goes to DeSantis.
	Fantastic.
	That quibble between DeSantis and Trump, has DeSantis even...
	Address it yet or just irrelevant?
	You know, just behind the scenes that he's not challenging Trump and that all the rumors that he is is false.
	So he's repeated that often.
	So there really isn't much there, aside from Trump wanting to tell other people that, you know, he's the head guy.
	But I thought that was counterproductive for Trump, but he mostly dropped it.
	It got people who didn't want to get mad at Trump mad at Trump.
	Robert, let's bring out another...
	Let me see here.
	Which one is this?
	Oh!
	Just for posterity.
	For posterity, Mika Brzezinski.
	It's just beautiful.
	The internet is forever.
	It never goes away.
	The dangerous edges here are that he's trying to undermine the media, trying to make up his own facts, and it could be that while unemployment and the economy worsens, he could have undermined the messaging so much that he can actually control exactly what people think.
	And that is our job.
	First of all, Robert, Mika Brzezinski and this guy, what's his name again?
	Oh, Joe Scarborough, the intern killer.
	They're married, right?
	Yes, now they are.
	He dumped his wife for her.
	Okay, so it's terrible.
	And an intern died in his office by fainting and allegedly smashing her head on the corner of a desk and dying.
	Did you do a deep dive hush-hush into that ever or no?
	No, I actually haven't.
	I think that's probably a worthy hush-hush.
	People don't remember that Trump brought it up in 2020 and said, didn't he kill his intern?
	And there's no accusations that he actually killed his intern, but an intern actually died in his office by fainting, hitting her head on a desk, and died.
	All right, make of that what you will.
	Exactly.
	Wow!
	I got some Rumble rants, which were good ones here.
	Let me just...
	I took screenshots of a few of them.
	Efits says, many states don't start counting those ballots until they are delivered from local Democrat party bosses.
	Party.
	This is Krone Wayne, or K-R-O Wayne.
	On the Rumble phone app, touch the car icon to play videos in the background.
	I can verify this works on Android phones.
	I think people have issues maybe playing while they're driving.
	I'm not your buddy guy, says.
	It's nerve-wracking to know that as a Canadian, that even though I cannot vote this election, it will impact me.
	Hopefully this election brings sanity back to the world.
	Robert, what happens if Republicans, GOP, take over the House and the Senate?
	What could be the most decisive victory that they could have?
	So, I mean, to get 53 Senate seats, to get, you know, 240 or more House seats, that would be the kind of decisive edge.
	Pick up some key governorships.
	So, like, right now I'm looking at the predicted markets.
	And there's a bunch of people who get exit polls and they always think they're right every year.
	And the exit polls are notoriously wrong.
	So, you know, for those watching, I'll give out, you know, the 53 Senate seats is still good at, you know, three to one odds, two to one odds.
	You can get Republican House and the Senate, 73 cents, about minus 300.
	It's a 3-1 favorite.
	They should be like 10-1 favorites.
	Pennsylvania is at 54% for the Republican to win.
	It should be higher.
	Same with the Arizona Senate race.
	Here's a sign.
	If you're a smart sports predictor, better.
	If you see Nevada at 75% chance, it's going to go Republican.
	Then you can know Arizona and Pennsylvania, which are more Republican states than Nevada, and there's nothing else that distinctive between them in this election, between these particular candidates, should be also at least 75%.
	So when you see 50% in Arizona, 54% in Pennsylvania, 60% in Georgia, but 75% in Nevada, you should know that, hold on a second, somebody's missing something.
	Either they're wrong in Nevada, or more likely they're wrong in all those other states.
	And so I think a lot of people have seen some exit polls and particularly Pennsylvania exit polls are awful.
	Actually, just to stop you there, remind us if you haven't already told us, how do the exit polls specifically work?
	Are people coming out of having voted and then said, this is how I voted?
	They've changed it.
	That's how it used to be.
	So now they do a combination of calling people, emailing people, confirming somehow that they voted, and then producing it.
	The problem is, even when doing it that way.
	The media polls have been inflating Democratic voter participation now for a decade plus, and it's worse at the exit poll level.
	And it's worse because of how they do it and who they do it with.
	And so the consequence is they miss key working class voting groups all the time.
	And it's been throughout the history of exit polls.
	Anybody who saw early exit polls, I'll give you an example.
	I was sitting in Dublin, 2016, a bunch of buddies of mine that were in the media or in the political industry.
	We're texting me, emailing me saying, Barnes, you got to get out of the market.
	Trump is dead.
	He's going to get crushed.
	It is a complete crush.
	So much so that the early tabloid newspapers in Ireland were running stories for their early morning edition that didn't have the full election results in yet, saying Trump had lost and explaining that he got crushed by it.
	The narrative was the Mexican-American vote, Hispanic vote poured out to kill him.
	And I had seen the internals of the exit polls and I was fine with them.
	And I told people it's just the opposite.
	In fact, if I had more money, I'd bet more on Trump now.
	And that's, of course, exactly what happened.
	So exit polls are just very notoriously...
	The only time I pay attention to exit polls is when they tell me Republicans are going to win.
	Because they're so bent towards Democrats since 2004, at least, you can bet against them consistently and make money on every single election night.
	I remember this from 2016, Robert.
	The day of, it was 99% Hillary Clinton.
	I was like, damn it.
	I don't know how much I would have won if I put $1,000 down, but October 18, 2016, 91% to 9%.
	And then the day of, it was even stronger.
	And then Nikita Hughes had her meltdown.
	Huffington Post put out 93%, 95%.
	538% put out like 85%.
	I was getting 2-1, 3-1, 4-1 odds all the way throughout the UK.
	One of the famous sportsbooks in Ireland, Paddy Power, paid out winners to people who had bet on Hillary Clinton.
	They paid out winners.
	That's how bad it was.
	They gave unnecessary money to a bunch of people who actually lost their bet.
	They don't get to take that money back.
	No, they paid it out.
	That's how bad it was.
	My bet was featured.
	The morning after the election, or the next morning, in the local Irish newspapers.
	They didn't know my name.
	They just said some crazy American was going around placing bets all across Dublin because you have to go to each book and there are all these little tiny books in Europe.
	In the UK, both Britain and Ireland.
	And, you know, you're placing five grand here, 10 grand here, 20 grand, however much they would take.
	I had all these euros stashed in my overcoat.
	And so I was just pouring them out.
	Boom, boom, boom, boom.
	And they're all like, you're crazy.
	You're betting on Trump?
	What are you doing betting on Trump?
	The only guy you should always bet on is Conor McGregor.
	And they would go on a long lecture about how great Conor McGregor was and how he would never lose and how he's pretty much compared to God and a deity and so forth.
	But the...
	And I was like, I'm not worried.
	And exit polls are just not something I pay any attention to unless it says Democrats are in trouble because it's something that almost never says Democrats are in trouble.
	Similar to 2020, by the way.
	The 2020 early exit polls showed a swamp for Hillary.
	I mean, for Joe Biden.
	And when it wasn't coming in that way, it shocked everybody in the media and elsewhere.
	And then magically they stop counting the ballots.
	But I'm not seeing everything I've seen.
	Virginia, my understanding from Richard Barris over at People's Pundit Daily, everybody can follow him for his exclusive live stream for members only because he's getting live time election results and he'll give it to you in context.
	But if places like Virginia 2, Virginia 7, those places are going, I'll give an example.
	2018, I was in London.
	And in 2018, when I was in London, the, yeah, so these are early results.
	Yeah, too early to call.
	I'm not concerned with that vote.
	We'll see how the vote accumulates.
	It can often mean they counted the early ballot, the early votes first, rather than, and it may be certain big urban counties have voted more than other counties.
	So we'll see how it all translates.
	And again, so even though that's a little bit Walker, a little bit less, you don't know where that vote is from.
	If they counted the mail-in ballots first and early votes first, that's going to be a Democratic-leaning electorate.
	The Republicans almost all voted today, or a bunch of them voted today, on election day.
	So the order in which they're counting ballots has a massive, massive difference in where the ultimate results are going to be.
	It's so amazing watching them break this down.
	I presume to most people and probably most people within Georgia, for example, very few people understand the impact of breaking it down by counties like that.
	Is Herschel Walker's picture not extremely old?
	He doesn't look like that anymore.
	I didn't see it well enough, so I don't know.
	He looked very, very young.
	Oh, this is going to be...
	Oh, Robert.
	So when are we going to know the results?
	Do I want to bring up...
	Hold on.
	Let's bring up one more awesome video soundbite.
	Stop, scream, present.
	Let's bring up.
	What do we bring up here?
	Not this one.
	Not this one.
	It's this one.
	Okay, right here.
	Boom.
	Robert, another incident.
	This is in, according to Charlie Kirk, and we trust Charlie Kirk, poll worker in Maricopa County.
	This is what she's saying.
	So I pulled my ballot in, but so it didn't, it got misread, but then what was happening?
	Put it in there.
	Yeah.
	And tonight a Republican and a Democrat will sit and go through all over the country.
	This is what the other guy, Bill Gates, was talking about.
	And count them.
	And it will get counted.
	Okay.
	And both machines are not working yet.
	No, nothing's working in the last half hour.
	Okay, sorry.
	So that just fills in what Bill Gates was saying earlier.
	I assume Rumble's working okay.
	I just got a chat that said it was crashing.
	Well, Rumble was crashing, but that's because I think there are hundreds...
	Not I think.
	There are...
	I'm just going to...
	Yeah, it says service unavailable, but I think if we...
	That's when I refresh.
	Let me just refresh one more time.
	You want to talk about growing pains?
	We've got one watching now, but I know there's slightly more than that.
	Hold on.
	Refresh one more time.
	I mean, I'm looking at the front page before it froze.
	Crowder has 133,000 people live.
	War Room's got 40,000.
	Ruben's got 3,500.
	We've got 15. That's half a million people, give or take.
	Didn't they end up with like 3 million watching the Trump speech?
	Oh my god.
	Well, hold on.
	Do I reinstate live on YouTube just in case this is crashing on Rumble?
	I think if it's...
	Right now, I think everybody's in, right?
	I think that it's...
	Oh, okay.
	Hold on.
	We're back.
	Let me see.
	We got...
	Okay, we got an ad.
	That's good.
	Democrats likely hoping this won't get out.
	Possible changes to the U.S. dollars.
	Skip.
	And let me just get some audio on this and see it.
	Okay, good.
	We're good.
	Awesome.
	Whether or not the chat's going to crash and so on, it doesn't matter.
	This is amazing.
	You can just compare the numbers of people paying attention watching now compared to two years ago.
	Is it going to take weeks or will we have concession speeches tonight and tomorrow?
	We'll see.
	We'll see.
	I mean, I think Democrats are not going to want to concede quickly if it's that side of the aisle.
	And I think Republicans will only concede if it's clearly outside the realm of victory.
	So I think it'll probably drag into tomorrow, depending on the circumstance.
	I think Charlie Crist might as well give us, you know, in Florida.
	Might as well say his bye-bye speech.
	I didn't realize there were so many people with hate in their hearts in Florida.
	When Chris said, don't vote for me, and they didn't vote for him, so many hateful people voted for Ron DeSantis.
	What else did we have, Robert?
	I emailed over some links in terms of to give people some context for tonight.
	I mean, currently the Senate sits at 50 to 50. This Senate in America, I know we have some international watchers.
	In America, we divvy up our United States Senate.
	They vote because they get six-year terms.
	There's a third every two years.
	So you have 33, one cycle, 33 another cycle, then 34 another cycle.
	And so often, who is up?
	Shapes which way it goes.
	In other words, which states are in play.
	So to give an example, in 2018, even though it was a very pro-democratic environment, I made a bet that Republicans would add Senate seats against the historical norm because of where those Senate seats were in play.
	They were in play in Florida, Arizona, Nevada, but also in places like Indiana and Missouri and Montana and North Dakota.
	And when you looked at that map, it needed to be a huge Democratic swing, not just a strong but not overwhelming Democratic swing in order to be able to keep the Democratic edge in those states, and they didn't.
	And that bet paid off.
	2022, these states generally lean Republican.
	So to give an example, now not New Hampshire.
	New Hampshire is about four points, using 2020 as the barometer.
	New Hampshire is four points more Democratic than the rest of the country.
	So that's why it was a bit of a reach, depending on the circumstances.
	But in Pennsylvania...
	It's almost four points less Democratic than the country.
	In Michigan, it's about two points less Democratic.
	Wisconsin, four points less Democratic.
	Arizona, four points less Democratic.
	Nevada, two points less Democratic.
	Georgia, four points less Democratic.
	Florida, almost three, actually.
	About six to seven points less Democratic based on the 2020 baseline.
	So that baseline is what gives you the numbers.
	And where there were competitive seats is Republican incumbents or Republicans were defending seats, not always with Republican incumbents.
	In Ohio, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina with incumbents on the ballot.
	In Wisconsin and Florida, traditionally considered competitive states, they do not appear to be so this year other than Pennsylvania.
	And then Democrats were defending Georgia, which again is a Republican-lean state in a Republican-lean electoral environment.
	Arizona, Republican-lean state in a Republican-lean electoral environment.
	In Nevada, a Republican-lean state in a Republican-lean electoral environment.
	And mostly our trends have been nationwide trends since 2004.
	There's a book called The Big Sort that in America what happened is you started living where you voted.
	You went to school with your party.
	You ended up living with the people that had the same politics as you.
	You wanted to send your kids to the same school as people who had the same politics as you.
	You went to the same church as people who had the same politics as you.
	You went to the same bars, restaurants, and bowling alleys as people that had the same politics as you.
	You went to the same libraries and bookstores and movies as people who had the same politics as you.
	And what that did is that created a polarization in America at the House level.
	So you have about all but 100 or so House seats are uncompetitive.
	They lean one side or the other by double digits.
	It's either all Democrats or all Republicans.
	And so that shrunk the number of competitive House seats in the country.
	And for the Senate the same way to a certain degree.
	It made certain Democratic states outside of reach.
	It also gave Republicans an institutional edge in the Senate and in the House because there are more House seats that...
	The median House seat is less Democratic than the country is.
	The median Senate seat is less Democratic than the country is.
	So at the House and the Senate level, the Republicans have an institutional edge because of the Democratic archipelago of votes.
	If you made a map, you'd have the coast and then these little islands of Democratic support.
	Around the sea and mountains of red.
	And that's why Republicans have a bit of an edge for the House institutionally, a bit of an edge for the Senate.
	In midterms since 2004, it's all been sweeps.
	The party out of power swept one big in the midterms in 2006, again in 2010, again in 2014, again in 2018.
	Again, the only exception was the Senate in 2018 because of which seats were up.
	This map was good for Republicans from the Senate perspective, but not as good as it could be.
	Like 2024 seats would have been an even nicer map when you have like West Virginia and Montana and these other places up.
	And so I think because of that, the media and different people, the media, your New York Times, your Nate Silvers, your Decision Desk, your Larry Sabato.
	We're saying that Republicans would win the House, but in a small wave.
	That's what Chuck Todd was trying to preach early tonight over at NBC and MSNBC.
	Patrick Basham, Richard Barris, myself, have said it's going to be a big wave.
	And what do you mean by big wave?
	Republicans only need five or six House seats to take the House.
	Realistically, the low-end estimate, real clear politics, is that they'll take at least 30 seats.
	I think they take closer to 50 seats tonight on the House.
	In the Senate, for a long time, they kept saying it lean Democratic, according to Nate Silver and Nate Cohn and the so-called data experts on the Democratic side, Larry Sabato and the decision desk, etc.
	I've been saying since spring.
	That it is going to go Republican.
	That it should be a Republican lean and the betting markets are still leaning in that direction despite bad questionable exit polls, dubious exit polls that some gamblers are mistakenly believing in once again.
	It's why the betting markets are a great place to make money on election night if you know what you're doing.
	I've made money every single election night I bet just for the bets that I bet on.
	Made money every election betting cycle.
	I don't think this one's going to be any different.
	I think Ohio and North Carolina and Florida are going to be early calls for Republicans.
	Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Nevada are the close ones.
	New Hampshire, I think, is a reach.
	But the other three, I think they're calling it the teal trifecta of seats.
	But I think it's Pennsylvania.
	No, I'm sorry.
	Not Pennsylvania.
	Arizona.
	Georgia.
	Not Georgia.
	Arizona.
	Ohio.
	I'm forgetting what the third one is that's in the trilogy.
	But I like the Republican chances in all those.
	And I think the other thing that's also on the ballot tonight for governorships is the lockdowns.
	This is the chance, kind of like Canada had the chance.
	Unfortunately, that didn't look so pretty with those election results.
	And that's why I don't have great confidence in the Yankee Northeast that looks more like Canada than the rest of America does, thank God.
	Is that a lot of these lockdown governors are on the ballot.
	They're on the ballot in Maine.
	They're on the ballot in New York.
	Even though she was late to the party, she was always for those kind of lockdowns.
	On the ballot in Minnesota.
	On the ballot in Michigan.
	On the ballot in Wisconsin.
	On the ballot and Oregon on the ballot and to some degree in some other states as well.
	And so I'm hoping that they suffer, somebody along those ways suffer some defeat.
	I'm looking at the old election results.
	What does Michigan look like it's going to do?
	Lockdowns should be on the ballot.
	Is Whitman going to win?
	Michigan is a plus two Republican state.
	What I mean by that is it was two points more Republican than the nation.
	If we're in a plus four Republican environment, that means it would lean six points Republican.
	And the question is, can Whitmer overcome that?
	Her advantages is she has a lot of money and the media in her pocket and the FBI in her pocket, all three.
	And so, and state authorities in her pocket.
	So the assumption is that she is a strong favorite to win.
	Tudor Dixon is the Republican challenger.
	Not as well known.
	Didn't have as much money to compete.
	I think it's a 50-50 toss-up.
	The betting markets have had Tudor Dixon as a big underdog.
	I don't think she deserved to be that big of an underdog.
	We'll find out.
	Now, there'll be some voting anomalies in Detroit, like there always is out of Detroit.
	But hopefully there's enough honesty that we get some accurate results when it's all said and done.
	What I was going to say...
	Hold on.
	So what do we got here?
	I'll just put the volume on for a second.
	Oh, Sarah Huckabee's...
	I didn't realize that.
	She'll win big.
	That race won't be close.
	Okay.
	This is Massachusetts.
	Okay.
	So yeah, I'm not surprised they called her.
	She had a double-digit lead all the way through.
	What would be the biggest upset?
	The biggest realistic upset?
	And my God, Lester Holt looks so skinny!
	He doesn't look healthy skinny.
	Holy cow.
	What would be the biggest realistic upset?
	From a betting odds perspective, the biggest upsets would be...
	Maine, I think Maine, because Maine was, I think, as much as an 8-1, up to 10-1 underdog for the Republican governor, for the Republican gubernatorial candidate, former governor, to win.
	So I think that's the biggest one on there.
	There's some other ones that are close at times.
	Mastriano in Pennsylvania was that big of an underdog.
	I mean, it depends on where you got it.
	I mean, at one point, J.D. Vance was 10-1 during the primaries to win the Ohio Senate seat.
	He's going to win, I think, by double digits tonight.
	Arizona, Blake Masters at one point was similarly 10-1 during the primaries.
	But in terms of biggest underdogs coming into tonight, those would be, I think, the Minnesota.
	Jensen was something like a 5-1 underdog to win the Minnesota government.
	Another one, actually, maybe Alaska.
	They think that because the Democrat won the first time with their ranked choice voting, that I think they were giving her 80% odds to beat Palin.
	That's high in a state like Alaska.
	So that would mean if Palin won, she would have won as a 4-1 or 5-1 underdog.
	So those would be some of the bigger underdogs that could win.
	Another one would be Kansas 3. Kansas 3 was almost a 5-1, 4-1 underdog just last week for the congressional seat.
	I think it should have been even money or should have even been – Republicans should have even been favored.
	It was due to a New York Times poll that showed a 14-point lead for the Democratic candidate that I think was off.
	So those would be some of the biggest underdogs to win if they were to win.
	And now the question everybody does want to know.
	Hypothetically, Republicans take over the House and the Senate.
	Do they impeach Biden?
	I think so.
	I think that not only do they convict him, I don't think that happens.
	There's not, you know, 12, 10, 14 Democrats that will vote to convict.
	You don't think that there would be Democrats who would vote to convict Biden and then all that would happen is Kamala Harris takes over?
	Even though that's the, yeah, just because it would be DOA for Democrats in the future.
	I mean, I don't think Republican senators...
	Despite their threat to do so to Richard Milhouse, Nixon would actually have pulled the trigger.
	I know a few, I can't remember how many Democrats voted to convict Clinton in 98. I know I think Feingold did.
	I'm trying to remember who else did.
	But as a whole, because it's the end of your career.
	I mean, look at those Republicans in the House who voted to impeach Trump.
	I think all but one lost.
	And incumbents almost never lose in modern American politics, in their own primaries, that is.
	And so it's very difficult to see.
	You could see a mansion or somebody, but seeing a bunch of other Democrats sign away their political future just to get Biden.
	What is more likely to happen is for...
	Is this the vote for Clinton?
	This is the vote for Clinton.
	So I think it was...
	Well, hold on.
	How many Democrats voted to convince him?
	Impeaching to Bill Clinton.
	Go scroll down.
	Impeaching President Clinton.
	Okay, so that is the impeachment.
	That's not the conviction.
	So let's go down.
	I think the Senate was...
	Here we go.
	The Senate.
	So not guilty, 45 Democrats.
	Guilty, zero.
	Guilty, 45. Not guilty, 10. Okay.
	So even, I guess, Feingold voted, or maybe he abstained or some nonsense.
	Yeah.
	Let's see if that word comes up in here.
	I didn't do the control F. Or maybe he just changed his vote.
	Well, either way, one or zero.
	So I didn't realize how divided on party lines that was at the time.
	Yeah.
	And it would have been the same in my view.
	The reason why they needed to threaten Nixon out is because they didn't want to end their political career as Republican senators.
	By voting to impeach a Republican president.
	Because it's just, there's a lot of people within the party that will never forgive you for that.
	And that's why I think it's very difficult.
	What would be more likely is that they pull a Nixon.
	That a bunch of Democratic senators would threaten to do so.
	And the way they got Nixon to do it is they said, we'll throw in a pardon.
	We'll guarantee you a pardon as a condition of you exiting.
	And that's when he said okay.
	What they would do with Biden is if they wanted him out, they would go to him and say, Harris has agreed to pardon you and your entire family if you agree to step down.
	Or, let me think conspiratorially, Robert, or they come up with such egregious, like they release what's on the Hunter Biden laptop where it becomes virtuous for Democrats to throw Biden under the bus.
	Inconceivable or a pipe dream?
	Not officially with actually voting.
	They'll do it behind the scenes before they would ever do it in voting.
	Because if you're in that party, you know it's your death warrant.
	Mitt Romney has no political future at all.
	He won't even be re-elected in Utah.
	He may or may not know that yet, but that's his reality.
	But I like to think that's because it was such an egregious abuse of the impeachment process with Trump.
	But if there's CP on Hunter Biden's laptop and Joe Biden knew about it and instructed the FBI to hide it...
	Well, that could persuade a number of Democrats to virtuously vote to impeach.
	They would ignore, cover it up, argue otherwise.
	Just because it's the Democratic base and you removed your own party's president.
	And even though it's your own party that gets the presidency still with the vice president, there's just people that will never forgive you for that.
	And so that's why that tends to be a rare line to cross.
	But I think the probability of impeachment, not conviction, but impeachment in the House, at least impeachment hearings by June, is better than the odds have set.
	The odds have set around 3-1 or 4-1.
	I think there's a much better chance of that taking place than people think.
	Any betting market on that or no?
	Yes, there is.
	There's a betting market out there, and the betting markets say, I think currently it's like 25%, 27%.
	That Biden will be impeached by June 30th of 2023.
	I have been recommending that bet to people for about six months.
	Because I think it's more like more than 50%.
	Even if Kevin McCarthy doesn't want to do those proceedings, there will be massive pressure from the base to show results.
	And they won't be able to deliver legislative results because Biden will veto all of them.
	McCarthy won't want to do a lot of other hearings that he should do.
	On COVID-related issues and other Biden administration issues, because that's the nature of McCarthy.
	So consequently, he's got to deliver something to the base that the base can be excited about for putting them into positions of power, other than simply denying Biden the ability to pass legislation.
	And that's their investigative power.
	Democrats showed how powerful that can be against Trump.
	It's time for Republicans to show how powerful it can be against Biden and reward their voters.
	Okay, so pipe dream of impeachment and conviction aside, what legislative pieces of, what legislative works will stop dead in their tracks or get overturned?
	Oh, a lot of budget stuff.
	I mean, McCarthy's even suggested that there won't be any more money for Ukraine.
	You know, there's a dispute within what I would call the populist anti-war left as to whether Republicans will deliver on that.
	There's many, like Michael Tracy, who we interviewed for Sidebar.
	Who are skeptical that Republicans would deliver on that.
	I think they actually will.
	I think there'll be a lot of pressure to push money for Ukraine through in the lame duck Congress between Election Day and when they get inaugurated in January.
	So I think that what will happen, so you'll probably see a lot of attempts to push through stuff that they know will be DOA in the new House.
	I think a lot of budgetary policies will be DOA.
	Some Ukraine policies will be DOA.
	The January 6th committee will be finito.
	That will be done, finally, thank God.
	And I think they're going to have to open up some investigations.
	The House Judiciary Committee put out a report today on the whistleblower report, that whistleblower information had been disclosed to them that say the FBI and the Department of Justice have been completely taken over by political hacks for partisan purposes.
	They need to hold hearings on that.
	If the Republicans take back the Senate, there's a very good chance that Rand Paul will be ahead of the Health Committee.
	That means he's going to be calling in.
	Fauci and everybody else with him in charge to re-examine everything that happened with COVID, everything that happened with the vaccines, everything that happened with masks, everything that happened with lockdowns.
	All of that needs to be fully vetted.
	I think there'll be meaningful election integrity hearings that need to take place.
	So hopefully...
	Meaningful investigative hearings that will change some of the court of public opinion.
	End of the January 6th nonsense.
	No more loony budgets getting passed.
	No more blank check.
	In New York today, someone said they found a new black hole and it's named Zelensky.
	I saw a good one from a cynical perspective.
	It says we found the new Powerball winner and it had Zelensky with a little black mustache on.
	It said $1.6 billion.
	Would it not be the ultimate of ironies?
	GOP takes over.
	Cuts off funding to Ukraine.
	Ukraine is sort of compelled to negotiate a settlement that they might not like with Russia, and we avert World War III because you cut off funding and support to a country that, but for that international funding and support, would never have gotten this far into the conflict in the first place.
	Yeah.
	It sounds very optimistic, Robert.
	It's almost like a silver lining or a white pill.
	But what the hell happens if they lose, Robert?
	Oh, yeah, we found some votes and you lost.
	If people don't have confidence in the outcome of this election, there will be serious problems in the United States.
	It's that simple.
	They need to have competent, transparent elections.
	And if they really do try to steal 2022 in the ways they took 2020 in the eyes of many people.
	That there will be serious, there'll be blowback that they will not be able to withstand.
	It won't be a functioning democracy, frankly.
	It will be something other than that.
	And that's why I don't think they're willing to cross that line.
	I think there's a lot of lines they've shown the willingness and wherewithal to cross.
	The Biden administration sent out the Justice Department and activated the National Guard.
	And so you had Pete for the election today, and you had people in Florida, people in Missouri, saying they better not be showing up to polling places because that's not appropriate.
	They didn't.
	So, you know, I don't think they're willing to cross that line.
	Elections are still really controlled at the local level.
	So I think that too many weird results will backfire in a way they can't manage or sustain and will bring the system down, tumbling on itself.
	I don't think they're suicidal in that way.
	So I think you're going to see Republican House, Republican Senate control, at least some governorships flip.
	And the only question is how many, size, and scale.
	And again, what I tell people is where we have reliable data, like Florida and Nevada, that data overwhelmingly points to, and Virginia so far, Republican sweep.
	I'll give an example.
	2018, sitting in London, and I was telling folks that had taken bets I recommended.
	I said, hold the Senate bets.
	Early on, I told them, dump the House bet.
	I was like, because the House was like two to one, three to one for a state Republican.
	I knew it got up in the betting markets to even money.
	And I said, dump it, dump it, dump it fast.
	And it was because what was happening is the media and other people were panicked in response to certain results that I realized were actually bad results for Republicans.
	The key is you don't see anomalies very often.
	You don't see Virginia.
	Arizona, Nevada, Florida, all trend one direction and magically Georgia and Pennsylvania and Michigan and all trend the Ohio, trend the opposite.
	That's not very likely at all.
	So where we have reliable, trustworthy data, it all points to a Republican sweep tonight.
	Now I'll get back to...
	Well, let's see.
	Hold on.
	They did just call it for Huckabee Sanders.
	She's now the...
	No way!
	...going to be the governor of Arkansas.
	That's amazing.
	I mean, good for her.
	Was she?
	Well, Huckabee Sanders, I guess she had a political family to begin with, but that's fantastic.
	What's going on here?
	What is this?
	It's not an ad.
	This looks like it's...
	They're just reporting on the market.
	So Huckabee Sanders wins.
	That's phenomenal.
	Who's got the last laugh now?
	Everyone who made fun of Huckabee Sanders when she was the press secretary for a bit, right?
	Oh yeah, for a good long time.
	Trump had a couple of good ones, but she was very good.
	I think she was the second one.
	He started off with...
	Oh jeez, I can't remember the names.
	I remember exactly what they look like.
	Chat's going to have to help us on that.
	So Huckabee Sanders!
	Okay, very cool.
	Unless they find some midnight ballots.
	That's amazing.
	People are on the betting markets.
	They do it every cycle.
	They're panicking in response.
	You can get the Republican House and Senate right now for $0.65.
	That's a steal.
	You can get Blake Masters to win at $0.46.
	That's a good value.
	Robert, don't tempt me.
	I'm not doing it.
	I haven't bet.
	And thus, the people I would have bet on are winning.
	But if I had bet on them, they would have lost because I'm a deranged individual who think I have an impact on the world.
	Okay, so let's see.
	So impeachment but no conviction.
	Probable but not.
	Don't bet on it.
	Stopping dead in its tracks.
	A lot of legislation.
	Support to Ukraine.
	Okay.
	The gender stuff, like some of the stuff that's been on the national discussion for a long time, do people start to realize, hey, it's not as popular as we thought it was, and let's slow down a little bit?
	Or do they go into a kamikaze frenzy and say, we've got to get it done before the president changes in 2024?
	I think they'll try to do a bunch of stuff in the lame duck session.
	And then it'll just be Biden will try the executive order routine.
	And the question is, and I think if the DOJ or the FBI make the mistake of escalation, or if the CIA and the NSA and the deep state and Pentagon, you know, try to retaliate for pulling back on funding for Ukraine, then the Republicans will have the green light to open full investigations, and they can't afford that.
	The DOJ can't be, if they were subject to whistleblower after whistleblower, talking about how politically openly weaponized the FBI is currently, and whistleblower if they're talking about the same with the Justice Department and bring people that have experienced, I mean, that they could suffer a blowback they haven't seen since the church committee days after the Watergate committee.
	I mean, one of the great mistakes the deep state made was taking out Richard Milhouse Nixon.
	Nixon wanted to de- Hooverize the FBI, and he wanted to make the deep state work for him.
	And so he employed a lot of the people in private service that had longstanding deep state ties.
	The E. Howard Hunts, the Frank Sturgises of the world.
	That's who was running the plumbers.
	Now, those guys were often moonlighting for the deep state on the side, disguised as working for Nixon.
	That's probably what the burglary at Watergate itself was for.
	Probably wasn't for Nixon at all.
	It was for John Dean and some deep state boys who didn't want a Democratic prostitution ring exposed to certain people that had deep state connections to that prostitution ring, where they planted high-level, well, whatever you call them, well, call girls, I'll put the nice phrase, call girls, in positions of secretaries throughout the administrative branch, throughout the White House, throughout Congress.
	And often they were spying on their own members of Congress, blackmailing and entrapping their own members of Congress, as well as high-profile foreign visitors, too.
	It was kind of an Epstein ring of its kind, which Maxwell himself, Ghislaine Maxwell's father, was tied to out of Britain and the UK, which included Mossad, KGB, MI6, and the CIA, who we all moonlighted for at one time or another.
	That's how unique, that was an interesting character, interesting cat.
	And like to take in the benefits, by the way, of that particular sort of like Jeffrey Epstein, who he probably recruited or through his daughter recruited, depending on which rumor you believe.
	So Nixon chose when Hoover died.
	He decided Hoover had such monopoly control, he forced President John Kennedy to keep him when he didn't want him.
	Robert Kennedy was assassinated before he could replace him.
	And everybody else was blackmailed or extorted into keeping him.
	And he ran a fiefdom, a personal fiefdom that, contrary to many conservatives' thoughts, was actually very dangerous to American liberty and freedom.
	Though his targets were more dissidents on the left than on the right, but it wasn't limited to just on the left if people actually dug in.
	So Hoover goes down, and Mark Felt was supposed to be replaced.
	This is the guy who ran COINTELPRO.
	This was the biggest disinformation organization to infiltrate dissident institutions throughout the United States, the anti-war movement, civil rights movement, black leader movements, labor movements, you name it.
	In order to discredit them, in order to do damage to them, in order to entrap them and the rest.
	And Nixon passed over him and instead put his own guy in because he wanted to de-hooverize the FBI.
	Maybe for his own purposes, but it had a net benefit of doing something that needed to be done.
	Mark Felt is the one who became Deep Throat.
	Mark Felt is the one who ratted out all the information of Bob Woodward.
	Ben Bradley and Bob Woodward were secretly working for the deep state, not against it.
	And collectively, they were able to get Nixon taken out.
	But the consequences was a fatigued American public that had seen one president killed, another would-be president assassinated, a great civil rights leader killed, a prominent black leader killed, all publicly within a half decade, and now a president impeached.
	And they're like, something's wrong in America with a controversial war at the same time, with stagflation in the America, with rising crime.
	All the problems we're seeing today, we saw in the early 1970s.
	Consequence, massive blowback, big reformers.
	A bunch of people, the Frank Church formed a committee, first senator ever spied on, by the National Security Agency.
	It was payback time.
	And payback time came in the form of outing all their corruption and fraud.
	And it did more damage to the deep state than anything has ever done.
	So if they try to steal the election tonight, they're going to suffer a blowback they've never witnessed before.
	You say it like that, and then you fully put it in perspective.
	Touch wood, pupukunena hora, whatever other religious expressions are.
	We've lived through assassinations, but foreign countries.
	Abe, who was the other one recently?
	Attempt.
	Whatever.
	We have not lived through that.
	I cannot imagine what it was like to live through that era where prominent politicians and people were getting publicly murdered, like publicly.
	For anybody who hasn't seen the JFK assassination, that was seen live.
	And it was among the most graphic things you can possibly imagine.
	Traumatizing a nation, it sort of feels like we were headed that way, or we are headed that way in the world, not just the States.
	And there might be time yet to turn it back.
	It's kind of surreal to imagine what that must have felt like at the time.
	I had a question in there, but I forgot it all.
	But let's just bring back Robert.
	Let's just see what's going on here.
	Market report.
	Nobody cares about the market report.
	I guess there's no more news.
	So...
	We'll see what's the latest.
	So the nationwide vote...
	I emailed over some links.
	Let me see.
	I don't see the email yet.
	Oh, snap.
	Something broke down on YouTube.
	Hold on one second.
	I tell you, I think a lot of...
	No, Robert, send it to me again.
	Unless it went to junk.
	I got some stuff in here, but it's not in the junk.
	Not from you.
	Send me the links again.
	I'll pull them up.
	It's an exciting time to be alive.
	Yes.
	I'm just looking at everybody on Rumble.
	There will be no midnight shenanigans this time around.
	Let me see.
	So you sent it to...
	To my legal account, correct?
	I was going to dox my own email address.
	My email address is out there, but let me see.
	I sent it to the Viva one, but I just sent it to the David one.
	Okay, good.
	Let's see that and I'll refresh.
	When I accidentally or inadvertently showed my email address on one of the streams during the protest, I got a lot of emails immediately thereafter.
	Or texted me.
	No, no, you can't text me.
	There we go.
	Booyah.
	Okay, so let's see here.
	What do I want to bring out?
	Wikipedia, political.
	Let's see the 270 to win.
	Let's bring this up.
	What do you want to bring up?
	The interactive map?
	I'll go through the list.
	This will just give people a map.
	We can show them and I can go through each state of where I think where the different people have put estimates at where they think it's going to go.
	Okay, hold on a second.
	I'll bring it up.
	I'll bring 270 to win.
	Senate.
	We'll start with Senate, then we'll go to Governor.
	Okay.
	Remove from stream.
	Okay.
	Interactive 270 to win.
	Okay, so here we go.
	Now I'm going to scroll down.
	Look at this.
	Look at that.
	Can you see the cursor when I circle Florida where I am on?
	As Homer Simpson called it, America's Wang, right here.
	So if you go up a little bit, this is the Senate map, I think, right?
	This is the...
	Hold on.
	Let me see.
	Or this could be, that could be the House map because I sent three.
	No, Senate.
	This is the Senate.
	Ah, is it?
	Are you sure?
	I think it looks like the House or Governor's one.
	Oh, you're right.
	Oh, no, it says 2020.
	So you can go to the 2022 one.
	Sorry.
	Sorry.
	Hold on one second.
	Let me close this.
	I may have sent the wrong one over.
	But they have a 270 to win.
	It's a good place.
	Real Clear Politics also is a good place.
	Yeah, I'll bring up the 2020...
	We're not seeing it right now.
	I'll bring up the 2022 gubernatorial, and then we'll all go find the Senate as we look at this one.
	Well, we can always use the Real Clear Politics ones.
	I sent those links over, too.
	Here we go.
	Okay.
	So, you know, the key governor's races, it's New Hampshire, strong Republican governor, likely to win re-election with ease.
	And Maine is a Democratic incumbent who is very pro-lockdown, running against LePage, who is the former Republican governor of Maine.
	Maine's been a difficult state to poll because of what I call Stephen King character country.
	You know, it was outside of Portland.
	You have a lot of Stephen King characters, live characters, and those folks are a very populist group of voters.
	And so I thought the odds were, you know, Maine is a state that leans Democrat by three to four points, more so than the national average.
	I thought it was a state where LePage, because of lockdown legacy, could do surprisingly well.
	But we'll see.
	He was a huge underdog.
	Expectation was that he would lose by eight or more.
	And he was an eight to one underdog in the betting markets.
	I think he has above average chance.
	Do you see the cursor over the M.E. right now, or do you not see a cursor?
	I see the cursor, yeah.
	Okay, so like that.
	So I'm blocking M.E. right now with a finger.
	Okay, good.
	So now I know what it consists.
	Okay, so now bring us to the next place, and I'll bring the cursor over.
	The next one really is New York.
	I think New York's a state that voted for Biden by over 20 points.
	Very Democratic state.
	But Cuomo was, of course, unceremoniously tossed from power because of personal scandal.
	And ambitious people underneath him.
	The lieutenant governor who became governor has not been popular.
	New York City has had a horrible crime problem.
	She was assigned a lot of the credit for some of the lockdown issues that Cuomo did.
	So Lee Zeldin, her opponent, people think has a real chance to win, even though this is a hugely democratic state.
	If New York is even close at a gubernatorial level, it means Democrats are having problems across the country, but also having particular problems because of the crime problem that's blowing up in big cities.
	Now, Hochul, what was the process through which Hochul took over after Cuomo was removed?
	She's just a lieutenant governor, so it was automatic.
	And so, Hochul, I don't know what her history was beforehand, but what's Zeldin's?
	Political history.
	A congressman from, I believe, Long Island.
	Or maybe Staten Island.
	I think it's Long Island.
	And so he's...
	It's amazing.
	So this is going to be...
	Well, do we have any updates?
	I'll look for the updates later.
	Hochschild Zeldin.
	And it's too close to call, although Hochschild looks like she'll win.
	I mean, normally you would expect Hochul to win easily.
	If she doesn't, then that means that New York has some real problems.
	Democrats have some real problems, even in places like New York.
	Hochul, by the way, is the one who said only recently it would be useful to determine hospitalized with COVID versus hospitalized from COVID.
	This was Hochul at the same time Ontario said it.
	It's like two years into the pandemic, Hochul's asking the questions that...
	People should have been asking two weeks into the pandemic, but set that aside.
	Okay, so New York, we'll see.
	I don't think it's been announced yet, but I'll check somewhere else.
	No, I think it will be a little bit late before we hear for sure from New York.
	Pennsylvania, Josh Shapiro, the Attorney General who publicly bragged that he was going to make sure Trump lost and that, in my view, helped make that happen with election fornication cover-up operations in Pennsylvania, was rewarded.
	With massive monetary advantages in the Democratic primary and the gubernatorial race, Doug Mastriano, a critic of what took place in the elections in Pennsylvania, won the Republican nomination, but had no money.
	And so it was something like the gap of Pennsylvania because of Philadelphia in particular, the Philadelphia media market taps.
	You need to spend on it to reach a whole bunch of Pennsylvania voters, but in the process of doing so, you're spending money on New York and New Jersey and Delaware and other voters that have ties to the Philadelphia media market.
	So the net effect of that, well, particularly New Jersey, is an expensive one.
	He didn't have money to go up on any advertising.
	You're talking about something like $50 million to $1 million to kind of gap.
	So that put Mastriano behind the eight ball.
	So Trump's PAC.
	Which should have, frankly, helped LePage in Maine, should have helped Zeldin in New York, should have helped Mastriano in Pennsylvania.
	Didn't do much at all, unfortunately.
	I think it's a legitimate criticism of his political people, how they handled his PACs.
	So I think Mastriano, the question is...
	Is there a big...
	Now, Shapiro doesn't have the lockdown legacy because he was just attorney general, not governor.
	He deserves some of that criticism, but he doesn't get it.
	And because of the money gap, it's a real uphill battle for Mastriano.
	But I think it won't be the blowout people in the press and some of the data nerds on the left have been predicting.
	But this will be a race to watch as well.
	Now, of course, big Senate race in Pennsylvania as well, but we'll talk about that separately.
	Robert, totally side question.
	How did they establish the borders between states when they established these square borders versus, I guess these are geographically determined borders where they're rigid, but how did they determine the borders between states historically?
	It goes way back.
	So that, in fact, border issues, if there are border issues, it's one of those issues the U.S. Supreme Court has direct jurisdiction over.
	It's supposed to have direct jurisdiction of lawsuits between states, too, but they took a nosedive on that in 2020 in the elections.
	But border disputes, they often do take without question or controversy.
	And so some of these borders date to the British colonial days.
	Some of these borders date to the beginnings of the United States of America.
	And then others were added over time by various agreement.
	And the way a state is formed depends on both the state.
	They seek recognition from Congress.
	They get recognition from Congress, so on and so forth.
	And that's typically how it goes.
	So now, by the way, the chat had not updated in a long time.
	And there are three Rumble Rants.
	There's a $100 Rumble Rant from...
	R.S. Bram, which says, this is for the red wave, and it's a big red chat.
	Chirping Birdie says, no inspired comment other than God bless you guys.
	Thank you very much.
	You know, everyone knows that I love that.
	And we got a $1 rumble rant from Pamela R. Walker.
	Fellas, it's pronounced Hochul.
	Okay.
	See, I never know what's a joke anymore.
	I'll say Hochul.
	Or I'll say Hochul.
	I don't know what her origins are, so I'll skip that part.
	Okay.
	It's very interesting.
	It's like, you just look like between Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming.
	It's a straight line.
	Like, we have divided the state here, and then you go down to, like, Illinois through Missouri, I guess.
	Look at that.
	Like, that jagged thing.
	Okay.
	Sorry.
	Yeah, that's the Mississippi River.
	Okay.
	That's so cool.
	It's so cool.
	What's this one right here?
	Between Oklahoma and Texas.
	I don't think that is a river.
	Okay.
	It's amazing.
	Some of that was old Indian country.
	Like all of Oklahoma at one point was Indian country.
	These are my questions of children, Robert.
	They come out of my mouth.
	Okay, so we've got Pennsylvania.
	Ohio is safely Republican.
	They've already called it for that in a gubernatorial level.
	Michigan is one.
	We talked about, I want Dixon to be more competitive.
	I'm hoping Dixon is more competitive.
	I'm hoping there's some legacy remembrance in Michigan about the lockdowns.
	We'll see.
	We'll see if that shows up.
	Dixon is another one that was sort of a new arrival politically.
	We didn't have a lot of state name recognition.
	Whitmer had a huge monetary edge, big media edge.
	Like I said, the actual FBI edge.
	And so we'll see.
	So she had a lot to overcome, but it's a state that leans Republican.
	Pro-Republican environment.
	That's called the UP, the Upper Peninsula.
	Cool.
	I'm such an idiot.
	How do I not know?
	This is Lake...
	Wait a minute.
	I don't want to say Lake Michigan.
	That has to be Lake Michigan.
	Yeah, that's Lake Michigan.
	And then the Upper Peninsula.
	Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan.
	Okay, the only thing that can make this graphic cooler is if it would be like...
	Google Maps where I could zoom in and we could see the geography of the lake.
	Okay, very cool.
	Somebody pointed out that between Texas and Oklahoma, that's the Red River.
	I should remember that because they called the Texas-Oklahoma game the Red River Shootout.
	Until it became politically incorrect, then they took away the word shootout.
	As a big pro-lockdown governor, this is the governor that was very selective about when he called out the National Guard in Kenosha that led to Kyle Rittenhouse having to defend people rather than have the National Guard defend people as the governor should have.
	So between the Kenosha scandal and the lockdown scandals and the election scandals, Wisconsin is a state where a bunch of people were allowed to vote as indefinitely, inability to physically move, basically.
	And the Wisconsin Supreme Court came in.
	And said that was never legal in the first place.
	Those votes are not being allowed this time around.
	So Wisconsin's a state where the law is meaningfully changed in a way.
	And they limited drop boxes as well in Wisconsin.
	Combination of the two dramatically limited the scope of election fornication that can occur there.
	There's a big Senate race there.
	But the governor's race, I like the Evers, the Democrat, to lose tonight.
	And that will be one of the big lockdown losers of tonight, hopefully, with a Republican flip of the governorship.
	And if that occurs, Republicans control all three branches in Wisconsin for 2024.
	This is totally cool as well.
	Now that I think about it out loud, Minnesota has a very distinct accent.
	Wisconsin has a very similar sort of accent.
	Michigan, it starts to fade.
	All three of these states effectively border Canada, which has its own accent.
	And I've always thought that the Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota accent sort of mimics The Canadian accents.
	North Dakota, I have no idea.
	One day, we'll do a deep dive into accents and the origins of...
	Oh yeah, there's a whole...
	You can tell by the American accents and where they show up which part of England they came from.
	Southern England, whether it's Northern England, Coastal England, whether it's the Scotch-Irish that come from different parts of the mountains, whether it's Scotch-Scott, obviously Irish accents.
	But throughout the Upper Midwest, you have a...
	The Yankee influence declines as you go west.
	So there was a big Yankee influence in Michigan, less of one in Wisconsin, much less of one in Minnesota.
	Big immigrant groups in all three states.
	You also had southern immigrants, what they call hillbillies, from the border south that flowed into the industrial towns in Michigan and Wisconsin.
	Not so much Minnesota.
	Michigan and Minnesota are much more urban.
	Over half the vote out of Michigan or Minnesota comes from big urban areas or suburban areas.
	Wisconsin, less than a third of it does.
	Wisconsin's much more rural, small-townish.
	That's why it has more of a red hue in the current electoral environment.
	The big, unique ethnic groups in Wisconsin and Minnesota, you have a very big Norwegian presence.
	They're a very populist group, tend to be very anti-war, but can be left on economic issues.
	The big thing in Minnesota is the Swedish vote.
	The Swedish vote has trended heavily Democratic of late, particularly in the Twin Cities region.
	So you have another lockdown governor on the ballot in Minnesota, Scott Jensen, who you may remember, who they targeted for his COVID dissident speech.
	Dr. Scott Jensen is the Republican candidate for governor of Minnesota.
	So I would love to see the Democrat lose there.
	I do think the Democratic Attorney General.
	The Keith Ellison, the very political, who weaponized his office for partisan purposes, and not only the George Floyd case, but other cases.
	I hope he goes down.
	It's a close election for Attorney General there.
	It's considered a heavy Democratic lean state.
	It leans Democrat by about four points in the 2020 election.
	Because of the Twin Cities and its suburbs.
	There's also Duluth up north, what they call the Iron Range, old labor country that they're wondering whether that swings.
	And then you've got the rural rest part of the state that has been trending massively Republican in the Trump era.
	The question is, can Jensen make enough inroads into the suburbs or the challenger to Ellison make enough inroads to the suburbs?
	That either or both of them go down.
	Right now, Jensen's a big underdog, anywhere from 4-1 to 10-1, depending on where you got it.
	I thought he belonged as a 2-1 underdog.
	Still an underdog because I think the Twin Cities is a tough road.
	He's got a monetary disadvantage.
	He's got a name recognition issue.
	But I'm hoping that, unlike Canada, there's votes that come in these states where people punish.
	The governors that locked us down, mandated vaccines, mandated masks, shut down our schools, took away small businesses, etc.
	Minnesota is another one of those states on the ballot.
	Amazing.
	Now that I look at it, Robert, it seems that all jagged borders are rivers and all straight borders are just arbitrary.
	We'll get to Nevada and Arizona in a bit.
	Where do you want to go now?
	North Dakota?
	So all those states red, if you go, so really you go down.
	Georgia, I don't think is that competitive.
	I think Kemp will win with ease.
	Kemp was controversial twice in the Trump era.
	First, because he didn't want to lock down, and Trump criticized him for that.
	Obviously, it was the right decision by Kemp, though he didn't fight back on it as much as he could.
	The other controversy was he was kind of a wuss and hid under his desk during the election issues.
	Which is what everybody told me in Georgia he would do as soon as I got on the ground there for Trump.
	But since then, passed a lot of election law reforms, built up a lot of satisfaction.
	David Perdue challenged him in the primaries and he beat him 3-1 in the Republican primaries.
	The former senator and I think cousin or brother of the former governor.
	And the strong Perdue political machine he kind of killed.
	So Kemp has been looking very good.
	This is Stacey Abrams who lost in 2018.
	Barely.
	Who disputed the election afterwards was clearly an election denier that the media pretends didn't happen.
	I don't think Abrams' machine can steal Georgia.
	I don't think...
	I mean, Georgia still, for its shift from being a reliable Republican state to being a competitive state, still was four points more Republican than the country was.
	So if we're in what is generally seen as a plus four Republican national environment...
	I don't see Kemp losing in Georgia.
	I think he's going to win big in Georgia.
	But we will find out and we will see.
	The early vote turnout there, generally speaking, Democrats need over 30% of the early vote to be African American voters in order to have a chance in Georgia because that's their political voting base in Georgia.
	And they didn't get it.
	And usually when they don't get it, they lose.
	So I think in similar patterns were evident in Louisiana and Florida.
	That are usually signs of a nationwide trend to come.
	So that's where I think Kemp is relatively safe.
	And there was talk that Oklahoma or Texas are competitive.
	They're not.
	Those are safely Republican states.
	Beto O 'Rourke will get beat up again, as he deserves to be.
	And he needs to just move to California and try to replace Gay Newsom.
	Who is O 'Rourke running against?
	It's funny.
	I didn't even hear.
	Oh, Abbott.
	Abbott, who's in a wheelchair.
	But governed pretty good.
	Pretty good.
	Could have governed better.
	He was more popular than DeSantis on the populist right until COVID.
	And then he kind of went back and forth now and then on COVID.
	Came around good at the end.
	Bill Paxson, I think, will win the Attorney General's race there easily.
	So that will be good because he's brought a lot of great cases.
	So that will be good to see.
	People were saying the Oklahoma governor's race was close.
	I don't believe them.
	You never know.
	Oklahoma has some residual ancestral Democrats, but it's a very Republican-lean state.
	Kansas was a state that's up for grabs.
	I thought that it should lean Republican.
	It's still a Republican-lean state.
	It's a place where polls have often been wrong.
	I think the Kansas Republican will win, but the betting markets were generally predicting a Democratic win through much of the year.
	New Mexico, a strong Democratic state, leans Democrat by about...
	Six points or so.
	Just a second.
	Why is that?
	Because it's sort of in the middle of nowhere.
	In the middle of nowhere, as in in between Texas and Arizona, why would New Mexico historically be Democrat or even Democrat now?
	So you've got three different groups.
	You've got some oil workers in the Southwest that are traditional Democrats that can't often vote and trend Republican these days.
	You've got Santa Fe, which is a bunch of commies.
	And, you know, I always say that in a joking way, because obviously there's a difference between real commies and other commies, but that's meant to be comedic.
	But it was to the left, very strong to the left, Santa Fe.
	Then you have a huge old Mexican population.
	And by old Mexican, I mean going back to the 1700s kind of population.
	That group has historically, ancestrally been democratic.
	But they're a cowboy country.
	So this was a state to watch, just like in the House races in the Rio Grande in Texas.
	Is there going to be, like Miami tonight, apparently Miami-Dade County, a plus 20 Democratic county in 2018 in the governor's race, may end up voting for DeSantis.
	I mean, that's unheard of.
	Will we see the same thing?
	Will we see the same with the older Hispanic population of New Mexico?
	In addition, the former libertarian who ran for president in 2016 that comes from New Mexico, my understanding is he endorsed the Republican.
	There's a libertarian spirit in New Mexico.
	So when you add that in, it may be more competitive than everybody thought.
	People thought it was going to be a walk-in for the Democratic candidate.
	3-1, 4-1 favorite for much of the betting market season.
	I think she should be more like a 3-2 favorite.
	I think it's a good chance it stays within single digits tonight and isn't the blowout people predicted.
	I don't think there's any...
	I think they have Colorado's solid blue, and they're absolutely right.
	Colorado is one of the few states that their mail-in early voting profile looked as Democratic as 2020.
	Almost everywhere else, it swung heavily Republican, not in Colorado.
	And why does Colorado, also circled by red, if not gray, why does that go Democrat?
	So what's happened is the Denver-Boulder area is a lot of professional class liberals.
	A lot of them have moved from California and other places.
	They're kind of the Austin, but they're 10 times the size relative to the vote in Colorado.
	And so even though rural Colorado, there's some Hispanic population in Colorado, has been trending Republican.
	You've got certain cities in Colorado that are actually populist and even religious conservative hotbeds.
	Denver has been shifting massively to the Democratic side, and that is what's been shifting the state of Colorado to the Democratic side.
	It's another place where it's kind of like Europe.
	You look at Europe and you realize that Holland, France, you look at a lot of these countries, the big cities dominate them.
	They're like a half to two-thirds of the vote in a lot of places.
	That's what makes it tough for Republicans to be competitive in these states that 10 years ago they were.
	And the population of Colorado is 5.8 million.
	It's a tiny, I mean, relatively speaking, small state.
	And so Denver and Boulder can just dominate.
	And throw in Aspen and you've got such big Democratic vote totals that come out of those areas.
	Very tough for them to offset it in the rest of the state.
	It's an amazing thing where business can determine politics.
	Relocate business, sort of shape big cities in a relatively small state, and you can determine the demographics of the state.
	It's amazing.
	Robert, Utah.
	The only thing I'm curious about Utah, COVID.
	Do you have any stats on whether or not Utah has suffered worse or better or fared much better than the rest of the country as relates to COVID?
	I don't know.
	And I think their governance went back and forth in terms of how they handled that, because at times they were pro vaccine mandate.
	At times they were pro lockdown.
	It just varied depending on.
	Obviously, Utah is a Mormon-dominated state.
	The main election to there is a Senate seat that I don't think will be that competitive.
	I think Mike Lee will beat Evan McMuffin with relative ease.
	Then, the three big gubernatorial races left, Alaska will be...
	Dunleavy, the Republican, will win with ease.
	But it will be Arizona, Nevada, and Oregon.
	Arizona, I think Cary Lake is going to end up winning pretty comfortably.
	And by comfortably, I mean three, four, five points.
	That's what comfortable is in Arizona.
	There's some votes that won't count until next day.
	In these states, which ballots they count will create false impressions early.
	So if they count certain ballots, like in Arizona, you have people who mail in the ballots, you have people who drop off their mail-in ballot, and then people who vote in person.
	And historically, Arizona was a mass mail-in vote state.
	But 2020 changed a lot of opinions in Arizona.
	State Senate had a massive audit.
	Controversial audit, but, you know, ended up doing a massive hand recount, major questions about the election.
	There were a lot of people unhappy with how 2020 went down.
	There were people in Arizona unhappy with how 2018 went down.
	And so, consequently, they passed some rules that tightened some things in Arizona.
	But there was a massive shift in how people voted.
	So today, there's a massive turnout early on.
	They were expecting...
	Democrats had enough of it.
	What Democrats were doing is they were saying, look at 2018 when a lot of Republicans were still voting early by mail.
	And in 2022, it was a much more Democratic electorate than 2018 in the early mail electorate.
	But what they were ignoring is that Republicans weren't voting in Arizona as much by mail.
	So people that are those four out of four, three out of four, vote every election kind of voters were waiting until election day to vote.
	And that's why there was concern early when they were trying to interfere with Maricopa County, as we talked about at the beginning of the show.
	But I think Carrie Lake is in an excellent position to win.
	She's very telegenic.
	She's going to be equal to DeSantis at the most popular Republican governor in the country.
	Probably the third most popular Republican behind Trump if she wins.
	And Blake Masters, a guy we had here on Sidebar.
	We had Blake Masters.
	We had J.D. Vance.
	We had Joe Kemp.
	We'll get to Joe Kemp.
	That's it.
	Those three.
	I'm hoping we get the trilogy.
	I'm hoping the magic spice is that you appear on Viva Barnes, you win against the odds.
	You can't say we...
	I cannot even lend my own...
	I can't give anything to that, Robert.
	It's you.
	You see things in advance, and they were...
	But you could speak to them, and you could see they're amazing people.
	I just tweeted out at Carrie Lake, but it didn't take.
	We didn't get Carrie Lake on before this, but maybe afterwards.
	We'll see.
	I did meet her a year before at the George Gammon event, so I take credit for her, too.
	She is amazingly charismatic in person, even more so than we can ever...
	She's from media, right?
	You look at the people that are naturally charismatic.
	You look at some of the most charismatic public figures in the last 30 years.
	Donald Trump, Ronald Reagan, Carrie Lake.
	What they have all in common, they came from media.
	Ronald Reagan came from Hollywood.
	Donald Trump came from TV and been a media figure even before that.
	And of course, Carrie Lake came from media.
	She's just a natural, knows how to do it well.
	If she puts the right personnel around her, she can pull off a DeSantis in Arizona.
	She's talking about raising invasion issues, fixing election issues for good in Arizona.
	And we'll see how that goes.
	I think Blake Masters will do well there.
	I still think he'll win despite him being an underdog throughout most of the betting markets on and off tonight because you can't trust the exit polls and you can't trust the results unless you're watching Richard Barris at People's Pundit daily on YouTube, members only, where he knows how to filter the information and frame it correctly.
	Robert, he's got a lot of people watching.
	It's amazing that at the end of the day, democratizing information lets people know who to follow and to pay for versus We've got NBC.
	Nobody's paying for it, and people are still not watching it, but we'll get back to that in a second.
	Oh, the next state for governor, the last two, is, I like to say, Nevada.
	The Nevadans explained to me that it's Nevada.
	I think sounding like a dumb lamb is not the way to pronounce your state, but that's just my personal.
	It only has one A, Robert.
	It's Nevada, not Nevada.
	Exactly.
	I still hate it.
	Big race, obviously, in the House races, Senate races, state legislative races, etc.
	But for governor, it's Lombardo versus the man that I like to call Sissilac because he was so terrible during COVID.
	A lot of lockdowns, a lot of mask mandates, a lot of schools shut down, preached vaccines, all that gibberish.
	He's a total disaster.
	Another hypocrite.
	Guy was having private parties without masks while he's forcing us to be masked everywhere.
	I live here, of course, in Nevada.
	Went out and voted today.
	And I think it's the first time I've ever voted Republican.
	I just looked Republican.
	Check, check, check, check, check.
	Democrats proved themselves during COVID to never, ever.
	You're biased, Robert.
	You're biased.
	We can't trust you anymore.
	Absolutely.
	I'm an anti-COVID.
	That's my bias.
	Anti-COVID bias.
	But, you know, my hat shows that I'm as unbiased as the media.
	But I think Lombardo, former sheriff of Las Vegas, I'm not his biggest fan.
	I don't like how the Las Vegas shooting was handled by him.
	Stop right there.
	Stop right there.
	We have time.
	Parentheses, Robert.
	Las Vegas shooting is the most devastating shooting in American history.
	Mass shooting.
	The conclusion of the official narrative is it was a lunatic who went nuts and shot people from a hotel, killed himself afterwards, or was suicided by a cop, and that's it.
	That's where it leads.
	What's your bottom line take of it?
	What I said right away, and first, a credit to Healthport on the SportsPix live chat, pointed out to me that Cary Lake comes from a great family.
	Her father's from his hometown in Richland.
	I know where that is in Wisconsin.
	Iowa Midwest family, salt of the earth.
	So, yeah, that explains it.
	When we interviewed Hyvery, or you interviewed Hyvery?
	Hyvery Heckler.
	As a hecker or a heckler?
	I thought it was Heckler, not an actual Heckler.
	I would have remembered if it were Heckler.
	So it's Ivory Heckler.
	It has to be.
	I understood where she was when she came from a big northern Wisconsin family.
	But yeah, I look at the very time I was here, the day the Las Vegas shooting occurred, I had clients who had family and friends that were at that concert.
	Luckily, they survived.
	I had friends that were on the strip that night.
	So I was watching it live.
	And I told people immediately...
	That I said, we will never find out the truth about this shooting.
	And I said, the reason is simple.
	Vegas cannot afford anyone to think that Vegas was the target.
	And that meant, even if this guy was, even the official narrative, that this was a lone gunman who was nuts and an sociopath and just fantasized about a mass shooting and so went and did it.
	And that was it.
	And that was the only story there that we would never get the evidence that proved it because they were never going to allow a narrative to be developed that could say Vegas was the target.
	And instead, we got early news leaks that he was targeting Boston.
	He was targeting Chicago.
	He's targeting other cities.
	And everything weird about him was suppressed and covered up.
	His family, his unusual family ties to Vegas, covered up.
	Unusual father's history, which is part of a hush-hush that I put up.
	Sins of Sin City exposed on the Sin City series at vivabarneslaw.locals.com.
	You know, hushed up.
	Whether other weird thing, anomalies that people reported on that night, not meaningfully investigated.
	That journalist who was killed was also a guy that's still investigating the Las Vegas shooting has led to suspicion about exactly...
	Whether the media narrative about that shooting is killing is correct.
	And so I have doubts about it.
	But I said that Lombardo knew what his job was.
	It was to keep the casinos afloat and to keep the casinos afloat.
	Sissilac didn't know that.
	But Lombardo did.
	And Lombardo knew his sheriff.
	His job was to make sure this narrative came out in such a way that Vegas could never be blamed.
	That no one would think Vegas is a place that mass shooters want to go.
	And understandably so, right?
	I mean, this town is built, this whole state's economy is built on these casinos.
	They go under, Nevada goes under, not just Vegas goes under.
	Well, it's a curious thing to even think that it could go, even if it were a mass shooting targeting Vegas, that it could go under as a result of that.
	Ricky Bosifus says, Lockheed employee body cremated his brother accused of child pornography.
	Which I do remember.
	Oh, yes.
	He does fit the sociopathic pattern.
	I mean, his father was an extreme abuser.
	His father, you know, escaped.
	I mean, there's a whole story there that go into the hush-hush.
	So there are reasons to believe he could have done it as a lone gunman, and he fantasized about being a mass shooter.
	He fits the profile.
	What about the legitimate, I think, quasi-legitimate theory that...
	He was selling arms to terrorists who might have killed him and then shot up a bunch of people for whatever the distraction and then made off with the arms.
	Oh, I mean, there's all kinds of issues.
	Whether he was a money launderer rather than whether, I mean, he worked for the IRS for some point, worked for defense contractors at some point, suddenly shows up owning a bunch of real estate but not dealing in real estate.
	All of it screams money laundering.
	Became a major gun trader somehow.
	Was supposedly making money at video poker.
	You don't.
	If he was getting the cops he was getting, he was losing money continually.
	How was he making so much money he could do so?
	The compulsive behavior of someone who would do a mass shooting.
	But also the behavioral profile of someone who would be a patsy for it.
	He gets shot and killed.
	There's controversy about which security person responded when, whether one security guy took off or disappeared to Mexico afterwards.
	I mean, there was one weird story after another.
	None of it meaningfully investigated because they couldn't because they needed this to end as quickly as possible and for Vegas to never be blamed.
	But I think Lombardo will win, and thank God, because Sisolak's impossible.
	Now, Oregon...
	Another governor tied to lockdown policies.
	Also the city of Portland, very unhappy in the suburbs about all the Antifa insanity.
	And so even though it's a very democratic state, there was a Republican, there's a strong independent, a third party candidate.
	There was a belief that the Republican could win.
	I still think the Republican can win, but there was a late movement by Democrats back to their party bias away from the third-party candidate that might keep the Democrat in power there in a Democratic-oriented state.
	But the Republican has a definite fighting chance.
	If I may, it's a stupid question, I know, but the populations of each state reflects how many seats they get in Congress and the Senate?
	Say that one more time.
	The population of the states, because they're very big.
	Every 10 years after the census finishes, they reallocate House seats to each state.
	Now, there's controversy about this this past cycle because they somehow undercounted Republican states and overcounted Democratic states.
	That will probably be a legal issue in the courts at some point.
	Because Oregon's a tiny state.
	It's four point something odd million.
	So I don't know what the...
	Each state is important, but the number of seats that they have is going to be relative to the population, give or take.
	Agreed.
	Do I bring up the next table, Robert?
	Let's see the share screen.
	I'm going to go back while we do this to NBC to see if there's been any more states called.
	Okay, here we go.
	This looks like it should be.
	So that's the house map.
	And so that shows all the different seats across the country.
	You get their geographic contours.
	Key competitive seats tonight to watch are the ones in Virginia, Virginia 2 and Virginia 7 especially.
	Maine is Maine 2. Both New Hampshire seats are up for grabs.
	Rhode Island 2, Connecticut 5, a bunch of the upstate districts in New York.
	New York 17, New York 18, New York 19. Those seats are key to watch.
	A bunch of key seats that are up in Pennsylvania that are up for grabs.
	Several key seats in Michigan.
	Michigan 3, 4, 7. A Wisconsin seat that might swing from Democrat to Republican this cycle.
	A couple of key seats in Minnesota that are up for grabs.
	Iowa may go straight Republican.
	All four of its seats may end up going Republican after tonight.
	And then you have scattered out, then you have key congressional races in Arizona, New Mexico, the Rio Grande of South Texas that you see down there at the bottom, and then throughout Central California and suburban Orange County.
	Why is so much of the country red on this?
	Well, that really shows the map, because what you're seeing is how the House seats are divided, and that's what I meant by there's an archipelago of Democratic support, that what you have is all the way down the East Coast, all the way down the West Coast, and then little islands in between.
	The way I've described it to people is that you cannot get to Democratic-connected areas outside of the coast except by plane.
	Whereas Republican areas, you can drive from anywhere to anywhere and find a Republican area pretty much nonstop through America.
	And that's because of the Big Sort, that book, The Big Sort, 2006, I think it was written.
	What was happening was people were choosing to live with fellow political...
	Preferences.
	So if you're left or Democrat, you go to a big city and you go to specific big cities.
	You go to Chicago.
	You go to Denver.
	You go to Austin.
	You go to coastal California or Portland or Seattle.
	You go to Portland, Maine or Boston.
	Maybe you go to Vermont.
	As one of your few rural areas, but otherwise, or coastal Delaware, otherwise you're in the megalopolis that extends from Boston to the District of Columbia suburbs.
	And outside, and then maybe Charlotte, a few places here or there, little university towns.
	But that's it.
	The only other areas you see are part of the Black Belt in the Deep South.
	So those seats that you see in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia and South Carolina.
	Those are black-majority congressional districts.
	That's the only Democratic support in those regions.
	Otherwise, what you have is if you're looking for places that have a racial diversity that looks like America, 75% white, etc., you're looking at all Republican areas outside of the coast and the island of Chicago and Denver.
	Robert, let me just see who asked the question.
	How does Barnes keep up with everything?
	I lost the question.
	How do you keep up with everything, Robert?
	I guess the issue is that this is your bread.
	This is your bread.
	This is what you do.
	If one were to ask you about, like, I don't know, the differences between animals, maybe you want people to answer that quite so quickly.
	But how does Barnes keep up with everything?
	It's from Natalie M. Clendon.
	So, yeah, it's been a subject of interest of mine since I was a kid.
	One of the first books I read was The Emerging Republican Majority that we broke down on book clubs at vivabarneslaw.locals.com.
	Just look up book club with Barnes playlist and you'll see it.
	And he did a great job explaining all of these incredible differences.
	Like, if you understood the difference between German Protestants and German Catholics, if you understood the difference between whether they immigrated here in 1848 during European conflicts or whether they immigrated here in 1910 for industrial purposes, you know, the difference between the Irish and the Italians and the Southern Europeans and Eastern Europeans versus Northern Europeans, the old Yankees versus the Scotch-Irish.
	Whether they immigrated here from certain parts of England or other parts of England, that they're all different.
	And that there was these ancestral tendencies to go into the same areas.
	And they tended to follow their friends and allies in most places.
	Not always.
	The Germans would just pick certain places that reminded them of the home country.
	So that's where you'll get random German counties in Missouri, for example.
	So once you understand that, then you understand the living narrative, how that informs their voting choices, how that informs their cultural values, their religious traditions, their economic interests, etc.
	Then you get a much better sense.
	You understand the difference between the mountain folk of East Tennessee, the middle Tennessee Piedmont folks, and the southwest Memphis part of Tennessee that's the northern part of the Delta.
	They say the Delta starts in Catfish Row in Vicksburg and finishes with the ducks walking through the Peabody in the downtown hotel of Memphis.
	And I was fascinated by this, studied it extensively.
	It was in political campaign consulting for a couple of years.
	And because I like betting as both a habit and a hobby that I find improves my intellectual acumen, disciplines me.
	When you have money on the line, it forces you to make judgments you don't otherwise want to make.
	Mastriano, I would love for him to dominate Pennsylvania.
	I'd love Baldick to win in New Hampshire.
	Both of those I thought were long shots that I thought would be difficult.
	That's what betting makes you do.
	It disciplines your mind.
	I love the University of Tennessee.
	I bet against them three times this year.
	Luckily for me, they cost me money two of those three.
	So it's the interest in the topic and the subject matter, knowing which sources are reliable, trying to find out how you can get predictable patterns, improving your mindset, and it improves the reliability of sources.
	It improves your intellectual discipline.
	It allows you to check your emotions.
	It does all those things for me.
	Robert, Nature Lover said you're an encyclopedia with a good memory.
	But I just want to highlight one thing.
	Let me just go back here.
	I think I just saw Stephen Crowder has 300 plus thousand people watching live.
	This is the revolution will be televised, people.
	I'm going to read some super chats or rumble rants.
	Rumble rants, not super chats.
	Absolutely.
	My real name.
	Hold on one second.
	I hear Robert in the background.
	I opened up a second window.
	My Real Name says, Barnes is a reader with a good memory.
	Then we got Wyatt Gunner says, your thoughts on Tennessee bombing.
	We'll get to that in a second because I don't know what that is.
	King Cabot says, if the Republican Party, it does have evil elements, but the Democrats are the definition of evil.
	That's a $20 rumble rant.
	Robert, Tennessee bombing?
	Are we talking about...
	The Oklahoma bombing.
	No, we're not talking about the Oklahoma.
	What Tennessee bombing?
	Oh, he just means Georgia whooped up on him last week.
	Oh, I thought we were good.
	But that was my big bet.
	My 5% bet of the week was that Georgia would do that.
	Bad matchup for Tennessee.
	Disregard this as 310,000 people watching as of four minutes ago.
	Steven, that's redonkulous.
	It's redonkulous in the best possible way.
	And I think he's exclusive to Rumble tonight, right?
	I don't know, but...
	I think he was suspended from YouTube again.
	Let me go see here.
	I don't need to bring up the map again.
	I'll bring up...
	Why do I keep doing something?
	I keep doing something that's like starting to play videos in the background so I hear audio that is not me talking.
	Robert, let's just go back to NBC on the YouTubes to see what's going on.
	Election results and analysis.
	Okay, here we go.
	I don't know.
	What am I looking at?
	I'm looking at that window right there.
	Let me bring this up.
	Skip the ads because that's what we're after.
	What are they doing?
	Okay.
	I think that's old.
	Go forward to live.
	Go forward to live.
	I might be on the wrong thing.
	YouTube.
	We'll do this and just see.
	Well, hold on.
	Let's just see what the young Turks are doing, because we couldn't get in earlier.
	They're anti-aging gray.
	Okay, whatever.
	That's good.
	Okay.
	Okay.
	Doesn't mean we can't talk about bills number two for five.
	We could have to describe that a corporate windfall.
	This guy's in prison.
	I don't know who he is, but he's in prison.
	Rep.
	Ro Khanna live on election night.
	He's a congressman.
	I mean, he's preaching what Democrats want a little late in the game for that.
	But is he actually in jail?
	I won't judge.
	No, I just think it's an unfortunate backdrop.
	This is an outlet, and that looks like a toilet on the back left.
	Oh, we can go through the Senate map real quick.
	Okay, so hold on a second.
	Let me close this up.
	Did I have the Senate map up earlier?
	I'm going to Google Senate map 270 to win, or is that...
	That or the Real Clear Politics one works, too.
	Give me one second.
	Google Real Clear Politics Senate Map 2022.
	Confirmation that Crowder was suspended off of YouTube, so he is exclusive to Rumble today.
	Well done, YouTube.
	You lost 300,000 viewers who would have super chatted their way.
	They care more about narrative than they do about finances.
	Is this it?
	Yeah.
	Okay, here we go.
	All right, so let's just get clear on the colors.
	Blue is Democrat, red is Republican, and then eight toss-ups are going to be gray.
	Yep, and so they had New Hampshire as a toss-up.
	I thought it would lean Democrat just because it's a very lean Democratic state with a Democratic government.
	New York, I don't think Deer Schumer has much competition, unfortunately, as democratically leaning as New York.
	I still think Pennsylvania Republican incumbent retired there.
	That's the Mehmet Oz versus Uncle Festerman race.
	I still think Oz will win that.
	I haven't changed my opinion on that despite early returns and the rest.
	Ohio, I think J.D. Vance will safely win there.
	North Carolina, Ohio was another place where a Republican Senator Portman stepped down.
	Republican Senator also stepped down in North Carolina.
	I think Bud is going to win there relatively easier than a lot of...
	Some people think.
	I think Herschel Walker beats the Democratic incumbent in Georgia, Warnock, who won in the last runoffs in 2020.
	Rubio is, I think, safely ensconced in Florida.
	I think Ron Johnson will win relatively easily in Wisconsin.
	I don't think it will be as close as some people thought.
	I don't think Colorado is a toss-up.
	The Republican challenger there was a nitwit who attacked Trump.
	I think that NAN Colorado was not a state that had much Republican voting trend in it, so I don't think that will be that competitive.
	As mentioned earlier, I think Mike Lee will safely skate into Utah and beat Evan McMuffin.
	I think Grassley will win by a big margin in Iowa.
	Can't get up with any McMuffin, but I'll get to that.
	Sorry.
	I think in Alaska, I mean, that's a Republican no matter what.
	I think Murkowski is a massive favorite, like a 4-1, 5-1 favorite.
	I think there's a decent chance she goes down.
	She was one of the pro-impeachment votes.
	She rigged the ranked choice process, in my opinion, in order to manufacture her re-election in ways that...
	You know, she's done before in Alaska without Republican primary support, but hopefully it goes down.
	Washington was a state that some polls showed some close elections, but it's almost a plus 20 Democratic state.
	Washington state.
	Okay, up here.
	Washington state.
	I don't see Patty Murray going down, but I would love to see it.
	That leaves Arizona and Nevada, I think, both swing Republican tonight.
	I think at various points, the betting markets have heavily favored Democrats in Arizona almost all the way through.
	And often in Nevada, the early voting results and the Election Day voting results suggest that Nevada is definitely going to go Republican.
	And I don't see Arizona, which has been consistently more Republican of a state than Nevada.
	Putting Mark Kelly back in over Blake Masters.
	I think Blake Masters pulls it out in Arizona.
	So that's where I have Democrats picking up a net of three seats tonight, and that would give them a 53-50 edge in the U.S. Senate.
	If they just get some combination, the right combination of those, they take back the Senate.
	So for those people that are looking at the open betting markets, which I guess is even money.
	Right now, that's amazing.
	Almost every election cycle, these kind of odds come up.
	And more often than, it's very rare that I've been wrong on an election night.
	I'll put it that way.
	I think that's very good odds.
	I think it's very good that when all of this gets finally settled, Republicans have the House and Republicans have the Senate.
	I don't want to ask a totally stupid question.
	What's the number for the House and the Senate that they have to get to?
	I mean, I've seen the 270 vote.
	The Senate's just 51 because it's 100 senators, but right now it's 50-50, and Harris is the deciding vote as vice president for 50-50 split, so Democrats effectively functionally control it.
	So all they need is the combination of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada.
	Five states.
	If Republicans win three of those five, they have the Senate.
	And I think they definitely do.
	We'll go to bed, and we will not wake up with disaster.
	And by the way, I'm looking back, and I see that someone might be able to get my email address on Gmail.
	That's the one that was already open to the public, and I get a lot of spam through that email address, people.
	I'm looking at...
	This is the thing.
	When I share and not an incognito...
	Not mistakes happen, but that's it.
	My email address has already been out there.
	Robert, do we...
	Let me go to...
	I'm going to go back to our thing here.
	I'm going to remove that.
	I'm going to bring us back up here like this.
	Beautiful.
	Now, do we go back to results?
	Election special.
	No, that's us.
	I don't want to go back there.
	Ah, crap.
	Do we have any new results?
	Any new results?
	Not that I know.
	The betting markets, based on early results, are all trending Democratic for the most part.
	But I'm not concerned with those early results or the exit polls.
	So, again, it would be really weird if Florida trended massively Republican, Nevada trended massively Republican, but Pennsylvania and Arizona trended massively Democratic.
	So, we'll see, but usually, particularly these days, if you don't know which ballots they're counting, very hard to make a read because there's such a difference between how people are voting.
	So, if you have precincts or counties voting the mail-in ballots first, or early vote first, you're going to get radically different, or election day votes first.
	In 2020, most of these states, not Arizona, counted the election day votes first.
	And that created a big Republican edge.
	Here, they may be doing it differently.
	So unless I knew how those votes were counted, I wouldn't have a reaction.
	But if it's good in Virginia, if it's good in Florida, if it's good in Nevada, chances are it's going to be good in most places.
	Now I say, Robert, I cannot seem to find the...
	I think Rumble is now, at least on my...
	Now it's live again.
	Okay, good.
	We're live here.
	Do we have any Rumble rants if people want to get those in?
	Get them in now before we check off here.
	Yeah, because you're going now after this.
	You're going to InfoWars.
	Yeah, I'm going to be on Alex Jones for a period of time, and then I'll be checking in with Richard Barris, People's Punnett Daily.
	He's doing live stuff.
	And somewhere along the way, he may check in with GoodLogic at some point tonight, too.
	So we'll be...
	Chris Carson will have the live chat open and running at sportspicks.locals.com all night to give betting recommendation advice on any of the election results.
	And we still have an open live chat at vivabarneslaw.locals.com as well.
	And I might be going to bed.
	I haven't heard kids, so thus far so good.
	Wyatt Gunner, $1 rumbrown says, LOL, Vicky1974, thank you.
	There's a discussion going on there.
	My real name says, no, I think he meant the 2020 Nashville bombing.
	Oh, right, right.
	That was never explained either.
	I never really explained everyone's satisfaction.
	Okay, and Wyatt Gunner said, yes, I did.
	It's a $5 rumble rant.
	Then we've got my real name.
	Barnes is a reader with a good memory.
	I got to that one.
	Wyatt Gunner says, your thoughts on the Tennessee bombing?
	That's what we just got to.
	Kim Kimba, if the Republican Party...
	It does have evil elements, but the Democrats are the definition of evil.
	We got to that one before.
	Two of them here.
	Nature Lover Freedom.
	Nature Lover Freedom says, I will not be ignored.
	Ha!
	Good time tonight.
	Thanks.
	And then Fraser McBurney.
	Today's vote in the USA is a vote between good and evil, life and death, while in Canada we have to wait for 2 to 12 years to rid ourselves of drama teachers.
	Trudeau, Lord Fraser of Rutherford.
	Okay, so I got some of that.
	Yes.
	I don't want to say we're screwed in Canada, but the pendulum swings slowly.
	And the more momentum it takes, the more momentum it takes to swing back.
	Nonbred says, end the gender theory ideology pushed on our kids via thought reform.
	Also stop mutilating kids via surgery, puberty blockers, Nazi experiments.
	And that was a $10 rumble rant.
	Thank you very much.
	Then we got Chirping Birdie.
	No inspired comment other than God bless you guys.
	$25 rumble rent.
	$1 rumble rent says, touch the riot.
	Freyheit is pronounced hokul.
	No joke.
	There is the red river between Oklahoma and Texas.
	And what is Viva drinking?
	Okay.
	I was drinking this, actually.
	I had the first one, which was gin in this, and the second was that.
	And I think that's it, Robert.
	Look, it's nuts.
	It's beautiful.
	We're going to go to bed.
	We're going to wake up either to a new future or to a hellscape because people...
	Sorry, sorry.
	I don't want to say that.
	Robert, do we have a sidebar tomorrow night?
	I don't know yet.
	We haven't heard back from him.
	So we got to double check.
	He needed to do it a different time, but haven't heard back when he can do it.
	Something's going to happen tomorrow.
	I will be live tomorrow.
	We'll do the follow-up to actually see once the results are in.
	We'll see if we know the future of America.
	What happens if it's an ass-kicking that it should be?
	Do Democrats step back?
	I've been giving Senk Weger a bit of a hard time on Twitter.
	It looks like he might be having a revelation, like, holy crap, we might be the baddies after all.
	What happens if the Democrats get their asses handed to them?
	Do they take a step back and think, or do they double down and go harder?
	I would hope they reflect and realize that the COVID policies in particular were bad ideas, that going woke is not a nationally desirable outcome in our schools or for our streets, that open borders and open prisons is not a functioning societal policy, that more war overseas is not what we need in America at this juncture, that printing massive amounts of cash is not the solution to inflation.
	I would hope that they would at least reconsider some combination of those policies and realize they need to get closer to middle America's direction and governance.
	But we will see.
	I would be hopeful of that, but I think they need to get whooped in order for that to occur.
	If it's more of a mixed election result, they'll likely continue on unabated with the same path that they're on currently, unfortunately.
	Right now, I'm blasting the People's Pundit, Lincoln, there.
	You are going from here to what link, Robert?
	Infowars.com.
	Infowars.
	Oh, will that get me in trouble?
	Let me see this here.
	I got it.
	Booyah.
	I'm going to put that in the chat for everyone to go watch you after this.
	GoodLogic, L-A-W-G-I-C.
	This is Joe Nierman.
	He's going live.
	Is he live now?
	It's so nuts.
	There's such a community.
	There's such a...
	So many people now doing this.
	So many lawyers.
	So many commentators.
	You got...
	Rakate is live.
	Crowd is live.
	Tim Pool is live.
	Megyn Kelly is live.
	So many people are live, but we're going to go to GoodLogic on YouTube.
	I'll give everyone that link as well.
	I don't know if he's live yet.
	GoodLogic.
	I think Nick Rakate is live.
	LegalMindset is live.
	I'll be on Infowars, then on People's Pundit, then maybe checking in a little bit with GoodLogic.
	But that's where I'll be about.
	And I'll stay active on the live chat at both sportspicks.locals.com and at vivabarneslaw.locals.com.
	Okay.
	And then just before we leave, I'm just going to go back and we're going to see what the latest is in election night special.
	Am I?
	No, that's us, Robert.
	We're not going to do that inception.
	Let me just see what the latest are in terms of the calls.
	You know what?
	If it happens again.
	Salty Cracker may be active too.
	That's good logic.
	Hold on.
	Let's just go to NBC Live.
	That's NBNC.
	Let's just see if there's any news before we wind up.
	Look at this.
	Such serious music.
	They've really got it down.
	Basically, they haven't announced any major Shifts at this point.
	They haven't called a bunch of races.
	The races they have called, the fact that Florida was easy in is a sign of, I think, good things for Republicans for the rest of the night.
	All right.
	Well, Robert, we're going to end it on that.
	I'm going to bring this out.
	I'm going to go to bed and hope that I wake up to a bright future and not a black pill of black pills.
	Well, at least you have one in Florida.
	Well, we got one in Florida.
	Now, the only thing is, there's another tropical storm bordering on a hurricane.
	And this one's coming right up the middle.
	So, I don't think we're escaping this one.
	I got a notice from my insurance company.
	No, home title lock is not a nice thing.
	So, we'll see what happens.
	I have to take in all of the loose stuff outside tonight.
	Told to bring our car to higher ground.
	Some people put their cars in their garage, but if I need to flee quickly, I don't want my garage.
	Powered out and then locked into that.
	So I'm leaving it outside.
	Robert, this was glorious.
	I'll see you tomorrow.
	Absolutely.
	All right.
	Everybody out there, you know where to find us.
	There's every...
	Just Google.
	People are live.
	Live all night.
	Go watch them.
	It's going to be amazing.
	We will wake up either to a new America or to a hellscape.
	A part of the battle goes on.
	I don't want to say it.
	I don't want to say it.
	Robert, stick around.
	We'll say our proper advice.
	Everyone else, you know where to find us.
	Enjoy the night.

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