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April 9, 2025 - Tim Pool Daily Show
01:02:34
China RETALIATES With 84% Tariff, Trump REFUSES To Surrender, Gen Z IN CRISIS
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tim pool
53:47
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jimmy kimmel
01:09
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kevin oleary
01:40
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steve doocy
01:20
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brian kilmeade
00:19
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harris faulkner
00:05
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judge jeanine pirro
00:03
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Speaker Time Text
tim pool
In retaliation for Donald Trump's increase on tariffs on China, they are raising tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%.
I'm sure you heard the news.
It is breaking the media right now.
Everybody is losing their minds.
People are saying that U.S. businesses that rely on Chinese imports are on bankruptcy watch.
In one story from Fox and Friends, they say there's a guy who imports toys.
His bill on tariffs went from $26,000 to over $300,000.
So, my friends, Let's just call it.
Tough times ahead.
Not smooth sailing.
But is Donald Trump right to be putting these tariffs on these foreign countries and engaging in this trade war?
Well, the EU says that they have now prepared retaliatory tariffs in their own right on the US.
And I'm going to tell you why I don't care.
Now, like I'm being a little bit hyperbolic, right?
A little sensational.
I care.
Obviously, we don't want the market to go down.
We don't want people's retirements to get hit.
We've got multiple generations in this country, and the retirees who rely on their 401ks for their budgeting, it's bad news for them.
Did you guys know that around 10% of Gen Z females, okay, I gotta clarify this, around 10% of women age 18 to 24 in the United States produce adult content on OnlyFans.
You may be saying, wait, what?
How is that right?
You know, some people have been sharing this meme.
It's been going around.
And I decided to do some digging and through various different statistics, tracking the numbers we know from OnlyFans.
Yep. It's roughly between 8 and 12 percent.
The numbers vary based on the metrics.
But yeah, a significant portion, around 10 percent of 18 to 24 year old females in this country are on OnlyFans making adult content.
And it seems kind of unbelievable.
Now, you may be saying, Tim, okay, that's nuts, but what does that have to do with tariffs and a trade war?
It has everything to do with the next generation, those who are supposed to be taking the reins of this country and their inability to do so.
According to the Federal Reserve, Gen Z is facing a 71% wealth shortfall relative to previous generations, meaning what they are supposed to have right now, they do not.
Now, they do say, rather paradoxically, But actually, Gen Z is doing pretty well.
They have more money at this age than other generations did.
Perhaps they aren't factoring in the cost of goods, the cost of living.
And sure, maybe Gen Z has a little bit more, but costs are nearly doubled.
So what does the dollar really mean if they can't afford to buy a house, have a family, go on vacation or own anything?
So what we end up seeing is young women being like, guess I'll do adult content on OnlyFans.
We are going to become a third world nation faster than you realize.
Now, I know, here come all the historians saying, Tim, third world nations referred to unaligned nations during the Cold War.
I get it.
Okay. The point is, we will become an impoverished nation where we have no specialists, where we produce nothing.
If Donald Trump doesn't make the moves he's making now, it doesn't matter.
The system will implode in 10 years.
Now, maybe for your average liberal, they don't care.
So long as they can extract what they can for the time being.
Then 10 years from now, who cares?
It's 10 years from now.
We'll kick that can down the road.
Me, I'm deeply concerned when I see I've got a graph showing you home ownership of Gen Z relative to other generations.
And it is a fraction of where it is supposed to be based on where the boomers were.
Wealth in every generation, we see less and less access to that standard of living that Americans believe exists.
You may say, on average, Americans make a certain amount of money.
No, it skews upwards.
The older you are, the more money you make.
So the median income is actually substantially lower.
The average may seem high, but that's only because baby boomers make a lot more.
I know not every single baby boomer, but on average they do.
Then, other generations at the same age.
This system is going to explode.
But there's a lot to break down.
What will these Chinese retaliatory tariffs do to the United States?
What will Trump's 104% tariff do to the United States?
Man, it's going to get crazy.
So before we get started, my friends, shout out to Steven Crowder and the Mug Club once again.
Thank you guys for joining us on the show.
Thank you to Steven Crowder and his crew for watching the Tim Pool Morning News Show.
I really do appreciate it.
Make sure you guys head over to castbrew.com.
Pick up some Casper Coffee.
We've got a special deal for you.
Rumble30 is the promo code and use it while you can.
It's good for subscriptions and we might actually be losing money on that.
Especially with the tariffs on all goods.
Importing coffee is going to be somewhat interesting.
We don't get any coffee from China.
We have like Colombia and Costa Rica and stuff like that.
Nicaragua and what else?
What other blends do we have?
Kona is the American coffee.
It's real good stuff, by the way.
The American coffee, Kona.
The Hawaiian Islands?
Real good stuff.
But Rumble 30 will get you that discount.
And maybe our margins will be slashed by the tariffs, but get it while you can.
I don't know what's going to happen.
And my friends, the big news, obviously, is what is happening with these tariffs.
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But seriously, shout out to Fast Growing Trees.
And I'm just going to say right now, guys, We got chickens.
You guys know we got chickens.
And we got a bunch of fruit trees.
We got berries.
We got blackberries.
We got fruit trees.
We got apple trees.
We have cherry trees.
We have two black cherry trees.
One of them fell down.
They're really small, but it's fun stuff.
And a lot of the stuff that grows wild, you can't eat.
So I do recommend it, considering we want to be a bit more self-sustainable these days.
So, as always, this is the noon hour for the Rumble Live Morning Show.
You guys can follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
I'm your host, Tim Poole.
Let's read from CBS News, which I believe most of you may know the context of this already, but we're going to break down what it means and why I think it's good.
I'm not going to play these games where I've got a lot of these right-wing personalities saying it doesn't matter that the market is going down.
It's going to get better.
Don't look at your portfolios.
unidentified
No, no, no, no.
tim pool
I can't do it.
Come on.
I got a portfolio.
I know most people don't.
A lot of retirees do.
They matter and they vote.
And the last thing somebody wants to hear when they're 50, 60 years old and their portfolio dropped by 20 percent is who cares?
Don't worry about it.
People are going to be saying, look, man, I vote for Trump.
I'm going to be voting in the midterms.
You can't just say, ignore it.
Don't worry about it.
It'll be fine.
We need to actually address this, guys.
Here's the harsh reality.
Are you going to be?
The hero of a nation, are you going to be the knight who storms the front lines in battle knowing you may not make it out, but what you're doing is for the betterment of your country?
That is, so many people want to believe that they can sit by in their lounge chair and say, I am exposed to no risk and will do nothing for the sake of my nation.
And that is what this country has become.
If that's what you want, so be it.
But count me out.
I have taken a hit from my stocks.
I don't do any kind of wealth management stuff.
I just, I buy stocks that I'm like, this seems interesting.
I'll buy this.
I got like a graphene stock because Ian won't shut up about it.
And I lost money and it sucks.
It's basically my retirement account.
It's not very big, by the way, but I did lose $100,000-ish, a little bit more.
My attitude is this.
Great men sacrifice for their nation, knowing that pain will come.
So it's not so much to say it'll be fine, you'll be okay.
I don't know that you'll be okay.
I don't know it'll be fine for you.
All I know is this is going to get bad.
But if we do nothing, it gets worse.
And the next generations to come to inherit this country, I will not.
I will not leave them holding an empty bag.
I am pissed off every single day when I hear in our media how everything prioritizes the elderly.
I don't want the old to suffer.
I don't want that.
But you got to understand, guys, for those that are older, the younger generation, they're doing porn.
That's where their lives are going.
How can we as Americans tolerate this?
We have a cultural crisis in this country.
And I got a thread pulled up.
Why are so many young women turning to this, saying that this is the path they're going to take?
Because there is no light at the end of the tunnel.
Now, maybe.
There will be with what Trump is doing.
Because I'm going to tell you this.
In the media, everything they're mentioning, everything, not one story have I seen where they said, here's how Gen Z has reacted.
No, every single story is the well-off and well-to-do boomers and Gen Xers are hurting from this.
Not struggling, hurting.
Now, I'm not here to rag on any specific generation.
If you're a boomer for Gen X, I'm saying it sucks that you're losing money.
I get it.
And I'm not a fan of wealth redistribution or any of this nonsense, but the system is broken.
Let's get into the stories quickly for the context here.
China is imposing an 84% tariff after Trump said 104, so they're not even matching them.
But I tell you this, Trump ain't going to back down.
It's not going to happen.
China's announcement signals Beijing isn't backing down in a global trade war sparked by Mr. Trump's April 2nd decision to levy so-called reciprocal tariffs.
Together with previously announced tariffs, Trump has raised the total tariff rate on China to products, on Chinese-made products, to 104%.
I think we have this.
Spencer Hakimian, founder of Tulu Capital Management, he says, every single small business in the U.S. that interacts with China is officially on bankruptcy watch.
And he posted this.
Dear customer, In a cargo systems messaging service bulletin published April 8, 2025, U.S. Customs and Border Protection has provided an updated reciprocal tariff rate of duty for goods of China of 113.2%,
replacing the previous rate of 34%.
Imported goods entered for consumption or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption on or after 12.01 a.m.
April 9, 2025, that's Eastern, are subject to the additional Ad valorem duty rates.
Except exceptions included in CSMS 64680374.
That is this morning.
The madman actually did it.
Now, the EU is saying they will have their tariffs as well.
Retaliatory tariffs are coming.
They haven't announced exactly what they're going to be, but they will be retaliating.
Donald Trump has chimed in.
This is a great time to buy, he says.
Be cool.
Everything is going to work out well.
The USA will be bigger and better than before.
Fixing trade and tariffs is a good thing, says Jamie Dimon, who also said that the end is nigh, mind you.
Trump says it's imperative that Republicans in the House pass the tax cut bill now.
Our country will boom.
Trump was saying before that we brought in about $2 billion in tariffs already.
So yeah, you need a domestic tax cut to offset those costs.
Maybe something will work.
Now let's talk about what these things are ultimately going to do.
Donald Trump posted, ALX sharing from Donald Trump, President Trump encourages companies to move to the U.S. with Trump saying, this is a great time to move your company into the U.S. like Apple and so many others in record numbers are doing.
Zero tariffs and almost immediate electrical energy hookups and approvals.
No environmental delays.
Don't wait.
Do it now.
I think here's an important graph.
This is a post from Dr. Matthew Welicki, who said, well, this is awkward, and it's a graph showing carbon emissions change since 2000.
In the US, since 2000 to about 2018, carbon emissions have declined 10%.
In Europe, 16%.
In China, plus 208%.
In India, plus 155%.
I believe that what we've been seeing over the past several decades has been the intentional destruction of this country.
Now, for the past few years, we've talked about this.
Thucydides trap, it's called.
It refers to the phenomenon where a rising economic power is on the verge of supplanting the dominant economic power, and there's a tendency for war to break out.
Now, my hypothesis, I don't know that it's correct, is that global power is concerned about China's rise.
Fearing this would result in war, intentionally kneecapped the United States to prevent the US from being able to wage a full-scale war with China.
I think this is the liberal economic order at play.
The idea of the liberal economic order, for those unfamiliar, is that after World War II, powerful world leaders got together and said, what can we do to make sure war doesn't happen ever again?
We must create economic ties and economic dominance.
So that nobody goes to war.
Thus, we got the International Monetary Fund, the Bank for International Settlements, the Swift Payment System, the technology.
As we've seen, it all has been built towards we will go to your country.
We'll give you a loan.
You'll be in debt.
You'll get all this delicious food and all this great technology and roads and prosper.
Don't you want that?
They all said yes.
And that was the liberal economic order.
But that meant that no one nation could adhere to its interests.
So in the United States, to maintain this system, they said bring in illegal immigrants, flood the system.
It basically said when this plan was enacted, U.S. sovereignty was done.
They did not care.
And we can't have that.
We who believe in this country and want it to persist and survive because, let's be real, the liberal economic order was an offshoot of...
Destroying itself for the sake of the Chinese Communist Party makes literally no sense.
So Trump says it's time to move back to this nation.
Really. Mr. Beast says Trump tariffs make it cheaper to make his chocolates abroad.
Indeed, I think what a lot of people aren't understanding is the double edged sword nature of universal tariffs.
That's why I've said since the beginning, I'm a fan of Trump's tariffs, universal tariffs.
I am skeptical on.
They don't make sense on layer one, but I don't know what Trump's big plan is.
The left would argue he doesn't have one.
The right would argue he's got a master plan to fix everything.
What I can tell you is this.
Mr. Beast is basically saying.
Coco, we don't grow it here.
He has to import it to this country.
But with the increased cost due to tariffs, it makes more sense to set up a factory in some other country because he sells these chocolates internationally.
Now he can bring the chocolates in from a country with, say, a 10 percent tariff and sell them to Americans marked up.
But he's not going to bring the jobs here.
Quote, ironically, because of all the new tariffs, it is now way cheaper to make our chocolate bars we sell globally not in America.
Because other countries don't have a 20% tariff on our COGS.
That's cost of goods sold.
Mr. Beast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson, posted on X. Donaldson, whom Forbes ranked as one of the highest earning content creators in the world, etc., etc., we get it.
But he's not wrong.
He's not wrong.
He says, by the way, we pay our farmers a living income.
So I was already spending a lot on cocoa.
A random price hike was pretty brutal, not going to lie.
He said, we'll figure it out.
I feel for small businesses, though.
Could really be a nail in the coffin for them.
Indeed, it could.
And we have an example.
Now I'm going to say this, okay?
Not that one.
What do we got here?
We got Doocy.
This is the one we want to pull up.
I got a bunch of tabs for me.
Look, I am not saying that I disagree with Trump's tariffs, but I'm not going to sit here and lie and claim that this brings companies back to America.
There are people who produce in America for an international market.
We want that right now.
What Trump is working on is bringing manufacturing back to the United States.
But the reason why I say universal tariffs don't work on layer one, that means if there is a greater plan beyond this, perhaps the idea will work right.
Namely, or don't need to be.
We have a coffee company, castbrew.com, right?
Guatemala coffee is made in Guatemala.
It's grown in Guatemala, shipped here, and then we can roast it.
Now, we sell to an American audience, so...
I got no problem.
Our costs are going to go up depending on the country of origin, which may change prices.
I don't know.
We don't operate on the biggest of margins, but we do have an ability to absorb or just change the structure of how we do business to deal with tariffs.
But it doesn't make sense.
We've got at the boonies American made boards, stickers and soon to be T-shirts.
We want all of our merch to be made in America for Americans, and sometimes we sell internationally.
But as for coffee, yo, we're not going to only sell Kona.
That's one blend.
Some people like the blends that we have where it's Nicaraguan and Costa Rican or whatever blend we're doing.
Putting a tariff on those just inhibits our ability to generate money.
Now, maybe if Trump alleviates sales taxes or income taxes or corporate taxes, we can save in other areas, and then it's fine.
But universal tariffs in that regard?
That doesn't make sense.
Maybe for a lot of people, they're not dealing with imports on consumer goods that are not produced in the United States, namely agricultural products.
That is to say, in the end, we'll figure it out.
I voted for Trump.
I like what he's doing.
We sell coffee.
Lots of people sell coffee.
It's going to be interesting.
We don't sell at the volume to be able to absorb large tariffs and then compete in the market.
That being said, guys, the truth is There's cheaper coffee than Casper Coffee.
So we know that when you guys are buying it, it's because you know you're supporting us.
And that's why we're not going to jack up our prices.
We'll fit on our margins.
We don't even have any employees at the company, really.
We kind of do.
We have principal officers.
We don't take a salary.
I don't take pay from it.
The money is going towards setting up our physical locations.
But when you take a look at what Mr. Beast is talking about.
If a business wants to take agricultural products grown in other parts of the world, bring them to America to produce and then export out, the tariffs make that very difficult to do.
That being said, I don't know Trump's full play on this one.
And I got to be honest, it doesn't matter.
My coffee company is...
Look, we want to succeed.
We want to sell you guys a good product.
We've blended coffees that we like.
I grew up with coffee.
My family had a coffee shop briefly.
So I like this, but what matters to me more is that we rescue the younger generations.
Millennials are in a weird place, and kind of woohoo, and so is Gen Z. So status quo ain't working for us.
I'm willing to try anything at this point.
Now I can say for our company over at Boonies, our merch, we're launching shirts soon with our graphics that everyone likes, and our boards are all made in America.
That's going to be great.
Some people have criticized us because on Timcast.com, our old store, which was Teespring, using a third-party manufacturer, does import shirts from other countries.
Indeed. Well, my friends, we have not promoted that in years, and we have not really sold any of that merch in several years.
That is, early on, when we were less cognizant of these issues, we didn't really think about it.
Soon as we did, we shifted to a new store with new merch for Boonies HQ, and we were demanding everything be made in America.
So I instructed my staff upon being notified.
I said, you were right.
Our old merch wasn't made in America.
We weren't paying attention.
We went through Teespring.
We're pulling that down, and we're not going to sell that stuff anymore, because we're going to put our money where our mouth is.
But we do have this clip from Mediaite, which breaks down the negative impacts that we're seeing from tariffs.
Despite the fact the liberals are all going to say that Fox News is a bunch of sycophants, they're lying to you guys.
unidentified
If you look at some of the numbers, as far as China's concerned, U.S. exports 143.5 billion to China.
U.S. imports 438.9 billion from China.
So that's a deficit of 295.4 billion, leaving the United States, the president says, in the red.
steve doocy
Yeah. There's an item in the New York Post that we all have in front of us.
It's an exclusive story, and it talks about how with these 104% tariffs that went into effect, you know, we think that China is going to have to pay for it, but it tells a story of a special needs toy importer.
And when the tariffs went into effect at midnight, his tariff, he's been paying a tariff because he gets stuff from China, $26,000 a year.
His tariff bill went from $26,000 at midnight to $346,000.
And that's money he's going to have to come out of his pocket.
It sounds like he's going to have to go ahead and close down part of his business.
He tried to make the toys in the United States, but the tariff on that, his most popular item, went from zero to $17 at midnight.
And what he told the New York Post is people don't understand the tariff situation.
They think just foreign countries are paying for the tariffs.
That's not true.
Half of the tariffs are being paid for by U.S.-based companies.
So when you look at the big numbers and they look good, just remember that, according to this guy, half of the small businesses and half of the tariffs are being paid by Americans.
unidentified
Well, I'll say this.
I'm still holding back judgment on this because I feel like...
We may be missing something here.
And the way I look at it is I have two groups of friends.
I have my more wealthy friends, the ones that are on Wall Street and all that.
And then I have my friends that are in the farming community, middle class.
They're cheering it on.
Meanwhile, my friends that are more rich and wealthy are ticked off.
I watched the president yesterday, even with those minors yesterday, and they're cheering him on as well.
tim pool
I gotta say, that's the assessment.
So, it's not so cut and dry.
The market volatility, what I find very funny, is that you have people like Jimmy Kimmel, just, they're just cheering on the wealthy.
They're not paying attention to what's happening in this country.
And so, look, my view, I want to make sure we're getting an honest assessment trying to figure out what's going on.
I want to know what Trump's plan is.
A small business that sells toys should not be going out of business because their tariff bill just jumped tenfold.
Here's what you need to understand about tariffs.
If there is any kind of back and forth between the nations, those tariffs compound.
So it's not just going to double the price.
But if components and resources required to make a product.
...are exchanged between the two countries, which happens, you are going to see a compounding effect where it won't just double the price of a product, it could triple or quadruple.
That is, in the United States, we take American rock maple, it's either a US or Canadian, we call it North American rock maple, we send it on a big boat to China.
That wood is going to be tariffed at 84% entering into China.
China, to import that with an 84% tariff, With the wood going to China,
let's say it costs $10.
Per amount of wood per skateboard.
With an 84% tariff, we're now looking at $18.40.
So, to send that board back, they're going to charge an additional 84% to the American consumer.
The American consumer is going to have to pay for the tariff on their end.
Because they're not selling these boards in their own country.
They're using our wood.
Well, they are to a certain extent.
But our wood gets sent to them so they can make the boards for us.
send it back to us.
Then when it comes to the United States, it's going to be sold at a premium where it normally would have been sold at $15.
It's already 1840 based on the Chinese tariff of 84%.
They're going to slap on another five bucks.
It's going to go up to, let's just say, 24 bucks.
We're going to round up.
We shouldn't round up, but we'll say 24. Then you've got the 104% tariff.
So what should have entered the country
If we're calling it $24, it's going to be 50 bucks to make it in this country when it was substantially less, around 18 or so before.
That massive increase will be felt, but not by me.
Not by the customers at Booney's HQ.
So there's good and there's bad here.
For what can be made in this country, I think Trump is doing a tremendously good job.
But I don't know exactly how this is going to play out.
What I can say is Trump's tariffs are the end of globalization.
That's the article from Unheard.
Indeed. When regimes end, they end in phases.
Communism died over a period of 10 years, starting with the strike at the Gdansk shipyard in 1980.
The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 was the great symbolic episode.
The 1991 coup against Mikhail Gorbachev was the final push.
Yesterday was globalization's Gorbachev moment.
Trump's first
term was Gdansk, the canary in the coal mine.
Liberation day.
What did Trump mean by that?
Did he mean that he was going to be fixing trade?
No, I think he meant he was ending the globalization policy.
I got to be honest.
I am not going to cry about this.
Now, Kevin O'Leary has called for a 400% tariff.
This is interesting.
Let's play the clip.
unidentified
That was the phrase he used, you know, very eloquently.
kevin oleary
Where are the deals?
104% tariffs in China are not enough.
I'm advocating 400%.
I do business in China.
They don't play by the rules.
They've been in the WTO for decades.
They have never abided by any of the rules they agreed to when they came in for decades.
They cheat.
They steal.
They steal IP.
I can't litigate in their courts.
They take product, technology.
They steal it.
They manufacture it and sell it back here.
Never. Can America stand 400% tariffs?
What would that look like?
I want Xi on an airplane to Washington to level the playing field.
This is not about tariffs anymore.
Nobody has taken on China yet, not the Europeans, no administration for decades.
As someone who actually does business there, I've had enough.
I speak for millions of Americans who have IP that have been stolen by the Chinese.
tim pool
I think my camera just went out, so while y'all are chilling, I'm going to go fix that.
I think you can still hear me, though.
I'll play this clip.
kevin oleary
Great literacy, art, and tech to the world.
The government cheats and steals.
And finally, an administration, you may not like Trump, you may not like his style or his rhetoric.
Finally, an administration that puts up and says, enough.
400% tariffs tomorrow morning.
He'll tell you why.
She can only stay the Supreme Leader if people are employed.
If we wipe out any business there, because we are still 39% of all consumables on Earth and 25% of the world's GDP, America is the number one economy on Earth with all the cards.
We will not have that forever.
It's time to squeeze Chinese heads into the wall now.
unidentified
I hear you, but hold on.
If we're talking about people...
tim pool
I love it.
But my friends, I do think we gotta talk about why this is important.
And the first thing I'll say is the camera went out because it overheated.
It's hot in here.
It's really annoying.
I think the heater's too close to the camera so it overheated.
It may shut off again.
We'll deal with it.
Right now, the bigger concern that I have, and I've consistently had on so many of these issues, that doesn't seem to make it to the press, of course, has been Gen Z. And, uh, yo, it's pretty crazy.
That this is such an ignored issue.
country, the West, is going to implode because Gen Z's got a lot of problems.
Here's an article from Euro News.
Companies are firing Gen Z employees.
And after hiring them, what's behind their struggles?
Gen Z is notorious for being described as lazy and titled and easily offended.
So maybe then the issue is there's no solving for this.
I think.
But one thing is true.
Not all Gen Z are this way.
Obviously, there's a lot that are responsible, and they deserve an opportunity to live and succeed.
For the entitled, culturally stagnant bunch of Gen Z, I think we're screwed.
I mean, at least what, half the generation is going to be incapable of running the ship.
The other half is going to be fighting with that half.
And that's when I see this whole system imploding.
I'm going to go through some of the Interesting elements of Gen Z, notably OnlyFans, as a large factor.
But I'm going to say this.
I talk about Civil War quite a bit.
I didn't make it up.
I didn't coin the phrase.
I'm not the first to claim that we are heading in that direction.
Just somebody who reads the news and says, hey, they got a point here.
What people don't seem to understand is that imagine a graph with, you know, zero to 80. And it's polarization.
At the top, where you've got Gen Z is going to be split between entitled culturally stagnant communists And
meritocratic, hardworking individuals, that worldview is here.
That's why we see the far left getting as violent as they do.
That's why I think things are going to get bad.
Companies are firing Gen Z as soon as they hire them.
Well, take a look at this.
They say the report, which was based on a survey of nearly a thousand hiring managers, found that one in six employers were reluctant to hire Gen Z workers, mainly due to their reputation for being entitled and easily offended.
And lazy.
I don't blame a generation.
I blame the generations before them.
I was lucky enough to have parents that said, Tim, get a job, go work.
And I did.
I've worked my entire life.
When I was a small child, I remember I was like, what, seven or eight?
My dad loaned me money.
I think he gave me my brother 15 bucks to go buy Kool-Aid from the grocery store.
Where we went and bought it ourselves.
No, actually, I think we got it when we were going shopping together.
We then got a pitcher.
We made Kool-Aid, went to the park one block away, and we sold cups of Kool-Aid for like 30 cents.
We made something like 25 bucks and then had to pay.
My dad said, you got to pay me back.
And we paid him back.
And then we had money and we went and bought candy with it.
Then I would go door to door.
Shoveling snow, mowing lawns, and raking leaves.
I'd say to my mom or dad, I need money, and they'd say, go see if the neighbors need chores done.
Sometimes you take the garbage out and they give you a buck or something like that, or you do some chores, and that's what we would do.
Knock on the neighbor's house with a rake.
Can I rake your leaves in the fall?
I'll do it for 10 bucks.
Sometimes they go, 10 bucks!
Nah, 10 bucks is not enough.
Sometimes you get really lucky.
I love this.
There was one old man, I remember this, I'll never forget.
We shoveled his snow.
I said we wanted 10 bucks to do it, and he gave us a 20. And he was like, thanks, kid.
And then me and my buddy were like, oh, we got a bonus!
Thanks, old man.
I don't know what your name is, and I don't remember you.
It's been nearly 30 years, but you know.
Kids today, they don't do any of that stuff.
They don't work for themselves.
And so they grow up doing nothing.
And what happens?
Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the viral post.
Grok did the math.
Estimated number of U.S. women aged 18 to 24 as of 2023 is 15 million.
Total number of U.S. OnlyFans creators is 2 million.
1.4 are female.
18 to 24 on OnlyFans is claimed, about 1.2 million.
Around 8% of 18 to 24-year-old women are producing on OnlyFans.
Now, I don't know that that's true, so I did some digging.
Pulled up some data.
How many creators are on OnlyFans in the U.S.?
As of 2024, it's 1.1 million.
Ah, okay.
So its numbers are not so high, are they?
They have been growing.
86% are female.
So we could be looking at 800, 900,000 of these producers.
So the number isn't way off.
And these are different metrics.
It could be 900,000 or it could be 1.2 million that are young women.
So it may be around 8%.
It could be 6%.
It could be 10%.
The point is a large percentage of Gen Z women are deciding to do porn in massive numbers.
The Gen Z Playboy Mansion, eight OnlyFans models move into Miami compound to create kinky content.
Are we going to survive as a nation if this is what's going on?
No, of course not.
They're not having children.
The birth rate Is way down.
1.3 or whatever.
And Gen Z's fried.
Take a look at this from r slash Gen Z. What's the deal with OnlyFans from a year ago?
Is it a full career track now?
Not a Gen Z, but a young millennial with a ton of Gen Z in my family and past work group.
Last year's I've seen an explosion of OnlyFans being discussed in a casual way.
I'll probably start an OnlyFans after I graduate.
Or even my past younger co-workers will drop their OnlyFans link in their Insta stories.
It feels like it went from a more taboo thing to just a fun little side hustle.
Is it now from low job or career options?
More acceptance in Gen Z for sex work?
Just a quick way to make money?
Or is this like the new social media?
To clarify, I'm not against sex work, they say.
At all, this is an issue with the morals of it.
I just see more and more regular girls discussing it openly.
Well, the one thing I can tell you is that it's ultimately not going to matter.
Because AI will take over and these young women won't be able to do this job.
I'm going to show you this graph.
Home ownership rate by age.
I pulled the data and then I asked our good robot friend to compile it into a comparative graph showing home ownership by age for the same age.
When boomers were 20 years old, they owned 20% of the housing market.
Amazing. When Gen X was 20 years old, they held just about 15 or 16 percent.
Millennials held 10 percent, and Gen Z holds about 4 percent.
As time goes on, you can see every generation holds less wealth than the generation before it.
Gen Z is not doing too well.
The boomers are doing pretty dang good.
By the time the boomers were 30 years old, it was an exponential increase.
They now controlled 45% of the household, of homeownership.
Gen X, 35. Millennials, 26. Gen Z isn't yet there.
But as of 27 and 28, they have about 15% of the homes.
Whereas for the same age, millennials were at 22, Gen X was at 30, and boomers were at around 40%.
So what does that mean?
We've got this response, which I find interesting.
Peyton S. says, I'm in real estate.
Most of the buyers we are seeing aren't traditional Americans.
A vast majority of people buying homes are Indian or Chinese.
Most buying multiple upwards of 10 homes.
Maybe they're new Chinese, but they have consisted probably the higher percentage of purchases
Do you know what this means, my friend?
The United States trade deficit is selling our younger generation into indentured servitude in their own country.
Foreign investors will be buying up multiple properties, and guess what?
Gen Z will rent from them.
There will be foreign individuals owning the homes our people, our young people, will sleep in.
And they won't.
And you see, one day, little Jim, He's going to be having his first kid with his wife, and they're going to be paying $6,000 a month in rent for a two-bedroom.
Because I'm talking about 10, 20 years in the future.
Right now, what's the median rent?
Like $3,000?
And the Chinese landlord's going to come in, and he's going to say, I'm increasing your rent.
And Jim's going to say, I don't make enough money to pay this.
Please. Please, like, don't do this.
And the landlord's going to say, it's my house.
I own it.
You can leave.
And that's Gen Z's future.
Now, a war could break out, I guess.
There could be revolts.
There could be riots.
I certainly think when you combine the element of Gen Z that is entitled and lazy with the element of Gen Z that is not, you're going to end up with disdain for this machine.
And it ain't gonna end up well.
Well, at least not for the foreign investors.
I think Donald Trump recognizes this.
This is where it all comes full circle.
The reason why I was saying Gen Z is a huge component of what Trump is doing.
Foreign investors and companies like BlackRock buying up properties means that Gen Z, they're going to be indentured servants.
They will live paycheck to paycheck forever.
How about they will live in the pods and they will eat the bugs and they will own nothing and they will be happy.
I don't think they'll be happy.
But that's the reality of it.
I don't know what else to tell you.
Looks like camera overheated again.
Nothing I can do about that.
To clarify what I said before, it's not that it's hot in here.
I'm saying the heater is right above.
It's actually like 68, 70 degrees in the room.
And I guess we're without camera for the time being, but you don't need to see my face anyway, as long as you can hear my voice, right?
We're about 20 minutes rounding out the rest of this show anyway.
So we'll get through what we got.
We'll get through what we got.
Here's an article from the St. Louis Fed.
When households are younger, they tend to have lower levels of wealth.
To address this issue, we compared household and wealth shares across generations when their members were relatively young, at an average age of 34. I love how they say that it's relatively young.
Sure, 34, I don't consider young.
As the following figures show, each generational group owned less wealth than their share of the household population.
Baby boomers represented 42.2% of households in the third quarter of 1989, yet they owned only 19.5% of total household wealth in 1989.
This is 54% less wealth than their representation among U.S. households might predict.
Gen X households accounted for 28.3% of U.S. households and owned 9.1% of total household wealth.
68% less wealth given their household share in 2006.
Millennial and Gen Z household represented 34.7 and owned 10% of total household wealth.
71% less wealth given their household share.
The baby boomers shortfall was the smallest of the generations.
I can put it simply for you.
Over time, what ends up happening is the younger generations own less.
I think it was on purpose.
I think this was all intentional.
The goal, of course, being you will own nothing and you will be happy.
Now, the New York Post says this generation could be the richest one in 10 years, to the surprise of many.
I think they're wrong, but they're basically saying that Gen Z is going to inherit a massive, massive trove of wealth from boomers when boomers die.
I don't think it's going to happen.
You know, it is crazy how the system has been propped up.
Reverse mortgages?
Selling life insurance policies?
No. Not only do boomers hold a disproportionate amount of wealth, those that don't and have a moderate amount of wealth, they're leveraging that for current spending to survive.
Not always because they want to, but because they need to.
So I don't know what Gen Z is going to inherit.
The New Report for the Bank of America predicts that by 2035, Gen Z could be the richest generation in the next decade, amassing $36 trillion in income.
By 2040, that number is expected to more than double to $74 trillion, which will make them the richest and largest generation in a matter of 10 years, at which point they will also consist of approximately 30% of the population worldwide.
These figures come after reports that Gen Z is facing significant debt and the financial pressures of inflation and the high cost of living turning down jobs due to commuting costs and refusing to have children.
I love it.
Sure, they'll be wealthy.
They'll be the last to be wealthy because they have no kids.
And if there's no kids, there's no country.
That's life.
That's life, my friends.
No kids, no country.
And that's what Gen Z is being is being
Now, there have been a handful of people that voted for Trump that are coming out against a bench peers, an obvious one.
You've got Barstool Sports, Dave Portnoy.
Many of these people are saying, wow, it doesn't look good.
Now, that being said, Aiden Ross, he said, it's bad.
I'm not going to lie to you.
It'll get better, but it's bad, though.
Sure. I've said something similar.
They mentioned Joe Rogan's concerned about it.
But is anybody addressing the bigger picture here?
No. We can just rest assured...
Jimmy Kimmel will call you a bootlicker.
I'm going to play this clip for you so your ears can bleed a little bit.
Sorry, but let's see if I can fix the camera while I do.
jimmy kimmel
China said the tariffs are a mistake on top of a mistake, which is also what Trump said when Eric was born.
They are.
The Chinese government somewhat menacingly said they are vowing to fight to the end, which is...
Ominous. China has a billion people.
How about let's not fight to the end?
How about we fight to the middle and then stop the fighting?
These tariffs are so dumb, but there is a fun part.
The fun part is watching his groupies, the bootlickers on Fox& Friends, try to spin them as if they are a good thing.
brian kilmeade
He is staring them down Clint Eastwood style in order to get the maximum deal possible knowing that China is the main focus but he's gotten the world's attention to reconfigure trade.
Everybody's paying attention now.
Nobody can ignore it.
jimmy kimmel
Well, that is true.
You know what else nobody can ignore?
A homeless person waving a full diaper over his head.
That doesn't make it a positive.
Fox has been working very hard to pretend that what Trump is doing is good for us because they're terrified of him.
He turns on them.
Next thing you know, Newsmax is on top.
So for those who don't watch Fox, we put together a montage to demonstrate.
What is actually going on in the world this week compared to what they're saying on Fox?
brian kilmeade
The U.S. stock market's in a free fall.
unidentified
When you zoom out and maybe look at like a five-year chart, the market is still pretty high.
brian kilmeade
This was a mini crash.
unidentified
I prefer to call it a collapse rather than a crash.
brian kilmeade
That's a very emotive word.
unidentified
Trump's tariffs are having an absolutely devastating impact on the market.
steve doocy
The market goes up, the market goes down.
It always has.
unidentified
It likely always will.
Market meltdown raging on this Monday morning.
judge jeanine pirro
For all those people having a panic attack, don't look for the next few weeks.
unidentified
We are witnessing one of the fastest market plunges ever faced by a new president.
The market suffered from some side effects of taking tariff medicine.
steve doocy
Now it's a bloodbath.
harris faulkner
Everything's going to be okay.
A new survey shows that one in 50 men actually thinks that they can outrun a horse.
unidentified
I like the horse.
Look at him go.
jimmy kimmel
It's Steve Biscuit.
He should just keep running and never, never come back.
It's embarrassing.
unidentified
Oh, so last night
tim pool
I don't really care about all that.
But what I will say is, as for the news, when they show you that everyone is on the same page except Fox News, admittedly, I do think it's kind of cringe when people are like, on the right, everything's fine, everything's fine, it doesn't matter.
But I don't understand how these people haven't realized it yet.
That they're in a cult.
That they all march in lockstep.
They're not questioning what's going on.
And a discerning person is not going to sit here and defend Fox News.
As I've already said, I do find it cringe when they're all like, Trump's fine.
But a discerning person says, interesting, why are there two disparate worldviews and what could really be going on?
Can we as a nation sustain exactly what we're doing forever?
Or maybe there's a reason people on Fox are saying the things they're saying.
Maybe there's a reason people on other channels are saying what they're saying.
It is kind of obvious.
First order thinking.
These other channels, he showed like, what's her face?
I don't even remember her name.
The old press secretary.
Jen Psaki, there you go.
Yeah, these people hate Trump.
And you're going to act like that's legit and real news?
No. Right now what we're dealing with, in my opinion, is that like, dude, I feel like most people don't actually pay attention to the bigger questions.
I don't think I have all the answers.
What I can tell you is everyone's saying the same stupid thing.
You may have heard that recently I was at a roundtable meeting with Netanyahu.
And I will say this as arrogantly as I can to all the other people who were there.
I was bored by what they were asking.
As arrogantly as I can say it.
I know they're going to get mad at me and say Tim Pool's an arrogant prick or whatever.
I'm being somewhat facetious.
I have tremendous respect for many of the people who were there.
They know who they were.
I'm not going to say their names.
We're not supposed to.
It was Chatham House rules.
But I'm hearing in these conversations It's all surface level stuff.
It's all the same thing.
I'm not hearing any substantive questions.
Like, my point is this.
I go to this meeting and they say that you're going to be sitting down with the prime minister of Israel, as well as many other officials.
And I said, wow, we can ask anything?
Okay, we have one hour.
There's a lot of people there.
I don't want to say a lot.
I don't want to give away the full number.
But let's just say, Not 10, because I don't want to say the full...
I'm not supposed to say how many people were there, but it's like that-ish, okay?
We'll call it like that.
You know, the questions were stuff you'd hear on any other news channel every day.
The questions that people were asking, again, with all due respect to the people who were there, y'all were asking questions that I felt were asked on every news station ever.
And I'm like, bro, you've got a Chatham House Rules discussion.
Literally asking about bombings in Gaza, okay?
Some did.
And actually...
This was brought up by the Israelis of their own accord as they discussed what was going on in the war and the conflict and their views on these things.
And I'm like, ask about these things.
I want to hear them say it.
I was able to effectively ask one question pertaining to an alleged Qatari op.
It's been a viral trend on X where people have been accusing Tucker and other people of being Qatari paid or whatever.
And they falsely attributed to me the claim, which I find offensive because the person who wrote the story wasn't there.
But I asked, is there any evidence to back up those claims that are being leveraged against these people?
I do think there are bots that prop up content that is anti-Israel that standard influence operations.
But these claims against prominent personalities, some of whom I respect in this country, is there any evidence to suggest it?
And the response was, I don't know, it's possible, maybe.
And I'm like, OK, so no, probably not.
Anyway, I digress.
Not to get into all that.
My point is this.
Everything I see from Jimmy Kimmel and with all due respect to Fox News, it all seems very predictable.
Oh, the right is coming out and they're saying the tariffs aren't so bad.
And the left is coming out saying the tariffs are the apocalypse.
And I'm sitting here thinking, like, why is Trump doing this?
What is he not telling us?
Is he really just some dumb guy who thinks some 1930s?
I don't know.
What I can say is Is bad the market is declining.
This is going to hit the older generation a lot.
It's going to be devastating for businesses.
I can also tell you Gen Z is a lost generation.
And this is going to be bad for this country one way or another.
So anyway you slice it, you're screwed.
Best of luck.
Have you considered perhaps buying some fruit trees?
So that when the economic collapse does happen, at least you'll still be able to have apples, peaches, and cherries.
Because, oh boy, if you're not preparing now to be self-sufficient, I don't know what to tell you.
It doesn't matter if Trump does it.
It doesn't matter if Trump does nothing.
It will happen.
That being said, we are a fat nation, so maybe you'll be alright.
But the way I look at it is, you should be supplementing your diets to the best of your abilities with what you can grow yourself.
You live in this city?
Get a little potted thing and put it on your windowsill and grow some spices, herbs, whatever veggies you can.
Every day, every day, I'm in charge of breakfast for the family now.
Because I'm the man.
And mom is taking care of the baby.
And we've had waffles every day.
Every day!
I'm not kidding.
Every day for nearly two months now.
Because when I'm in charge of breakfast, waffles.
That's it.
That's all we're eating.
Granted, I put a lot of eggs in.
I put four farm fresh eggs right from the chicken city butts.
And I do four eggs and one cup of flour.
So it's largely eggy.
Because I want more protein and less carbs.
But that's breakfast.
And so that's about half of the breakfast produced is coming straight from our own chickens.
I'm not gonna tell you to live your life.
I don't know.
I'm just gonna say this.
Cut through level one, layer one with this politics and what everyone is saying.
Cut through it all.
Cut through the noise.
Something else is gonna happen.
Whether Trump did it or not, people are gonna be in for a wild ride.
So I like what Trump is doing.
I think it's ultimately going to be a good thing.
We're going to wind it down, grab some of your Rumble rants, smash the like button, share the show, follow me on X and Instagram.
I put a fan pointed at the camera because it was overheating.
We've got a heater in the room and it's pointing straight down and the cameras are next to it, so they're getting blasted and the camera overheated.
Hey, it's never happened before.
These things happen.
We couldn't predict it.
So we'll see what's going on.
But we'll grab some of your Rumble rants.
We are going to be rating, I believe today, it will be Russell Brand once again.
So we will get that ready for you guys.
And that is the morning lineup.
The next hour, Russell Brand is getting ready to go live and we will send you over there to hang out with that there feller.
But for the last few minutes, we'll grab some of your...
Your chats.
Nonic Archer says, Hi Tim, you've got to stop giving boomers credit for Star Trek.
Gene Roddenberry was born in 1921, which makes him the greatest generation.
My mother was a boomer.
She was 13 when Star Trek aired.
You are incorrect.
Star Trek The Next Generation was largely produced by boomers.
It was boomers and silent generation individuals.
But The Next Generation!
I ain't talking about the original series, which was okay.
I appreciate Gene Roddenberry's vision.
And indeed.
But, The writing staff, the actors, the people who helped produce and make the next generation a thing was the boomer generation.
This was the late 80s.
So boomers were in their mid-20s to late 20s, and it was silent and boomers.
Boomers helped make the next generation.
Thank you and have a nice day.
And as it moved into the mid-90s, yeah, uh-huh, yep, that's right.
Boomers would have been what in like the mid-80s?
They were in their late 20s?
So they are the ones working on the basics of Star Trek The Next Generation.
All right.
Arsena says, Hi Tim, would you hire new talent, maybe Brett Cooper?
Also, you have a lot of guests that have a lot to say about Islam.
Would you consider bringing on a Muslim scholar like Omar Suleiman?
I don't know who he is.
There's no world in which we can afford to hire Brett Cooper, nor would she need to be hired.
I think she's doing all right.
Not familiar with Omar, but you know.
I don't handle booking.
We'll take a look.
And she says, time to let the rest of the world who sits at the head of the...
Let the rest of the world who sits at the head of...
No? Who sits at the head of the table, you're saying?
That would be the U.S. period.
SoCalRider says, Hey Tim, my first baby is due next month.
Looking for help with maternity leave for the wife.
Anything helps?
Go fund me.
John and Shelby Barker's maternity fund.
We're so excited.
Just need the help.
Thanks. Congratulations!
We here at TimCast provide unlimited maternity and paternity leave.
Indeed. Though we don't have that many employees, so it's relatively easy.
Let's go.
Hoffie says, Tim, when you talk about 4D chess and a bigger plan, I think it's actually very simple.
I think he's just trying to remove all dependence on China.
He doesn't care where the business goes.
Yeah, and I think it's also, if we stay on this course, the U.S. will collapse.
Gen Z women will be a bunch of hookers.
I'm not kidding.
Well, AI will take over and they'll be homeless after that.
So who knows?
Maybe strippers?
And China will be the dominant global power.
I think Trump is saying no to that.
All right.
Matt Ride says, China's economy still hasn't recovered from COVID and Trump's last trade war.
Now this is going to hit them very hard.
They're lashing out trying to avoid a collapse, which the CCP can't have.
Do you know what's going on?
They're extracting from us.
They are taking our labor, our money.
And they are using it to build weapons, expand their power, and gain global dominance.
It's not a system that's sustainable.
I think, man, globalism is over.
Globalization is over.
Europe's going to start cracking.
I think the right will get a hold and bring back nationalism.
And mind you, the right in Europe are not even right wing.
They're nowhere near where the right was 100 years ago.
But nationalism will return.
Now, there's a risk of war, but I still don't think so.
Just because Trump is centering manufacturing back on the U.S. and trying to strengthen the U.S. doesn't mean people go to war for no reason.
Cultural ties matter.
Now, there is talk.
That China's going to ban U.S. films, we'll see.
The U.S. exports a lot of culture, and that is important.
All right.
Pepe Rain, Pepe Pain, sorry, says China is not stealing.
If CCP rep must be in any company there, then a company having anything produced there is giving the tech away.
We need to be honest about this.
Yep. U.S. companies setting up factories in China is giving their IP to China.
It's insane that they've been doing it, and they've been doing it on purpose.
Big D says Gen Z will be the forgotten generation.
Skipped over for the next generation.
Also for China, I vote we blackbar them completely from business in America and complete block off.
We don't need them.
I don't think we need China.
We have rare earths.
We can source rare earths here in the United States.
We don't need to be dealing with China for the rare earth metals.
Neodymium, perhaps.
My friends, let's gear up for that raid on our friend Russell Brand.
Firing away.
For everybody else, smash the like button.
Share the show with everyone you know.
Rumble has become the premier live streaming platform, which is absolutely crazy if you think about it.
But bravo to Rumble.
Rumble now holds like 11 of the top 15 live streams in the country, which is just crazy.
Related to news, I think.
News streams.
In general, it's like 4 of the top 10 or some ridiculous number.
Crazy! All the biggest shows in live are on the Rumble platform.
And what's funny is every platform is desperately trying to get a hold of live.
YouTube wants it.
YouTube may have more unique viewers because it's YouTube, right?
But with all the Twitch, Kick, and Rumble, Rumble's winning.
I think actually Rumble's won for now.
It's a constant race.
The question is, with this battle over winning the live audience, with Rumble having won it, how does Rumble turn that into dominance?
I think marketing's gonna matter.
Marketing's a big play.
We'll see what Rumble can pull off.
My friends, go hang out with Russell Brand.
He is starting up his live show right now.
We'll be back tonight at 8pm at TimCast IRL.
Don't miss it.
Follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
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