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Oct. 9, 2024 - Tim Pool Daily Show

02:01:45

Kamala Press Run BACKFIRES, Democrat Betting Odds COLLAPSE, Even CNN ROASTS Her | Timcast News

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tim pool

01:54:43

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kamala harris

01:08

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sunny hostin

00:08

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Speaker	Time	Text
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Now, I know many of you are tuning in because we need to discuss what's going on politically.
		The election is less than one month out.
		Before we get into all that, it's important to say this hurricane is heading towards Florida.
		The real news is that this is going to be a major disaster for Florida.
		And there's a viral video of a guy saying he's not going to leave.
		He's in a sailboat. Not smart.
		We just want you to be okay.
		We want you to survive. So please heed the warnings.
		And right now I believe the storm is a Category 4 situation.
		They're saying that – or it may be downgrading to a four.
		It is still going to be a major disaster, and it's on the edge of four or five.
		So this is a major hurricane.
		Take it seriously. Make sure you're taking care of yourself.
		That being said, we will talk a bit about the weather, certainly in the news.
		But, of course, the big news now is Kamala Harris – excuse me – her press tour.
		Oh boy, it's not been so good.
		You know, on a couple of the shows, Kamala Harris gets asked, what would you do differently?
		And she's like, nothing.
		And even CNN was like, whoa, whoa, whoa, nothing?
		I mean, come on, the Afghanistan withdrawal was bad.
		You gotta do something different.
		No regrets. You've got scandal after scandal.
		No regrets. The Kamala Harris plan is to just be the same administration for four more years.
		That is not what people are looking for.
		They're looking for change, which flies in the face of Nostradamus.
		They call them political Nostradamus's keys to the White House.
		Well, if his keys to the White House are correct, Kamala Harris should be enacting change.
		But she's going on TV and saying, nah, now all of this is backfiring because Trump's odds across the board have been skyrocketing.
		That's betting odds, not the same as polls.
		But you got to wonder about who's right and who's wrong, because, you know, my friends.
		The polls are biased.
		We know they are. I mean, some in favor of Trump, but typically in favor of the Democrats is a major bias in favor of Democrats.
		And therein lies the big challenge with polls and why I actually like betting odds.
		Betting odds are real time human beings putting money down on what they think is going to happen.
		We'll see. Following Kamala Harris's 60 Minutes interview, or at least the clips getting released, making her look really bad, she starts tanking.
		Now we've got My guys, my dudes.
		Kamala Harris on Colbert cracking open a Miller Lite.
		Was it even Miller High Life, right?
		I think it said Miller Lite and they cracked open a High Life.
		It's like, I gotta be honest, she looks like she's never had a beer in her life.
		When she cracks it open, takes a little sip and puts it down, maybe she's not a big drinker, but she's trying to do this.
		So this press tour...
		It's actually not going very well for her.
		Even Howard Stern, the odds are not in her favor.
		Trump, of course, is dodging all of this.
		He didn't go on 60 Minutes, so we'll talk about that.
		But we've got a million and one stories.
		Annika's sparing to the Young Turks.
		She has left the left.
		No joke, she published a substack saying she's done.
		And Cenk Uygur is refusing to fire her.
		Based, I say. Love to have them both on the show and talk about what we largely agree on.
		The fascinating thing is I'm willing to bet that when it comes to the facts, if we get the facts right, I and the Young Turks probably agree on a lot of things.
		The only problem is they've not gotten their facts right for a long time, which is why Anna eventually left the left.
		If those aren't familiar, the Young Turks, left-wing progressive channel.
		I think most of you are familiar.
		Anna Kasparian realized she was wrong about crime, wrong about Kyle Rittenhouse.
		And she's like, I'm sick of this.
		And of course, the left is furious and they're coming after her.
		So we're going to talk about that. We're going to talk about we got some crazy stories for you, my friends.
		This big TikTok influencer made a video saying Democrats offered me fifteen thousand dollars to make pro Democrat propaganda.
		And these other influencers are doing it and not telling you.
		I say based, young person.
		Expose all of this.
	And I want to talk about weather control and manipulation.
	We've got a bunch of stories to go through.
	It'll be a lot of fun. Before we do, my friends, preservegold.com slash Tim Pool.
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	on the horizon.
	Financial experts are urging Americans to prepare now with inflation soaring, a border
	crisis affecting cities and small towns.
	Warnings of a recession, personally I think the numbers are flubbed.
	I think it's a lot worse than people realize because I go to the grocery store and you
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	And you know, I'm Tim Pool.
	Let them complain.
	Let the left say, you don't need to prepare for disasters or emergencies.
	Let them. I don't care. Because chance favors the prepared.
	In whatever way, you can do it.
	Do your research. Figure out what makes sense for you and your family.
	Take it all seriously. Because, as I often say, sometimes it rains.
	But also, don't forget, you've got to go to TimCast.com.
	You've got to do it. Click Join Us.
	Become a member. It's the best membership.
	Everybody agrees. You'll get access to our Discord server.
	There's a whole bunch of fun and funny people.
	And they're arguing. And you can argue with them and have a good time.
	And you'll get access to our uncensored call-in show.
	We do this Monday through Thursday at 10 p.m.
	You, as members, actually can call in and you can say whatever you want.
	You can say, Tim, you are dumb.
	You can say, Tim, you are smart.
	Both are acceptable. And it's fun because we have this conversation.
	Sometimes I debate our members.
	But mostly you're part of a community and you're helping keep these shows alive.
	So smash that like button, subscribe, share the show.
	And if you're listening on Apple Podcasts, where we actually have a substantial amount of viewers, forgive me for neglecting you all this time.
	Please consider leaving us a good review.
	Five stars and what you like about the show because that really does help.
	But enough about me. Let's talk about the country.
	So here's the story.
	It's all getting bad.
	Now, instead of just jumping with the news, Kamala Harris chugs beer with Stephen Colbert as she lectures hurricane victims over what they're doing wrong.
	Talk about a headline from Daily Mail.
	I just want to show you the betting odds first.
	Maybe this will make you feel better.
	Look. We had a gentleman on the show last night, Tor Eklund.
	I've known him for a long time. They called him the hacker lawyer because he defended a lot of hackers.
	And he says he's kind of a libertarian guy, but he's never been a big pro-Trump guy.
	He's been pretty critical of Trump.
	And now he's just like, this is crazy.
	Kamala Harris is the deep state.
	And I'm like, people are waking up, my friends.
	It's a strange reality, I must confess.
	To see many on the left now outright just walking away, so late to the party but acceptable nonetheless.
	As I mentioned in the intro to the show, Anna Kasparian's like, I'm independent and unaligned.
	Anna, so am I. And I'm voting for Donald Trump.
	But we'll get into all of that.
	So I say this to all of you as we start off the show, the press run for Kamala has been apocalyptic.
	If you've ever wondered why it is that Kamala Harris wasn't doing press, you need look no further than polymarket.
	This is a betting forecast model.
	People make bets. You can buy yes or no on Trump or Kamala.
	Donald Trump currently has 53.2 cents to buy a yes, meaning you're going to get a less than a one-to-one return.
	And Kamala Harris has a 46 cents.
	Yeah, we're talking about near 7% swing between the two candidates.
	And it all happened right around the time that clips started to emerge from the 60 Minutes interview and people were like...
	Oh no. Kamala Harris did a bunch of interviews and it's not going too good for her.
	Now following CBS, she decided to do a lot more.
	And even the Daily Mail is running this very negative headline.
	Kamala Harris chugs beer with Stephen Colbert.
	She lectures hurricane victims over what they're doing wrong.
	Yikes, man. Not a good look.
	And I hate to say it, but I have to.
	Joe Biden is in these videos and he's saying, I'm working with DeSantis.
	He's doing a great job.
	All of the governors are doing a great job.
	And if you're down there, you need to get out now.
	We've got aid and relief. And I'm like, oh, well, thank you, Joe Biden.
	That's very professional of you. I do respect that.
	And Kamala Harris is chugging beers with Colbert.
	And I get it. She's doing some campaign PR stuff around the hurricane.
	She's I gotta say, Donald Trump goes down to Georgia and he helps people.
	He's there. He gives presents.
	I mean, at the bare minimum, Kamala Harris shows up late to the party and now she's doing these things.
	Let me play the clip for you so you can watch her drink this beer.
	Is this the beer clip? This is where they pull out the beer.
unidentified		Heavens me. Here we go. One of the old saws is they just want somebody they can have a beer with.
		So would you like to have a beer with me so I can tell people what that's like?
		Okay. This was...
		Now, we asked ahead of time, because I can't just be giving a drink to the Vice President of the United States.
		You asked for Miller Highlight.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Oh, okay. Miller Highlight, for sure.
unidentified		I'm just curious.
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		Okay, the last time I had beer was at a baseball game with Doug.
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		Okay, so cheers. There you go.
unidentified		There you go. Ooh.
unidentified		The beautiful city of Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		There you go. She needed to read that off the can?
		Who doesn't know what Miller High Life is?
		I'm sorry. All of this has been a massive net negative for Kamala Harris's campaign.
		Trying to be the, I chug beer with Colbert.
		She's getting roasted over this stuff.
		She's talking about how I would do nothing different if I'm elected.
		Or in the past four years, you know, what would I do differently?
		Nothing. And I'm like...
		I just want to give you—can I give some advice to the Harris campaign?
		I know maybe I should not be, but I'll give some advice.
		If you have any kind of failure, because we all do, you would explain what you would do differently.
		So how about this?
		I'm skateboarding, and I try to do a trick and fall.
		And someone says, would you do anything differently?
		I'd be like, yeah, I'd probably have to pull my foot back a little bit or not jump so high onto this obstacle because I think it's causing impact.
		No matter what you do, you have reason to say I should do something differently.
		Kamala Harris could have just been like, well, look, we've had issues.
		With the Afghanistan withdrawal, knowing what we know now, there's certainly many things that we've done differently because we want to preserve and protect lives.
		And using that knowledge and experience, when you vote for me, I will make sure we do a better job.
		Instead, she's like, nah, we good.
		And it's like, wait, so the economic problems, the environmental problems, the border crisis, you wouldn't do anything differently?
		In the meantime, Daily Mail says she's lecturing hurricane victims.
		They say she lectured victims of Helene for believing Republicans spreading what she called was misinformation about the state of FEMA in reaction to Helene.
		First of all, to all those folks in North Carolina and Georgia, please know that people on the ground with FEMA are here to help you.
		You are entitled to it. There's a lot of information, misinformation, and I beseech you, I beg you not to listen to it.
		I don't know. Was that our exact quote?
unidentified		You first became the nominee and named Tim Walls as your vice president nominee.
		People are calling it the vibe election.
		All the vibes are all good.
		But elections, I think, are one on vibes because one of the old saws is they just want somebody to...
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Yeah, yeah, yeah. We see where he's going with this.
		Ultimately, though, I think her quote was a little bit different.
		I thought you said I'd beg you not to pay attention to it.
		But here's what really grinds my gears, my friends.
		You've got people who live in North Carolina...
		You've got people who live in Georgia, and they are saying on camera, and there's dozens or hundreds of these videos, and they're saying, we're not getting what we need.
		Where are you? They're on Fox News.
		Okay, it's a news station. Call them biased, whatever.
		But there's a North Carolina resident saying, where are you?
		We need this help.
		It's not coming in. We've got the New York Post reporting that FEMA pulls up and sees a road closed sign.
		I'm like, I guess we can't help anybody who lives here.
		Now, when those videos go viral and we report them and say, hey, these are bad things, that's not to say nothing's being done.
		But you see, this is the game they play in the bureaucratic state.
		Fake news. FEMA is helping.
		OK, sure. I'm sure FEMA is helping some people, but some people are not being helped.
		And we are highlighting their stories.
		It's remarkable when someone can't pay their medical bills and they're like, here's a GoFundMe.
		The left goes nuts and says this person can't pay their medical bills.
		Well, a lot of people can pay their medical bills.
		Are we going to run a fact check saying fact check false?
		Most Americans pay their medical bills.
		Now, we understand that.
		And this is the manipulative game they play.
		Oh, boy, here we go. Newsweek.
		Harris says not a thing comes to mind that she'd do differently than Joe Biden.
		What are you voting for? She's supposed to be the change candidate.
		She's not. Here you go.
		You want to hear what change she's going to bring?
unidentified		I got it for you. Polling shows that a lot of people, especially independent voters, really want this to be a change election.
		Mm hmm. And that they tend to break for you in terms of thinking about change.
		You are a member of the president of the administration.
		Under a Harris administration, what would the major changes be?
		Yeah, tell me. What would stay the same?
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		Sure. Well, I mean, I'm obviously not Joe Biden.
		I noticed. And so that would be one change.
		What? But also, I think it's important to say with 28 days to go, I'm not Donald Trump.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		They all cheer.
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		That's all we wanted to hear....significance of what this next generation of leadership looks like, were I to be elected president, it is about, frankly, I love the American people, and I believe in our country.
		I love that it is our character and nature to be an ambitious people.
		You know, we have aspirations.
		We have dreams. We have incredible work ethic.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Nobody else has dreams or work ethic.
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		Just America. And I just believe that we can create and build upon the success we've achieved in a way that we continue to grow opportunity and in that way grow the strength of our- She literally didn't say anything.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		She said, I'm not Joe Biden.
		And they were like, oh, well, I didn't realize that.
		And I'm also not Trump.
		And they all just start cheering.
		Okay, I'm sorry. I'm going to say this.
		I have no qualms about it.
		I hope everybody on the left quotes me.
		Voting should be harder, okay?
		People who are voting on vibes should not be voting.
		All right, let's play a game.
		My house is on fire.
		We all live together.
		Who should make a decision about how to put up the firefighter?
		Rick, who's a firefighter who lives with us, or everybody else votes.
		Well, I guess the house is burning.
		Let's all vote. What are the vibes, man?
		I don't want to go outside. It's cold.
		We vote to do nothing, man.
		Nothing at all. This is what basically, this is what we're experiencing in the United States.
		Kamala Harris offers up nothing.
		She literally says she will be no different.
		Here we go. Here it goes again.
sunny hostin ▲ ● ▼		Well, if anything, would you have done something differently than President Biden during the past four years?
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of- And I've been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact.
		So it's your fault.
		You're proud of it. You've learned nothing.
		I think the reality is when you look at this, she doesn't know.
		I think the simple answer is she doesn't know what she is doing, okay?
		But part of me just thinks either she's intentionally sabotaging herself or all of the problems we've experienced over the past three and a half, nearly four years now, have been intentional.
		Would you do anything different? No.
		But the economy is not so good.
		Sure it is. Crime is up.
		No, it isn't. Let's talk the manipulation of stats.
		Because we'll get into this. I do have a couple other segments.
		We'll get into this. Is the economy doing well?
		No. Wages adjusted for inflation, they're down.
		Grocery costs are up.
		The buying power of the American citizen is down.
		That means we're in a bad spot.
		But the economy's growing, sure.
		But wages aren't growing alongside inflation.
		Inflation's through the roof. So that's bad.
		What about crime stats? The FBI says violent crime is down.
		No, the FBI says reported crimes are down, and half of the police departments in big states, in big cities, are not reporting.
		The National Crime Victimization Survey says crime is way up.
		They're flubbing the numbers, going on TV and saying everything is better than ever, and I would do nothing different.
		Stay the course. Fine.
		I say Donald Trump...
		Take this clip from The View.
		Take the clip of her saying, I would do nothing different, and then just go, I am Donald Trump and I approve this message.
		Because when regular people see that, they're all suffering.
		Regular people are suffering, okay?
		If you are a middle class person, your wages adjusted for inflation have been declining.
		I think it's something like 40% of people who surveyed said that they've cut back on groceries because they can't afford them right now.
		Or they can't afford to spend as much as they used to.
		It is not going well.
		Even Newsweek points this out.
		Check this out. Yo, I can come to mind many things.
		Many, many things.
		Let's start with the Inflation Reduction Act.
		Would you have voted for that?
		Well, there's an argument.
		I'm sure they're going to talk about things they actually like that were in that, but
		inflation has been way up, largely due to the spending that the Inflation Reduction
		Act actually was contributing to.
		Would you support that?
		Would you perhaps maybe have visited the border early on, considering it's a weak spot for
		your campaign?
		How about Israel?
		How about Ukraine?
		We know about these conflicts and things that could have been different.
		Heck, I'd say sure, I'd go back and declare a no-fly zone over the Donbass before the war started, putting Russia in a dangerous position where they would have to essentially declare war on us.
		Well, but they have Sevastopol.
		What about their forces down there?
		We put it over the Donbass region.
		We say that's just fine because of the conflict.
		We're working with Ukraine.
		Let Russia be the aggressor.
		There's a lot of things. I'm not saying it's a perfect plan.
		I'm saying we could come up with a million and one ideas that could have been the things that could have been done differently.
		And she's saying outright to you, we will do the exact same.
		Well, in aggregate, my friends, you're going to be loving this for those of you that want to see Donald Trump win, which is probably most of you.
		The betting odd aggregate is 51.3 Trump, 47.5 Harris.
		That's massive. I mean, when you look at Polymarket, and Trump's got a seven-point advantage, that's massive.
		The only betting market that's got a tie is Smarkets.
		These are weird companies, I guess, but you got Betson, Bovada, Bwin, PointsBet, Polymarket, Smarkets.
		Looks like predicted is not considered in here for whatever reason.
	Let's take a look at where predicted is at, actually, because they're not actually in there right now.
	Let's see. Will Kamala be the 47th president?
	Here we go. Right now, one of the only prediction markets predicted is giving Kamala Harris the edge.
	I said it before, and I'll say it again.
	There's something called betting arbitrage, where if two different companies are offering positive odds, then you're guaranteed to win.
	I guess it works something like, if you bet a dollar, and you'll get back a dollar ten...
	Or you'll get back $2 at least.
	So it's a one-to-one bet.
	If both are offering positive odds, then you can bet a dollar on one side, a dollar on the other.
	And if you win a dollar, it covers the cost of the other bet.
	So as long as they're above one-to-one, if it's one-to-1.1, then you're going to make money guaranteed.
	You make a penny or something like that.
	I don't know. Don't do that, whatever.
	Google it. You figure it out. I'm not telling you what to do.
	I'm just saying it's fascinating that we have certain prediction markets favoring Donald Trump across the board and then predict it as like, nah, Kamala's going to win.
	We think she's going to win.
	But I do think when you see this, this is the real reaction from regular people.
	Now, Donald Trump is chiming in, addressing the CBS 60 Minutes controversy because I tell you what happened.
	There's a big controversy where apparently they edited up her answers in different ways.
	And so original clips that came out have different answers than what was aired on TV in the full interview.
	Trump says on Truth Social, lie in Kamala Harris, Kamala's answers to questions, which were virtually incoherent over and over again, some by as many as four times in a single sentence or thought, all in an effort, possibly illegal as part of the news division, which must be licensed, to make her look more presidential, or at least better.
	It may also be a major campaign finance violation.
	This is a stain on the reputation of 60 Minutes that is not recoverable.
	It will always remain with this one-story brand hack.
	I have never heard of such a thing being done in news.
	It is the very definition of fake news.
	The public is owed a major and immediate apology.
	This is an open and shut case and must be investigated starting today.
	So again, there are preliminary clips showing Kamala Harris giving answers, and then what was actually aired on TV was very much different.
	Trump, of course, is upset about it.
	Now, the question, my friends, is with all of this being said, is Kamala Harris going to win?
	Well, we will see. We are going to—we got a bunch more segments coming up in a very little bit.
	We're going to break up—I think what we're going to do is, for those that are big fans of the show you watch often, I normally would do like half an hour, 20 minutes, 10 minutes, 10 minutes, but I actually think that does a disservice to a certain degree, and we're going to start cranking it up.
	And I've got another story coming up in just a second.
	Kamala Harris is struggling with the working class.
	This has many, leading many to believe that we are likely going to see her lose the blue wall states and Trump will win.
	So we'll jump into that in the next segment.
	But before we do, my friends, smash that like button, subscribe, share the show with everyone you know.
	Take the URL for YouTube.
	Post it wherever you can. It really does help.
	And we'll grab some of your super chats.
	We'll do about two or three, and then we will jump into this next segment.
	So we'll just start with the beginning.
	We got Veronica Clare saying Anna Kasperian has officially left the left.
	You should totally bring her on IRL. Also, what's the drink for today?
unidentified		Ah, yes, indeed. I have a delicious lemon spindrift.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Could not be healthier. I'm a big fan of Spindrift.
		They are based. I actually don't know if the company is based at all.
		But the fact that this is what soda is supposed to be, and we're not sponsored by them, I only wish.
		But this is Make America Healthy Again right here.
		This is RFK Jr. should be drinking these bad boys.
		So it's basically sparkling water with lemon juice.
		Those are the ingredients. Carbonated water, lemon juice.
		I don't need 40 grams of sugar in my drink, okay?
		We don't want none of that. Give me a little bit of lemon juice.
		Not so good for your teeth in the long run.
		Use a straw, everybody. Alright, let's go.
		Stuart Votsberger says, like and subscribe.
		Vote's not up yet. Everybody?
		Oh, yeah. Like and subscribe.
		Smash that like button. If everybody who watched smashed that like button, we'd be the biggest show on YouTube.
		I would also like to say shout out to YouTube.
		I don't know what happened. Maybe the CEO changed.
		But yeah, two days ago.
		Well, so we've been featured on YouTube's live.
		And last night, IRL was on the default homepage.
		Just kind of crazy. So incognito mode private, tried on multiple browsers.
		Several other individuals tested as well.
		On accounts, on computers, with brand new browsers, not signed in.
		IRL was actually featured on the homepage for new users.
		Which, thank you, YouTube, I guess.
		Mason says, Tim, I bet you're on YouTube's front page now so you can't prove damages in your defamation suit.
		Well, let's take a gander over at what's going on at there at YouTube and see if we're popping up.
		So YouTube live right now, and we are the—oh, actually, we're not number two.
		But we're like number seven in the live features.
		And the morning show is like that, but in the features, so I'm looking at an account
		that's not signed in, two episodes of TimCast IRL in the top four.
		So that's pretty cool.
		And in the recent streams, number seven is actually yesterday's morning show.
		On the homepage, youtube.com, I do not see, we're on the front page somewhere, but if
		If you gotta scroll down pretty far, it's still pretty cool.
		And we are.
		So it's cool stuff. Cool stuff.
		Times there are changing. We're not getting big promo right now.
		And it is fairly obvious.
		What is this? Tim Pool demolishes Sam Seder for being unhinged liar.
		It's like a fake quote.
		It says, F you, you fake me.
		That is not the case. Tim Pool lawsuit reveals more than he realizes.
		Sam Seder. This guy talks about me a lot.
		Okay. All right, Sam.
		Here's another one for you.
		All right, let's jump into this segment here, ladies and gentlemen.
		We've got this story from the Wall Street Journal.
		Kamala Harris struggling to break through with working class Democrats fear.
		Indeed, my friends, in the crucial states that Harris needs to win, they're actually looking at internal polling, suggesting she is down, heavily favoring Donald Trump.
		Now, with this story pushing through yesterday, updated at 7.55 a.m., I wonder if this is why we are seeing a major shift in the betting markets alongside the press run that was very bad.
		Very, very bad. Not so good for Kamala Harris.
		Pennsylvania is literally the keystone state.
		If Kamala Harris cannot win with working class voters in these states, namely white working class voters, that's it.
		Trump wins. There's a really funny meme that I saw from Political Compass memes where it showed a Kamala Harris ad with a white blonde woman with two blonde kids.
		And they had blue eyes.
		And they said, she must be truly desperate if she's putting white people in her ads.
		The Wall Street Journal reports, Democrats have privately grown worried about Kamala
		Harris's standing among many among working class voters in the crucial blue wall states,
		particularly in Michigan.
		Donald Trump has assiduously courted union members and non-college educated white voters
		with a message focused on high costs, manufacturing and the threat of China to the US economy.
		Senior Democrats, including Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, want a sharper economic
		appeal from Harris and have conveyed those concerns to her campaign.
	According to people familiar with the conversations, they would also like the vice president to
	spend more time campaigning in the state.
	Michigan Democrats have urged the campaign to make more overt appeals to autoworkers
	and blue collar workers by emphasizing the administration's work to grow the industry
	and build new plants.
	Others want Harris to make a more populist pitch, a message that was central to appearances
	around the state last week by Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and United Auto Workers President
	Sean Fain.
	At an event in Grand Rapids on Sunday, Sanders pressed for progressive goals such as higher
	minimum wages and expansion of Social Security and higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations
	all under the banner of the party's need to elect Harris and defeat Trump.
	We have got to understand the billionaire class today not only has enormous political
	power and that includes both political parties, Sanders said.
	So one of the things that we have got to do is create a political movement in this country led by trade unions, which tells the billionaire class that we are tired of their greed.
	I gotta tell you, my friends, the whole tax the rich thing, it don't fly.
	It's not real.
	Bernie Sanders, your shtick isn't going to work here.
	Kamala Harris, she comes out and they say, how are you going to pay the bill for everything you want to do?
	And she goes, we're going to make the wealthy pay their fair share.
	Yo, the occupied generation has grown up, lady.
	I remember this.
	If you taxed every billionaire 100%, you'd pay the U.S. deficit down by like a half a percent or some nonsense.
	Not even. The amount of money that exists among the wealthiest in America wouldn't even fund this country for like a week.
	You need the collective of all of the people of this country in order to fund this ridiculous deficit.
	And you want to know what's going on?
	That's why they hired 87,000 IRS agents.
	So you get to pay the bill.
	I warn you this, my friends.
	One day you're going to wake up, a letter in the mail from the IRS saying you owe $300.
	And you're going to say, I can't afford groceries.
	I'm struggling to pay rent, my mortgage, my car payment, my insurance, whatever it may be.
	And you say, how am I supposed to pay 300 bucks?
	Oh, good luck. Call a lawyer, I guess.
	Now, there are services that can help you even with 300 bucks, no matter how small it is.
	But think about the time it takes.
	Most people are going to say, I'll just pay it.
	I know a lot of people.
	They have super chatted. They have chatted on this show saying that they are getting surprise tax bills that they did not expect.
	There you go. 87,000 new IRS agents.
	Now, in the meantime, they say recent polling shows Harris and Trump essentially tied in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
	Winning the blue wall along the Nebraska second congressional district remains her strongest path to the 270 electoral votes.
	But I got to tell you, if they're tied, that means Trump is winning because you got a few factors.
	Polling favors the Democrats and Trump has got secret voters.
	You know, they say it's not true, but a lot of people don't want to admit that they are in favor of Donald Trump.
	I want to give a shout out to, I'm a big fan of Danny Way.
	You know who Danny Way is?
	He is one of the most famous skateboarders ever.
	Danny Way gaps 70 feet on a skateboard, launches up a 20-foot vertical wall, 40 feet in the air, comes down, bashes his ankles on the ramp, front flips, crashes down, shattering the bone.
	I'm being a little exaggerating here, but breaks his leg, gets back up, does it again, and lands it.
	That's who that guy is.
	He recently came out on his Instagram saying, I will never stop fighting for Trump.
	Screw the BS and the haters.
	This is my guy. I was surprised to see it because I know too many pro skateboarders who are scared to speak up.
	And now we're starting to see people say, I'm done with this.
	But take a look at this.
	We got bad news here for Democrats.
	An internal poll done by Democrat Tammy Baldwin's Senate campaign last week showed Harris down
	by three percentage points in Wisconsin, while Baldwin was up by two points.
	According to a person familiar with the poll, the person said much of the narrowing is due
	to Republican strength with non-college educated men.
	Public polling has shown Harris with a slight lead in the state.
	Harris also hasn't matched President Biden's 2020 support from organized labor.
	While she has one backing from some influential unions, including United Auto Workers and Service Employees International Union, others have withheld their support.
	The International Brotherhood of Teamsters declined to back either candidate, as did the International Association of Firefighters.
	Both endorsed Biden four years ago.
	And now they're looking at what Biden brings and they're like, uh-uh, we ain't having none of this.
	Kamala Harris has been a disaster for this country.
	Even as VP, she's been doing a terrible job.
	And you only got to look at when her mouth opens.
	When she does more press, she goes down.
	And she keeps doing more and more press.
	She opens her mouth and then she goes down.
	Her polls start plummeting.
	Some state-level Teamsters organizations did not endorse Harris, including in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
	The Harris campaign said she has regularly traveled to blue-wall states and stressed the continuing outreach, including extensive advertising, that is focused on working-class voters.
	They also noted she has put out plans on issues such as price gouging and prescription drug prices that are aimed at these voters.
	The vice president made a manufacturing-focused economic speech in Pittsburgh last month.
	Republicans have targeted Harris over her past positions on EVs, electric vehicles,
	and on fracking.
	On electric vehicles, Harris said during her 2019 bid she wanted tougher emissions standards.
	Well, I got bad news.
	The United Auto Workers, they are suffering.
	Yo, Michigan's already been in dire straits.
	The Rust Belt made cars.
	Now we're importing vehicles.
	We're sending auto manufacturing to Mexico.
	And with the increased emissions restrictions and a pressure to produce EVs, these workers are losing their jobs, not to mention automation is increasing.
	These people aren't going to vote for Kamala Harris.
	Now, far be it from me to be a Luddite, I do think we have to figure out ways to transition these organizations and companies so people don't lose their livelihoods.
	But I'm going to tell you this. Kamala is coming out and saying, we want to get rid of fracking.
	We want to get rid of gasoline cars and go EV. You're talking about pipefitters.
	What is it? Pipefitters Union.
	You're talking about Teamsters.
	You're talking about autoworkers.
	And they're all going to say, you as president is the end of my family having food on the table.
	Good luck winning without the unions.
	But hey, maybe they don't need it because Democrats have shadow campaigns to assist.
	Trump advisor Corey Lewandowski said people around the country see Harris as the most radical, dangerous nominee of a major party in the history of our country.
	The people of Michigan know it.
	The people who work in the auto industry know it.
	Former Rep Conor Lamb, who represented a Pittsburgh-era district, said Harris has made headway.
	But still needs to argue her case to more moderate and independent voters in western Pennsylvania.
	True persuasion of the last group we need, people who may vote for Republicans elsewhere on the ballot, I think is going to require more unfiltered messaging by the vice president.
	Town Hall's interviews, Lamb said.
	The message is solid, but it's clear to me that there are still some skeptics who have to work harder to pull into our camp.
	My friends, every time Kamala Harris starts talking, her polls go down, her betting odds go down.
	So by all means, Conor Lamb, send in Kamala Harris to these town halls to open her mouth so we can see her polls go down.
	We can see her start declining and Trump will start going up.
	Trump doesn't even say anything. Trump's just standing there as Kamala Harris opens her mouth and then everything just turns up Donald Trump because she doesn't know what she's talking about.
	She has no plans. And it was clear when she cracked the beer and took that little sip, she doesn't have anything substantive to offer.
	Colbert asks her, What change do you bring if you're gonna be the change candidate?
	Well, I'm not Joe Biden and I'm certainly not Donald Trump.
	Kay, you're a different person?
	You literally said nothing.
	Ladies and gentlemen, why should you watch Timcast?
	Well, I'm not Steven Crowder, and I'm not Stix Hexenhammer, and I'm not Cenk Uygur, and I'm not Sam Seder.
	Duh. Everybody knows that we are different people.
	It's a stupid thing to say outright.
	Kamala Harris is Kamala Harris.
	The question is, what policies will she enact?
	Nothing. So everybody who's witnessed this over the past three and a half years, mark my words, you vote for Kamala, and you will get the same thing, if not worse.
	Ask yourself this question.
	Can we as a nation wait as the conflict in the Middle East is escalating?
	As the conflict in Russia is escalating?
	As the conflict in the Red Sea directly involving the United States military is escalating?
	As inflation is getting worse?
	As wages are not rising as fast as inflation?
	As the border is porous?
	As we have criminal gangs and cartels trafficking children?
	Can we wait four more years?
	Sorry, but the answer is no. Now you come to me and you say, hey, Donald Trump.
	I say, listen, man, you don't gotta like the guy.
	You don't have to. You don't.
	And honestly, I'd take Dave Smith.
	I would. Not everybody agrees, but Dave Smith isn't the guy who's running.
	He did not run for the Libertarian ticket, and he wasn't available.
	What do we have? We have Donald Trump.
	But Trump has invited in Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr.
	We have an eclectic bunch here, my friends.
	You know, Elad Elia, who's a neocon, he comes on the show on IRL, and he says, no, no, I like Trump's policies.
	I don't like Tulsi Gabbard. I say, that's fine.
	I like Tulsi Gabbard's policies.
	I actually like Trump's policies.
	Not as many as a lot likes, but I also like RFK Jr.
	on health. I think you vote for Donald Trump, you are getting a unity coalition.
	Trump may be somebody you don't like.
	Yeah, well, RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard help fill in that gap, something fierce.
	Not to mention, I'm a big fan of Elon Musk.
	So let's get there, my friends.
	Smash that like button. Subscribe to this channel.
	Share the show with everyone you know.
	We really do appreciate it.
	We got many, many more segments coming up.
	We have a lot more to talk about.
	Let's see what we got over in the old, what do we have here?
	FEMA's plans to tout LGBT community for disaster preparedness.
	Is that what you thought? That's where we're going next, my friends.
	A lot of stories to cover today, so smash that like button, share the show, follow me on X and Instagram.
	For those watching live, we will get your super chats now.
	We'll grab a couple of your super chats before we jump into the FEMA doing disaster equity.
	Oh boy, how fun is this one?
	All right, my friends. We'll grab a couple of your chats here.
	Veronica Clare says, if Kamala Harris was doing good, why should she so suddenly change her entire campaign strategy from hiding from the media to doing the complete opposite?
	Indeed, it's a real question.
	All right. Mr.
	Cringes says, Tim, don't get Trump.
	Steal it. Don't let Trump steal it.
	Enact voter ID. I love that meme.
	Conservatives are saying, don't let Trump steal the election.
	Require IDs because Russia or something.
	All right. Lorenzo's Game Lounge says a woman in Tennessee went to two different Walmarts and employees were taking all the meat, eggs and dairy off the shelves.
	When asked what they were doing, they couldn't provide an answer.
	Well, look, I don't know about that.
	For all you know, there was like all the meat and eggs that it could be the refrigeration truck failed and they were like, hey, these are probably spoiled.
	Could be that simple. Could be that simple indeed.
	But we're going to talk about the news and we've got a lot of fun stuff to talk about, my friends.
	But how about this one?
	We talked about this one a little bit.
	Let's let's let's start here. You gotta love the corporate press taking things out of context or pushing them to their most extreme.
	Marjorie Taylor Greene has been on a tirade, saying they can control the weather.
	Wired puts they in quotes, as if to imply the Jews, when Marjorie Taylor Greene was literally just referring to the powers that be.
	Which includes corporations, special interests, governments, military.
	Let me just pause for a second, my friends, and tell you definitively that it is entirely possible to manipulate the weather using science and technology.
	It has been done for a very long time.
	Operation Popeye was an operation in Vietnam where, without approval, a CIA was trying to make it rain over the Ho Chi Minh Trail because they wanted to have the rain wash out roads and make it more difficult for the communists to mobilize.
	Now, the question is, can you make hurricanes?
	I don't think so.
	And I got to tell you, my friends, while certainly that may be the implication that many people on the right are posting right now, we'll talk about this.
	I see you, Luke Witkowski, posting on X. Do you think they can control the weather?
	I know what you're trying to say.
	Nobody's bringing this up in the context of a major Category 5 hurricane about to slam into Florida just after a hurricane slammed into North Carolina, Florida, Atlanta, South Carolina.
	And they're saying there's another hurricane that could slam in after Milton, Nadine.
	Okay, no one's saying this stuff right now to avoid the implication they think the government or some powerful interest or military is attacking us with hurricanes.
	I'll just put it this way.
	Guys, maybe. But I'm more inclined to believe that we just live in a constructed universe.
	And I say constructed because atheists are going to call it a simulation and Christians are going to say it's divine mandate.
	It's God's plan. Whatever it is, we'll call it God's plan or constructed.
	Like the idea that a month from the election with early voting happening now, two crucial swing states would get slammed into by a hurricane wiping out Republican strongholds.
	It's just the odds must be astronomical.
	And then another hurricane forms in the Gulf, which is extremely rare, and starts heading east.
	Normally, hurricanes form off the coast of West Africa and start moving westward as they slam into the Gulf and this area.
	They strengthen over the ocean.
	We saw that from the Gulf, and it's possible.
	It's happened before, but it's rare.
	So here we go. I love the first thing they do in that they try to make it seem like people on the right who are bringing this up are talking about Jews.
	But let's do this.
	The New Republic. MTG's dumb hurricane conspiracy takes on a sinister new twist.
	Oh, a sinister one.
	Marjorie Taylor Greene's claim that they can control the weather was a dog whistle to anti-Semites everywhere.
	Oh, they can't help themselves.
	They can't help themselves.
	It looks like anti-Semites are really latching on to Rep.
	Marjorie Taylor Greene's conspiracy theory about Hurricane Helene.
	In the aftermath of the Category 4 storm, Jewish government officials have been targeted by anti-Semitic conspiracy theories according to The Forward, a national Jewish media outlet.
	Homeland Security Secretary Mayorkas, Asheville Mayor Esther Mannheimer, and FEMA spokesperson Jacqueline Rothenberg have become targets of anti-Semitic abuse online.
	Now, what they're doing is they're connecting Marjorie Taylor Greene, posting that weather control is real, to the fact that anti-Semites attack people online.
	We do not know that they are related.
	Last week, Greene amplified a right-wing conspiracy theory that the government may have manufactured the deadly hurricane.
	Quote, Yes, they can control the weather.
	It's ridiculous for anyone to lie and say it can't be done.
	She also seemed to imply that the government had been targeting Republican areas, which Donald Trump also suggested.
	I don't know that that's actually true, that Trump suggested that they're making hurricanes to target Republican areas, but I don't know, whatever.
	Not only is this theory outrageously anti-science, but it's also built on an explicitly anti-Semitic trope, notably Green's outlandish suggestion that lacks any semblance of reason.
	I'm going to pause there for a minute.
	What Marjorie Taylor Greene is proposing is within the realm of possibility.
	She's not saying that leprechauns emerged from a rainbow and started casting curses upon the land.
	She's saying that we have weather manipulation technology and there's an insinuation that hurricanes could be formed of that.
	Now, I believe she's incorrect, but it is certainly possible to manipulate weather.
	She's not wrong about that. She's also certainly not claiming Jews are doing it.
	They just love to do that because they have no real rebuttal.
	I'll give you a real rebuttal and I'll be honest about it.
	Weather manipulation is real, but at this scale is an absurdity.
	Now, it's possible the military has technology that we don't know about, and they're much more advanced.
	They wouldn't tell us. The nuclear bomb was compartmentalized in the Manhattan Project.
	Hundreds of thousands of people worked on it.
	No one knew exactly what it was going to be.
	I've got the Life magazines.
	I have a big Life magazine collection.
	They're thinking it could be a death laser.
	It could be warships.
	It could be flying, you know, big aircraft carriers in the sky or something.
	Some thought it could be a doomsday weapon.
	They weren't entirely sure.
	Information was getting out, but it was compartmentalized.
	That's a possibility.
	That being said, this hurricane, as far as I understand, is like, what is it, like 70
	or 80 or how many miles wide?
	Let's pull this up.
	How many miles wide is Milton?
	100? What do they say?
	It's the eye of the storm is four miles wide and the hurricane itself is 22 miles wide.
	OK, 22 miles.
	Look, Trump suggested I don't know if this is true, but there's like a story where apparently like Trump was like, why don't we nuke this hurricane?
	And they were like, that would do nothing.
	The nuclear bomb would not put a dent in this massive 30 mile wide storm.
	I do not believe, even with whatever we have, we are going to have the energy output capabilities to create a storm of this magnitude.
	Now, I do think there's the possibility of seeding the beginnings of a storm or a depression.
	I don't think that's possible.
	What you need to make a hurricane involves all of the surrounding areas, and to direct it requires all surrounding areas, meaning...
	When the hurricane starts moving in a direction, it's because all of the winds surrounding it are creating a path for this based on high and low pressure.
	So if you want to believe that the U.S. governor or somebody is controlling the weather to the point where they're creating hurricanes, you'd have to believe that they're controlling entire hemispheres of wind patterns.
	And that's basically, in turn, the whole planet's wind patterns.
	Certainly, you could consider they can heat up an area, maybe.
	No, they're not going to heat up 50 miles of ocean to create the conditions to create a hurricane.
	I just don't believe that's reality.
	I've seen powerful lasers.
	We've seen the... The laser-induced plasma channel, that's where they have an artillery that can shoot a lightning bolt at you.
	We've seen amazing things.
	But the energy required to create a hurricane is tremendous.
	And a nuclear bomb doesn't even come close.
	My friends, I do not believe it's reality.
	But it would be stupid to try and claim that Marjorie Taylor Greene is talking about the Jews.
	So not interested in your ridiculous, garbled, fake news lies, okay?
	That being said, let's talk about weather manipulation warfare.
	It's real. Operation Popeye, as I mentioned, it was a military cloud seeding project carried by the U.S. Air Force during the Vietnam War.
	The highly classified program attempted to extend the monsoon season over specific areas of the Ho Chi Minh Trail to disrupt North Vietnamese military supplies by softening road surfaces and causing landslides.
	The chemical weather modification was conducted from Thailand over Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam and allegedly sponsored by Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and the CIA. It does.
	I also want to point out that The Guardian reported 13 years ago firing laser beams into the sky could make it rain.
	Making it rain is not a hurricane. And laser-induced cloud seeding has been well-known for some time.
	I was covering this.
	We were looking at stories for Vice back when I was there.
	This is a couple years later. Well-known that University of Geneva had done things like this.
	Cloud seeding has been around for, like, I don't know what, since the 50s.
	They used silver iodide to cause the water particles in the atmosphere to condense, creating clouds.
	And then it rains. In Dubai recently, they had major flooding because they overdid it.
	Now, if you were to come and tell me that a major storm flooded a region and it rained for like three weeks and then said you saw planes that were dispersing chemicals or whatever, I'd say cloud sitting is real.
	But if you want to claim that one of the most powerful hurricanes we've ever seen in this region was created by some nefarious group, I'm just going to say, guys, I don't believe it.
	I just don't. I don't think there's anything wrong with speculating, asking questions about weather modification and weaponry.
	And I think it is the utmost absurdity for the media to claim Marjorie Taylor Greene is talking about the juice.
	But let's just, nah.
	Nah, I don't buy it.
	Sorry, guys. I know.
	And a lot of people may want to believe that it's true.
	Believe whatever you want to believe. Tell me I'm wrong.
	You know, because I have people coming out and saying, what about this report?
	What about that report? But creating a hurricane?
	Nah. I'll tell you this.
	I believe God is real. I know.
	And now the atheists are yelling at me.
	The conspiracy theorists Christians are like, Tim, you are wrong.
	And then the atheist stoics and pragmatists are like, indeed, Tim, on their corncob pipes.
	And then I say, but God is real.
	And then the atheists are like, we're out.
	And then the conspiracy Christians are like, keep going, Tim.
	I believe that God is real.
	I'm not a Christian, though. I do believe that we live in a universe of purpose, and there is some sort of design, there is some sort of reason for existence.
	And I think it's fair to say that when you look around at things, and based on the math that we see, you sometimes start to feel like it's not chance.
	Like, how could this be reality?
	How could so many historically unprecedented things occur in such a short time?
	It defies reason.
	But not really. Mathematicians and pragmatists will just say, no, it is within the realm of probability that these things do occur.
	And I just say this, sure, but I believe things have averages and tendencies, and I don't believe that we're at the high end of the bell curve for five, six, seven, eight years straight.
	Well, but it could, no, no, spare me.
	It is too fantastical.
	These things seem too out of the ordinary.
	The reason why people want to divert towards conspiratorial thinking about the manufacturing of hurricanes is because what are the odds that a hurricane slams into two swing states during the election?
	Like, we're in election month.
	I know it's stupid to have an election month, but we are.
	Then another one forms in the Gulf, the strongest we've seen, and it's going to slam into Florida.
	And now they're saying another hurricane, I think they're calling it Nadine, has a 20% chance of forming and then slamming the other direction into Florida.
	What are the chances? You won the lottery three times.
	So people just say, I don't believe it.
	I say this, look. I believe it is within the realms of math and probability that these things happen.
	But it is beyond what we would expect probabilistically.
	And it would be akin in, okay, maybe not.
	But as math goes, they say, over a long enough period of time, all of the oxygen in a room will move to one side.
	Sure, what, over 800 billion years?
	Maybe. Maybe. What are the chances?
	How many millions of years to see something like this occur?
	In which I say we are truly living in interesting times, and I believe there is something greater beyond us.
	I don't believe it is humans controlling the weather.
	I think it is just the nature of the reality that we live in for the purpose that we live in it.
	Maybe I'm wrong. I'm allowed to be, and you're allowed to be wrong as well, and you're also allowed to tell me I'm wrong, and that's the way we do things.
	But in the meantime... Yeah, I don't know what they're doing, but I don't think they're making hurricanes.
	We'll wrap it up there. Smash the like button.
	Subscribe to this channel. Share the show with everyone you know.
	Follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
	I don't know. Share the show on YouTube.
	Do whatever you got to do. We'll jump now into the next story about FEMA's disaster equity.
	So that'll be the next segment coming up for everybody else watching live.
	We're going to grab a couple super chats before jumping into the story.
	All right, my friends.
	Brandon K. says that Donald went down to Georgia.
	Did you post a... That's a guitar, not a fiddle.
	It's supposed to be a fiddle.
	Also, I'd just like to stress that Devil Went Down to Georgia is one of the greatest songs of all time.
	And shout out to Nickelback for their guitar cover, because that was also pretty good.
	Though they cut the chorus. I'll give them what I can give them.
	All right. Pirate Skeleton says they needed to introduce Kamala as late into the game as possible.
	They knew more times she was exposed, the worse she'd look.
	That is correct. James Hill says Miller High Life is piss-spear.
	I'm sorry, I agree.
	I'm not trying to rag on Miller.
	I mean, they're not like Bud Light, necessarily, but at least Kamala didn't pull out a Bud Light.
	Although I do want to point out that they were, she could have pulled out Yingling.
	I mean, they're on the East Coast.
	Yingling is entirely, you know, why don't you do Yingling?
	And what do we have here right now?
	We're popping over and seeing what we got going on on this here.
	And no, no feature today.
	No feature today. What are you going to do?
	I think if you go to YouTube Live,.com Live, I think we get the featured spot.
	No, I guess not. No, yeah, we're number five.
	You can't win them all, can you?
	But we'll grab one more Super Chat and then we'll jump into the next story.
	Amtru says chaos theory is a scientific principle describing the unpredictability of systems.
	Weather is a definition of chaos theory.
	Example, butterflies starting a hurricane on the other side of the earth.
	Indeed, like dominoes falling over in ways we can't predict.
	But rest assured, my friends, FEMA is here.
	You need not worry.
	For when the disaster strikes and Milton is now approaching Florida, just know that if you're a white man, FEMA's got nothing for you.
	Sorry, disaster equity is taking over.
	From the post-millennial flashback, FEMA tatted plan to prioritize LGBTQ community for disaster preparedness.
	That's right. Depending on who you enjoy lying in bed with, you are more likely to receive aid.
	Because as we know from this video that's gone viral, marginalized people were already hurting.
	And so, well, we don't need to give relief and disaster aid to those white Appalachians, do we?
	This is their plan.
	This is their ideology.
	And it's what you're going to get.
unidentified		Sparked a few things in my mind, thinking about preparedness and how you said, you know, LGBTQIA people and people who have been disadvantaged already are struggling.
		They already have their own things to deal with.
		So you add a disaster on top of that.
		It's just compounding on itself.
		That's right. And I think that is maybe the why of why we're having these discussions is because it isn't being talked about.
		It isn't being socialized.
		We're not paying attention to this community.
		Thank you so much.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Maggie. Thank you.
		The meeting was chaired by FEMA employee Tyler Atkins, who seeks the advice and input of a number of LGBTQ-related experts on how disaster assistance should be assessed in light of the diversity concerns.
		At one point, Atkins noted how he was particularly impressed with the phrase, radical spaces of kindness and care.
		So the meeting has sparked in my mind, thinking about the preparedness and how you said, you know, LGBTQIA people and people have been disadvantaged are already struggling.
		Maggie Jerry, an employee of the federal government's Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration, responded by saying, yeah, there are a couple of things that are intersecting in my mind here.
		One of them is the culture of emergency management as an organization, as an industry in the
		United States, specifically not abroad.
		The shift that we're seeing right now is a shift in emergency management from utilitarian
		principles where everything is designed for the greatest good for the greatest amount
		of people to disaster equity," she continued.
		But we have to do more, right?
		Now this topic is intersecting, I think, with a number of other topics where we have to
		look at policies and understand what extent they have disadvantaged communities that had
		less assets, communities that had pre-existing vulnerabilities and accessing disaster-related
		recovery supports.
		Okay.
		Okay.
		I'm going to break this down for you guys.
		Help you understand it. There are a lot of people who want to tell you what woke means.
		And they want to tell you what the left and the right is.
		Well, I can give you one we don't hear enough of.
		It is bubbled up every so often.
		You may notice that academics use overly verbose language that seemingly makes no sense and doesn't need to be stated in that way.
		They could certainly keep it simple.
		Keep it simple, stupid, right?
		You could say something like, guys, there are people who are already poor.
		We want to make sure we get them aid first.
		The people who are impoverished and suffering need aid.
		It's triage. We want to make sure we get that to them before we go to the wealthier communities.
		I know they're all suffering, but we're going to triage this.
		Kept it simple, right?
		Well, the problem is, what you end up with is this academic lingo, where instead of saying that, they'll say something like, the economically disadvantaged individuals of economically disadvantaged areas, historically facing marginalized oppression, suffer from an equivocating response due to the overbearing nature of bureaucratic...
		What?
		What? It reminds me of the V for Vendetta quote.
		Let me see if I can put a V for Vendetta, the V quote.
		It's actually great writing.
		When, for no reason, he says the stupidest thing ever.
		I don't know. Everyone probably loves it.
		Voila! In view, a humble vaudevillian veteran cast vicariously as both victim and villain by the vicissitudes of fate, the visage, no mere veneer of vanity.
		We get it, dude. You wear a mask and you beat up the bad guys, all right?
		Just keep it simple. But anyway, here's my point.
		What they're saying right here is they're trying to sound substantive and smart when they have nothing to offer.
		Because if you really wanted to have a FEMA meeting and you were like...
		This area's got a middle-class area, a working-class area, and a deeply impoverished area.
		I think we should apply FEMA aid for the impoverished areas first to make sure that they're getting relief because they're already in dire situations.
		And it's like, okay, agreed.
		In order to sound smart, they increase the complexity of language so that it sounds like they're saying more than they really are because they have nothing to offer.
		Thus emergeth the woke ideology in this space.
		Don't get me wrong. Wokeness has its origins.
		Leftist weirdo ideology has its origins in books and critical race theory.
		But the reason why these people are there is because they're trying to impress each other and one up each other.
		So they end up saying the most complicated nonsensical things, which results in aid must first be delivered to transgender, disabled, non-white individuals who don't have wheelchairs and they're gay.
		It's like... Why all of those things?
		Well, because they're constantly trying to one-up how much better they are than you to each other.
		And so they say things, and also I'll add a component of it, is they want power for themselves.
		I would make the assumption that the individual who's saying these things about LGBTQIA needing resources, who has his pronouns in his profile picture listed as he, they, what he's really saying, what I hear, is him going...
		I want to make sure that I get stuff before you.
		And they go, oh, yes, indeed.
		And then they have to play oppression Olympics to justify why they get to have more than you.
		This in practice, wokeness at FEMA, this is the end of the United States.
		And that's why we got to vote this stuff out.
		And I do think we're winning. We've had tremendous strides over the past couple of weeks.
		We've seen some amazing cultural victories.
		Matt Walsh's Am I Racist?
	Masterfully done, Matt, and The Daily Wire.
	We have seen TimCast News and TimCast IRL featured on the front page.
	TimCast News on the live page.
	And TimCast IRL yesterday was on the default front page of YouTube.
	This is cultural victories.
	Many people are starting to realize you're not going to make money, you're not going to buy food, and things are getting bad.
	How bad do they have to get before you break from the narrative and say enough of this insanity?
	It is absurd. If we are going to run an effective system, meritocracy has to be at the very least 51% of our ethos.
	It's funny. I think meritocracy should be, I don't know, 95 to 100 percent.
	And the reason why I say 95 to 100 is because there's room often to help somebody who's trying but not that good.
	You know, I got a buddy and he plays music and it's like, you know, you get to see plus on it.
	But I'm going to give him a chance to see if he can improve.
	Whereas pure meritocracy, which is still typically what I aim for, is, look, you're not really good at this, dude.
	Maybe you shouldn't be playing music.
	I like to tell people, I can break down why communism won't work, right?
	Let me explain to you why this ideology, but in the greater picture of communism, doesn't work.
	The question is this. How many people do you know who play the guitar, right?
	I'm willing to bet you know a lot of people who play the guitar.
	Look at me. I play the guitar, right?
	I can play the guitar.
	Okay. How many of those people that you know would want to be a professional musician?
	And therein lies the problem with communism.
	Of those people, how many of them could actually be a professional musician?
	Now, I'm sure you're saying, like, actually, John is really good.
	If he had the money and the resources, he probably could be a great musician.
	And then most of you are going, like, dude, almost every person I know who plays guitar is just not that good.
	This idea that the left has on equity in these spaces, they genuinely believe that in communism, they get to just do whatever they want.
	But I assure you, dude, when you show up to the commissar and they say, what are your skills?
	And you'll say, well, I'm actually real good at playing the guitar.
	They're going to say, oh, okay, well, to each according to their need.
	What is it? From each according to their ability to each according to their need.
	And you're going to be like, that's right. And I play the guitar and say, play for us.
	And they're going to go, you're really bad at this.
	I mean, maybe you get a C +, but I got a better idea.
	You're not good enough to be a professional musician, young communist, sir, but I got a pickaxe, and you can break rocks.
	Anybody can do that, right?
	If you are not the best of the best, or you're not built and trained for it in these systems, you will do what you are told to do.
	There will be no reading books, playing video games, and walking through fields.
	They'll say your only value is in breaking rocks.
	And if you have bad ideas, they'll send you to go break rocks simply to get you out of the way.
	When they start trying to implement this garbage and disaster relief, the hurricanes are going to flatten everything.
	But maybe, as I say, I'm of two minds of this.
	The intentional, controlled demolition of the United States for the purpose of avoiding Thucydides' trap.
	We don't want to go to war with China because the economy over there is expanding rapidly and it's bad news.
	Or victims of our own success.
	We have let for too long insane ideas run rampant and insane people hire other insane people.
	But just maybe in the latter.
	Eventually, when the systems break, only those of true merit can recover them.
	And it's an ebb and flow.
	That is to say that when these disasters strike and FEMA abandons people for being, I don't know, a straight white Christian male or something, the strong survive and the weak do not.
	And when the weak fail to maintain their lives, buy food, and live and have kids, well, a couple generations later, you're going to have a very Christian conservative nation.
	But who am I to say? Who am I to say?
	I do think that's the direction of where we're going, but we shall see.
	So I'll wrap this one up there, my friends.
	Smash that like button once again and subscribe.
	Follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
	More segments coming up from this show.
	We've got a lot of fun stuff to talk about.
	Let's grab the...
	I definitely want to jump over to the...
	Anna Kasparian, leaving the left.
	And then we've got, this is big, and then we also have a major influencer saying that they have been paid, they've been offered 15 grand to promote Kamala Harris.
	For everybody watching live, however, we will grab your Super Chats now.
	Let's grab a couple, and then we'll talk about Anna Kasperian's transformation from Left Wing.
	And this is from September 30th, by the way, so it's been about a week.
	All right, here we go. Backwoods says, Weather Warfare, History Channel 09.
	You can watch it on X. Internet is getting a little hiccup, but, you know, I think we're popping back up.
	There are all the Fs in chat.
	I can see the Fs in chat.
	That means the stream is back, my friends.
	But, you know, I'll just send word to the crew to let them know the Internet is breaking.
	And we have a bunch of backups.
	We have Starlink and stuff, but there's only so much you can do, you know.
	So, there you go.
	But let's jump to this next story, my friends, and we'll talk about Anna Kasparian's gradual
	shift from left to right.
	It's a story from 2023, April 19th, the awakening of Anna Kasparian.
	But more has happened since then.
	Anna Kasparian of the Young Turks, who is a progressive, has posted this, independent
	and unaligned, September 30th.
	The result, of course, is Cenk Uygur being pressured to fire Anna.
	He says, for extreme leftists, or whoever you are, whatever you'd like to call yourself,
	who would like me to fire Anna Kasparian for being open-minded instead of agreeing with
	you 100% of the time, as you demand, here's my answer.
	No. F off.
	Bravo, Cenk Uygur, sir.
	You know, Cenk Uygur's an interesting guy.
	I used to have a lot of respect for him.
	My respect for him went down, and I'll tell you why.
	Because I saw him at Politicon, like, I don't know, seven years ago or something.
	He had run on his channel a smear of Dave Rubin.
	Whatever. They used fake news to justify their smear of Dave Rubin, for which their thumbnail had my name in the middle of their fake smear piece.
	It was like this bunch of red lines connecting people and stuff and conspiracies.
	And so I saw Cenk because I know him and have known him for years.
	And the last time I talked to him, we were very friendly.
	And I said, I was like, hey, Cenk, you...
	I posted this video thing or whatever, and it's got my name.
	I've been trying to reach out to you and just say, like, I don't know what your beef is with Dave Rubin, but I just really don't want to be involved.
	And he just blew up at me and started yelling at me.
	He's yelling at me in the middle of Politicon.
	BBC runs up there filming, and I was like, why are you yelling at me?
	And he's like, you're a MAGA guy, blah, blah, blah.
	And I was like, what are you talking about?
	That's nuts, because this was like 2017.
	I had not endorsed Donald Trump.
	I was speaking out mostly against him, critical of him, just not lying, I guess.
	And so then my respect for him went down quite a bit.
	But in the past couple of years, he's been coming around and largely Anna Kasparian has been coming around.
	She has this post. She says, It all felt righteous at first, but eventually the tactics deployed to fight Trump became repetitive, boring and ultimately fruitless.
	Polling shows that he has increased his support among black and Latino voters despite wall-to-wall coverage on his unsavory, racist and bigoted remarks.
	I'm going to pause there and say which ones?
	Because I'm not familiar with those. Several years of media raising alarm over Trump's threat to democracy has only resulted in a tight presidential race between himself and Kamala Harris.
	I can't help but acknowledge that the only thing that was accomplished by resisting Trump was less understanding and more division among Americans.
	I personally became reluctant to challenge my side or engage with voters who disagreed with me.
	In turn, I became less knowledgeable about the people and world around me.
	I saw Republican voters as an evil monolith, and that was a big mistake.
	My evolution started in 2022, when I was sexually assaulted by a homeless man in my neighborhood as I was walking my
unidentified		dog.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		That horrible experience alone didn't change me politically, but the treatment I received from the far left and some
		progressives after sharing my story did.
		I was told that by publicly sharing what had happened to me, I was stigmatizing my unhoused neighbors.
		Others accused me of feeding into racist tropes because they assumed that my attacker was black, but I never even
		disclosed the man's race. He was white.
		Not only did I suddenly see the flawed thinking of some of the left, I also witnessed their cruelty and hypocrisy in
		real time.
		These terrible traits that I had associated solely with my political opponents were obviously not exclusive to their
		tribe.
		I was stupid for ever thinking that was the case.
		That doesn't mean everyone on the left thinks or behaves in the way the small group of lunatics do.
		Far from it. But it does mean that there are factions and flaws on both sides of the aisle, and no one has a monopoly on truth.
		But I gotta tell you, Anna, that reality has a right-wing bias.
		At least right now. Then, there was the insane reaction to one of my tweets in March 23.
		And I'll tell you why it has a bias.
		Because Anna Kasparian's a progressive, and when she tweets this, the left loses their mind.
		I'm a woman. Please don't ever refer to me as a person with a uterus, birthing person, or person who menstruates.
		How do people not realize how degrading this is?
		You can support the transgender community without doing this ish.
		All hell broke loose after I posted those words.
		Most friends in left-wing media didn't bother reaching out privately to discuss their disagreement with my personal preference.
		Instead, many self-described socialists took it upon themselves to profit from conflict by publicly attacking me with monetized videos.
		Hey, young Turks, remember when you did this to me?
		I'd like to give a shout out to the Young Turks when I ran a segment talking about how scientific articles have come out showing conservatives tend to be more attractive than liberals.
		I then talked about privilege and why the left was actually correct about privilege, and this proves it.
		And the Young Turks, I think it was actually Anna, said, well, Tim's ugly.
		Look at his face. He's not much of a looker.
		Thanks for monetizing fake outrage.
		But I can say this with respect.
		You're coming around, okay?
		Look, I don't make videos saying, can you believe what Anna Kasparian said?
		What a moron. The video I make is, wow, Anna Kasparian, seeing the light, understanding what's going on, and I respect it.
		The title of this video is not going to be Tim Pool's Mad at Anna Kasparian because she's ugly or something dumb like that.
		I'm only making this video because she's telling the truth.
		She's having a realization and that's good news for everybody.
		You don't see me making videos every other day about Sam Seder.
		The dude's got a hard-on for me and he won't stop.
		But I gotta hand it to him.
		When he puts out a video and gets half a million views, at least my name gets more search engine
		optimization, whatever.
		These people are obsessed with insane nonsense.
		This is exactly what I've been talking about, why I can't stand the left.
		Bro, you want higher taxes?
		Okay. You want to tax the rich?
		Sure. You want more access for abortions?
		Okay. Make your arguments.
		I'll listen, and we can discuss it, and we can be friends.
		Because I got a lot of friends on the right, Christians, conservatives, and they say, Tim, one day you'll see the light, one day you come around.
		But we are working together to live together, to be friends, to the best of our abilities.
		The left? Nah. People that I knew for a long time just put up fake news every day so they can make money off the conflict, as Anna points out.
		So how's that, huh? A smaller leftist YouTube show put out five separate videos skewering me about the tweet,
		while conveniently erasing the advocacy I had done on behalf of the trans community throughout my career.
		They even went as far as drawing a link between my tweet and trans suicides,
		which sadly wasn't the most unhinged outcome of the debate.
		TYT's volunteer YouTube chat moderators quit over the tweet, and some even reported me to Human Resources.
		An on-air trans contributor even resigned from the company after being urged by online mobs and leftist shows to do so.
		Curious that not one of those shows hired her after she took their advice.
		I never apologized for the tweet, and I never will.
		That whole experience forced me to come to terms with the intolerance of the left,
		and allowed me to publicly reject the ideological shackles that kept my world small and less informed.
		I'm gonna say this.
		With all due respect, I don't believe Anna was completely blind to this.
		I think it was just that when it was weaponized against her, she got upset about it.
		That's my personal opinion. With all due respect, I am actually a fan of many of the things Anna has been pointing out.
	I'm glad she is speaking out about this.
	It's great. I'm a fan that Cenk, I respect it, is saying she's allowed to say what she wants.
	But I am not a fan of how they, young Turks in the past, have lied about me and many others.
	Okay? They've slowed down on it.
	Maybe they've realized it's a bad course of action.
	The videos they put out about me where they were lying got blasted with dislikes.
	And the comments were like, you are liars and you're disgusting.
	And maybe they started to realize we're on the wrong side of this.
	Yeah. She says today I'm less certain and more curious than I was four years ago.
	I've made humiliating mistakes while covering political news because I was previously unwilling to consider or understand the perspective of Americans who vote differently from me.
	She says what to expect from unaligned.
	I'm hungry for dialogue, a space for in-depth analysis, and a judgment-free zone.
	Well, I will also add we have been working to book Anna Kasparian for a long time.
	She has agreed to come on either the Culture War podcast or Timcast IRL and have these discussions.
	However, scheduling has been less than...
	Easy, I would say.
	As it goes with many on the left, they are resistant to actually coming on the shows while the right...
	I gotta be honest, there's probably a right-wing dude outside.
	Benny Johnson, he's outside right now, knocking on the door, being like, Tim, let's do a show together.
	I'm kidding, Benny, you're great, but he's not here.
	My point is, I can't walk 10 feet, figuratively, without some conservative being like, you want to do a collab?
	And I'll be like, let's see what we can do.
	We get requests to come on the show all the time.
	We booked this young liberal dude for the culture war.
	Started planning everything out. He said, yes, I'll do it.
	And then, of course, the last minute he goes, I won't come.
	Not coming. Bye.
	Why not? Because they can't handle it.
	They know they can't handle it.
	Now, shout out to Cenk Uygur. He came on Culture War podcast.
	He was running for president. He came on the show.
	We had a debate. It was a big show.
	Got half a million. These are the shows we want to do.
	We want to have these conversations.
	But liberals don't do it.
	Now, Anna Kasperian's unaligned.
	Well, yeah, I mean, so am I. I'm not a Charlie Kirk conservative.
	I'm not TPUSA. I don't wear a suit.
	I don't have a tie. I wear jeans.
	And this is the closest. This black shirt that I'm wearing is a Volcom shirt.
	It's a skateboard brand. I wear clothes like skateboarders did, I guess, in like 2008.
	I'm not going to wear a suit.
	I don't go to church. I'm not a Christian.
	I'm not an atheist, but this is what it means to be politically homeless or unaligned.
	This is a new faction.
	And I got to tell you, Anna, we're voting for Donald Trump.
	We can criticize Donald Trump and I don't get people throwing pie in my face.
	Now, don't get me wrong.
	The Trump's most ardent supporters will smack talk periodically.
	But I know that if I sit down with, say, like Alex Bruce, who does campaign work for the
	right, if I sit down with Matt Gates, Marjorie Taylor Greene, or I know that if I sit down
	with Trump himself and I say, here are the issues I take with what you've done in my
	criticisms, they're going to say, okay, they're not going to scream at me.
	They're not going to say, you can never hang out at my party again.
	They're going to say, how do we win this guy over?
	That has been the MO of the right the whole time.
	And the left brought this up a while ago.
	Back in like seven or eight years ago, they said that the right is love bombing people.
	Fine. Let it be love bombing.
	I can sit down with the most ardent Trump supporter and we will smile and laugh together and shake hands.
	Even when I say I'm critical of Trump over fifty nine Tomahawk missiles fired in Syria, they'll probably say, you know what?
	We agree with that. I'm going to say I don't like that Trump launched the two weeks to slow the spread.
	The first big, the beginning of the mandates, they'll say, you're probably right about that.
	Donald Trump himself at his rallies totes Operation Warp Speed and they boo him.
	Look the video up. It happened. Because Trump supporters are not a monolith.
	Trump supporters are not a cult.
	But the left will cast you out like they did the moment you even say, please don't call me a birthing person.
	They go, how dare you? You will be called what we tell you you are called.
	The changes, well, they're welcome.
	She goes on to say the point of this new project is the pursuit of intellectual freedom and open-mindedness.
	I want to nurture curiosity without fear of offending the sensibilities of loyal partisans.
	I reject arguments about the evils of platforming people who are considered too naughty to converse with.
	I want to facilitate dialogue.
	I don't know what my political identity or label is.
	I'm not even sure I want to be pigeonholed.
	This is my effort in pursuing extreme honesty and humility in the quest for common ground and truth without the constraints of tribal identity.
	Hear, hear, ma'am.
	You know... I was a big fan of the Young Turks back in the day.
	And then I feel like they chased after this ridiculous cult-like mentality.
	You ready for this one?
	Over on Reddit, ask a liberal, what are your thoughts on Young Turk's host, Anna Consparian,
	leaving the left?
	She now claims to be an independent unaligned.
	One of the reasons why she left is because of the extreme politics of the far left eating
	their own, unchecked wokeism from progressives and hypocritical leftists.
	I think the two things that most stuck out to me were, and then post this paragraph,
	an interview with Jillian Michaels.
	She wanted to talk about some people on the left as in power and infantilized minorities.
	Is Anna just being a reactionary to personal negative experiences and painting the left
	with broad brushstrokes?
	Or does she have a valid point that we on the left don't do enough to criticize the
	negative aspects of our big tent party?
	You're not a big tent party!
	Nice try. You are the weird cult.
	Here you go. This person says, This one says, Uh-huh.
	Sure. Well, I'll just wrap it up by saying shout-out to Anna Kasparian for speaking some truth and realizing what's going on.
	I respect it. I'm going to wrap this segment up there, so smash that like button, subscribe, follow me on X on Instagram at TimCast.
	We've got more segments coming up for you, my friends.
	There are some great articles here that we're not going to be able to get into.
	But I've got a lot of stuff lined up that we should be talking about.
	The bake and the cake stuff we could probably get into.
	What do we have here? We definitely got to do the violent crime.
	Debunking the lies from the left on violent crime will be the next segment.
	For those that are watching, that segment will be coming up shortly.
	For everybody else, we will grab your Super Chats.
	All right, here we go.
	We got Kate C. a.k.a.
	Snake Plush Kitten. Tim, we should start calling this gobbledygook what it really is, condescending elitist pig Latin.
	Agreed. Keyboard says, Tim, try to get Chris Webby on IRL. He was a secret Trump voter and now rocks a MAGA hat in music videos.
	Listen to his new song, Back on My BS. Interesting.
	Peter Gerard says, Yikes.
	Yep. Chaos and Cloud says, get Anna on IRL. Anna is welcome to come on IRL literally whenever she wants.
	It's a question of when does she want to?
	And I think the culture war would be the first step.
	Anna should come on the culture war on Friday and then IRL at night.
	And so that way, on the culture war, we have the bigger discussion about the left, progressivism, cultism, the right, MAGA, Trump cult, whatever you want to call it.
	And then we have Anna simply react to news articles.
	Because the funniest thing about doing IRL, and the reason why liberals won't come on, is because My friends, what is Timcast IRL? Much like the morning show, we don't have any other guests or hosts, but I pull up a series of news stories, read and comment on them.
	Pretty dang hard to maintain the lie when I'm sitting here reading the Washington Post and it says Biden does thing.
	And they're like, that's that's fake news.
	That's not true. I go, I don't know.
	You're saying Washington Post is lying?
	And when they say yes, I'll say, OK, well, what should I look up to counter this?
	where's the evidence, you know? I'm not saying it doesn't exist, I'm saying, like, let me grab it for you.
	And they don't have it. Because this is what we do. We pull up the news stories and we fact check.
	We, you know, there's been a bunch of stories that have gone viral and I'll look into and I won't
	report on them and it turns out it was bunk or something like this. But now we got to talk about
	what's going on in Seattle, my friends. Let's grab this segment. We got this story from the
	Postmillennial.
	Nord Stream CEO says Seattle area is worst market for violent retail shoplifting in the United States.
	Quote, I think brazen is the right word.
	And with that is acts of violence.
	The amount of shoplifters who are weaponized.
	It could be a gun, knife, pepper spray a lot of times, but also just using their fists.
	OK, I'll break it down for you.
	This is a Democrat stronghold and violent crime is on the rise.
	The media has been lying to you about it, and I'm going to prove it.
	This is the harsh reality of what is actually going on in this country.
	Most of you have experienced the crime.
	Most of you are wondering why it is that a CEO is going to say Seattle has such massive, violent retail crime, getting beaten, windows smashed.
	I had somebody from Chicago tell me they erected barriers in front of department stores, in front of the storefronts in downtown and Gold Coast, because cars will slam into them, run in and grab whatever they want and leave, and the cops do nothing about it.
	So why are all these stories emerging?
	Yet the media and the Democrats keep saying violent crime is down.
	Everything is fine.
	Who are they talking to?
	You're experiencing it, right?
	Certainly you are in Seattle.
	Let's start here. Because Seattle is a Democrat stronghold.
	And this is the result of their policies.
	King County, Washington is the worst market for retail theft at Nordstrom in the entire U.S., according to the company's CEO. Eric Nordstrom told the first King County Public Safety Summit on organized retail crime last week that the retailers' King County stores make up only 3% of the department store's global footprint, but managed to account for 10% of its company-wide losses due to theft.
	There are more than 360 Nordstrom and discount rack stores.
	According to the Puget Sound Business Journal, Nordstrom told law enforcement officers, politicians and prosecutors at the summit held on Microsoft campus in Redmond to bring together the groups to better combat organized retail theft.
	We're born and raised here and huge homers when it comes to anything local.
	Unfortunately, King County is our worst area for this.
	It's a big financial headwind.
	According to the National Retail Trade Group, the Retail Industry Leaders Association,
	retails across the US have reported a spike in theft since 2020, with organized retail theft groups
	stealing tens of thousands of dollars of goods from multiple stores at one time.
	In 2021, such theft totaled approximately $3 billion of merchandise losses in Washington State.
	Multiple retailers, including Goodwill, Target, Nike, Lululemon, and Starbucks have cited losses from theft
	when closing stores in Seattle North are matted.
	I think brazen is the right word.
	And with that is acts of violence, the amount of shoplifters who are weaponized.
	It could be a gun, knife, pepper spray a lot of times, but also just using their fists.
	He continued. Having trained security guards, there's more that they can do.
	But we don't want bullets flying around.
	If the bad guys are willing to push it past the level that the retailer or security guard is willing to go, that's tough.
	It's hard to know what to do with that.
	You want to know what they used to do back in the day?
	And it's terrifying, but it's true.
	When the bad guy came in to steal something, they put a bullet in him.
	We are in dense urban environments where we can't sustain that.
	That's not going to fly. You can't have security guards shooting in a city so that the density creates a problem.
	Criminals know that so long as crime is up, crime can go up further.
	It is a dangerous snowball rolling down a hill.
	And it is the problem of Democrat policies and media manipulation and lies.
	We have this story from MSN.com.
	GOP rep demands answers from FBI over misguided crime stats.
	They lie to you.
	They say crime is down.
	Everything's fine. Go back to bed, America.
	Watch American Gladiators.
	Here's 57 channels of it.
	Meanwhile, as long as criminals are running rampant, the police are overwhelmed.
	And so long as the police are overwhelmed, more criminals will run rampant.
	What's the answer? Heavy law enforcement presence, I suppose.
	From MSN, they say, Republican Rep Lance Gooden is demanding the FBI answer questions about the
	alleged gaps in their recently released 2023 crime reports that paints a misleading picture of crime,
	according to a letter provided to the Daily Caller News Foundation.
	He's joined by Rep Randy Weber and Wisconsin Rep Tom Tiffany in the letter questioning the
	FBI crime data's validity, pointing to the agency's passive inaccurate claims
	on crime by omitting certain departments of data from their numbers. According to the letter,
	the FBI data showed a 3% reduction in violent crime in 2023, which Gooden says in the letter
	couldn't be further from the truth. Underreporting or misreporting crime stats significantly impacts
	public perception and policy decisions, leading to a misunderstanding of crime trends,
	which causes unwarranted fear or complacency. Gooden said in the letter, cherry picking
	statistical data to deliberately mislead the public into thinking their community is safer
	than before would be an abhorrent act of misinformation, especially considering
	the source of the misguided claim is an elite federal law enforcement agency.
	The letter asks several questions of the FBI, such as if they omitted any data from various
	major cities, how many agencies provided incomplete data, and if the data would be retroactively
	adjusted to reflect an increase in violent crime like it had in 2022.
	In 2022, over 6,000 agencies did not report data to the FBI, accounting for 32% of all
	police departments in the U.S.
	The same is true for the numbers in 2023.
	Now let's talk about it.
	Thank you.
	They keep saying in the press, let me show you this.
	They say, This is what stupid and evil people do.
	I questioned, did this man actually read the FBI crime reports and do the data, do the digging?
	Well, I did, and it wasn't that hard.
	From the New York Post.
	Violent crime has increased under Harrison Biden admin after ABC's David Muir disputed Trump's claim that crime is through the roof.
	DOJ report. The DOJ's survey from the Bureau of Justice Statistics is self-reported instances of violent crime over the last six months, meaning that it includes crimes that may have not been reported to the police.
	The annual National Crime Victimization Survey showed total instances of reported violent crime, including rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, is up from 5.6 per 1000 to 8.7 per 1000 in 2023.
	The highest rate of violent crimes was 2022 when the survey tracked 9.8 instances.
	The rate of rape increased from 1.2 per 1,000 in 2020 to 1.7 in 23.
	Well, robbery went up 1.6, etc.
	You get the point. Now, I do want to stress, saying that things have gone down from 22...
	223 is one of the ways they say, see, everything's fine.
	Crime is going down. But what they're not telling you, as it pertains to the FBI crime data, is that according to the Trevor Project, many of these jurisdictions did not report the crimes that they had on the books.
	Many of these police departments were not sending the data.
	So what the FBI is actually saying is not that crime is down.
	They are saying, overall, reported instances of crime has declined year over year.
	That doesn't mean crime is down.
	When you do the crime victimization survey, asking people, were you a victim of crime?
	And they say, yes, it means they did not report it or the police departments didn't report it.
	But asking directly shows crime is up.
	The question of whether crime has increased in the Harris-Biden administration compared to Trump's was a major point of contention in Philadelphia Tuesday night.
	President Trump Muir said, as you know, the FBI says overall violent crime is coming down.
	The 2024 quarterly FBI report that Muir was likely referencing does not account for crimes that go unreported to police, but does show that violent crime decreased 15.2% when comparing the first three months of 23 to the same period this year.
	The FBI stats include murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault under violent crimes, but was far from a complete picture as only 72% of law enforcement population participated.
	Trump took a victory lap on Friday after the report was released, citing the Bureau of Statistics report during a press conference in Southern California.
	He says... You remember where David Muir tried to correct me that crime is rampant like never before?
	Trump told reporters. I guess the DOJ probably watched the debate and they heard this foolish man, this foolish fool, made that statement to me.
	The National Crime Victimization Survey also showed other forms of crime were up from 2019, including stranger violence, I think it's fair to say the propaganda game being played here is multifaceted.
	What the Harris campaign is going to say is from 2022 until 23, crime has declined.
	What Trump is saying is under your administration, crime is through the roof.
	For Trump, crime was lower.
	For Biden-Harris, crime is up.
	Trump, I believe correctly, is comparing his administration to their administration.
	They're comparing their own administration to their own administration.
	If the argument is we have presided over a massive increase in crime, but it's getting better, then OK, we can assume that if Kamala Harris is to get elected again, it will continue to decline if this is the path they're taking to a certain degree.
	But we can also conclude that if we vote for Trump, the crime stops overnight because under his administration, crime was way down.
	But more importantly, I think the biggest factor here is that NCVS shows crime is up when you ask people and that the FBI data has been heavily criticized for omitting data or at least just not having it.
	So it's an incomplete picture.
	And the media is going to tell you that crime is down.
	Relative to what?
	And why are they saying it?
	It benefits the Democrat narrative.
	I want to give a shout out to our good friends over at Reason.
	Reason is trash.
	Sorry, guys. I used to like Reason.
	Not so good. Violent crime fell by 3% last year.
	Dude, guys, please Google search, okay?
	Because we get it. But here's your breakdown for you.
	The Democrat policies in these cities have resulted in what businesses are telling us is a catastrophe.
	So spare me. We can see it.
	And by all means, if you want to say overall violent crime is down, what?
	Does that mean like rapes are up, but people getting assaults are down?
	Is overall violent crime down, but extreme instances of violent crime are up?
	When we see people slamming cars into buildings, looting and robbing things, smashing ATMs and sledgehammers, fighting in the streets, we say something bad is happening.
	Maybe muggings are down, but merciless beatings are up.
	Is that what's happening? Well, overall, only three people were victims.
	They were killed. And last year there were robberies.
	But, you know, it's getting better, right?
	No. It's getting polarized.
	Don't believe the hype. Don't believe the lies, my friends.
	We'll have to figure this one out.
	And you're going to have to figure it out for yourself.
	But I can tell you one thing. I don't care about the data.
	You know why? Because you feel it and so do I. I go to D.C., okay?
	We're not there for about an hour out.
	And I see what's going on there.
	I see the homelessness. I see the mismanagement.
	You do too. You see the price increases.
	You see the boarded up windows.
	We just had an employee get robbed, get a car burglarized.
	So spare me when you say it's not happening, because we're experiencing things we've never felt before.
	Maybe certain areas are seeing it going down, and certain areas are going up.
	Either way, people are pissed about it, and we want something new.
	I'm going to leave it there. We've got more segments coming up later today.
	So smash that like button and subscribe to this channel.
	For everybody else watching live, we are going to grab your Super Chats now.
	You can follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
	Become a member at TimCast.com and we'll see you all in the next segment.
	We'll grab a couple super chats here for you.
	Let me see if we can pop that open.
	And real quick, going to do some preliminary work here.
	All right. Elijah Borges says, your ability to offer both praise and criticism to people like Anna is incredibly mature and vital.
	Thank you. We, the audience, also appreciate the shout-out you gave us last night's IRL. Love from Toronto.
	I want to give that shout-out again. Last night in Timcast's IRL. Ilada and I were having a deep discussion about foreign policy strength, peace through strength, interventionism.
	And we're talking about, like, Xi Jinping and the invasion of Taiwan and the Taiwan Strait imports-exports.
	And I'm like, after a minute, I just said, we have 50,000 people watching concurrent.
	And, you know...
	I was deeply impressed with everybody watching because for the life of me, I often felt that people just cared about the Grammys and celebrity gossip.
	And were we ever really going to get an informed populace that deeply cared about the issues?
	And so I just I said, I want to say this to you guys that are watching.
	You guys are amazing. You're sitting here listening to us have this like deep level foreign policy conversation on things I think are the most important in the world.
	But I assumed people didn't care about.
	But we found this community of people like you all listening now who care about the issues that And as long as we do, we can make this country better than it's ever been.
	So I want to give a thank you to the audience.
	It truly is incredible.
	Because I often felt like I'd be hanging out with my friends and I'd say, guys, did you see what's happening in Israel?
	And they'd say, we don't care. We don't care.
	We want to go watch the game. And I'm like, okay.
	But now I found my friends.
	People who do care. And I appreciate all of you watching.
	Subscribe. Smash the like button.
	Be involved. I really do appreciate it.
	Send in your superchats if you want to get some of your superchats answered.
	We'll grab a couple more. And then let's see.
	We got in the old roster. I got to grab it.
	We got too many. Too many segments.
	But this one's fantastic. Look at her.
	She's laughing. This lady says the Democrats offered her $15,000 to support their party.
	And she's calling out the liars.
	And the people taking the money. Some dirty games, man.
	So we'll grab another Super Chat here.
	All right. Let's see.
	Chuy Gonzalez says, or is it Chuy?
	I don't know. Hey, Tim, did you hear about the unmarked helicopter doing a rotor wash in Burnsville, North Carolina?
	It came by, blew away the relief site, and flew away.
	Indeed, the working theory is that it was inexperienced National Guard trying to do a water drop.
	And when they realized they were disrupting, they decided to move, but they'd already caused damage.
	I don't know for sure. Don't know for sure.
	Sure. Stuart Votsberger says, I'm from Washington.
	Fourteen counties are solid red.
	Seven counties. The Pugetown specifically is solid blue.
	The east side of the state is trying to separate.
	Indeed, and I hope they do.
	Indeed, indeed. Dunface says, Speaking of violence, have you seen the video of a University of Kansas professor saying men who don't vote for Kamala need to get lined up and, woo, harmed.
	I'll just say harmed. Wow. How do I find that one?
	University of Kansas. Let's do a Google search.
	University of Kansas Professor Kamala Vogt.
	Let's see what we find on this one. Nope, we're going to have to go x.com, right?
	Because that's just giving me weird stuff.
	Let's see if we just do...
	I'm going to have to search x for that one.
	Because that seems crazy.
unidentified		I don't see it. I don't see it.
unidentified		Professor Kamala Schott.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Let's see if we can find that video.
		X has got everything. Oh, boy.
		Yeah, we got libs of TikTok with this one.
		Yowza! He then asked the line to be cut from the recording so the dean doesn't find out.
		Holy crap. You know, the other thing we're going to be doing is we're going to be ramping up our shorts production.
		And so I think I've got like, I don't know, like eight or nine small short segments that'll be going up today as well.
		We'll make those.
		But let's jump to the story. This is massive, my friends.
		is.
unidentified		Thank you.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		In a viral post on X, we've got this Madeline.
		I can't read her name because the...
		Well, we'll read her name in a second.
		This is from, I mean, therefore I am saying, holy-ish, podcaster revealed to nearly 2 million of her TikTok followers, the Democratic Party offered her almost $15,000 and is paying thousands of dollars to keep other social media creators to promote the party and influence votes for Kamala.
		This is Madeline Pendleton.
		Take a look at this clip.
unidentified		It is wild. Did you guys know that the Democratic Party is paying people on TikTok thousands and thousands of dollars to make videos talking about how awesome the Democratic Party is?
		I know, because they've offered me nearly $15,000 to do just that, to try to take attention away from that old genocide thing.
		And I also know because I've unfortunately had to follow Mutuals, who started posting content suspiciously in line with the pitches I received to do just that within around 48 hours of me receiving those pitches.
		And suspiciously, nobody is disclosing on TikTok that they are getting paid to make videos just like this.
		So, since nobody wants to tell you the Democrats are paying them thousands of dollars to talk about how awesome the Democrats are, I'm going to tell you, you guys should be aware that when you see videos like that, the Democrats are actively paying people to talk about how awesome the Democrats are.
		I've received two pitches so far to date.
		I received one that was to make ongoing videos monthly leading up to the election.
		And I received another one that was to fearmonger specifically about Project 2025 and the Heritage Foundation.
		If you follow me, if you listen to my podcast, you know I have four hours of content talking about the Heritage Foundation and Project 2025, okay?
		It's not good. It's all ass.
		But I resent the way that the Democrats are trying to fearmonger like it's something new and some unique horror you need to be terrified of in order to coerce you into voting for them with bad information.
		The Heritage Foundation has been asked since it was incepted in the 1970s, and Project 2025 is just the newest name for the Mandate for Leadership, which is the document that comes out every single election cycle and has since 1980, trying to influence Republican politicians on how to vote.
		And you also should probably know that Heritage Foundation trustees are actively endorsing both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Whoa! This is based AF. Calling out the Democrats and then giving the real facts on Project 2025.
unidentified		Shout out. And that Barack Obama famously worked with them in the past for policy.
unidentified		Are they conservative? Yes, but they're not exactly super partisan and that probably also is why Kamala Harris is saying that she will definitely want to seat a Republican in her cabinet.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		I keep saying, you know- Yo, basically it's like she's implying Kamala Harris is going to bring on a Project 2025 guy.
unidentified		Socialists are punching right and the Democrats are standing there.
		Why are you standing there?
		Anyway, since people making videos online aren't disclosing to you that they're getting paid thousands of dollars to do so, I just want you, consumers of media, to know that people are being paid thousands of dollars to make those videos.
		Wow. You should be aware.
		And it's a lot of money.
		It's a lot of fucking money.
		When I realized it was like... I could have made $15,000 in four months if I was just like, you know what, really guys?
		The Democrats are pretty cool.
		I think you shouldn't worry about the genocide thing.
		They're so awesome.
		They're so awesome, really.
		That shit blew my mind to realize.
		It blew my mind to realize. And I'm here to tell you that you should be ashamed of how you vote or who you vote for or whatever.
		As far as I can tell, every single American is making a horrible shit-ass decision under coercion and duress, right?
		It's not great. But I am here to tell you the people on your phone are being paid thousands of dollars to give you some of those political opinions.
		We knew it. I heart Democrat.
		Since they won't tell you, I feel it is my obligation to tell you.
		That's what's going to happen behind the scenes.
		My favorite part of one of the pitches.
		Hold on, I'll show you. Do not directly say vote for Kamala Harris for legal purposes.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Wow, look at that.
unidentified		What are the legal implications at play here?
kamala harris ▲ ● ▼		Huh? Huh?
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		The question I then have is, are they legally allowed to make the request warning them not to say vote for Kamala Harris?
unidentified		That's concerning. I'm concerned.
unidentified		I'm a little concerned. Hell of a country we've got here.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		Hell of a country. Indeed.
		I kind of feel like me and this young lady don't see eye to eye on a lot of politics, but I appreciate her accurately conveying what the Heritage Foundation is, calling out the Democratic Party for paying all these influencers.
		So surprise, surprise. You see these people on TikTok, and it is fake astroturfed BS. Now, the bigger question is...
		A lot of people have been making the claim that Kamala Harris has been astroturfing her rallies.
		She has these big rallies and many people are like, it's the same people.
		There's this viral post where they claim they've done open source, not open source, but like you can buy GPS data.
		It's anonymized, right?
		So you don't know whose phone it is.
		Okay. So apparently like Dinesh D'Souza did something like this, where they bought anonymized GPS data because you can buy data from these companies, and they used it to track where people were going and they found ballot harvesting.
		So they say, apparently somebody did this, track geolocating Kamala Harris's rally.
		Buying the anonymized cell phone data.
		And then they found out that the cell phone data was a perfect match for a bunch of the same rallies.
		I don't know that that's true.
		That's why I say it's a question.
		People could be making stuff up on the Internet.
		They tend to do that. For all I know, she's making something up.
		But I really doubt it because it's like the 18th time we've heard the Democrats are astroturfing and paying people on TikTok for posts.
		But I got to wonder about that geolocated stuff.
		If they just basically have a handful of people and they say, we're going to bus you in to three rallies, fill the place up, and we're gonna have a good time.
		And the reason is they want the PR opportunity.
		I'm going to tell you what I think right now.
		I don't think Kamala can win.
		I think the polls, I think everything she's working on is astroturfed.
		I'm not saying I think all of the people attending a rally are fake or anything like that.
		I'm saying she's using media manipulation to try and prop herself up, fake it till you make it.
		But how? How could Kamala Harris beat Trump?
		Shadow campaign? That I get.
		But my point is this.
		If they ain't paying TikTokers to promote Kamala, ain't nobody doing it.
		I mean, there's the grifters, sure, but few and far between.
		Even the young Turks are breaking from the left.
		I kind of feel like the only way Kamala Harris maintains some image of a legit campaign is by astroturfing.
		And the reality is Trump is much more popular than people realize because of the astroturfing.
		On top of that, I'd like to say I cannot imagine Kamala Harris winning.
		Not that she's going to lose.
		I don't know. Maybe she wins. I'm just saying.
		With everything we have seen this year, what I would refer to as historical iconography, how does Trump lose?
		The photo of Trump shaking hands with RFK Jr.
		with explosions behind him.
		The photo of Trump on the ground at the podium after being shot with his hands up and the shocked expression of his face, blood pouring down.
		He stands up, raising his fist.
		These images are not indicative of a losing campaign.
		Historically, we look back at all of these things and we were like, look at the tremendous nature, the charisma, the challenges.
		Do you remember Mondale?
		I mean, I wasn't even alive. But do we remember the losers?
		Do you remember John Kerry's campaign?
		John Kerry was boring.
		Mitt Romney was boring. Al Gore was boring.
		H.W. Bush was boring. But I gotta tell you, we look at the work of the presidents who won, and they had the X factor.
		They had something about them.
		And I feel like Kamala just does not have that right now.
		And it's silly to assume that she could.
		But we, of course, know that there is also the shadow campaign, which is a very real possibility.
		Shadow campaign, of course, is, well, you know, you get it.
		Ballot harvesting, procedural changes, universal mail-in voting, and just what we would describe as not a real election.
		They say it's the freest and fairest election we've ever had in 2020.
		Yeah, but I don't consider it real elections because a real election would be, here's what we do.
		You here's here's how election night should be.
		You bring in a bunch of people into into the polling places and they get to watch a two minute video from Trump and from Biden.
		Now, actually, we shouldn't do this.
		The way voting should be is you show up on Election Day.
		Just this one day. We don't count votes any other day or any time you show up.
		You show your idea. So I am.
		I'm allowed to vote. They hand you a white blank sheet of paper and they say, write your votes down in here.
	Make sure they're legible and spelled correctly.
	Put them in the box. If we can't read who you're voting for, it will be thrown away.
	That's it. And then Democrats would never win an election again because Democrats are collectivists and they only vote based on party.
	Republicans largely do the same thing, but many Republicans, the Republican Party is smaller.
	It's been this way for a long time.
	Republicans win when independent voters decide to support Republicans.
	And so that's it. If the only way to vote was to vote on a blank piece of paper, Donald Trump for president, okay?
	And that's it. Who else are you going to vote for?
	Who's your member of Congress? Honestly, I don't know for sure.
	Okay, well, they're not voting for him. That's the reality.
	We do a system like that, my friends, and this country changes for the better overnight.
	The problem is right now, you got young people who don't know better being misled for cash by other young people.
	It's a grift. Nobody from any political campaign has paid me for anything.
	We do not accept payment to appear on Timcast IRL or any of our shows, and we don't pay people to appear.
	We'll cover travel costs, but we're not going to give you money.
	We've reached out to people and say, you want to come on the show?
	And they say, yeah, we want money.
	I say, get out of here. Not interested.
	We don't do that. We're out here to fund you.
	We don't want you paying us.
	We've had people say, we'd like to buy a sponsorship.
	Sure. What do you want to do? I want to come on the show.
	Never going to happen. Our seats are not for sale, but I gotta tell you, if Timcast IRL sold a guest slot, it'd be like $50,000.
	Could you imagine if we made 50 grand a day?
	If once a week we were like, sure, we'll sell a seat.
	We don't do that. We have scruples.
	We have integrity. We want our guests to be real people with real thoughts and opinions, not people who pay for an opportunity to come and send in a show.
	But the money is there. And there's a lot we don't do that we could do to make the money.
	And we don't play that game.
	But for these influencers that will take any and every penny, this is the grift that is destructive to this country.
	Shout out to Madeline over here.
	Madeline Pendleton Respect.
	I'm going to leave it there. Smash that like button.
	Subscribe to this channel. Share the show with everyone you know.
	We greatly appreciate it.
	I could probably pull in another segment for you, putting us up to, what is that going to be, eight segments?
	We're cranking them out today.
	Shorter than usual, but we're doing about 10 minutes each, and I'll wrap it up there.
	You can follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast.
	Become a member at TimCast.com to support our work.
	For everybody watching live, we'll grab some super chats from you right now.
	And then honestly, I have so many stories today, it's kind of wild.
	I don't even know what else we have. We have the Bake Your Cake Guy 1.
	This is pretty based.
	I think we should talk about this for sure, actually.
	So we do it by 10 minutes.
	I'll grab some more Super Chats, and then we'll have some more segments coming up.
	Cilantro Industrial Complex says devil's advocate.
	What if Republicans pay influencers to say Democrats are paying them because it's so believable?
	3D chess. That's a good one like Madeline Pendleton was paid by the Republicans to claim Democrats are trying to pay her.
	Yeah, but I think that's like some kind of fraud.
	I don't know. No way!
	47 to 40?
	Dude, I would not believe that if you paid me.
	I would not ever claim to pretend to think that could be true if you paid me money to go on the show.
	You couldn't offer me any money.
	Sorry. Not gonna happen.
	The Nitro says, Kamala Harris opens her mouth and goes down.
	Tim Pool, 2024. I said in the polls.
	I said, Kamala Harris opens her mouth and she goes down in the polls every time.
	Okay? You, sir, have a naughty mind.
	Like, she opens her mouth and she goes down.
	Her polls sink. Okay?
	Ah, jeez. Well, you know, there you go.
	Clip it. They are gonna clip that.
unidentified		It's gonna... Yeah, yeah, I get it.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		That clip is going to be posted everywhere, and they are going to—the left is going to claim that I was saying something untoward about Kamala.
		I was literally saying when she does press and begin speaking, her polls begin to decline because she doesn't have anything substantive to say, okay?
		And I—I should have—well, you know, I respect it.
		Kamala opens her mouth and she goes down in the polls.
		There you go. Let's grab this story, my friends.
		It has been a long time coming.
		You've heard the story. It's been over 10 years.
		A baker in Colorado, it started with a gay couple that wanted a cake that said, you know, they're getting married.
		And he said, well, I'll give you any cake you want, but I'm not going to write that down.
		And they went, that is discrimination, and you can't do it.
		So he wins. And they won't stop harassing him.
		They keep filing lawsuits now.
		They wanted him to bake a gender-revealed cake.
		Yeah, they wanted a pink cake that was blue in the middle or something like that, or blue on the outside and pink in the middle.
		And he said, nope, I'm not doing that.
		And I believe he is correct.
		You know, when this story first broke, that was a much more liberal position.
		I will say this.
		I believe this to be true. If you have a building in the commons, in public spaces, on our roads that we pay taxes on, and again, I'm not a libertarian, anarchist, or strong conservative, I think that you should not be able to bar someone for arbitrary reasons.
		It has to be within good reason.
		And it is difficult because people can just lie, right?
		But we want to try and navigate this.
		So I'm part Asian, right?
		I do not believe that if I walked into a bakery and the guy said, hey, you Asian man, you get out of here.
		I'd be like, that's BS, okay?
		I pay taxes so that you can have water service too, so the police and the fire department are here.
		I didn't do anything wrong.
		I didn't say anything bad. I didn't break any laws.
		I'm a member of the public. I do not like the idea that you could be kicked out for that.
		That being said, you know, someone could come in smashing things and then say, oh, he kicked me out for my race or whatever.
		But in this instance, that's not the case.
		So when the story first came out, the left lied.
		Of course they did. And my understanding was that a gay man said, I'd like a gay cake.
		And he says, I'm not serving gay people in my store and kicked him out.
		It's not what happened. He said, I will give you any cake you want.
		I'm just not gonna write that down because it goes against my beliefs.
		You can't make me speak.
		And they sued him over it.
		And I think at first he lost and ultimately won.
		They're trying to do the same thing.
		The reality is the baker is correct.
		He says service is not being denied.
		Speech is being denied.
		In fact, if I were him, I'd say, listen, I'll make the cake for you.
		I will give you the icing and you can write it down.
		I just won't do it. You can't make me.
		How's that? I'll give you an icing pack in the little bag with icing and then you can take it home and you can write your gay wedding stuff on it and we got no problems.
		Well, they sued him. So he wins and then a trans person tried suing him next.
		They're targeting him on purpose knowing he's Christian.
		Postmillennial reports. Colorado Supreme Court dismissed the discrimination case of Christian Baker Jack Phillips, who refused to create a cake for sex change.
		Phillips had previously been ruled by lower courts to have violated Autumn Scardina's rights by refusing to make a pink cake with blue frosting because Scardina identifies as transgender, Reuters reports.
		Phillips had previously been the subject of another cake-related controversy after he refused to make a wedding cake for a gay couple.
		That case went to the Supreme Court, where it was concluded that requiring him to make the cake would infringe on his
		First Amendment rights.
		Very interesting.
		The Colorado Supreme Court sidestepped a significant legal question by ruling that Scardina, a lawyer, could not sue
		the baker under the Colorado Anti-Discrimination Act in 2019 after having gone through a previous administrative
		process.
		Scardina originally filed a discrimination complaint with the Colorado Civil Rights Division, claiming that Phillips
		declined to make a cake for a birthday in celebration of Scardina's identity as a transgender woman.
		Scardina asserted that Phillips refused the order over Scardina's gender identity.
		The commission would reach a confidential settlement with Phillips without Scardina's participation.
		Justice Melissa Hart wrote that Scardina should have challenged that decision in an appeals court rather than file a new lawsuit.
		In a dissenting opinion, Justice Richard Gabriel called the ruling troubling due to it throwing Scardina completely out of court.
	I am concerned that Masterpiece and Phillips will construe today's ruling as a vindication of their refusal to sell non-expressive products with no intrinsic meaning to customers who are members of a protected class here.
	He wrote, Phillips' lawyer of the Alliance Defending Freedom said in a statement that the ruling brings with it the end of harassment against Phillips.
	In 2018, the US Supreme Court ruled in favor of Baker Jack Phillips, but the decision was based on narrow grounds, steering clear of establishing a significant precedent that would permit individuals to claim religious exemptions from anti-discrimination laws.
	There are limits. If you can just say, I don't have to provide you any service based on my religion, well, then you may as well not have any civil rights law at all.
	In the inverse, if gender identity is defined as literally any kind of expression, then anyone for any reason can demand you make them a cake.
	Let's play a game, ladies and gentlemen.
	I've talked about this quite a bit.
	I covered the story back in 2018.
	New York civil rights law in the city.
	They cover 31 specified genders, but the law also states that gender expression is self-expression.
	The clothing you wear, what you call yourself, it does not have to match your ID. Hence became the story of Volsiferon, Herald of the Winter Mists.
	I said, imagine this scenario.
	A guy comes in a Starbucks and he says, I would like to work here.
	Looks great. What do you want to do?
	I'm going to be a brewery, so I'll make coffee.
	And they said, can you start tomorrow?
	Everything looks good. You know, we'll call your references, but I think you're fine.
	The guy shows up the next day in a full fursuit of a glistening, beautiful wolf with a very long, bushy tail.
	A fursuit. Okay, and they go, can we help you?
	And he's like, I'm here to start working.
	I'm here for the job. I'm, you know, so-and-so.
	And they said, who?
	Well, I applied yesterday, but yesterday I went by Rick.
	Today I go by Volsiferon, Herald of the Winter Mists.
	The law in New York explicitly states you have to use someone's full name if they request it.
	They're allowed to wear whatever they want whenever they want, and you can't fire them for it.
	So what would happen in this scenario?
	Oh, I can get real dark with it too, and we will, but let me wrap up the Volsiferon point.
	I said, what happens if the manager says you can't wear that in here?
	Well, you can't tell me what I can't wear.
	I'm allowed to express my gender identity any way I want.
	There are certain uniform principles that you can require.
	Like, you can't make women wear skirts and men wear pants.
	It has to be equal.
	So women can wear pants, men can wear skirts.
	As long as you're allowing skirts, anybody can wear them.
	Now, the guy says, I'm wearing the full uniform, the shirt and everything, but I'm in a fursuit.
	That's my self-expression.
	That's my gender identity. And...
	I said, why?
	And they said, because no one's going to take that seriously.
	A judge is going to laugh at you. We know what the law is intended for.
	It's for trans people. I said, OK. So a six foot three guy who's massively ripped with bulging muscles shows up wearing a dress and lipstick and says his name's Janet and that he's a woman.
	And they fired him because they didn't want him walking around the store like that.
	And they'd say, well, sure, that's what the point of the law is, I guess.
	And I said, what if a judge laughed him out and said, come on, no one reasonably reasonably believes you're a woman?
	And therein lies the point.
	He says, well, yeah, I guess a judge could do that.
	He probably wouldn't because of the law's intention.
	I'm like, right. Judges interpret the laws, which ultimately means the law in the book doesn't matter.
	Only the judge does.
	Because you've got a bunch of crazy laws in the books that don't make sense and they just don't get enforced.
	Only until a judge says, well, the law is on the books.
	Here's where it gets really dark.
	Imagine if you showed up to, like, I don't know, Harlem at a Starbucks applying for a job, and you show up dressed like a southern plantation owner with, like, a white suit and a cane.
	And you start, come on, is anyone going to really tolerate that?
	And you're going to be like, hey, nah, I'm out of the way, whatever I want.
	And they're going to be like, dude, that is deeply, like, the words you're using, I'm not going to say these words, but, like, imagine...
	People are going to be like, hell no, that's racist.
	The law says you can't tell me what I can or can't wear, but will you get laughed out of court?
	The argument then, of course, is if they can laugh you out of court for wearing a fursuit, they can laugh you out of court for wearing a dress.
	Therein lies the problem with the left's argument and why we will never get a real resolution to things like this cake story.
	Sure, this guy just won, but you think it ends here?
	I'm willing to bet they're going to come after this guy any minute.
	They say, okay, next thing, someone else is going to come in.
	They're going to come in with some other non-binary identity, or they're going to come in and they're going to try and find a way to needle him.
	To say, so you don't want to, you have to do the trans stuff?
	Okay. They're going to come in and they're going to demand he write something down that is deeply offensive or racist or whatever.
	And they're going to press his buttons.
	They've been doing it. Now, of course, Stephen Crowder has this really viral story that he did a long time of video series where he went to Muslim bakeries and tried to get them to make these cakes and they refused and nobody cared.
	Where was the left? You know, it's largely due to the fact that the anger is not so much about religion because they'll defend Muslims, but it's about who controls the reins of power.
	This country has largely been Christian, and the left is a chaotic destructive force targeting those on the right, and that is largely Christianity.
	This is where we currently sit.
	How much you want to bet in the next coming week or month, a couple weeks or months, they're going to sue this guy for something else.
	They're going to go to him and they're going to demand he do some other weird cake because they've been attacking this guy for a decade.
	The culture war is not over.
	While I do believe that we are winning, my friends, certainly we're going to see many, many more stories like this, and I don't think it ends here, because the laws are on the books.
	And so long as those laws are on the books, and ideologue judges are willing to enforce them, you're going to have these stories.
	But we'll wrap it up there, my friends.
	Smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with everyone you know.
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	And of course, we're live every night at 8pm at youtube.com slash TimCastIRL.
	Thank you so much for watching the show.
	And we will see you all in the next segment.
	For everybody watching live, we'll grab some Super Chats from you.
	We're just about at 12.
	Look at me cranking out eight different segments today.
	And we will grab a couple of your Super Chats.
	Firmer says if Jesus was real, his followers would never justify bombing kids in foreign or domestic nations.
	They would never be able to laugh about war or death.
	But my question, I suppose, to you, sir, is are you talking about real Christians or people just masquerading as Christians?
	Because a lot of Christians don't do enough.
	They don't. You know, I see them, the stories of the Catholics marching in a great procession, and they don't vote.
	They don't vote. And they should.
	But then you get people in government who say, I'm going to exploit their faith for political power.
	You know, these are bad people. All right, we'll grab one more here.
	Meme says, first off, I was Pittsburgh.
	I worked there and lived there at one time and was wondering how you thought it was as a visitor.
	Also, Elon might be doing something over here.
	Possible comeback for Pitt.
	Pittsburgh is only three hours from where we are now.
	In fact, I think it's two and a half hours.
	So I've been to Pittsburgh three or four times.
	It's great. I love it.
	Good food. They got skiing and snowboarding not too far out, 40 minutes from the city.
unidentified		So it's fun. All right.
tim pool ▲ ● ▼		We'll grab one more here.
		Wolf on the Plane says, Tim Colorado is trying to pass ranked-choice voting, guns and ammo taxes, and bail exceptions for first-degree, ending someone.
		Dark days indeed.
		Yikes, man. Yikes indeed.
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		Thank you all so much for hanging out.
		We'll be back tonight at 8 p.m.
		And Terrence K. Williams will be joining the show.
		We'll see you all tonight again.

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