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| Now, let's get into the news. | ||
| Just in time, just in time for the 2024 election. | ||
| We're getting this great story from Fox News. | ||
| You can thank Defund the Police for why we're seeing this now and perhaps this was the big play. | ||
| for dire staff shortages. | ||
| You can thank Defund the Police for why we're seeing this now, | ||
| and perhaps this was the big play. | ||
| I think it's funny because back in 2020, you know, I take a typically libertarian approach | ||
| to a lot of these issues. | ||
| Typically not the staunch conservative approach. | ||
| It's funny when the liberals are like, Tim Pool's far right, and I'm sitting here being like, defund the police, I guess. | ||
| I've ragged on cops quite a bit. | ||
| Now, I'm not going to rag on every single cop. | ||
| I like cops. | ||
| I think cops are good. | ||
| I'm not a staunch libertarian where I think you shouldn't have cops. | ||
| I just think the problem we're facing right now is institutional capture from the far left and communist police officers that are enforcing communist dictate and policies. | ||
| There's a viral video going around where apparently there was a phone call for a guy who was in distress. | ||
| Potential suicide. | ||
| So the cops battering ram his door open without notice. | ||
| He opens fire on the intruders, and now they're trying to charge him with murder. | ||
| And it's like, I don't know the full details, so I'm not, you know, pulling it up. | ||
| That's the gist of the story that's being shared. | ||
| Under the assumption that's true, guys, we have problems with that. | ||
| There were sheriffs who were arresting people during COVID lockdown because they were opening their business. | ||
| There were New Jersey cops, went to some lady's business because she was live streaming products in her store. | ||
| Clearly that was not about COVID. | ||
| I don't know what it's about. | ||
| But you know what's funny? | ||
| When Defund the Police happened, I was saying, if this is the game they want to play, defund them. | ||
| I don't care. | ||
| These are big, liberal cities. | ||
| I ain't worried about my local sheriff's department, my police, but big cities like New York, Chicago, LA, etc., Portland, Seattle, have fun. | ||
| Defund your police all day and night, and you will reap what you have sown, because now they are reaping it. | ||
| But, many people said, no, Tim. | ||
| It's a bad idea. | ||
| Because what's going to happen is we are going to end up with federal police at the national level, and they're going to be enforcing federal law at the local level to an extreme degree, and we don't want that. | ||
| Or they're going to send a National Guard or something bad like that. | ||
| Well, that's funny. | ||
| That's not what's happened. | ||
| I mean, maybe in some instances. | ||
| What's happening is, in fact, they're giving the jobs to illegal immigrants. | ||
| When Seattle drives away its police department, goes far left and insane. | ||
| What do they do? | ||
| They say, well, because of this shortage and because of rising violent crime that everyone | ||
| is concerned about, we're going to go ahead and recruit illegal immigrants. | ||
| Oh, that's worse than federal law enforcement. | ||
| You know, I had someone ask me recently, why does it matter that it's an illegal immigrant | ||
| And I'm like, well, aside from the fact that we have to have standards in how laws are enforced and who has the authority to do so, you know, we don't want to say if you're not a citizen, you can imprison a citizen. | ||
| But that's just like a moral and functional standard of government. | ||
| The issue is, they have little ties to the community relative to an average American. | ||
| And this is further divesting the police from the community. | ||
| One of the big problems with policing, why I don't care about New York, LA, Chicago, and I say, go ahead, defund those police. | ||
| I don't care. | ||
| Is that these cops don't know or care about you. | ||
| And the way I always describe it is, you go to a small town, I'm talking a small town, and you've got a sheriff and a couple deputies, I'm talking a thousand, a couple thousand people, and everybody knows the cops. | ||
| You get pulled over, at least especially back in the day in smaller towns, and the deputy, he pulls you over, you're speeding, and he walks up to the car and he goes, Jimmy? | ||
| Aren't you Mike's kid? | ||
| And he's gonna be like, yeah. | ||
| And he's like, you were going 15 over. | ||
| And he's gonna be like, yeah, I'm sorry. | ||
| And he's like, I gotta tell your dad when I see him later. | ||
| And he's like, no, no, no, please don't tell my dad. | ||
| You knew each other. | ||
| It changed the dynamic. | ||
| There was shame. | ||
| There was fear. | ||
| There was guilt. | ||
| Now it's an issue of people are just like, don't know you, don't care, I'm gonna try and get away with the crime. | ||
| Then the cops pull you over and they're like, don't know you, don't care, tell it to a judge. | ||
| So you look at Chicago, LA, New York, for instance. | ||
| These cops don't know you, they don't care about you, they're not good cops, they're not bad cops, they're generic, I don't know you, tell it to a judge cops. | ||
| And that leads to a lot of problems. | ||
| But if the cities don't like them, so be it. | ||
| Now see, what I think we actually need when it comes to policing is ties to the community. | ||
| Attila's Jim is a really great example during COVID. | ||
| Jim says, we're not shutting down. | ||
| You can't shut us down. | ||
| We're staying open. | ||
| Local police are called to enforce the mandate. | ||
| And what do the local police do? | ||
| We're not shutting them down. | ||
| Everybody claps and cheers for them. | ||
|
unidentified
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Why? | |
| Because people know these guys. | ||
| These local cops got to come in for a cheeseburger at the local restaurant. | ||
| They don't want to be social pariahs. | ||
| So what does the city do? | ||
| They say, bring us police who don't live here, because they don't know anybody, and nobody knows them. | ||
| That's what they did. | ||
| In New York, when a bar said, fine, we'll shut down, but we're going to open our doors and give beer away for free. | ||
| What happened? | ||
| NYPD would not come and enforce it. | ||
| State police came in and did it. | ||
| That's the problem. | ||
| So now when they're bringing in illegal immigrants as cops, these are people who are going to be like, dude, I don't know you. | ||
| I don't care about Seattle. | ||
| What I care about is they're going to pay me and I'm going to send that back to Honduras. | ||
| Now you're in trouble. | ||
| Especially if these guys Look, I gotta tell you, a lot of people who are DACA recipients live here for a long time, and they do have ties to the community, but there is an increased likelihood that they have less ties and family back home, and they will send remittances. | ||
| What happens then? | ||
| I'm not saying every single DACA recipient or illegal immigrant is going to be susceptible to crime. | ||
| In fact, you can make the argument that some of these guys are going to be so terrified of bribes and losing their job and getting deported, it might whip them into shape. | ||
| But I'm going to go and say it's polarizing. | ||
| Meaning, you will likely get some officers, non-citizens, who are terrified of being deported and losing the job, so they will do everything to tease out, I'm being filmed, I cannot mess this up. | ||
| But you'll also get, and maybe more so, More corruption. | ||
| Because you're going to have people who are going to be like, don't know you, don't care, my family is somewhere else, and my worst case scenario is I go back home, but I can get what I can get now. | ||
| And so when organized crime gangs are otherwise off from a kickback, they're going to say, works for me. | ||
| And you know why I think that? | ||
| Because you take a look at what's going on with that hun- with the, um, it was a Salvadorian guy, I think, who raped a child. | ||
| And I think it was in New York, right? | ||
| You had the dude in Times Square who opened fire. | ||
| These people don't care about our laws, our social order, our customs. | ||
| That's a problem. | ||
| This is where we are. | ||
| So smash that like button, subscribe to this channel. | ||
| This is a special Morning Live, Tim Cass News, and we're going to read this news, and then I'm going to throw it to our good friend Brian Krasenstein for his take on why crime is actually down and everyone else is lying, including Target, Walmart, Ulta, Dick's Sporting Goods, Dollar General. | ||
| The list goes on. | ||
| Walgreens. | ||
| I'm not kidding. | ||
| He's like, crime is down, they're lying. | ||
| And I'm like, all of these chain stores have put out notices saying they're shutting down because of crime. | ||
| But okay, maybe crime is down, but up for them. | ||
| We'll break it down. | ||
| First, here's the news. | ||
| DACA recipients eligible to join Seattle police as liberal policies blamed for dire staff shortage. | ||
| Staffing plunges to lowest level in nearly 70 years, four years after defund movement. | ||
| Seattle Police Department is now welcoming illegal immigrants to join its depleted force as staffing levels dip to lows not seen since 1957. | ||
| It's rather ironic you've got people who are in this country illegally who are now going to potentially be enforcing the law. | ||
| Think about how amazing that is! | ||
| Let's have the criminals enforce the law. | ||
| What do you think's gonna happen? | ||
| It's like imagine the mafia, like the government's like, we've got a big problem with the mafia in these big cities. | ||
| I know, let's make them the cops. | ||
| That'll make everything work! | ||
| The SPD announced last week they're accepting applications from Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, DACA recipients, after state legislation allowing DREAMers to apply for civil service positions went into effect in Washington. | ||
| Yo, man. | ||
| It's erosion. | ||
| It is social erosion. | ||
| And it's intentional. | ||
| It's intentional. | ||
| The liberal economic order wants global hegemonic power. | ||
| They don't like the idea of a sovereign America. | ||
| That's why they don't like Donald Trump. | ||
| They want the U.S. | ||
| to be an international, cosmopolitan country that serves as the international hub for global order. | ||
| For real. | ||
| That's why they blow up people in other countries. | ||
| It's like the Death Star. | ||
| It's the empire. | ||
| We want our country back. | ||
| We want secure borders. | ||
| We want jobs. | ||
| We want the American flag. | ||
| We want apple pie, hot dogs, and baseball. | ||
| We just want to live. | ||
| But they don't want you to live that way, because we are a vassal state to the international cabal of the military-industrial complex. | ||
| The number of sworn officers in the SPD has plunged to 913, compared to over 1,400 in 2017, according to the department. | ||
| compared to over 1,400 in 2017, according to the department. | ||
| Additionally, there are currently only 424 patrol officers and 280 eligible for retirement. | ||
| Rant said the police are in dire need of support due to the fallout from liberal policies. | ||
| You had a movement that was out there calling cops murderers and racists. | ||
| And unfortunately, you had a city council at the time that embraced and amplified those messages. | ||
| And so people started to leave in huge numbers. | ||
| Let me tell you, my friends, I'm sorry. | ||
| If I know a cop is a good dude, I'll defend him. | ||
| I see a video of a cop running in to save the lives of children during a shooting. | ||
| Those guys are heroes. | ||
| Respect them. | ||
| The institution of policing, the general idea, I think is a good thing. | ||
| I like sheriffs better. | ||
| Duly elected by the people and beholden to constituents. | ||
| Not people who are going to appoint them. | ||
| Much better. | ||
| So I look at these big cities and I say, I don't care. | ||
| I've seen way too much stuff in Chicago for me to actually care. | ||
| Chicago is so deeply corrupt. | ||
| Y'all can have it. | ||
| Seattle ain't much better. | ||
| But then you get a lot of conservatives coming out and saying, no, no, we have to defend the police. | ||
| Not defund, we have to defend. | ||
| And I'm like, dude, communists can be cops too, okay? | ||
| And I watched a video out of Seattle where a guy was being attacked by Antifa and the cops arrested the victim and apologized to Antifa. | ||
| I am not going to defend these people. | ||
| I don't care if they're cops. | ||
| I don't care if they're garbage men, okay? | ||
| If you're Antifa, you're Antifa. | ||
| And if you're using color of law and wearing a badge and arresting the victims of far-left communist extremists, you're the bad guy. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hey it's Kimberly Fletcher here from Moms4America with some very exciting news. | |
| Tucker Carlson is going on a nationwide tour this fall and Moms4America has the exclusive VIP meet and greet experience for you. | ||
| Before each show, you can have the opportunity to meet Tucker Carlson in person. | ||
| These tickets are fully tax-deductible donations, so go to momsforamerica.us and get one of our very limited VIP meet-and-greet experiences with Tucker at any of the 15 cities on his first ever Coast to Coast tour. | ||
| Not only will you be supporting Moms for America in our mission to empower moms, promote liberty, and raise patriots, your tax-deductible donation secures you a full VIP experience with priority entrance and check-in, premium gold seating in the first five rows, access to a pre-show cocktail reception, an individual meet-and-greet, and photo with America's most famous conservative and our friend, Tucker Carlson. | ||
| Visit momsforamerica.us today for more information and to secure your exclusive VIP meet-and-greet tickets. | ||
| See you on the tour. | ||
| Bye. | ||
| That's just it. | ||
| But let's do this. | ||
| We're going to jump to our good friend Brian Krasinski here because he says actually, | ||
| crime's not up. | ||
| Crime is down. | ||
| Really. | ||
| He says, I'm tired of false narratives being used to attack Biden. | ||
| MAGA wants you to believe that crime is up under Democrats, but the only thing that is actually up is the crime that's being videotaped and posted online at an increased rate. | ||
| Here are the facts. | ||
| Biden has actually reversed Trump's crime wave. | ||
| Under Biden, murder is down 26.4%. | ||
| Whoa. | ||
| Rape is down 25.7%. | ||
|
unidentified
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Wow. | |
| Robbery is down 17.8. | ||
| Property crime is down 15% year-over-year alone. | ||
| Stop allowing social media video clips to impact your perception of what's going on out there. | ||
| Oh, and former president crime is up 100%. | ||
| Ha ha ha ha ha ha. | ||
| You're like, this dude hits the nail on the head with a hammer, I gotta be honest. | ||
| That last line, former president crime is up 100%, shows literally how this is procedural statistics and not literal statistics, okay? | ||
| We'll put it this way. | ||
| So, uh, you know, in one year a guy smashes a window and he breaks into a house. | ||
| We report it to the police. | ||
| Police say we had a break-in last week. | ||
| Wow. | ||
| A year later, guy smashes the window and breaks into the house. | ||
| Homeowner says, nothing gets done. | ||
| It keeps happening. | ||
| What's the point? | ||
| Doesn't call the cops. | ||
| Next week, the mayor comes out and says, no robberies last week! | ||
| Well, there literally was, just didn't get reported. | ||
| Or better yet, what's actually happening is, the homeowner calls the police and says, it happened again! | ||
| And they're like, there's no one here, sir. | ||
| What do you mean? | ||
| There's no police here. | ||
| What? | ||
| There's no one to take this call. | ||
| There's no patrol officer, so they don't report it. | ||
| Don't take my word for it. | ||
| This is the truth. | ||
| You know what I love about this video? | ||
| It's a minute long, but he includes this stat, which I'm gonna let him explain, because if he doesn't, oh man. | ||
| Talk about cell phone. | ||
| The murder wave crested soon after Trump left office. | ||
| Yo, I gotta be honest. | ||
| He's like, he says crime is down under Biden. | ||
| Yo, from 17? | ||
| When Donald Trump got in office, right? | ||
| You can see the years that Trump was in office. | ||
| Crime actually started to go down, okay? | ||
| Because it was going up under Obama. | ||
| It got to its lowest point just before the COVID pandemic, which I'm not going to blame any of that on Trump. | ||
| I'm also not going to give Trump All of the credit on gas prices. | ||
| A lot of people like to say, under Donald Trump, gas was $1.86, yet demand was gone because of COVID lockdowns. | ||
| These are all products of what Democrats were doing in locking down their states. | ||
| Trump, of course, called for two weeks to slow the spread. | ||
| He was a part of this, too. | ||
| But, federal level, 9th and 10th Amendment, I'm not surprised he didn't intervene to stop states from doing whatever they wanted to do. | ||
| So, murder goes up. | ||
| Crime is going up. | ||
| Yeah, COVID pandemic. | ||
| And I blame Democrat governors for the most part. | ||
| Trump gets a little bit, a little bit, but mostly this is Democrat governors. | ||
| Donald Trump likes to take credit, many people do, for low gas prices. | ||
| He did play a role in that a little bit, again, like a little bit, but for the most part it's just there was no demand for gas because nobody could do anything and so the cost of A barrel of petroleum was negative! | ||
| These producers could not get rid of it because no one was working, no business was open, and they were like, we have too much and we can't keep it here, so they actually had to pay to get rid of it! | ||
| That was crazy. | ||
| But as you can see here, under Joe Biden, crime may be going down slightly, but crime is still higher than at every point except for the tail end, the microscopic tail end. | ||
| Look at this. | ||
| Even into the end of 2020, crime was at a rate of 7 per 100,000, and right now it's the same thing. | ||
| Under Joe Biden, you could argue that murder is going down, but it's still way higher than it was, on average, under Donald Trump. | ||
| So, you don't get the kind of crime that's going down under Joe Biden. | ||
| But, you know, we love the argument, and I respect they're making the argument, so I will give Brian his minute to make his case. | ||
|
unidentified
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I don't know about all of you, but I'm tired of all of the false narratives about the economy, about crime, about everything that's being used to attack President Biden. | |
| MAGA wants you to believe that crime is exploding under Democrats, but the only thing that's actually going up is the crime that is being videotaped and posted online on social media platforms at an increased rate. | ||
| Wrong! | ||
|
unidentified
|
Here are the actual facts on crime in America. | |
| Biden has reversed Trump's crime rate. | ||
| Trump's crime wave! | ||
| Okay, let's just start from the surface level, single-order thinker. | ||
| I'm talking low, low-level cognition. | ||
| Crime in 2020, right at the start of the pandemic, exploded. | ||
| Jumped from about six homicides per 100,000 to seven, or seven and a half. | ||
| When Joe Biden took over, crime actually still kept going up and reached eight, okay? | ||
| I blame the COVID pandemic for this, but we're going to play it this way. | ||
| I will give I will give Brian this spike was under Trump. | ||
| Fact. | ||
| In aggregate, however, crime was going down under Trump until the COVID pandemic. | ||
| Joe Biden may be seeing presiding over a slight decrease from 8 to 7. | ||
| It is still higher on average than Donald Trump's presidency. | ||
|
unidentified
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Under Biden, murder is down 26.4 percent. | |
| Rape is down 25.7%. | ||
| Robbery is down 17.8%. | ||
| Property crime is down 15%. | ||
| Stop allowing social media video clips to impact your perception of reality and what's really going on. | ||
| Oh, and former president crime is actually up 100%. | ||
| Uh, oh boy. | ||
| 100%? | ||
| I don't know what the actual number is, but we can talk about the Burisma scandal, we can talk about, you know, 10% for the big guy, we can talk about Hunter Biden as a bag man. | ||
| But, uh, I'm not even interested in that stuff. | ||
| Former president crime? | ||
| I guess you're talking about someone being convicted after being president? | ||
| Then Donald Trump's not guilty of anything. | ||
| They're actually charging him for things he did while he was president, 2017. | ||
| But we can talk about Barack Obama blowing up American citizens, more than one actually, and I think he should be criminally investigated and, you know, if found guilty, criminally, he should be indicted, charged for it, and if found guilty, he should go to prison. | ||
| But that's how it goes. | ||
| And I actually do respect the idea of presidential immunity as per the military actions taken by Barack Obama, which I would then say, impeach him over this, because you have to do a post-presidential impeachment. | ||
| This is what they do. | ||
| I respect that, actually. | ||
| The argument is, we question the validity of the drone strikes that killed Anwar al-Awlaki and Abdulrahman al-Awlaki. | ||
| In which case, we need a congressional review of those actions. | ||
| And should they be deemed not to be legitimate? | ||
| Then Obama gets impeached, and if he is impeached, now we have a criminal investigation. | ||
| I accept those terms. | ||
| But, my friends, Brian is... he's a smart guy! | ||
| He's a smart guy, you know? | ||
| And I gotta give credit to, uh, uh, uh, you know, the Krasinski brothers for engaging in the argument more with the right than any other liberals do. | ||
| I respect that. | ||
| They're wrong, though, and I think the issue is they're low-order thinkers. | ||
| This tends to be a problem of the left, right? | ||
| So, tariffs. | ||
| A really good example. | ||
| Donald Trump says, we're going to put a tariff on a bunch of products. | ||
| Low-order thinkers go, holy crap, now when I buy my computer, it's going to cost more money because of the tariff. | ||
| Short-term gains, right? | ||
| It's a low-order thinking. | ||
| Higher-order thinkers are going to consider the long-term effects. | ||
| The higher-order thinker you are, the more expansive your expectations and your perspectives are. | ||
| So at the highest level, you could actually be considering all the way to the heat death of the universe and possible white hole, black hole, big crash, whatever. | ||
| Not that you need to. | ||
| But just most people are going to be thinking about short term and long term. | ||
| With the tariffs, first order thinker liberals are thinking he's just taxing the American people. | ||
| Multi-ordered thinkers are thinking, well, in the long run, though, this is going to force companies to start manufacturing in the United States because they'll make more money. | ||
| And so the idea is to create a pressure system where these companies can't sustain the prices at these levels, so they're forced to relocate back to the U.S., give more jobs to the American people, which would result in higher income, better standard of living, more products. | ||
| We live better. | ||
| This is the problem that I see for the most part with many liberals. | ||
| So, I give you, my friends, the first question I have for our good friend Brian Krasenstein from the Washington Post. | ||
| Target. | ||
| Walmart. | ||
| Other large chains have cited multiple reasons for store closures, including rising crime and violence. | ||
| Meanwhile, Home Depot, Lowe's, Dollar Tree, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Ulta have all raised concerns about disappearing inventory known as shrink in their last rounds of earning calls. | ||
| Retailers routinely stock deodorant and name brand shampoo in plexiglass cages. | ||
| And a recent report by the National Retail Federation found that retail crime, violence, and theft continue to impact the retail industry at unprecedented levels. | ||
| I knew it! | ||
| I knew it. | ||
| And so did you. | ||
| Target, Walmart, Home Depot, Lowe's, Dollar Tree, Dick's, Sporting Goods, Ulta. | ||
| I knew they were all MAGA. | ||
| They're lying about this because they're trying to get Donald Trump re-elected. | ||
| Or, crime is up. | ||
| Take your pick. | ||
| I'm gonna go with the Occam's Razor. | ||
| In the absence of evidence, the solution that makes the least amount of assumptions tends to be correct. | ||
| In which case, these store chains, all independent of each other, are experiencing shoplifting and violence. | ||
| And it's resulting in them closing their stores down. | ||
| We saw Walgreens in San Francisco shutting down. | ||
| The elderly were unable to pick up their prescriptions. | ||
| Crime was too high. | ||
| Shoplifting was too high. | ||
| In Chicago, They're putting plexiglass over everything! | ||
| You wanna buy any product, you gotta get someone to come get it for you. | ||
| And they're even trying out new stores where you walk into a big empty lobby and there's a touch screen and you have to type the product you want and they'll, after you pay for it, they bring it to you. | ||
| That's where we're currently at. | ||
| But tell me again about how all this crime is down. | ||
| Hey guys, Josh Hammer here, the host of America on Trial with Josh Hammer, a podcast for the First Podcast Network. | ||
| Look, there are a lot of shows out there that are explaining the political news cycle, what's happening on the Hill, the this, the that. | ||
| There are no other shows that are cutting straight to the point when it comes to the unprecedented lawfare debilitating And affecting the 2024 presidential election. | ||
| We do all that every single day right here on America on Trial with Josh Hammer. | ||
| Subscribe and download your episodes wherever you get your podcasts. | ||
| It's America on Trial with Josh Hammer. | ||
| Now, I don't know or care about your statistics, okay? | ||
| What I can do is this. | ||
| Pew Research Center. | ||
| April 24th, 2024. | ||
| What the data says about crime in the U.S. | ||
| A growing share of Americans say reducing crime should be a top priority. | ||
| For the President and Congress to address this year, around 6 in 10 U.S. | ||
| adults hold that view today, up from 47 at the beginning of his presidency. | ||
| Now, how is that possible? | ||
| Brian, crime is down across the board according to the stats that you showed, and maybe those are real stats? | ||
| It doesn't mean crime is actually down, it means someone produced those stats, you found them somewhere. | ||
| Okay, then how come most people are saying that they think crime is up? | ||
| That they think crime needs to be a top priority? | ||
| I'm sorry, I misspoke. | ||
| That reducing crime is a top priority? | ||
| They say, with the issue likely to come up this year in the presidential election, here's what we know about crime in the U.S. | ||
| Based on the latest available data from the federal government and other sources, how much crime is there in the U.S.? | ||
| It's difficult to say for certain. | ||
| The two primary sources of government crime stats, the FBI and the Bureau of Justice Statistics, paint an incomplete picture. | ||
| The FBI publishes annual data on crimes that have been reported to law enforcement, but not crimes that haven't been reported. | ||
| Historically, the FBI also only publishes stats about a handful of specific violent property crimes, but not for many other types of crimes, such as drug crime. | ||
| And while the FBI's data is based on information from thousands of federal, state, county, city, and other police departments, not all law enforcement agencies participate every year. | ||
| In 2022, the most recent full year with available stats, the FBI received data from 83% of participating agencies. | ||
| BJS for its part tracked crime by fielding a large annual survey of Americans ages 12 | ||
| and older and asking them whether they were a victim of a certain type of crime in the | ||
| past six months. | ||
| One advantage of this approach is that it captures both reported and unreported crimes, | ||
| but the BJS survey has limitations of its own. | ||
| Like the FBI, it focuses mainly on a handful of violent property crimes, and since the | ||
| BJS data is based on after-the-fact interviews with crime victims, it cannot provide information | ||
| about one especially high-profile type of offense, murder. | ||
| More importantly, Walmart is not an individual who is going to express how they were a victim | ||
| of a crime. | ||
| In which case, I look to the real world, things that I can grasp. | ||
| And if the FBI wants to come out and say, you know, we surveyed people and we surveyed police departments and here's what we found, I say, that's interesting. | ||
| But how about we take a look at how the actual market is impacted? | ||
| And tons of stores are closing down. | ||
| Why? | ||
| Shoplifting and crime is on the rise. | ||
| There's poop all over the place. | ||
| How about this? | ||
| In downtown San Francisco, two of the biggest hotels and the Westfield Mall, they have forfeited the property. | ||
| They surrendered it. | ||
| That was big news like last year. | ||
| Massive mall. | ||
| Basically, it's mostly empty now. | ||
| I could be wrong about this, it's been a while, but Westfield told their lender, we are surrendering the property. | ||
| Now, they took out a loan to buy the property, and they're telling the creditor, it's all yours. | ||
| That's it. | ||
| You win. | ||
| How much did they lose on that deal? | ||
| $50 million? | ||
| Who knows more? | ||
| But they're thinking, we can't sustain the property. | ||
| Wait, there's too much crime. | ||
| This is literally what they're saying. | ||
| Nobody wants to shop here anymore. | ||
| So tell me, when we are seeing real-world impacts where businesses are shuttering everywhere, is crime up or down? | ||
| Well, you can cite any stat you want, but clearly it's having an impact. | ||
| Oh, we got more for you. | ||
| Durham police due to get pay raises to address staffing shortages. | ||
| I like this one. | ||
| See, this is just local news, right? | ||
| I'll tell you why there's another reason crime is probably down. | ||
| Your stats say crime is down. | ||
| It's because when people call the police, there's nobody there. | ||
| They say, I'd like to report a crime. | ||
| To who? | ||
| Sorry, no one's available to come and help you. | ||
| No crime reported. | ||
| It really does come down to that. | ||
| I have had instances, I'm sure many of you had, where it's like a minor issue, but you do got to call the cops for, and then they say, we have no one available to actually come, so we're sorry. | ||
| Do you want to come in tomorrow and file a report? | ||
| No, I don't. | ||
| Later. | ||
| You know, minor things. | ||
| It's like something got stolen, you know, a phone got stolen or whatever, and you're like, what do you do? | ||
| Not that it's happened to me a whole lot, but I've certainly been with friends, and we've had things like that happen, where we're like, we should call the police, and they just say, there's no one available, take a report right now. | ||
| Do you want to come in and fill one out? | ||
| And they just say, no. | ||
| Nobody got time for that. | ||
| But this is where it all is. | ||
| This is where it all is, my friends. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Crime trends in U.S. | ||
| cities, year-end 2023 update. | ||
| The Council on Criminal Justice. | ||
| What do they say? | ||
| What do they say? | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| It examines monthly rates at which 12 offenses are reported to law enforcement. | ||
| The number of homicides in the 32 study cities provided homicide data was 10% lower. | ||
| Well, that's good. | ||
| I got no problem finding that the stats are better or worse or whatever it may be. | ||
| That's absolutely fine. | ||
| My issue, for the most part, is are we getting accurate data? | ||
| Does it accurately reflect what's really going on? | ||
| Okay, percent change in crime from 2019 and annual rates 2019 to 2023. | ||
| What is this? | ||
| annual rates 2019 to 2023. | ||
| Uh, what is this? | ||
| Is this a- just a general net increase? | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| You can look like Arlington crime is down. | ||
| Boston crime is down. | ||
| Look at where crime is up. | ||
| Washington. | ||
| Wow. | ||
| A 931% increase in crime. | ||
| Is that for real? | ||
| This can't be right. | ||
| I must be reading this wrong. | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| Do I have the Marshall Project? | ||
| We have the Marshall Project. | ||
| This one's fantastic. | ||
| Because you take a look at this stat right here. | ||
| Let me scroll down. | ||
| Or maybe I scroll too far. | ||
| Where's that stat at? | ||
| New data shows violent crime is up and also down. | ||
| Well, there you go. | ||
| That explains it. | ||
| Property crime and violence against young people are both up. | ||
| Recent federal data shows. | ||
| But other crime trends are murkier. | ||
| The issue I take with what the Krasinskys do in this regard. | ||
| Here we go. | ||
| Conflicting reports on violent crime. | ||
| FBI crime stats show a 1.7% decline. | ||
| The National Crime Victimization Survey shows a 44% increase. | ||
| This just means some dude got mugged and he didn't call the cops. | ||
| A lot of people don't want to call the cops. | ||
| Not a lot of cops available. | ||
| But I'll break it down this way for you. | ||
| I'm not here to argue that Brian's stats are wrong. | ||
| I googled searched crime in cities rising. | ||
| And here's what we find. | ||
| City Journal. | ||
| The urban violent crime spike is real, one month ago. | ||
| ABC News. | ||
| U.S. | ||
| stats show violent crime dramatically falling. | ||
| So why is there a rising clash with perception? | ||
| March 22, 2024. | ||
| Vox. | ||
| Violent crime fell across the U.S. | ||
| in 2023. | ||
| Why did it rise in Washington, D.C.? | ||
| NBC News, December 16. | ||
| Most people think the U.S. | ||
| crime rate is up, is rising. | ||
| They're wrong. | ||
| Welcome to the Modern Era, my friends. | ||
| You can find a news story for anything. | ||
| You pick your source, you can find what you want. | ||
| I try to rip through these various stories to figure out what is more likely to be the case. | ||
| So I will tell you this. | ||
| There's less police. | ||
| They want illegal immigrants to be police to fill in those numbers. | ||
| Less police means less reported crimes. | ||
| Big chain stores are shutting down and reporting to their shareholders, where it really matters, that crime is up, shoplifting is up, and they need better security, and they need to shut down certain stores. | ||
| That is indicative of perhaps crime not being up, but being out of control with less police. | ||
| Either way, crime is a big issue. | ||
| And all that really matters is when you see Pew Research a couple months ago saying a growing share of Americans say reducing crime should be a top priority for the president. | ||
| Six in ten adults holding that view. | ||
| Well, you know what view you need to take. | ||
| So, if the Krasensteins or any Democrat thinks they're going to play the game of crimes actually down under Biden, you are not convincing anyone. | ||
| The average voter is a low-ordered thinker. | ||
| And I mean no disrespect, but it's true. | ||
| And they're focused on the things that are impacting them. | ||
| And if stores are closing, and crime is happening in their area, they don't care what numbers you show them. | ||
| There's a reason they hold these views, and it's not because they watch Fox News or X videos. | ||
| It's because Walmart closed. | ||
| It's because Target put everything behind plexiglass, and now it's difficult to shop. | ||
| And that affects them directly. | ||
| Cite your stats all day and night. | ||
| None of it matters. | ||
| But, I suppose. | ||
| The question is, will Donald Trump be the man of the leftist delusion or of the right-wing fears? | ||
| And that is, the left thinks Donald Trump is going to come in and shut down Rachel Maddow and arrest people and rule with an iron fist. | ||
| Many on the right fear that he's going to, as he already did, endorse more rhinos, hire some bad people, and then give us, like, a moderately beneficial administration, which people will groan over and complain about some of his hires. | ||
| It's already looking, like the sentiment is, based on the endorsements Trump's made, in Virginia especially, that he's starting to nominate rhinos. | ||
| Or not nominate, I'm sorry, endorse. | ||
| The fear is that his administration is going to have a bunch of do-nothings. | ||
| I don't care. | ||
| You're not voting for Joe Biden. | ||
| I mean, that got out of his mind. | ||
| Or lack thereof, I should say. | ||
| Donald Trump has good foreign policy. | ||
| I'll take it. | ||
| That's it. | ||
| I don't expect Donald Trump to come in and be the thing of leftist nightmares. | ||
| I expect him to be the thing of Republican nightmares. | ||
| And that is, he will do good, but he's going to hire bad people. | ||
| And that's reality. | ||
| But I'll take it. | ||
| It still means a general improvement. | ||
| There is no question, based on everything we are seeing. | ||
| And I think it was Dave Rubin who mentioned this. | ||
| I think he was highlighting Joe Rogan. | ||
| Rogan said something like, Republicans aren't the answer, they're not going to save you. | ||
| And I think it was Rogan. | ||
| Dave said, it is unquestionable that if we were living under Republicans, things would be better. | ||
| He's right. | ||
| Completely right. | ||
| Even the rhinos. | ||
| Even the really awful ones. | ||
| And to be fair, like, I don't know, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger? | ||
| No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. | ||
| Not those. | ||
| But, like, Mike Johnson? | ||
| As bad as he is, things would still be better if you had a bunch of Mike Johnsons. | ||
| That's just a fact. | ||
| And I'm not saying bad things wouldn't happen. | ||
| Bad things would still happen. | ||
| But things would be better. | ||
| Grown, right? | ||
| Unfortunately for us, the Libertarian Party does not offer up any kind of real alternative. | ||
| Because now they got Chase Oliver. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| So, there you go. | ||
| But this has been a special live Morning Timcast News, so I'll grab some of your superchats before we wrap up. | ||
| Smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share this show with your friends, head over to timcast.com, click join us to become a member, and I'll just grab a couple before we wrap this one up, and then I get to preparing and recording the next segments for today's episode. | ||
| Haringamynews says, should Donald Trump bring back the bounty hunters to deport illegals? | ||
| Bounty hunters helped the Justice Department before the FBI was created. | ||
| Interesting. | ||
| Also asks, what coffee do you drink in the morning? | ||
| Typically Appalachian Nights, over at Casper.com. | ||
| And I do it in espresso form. | ||
| We have a machine, you just pour it in and then it makes espresso for you. | ||
| Alright, Shannon says, 10am stream, Tim is big mad and rightfully so. | ||
| No, usually the morning streams, the live versions, are due to me wanting more time to rip through the story. | ||
| So, a lot of days when I do the pre-recorded 10am, it's because I already have the stories lined up, already know a lot about it, can easily cite sources, and do a little digging, and I can get that done in a few minutes, and then I can record early and then have it uploaded. | ||
| But for today, I could have recorded early, but I thought I'd want to pull up a little bit more sources, because with the Krasenstein, with Brian saying, like, the stats are down, I wanted to make sure I looked at enough of different stats. | ||
| So instead of recording, I just pushed it off and then set the—I think that's why I set the livestream for 9.40, and I was like, I'll just do it live at 10, so I give myself an extra, you know, hour or so to go through all the data and get a better understanding of why it's being reported the way it is. | ||
| High Q says comedians complain they can't tell jokes. | ||
| Women cannot walk down the street of New York without getting cracked in their head. | ||
| This is a culture of their making, Tim. | ||
| Sympathy here. | ||
| You mean no sympathy here? | ||
| I don't have sympathy. | ||
| I mean, you get what you vote for. | ||
| Congratulations. | ||
| It's what you wanted, right? | ||
| Alright, Megamikey says, Tim, you missed one major business that fled San Francisco. | ||
| The tech giant Google vacated the city just a few days ago. | ||
| Can you look into that? | ||
| Is that true? | ||
| Well, they were in Mountain View, weren't they? | ||
| Is that what it's called? | ||
| Mountain View? | ||
| No, that's not the name. | ||
|
unidentified
|
What's, uh, where's Google's headquarters? | |
| Oh yeah, it's Mountain View. | ||
| Mountain View, California. | ||
| I thought that's what it was. | ||
| I was actually confused for a second because I'm like, wait, no, there's a diner called Mountain View. | ||
| Maybe I'm confusing the name. | ||
| It's going to be like Mountain Valley or something weird. | ||
| No, it's Mountain View. | ||
| All right. | ||
| We'll grab just one more, I guess. | ||
| Let's see. | ||
| The Matrix has me says, Amnesty and voting for illegals. | ||
| Nothing for Samoan Army members or Puerto Rican US citizens who get affected by Congress on status. | ||
| Yep. | ||
| How many people have tried to immigrate here legally and they're not allowed to? | ||
| That's a problem. | ||
| So, you get these people who cross the border and everything's a lot easier for them. | ||
| But ladies and gentlemen, this has been your special live morning segment. | ||
| Uh, you know, maybe I'll do more live. | ||
| I gotta be honest, I would love to do a, like, two or three hour live morning show. | ||
| It just doesn't work financially. | ||
| That's the challenge. | ||
| We would get all the stories lined up, we'd do a longer live in the morning, have more time throughout the day, I probably would need an actual producer to work on stories with me so we can get everything done super quick, and then we'd have IRL up at night, and it would probably be better for a lot of reasons, but the main issue is, it severely impacts, like, I'll keep it real simple, I make four videos, People will watch four videos. | ||
| That means one person can be four views across the board, and views result in, you know, more ad reads and things like this, and algorithmic, like, relevance that says, like, oh, look at all the people who are watching this. | ||
| You switch to live only, and it cuts your viewership down by 75%, and then the algorithm deranks you, and then you get less ads and everything, so it's like, doing the, the other thing, too, about it is, by waiting, And doing segments, I can have the breaking news rapidly. | ||
| And so, like, when Hunter Biden was found guilty, I just went live right away at, like, 12.50 or something, because that was massive. | ||
| Huge breaking news. | ||
| The challenge of the live morning show is reduced revenue, reduced viewership, reduced views, and not hitting the breaking stories. | ||
| So, it is tough. | ||
| I don't know. | ||
| We'll figure it out. | ||
| But it is fun. | ||
| I like doing the live in the morning better, and I like going live better, but I'll leave it there. | ||
| Next segment's coming up at 1 p.m. | ||
| on this channel. | ||
| Thank you all so much for hanging out. |