US Deploys STRIKE GROUP To Taiwan As China Threatens Conflict Over Democrat Pelosi Visiting Island
US Deploys STRIKE GROUP To Taiwan As China Threatens Conflict Over Democrat Pelosi Visiting Island. China is Furious That Nancy Pelosi may visit the Island and a crisis is brewing.
But Biden seems completely unable to handle this level of conflict. A recent video shows just how feeble the old man is and Democrats are desperate to find a replacement for the 2024 presidential election.
The one weird positive is that Hunter Biden may be compromised by China and this may involve "the big guy" joe Biden. While that is terrible news for the US is may mean no World War Three or Nuclear War
#biden
#china
#taiwan
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has deployed an aircraft carrier and a strike group to the South China Sea as Taiwan threatens action over Nancy Pelosi's potential visit to the Taiwanese island.
Conflict is escalating, and there are fears that Joe Biden is not capable of handling it.
In our next story, the U.S.
is now technically in a recession.
The report came out, two consecutive quarters with contraction, negative growth.
The White House, of course, is denying it, saying, wait, wait.
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You've got an effective distraction for the crumbling economy in international conflict, which I got to say is probably more worrisome.
A U.S.
aircraft carrier and its strike group are headed into the hotly contested waters around Taiwan.
Ahead of a possible visit by Nancy Pelosi to the island, Xi Jinping has had a conversation with Joe Biden where he apparently said, don't play with fire, you will get burned.
Yeah, nuclear war maybe.
At least that's what a UK national security advisor is warning based on everything we're seeing.
So while back at home we are fretting about gas prices with an upcoming election, one thing that's going to assist the Democrats and Joe Biden in getting people's minds off of the panic they face at home is panic abroad.
How can you be worrying about your gas prices when there's the threat of nuclear war?
Perhaps this is a big nothing burger.
Nancy Pelosi is going to be visiting Taiwan.
China clearly does not like this.
But is the story really that big of a deal?
It may be.
It may just be coincidence that at a time when Joe Biden's facing some of the worst possible press he could be facing, and the Democrats are surely going to get voted out, a distraction has emerged.
But is it a distraction?
You know, look, as much as I'd like to say so, I think we have to take this very seriously.
The threat of conflict with China has been escalating.
Reports of Taiwan preparing for an invasion by China, these reports have been coming out for the past several months, the past couple of years.
So while it may be convenient, That Joe Biden gets a distraction?
This story has been bubbling up, ignored in the background, as we deal with domestic issues.
But if we don't pay attention to what's to come here, well then we're going to be left hurting.
I often talk about food shortages, economic crises.
Potential Civil War.
Now, this story is something that I have discussed quite a bit, but in the past several months or year or so, this story hasn't been as big.
Now it's coming back to the forefront.
Any potential supply chain disruptions that we're facing will be exacerbated to an extreme degree With a potential conflict coming out of China.
And I don't mean just an actual conflict, the potential for a conflict.
Right now in China, we're hearing stories about banks barring people from taking out money.
China may get desperate.
They may start trying to hoard resources.
And at a time when there's a major supply chain crunch, and the U.S.
has foolishly given much of its manufacturing to China, we will reap, well, let's just call it benefits of our folly.
We saw this during the COVID pandemic, when we were having our masks and personal protective gear produced in China, and China just commandeered the production and said, it's ours now.
Our vitamin C and other vitamins and medications being produced in China was a huge mistake.
If we do enter a conflict with China, this will make the supply chain crunch you're feeling now look like child's play.
I hope you pay attention to the seriousness that's to come, because right now, as we're experiencing all of these problems domestically and Joe Biden does need a distraction, I have to add, to be fair, Joe, the story about Joe Biden's business ties with potential ties through his family, with China and other countries, the fact the man may be corrupt or even compromised, the fact that his brain may not be with it.
This is not so much a distraction as it is an exacerbation of the crisis that is the failures of Joe Biden.
And his approval rating shows it.
He couldn't handle Afghanistan.
Do you think he'll be able to handle China?
We're in very serious trouble.
And so I will say this, to reiterate a point from Ned Ryan yesterday and Tim Kast IRL, Trump needs to talk about the possibilities, not the past.
Trump or the Republicans or DeSantis, they need to come out now and say, we need a change in leadership.
Before it's too late.
Well, let's read the news about what's happening with this strike group heading into the Taiwanese waters.
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Here's the story from Yahoo News.
A U.S.
aircraft carrier and its strike group are headed into the hotly contested waters around Taiwan ahead of a possible visit by Nancy Pelosi.
Take a look at that photo.
The USS Ronald Reagan and its strike group are now operating in the South China Sea.
South Korean Defense Ministry via Getty Images.
I just gotta say, I love America and this photo is beautiful.
Beautiful.
Worrying.
Particularly worrying.
But beautiful.
Yo, I love seeing American displays of power.
I don't like foreign conflict.
I don't like the conflict in the Middle East.
I like what Donald Trump did on foreign policy.
But I like the idea that we, as a nation, have been strong.
We show our strength.
And this photo, to me, is beautiful.
I don't like what it may represent.
And I'm really concerned about a potential conflict.
But I do like seeing The bravest on these ships operating in proper capacity.
Here's the story.
A U.S.
aircraft carrier and its strike group are now in the South China Sea.
Speaking to Insider on Wednesday night, U.S.
Navy spokesperson Mart Langford confirmed that the vessels were on the move and operating in the South China Sea.
According to Langford, the carrier is continuing normal scheduled operations as part of her routine patrol in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific.
The news comes less than a day after a report emerged about the Pentagon's preparations to protect Speaker Nancy Pelosi with fighter jets and ships if she were to visit Taiwan.
Pelosi was scheduled to visit the island in April.
However, the trip was postponed after she tested positive for COVID.
Per the Financial Times, Pelosi is tentatively set to visit the island in August.
Meanwhile, China warned this week of a possible military response.
Yikes.
If the U.S.
insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by.
And it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external forces interference, said Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense.
If Pelosi does visit Taiwan, she would be the highest ranking U.S.
official to visit the island since Republican Newt Gingrich made the trip in 1997.
The possibility of Pelosi visiting Taiwan comes at a tense time.
China has grown more aggressive with Taiwan, flying more military craft near the island and even deploying an armada of sand dredgers to carve sand from the Taiwanese coast in June 2021.
generally regards Taiwan with strategic ambiguity, not recognizing its independence while still providing it with weapons.
CIA Chief Bill Burns this month also commented that China is likely learning lessons from Russia's failures in Ukraine and calibrating the how and when of a potential invasion of the island.
Meanwhile, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has stated repeatedly that China must reunify with Taiwan, which it considers a breakaway province.
You know, personally, I consider Taiwan to be the true government of China, and China was taken over by communists, but I digress.
While Pelosi's Taiwan trip has not been confirmed, she is scheduled to visit Japan, Indonesia, and Singapore.
For now.
Pelosi's Taiwan trip has not been confirmed, but other stops like—are they just repeating themselves there?
Okay, we get it.
Not confirmed.
We got a lot to go through.
I mean, for one, the New York Times comes out and says it.
Today, Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan is too dangerous.
We have The Guardian reporting that a UK national security advisor is saying there is a risk of nuclear war from cutting off China and Russia.
Yeah.
It's worrying.
And I wonder if the optimism bias is seeping in.
Optimism and normalcy.
It can't happen.
It won't happen.
Do not fall victim.
I'll tell you this.
unidentified
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When I talk about the Civil War in this country, the first Civil War, we talk about the Battle
of Fort Sumter, where locals did not believe a civil war was possible.
So they climbed atop a local hill and they had picnics and they watched thinking nothing would happen until the cannon fire started.
And then they watched in horror at the gruesome brutality and reality that is war.
You think it can't happen until it does.
From the Financial Times.
Xi warns Biden not to play with fire ahead of Taiwan trip by Nancy Pelosi.
Xi Jinping warned Joe Biden not to play with fire as the Chinese and US presidents spoke for the first time since Beijing was angered by a planned visit to Taiwan by Nancy Pelosi.
I just want to say, look, I don't know if it's the right thing for Nancy Pelosi to do.
I want to say I really despise Nancy Pelosi.
But I respect this.
I absolutely respect this.
Standing with Taiwan, I respect.
It's a bold move.
I think the U.S.
should be speaking up in defense of Taiwan to a certain degree.
We don't want war with China, but it looks like we are on a dangerous track.
And no matter what we do, Taiwan will fall to China.
And that means, as Steve Bannon described it, Silicon Valley West, our computer chips, It means we're not going to have them.
Now, the U.S.
has been frantically trying to up production of silicon chips.
That's why we saw a big speech by Joe Biden recently, in the past half year or so, where he said we are going to be funding the production and manufacturing of silicon chips here in the United States.
Yeah, you better do it now.
You better do it because China is gearing up to take Taiwan.
Now, this move by Nancy Pelosi is bold, and I do say it is respectable.
You don't have to like the lady to be like, it's a risky move and it is dangerous going there.
You can criticize it, and I think it should be criticized because it could be too risky.
But I think there's a certain amount of bravery in it.
Look, I got no problem saying it as much as I don't like the lady.
In a statement posted on the Chinese Foreign Ministry's website after the two leaders talked on Thursday, Xi did not directly mention Pelosi's possible visit, but said his administration would resolutely safeguard China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Quote, Those who play with fire will perish by it.
Are you kidding me?
Yikes.
China's president added.
the U.S. will be clear-eyed about this," China's president added.
Chairman, I should say.
China's foreign ministry also quoted Biden as saying Washington's one-China policy had
not changed and that his administration did not support independence for the self-ruled
island, which Beijing claims is part of its territory.
It was the leader's first call since March, when tensions were also running high in the
wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
She met Vladimir Putin shortly before the Russian president sent his army into Ukraine, and has tacitly supported Moscow throughout the conflict.
The White House said the call lasted for more than two hours, but provided no additional details.
Beijing sees trips to Taiwan by U.S.
lawmakers as a contravention of Washington's One China policy, which recognizes Beijing as the sole government of China.
Pelosi would be the most senior U.S.
lawmaker to visit Taiwan in 25 years.
Quote, China-US relations are pretty bad in all respects, said Shi Yinhong, an international
relations professor at Renmin University in Beijing. He added that the People's Liberation
Army was likely to take necessary countermeasures if Pelosi proceeded with her trip, but said China
would not, I'm sorry, China would still seek to avoid full and direct military confrontation
with the US.
The U.S.' 's Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier transited the South China Sea earlier this month before docking in Singapore on July 22nd.
It then canceled a planned port in Vietnam before sailing back towards the contested sea, where China is embroiled in a series of long-running territorial disputes with its maritime neighbors.
Dark days, my friend.
Dark days, my friends.
A richer, stronger China warns Pelosi not to visit Taiwan.
Take a look at this photograph.
A Chengkung-class frigate fires an anti-air missile as part of a Navy demonstration in Taiwan's annual Han Kuang exercises off the island's eastern coast near the city of Yilan, Taiwan, on Tuesday, July 26.
The Taiwanese capital, Taipei, staged a civil defense drill Monday, and President Tsai Ing-wen on Tuesday attended the annual Han Kuang military exercises.
Although there was no direct connection with tensions over a possible visit by U.S.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
Here's what I want to see.
I want to see Taiwan unified with China.
I really, really do.
I mean, I want to see the Taiwanese government take over the Chinese government and an end to the Chinese Communist Party, very different from what they're proposing.
My proposal is an end to the Chinese Communist Party and a restoration of democracy.
And Republican values.
I don't mean Republican Party.
I'm talking about Republicanism.
The people electing true representatives and an end to the authoritarianism of the CCP.
Over at Time, we will do what is necessary.
Pentagon preparing in case Pelosi travels to Taiwan.
The risk is here.
The New York Times published a guest essay from Bonnie Glaser and Zack Cooper saying, Pelosi's trip to Taiwan is too dangerous.
Writing, the U.S.
and China are on a collision course in the Taiwan Strait.
China's ambitions have risen along with its military power, and it may soon be capable of seizing democratically ruled Taiwan, even in the fight with the U.S.
President Xi Jinping is hoping to get an unprecedented third term later this fall and cannot afford to appear weak.
He has been increasing pressure on Taiwan and apparently believes the U.S.
is abandoning its circumspection about Taiwan's status and may soon formally back the island's independence.
War.
What is the possibility?
China knows the reality of Ukraine.
They know the media's lies.
Right now, with Ukraine, the argument is the U.S.
is just helping out.
We're sending funds.
China is not looking at it that way.
China and Russia are looking at what's happening in Ukraine as NATO intervention.
We're providing the training.
We're providing the weapons.
We're even providing our own citizens That's right.
American citizens, private contractors, veterans, and an international cohort of volunteers.
Do you think China or Russia looks at that and says, well, it's clearly not the U.S.
involvement?
Now, for Russia, they're angry.
They look at that like the U.S.
going to war with them.
They've said it.
Russian media has outright said they're at war with NATO.
China looks at it like a vulnerability.
What do you think the Chinese military is seeing right now?
The U.S.
is stretched too thin.
We cannot possibly defend the Eastern Front in Ukraine and the Taiwan Strait.
If China wants to take Taiwan, they need to do it soon.
Which may be why Nancy Pelosi is going there.
Which may be why the USS Reagan is heading or is now there in the South China Sea.
Because the U.S.
is trying to show strength and saying we won't stand for it.
But China knows we will not be able to fight a war on two fronts.
We have allies.
We have Australia.
We have Japan.
We've got a positioning in South Korea.
That provides us with a decent ability to protect Taiwan, and China might not be able to make it.
They might not be able to actually take the island.
However, I have to imagine that China is weighing the risks versus the long-term effects of failing to take Taiwan now.
When will they ever have another opportunity at a divided United States with multiple wars on two different fronts?
Not likely.
Unless they're hoping the war in Europe escalates, drawing the U.S.
further in, then they can make their move.
But if China does nothing, And they ignore this.
And the U.S.
clears the Ukraine conflict and then shores up its strength and defenses.
Well, then China will never get Taiwan.
There's also the internal conflict here in the U.S.
The U.S.
military is struggling to recruit, and China knows it.
So maybe, China says, we wait.
We wait because we know the U.S.
military is struggling.
The U.S.
Navy, the armed forces are struggling.
Maybe they're betting in a year or two.
It'll only get easier.
I will also add, if Donald Trump announces his run for office, this will put Xi Jinping in a difficult position.
Wartime presidents do well.
Which means Biden will have every incentive to stand strong and try and earn points in that regard.
So he may go that direction.
But if Donald Trump wins, sorry Xi, you will never set foot on Taiwan again.
Donald Trump is a madman.
In both a positive and negative ways, I will say it.
He is the madman who crossed into the DMZ in North Korea with no security detail to make a point.
Brave.
That's the good madman.
He's also the guy who calls people horseface and threatens nuclear strikes on major city capitals.
And he said, you know, maybe they didn't take me as serious, you know, completely believe me, but they said 5% chance.
There's that, you know, about 5, they believe me about 5%, but that's enough.
Donald Trump said that he told China, if they move in on Taiwan, he will nuke Beijing.
He told Russia, if they move in Ukraine, he will nuke Moscow.
It's horrifying, but kind of impressive.
He's like, they didn't know whether to believe him or not.
This lunatic in the White House might actually do it.
Here's a funny thing.
Vladimir Putin backed off of Ukraine when Trump was president.
Now they tried to argue, well that was because Trump was helping Russia.
Oh please.
Russia needs warm water port access.
That's why they want the land bridge from the Donbass region into Crimea.
When Donald Trump was president, they did nothing?
Yeah, because Trump is, again, in all the good ways and bad ways, a madman.
If Donald Trump wins, Xi Jinping has no opportunity.
But this is where things get scary.
With Joe Biden being so out of his mind, how will they ever get another chance like this?
Let's talk about Joe Biden's mind.
What worries me the most.
Here's an article from Town Hall titled, so it turns out that Biden video was worse than we initially knew.
There's a viral video of Joe Biden speaking in, I think it's the White House.
There's two videos, and they look very different.
In one, his eyes are agape, just as wide as they can be, and he's just like, and people are like, dude, that guy's hopped up on amphetamines or something.
There's another video from the same room where his eyes are squinty and he's speaking more low and calm.
The reason why this video is alarming is because the man could not speak for 20 seconds without
them cutting, cutting, cutting.
The man's falling apart.
This video, if we're seeing it, Xi Jinping is seeing it.
And this is what scares me right now.
I feel like we are in the most dangerous of times for this country.
The January 6th Committee and Democrats are weaponizing the DOJ.
It is insane.
They are seeking to rip this country apart.
This is the opportunity for Xi to move in.
Joe Biden's out of his mind, unable to think or operate functionally.
The U.S.
is engaged in conflict on Europe's eastern front.
And internally, we are too busy fighting ourselves.
So maybe there won't be a nuclear war because it doesn't need to be.
Why would there need to be if the U.S.
is in such disarray?
In reality, I suppose that China is also in disarray, to be fair.
But there are other questions that I think need to be brought up.
And that question is, Hunter Biden, China, Is Joe Biden entangled in some kind of foreign business dealing through his son with China?
And will Biden be forced to buckle?
You know what I found?
Projection.
That the Democrats project onto the Republicans that which they do.
I'll give you an example.
Well, actually, I'll give you the funny example.
Democrats claiming Republicans are projecting is the funny example.
Democrats are like Republicans are projecting on the Democrats what they're doing.
And it leads us to the obvious question, who's right?
A question that we've often asked.
If the left and the right are accusing each other of the exact same things, maybe it's just, you know, he said, she said.
Wrong.
The left is wrong.
The right is correct.
Tends to be.
And I can definitively prove it.
So, the obvious thing here is all the lies.
Jussie Smollett, right?
They believe that stuff.
Hands up, don't shoot.
But the discernible and definitive proof that it is the Democrats projecting is Ukrainegate.
Donald Trump saw a video of Joe Biden saying, I went to the president and said, if you don't fire the prosecutor, you're not getting a billion dollars.
Many Democrats and left-wing activists don't even know this happened.
When we had Hunter Avalon on TimCast IRL, and I mentioned this, he just smirked and said, that didn't happen.
And I said, yes, it did.
He said, no, it didn't.
And then I played the video of Joe Biden saying it.
I'm like, here's a video of him saying it.
Is it deepfake?
Is it fake?
I don't know.
Looks real to me.
It is true.
It was reported.
It's a factual statement.
He didn't know it.
He was like, I don't come to me thinking I don't do my research.
I read all day, every day, everything.
I read too many articles, hundreds of articles every single day.
I fact check.
Donald Trump saw what Joe Biden did.
And he said, look into this.
The Democrats accused Trump of a quid pro quo.
Remarkable.
The reality was Joe Biden threatened to withhold U.S.
aid, which he has no legal authority to do, unless they did him a personal favor.
But don't worry, it was in line with U.S.
foreign policy.
Just so happened the guy he wanted fired was investigating the company Burisma where Joe's son worked.
Now let me stop you there.
I'm not saying Joe intentionally went to the prosecutor and said, to the president and said, fire the prosecutor, he's investigating my son.
Hey guys, Josh Hammer here, the host of America on Trial with Josh Hammer, a podcast for the First Podcast Network.
Look, there are a lot of shows out there that are explaining the political news cycle, what's happening on the Hill, the this, the that.
There are no other shows that are cutting straight to the point when it comes to the unprecedented lawfare debilitating And affecting the 2024 presidential election.
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Burisma was under investigation by the prosecutor.
Joe Biden may have been operating within the realm of what the U.S.
wanted, but still a conflict of interest it was.
Now, you can assume that he did it intentionally, or you can assume it was just a conflict of interest he didn't know about.
I don't care.
The point is, Joe Biden engaged in a quid pro quo.
He had no legal authority to withhold the billion dollars, and he threatened it and bragged about it.
They claimed it was Trump who did it, and they impeached him.
I often look at the news and I try and figure out, are we really being right here?
And I think the fair point is, whatever the side we are, we are open to compromise.
We are the ones who say, arrest the rioters on January 6th, but the people who had no idea should be released.
The left are the ones who say, all of them, every single one's an insurrectionist, and anyone who even read a news article is also an insurrectionist.
That's the dirty game they play.
They are zealous, psychotic authoritarians.
They're lying, and they're deranged.
And this is what we have to deal with now.
That's the reality of the Biden family.
Newsweek reports.
In recent weeks, scandalous stories following an alleged leak of Hunter Biden's iCloud account has added a new pain for his father's administration, which is already suffering a falling public support and several growing political pressures.
Some of the information surrounding the leak has already been debunked as fabrication, but the acknowledgement of the leak by security service shows it being addressed, assessed seriously.
Much of the information is true.
They go on to mention Hunter Biden in China.
Among Hunter Biden's foreign business dealings that have come under the microscope is his involvement with Chinese equity firm BHR and its relationship with powerful Chinese state-owned companies.
Hunter Biden had invested about $420,000 into the firm for a 10% equity stake in the company.
Okay, here we go.
From the New York Post, as of yesterday night, Hunter Biden's business partner called Joe Biden the big guy in panicked message after Post's laptop story.
You may recall there was an email, it went viral, where they said 10% for the big guy.
The circumstantial evidence is beyond probable cause for an investigation into Joe Biden and his son.
It would seem that Joe Biden used the power of his position as vice president to grant his son access to do deals, and then Joe Biden benefited from them.
It's been reported they shared bank accounts.
That's right.
That Joe Biden and his son shared bank accounts.
I don't even know how you do that.
Look, I've got accountants and I'm talking about, you know, helping my mom out.
And he's like, you can't.
I'm like, can you share a bank?
No, no, no, no sharing bank accounts.
I'm like, huh?
Because then you're giving a gift.
Okay.
What about a credit card?
No.
Any financial, anything you give them, if it exceeds a certain amount, is taxable.
You can't just do that.
They shared an email account.
They shared a phone number.
That's right.
Joe and Hunter shared a phone number.
The question is, do we have something to look forward to in that there won't be a war with the US and China?
And that's because that's a good thing.
But the bad thing about it is that it's because Joe Biden is compromised by China.
That may be the reality.
Look.
China having these deals with Hunter Biden because all the companies go to the CCP.
They could even fabricate stuff to make Joe look bad.
Joe is in trouble with this.
They could fabricate emails and just be like, here's the real emails.
You think anyone would believe they weren't real?
That's the danger here.
Or there could be real emails calling Joe Biden a big guy saying he gets 10%.
Which shows that our president is compromised, corrupt, and I firmly believe that's true, and I'm disgusted by it.
The media, of course, has protected Joe Biden because, well, we're run by swamp monsters, snakes, evil people who enrich themselves off of public office.
I don't know how you solve it.
Public office is power, and everyone knows it, and they want power, so they'll take it.
So how do you solve for it?
I don't know.
The New York Post says, James Gilliar, a former British Special Forces officer with ties to UK intelligence, discussed the Post's exclusive report with an unnamed person on October 14, 2020, according to the message provided by a whistleblower to GOB congressional investigators probing the laptop.
In the message, Gilear58 reassured the person that the revelations about Biden's apparent involvement in his son's foreign deals would not be damaging, regardless of the outcome of the 2020 election.
Gilear was asked if Hunter and or Joe or Joe's campaign would try to make it, oh, we were never involved.
I don't see how that would work for them, Gilear responded.
I think in the scenario that he wins, they would just leave Sleeping Dog's lie.
If they lose, honestly, I don't think that the big guy really cares about that because he'll be too busy focusing on all the other ish he is doing.
The identity of the big guy has since formed part of the grand jury investigation in Wilmington, Delaware, into Hunter's business dealings, as calls ramped up to have President Biden, who has repeatedly denied any involvement in his son's dealing, included in a conspiracy probe.
Gilear has referenced the big guy as he acted in the driving force behind Hunter and his uncle Jim Biden's planned multi-million dollar deal with Chinese energy conglomerate CEFC.
So maybe.
Maybe it's, uh, it's finally all coming down.
I doubt it.
I really don't believe so.
You know, people on the left keep saying, this is it!
Donald Trump's being investigated!
He's gonna go to prison!
And they make these memes and these comics and I'm just like, it's not gonna happen.
Calm down, fellas.
You ain't gonna get what you think you're gonna get.
Come on.
I mean, maybe it's normalcy bias that I don't believe it will happen, but I just don't see them going after Trump and I don't think they have anything on him.
They tried with Russiagate, nothing happened.
Now I'm just like, it's all lies.
But what about Joe Biden?
Tony Bobulinski has come out and said, Joe Biden's the big guy.
Someone else called him the big guy, and now they said 10% for the big guy?
Come on, man.
It is just so apparent.
So at least I can say this, you know what, there's probably not going to be a war because Joe Biden's compromised.
How about that?
Maybe that's the argument from the left.
Well, there wouldn't be a conflict with Russia and Trump because Trump was compromised.
Why wasn't Russia moving into Ukraine if that was the case?
If Trump was compromised by Russia, why didn't Russia take the opportunity?
Now, same question goes for China.
If Joe Biden's compromised, why wouldn't they take the opportunity?
Perhaps they will.
Taiwan has been preparing.
For an invasion by China.
China has been doing with sand dredgers coming through and ripping apart their coast.
More than what we saw with Russia and Ukraine.
So it may actually be coming.
I hope not.
But all I can do is tell you what we're seeing.
The probabilities are beyond me.
I don't know.
I never do.
It's possible that we do see an escalation because people just don't know when and how it begins.
A soldier can get shot, or... You know, I'm reminded of that Lord of the Rings scene.
Where the archers are up atop Helm's Deep, and they have to get everybody, even the old guys, are holding, you know, bow and arrow.
And then the old guy can't hold it any longer, and he releases the arrow, and it hits one of the orcs or whatever.
And they're like, hold!
Maybe that's it.
Maybe what we'll see is just one scared person on a boat, and they fire.
And then the conflict starts.
Whether anyone wanted it to, we shall see.
I'll leave it there.
Next segment's coming up at 8 p.m.
at youtube.com slash TimCastIRL.
Thanks for hanging out, and we'll see you all then.
The numbers are in, and based on the standard, not official necessarily, definition of a recession, we are in a recession.
So typically, I guess since about 1974, people have defined a recession as two consecutive quarters with negative growth.
And we are in that now.
I mean, the economy's been bad for a while, for the most part.
And they've tried using numbers in certain areas to be like, look, it's actually really good, but none of that matters.
What matters is you feel it.
What matters is we feel it.
And we've felt it for a long time.
I mean, I know the economy is retracting because I can look at our business, I can look at TimCast.com numbers and say, It's for no apparent reason.
You know, like, the work we're doing is remaining solid, we're getting a better response, and we're getting more memberships.
Ad sales are declining.
Ad sales are not indicative of the success of our business.
Memberships are.
The more people sign up for memberships, the more we know we're reaching more people, they like what we're producing, they're buying our product.
Ad sales, however, are blanket and often programmatic.
Meaning a company that sells cereal, for instance, they will put out X amount of dollars onto YouTube,
onto podcasts, and say, advertise this for me.
When those numbers start declining, it is not indicative of our business,
it's more indicative of the market.
And there have been many articles that talked about this.
The big news right now is that, yeah, we are in the colloquial definition of a recession.
We're in a recession.
And the White House is desperate to claim that we're not.
And here comes the mainstream media to say, actually, this is not the real definition.
You don't get to use a definition for almost 40 years to explain to people what a recession is and then say, yeah, but times like today are very different.
It's in people.
And the White House and the Democrats are desperate to say it's not a recession because an election is coming up in only about three months.
I get it.
You don't want to lose.
But the reality is, if this persists, and it's going to, this is it.
The news is in.
We are going to be entering a midterm election cycle in a recession.
And 538 has the nerve to come out and be like, in our simulations, Senate Democrats actually hold.
Are you serious?
Okay, look.
Far be it from me to know what's going to happen on November.
I think if Republicans don't show up, they will lose.
And they will be arrogant.
And I do think maybe one of the best things Democrats could do is lean into this so that Republicans feel so secure they don't bother showing up.
Maybe they realize that nothing they do is going to stop Republicans this November.
And I want to tell you this.
If you are concerned about the economy being in the gutter, bring three of your friends with you when you go vote.
I'm not even kidding.
Three friends.
In fact, all of your friends.
These aren't the days where you can sit back and beg, three's good enough.
That's what everyone said back in 2016.
They were like, MAGA3X, they were saying, find three of your friends to bring with you to go vote.
Now I'm saying, dude, tell everyone you know.
Check it out.
You guys coming to vote?
Why not?
Come on, man.
Look at what's happening in the economy.
We need to change this.
And at the very least, if you don't blame Joe Biden, at least get some adversarial politics going on.
Right now, it's Biden in the White House, Democrats in Congress.
Now, you can complain all day about the Supreme Court, but we need checks and balances.
The Wall Street Journal reports The U.S.
economy shrank for a second quarter in a row, a common definition of recession, as businesses trimmed their inventories, the housing market buckled under rising interest rates, and high inflation took steam out of consumer spending.
Gross domestic product, a broad measure of goods and services produced across the economy, fell at an inflation and seasonally adjusted annual rate of 0.9% in the second quarter.
The Commerce Department said Thursday that marked a deterioration from the 1.6% rate of contraction recorded in the first three months of 2022.
Now, the White House, of course, wants to come out and claim this is not a recession.
Here we go from BEA.gov.
Gross domestic product.
Q1 2022, minus 1.6.
Q2, minus 0.9.
It is there.
We are feeling it.
We are seeing it.
It's bad.
It's bad and we know it.
So, a while ago, a couple years ago, we were relying on ads for TimCast.com.
For all the work that I do, for the show and everything.
And then one day, I mean, we did a year of TimCast IRL, which was ad-driven, and it worked for the most part.
At a certain point I said, hey look, you know, with the economy the way it is, it's probably not a good idea to rely on an ad model.
And so we eventually, it took us a year, launched a website.
The website is now member-driven.
This is because I knew, as we were moving into the Biden administration, as we were experiencing COVID, it wasn't like I was psychic.
I was looking at the economy and the supply chain.
When I come out and I say all day every day that there's going to be a food shortage and the economy is going to implode, yeah, I take action in that regard to protect my business and make sure we can keep working for all of you.
This is Hawaii over at TimCast.com.
Sign up to become a member if you can.
I know times are tough.
It's literally what we're talking about.
I could see the ad rates.
When COVID first hit, we almost went negative.
We almost went negative.
We're lucky in that regard, that we do fairly well.
But we were only relying on ad rates, and I saw that come in, and I was like, we're about to dip into the red.
I was like, that's surprising because we keep everything fairly lean here to try and expand the business.
And that's when I was like, we got to do something else.
But it still took me like a year.
And you know what?
That was a big mistake.
But now I can see it.
Check out this story.
Let me see if I have it right here from Forbes.
Digital advertising slump.
The new signal of an upcoming recession.
This story from May 24th of this year.
We knew it was coming because the signs were there in our faces.
They say for decades a decline in local advertising was an early warning sign of an upcoming recession.
With local ad sales typically declining as much as a year in advance of national ad sales.
The reason is clear.
National ad campaigns take a lot of time and money to prepare and monitor.
Local businesses, think about your local car dealer or supermarket, on the other hand, are quick to feel a decline in revenues and can simply pick up the phone and cancel all upcoming advertising.
This is where we're at.
That's why it's fascinating to me.
Everyone's arguing about the definition of a recession.
They're saying things like, two consecutive quarters with negative growth.
Yes, that is.
A common colloquial definition of recession.
That's what matters to regular people.
Of course, the White House doesn't like that, so they're saying, no, no, bop, bop, bop.
The White House even put out a blog.
How do economists determine whether the economy is in recession?
Okay, well, I'll tell you this.
The reason I have felt it coming is because, as I mentioned, this may be a bit in the weeds for a lot of people, but I think it's an important indicator.
The way we generate ad revenue, for the most part, with TimCast, is programmatic ads, which is predominantly local.
This means, if you live in Omaha, and you watch one of my videos, you're extremely likely to get an advertisement from a local business.
I have nothing to do with that.
I make videos.
YouTube handles the distribution and sales of advertisements.
Your local businesses, when they stop running ads because they're not making money anymore, those ads stop popping up on YouTube and then I stop getting that royalty or whatever you call it from YouTube, I can see ad rates going down.
In fact, I had a prominent YouTuber hit me up the other day and say, your rates are, your ad revenue is down.
I said, yep, this is why we launched TimCast.com.
Now, I also know we can see in our memberships a lower decline in growth.
You see, over at TimCast.com, we are still growing in memberships, and that's because individuals can choose.
I'm going to shut down my Amazon account, or I'm going to shut down Disney+, and I'm going to switch over to TimCast because people do budget for their entertainment, and $10 is simple.
But when you have every business in the nation dropping their ads, the ad sales, by a few percentage points, you can feel it across the board.
So here we go.
This is what we're getting from the White House.
White House Economic Advisor Brian Christopher Deese has said, Two negative quarters of GDP growth is not the technical definition of a recession.
It is not the definition economists have relied on.
Smear me, dude.
Come on.
Two negative quarters of GDP growth is technically the definition of a recession.
It's not the official.
It is the technical.
The one that regular people use.
Here we go.
The media to come and pick up the pieces and try and protect Joe Biden.
The AP reports, the U.S.
economy shrank for a second straight quarter, contracting at a 0.9% annual pace, raising fears that the nation may be approaching a recession.
The White House website did not change its definition of what?
Oh, wait a minute.
Hold on.
Its definition?
What does the headline say?
Did the White House change definition of recession?
You see how they play that game?
The colloquial definition of recession, two negative growth quarters.
Fact check.
Did the White House change definition of recession?
The answer to that question is yes.
Informally, in a sense.
They're trying to claim, I know most people define it this way, and I'll show you the proof.
But, what they do in the fact check, and this is just, you gotta love it, they say in their fact check, did they change its definition?
Well, that's a different question than your headline.
The White House website did not change its definition of what a recession is, as it has never had one to begin with.
As a web presences of the incumbent presidents, it regularly features information that favors the current administration.
The webpage referred to on social media was a blog arguing how the popular definition of a recession is too narrow.
It also states that the U.S.
relies on the nonpartisan National Bureau of Economic Research as its official recession scorekeeper.
The social media posts misleadingly crop out the headline and other information to misrepresent the nature and exaggerate the significance of an editorial piece.
Partly true.
That's my fact check on this fact check.
Partly true.
But their headline is misleading.
You see the dirty game the media plays.
And look, I like Newsweek.
Newsweek gave me the opportunity to write an op-ed when the January 6th committee smeared me.
Come on, guys.
Fact check.
Did the White House change definition of recession?
They took out the word it's.
They added it later on.
That's the game.
Well, they don't actually have a definition, so they couldn't have changed it.
Come on, man.
This is the dirty game they play.
How do economists determine whether the economy is in recession, writes the White House on July 21st.
Okay, they say, while some maintain that two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP constitute recession, that is neither the official definition nor the way economists evaluate the state of the business cycle.
Okay, blah blah blah.
Instead, both official determinations of recessions and economists' assessments of economic activity are based on a holistic look at the data, including the labor market, consumer and business spending, industrial production, and incomes.
Based on these data, it is unlikely the decline in GDP in the first quarter of this year, even if followed, indicates a recession.
I don't care what you think.
I can see it, I can feel it, and everyone else can too.
I'm sick of it, man.
I don't care about your definitions.
I care about the fact that for that two consecutive quarters, I have seen ad rates in decline.
That is not indicative of a growing economy.
That is businesses struggling to buy ads.
Now, in direct ad sales, we've actually been stable.
But this is by choice.
So direct ad sales are when you notice me doing a shout-out on IRL.
Rarely I'll do it on these channels.
That's because we get an insane amount of people that want to advertise on my channels and TimCast IRL, and I say no to all of them, and we keep it at a stagnant, you know, we only do a handful, six to eight per month.
And when I'm not tracking how many requests are coming in, because we just keep the ones that we have, I don't see it there.
I don't want to be ad-supported because this is exactly what happens.
You rely on the whims of the Biden administration to make sure that revenue is coming in to make your business work.
No.
It's stupid.
I've talked about it before.
This idea that we were running a business at TimCast.com that was predicated upon giving away free stuff and then crossing our fingers and hoping enough people get it and that we can make money on it.
I think it's a dumb business model.
I think it makes sense in a certain capacity, but the idea is like, imagine you were a bakery, and you were like, all of our products are free, but we're crossing our fingers that big brands will put their name on the cookie or the cake, that way they'll pay us to give away the baked goods.
You know, in some circumstances you could do something small scale, but that really makes no sense, does it?
How about you just buy the cupcake?
Buy the cookie?
So that's what I said.
We were relying on ads.
Ad rates were in decline.
You can see it here.
Even Forbes is reporting this was an indicator of a recession coming.
And with that, I said, why don't we just change things up?
A lot of people like Castcastle, the behind-the-scenes vlog with some comedy bits in it.
Guys, for the people who really liked the way it was, it was not sustainable.
Ad rates were not covering the cost.
Not only were ad rates down, but it wasn't generating enough in the first place.
That's why we asked Jamie Kilstein to come in and try and take a hold of it and shape it up.
Now, we're going to be expanding it rapidly and creating a product that you can just buy as a member.
We want to create at TimCast.com.
Look, it's $10 a month.
Also, as an aside too, we probably have an announcement coming because they're introducing a bunch of new sales tax laws which are going to require us to take sales tax on all these.
So, I've got to look into it.
We're trying to figure it out, but it might mean That if you're spending $10 a month at TimCast.com, it's going to be $10.60.
I don't know if there's anything we can do about that.
It's state law to require the collection of the tax or whatever.
But there's some things we might be able to do.
But anyway, the main issue is, if we're making something and crossing our fingers and hoping enough people see it and it doesn't work, and it just keeps struggling, and I can see ad rates have dropped to a point where we're not going to be able to recover this, you know what?
You like Cask Castle?
I'll give you the weasel way out for why we're changing it.
Blame Joe Biden!
The ad rates weren't covering the cost of production, and we weren't looking at something coming anytime soon when ad rates were in decline.
For Cast Castle, the views weren't enough, but it was because ad rates were low.
And so I'm like, there was a point where we were making enough on ads, just keep it going the way it was, and then we weren't.
And then I was like, okay, I don't know what to do.
How about we try and make it something different?
And that's what we're going to do.
TimCast.com is going to be trying to just sell you product.
You like the after show, please pay $10 a month and you'll get it.
You like it, you buy it.
That's how it works.
Insider says, no, the White House isn't changing the definition of a recession.
And I say, that's a fair point.
The White House isn't.
The White House isn't.
But they're arguing against the colloquial definition, right?
Check this out, from Forbes Advisor.
This is an article that was published, I think, July 12th.
They say, official recession definitions.
In 1974, economist Julius Shishkin came up with a few rules of thumb to define a recession.
The most popular was two consecutive quarters of declining GDP.
A healthy economy expands over time.
So two quarters in a row of contracting output suggests there are serious underlying problems.
According to Shiskin, the definition of a recession became a common standard over the years.
Okay?
The National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER, is generally recognized as the authority that defines the starting and ending dates of U.S.
recessions.
They have its own definition of what a recession is, namely, quote, a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale retail sales.
The NBER's definition is more flexible than Shiskin's rule for determining what is a recession.
For example, the coronavirus could potentially create a W-shaped recession, where the economy falls one quarter, starts to grow, then drops again in the future.
This would not be a recession by Shiskin's rules, but could be under Enber's definition.
Except Enber's definition typically was more flexible in saying we were in a recession, not to try and come out and say we aren't.
In which case, Enber should probably come out soon and say, Yeah, we're in a recession.
The point is, their definition is flexible in telling us there is one.
Not that we can sit back and say, well, we've had two consecutive quarters with no growth, but it's not a recession until Enber says so.
Enber typically doesn't issue a statement on whether it was a recession until sometime afterwards.
Colloquially, by a standard definition recognized by regular people, we are in a recession.
And what the White House is doing, they're not changing their definition.
Fair point, they don't have one.
But changing the definition, yes.
But in a colloquial way, as most people understand it, they're trying to argue a technical definition because they don't want people to enter the voting booth come November saying, we are in a recession.
But you know what?
I don't know and I don't care.
What I do know is that as well as we do here at TimCast.com with your support, we are taking a hit.
Everybody is.
You can't come to me.
I gotta tell you, man.
You know, we book guests at TimCast.com.
We fly them out.
Our costs have skyrocketed in air travel.
And we got to a point where, you know, we had one guest saying, like, maybe I shouldn't come because their flight, domestic, was over a thousand dollars.
We pay that to make that show happen.
People gotta understand how insanely expensive it is to cover the costs of round-trip flights and hotels and car pick-up and drop-off from airport.
It is expensive to bring guests out.
But we do it.
Because it makes a good show.
And the show, it works.
I'll tell you this.
Where we make money at TimCast.com, what keeps the business going, is that enough people who watch that show become members.
So basically what we do is with Pop Culture Crisis and TimCast IRL, they effectively operate like marketing.
We do a big show and we say, hey, sign up at the website for more.
Now Pop Culture Crisis doesn't have any members-only content just yet, but they're going to have their show coming at some point.
And we're basically saying, look, It costs us money to run these shows.
We make a good amount of money to a certain degree, but ad rates are vague and nebulous, and we can't determine, you know, what it's going to be in the next quarter.
And the cost of bringing people out is going up.
It's through the roof.
It's absolutely insane, our costs on the back end.
Gas prices.
We have to drive people to their hotels and to the airport, and we are seeing our prices have doubled!
Yeah, because gas is up, and then air travel is doubled.
It's bonkers, man.
I just gotta say, some guests, it could be up to like $3,000 to bring out.
No joke.
No joke.
Now, we get lucky because there are people who are here traveling of their own accord.
We have many guests who live in the area.
Intentionally, because we have to recognize, we can't spend... I mean, think about what that is.
We're talking about $75,000 to $100,000 if we were booking guests via air travel every time.
That's how much it would cost per month.
Yeah, sorry, that's insane.
And that's because prices have skyrocketed.
Still, just understand, it typically is still like $30,000 to $50,000 per month in bringing guests on the show.
Thanks to Joe Biden and this economy, we're feeling the pain.
Long before any of their stupid definitions.
So, look, I know, sorry if it's a bit of, you know, me saying, oh, this is what we're experiencing.
My point is, I know you feel the same way when you have to drive to work and you've got to spend a hundred bucks to fill up your gas tank and you're not driving a guzzler or something because gas prices at five bucks.
You're probably seeing similar things.
Customers aren't coming in as often.
They're not getting desserts as much at your restaurants.
So tips are lower.
Everything seems to be receding.
So spare me your pandering, your hemming and hawing White House.
I don't care.
Spare me media.
I don't care.
As far as I'm concerned, we are in a recession.
Because that's what I feel.
And that's what I see with local businesses.
Whatever, I'll leave it there.
Next segment's coming up at 1 p.m.
on this channel.
Thanks for hanging out, and I'll see you all then.
And go to TimCast.com and become a member, because, you know, all those reasons.
In the United States, you will be banned on social media, suspended if you call out people targeting children with adult materials.
We'll put it that way.
Because the left has decided that criticizing child abuse is a slur for everyone in the LGBTQ community.
Which it's not.
That's the way things are going here.
It may not be all bad around the world, though, because we have some big news coming out of Europe.
The Times reports, Tavistock gender clinic forced to shut over safety fears.
Center accused of rushing vulnerable children into treatment.
That's right, a gender clinic that was providing children with puberty blockers after many horrifying stories is forced to shut down.
In certain Scandinavian countries, they've already stopped this process.
Because the damage is... it's profound.
In one story, a Swedish broadcaster investigating found that an individual who underwent puberty blockers at the age of 10 had developed osteoporosis, so severe they have skeletal damage and consistent pain.
That's horrifying.
It really, really is.
Let's read this story.
We do some other updates as well.
Ron DeSantis has filed a complaint against a bar that had a partially nude individual dancing with a little girl.
I mean, this stuff is getting out of hand in the United States.
But let's talk about what's happening in Europe, where it's actually going a bit in the other direction.
The Times reports, The NHS is shutting down its Gender Identity Clinic for Children after a review found that it failed vulnerable under 18s.
The Gender Identity Service at Tavistock and Portman NHS Foundation Trust has been ordered to close by next spring.
It will be replaced by regional centers at existing children's hospitals offering more holistic care with strong links to mental health services.
Tavistock's Gender Identity Development Service, CLINIC, has been accused of rushing children.
into life-altering treatment on puberty blockers. The pediatrician Dr. Hilary Cass,
who is leading a review of the service, issued a series of recommendations today for a radical
overhaul of how the NHS treats young people who are questioning their gender identity.
She found that the Tavistock Clinic was not a safe or viable long-term option,
and that other mental health issues were overshadowed when gender was raised by children
referred to the clinic. I want to pause real quick and just say I saw a photo of an individual,
a young person, covered in self-cutting scars.
is.
Covered all over their body.
And they had received gender-affirming surgeries, as they describe it.
Clearly, this individual is undergoing mental health issues.
They're cutting themselves.
Well, the argument from many people is that, well, yeah, they were gender dysphoric.
That's why they were depressed in doing this.
And I have to wonder, though, cutting yourself It supposedly releases some kind of, you know, chemical in the brain that takes your mind off other pain.
I have to imagine if you are cutting yourself, there is something else going on.
I don't believe that it is simply defined as you experienced some trauma, therefore you cut.
I think the act of cutting itself is the trauma and is what needs to be addressed.
Instead, it seems like, my point here is, they're overlooking the actual issues that may be affecting these young people and looking for a quick solution, as is what they're seeing here.
Cass, former president of the Royal College of Pediatrics and Child Health, said the existing model of a sole provider for gender services should be scrapped as it failed to meet the holistic needs of distressed and vulnerable teenagers.
She said Tavistock should be replaced by regional centers with an appropriate multi-professional workforce to enable them to provide an integrated model of care that manages the holistic needs of this population.
Amid concerns, the clinic fails to take into account wider health problems before putting children on puberty blockers, Cass added.
Staff should maintain a broad clinical perspective in order to embed the care of children and young people with gender uncertainty within a broader child and adolescent health context.
NHS England, which commissioned Cass to review the service in September 2020, says it will implement her recommendations in full and decommission the Tavistock Clinic.
It has announced the launch of two clinics for children with gender dysphoria by next spring, which will bring together multiple doctors from a broad range of specialties.
What we saw in Scandinavian countries was that they moved away from surgeries and drugs, opting for psychological therapies, mental health treatments.
Clearly there is an issue where people don't feel comfortable in their body.
What can we do to address this?
How is it coming to be?
Why is it coming to be?
And how can we help these people?
The assessment from many of these organizations was what they were doing with chemicals and surgeries was not helping.
Okay.
I took a look at this news and I say simply put, I don't think children should be getting sex change operations.
Yet in the United States, the left has an inverted view.
They believe kids should.
I'm sorry.
If a child wanted to get breast implants to affirm their gender, we would say no.
If, I mean, simply put, that's a simple example.
Now, the left, they like to argue that, you know, men get hair plugs and women get breast implants.
This proves that people get gender-affirming care and treatments all the time.
But those things aren't about affirming your gender.
It's about trying to look attractive or more appealing or feel more confident.
Now, many may argue, well, you know, transgender individuals don't feel confident when they feel like they're in the wrong body.
The difference is, Giving you a hair transplant or some, you know, a toupee or something to bring back what you once had or to increase the size of your breasts.
These are reversible.
Now, the hair thing is less of a big deal, but, you know, it is what it is.
Breast implants can be damaging, but these are also adults doing it.
And I get it.
If an adult is transgender, then I believe they have the right to make the choice for themselves.
That's their life.
I know a lot of conservatives disagree.
Matt Wall says, no, no one should be allowed to get this.
My attitude is more like, dude, you want to go to a doctor and get surgeries and do whatever you want to yourself?
I ain't you.
Do your thing.
Maybe it'll cause complications and problems.
Maybe it will make you happier.
I'm not gonna... Far be it for me to tell you what you should do with your body.
Now, there's a double-edged sword, I suppose, in this.
There have been many individuals who have undergone certain surgeries for, say, body dysmorphia, like removing fingers or hands.
There was an individual who made themselves into a tiger.
It did not alleviate their feelings of dysmorphia or dysphoria.
Many of these individuals still end up taking their own lives.
How do we solve for that?
Maybe Matt Walsh is right.
Maybe these surgeries are actually bad for these people, and if we really want to help them, we don't just say, go do whatever you want.
We say, let me give you some proper medical treatment to help you be happy.
Now again, I still fall in the libertarian area of, I'm not going to intervene in what someone wants to do with their life.
You want to go and get surgery and do whatever to your own body?
You're an adult?
Okay, fine.
But I suppose the issue is, the view from conservatives is that that is a callous perspective to take.
The idea being that you are condemning this person to further suffering instead of trying to help them, and you should try to help them.
You know?
I'm not gonna say I know for sure what people should or shouldn't do with their lives, and they're allowed to take their own risks.
That's my view on it.
If you want to do it, you do it.
Pinknews.co.uk says Swedish health board wants doctors to stop prescribing life-saving puberty blockers.
I take deep offense to how they do this.
It's propaganda.
Now, you can advocate for puberty blockers.
Fine.
Life-saving?
I humbly disagree.
Puberty blockers are just that.
Puberty blockers.
They're not saving your life.
What they're trying to do is conflating individuals who may take their own life with a treatment that would change their bodies.
There is a disconnect there.
They're not even in alignment.
Puberty blockers do not save your life.
They may have an impact on your mental health and maybe could contribute to a lower suicide rate.
Sure.
This is propaganda.
I want to show you this story.
It's a video from SVT in Sweden.
Transbarnen means trans kids.
A Swedish documentary about the harm being done to children.
I'd like to read for you this paragraph.
Now, look, I want to tell you this.
We've got to help.
We've got to help people who are suffering from dysphoria.
This story from Pekin, as I'll get into in a minute, shows a massive uptick in this occurring, and we need to figure out what the answer is.
I don't think the answer is letting minors make life-altering decisions to their bodies.
I think the answer is we need to understand it better, look at the evidence, and then figure out what the risks are.
And I think the risks are severe.
But I'll also add this.
I want to make sure this is clear.
I think the parents should decide what is right for their kids.
You see, conservatives come out and say that when it comes to schools, like parents should ultimately decide.
But they don't mean that entirely, because they would not want parents providing gender-affirming care to their children.
I certainly don't either, but I also am just thinking These families are going to make decisions for themselves.
They're going to decide what's better for their kid.
If that's what they deem best, I'm reluctant to say the government should intervene to make decisions for the families, as much as I do think it's going to be bad for these kids in the long run.
Here's what we see from bioedge.org.
It's a reporting on the SVT documentary.
They say, here's what they found.
At the age of 11, Leo embarked upon puberty blockers.
The child and her mother were told this was standard treatment and reversible.
Quote, Leo was little when she wanted to become a he.
Her mother told Natalie, told her, her mother Natalie told the reporter, Carolina Jemsby.
I thought if this was his wish, I should agree with it.
Everyone said Leo was brave to come out and I should be proud of him.
End of quote.
Repeat the line.
I'm kidding.
The puberty blockers were meant to stop Leo from developing breasts, wider hips, and menstruating.
Their use is based on the so-called Dutch Protocol, developed in the Netherlands in 2011.
But as Gemsby points out, some experts have grave misgivings about the repeatedly cited research.
The worry comes from the lack of long-term studies, and that the Dutch study alone is not sufficient evidence.
It has too few subjects, no control groups, and was done at only one clinic.
Since a well-known side effect of puberty blockers is a serious decrease in bone density, patients are supposed to be checked regularly.
They should receive the powerful drugs for no longer than two years.
Leo was on the medication for four years and his bone density was never checked.
The effects were little short of catastrophic.
Leo now suffers from severe osteoporosis, a weakening of bones which is normally seen in people in their 60s and 70s.
It is almost irreversible.
His mother says that he was in pain from skeletal damage.
He was constantly depressed and he attempted to commit suicide several times.
And therein lies the big problem with this.
You know?
That libertarian streak, I don't want to intervene when the medical professionals are talking with parents and parents choose.
If the parents don't look at the risks and don't, you know, do their research, Well then they're putting their children at risk.
They say, but information about the potential risks and lack of evidence never reaches Leo and his family.
In fact, one of the most dismaying features of the Swedish journalist's report is mismanagement in the medical bureaucracy.
One group diagnosed children's gender dysphoria.
Another administered the medications.
They didn't appear to communicate with each other.
Patients were falling through the cracks.
If this happens in one of the world's best hospitals, what happens elsewhere?
Gemsby showed doctors incident reports not only on Leo, but at least 12 other children who had serious complications after embarking upon puberty blockers.
The response?
Creased brows and pursed lips and finger pointing and no answers.
Not one.
No one, it appears, was responsible.
Quote.
I think everyone involved in this case has good intentions.
Dr. Ola Nilsson, an endocrinologist, said, But now, it's time to take a step back and try to get really good at data regarding what's best.
How best to diagnose and treat this group so we do more good than harm.
Much more good than harm.
Minimal harm and a lot of benefits is the goal of all healthcare.
Unfortunately, the picture painted by the Swedish journalist is one of minimal benefit for children.
And a lot of buck passing by doctors.
Leo's back, shoulders, and hips are constantly aching.
His distraught mother says, a 15-year-old shouldn't have to deal with that.
His bones shouldn't look that way.
A healthy skeleton that's been destroyed by this medicine.
And this is the propaganda you get.
Now I know.
I run the risk of being banned, outright, for simply reporting on the news.
It's the reality of what we're dealing with.
Become a member at TimCast.com to support our work directly.
Because we know this YouTube stuff, especially as we get close to the elections, may not last very long.
But I'm not going to back away from these stories, especially big stories like this.
This is today.
The Tavistock Gender Clinic is shutting down.
People need to know this.
Otherwise, the only thing that shines through is the propaganda.
How is it that Leo, now suffering from severe osteoporosis, how does it come to be?
Because the negative side effects are banned.
When we try talking about this, saying, please take this seriously and do your research, know the risks, we get banned.
When I go on Twitter and specifically highlight an adult man showing sexual imagery to children, they suspended my account.
It was the first time I'd ever been suspended.
Many of you may be aware that I tweeted out I was talking to my ad agency about calling out Twitter, and they said, unfortunately, that subject matter is not prohibited on billboards.
And I said, okay.
I wonder what I can do instead.
I understand why they don't want to advertise that stuff.
I do.
Nobody wants to be associated with it.
Pink News calls these puberty blockers life-saving.
This story from SVT, let me pull up the YouTube here.
The date on this story, November 26th, 2021, is when this documentary came out, or at least when it was published on YouTube, showing what happened to these kids.
Pink News wrote, February 23rd, 2022.
It's almost like they don't care about the negative consequences.
I believe it's fair to say.
If you come out and say, we believe they still do more good than harm for gender dysphoric kids, fine.
But I have to wonder, why is it that there is such a major uptick, a massive explosion, in the amount of young women, specifically, who are saying they are trans?
I believe we need to look at the cultural crisis that is happening and what is causing this.
I don't believe that every single child who says they're dysphoric was born that way.
I do believe gender dysphoria is absolutely real.
And I'll use the example of John Money as proof.
You know the story of John Money?
Two twin boys were born.
Botched circumcision resulted in the doctor saying he was going to raise one boy as a girl.
That boy never adopted the female identity, ultimately choosing to detransition.
Now, many people point out the crisis of transitioning children, but what I see here is that there was a gender identity.
And I think it's entirely rational that there are people who are born male or female, but do have a dissociation between their body and their identity.
Just like this child, when he was forced to transition, ultimately did not... No matter... Look, this is the thing.
The individual was lied to.
Across the board his entire life, but somehow he still knew.
And I'm like, that says to me that the possibility exists for absolute gender dysphoria, where a child is born that way and they just feel something is wrong.
The problem is I also think there is social pressure gender dysphoria.
When you can see that there's many people who identify as dragons or tigers Identity crises can be mental and not physical.
Or maybe they're all mental.
My point is, there's no circumstance where you're actually a tiger.
Or why your identity would be fractured that way and there's nothing we can do to make you a tiger.
Maybe though.
Identity crises are ingrained in the mind and the best solution is mental help.
Mental therapy.
I wonder.
I'm not a doctor.
And that's why I ultimately say, you know, you can call me offensive or whatever.
I think parents should be deciding what's right for their kids.
I do.
This creates very serious problems when you have a man and a woman with a child together.
Like we saw in Texas, where the mom wanted to transition her kid and the dad didn't.
Ultimately, I lean towards we should not be giving children sex change operations.
I don't think we should advocate for that, and I think we should find alternate solutions.
But I also don't like the idea of the government intervening and telling a parent what medical treatments their kids should be getting.
That's scary too.
So I'm not going to pretend to have any of the answers.
What I can say is this is the direction we're going.
Tavistock and the UK shut down.
In Sweden, mainstream media is already calling this out and Scandinavian countries are moving away from this kind of medical sex change therapy or surgeries for children.
There's no perfect solution.
There never will be.
And I will say in the end, conservatives may be upset about this morally, but the end result is simple.
If you sterilize your children through puberty blockers or surgeries, if you abort your children, I will say it again because I've said it before, the future will be conservative.
Period.
These parents are starting to homeschool their kids.
They're taking their kids out of these indoctrination centers.
Parents voted for Glenn Youngkin.
They said no to the Democrats in Virginia.
If this trend continues, there will not be children.
Leo likely will never have kids.
I mean, aside from the bone problems, the puberty blockers likely caused reproductive harm.
It's what puberty's all about.
It's about developing the ability to reproduce.
And they're shutting it down.
Effectively sterilizing children in many circumstances.
Not every, but many.
Depending on how long they're on these drugs.
The end result is there right in front of our faces.
The left is advocating for circumstances that will stop them from having kids.
20 years.
We will see another generation.
We'll be overwhelmingly conservative.
Now many people say conservative parents is no guarantee for conservative kids, but with the culture war going the way it's going, I think it's leaning in that direction.
You abort your kids, you sterilize them, you don't have any.
So the future is going to be Republicans, probably at lower, um, I believe below replacement levels.
But we're going to see among the left, substantially less in terms of reproduction.
Not even having one kid.
We're seeing so many of these families, or whatever you want to call it, I shouldn't call it that, polygamous relationships where you have like a woman with like five boyfriends.
They're not having kids.
They're aborting their kids, they're using contraceptions, IUDs, birth control, and then when they do have kids, they're more likely to sterilize them.
And with the explosion, a thousand plus increase, what do you think the end result is going to be?
I don't know what'll happen.
I never do.
I'm not a psychic.
But if this is the trend, the United States may very well see the same thing happen, and puberty blockers will eventually be shut down, and these clinics will stop.
