Polls Show GOP To CRUSH Democrats Earning Supermajority In Congress, The Future WILL Be Conservative
Polls Show GOP To CRUSH Democrats Earning Supermajority In Congress, The Future WILL Be Conservative. Data shows GOP will hold 60 or 61 seats in 2024 as the US turns Republican.
The suggestion is that its all about maps. GOP is favored due to current mapping. But the reality is that a low birthrate combined with failing policies has this country beginning to favor the GOP and Republican politicians.
Democrats have for 6 years become the party of the wealthy elites and the establishment and while the GOP still has its share of NeoCons it is slowly becoming a more populist America First party
Biden is in for bad news come 2022 midterms and 2024 where Trump may win a second term.
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Polling data shows that Republicans are set to win in a red wave this November, but by 2024 could have a super majority in the Senate for a trifecta.
Democrats, of course, are losing ground and they can't admit it.
Their policies have failed and the younger generation is fed up.
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The future of this country will be conservative.
It will be very conservative and more conservative than anyone on the left wants to recognize.
It's fascinating to me when we hear these protesters say, you're on the wrong side of history because they know nothing about demographics and what's happening in this country.
Food shortages.
Fuel prices.
Inflation.
Labor shortages.
It's bad.
It's bad for a lot of people.
I wouldn't call it overtly apocalyptic.
I would just say that it's worse than it's been for most people.
In fact, for many young people, it's the worst time they've ever experienced.
And for many of us, I mean, we went through the Great Recession.
We went through COVID.
Now we're going through war shortages.
And COVID is coming back.
That's right.
We may actually see lockdowns moving forward.
So why will this country become conservative?
For one, a lot of people are just outright fed up with leftist policies and the establishment Democrats.
We're starting to see a kind of libertarian-ish, not completely, populist America First movement.
Many people are staunch constitutionalists and they're moving forward in their minds with their politics saying, we just want to pursue life, liberty, and happiness.
And that's been obstructed by these elites, the authoritarians, and the failed policy.
In 2020, Donald Trump made you an offer.
Many of you rejected that offer.
I think most of the people who watch this show were torn either between not voting at all, or probably voting for Trump.
I did.
I met a lot of people who didn't vote for him in 2016, and I was one of them.
And they did vote for Trump in 2020, because we saw the offer, we saw the wager, and Joe Biden was the bad bet.
Many people accepted Joe Biden, and now, here we are.
I have this story from Slow Boring, which is a substack blog by Matthew Iglesias, formerly of Vox.com, a leftist publication.
In this publication, they mention that moving forward into the midterms in 2022, Republicans will dominate.
Oh, but it's worse than that, my friends, if you're a Democrat.
By 2024, based on this math, it is possible, it is particularly probable, Republicans could have 60 seats in the Senate.
That is massive.
What would the Democrats do facing down such a trifecta as it were?
Republicans will have everything.
Conservatives will have everything.
The Democrats will have no choice but to start abandoning these politics if they want to win elections.
They won't do it.
Seemingly in the face of all of the failure they've been dealing with, they won't let go.
The fascinating thing about 2020 was that Democrats held on to the Senate.
They held on to the House.
But they lost a lot.
They lost much that they shouldn't have.
The polls were skewed in favor of Democrats.
This is where it gets truly fascinating.
If we're to look at the data from Slow Boring, operating off of current polls, it looks apocalyptic for Democrats.
But, if polls truly are skewed in their favor, it is BEYOND apocalyptic.
There's one more factor that needs to be considered in all of this.
The birthrate.
With the birth rate in rapid decline, there will be less young people, and this could play a huge factor in why this country becomes more conservative.
Older people may actually outnumber younger people.
Meaning, three older generations living longer, Will outnumber one younger generation.
The younger generation typically is much larger than the older generation.
They get indoctrinated through schools or through media or just generally move in a progressive direction, but there will be much less of them.
And that means political competition will skew in favor of Republicans.
It won't just be 2022 or 2024.
It may be from this point forward.
Or, the reality is, COVID may come back, we may get locked down again, universal mail-in voting may return, and then for completely unrelated reasons, we may see Democrats win big, and bigly, moving forward.
I don't know for sure.
But let's read through the current analysis, which comes from Democrat voters, suggesting the apocalypse may be coming.
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Let's read this first story from slowboring.com.
But again, also, smash that like button right now and subscribe to this channel.
Slow Boring writes, Democrats are sleepwalking into a Senate disaster.
This is from Simon Bazelon who writes, Traditionally, the President's party averages roughly 47.5% of the two-party vote in midterms.
Right now, in FiveThirtyEight's average of public polls, Democrats are polling at 48.7.
Hey, that's not so bad, right?
A little bit above average?
Well, hold on.
He says, however, the President's party also tends to decline in standing as the midterms approach.
As the graph below shows you, The one clear exception involved the 9-11 attacks and does not offer Joe Biden grounds for optimism.
You can see that throughout the year, the polls will decline for the dominant party.
That is to say, they may be at 48.7 right now, but it will get worse.
And it already is bad.
Check this out.
He writes, additionally, polls have been biased towards Democrats in two of the last three cycles,
and there is reason to think this bias will persist because the pollsters are wrong,
the media is wrong. Hey, we're all tired of being lied to, but it seems the only thing
they know how to do is just keep lying and doubling down on their lies and roasting themselves.
Between those two factors, it's reasonable to assume that Democrats are looking at a vote share
between 47 and 48.5 percent this cycle.
This means Republicans will probably win the generic ballot by between 3 and 6%.
Whoa, man!
And the median scenario is probably Republicans winning by around 4.5%.
Since Joe Biden won by 4.5% in 2020, this would mean that the national environment has shifted 9 points to the right!
Sorry about that snap, but I just want you to think about that for two seconds.
A nine point shift.
It's been one year, one, and a few months.
That's how bad things are.
Joe Biden has done a very, very bad job.
I always say this.
Look, we can mock Joe Biden.
Because of his failures.
Because of his inability to speak.
And they'll get mad at you.
Oh, but he's got a stutter.
Dude, the guy is just really old.
Everybody knows it.
Joe Rogan talks about it.
You're not lying to anyone.
No one believes you.
Your sycophants and zealots will keep lying to themselves and pretending Joe Biden is capable of doing this job.
But we see through this.
Many people made this mistake.
In 2020, they voted for Biden because they thought Trump was bad.
But these people weren't paying attention.
And that was their mistake.
But now, they've realized, you know what?
We shouldn't have done that.
There's a viral video of a young woman saying, I'm really sorry for voting for Joe Biden.
Yeah, well, you should be.
We don't know what life would be like right now with President Trump.
But we do know that the worst we got out of him was potty mouth.
I mean seriously, it was potty mouth.
The Abraham Accords in the Middle East?
Peace?
Fantastic.
No new wars?
Hey.
Withdrawing our troops?
I dig it.
A good economy?
A better economy.
A lot of spending that was really bad, which does contribute to inflation.
Nothing compared to COVID.
But yeah, Donald Trump was pretty good.
And I couldn't understand why people just seemed to forget what Obama was like.
I guess Obama wasn't that bad.
There were a lot of problems I had with him.
The NDAA indefinite detention authorization.
More wars, drone strikes, all that really bad stuff.
The extrajudicial assassination of American citizens.
Yeah, that stuff really pissed me off.
And I knew if Joe Biden became president, it would be corrupt crony garbage, but this time, with a fumbling, bumbling idiot who can't do anything right.
Well, here we go.
They write, assume for a moment that there is zero ticket splitting and this swing is uniform across all sections.
This would mean any Democrat in a state that Biden won by less than 9% will probably lose.
That means Mark Kelly, Raphael Warnock, Catherine Cortez Masto, Maggie Hassan New Hampshire.
Think about that.
Any Democrat in a state that Biden won by less than 9% will probably lose, assuming this data tracks.
And this is very speculative.
Both zero ticket splitting and literally uniform national swings are simplifying assumptions.
That's a fair, fair point.
Reality will be a bit more complicated.
Incumbency advantage, in particular, might help stem the bleeding a little.
But take a look at the table below, courtesy of David Shore, head of data science at Blue Rose Research.
Both ticket splitting and incumbency advantage have declined precipitously in recent years and are both now near zero.
That's right.
From minus 0.5 percent to 2020 minus 0.3.
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Now, that's Democrat overperformance, meaning it's shifted slightly in favor of Republicans.
Overall, the combination of decreasing incumbency advantage and a poor national environment for Democrats means we should probably expect Democrats to control between 46 and 47 Senate seats after 2022.
Now, here's the best part.
So Republicans are going to have 53 to 54 Senate seats.
Yeah, sure, they'll be able to get a lot done.
I doubt they'll do anything.
Republicans have had advantage before and control the Senate, and they don't do things.
But where does this lead us?
Oh, man.
2024 is the real horror story for Democrats.
They're going to mention the above scenarios are designed to illustrate plausible outcomes.
And they're specific to certain assumptions about Democrats' performance in 2022 and the 2024 elections.
You might think these assumptions are wrong.
So below is a choose-your-own-adventure for Senate forecasts.
Start on the left with the share of the vote you think Democrats will get in 2022, and then pick your estimate of the Democratic vote share in 2024.
The output in the right column is, according to David Shore's modeling, the projected number of Senate seats Democrats will control after the 2024 elections.
This is laughable.
If the Democrat vote share in the 2020 Congress is 50%, if the two-way Democratic vote share in the 2024 for President is 52%, the chance of winning the presidency for Democrats is 80%.
There is no scenario they present where Democrats will actually hold the Senate in 2024.
Now this is just based off of sentiment.
This is based off of people being upset right now.
Are you all factoring in the youth vote right now?
Which skews ever so slightly to the right.
I'm here at the Daily Wire.
I had someone say to me, if a millennial was going to be a conservative, they'd look like you, Tim.
And I said, uh, I don't think so.
No, I think we're moderates, the Tim Cast crew.
I think we are.
I think y'all are conservatives.
I think Ben Shapiro is what a millennial conservative looks like.
No, I think what's happening is sort of the post-liberal, disaffected liberal types are voting this way.
It's not that we're conservative.
We're not.
I'm not.
I'm pro-choice.
However, I think the left's gone nuts on many of these issues.
I'm not going to vote in their direction.
They're crazy people.
So the reason we're seeing this skew, in my opinion, is because it is specifically the regular people.
I mean, many of you probably, to be honest.
The left has this view that anybody to the right of them must be far right.
And because of that, they're biased and wrong.
They assume that everybody who watches my show is a diehard Trumper, you know, QAnon, whatever, which couldn't be furthest from the truth.
We had Marjorie Taylor Greene on the show, and I was slammed with feedback from people who were saying, I thought she was crazy.
We had Steve Bannon on the show, and people said, I thought he was, like, far right.
And then he said, tax the rich!
And I said, yeah, I assumed most of you guys knew this, but the truth is, I think many people who watch this show, you guys probably feel this way.
Just sort of not always political, kind of middle of the road, maybe disaffected liberal, kind of viewed yourself as being left, but now the left has gone crazy?
It's kind of where we are, right?
Maybe that's what regular people really are.
Maybe what we're actually seeing is that the largest faction, I guess what they describe as the, um, what did Pew Research call them?
The sideliners?
The stressed sideline or something like that?
Maybe the only reason we're considered leaning right in any capacity is because the left has gone nuts.
But maybe the left, as we know it, in media, in the voting bloc, they're just scared.
They're scared to speak up and speak out.
And the reason we're seeing this shift is because many of them are secretly voting against the Democrats.
What I'm going to say is that the table demonstrates normal electoral results will likely result in the loss of a large share of the Democratic Senate caucus.
Pessimism about the outlook here is not driven by any particular pessimism about Democrats' share of the national popular vote.
Instead, the issue is that the growing polarization of the electorate around educational attainment and the urban-rural divide has generated a Senate that is incredibly biased against the Democratic Party.
Call it whatever you want.
Democrats are going to lose.
Hope is not a plan.
That's what he says.
The optimistic scenario is possible.
Presidents have won re-election by more than 8% before.
Be optimistic with your chance of winning the election.
That's fine.
I think it would be foolish for people on the right to assume it's in the bag.
And I keep hearing it over and over again.
Man, y'all have made this mistake before.
I did.
To assume, we're gonna win, we're gonna win.
Get your ground game on.
In the primaries, specifically.
That's all that matters.
I don't care about the national vote at this point.
Yo, just primary the incumbents.
Fire these people.
Say, you're fired, I'm voting for someone else.
That means you need to figure out right now what your local primary election is.
Your state rep, your state senator, all of that stuff.
School board, vote, vote, vote.
It works and we can see it.
And that's the thing that the establishment really hopes for.
I think the establishment wants people to think it's hopeless.
They want you to think you cannot change the game.
They want you to give up.
Nah, nah.
Show them what you can do.
When people get out, we see it.
Look at Virginia.
Nah, young kid's not perfect.
But hey.
How about this?
How about we vote out all the Democrats, and then the more left-leaning Republicans become the far left?
And then you'll contend with conservatives and moderates.
Maybe it'll look a lot like that Pew graph many of us have seen, where it shows that Democrats and Republicans were both very close to the center.
And now, Republicans move a little bit to the right, and the left goes super far left.
We need to tell the super far left, we don't want what they're offering.
Show them what political competition really means.
Now aside from this data, Which again, is fascinating.
When you have Matthew Iglesias saying, suppose Democrats get 48% of the vote in 2022, and then rebound to 50% in 2024.
Pretty normal.
But under today's maps, that means a GOP trifecta with 60 or 61 senators.
Too bad.
Too bad, Democrats.
That's how the game is played.
Take a look at this data.
The mystery of the declining U.S.
birth rate.
This is where I think the game changes more so than anyone wants to admit.
Ten years ago.
Ah, ten years ago.
Eight-year-olds in 2012.
They're voting today.
They're voting.
And they voted.
I want you to think about this.
The year is 2008.
There's a great recession.
The internet is taking off.
Twitter, Facebook, they're becoming particularly prominent in politics.
An eight-year-old, born in 2000, they're eight years old and they're on Facebook and they are inundated with videos about police brutality.
They are told that Black Lives Matter.
I know it wasn't around back then.
My point is, they're seeing the rage of racism.
But what had happened was these algorithms were propping up police brutality videos because people clicked on them and shared them.
You're a little kid.
Your whole world has been social media.
You've not experienced life through the lens of TV.
Yeah, a little bit, for sure, of course.
But you're on social media your whole life.
And all you see as you scroll is endless police brutality.
Then you say, abolish the police, why not?
Ten years goes by.
Ten years go by.
And you've seen nothing but this on your feed.
You genuinely believe the world is comprised of evil cops going around just murdering people.
Now you can vote.
See, many of these conservatives, they tend to be a little older, they didn't realize what ten years means in an election.
Right now, let's go back to 2012.
What were kids seeing on social media and how was their world crafted?
Now they're old enough to vote.
They're gonna vote.
And how they vote matters.
The younger generation tends to skew progressive until recently.
Pew Research, we covered this several times, shows that the current Gen Z, slightly more conservative in some areas, but fairly progressive.
They're comparable to millennials, but slightly to the right.
Now does that mean the future is conservative?
Not alone.
What it does mean is with the birth rate in decline, Go back to, let's take a look at 2005, where we can see there was a spike.
1995 was a dip.
2010, there's a dip right there.
2020, a major dip in the birth rate.
If the younger generation is, uh, if there is a low birth rate, I want you to consider one thing that still remains true.
Conservatives have a lot of kids.
Liberals don't.
Liberals are more likely to abort their potential babies.
Or I should say abort their babies.
Their potential children.
And that means if conservatives are having kids, and the left is not, I think it's fair to assume in this data, and just suspect, just assumption, that the overwhelming majority of the decline in birth rates stems from the left, not the right.
Although I'd be willing to assume the right is still experiencing a decline in birth rates.
What happens 18 years from now?
The year is 2040.
Oh, this country will not be progressive leftists.
Now, we joke on TimCast IRL that the future Republican Party will be a bunch of LGBTQ communists or something like that, and the left will be metahuman, metaverse, digital robot people.
It's an exaggeration meant to be silly.
I think based on the declining birth rate, based on the fact that conservatives tend to be more religious, tend to have more kids, and the left tends to not have kids, tells people not to have kids, and aborts their kids, the math is simple, isn't it?
There's already an upward tick in slightly more conservative values among Gen Z. Not because Gen Z is based.
Not because Gen Z is getting better information.
There's just more conservative families.
We saw this data back in 2000.
I warned about this.
I think it was four years ago.
What we saw was that conservatives are having 2.01 kids, liberals I think it was 1.74.
And I said, that matters, scale that up.
That means for every 201 conservative children, there's 174 liberal children.
That means 18 years from that point, You are going to have more Republican voters.
Ah, but you say, these kids get indoctrinated.
You're right.
Which is why the left is freaking out about these parental rights and education bills.
The left doesn't have kids, they have yours.
And if they can't secretly indoctrinate or groom your children in the more extreme circumstances, they can't win in the future.
So their ideology goes away with them.
Take a look at PREDICTED.
Now, you want to play games with data and Matthew Iglesias' view and all that?
Fine.
PREDICTED.
It's amazing.
How many Senate seats will the GOP control after the midterms?
Hey guys, Josh Hammer here, the host of America on Trial with Josh Hammer, a podcast for the First Podcast Network.
Look, there are a lot of shows out there that are explaining the political news cycle, what's happening on the Hill, the this, the that.
There are no other shows that are cutting straight to the point when it comes to the unprecedented lawfare debilitating Did you know that illegal immigrants effectively vote?
For the president, anyway.
I tell this to people and they get angry.
No they don't!
That's not true!
You're far right!
America on Trial with Josh Hammer.
Subscribe and download your episodes wherever you get your podcasts.
The apportionment process is based on population, not citizen count.
That means an illegal immigrant who lives in a city will count towards how many congressional seats there will be in the area.
Because they try and do it by about 750,000.
It goes up because population goes up.
That means if you have... I don't know.
A million illegal immigrants in a close enough area.
This can generate extra congressional seats.
And those also mean extra electoral votes for your state.
That is dirty dealing in politics.
That's one thing they'll do.
The other thing they'll do is they will have kids.
And those kids will become citizens of urban areas.
They'll likely vote Democrat by nature of proximity.
Of, you know, where they're from.
I'm not talking at all about any one race of people, mind you.
Because we've seen people from Africa coming up to the southern border.
I'm talking about basically everybody.
And even Ukrainians that are coming in, too.
Although it's possible the Ukrainians might end up being a little bit more conservative.
We'll see.
I'm not entirely sure.
Republicans have kids.
Democrats don't.
Democrats are favoring open borders policies.
I can only assume why.
Over at the Hill, this story was fascinating from the end of March.
GOP rolls out voter registration push at gas stations.
Bravo, bravo, my friends.
Yeah, that one was obvious.
Here's a story.
Pennsylvania man 54 is arrested after putting I did that Biden stickers onto gas pumps to protest high prices.
Well, okay.
I would tell people don't vandalize property.
It's not yours, don't screw with it.
I think the I Did It stickers are hilarious.
People find it funny that people are going out slapping stickers on things.
This dude should not have gotten arrested for this.
He should have got a stern talking to.
This is what we get.
They say on Monday, Thomas Richard Glazuski was charged with resisting arrest, disorderly conduct, harassment, criminal mischief, following his arrest.
Well, don't resist.
Apparently he was resisting cops or something.
I guess they wanted to arrest him for putting stickers up, but you know what?
Don't vandalize other people's stuff.
Here's a good example of how things should be.
There's a gas pump with I did that stickers of Biden and a sign that was put up that says do not remove stickers from the pumps.
You are being recorded and we will press charges for vandalism.
If you don't like the stickers, there are plenty of other gas stations in town.
We have the right to our opinion and we also still have freedom of speech, at least for now.
If you put the stickers up on someone else's property, yeah, you might get in trouble.
If you take stickers off of someone else's property, you might get in trouble.
These people were angry.
People are taking their stickers down!
Don't touch my stickers!
You should be allowed to put up your Biden stickers on your own pumps.
I think hyperpolarization is interesting.
I think the clash and the chaos and the conflict is making people say, I've had enough.
I think the riots have woken people up.
I think regular people now are being forced to watch the news.
I think all of this is a backfire on the Democrats, a lot of their plans, but it's desperation.
The internet has empowered regular people.
And boy, are they freaking out.
Censorship.
Algorithmic manipulation.
It doesn't seem to be working in the long run.
Here's a story from the Daily Mail.
Terrifying moment.
Female conservative University of Buffalo student is hunted down by woke mobs screaming, no justice, no peace.
What do you think this story does?
Do you think regular people see this story and they think, I like The Woke?
Or do they think like, whoa, like, leave this woman alone?
I think regular people seeing this would be like, whoa, these people are nuts.
Bill Maher.
It was, I believe, or maybe around June of 2019.
Dennis Prager.
Made some points about wokeness and they all laughed at him.
He made points about how they're lying, talking about trans issues.
And Bill Maher laughed and said, you're wrong, it's crazy, it used to be so reasonable.
What happened to you, Dennis?
But of course Dennis Prager was correct.
Bill Maher doesn't read the news.
Sad.
How the mighty have fallen, right?
This is why you lose.
Now, I can say conservatives have stood by for too long and let the left take over cultural institutions.
That's their own fault.
But so have mainstream Democrat and left personalities.
Let the left run amok, setting things aflame and burning it to the ground.
Across the board, everybody became complacent.
Just let it happen.
No, they'll regret that.
Bill Maher, will he wake up?
I don't think so.
Jon Stewart's going the other direction.
They are old, out of touch, Nah.
I can't tell you how to vote or what your politics are.
I was told recently by somebody out here in Nashville that I was the reason their kid became conservative.
And he said, you know, he wouldn't listen to old dad, but he listened to you.
And I thought that was fascinating.
I was like, I'm not conservative.
I just don't like cult stuff.
I don't like the woke lies.
I don't like it when they go to someone and say, you should feel bad because of your race.
That's nasty stuff.
It's always been nasty.
I've always despised racism.
The left can be racist as they want and the media lets them do it.
Not for me.
So would someone call themselves conservative based on this show?
I think it's a problem for conservative because it means that moving forward, conservatives are moving to the left.
How far left do you want to go?
I honestly don't care about left or right in the bigger picture, I care about being honest.
I care about, do you, will you be honest with people?
Jimmy Dore, they call him, they call him right wing.
That's weird.
Jimmy's a socialist.
Again, I always say this.
I'm like, I'm pretty sure he calls himself that.
I don't want to disparage the guy.
Jimmy's fantastic.
Jimmy is honest.
He has a great show.
He tells the truth about what's going on.
And he likes left-wing economic policy.
So they insult him.
They lie about him.
I'm fairly certain conservatives would love to have a conversation with Jimmy Dore.
And the reason is, because we can agree on reality because we do the work.
We do the research.
And then we can disagree on what that means moving forward.
Meaning, you can come out and say, we need a stronger social policy.
And someone can say, I disagree with that because of these points.
And you can say, I disagree because of these points.
But at least we agree on the underlying premises of the facts.
That's why I think Jimmy's so fantastic.
I think there are a lot of left personalities that believe too much of the lies.
And that's what they are.
They're lies.
Lies, lies, lies.
Simon Kustenmacher says, How much do U.S.
Republicans and U.S.
Democratic voters trust various media organizations?
The Republican skepticism regarding the Weather Channel is hard to stomach for a data guy like me.
Oh, come on.
Take a look at this.
The Weather Channel.
50% of Republicans trust it.
63% of Democrats trust it.
It's comparable.
It's comparable.
Interestingly, among U.S.
adult citizens, it skews heavily towards distrust.
We're looking at which media organizations are trusted more by Democrats and Republicans.
We can see that, obviously, Newsmax, distrusted by Democrats, but trusted by Republicans.
And then you have, what was it, Fox News, distrusted by Democrats, trusted by Republicans.
Everything else is inverted.
PBS?
Republicans basically trust no media outlets.
I don't blame them.
Democrats overwhelmingly trust them all.
But even Democrats don't really trust The Guardian.
You know what's really interesting?
Every single metric skews towards distrust among all U.S.
adult citizens.
That's interesting because the Republican Party is smaller than the Democratic Party.
That means regular people who are unaffiliated skew towards distrust.
My friends, the Democratic Party is a cult.
And that is a fact.
Okay, it's my personal opinion.
But I think it's an educated opinion, at the very least, based on all of this data.
I don't just come out and say, oh, I don't like those people, they're in a cult.
No, they do that.
They're like, the right is in a cult, because they disagree with each other?
I love it.
Dave Rubin, a gay married man with two children on the way through surrogacy, having an argument with Glenn Beck.
Having an argument with Christian conservatives, who tell them they don't like what he's doing.
And he's on their side?
He's on the right?
It's a cult.
Really.
A cult at odds with itself.
Better than your cult of just blindly marching in lockstep.
That's fascinating to me.
But let that be the greatest example at the very least.
Someone says, the right's in a cult.
Just say, Dave Rubin, is he right-wing?
Yes.
Is he in the cult?
Yes.
He's a gay married man having two kids.
Conservatives, religious ones particularly, have argued with him.
They say they don't like it.
How is it a cult if they disagree with each other?
It's fascinating, isn't it?
They insult him over it.
No, I think it's fantastic that someone like Dave can have a sit-down conversation with Ben Shapiro, and they're really at odds.
Over these core issues.
But they agree to live and work together with love.
And the left hates it.
When Dave said to Glenn Beck, the love he's been shown, despite the disagreement, the very serious, very intrinsic disagreement, that conservatives, especially, I could say mostly Christian conservatives feel.
But they're still willing to say, we respect and we appreciate you, Dave, and the work you do, just not that.
I think that's good.
I think there needs to be argument over ideas, push-back, push-and-pull, with love and respect for one another as human beings.
The left has abandoned that a long time ago, so for this, I am not surprised the future will be conservative.
I'll leave it there.
Next segment is coming up tonight at 8 p.m.
over at youtube.com slash timcast IRL.
Thanks for hanging out, and I will see you all then.
Something strange is afoot over at Twitter, with breaking news this morning that Elon Musk will not be joining the board.
Now some are acting like this is bad news.
Elon Musk was going to change everything, you are our only hope, to end the censorship at Twitter.
But it seems the official narrative is they were trying to constrain Elon Musk.
He caught wind of their idea, rejected their proposal, and is now planning a hostile takeover.
Well, don't hold your breath, my friends.
I'm not entirely convinced anything fun will necessarily happen.
But following a wave of tweets from Elon Musk about changes that should happen on the platform, it seems like his plan to join the board would not have worked.
Why?
Well, as a member of the board, he would have a duty to shareholders and could be sued if he said or did something that would hurt the company.
Joining the board ultimately would have been a bad decision, or so many are saying.
I find it fascinating that when the news breaks that Elon Musk is going to be joining the board, everyone's like, this is fantastic news, it's such good news.
And then when news breaks that he won't be joining the board, people are still like, wow, this is such great news, it's good.
We don't know.
We really don't.
Everybody's just trying to act like something good is going to come out of what Elon Musk is doing, and for all we know, the dude spent $3 billion buying stock on Twitter, gained a billion dollars in stock value, and then is just planning on making money that way.
Now, the latest news on Twitter stock is that it's down, so I don't think Elon is doing that.
I think Elon is refusing to join the board, because he might want to have a bigger impact on the company.
And maybe, Maybe the dude will drop 10% of his net worth in an effort.
No, it's, it's, it's, it's, what does he got to do?
I think he's got to do like 20 or 30% of his net worth to buy the entirety of Twitter.
But if he only needs a controlling share?
Dude will need about 10% of his current net worth to buy enough of Twitter to snap his fingers and do whatever he wants.
Here's the story from TimCast.com breaking.
Elon Musk will not join the board of Twitter.
Twitter's CEO also said, there would be distractions ahead, but our goals and priorities remain unchanged.
Now, maybe that is the secret message here.
On Sunday, Twitter notified employees and shareholders that its largest shareholder, Elon Musk, will not be joining the social media giant's board.
Last week, along with filings with the SEC, it was reported that Musk would join the board of Twitter, subject to a background check.
Parag Agrawal, Twitter's CEO, made the announcement.
This we all saw.
And here's where it gets interesting.
The filing was on a state that Musk is not allowed to purchase more than 14.9% of the company's common stock, limiting his ability to gain full controlling shares of the corporation.
I wonder if what happens is that after Elon buys this percentage, Twitter, getting scared that he could take over and actually change the face of the company for the better, maybe uncensor a lot of people, bring back Trump and Alex Jones, offer him a position on the board, say, how about this, you join the board, you don't buy more than 14.9%, because that could have an impact on the stock for everybody, and then you'll have a say, Elon.
But then something else happened.
Twitter made a statement that regardless of what Elon Musk would do on the board, they would not change past decisions on policy, which means no Donald Trump coming back.
I'm sure Elon probably said, well, that's no fun.
The platform is suffering.
Musk tweeted about this.
We need Donald Trump on the platform.
In fact, Twitter was dying until Donald Trump joined the platform.
And then all of a sudden, it started doing better.
Because there was a real reason to be on the platform.
Musk has a bunch of ideas as to how to actually solve many of the problems we're seeing.
And I think he would be a great leader at the company.
So we'll see how this plays out.
But I think the hint we're getting from all of this is the distractions ahead statement from Parag Agrawal.
Let me pull up this story from the Daily Mail.
Twitter shares fall 8% in pre-market trading after largest shareholder Elon Musk refused to join the board.
Staff speculate the Tesla chief could now launch a hostile takeover bid.
Certainly that would be quite humorous, and I look forward to it.
Here's the full statement from Parag Agrawal.
He says, Elon has decided not to join our board.
I sent a brief note to the company sharing with you all here saying, Team, Elon Musk has decided not to join our board.
Here's what I can share about what happened.
The board and I had many discussions about Elon joining the board and with Elon directly.
We were excited to collaborate and clear about the risks.
We also believed that having Elon as a fiduciary of the company where he, like all board members, has to act in the best interests of the company and all our shareholders, was the best path forward.
The board offered him a seat.
We announced on Tuesday that Elon would be appointed to the board contingent on a background check and formal acceptance.
Elon's appointment to the board was to become officially effective 4-9, but Elon shared that same morning he will no longer be joining the board.
I believe this is for the best.
We have and always will value input from our shareholders, whether they are on the board or not.
Elon is our biggest shareholder, and we will remain open to his input.
There will be distractions ahead, but our goals and priorities remain unchanged.
The decisions we make and how we execute is in our hands and no one else's.
Let's tune out the noise and stay focused on the work and what we're building.
Elon apparently responded with a tweet of a giggling face, which I believe he has since deleted.
I'm disappointed.
I'm not convinced Elon is going to do anything Substantial with the platform.
I don't think we're going to see great changes.
I think the platform is trash.
I don't take it seriously.
I troll all the time on it, and somehow I have a million followers.
But Twitter is a garbage platform filled with garbage people, and their sole intent is to emotionally destroy other people.
Why would anyone, any sane person, want to be on the platform?
For a while now.
I've been telling people to follow me on Instagram.
Because on Instagram I just post videos and photos.
It's a real way to get updates from me, I guess.
But I don't post all that often.
I posted a video demo of our very early alpha for a video game we're producing,
which is, you're gonna learn about as you see more clips.
But that's the fun thing about Instagram.
Twitter is just, it's nasty people being nasty to each other, saying the stupidest things.
There are a lot of good people on the platform.
There is a lot of value there.
But Twitter seems intent.
People like Parag Agrawal, this dude is as dumb as they come.
I don't like, you know, rarely do I speak ill of people.
It's true, I speak ill of a lot of people, but typically it's like, these people are evil.
You know, I think they're morally corrupt.
I think Parag Agrawal is just not a smart person.
And Twitter is a company run by people who are not smart, Leading other people who are not smart and the company is just a big mess.
The only reason the platform works is because people are there.
It's a big nightclub filled with everyone.
It's filled to the brim.
And so if you want to party with other people, that's the place you got to go, but they're stupid!
And Elon Musk points all of this out.
Take a look at this tweet from Elon.
He tweeted on the 9th.
Most of these top accounts tweet rarely and post very little content.
Is Twitter dying?
Yes.
Check this out.
World of Statistics says the top most followed accounts on Twitter.
Barack Obama, Justin Bieber, Katy Perry, Rihanna, Cristiano, Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga, Elon Musk, Narendra Modi, or maybe it's Narendra Modi, The Ellen Show.
How many of these people are actively on here?
I like how it's TaylorSwift13.
Like, yo, TaylorSwift, you could just get TaylorSwift if you wanted it, but sure, TaylorSwift13 is the number, is the username.
Elon says, for example, TaylorSwift13 hasn't posted anything in three months, and Justin Bieber only posted once this entire year.
Ian Myles Chong responds, Twitter seems to deliberately stifle accounts from growing.
I don't have this issue on Facebook or TikTok or Instagram or even the alt websites like Gab and Getter.
What's up with that?
What is up with that?
I think Twitter is driven by ideologues, and for ideological reasons, they are purposefully destroying the company.
Parag Agrawal famously stated, I think it was four years ago, he said, it's about crafting a healthy conversation, or something to that effect.
I'm pretty sure Jack Dorsey was saying similar things.
Their view is, we own the biggest club, and we should force people to listen to our music.
Imagine going to a nightclub, and they're playing weird experimental country hip-hop.
You'd be like, okay man, look, I get it, do your thing that makes you happy, but I don't want to be here.
So big celebrities, big names, fun people, leaders, thought leaders, they're walking away.
I'm on there, and I post garbage nonsense.
I once posted a picture of a hairless rabbit, And then all of these lunatic, just cult members in the establishment aligned with it, take everything I say seriously, and they write news about it!
Elon has a bunch of ideas that could fix this platform.
So you know what?
I want and encourage a hostile takeover of the platform.
Because you know what, Elon?
Buy the platform and then delete it!
That would be so amazing.
I don't think Elon would want to lose 30 billion dollars So, you know, he wouldn't do that.
I think there's real value in Twitter.
I really do.
I think there's real value in Facebook.
But these psychopaths who run the platform are just setting it aflame because they're driven by ego.
I'm going to do a Star Trek reference because I made this point on Timcast IRL that, you know, we talked about, does Mark Zuckerberg spy on people?
Is Mark Zuckerberg sitting there looking at photos of women and spying on old people he used to know?
I bet he is.
I mean, why wouldn't he?
So in Star Trek, there's an episode where there's a young girl, a
Eventually, she develops powers.
Turns out she's an extra-dimensional being called, as part of the Q continuum.
You don't need to worry about Star Trek lore to understand this point.
Basically, this individual has untold power.
And she's told that she can stay living, you know, working with humans and being human, so long as she refrains from using her power.
Instantly, to save a planet, she uses her power.
The point was, having the power is too much to resist for anyone.
I certainly couldn't resist it.
I think about Lord of the Rings, too.
Here's another reference.
Maybe you're a Lord of the Rings fan.
You're into fantasy, not sci-fi.
The One Ring.
To rule them all, and everyone's just like, I can wield its power, but you can't.
Very few who are granted the power can refrain from using it.
So I take a look at Parag Agrawal, the people at Twitter.
They see this massive platform.
They see these conversations.
They think to themselves, I can wield the power and I can make it work!
And Twitter becomes a cesspool of garbage!
Filled with garbage people.
With Antifa planning violence.
Conservatives being banned for their opinions.
It is a trash platform and deserves to fail.
I bought 21 shares recently.
Cuz Elon Musk bought it.
But just, in this world, if you really wanna have an impact, you gotta be a billionaire.
And Elon Musk did that, but what is Elon Musk really gonna do?
I am so personally frustrated with the lack of What's the right word?
Roguishness, maybe.
Maybe that's not the right word.
Fearlessness.
Aggression.
Spine.
You know, it felt like something was actually going to happen when Elon Musk bought this piece of the company, and maybe it will.
Maybe there will be a hostile takeover.
Maybe Elon will just buy up more and more and more of the company until he owns 51% and can snap his fingers, say Trump's back, Don't care about anybody else.
Trump's back.
One of the things Elon Musk planned for... I think I might have the tweet here.
He deleted the tweet, I'm pretty sure.
But he said something like, people who have Twitter blue should get verified.
I agree.
100%.
Twitter's a free platform.
Everybody wants to be verified.
You want that blue check?
Sorry, you can't get it.
Twitter decides who is important.
It's really how it works.
They try claiming their verification badge isn't a badge of credibility or endorsement, but that's literally what it is.
They'll take your badge away from you if you're a no-no person like Milo Yiannopoulos.
Now, Milo put that he was a BuzzFeed employee in his Twitter bio, so that's why they took his badge away, or so they say.
Twitter Blue is a subscription service they offer.
You get like ad-free content, not ad-free Twitter.
You get like ad-free articles, and you can undo, and it's kind of stupid.
But for five bucks a month, just five bucks.
You should be able to be verified.
I mean, you're paying them, right?
They have your credit card on file.
Here's the idea.
This is what Elon Musk proposed.
After 60 days, you get verified to prevent chargebacks and manipulations in bot accounts.
The verification for most people then creates an incentive for why you would buy the service.
No, if you don't buy the service, you can still have an account for free, follow people, and post.
That's fine.
But you'll get a verification badge.
And that means people will know who you are and that you're a real person.
And it will get rid of sock puppets, bots, manipulation, and spam.
It will also create a massive revenue stream for Twitter.
And Twitter still has ads on the platform.
Most people, I believe, some have said Elon's bad for business because the You get, I think, for an advertiser, it's like $65 per month on average versus, or $65 per year per advertiser versus $36 per year per user.
And so what they're basically saying is that the average per year benefit is, you know, for advertisers almost double, so Twitter makes more money.
But Twitter is a garbage platform that won't survive.
Now the question is, if Elon was on the board, would he be allowed to actually make these changes?
No!
Because they're gonna be like, but that's a lot of money and you're hurting the shareholders.
Elon might be thinking long term.
I don't know why Elon deleted a bunch of tweets.
It could be because they were like, hey, you can get sued for saying these things as a shareholder or something like that.
And maybe Elon has a plan.
Here's what I want to see.
I want to see billboards.
I want to see commercials.
The Daily Wire.
You may have noticed I'm in a trailer, and that's because we're in the Daily Wire's parking lot.
We're gonna be hanging out with these guys for the next week.
It's gonna be a big blast.
It's gonna be a lot of fun.
But they did Jeremy's Razors, which was brilliant.
I love the Jeremy's Razors commercial where they talk about how Harry's betrayed them and, you know, Harry's betrayed their audience, denouncing them or rejecting them.
They stood up and I respect that.
That's what I'm talking about.
That's punk rock.
Not literally, Punk Rock, but you get the point.
It's like flicking off the system, saying, you come at us, fine.
That's what we need more of.
Now, I don't have billions of dollars, and very few people can do what Elon Musk can do, but I just wonder why it is that someone could have a net worth in the billions and not just do things to have an impact.
If, I should say when, this company is worth billions of dollars, and it will happen, we're going to be a big massive media empire, you are going to see some of the craziest culture jamming you've ever seen snubbing the nose, and we're going to empower other people, it's just there's so much we're going to do.
I talked about The Chicken City commercial on Tucker Carlson.
Chicken City made $1,000.
I believe it was maybe Saturday.
And since then, that's the biggest day it's had, and it's only been up for a month.
It's now, if that sustains, based on the past week, if the track record sustains itself, it'll be one of the most super chatted shows in the world.
Now some people say it's a stupid joke show.
No, it's an excellent product.
We made something where it's just chickens on a live stream, you can give them food, and people like it because of the nature sounds.
They turn it on and you can hear just woodpeckers and a train going by in the rain sometimes.
It's really calming.
I love it, personally.
The chickens are funny to watch because they're nasty little creatures and they make funny noises.
But people like having their pets watch it as well.
The point is, buying the commercial on Tucker Carlson isn't about just being like, look at this thing we made.
It's about just shaking the system.
Telling people to snap out of it.
Do something!
Wake up!
Have fun!
Think!
Be creative!
We have been culturally stagnant for too long.
When was the last time a classical Christmas song was written?
The 90s?
All I want for Christmas is you?
We listen to all this Christmas music from the 50s.
When was the last time original movies were made?
They're all adaptions and remakes and reboots.
How many times are we going to watch Batman or Spider-Man in the movies?
Take a risk.
Make something fun.
People are doing nothing.
All of these companies have become stagnant, stale, moldy garbage.
I want to see someone just say, enough.
It's time to shake up that snow globe.
Send everything flying up in the air to make something different land.
That's what I want to do.
So we've got a bunch of stuff over at TimCast.com.
We've got Pop Culture Crisis, Tales from the Inverted World.
We've got a packet that we've produced showing the chapter synopsis, a few sample chapters.
This is going to be awesome.
We want to do new crazy things.
Chicken City.
Crazy.
Weird.
Funny.
We made over $1,000 in one day on that channel, and it's only been up for a month, it's got 24,000 subscribers, and we're gonna buy TV commercials for it that make you confused, and we're gonna put up billboards that are the stupidest, weirdest things.
And some have said to me, Tim, that's dumb.
Why don't you just promote your political show?
People have also told me before, we shouldn't have Ian on the show.
I'm sick of it.
I'm sick of all of it.
I don't mean the people's opinions and thoughts.
No, no, that's welcomed and respected.
I mean, I'm sick of the boringness of the system in which we live in.
Now, there's weird conflict.
There's hyperpolarization.
People are fighting.
But I want creativity.
Ian's great on the show.
He's a weirdo.
One time he said, if you stick your finger in a cow's mouth, it feels good.
And we didn't know why, in the context, and everyone laughed.
And it's funny.
It's something different, unique.
And I don't want to just race everybody on the same platform.
We want to do our own thing.
We want to do new and unique things.
The point of the weird billboards is to snap people out of the boring and mundane and tell them to be creative, take risks, make something new.
This is what frustrates me about Twitter.
Elon Musk did something.
Something massive.
And it was just like, finally we're seeing something a little bit chaotic.
A little bit.
Something interesting.
And now it might not happen.
I don't know.
I want to see more.
I want to see Elon come in and just start kicking the walls, punching holes, and be like, we're tearing this wall down and we're gonna put up an arcade!
Yes!
More of that!
More weirdness!
Let everybody figure it out.
The wokeness is homogenization.
People talk about global homogenization.
I hate it.
I was on a cruise once.
We were going to a private island, but then a storm came and we were forced to, you know, it was like private island.
It was a corporate cruise.
It docks, everyone goes, and you have a coconut or something.
But we got diverted by a storm and we were forced to go to Nassau, I think it was.
I think it was Nassau.
We went to the Bahamas.
And I get off the boat, and I'm like, let's see what the Bahamas has to offer, and it's Starbucks, Hard Rock Cafe, Gucci, and I was like, this is stupid, McDonald's.
Stupid.
I don't want to see any of that.
So I walked up to a local, I walked a few blocks up to find some local food and stuff.
I don't want the same old garbage reproduced.
I don't want a steel concrete block planet.
I want weird, fun, exciting, new, and discovery, and creativity.
Twitter is a trash platform.
The people who are running it are woke zealots and ideologues who think they know how you should think, so they ban people for saying funny things like learn to code.
That's boring and stupid.
You know?
It reminds me of that song's Little Boxes.
You know, little boxes on the hilltop, made of ticky tacky or whatever.
And it's a song about just how everything becomes homogenized and boring.
I'm not interested in that.
I want to do weird stuff.
That's why we want the Cast Castle vlog.
That's why we want to do the vlog.
And, you know, it's in a bit of a...
Limbo-ish space.
But we're looking at hiring some talent, writing comedy, doing sketches, and just making weird things.
Being a bit experimental, making music, doing our own thing, being creative, and challenging the homogenized, broken, boring, censorious, zealot cult system, and saying no.
That's why I like The Daily Wire and what they're doing with a lot of their stuff.
But even The Daily Wire, it does feel It feels fearless, what they're doing.
It feels like they're pushing back, they're making jokes, but it needs to be crazier than it is.
And maybe they can't do that.
I know I can though, and we're going to be crazy, and do crazy things, like a Chicken City commercial.
And people can be like, why are you doing that, not promoting Timcast, because it's better marketing.
Making a ridiculous chicken commercial with explosions and people arguing with chickens and like swinging from ropes and running out of boulders paths.
Just a ridiculous commercial.
It's the stupidest thing you'll ever see.
We want to do stupid things.
We want people to say, that was really stupid.
Good.
At least it was different.
At least we're trying to make something new.
And that'll generate good marketing across the board for everything.
We're going to keep making dumb stuff, so I hope you're prepared.
We're going to have serious stuff.
We're going to have serious conversations.
We're going to talk about the BS of the political censorship and the cult.
But I also think the solution is cultural.
We can't just complain about it.
We've got to be the change we want to see in the world.
That means we need to step up and be weirdos.
And I look forward to doing it.
I'll leave it there.
Next segment's coming up at 1 p.m.
on this channel.
Thank you so much for hanging out.
And again, we are here in the new trailer.
The new trailer studio is way better.
Better electricity, better lighting, better ceiling, just everything is better.
We tried out one trailer, we went to Austin, we went to Alex Jones' place, and it was... But, you know, this trailer is much, much better.
So now we're hanging out with The Daily Wire.
We'll see how things go, but stick around.
We're gonna have a bunch of the Daily Wire talent coming on TimCast IRL, so check that out.
Thanks for hanging out, and we'll see you all at one.
It hasn't just been in recent history, it was over the past several years.
When the COVID lockdowns came into full swing, we saw people rush into stores, buy whatever they could.
Then we saw supply chain disruption due to the shutdown of our country.
It resulted in a major hiccup, which we are not recovering from.
But from there, we saw what happens when there are food shortages.
In the past few weeks, we have been warned by Joe Biden, by the UN, by many political leaders in Europe, that there will be food shortages and they will get bad.
We were warned that there may be a global famine coming.
And this is due to a lot of reasons.
But it could be due a lot to what's happening with Russia and Ukraine.
Of course, there is a fertilizer, a fertilizer price increase now that we're experiencing.
Exports from Ukraine and Russia into Europe are basically, they basically halted.
Planting season is in jeopardy in Europe and the United States.
And so it is widely speculated we will see major food shortages coming later this year.
The big story right now, the image you see on your screen for those watching, Is a video coming out of Shanghai, where people are screaming, singing, and a drone tells everyone to comply with the new COVID restrictions.
I couldn't believe it.
When I saw this story, I couldn't believe it.
COVID restrictions?
What about the war with Russia and Ukraine?
And people screaming outside their windows?
We've seen this story before.
We have.
I saw this video of people screaming, and the drone warning people, and I thought, this has got to be from 2020.
Because I remember this exact same thing happening.
So I dug into the archives, I found the old video of people screaming, and sure enough, they are different videos.
Several outlets are now reporting on what's happening in Shanghai.
They are dealing with very serious food shortages.
Man, I hope you guys pay attention, and be smart.
I don't know exactly what will happen.
What I do know is it is not that difficult to get emergency supplies, be it water, food, first aid kit, download an emergency survival guide onto your phones.
You're probably never going to use them.
Maybe it won't get as bad here as it is there.
But seriously, take it into consideration.
I want to play for you this video.
I want to show you this article.
Shanghai residents scream from windows, get drone lockdown warning.
I mean, this stuff is freaky.
Here's an image of an empty refrigerator on someone's balcony, and you know, I look at this and I just think, are we being manipulated?
Are we being lied to?
I don't know, man.
All I can say is, it is not difficult for you guys to be ready for this stuff.
I don't do this often, but I've done it quite a bit in the past few months.
Head over to SafeAndReadyMeals.com.
They're a sponsor of my work, and I shout them out only when I feel like there's a real reason, a real reminder of why you guys should have some kind of emergency food supply.
At SafeAndReadyMeals.com, you can pick up a three-month emergency food supply, a four-week emergency food supply.
You can get those, they say, last 25 years, 2,000 calories per day.
I'll give you my opinion.
If it really came down to major food shortages, I don't think you'll be eating 2,000 calories per day.
I think you will, first and foremost, you don't eat these, uh, emergency food supplies.
You save them for when you have no choice.
And if, and if you, you have to source your own food, you do it.
For those living in cities, I hope you've just figured out what you're gonna do to get out of the cities when there's no food or water.
But again, safeandreadymeals.com is, uh, it's, it's 25-year shelf life, food buckets.
Pick them up, the buckets are great too.
Take this seriously, and of course, this is a sponsored spot for this channel.
It does help support our work when you pick this stuff up.
Don't be like these people in Shanghai who maybe have no choice.
Let me play for you this video right now, and you can hear what it sounds like.
I got a couple videos for you.
Let's play this one.
Alright, it's probably hard to hear, but we gotta get the audio set up here.
We're in the trailer, so I apologize.
But you probably can't hear those.
It's just haunting.
It's absolutely terrifying.
The echo from these drones as they're telling people, Shanghai residents scream from windows, get drone lockdown warning.
In viral videos on social media, residents in Shanghai, China can be heard screaming from their apartments, while a drone can be seen issuing warnings about COVID-19 restrictions.
As the country sticks to its strict zero-COVID policy amid increase of infections, a video circulating on Twitter shows high-rise buildings in Shanghai at night, with people heard yelling from their windows.
Shanghai residents mad as hell can't take it anymore.
China's zero-COVID policy getting dangerous.
The video was originally posted by author and radio host Patrick Madrid on Friday, and has been viewed nearly 3 million times.
This video taken yesterday in Shanghai, China by the father of a close friend of mine.
She verified its authenticity.
People screaming out of their windows after a week of total lockdown, no leaving your apartment for any reason.
A separate video posted earlier in the week shows a drone flying over the city, issuing a warning for city residents to follow COVID restrictions.
Shanghai residents go to their balconies to sing and protest lack of supplies.
Sing is a strong term.
What I heard was shrieking.
A drone appears.
Please comply with COVID restrictions.
Control your soul's desire for freedom.
Do not open the window or sing Alice Su, a journalist for The Economist wrote on Twitter Wednesday.
That video has been viewed 3.4 million times.
Shanghai has recently experienced China's largest COVID-19 outbreak and since late last month has faced lockdowns.
Chinese officials have received backlash for the policy, as residents have said they have had to go without basic necessities including food, a video captured ahead of the lockdown last month, showed residents fighting one another for food and supplies in a store.
Wow, man.
Local residents in Shanghai seen fighting over groceries as half of its 26 million residents are in lockdown, and other half entering lockdown soon.
Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding, an epidemiologist, wrote on Twitter.
They want people to keep working to the best of their abilities.
They want to be able to secure resources for themselves before things get truly bad.
Here's what I think.
I think that powerful political leaders already have their emergency supplies in bunkers.
I think most regular people don't.
I think many of these powerful people have friends and family in their extended circles, and they want to make sure those people get access before everyone else.
I would imagine well before any of this went down, these powerful leaders went to their friends and said, go buy what you can now.
They didn't say it publicly, though.
Maybe they didn't, but come on.
You really think that somebody who works in the government didn't warn their cousins, their aunts, their uncles, their kids, their kids' friends?
Of course they did.
It's exactly what you see when you see Nancy Pelosi buy stock, and then all of a sudden some regulation comes out, or any member of Congress or the Senate buys stock, and then, oh, well, there you go.
I wonder why they bought all that.
Because they know what's coming.
And you don't.
Now if they're able to buy stocks to make these predictions, don't you think they saw this coming?
For all those people who would scream, it's a conspiracy theory or whatever nonsense, I will say it again.
If we know they buy stocks with privy to information to make money, why would they not warn their friends and family about pending economic and food crises?
Of course they would.
That's why I shout at safeandreadymeals.com.
I always want to stress it.
Dude, I don't expect you guys to create a bunker with 30 years worth of beans or anything like that.
You decide for yourselves what you want to do.
Watch these videos.
I watch them the same as you.
Conclusion?
Biden said global famine is coming.
Or we're worried about it.
We've got an article about the looming catastrophe of a global food shortage.
This one's talking about Russia.
The other one's talking about COVID.
They're telling us it's happening.
Makes me wonder.
Makes me wonder a whole lot.
In 2018, I thought Republicans were going to win.
I thought they were going to win in Congress.
The reason I did was because I didn't know how anyone could read all the news that was coming out about the insanity of this wokeness and the backlash we saw with movies and pop culture.
I didn't think you'd take all those cultural circumstances and people would go and vote for Democrats, but they did.
In 2020, I thought Trump was going to win because Biden was out of his mind.
But I didn't anticipate many on the left would go out and vote for Joe Biden.
And I saw it in my own friends, people who never vote, can't name a single thing about politics, voted for Biden, posting videos of themselves doing it.
And I thought, wow.
Wow, man.
You'd think that people would be paying attention, wouldn't you?
They don't.
So then what?
Well, people did not pay attention to what was happening all around them.
And now we're four years after 2018, and now, just maybe, the polling is starting to show that Republicans are probably gonna win.
Big!
And it is crazy big.
But what about food crises?
I look at all this, regular people probably aren't paying attention at all.
They're going to the grocery store and they're going, why is my food so expensive?
And they're not thinking about it.
Some people are.
Many people more than others starting to wake up to these crises.
But when you see what's happening in China, you know what my prediction is?
I'd be willing to bet, in the coming weeks or months, you will see the exact same thing at these stores.
I could be wrong.
I hope I'm wrong.
But I gotta be honest.
I don't think it's a guarantee.
I'm just saying.
Let me put it this way.
I think there is a decent probability that those kinds of shortages come to the US.
And it's not my personal opinion.
It is partly.
But it's me hearing Joe Biden say global famine.
It's me looking at theweek.com.
Looming catastrophe of global food shortage.
But I can't stand.
is when people take clips from my show and attribute to me the opinions of better men.
That is to say, there are many much smarter people than me saying these things.
I only read them and go, whoa!
I mean, if these economists and world leaders are saying this, I'll take it seriously.
But then when the Economist Award leaders are off, wrong, or right, people just be like, look at what Tim Poole said.
He was right about this.
He was wrong about this.
And I'm like, yo, for the most part, I'm a milquetoast Fed sitter.
I'm reading the news, and they're telling us this stuff's gonna happen.
And then you have regular people who you'd think would be reading the news, and they don't read it.
They don't read the news.
And so they're late to the party.
Don't be late to the party.
You know what worries me?
What worries me is people spending money they don't have on emergency food to put in their closet, and then they never use it.
What worries me more is the videos we see out of China, and, you know, specifically Shanghai, where people are screaming out of their balconies, locked down, unable to go outside.
You know?
I said last year that I thought hard lockdowns would come back.
Then all of a sudden, COVID started ending.
Luke Rutkowski of We Are Change on TimCast IRL said, lockdowns are going to end.
We're not going to see lockdowns again.
They're going to try and claim victory, and I disagreed.
Then earlier this year, we started to see the lockdowns subside, and I said, you know what?
I was wrong.
Luke was right.
They're easing up the lockdowns.
It's all coming to an end.
Now we're seeing this.
We have the story from wabe.org.
This is 26 million people in Shanghai are locked down due to a surge in COVID cases.
What are the chances that comes here to the United States?
The Democrats want to win.
They've got the polls against them.
Well, what if we get locked down again?
And they say, oh, we need all of that mail-in voting.
It's the only way for people to vote now.
Oh, it's COVID.
It's back.
Look at China.
You see?
Maybe.
I really don't know.
You decide based on what you think's happening.
For all I know, there won't be a food shortage.
It'll affect everybody else, and we're rich Americans, and we're gonna eat to our heart's content.
In fact, I got a plate of food just to my left of salami and cheeses, courtesy of the Daily Wire crew.
Thank you very much, guys.
And keeping us well-fed out here.
Maybe Americans are fat and happy.
We got fat homeless people.
Maybe we won't have these problems.
You know, I talk about this food stuff, the emergency food supplies, because I'm like, we should just have some.
Me personally?
I gotta be honest with you guys, I bought a lot more.
I often talk about how we have emergency supplies, and considering the amount of employees we have, it's not really that much.
It's a lot, for any one person.
But for the company, it's like, eh.
We've got some food, you know?
So I bought more.
Because I would rather be able to keep the machine churning.
It's not just about having internet backups, having fuel backups, having electric cars, having solar chargers.
Self-reliance, man.
And so, I stocked up.
We're staying at a hotel out here.
It's really nice.
It's a really nice hotel.
We're staying at a really nice room in a really nice hotel.
And there are signs everywhere saying, due to the labor shortage, they can't provide certain things.
And that's the crazy thing about the minibars, where you make money.
Nope, not here.
No minibar.
Nobody can restock it, so we don't have anybody to work.
I went down and I said, uh, do you guys do coffee service?
Like, sometimes they'll bring the coffee up to your room.
And they were like, we can bring coffee to your room.
I was like, oh, awesome.
Because they'll give you a fresh pot of coffee, you know, if you stay at a hotel, you've had it.
And they'll give you a little thin cream.
I hear a knock on the door.
There they are.
I'm like, oh, finally.
Open the door.
Guy hands me a bag.
Bag.
Okay.
Plastic bag.
I look in it.
Coffee mate individual creamer cups and Keurig cups for our Keurig machine.
And I went, uh-huh.
Yo.
And we're staying at the Nice Hotel.
The reason for all of this is because we never recovered from COVID.
We never recovered from the lockdowns.
Prices are skyrocketing.
There are some right now in the crypto community that are saying true inflation, there's this crypto chain tracking for inflation, is showing something like 14% inflation.
Food is up, I think, like 25% or something like that, according to these people.
We do know that food is skyrocketing.
We know that in Congress, I think it was Pelosi, passed a 21% budget increase.
I think things are going to get bad.
How bad, though?
I suppose if it happens slowly enough, people are used to it.
Because if we were to judge this year by 2019, ooh, it's really bad.
It's so bad.
But we're resilient.
We're well-fed.
So how bad is it, really?
That's the main issue.
In 2019, best numbers of our lives.
That's what we heard.
The economy was roaring.
People were saying they were making tons of money.
Then COVID hit and all of a sudden things got bad and they've been bad ever since.
Gas prices are through the roof.
Joe Biden's making it worse.
There was a story out of I think Philly where a guy got arrested for putting I did that stickers on gas pumps.
Man.
Right now we're seeing things get truly bad and it's and it's it's scary what some of these these videos are.
Video taken of people screaming.
I don't think you can uh...
You probably can't hear it all that well.
We gotta get the audio set up better.
It's just screaming.
Screaming.
Take a look at this story.
This is from August 25th, 2020.
When I saw that video, I was like, this has gotta be someone just reposting the same video.
China's Xinjiang residents yell from balconies as strict coronavirus lockdown drags on.
I hope you don't live in a city.
I don't know where you go.
I don't want to live in a city.
Some cities are better than others.
Let's be real.
You know, right now we're in Nashville.
Nashville's not so big.
And the downtown area, it's amazing.
Seriously, the best downtown I have ever been to.
Nashville.
The live music everywhere.
We went to one place, I was an arcade, and I won a giant lollipop.
Yeah, absolutely fantastic.
New York, boring.
Chicago, boring.
LA, pfft, don't even have a downtown.
Nashville's fun.
But I still wouldn't want to be in any one of these cities.
Maybe close enough, but not too close.
Where we operate out of, typically, because right now we're at the Daily Wire headquarters, we operate out about 50, 60 miles west of D.C.
And so it's mountains, trees, open road.
And I much prefer to be out there.
Because if something really bad happens, people are gonna pour out of these cities.
And I gotta say, man, I don't think you see, I think you ain't seen nothing yet.
I don't have all the answers.
I really, really don't.
Take a look at this.
JetBlue will slash number of summer flights by 10% as airline is hit by staff shortages, while Alaska Airtrims schedule by 2% because of lack of pilots.
The COVID lockdown stuff never ended.
Now the Russian war stuff.
Everything's gonna get worse.
Is this... I don't know, naysaying?
Is this doom casting?
Maybe.
If you'd prefer, I would just ignore all of these stories that are like, just coming out right now, warning of all of this, or the viral videos of people screaming in China.
But I see these things, and these are the things I think I would like to know about.
When I see stories that are powerful and worrying, I'm like, I'm glad I saw that story.
And if someone says to me something like, did you hear people screaming in the balconies of these buildings?
I'd be like, no, no, no, where?
Show me, show me.
I want to know.
Why?
What's happening?
So that I can be better prepared.
We are at TimCast.com, we run a successful business.
And part of that success comes from constantly being prepared for everything.
Planning, navigating minefields.
I think for that reason, we've been successful.
I take a look at the other things that I've done, and maybe it's overkill.
Maybe I don't need any of this emergency food.
We've never needed to use it.
That's the reality.
I've ordered a bunch of food, we've eaten some of it for fun.
Because we wanted to try it out.
We also got MREs, but MREs are fun.
You know, you give someone an MRE, you know MREs are a meal ready to eat, and it's like you open it, and there's like iron shavings, and you put the water in, and it heats up.
It's not good food, but it's fun!
It's fun, and you know, it's what the soldiers eat, so it's fun when we get to eat it too, but you wouldn't want to do it for a long term.
We've never had to use any of it throughout all of this stuff, but when it got bad, When the lockdowns got really bad, we left the Philly suburbs within a couple months.
Because they were talking about shutting bridges down, locking down states, banning interstate travel, all of this stuff.
And they did.
Do you remember?
They had warnings.
Like, in Chicago, it said if you've come from these states, you have to quarantine for two weeks.
You can't leave.
It was soft.
There wasn't harsh enforcement.
Cops weren't tracking people down.
But in places like Hawaii, people who didn't quarantine were actually getting arrested.
There were border checkpoints between New York and Connecticut.
It did happen, lest we forget.
Could it happen again?
Why not?
I don't know if the COVID stuff will come back here, but we've got war stuff here.
Mainstream corporate press is warning us about the food shortages.
So do what's right for you.
Pay attention to what's happening in the world.
I am personally worried, but it's not going to stop me from doing my thing.
I'm not going to dig a hole underground and just hide for 30 years.
We're going to keep doing our thing, but we're going to make sure we're always putting that buffer in between us and disaster.
For you, do what you think is right for you and your family.
Many of you probably live in cities.
You didn't need to leave the cities when the riots happened, though I'm sure things kind of sucked when they rioted through your towns and burned stuff down.
What if it got worse?
What if it got bad but not as worse?
It's up to you, I guess.
Me personally, I don't want to be in these cities.
Take this information and do with it what you can.
We're seeing in Peru, food riots.
Food and fuel riots.
Sri Lanka.
Now we're seeing this in Shanghai, and there's warnings that it will come to the U.S.
A lot of people are optimistic, but that could be an optimism bias and a normalcy bias.
Take it all with a grain of salt, figure out what makes sense for you.
I'll do right by me, my friends, my family, so I'm buying emergency food as I have been.
And we haven't used it yet, which could mean nothing's gonna happen.
We'll be fine.
Maybe all that really happens is you can't get ice cream, but you can get milk.
Maybe it means no more chocolate bars, but unsweetened cocoa might still be there.
Or maybe there's no cocoa at all, but there'll still be milk, bread, and eggs.
