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May 22, 2024 - Timcast IRL - Tim Pool
02:02:52
Biological ATTACK On Republican HQ In DC Sparks LOCKDOWN w/Chase Geiser | Timcast IRL
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chase geiser
20:59
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elad eliahu
17:18
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hannah claire brimelow
12:44
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tim pool
01:09:34
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Speaker Time Text
tim pool
So today, the Republican National Headquarters in DC, was locked down after what they say was a biological attack.
Blood was sent to their headquarters, and of course, that's a serious issue.
So they ended up having to lock things down.
I don't know to what degree the blood may have been infected or contaminated or who knows, but things are certainly getting spicy in this country.
And we're kind of in this low period waiting for the results until next week of what's going on with this Trump trial and where we're currently at.
But we do have a bunch of news.
13 counties in Oregon have voted to secede and join Ohio.
I know this is particularly interesting.
We got another poll.
You're going to love this one.
40% of Americans, according to Marist, think civil war is coming.
And then more interestingly, Biden is not on the ballot in Ohio.
I kind of feel like this is the biggest story because it's been something we've been tracking.
And now they're saying it's too late.
Biden will not be able to get on the ballot.
They've not been able to get this rectified.
What does that mean?
Something weird is going on.
Now, there's political party members in the Democratic Party like, no, no, no, we're going to get him on the ballot.
Don't worry.
And it's just like, No, they said it's over.
So what does this mean that Biden isn't even on the ballot in Ohio?
They don't care about these swing states?
And then we got some pretty funny news.
Vivek Ramaswamy bought part of BuzzFeed.
Yeah.
He bought part of BuzzFeed, that's right.
Alright, he's gonna turn it around.
He's gonna make some money.
So we'll talk about all of this stuff.
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Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Chase Geyser.
chase geiser
Hey, it's an honor and a pleasure to be here.
My name's Chase Geyser.
I am the author of The Rise of American Populism with a foreword by Alex Jones.
This is available for pre-order on Amazon, and it's the reason I reached out and asked to be here, and it's an honor and a pleasure to be here again.
I also host the Sunday Night Live show on InfoWars on Sunday nights from 6 to 8 p.m.
Central Time.
I work for Alex Jones in Austin, Texas every day.
Again, thank you so much for having me.
tim pool
Absolutely.
We've got a lot hanging out.
elad eliahu
Hey, what's up, everybody?
I'm Elad Eliyahu.
I'm a reporter here at TimCast News.
Chase, thanks for hanging out with us tonight.
What's up, Hannah-Claire?
hannah claire brimelow
Hey, I'm Hannah-Claire Brimelow.
I'm a writer for stnr.com at Scanner News.
It's pretty great.
Hi, Serge!
unidentified
Hello, Hannah-Claire.
Hey, dudes.
tim pool
Let's get into it, Tim.
The big news from the Daily Mail!
Republicans say they were victims of a biological attack after vials of blood were sent to RNC headquarters.
The RNC said its headquarters in D.C.
was targeted in a biological attack on Wednesday because of the blood.
After a suspicious package was found in the building, they temporarily locked it down and a hazmat team was dispatched to the scene.
He said, today vials of blood were sent to RNC headquarters in DC.
We are thankful to law enforcement who responded quickly and ensured everyone's safety.
Yo, that's what, how did they know it was blood?
The lockdown has been cleared and staff has resumed their office duties because we remain unintimidated and undeterred in our efforts to elect President Trump to the White House.
He added, this revolting attack comes on the heels of pro-Hamas protesters violently demonstrating on college campuses and deranged Biden supporters physically attacking our campaign volunteers for supporting President Trump.
While Republicans fight to strengthen our economy, secure our southern border and halt the violent crime in our communities, the fringe left is wreaking havoc, sowing fear and lying to the public in a bad faith effort to divide Americans and sway an election.
He says, no matter what violent tactics Biden's extreme left supporters try next, the RNC would stand firm in our mission to deliver greater freedom and opportunity for all Americans, and we won't back down.
Certainly lathering it on a bit thick there over getting a couple vials of blood, which is nasty and alarming, sure, but like...
You know, kind of making it seem like there was an assassination attempt on the president or something over this blood is, oh, that story.
chase geiser
How mad do you think the DNC was when they found out their adrenochrome went to the wrong headquarters?
hannah claire brimelow
I was going to say, some corner is really in trouble right now.
Or do you think they're just trying to lure some vampires to the RNC?
They're like, here guys, just go that way, hang out with the Republicans.
I mean, it does seem a little hysterical.
On the other hand, it could have been anything, and you don't really want random vials of blood showing up on your doorstep.
tim pool
That's weird.
Why would someone do that?
Like, what is the thought process of sending blood to the RNC headquarters, right?
chase geiser
It could just be any lunatic.
hannah claire brimelow
I mean, my initial thought was, like, you know how during Blinken's testimony I say people were sitting there with, like, red paint on their hands for, like, the blood on your hands thing?
I wondered if it was a reference to something like that.
But, you know, I haven't Googled to see if the RNC headquarters next to, like, a Quest diagnostic.
What if it really was just something delivered to the wrong place?
chase geiser
If they run a DNA test on it and find out who it is.
elad eliahu
It'll be interesting to see if we find out who sent them these vials.
We never found out who left the pipe bombs January 5th outside the DNC or RNC ever, so.
Doesn't look like they care much about these two buildings.
tim pool
They don't care about either of these buildings, so... How much would you say that this is them just kind of hamming it up?
Or, like, the RNC, it's like, oh, it was a biological attack.
chase geiser
If it was going to be an attack, you'd think it would be like anthrax or something that was actually deadly.
I mean, who knows if these blood vials are even anything lethal?
I mean, they were in vials?
It's gross, but what's lethal about that?
It's not, like, dangerous.
tim pool
Two vials of blood.
And, you know, and, yeah, I don't know.
People send all sorts of weird stuff to freak people out.
Maybe, maybe, I guess the issue is we would need to know what accompanied the blood vials.
Was there a letter saying, like, here is the blood that has stained your hands or something like this?
Or maybe it said something gross like diseased blood.
hannah claire brimelow
It's like two lab for testing for cholesterol like what if this really is just Like FedEx driver who's having the worst day?
tim pool
He's being interrogated the police and he's like, I'm just really bad at my job It was a it was a 23 and me and they put the wrong the wrong.
chase geiser
Are you spitting those?
tim pool
I don't care.
hannah claire brimelow
Somebody got it wrong.
elad eliahu
You don't you don't take two full vials of your blood Some staffer accidentally got this mail to the wrong location or like oh, yeah, don't send it to my apartment send it to my job instead Well, I mean, with things like this, and with the rhetoric certainly escalating, what are we supposed to expect?
tim pool
You know, what do you think, Chase, coming up in November?
Obviously, the narrative is no one's going to believe the results of the election.
And so With things like this, are we really looking at serious escalation of conflict?
What happens after the election?
Our Trump supporter's gonna be like, oh Biden won, that's cool.
Our Biden supporter's gonna be like, huh, Trump won.
Alright.
chase geiser
What first comes to mind is the summer of love and what happened after George Floyd.
I definitely foresee, at minimum, conflicts like that if Trump wins.
I see people going to the streets, burning buildings down, Democratic district attorneys or attorney generals maybe not prosecuting these people.
I definitely see violence and protests in the streets.
On that standpoint, now, if Biden wins, or whoever the Democratic candidate is, I'm still not 100% convinced that it's even going to be Biden.
Weird things like him not being on the ballot in certain states and this DNC thing coming up and it's going to be remote now imply to me that there's something weird going on with that.
But if Biden wins, I don't know if there's going to be violence or not.
I find it hard to believe that there won't be some major upheaval reminiscent of J6, though I do have a tendency to believe J6 was, in large, catalyzed by feds.
tim pool
I think that regardless of what happens in 2024, it's either going to be 28 or 32.
Because, you know, we talked a little bit about this before the show, and it's something that we had talked about last night on the show.
The silent and boomer generations are a stabilizing force right now in the country.
And one of the main reasons people say things like, oh, Twitter is not real life.
It's only because older people are less likely to be using it.
So the opinions and the fights you get into are typically among younger people.
Then you walk outside and the businesses run by boomers don't behave these ways.
But imagine that purple-haired woke leftist on X who's arguing with you turns 45, gets promoted to that job level.
I mean, we talked about this with Bud Light.
When the Bud Light thing happened, I said, My prediction is it's going to be some millennial woman who got promoted to marketing and decided to go this route.
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
And then all of a sudden you get the Dylan Mulvaney beer can.
When the older generation is out of politics, imagine what it's going to be like when AOC is Speaker of the House.
Right.
She's going to be like, we won't bring any bill to the floor that's Trump because Trump's a white supremacist.
And then you're going to have someone being like, you know, we should cut taxes and they're going to bet you're a Nazi.
chase geiser
Well, what do you think about this?
I mean, traditionally we've thought, I mean, there's that old expression, if you're young and you're not a Democrat, you don't have a heart.
And if you're old and you're not conservative, you don't have a brain.
And regardless of the veracity of that expression.
Traditionally, people, as they get older and have families, they become more conservative and have more conservative values.
Do you think it's not going to happen this time with the way the demographic is?
I mean, do you think that the leftists who are 25 now, when they're 35 or 45, aren't going to become more conservative in the way that maybe demographics have in the past?
tim pool
Yeah, I think that saying is silly.
I understand why people say it.
It's because of historical trends.
chase geiser
Right.
tim pool
But what the real saying implies is, when you're young you are dumb, and then you realize how the world works.
unidentified
Right.
tim pool
So, they say you have no heart.
Oh, come on.
It's like, the implication is that your dad is strict with you because he has no heart.
No, of course not.
Your parents will be strict and tell you, you are grounded.
You can't go out after 10 because you were caught smoking pot with your friends because they care about you.
So this idea that Democrats, like, you've got Democrats trying to be the cool parent, being like, we're gonna legalize drugs, you can do whatever you want, abortion up to the point of birth or whatever.
They don't care about you when they do that.
That's not what someone who actually cares about you does.
So this idea that they say, if you're not liberal when you're young, you have no heart.
And if you're not conservative when you're old, you have no head.
That's what they say.
Yeah, no.
The real issues of conservatism, that saying is to imply, when you get older, you become cold and callous, but calculating.
And when you're younger, you're loving, but a little stupid.
Right.
The reality is, the conservative policies are based on helping people survive.
chase geiser
I agree with you.
And live better.
I'm just curious as to whether or not the left is going to shift to the right as it ages in this country.
tim pool
So I would say no.
There are people who are probably default liberal, as Breitbart would refer to them, who will go, oh, hey, whoa, I was voting for dumb things.
And then they will start voting conservative.
But these people aren't leftists as it is.
They're normies.
The left, people like AOC, she's not going to become conservative.
Nothing's going to change.
She's already the kind of person Where, when there's a failure of government that she implements, she then blames the Republicans and corporations, and then implements more failed policies, and that is the MO of the progressive leftist politician.
So, for people like her, these kids at these universities that are protesting, these camps, they don't actually care about Israel.
Some do, I'm sure.
Most of them don't.
It's just the current, you know, cause of the day.
As Phil likes to point out, The cause is always the revolution.
Those people aren't going to just change.
They're not going to one day be like, oh man, wow, like we were out here with, we set up the people's library.
I should have charged money for that!
That's not going to happen.
For normies who vote Democrat because they don't pay attention, sure, those people are going to vote conservative.
But for the most part, what you will see then is There's going to be a lot of people shifting to the right, and we're seeing it right now already.
Younger people are moving towards Trump, but there still is a hyperpolarization.
I think you'll get a larger percentage of people moving towards the Trump side of things, the MAGA side of things, because it's closer to what Americans want and expect.
But the far left are being radicalized on the internet, and they're building a cult base.
So they will have a fringe but large block.
When boomers age out, you know, retire, they are retiring, but then also just no longer vote because they've gone to the great beyond, as with the silent generation, the way I describe it is, Imagine you have a sheet of paper and the older generation is up top and the younger generation is at the bottom, but we've split the younger generation.
We're peeling the paper from the bottom up.
As everyone ages and moves off the paper, you're splitting it and eventually you end up with two separate sheets that don't go together anymore.
So right now, the top of the page, it's two of five generations have political views that are similar.
But the younger generations are further and further bifurcated.
chase geiser
Right.
tim pool
What happens when that split goes all the way to the top?
Now you have the United States of America, and then you have Wokistan.
hannah claire brimelow
Do you think the party identities were as big a deal for previous generations, let's say a hundred years ago?
I feel like now, one of the reasons someone wouldn't change, as soon as they decide they're a progressive Democrat, they'll be one forever, is because they can't Separate it from their own sense of identity.
chase geiser
Sure.
Well, I think there have been studies that have been done.
Traditionally in America, parents would rather have their children marry someone of the same religion in a different political party persuasion.
And that's shifted, I believe, over the course of the last several years to parents would actually rather have their children marry someone who's a different religion as long as they're part of the same political persuasion.
hannah claire brimelow
It's a big mark of our identity now.
chase geiser
Yes, absolutely.
So I do think that The political persuasion shift is much more difficult.
tim pool
What about, like, Hellenistic religion?
Maybe that goes a little too far.
chase geiser
Oh, you worship Zeus?
tim pool
Yeah.
hannah claire brimelow
But which way are you voting, though?
chase geiser
Yeah, as long as you don't vote for Tacitus.
tim pool
Let's jump to the story from The Blaze.
Biden is currently not slated to be on the Ohio ballot in November, and state lawmakers didn't bother to fix the issue.
I mean, that's the story.
The Democrats are claiming, don't worry, we'll figure it out, he'll get on the ballot.
But the legislature of Ohio could not come to a decision as to how to solve the problem.
You have to certify the nominees 90 days before election day to get on the ballot, but because of when they're doing the convention, It's 75 days.
They don't have enough time to actually get him on the ballot.
Now, they said, OK, let's let's just deal with this at the legislative level to get the sitting president on the ballot.
And then they could not agree.
They couldn't figure out how to actually do it.
And some states, because of partisanship, Republicans were saying, no, we don't want to do that.
Democrats were like, then do this.
And they said no.
So there's no Biden in Ohio.
chase geiser
And that's a big swing state, too, right?
tim pool
It's a big swing state.
It's an important one.
Now, it is leaning Trump.
According to all the polls.
hannah claire brimelow
Why did the DNC, who sets their calendar for their convention, not think this one through?
Like, they're blaming Ohio, but I don't understand why the DNC picked the dates that it did.
Surely they went to all the states that were important and be like, when do we need to know?
When do we need to submit that name?
You tell me.
Like, why are we blaming the state lawmakers in Ohio who had an established rule when the DNC schedules their convention?
This doesn't make sense to me.
tim pool
It was a choice.
Something is weird.
Something weird is going on.
hannah claire brimelow
Doesn't it seem odd that the DNC would pick a date that's after an important swing state can put Biden on the ballot?
tim pool
They don't care.
Is this indicative of a shadow campaign where Democrats are so confident they're going to win they don't need Ohio?
hannah claire brimelow
Oh, man, that's so reckless.
chase geiser
That's so reckless.
Well, it's weird, too, because Gavin Newsom has been in the news the last week or couple of weeks, I've noticed, talking about some autobiography that he's apparently been working on for four years.
But he's just— If he comes out with a book, though, do you think they're going to try to slide him in, or is that just too much of a stretch?
tim pool
Maybe, but he's just like a leftist Romney, you know what I mean?
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
He doesn't— He can put a sentence together, though.
unidentified
Yeah, but I suppose it's fair to say... He does look like Romney.
tim pool
Yeah, he's like a leftist Romney.
chase geiser
Pat Bateman and Romney had a baby.
hannah claire brimelow
Server boy Romney.
tim pool
If they're going shadow campaign route, universal mail-in votes and ballot harvesting, they don't care if it's Biden or Newsom.
chase geiser
Right, it doesn't matter.
tim pool
It doesn't matter.
And I suppose the issue is maybe they don't care if Biden's on the ballot because they're ballot harvesting and they'll just get five million write-ins or something.
chase geiser
All in the same exact font.
tim pool
It's with the same pen.
One old man... Did you use papyrus?
One guy walks out of a... Were you watching Avatar?
One guy walks out of a nursing home and he's got one massive right forearm and a pen in his hand.
unidentified
It's that guy I've been signing for three months.
elad eliahu
I don't think this is going to go anywhere.
I think they're going to make an exception for Joe Biden in a few weeks.
This won't be a story.
chase geiser
That's reasonable.
elad eliahu
Yeah, that's where I think this is going.
chase geiser
That's reasonable.
elad eliahu
Otherwise, they'll say, oh, the Ohio Republicans are obstructing democracy by taking the sitting president off of the ballot there.
tim pool
Okay, but maybe.
But maybe then the Republicans say the Democrats pulled strings to cheat in the rules to get Biden listed when they screwed it up.
elad eliahu
Totally.
Also, it would screw Democrats down ballot, which even if Joe Biden, I don't think he's really in play for Ohio, but down ballot is where it would matter.
And no, they're going to give him a workaround now.
tim pool
I agree, but understand that means Republicans then say Democrats broke the rules, changed the rules, and then put their guy on even though it broke the law.
unidentified
Yeah, absolutely.
tim pool
This could open the door if Biden wins Ohio for massive lawsuits to say that they cheated and they altered the forms outside of the laws of the state.
elad eliahu
Hopefully we'll give the RFK Jr.
campaign more lawsuits and things to complain about, too, because I know they're trying to keep him on the balance across the country.
tim pool
No, why are you ragging on RFK?
chase geiser
No, RFK Jr., hey!
hannah claire brimelow
No, I think it really is going to reflect badly on the DNC, right?
The DNC sets the date of their convention, so they can say Ohio and their laws and whatever, but they pick the date that they did, which either means they don't care, they think they should have an exception to the rule, which shows incredible arrogance, or...
this is a consistent issue they've had. They've decided that they are changing how they're
operating and everyone must conform to the will. Remember, they changed their primary schedule
instead of going with First Nation New Hampshire. They were like South Carolina.
chase geiser
And then Bernie won in 2016 and they just said, no, Hillary won.
hannah claire brimelow
Yeah. I mean, I think that there are probably a pocket. I don't know how many,
but there are probably some, you know, think of like the blue dog Democrats. People are still
part of the party, but aren't sort of necessarily progressive who are looking at the party change
and alter their rules constantly who are like, what are you guys doing?
You didn't catch this?
There were Democrats in New Hampshire who were like, Hey, we gotta have a writing campaign to make sure, because Biden wasn't even on the New Hampshire primary ballot during the time, because they were like, we don't care about New Hampshire.
South Carolina, which by the way, he won handily, even though he lost to New Hampshire.
I mean, there's a reason they're doing what they're doing, but I think it separates the voters from the DNC as an organization.
tim pool
There's like some 26-year-old and a couple of 20-year-old interns that are told by the DNC, like, you guys are going to be in charge of making sure the paperwork's in line so we can file in these states.
And they're just sitting in the room with their feet up, like, spinning in their office chairs, not paying attention, being like, I don't know, I don't really care about Biden, do you?
chase geiser
I just think it's bizarre that you would want to have your convention 75 days before the general election.
I mean, that is, like, no time.
tim pool
Right?
elad eliahu
And if Joe Biden is kept off the ballot, then, you know, if he loses, they'll say that the Republicans stole the election.
chase geiser
It gives the other side less time to investigate, too.
elad eliahu
You know, this is the rubric for down the line if something goes wrong.
Oh, look, we weren't on the ballot in Ohio, that we probably weren't going to win anyway.
tim pool
And it was Republicans in the state legislature who blocked us.
hannah claire brimelow
Even though our party set the convention two years in advance.
tim pool
No, it's not going to matter.
Everyone's going to blame everybody else no matter what happens come November.
unidentified
Yeah.
chase geiser
And it's going to be everybody else's fault.
tim pool
It will be.
I don't see a resolution.
I don't...
Look, man, you put a little puzzle in front of me and I'll work to figure it out and be like, oh, that makes sense.
You give me a jigsaw puzzle, I'll start putting the edges together and figure out what the picture is.
I don't know what the picture is for November.
I guess the only thing we can conclude is, no matter what happens, no one agrees.
Like, Biden wins?
No way.
Trump wins?
No way.
And maybe that's the complete picture.
It's a Jackson Pollock painting.
chase geiser
I can't think of an instance in history when things have been this corrupt in any civilization.
I'm by no means an expert where that level of corruption has been reversed peacefully.
tim pool
Ah yes.
chase geiser
And that's really a challenging thing for me to wrap my head around.
elad eliahu
I think it's inevitable that the loser of the upcoming election will have like a certain percent of their base that no matter what happens will say the election was stolen if they lost.
I think we would see another January 6th like event if Trump lost.
I think there's going to be people who do the not my president stuff with Trump if he wins.
Um, so either way.
chase geiser
They teased it in 2016, too, because Hillary basically denied the- did she ever even concede the election in 2016?
tim pool
She did concede.
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
But then she immediately started saying, he's a Russian agent, it's illegitimate, the Russians stole it from me.
chase geiser
Illegitimate was the word they used, not an election.
tim pool
I think she said she won, didn't she?
What did she say in that?
She's like, you could do everything right.
chase geiser
She won the popular vote.
tim pool
And I could be taken away from you or something like that.
elad eliahu
I also believe there was a certain amount of Democrats who chose not to certify that election as well, with Trump coming in.
It wasn't an amount to do anything significant.
tim pool
Symbolic.
I just saw a video of Keith Olbermann in 2004 saying that that election was stolen.
elad eliahu
Yeah, I mean, if you lose, they're gonna call it stolen.
tim pool
Haven't Democrats claimed every Republican win has been stolen?
elad eliahu
I used to see them on ESPN.
Yeah, if you lose, they're gonna call it stolen.
hannah claire brimelow
I just pulled this NPR headline that says, Clinton won't rule out, this is from September 2017, Clinton won't rule out questioning the 2016 election, but says no clear means to do so.
So like, she was always saying, well, maybe there was something, maybe we should look into this, even though this is not something Republicans are allowed to do.
I mean, that was a year afterwards, almost.
chase geiser
The hypocrisy.
tim pool
I like to think back, I'm imagining 2016, and I wanted to say something like, I remember the good old days, 2016, and then I'm just thinking about, like, you know, Obama killing people, and I was like, yeah, it's been pretty bad since, like, 2000, it's been getting worse.
chase geiser
Yes.
Since 9-11, everything's gotten worse.
tim pool
Right.
chase geiser
On the right and the left.
I mean, if you look at the right-wing sponsors, I know the left-wing sponsored it too, but the Patriot Act, a lot of these The Warhawks, a lot of neocon stuff was problematic too.
And that's like the whole thing that, the whole realization that I had was that it's not, I used to always think the Republicans were better than the Democrats because I was a capitalist who believed in American values.
And the fact of the matter is they both increase spending, they both increase inflation, which disproportionately impacts the most vulnerable among us and makes the rich richer because the stock market explodes when inflation happens and they're the only ones with money in the market.
And they both fuck the American people over and over again, and that's why I think the people are becoming populist, because they're realizing that it's not about Republicans versus Democrats, but it's about the people versus the law.
tim pool
Well, I think the people have always been populist.
But I think the issue is they didn't have a vehicle for it.
chase geiser
Yes.
tim pool
And so, you know, I talked to Bannon about this with Occupy Wall Street.
When Occupy Wall Street first started, it was a general grievance against big banks and government bailouts.
And then the right insulted the people who went there, and so the left latched onto it.
And what was a general, neutral, moderate, populist beginning, Within a week or two turned into leftist college trust fund kids.
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
The first weekend I was there, there's this elderly couple in their 60s sitting on a couch with an American flag and they're like, we're here because the government is screwing over the working class.
Big ol' American flag.
And then I'm like, why is it that Breitbart immediately starts insulting these people, Hannity immediately starts insulting these people, the libertarian-minded and conservative-minded individuals who are there immediately leave, and the leftists celebrate their victory, and then Occupy Wall Street turned into weird, woke garbage?
So I remember when Occupy first happens, Hannity is just going nuts insulting everything Occupy's doing.
chase geiser
I fell for it.
I remember I was in college.
I was so upset about Occupy Wall Street because I was an un-ran capitalist guy, you know?
I was just an idiot kid.
tim pool
Yeah, and I mentioned to Ben and I was like, dude, if when Occupy Wall Street started that first week, you showed up with the Breitbart populace, right?
It would have been a unified front.
Bannon, I was like, you could have walked down there and said, tax the rich, and they all would have cheered, and it would have united Tea Party and Occupy.
Because Occupy wasn't leftist.
When it started, it was... Look, man, I gotta tell you, leftists are better than the right at organizing and revolution and all this stuff.
Occupy Wall Street was vague and nebulous.
There was something called Operation Empire State Rebellion that was being organized on 4chan, and that was related in general to government bailouts, government overreach, the corruption in government in general.
Occupy Wall Street was announced by leftists, fair, but what happens is the people who want to show up to protest big banks don't care about Democrat or Republican.
This was during the Obama years.
chase geiser
Right, right after this major crash which impacted everybody.
tim pool
Right, and so it was general, the government is screwing us over, the banks are screwing us over, the ballots are screwing us over, and it was a prime opportunity for people on the right to come in and join with moderate default left liberal individuals.
A month before Occupy, leftists held an organizing meeting to make sure it operated under their control.
That first week, when people showed up, It was random people. There was one guy who was like the
most democrat looking guy you can imagine arguing with anarchists. Like I mentioned, there was the
elderly with the American flag saying we're just here for America, that kind of sentiment.
But then you end up with people like Breitbart and that crew immediately just disregarding
everything they were doing.
chase geiser
It's crazy because the left planned, as you're suggesting in that pre-meeting, to control the movement, but it was actually the right-wing outlets that alienated the right base.
tim pool
It's both.
Fascinating.
One of the reasons why the left organized this was to make sure that the likes of Breitbart and the populist right wouldn't go anywhere near it.
They knew who the Tea Party was.
When we went to a Tea Party event, me and a bunch of the other people who were on the ground covering the stuff got word that Occupy people wanted to go check out a Tea Party thing and see what they were doing.
And there were two or three instances where there were Tea Party rallies and Occupy people showed up to watch and listen to what people were saying.
So they knew exactly what was going on.
They knew exactly what the Tea Party was upset about.
And the people who organized to take over Occupy were elitist, NGO, funded by Open Society Foundation, things like that.
I remember that video where Breitbart's screaming at the protesters at CPAC, you're all animals, you're all animals.
And I'm like, but those were the leftists who took over Occupy.
And I'm just like, I wish Bannon showed up on day one of Occupy and just said, look, I'm not here to argue about left, right, up, down, or otherwise.
I'm here to say the rich are screwing over the American people.
And then you would have had the Tea Party and Occupy as one populist front.
chase geiser
Whatever happened to the Tea Party?
Why did it just vanish out of nowhere?
tim pool
I don't know.
chase geiser
It was like a major threat, right?
There was going to be this major schism in the Republican Party and then all of a sudden nobody said Tea Party again for like 10 years until they started referring to it historically.
elad eliahu
Yeah, I think they had their moment for a little bit, but then they kind of got appropriated and just kind of eaten by the party.
hannah claire brimelow
Yeah, I was going to say, I felt like they got blended back in because there wasn't clear direction and leadership to completely split off.
chase geiser
You know what's crazy, Tim, about what you were saying about demographic shifts with the boomers dying is that it's not only going to impact the entire political landscape, but I think it's going to disproportionately impact the Republican Party.
Because a lot of the Boomer base and the Silent Generation base are conservative-leaning, so when they're gone, all that's going to be left are the MAGA Republicans or the Populist Republicans.
I mean, do you foresee almost like a rejuvenation or a radicalization of the Republican Party as a result of this?
tim pool
I think we're seeing a rejuvenation and an explosion of the Libertarian Party.
So this weekend, Well, we got RFK.
RFK Jr.
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
You've got, uh, Vivek's gonna be there.
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
Trump is gonna be there.
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
Ron Paul is gonna be there.
This is going to be the biggest political, uh, let's call it a bonanza.
Because you say political party, people don't get it.
But I'm like, this is like, if you, if you work in politics, Culture, news, political commentary, pundit, PAX, it's in D.C.
You're there.
Everyone's going to be there except Democrats, right?
So it's almost like if the older Republicans end up leaving, there's going to be an interesting overlap, a much bigger overlap between the Libertarian Party with like the Mises Caucus and the Republican Party.
Right now I think With the Libertarian Party of the Mises Caucus, these guys, they're not fans of the Republicans because the Republicans are, you got a whole bunch of Uniparty establishment garbage.
But to your point, when the older generations are gone, and the younger guys are more MAGA, then it's gonna be like a lot more Libertarian people are gonna have...
Overlap with the Republicans, it might actually, it might be significant.
chase geiser
Do you think that at that point the Republican Party, still being a stronger, more organized force than the Libertarian Party, will absorb the Libertarian Party?
tim pool
No, no, no, but they'll absorb probably a lot of people from the Libertarian Party.
This is why Trump is speaking there.
Because he sees that I mean, he said something about it already, where it's like, I can't remember what he said, but he said something about it when they announced he was speaking there.
I think his pitch is really simple.
You go to the Libertarians and you say, I didn't start any wars!
I'm gonna protect your guns.
Alright?
That's all I can do for you.
If that's good enough, some of you might vote for me, some of you might not, but let's not let the Democrats win.
elad eliahu
I think the Libertarian Party was a nice experiment, but now it is essentially, electorally, just an asset for the Democrats.
They just take a couple of points away from Republicans in states that they can win.
I think it's actually been an issue in a few states, including West Virginia, where we're at now.
Unfortunately, I think the direction of the Libertarian Party also kind of sucks.
I think we all had a little libertarian phase that we grew out of.
I think the Libertarian Party used to be angled more about loving guns, being against legalizing weed, but now it's turning into something that's anti-NATO.
tim pool
Right, but this argument that the Republicans would win if not for the Libertarian Party is just not true.
elad eliahu
In some elections, for sure they do.
tim pool
Absolutely not true.
chase geiser
Didn't Joe Jorgensen, didn't she have enough votes in a couple of the swing states last time?
tim pool
Joe Jorgensen was a woke leftist.
chase geiser
I understand, but she ran as a Libertarian candidate.
tim pool
Exactly, so in what world do woke leftists vote Republican when the Libertarian Party doesn't exist?
chase geiser
Oh, there you go.
elad eliahu
I think the Libertarian Party needs to be a part of the Republican Party.
tim pool
But the Libertarians don't like Republicans.
This is the craziest thing to me.
You spend ten minutes with a Libertarian and you're like, these people are not Republicans.
They will not vote Republican.
Dude, you've got people... Austin Peterson is giving an interview and he says something about, like, we don't want people selling heroin to children and they go, boo!
elad eliahu
But in the same vein, the Democratic Socialists of America are barely Democrats, but they're still Democrats, although they are Socialists, and, you know, there's no consensus in the Democrat Party on a lot of the issues that they talk about.
So just like they're a part of the Democrat Party, there needs to be the... I think libertarians are more mixed than that.
tim pool
The Democratic Socialists are the Democrats' version of MAGA.
Right?
elad eliahu
Um, yes.
tim pool
The Republican Party has the MAGA elements.
chase geiser
Yes, because the Bernie voters, when they were pissed about Bernie getting the elections stolen from him in the primary in 2016, a lot of them went Trump.
tim pool
Right, so 9 million Democrats voted for Trump.
chase geiser
Democratic Socialists voted for Donald Trump.
tim pool
MAGA, right populist, is the insurgent force in the Republican Party, and the Democratic Socialists are the insurgent force in the Democrat Party.
Libertarians don't like either of them, and it is a mistake people make when they think if the Libertarian Party didn't exist, Republicans would win.
Dude, there's a reason why Dave Smith is on Fox News ragging on Trump.
Not gonna vote for Trump.
There's a reason why there is a Libertarian party.
elad eliahu
Because they're electorally immature, is what I would say.
That's why people like Dave Smith go on Fox News and rag on people like Trump.
He doesn't like Trump!
I know, but when it comes down to it, you really have to choose between Joe Biden and President Trump.
chase geiser
Well, Libertarians are less Machiavellian, though.
unidentified
They're not willing to vote for a lesser of two evils.
tim pool
Again, you don't understand Libertarians' views.
Okay, imagine this.
Imagine saying, why aren't Democrats voting for Trump?
Why aren't Democrats voting for Trump?
elad eliahu
Because they think Trump's a fascist.
tim pool
And this is why Libertarians don't want to vote for Trump.
elad eliahu
But do they see a difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
unidentified
No.
elad eliahu
That's wild.
tim pool
It's like saying, why aren't Democrats voting for Joe Biden?
chase geiser
It's very counterintuitive, but I think he's right.
tim pool
The reason why Trump wants to speak to the LP National is because he thinks there's now, I'm assuming with the Mises caucus, there is enough, a small number that would be willing to vote for Trump.
He may be able to move them.
The majority of libertarians are not Republicans.
Many of them are woke.
Did you see what Louisiana's Libertarian Party posted?
Guns for illegal immigrants?
Like, Yeah, there's no way those people are voting for Republicans.
elad eliahu
I think because Libertarians can't see a difference between somebody like Joe Biden and Donald Trump is why these guys need to grow up.
The whole party, the whole Libertarian party needs to be abolished.
If you can't see a difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, maybe that's why you guys are allergic to winning any elections.
tim pool
But again, I don't think you understand, right?
chase geiser
They don't win any elections.
elad eliahu
They're electorally irrelevant, and they just exist to kind of run their mouths.
Because, again, they don't have to appeal to people electorally, and they can just take a couple of points away from Republicans.
It doesn't really matter.
There are no expectations.
tim pool
Once again, Elad.
They are not taking points away from Republicans.
The idea that Joe Jorgensen, who said, quote, it is not enough to be, to oppose racism.
What did you say?
It is not enough to be anti-racist.
What's this?
What's the, I tried to.
chase geiser
It's not enough to oppose racism.
You must be anti-racist.
tim pool
You must be actively anti-racist.
chase geiser
Right.
Joe Jorgensen tweeted that.
elad eliahu
But the Mises Caucus are the people who run.
tim pool
Literally woke leftism.
elad eliahu
The Mises Caucus is who's in charge of the Libertarian Party now.
tim pool
They just took over.
elad eliahu
Yeah.
tim pool
And while many of them will have a sound, reasonable debate about Donald Trump and the things that they do agree with, that's like saying Republicans agree with Joe Biden on getting rid of ATM fees that screw over the working class.
chase geiser
Well, you gotta get rid of those ATM fees when it comes out that your son took out $1.6 million in cash from ATMs.
tim pool
Did you see that today?
Right, I agree.
chase geiser
How much time and minutes would that take?
tim pool
I agree with Joe Biden.
Joe Biden said the bank charging people these junk fees are screwing over the class.
I will never vote for that man.
And the idea that because Donald Trump is likely better on guns, libertarians who are concerned that Donald Trump increased drone strikes removed the transparency from drone strikes, authorized
commando raids in places like Yemen, backed the Saudis in their strikes in Yemen, which was 100,000
dead children in Yemen, the fact that Donald Trump fired 59 Tomahawk missiles into
Syria, they will not vote for that.
Now, that being said, I do think from a realist perspective, if you look at Trump's foreign policy
holistically, it's the best foreign policy of my life.
So yes, everything I said was true about Trump.
What he did was we had the Abraham Accords.
We had Donald Trump crossing into North Korea through the DMZ with no security detail in a sign of peace and goodwill with an enemy nation.
That's the kind of stuff we need.
That's leadership.
The Abraham Accords, I think, were absolutely tremendous.
Dave Smith disagrees.
Dave Smith said that, and I hate to argue for him because he's not here and he could say it better, but he said...
The Abraham Accords isolated Palestine, Hamas, and put pressure on them.
The attack we saw on October 7th was inevitable because the Abraham Accords basically said, we have cut you out of negotiations.
So this is the kind of pressure that results in cut.
I do think that argument is silly because it's the idea of like, we shouldn't negotiate peace because other people might get mad.
But his position is, Trump did a bad thing there.
I don't agree with that.
People keep saying over and over again, if it weren't for the Libertarian Party, Republicans would win, and I'm like, it sounds like you've not met Libertarians.
The guy, at a Libertarian convention, a guy ripped his clothes off and got naked on stage.
Is that guy going to vote Republican?
It's ridiculous.
And the fact that you have woke libertarians, one of the guys running for the Libertarian Party president is super woke.
Climate change, all that stuff.
These people aren't going to vote for the Republicans.
They all collectively just don't like Republicans or Democrats.
And they have their own worldviews that are competing with each other.
When you look at Jonathan Haidt's research on the moral foundations...
You find that Democrats, this is what they claim, Democrats have care and fairness, Republicans are balanced across the board, and Libertarians have one moral foundation.
And you know what it is?
Liberty.
And that's disgusting.
Liberty's fantastic, don't get me wrong.
Take the Moral Foundations Test, and I'll give you one of the questions pertaining to the Liberty Moral Foundation.
People should be allowed to have adult toys modeled after their underage niece.
It's one of the questions that they ask on the Moral Foundations Test.
Libertarians say yes.
Are those people voting for Republicans?
You take the, what is it, like IDR Labs or whatever, Moral Foundations Test, that's one of the questions it asks.
chase geiser
It's a good question.
I mean, it gets to the point.
tim pool
It gets to the point of purity, which is something conservatives believe in.
It's related to cleanliness, avoiding disease.
Liberals do not have that moral foundation.
Libertarians do not have that moral foundation.
Libertarians only care as long as there's no harm being done to a person, it's allowed.
chase geiser
As long as no one's rights are being violated, it must be allowed.
And I'm kind of like, we should never allow a business to do that.
tim pool
So like AI child porn.
chase geiser
AI child porn would be an example, right?
unidentified
A crime.
chase geiser
Libertarians would say, you can make as much AI child porn as you want, it's not harming any real person.
Conservatives would be like, ugh.
elad eliahu
I think at the end of the day, because you are electorally irrelevant, you could have these purist positions on a lot of these issues and say, you know, no, I guess Joe Biden isn't irrelevant.
chase geiser
Well, I think it's why they're kind of irrelevant.
elad eliahu
I agree with you.
tim pool
Alright, fair point.
Then what your real argument is, disband the Libertarian Party and it goes 50-50 Democrat-Republican.
elad eliahu
Best thing the Libertarian Party could do is disband the party and endorse Donald Trump.
tim pool
Why would woke leftists endorse Donald Trump?
What don't you get?
The Mises caucus is right now and in the convention that's coming up, one of the candidates is
woke.
elad eliahu
Yeah, but he's not popular within the party.
tim pool
Their last candidate was woke.
chase geiser
Joe Jorgensen was the candidate, he was pretty woke.
tim pool
So the issue is, yes, the Mises Caucus took over right now, but if the Libertarian Party disbanded, what you're basically saying is the Mises Caucus should endorse Donald Trump.
And then you're going to have a whole bunch of Mises Caucus people being like, but we don't support his foreign policy.
elad eliahu
I don't think it would go down 50-50 if the Libertarian Party were to disband.
tim pool
Yeah, 60-40, what?
elad eliahu
But let me ask you, what do you think Donald Trump should say when he addresses the Libertarian Convention to try to win them over?
tim pool
I will at the very least secure the border, make sure your gun rights are intact, and this country exists.
chase geiser
A lot of Libertarians don't even believe in borders.
tim pool
He will get booed by the majority of people there.
But Trump is simply trying to say, seeing the Mises caucus take over means that there are enough people who might just say right now, I'm just going to vote for Trump.
Because he's right about the border, he's right about guns, he's right about abortion.
The Mises Caucus is different from the entirety of the Libertarian Party, and the important issue is the Mises Caucus victory is one iteration right now of the Libertarian Party, and I think it's likely because a lot of people don't like the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, and so they found a sort of Moderate space in the Libertarian Party with the Mises Caucus, where they're not Republicans, they're not hardcore conservative traditionalists, but they don't like war, they want to have their guns, they want their Bitcoin and their marijuana.
Donald Trump is going to try to win some of them over, and it's a smart move and he should do it.
But keep in mind, the last election cycle, you had woke Libertarians.
The Libertarian Party was overwhelmingly woke, anti-racist, and everyone was like, whoa, this is crazy.
chase geiser
And there's a lot of infighting in the Libertarian Party constantly.
tim pool
Absolutely.
chase geiser
I mean, the woke Libertarians versus the hardcore capitalist Libertarians.
I mean, they can't agree on anything.
It's like a family going through a divorce, always.
tim pool
But I just want to stress this point.
Go hang out at a bar with someone from the Libertarian Party and you're going to be like, now I get it, this guy's not a Republican.
chase geiser
You're driving home, hell yeah, and I'm not wearing my seatbelt!
tim pool
The guy took his clothes off on stage!
They booed!
They wanted to be able to sell heroin to kids!
Not all of them.
The Mises Caucus guys aren't like that.
We like the Mises Caucus guys.
But the Mises Caucus is also not traditionalist, and they're not going to be arguing for traditional families the same way conservatives are.
And so they're going to be at odds on social issues to a certain degree.
But the Mises Caucus people typically are pro-life, pro-border, and pro-gun rights.
So that's Trump's opportunity right now.
He's not hoping to win over the Libertarian Party.
I think Trump knows he's going to be booed.
It's going to be wild.
He's going to get booed by that crowd.
But he's like, if I can get 5%, if I can get 5% of the Libertarian Party, Just that little bit that might agree with me.
And I bet he might say something like, you don't like me, you don't like my policies, I got a lot of bad ones, but Joe Biden will rip your country to shreds, and at least with me, you get to keep your country, and then fight another day.
chase geiser
You know, the fact that the Libertarian Party can get Trump and others to come and speak, actually, in my opinion, shows the dormant power of the party.
And the reason is, if you look at it from a logical standpoint, if the Libertarian Party got their shit together, They could choose to focus all of their efforts campaigning in just Texas, for example.
And if they pulled enough support away from the Republican Party for the Libertarian Party that it could threaten the Electoral College just in Texas, if they focused all their monetary resources, all their time, all their advertising, they could literally Let's jump to this next story.
You're gonna love this one because we got a new poll.
This is from Marist National.
an endorsement. Like if they just focused on Texas, they could change the entire Republican Party in
a similar way that Bernie Sanders was able to change a lot of Hillary's policies in 2016 because
he pulled so much of the vote from her in the primary. Let's jump to this next story.
tim pool
You're going to love this one because we got a new poll.
This is from Marist National. Almost half of Americans think the US could erupt into a second
civil war in their lifetime. 47 percent.
And the funny thing is it breaks down.
You know, what's really weird is, I don't quite understand this.
It says, majority of women, 51% believe there's a good chance it will happen.
57% of men disagree.
Mostly men don't think it'll happen.
It's women who think there will be a civil war.
Now the reason that's significant The French Revolution, the Bolshevik Revolution, they say, were instigated because women got up and rose up.
When women get unhappy and get involved in politics, things start to destabilize.
So, if women think the Civil War is coming, I don't know, I feel kind of worried about that.
But what say you, good sir?
chase geiser
Well, like I said earlier, I can't think of a time in history when corruption has reached this level and it's been peacefully walked back.
The question is when.
So a lot of people say it's going to happen next year, no matter what happens in this election.
I think it's inevitable that we'll have another civil war in this country, but what I can't decide is whether or not it's going to be within the next ten years or within the next hundred years.
That's where I struggle.
tim pool
This is what we were talking about a little bit earlier, that when you look at polarization, it's generational.
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
Again, as I described it is, it's a piece of paper being torn from the youngest generation up to the top, but it's really not so much that we're tearing it, it's that, just imagine you've got this thread, and the older generation's at top, and the bottom is splitting as it moves down.
Actually, one way to put it is, our society is a giant block of cheese, and there is a wedge to slice that cheese, and the cheese block is being pushed down.
chase geiser
Right.
The division is an increasing proportion of the political landscape.
tim pool
As the older generation dies and the younger generation gets grabbed by the left or the right, new people entering the voting bloc are going to be hyperpolarized to further and further degrees.
And the older generation that overlap on the Democrat-Republican side are dying and no longer part of the equation.
unidentified
So 2028-2032?
tim pool
I think 2028 is the fourth turning.
chase geiser
The voter turnout thing, too.
Like I said before we started streaming today, the voter turnout in 1860 was giant, and we saw record voter turnout in 2020.
The higher the voter turnout, the more politically divided people are, in my opinion.
We always hear advocating, everybody needs to vote, participate in the process.
If you have a high voter turnout, that's a very good indicator that you're close to a civil war.
hannah claire brimelow
I also think this – I mean this poll says that the youngest generation, it's like Gen Z and millennials, 58% are – think there's a likelihood that there could be a civil war in this country.
I think that is an indication that it could potentially come because the older generations that at one time thought, well, we're actually unified by our culture or unified by religion or whatever else.
They will ultimately leave positions of power in this younger generation that has always seen politics as the dividing line, and increasingly more so with younger generations.
They will then step into the business and will say, well, we knew this was inevitable.
Where an older generation would say, no, no, we're supposed to be together.
We're all one country.
tim pool
This is actually my point.
I mean, take a look at this.
58% of Gen Z and millennial voters believe civil war is likely.
19% of Silent Generation, 46% of Gen X, and 34% of Boomer.
So let's break it down.
Silent Generation is the oldest.
Only 19% think Civil War is likely.
Why?
Because all of these people, Democrat, Republican, who are in their late 60s and 70s, go hang out and play bridge or whatever, and they're like, but we agree on most things.
How could there be a Civil War?
Then you get baby boomers, 34%.
Same issue.
They're meeting up and saying, but we agree on most things, but I do think, you know, John across the street's got some weird views.
Gen Xers are more online, more active, more political, and they're seeing what's going on.
And Gen Z and Melissa58.
If that trend continues, when Gen Alpha enters the voting block, it's going to be 70% of Gen Alpha that says yes.
Then what comes after Gen Alpha?
chase geiser
I don't know, I can look it up.
Well, and then the question is, who in the minds of the pollsters, who is fighting who in this imaginary civil war, and then who wins?
Because before it was very clear, South versus the North, but now it seems more like urban versus rural, but who fights in the war?
Yeah, who do people foresee will fight in the civil war?
tim pool
Who is fighting in the Syrian civil war?
I don't know.
It was like 13 different factions.
chase geiser
13 different factions.
tim pool
And then ultimately they all got absorbed into ISIS.
chase geiser
So you think that's what's going to happen and this next civil war won't be two sides like what we think of the traditional American Civil War?
tim pool
The American Civil War is atypical in terms of most countries' histories.
So the Spanish Civil War is a better example.
And it's usually urban versus rural.
And usually it is the rural that wins.
elad eliahu
I'm a little bit more optimistic.
I think, unlike in many other countries on planet Earth, in America we have a lot to fight for and a lot of great opportunity.
A lot of our institutions are incredibly established.
There's a defund the police movement in our country that didn't go anywhere policy-wise.
People in our country still support our military.
People still have faith in the Supreme Court and the law.
People still believe that courts exist and are functioning properly.
So this is a place where A country where we're also given many freedoms and many opportunities for things to go astray if people actually wanted them to.
We have the first and second amendment.
People could say almost anything and have firearms to back it up, but we haven't seen huge uprisings of armed people.
Although I hear about these militias throughout the country, I haven't seen these large uprisings of gangs of people.
hannah claire brimelow
See, I think we lack a culture that reminds people that we are actually a united front.
I mean, my theory would be that the silent generation lived through things like School integration and all kinds of social change that actually made them question, like, what do we want as a culture?
What are our values?
And ultimately say, this is something that we are collaboratively working on.
Our country is worth preserving.
And in fact, even through difficult change, we are ultimately rallying around the idea that we are Americans and we have a shared vision.
chase geiser
Which is why Joe Biden's the president of unity.
hannah claire brimelow
Well, and that's the thing.
They say that word over and over again, but younger people actually look at people who don't agree with them politically as an enemy.
They view them as a threat.
chase geiser
I kind of do.
I'm serious, but I think you're absolutely right in your analysis.
I'm 33 years old, and I've gotten to the point where my sentiments toward people who disagree with me politically have gotten much more combative.
hannah claire brimelow
Well, and this is reinforced by the fact that certain schools in certain districts that vote a certain way have rules that like, well, a kid can transition here and we'll call them by whatever pronouns, but we won't tell the parents because we view those parents as potential threats to these children who are a different voter block.
elad eliahu
These issues are important, but I think even, you know, despite Joe Biden's economic downturn and these issues, like trans issues that I think are very significant, people start civil wars when they don't have things worth fighting for and protecting, when things are going bad and it's trade for them and they don't have anything going on for them.
In our country, we do have it relatively well, compared to other countries.
tim pool
No, no, no, like what civil wars were started because people had bad, it was bad for people.
elad eliahu
As I understand, civil wars are generally started by... The civil wars that I think we're seeing right now that are possibly happening, like in the Arab Spring and things like that, people not being fed enough, people not being paid enough, people are discontent.
chase geiser
People about to lose their slaves.
tim pool
But those are revolutions.
So with the Arab Spring, the governments toppled instantly, and then they replaced them.
Whereas civil wars are factional violence based on ideology, like the Spanish Civil War was the communists and the anti-communists.
And then, you know, of course, there's a lot of leftists that argue that it was like fascistic militarism on the right or whatever, but it was basically communists were going around and doing horrible things, and where ideology was spreading.
In fact, I think it's the opposite.
I think what caused a lot of the, um, I mean, certainly you can make an argument about the Bolsheviks in Russia and the struggles that Russia's, you know, going through in terms of food and the French Revolution, but, uh, I think we saw with Europe in the early 1900s, things were too good, uh, in some places.
So with the United States, you have idle hands being the devil's playground.
You have young people who don't have to do any work and they have no purpose and they're bored.
They don't understand.
unidentified
I mean, look, You think people go to Civil War because they're bored?
elad eliahu
Young people today are struggling.
At the most elite colleges, that's where we are seeing the hardest, most aggressive versions.
tim pool
But let me explain.
Young people today are struggling.
Some of them legitimately, because the system is busted.
Some of them because they were not raised properly by their parents
to know how to work and produce and survive.
So what happens is you have two political parties.
One is a parasite class where they believe that the government should print as much money as possible.
They believe in deficit spending.
chase geiser
Yeah, monetary theory.
tim pool
Exactly.
And so all this does is leech off of the working class.
That system collapses.
And what we're seeing now is an expansion of it, where many people are of the mindset that the government should pay their bills, should print more money, deficit spending and things like this, which result in hyperinflation.
Then when inflation happens, what does Joe Biden do?
It's the corporations that are ripping you off!
chase geiser
They blame it on capitalism, but it's actually kind of fascism.
tim pool
Then they reenact more government policies which destroy the system further until it collapses.
And that's intentional for the communists.
The reason this is happening is because idle hands is the devil's playground.
If these people had to wake up in the morning and feed the animals and then work all day and had very little time to do anything, there'd be no communist revolution.
They would just be working, living, and they would be content with life.
But they want what you have because you're working and they're not.
chase geiser
So it's envy even more than boredom.
tim pool
100% envy.
Communism is all envy.
They look at people who, I mean, look at the tenants of communism, what they think.
I love this, you know, hearing these people argue about socialism and they're like, socialism is when labor, the workers, own the company and not their bosses.
What did they say?
They said, when your labor is controlled by the people and you and not your boss.
And I'm like, in capitalism, the labor is controlled by you.
In communism, your labor is controlled by the state.
But they lie to implement these things.
In a free market capitalist society, you are free to sell your labor for whatever you can get for it.
The problem is, in today's society, you've got kids who have no sellable skills because of the way society told them to live their life, which is a problem.
This, I think, leads to anger, animosity, fear, confusion, and false prophets.
Political individuals who come up and say, I have the solution to what ails you.
It's called communism.
And they go, okay.
And then they start burning down buildings.
chase geiser
Right.
Well, and that's what I'm very concerned after...
If you read, like, The Fourth Turning, and if you think that maybe we're on the verge of an economic collapse, 2028, I'm very much concerned about the fork in the road that we will be at, where, as a country, we're going to choose—I think much like the Weimar Republic had to choose, Germans had to choose at the end of the Weimar Republic—between communism and fascism as the solution.
That's why I advocate for populism when I wrote this book, is because I'm hoping there's a third option that's healthy and doesn't result in the death of millions of people.
But I think we're quickly coming up on a place where it is going to reach the level of desperation and simultaneously the level of boredom necessary to catalyze a collapse that brings us to choose between full-on communism versus fascism.
tim pool
No one thought Civil War was possible in 1860.
When the first Battle of Bull Run happened, people were picnicking on the hill because no one thought Civil War was possible.
The funny thing is, we believe that the Civil War started with the Battle of Fort Sumter when the Union troops were refusing to vacate South Carolina.
When that happened, the North and the South did not think there was a civil war.
chase geiser
Right.
tim pool
And the people who lived, and this is just south of D.C., Manassas, when they heard that the Confederacy was marching and there was going to be a battle, they were like, no, there won't.
chase geiser
Right.
tim pool
So they picnicked.
And they were watching and like, oh, this is silly.
chase geiser
They thought they were watching a civil war reenactment for a civil war that hadn't happened yet.
tim pool
Well, they didn't think anything was happening.
Yet, historically, we say those people were in a civil war.
unidentified
Right.
tim pool
Even though they didn't believe it.
I don't understand why, despite all of the history we have globally about revolutions and civil war, people maintain the same naivety of, if I don't see someone come out and yell, I hereby declare civil war!
It can't happen, it's not happening, and it won't happen.
Meanwhile, you've had since 2017, so I did this thing with ChatGPT earlier, talking about civil war, where it desperately, ChatGPT loves to lie to you.
Desperately says, there's no civil war, nothing's going to happen.
And so I asked it, are we in civil strife?
Yes, we are in civil strife.
Chechi PT says this.
Civil strife is the academic term for the period before civil war.
It's bleeding Kansas, for instance.
That was civil strife.
Academics now believe we are in this period right now.
What's the evidence?
Hillary Clinton claimed Donald Trump was a Russian agent.
It was illegitimately elected.
2020 happened.
The right says that Joe Biden was illegitimately elected.
January 6, riots and protests.
You have, right now, civil strife where far leftists have killed people.
There have been some fighting throughout the streets.
Summer of Love, for instance.
There's been urban conflict.
Weaponization of government against the frontrunner for the Republican Party.
The highest polling man in the presidential race, right now, they're trying to put in prison.
chase geiser
Right.
And they took Abraham Lincoln off the ballots, too.
I mean, it's literally- Technically not true.
tim pool
I thought they did.
The Republican Party didn't issue any ballots in the Southern states because nobody would have voted for them in a secessionist state.
chase geiser
Really?
tim pool
So the way it used to work back then was parties would issue their own ballots being like, if you believe in our party, here's our list of candidates that we want you to vote for.
The Republicans in the Southern states did nothing because they were like, what's the point?
And it is true, in the states that went on to secede, not a single vote was cast for Abraham Lincoln.
So where we're at right now, Civil strife, fact.
In 2017, numerous national security experts were interviewed by The Atlantic, and their estimates ranged between 30 and 95 percent likelihood of civil war.
Maybe they're wrong.
What do I know?
JetGPT keeps saying it won't happen, it can't happen.
And then if you ask it to actually cite sources, it will eventually break down and tell you, yes, we are on the cusp of civil war in this country.
It's fascinating.
elad eliahu
It might be one of those things hard-coded into it where it just cannot say civil war is going to happen.
It cannot say violent things are going to happen and like, boom, civil war, unkosher.
tim pool
For instance, Before we started the show, I was showing Chase.
If you ask ChatGPT if the FBI was authorized to use a lethal force in the Mar-a-Lago raid, it says no.
And then if you say, this is incorrect, search the web, it goes still no.
Then if you say...
You have to be like, five times, you are wrong.
Here's the news report, it goes, yes, you are actually correct.
It will lie to you over and over and over again.
No, no, no.
Anyway, my point is, it's not that Chechipti is the arbiter of morality or whatever, but general academic consensus right now is we are in civil strife.
chase geiser
Well, and I think it's like bankruptcy.
They say about bankruptcy that it comes on slowly, and then all at once.
unidentified
Right.
chase geiser
And we're like the frog in the water analogy, and we're in that stage right now where it seems like it's coming on slowly, that we don't realize it's happening, and then it's, like you said, it's gonna happen.
tim pool
Gradually, then suddenly.
chase geiser
Yeah, gradually, then suddenly.
tim pool
But I think the issue is that... Who'd you fight for?
Well, I think the issue is that when you're hanging on to the edge of a ledge, about to fall off, You're in one place.
Your speed is zero miles an hour, and your fingers are slipping on the edge until it's just your fingertips, and you're still moving at zero miles an hour.
chase geiser
Until you're at terminal velocity.
tim pool
In an instant.
But anybody who's watching you hang from that cliff by one hand says, any second now, he's going to be going 60 miles an hour, 70 miles an hour, and then he's going to be on his path to falling down this cliffside.
But for the whole time the escalation is happening, you are at zero miles an hour.
chase geiser
Right, there's no change, no apparent change.
unidentified
Right.
tim pool
So I don't know what happens.
I don't know what happens in November.
But what I can say is when you look at the generational polling, it's fairly obvious that Gen Z, nearly 60% of Gen Z Millennials think a civil war is likely.
Gen Alpha, and as the chat pointed out, it's Generation Beta is after Gen Alpha.
hannah claire brimelow
They'll be raised by Gen Z. Is that so?
elad eliahu
That's not a joke?
tim pool
I thought Gen Z was beta.
chase geiser
You ain't seen nothing yet.
How often do you think they'll switch sides?
tim pool
So that is, 2025 will be the first year of beta, and that means today, the oldest Generation Alpha are 14 years old.
So by 2028, Gen Alpha is voting.
If Gen Alpha's view of Civil War is 65 to 70 percent, I mean, we could actually just take these numbers, average out the difference, and then find what the likelihood increase in perception of Civil War would be.
What do you think happens when Millennials are the oldest living generation with a 60% belief in civil wars coming and all... basically the reason they believe it is because Millennials and Gen Z are looking across the chasm at the other side going, holy crap, these people are crazy.
chase geiser
Yeah.
Well, what do you think the correlation is between belief that something is going to happen and then it actually happening?
tim pool
That's what I'm saying.
Silent Generation Democrats and Republicans are playing bridge together going, but we agree on everything.
chase geiser
Right.
tim pool
Back in the 90s when boomers were in their 30s, I think that's when they were in their 30s, right?
If you look at Pew Research.
chase geiser
My parents are boomers, they're 75 years old.
tim pool
Yeah, 75 would be boomers.
I think Trump is the is the oldest boomer.
But there's an overlap, so it would have been the 80s and the 90s.
At this time period, politics was relatively unified.
I mean, look at Reagan.
I mean, like, landslide victory for Reagan in the early 80s.
So then you look at the 90s, and you look at Pew's research showing the political parties overlap, and they barely differ.
Some key wedge issues, for the most part, but it really didn't matter all that much.
chase geiser
Famously, Clinton's speech is about solving the immigration problem when he was president.
tim pool
Yeah, Democrats marry Republicans and vice versa.
The issue now is that millennials are saying something like, yeah, wow, we've got an immigration problem.
And then the right says, we've got a serious problem with immigration at the southern border.
And then AOC comes out and says, you're a Nazi.
The reason why the belief is so pronounced in the younger generations is because I am 38.
When I look at a 38-year-old Democrat, they're saying things that seem otherworldly.
chase geiser
Yes.
tim pool
They believe Trump is a white supremacist neo-Nazi who wants to put kids in cages.
chase geiser
So among their peers at the demographic level, there's less disparity in the older demographic.
tim pool
Exactly.
chase geiser
I see what you're saying.
Like cheese wedge.
tim pool
That's what I'm saying.
It's splitting at the wedge, and eventually you'll have two distinct blocks of cheese far away from each other.
unidentified
Right.
chase geiser
And in the younger demographics, political differences are just simply not compatible in a peaceful society.
tim pool
That's what's worrying.
I mean, take a look at, I don't know, drag shows with kids.
Right.
These are crimes in West Virginia.
chase geiser
And the states don't have enough independent rights to really have even much of a difference as the federal government gets so much more powerful.
So ideas are forced at a federal level.
tim pool
Oklahoma and Colorado are the best example.
Colorado abortion is legal up to birth.
Oklahoma, it's entirely banned.
Hyper, like, ridiculous bifurcation right there.
Now, I used to think that abortion could be a catalyst for a civil war, but I don't think so anymore because babies can't fight for themselves the way slaves did.
So.
elad eliahu
I think, despite how many of my compatriots feel about civil war, I feel like if it could have happened, there are a lot of catalysts of events that could have made it happen that didn't spark a civil war.
We had January 6th, we had the election of Donald Trump, where liberals could have said, oh, this is a coup, he's illegitimately elected by Russians.
We had the overturning of Roe v. Wade, which many people could argue whatever they want about.
So there's a lot of different jump-off points where I think things could have happened where they didn't, which gives me a lot of more faith in the stability of our country.
We've already had Joe Biden and Donald Trump being arrested without—or having elected without, you know, the country falling into civil war.
tim pool
Did you see Joe Biden called Trump an erectionist?
elad eliahu
No, he's an erectionist.
He's still got it, I guess.
chase geiser
When you're a star, they let you do it.
tim pool
That's right.
hannah claire brimelow
So you think we're past the point of concern for civil war, even though the youngest generations who will eventually move into position of power are more likely to say there will be a civil war?
elad eliahu
I think the youngsters like to fetishize civil war, and everybody thinks if a civil war happened, their ideology is what's going to happen after the fact.
But we saw so many of the jump off points.
If it was the election of Donald Trump that would have caused a civil war, it would have already happened.
We've already had the first girl.
hannah claire brimelow
But what if the Republicans build someone who is more intense than Donald Trump next time?
tim pool
But why wouldn't it be this election?
elad eliahu
Because I think you already know what you're getting with Trump, so to try to call Trump a fascist doesn't hit as hard this time as it did last time, because you already know what you're getting.
And there's also this fascism fatigue, where after I call you a fascist for, what, 10 years straight?
It just doesn't hit as hard.
People know Trump isn't a racist.
tim pool
So I actually view that differently, too.
So they say that if you have a toothache, And you do nothing.
And it goes away.
You're in trouble.
You know why?
It means the infection's gotten bad to the point where the nerve's dead and the infection is spreading.
chase geiser
Shit, I gotta go.
tim pool
Right.
And so, my view is, what you're saying is we've gotten to the point where The left still says you're a fascist, but you just don't care anymore.
That actually shows the polarization.
They still care, though.
Well, the polarization is ossified.
It is now fact.
You cannot be swayed.
It is done.
We have solidified the hyper-partisan polarization.
chase geiser
Here's the thing about this I think that we're missing, because I think everybody's made really good points.
The fact that we are having a serious and reasonable debate as to whether or not civil war is going to happen should be a major sign that there's an increased risk relative to normal times.
tim pool
Look, outside of any of this conversation, Whether you trust academics or not, you've got academics on the left, the right, the center, national security, and foreign saying that the United States is in the civil strife period.
To better understand that, think Bleeding Kansas.
Bleeding Kansas is when John Brown and his kids went and started murdering people, blasting them in the face with guns.
This is the precursor to the Civil War.
chase geiser
Have we been in civil strife before, other than the Civil War, where we've healed from it?
Like, academic states of civil strife?
tim pool
You're saying, yes, Serge, we've been in civil strife and we've recovered from it?
chase geiser
Like, maybe 1963, before the Civil Rights Act?
tim pool
I'm just trying to think if there's examples... I don't think... I don't know that that was civil strife.
Right, so... But that's, that, like... The issue with civil strife right now is...
Donald Trump wins, they say he's a Russian spy.
Joe Biden wins, they say he stole the 2020 election.
And now we're facing another election with hyper-polarization, hyper-partisanship, violence, and no one willing to accept the other side as playing fairly.
chase geiser
There's not a path of de-escalation.
tim pool
Civil rights and stuff were bad, but people still generally followed the government, and there were elections, and there were protests.
I think they would refer to that as civil unrest.
Civil strife is the combination of those things with a destabilization in politics, and there's death and things like this.
elad eliahu
Trump is such a unique figure that a lot of things that occur around him are unprecedented, which adds to this sense of chaos.
First person to serve so many of these papers, to have so many lawsuits brought against him.
chase geiser
Sure, over 90 now, I think.
elad eliahu
Former sitting president, yeah, so all this unprecedented.
A lot of things that Trump did, unprecedented.
chase geiser
Sure, but it was unprecedented in 2017 and it didn't feel like we were about ready to have civil war.
I mean, he was still very unprecedented.
elad eliahu
And then the two times impeachment.
I mean, Teflon Don, they really can't get him with a thing.
I never had any faith, not that I wanted it to happen, but the Democrats never had any chance with this lawsuit in the beginning.
You cannot get Donald Trump, all of these cases, the Mar-a-Lago case.
Anyway, Tim.
tim pool
I just asked Chat GPT because that's the foremost expert, right?
But we'll just say yes.
The Civil Rights Movement, it does consider civil strife.
The Revolutionary War, Shays' Rebellion, the Whiskey Rebellion, the Civil War, Reconstruction, and the Civil Rights Movement were considered civil strife, according to Khan Academy, ThoughtCo, and the Senate.
elad eliahu
Hey, I'm glad I got that one, plus one.
Yeah, no, I hear those were very turbulent times.
hannah claire brimelow
Well, but I do feel like some of the things that you've referenced is as, you know, well, we could have had civil war, but we didn't, you know, feel like precursors to civil war to me.
Not that we are definitely going to have one, but like with with Roe v. Wade, there was a lot of protest.
I mean, think of all of the doxings of the Supreme Court justices, the protests that were there, all the threats made to churches or abortion centers or our pregnancy centers.
You know, it's not that like nothing happened.
And maybe you're right.
Like, It boiled to a point and it wasn't enough to tip to a civil war, but I don't think that underlying tension ever went away.
There wasn't anything to distract from it.
There wasn't a period of like, oh, actually, you know, even with our attentions turning to more international conflicts with Ukraine, with Israel, Palestine.
Yes, there were some people who then sort of made that their focus in terms of political argument, but it never alleviated the cultural tension that we have in America because we are so far from the period of time in which we had a collective national identity.
elad eliahu
The thing worth mentioning here, again, is that in America, again, Americans have so many different freedoms.
The First Amendment, the Second Amendment.
I think it says a lot to how good-willed American people are to not abuse those rights, right?
Because if you're a person who is a radical on abortion, you had the opportunity when Roe v. Wade was overturned to do something very stupid and illegal and be a vigilante.
And some did.
Not with like gangs of armed people going around.
hannah claire brimelow
You don't think all of the threats to the Supreme Court justices don't count as vigilantism?
elad eliahu
I don't think it was like a John Brown type thing which could have hypothetically happened given people's rights.
I think there was the Jane's Revenge, like that small anarchist group that was firebombing a couple of... Firebombing conservative pregnancy centers.
That was definitely very bad.
hannah claire brimelow
And then they just, what, disappeared?
Like, I get that we didn't tip then.
elad eliahu
I'm just saying nothing ever went away.
And on the other side of the perch, like people too, they are not extremely radical a la the John Brown style.
chase geiser
The problem with the abortion issue is that you can still get an abortion in the United States.
Now if the federal government just made it illegal to get any abortion ever after conception, I would think, okay, maybe that's going to be a Civil War-like level issue.
The fact you can still get one just by flying or driving to another state, it's just not I don't think abortion is the issue because babies can't defend themselves the way slaves could.
tim pool
So with the Civil War, slavery being the catalyst was because slaves had escaped and then went to the North and said, hey, I want help.
You know, there were abolitionists in the North.
There were former slaves.
Former slaves were advocating for the end of it because they experienced it.
And there were many slaves who weren't advocating for it, famously.
Harriet Tubman said, I freed many slaves.
I would have freed many more if only they knew they were slaves.
Babies can't do that.
And people who survive abortions mostly don't have an experience of what that's like.
They might know that the parents considered it, tried it, or whatever.
chase geiser
Who tells their kid that?
elad eliahu
He tried to abort you?
unidentified
Yes.
tim pool
Of course, there's people who experience that.
chase geiser
You were unwanted, but we're glad that you're with us.
elad eliahu
I understand you're a mistake, but we tried to go through with it and it didn't work.
chase geiser
Can we throw some images up of some failed abortions?
tim pool
That's just regular people.
chase geiser
What comes up?
It's like the Goonies?
hannah claire brimelow
I mean, I think the big issue is, like, the fact that we have strife culturally and socially.
Like, I don't know if it'll be one issue.
I think ultimately it's that we have people who do not feel united as one thing.
Like, I think you're right.
chase geiser
I agree with that.
We have lost American culture.
unidentified
Right.
chase geiser
The melting pot's gone.
hannah claire brimelow
We have all kinds of privileges.
chase geiser
We have all kinds of rights.
hannah claire brimelow
Melting pot's appropriation.
Half of the country believes that, and the other half is like, no, we hate it here, and it's the worst, and we're systemically oppressed, and everything's bad.
These are people operating in very different worlds who occupy the same geographic space.
Of course there'll be tension.
It's just a question of, what does this result in?
What does a modern civil war look like?
I don't know.
chase geiser
Maybe people will fight this through.
We can't even agree as a country anymore if success is a good thing.
There is a significant portion of people that would say that if you're successful, it's because you exploited or you took something.
That used to be just like a staple of Americanism, that if you started at the bottom
and made your way to the top and you were a millionaire, which was the billionaire 100 years ago,
hannah claire brimelow
that was awesome.
If you work hard, you can achieve things.
There's a whole faction of a narrative right now that is like, you can work as hard as you want,
but you will always be oppressed.
That's a very different experience than having a shared culture.
tim pool
Let me pull up this story from the Daily Mail.
We'll talk about this.
13 conservative counties in Oregon approved ballot measure for secession vote that would see them join
non-woke Idaho as they issue list of demands.
So there's a long path before they actually get to do anything like this.
Idaho has to agree.
Oregon has to agree.
And then Congress has to agree.
And I think the president has to sign off on it.
That's never going to happen.
But I guess the interesting thing here is that they're trying to make it happen, at least where they are.
They agree it should happen.
The question is, is it a good thing or a bad thing?
I think it is better that people are represented by the government that they believe is of, for, and by them.
And if they feel like they're being oppressed by Oregon's woke, psychotic policies and tax law and stuff like this, they have every right to change the nature of government.
That's basically the founding of this country.
But I wonder if hyperpolarizing in this way would actually just exacerbate tension between states.
elad eliahu
I think you'd hit the nail on the head with that last part.
I don't think we should be trying to split people up based on politics.
I think this is only going to lead to more hyperpolarization, and I think that's what we're going to see here.
I think the political consequences on the state level is going to be dramatic as well.
I think both are going to have supermajorities of the... I think Oregon's going to be a Democrat supermajority, and then Idaho's going to probably have a Republican state majority.
chase geiser
I don't know.
elad eliahu
I don't think we should be redrawing the lines based on our political parties.
hannah claire brimelow
I think it's hard when you have, like, I think of Western Maryland versus, like, three counties in Western Maryland wanted to join West Virginia, right?
Western Maryland represents or is much more similar to rural West Virginia, probably just because it's not as development, than Baltimore and the suburbs of Baltimore.
So I could understand where you're like, hey, we have developed economically and geographically so that we don't actually have anything in common.
We are under the same flag as a state, but you operate in a way that serves this part of the state and we don't feel any of the benefits.
I could understand where then you would say like, We experience the same challenges as this county and the other state that's right next to us.
We want to be with them.
I think you're right.
You will see interstate tension if states were divided like this.
The prime example for this one is Idaho and Washington.
The governors of Idaho and Washington have handled all kinds of issues incredibly differently.
I mean, In terms of, like, sanctuary states for transgender-identifying children, or laws governing if you can take a minor out of state to get an abortion, you know, they are kind of constantly messaging back and forth saying, like, hey, people who feel oppressed by that side, come here, or people who feel like this side has drifted too far to a progressive extreme, come here.
And so maybe you would see a natural migration, but ultimately you have very, very different narratives sitting right on the same side of the wall.
elad eliahu
We shouldn't be annexing left and right with these states.
We should be annexing up.
Idaho should be annexing up and so should Oregon.
Take parts of Canada.
I think Alberta is right above Idaho.
Is that right?
Yeah.
So that's what we should be taking chunks of.
Not of each other.
I don't know what we're achieving here.
hannah claire brimelow
See, but I think that there is a...
We – because we live in this era where like, oh, these are the state boundaries and this is the way they are.
We feel that way.
But I don't think it's against anyone's right to say like, hey, I don't think my government represents me.
I have economic issues or I have challenges that the very urbanized capital doesn't experience.
Like why wouldn't you then say I think I'm more similar?
elad eliahu
These are all very rural areas that were dominated by Oregon's very liberal coastal area.
So, you know, they were like, we're never winning anything here.
We don't have much representation.
But again, we're just getting further politically divided in that way.
And I guess politics is also relative.
So we'll see how the Blue Dog, some of the Blue Dog Democrats in Oregon fair.
hannah claire brimelow
So And it would affect everything. I mean, it would affect how
many congressional seats they have, it would affect their census votes.
unidentified
I mean, it would really change things if- I doubt they have a lot of people. I bet these are all
elad eliahu
really like low populated counties.
hannah claire brimelow
But think how populated that is compared to the rest of Idaho.
Like, would Idaho gain because they take in this population?
Obviously, it's better than having- You know, you couldn't import people fast enough.
This would be way faster.
I mean, the birth rates in all of these states especially affect this.
But do I think it's going to happen?
It's very unlikely.
I mean, in the case, again, I'm going to go back to the thing I know more about, which is Western Maryland.
Basically, West Virginia was like, sure, we'd love to have you.
Go talk to Baltimore.
And Baltimore was like, no, thank you.
You're staying right here.
tim pool
Because we own you.
Because you give us money and resources.
We ain't giving that up.
hannah claire brimelow
I think that's what ultimately will happen here.
I mean, it's interesting to see, though, and I think it's good for them to try.
I think this is what good local governments do for their citizens.
Say, like, we aren't represented.
tim pool
It wouldn't change the number of members of Congress.
It wouldn't change the number of senators.
elad eliahu
It'll change the state representation of like they, I guess the the parts that are being annexed by Idaho will now be represented by Republicans instead of Democrats on the state level.
tim pool
Let me ask you guys, the conservative area, how many how many members of Congress, let's let's let's pull up the congressional map for Oregon.
elad eliahu
And I'm saying I think it would be even more significant on like the the state government level.
Like the state legislature is where I think it would be most significant for them.
unidentified
So, uh... Yeah, all the... Yeah, it's Republican.
tim pool
It's all Republican.
elad eliahu
But it's just one district.
tim pool
Exactly.
So if that one district joined Idaho, you got one Republican.
Probably the same guy.
And then the amount of senators don't change.
elad eliahu
I'm saying the majorities in the state senate.
So like, right now, for their state legislature, the East Coast is irrelevant, but now it will be Republican with the Republican supermajority.
tim pool
And that could lead to extreme hyperpolarization, because Oregon may be constrained a little bit by the somewhat Republican influence of the eastern counties.
The West, without any constraints at all, would just drive off the liberal cliff.
elad eliahu
Yeah, I live in New York.
I don't want any of upstate New York to start being grabbed by any states there.
You could argue this stuff for a lot of states, I feel like.
Outside of cities in the more rural areas.
hannah claire brimelow
You don't want upstate New Hampshire and Vermont and New York State to form a coalition?
elad eliahu
Yeah, I don't know.
I guess it's not really... New York's probably the reddest area, the Northeast.
But I feel like a lot of states could do this.
Most rural areas are more Republican compared to the cities.
hannah claire brimelow
What do you think is going to happen to Texas?
Because you're in Austin, right?
Austin's gotten pretty blue over the last couple years.
chase geiser
Yeah, I was just going to say, I love this show, and I've loved this conversation, but I do not give a fuck about this.
And maybe I'm wrong.
I'm not even trying to be aggressive or abrasive or anything.
I just don't think it's going to happen.
Maybe it'll happen.
It's like the Texas secession thing you just brought up too.
I like the idea that a state can split away or join another state.
I like the idea that the people can be represented by a different state if they want to and decide through a legal process to do it.
But at this point it's like, it's not going to fucking happen.
I don't fucking care.
You know?
tim pool
Well, yeah, of course it's not going to happen.
And that's the first thing I said.
chase geiser
Yeah, you're right.
I agree with you.
tim pool
The question is, would it be good governance to allow states to dictate their borders?
chase geiser
That's a good question.
It probably would be good governance, in my opinion.
tim pool
Because we're seeing more and more of it, especially in the Pacific Northwest with the state of Jefferson, which could be Northern California as its own It deeply troubles me the reasons that shit like this doesn't happen.
chase geiser
Because congressional members are worried about shifting demographics and districts, and because it's about gerrymandering and whether or not it's going to increase or decrease congressional seats.
That bothers me, but it's not going to happen.
When I see this type of thing in the paper, it's like the Joe Rogan bit.
unidentified
Next!
hannah claire brimelow
No, I can understand that.
I mean, I think ultimately the fact that there are coalitions of people who are saying we are deeply unhappy speaks to what we were talking about before.
chase geiser
Yeah, and if Texas voted to secede and it became like a war, I would sign up!
tim pool
I mean, I would do it, but I'm not like... But I think there's a big difference between counties being like, we want to be represented by another state, this won't affect the federal makeup in any way.
chase geiser
It's not secession.
It's not secession, you're right.
tim pool
Right, and so the reason I bring this up specifically is that you've got California and Texas who have their secessionist movements that want to leave the entirety of the country.
chase geiser
Right, CalExit and Texit.
tim pool
But then you have the lesser of, how about instead of breaking the country apart we just find better representation at the state and local level?
chase geiser
Right.
Well, I'm not opposed to the notion that this should be allowed to happen.
tim pool
Yeah, three western Maryland counties wrote letters saying they wanted to secede from the state and join West Virginia.
chase geiser
It'll change the tax revenue makeup a lot, so the legislatures locally will be upset about that.
tim pool
I don't know.
It's true.
Maryland's like, we're going to lose how much money if we do this?
Right.
I don't know how much money Maryland actually generates from the western counties.
They may actually spend more than they make.
chase geiser
They probably generate more than they spend, because I bet you most of the resources go to the urban areas.
So when you lose revenue, even though it's an inexpensive part of the state, it negatively probably impacts the more urban areas disproportionately.
tim pool
Maybe, but I don't know that in the rural areas enough is going on to generate any kind of revenue.
The majority of the revenue is typically generated in the urban areas.
That being said, I don't know what Baltimore's generating.
Baltimore's got high crime.
You know, people don't want to go there.
It's kind of sad.
You've got the Horseshoe Casino up in Baltimore, and when you go there, every 10 feet there's a sign saying something like, you are safe, or something like this.
hannah claire brimelow
I don't like that they have to tell you that.
tim pool
Which probably means you're not.
hannah claire brimelow
It's very stressful.
chase geiser
If I saw a sign that said you are safe, I'd be like, shit, where's my gun?
tim pool
Well, you know, you're in Baltimore so you can't have one.
And then if you go further south you have Maryland Live and then actually just recently at MGM in D.C.
someone got robbed again and like stabbed or something.
chase geiser
But who was it?
tim pool
Some old guy at MGM.
chase geiser
Democrat or Republican?
elad eliahu
Normie probably. I think the issue with Baltimore is that between Boston, New
York, Philly, Baltimore, and DC, Baltimore is the worst one of the five that of all
these five cities next to each other relatively so. Why would you ever stop?
chase geiser
What's the demographic makeup?
elad eliahu
In Baltimore?
chase geiser
Are you racist?
elad eliahu
Um, I'm not sure what the, what is it?
unidentified
You sound like you know.
hannah claire brimelow
I thought you were going to say, I'm not sure if I'm racist.
elad eliahu
No, yeah, no, it sounds like you know.
chase geiser
I'm just fucking with you, man.
I'm trying to ask difficult questions.
tim pool
So I want to pull up this, uh, I'm going to pull up this tweet here.
chase geiser
Ooh, how did I did a red do?
tim pool
Oh no, wait, wait, what is this?
This is not what I'm trying to pull up.
I'm trying to pull up this.
So we have this tweet from Roz Alerts.
China military have begun drills surrounding the entirety of Taiwan, including the islands of Kinmen and Dongyan, state media says.
I don't know what the update is on this.
This was an hour ago that this story broke.
A lot of people are saying, holy crap, things are starting to light up.
But we do have this story as well.
From SCNR, Russia launches tactical nuclear drills near Ukraine.
Analysts say the exercises are meant to send a clear message to the West.
So what's going on, Alad?
elad eliahu
Before we get into that, Chase, Mr. Populist, I wanted to ask, what is the populist response to if China attacks Taiwan?
How does America respond?
chase geiser
In my opinion, and I can't speak for all of populism or populists, but in my opinion, the populist response is we shouldn't give a fuck about any of these countries except our own country, and we should put America first.
So all the money that we print in order to spend on defending Taiwan from threats like China only serves to weaken our working class and our people.
It's not an America first policy, so it's not a populist policy.
elad eliahu
I think in the surrounding seas around Taiwan, the South China Sea, around like 50% of world trade, world GDP trade, goes through there.
chase geiser
Well, it's too bad that we allowed ourselves to be so dependent on Chinese manufacturing, so we got to the point where this was a problem for us.
If we were actually populist, we wouldn't have fucked ourselves by outsourcing slavery to China, and we'd be manufacturing our own prescription drugs, our own products, instead of importing them from China.
So that's also the anti-populist problem.
elad eliahu
Are we also populistly abandoning our allies in Japan and Korea?
chase geiser
Fuck yeah we are.
Fuck yeah.
Fuck Ukraine.
Fuck Israel.
Fuck Russia.
tim pool
Fuck Taliban.
unidentified
Fuck Taiwan.
chase geiser
Fuck them all.
elad eliahu
I was talking about the ones in Pacific.
tim pool
All of them.
I think you've sworn more than anyone's ever sworn on the show before.
chase geiser
I'm sorry, you want me to cut it out?
tim pool
We usually don't swear.
chase geiser
You didn't tell me that before the show.
I would have watched it.
tim pool
Well, we usually tell people, like, we try not to swear because people have kids watching, but I think you've said it like 70 times, so at this point I'm just gonna be like... Oh, I'll genuinely apologize for that.
I'm not really mad or anything, I just, I'm like... I know, I don't think you're mad.
chase geiser
I'm just genuinely apologizing to you, I didn't mean to make you uncomfortable.
elad eliahu
I understand you're passionate about the issues, too, because a lot of people think that, yeah, we shouldn't have any involvement, so I don't... To hell with these people.
tim pool
We just get emails from people because they'll play the show with their kids in the living room or in their car.
chase geiser
See, the thing with me is I'm on InfoWars and we're on radio, so you can't swear because it's against the law.
And so whenever I come on podcasts, I'm like, finally, I can say the F word.
elad eliahu
I strongly disagree.
It's not F these countries.
I love South Korea.
I love Japan.
I love Taiwan.
chase geiser
I love Israel.
I love them too, but not as much as America.
Like, I love women, but I only sleep with my wife.
elad eliahu
Of course, but I think it's important for our allies not to be overrun by communists in the case of China, in the Asian Pacific, or Islamists in the case of the Middle East.
tim pool
I am sick and tired of all of this funding for all this war and we're not giving enough funding to Korea.
elad eliahu
South Korea?
tim pool
Yeah, why are we giving money to Israel or Taiwan or Ukraine?
We should be funding Korea.
elad eliahu
We give troops to South Korea.
tim pool
We should be giving.
I want 200 billion dollars sent to South Korea, you know, because North Korea is a real threat to this country.
They're working on nuclear weapons and, you know, we got the real risk of war with North Korea, so we should just give everything to South Korea.
hannah claire brimelow
I think we should only focus on our allyship with England, not even Scotland and Wales, just England only.
I personally, in Canada, another great country in my opinion, as soon as two doesn't, doesn't
tim pool
trade, who goes?
Yeah, like why are we giving money to Israel or Ukraine or Taiwan or any other country
for that matter when South Korea is the real important country?
elad eliahu
I think we've had millions of brave, heroic patriots fight against the communists in China
in the Korean War and I hope the conflict doesn't break out again.
tim pool
A lot will not be detected.
I just want to let everybody know, I'm joking by the way.
I don't think we should be funding any of it or be involved in any capacity.
hannah claire brimelow
Oh, I don't think we should be involved at all.
But again, because I have, you know, genetic ties to two countries, I have a favor to do for them.
I'm happy to admit it.
chase geiser
You favor your own genetics?
tim pool
Yeah, I do.
chase geiser
Would you say they're superior?
unidentified
Whoa.
tim pool
Because I've seen all these people where it's like, you'll hear someone and they'll be like,
we shouldn't be funding Ukraine, and you'll be like, what about Israel?
And they'll go, well, hold on there, you know, that's different.
And so I was just like, before the show, I was like, maybe I should just have that, but
for Korea.
Like, all of a sudden, just for some reason, be a neocon when it comes to South Korea.
elad eliahu
It's interesting because many of the people in Congress, the Republicans, who are anti-Ukraine funding are still very pro-Taiwan funding and are hawkishly anti-China, which I'm thankful for, you know, but it's just hypocritical in that point.
tim pool
Even Tulsi Gabbard, I think, too, right?
Like, wasn't she critical of Ukraine but supportive of Israel funding?
hannah claire brimelow
It'd be cool if everyone took the same policy.
chase geiser
Yeah, but she was very quiet about Israel for like six months.
elad eliahu
I looked it up on Twitter.
Tulsi said she doesn't want America to defend Taiwan in the case of a Chinese attack, is what she said.
But you have people like J.D.
Vance who are hawkishly anti-CCP but not pro-Ukraine funding.
chase geiser
Apparently the superconductors are really important.
tim pool
It's like making somewhere else.
hannah claire brimelow
In America, perhaps?
A great idea?
I mean, I agree with you.
I think that the priority should be our country first, and I can understand where we have geopolitical relationships, but to be fair, I think America makes kind of a mess of everything they do on the international stage, especially right now.
chase geiser
How much better off is Iraq and Afghanistan because we got involved in protecting their democracy?
elad eliahu
If we allow our democratic allies in Taiwan to fall... We have no democratic allies.
Japan and South Korea wouldn't have faith in us coming to defense, and then nuclear proliferation would be a huge issue.
Nuclear proliferation is an issue, but not because our enemies are getting atomic weapons.
It's because of our allies wanting atomic weapons when they feel threatened and we don't want to come and assist them in their defense.
So, you know, if Taiwan falls, the first thing South Korea is going to want is a nuclear weapon.
Same with Japan.
Uh, the less we aid Ukraine, the more they will want a nuclear weapon in the future.
future. One of the original reasons they disarmed their nuclear arsenal originally was because
we would defend them in case of an attack.
hannah claire brimelow
Didn't Poland just offer to house our nuclear weapons if we wanted to put them there? I
mean, like, I get what you're saying. On the other hand, I don't think it changes my position.
I think ultimately, we didn't do a good job of inserting ourselves into the world internationally.
And in fact, we hurt the American economy by shipping manufacturing overseas, which
we said was going to help local economies or do whatever else. Like, this is not the
way to help everybody by saying, well, everyone's going to be dependent on us all the time,
especially when the people who are actually dependent on us American citizens feel as
though we've left a gashing hole in the border. And also, all of them are worried about how
to pay for their bills at the end of the month.
If we are in charge of one population, the American people, they should feel like they are doing really well before we start saying, okay, here's what we're going to promise the rest of the world.
We can't even come to our own promises that we have for our own voters.
Why would we say, yes, you can depend on us for all these kinds of things.
No worries.
chase geiser
I absolutely agree.
And if we really think China is a threat and that we should stand up against the CCP if they attack Taiwan, then why is it that we're giving them so many millions and billions of dollars?
elad eliahu
Do you not think China, the Communist Chinese government, is a threat to American hegemony and American interests, writ large?
chase geiser
That's a difficult question for me to answer, yes or no.
I would say that China is a competitor, but not a threat.
And I think anytime China has been or will be a threat will be because we've probably induced that threat.
Like, I have a problem with the CCP spying on us through TikTok less than I have a problem on our government.
Extending FISA to spy on us.
So it's going to try to ban TikTok because spying on the American people is something only our enemies do in the same 10 days that it passes legislation to spy on us.
Like, our own government.
The greatest threat to national security in America is the government of the United States.
elad eliahu
But there's a material difference.
chase geiser
It is the number one enemy of the American people.
elad eliahu
There's a material difference between our government spying on us, which again, I don't think is great.
chase geiser
What material difference?
Quantify it.
elad eliahu
Versus, wait, versus the Chinese government?
chase geiser
Quantify it.
elad eliahu
No, we can't.
chase geiser
Yeah, Edward Snowden came out and said that the government was spying on us and it's a violation of our Fourth Amendment rights and the only person that got arrested for it or charged with any crimes for it was Edward Snowden.
elad eliahu
No, we don't.
chase geiser
First of all, it never says democracy once in the Constitution.
Second of all, even if it did, this isn't democratic.
elad eliahu
We live in a representative democracy where your votes matter and we elect officials and that doesn't happen in China.
So I think that's the material difference.
Also, we're a country based on the Constitution and freedoms and China is a country based on communism.
chase geiser
You think that the United States, as it is today, you think that the United States is based off of the Constitution as it is today?
elad eliahu
I think we have the first and second amendment and I think that's something you don't have in communist China.
tim pool
How many states were you allowed to own a gun in in 1980?
chase geiser
I don't know.
tim pool
I think it was like probably two.
chase geiser
You were only allowed to own a gun in the United States?
tim pool
Gun rights.
The right to keep and bear arms outside of your home really came into effect with D.C.
versus Heller in 2008.
I didn't know that.
Yeah, George Carlin got arrested for swearing at a comedy club.
unidentified
God.
chase geiser
Imagine what would have happened to me.
tim pool
We had blasphemy laws a couple hundred years ago.
You could get arrested.
chase geiser
So do you think that the United States is a country based off the Constitution?
elad eliahu
I think we're a lot more free than any other country.
tim pool
Frederick Douglass famously challenged the American people to live up to the documents.
elad eliahu
I agree with that.
I think it's dangerous also to like both sides are government with communist regimes like that, but... The United States...
tim pool
I believe has a problem.
chase geiser
You're probably right about that, too.
tim pool
We have a problem with corruption in government, and it is not nearly as bad as most government problems.
chase geiser
Like the white pill by Michael Malice.
I mean, that was basically the whole point of that book.
tim pool
Yeah, the CCP is infinitely worse than the establishment.
chase geiser
I agree.
But there's something particularly egregious about a government betraying its own people that is just not the same when another government does it.
tim pool
This is the issue, right?
We are what's referred to academically as a liberal democracy.
It depends on the institutions you have within it, if you want to get to the nitty-gritty.
So we're a constitutional republic with democratically elected representatives.
Countries like this, because it largely does, at least in some degree, seek to have input from the people, are referred to as liberal democracy in that capacity.
We can FOIA requests, as Alad mentioned, we can file lawsuits, and we win.
The reason why I'm in favor of the TikTok divestment bill is because, for one, it's not really a ban.
TikTok can still operate.
You can go to TikTok.us, it'll still exist, it just won't be on different servers outside of the country.
But it won't be on iPhones, it could be on Android.
chase geiser
It's kind of a ban.
tim pool
This is the challenge.
chase geiser
I mean, it's like saying that Alex Jones didn't get banned because he could still have his own servers.
I mean, technically, he was legally allowed to operate, but the impact is so... Alex Jones got banned from YouTube.
elad eliahu
Yes.
tim pool
The divestment bill would ban TikTok.
chase geiser
So TikTok is going to get banned from Apple?
tim pool
It would be banned from U.S.
servers.
elad eliahu
If they don't sell.
tim pool
But my point is, if they don't divest.
And so it's not even selling, it's selling 1% of the company, which they refuse to do and they're going to lay people off.
When it comes to Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, etc., we filed FOIA requests, we filed lawsuits, we won.
Elon Musk bought X, released a bunch of documents.
You can't do that with TikTok.
chase geiser
Yes, you're right.
tim pool
The United States has problems.
We're actually fighting a culture war, and in many ways we're winning.
Targets abandoning their pride section, Bud Light panicked, they didn't give us everything they wanted and apologized, but they did still start backtracking.
And then you've got Donald Trump, the frontrunner, right now to win in November.
That doesn't mean we've won, but this doesn't exist in China.
chase geiser
Okay, fair enough.
tim pool
So it's like, with all the problems we have, the price of freedom is eternal vigilance.
chase geiser
But the original question was whether or not the CCP was a threat.
tim pool
Yes.
unidentified
Massively.
chase geiser
You think it's a threat to the United States of America?
tim pool
I absolutely do.
unidentified
100%.
chase geiser
Can you be a little bit more specific about what that means?
Because threat's a very broad-stroke term.
tim pool
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
chase geiser
But in what area?
Do you mean like military?
Do you mean culturally?
I mean, in what ways?
tim pool
China's strategy, China's efforts, China's end goals involve the destruction and the end of the United States.
chase geiser
Like the 100-year plan?
tim pool
I don't know necessarily if you want to get into that, but I can tell you this.
Militaristically, of course and obviously, the expansion of the South China Sea in violation of international treaties could destabilize the region and could seriously impact our allies, our resources, etc.
Now, that being said, I'm more America first.
I like to keep things here in the United States.
We're going to have international relations.
We're going to have trade.
I don't care to go to war over Taiwan.
But the expansion of the military and building atoll bases in South China Sea and then sending strike groups near Hawaii and Alaska is putting pressure on our boundaries and our territory.
TikTok is the best example of China directly assaulting the United States.
TikTok becomes massively popular in the United States and starts sending weird, woke garbage to children.
chase geiser
It definitely brainwashed an entire generation of our people, 100%.
tim pool
That means in 20, 30 years, when these people who are brainwashed are in industry, it's going to be like, Putting a a a look you call it a mind virus.
It is a it is a social mind virus in our society which is going to economically and physically damage us and already did.
That's why I'm like TikTok must be assessed and held accountable in whatever mean appropriate.
I'm not going to give Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, or any other platform a free pass on this one, but if you look at X, we've got some solutions there.
Not only did we have FOIA federal government's communications with Facebook and Twitter, which we learned.
We had Alex Berenson's lawsuit against Twitter, and then we learned they were coordinating with government.
We're able to fight those battles, and we've won many of them.
And we're still facing serious challenges.
chase geiser
But since TikTok is operated by the CCP and it's outside the jurisdiction of the United States, there's no way to deploy it, there's no way to litigate it, to see what they're doing to try and manipulate algorithms.
tim pool
And it is China attacking us, causing us harm to our nation, the fabric of this country, to destroy it.
They're buying up land and the government is allowing it to happen.
chase geiser
I have a problem with that too.
tim pool
There's a risk for China in that regard because the government could nationalize that in a second and China would lose their minds.
China's also been attacking us, our cyber infrastructure, for two decades.
chase geiser
Yes.
tim pool
You can actually track the cyber attacks that are low scale and watch them in real time on various websites where you can see what I would describe as Chinese Corsair hackers, effectively pirates in the modern era, that are under commission.
I forgot the name of the group.
There was one famous group.
The way it works is China will indirectly provide funding to hacker groups in China and they'll be like, you have free reign to commit any crime you want as long as it's against the United States and Europe.
So these people within Chinese borders are stealing money.
Look at the phone calls you get every day.
You ever notice those phone calls where it's just like weird Mandarin phone calls?
Understand that in modern warfare, what China is looking to do is maximize friction without engaging in physical conflict.
So something as simple as getting a phone call may seem innocuous.
But if their math is, hey, if we do 100,000 phone calls to random phones in the United States every day, our estimates are that we could slow economic activity by 0.02%.
chase geiser
So the interruption is the attack.
tim pool
And it's meaningless to you as an individual, but when you scale it up to 300 million people, you can actually measure the economic activity that someone's in the middle of a meeting and their phone rings and they stop to check it.
That in one meeting is meaningless to you as an individual, but that adds up in the long run.
These are all meant to destabilize the United States.
They're actively doing it.
And the challenge is, China's strategy is the, I'm not touching you, I'm not touching you.
So they're doing these things, I will say outright, TikTok is a psychological warfare.
It's psychological warfare on the United States, targeting our youth, so that in 20 years, we are, I'm sorry, did you see the video of the guy on the aircraft carrier putting on makeup and then thrusting his hips around?
This is our military that is now more focused on doing drag shows than on defending this nation.
They're putting DEI policy into effect.
Why?
Because of what China is doing.
Not only that, with TikTok, they say you've got 175 million active users in the United States, and large portions of them are businesses.
Since when did we agree to allow the CCP to control economics in any capacity in this country?
And then you've got people who are like, no, don't ban TikTok.
And I'm like, why?
It's China attacking the United States militaristically.
So China is a massive threat.
They're a bigger threat than the things that are happening in this country that we can actually fight against.
We would not be having the Bud Light conversation at all.
There would be no Bud Light conversation if it were not for the CCP attacking our young people.
chase geiser
So the CCP literally ruined Bud Light?
tim pool
Yes.
elad eliahu
You might not be thinking about war with them, but they're definitely thinking about war with you.
chase geiser
Well, I definitely believe that the CCP is a threat in the sense that it wants to subvert
the dollar as the global reserve currency. But part of the way you do that is by getting the
United States involved in all these international conflicts, so they have to print money to fund it.
elad eliahu
They teach, in China they teach, that our values, our American values, are antithetical to their values.
They see our democracy as a weakness.
They see free speech as an opportunity to just cause chaos.
They see the Second Amendment as giving people too much individual rights.
chase geiser
You gotta keep in mind, I'm no fan of the CCP.
I'm just...
Here's the reason that I was so eager to say that I didn't think China was a threat.
It was probably a little rash of me.
The reason I was so eager is because when something happens in Taiwan, all of the neocons are going to just hype up how much of a threat the CCP is to justify sending billions and billions of dollars or escalating the conflict.
And that's why I hate saying things like, yes, China's a threat, or yes, China's an enemy, even though it's probably true.
You guys both made excellent points.
So I can see that.
I'm not trying to be difficult here, but I just hate the way that's used and abused by the right and the left to justify funding Israel, and then giving aid simultaneously to the Palestinians, and then funding Ukraine, and then funding Taiwan.
I mean, it just seems like we're always wrapped up in war after war because everybody's a threat.
Always.
And it seems like we make the threats up just so we can fund the conflicts half the time.
And I'm just pushing back against that.
That's all.
tim pool
Well, in terms of Russia, Ukraine, Israel, it's their threats to us in the sense of there is an elite group of military-industrial-complex goons who have enacted foreign policy plans, and their plans are being threatened.
So in essence, not really a threat to the United States as a nation.
Unless you really just want to live off the petrodollar.
I'll tell you the reality is this.
If America First got its utopian vision, you'd probably work 12 hours a day.
Maybe that's a little rough.
No, I think 12 is fair.
chase geiser
If you're doing what you love.
tim pool
I don't know if it would be love, but people need to understand that Yeah, we don't really manufacture a lot relative to what we consume and produce here.
chase geiser
Right.
We basically just make food.
unidentified
Yeah.
chase geiser
That's like our main export.
tim pool
And culture.
And the principal issue is that so long as the U.S.
is forced to use the dollar, our dollar has values and we have unlimited oil, basically.
So we are constrained in that we can't just take all the oil and do whatever we want with it.
There's limits because the Saudis can dump oil and flood the market and affect the petrodollar, but you've got countries that have to produce enough exports so that their currency is stable against the dollar so they can trade for it to get oil.
The U.S.
doesn't have to do that.
The U.S.
and the Federal Reserve will just make money when they feel like spending it and they'll debase the currency and then hope no one does anything.
So long as we have the guns pointed at everybody around the world, we don't have to worry about people getting mad that we just devalued the debt they were holding.
chase geiser
And what are you going to do about it?
tim pool
Well, we're gonna go to Super Chat, so if you haven't already, would you kindly smash that like button, subscribe to this channel, share the show with your friends, and head over to TimCast.com, click join us at the website, become a member, and you'll get access to the uncensored call-in show coming up in about 20 minutes.
So we'd love to hear from you guys as callers and as members.
You make this all possible.
If you believe we do a good job on this show, or you believe that we do a good enough job on this show and you want to see us do more, or if you hate us completely but like that we exist because you complain a lot in the comments, well then you'd hate to see us go.
Go to TimCast.com, become a member, and then we can continue to exist.
For without your support, we would not.
Clint Torres is back!
He says, howdy people!
Howdy Clint, welcome back.
Token Black Eye in the second super chat saying, howdy people.
Phil, can I get a let's go?
There is no Phil.
There is only Elad.
unidentified
Let's go!
elad eliahu
Is that what you sound like?
hannah claire brimelow
You're almost gonna be the lead singer of a metal band now.
elad eliahu
Let's go!
tim pool
All right, Igor Voicu says, First, hi Tim, I know it's a long shot, but can I get a shoutout on my first video on my channel?
I was born in Ukraine, but I discussed my America First perspective on the Ukraine wars as a naturalized US citizen.
A shoutout is worth more than $10,000.
Is that what they say?
I don't know, what is your channel called?
Is it just Igor Voicu?
Is that the name of your channel?
elad eliahu
Igor, Igor!
tim pool
Igor?
elad eliahu
Igor.
chase geiser
I'm an Igor guy.
elad eliahu
That's probably how it's pronounced, yeah.
tim pool
I'm assuming that's your channel, so everybody can search for it.
elad eliahu
American First Ukrainian.
tim pool
Aquafan says Biden off the ballot in Ohio.
Aren't there some blue states giving all their electors to the winner of the popular vote?
Ohio makes much easier for Trump to win the popular vote.
That is not yet.
So the National Popular Vote Coalition doesn't go into effect until they have more than 270 electoral votes.
And I believe they should be sued as this is unconstitutional.
It should be allowed.
elad eliahu
Another potential catalyst to civil war if that ever happens.
hannah claire brimelow
You said there's no civil war coming, so you can't take it back now.
elad eliahu
We haven't hit that yet, though.
We haven't hit the switch until the popular vote.
hannah claire brimelow
Oh, now he's changing his position.
tim pool
How interesting.
I think we're like 210 electoral votes.
elad eliahu
Some amount of states, right, need to approve or say they're going to do it.
tim pool
However, I will stress, this means California can go Republican.
It's like the weirdest idea ever.
They're like, we're going to give all our votes to whoever won the popular vote.
And it's like, that means right now California will never give their electors to Republican.
But if you do this pact, it means they might.
hannah claire brimelow
I feel like it's a risk we're willing to take.
Thank you so much.
tim pool
Except when they're bringing in wave after wave of non-citizen and allowing non-citizens to vote.
chase geiser
Trump won California in 2020.
Unbelievable.
I mean, I live there.
tim pool
there. It's miserable. Max Reddick says Tim, you should do a culture war episode with Destiny.
Talk about J6. Whoa. Was that talk about J6, Trump cases, Biden family, corruption, etc.
It would be an epic show. I kind of feel like Destiny would engage in. I don't think there
would be actual debate.
Because Destiny's debate style is more based on, like, morality and purpose.
And I would just say something like, Joe Biden did X. And he would go, well, okay, so what?
And I'd be like, then we agree.
You know what I mean?
Yeah.
Like, I was talking with Destiny on the show before, and I said, you know, during the lockdowns, Democrats were enacting these policies, and he goes, when else would they do them?
And I said, for sure.
chase geiser
When Destiny was in the debate with Krasensteins and Alex Jones at Infowars?
At the end, Alex went to shake everybody's hands, and he reached for Destiny's hand to shake his hand, and Destiny just looked at him and said, I fucking hate you, man.
And ever since then, I've been like, that guy's a fucking asshole.
unidentified
Wow.
chase geiser
You know?
Regardless of whether he's right or not, he's an asshole.
elad eliahu
What was Jones' response?
chase geiser
He just, you know, moved on and shook the Krasinski's hand like a gentleman, you know?
elad eliahu
Just ate it.
chase geiser
Yeah.
He just smiled, you know?
He was having a great time that night.
He's like, did I do good?
I'm like, yeah, you did great.
It was fun.
tim pool
Cole Marshall says, did a 50-pound farmer's carry today.
Gonna start making fitness content to inspire more people.
If I was an old sub and re-sub to the website, can I join Collins?
Also favorite lifts.
If you were already a member and you log into your account and re-up, you should still have all the same access, but I don't know for sure.
You might have to, is that?
Yeah, because your account is as old as your account is, so like, I'm pretty sure if you signed up today, and then cancelled next month, and then like 8 months later re-signed up, you'd probably still have access?
Yeah, okay, I think so.
Because it's the age of the account, but I'm not sure.
The reason we do the 6 month time gate, or...
You sign up for $10 a month, and then after six months you get access to the call-in room, or you sign up at $25 a month today, and you have instant access.
It's because we had weirdos that were trying to come in and just causing problems.
They were trying to overload the system and flood it so that it wasn't working properly, and so we were like, we have to have a gate.
And apparently $25 is expensive enough to where people stop trying to come and cause problems.
And it's just, it's like, you know, what are you going to do, I guess?
No one- Some people might wait six months and try, but they usually forget about it.
Let's go!
Shrek Donkey says- Donkey!
Says, furniture store in Houston area giving 50% discount if rep wins this year.
Gallery furniture is store name.
elad eliahu
What was the promo?
If who wins?
chase geiser
Republicans.
unidentified
Oh, wow.
tim pool
Well, there you go.
hannah claire brimelow
I hope someone who's never voted for it goes to the polls and votes Republican because I really want this discount.
tim pool
I love that chair!
hannah claire brimelow
I must get it on this percent off.
tim pool
All right.
Anarchy76 says, hi, been watching almost every day for years.
He's not here today, but I wanted to say I'm going to see Phil with Megadeth and Mudvayne on August 2nd in Rogers, Arkansas.
My first All That Remains show.
Excited.
Keep up the good work.
unidentified
You know, I think All That Remains is better than Mudvayne and Megadeth.
Whoa.
tim pool
Yeah, and it's, you know, but it's like, all that remains has got more, I feel like, melodic music.
I don't know.
hannah claire brimelow
I definitely think it's better.
That being said, I've never listened to the other two ever, and I talk to Phil regularly all the time.
I also really don't know any of Phil's music.
I'll admit that on air right now.
He's a fun guy.
elad eliahu
I also don't know any of Phil's music, but hearing this guy, this super chatter say he's going to one of his concerts makes me want to go.
So maybe one day I'll steal Hannah Clare and we'll go to Phil's concert.
unidentified
We should!
elad eliahu
Shut up, Phil.
tim pool
Yeah!
Alright, Anthony Shaw says, The FBI clearing 126 rooms has nothing to do with classified documents.
They were looking for a fight, looking for someone to shoot back at an unlawful entry into a hotel room.
Imagine staying at a Red Roof Inn and the door opens.
What would you do?
And it's Florida, where people have guns.
This is what people need to understand about Mar-a-Lago.
It's not like a house with one guy sitting in it.
At any given moment, there's a ton of random people who are ordering from a restaurant.
You go to Mar-a-Lago and you sit down and a waiter comes out and says, what would you like for breakfast?
And he hands you a menu.
It's a restaurant, it's a private club.
You're hanging out at the pool and it's Mar-a-Lago, so it's the lagoon, it's the lake to the ocean.
You can be on the beach and then walk to the pool and there are servers serving food.
And then all of a sudden you're in beach, I stayed in the beach house, there are hotel rooms.
They give you keys, you go in, that's literally what it is.
I could not imagine if I was there and guys in plain clothes kick the doors in with guns drawn.
That's insane.
hannah claire brimelow
And that was part of their instructions, right?
To check every room.
chase geiser
Right.
And when I went down to Eagle Pass to cover some of the border stuff going on, I mean,
it was in Texas.
In Texas, you can carry a gun anywhere, even if you don't have a license.
And we all had guns, like multiple guns in our rooms.
If somebody would have busted in the door, I'm not saying that I would have done this,
but it would have been like one of the top two options on my mind.
So I don't know what the laws are like in Florida.
I'm pretty sure that you can just carry a gun and technically—
tim pool
Concealed carry without a permit is allowed, but open carry is not.
chase geiser
But in your hotel room, it probably counts as your residence.
tim pool
And I think Mar-a-Lago's only weapon restriction is active secret service.
So I think even when Trump's not there, you can't have weapons on Mar-a-Lago.
But in Florida, Mar-a-Lago is split by a road.
Right, so there's more than one property that has access over the road, and then there's a tunnel that goes under the road.
So you can stay within the grounds of Mar-a-Lago, despite there being a road going through it.
So I don't think anyone there, outside of Trump's official security or whatever... I see.
In fact, I don't even think his security might be armed.
chase geiser
Oh, they gotta be.
tim pool
I don't know.
Secret Services.
chase geiser
Yeah.
tim pool
But when Trump's not there, they might be.
I'm not sure.
I think there's rules.
Bongino was talking about this, that Secret Service doesn't want anyone else to have weapons because they want to be the only law enforcement with force capability in the event that something happens.
They don't want any confusion.
Yeah.
elad eliahu
Monopoly on force.
Secret Service.
unidentified
Yep.
tim pool
Let's go!
Nathan Strangles says, here's $50 for someone in need.
Also love the show, keep it the good fight.
Rise with Roberto Jr.
is the bee's knees.
You know, it was initially, it was my favorite, Rise with Roberto Jr., and then Appalachian Nights, just, man.
hannah claire brimelow
Was Staying Your Ground sold out the other day?
I thought I saw that when you had the website pulled up.
tim pool
Maybe.
hannah claire brimelow
What if it becomes the new favorite?
tim pool
Maybe.
When we first launched, Rise of the Roberto Jr.
was our signature, you know, Roberto Jr., of course, the mascot.
And then, uh, we didn't really sell that much Appalachian Nights.
And I was just like, you know, I like it.
It's a dark roast.
It's a blend that I came up with.
And now it's, we sell 10 times as much Appalachian Nights as anything else.
So I was like, okay, that one.
Ian's Graphene Dream is, is just, it's been five months backlogged for some reason.
Yeah.
hannah claire brimelow
Did you ever pick the cat charity for Alex Stein's Primetime Grind?
tim pool
Nope!
But, uh, we will.
chase geiser
I can't even hear his name without laughing.
That guy's so funny.
tim pool
Yeah, so we have Alex Stein's Primetime Grind 2x Caffeine Coffee over at Casperoo.
And, uh, we, we are, uh...
We're we're we got it.
We got it on the list finding a good cat charity and then announcing all that stuff.
But we I don't want to say too much because Alex is going to be here.
So, you know, I got him.
chase geiser
I got him to smoke a lucky strike on his show when I was on.
tim pool
He's going to be here tomorrow, actually, isn't he?
Yeah, Alex is here tomorrow.
So we may we may have something for you.
Yeah, it was funny when When we were like, we're gonna sponsor your show, he was like, I will get a kiddie pool and I will fill it with coffee and swim in it, and I was like, you can do whatever you want.
unidentified
I mean, you could!
Yeah.
tim pool
It'll be the most fun commercial ever.
chase geiser
He's a good guy.
tim pool
But so we like, I think we recently re-upped, so we sponsor his show, and then he promotes Casper Coffee, and in ways that probably a sane company would never allow, but that makes it more fun, you know what I mean?
elad eliahu
He just wants an excuse to be in a two-piece, I think.
chase geiser
A two-piece?
elad eliahu
Yeah.
chase geiser
He did the tuck thing, right?
He went to Target and put on the tuck-friendly bathing suit?
elad eliahu
No, like a female bathing suit.
It's like a two, like the top and the bottom.
tim pool
Yeah, no, but he wore like a onesie.
elad eliahu
Oh, he wore a onesie.
tim pool
Was that the tech-friendly one?
Maybe.
chase geiser
Yeah, he's trying it on at the Target.
It's hilarious.
tim pool
All right, let's read some more Super Chats.
unidentified
Let's go.
tim pool
Brian Egan says, if Trump wins 2024, does the Libertarian Party have an opening to be successor to MAGA instead of the pendulum swinging all the way to the left again in 2028?
unidentified
I don't see that.
tim pool
No, but this, I just want to stress this starting tomorrow, it's the first day of the LP National Convention in D.C.
This Friday and Saturday is going to be the craziest party in politics, probably in 20 years or more.
It's like, the Libertarians and Republicans are all partying together.
This is gonna be nuts.
chase geiser
I can't even imagine.
Heroin, hookers, everything the Libertarian Party's been fighting for.
tim pool
That's right.
It's too bad they didn't do it at the uh... FREE AMMUNITION!
It would have been a lot better if they did it at MGM National Harbor, because then you've got a bunch of restaurants, you've got the casino, you've got the venue.
chase geiser
Are you going?
elad eliahu
Yeah, I'm going to be there.
chase geiser
So you've got to scope out whether or not it comes off right-wing or left-wing.
elad eliahu
I'm just so excited.
I'm expecting it being more right-wing coded, but I'm just excited to see how the crowd and people react to Trump.
Like that?
tim pool
Oh, he's gonna get booed.
elad eliahu
That's gonna be the big question.
chase geiser
Count the purple hair.
elad eliahu
Um, we'll see.
tim pool
He's gonna get booed for sure.
elad eliahu
We'll see.
tim pool
But it's gonna be, I think it'll be like 60-40 boos to cheers.
Because even the Mises Caucus guys are critical of Trump.
elad eliahu
Do you think he thinks he's gonna get booed though?
unidentified
Yes.
elad eliahu
I don't know if he'd go if he thought he'd get booed.
unidentified
What if he talks about non-booable shit?
tim pool
He's going to get booed.
hannah claire brimelow
when he announced him, he'll walk out and people will boo him.
tim pool
He's going to get booed. He knows it, but he knows enough people there are persuadable.
hannah claire brimelow
Yeah. And he's going to come in with the same energy where he, remember that tweet when
they were like, he's falling asleep in trial and he was like, I am just resting my beautiful
blue eyes. Like if you know half the crowd doesn't like you, you're mentally prepared
elad eliahu
for it. I actually disagree with Tim. I think he's going to get a bunch of cheers. I think
everybody at the Libertarian Convention is going to be starstruck by Trump. He has this
aura about him and we'll see.
tim pool
You guys should bet money on it.
So I'm saying it's gonna be a mix of cheers and boos.
People have already complained.
chase geiser
He's already walking back.
tim pool
About Trump being... 60-40, cheers to boos.
People have already complained that Trump's coming.
Because the attitude is, and we've had the conversation here about RFK as well, why are we inviting people who are not libertarians to come and dominate the convention that we are trying to build up a base of?
And it's like, the Mises Caucus people are like, no, it's good because Trump is going to shine a light on the Libertarian Party.
It's going to bring more people, it's going to raise more money, it's going to build awareness, and it's going to make a Republican president answer questions to the Libertarians, the same as the Democrats should, but they will not do.
chase geiser
Whoever said they shouldn't invite Trump to promote an event?
tim pool
That's a good point.
hannah claire brimelow
I think Trump being there does confirm that libertarians have a serious influence in American politics.
unidentified
Yes.
hannah claire brimelow
And I think that's really the first step for them if they are trying to grow the movement.
I could understand maybe wanting a libertarian to be front and center.
However, getting the attention of, you know, the notorious Trump is a big deal.
tim pool
Just Me says West Virginia Tea Party took over the state government.
West Virginia had been Democrat for 60 years.
That's true.
Shout out to Riley Moore, who I guess he's default going to win in November because he won the primary.
So I think he was the first Republican treasurer in like 80 years, something like that.
hannah claire brimelow
Yeah.
tim pool
Because it was Democrat before that.
Isn't that wild?
It's just so crazy.
Yeah, I think we have a one-party system.
I think there's also something to be said about taking over the party from the inside, if that's what you're going to try to do.
the two-party system makes electing non-red or blue candidates impossible.
elad eliahu
Yeah, I think we have a one-party system. I think there's also something to be said about
taking over the party from the inside, if that's what you're going to try to do. Like,
certain factions eventually cause the internal civil wars of parties and take over and remake
them in their image, so... might be a difference, Jeff.
tim pool
Brian Egan says America appears to be a cluster of city-states like ancient Greece, a bunch of self-congratulating
tribes that are all represented by their mascots.
Ffff...
The funny thing about Congress is that when you see someone standing up and yelling and being like, we cannot elect this law, they're not actually arguing to anybody in Congress.
chase geiser
Right, because they have all those conversations before they go up on C-SPAN.
tim pool
It's not even that.
It's that they know that they're never convincing a Republican.
They're doing it for their constituents back home.
unidentified
Yeah.
tim pool
They want to make a video that they can go home and be like, look at me, look what I'm doing.
chase geiser
Well, I was a lobbyist in Tennessee at the state level.
And all the committee meetings, it was hilarious because there was a private committee meeting before the committee meeting in the committee room.
So just the people on the committee meeting talking about all the legislation, how they're going to vote, why, what they're going to say.
They literally plan it out like a pregame.
And then you go in, and they have the official legal meeting that's required, where they have the arguments and the debates, and they come up to the podium, and it's already, like, figured out, so the meetings always ended on time at the perfect moment.
And yeah, I saw that at the state level in Tennessee, and it's certainly true, Congress too.
tim pool
ERB Media says, Hey Tim, can I get a shout-out for my band, Egomyth?
Shout-out, Egomyth.
Best of luck with your music.
elad eliahu
Let's go.
tim pool
Kwame Hayes says, America, eff yeah!
We agree.
We all here agree with this.
All right.
Lurch685 says, Allad always wants to fight Israel's wars.
Is that true, Allad?
elad eliahu
I think the Israelis are doing fine, just fine fighting their own wars.
tim pool
So do you think we should be funding Israel?
elad eliahu
Yeah, just like we should be supporting all of our allies so they can fight for themselves.
I don't think American troops should fight for Ukraine, but we should arm the Ukrainians in their war against Russia.
I don't think we should be fighting wars for Israel, but I think we should assist Israel in fighting wars against common enemies.
tim pool
And South Korea.
unidentified
Doesn't that just start to feel like a proxy war guarantee?
elad eliahu
Well, we also have the most troops in South Korea compared to all of these allies, but for some reason that one just goes under the radar.
For the millions of veterans who actually did fight in South Korea.
tim pool
South Korea is different.
I think it's very important that Korea gets all of our support.
We have the THAAD missiles.
elad eliahu
I think we have 30,000 troops in South Korea.
tim pool
Yeah, it's nuts.
hannah claire brimelow
And that's all because of Tim, all his secret lobbying.
tim pool
Dude, I don't care enough about K-pop.
You know, like... I like Gangnam Style.
It's a good song, but Nappo Baji is way better.
And anybody who says Gangnam Style is clearly not a fan of Psy.
chase geiser
No, I'm not a fan of Psy.
But I like that song.
tim pool
You should hear Nappo Baji.
elad eliahu
Almost 29,000 American troops as of May 4th, 2024.
I wonder how many we have in Japan, too.
tim pool
Can we just annex South Korea?
chase geiser
How many of them died from avian flu?
tim pool
We should just annex South Korea.
chase geiser
We should annex Mexico.
Make America Mexico again.
No, no, no.
tim pool
We had Mexico and Polk gave it up.
Yeah.
chase geiser
Screw that guy.
No wonder they elected Franklin Pierce right after.
elad eliahu
Guam should be a state that we could just start going further out into the Pacific, just adding state by state.
tim pool
I think we need to take over Canada.
chase geiser
Oh yeah.
I want Justin Trudeau to be like a congressman instead of a prime minister.
tim pool
And think about the maple syrup reserves we capture.
chase geiser
Judge Napolitano would flip out.
tim pool
He loves maple syrup.
elad eliahu
We need to colonize the Philippines again.
Remember when those were the... I'll do it.
unidentified
I love Filipino women.
elad eliahu
I do think we've made the word colonization dirty.
unidentified
We're gonna go to the members only show everybody.
tim pool
Head over to TimCast.com, click Join Us, become a member if you want to watch the uncensored Colin show, which will be coming up in about a minute.
It's good fun, you don't want to miss it.
As a member, you're helping support the show, and you can hang out in the Discord server with like-minded individuals.
They got pre-shows, I got after-after shows.
You can follow the show at TimCast on X and Instagram, as well as Rumble.com slash TimCast IRL.
Chase, do you want to shout anything out?
chase geiser
I just want to remind everybody to get my book, The Rise of American Populism.
You can follow me on Twitter at RealChaseGeyser and check it out.
The link is in the bio.
Also, make sure you check out InfoWars.com, InfoWarsStore.com.
I do host the Sunday Night Live show on Sunday evenings.
Thank you guys all so much.
I've enjoyed every moment of this, except for when we were talking about that weird state thing.
This was awesome.
elad eliahu
Chase, thank you so much for taking the time to chat.
My name is Elad Eliyahu.
Be sure to follow us at TimCastNews on Twitter and Instagram.
I'm going to be covering Trump's rally in the South Bronx tomorrow, and then me and more at the TimCast team are going to be covering the Libertarian Convention in the next few days out in D.C.
So be sure to check us out on at least Instagram and Twitter.
hannah claire brimelow
You're stealing all my talking points.
I have nothing to say now.
No, it's been a fun show.
I'm always grateful to be here.
I'm really thankful for everyone who tunes in to watch.
I definitely feel like you guys make all the difference.
I'm Hannah Claire Brimlow.
I'm a writer for scnr.com.
That's Scanner News.
A lot is totally right.
Follow all of our work, all of our amazing team at TimCastNews, Twitter, Instagram.
If you want to follow me personally, I'm hannahclaire.b on Instagram.
I'm hannahclaireb on Twitter.
That's it, guys.
Thank you so much.
Bye, Serge!
unidentified
We'll see you all over at TimCast.com in about a minute.
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