May 27, 2019 - Steve Pieczenik
04:18
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| Time | Text |
|---|---|
| Hi, this is Dr. | |
| Pichanik. | |
| Today I want to talk about Trump's personalized style of negotiations. | |
| He's been accused of many things, pathological liar, crazy, mad, all of that is nonsense. | |
| He's probably the most predictable president we've ever had in terms of negotiation. | |
| If you only have to read the art of the deal, you will see exactly the things that he has to do. | |
| The more important part is he's one of the most intuitive negotiators I've seen from the past. | |
| What do I mean? | |
| He literally works from his intuition and from his sense of cues that are presented at that moment. | |
| When he's in Japan, he knows how to work Abe. | |
| Abe understands him to a point. | |
| And then the issue of exporting cars to the United States at a lower price will be dealt with with Trump in return for an increase in soybeans and meat and increased penetration of the Japanese market. | |
| That's my suspicion of the outcome of this negotiation. | |
| But in contrast, let me talk a little bit about the past negotiators. | |
| In the Nixon administration, I was not a negotiator, but I was witness to the fact that Both Richard Solomon and Winston Lord did an excellent job of opening up China for Nixon, who did a brilliant job of veering to the Chinese and then the Soviet Union during and throughout the Watergate crisis. | |
| He was far more of an intellectual He's a negotiator than most of the others. | |
| Then we have Carter, who is also somewhat intellectual, although he did an excellent job despite his past failures on the Camp David Accords. | |
| And there he was helped not only by me and Stanfield Turner and Frank Wisnow and a whole bunch of operatives in the CIA. But he was helped by the fact that he understood that there was an imperative for him to create peace in the Middle East as a devoted Christian. | |
| And that was a paramount issue in the negotiation. | |
| And in effect, we have had 50 years worth of peace. | |
| from that negotiation, and he should be given the accolades accordingly. | |
| The Reagan administration had more of a control through Baker as Baker had through Bush Sr. | |
| And there I was able to negotiate the whole Paris peace accord with the help of Richard Solomon and the staff on the East Asia Bureau and create an independent Cambodia, which is now still viable 25 years later. | |
| But it was Baker who allowed it to come into fruition and signed off on it. | |
| In this case, we have Trump. | |
| All of the elements of the negotiation, although he doesn't have to be prepared, the intelligence community will give him certain talking points and then in turn he will translate it in the same way he knows to go to the sumo wrestler because that's something he's interested in and it's also something he can talk about that's not pertinent to the deal itself. | |
| At the same time he can see the young empress and the women involved And with Emperor Hirohito and his son. | |
| So we have all of these elements coming into a highly textured, intuitive negotiation. | |
| My suspicion is he will be successful in what he has to do. | |
| More importantly, he cured into the Japanese that he really likes Kim Jong-un, the man who runs North Korea, and he feels that he can make a deal with Kim Jong-un. | |
| And I suspect he can because of their personal relationship and the fact that he finds them To be quite gregarious. | |
| And he and Kim Jong-un have a personal relationship which transcends some of the issues concerning the missiles and radiation and all that other stuff that's really ancillary to the fact that he may come out with a peace treaty in North Korea. | |
| At the same time, I think he's going to do a side shot to China and basically ask Abe to help him out with President Xi Let me quote to you what Trump believes. |
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