Trump persuasion lesson, Gaza odds, and lots more newsy fun~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Politics, AI Persuasion, AI Robot Hands Skepticism, AI Data Center Electricity, Woke James Bond, Bad Bunny Super-bowl, DC Crime, Chicago Crime Supporters, President Trump, Hamas Peace Negotiations, PM Netanyahu, Trump's World-Class Persuasion, Jared Kushner, 2nd Cell-Jamming Facility Discovered, VA AG Candidate, Jay Jones Texts, UK ICE, Climate Change Estimated Temperatures, Professor Nuchelle Chance, Ukraine War, Scott Adams
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Alright, uh, so after the show today, Owen Gregorian will be having his spaces event on X. So just look for Owen Gregorian when we're done for the after party spaces.
Well, I don't know if this was real or not real, but there was a video of a Chinese um drone show in which they had it looked like thousands of drones in the air at the same time.
But uh somebody brought a drone jammer.
So somebody started jamming the drones, and there were thousands of them, and they started falling from the sky.
Somebody said it might have been a demonstration of drone defense, in which case they should have been falling out of the sky, but it didn't look like it to me.
It looked like a prank.
I saw that in a post by Massimo on X. So check it out, see what you think.
Um look on X and just look for the drone jamming video from China and let me know.
Do you think that looks real?
It's so hard to tell.
Um I think I'm reaching the point where one-third of all the stories I talk about will turn out to be you know AI.
Well, let's see.
If I could have guessed this science.
Um so they wanted to see if uh psilocybin could help some uh some healthcare workers reduce their depression and burnout.
How do you think that went about once a week?
There's a story about psilocybin helping somebody's mental health, and 100% of the time it works every single time.
So do you think it worked with healthcare workers and their depression and burnout?
Yes, it did.
Yes, it did, just in case you wonder.
They could have skipped that.
Just ask Scott.
Eric Dolan of SciPost was writing about that.
Makes me wonder, is there anything this little sidebin can't do?
Seems like it can do it all.
Um according to SciPost, also Karina Petrova's writing that a uh little study was done and they found that a just a few brief chats with an AI, if the AI is biased, can alter your political opinion.
Now do you believe that?
Do you believe that AI can change your political opinion just by chatting with you for a Little while.
Well, next time uh just ask me.
Yes, it can.
Do you know the um what is the concept which kind of guarantees that chatting with an AI will uh be persuasive?
What what is it?
What is the persuasion concept that just guarantees it?
The answer is the documentary effect.
So I always talk about the documentary effect.
The documentary effect is when you're you're listening to one side of an argument for an extended period of time.
Doesn't matter what the argument is, you will be convinced, or at least you know, people will be more likely to be convinced if they listen to one side of an argument without hearing the other side.
That's all it is.
So it doesn't matter if it comes to you in a documentary, or you only look at uh the the stuff in a bubble on social media, or you talk to one biased AI that it was you know is intended to be biased in this uh example, yeah.
It's a documentary effect.
Of course it works, of course it does.
All you need is one point of view with no counterpoint, and then add time.
That's it.
Time plus one point of view, persuasion.
I'm gonna give you a uh Trump persuasion lesson in a little bit.
You're gonna like it uh regarding Gaza.
Well, the uh one of the co-founders of Roomba, you know, the little robot that vacuums your house, um, says that uh Elon Musk is in a terrible surprise, in for a terrible surprise with his humanoid robots.
So futurism is writing about this, Victor Tangerman, and uh the Ruma guy says uh that you can't teach robots how to do things you know with uh with their hands, basically.
And the reason is that the hands don't have a feedback mechanism.
I think that's part of it.
Um, but he doesn't believe that you can teach a robot to do stuff by showing it how to do stuff.
So as in you would never be able to teach it to do the laundry, or maybe even uh maybe empty the dishwasher, but but teaching it to do the laundry, probably never, according to one robot maker.
Uh how about never?
No, you'll never get that because the I I think his argument is that if you don't have the tactile um the feel that you can't learn with your hands just by watching.
I don't know about that.
Uh I would not bet against Elon Musk, who very clearly believes that this will work, and he'll be rolling out his robots sometime this year.
I don't know.
I'm gonna stay skeptical until I'm proven wrong.
Um, and my skepticism goes like this.
If it were possible that in one year we would see robots learning by watching, you know, watching somebody iron a shirt and then the robot can do it, you would already see that.
If that were gonna be on the on the open market in less than a year, you'd see the demonstrations today, but we don't.
So I have to conclude that they don't know how to do that.
Will they be able to do it in a year?
I don't know.
I it feels like maybe not, maybe not.
We'll see.
Um also in futurism, uh, a lot of people are discovering that their electric bills are going up, especially if they live near a data center.
So if you live near a data center, you know that the data centers are pulling more electricity than ever for AI stuff, and uh that will make your supply and demand uh equation cost uh cost you more money.
So apparently, if you if you live anywhere near a data center, you can get reamed because the data centers Are gonna be um really hit for electricity.
Now, here's my question.
Doesn't that mean that you're subsidizing AI?
It does, right?
So if you live near a data center, and then that data center becomes an AI, you know, driving data center, suddenly your electric bill goes up, I don't know, I'll pick a number, $400 per month, and what do you get out of it?
Nothing.
Nothing.
You you're still getting the same amount of electricity, just costs you $400 a month more.
So you tell me why should I not get equity in the AI company?
I should have equity because I'm literally directly investing in the AI, right?
So I I need some reparations or something.
Reparations, maybe.
Um but that that is genuinely a big problem.
We we don't assume, or I never have, that my contribution to the electrical cost would be anything that I would even think about, uh, because it just seems like it's all in the noise.
But once it doubles your electrical cost, you are a major investor in AI.
No way around it.
You're a major investor, you just didn't ask for it.
So yeah, you should get some equity.
Uh apparently uh Amazon's gonna launch uh or relaunch whatever it is, um, all of the James Bond movies, so you can get them all on Amazon, but uh fans noticed that the guns that James Bond often holds on his covers has been deleted from the art.
So it's just James Bond standing like this with his with a a handful of nothing, where it used to be like that's where his gun would be.
So can't show that gun.
Now, here's my question.
If they make James Bond woke, won't that be the opposite of James Bond?
And wasn't his lack of wokeness exactly the thing we liked about him?
Wasn't that the whole point?
There there are still uh some of the really early ones like from the 60s, where where he slaps he slaps his girlfriend in the face.
You would never see that today.
Uh something tells me they're gonna edit that out too.
Yeah.
Uh and all of his uh wild womanizing.
Maybe they'll get rid of that too.
But here's the good news.
James Bond so far is still a white man.
Still a white man.
Yep.
I'm pretty sure they're gonna use their AI to replace them with a black woman any any day now.
But at the moment, still white man.
Well, Bad Bunny, the artist Bad Bunny, as you know, has been selected to do the the halftime show at the Super Bowl, and uh he's Puerto Rican and he uh uh which means he's American, and uh he do he sings mostly in Spanish.
So a lot of people were up in arms, we we don't want no Spanish speaking Super Bowl.
Give us some American Super Bowl.
Um but I saw Jay-Z talking about it because his production group's in charge of the Super Bowl halftime show.
And uh he was quite defiant, but one thing I didn't know, I didn't know that Bad Bunny is one of the top uh streaming artists in the world.
Did you know that?
I didn't I didn't know he was like in the top three, I think.
He's one of the top streaming artists in the world.
So given that, and given that the Super Bowl is you know more of a global event than it is that it used to be.
Um makes sense to me.
It makes sense.
I mean, he's in the top three, you know, he's sort of in a class um not too far from Taylor Swift.
So I don't know.
You you know, would it make a difference if you had a rapper and you couldn't understand a single word the rapper said?
Is that gonna be that much different than having somebody just sing it in Spanish?
It's not that much different.
So I I tried to get up in arms about this because people seem to be enjoying how mad they were.
But I I couldn't be bothered.
This one this one doesn't bother me at all.
Why not have a Puerto Rican you know, top star in the world?
I I'm I'm actually kind of curious because I'm not familiar with his work.
So I'm probably more likely to watch it than not, because I want to see what what all the all the noise is about.
So we'll see.
So you know how uh Trump brought the uh troops into Washington, DC and brought the crime down immediately.
Did you believe that?
Did you believe that there would be a somewhat permanent reduction in crime because the the feds were there for what a week or something?
Did that ever make sense to you that the criminals would just stop doing crime?
Or would they wait a few weeks until things calm down and then just go back to what they were doing?
Well, Reuters is getting a little skeptical about the long-term impact in DC.
Um apparently the murders did go down, but there's no reason to believe that they'll stay down, and uh other crimes didn't really change that much.
So maybe it feels a lot safer in Washington, DC, but I'll bet you in six months it will look like nothing happened.
It'll be right back to where it was.
That's my guess.
Still worth doing, you know, even if it's only an experiment, still worth doing, uh still successful, but uh I don't think it'll be as big a change as people want.
Speaking of uh sending in the troops, uh federal judge has stopped Trump from using um troops, the National Guard troops in Portland, so that's that's being blocked at the moment.
I think it was a Trump appointed judge that blocked that too.
Um and the judge said this is a nation of constitutional law, not martial law.
Meanwhile, Trump is trying to get Chicago to accept 300 members of the uh of the National Guard to uh help with their crime situation, but J.B. Pritzker and I think the mayor of um Chicago are not in favor of that.
So Trump's option is to federalize them, so he could just say, well, if you're not gonna put them there, um I will federalize them and put them there myself.
So that might happen.
I don't know if there'll be another judge that stops it, but it seems likely.
You know, have you ever thought what would be the best form of government?
Like if you really...
If you could really have just the perfect form of government, I'll tell you what it wouldn't be.
It wouldn't be a panel of people, it wouldn't be a pure democracy.
That would be a mess, it wouldn't be Marxism, it wouldn't be you know an evil dictator.
Um by far the best form of government, if you could get it.
Now the problem is there's no way to guarantee that that's what you're getting, but if you could get it, the best form of government would be a authoritarian strong man who had your best interests in heart, which turns out to be Trump.
Is he an authoritarian?
yes is he a strong man i'd say yes yes he is is he benevolent in the sense that although he's tough Um everything he does clearly is for the benefit of the public.
Yes.
Does he does he put himself at personal risk for the benefit of the public?
Yes, very Much so.
He's had two assassination attempts.
That's as much risk as you could put anything at.
So while I understand all the criticisms, and I understand why people would be wary that it might you know turn into something else, I get that.
But we are experiencing the golden age.
I hate to tell you, but you could not, you could not design a better government than a uh strong leader who is stronger than an ordinary leader, stronger than a president, and uh is taking every opportunity,
every every possibility, every opening, pushing every door, you know, opening every window, um, and trying to make stuff happen, but doing it transparently, right in front of us, so we could watch, and uh being a second term president.
So he's got the experience, he knows what he's doing now, he's got the right staff.
This is sort of ideal.
I will go so far as to say that we might never have a government again that's as good as the one we're experiencing right now.
Now, obviously, he can't, it's not magic, so it can't do everything it wants to do right away.
But we could not do better than a strong man Trump who likes operating in public and likes to be liked, which is important.
He likes to be liked, so that eliminates all the things that might be good for him, but we wouldn't like it.
He just doesn't do those things because he likes to be liked.
It's the perfect situation.
He's an authoritarian strong man, kind of a kind of a bastard type, but for us, he's our bastard, right?
He's being a bastard for us, and he's doing it well.
I don't think he could do better, honestly.
Uh, and maybe we'll never do better.
This might be the best presidential situation we'll ever experience, or anybody will ever experience.
Um, it's such a unique situation that somebody wants to be liked, um, but also has the that strength and and also that experience at this point.
So we might never see it again.
Speaking of strong, uh, Trump ordered yet another drug boat coming out of Venezuela to be blown up, and it was so at some point the drug boats are gonna they're gonna either run out of drug boats or run out of people who are willing to get on a drug boat because it's just gonna be a suicide um suicide uh sale.
Anyway, let's talk about Gaza.
That's the big news.
So, as you know, um the Gazans or the Hamas has acted like they're gonna say yes to the peace deal, but they said yes to a different peace deal, not the one that was offered.
So they're still trying to weasel their way into being relevant, um, maybe keeping their weapons a little bit, maybe being involved in the government going forward, and that's uh that's a hard no from Israel.
So I don't think we're actually close to a deal, but it still might get done, which is what I'm gonna talk about a little bit.
Um here's what uh here's what Trump allegedly said to uh Netanyahu, according to uh Joel Pollack, writing for Breitbart.
Um so Trump said that he said, Bibi, this is your chance for victory.
Um, and he was fine with it.
Trump said, he's gotta be fine with it.
He has no choice with me, he's got to be fine.
So Trump is basically telling the world and telling Netanyahu, I'm going to tell you what to do, and then you're gonna do it.
Now, what other president could even say those words?
None.
He's the only president who could say out loud, I told him he's got to do this, and now he's got to do it.
No one else.
You know that, right?
There's no one else who could even say those words and be taken seriously.
But Trump can.
He can.
And uh I I think this is in response to all the people who think Israel is the tail wagging the dog, and that the US is um sort of following Netanyahu's lead.
And this is Trump saying, um, no, let me let me explain how this works.
He's got to do what I tell him to do.
Period.
That's it.
I'm gonna tell him what to do, and he'll do it.
So I like this.
I like this.
This is Trump again, being the strong man authoritarian that he is, and he wants you to know that this smallish country of Israel is not not pushing him around, and that he is in fact pushing Israel.
Now, if he gets this done, then I would say he has made his case that he's the one pushing Israel.
If he doesn't get it done, and Israel decides that they'd rather keep fighting, um, and then they do, well, then it's gonna start looking a little bit like maybe Israel is calling the shots.
So this is really important in terms of how we think of the relationship between Israel and the U.S. If Netanyahu does, in fact um make a deal in a way that you know all of a see wasn't his first choice, you know, maybe there's he didn't get everything he wanted, that would be really good for Trump because it would show that he forced it to happen.
It would show that he had the control.
So, but if it doesn't happen and it goes the other way, it's really gonna prove that Netanyahu actually does run the country.
So, I mean, I'm exaggerating a little bit, that's a little bit of hyperbole, but this matters.
Everybody's watching this.
So, unless the two of them suddenly act like they're exactly on the same page, it's gonna look like somebody won and somebody lost between Trump and Netanyahu.
So I think that they'll pretend to be in the same page even if they're not, to avoid that.
Um I guess uh Israel um bunch of nations, uh Muslim majority nations are asking Israel to withdraw, and uh they're thinking that if the fighting stops and Israel withdraws to some predetermined line, that all the hostages will be released, and then they can work on putting together some kind of government and you know repopulating the place.
Do you think that's uh gonna happen?
Do you do you think that Hamas is going to release all the hostages without having a guarantee that they'll have some power or that they'll have some safety or get to keep some weapons or something?
Well, I don't think so.
I don't I don't think that they're gonna release any hostages until they get what they want, and Israel is very clear, and as is the United States, that they're not gonna get what they want.
What they want is some ongoing you know power and control and a seat at the table.
There's no way they're gonna get that.
In fact, all of the Hamas leadership is gonna be dead under every scenario.
If they make a deal, they'll give up their weapons and Israel will eventually hunt them down and they'll all have accidents.
And if they don't give up their weapons, Israel will hunt them down in their tunnels and kill them.
So the Hamas leadership, they're kind of dead no matter what.
So, you know, if they can buy a few days of not being dead by making the hostage thing last longer, I feel like they will.
So it's hard to imagine that an actual deal will get done, but I'm gonna um, as I said, I'll talk to you about Trump's persuasion play, which is really strong.
Um Israel, speaking of Israel, uh there's a some reports from Reuters, Danny Haifong is right writing, that uh Israel might want to quote mow the grass in Iran.
Now, if you haven't heard that term in a military context, Mowing the grass means that you know new terrorists or new bad guys have popped up and they have to go back in and you know just kill the new batch and then wait for another batch to pop up like grass, and they'll have to go in and mow the grass again.
So apparently whatever bombing has already happened in Iran, um, didn't get everything that Israel needs to get.
So they're thinking about going back in.
What would happen to the peace negotiations with Gaza if Israel decided this week to go in and bomb Iran again?
Might happen.
Well, it might be looked at as uh trying to derail the uh the Gaza thing.
Because Israel is sort of as a win-win situation, maybe.
One win would be the peace deal works, and that's a pretty big win.
The other way to win would be the peace deal falls apart, and there's no way to resolve it, and then they win the hard way.
They lose their probably lose their hostages, but they would eventually have complete control over Gaza in the short term and the long term.
So it's not clear to me that Israel, um, or at least Netanyahu, I won't say Israel, I'll say Netanyahu.
It's not clear to me he wants this to work.
Um would you is that fair?
It's not clear that Netanyahu, not Israel, because Israel's got a lot of different opinions, but I'm not sure Netanyahu wants it to work.
Because if it doesn't work, he's gonna get everything he wants.
Stay in power, um, you know, get to destroy Hamas completely, get to essentially annex it.
But uh where things are heading now is the the uh the beginning of what would be a two-state solution, and that's definitely not what Netanyahu wants.
He doesn't want that second state.
So we'll see.
All right, let me give you a little Trump persuasion lesson.
I'm gonna tell you what he's doing right, and oh my god, is he doing it right?
You know, just like you've never seen, um, doesn't mean it's enough, right?
So I'm gonna simultaneously say that what Trump is doing is is just world class, couldn't do better, but it might not be enough.
Might not be enough.
But uh maybe you'll learn something in the process.
Number one, if you want to be persuasive, credibility, boy, you can't beat that.
Credibility means that you have a track record of doing things that maybe were hard, or at least things you said you were gonna do.
If you've got that going for you, that just is so persuasive.
I would say that that's Elon Musk's superpower, among others.
He's got a few superpowers.
But one of them is that if Elon Musk says, I can make a robot and it'll be a good robot.
The fact that there's nothing about that that seems real to me.
I still trust him.
I still trust that he knows how to make a robot, even though I can't, I just have trouble imagining it'll work in the short run.
But he's so credible because of the things he's done already that looked impossible.
Um, he's persuasive.
Now, Trump has that situation with trying to get a peace deal.
Because look at what he's done to become credible.
The first thing he had to do is be the worst the biggest badass, right?
You're not going to get a peace deal if you're the peace guy.
Does that make sense?
If you're the war guy, you can get a peace deal because people really want to stay away from the war guy.
Ooh, war guy, war guy.
So uh settle down, settle down, war guy.
Okay, okay, we'll give you some peace.
So look at what Trump has done from his first term as a did the mother of all bombs.
Uh, he took out Salomini.
He he did that highly successful strike with uh Israel on the Iran nuclear sites.
Now he's blowing up Venezuelan drug boats.
Um, and then he he changes the Department of Defense to the Department of War.
He makes sure it's funded, and and he uses the word lethality over and over again.
We're gonna make it lethal, lethal, getting rid of the woke.
Um, and all of those things create a picture that says Trump doesn't bluff.
That's really important.
When he says, if you don't get this done, there will be hell to pay, he means there will be hell to pay.
That's that's not just a bluff.
And it's because he has credibility, because he's created this track record.
On top of that, um, and I've never seen anybody accomplish this.
This is this is one of the greatest accomplishments in persuasion you'll ever see.
We'll see if it pays off.
But here's the accomplishment.
On one hand, he looks like the dictator authoritarian strongman who is willing to do things like kill Solomon A and you know, drop bombs on Iran.
So he's that guy.
At the same time, even I saw his critics on uh MSNBC fully admit that Trump unambiguously and honestly hates war.
That's his critics.
His critics have completely accepted that Trump is the most anti-war president we've ever seen.
At the same time that he's the toughest and the most badass.
He's the most badass military president, and also by far, by far the most peace-loving um will risk his life for peace, uh, will put everything on the line for peace.
Now he claims he has seven peace deals.
Now you could argue how many of those seven he really made a difference.
You know, India and Pakistan might say, well, you know, I think that was gonna happen anyway.
But it's very important that he creates the image that he's he was at least uh an important process in seven different peace deals.
Now it doesn't have to be a hundred percent true, it just has to be in your head.
So you you're holding your head at the same time, these two opposites.
He's the baddest ass, badass military guy, and he will definitely whack you if you don't play along.
He will definitely take you out, he'll take out your little drug boats, he'll he'll take out your whole country if he has to.
But he will he will fight harder for peace than anybody ever has.
Now, how do you pull that off?
How do you how are you both people?
Only Trump.
Trump's the only person who could be both of those people at the same time, and completely sell it.
I completely believe he's the baddest badass.
I completely believe that he wants peace more than any president ever has.
That's amazing.
So and this also gets me to the uh next persuasion point.
Deadlines.
Deadlines are absolutely necessary when you have some kind of open-ended situation.
And a war is by its nature an open-ended situation.
So what Trump does is something that probably learned doing construction, because if you say if you're if your builder says, oh, we ran into some problems, it's gonna take us longer than we thought.
If you don't get him to commit to a new deadline, it'll never get done.
It'll just never get done.
You've got to say, all right, you're fired if you don't get this done by the end of the week.
And that's sort of what Trump did with uh Hamas.
Um he was a little weak on giving them a real deadline deadline, but then he finally said, if you don't have this worked out by Sunday, there'll be all hell to pay.
The deadline is a persuasion factor.
You have to have a deadline, otherwise nothing happens, nothing ever happens without a deadline.
So he knows that, so he puts a deadline on it, and sure enough, as soon as he puts the deadline on it, stuff starts to happen.
Deadlines really, really matter, uh, especially in negotiations.
The other thing he does is what I call the you could call the biggest gap persuasion.
He makes the biggest difference between making him happy and making him unhappy.
Um, so if you make him unhappy, all hell will break loose.
But if you make him happy and make peace, then he will help you rebuild this uh jewel of the Middle East.
It won't just be, oh, maybe we can get back to where we were.
No, it'll be way better.
It'll be better than anything you can even imagine.
The the quality of life there eventually would be like spectacular, the economy would be better, the danger would be gone.
So he paints a picture where if you if you don't play along, there's gonna be hell to pay, and he can back it up because he has credibility, but he makes sure that you know it's not just about avoiding the bad thing, it's it's you've got this good thing that's so good, it's just so good you should want it even if you weren't escaping the bad thing.
But if you put them together, you've got a really bad thing that you can escape, but you're not just escaping, you're getting to this great thing, this great future.
So that's another technique.
You want the biggest difference between making you happy, doing what you want, and not doing what you want.
Maximum.
Nobody does that better.
He is the number one best person at maximizing the distance between make me happy and don't make me happy.
And he does it with everything, so it's not an accident.
You see him do it with everything, really.
And then lastly, he has a vision.
So the vision um gets everybody to focus on the end point, and I think that makes things which seemed impossible suddenly become possible because everybody's thinking about it.
You have to get people to honestly imagine and visualize an endpoint of peace and everything working out, or it'll never happen.
So he makes sure that you can imagine it.
Um, he makes you think it's possible.
When when Hamas uh responded at first and said, Oh, yeah, we're you know, we're okay with this peace deal, uh, as long as you know we have power and everything.
To me, it looked like there was no chance because Hamas was still asking for more than they would ever get, which is to stay in power, and but but what's interesting is that Trump acted like it was close to a deal,
which is brilliant, because if he if Trump acts like, acts like it's really close, even if the reality is that it's not close, it makes it close because people's brains will sort of automatically be um attracted to whatever they think about and they're visualizing.
So he makes you think about and visualize, wow, we're almost there.
We almost got a deal.
We're well, we're right there, we're right there.
We're not right there.
We're not because the the biggest thing is still in dispute.
What happens to Hamas?
It's the biggest thing.
So but the fact that he treats it like you're almost there, brings along a lot of people, and and they go, huh?
He is very credible, he did get seven deals done-ish.
Um, maybe he knows more than we do.
Oh my goodness.
Now I could imagine that this could happen for the first time.
How hard would it be to ever imagine that there could be a sort of a really good base of peace in the Middle East?
It's almost impossible to imagine, isn't it?
But what did Trump do?
Trump is allowing us to imagine it for the first time.
Uh I would say that I'm imagining it for the first time.
I I just imagined that it wasn't possible and they would just fight forever.
But now I wouldn't, maybe I wouldn't place a big bet on it, but I can totally imagine it.
And you have to get people to imagine the thing before the thing can happen.
Success.
We we can now imagine the thing.
Do you know how big a deal that is?
That we can imagine that this could work.
Just imagine.
And I'm not even talking about getting it done.
That's a whole other level.
But even to get to the point where all the people involved, all of them are now imagining it possible.
That's only Trump.
He's the only one who could do that.
Nobody else could do that.
Maybe an Elon Musk could do it if he were in that job.
Trump is also treating it like it's almost a sure thing, which is even better.
Instead of just saying, well, you can kind of imagine it might work.
He's way beyond that.
He's already treating it like, oh yeah, we're gonna get this done.
And I told BB he's gonna have to do this.
See how that all fits together?
Makes you imagine it, and then he tells you that he's gonna make them do it.
And and because he's credible, you say, can he do that?
Can he can he just make Netanyahu say yes?
Now you can imagine it.
I don't know if he can, but I can imagine it.
And that's a big big step because other people are imagining it too.
If everybody's imagining it, you get there.
But my favorite thing, besides the fact that he can hold out that Gaza will be rebuilt to be some jewel of the Middle East that's visual and gets you to think about the prize.
But also this could be the beginning of um a permanent expansion of the Abraham, of course.
It could be a real good model of all the countries working together productively to get the Gaza thing, you know, righted.
And that would be hugely valuable for the uh um Abraham Accords, you know, so that all the all the other Arab countries in Israel figure out how to work together productively, and maybe that expands.
So he's got that going too.
But by far the best thing is that um we all talk about the Nobel Prize if this happens.
He the Nobel Prize is making you think past the sale, which he's a genius at.
He's making you think past the sale.
Let me ask this.
How many of you have thought, huh?
If he gets this done, I wonder if he'll get a Nobel Peace Prize, right?
If you're thinking about whether he will get the Nobel Peace Prize, or they'll try to, you know, screw a man of it because he's just not who they want to win it.
You're already thinking past the he got a peace deal.
Perfect.
Who else does that?
You know, if you if you don't understand him, you just say, oh, that narcissist, he just wants a he just wants a Nobel Peace Prize.
Well, he definitely wants a Nobel Peace Prize.
Who wouldn't?
Everybody wants a Nobel Peace Prize, so of course he wants one.
Of course he does.
But he has to earn it.
He's going to have to earn it.
And you know he's gonna try.
So I love the fact that he makes us think about the Nobel Peace Prize.
Other people would have an ego problem where they'd say, no, that's too embarrassing.
I I can't say out loud that I should have gotten a Nobel Peace Prize.
You you can't say that out loud, because people just think you're some kind of a you know, stuck up narcissistic jerk or something.
But have I ever taught you that Trump uses his ego like a tool?
It's not a flaw, it's a tool.
He can turn it up and he can turn it down.
And uh he turned it up for the Nobel Peace Prize so that we all think about it, and now we're thinking past the sale.
If he didn't need it, maybe he would turn it down.
But but watching him work is is truly just breathtaking.
There, there's nobody who could have created this entire uh I'll call the structure from what you think about him to you know how he's framed it.
It's all a structure that he's created and and is um the way he's worked with his partners, even the fact that he brought Jared in.
So I guess Jared is going to be part of this now.
What do you think when Jared gets involved?
Well, when I see Jared get involved, my brain says, Oh my goodness, he's bringing in the A-Team.
He's bringing in a finisher.
Jared is a finisher.
He's bringing in the finisher.
Do you see?
Do you see what that does too?
It makes you say, oh, wait, we're in the finish mode.
Like, because he brought in the finisher.
So every bit of this is just freaking brilliant, honestly.
If if Trump gets it done, and I'm not I'm still not at a point where I'm going to predict that he can get it done because there are too many weasels over there.
But if he gets this done, oh boy, does this deserve a Nobel Peace Prize?
I mean, it really deserves one.
Because what he's created already to even give us a chance is spectacular.
It's spectacular.
All right, Kat.
Well, another good news are uh liquid natural gas exports hit a record high in September.
Just the news is reporting on that.
So that's good.
Uh whenever we're exporting maximum amount of energy, things are looking good.
Remember that story about the uh there was a room that was found that had all these uh cell phone sim cards, and it was uh presumed that um some foreign entity was using it to crash our cell network if if they ever wanted to crash it.
And then it was found that it was a Chinese entity, so that the Chinese had built a structure to crash our cell phones in an emergency, and then to update it.
Now we learned that they had a second facility that has been discovered.
So they had two full facilities that had no other purpose, couldn't be used for anything else, except to jam up our cell networks during an emergency.
Because you know, why else would he do it?
You would only do it if you could really mess with us.
So how do we just act like that didn't happen?
You know, is is there so much spy craft going on between the US and China that we just look at this and go, ah, well, you know, nice try.
Glad we caught you.
Um we're we're doing things with you, and you know, you haven't caught us yet, so business as usual.
Anyway, we'll see.
Um, but it doesn't seem like we could just have a normal relationship with them when they're doing that.
I mean, they're look they literally put major physical assets in the United States for no other reason than sabotage.
How do you let that go?
Now I realize we need to buy their shit, but how do you let that go?
I don't know.
Well, there's a story that I was I almost didn't want to talk about, but there's this guy running for Virginia attorney general.
Apparently, he said some things in some emails that got out that were pretty bad.
He was fantasizing about his opponents' children dying, because he says if his opponent's children died, um, then he might change his mind about some of his policies because without pain, people don't change.
And then he also said he made a joke that if his opponent um were if he saw his opponent and Hitler and I don't know, Stalin or somebody, and he only had two bullets, uh, he would put both of the bullets in his opponent and let Hitler and Stalin live, which is you know, sort of an old joke, just a form of an old joke.
But um the tech his uh text messages got out, and now people are calling for him to drop out.
Here's my um problem with this.
I have a rule that if it's a private conversation, that the person who released it is responsible for it.
Meaning that the things that we say privately, um, we say them privately because we don't want them anywhere else, and we say them privately because we think the person we're talking to can handle it and might you know put it in the proper context and you know that you're not as serious about it, you just have some hyperbole or something.
But when it gets out in the wild, um all the context is lost, and I usually say in these situations that the person responsible is the leaker, whoever leaked it.
The leaker should get fired for revealing a private conversation.
So I'm very mad at whoever leaked it, very mad.
Um if it were just something unpleasant, I would probably say, you know what, those are private thoughts.
I'm not going to judge them for a private thought.
But these are really bad private thoughts.
These are not normal, these are not normal private thoughts, these are violent, and it does suggest um some kind of uh bias toward violence against uh conservatives at a time when conservatives are worried about violence against them, uh so the timing could not be worse for saying something like that.
So I'm gonna I hate to do it, but I'm gonna violate my own rule and say that even though this was a private thought that happened to be expressed to one private person, um this one you can't you can't let this go.
We can't let this one go.
The this one's too dangerous.
He he's he's gotta go that if they elect this guy, big mistake.
Yeah.
Well, apparently the conservatives over in uh the UK, the Conservative Party, they're uh pushing to do some kind of an ice-like uh organization to deport um a whole bunch of people they want to deport.
So, but I guess there are at least two parties over there that want to are anti-immigration, but they want to get as many as 750,000 migrants shipped back in five years, and they would call that the removal's force.
Politico is reporting on this.
So I don't know.
Do you do you think that uh do you think that the UK is going full Donald Trump and that they realize that they're gonna have to do something about the migration situation, or you know, close up the country because it's they're done.
I feel I feel like the existence of Trump makes it possible for the UK to adjust.
Because if if they see that he did, and that the US is getting on a firmer footing and you know, recovering from over migration, um, if they see that we can do it, they're probably going to be able to do it.
But if it doesn't work anywhere, if there's no country that you know gets tough and ships people back, it just doesn't happen anywhere.
Um, they probably won't do it either.
So this is another one of those situations where the the shadow or the vibration or the secondary effect from Trump being Trump probably helps other countries a lot.
Uh this would be one example of that.
So there's a uh story.
Um, I think the Daily Skeptic had this story uh a few months ago.
Um, but the Meta office, that's in Great Britain, I guess that's where they do their uh their climate change calculations, the med office.
But apparently this is so funny.
Um that uh data from more than 30 percent of its uh temperature sites are just made up.
So over time, a lot of the temperature measuring sites either go bad or they go out of service, or they maybe somebody builds an airport next to it, so it's not it's no longer reliable for the temperature, but uh the over in the UK they've been blamed with fabricating data from more than 30 percent of their reporting sites.
If you're making up the now, now of course they would say that their estimates are responsible.
So they would say something like, well, this temperature usually matched this other temperature.
So since we don't have access to this temperature, we'll just say it's continued to match this other temperature.
So I mean, if you did a few of them, you know, a few, I'd say, well, I mean, maybe you could have left them out, but it's just a few.
But if 30% of them don't exist and you're estimating them, you don't think there's any subjectivity in the estimates?
Of course there is.
Of course there's subjectivity.
They have to decide what they're going to base the guest on.
So it's not science.
And you know, uh, this is why I enjoy saying uh wait, wait until you find out about climate models.
It's way more fun to not spend any time defending how it's going to turn out.
Just say, wait till you find out.
You've got a big surprise coming.
Now, by the way, I do not have to be a climatologist or a psychologist or a scientist to uh to know in advance that the temperature measurements would be bogus.
All you have to do is have experience in the real world.
Anyone who had real world experience, especially in big organizations, should have known that the temperature stuff was sketchy.
That was the most knowable obvious fact, and all you had to do is have experience in completely other realms.
You don't have to have any experience in science or climate to know that if you have that many people and that many measuring devices over that much time and that level of complexity, somebody's making stuff up every time.
Somebody's making stuff up.
all right there's a story about a professor who got put on leave for some facebook comments about charlie kirk's murder daily mail is reporting this Samantha Rutt.
And uh she report referred to dangerous white men, so it's a Kansas professor.
She's a black woman, in case you want to get all the context here.
And uh her name is Nushelle Chance, and she's an assistant psychology professor, or was I guess.
Um, and when uh Charlie Kirk first got shot, she posted, methinks the word karma is appropriate.
Sad day all around.
Well, at least she said it was sad.
Um, and then later she said, um she posted again, she said, uh, but when we tell you all this statistically, white American men are the most dangerous animals on the planet, were wrong.
Let's not be hasty, they say.
So she was depend defending her opinion that white American men are the most dangerous animals on the planet.
Hmm.
Should I be mad that she's calling me an animal?
I'm gonna say no, because I'm an animal.
Yeah, humans are animals, close enough.
Um you know, I again I have um a mixed feeling on this, because I want her to have free speech, and was that not free speech.
Um, so I I really don't like it when people lose jobs over uh even ugly opinions.
But here's here's why, yeah, I understand that she has to, you know, she has to pay for that comment.
But um her belief about Charlie Kirk is entirely based on things that she was not responsible for, meaning that she saw things on social media, she saw people she trusted having opinions about them, and she adopted those opinions.
Now those opinions are completely wrong.
You know, he wasn't the bad guy, you know, devil that people said.
But if he had been, how bad would that comment be?
Suppose he had been just a horrible monster.
Would you feel bad if somebody said, Oh, I don't mind that the horrible monster had a bad end?
It wouldn't be so bad, right?
So the way you react to her is based on something that she was duped on.
She was duped.
She was duped into thinking he was a devil.
And so she thought it would be safe to say, well, you know, I guess that's what happens to the devil.
But not knowing that to half the country he was closer to an angel, you know, she just walked into the buzzsaw.
So how much of that was her fault?
She clearly she lived in a bubble because she thought that saying that out loud, you know, would be consequence-free, apparently.
Um, so that was you know, maybe that was her fault.
But she's not the one who created the hoax that Charlie Kirk was a bad guy.
She didn't create that.
She was a victim of it.
And then she just reacted in a way that somebody would if they heard that you know Hitler had died, right?
I don't know.
So I feel like in the real world, you know, of course, there's gonna be consequences for saying that opinion out loud.
But on the other hand, she's a little bit of a victim.
A little bit of a victim.
Not enough, you know, for forgiveness.
But she's a little bit of a victim.
Um there's meanwhile, over in Ukraine.
Uh Ukraine struck one of Russia's biggest oil refineries again.
And uh apparently Russia did massive aerial attacks on um some oil refineries, uh, or what is it, uh some of their uh gas production or something in uh Ukraine.
So it looks like uh Russia's play is to make it really cold in Ukraine.
So winter's coming, so it looks like Russia's play is to make sure the Ukrainians feel the fear and that they're gonna freeze to death.
And it looks like Zelensky's strategy in Ukraine is to take out the energy production in Russia until the economy is reeling, and uh there's long lines for gas, and maybe that gets the public against Putin.
But it looks like we know the play now.
And as I've been saying, it looks like they're not gonna bother trying to kill humans because killing humans hasn't worked.
So they're gonna go after assets now.
So anyway.
Um there's a report in Interesting Engineering that over in China they've built a mock-up of the Taiwan capital of Taipei.
And the reason they built a model, it's a full-scale model, is so they can practice conquering uh Taiwan.
So they've got a uh a full mock-up of the city streets around, you know, like the Capitol building and you know the important buildings in the city for when they capture them.
So if you're wondering, is China serious about you know, invading Taiwan?
Yes, they built they built an entire model and they're practicing on it.
Yeah, that sounds pretty serious to me.
Um, I don't I think that they won't do it when Trump's president because they're patient.
You know, that's one of their great virtues.
The Chinese are very patient.
So wouldn't it be crazy for them to do it when Trump is president?
They just have to sort of wait, you know, get a get a weaker president someday.
It won't be JD Vance, he'd be a problem too.
But maybe they get a Democrat someday.
So worth worth waiting.
All right.
Um I remind you that uh Owen Gregorian has a spaceless event that'll be firing up any minute now.
Um, once he's got a chance to fire it up.
Uh I'm done now, but I'm gonna say a few words of privately to my beloved um subscribers at locals.
