All kinds of news for Scott to mock. Come on in.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Politics, Phubbing, Theo Von, Pro-Violence Oregon, President Trump, Blue State Voting Standards, Christopher Wray, J6 274 Undercover Agents, NYC Mayor Race, Zohran Mamdani Supporters, democrat Weird Principles, Michigan LDS Church Shooting, NC Waterfront Shooting, MAGA Bill Clinton, PM Keir Starmer, Published Academic Studies Credibility, Georgia 2020 Election Investigation, Canada Gun Control, Canada Mass Islamic Immigration, DEI Hiring Policy Flaw, OCCRP, Chicago Federal Troops, Political Agitator List, Partisan Domestic Terrorism, Ukraine War Escalation, ADL Hate Group List, TPUSA, 21-Point Gaza Plan, UN Iran Sanctions, China Taiwan Invasion Chatter, Bad Bunny, Scott Adams~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
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Pull up a chair.
Ooh, doo-doo-doo-doo.
Oh, cat.
The things you knock on the floor.
All right.
We'll leave it there for now.
Because you'll just knock it over again.
Pretty sure.
No, don't eat all the Kleenex.
All right.
Well, I'll clear, I'll clean that up later.
Boom, bump, bump, mum.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
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All right.
If you haven't already seen it, uh there was a surprise podcast yesterday afternoon.
Um Greg Gottfeld and Dr. Drew were uh in the area for other business, and uh we decided to get together, and we did a uh special podcast with the three of us in my kitchen, and people are saying they like it.
So you might want to check that out.
It's on the usual platforms.
Wherever you watch this show, it will also be there from yesterday.
Well, let's see if there's any science that didn't need to happen, because you couldn't just ask me.
Eric Dolan of SciPost is writing about affection deprivation deprivation, may explain why fugbing.
Have you ever heard of that?
Fubbing.
P H U B B I N G. Apparently, fugbing is when you look at your phone when you should be being social.
So if you're in a relationship but you spend too much time on your phone in front of your um partner, you are fobbing.
I never heard of that until today.
Anyway, so apparently, uh, can you believe it that when people fob in front of them?
Uh the person who's getting fobbed on, if if that's if that's right.
I don't know if that's the way to say it.
The person getting fobbed on will not be happy and not feel it's a good relationship.
Did you really need to do that study?
You could have come to me and said, Scott, how would you feel if your date pulled out her phone and started paying attention to the phone instead of you?
How would you feel?
I'd say, well, not ideal.
And then they'd say, we're gonna do a study to see if other people would feel the same way.
And I'd say, whoa, slow down there, slow down.
You don't need to do that study.
They will feel the same.
I promise you, save some money.
All right.
Well, there's something going on with comedian Theo Vaughn.
Apparently he was recording a uh comedy show at the Beacon Theater, and uh after the show, he said something that got caught on camera.
He said it to the the audience as he was interacting with them personally, and uh he said, I'm having a long month.
I'm trying not to take my own life.
Wow.
Now he did not say it with a big old smile on his face.
He kind of said it like that was real.
So, Theo, we're all gonna send you some positive vibes.
Hope whatever it is that's plaguing you this month uh gets worked out.
I didn't realize that uh separate from this story.
I noticed that Theo's um audience size for his podcast is enormous.
Did you know that?
You know, I knew he was doing really well, and that he was one of the big ones, but his audience is enormous now.
So good for you, Theo.
Um, I hope everything works out.
Well, as you know, Oregon doesn't want Trump to send in his military to take care of all the uh alleged unrest and crime, but uh it's gonna happen anyway, I think.
And Oregon is gonna try to sue him to stop it.
Cat, could you get your head out of the clean Xbox?
Find find something else to play with.
All right.
Um so anyway, so that's happening.
And uh so there's a little bit of uh fake news kind of element to this, and I don't know which way it goes.
I don't know which part's the fake part.
But uh the officials in Oregon and some people who live there say, what problem?
There's no problem.
Look at look how great everything is, and they'll show you a video of walking through the streets and everything looks peaceful and happy, and then uh you talk you talk to anybody on the right, and they've got different videos, just look awful.
So I actually don't know.
I don't know if Oregon is any worse than it ever was.
I can't tell.
I'm guessing it probably is, otherwise they wouldn't bother sending in the military, but there you go.
Well, Trump sent out two truths, yeah, from Truth uh Social that honestly don't look like he sent them.
So I'm waiting to see if there's more to this story, because neither of them would be something he would post online.
One of them looks like it's an entirely AI-made thing where even you know he's talking, but it looks like just AI voice.
Uh this sounds like him, but it's AI.
And uh it was announcing something called med, some kind of medical card that he was announcing, which isn't real.
So we don't know why he sent that around when it doesn't seem to be real, it's not something that anybody's doing, and it's not that funny.
It wasn't funny, and it wasn't real.
So is it possible he thought it was real?
I don't think so, because it was talking about what he was doing, and he's not doing that.
There's no medbed guard, as far as I can tell.
But he sent that around, which made me think maybe somebody else had uh access to his uh account, and then also yesterday he sent out something that was praising CBD, you know, the component within marijuana for um its many medicinal uses.
Now, you could sort of imagine maybe he would send that out, but I don't think so.
I I'd I've never seen him promote anything that was you know pro-weed, even if it was something we already knew that it was you know used medicinally.
So I don't know what's going on.
There might be more to this story, but it does not seem that Trump himself sent those two messages.
I just don't know.
Well, median politics is uh on X is uh is looking at uh Trump's executive order to the states.
So back in March he signed some executive orders or one executive order to uh improve the voting integrity in the states.
Now the states, of course, have control over uh how they do voting, but Trump um thinks he can impose some standards, and what would happen when Trump tries to impose some voting process Standards on a state that's blue and doesn't love Trump.
What would happen?
Well, apparently they do the Dilbert technique, which is sure, I'll do that.
Okay, is it done yet?
Oh, didn't have time.
Okay, but you're working on it now, right?
Oh, yeah.
Yeah, totally working on it now.
Check back in a few weeks.
Are you done yet?
Oh, oh, something came up.
Yeah.
No, I've and I've got to talk to somebody before I do anything.
And so basically they're slow walking it, so it doesn't happen.
And what else are they doing?
They're uh um they're they're doing court challenges, they're putting political pressure to try to make it go away.
They're missing deadlines, because apparently it looks like there's no penalty.
So if you just say, oh yeah, yeah, we see your executive order, yeah, we'll take care of that.
Then if you just don't do it, it doesn't look like there's a penalty.
So I th I think they just don't do it.
So at this point, it does not look like the uh the executive order is going to make a difference.
I think it's gonna be too easy for the states to say, nah, we're in charge of this, get out of here.
Well, I guess Trump and the top Democrats are gonna talk today as a last ditch effort to try to work in a budget compromise.
Um, I don't think there's any chance that'll happen, do you?
I mean, I think Trump has to do it, have the meeting.
So it looks like he's trying.
But um, correct me if I'm wrong, I'll take a fact check on this.
But don't the smart people say that they think the Democrats will be blamed for closing the government.
If the Democrats are let's say predictably easily gonna be blamed for it, why would Trump ever agree to their demands that are things that he definitely doesn't want to do?
You know, like health care for illegal aliens and stuff.
So I don't really think there's any possibility that anything will get fixed.
They might agree to kick it, you know, kick it down the road.
That was one of the possibilities, just to delay it again.
That might happen, but they're not gonna, you know, he's not gonna agree to their demands or anything like that.
Um Trump was asked about uh Christopher Ray, who is his FBI um head, and he said that uh Trump said he would imagine quote would imagine the Justice Department is investigating them.
And uh one of the reasons that Trump gave is that uh apparently Ray had said that you know he didn't know how many FBI people were attending the January 6th thing, but uh now we know that there might have been close to 300, but what I don't know yet, because it's divided into two movies on one screen.
I don't know which one's true.
One of the movies is oh, now we have proof that the FBI was behind instigating the trouble, because now we know there were 274 of them, and why would there be that many unless they were there to influence the you know the bad result?
The other the other movie says, uh no, these are people who were called in after the after the people had already penetrated the building, and they were there to try to you know assist with law enforcement and maintain order, but they were in uh plain clothes and no way to identify them, so I don't know how much they could have helped.
So what do you think?
Which movie are you in?
Are you in the movie where the FBI has now admitted that they had so many people there on January 6th that they were in fact to blame for the bad you know the bad outcomes?
Or it's complete bullshit, and the uh all of those law enforcement types FBI came in after the people had already entered the the building.
Which one do you think is real?
I don't know.
I don't know.
I don't know which one's real, honestly, and I don't think there's any way to find out because everything's everything's a lie, everything's fake, everything's a lie.
I don't even think we'll ever know.
So uh all it does is give people an opportunity to believe whatever it was that they were inclined to believe before they found out there were 274 FBI people there.
Well, Eric Adams, no relation.
Uh dropped out of the New York City mayor race.
So that means it's Mom Dummy and Sliwa and uh Cuomo.
And it turns out that Sliwa is uh is spell checked to slow.
I just realized that because it says slow instead of Sliwa in my notes.
But um nobody thinks that Adams dropping out will swing enough votes to one of the others for anybody else to win except Mom Donnie.
So Mom Donny is on a glide path to easily winning.
Um then the big question would be what if Curtis Lewa also dropped out?
Would that be enough?
Would that get the race close enough that Cuomo could win?
And do you want that?
Do you want that?
I mean, maybe that's worse than Mom Dami.
Because there is an argument that if we sacrifice New York City with a you know terrible mayor who would destroy everything, that uh that would be pretty expensive, but it would give us another 20 years without a socialist in office, because we would just say, all right, come on, look what this guy did.
He just ruined New York City.
You can't vote for that guy.
So it could be that both the left and the right want Mom Dummy to win, but for different reasons.
The left wants them because they like him.
The right the right might want them.
Some members of the right, obviously not people who live in New York City, but people who don't live in New York City might be saying, you know, you know, the very best thing that could happen, all things being equal, is that uh the left finds out that their philosophy doesn't work by trying it and just showing that none of it works.
Well, as you know, the problem with uh the left is that they do not have a cause and effect gene where they can tell if we do this, the way people will react will be that, and we don't want that.
They can't do that.
Apparently, that's only something people on the right can do.
Uh if you make it free, everybody's gonna come here to get it.
Like the right just automatically sees cause and effect.
The left, nope.
They see some kind of weird ideal principle.
But then the way that they try to attack that principle is by doing something that couldn't possibly work.
I mean, it's just bad shit crazy.
All right, cool.
There's some bad behavior going on cat-wise.
Okay, I've got one cat with his head in my shoe.
And now two cats, two cats with their heads.
They both came over and just put their heads by shoes.
All right.
Uh there were uh two shootings yesterday.
Uh, one with there were multiple victims.
We we don't have a full complete count because one of them shot up a church and then set it on fire, so there might be more victims that they haven't found yet.
Uh just truly horrible.
So this one was uh what state was it?
It was uh Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, so it's a Mormon Mormon church, and you know, that should be the first thing in the story, should be where it happened.
Huh.
Somehow I did not write down the state.
What was it?
What was the state where the uh the first shooting happened?
Is it Michigan?
Michigan, okay.
All right, Michigan it is.
Um it's a apparently an ex-military guy, ex-marine, I think, and he drove his vehicle into the church, you know, just drove it right through a window or something, and then started shooting and then set it on fire, and by the time the law enforcement got there, uh they took him out in the parking lot.
So he's dead now.
But was that the only shooting yesterday?
No.
There was a gunman that fired from a boat into a North Carolina restaurant, killing three and wounding five.
Wow.
Wow.
Um, and uh believe it or not, that man was also an ex-military guy.
Yep.
Two ex-military guys decided to shoot up a populated place.
They were both white, in case you're wondering.
Um, but we don't know about their you know political leading or anything like that.
We'll find that out.
Anyway, um the one who shot up the uh the restaurant um is known to local police, so that could mean almost anything.
Well, there's uh a lot of chatter on social media about whether Bill Clinton was basically a mega compatible leader in his day, and the argument for that is that he was he liked strong borders.
I think he caught welfare at one point, right?
Or or made people work to get it.
Um but the counter argument is that he expanded health care and uh etc.
So some say he was uh basically he was basically Trump, um, but not quite.
Not quite.
Hillary was Hillary was for strong borders and shipping people back as soon as possible.
So she was Hillary was basically Trump, um, not that many years ago.
So, but uh, and uh Elon Musk was noting the similarities, and but other people say no, no, there are too many differences.
You can't call them that.
Well, according to the No Tricks Zone publication, P. Gosselin is writing that in 2025 the Arctic sea ice, um, the minimum neared uh blah blah blah, but essentially it's been rising steadily for almost two decades.
So climate change models would tell you that that ice would melt almost every year.
So it'd be uh should be a lot less um two after two decades, but in fact it went up.
So there's one of your uh climate change predictions.
Nope, opposite.
But at the same time, also on climate change, they they found some overestimate they were making.
Uh, this is from Mandy Carr, the cooldown.
Uh so they did a new study in uh Greenland, and they learned more about melting ice sheets and realized that the climate models were totally wrong on that one variable, the melting ice sheets, and that it was a kind of a big deal and could change the results of what you think of it.
Now, so that's just two stories that were in the news just today.
How many stories have I read you in the past year or two that were uh we just found out something in our climate model was terribly wrong?
Now, at this point, the only way you could believe that climate change is the you know the the threat that uh people say the only way you can believe that is if you believe that climate change is the only science that's valid, because almost everything else is complete bullshit, you know.
Uh what why would climate change be the only exception?
Oh, yeah, everything else is fake data from our job numbers, job numbers are fake, or you know, everything, basically everything's fake, everything except climate change.
So, in order to believe it, you would have to believe everything's fake except climate change.
Now, um the UK prime minister, Kerr Starmer, he says that climate change is uh, I guess one of the main reasons he believes why the uh millions of third world military age Muslim men are coming to the UK,
according to Wall Street Mav on X. Um apparently Wall Street Mav is pointing out apparently they weren't safe from climate change in any of the other 50 plus countries.
No, the only place they would be safe is in the UK.
So that's why they came.
No care Starmer.
Apparently, you don't know anything about anything.
Nobody came because of climate change.
Nobody, not one fucking person said, you know what?
Given this climate change, I better get myself to the UK right away.
Not one person, and he's trying to sell that.
Now I wonder where why Starmer has the lowest approval that we've ever seen from a I think the lowest we've ever seen from a UK prime minister.
Well, it could be because he says dumb shit like that.
Well, I saw a uh video by Peter Saint Onge, PhD.
Um, so he's got a he's got a strong uh resume, and he and uh he says that up to 90% of published academic studies are false, meaning they can't be replicated.
90% of published academic studies are false, and that would include, he points out, things about cancer drugs, global warming, gender mutilation, and even vaccines.
So the NIH wants to figure out how to how to make science real again, because at the moment science isn't even real, it's just not real.
If 90% of it is just made up, and you can't tell what's in the 90 and what's in the 10, science is not real, and maybe hasn't been real for a long time.
So um anyway, so a pr Professor John uh uh Lionides or ionides, I can't tell if that's an IRL, but anyway, I think it's an Ionides.
He so years ago he determined that 97% of studies of pharma drugs are fake.
So if you see any study of any pharma test where they're comparing one, say a new new drug to the existing drug, 97% of the time it's fake.
And that's the only thing we do to approve drugs, is the thing that's 97% fake.
Not just wrong, not just wrong, but intentionally fake.
So there's your peer review right there, useless.
So I'll say it again.
Given that 90 or 97% of all studies are fake, uh, in order to believe that climate change is just what they said, you would have to believe that that was a wild exception.
You know, and I'm not saying climate change real or not real.
I'm saying that all of the you know, the the subsets of that so-called science, uh, there'd be so many elements of that, so many so many parts that they think they needed to put into the model, that if 90% of the subsets are wrong, well, you're probably not gonna be right with your climate models.
All right, let's see what else is happening.
Um the Georgia State Election Board uh has voted to subpoena 2020 election physical ballots.
So the gateway pund is writing about this.
Now, this all this election stuff gets really complicated, but I believe the allegation is that in 2020, if they had access, which they might get now to the ballots, but also the envelopes that they arrived in.
And that the main thing they want to check, the easiest thing is does the number of ballots match the number of envelopes, because nobody should be taking any ballots in, like just holding them in their hand.
So if you found that there were a whole bunch of ballots, But they did not equal the number of envelopes.
That would be not proof proof, but it would definitely be leading toward uh looks like there's a whole bunch of fake ballots, because they don't have an envelope.
So I don't know.
We'll see.
There's I think there's 20,000 votes that are in question for 2020.
You know, I I don't want to get excited about uh any of these possibilities.
Because every every time we got excited, it's like, whoa, looks like they got the goods on them this time.
It never really works out, does it?
And I'm not sure why that is.
Like, why is it that there have been so many allegations that didn't work out?
Maybe that's just the way it always is.
Maybe it's always 25 to 1 allegations to reality when it comes to anything complicated like an election.
So maybe.
All right.
Uh looking at your comment there.
Um so I saw I saw somebody say that uh guns were gonna be banned in Canada, and I thought, what?
They're not gonna ban guns in Canada.
I mean, that's crazy.
There's no way they're gonna ban guns in Canada.
So I went to Grok to see if Grok agreed, and said, No, no, no, they're not, they don't ban guns, you you silly goose.
They don't ban any guns.
Now they don't allow you to buy a handgun.
You it's not legal to buy a handgun.
If you had one, you can do some paperwork to keep it, but you'll never be able to buy another one.
Um so there's that.
And then they're trying to get a ban on uh what they what they would think would be military type rifles, but you know.
So I believe the only thing if they got their way, the government, the only thing that would be legal, but it'd still be highly regulated, would be like a bolt action rifle for hunting and you know, a few other things, but most guns would be banned if they get what they want.
So good luck, Canada.
Keep uh keep bringing in all the foreign nationals and ban the guns.
That should work out great.
Uh again, it's just another clear example of the left not understanding cause and effect.
All right, you're bringing in massive Islamic uh people simultaneously, you're disarming the people who are here.
That can only go one way.
There's only one way that goes, and if that's what you planned to get rid of all the uh Christians in your country, good job.
You're well on the way.
Well, according to HR Drive, Laurel Kelser is writing that uh there's some biotech conglomerate uh that's being blamed of using DEI to discriminate.
And this would be no surprise to any of you that wherever there is DEI, there's massive discrimination against white males, because um because that's that's how everything works in the real world.
But I mean, I'm just gonna say this and see how much trouble I get into.
Um, based on what I see online, so this is not it's not like a survey or anything, but based on my observations online, I don't believe, well, I'll say it a different way.
Most black Americans believe that the thing that happens a hundred percent of the time at companies happens zero percent of the time.
The thing that happens a hundred percent of the time, black Americans think never happens, doesn't happen at all.
And what I'm talking about is if you have DEI, or even uh um, you know, whatever it was predecessor that if you have DEI, what what should happen in principle, like in a perfect conceptual world is wow,
we were discriminating so badly that there were all these qualified black and brown and female Candidates that were not getting jobs, and they really should have, because they were just as capable, just as qualified.
Now, obviously, there are people in every group that are at the top level of qualified and capable.
So every group has plenty of people that are, but plenty's not enough.
It's not even it's not even close to being enough.
So my point on DEI is that you could change the races of everybody involved, it would be it would still be a disaster.
You could say, for example, all right, not enough Irish are being hired.
So we're gonna create a system where we're really going to encourage you to hire more Irish, and we'll check on you and your pay as a manager will depend on if you get enough Irish.
And then you go out and you find out everybody's trying to hire the limited quality, you know, limited quantity of Irish people who have the right skills for your high-tech industry, for example, and they would find that uh-oh, the only way I'm gonna meet my goal of getting enough Irish, is I'm gonna have to lower my lower the bar for how how capable they will be before I hire them, right?
That would be how every human would act in that situation.
Almost no exception.
It would be close to every single human would act that way.
Meaning that the Irish, if you if you got on an airplane and you saw that the pilot had you know red hair and looked kind of Irish, you might say to yourself, oh crap, uh, they may have lowered the standards to get enough Irish.
Now, if I change the Irish to black, people say you're racist.
Um it's the same argument.
You can literally switch out, you could put white people in there, you could put Elbonians in there.
It doesn't matter who the person is.
That's that's the part that black Americans completely miss that uh most of them that I that I've seen uh address the question.
They don't seem to understand, and again, it's not every black person, blah, blah, blah.
Everybody has to say that.
Um, they don't seem to understand that the normal, almost guaranteed way that that will go is that the white people in charge will cover their own asses, which is really a it's a criticism of white people.
Oh, here's here's the thing that people don't understand.
When conservatives complain about DEI being racist, they're normally talking about other white people being the racists.
You get that, right?
If you're if you're a black job candidate and you were lucky enough to you know be favored and uh you got a job, or or even if you weren't favored, you just got the job.
Um you're not you're not to blame for anything.
All you did was apply for a job and you got offered one and you took it.
Uh so why would you be the racist?
You're not.
So it's the same when it was uh was it Charlie Kirk who said the thing about a black pilot?
The black pilot would not be the one who's to blame.
It would be whoever said, I think I have to lower my standards to get the right number of people.
That would be usually some fucking white guy, and that's the guy who does the the bad thing.
The black guy simply took an opportunity that was offered.
That's not racist.
That's not anything but smart.
I would have taken I'd take the job if offered.
So when I complained about DEI, it's not a hundred percent, but probably 80% are white people that are the villains, the villains in the story are the white people, because they're the ones saying, Oh, I better better cover my ass and make it look like I hired uh diversely.
All right, we'll see if that gets me double canceled.
Um you know about the OCCRP, um, which I didn't see defined, but what it is is a organization of people in the news business internationally who kind of coordinate, and uh some might say they coordinate the fake news.
Um, but the US has sort of dropped out of that because we we're sort of on to it.
So the Gateway Bundes writing about this, but uh um apparently there's a uh a documentary made in Germany that exposes just how bad the OCCRP is, and uh what did Germany do when the documentary exposed how bad they were?
Uh they banned it, they banned it.
So uh uh yeah, they're trying to bury it.
So I'm pretty sure that the U.S. made the right play there, thanks to Trump and others.
Um, but the OCCRP is uh not something you should be happy about.
Well, I guess uh downtown Chicago now has a bunch of federal agents and tactical gear who are deployed there, and uh Trump has said that border patrol will take no nonsense, so they're they're working in Chicago, and uh there's a bunch of federalized troops there working in the streets, and they're look trying to get rid of the worst of the worst, they say.
We'll see if that works.
Let's see if they save Chicago or not.
All right.
Um the White House has released uh list of political agitators, they call them.
So these would be people who are you know calling uh Republicans Gestapo and Hitler and all that.
Jim Hoffed gateway pundits writing about this.
But um, so the White House has released a list of the people and what they've said.
It's a pretty long list, so I'll just give you some of them.
So uh Governor Tim Wals smeared ICE as the modern-day Gestapo.
Um interestingly, Gavin Newsom wasn't nearly as bad.
So he likened ICE to secret police, uh, calling them authoritarian, and proclaimed a right to push back.
Okay.
Uh, but JB Prisker said uh that claimed the country is becoming Nazi Germany because ICE is grabbing people off the streets and disappearing them.
And uh let's see, Robin Kelly used Gestapo, Jasmine Crockett compared ICE to slave patrols, and it's a pretty long list.
So it goes two pages, three pages.
It's it's just three pages of uh Democrats who have said horrible things that nobody should say.
Um yeah, Representative Lynch smeared ICE agents as the Gestapo and nondescript thugs.
Um said I somebody else, John Larson said ICE is the SS and the Gestapo.
So yeah, I think all of that needs to be called out.
So I I compliment the White House for putting out this document with everybody's quote on it, so you can see how bad it was.
Um there's a study recently that said that um that right wing violence had outpaced left-wing violence for 30 years, but now that's reversed uh according to the State Columbia.
Brendan uh Ruskis is writing about it.
So for the first time in 30 years, they say left-wing terrorism is now outpacing right wing terrorism.
Um I'm gonna say I don't believe any of that.
It might be true.
I mean, I I don't have a pushback to that specific claim, but I'm pretty sure that the Democrats are saying it's the opposite.
And if you haven't personally looked at the, you know, looked into the data, you can't really trust either side.
You you you should assume that the Republicans will say the Democrats are the violent ones even if they're not, and you should assume that the Democrats will say the Republicans are The violent ones, even if they're not.
So there's no credibility whatsoever to any of these claims.
One of them is true because they're opposites.
You know, one of them is doing more bad things.
But I don't know if he can tell.
And I'm not sure I care that much that you know one does a little bit more than the other.
Because most of these people are individual nutcases.
So I don't know.
It just feels like there's definitely something to all these people getting worked up by the fake news.
That's something to worry about.
But it's a lot of crazy people.
Well, Mario Knoffels writing about Ukraine.
Apparently, Russia launched last night 500 to 650 drones attacking Kiev and other parts of Ukraine, I guess.
Had 55 cruise missiles, eight calibers, I guess that's a missile, and two hypersonic missiles and several KH-59s.
So that was a pretty major attack.
So the question is, is Russia increasing its acts?
Because Trump is now basically saying he's gonna help Trump is essentially saying that he's gonna help Ukraine actually just win the war outright.
Maybe I think that's more negotiating than anything else, but uh it's definitely a new look.
And uh Trump has authorized Ukraine, according to uh Sint Defender on X. He's authorized Ukraine to carry out long-range drone and missile strikes against targets inside Russia, uh, but some of them will require Pentagon approval.
So why would Russia treat it like they're at war with Ukraine if we're providing the missiles and giving them permission to use them deep inside Russia?
Do you think that Russia will be able to forever resist lobbying a missile into the homeland of the United States?
I don't think we're completely safe from Russia just making a point, just just lobbying some missiles into the US, you know, maybe not having the most damage or death, but just saying, all right, here's the deal.
If you're gonna help Ukraine lob missiles into Moscow, we're gonna we're gonna help uh ourselves lob some missiles into your cities, because why wouldn't they?
I mean, really, why wouldn't they?
So I do worry that there's going to be a new level of uh escalation here that could come to the homeland, but I don't know.
Um I do also assume that uh Trump and company know more than we do about what's up in Russia.
One possibility is that our military and and our government knows, and I don't know this to be true, I'm just speculating, that Russia might be in worse shape than we think, and that they might be closer to having to fold or or give up, maybe for economic reasons, maybe they don't want to lose their their oil business.
You know, maybe they know that if we totally unleash Ukraine with better weapons, they're in trouble.
So maybe Trump knows something we don't, that Russia might be closer to something like a deal or a surrender.
I don't know.
Um but I'll tell you, it looks pretty dangerous.
We'll keep an eye on that.
Um, did you know that turning point USA is listed by the ADL in their glossary of extremism and hate?
So that's the ADL.
Um, Elon Musk says that's you know deeply wrong.
And uh makes me wonder if the ADL should list themselves as a hate group, because do they meet all the criteria?
What would it take to be a hate group?
Um the ADL says that I'm a Holocaust uh denier.
Is that something that you do if you're not a hag group?
Why would you even do that?
Umway.
So you always want to be in the team that it gets to label others.
You don't want to be in the same team that gets labeled.
So the ADL, um, I think they're I think the ADL's purpose has maybe run its course.
Uh if I had to guess, I think there's a non-zero chance the ADL will not be in business a year from now.
Because I think it's uh, you know, remember, the ADL is not Israel.
Israel doesn't run the ADL.
And I don't think that they're super backing them in everything they do.
So if Israel's not, you know, completely backing them, and the United States is not completely backing them, and they're not helping anybody, because I don't think they are.
I don't know.
I don't know if they'll last another year.
We shall see.
Um Trump and company have released it, what they call a 21.2 Gaza peace plan.
Um here's what it would call for immediate ceasefire, freeze a freeze on battle lines, a release of all hostages within two days, uh Hamas's weapons would be destroyed.
Um fighters would have to accept coexistence with Israel, and they'd get amnesty and safe passage abroad, so they could leave the country if they were worried.
Um possible and pave the path to a possible Palestinian statehood.
Now, Palestinian statehood is not something that Israel wants, or at least the current leader of Israel.
Um so I don't know about that one happening.
And Israel would free hundreds of Palestinian prisoners and in response to having all their prisoners back.
Israel would uh halt plans to demolish or annex uh Gaza and would gradually withdraw its forces, and anyone who wants to return to Gaza after leaving will be allowed to do so.
Uh Gaza would get a temporary government overseen by an international group involving the US and Arab countries and European nations, and uh they would develop a new economic plan to revitalize it, and the US and Arab allies would craft a stabilization force to build up security in Gaza.
Well, how many of you think any of that's gonna happen?
And I feel like I'm so beaten down.
Uh, you know, what two years of uh of war since October 7th?
And I I just don't see any of that happening.
Do you?
I I see none of that happening, like just none of it.
I feel that Israel's best interest would be to just take the heat and take the country.
Because yeah, and who knows if they can survive that, by the way.
That that would be that'd be quite a step.
So Israel would have to deal with the repercussions of that forever, and that would be pretty big repercussions.
So they might not even be able to survive it if they try to try to just take Gaza and absorb it and kick out all the Palestinians that were in Gaza.
Might not be survivable.
I don't know.
I'm not smart enough to know how much of a danger that would be.
But um, I don't see either side agreeing to all the important parts.
I just don't see it.
Do you?
So I'd love to be wrong.
Wouldn't it be great if they worked everything out?
But I don't know.
I don't see any chance it could happen.
Uh well, the UN sanctions on Iran have snapped back into place because they were unable to agree on terms for ongoing inspections of their nuclear facilities.
Are you surprised that Iran did not give the West everything it wanted in inspections?
No surprise.
Apparently, Russia is army and training a Chinese airborne battalion with uh you know all kinds of their their best equipment and everything.
And analysts think that maybe what they're doing is preparing for a Taiwan invasion, not Russia, but who they're training in China.
Um do you think?
Do you do you think that China is literally preparing for an invasion?
I wouldn't rule it out, you know, uh, or at the very least they might want us to think they're planning it to put the pressure on.
But I wouldn't rule it out.
Um I wouldn't rule it in.
You know, I wouldn't I wouldn't bet on it.
But uh wouldn't rule it out.
I think there's a solid 25% chance that China has a you know a specific plan with a date that they're gonna go take Taiwan and I'm pretty sure they could take it if they wanted to um Bad Bunny is a music star that I didn't know much about but apparently that will be the Super Bowl halftime entertainment.
But Bad Bunny is I'm learning today Puerto Rican and his songs are primarily in Spanish with very little English.
So people are saying uh why are you doing that?
You know we're an English speaking country wouldn't it make more sense to have English speaking music but Bad B is very popular.
So I mean Bad Bunny is popular in this country too.
So I'm not sure that's a mistake people will complain but having a little bit of interesting diversity isn't the worst thing in the world all right um that's all I got for you today.
I'm gonna keep it a little bit short.
I'll remind you again that if you haven't seen it um I I did a podcast last night um with Dr Jew and Greg Goffeld who were nice enough to stop by my place yesterday.
So we sat in my kitchen and did a podcast, which according to the comments, people really, really liked.
And I got to tell you that one of the many cool things about that experience is that the three of us are so experienced at talking in public that we can just turn on the cameras and do what turned out to be 83 minutes of content without any preparation.
now I have to admit I there aren't too many people who could do you know 83 minutes of apparently content that people really enjoyed based on the comments but we've all been doing it for a long time so it it went better than I could have hoped actually.
So if you want to see what my kitchen looks like from one angle anyway you can watch that.
