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Nov. 4, 2020 - Real Coffe - Scott Adams
23:51
Episode 1175 Scott Adams: Checking Your Blood Pressure So Far
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Hey everybody, come on in.
Yep, it's time for the evening edition of Coffee with Scott Adams.
There might actually be some coffee.
It looks like YouTube's a little slow, but it's kicking in.
Hey, everybody. So you're watching the two different worlds unfold?
Don't make the mistake of watching only Fox News or only CNN tonight, because I'm here to tell you that they're electing different presidents.
So you go to Fox and they're talking about Florida's looking good for President Trump.
And then you switch over...
Oh, let me tweet that online.
And then you switch over to CNN, and they're only showing you the states where Biden is looking good.
I'm looking at your comments to see how worried you are.
I see worried, excited, somebody loves me...
That's good to know.
Oh yeah, Mark Schneider is back on Twitter.
So he's been unbanned.
My nerves are activated.
You are a psychic.
Well, I'm not a psychic until I'm right.
So will you join me in an evening beverage?
I'm not going to do the toast, because that's sort of a morning thing.
But if you have a beverage, it doesn't have to be coffee, if you know what I mean.
And this would be the time to join me in the simultaneous evening sip.
Go. I feel Trump's numbers improving in the panhandle.
Yes, that's how good that sip was.
So, somebody says they're immensely excited, worried, gulp.
So, here's the caution I would give you.
There's absolutely nothing that we're going to hear in the next hour that's going to tell you who is going to be president.
So, for now, It's just sort of fun.
Everything they see is sort of like a horoscope.
It's entertaining, but it might not be that, you know, scientific.
Somebody says Trump is winning Virginia so far.
I think Virginia was already called for Biden, unless I'm incorrect.
But that might be based on history, not based on votes.
All right. Somebody says their wife says hi.
Well, tell your wife, hey, because that's not too weird.
All right. Do we have a lot of people watching?
A lot of people coming in?
Now, honestly, I didn't have much to talk about.
I didn't make a few notes, but I just wanted to sort of share the moment.
Did you find today that there was a weird time dilation?
That things were moving quickly and slowly at the same time?
Did you have that experience today?
You know, I couldn't wait to find out how it turns out.
So in that way, everything was going slowly.
But at the same time, I was thinking, wait, wait, wait, it's election day?
Everything's happening too quickly?
So that part is weird.
I told my smart Democrat friend, who I talk about all the time, and again, for those of you who are new to it, the reason I talk about him is that he's very smart and well-informed, and we disagree completely.
Now, if he were just stupid, it would be easy to know why we disagree, or at least I would have a theory.
But because he's smart, it's more fun to talk to him.
Because when he has a different opinion, I have learned that it's because he has different information in most cases.
Or he's been brainwashed by the mainstream media to have TDS. So I showed him an article that agreed with me that it's possible for the mainstream media to simply claim that Biden won.
Just claim he won.
And he thought that that was pure stupidity.
That there's no way the mainstream media could be part of a coup to overthrow the government just by claiming something was true that wasn't true.
Now, anybody who actually knows what happened with the Russia collusion story or lots of the other hoaxes knows that the mainstream media has proven beyond any doubt that they can do exactly that.
They can make you think something's true That's not true.
Now, they can't convince everybody, but can they convince enough people?
And I think they're going to take a run at it.
If Trump wins, and they can make any argument whatsoever that there was an irregularity, I think they're going to take a run at it.
So you saw the footage of the White House.
It was putting new fencing around the White House, and somebody showed a picture of a sniper on the roof of the White House.
But what happens if, you know, what happens if there are just too many people there protesting?
Could get interesting and not in a good way.
But my prediction is that there will be trouble.
There will be, you know, some amount of looting and whatever, opportunistically.
But that there will not be anything like a civil war.
And part of the reason is, I tweeted it earlier, the reason there won't be a civil war is that conservatives...
Won't fight offensively.
So you sort of need both sides to want to fight.
Now, the conservatives would certainly fight defensively, but you sort of need both sides to be a little bit aggressive to get a proper civil war going, and there just isn't that kind of energy or intention on the right.
Oh, just to be clear, this is what I'm thinking.
I think that at some point...
Between now and Inauguration Day, that Fox News will declare Trump has won, and CNN will declare that Biden won.
Does anybody want to take that bet?
So the bet is that sometime between now and inauguration, the two networks will call a different president as president.
Now, they might not do it as directly, as I just said.
So there might be one who is direct, and the other one is just Strongly leaning toward.
But it's going to sort of look like we have two presidents at the same time.
Here's a thought for you.
There's a non-zero chance, I don't know what the odds are, that we could have three different presidents before the end of January.
Right? So if Biden won, that would give us two presidents between now and the end of January.
And if Biden stepped down, for whatever reason, and Kamala Harris stepped up, it could happen by the end of January.
We could have three different presidents by the end of January.
And I don't think that's a great idea.
I see Nathaniel says, Scott's coup idea is absurd.
It's absurd.
You know, let me put it in context for you.
Would you have said it was absurd that there would be a Russia collusion hoax that would completely brainwash part of the population into thinking that the sitting president was a Russian asset?
If I had told you that before it happened, wouldn't you think that was a little absurd?
And it didn't happen accidentally.
It happened because people put a lot of work into that plot.
It's the same people.
It's exactly the same people.
And now they've test-driven the process, and it works.
They can convince something like 40% to 50% of the public of absolutely anything.
And they can convince the public of that even if there's a transcript that you could just Google and look at and see that the story is not true.
We saw that. There's no doubt that they can do it.
They did it right in front of you.
And they did it multiple times.
Talk about Texas, somebody says.
Talk about what about Texas?
So it looks like Trump is pulling ahead in Florida, and the panhandle hasn't been counted yet, and that should go for Trump.
So it looks like Trump has Florida.
The very early voting, I'm just looking at some of the coverage coming in.
So this doesn't mean anything because it's just way too early.
But Trump was up in Michigan, up in Georgia, with 26% in.
He's up in Virginia.
So now I'm looking at CNN. So interestingly, they've shown a whole bunch of states where Trump is up by a lot.
Now, I don't think that these numbers are expected to hold.
I think that a lot of these will reverse.
Not a lot of them, but some of them might.
Somebody says, so if Trump wins, will Nate Silver go away?
Well, I don't think so.
Because I think if Trump wins, it will be just like last time.
Do you remember when Trump won last time and there were I think CNN printed 14 reasons or something why Hillary Clinton lost.
So no matter which way it goes, I still think it's going to go for Trump tonight.
But if Trump wins, the news will be 25 different reasons why something went wrong and why it was a fluke and Why it happened and why it's all racist and why there was voter suppression and just about every other thing.
I see in the comments somebody says Ohio is having some issues.
So somebody says, talk about Ohio.
People are all mad.
I actually have no idea what's happening in Ohio, except that it's showing right now with Biden way up.
Was that the problem?
The problem was that, oh, that doesn't look real, does it?
Is that the problem, that Ohio doesn't look real, the results there?
Again, it's early, so I don't think you can take too much from that.
So I'm not going to take too much of it seriously, but I do think the president probably is going to do well in Florida.
Fox News and Google both saying Virginia went to Biden, but counting Trump is 500th ahead.
Yeah. So that's how much they can flip around, that Trump can go from way up to not way up.
Late voting in Ohio is heavy, Trump.
Why is everybody so worked up about Ohio?
The only thing we know about Ohio is that we don't know how it's going to turn out.
But you all seem pretty worked up about Ohio.
Somebody says, Ohio doesn't look good.
I just don't think you can tell.
I just don't think you can tell.
Les Kanye is doing really well in Ohio.
Thank you, Mike, for saying that.
Scott, science much?
Whatever that means.
Whatever that means.
That's the most 2020 comment of all time.
In the comments on YouTube, somebody just said, Scott, science much?
I guess that covers it.
There's nothing else to say.
Do you science much?
I science more than you do.
I'll see your science and I'll up your science.
so up yours your science Ohio blue cities probably dumped first Yeah, I think that's part of the story is that cities and rural voting places are going to report at different rates.
So don't worry about any of that yet.
I don't think you should worry.
Somebody says, if Biden wins, watch everything magically reopen.
Well, you know, Glenn Greenwald was reminding us that in 2009, right after Obama got into office, I think that the protests that were happening at the time, like... What was it?
The Wall Street, whatever those protests were, Occupy Wall Street.
All those protests just sort of stopped when Obama got in office, right?
So it does seem as though they can come and go fairly quickly.
So we don't know what will happen.
Newt Gingrich says Ohio always looks like the Democrats are going to win early.
Somebody says in the comments.
And if somebody says it in the comments, well, you know it's real.
You know it's true. Blood pressure.
Somebody's blood pressure.
First live periscope.
Well, I'm glad you could make it.
All right.
Fox give Trump a 93% probability in Florida, somebody says.
What do I think about the so-called scorecard algorithm to steal votes?
Here's what I think.
Here's a little rule that I have in my book, Loser Think, for deciding what is real.
And it goes like this.
If you just take CNN and Fox News as representative of the left and the right, if something is reported the same on both networks, it's probably true.
If they tell you a hurricane hit Puerto Rico and it's on both networks, it's true.
If one of them reports something is true and the other reports that it's not true, it might not be true.
Yeah, it might not be true. There's a much higher chance that it's not true if it's only reported as true on one.
It doesn't matter which one reports it as true.
If it's only one of them, the odds are it's probably not true.
So with this rumor about some kind of secret software that can change votes, that has not been reported Yet has it on Fox News and has not been reported yet on CNN or any of the major media.
So I think Steve Bannon is so far the place that that has been, and then social media.
So if you were going to say, if you didn't know even what the topic was, and the only thing I told you about it is, it looked like the biggest thing in the world if it's true.
So if true, really, really big.
But neither Fox nor CNN have are treating it as true.
If that's all you knew, is it true?
Chances are pretty far against it.
That doesn't mean, you know, I know what's happening.
I'm just saying that under those circumstances, you would expect it not to be true.
But I will also expect that somebody's at least tried.
You know, you know somebody's at least tried to influence votes with software.
Let's see. North Carolina.
Looks like Trump is up in North Carolina.
Texas. Biden's got a little bit of advantage, but the late votes we expect will be Trump, right?
So... Well, it's so good to see all of you, too.
Slaughter meter is still at 100%.
So have you noticed that the only thing that seems to speak against Trump is the polls?
And the polls are the things that you trust the least, because they were wrong before.
So, at least in terms of the outcome, they were wrong.
Is that a coincidence?
Yes. Everything that is non-scientific appears to be pro-Trump in terms of the energy and the turnout at the rallies and stuff like that.
It just feels like, you know, I was just watching Tucker Carlson say that if it turns out that Trump wins...
It means that the entire polling punditry class has a lot of explaining to do.
Now, not all of them, because Rasmussen has the race close, and Trafalgar Group says Trump would win.
So there's a few that would look like stars.
But there are a lot of polling companies that have a lot to explain if Trump wins.
And at the moment, I would say it's still looking like that.
But some of that is because I've been watching a little bit more of Fox News coverage.
So if I spend 10 minutes watching CNN, I'm going to think Biden's going to win.
I guarantee it. Somebody says, Scott, calm me down, man.
Well, I think we're going to be fine.
Now, it looks to me like Trump is going to win.
And I would say handily at this point, anything could happen, but I promise you that no matter what happens, you'll be fine.
You'll be okay. We'll figure out a way.
And the one thing that we know we can't trust is the polls.
Now, there are some times when you can feel something to be true that you can't prove.
And for me, the biggest thing that I feel, that I just feel in the, you know, every particle of my body feels that the following thing is true.
That Republicans lied like crazy to pollsters.
Now, of course, I've asked people on Twitter if they did, and just hundreds of people said, yes, I lied to pollsters recently, which...
Again, it's not scientific because it's just the people following me on Twitter and who knows if they're lying or telling the truth or they just want to join in.
Who knows? But it sort of really, really, really feels like people lied like crazy to pollsters.
So with that assumption, I think Trump should win.
The thing I'm most worried about is that The Democrats didn't want Biden to win.
That's the one that keeps me up.
The nature of the op is that Biden is supposed to lose so that that activates the Democrats and all the rioters.
But I think there's been enough time for law enforcement to prep that There will be some fires and stuff tonight, but you'll be fine.
Just stay out of those areas.
Somebody says Danville is red.
Danville is the town next to me.
I don't think Danville is red.
I would bet that it is very blue.
Somebody says they predict either a Trump or a Kamala Harris win.
You know, you can't count Kamala Harris out yet.
What would happen theoretically if, let's say Biden and Harris won, just theoretically, hypothetically, and what would happen if Biden decided to drop out after he won, but before he was sworn in?
What would be the proper protocol in that case?
Would they just say, well, I guess it's Kamala, or is the fact that neither of them are sworn in make that not work?
So what would happen?
I think I need a ruling on that.
But I don't think it's going to happen.
I find that it's impossible for me to imagine a future with a President Biden or a President Kamala Harris.
Like, I just sort of can't see it.
Which doesn't mean it's impossible.
I just... I'd have to say that it's hard to imagine.
I just imagine Trump winning, for what that's worth.
Very unscientific.
Um... Pollsters want to be right more than they want Biden to win.
That doesn't seem to be true.
That doesn't seem to be true.
I do not buy the assumptions that pollsters need to be right more than they want Biden to win.
I don't believe that at all. I think that some of them need to be right and that some of them have other interests.
Why did my viewers go down from 10k to 5k?
Probably because I've got nothing to offer here.
So I think I'm going to sign off.
If there's anything breaking in the news that looks exciting, I will come back and join you to talk about it.
But I think it's going to be a long night.
So I hope you've got your beverage.
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