| Time | Text |
|---|---|
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Zero Media Voices Outside Herd
00:05:25
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|
| He's batting a thousand. | |
| There's an epidemic, or pseudo-epidemic, or reported epidemic, and I call Michael Fomento. | |
| Michael Fomento writes on Science. | |
| He's an investigative reporter, and because he's batting a thousand, I think he's worthy of hearing. | |
| He had a piece in the New York Post last week, correct? | |
| Where was it, Michael Fomento? | |
| Where was your piece that we read? | |
| It's the New York Post. | |
| Yeah, that's what I thought. | |
| And you're writing another piece I saw an early draft of. | |
| So, Michael, the latest news is that the Western world is closing down. | |
| They're stopping conventions. | |
| International meetings are coming to a halt. | |
| So, how do you react to all this? | |
| Well, you know, the progress of the disease hasn't surprised me a bit. | |
| But even I have been stunned by the progress of the hysteria. | |
| It is absolutely stunning. | |
| I mean, even here, I'm in the Philippines right now. | |
| We have had a grand total of zero transmissions here. | |
| I'm not saying zero deaths. | |
| I'm saying zero transmission from Filipino to Filipino. | |
| But you see, you walk to the malls and people have these masks on. | |
| You go to the bars. | |
| I went to the bar section this weekend. | |
| Yeah, first time in months. | |
| But anyway, there's nobody in the bars! | |
| Oh my God. | |
| Oh, so the panic has hit the Philippines. | |
| And you point out in the piece that you will be publishing, these things die in hot climates. | |
| As a rule, in fact, remember that SARS was going to kill us all, right? | |
| It ultimately killed about 800 people. | |
| And SARS itself... | |
| Died in July of that year. | |
| It simply, it ceased to exist. | |
| And a lot of that had to do with the fact that these respiratory viruses, by these I mean SARS, I mean influenza, I mean cold, they simply don't thrive in hot and moist weather. | |
| So every single year, flu in the United States is gone. | |
| By April or May. | |
| I know sometimes you hear people talk about, I couldn't come to work on August 1st because I had the flu. | |
| No! | |
| No Americans have the flu in the summer months. | |
| Zero. | |
| And we're going to see that same thing with COVID. So by the way, it argues for a healthier world if it gets warmer. | |
| I thought about that. | |
| A case for global warming. | |
| Yes, exactly. | |
| The benefits of global warming. | |
| By the way, there are huge benefits of global warming. | |
| There's more agriculture as possible. | |
| Yes. | |
| No, you're right about that. | |
| Definitely, CO2 in the atmosphere is great for agriculture. | |
| No doubt about it. | |
| It would seem that way. | |
| So, I am shocked to learn that even in the Philippines, people are not congregating. | |
| It shows the power of media, which, of course, I've talked about all of my life, and it's a very scary power. | |
| Are there any voices? | |
| I don't watch. | |
| Are there any voices? | |
| I'm asking you, Michael, and I'm asking my producer. | |
| Are there any voices in the American media, or, for that matter, Filipino media? | |
| That are saying, hold on, folks, maybe this is panic? | |
| Well, actually, one day after my piece appeared in the New York Post, which was January 22nd, there was a piece in the Los Angeles Times and the Seattle paper saying, you know, something along the same lines, don't panic. | |
| But I'm guessing probably both of those papers... | |
| I've since walked back on it because, you know, nobody likes to stand out. | |
| Nobody likes to be outside the herd, as it were, because the animals outside the herd, they perform a very valuable function. | |
| They find the food, they find the water, but they're the ones who also get picked up by the predators. | |
| And, you know, I dream like over 30 years of writing about these things. | |
| I have lost jobs. | |
| I have lost, you know, I've really, really been battered for being outside the herd. | |
|
Closer To A Cold
00:03:39
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|
| And, you know, it hasn't done my career any good. | |
| But you've been right. | |
| The irony is you have been right. | |
| That's what's so painful. | |
| It doesn't matter. | |
| That's right. | |
| It doesn't matter. | |
| The people who are wrong each and every single epidemic are still the ones who appear on CNN and Anderson Cooper and MSNBC and all of them. | |
| It doesn't matter that they're wrong and it doesn't matter that I was wrong. | |
| So why do you regard this as being? | |
| Is this a variation on a flu? | |
| What do you think it is? | |
| Genetically, it's more of a variation. | |
| It's actually closer to cold, strangely enough. | |
| And it's definitely closer to SARS and the coronavirus. | |
| But what we really care about is not the genetics. | |
| It's really two things. | |
| It's how contagious is it, and the fatality rate. | |
| Now the fatality rate we really don't know because we don't know how many true cases there are out there. | |
| With both flu and with COVID-19, the vast majority of people have symptoms so slight that they don't ever go to a doctor. | |
| That's right. | |
| This is so important for people to understand. | |
| There are many people right now walking around with the coronavirus who don't know it and will be fine. | |
| And they're not counted in the data. | |
| What's the flu virus? | |
| What's the flu virus? | |
| Both of them. | |
| So we don't have a denominator. | |
| At best, we have a numerator. | |
| But you have to have a numerator and a denominator to come up with a percentage. | |
| So I've heard figures like 2% of people with COVID-19. | |
| I know. | |
| That's the... | |
| Nonsense. | |
| And it includes all the China deaths where the health care is awful. | |
| Right. | |
| You simply can't equate China to the United States or Canada or France. | |
| You can't equate China to, you know, maybe to North Korea. | |
| I suspect it's worse in North Korea, you know, on a personal level than in China. | |
| I'm sure it is. | |
| You know, North Korea is being shocked. | |
| Well, anyway, in North Korea, so many people die prematurely that one wouldn't even know if it was the virus or simple North Korean starvation. | |
| Right, you wouldn't even know. | |
| But here's some really interesting facts. | |
| I like to stick with the flu. | |
| Let's use the flu as a comparison. | |
| So far this year, according to CDC, A minimum of 18,000 Americans have died from the flu. | |
| That's this season. | |
| A minimum of 18,000, a maximum of around 60,000. | |
| How many Americans have died of COVID-19 so far? | |
| Two. | |
| Now, there's going to be more. | |
| More Americans are going to die. | |
| It's not going to be the ticket, too. | |
| But more Americans are going to die of flu. | |
| In fact, two years ago... | |
| The CDC says 80,000 Americans died of flu. | |
| That was just two years ago. | |
| 80,000! | |
| And we're up against two COVID-19 deaths. | |
| Yeah. | |
| It's painful, the panic. | |