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Feb. 1, 2020 - Health Ranger - Mike Adams
24:05
Why the Coronavirus Pandemic GOES GLOBAL
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Here's the case for why the coronavirus pandemic goes global and can't be stopped.
And by the way, this analysis is only from Natural News.
You won't hear this from the mainstream media for weeks.
It won't become apparent to them until long, long after more evidence has come out.
But allow me to explain something just using logic and reason and science and mathematics, and you can decide for yourself whether this makes sense.
Let's start with some basic facts.
As of right now, the moment I'm recording this, there are 9,480 infections confirmed by official government sources, mostly in China.
So those are the official numbers.
Of course, we know those numbers are BS. The real numbers are maybe 10 times higher, but we're not going to go with that.
We're going to go with the official numbers, even though we know they are a fraction of reality.
Nevertheless, Today is January 30th.
That's the day I'm recording this.
Seven days ago...
The total number of infections confirmed by official government sources was 941.
Today, the number is 9,480.
So, what's the increase?
Well, we're talking about really 10 times, or a 1,000% increase in the number of infections in one week, seven days.
Now, this is beyond just normal exponential growth.
This is an order of magnitude in seven days, if this were to continue.
At the same rate of increase, then, of course, in another seven days, it would be another ten times increase.
And then in another seven days, one more ten times increase, and so on.
So the number of defections would go from ten to a hundred to a thousand to ten thousand to a hundred thousand, a million, and so on.
That's the progression that we're seeing so far.
Now, I doubt this progression is going to hold true, I don't think this is the actual growth rate or transmissivity of the virus.
I think it's lower than 10 times in seven days.
According to mainstream science studies, it's actually a 100% increase every seven days, not a 1,000% increase.
I'm just sharing with you that this is the realm, this is the range that we are seeing right now.
On the conservative side, it's a 100% increase or doubling every seven days.
On the high side, what we're actually seeing in the numbers is a 1,000% increase every seven days.
Got that?
That's the range.
Now, we also know that according to official sources, the virus has spread to a total of 18 countries, so that's 17 countries other than China.
And those countries are, let's see here at the list, Thailand, Japan, and by the way, this is in descending order of number of reported infections.
So it's Thailand, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, Taiwan, Malaysia, Macau, United States, France, Germany, South Korea, United Arab Emirates, Canada, Vietnam, Cambodia, Finland, India, Nepal, Philippines, and Sri Lanka.
There you go.
Those are the countries.
I'm just citing actual facts that are put out there, even conservative facts, from official government sources.
Now, an additional fact that's relevant to all of this is the fact that, well, we have human-to-human transmission now being recorded in several of these countries that I just mentioned, such as Japan.
The United States has human-to-human transmission.
It's believed to have taken place in Canada.
It's probably taking place in other countries and just hasn't been confirmed yet because the testing is so backlogged.
So we have human to human transmission, which is why the WHO did declare an emergency global pandemic.
So when I say this is a global pandemic...
It's not my opinion.
It's the opinion of the World Health Organization and their guidelines for making such declarations, which they have done.
Now let's deploy some basic logic, shall we?
I'm pretty sure we can all agree that if this coronavirus pandemic is to be stopped, From becoming a global outbreak that spreads across the entire human population, then it must be successfully contained in all 18 countries.
Can we agree on that?
Because that's just basic logic, right?
It has to be contained not just in China, but it has to be contained in Thailand.
It has to be contained in Japan and Hong Kong and Singapore and so on, right?
Because if it breaks out of containment in any one of the 18 countries...
And then begins to spread again in some new outbreak pocket, then it's obviously not contained again, and it's out of control, and it's going to continue to spread and multiply at some rate that might be doubling every seven days or might be a thousand percent increase every seven days, as we've been seeing so far.
So again, just to reiterate, in order for this outbreak to be stopped, it must be stopped in 18 countries.
Now, let's think about that for a second.
It means that in 18 countries, the government health authorities must have perfect containment.
They cannot make any mistakes that allow people to slip through screening or to begin infecting other populations or to leave the country with infections and infect people on a commercial air flight, for example, where one person could theoretically infect hundreds of people.
No mistakes can be allowed to happen.
Got that?
Now, here we go.
I don't know how much you know about Asia.
I've lived in Asia.
You know, I speak a fair amount of Mandarin Chinese.
We have an office in Taiwan and so on.
I don't know if you've ever been to, let's say, Thailand, which is not Taiwan, by the way.
Some people confuse those for some reason.
But Thailand is a completely different country than Taiwan.
I don't know if you've ever been to the Philippines or Hong Kong, for that matter, or Malaysia.
A lot of countries.
If you've ever been to those countries, I ask you this.
How organized exactly are the government officials in those countries?
Yeah.
So hopefully the answer should become rather obvious.
If you've ever been to Thailand, you know that Thailand, even though it's full of wonderful people and it's a beautiful country and it's got well-meaning people, it is not the shining example of organized, uncorrupt, highly competent government, right?
Even the people of Thailand hate the government of Thailand, which is why they're always constantly trying to overthrow their own government because it's totally corrupt.
What would you say are the odds of Thailand alone having a perfect response with zero mistakes to this coronavirus outbreak?
Let's say those odds are 50-50.
Let's be generous and just give the Thailand government a lot of credit that they probably don't deserve.
50-50 chance.
That Thailand can keep this under control.
Okay.
Japan is next on the list.
Japan's government is a lot more organized than Thailand's government.
Japan is a more obedient society.
Japan is more likely to succeed with quarantine orders.
So let's say that The odds of Japan having a successful crackdown with no mistakes, let's give them a 90% chance, because Japan might be able to pull this off.
And let's go to Hong Kong.
Hong Kong, a lot more chaotic, a lot of social unrest, you know, even right now, just with the student protests and so on.
What are the odds of Hong Kong being able to have a totally successful crackdown with no one escaping quarantine, even though there are lots of routes by sea and land and air and so on?
What are the odds of Hong Kong having a perfect response with no mistakes?
Those odds are probably closer to 50-50.
So let's give Hong Kong a 50% chance.
Now, if you know anything about statistics, and I ask you this question, the answer should be obvious.
What are the odds of Thailand and Japan and Hong Kong all having a perfect response with zero mistakes?
The odds of those three countries succeeding based on the odds that I just gave you, the 50-50, the 90%, and the 50-50, you multiply those together, you get a 22.5% chance of all three succeeding.
Does that make sense?
It's like this.
Suppose that I give you a penny and I ask you to flip it heads or tails.
And you have a 50-50 chance, obviously, with each flip of the coin to get heads or tails.
What are the odds that you can get three heads in a row?
Well, that's 50% times 50% times 50%, which is one out of eight.
So that's a 12.5% chance of getting three heads in a row, that all three flips are heads.
And then, of course, what if I said, what are the odds of you having, I don't know, 10 penny flips in a row and all 10 come up heads?
What are the odds of that?
So let's see, that would be 2 to the power of 10, if 2 to the power of 8 is 256, and then 512, 1024, right?
So 2 to the power of 10 is 1024, which means you have a 1 in 1024 chance of having all 10 penny flips become heads.
By the way, that's an interesting number.
I'm very good at math and I remember numbers.
That's the percentage that Elizabeth Warren is of American Indian.
She is 1,024th American Indian, according to her genetic tests.
And interestingly, the reason for that is because of binary permutations and combinations in genetic sequences that actually are 2 to the power of 10.
So she is 1,024th American Indian.
And if you take a penny and flip it 10 times, you have a 1 in 1,024 chance of all flips becoming heads.
Now, of course, we're talking about countries and coronavirus.
Let's just say that all the countries have a 50-50 shot at this, which might be a pretty good guess across the board.
What are the odds of 18 countries all succeeding?
All winning if each country has a 50-50 chance.
That would be 2 to the power of 18.
And let's see, 2 to the power of 18 would be 262,144.
So 262,144.
You have a 1 in 262,000 chance of all 18 countries succeeding.
Or it's the same odds of flipping a penny 18 times and having it come up heads every time.
Now that is very close to zero.
One divided by 262,144.
Is very close to zero.
And that answer is 3.8, I'm using a calculator for this, 3.815 times 10 to the negative 6, which is.00038, if I got the number of zeros right.
In other words, it's a very, very small number, okay?
For all practical purposes, we can call that zero.
So there is a roughly zero chance That all 18 countries will have a perfect containment of the coronavirus outbreak.
And by the way, there will probably be more than 18 countries involved here.
As this progresses, we're probably going to see 30 countries.
And you start to ask yourself common sense questions like, what are the odds of Somalia having perfect containment of this outbreak?
Pretty much zero just by itself.
You know, what are the odds of...
Various African nations achieving successful containment.
What are the odds of Panama Or Brazil?
Or South American nations achieving perfect containment?
And you start to get the picture here.
You see, it only takes one nation failing in order for this to break out and effectively populate and contaminate the entire planet.
Because if it becomes endemic in one country, let's say that this virus just totally overruns Thailand.
We'll use Thailand as an example.
Because that's where it's actually quite Let's say it completely overruns Thailand.
Can the world quarantine Thailand?
And the reason it's a no is because of geography, because of Thailand's location.
It has land routes and ocean routes and air routes to, of course, many other nations in the Southeast Asia region.
Now, you know, from Thailand, it's going to spread to many other countries.
It's going to spread to Vietnam and North Korea and South Korea and Taiwan and Japan and Hong Kong and Philippines and Malaysia and Indonesia and, you know, everywhere across Asia, it's going to spread.
You cannot quarantine A nation, long term.
People are going to get out.
For lots of reasons.
It's going to get out.
So, if it's not controlled in one country, it's not controlled anywhere on the planet.
Eventually then, it's going to become endemic in the entire human population, which means it will start to spread.
It will multiply in different countries around the world.
It will become endemic, meaning that this virus is about to become a permanent part of the human coexistence context.
You know, we coexist with many viruses right now, literally tens of thousands of different viruses.
We coexist with them and most of them don't hurt us.
Some viruses are bad.
Most viruses are just harmless.
They don't do anything.
By far, the vast majority of viruses are harmless.
Only a few are very, very dangerous.
But we've had to adapt and learn to live with those viruses from a biochemical and physiological point of view, and that's how we are able to coexist with viruses that might have been harmful in the past.
This virus looks like it's going to sweep through the human population.
And we're likely to lose, I'm just guessing now, this is an estimate, 5-10% of the human population from this virus alone.
There would be a 90% to 95% survival rate.
Again, that's an estimate based on what we know now.
Those numbers are subject to change based on mutations of the virus and mortality rates and transmissivity rates and so on.
But it could become more fatal or less fatal.
But It's unlikely to be controlled at this point for the reasons I've already covered here.
So this means that eventually this virus will burn through the population.
Eventually, everyone who's still living will become immune.
Got that?
Some people will experience no symptoms.
They are currently called symptomless carriers.
If they have it, they can spread it to others.
They don't even know they have it.
They don't show any symptoms.
Natural immunity.
Some people will get extremely sick and recover with permanent heart damage, lung damage, respiratory scarring.
Some people will get it and recover with very minor symptoms and they will never have any permanent damage.
Some people will get it and die.
This is what we must now probably get prepared to accept We're going to lose 5-10% of the world population, roughly speaking.
Maybe those numbers are high.
Maybe it's only 3%.
Maybe it's 2%.
Maybe the virus doesn't succeed in cold countries.
We've talked about that before, where it's too cold for it to spread and so on.
Maybe this focuses on only more temperate regions closer to the equator and so on.
So maybe the total global loss, you could argue, maybe it's only going to be 1%, 2%, 3% of the population, something like that.
But it's not going to be zero.
And as this is happening, you're going to have to deal with the psychological and economic impacts.
And that's where things get super dicey.
Because when you've got a population that's freaking out, and you start to have government-mandated quarantines in multiple countries all around the world, you get supply chain disruptions, you get a loss of economic productivity, and you have a fear factor that tends to break down irrational exuberance in the stock market, which is in a bubble state in America and in many places around the world.
It's a bubble.
So the economic and the logistics and the psychological impacts of this may in fact be more devastating than the virus mortality rate itself.
See, that is a realization that very few people have arrived at yet.
The supply disruptions may kill more people, in other words, than the virus ever kills.
Because everybody's told, don't go to work.
Stay home, isolate yourself, quarantine yourself.
Nobody go to work.
And if you don't go to work, who runs the food factories?
Who runs the power plants?
Who runs the trains and the trucks?
Who runs the cashiers at Walmart?
Who runs the banks and the financial system?
Who runs the telecommunications infrastructure?
Nobody, if they're all told to go home.
So then you have massive supply chain disruptions.
You have economic catastrophe scenarios starting to unfold.
And then you have shortages of food and medicine and supplies and people freaking out, possible bank runs, people having more other diseases, secondary infections, which by the way is one of the side effects of coronavirus because of a which by the way is one of the side effects of coronavirus because of a lack of sanitation.
Maybe sometimes in certain places the plumbing isn't working correctly.
You don't have water pressure.
You know, you start getting spread of cholera.
I guess that's every day in San Francisco, but that can spread to other places as well.
So the secondary effects of this could be even more devastating than the primary infection itself.
The reason I'm mentioning all of this is because I think it's important that we prepare for a future where we will all be infected.
Some of us will die from those infections.
Most of us will live.
But sooner or later, we'll probably all get infected.
That's where this is headed.
Again, unless all 18 nations have a perfect response.
Perfect response.
Flawless victory against the virus.
And what are the odds of 18 nations achieving that?
Again, 1 in 262,000-something.
144, actually.
I can't forget numbers, usually.
Even when I try to, they just keep popping back up in my head.
So, yeah, just as a side note, it's weird.
I have this...
I don't quite have an eidetic memory, but I have this sort of unconscious memory where numbers pop in my head.
Things pop in my head when I'm trying to recall them, even when I never tried to remember them in the first place.
So it's a weird thing to live with, let me tell you.
But sometimes it's interesting because I can overhear somebody telling somebody else a phone number and not try to remember it.
And then later they'll ask me, what was that phone number that person gave me?
And then I'll just pop in my head.
Oh yeah, I wasn't even trying, but here's the number.
So that's part of the weird side effect of being me.
My brain is like this.
This automatic computer just keeps processing constantly and just shoving answers into my head.
And this is part of why I have to talk about these things because I can't prevent answers from bubbling into my consciousness.
It's like I'm subconsciously processing data all the time.
So keep all of this in mind.
This is very important information.
Of course, I'll bring you more analysis in the days ahead.
Keep reading the website, naturalnews.com.
This is Mike Adams, the Health Ranger.
Thank you for listening.
Stay informed.
Stay safe.
We can survive this.
Most of us will survive, okay?
So you can be among the survivors, and I'll talk about specific nutritional strategies, immune support strategies, and things like that.
So don't freak out over this.
This can be navigated.
It can be survived.
In fact, I can teach you exactly how to survive it.
And I will.
And I'll do it for free.
Because that's just part of my mission here.
That's what I do.
So check out more of my podcasts at brighteon.com.
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Of course, for Health Ranger, that's what that stands for.
And thank you for listening.
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I'll have a lot more for you in the days ahead.
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