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Sept. 4, 2024 - Lionel Nation
11:28
Here’s Why You Can’t Believe Any of These Phony Que Mala Polls
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Okay, now look, I want you to pay attention to this and I want you to show this and send this to all your friends so that you can know once and for all to stop paying attention to these stupid, phony Kamala polls.
I'm telling you.
I don't know why you keep falling for this.
They don't explain this.
They tell you poll and you just believe it.
You say, okay, well, must be good.
No, it mustn't necessarily be good.
They're lying.
They're lying.
Now, let's do a couple of things here.
Let me bring you up to speed.
Let me bring up all my figures here.
First and foremost, we're talking about the two big, big deals.
RCP, the Real Clear Politics, and FiveThirtyEight, okay?
And from time to time, Kemala might be up by two points, maybe, or three.
It depends, day to day, on the RCP polling average.
I don't know, three and a half, maybe more points or so, with a 538.
Supposedly, and I've seen the numbers fluctuate up and down all over the place.
Now, some of this is complete and total nonsense.
Smoke and mirrors, or as we say in West Tampa, caca del toro.
And it's true that there has been a fit, if you will.
There's been a moment of excitement on the part of these Democrats, especially after this comatose coach been walking around, and that whole thing was dead.
I mean, you know, Don Lemon's crying for a variety of different reasons.
In any event, now, since she became the nominee, she really tapped into Bobby Kennedy's numbers.
And they went from, at one point, from like 10% to like 4.5%.
So yeah, she's having an impact.
And can she win?
Of course she can win!
She can win by the distortion, by the PR, by the lies, by this movement and this contribution of social media and the like, and by the countless hundreds of thousands, perhaps, of mail-in, absentee, and write-in ballots that only matter in seven states, 15 counties, and that changes everything.
And nobody can tell me.
Nobody can answer that question.
When I bring it up, they say, well, don't bring that up again.
Why?
Well, that sounds like that crazy Dominion talk.
I'm not talking about the machines.
I'm not talking about Smartmatic or Craftmatic.
I'm not talking about mattresses.
I'm not talking about any of that stuff.
I'm talking about plain old ballots.
Now, let me do a couple of things because you've got to understand something here.
First of all, can Trump win?
Absolutely.
Oh, my God.
If you can eliminate...
Let me just tell you something.
I'll go this far.
If you can eliminate the possibility of shenanigans when it comes to write-in ballots, I'll guarantee you Trump's going to win.
Guaranteed.
He's going to win.
He's going to take it.
There is one particular point.
In one of the RCP polls, 65% of the country said that this country was in the wrong direction.
You've got Democrats.
You've got Tulsi, who, by the way, is so...
Presidential.
My God!
She's the future.
Tulsi Gabbard is it.
Bobby Kennedy?
Not as a president, but, you know, maybe in the cabinet.
But that's neither here nor there.
And here's the best part, too.
To show you how bloody stupid these Democrats are, they're actually pushing for corporate tax rate increases and taxing unrealized capital gains.
So you can say...
To Silicon Valley and the Wall Street hedge fund bigs.
You're nuts.
And by the way, there's also this thing called the unpollable mass.
The unpollable sampling.
These are people who represent various demographics who normally wouldn't be caught dead telling anybody that they were going to vote for Donald Trump.
But they are there in droves.
Okay?
In droves.
Now let's talk about this.
A couple of things.
I want to bring you up to speed here.
First and foremost, here's where a couple of problems arise with some of these stupid polls that nobody ever questions.
You just assume that because they're mentioned on Fox News or MSNBC that they must satisfy some legitimate threshold level of...
Of authenticity, legitimacy, accuracy, whatever.
A lot of these folks are polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters, a lot of women, a lot of metropolitan, a lot of young people.
I mean, this is, they don't even, they're under-representing, in fact, Republicans.
They're polling fewer Republicans.
What kind of a sampling is that?
I mean, some of these polls are wild.
There was one I was reading in, Recently, there was one called the Michigan Bloomberg Morning Consult.
It was a five-way poll from July 28th.
He showed Kemala up like 12 points.
He's like, what are you talking about?
This is hallucinogenic time.
It's nuts.
And some of these other polls, we're not really sure who these polls are.
We're not really sure the names of them.
Who are they?
I was reading names like Big Village, Kaplan Strategies, Angus Reid, Global, Eddie's Polls, and Bar and Grill.
Who are these polls?
What are we talking about?
How does this even roughly work?
Also, keep in mind there's a couple of things which you have to understand.
You do know there were more Democrats than Republicans, right?
About 3-4%.
Why?
Why?
California, New York.
The biggest blue stage there is.
Throw them out of the contention and basically you've got almost a dead heat.
You're not going to see that.
You're not going to see that because the purpose of these polls is not to in any way assess metrically correct data to tell you exactly what this particular snapshot is.
It's not what it's about.
What it's about, and this is critical, what it's about is to make you think everything's going great and that she's going to clobber Trump.
It's a form of propaganda.
Absolutely, unbelievably, is propaganda.
Also, Democrats are three to four times more likely to answer a poll, let's say, educated Democrats than non-educated.
And they also are over-polling high-turnout voters.
That's another thing.
When you have a sample, are you looking at voters?
Or likely voters?
Are you looking at registered voters only?
Or merely adults?
These are the things which have to be looked at.
These are the aspects.
If I took you, let's say we got a million dollar contract from, I don't know who, to do a polling.
I'm going to take you to the Short Hills Mall in Short Hills, New Jersey.
Loads of people.
First of all, let's walk up to folks.
Are we asking people in groups?
Are we handing papers out?
Are we calling people on the phone?
How are we asking people these questions?
How is the question asked?
Whom do you prefer?
Gamala or President Trump?
Guess what young people are going to say, if that's the focus of your targeting.
Hi kids, are you registered to vote?
That's good enough.
What do you think they're going to say?
What do you think they're going to say?
Are we in a city?
Let's go again to rural.
Let's go to more pastoral demographics.
Who are these people we're asking?
Do these samples in any way mimic the real demographic makeup of the country?
Do they represent 40% blacks, 53% women, 52% men?
Is it balanced like that?
The difference between somebody who says, yeah, I really like Amala Harris.
I really like Tampon, Timmy, AWOLS.
Yeah, I really like them.
Are they likely to say, oh...
Am I going to go out and vote for them?
Oh, no, no.
You didn't ask me that.
You asked me whom I preferred.
And if I can just lift a finger and push something without having to get off of my fat ass and do something, yeah, I'll tell you that much.
But I'm not going to vote.
I've never voted.
I don't even vote.
You ask me whether I am, well, theoretically a registered voter, that motor voter thing, because I keep getting that damn jury duty stuff, so I guess I'm registered, but I don't even vote.
If you keep listening to this, if you keep listening to this, you're going to go crazy.
And I'm going to tell you one time.
Uncle Lenny is going to tell you one more time.
Listen carefully.
The thing that keeps me up at night are the write-in, mail-in, absentee votes.
Seven states, 15 counties.
That's it.
And all this stuff is nonsense.
All this business about whether he lied about the sergeant major or the IVF, it doesn't matter!
That's where the evidence ends.
Or the effort should be paid.
That's it.
And don't expect a lot of people who are supposedly running the show to tell you, oh, I've been negligent.
We don't know anything about what you're talking about.
But I'm going to be sending out a bunch of poll watchers and poll cats so we can sit around and just stare at the polls and look for something when the real issue is in the back room when they're counting the write-ins.
Do you understand what I'm saying?
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