Chicago made it through Labor Day with a surprisingly low death toll.
A three-day weekend usually means a shooting spree.
But it rained all day Monday, and Chicagoans don't like to shoot each other in the rain.
So the typical headline read, At least 51 shot, 7 fatally, Labor Day weekend.
The at least...
Means there could always have been more people winged that the police just didn't hear about.
So it was really just a typical weekend.
For the two previous weeks, it was 55 shot, 10 killed and 66 shot, 5 killed.
For everyone with a taste for the Mormid, there is a very informative website called Hey Jackass that tracks the shooting practically day by day.
At the top, Near the middle are the year-to-date shooting figures as of early September.
So far this year, there have been 495 people shot and killed, 2,414 shot and wounded, for a total of 2,909 people who stopped bullets.
Chicagoans love to shoot each other, but occasionally they get creative.
About 4% of the time, they stab each other to death, and occasionally they beat each other.
Or strangle each other until dead.
Only about half a percent of killers this year ran someone over with a car.
These unorthodox killings have brought the death toll so far to 541.
But nearly 3,000 shootings?
That's a lot, especially during a serious ammunition shortage.
And we still have almost one-third of the year left to go.
As you can see in the upper right, Chicagoans have bad aim.
More than 85% of the people who stop a bullet survive.
This is partly due to top quality first aid and emergency rooms.
Doctors save a lot of people who would have died even just 20 years ago.
If you're going to get shot, Chicago is a pretty good place for it.
Hey Jackass has a grim sense of humor.
What it calls the shot clock.
Reports that so far this year, a Chicagoan was shot every 2 hours and 4 minutes and murdered every 11 hours and 8 minutes.
There's lots of other information here about which parts of town have the most killings, day-to-day activity, and yearly homicide figures.
There's an interesting graphic on shot placement, as you can see towards the lower right, and not surprisingly, head and torso shots are most likely to be lethal.
What Hey Jackass calls the summer shooting season begins at the end of May and runs through Labor Day, and this year's season has been brisk.
A body count of 342 compared to last year's 172, which is almost exactly double.
It's unusual for a murder rate to double, but these are unusual times.
So who's doing the killing?
We don't know.
Partly because the Chicago PD arrests so few murderers.
Last year, when 489 people were killed, police made only 109 homicide arrests.
That's an arrest rate of just 22%, and I suspect this year that figure will be lower.
We do know the race of victims: 79% black, 16% Hispanic, and 4% white.
We know the racial demographics of the city, so we can calculate that a black Chicagoan is 20 times more likely than a white Chicagoan to be killed, and a Hispanic is four times more likely.
White supremacists must be roaming the city, murdering people of color, right?
Well, no.
Chicago used to release data on the race of suspects and the race of arrested murderers, but it stopped doing that years ago.
Still, we know from these old data, and from data from other cities, that almost every black is killed by a black, and almost every Hispanic by a Hispanic.
Whites kill very few people who aren't white, while a somewhat larger number of whites is killed by a person of color.
So it's safe to estimate that a black person is at least 20 times more likely than a white to be a murderer, and a Hispanic is at least 4 times more likely.
Put another way, if Chicago were all white and the additional whites killed people at the same rate as whites living there now, their murder rate would fall by at least 87%.
You could lay off a lot of cops.
Sometimes a killing is caught on video.
Here's one from May 31st of this year.
As you can see, the shooter's pal at the left checks to see if the guy they want is in the car.
And then the fellow in white opens up, apparently catching his dreadlocked pal somewhat by surprise.
you.
He empties his pistol and walks away without his pants falling down.
The man in the car was pronounced dead at the scene.
No arrests so far.
How about shootings with lots of victims?
The record this year...
Was a hail of bullets in which 15 people were shot.
That was at a funeral.
There have been 11 cases with 5 victims, 21 cases with 4, and 76 hat tricks.
Sometimes the Chicago police shoot people.
So far this year they have shot 13, compared to the 2,909 that criminals shot.
That is 0.4% of the total.
Not exactly a plague of police shootings.
As in just about every American city, on those rare occasions when the police do shoot someone, a black someone anyway, there's always the chance of a riot.
In 2018, word got out that police had killed an unarmed man and this happened.
And a number of officers were injured by rocks and bottles.
As Meg Oliver reports, police say the man who was shot and killed by an officer was armed with what appeared to be a handgun.
The violent confrontation lasted for hours.
So the police released body cam video.
you.
Yes, that does look like a handgun.
Chicago cops have better aim than criminals.
Out of this year's 13 shootings, the tally has been 5 killed, 8 wounded for a kill rate of 38%, which is better than double the 17% for the bad guys.
Cops call an ambulance right away, so the people they shoot get quicker treatment, and that reduces what probably would be an even higher kill ratio.
For the curious, the average hospital costs after a Chicago shooting was $55,000.
Just the first 35 minutes cost $21,000.
The average Chicago ambulance ride costs $1,000.
And a homicide autopsy cost $800.
All this murder and mayhem has cost the city $154 million so far just in these direct costs.
With all these killers on the loose, it's surprising that this year there have been only 15 cases of justified self-defense shooting.
5 killed, 10 wounded.
How do the murder figures, 541 so far this year, compared with other ways to die in Chicago?
In all of last year, only 96 Chicagoans died in traffic accidents, death in house fires, Last year, there were only 91 in the whole state of Illinois.
So it should be no surprise to learn that murder is the leading cause of death for Chicagoans ages 15 through 34, and it's the second cause of death, after accidents, for newborns up to age 14. So far this year,
Chicagoans have shot 47 children age 12 and under and killed 11 of them.
Just last weekend, police identified this 8-year-old murder victim as Dajore Wilson.
Here's an interesting graph one of our viewers put together comparing deaths by homicide to deaths by COVID so far this year.
The purple bars are homicide and the blue bars are the virus.
Homicide was a much more likely cause of death for Chicagoans ages 0-17 and still about twice as likely for 30-39 year olds.
Only after age 40 does COVID become a more likely killer than fellow citizens.
And while we're at it, it's worth noting that carjackings are way up.
So far this year, there have been 727 compared to 603 for all of last year.
And there have been arrests in just 5.1%.
That means 95% of carjackers got away with it, despite the fact that the victim usually gets a pretty good look at the perp.
We have no info on race of perp, but I suspect there's a pattern.
Just for fun, here is a graph of homicides per 100,000 residents, that is to say the murder rate, in Chicago during the Al Capone era, in the Roaring Twenties.
And since the 60s.
The 20s are in blue, then there's a gap, and the 60s start in red.
Chicago was relatively tame in the 20s.
Of course, in the 1920s, Chicago was more than 90% white, and now it's about one-third white.
It can't be fun to be a cop in Chicago.
Just this month, the FBI field office reported that there has been a pact between about 30 gangs in the city.
They have promised that they will shoot any officer who draws his weapon in public.
Some gang thugs may be keeping their word.
Chicago Police Superintendent David Brown said recently that so far this year, 51 officers have been either shot or shot at.
He said that was four times as many as in any previous year in the city.
So Chicago is on track for a bad year.
July was the single deadliest month in 28 years, with 105 killings, up from 44 the previous year.
Chicago traditionally has a lower murder rate than cities with a higher percentage of blacks, like Detroit, Baltimore, Cleveland, Compton, Wilmington, but it may pull ahead of some of its rivals this year.
Of course, the lefties are going to solve the problem.
Not just in Chicago, but in the whole country.
They're going to defund the police.
And if that doesn't work, just loot all the luxury goods stores on Michigan Avenue again.
Black lives do matter, right?
Thank you.
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You'll find videos, podcasts, articles, I think a lot of things that will interest you.