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Jan. 10, 2019 - The Joe Rogan Experience
02:48:44
Joe Rogan Experience #1222 - Michael Shermer
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joe rogan
01:18:49
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michael shermer
01:26:58
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jamie vernon
01:38
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Speaker Time Text
unidentified
And we're live.
joe rogan
Hello, Michael Shermer.
michael shermer
Hello, Joe Rogan.
I'm doing well, thank you.
joe rogan
Good to see you with your pile of your writing.
Look what you've got there.
You've got the moral arc, heavens on earth.
Look at you.
Skeptic magazine.
michael shermer
That's the latest issue.
Why is there something rather than nothing?
We like to tackle the little questions.
joe rogan
That's a deep one.
michael shermer
You've dealt with this on the show.
joe rogan
Yeah, too much.
That's one that just, you know, when you're in traffic and you go, what is this?
michael shermer
When you have someone like Neil or Sean Carroll or Lawrence Krauss talking about this, it's like, whoa.
I mean, I'm not a physicist.
I'm a social scientist.
So for me, I come at it like, what do you mean by this word nothing?
Because most of us have this idea of what it means.
Oh, no, in physics, it means this other thing.
Like, okay.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, well, I think our limited understanding of what they're talking about, when I see those guys writing down on legal papers with all that scritchity-scratchity, crazy-looking, fake alien language mathematics, like, thank God you guys are out there.
michael shermer
Well, I opened Heavens on Earth with, imagine yourself dead.
You know, most people go, well, you know, I see myself in the casket, and my friends and family are around, and hopefully they're mourning.
No, you wouldn't see anything, of course.
You're dead.
I mean, to imagine anything, you have to be conscious and alive.
So you can't even picture being dead.
So you can't picture not existing, and it would be the same thing.
Imagine there's no universe.
Okay, I see blackness.
No, there's no blackness.
I mean, nothing would literally be, not just no light, but no...
joe rogan
No perception of darkness.
michael shermer
Nothing.
Not even nothing.
joe rogan
I was going through Instagram the other day, and there was this one person who was talking about the purpose of life and when you die, what's going to happen.
And I immediately just started laughing.
I'm like, you don't know.
How are you saying this?
Like, when you die, what happens?
And he was like one of them spiritual-type characters, just kind of a huckster.
There's a lot of spiritual hucksters out there these days.
michael shermer
There are, yes.
In the 90s, we debunked all those psychics talking to the dead.
That was a...
That hasn't been too popular in recent years, but that was a big thing.
joe rogan
People caught on to that little earpiece thing.
michael shermer
The earpiece, or just the cold reading.
I see a father figure.
Is this a grandfather, father, uncle, friend of the family?
And he's saying something about, you know, it's okay for you to forgive yourself.
Oh, okay.
How about like, well, where was the will?
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
He hid his will somewhere.
Where is that?
Because that's what we want to know is, you know, that ring he had.
Where is that?
joe rogan
If you're just vague enough, I mean, like horoscopes.
If you're just vague enough, people are like, oh my God, it's right all the time.
It's always right.
Like, that's not even a real horoscope.
If you really want to pay attention to actual astrology, they have to know the date you were born, the time you were born.
It's not just the month of August.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
It's like they've got to nail it down.
michael shermer
They want to know morning or evening.
joe rogan
What do you think about all that stuff?
michael shermer
It's all bunk.
Is it?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
joe rogan
Why has it been around so long?
michael shermer
Well, because the, well, it's called the Barnum Effect, where, you know, P.T. Barnum, you just offer something for everybody.
So if you make it general enough, you know, I sense you're an intelligent, wise person that people really enjoy your company, and you like going to parties and being with other people, and yet you like the quiet solitude of a walk on the beach, you know, and people going, yep, that is so me!
Well, I've pretty much described every scenario you can have.
You're alone, you're with people.
joe rogan
But it's one of those things where if you talk to someone who is an actual believer in astrology, like, they are so convinced.
I got a friend of mine who's trying to tell me that he makes all of his decisions based on consulting with his astrologer.
unidentified
Mm-hmm.
michael shermer
Well, Reagan, well, Nancy Reagan did that for his travel after he was shot.
She got real paranoid about that.
Well, so part of the problem is the astrologers and psychics are themselves remembering their hits and forgetting their misses, the confirmation body.
So I knew a psychic or a magician who was working the Psychic Friends Network back in the 90s when it's hard to make a living as a magician doing kids' parties.
They all want to have their own Vegas show, but only a few people get that.
So you got to do something on the side.
So this guy was doing Psychic Friends Network.
And he told me all about it.
They gave him a book, a three-ring binder.
Here's the kinds of things you should say.
And people are calling for love, health, money, career questions.
So you can spend 20, 30 minutes at $3.95 a minute just going through there.
I sense you're in a relationship right now, and one of you is more committed than the other.
Tell me about that.
Ten minutes later, they're still talking.
And you're thinking about travel.
You're not happy with your job.
There's some financial stress in your life right now.
And then he told me about stuff like, now go get a crystal and then a candle, and I want you to set it up here on your desk.
And this would go on and on for hours.
joe rogan
And they charge by the hour.
michael shermer
And they charge by the hour.
So one of the problems that Psychic Friends Networks had was people were not paying their phone bills because they, you know, come back an $800 phone bill or whatever, so they would just not pay it.
So the phone companies cracked down on the Psychic Friends Network company going, hey, this is getting out of hand.
People aren't paying their bills.
So they had to ratchet it back a little bit.
joe rogan
Oh, that's right.
They would do it through the phone.
That's interesting.
Yeah, they wouldn't get a credit card from you.
They would just stay on the line with you.
michael shermer
Right.
So he told me that when he first started, he got like 60 cents on the minute for the $3.95 per minute.
But then they bumped it up as he got more experience and kept him on the line longer.
They gave him bonuses.
Now you get a dollar per minute or whatever.
joe rogan
How is that not illegal?
I mean, he's not even a psychic.
Shouldn't you have to, like, if you want to be a doctor, you have to go and you got to, you know, go to medical school, you got to get a degree?
michael shermer
There's an interesting history there because in New York City, for example, it was difficult to outlaw, like, the three-card Monty guys on the sidewalk with the cardboard because it's just kind of a game.
Now, it would be illegal to sell fraudulent stocks or something like that.
Or sell a product that's advertised as a health product when it's not.
But if, say, in that case, it's under food rather than drugs or, say, no health products like vitamins are under different standards than, say, medical drugs.
A psychic is more like an entertainer.
So this is for entertainment purposes only, so we can do whatever we want, as opposed to a medical doctor that's dispensing advice.
I get that.
joe rogan
Maybe a doctor's a bad example.
Maybe I should have said engineer.
But the point is, if you're going to work as a psychic, Like, on a psychic network, if you have a business of selling psychics.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like, you should be able to, you have to exhibit some sort of psychic something.
michael shermer
Yeah, well, they can't.
You know, under controlled conditions, they always fail.
joe rogan
There's nothing that's ever been done?
unidentified
No, no, no.
joe rogan
What about the one thing that I've read that statistically more people can recognize that people are staring at them?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Like, when they're looking at you from behind, is that horseshit?
michael shermer
Well, it's not been consistently replicated.
joe rogan
So is it possible that some people with a certain sensitivity can detect?
michael shermer
Well, okay, so one explanation, the skeptic's explanation, is that if I'm in, say, a Starbucks or something, and I kind of have a sense that people are talking about me, maybe looking at me, and...
And I look, and that catches somebody's eye, and they turn to me, and I think, oh, that person's looking at me.
Or vice versa, I'm looking at them, and then they sense something or whatever.
So there could be some element of chance to that.
Now, the guy that does this, Rupert Sheldrake, you know, he believes that it's actually some kind of, like, psychic power through the medium.
Like, when I'm looking at you, something's coming out of my eyes and tickling your neck, so to speak.
joe rogan
That's his morphic resonance theory.
michael shermer
Morphic resonance.
Yeah.
Richard Wiseman, a British experimental psychologist, he's tried to replicate that, and he always fails.
And then this other woman, Marilyn Schlitz, she also tried to replicate it, and she was able to replicate some of it.
So there may be an experiment or bias.
It's not clear if it's the skeptics that are biased or the believers that are biased.
But in that case, it's best to just say, you know, we don't know.
So the default position, the null hypothesis, is that it's not true.
Until you prove otherwise, and that's a difficult one to prove.
Now, if I say, well, why is the effect so subtle?
Why can't you go to Vegas and become a millionaire gambling or play the stock market?
We know traders just need a tiny 0.01% advantage over the other traders or whatever, and they can make a lot of money.
You mean in terms of just psychic ability?
joe rogan
Psychic ability is a very broad term, right?
It's almost like saying drugs.
Because there are certain drugs that put you to sleep and certain drugs that make you hyper.
They have very different effects.
So saying psychic ability, like maybe you have the ability to see if someone's looking at you, but you don't have the ability to pick the lottery.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
Right.
So the hard part in testing psychics is to pin down, what exactly are you saying you could do?
joe rogan
Right.
michael shermer
And that's where it gets pretty fuzzy.
So these, like, why is it legal for the phone psychics?
Because you can't pin them down.
If somebody says, look, I'm just giving relationship advice, why is that illegal?
If I say, like, the Tony Robbins Netflix documentary, I'm not your guru, which is basically I am your guru, He has that moment in this huge auditorium.
There's like 3,000 people there, and he gets this woman up on stage, and she's got relationship problems.
He says, do you have your phone?
She goes, yeah.
Take out your phone and call him right now.
And he talks her through dumping this guy on stage, on the phone, and he's at work or something.
He's like, what?
And then she hangs up, and everybody's happy that she did this.
Now, is that a good thing or a bad thing?
I have no idea.
joe rogan
That's great for show business, but what if...
I mean, that seems crazy.
How do you know what kind of relationship they really have?
You'd have to talk to both of them, right?
michael shermer
Wouldn't you?
I brought this up at an event recently, a party, and somebody said, oh, I know the backstory.
His staff had been working the audience, and they knew all about her and the relationship, and it was about to go sour anyway.
So we brought her up.
It's like, okay, so this is the thing with you see the psychics on TV. There's a lot of stuff you don't see.
They work the audience.
They know.
People fill out, like the faith healers, they fill out prayer cards.
They put their name and address and their ailment.
And then, you know, the faith healers have a little earbud in there, and they're listening to the person in the back reading.
Okay, here's the person.
They have, you know, glaucoma or whatever.
And you hear them calling this out.
So there's a lot of that that we don't see.
joe rogan
But Anthony Robbins is not claiming any kind of psychic ability.
He's just trying to provide positive paths for improving your life.
And if you're in a bad relationship, that would be a positive path.
Let's get out of that relationship and move forward with emotion and power and love.
And he'd fucking probably throw a karate kick and get everybody pumped up and jump around with little Bobby Brown headphones on.
It's like...
But he's a showman, too.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
But my point is that the psychic could say the same thing.
Look, I'm just dishing out.
I don't know if this is true.
joe rogan
But he's not...
I mean, it's weird to put him in that category, right?
Because he's just trying to get people excited.
I think he does some good.
I really do.
Because he did me some good.
When I was 21 years old, I used to listen to his...
I think it was called Unlimited Power.
I think that was the name of the book.
And I listened to it on audio cassette by the pool in this shitty apartment.
That I was living in when I was trying to be a stand-up comedian.
And it helped me.
He had some really good advice in terms of setting goals and in terms of the way you approach things and look at things.
michael shermer
I agree.
All of that, any of these self-help books, Jocko's books or Amy Alcon, there's a lot of stuff that's very similar to what Tony Robbins' issues.
And okay, that makes sense.
Set goals and And be motivated and think positive.
Maybe err a little bit on the side of over-optimism so you can push through the failures.
But don't be blind because maybe it's certain times to cut and run and change course in your life, something like that.
The hard part is studying that, which, you know, experimentally, which are the best techniques versus others.
And there was a guy who wrote a book called SHAM, S-H-A-M, Self-Help Actualization Movement, and he was the head book guy for Rodeo Press that publishes these self-help books.
And so his takeaway in this book was that the number one predictor of people who will buy self-help books are people who already bought self-help books, and they continue buying them.
So if you say, does it work?
Well, it works if you work it sort of consistently.
Like you got to listen to the tapes like every weekend or every low moment.
It's not like taking the pill and your cancer's gone.
You have to kind of keep practicing it as a lifestyle change for it to work.
joe rogan
Yeah, that's...
michael shermer
And also, what do you mean by work?
So Tony goes into a corporation and they get a bump.
This is an example in this book.
They get a bump in sales.
So they get the salesmen all motivated.
They hit the phones on Monday morning.
Within two weeks, their sales are kind of back to where they were.
So they've got to bring the self-help guy back in every month or so to keep them super motivated.
joe rogan
Well, you've got to give them some sort of incentive to stay pumped, right?
I mean, some financial incentive.
It's one of those old-school phrases, inspiration is like bathing.
It works, but you have to do it regularly in order for it to be effective.
michael shermer
I like that.
Yeah.
joe rogan
I mean, bathing works, but you're like, hey, two months later, I smell like shit.
michael shermer
Yeah.
Yeah, it works daily.
joe rogan
Yeah, you have to do it all the time.
michael shermer
Or it's like saying, why can't the NFL teams play the whole game like the last two minutes because it's so exciting, the two-minute drill?
Because they can't do it physically.
You can't keep that up.
joe rogan
Yeah, yeah.
Well, I think you could physically keep up that enthusiasm that Anthony Robbins provides, but you have to be...
Either you have to have some sort of an office environment that is incredibly enthusiastic to the point where you guys have engineered this environment where everybody's pumped up.
But that's going to be it.
I mean, that doesn't leave a whole lot of room for the individual to be themselves.
I feel like that would be terrible to work in a place like that where everywhere you go there's motivational sayings and people are, you know, chanting things in the hallway and everybody's just got to Energy at 10!
Let's go!
That's what a guy like Anthony Robbins will provide you with a short burst.
We just hope that some of it sticks, right?
michael shermer
Well, this is in Amy Alcon's book, Unfuckology.
It's a great book.
She calls these small wins, or whoever calls them small wins, like make your bed in the morning, or shave, or whatever.
Or like Jocko's little Twitter post at 4.30am.
joe rogan
Yes.
michael shermer
Now, I'm never getting up at 4.30, but when I get up at 6.30… You will occasionally, right?
Like this morning for the morning ride that leaves at 7am, I get up at 5.30.
So I'm not happy getting up at 5.30, but I think, okay, Jocko has been up an hour.
joe rogan
He's already worked out.
michael shermer
He's already done working out.
Okay, I can't really complain.
Come on, Shermer, get going.
That kind of little thing.
This is Jordan Peterson's point of the get your life in order.
What is he talking about?
Just stand up straight, make your bed, clean your room.
What's he talking about?
He's talking about these little wins.
Like, if you can do that, then the next thing that's a little harder...
joe rogan
Comes a little easier and so it's also those things that are in the background if you know that your your life is a mess Your car is filled with fast food wrappers.
You know, you're you've got that Thing that you haven't taken care of in the back your head that that will That's gonna disrupt it's gonna be flowing in your thoughts for the most part.
michael shermer
It'll be a distraction right So those little things apparently do matter.
There's a theory of crime called the broken windows theory that is favored by criminologists to explain the decline, the crime decline in the 90s.
What happened?
In New York City, they started cleaning up the graffiti.
They started catching the turnstile jumpers.
They started cleaning up the streets.
They started You know, boarding up windows so there's no broken windows or replacing the windows.
The theory is that if there's a signal in society that no one's paying attention, there is no law and order here, there are no rules or norms, do whatever the fuck you want.
You're going to get more crime.
If you send the signal through little things like, we're not going to allow graffiti on this wall anymore, and no more turnstile jumpers in the subways, and so on.
So when that happened, then there was a trickle-down effect, and then crime declined.
So that's the most popular theory for that, and I think there's something to that.
joe rogan
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
And what they did with New York City is really kind of fantastic.
If you go back to when I was a kid and I traveled to New York City the first time and I saw Times Square, I guess I was probably like 18 or 19. I was like, look at this fucking crazy place.
Like, this is madness.
And, you know, you see it in movies and it's just always this horrific scene.
It's always peep shows and hookers and pimps and thugs and drug dealers.
And you go there now and it's like a mall threw up.
You know, it's like a giant neon Mall of America, like Times Square.
If you took a person, if you grabbed a guy from like 1988 and you put him in a time machine and said, hey man, I'm going to bring you 30 years in the future and you're going to see New York City the way it looks then.
Like, what do you expect?
Like, oh my God, it's going to be like Blade Runner.
People are going to be shooting people and selling body parts and No, you get there and it's like Guy Fieri's restaurant and huge, gigantic LCD screens.
And there's some people that would long for the old days, the dirty seediness that Lenny Bruce talked about, you know, when he lived there.
It's like, I mean...
michael shermer
Well, that has a certain charm, I guess, if you're going into the nightclubs or whatever.
But the surrounding daytime neighborhood or something, this isn't where you want to live.
joe rogan
You'd rather live in the vomited mall?
michael shermer
Well, I'm not crazy about that either.
So there's a reason why cities have certain restrictions on those kinds of stores coming in.
But in a crappy neighborhood like downtown Old Town Pasadena now is kind of a hot place to go.
But in the 70s, I mean, I went to the Ice House back in the day in the 70s.
Just as a spectator.
But it was terrible down there.
joe rogan
Was it really?
michael shermer
Oh, yeah.
It was a dump.
I mean, there was...
joe rogan
Pasadena?
michael shermer
Oh, terrible.
Yeah, it was horrible.
joe rogan
The word was, according to my friend Bob Fisher, who owns the Ice House, he said that what it was was in the early days of Hollywood, the producers would all buy homes in Pasadena.
They have these beautiful old estates in Pasadena.
michael shermer
Yeah, South Pass, yeah.
joe rogan
But the stars would all live in the Hollywood Hills.
So they would all be just boozing it up and partying it down in the Hollywood Hills.
And the producers were like, let those crazy animals go have at it in the hills.
We're going to back out a little bit.
And they established that community out there in Pasadena.
michael shermer
Right.
So to turn it around, like one of the key things a mall can do is get what they call an anchor store.
Someone like a Saks Fifth Avenue.
Somebody that's really respectable, big.
And then you can call the other guys, go, look, we got Saks Fifth Avenue.
Oh, you got Saks Fifth Avenue.
Then I can be next to him.
And then it starts going.
And then little by little, each of them cleans up their neighborhood a little bit more.
And pretty soon you end up with Old Town Pasadena now.
joe rogan
Well, I was telling you guys before I had an issue today where my credit card got robbed.
And, you know, whatever.
Credit card fraud.
Someone got a hold of my number.
Which is really...
That's the one thing that people worry about the most about shopping online, right?
But I guess that could kind of happen everywhere.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
But you've got to think that if there's anything that has changed malls more than anything, it's got to be the ability to just shop online on your phone.
Like Amazon.
The fact that they figured that out.
I remember when Amazon came out and it was just a bookstore.
I was like, who the fuck is going to buy books online?
You could just go to the bookstore.
michael shermer
This is ridiculous.
joe rogan
What a stupid business.
Meanwhile, that guy has more money than any human on the planet.
michael shermer
That's right, yeah.
joe rogan
That poor bastard's getting divorced, too.
jamie vernon
I heard last night that there's a rule in Washington that everything that you make as a couple, you have to split.
So they've been together for over 25 years.
michael shermer
Well, California law is 50-50.
Well, long-term marriage is 10 years or more.
It's 50-50.
And that includes downstream income.
From anything you did that you're still getting paid for, say, 10 years ago, you wrote a book or whatever.
joe rogan
Well, Mrs. Bezos is getting paid.
He's worth $100-plus billion.
jamie vernon
$137, they said.
joe rogan
Wow, so she's going to get half of that.
jamie vernon
Because it's a lot of stock, they said they're going to have to just stay friends.
joe rogan
Oh, they better stay friends.
She should be super nice to him.
Even if he only gives her a quarter, she's like, I got wrong.
I got wrong.
jamie vernon
They're just not the richest people in the world now.
michael shermer
But after all these bookstores went out of business, there's some irony that Amazon now wants to start opening physical brick-and-mortar stores.
joe rogan
That is kind of ironic.
But it does make sense, though, because there are some brick-and-mortar stores, and I think that guy's a conqueror.
I think he just wants to take over everything.
Well, why else would he buy Whole Foods?
You know, it's like, oh, the supermarket business.
I can fuck this up, too.
michael shermer
Well, automate it.
He can...
I don't know.
Maybe you could order Whole Foods delivered to your house.
I don't know if that's available yet.
joe rogan
I think it is, right?
jamie vernon
I was going to say, now most grocery stores, even like all the Ralphs, have home delivery within two hours to compete with Amazon Prime.
michael shermer
They have to.
joe rogan
Wow.
jamie vernon
And if they don't do that, you can just order it online and pick it up and they'll bring it out to your house.
joe rogan
Yeah, I went to Pavilions the other day and they had a bunch of delivery trucks parked in the parking lot.
I was like, look at this.
They got these cool delivery trucks.
jamie vernon
They have to.
Wow.
That's great, though.
They have that one store you can walk in and there's no cashiers.
They just trust that everyone's not stealing.
And I think they just are comfortable with a certain amount of theft.
joe rogan
Oh, wow.
jamie vernon
Yeah.
joe rogan
That's interesting.
Well, they probably have cameras everywhere, too.
But the online purchasing, that must be putting the most...
As far as like the most impact on stores, brick and mortar stores, it's like the ability to purchase online has got to be devastating for them, right?
michael shermer
Totally.
And up in Santa Barbara where I live now, just riding up State Street this morning at the end of the ride, you know, it's like maybe a quarter of the stores are closed, out of business.
unidentified
Wow.
michael shermer
Empty.
And, you know, State Street, Santa Barbara, this was like the happening place to be.
And a real estate friend of mine says, oh, well, see that store there?
That's, you know, $22,000 a month to lease.
Like, whoa, okay.
So you have to have a retail outlet that's really turning over the customers, and there's a lot that just can't do that.
I mean, you can't have an antique store that's going to do that or a little knick-knack store.
joe rogan
Santa Barbara is one of my favorite places.
And it's really interesting because it's a small area.
Like, I don't think there's 150,000 people.
michael shermer
Less than that.
It's about 90,000.
joe rogan
Is it?
Montecito included?
michael shermer
With Montecito included, Galito is like another 30,000 or so.
And then below that you have Carpinteria, that's like another 20,000 or so.
So yeah, it's...
joe rogan
And it's beautiful, and it's quiet, and you get the right spot, man.
But it's also, I feel like it needs to be that close to Los Angeles.
Like, you get a little bit of trickle.
michael shermer
I can zip down here 75 miles from my house to your studio here, my office in Altadena for Skeptic Magazine.
That's 105 miles, so it's doable.
joe rogan
Yeah, but I think that human beings When they're living in these gigantic communities, whether it's Los Angeles or New York or something like that, there's just a certain amount of...
People become less valuable.
There's just too many of them.
You lose that sort of appreciation for people, and there's a tension.
You don't mind if a few people drop off.
You know what I mean?
michael shermer
Yeah, there's a balance in size.
My wife's from Cologne, Germany, which is about 1 million people.
And that's about as big as you want to get.
It's a big enough city.
There's lots of action.
You could do all sorts of things.
But it's not 6 million or 10 million, which is just like L.A. It's just too many.
joe rogan
Have you ever seen that study that they did where they set up a camera on one end of the street and a camera on the other end of the street and they timed people walking through and in the footage of those people walking through they were able to determine by how fast these people walked They got an average, which was really accurate, of how many people lived in the city.
michael shermer
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, scale.
unidentified
Yes.
michael shermer
Yeah, there's that book, that physicist, West, Jeff, G-E-O-F-F, West, I think is his name, wrote that book.
The bigger the city, the more efficient and faster things become.
joe rogan
Yeah, including dialogue, the way people communicate.
michael shermer
They talk a little faster, they walk a little faster.
And he had a formula showing how many restaurants per 100,000 or gas stations per 100,000 you'll get as you scale up.
You don't need as many restaurants and gas stations as populations increase because there's more efficiency in the flow of traffic and people throughout the city, whereas smaller towns are less efficient.
That was the theory.
joe rogan
But it's just fascinating that human beings adjust because of all of these other human beings around them.
They change the way they walk.
They walk faster.
They talk faster.
michael shermer
Is this right here?
joe rogan
Yeah, scale.
Universal laws of life and death in organisms, cities, and companies.
jamie vernon
I'm listening to it right now, actually.
unidentified
Are you really?
jamie vernon
Yeah, like coincidentally.
joe rogan
Co-winky-dinky.
Yeah, that's...
I mean, you feel it.
You know, when I lived in Boulder for a short amount of time, one of the things, you know, Boulder's small as well, I think it's 100,000 people.
When I came back here, the first thing I realized is how fast everyone's driving.
Everyone's just cutting everybody off and zooming ahead, and people are really in a rush everywhere they go.
And that has to be, in some way, shape, or form, it has to be influenced by all the other people around them and their energy, right?
What is that?
michael shermer
That's right.
joe rogan
What do you think that is, though?
michael shermer
Well, first of all, it's all unconscious.
I think it's just mostly the kind of overall pace you get that pushes everybody along or slows them down.
I just started this book called Rule Makers and Rule Breakers.
It's by a woman who is a cultural psychologist.
Sorry, I forget her name.
So Rule Makers, Rule Breakers.
So she talks about tight cultures versus loose cultures.
joe rogan
James Fast is a fucking bullet.
michael shermer
Yeah, Michelle Gelfand.
So she talks about tight versus loose cultures.
So, like, again, my wife from Germany, it's a tighter culture.
People are more likely to obey norms and rules, and there's a little more uncomfortableness in violating them.
California, we're a little loosey-goosey about rules, and so my wife's always giving me a hard time about it.
My idea of traffic laws is I'll just do whatever I feel like, pretty much, as long as it's safe.
I kind of know, you know, I'm driving up the 101. If I stay at 79 or below, I'm fine.
And she's like, but the speed limit is 65. It's like, yeah, so what?
I mean, I know where the cops park.
I know everybody else is going.
And the left turn into our street is a left arrow.
So, of course, my wife, she's just like, well, we got to wait.
It's like, but it's midnight.
I'm just going to go.
You can't go.
It's like, yeah, this is California.
I'm going.
joe rogan
There's no one there.
michael shermer
There's no one there.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
So that's a tight culture versus loose culture.
So I guess she's going to talk about how norms then affect laws and how then people change their behavior.
You're not even aware you're doing this.
You're just kind of unconsciously absorbing the cultures.
joe rogan
But what do you think?
I mean, but there's a difference between West Coast-type culture, or large groups, rather, and East Coast large groups.
Do you think that's influenced by weather?
It's one of the things that I've been thinking about a lot.
The aggression of East Coasters is very different than the aggression of West Coasters, and I always wonder, it's like, how much of that is because they have to deal with shit weather for five months out of the year?
michael shermer
It could be.
That, I don't know.
joe rogan
And the influence of immigrants as well.
Like, because, like, my parents, my grandparents were immigrants.
They all came over from England and Ireland and Italy, and they were all savages.
They were all people that were willing to get on a boat and cross the ocean.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
You know, those are aggressive people.
They're like, I'm getting out of here!
Fuck you!
michael shermer
And then they land on New Jersey.
Or else they're higher risk takers.
joe rogan
Yes, yes.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Yeah, so it's not a random population that came to America, nor with Australia.
You know, you send all these convicts there.
It's not going to be a typical gene pool there.
joe rogan
Yeah, but meanwhile, how good did that work out?
Those are the nicest people ever.
michael shermer
Well, same thing, you know, Germans, you know, here after World War I and World War II, oh, these are bellicose people.
They're the nicest people in the world.
They don't want to fight anybody.
joe rogan
Yeah, that is interesting, right?
michael shermer
That's one generation.
joe rogan
Right, right.
michael shermer
And more than that, I mean, they have massive war guilt and Holocaust guilt.
I mean, they are all raised and taking tons of classes in school about what happened, why we're never going to do this again.
Here's what we did to the Jews.
You know, they're still paying Israel reparations for that.
There are these little stumbling stones that are these sort of brass square cubes all over Germany of the name and year that the person was murdered.
These are all Jews.
In front of the house where they used to live.
They're all over the place.
Yeah, I have a picture of them in the moral arc here.
I'll show you.
It's really dramatic.
And you literally stumble across them.
I mean, they're just there in the street.
If you Google stumbling stones, you can see that they're better in four color.
joe rogan
Another interesting thing about Germany is they won't let Scientology in.
They're very sensitive about cults and cult behavior.
michael shermer
That's right.
Well, there's another reason for that, and that is...
I can't find the pictures now.
In Germany, most people don't know this, there's a religious...
joe rogan
There it is.
Jamie's got it up there.
michael shermer
Yeah, there they go.
joe rogan
Oh, so they're actually above ground?
michael shermer
Yeah, so you're just walking along and you look down.
joe rogan
Oh, some of them, they're not like that, right?
They're not like little bricks on the ground?
michael shermer
Yeah, they're like that.
You just walk on them.
joe rogan
Oh, so they're in the ground.
michael shermer
Yeah, they're in the ground.
So it's the person's name, and they're in front of the house where they used to live, the date that they were departed and the date that they were murdered, and where they were murdered, Auschwitz or Treblinka or Majdanek and so on.
Yeah, there you go.
So it's pretty moving, and it's kind of a reminder, this is what we did, and we're not going to do this again, remember?
So that's changing norms.
How does this happen?
Really, you can do it through the law from the top down, but really it's more culture from the bottom up.
joe rogan
You were saying that there's another reason besides the Holocaust that they're sensitive to Scientology?
michael shermer
Oh, yeah, because in Germany, they have a religious withholding tax.
So when you get your first job, they do a withholding for your religion, and they give a percentage of your paycheck to your religion, the religion you were born into, baptized, whatever.
It's mostly Catholic and Protestant.
But others want to get in on that because that's cumulative.
You know, you can make some money doing this as a religion.
The humanists of Germany get a little piece of this action.
It's considered a religion.
So Scientology, when they saw that, they went, oh, okay, free government money, tax money.
And the Germans go, no.
You're not a real religion, and you're not getting in on this.
And yeah, so again, when my wife came here, before she came here, she quit church.
And you literally have to go down to the courthouse, fill out a form, and say, I am leaving the church.
Please don't take my money anymore out of my paycheck.
So you have to opt out.
You will be giving money to your religion unless you fill out the form and opt out.
Wow.
And in this case, it was kind of a funny story, they go, okay, so just to make sure you know, now if you sign this, you can't get married in the Catholic Church, you can't get buried in the Catholic Church, you can't go to the ceremonies and so on, you're done.
And she goes, yep, that's the way I want it.
And she went down there with her Four Horsemen t-shirt, said Dawkins, Dennett, Harris, and Hitchens.
And they're like, who's this?
Anyway, so they said, oh, but now, okay, the moment you sign, it starts effective today, but there's a three-month lag for us to not take the money out of your paycheck.
joe rogan
What?
michael shermer
My wife is like, yeah, like, wait a minute.
In a business, when a contract ends, it ends for both parties.
They go, uh, no.
joe rogan
They're just going to steal money for three months?
michael shermer
Three more months, yeah.
joe rogan
What a weird thing that you have to opt out like that, that it has to be so definitive that you have to sign papers and go someplace.
What a fucking shady law.
michael shermer
It is.
It's no good.
I know.
That's got to change.
So a lot of us are trying to talk people into opting out.
Quit church.
joe rogan
Well, it is amazing that in this country, I mean, I would like to know what the number is.
If the churches in this country had to pay taxes, I mean, clearly, especially when you look at the televangelists that are driving Rolls Royces and flying around in private jets, I mean, there's profit.
There's extreme amount of profit and it's discretionary income.
They can do whatever they want with it.
And you're dealing with massive, massive sums of money, and they don't contribute.
So these people are clearly personally benefiting from the contributions of these people, and then they don't pay taxes on it.
michael shermer
And in the case of ministers who live in a church-owned home, they don't have to pay property tax.
So there's a lot of hidden benefits there.
joe rogan
It's dirty.
michael shermer
Yeah, it is dirty.
joe rogan
It's amazing that it's still here.
I mean, especially when you deal with something like Scientology, where you know the guy who wrote it.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Like, this is not some ancient text that we're handed down from up on high.
Buried in the mists of time.
Yeah.
You know the guy.
And the guy was a terrible writer.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
I mean, he was a terrible science fiction author.
He just wrote.
Every fucking thing he wrote was a first draft.
Just boom, gone.
I mean, it's just the most nonsensical nonsense writing, and yet they don't have to pay taxes because it's considered a legitimate religion.
michael shermer
Harlan Ellison, the great science fiction writer, died this year.
He told me the famous story where L. Ron Hubbard allegedly said, you know, I'm going to go start a religion.
He said it's real, it's a true story.
But it was just a bunch of science fiction writers sitting around like this chatting and complaining about how poorly paid they are.
They have to crank out by the word, you know, a penny a word kind of thing.
And somebody said, you know, we should just start a religion and make shit up like that.
And L. Ron Hubbard goes, yeah, you know, that's a good idea.
I think I might do that.
And then he went out and wrote Dianetics, and that became the founding document of Scientology.
joe rogan
Did you watch the HBO series on it, the documentary rather?
michael shermer
Yeah, the Going Clear.
Unbelievable.
That's the best documentary on it.
Of course, I've seen Aaliyah's show.
She's got big guts to go after that.
I don't know if she's got good lawyers or A&E has good lawyers or whatever.
Maybe they've stopped suing people.
I don't know.
joe rogan
I think the climate has shifted.
And I think people are more...
First of all, for the longest time, all we thought of when you thought about Scientology, you thought about positive thinking and John Travolta and Tom Cruise.
They're all...
Super positive, you know, and they're getting things done and there's auditing and they're really taking care of their mind and, you know, thinking clearly and eliminating all the negative influences.
But then once, there was a bunch of factors, I think, but once the internet opened up the doctrines, and you got a chance to read it, and people got a chance to mock it.
And then South Park did that whole series on it, where this is what they actually believe.
And you see, when South Park did that, everybody was like, holy shit, wait a minute, is that real?
And then people started Googling it, and then looking into it, and then it started to unravel, slowly but surely.
People started leaving the church longs.
Lawrence Wright wrote the book.
All these things are happening.
And now Leah is coming in.
And Leah was, you know, I knew her.
I mean, I'm friends with Kevin James from The King and Queen.
So I've known Leah for 20-plus years.
And when I first met her, she was just like this hard-ass, beautiful woman who's just like driven.
And like, she's a Scientologist.
I'm like, oh, let's get the fuck out of her way.
You know, it was like that she's just like super...
Active and just getting things done and just being productive.
I mean, that's what you thought about when you thought about Scientology.
But now what you think about it is like nonsense and foolishness.
And once Going Clear aired and you got to see L. Ron Hubbard and listen to him talk and you see the captain's outfit he had on with the medals that he gave himself.
You're like, what?
michael shermer
Who would buy this stuff, right?
joe rogan
It's so dumb.
It's amazing that it's so effective and so financially successful.
michael shermer
Yeah, I think their membership roles are pretty low, but their property holdings, I think, are pretty extensive.
joe rogan
Yeah, I mean, they're the second biggest real estate owner in Los Angeles.
michael shermer
Is that right?
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Oh, wow.
joe rogan
At least they were.
There were some Japanese folks that were number one, and then it was number two was Scientology.
Maybe that's not true anymore.
Might be oil barons now.
michael shermer
Well, back in the 90s when the internet first got cranked up, we were doing articles on Scientology is when some of these ex-members started posting the secret doctrines, the Zenu story and the Going Clear, you know, at level 8 or whatever when you find out the inside story.
And they got raided.
I mean, the Scientologists went to court, to judges, and said, this is copyrighted material.
And it's like, wait, you're a religion?
How can you copyright a religious...
Well, and they somehow got around that.
I mean, this would be like the Catholic Church not telling you about Jesus and the resurrection until level 8 after you've paid $100,000 or something like that.
It's just insane.
joe rogan
Well, what's amazing is that the IRS caved and turned them into tax exempt.
unidentified
Unbelievable.
michael shermer
When that happened, I remember when that happened, I thought, oh my God, I don't want to fuck with these guys.
I mean, they beat the IRS. I'm a nobody.
How am I going to defend myself again?
But maybe they've stopped suing people.
Maybe they're not going after Leah like that.
joe rogan
Here it goes.
Portfolio properties reported at $400 million in Hollywood alone, paid for in cash no less.
The Church of Scientology is undeniably a formidable player in the real estate game.
That's what you got.
They have some beautiful properties, too.
It's just really amazing.
It's amazing.
michael shermer
So, you know, my skeptic friends go, oh, they're going to go out of business anytime soon.
It's like, I don't know.
I think they could have practically no members and still they have all this real estate.
joe rogan
Here's the thing.
Even though it's nonsense, just...
So is most religion.
Let's just be honest.
I mean, if you want to talk about guys coming back from the dead after being buried for three days or Adam and Eve being the only two people and they have kids and their kids just start having sex with each other and that makes all the people in the world or Moses parting the Red Sea and Jesus walking on water.
I mean, you're looking at horseshit everywhere.
It's just older horseshit.
It's, you know, whether or not it's based on some real events or some real people, who knows?
Who knows?
You know, but it's all nonsense.
michael shermer
Have you ever heard Julia Sweeney's monologue, Letting Go of God?
joe rogan
No.
michael shermer
Do you know Julia from Saturday Night Live?
joe rogan
I know who she is.
I do not know her.
michael shermer
Yeah.
She just moved back to LA, so you should have her on the show.
She's terrific.
joe rogan
I would love to.
michael shermer
So she was born and raised Catholic, loved being a Catholic, the whole culture and all that was great.
And then she started reading Dawkins and me and Harris and so on, and then kind of let all that go, and then she wrote a monologue.
It's very moving.
So the monologue opens.
She's in her house in Hollywood, and the Mormon boys come by.
And she invites them in and they want to, you know, tell the story and she's thinking, this is like a Hollywood pitch story.
You're going to pitch the story and I'll get back to you later until you know how I like it.
No, no, they wanted to, you know, to actually, you know, press to see if she could join right then and there, you know.
They're on their two-year mission that they do, you know.
So picture these two 18-year-olds with their white start shirts and their bicycles and...
So, Julia starts pressing him a little bit.
So, what's the story here?
Well, see, this guy, Joseph Smith, he found these gold plates in his backyard, and he translated them from ancient hieroglyphics into English, and with these magic stones, and they're going on, and then Jesus came to America, and there was the good Indians and the bad Indians, and Julia's like, I just want to tell them, okay, don't start with this story.
This is a bad-pitched story.
Even the Scientologists know, don't tell them about Xenu until way down the line.
But then she says, reflecting on it, you know, if I told somebody my Catholic story who never heard of it, it would sound just as wacky.
Because it's virgin and the resurrection, what?
joe rogan
Yeah, all of it's wacky.
100%.
I mean, it's like we were talking about earlier.
When you die, what's going to happen is you don't know.
You don't know.
And the reality is, look, maybe there is an afterlife.
Maybe when we stop living, something happens and our essential energy dies.
It goes into another dimension.
It's possible, but you don't know.
Look, being alive is so titanically bizarre.
Just being a human being looking through eyeballs at each other across from this wooden table that was cut down from living organisms that turn into hard surfaces and you sand them and saw them and then you put it in a building and it's got electricity's rolling through the walls and if you stuck a fork in there you'd die.
All of it is crazy.
The fact that we're on a planet.
I mean, the fact that the universe is at least, as far as we can tell, infinite.
All that stuff is crazy.
The idea that your essential energy doesn't transfer into some other state.
Why not?
The whole thing's crazy.
But you don't know.
michael shermer
That's right.
No one knows.
joe rogan
The thing is, you don't know.
And until you know...
Whenever you say something that you're not sure of, and you say, this is what's going to happen, but you don't really know, you're a huckster.
michael shermer
That's right.
Yep.
Absolutely.
No one knows.
unidentified
No one knows!
michael shermer
And that's the conclusion of Heavens on Earth.
I don't know, and you don't either.
I saw a bumper sticker that said, militant agnostic.
I don't know, and you don't either.
Okay, so here's my bottom line on this.
I don't know.
No one knows for sure.
I'm happy to wake up in some great place and there's my friends.
joe rogan
It would be awesome.
Unless God was mad that you didn't follow the rules that he laid out.
michael shermer
Well, that's right.
Christopher Hitchens called the Christian heaven celestial North Korea.
It's like, here's this dictator that knows everything you do and controls everything forever.
joe rogan
That's hilarious.
Celestial North Korea.
But he doesn't tell you anymore.
I told you already.
I told you 2,000 years ago.
This dude wrote it down.
Pay attention to that.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
But then it's not even that, right?
It's like one guy might have write it down a long time ago, but then a bunch of other dudes got together and had to revise it.
They had like a new draft, and the new draft, they get to decide, people got to decide what goes in and what doesn't go in, and some of the stories are based on accounts from hundreds of years after Jesus' death.
michael shermer
The Bible is a wiki.
It is like a wiki.
Yeah, it's just the people contributed it to over the years and so on.
Hitchens had a great analogy with when he was dying.
He wrote a series of essays for Vanity Fair, his column, which you can get as a book now.
I think it's called Mortality or something like that.
Anyway, one of them was people think dying is like you're at a party and someone taps you on the shoulder and says, you have to leave now.
And worse, the party's going to go on without you.
It's like, oh no.
He goes, okay, so let's play this out.
You're at the party, and you get tapped on the shoulder and said, you can never leave the party.
You have to stay here forever with these people.
Like one of Julia's funny lines is the Mormon boys were telling her, like, in heaven, it's going to be great.
You're made whole again, like the blind shall see and the deaf shall hear again and the crippled shall be whole again.
And she said, well, I had uterine cancer and I had my uterus taken out.
Do I get my uterus back?
And they're like, you can imagine these 18-year-olds going, what's a uterus again?
And they're like, yeah, you get your uterus back.
She goes, I don't want it back.
And then she said, what if you had a nose job and you liked it?
Do I have to have my old nose back in heaven?
That's a good point.
And then they said, and you get to spend the rest of eternity with your family.
And she went, oh, no, that would not be good in my case.
joe rogan
Maybe they'll be cured, though.
They'll realize the errors of their way, so they'll be all enlightened.
michael shermer
Well, here's the problem.
So this is called the problem of identity.
Who are you?
And, you know, that Theseus' ship, you know, the Greek Minotaur slayer, Theseus, comes back and is a hero, and they preserve his ship in the museum forever.
But the wood rots, and they replaced the ship, and over the centuries, there's no wood left from the original.
But it's still cherished.
So I call this Shermer's Mustang, because my first car was a 66 Ford Mustang, a classic, and I had that for 19 years.
joe rogan
Love those cars.
michael shermer
It was a great car.
But I banged it up so much.
I replaced this and that.
Pretty much by the time I sold it as a classic and made a nice little chunk of change on it, there was very little of the original left.
But it's the pattern, not the material, that counts.
So, this whole debate about when you're resurrected in heaven with Jesus, what's up there?
Is it your physical body?
Because some Christian sects say, yeah.
It's like, okay, how old are you when you're in heaven?
30. This is the year they came up with, because that's the age Jesus was when he was crucified.
Okay, but if Joe Rogan, I don't know how old, you're 40-something.
51. You're 51. Okay, so if you're resurrected at 30-year-old Joe Rogan, what happened to the last 21 years of Joe Rogan's body, memories?
joe rogan
I don't want to go back to that dude.
That dude was dumber than me.
unidentified
You don't?
michael shermer
You don't?
joe rogan
No.
michael shermer
You're happy where you are in your life at this moment?
unidentified
Yeah.
Oh, for sure.
Yeah.
michael shermer
Yeah.
Well, that means you've a well-lived life.
So what's up there with Jesus?
joe rogan
I wouldn't mind having that body.
unidentified
Okay.
joe rogan
30-year-old body had, like, less problems.
michael shermer
Fewer injuries.
joe rogan
Yeah.
I've been beating on it for 21 years since then.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Like, when I was 30 is when I got hardcore into jiu-jitsu.
So that's 20 years of getting choked.
michael shermer
But, of course, the Christian would say, well, God makes you whole again.
You'll have no injuries.
But that's not really part of you.
Part of you is...
Your injuries, your muscles.
joe rogan
What I was going to say, though, is all the stuff that I did that hurt me, I also learned from.
michael shermer
That's right.
Made you stronger.
joe rogan
Well, not just that.
I think through incremental struggle, whether it's rigorous exercise or learning something.
I think everything that I do that's difficult makes me just a little bit more aware, a little bit better at other things, just a little bit...
A little bit better to talk to, a little bit easier to deal with, a little more friendly.
All those things I think I wouldn't give up for anything.
I think that's more important than whatever injuries I've got with.
I wonder how you're going to feel when you're 80. I wonder if you'll feel like that.
There's got to be a point of diminishing returns.
I'd rather be stupid in 40 than to be enlightened and can't get out of bed very well.
michael shermer
My older athletic friends tell me it's about mid-80s when things drop off fairly quickly.
You know, they can stay pretty fit into their 70s, maybe still racing, bike racing at 80, but 85 or so, things drop off pretty quick.
joe rogan
That's where you've got to go to hormone replacement therapy.
michael shermer
Or whatever, yeah.
Or the ice plunges or the young person's blood or something like that.
Okay, so I deal with, you know, there's no breakthrough miracles yet.
But again, I'm not against any of these things happening.
You know, when someone like Jeff Bezos puts $100 million into an aging company, I hope he's successful.
joe rogan
Does he have $100 million in an aging company?
michael shermer
He and Peter Thiel and the Google guys through Calico and a few others have invested many hundreds of millions of dollars into companies like Calico, for example.
These are companies that are trying to – their big goal is to defeat aging through reengineering cells, okay?
And the sort of philosophical goal behind it is we have to defeat aging so people can live for centuries or forever.
To which I say, let's not worry about living 500 years.
Let's worry about prostate cancer and breast cancer and Alzheimer's and dementia and so on.
Just the little incremental medical problems that people have.
joe rogan
Quality of life things.
Worry about things that take people out young.
michael shermer
Yeah.
And so that you can live a longer, higher quality life.
joe rogan
But do you imagine Michael Shermer at 300 years old?
unidentified
No, I can't.
joe rogan
If you could keep this body.
If you can keep the body that you have now.
You're moving around great.
Everything's well.
You look really healthy.
How smart would you be?
How much more enlightened would you be?
michael shermer
Or wise, maybe, is the way you think of it.
I'm not against that.
I'm happy to live as long as I possibly can.
There are people that go, well, that's not right.
It's not natural.
It's like, okay, what's natural?
There's surveys on this.
And people's answer is whatever the current average lifespan is.
So, well, 80 seems about right.
Okay, fast forward to the day before your 80th birthday.
Tomorrow you're going to go.
You want another week?
Yeah, I'll take another week.
Okay, fast forward six days.
Would you like another month?
I'll take another month, thank you.
And that would never end.
So, of course, if you're healthy and happy and you don't want to off yourself or whatever because you're super depressed or something like that, yes, you're just going to want to keep going.
Nothing wrong with that, if we can do that.
joe rogan
But what if you die and it's way better?
What if you die and you really do?
You leave your physical body, there's no need for emotions and all of the entanglements of human existence and you go to this beautiful place of bliss and life and love and it's just pure love without a body, unembodied, unhindered.
michael shermer
I don't know.
Would that be fun?
unidentified
I don't know.
joe rogan
Is that what we're here for?
We're here for fun?
michael shermer
We're here for fun.
joe rogan
We're doing a shitty job.
We should be going crazy right now.
We should be in a party van on the way to Vegas.
michael shermer
I had a college professor when I was in my Christian days who asked me when I was pitching him the Christian story.
He says, are there golf courses and tennis courts in heaven?
Because I like physical challenges.
I want to get out there and push myself.
I don't know.
Yeah.
So, I mean, would heaven be no challenges, no working out, no physical, you know, tensions?
joe rogan
True, right?
Yeah.
Maybe you don't need it.
michael shermer
So you'd have to remove that part of humanity, that we no longer want challenges and to be pushed to better ourselves.
joe rogan
Do they play chess in heaven?
michael shermer
That's right.
joe rogan
Right?
Exactly.
michael shermer
Do you get to win?
Right.
joe rogan
Do you get to win in heaven, or is everybody a winner?
michael shermer
Everybody gets a gold medal and a Nobel Prize and whatever.
joe rogan
That is a problem.
The things that we're attracted to, the things that we enjoy, accomplishments and achievements and all these things, they exist only inside of civilization, inside of this realm that we've created.
The significance of them is entirely based on our own agreements that it's important when you take the king.
It's important when the ball goes into the net.
We've agreed.
When someone shoots a three-pointer, it's really not that big a deal.
You're just throwing a ball into a hole.
Nothing really significant happens.
But because we've attached all this meaning to that, then it's something that we really want to see.
And everybody, score!
The goal went in!
The puck went in the net!
Yes!
unidentified
Yes!
joe rogan
It becomes this giant thing.
michael shermer
Yeah, theists have no good answer for this.
When you say, well, what's heaven like?
Well, the psychics will tell you.
It's bliss and love.
But what does that mean?
It sounds, again, back to Hitch, it sounds boring.
I have to stay at this party forever?
That sounds boring.
joe rogan
Did you ever see the guy who took a photo of himself in heaven?
michael shermer
No.
joe rogan
You never saw that one?
He used a Samsung Galaxy phone to take a picture of himself in heaven.
michael shermer
Are there what?
joe rogan
It's just white.
It's just him smiling.
It is one of the funniest fucking photos you're ever going to find on the internet just because of the context of it.
michael shermer
That's funny.
joe rogan
Yeah, I believe he was an African gentleman who was either he's telling the truth or he's hilariously full of shit.
I mean, imagine if he really did go to heaven and he took a picture and we're just mocking him.
Really, we should be going to him for advice.
michael shermer
That's right.
So what is it really?
joe rogan
Have you found it?
You see the picture?
jamie vernon
I'm only finding the mocking, the memes of making fun of him afterwards.
joe rogan
Oh, there's no actual picture?
jamie vernon
I'm trying to find the original.
joe rogan
Just Google man takes.
jamie vernon
I did.
joe rogan
That's what they get.
jamie vernon
Everyone wants to make fun of.
joe rogan
The internet is so overwhelmingly mocking.
It's so good.
That's got to be playing a large part.
You got it?
jamie vernon
I think this is, everyone's saying this is this one.
joe rogan
No, it was all white.
It wasn't like that.
It wasn't that.
It was just...
It was that picture of him holding his hand up like that, but it was just the background wasn't rainbows and shit like that.
You can find it, man.
I have faith in you.
I found it the other day.
It's, you know...
It's just hilarious that someone would be so confident to put that picture online knowing full well that the world is going to see that picture and start writing on it.
michael shermer
Remember the guy who sold his soul on eBay?
Really?
I forget what he got for it.
And then a lot of religious people were offended by this.
You can't sell your soul.
Why not?
You sold your soul to your religion.
joe rogan
Did he get a good price?
unidentified
I don't know.
michael shermer
I think it was a few hundred bucks or something like that.
unidentified
Oh, that's nice.
michael shermer
I'm forgetting when it...
joe rogan
Go to dinner with that.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
joe rogan
Nice.
michael shermer
But my concern about all of this obsession with the afterlife...
joe rogan
That's not it.
jamie vernon
This is from his page.
It says, woke up this morning and saw this, had to take a picture.
joe rogan
Oh, okay.
Yeah, but that's not the actual photo.
The photo of him in heaven is what's hilarious.
It's that picture with him.
Far left.
Far left.
That's it.
That's it.
That's the photo.
That is him.
That is the photo.
michael shermer
Went to heaven.
joe rogan
That's it.
That's the exact photo he took.
I don't know who took the photo.
He's like, hey, angel, do me a solid.
michael shermer
Yeah, it's not a selfie.
No!
joe rogan
His one hand is down, so he's not taking it with that hand.
The other hand is up.
That's him in heaven.
Love it.
The internet is so good for mocking things, though.
It's so good.
It's one of the best things ever in terms of, like, there's so many people that are paying attention and so many people that are funny that aren't comedians, per se.
They just might work in an office somewhere, and they've got a little bit of free time, and they'll make a hilarious meme about something, and then everybody runs with it, and things just get mocked mercilessly.
michael shermer
Remember the video of the guy, he was having an interview and his kid started walking in behind him and he's trying to talk about foreign relations in Poland or something and the little kid is back here and then somebody, the wife rushes in and so on.
Anyway, there's a bunch of funny spoof videos on that where some woman is sitting there talking about nuclear strategy or whatever and then the kid comes in and she's ironing the shirt and then she defuses a bomb and then she cleans up the socks or whatever.
It's really funny.
joe rogan
Yeah, it's just we were always – all of our information was distributed to us through these very controlled networks, whether it's CBS or NBC or ABC. And everything was very cut and dry and very professional in the way people talked, the way information was presented.
But now it's just – It's open.
As soon as I find out about something happened in the world, I Google it.
I go, what is it?
What happened?
What happened?
I Google it, and then I'll go to Twitter.
And when I go to Twitter, it's all pictures and memes, and it's the dude with the question marks.
There's so many memes that people will throw up when anything crazy happens in the world.
It becomes so interesting to hear the news and hear commentary on the news from this just gigantic mass of humans and it's what's most funny or most interesting or most succinct or poignant that rises to the top.
michael shermer
Yep.
Yeah, there's endless content to entertain.
Also, just high-quality content.
I mean, I'm a content producer.
I write and so on, but I am a huge consumer.
Most of the people I follow on Twitter post articles.
Most of them I want to read.
So in the course of a couple hours, my little window pop-ups just spread across the top of the screen.
I want to read all of these articles, and I plow through as many as I can.
They're pretty much like The Atlantic or Vanity Fair, Time, whatever.
They're pretty high-quality, well-written articles.
The problem is, as a content producer myself, is that the half-life of these articles is so short.
When I post one of my Scientific American columns, I put a lot of work into it, and then a couple hours later, maybe a day later, gone.
No one's talking about it.
Done.
Well, I put a lot of work into that.
But taking me out of the equation, like the New York Times did that huge New York Times Sunday Magazine article on Trump's business going all the way back to the 70s.
They spent like a year working on this, like 10 journalists.
This would have been a Pulitzer Prize winning piece.
This would have done in anybody else but Trump, right?
I mean, they had his old business contracts and lawsuits and all the shady stuff going on.
And this got huge media attention for about a day and a half.
And by Sunday morning, by Tuesday, no one's talking about this anymore.
It's like, these guys spent a year working on this.
I mean, what did it take to get that lawsuit paperwork from the courthouse?
And they had hundreds of things like that.
It's like, gone.
Like, whoa!
joe rogan
Well, Trump in particular, there's so many scandals that I think we've all become numb about.
michael shermer
Yeah, there is that too, yeah.
joe rogan
There's so many that you just, you get numb to it and it doesn't affect you.
You're just like, oh.
michael shermer
He paid off a woman?
Whatever.
joe rogan
Yeah.
Those are the tiny ones.
The big ones are the lawsuits, the businesses, you know, the construction businesses where he didn't pay small companies, you didn't pay them.
Like, sue me.
And then these companies went under.
Like, there's a lot of those.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
There's a lot of the unethical business practices.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's all in that article.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Yeah.
Again, anybody else would be done in by something like that.
Any politician except him.
It's just amazing.
joe rogan
Well, it's also what he represents to those people.
It doesn't necessarily have to be what he really is.
It's what he represents.
What he represents is the American flag and eagles.
They have this really juvenile sense, some folks do, of what he is and what he represents.
Despite all the evidence to the contrary, they have him in this category that he's going to drain the swamp and these liberals are just going to cry and he's going to make America better.
That's the side that they're on.
They're on the Make America Better side.
Don't you think it's also people don't have the time to really look into this stuff?
michael shermer
Who could fact check these things?
joe rogan
Not just that.
It's like if you work eight hours a day and you have children and hobbies, how much time are you really paying attention to Trump's ethics?
Are you really looking into it?
Are you really considering it before you vote?
Are you really taking into consideration what kind of a person he is and what ripple effect it would have?
Would any of his policies take place?
michael shermer
I think you're right.
People vote by their team.
This is my team.
Okay, so he won the primary.
All right, that's our guy.
We're sticking with him no matter what.
I think there's a huge element of that for sure.
joe rogan
Yeah, there's also people love to argue online too.
And as soon as they find someone who's opposed to something that they believe in, they stick to their guns and they just hold strong.
It would take so much for people to turn on Trump.
The real hardcore Trump believers, it would take so much for them to decide enough is enough.
michael shermer
Yeah.
Well, it'll be interesting to see if members of his own party do something in 2020. Probably not.
joe rogan
Doesn't it seem like with Fox that Fox is slowly starting to shift their coverage?
michael shermer
A little bit.
joe rogan
They're criticizing him.
michael shermer
A little bit.
They're pushing back a little bit.
Shepard Smith is pretty good on that.
joe rogan
He's always been that way.
michael shermer
Yeah, yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, he's always been great at that.
michael shermer
Hannity will probably be last to go.
joe rogan
He's never going.
They have the same fucking lawyer.
unidentified
Yeah.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
joe rogan
I mean, the fact that that didn't sink Hannity.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
You know, that he had Michael Cohen was his lawyer.
Like, whoa!
michael shermer
Yep.
Yeah, the only thing we can count on with the media is that there's lots of sources, and you just have to just cross-check as many as you can.
Don't stick on any one channel.
joe rogan
Well, I wish there was a really, truly objective service.
Like, it would be wonderful if there was people that were dedicated to no editorial slant whatsoever, just 100% fact, this is how we know the facts, regardless, left, right, no ideological curve to it at all.
Wouldn't that be – there's got to be a market to that.
Real news.
michael shermer
Well, of course, they all say that that's what they do.
Yeah, but we know better.
PolitiFact is pretty good.
They're the fact-checking organization.
I mean, they're not reporting news.
They're reporting on the facts said by politicians and so on.
So that's useful.
And I think there's a market competition amongst those people to get more hits.
Like, we're fact-checking more than the other guys are fact-checking.
Although there is two different – there was aim, accuracy in media, and then there was another one, I forget the name, and one was left-leaning and one was right-leaning.
It's like, can I have one without a wing?
No right wing, no left wing.
joe rogan
Yeah.
It seems like that – I mean, I'm – Reading Jonathan Haidt's book, the two books that I've been reading recently, one of them we discussed on the podcast we did on Monday, but the other one is The Coddling of the American Mind.
I'm into that now.
It's fantastic.
And he covers this quite a bit.
michael shermer
Yeah.
Jonathan's on to something good there with the Heterodox Academy, which I'm a professor at Chapman University, and so I was the first member there.
And our university is pretty centrist.
We don't get a lot of these protests and microaggressions and safe space stuff.
It's pretty quiet.
And Jonathan's point is that it's more of a sort of East Coast, West Coast public university thing, or maybe Harvard, that kind of thing.
Middle of the country, you don't see as much of that.
But the polarization thing has gotten worse.
You can see the polls since like 1990 to 2018. You ask people, how evil are the Democrats or Republicans?
And it used to be tiny little differences, and then they diverge like that now.
Where the other side is not just wrong, but they're immoral.
They are evil.
I do think talk radio and television feeds into that, you know, if you just – or now social media in the bubble there.
But on the other hand, again, the Heterodox Academy has like 2,000 members now, professors that said, yep, I'm going to stand up against this censorship.
On college campuses, you were talking to Jonathan about Pete Boghossian.
You had Pete on.
I've known Pete for many years before the hoax papers, and I think they've had it in for him long before the hoax papers.
joe rogan
Well, let's explain that to people, so this could be standalone.
Pete Boghossian, James Lindsay, and what is the woman's name?
michael shermer
Helen Pluckrose.
joe rogan
And she wasn't on the podcast, so I didn't get to meet her, but she's in England, I believe.
They published a bunch of preposterous Papers, like really ridiculous, like on, you know, what is it, the dog park one?
michael shermer
Yeah, dog park culture and dog park.
And the re-translation of a chapter from Mein Kampf replacing males with Jews.
Eliminate the males.
So they did one before, actually, Pete and James Lindsay did one two years ago on the conceptual penis, it was called.
And that the penis is a concept.
It's not a real thing.
It's a hilarious paper.
And the same month that came out, it was published in kind of a third-tier feminist studies journal.
So they got criticized like, eh, that's not one of the big ones.
So you didn't really hoax anything.
But the same week that came out, there was another paper published on feminist glaciology.
And I thought, oh, someone beat Pete to the hoax.
Oh, my God, this is totally – and I read it, and I thought, this is utter bullshit.
joe rogan
What is glaciology?
michael shermer
You know, the study of glaciers.
joe rogan
Oh, God.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Feminist glaciers?
michael shermer
Glaciers are very hard and erect, and, you know, it's all masculine, and, you know.
Anyway, so I called the university that was affiliated with the lead author, and I said, this is a hoax, right?
Come on, just before I say anything, I don't want to be embarrassed.
This is a hoax, right?
No, no.
This is real.
It's like, I can't tell the difference between the conceptual penis paper, which I know is a hoax because Pete wrote it, and the feminist glaciology paper.
That's the problem.
joe rogan
Well, let's explain what's happening to Pete now, because Pete was brought before Portland State University.
They're What exactly are they charging him with?
michael shermer
With faking data, fraudulent data.
Fraudulent research, faking data, that he didn't go through the institutional research board, which approves experiments that professors want to run.
Like, for example, you could not do Milgram shock experiments, where you hook people up and tell them you're going to give electric shocks to somebody.
They wouldn't approve that.
Mm-hmm.
You randomly assign students to be prisoners or guards and they end up beating each other up.
They would never approve that.
Okay.
So since those sort of guerrilla theater experiments of the 60s, the universities have tightened up the kind of research you're allowed to do.
Even like the kinds of questions you would ask in a survey, they have to approve all of that.
So, of course, Pete and James and Helen didn't do that because – but first of all, James was the primary director of this thing.
He's not affiliated with the university.
He doesn't have to answer to anybody.
Pete was affiliated with it, so they're getting him on that.
And that he didn't go through the IRB and get approval.
Well, of course, if you're going to tell people, if you're going to fake something, you can't tell them ahead of time that we're going to fake because it's going to get out and then the gig is up.
The analogy I made the other day was in 1971, a Stanford psychologist named David Rosenhan, a clinical psychologist, sent a bunch of his graduate students into mental hospitals all over the country and said, just tell them you're feeling kind of blue and that you kind of hear this inner voice and that you just kind of don't feel right and you need some help.
So they did.
They all got themselves checked in.
And then from there on out, they acted perfectly normal.
And then the goal was, let's see how long it takes you to get out.
And so it was a study in how mental hospitals treat people who are completely sane.
So the title of his famous paper is called, Being Sane in Insane Places.
So first of all, the grad students report it's incredibly boring.
So one of them would sit there and write essays and take notes.
And so in the psychiatrist's evaluation of this patient is, you know, patient exhibits excessive writing behavior.
This is clearly an example of his erupting libidinal impulses from his childhood, blah, blah, blah.
Another one was a painter, so she's doing paintings with landscapes and so on.
Oh, patient, you can see in the paintings the erupting emotions and the conflicts in her personality.
They're just acting normal, right?
So the point of this hoax was that there's something wrong with our mental institutions.
If they can't tell the difference between a sane and an insane person, what are they doing?
So, of course, the industry got pretty upset about being hoaxed.
So Rosenhan came back and said, okay, in the next year, I'm going to send in some more.
Let's see if you can find him.
And he didn't send anybody.
Oh, wow.
So they're like, okay, we think this guy's fake.
Again, they couldn't tell the difference in their own patients, and no one was even faking.
So in a way, this is kind of what Pete and James and Helen did.
It's like, if they're sending these papers out, if you can't tell, then what are you doing in this field?
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
Well, people are, for whatever reason, people are, some people, I should say, are drawn to these nonsense ideas.
And one of the papers, the Dog Park paper, it got lauded for its excellent scholarship.
I mean, it got praised.
It's one of the weirder ones that they hoaxed.
I mean, because it's so obviously preposterous when you're reading it.
michael shermer
You're like, what?
I think it was the fat bodybuilding one.
joe rogan
That was another one.
michael shermer
I think it won an award.
Yes!
This is the best paper we've ever had.
Oh, okay.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
And really, Pete and James and Helen, they are like professional scholars in the grievance studies.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Because if you read those things, it's hard to write like that.
I mean, it took them a lot of practice to get the jargon and the style down.
joe rogan
What are the options for someone like Pete?
Because if he does get fired from the university, what could he possibly do?
I mean, what Jordan has done is pretty extraordinary.
He's essentially left teaching.
Because of the controversies that he went through, he became famous.
He became famous for doing podcasts.
And writing things, and then his YouTube videos, they're so insightful and wonderful that people just got drawn to him, and then they go to see him speak live.
They've made him into a monster.
By censoring him, by attacking him, they've essentially turned him into a global, international star.
michael shermer
That's right.
One of the best arguments against censorship is it's going to have the opposite effect you want it to.
joe rogan
If someone is of the quality of Jordan Peterson, which is pretty rare.
michael shermer
It's pretty rare.
I've talked to Pete about this as well as Brett Weinstein, because he suffered the same thing at Evergreen, and he's out.
At least he and his wife, Heather, got a payout, so they have a little cushion.
But this model, like Sam on Patreon or Dave Rubin, especially Jordan Peterson, very rare.
It's very rare to be able to make a living as a public intellectual on your own.
Most public intellectuals that are not in academia, they're with a think tank.
You know, the Cato Institute or Reason Magazine or, you know, any of these.
There's left-wing, right-wing, they're all over the board.
You know, it's possible they could get jobs there where you actually have a paycheck.
And those groups are usually funded by wealthy supporters that just, we like the cause, and here's a pile of money, not through Patreon.
It's possible that Pete and Brett could do this, but it's a tough road to hoe.
I mean, Jordan is very rare.
I've watched this through my whole life.
This idea of making $10,000 a talk, $50,000 a talk, $100,000 a talk, almost nobody gets that kind of money.
Maybe Neil, DeGrasse Tyson, Richard Dawkins maybe, Carl Sagan back in the day, whatever the equivalent of that would have been in the 80s.
But that's pretty much it.
You know, and there's thousands of scientists that would love to do that.
Like, yeah, I want to go with that.
joe rogan
Well, they're not entertaining.
The thing about Jordan is he's very engaging.
Like, his words are, it's not just they're wise.
It's not just he's very articulate.
There's something engaging about the style in which he presents these things.
It's very captivating.
He's very charismatic.
michael shermer
I agree.
You know, people discount that.
Or, you know, I know a lot of scientists who are kind of jealous of Neil deGrasse Tyson or, say, Bill Nye.
It's like, oh, I could do that.
No, I doubt that you can.
I mean, Neil and Bill are really entertaining.
They are funny.
They are engaging.
You can't take your eyes off them.
They're so much fun to watch.
Most people are not like that.
joe rogan
Sean Carroll's brilliant.
He's really brilliant.
And I'm glad that he's doing a podcast now.
But when you listen to him talk and you listen to Neil talk, Neil just has this booming presence and this sense of drama and energy and entertainment.
He knows how to be...
He knows how to deliver it in a way that just catches you.
It's fun to listen to.
michael shermer
That's a lot.
And I did a public event in Australia, in Sydney, and unfortunately I went before him, or maybe that's actually good.
And I'm a pretty good public speaker.
I have a sense of my value as a public speaker.
I'm pretty good, and I had never seen him speak.
And I did my talk.
It's pretty much like my TED talk you can watch online.
It's pretty entertaining.
And I'm done.
I get a nice applause.
I'm feeling pretty good.
And then Neil gets up and he starts.
I'm like, oh crap, this guy is fucking good.
joe rogan
You don't want to follow that.
michael shermer
I know.
I'm so glad I already went.
So much energy.
Yeah, but he also has, I don't know, that sort of connection with the audience.
It captures them.
And yeah, I could tell afterwards, you know, throngs of people around him.
And yeah, it's there.
And not very many people have that.
And I don't think it's something you can just learn.
I think it's a temperament.
I mean, you can hone it and refine it, but you can't just sort of naturally be funny and engaging.
I think it's personality that comes out.
joe rogan
I think you can certainly improve, but I think you're right.
I think whatever personality you have, he has that kind of engaging, fun personality, and it translates very well to doing those public speeches.
michael shermer
Since I was here a year ago, I saw Jordan's event in Thousand Oaks at the Kavli Theater there, 2,000 seats, sold out, standing room only.
And it was good.
He was, like, different than Neil, of course, but just as engaging.
It wasn't political.
A lot of people there, you know, recognized me and I could see, you know, these aren't like right-wing nuts.
These aren't young male, angry males.
This isn't like this at all.
And his message was, you know, pretty straightforward.
Get your life in order.
You know, this is the way life is.
It's hard.
And he kind of went through his thing and it's like, all right, that makes sense.
And people loved it.
Very, almost no politics in it.
And Dave Rubin tells me he doesn't really get political on stage.
So that's not the motive.
And I think, you know, life is hard enough for most people that they like, back to the self-help thing, it's nice to be reminded, here are a few simple things you could do to get your life in order.
It's like, yeah, well, yeah, I kind of knew that.
I'm going to go back out and do that again.
joe rogan
Well, his principles are very effective, too.
They're very straightforward, as you said.
But for the guy like Pete Bogosi, you know, to bring it back to that, what could he do if he does get fired?
It's going to be very difficult for him to get a job at another university.
He's obviously got roots in Portland.
He lives there now.
michael shermer
The thing is, he's pretty liberal.
It's not like he's a closeted conservative and they're after him.
He's definitely more liberal than me, and I could tell even years ago that they're going to go after him, I can tell, mainly because he puts truth and free speech ahead of Political positions.
He might say, I'm a liberal and these are my political positions, but more important to me is the truth.
joe rogan
Yes.
michael shermer
Okay.
Well, that's not, as Jonathan points out in his book, universities are now at this divide between are we here for social justice or are we here for truth?
Yes.
And they're having to make a decision, and too many of them are going for it.
We're here for social justice.
Well, then just be honest about it, because you can't bury it.
joe rogan
Well, not just that.
I don't think that's an effective way to pursue social justice.
If you're ignoring the truth, you undermine your message, because then it's not like it's hidden somewhere.
It's not like people can't read into it and see exactly what you've said and how you've supported certain causes and denied the reality of others.
Yeah.
The Google memo thing was a gigantic disaster.
Yeah.
Because ideologically, people jumped on a side and argued.
And I heard the CEO of YouTube talk about how damaging it was to women.
I'm like, what are you talking about?
Like, what are you saying?
Like, what did he say?
He's just talking about preferences that are described by tests.
This has all been peer-reviewed, studied papers on the differences between the preferences of males versus females.
It's not like a value assessment at all.
And in fact, not only that, he put into his paper a page and a half of recommendations of how to get certain women interested in tech.
And perhaps you could recruit certain women and make it more palatable or exciting to them.
It's not a sexist screed at all.
michael shermer
No, no, no.
Online, there's a really good debate with Steven Pinker and a feminist scholar at Harvard.
And Steve has all his slides up there, and he just goes through all the different things that are in that Google Memo.
This is before the Google Memo.
Maybe James Damore got some of that from Pinker's lecture.
But it's pretty solid stuff.
There's nothing...
It's inflammatory about the debate.
This is kind of normal scientific debates.
You know, here's a study that shows this.
Well, but there's this other study.
And then they go at it.
Okay, end of story.
We're not saying women are better, men are better.
That doesn't happen.
Unfortunately, if I was Pete's boss, here's what I would do.
Because a lot of us have written letters in support of Pete, and you can kind of see what's about to happen.
Let's just drop this whole thing, let him keep his job, keep our mouths shut, because this is going to backfire on us big time.
joe rogan
Like it did with Evergreen State University.
michael shermer
Yeah, exactly.
Or with the Google memo.
joe rogan
Yes.
michael shermer
That's what I would do.
joe rogan
Did it backfire on the Google memo?
I mean, we realize that they've got a preposterous ideology over there now.
We know that.
michael shermer
Maybe their stock price isn't.
joe rogan
I don't think it affected them very much.
And many more people support it.
It's one of those things where you hear one version of it, and that version sticks.
The version is, he's a sexist.
You know, the sexist Google memo, and then that's all I need.
The Google memo is very sexist.
It's very anti-female.
And there's many, many people who support the idea that something that was sexist was removed from Google.
They've made it a safer environment for women.
michael shermer
Right.
Yep.
But did they?
I don't know what they...
joe rogan
It doesn't seem like they did.
It seems like they made it an environment where you have to be careful about facts.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Because, again, it's not a value assessment of women.
If women choose to go into the medical fields, more women are physicians, more women...
Disproportionately attract women.
That's not a negative value assessment.
That's just people are different.
You know, I don't want to do what certain people do because I'm different than them.
I'm not attracted to those fields.
It's fascinating to find out why people are attracted and when you see that there's actual There's actual statistics in terms of what fields men are more attracted to or what fields women are more attracted to.
Now, on the other hand, if there's a reason why women aren't attracted to those fields because they get harassed when they go into them, well, that should be demonstrated, and that's obviously a bad thing, and that should be addressed.
michael shermer
Yeah, absolutely.
unidentified
Totally.
joe rogan
But that's not what he's talking about.
unidentified
No.
joe rogan
And James Damore is like a very kind, soft-spoken...
michael shermer
I know you had him on...
joe rogan
He's great.
He's a nice guy.
He's very introverted.
He's a kind guy.
And he's on the spectrum somewhere.
michael shermer
There was no way you'd look at James Damore and go, there's the patriarchy.
joe rogan
Yeah, he's a nice guy.
And they said to him, if you have any input on these things and feel like you can help, please contribute.
And he's like, okay.
So that's what he is.
He's a fucking software engineer.
He sat down and looked at all the data and compiled it.
And he's saying, well, actually, it seems like this is the reason why women are more attracted to other jobs.
And this is the reason why men are more attracted to these fields.
And they're like, Sexist!
And he's like, no, no, no, no, no.
These are the studies.
This is what you're asking me to do.
michael shermer
The concern that if the science doesn't come out a certain way, then people won't be treated equally is a bad idea because then you're going to force the science to be distorted if it doesn't match your political ideology.
So whether trans is natural or whatever percentage is or how old you have to be before you get trans surgery and the hormones or whatever, that's a raging debate right now.
But underlying that debate is, like, we have to make it come out in a way that trans people are treated equally.
It's like, no, no, they should be treated equally anyway, regardless of what the science says.
But that's a problem now.
Now, the problem for people like Pete and Brett, like, joining a think tank is almost all these think tanks are politically affiliated left or right.
You have to...
And therefore, you have to kind of toe the political line.
This is our ideology in this think tank, and you're going to write white papers and op-eds and send them out with our kind of slant.
The problem with that is, well, but what if I disagree with this and this and this here?
Well, then you can't work here.
Something like that.
So that's the problem with those.
joe rogan
Right, but is that the only option today?
When you see that, I mean, I know he's not Jordan and, you know, there's very few people like Jordan, but Sam Harris is also able to do these speeches.
He's very compelling as well.
He's doing a lot of public speeches and doing these big, big events.
There's more opportunity to do alternative things now than have ever been before, and I would hope that that becomes available.
Look, I hope Pete just keeps his job.
But if he can't keep his job at Portland State, I would hope that some other avenue, some other path is possible.
michael shermer
Yeah.
It might be.
You never know.
But you put a date on the calendar and you tell the world, do they come?
Do they pay $10 a ticket, $50 a ticket, $100 a ticket?
Not many people can fill a 3,000-seat auditorium or a 500-seat auditorium.
joe rogan
One thing he could do is do a lecture series on the grievance studies and have the three of them on stage talk about how silly these things were.
If they could put that together as a theatrical presentation, it would really be funny because there's some hilarious subjects that they covered.
michael shermer
All they have to do is read portions.
joe rogan
When James Lindsay and Boghossian were in here and we were talking about these things, we were crying laughing.
It was really, really funny stuff.
That's actually probably the best path for him, is to put together some sort of a public show.
michael shermer
They should do a book.
And then have a book, a show, and then maybe even a TV documentary about it.
Well, somebody's making a documentary.
That's a good start.
When I was in college at Pepperdine, G. Gordon Liddy and Timothy Leary did a stage show.
unidentified
Wow!
michael shermer
And they were touring the country doing this.
It was at UCLA, so I drove down and saw it, and it was so entertaining.
I mean, G. Gordon Liddy, he's the G-man there with his three-piece suit, and he's got his gun.
And Timothy Leary comes out in his boat shoes and his flower shirt.
But they had it kind of scripted, but it was well-scripted in a way that seemed kind of spontaneous, but it was really funny.
And educational about how the government works and freedom versus security and rights.
And I thought that was brilliant.
And I think they did, I don't know, like a 50-city tour of that.
joe rogan
G. Gordon Liddy was on Fear Factor.
michael shermer
He was?
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Oh, I didn't know that.
joe rogan
It's an interesting guy.
michael shermer
Did he hold his hand above a flame?
joe rogan
No, he didn't.
But we did hang him by his ankles and slam him into a pool like over and over and over again.
I forget what the stunt was, but I was like, Jesus, this guy's old to be doing this.
But he did some physical challenges, I remember thinking.
Like, this guy is more fit and more active than most young people.
And he was deep into his 60s at the time.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
When we had him on Fear Factory.
The only thing that screwed him up was in the end, the final stunt was a driving stunt.
And it was at night.
And unfortunately, his eyes are not that good.
And he just couldn't see well without glasses.
So as he was driving the car, he slammed into something or something.
You get what it was?
What, you got him there?
No, it's all right.
But I got a chance to talk to him for a few days.
unidentified
He did.
joe rogan
Hang out with him.
Very interesting guy.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Strong mind.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
He had a talk show back in the 90s I was on when my first book came out, Why People Believe Weird Things, and I talk about conspiracies there.
So he asked me, well, tell me about conspiracies.
I said, well, you tell me about conspiracies.
You know more than I do.
joe rogan
He knows about real ones.
michael shermer
Real ones, yeah.
unidentified
Yeah.
joe rogan
That is my number one beef with conspiracy theories, is that when you, you know, some of them that are so preposterous, like whether it's Flat Earth or the really dumb ones.
There's a base on the opposite side of the moon and NASA knows about it.
michael shermer
Aliens are living in New Mexico, the lizard people.
joe rogan
The problem with those is they undermine actual conspiracies.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
And they get categorized as conspiracy theories.
Then when someone says, well, there's a conspiracy about this, well, it's already a tainted idea, because the word conspiracy is connected to nonsense.
Because there's so many nonsense conspiracy theories, it's hard to recognize, oh, something like Enron, that really did happen.
There is the Northwoods Papers.
There's a bunch of legitimate conspiracies.
You're like, wow.
You know, you found out about the Gulf of Tonkin.
You're like, well, they really did that.
michael shermer
Yep, that's right.
Yeah, I'm writing a paper now on why people believe conspiracies.
And so I go through the whole list of all the psychological things.
And the whole second half is because a lot of them are true.
And there are reasons we should be suspicious.
Just think of the WikiLeaks or the Panama Papers.
You know, like the Panama Papers, here's all these billionaires opening these shell corporations, keeping their money.
They're not paying tech.
That's a conspiracy, you know?
By definition, two or more people meeting in secret to conspire to benefit themselves that harms the public good or other people.
This happens a lot in the U.S. government, in corporations.
There's a reason we should be suspicious.
joe rogan
There is, but what is it about people that want to look for a conspiracy in everything?
Even if it's, you know, they want to see...
They want to see contrails behind jets as evidence of the government spraying things in the sky to control our minds.
michael shermer
Right.
So the sort of baloney detection tools are not too finely tuned.
The problem is that the tendency is to look for some global, simple explanation for complex systems.
So while we all kind of recognize, yes, we know corporations cheat and stock traders trade with inside information, but that's kind of small and mundane.
It's not very interesting.
Global domination of the world.
This is, ooh, ooh, who's doing that?
Then it becomes like a Dan Brown novel.
It's more compelling as a narrative story about how the world works.
It's super simple.
There's these 12 guys in London called the Illuminati, and they're calling the shots, and they're controlling the Bilderbergers, the Rockefellers, the Rothschilds, the Illuminati, the CFR, the New World Order.
joe rogan
George Soros is doing it.
He's a part of it.
michael shermer
Oh, totally.
joe rogan
That's what I hear.
michael shermer
He's number 13 in the Illuminati.
joe rogan
There's so many different competing theories, too.
michael shermer
So a couple of criteria.
The more people that have to be involved, the less likely it is to be true.
It was Gordon Liddy that told me this, that three people can keep a secret if two of them are dead.
People can't keep their mouths shut.
And also, he would know because he worked in government, most people are pretty incompetent.
So the idea that you could orchestrate a thousand people, and each of them is going to go out and do this one thing at 9 o'clock Tuesday, and it's all going to come together just perfect, impossible.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
And he should know.
I mean, they couldn't even break into the Watergate Hotel room to get these papers.
joe rogan
Well, it's also who is getting into government in the first place.
Are they the geniuses of the world, the heads of their field, or are they people that just, like, decided to get into a job?
You know, and this is a good percentage of the people that are involved in government.
If those people know as well, these unexceptional folks that are just, like, uninspired, and they're also there, like, do they – it's they.
That's – Right.
michael shermer
That's the they.
joe rogan
Air quotes, they.
Do they really have the kind of wherewithal to control the whole world?
Mind control.
michael shermer
That's my favorite.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
Mind control.
Psy Ops.
michael shermer
I mean, this idea that operatives went into the World Trade Center buildings, both of them, two of the most tightly controlled and secure buildings in the world, and under the pretense of working on the elevators, managed to get into and break through the drywall to get into the main beams to wrap them up in explosive devices, this thermite stuff.
Yeah.
We know how long it takes to demolish a stadium or a big building.
They're there for weeks or months preparing all the explosive devices.
Somehow they did this in the World Trade Center building without anyone noticing.
Not to mention all the people that worked on this.
They never told their spouses or friends or buddies what they were doing or they didn't mention it to anybody.
They don't want to go on CNN or 60 Minutes and go, I saw something and here's what happened.
Nobody.
joe rogan
Well, anytime you have a gigantic catastrophe like that, just a gigantic, horrific event, there's so many emotions, there's so much chaos, there's so much going on that you're going to get a bunch of really wacky eyewitness accounts because people just aren't good at remembering things when they're under extreme duress.
It's just a fact.
They hear things, they remember explosions, they see things that aren't necessarily what was really in front of them.
That's just...
The human memory is one of the most flawed ways of gathering information.
It's terrible.
We have terrible memories.
michael shermer
Right, and everything, once something happens, then you back up and look for all the sort of pregnant moments leading up to it that otherwise would have been unnoticeable.
With the JFK assassination, there's a famous story about the Umbrella Man.
joe rogan
Yes.
michael shermer
Okay, so there he is.
It's a clear, sunny day.
Why does he have an umbrella?
And for decades, you can go online, you can see these examples of how the umbrella could have been turned into a rifle, and then he shot like that.
Anyway, somebody finally tracked this guy down decades later, and he said, I was out there protesting Kennedy.
The umbrella was a protest, and that stems back to Neville Chamberlain coming back after meeting with Hitler before Hitler annexed – I think it was the Sudetenland – and he came back and said, you know, holding his umbrella, here Hitler signed this paper and promised he wouldn't do anything more bad.
And so the umbrella became a symbol of sort of caving into evil people or what's the word for it?
Appeasement.
joe rogan
How convoluted.
Do you think people are going to get that?
michael shermer
I don't know.
So this is what he said.
I had my umbrella because I didn't like what Kennedy was doing with Castro and the Cubans.
Okay, so in other words, the umbrella meant nothing in terms of the assassination.
joe rogan
Right.
michael shermer
And this is true, so like 9-11, oh, there was this little puff of smoke, or somebody found this passport over here, this little thing.
All those little things, really, it's just randomness.
joe rogan
Well, the other thing is the people that want to think that the windows blowing out are indicative of some sort of controlled demolition.
Or the buildings caving in.
michael shermer
The floor pancaking, it pushes the air out.
unidentified
Yeah.
michael shermer
That's it.
Yeah.
joe rogan
Well, there's never been a controlled demolition that went from the top down either.
Like the way they did it, the plane slammed in.
michael shermer
They all go from the bottom up, right?
joe rogan
The one that looks crazy is Building 7, Tower 7. That one looks crazy.
michael shermer
It does, but it burned for like eight hours or something.
That one's just slightly fuzzier, but explosive experts tell me that it's fully explicable by burning all day.
joe rogan
Well also when you see the images of it collapsing what you don't see is the interior structure had collapsed previously and there's video of that where you watch the interior cave in and that as this fire was burning because apparently there was Obviously I don't know what really what happened, but there was diesel tanks apparently in the basement and the diesel fuel had burned incredibly hot and the whole inside of it all the structure had been completely weakened and and then as it collapsed it just all gave out.
It just happened to be a shit design.
If I was the guy who owned that building, I would sue everybody.
I mean, he got his money back, I guess, because there's some insurance money.
But what a terrible design.
michael shermer
There was some issue with the legal insurance payout to the owner of the World Trade Center buildings, whether this was like one event or two events or one building or two.
The difference was between like $8 billion and $16 billion payout or something like that.
joe rogan
How do they get people to get into that new building?
I'd be like, fuck you.
I'm not renting an office in this building.
This building, they blew it up in 93. They blew it up again in 2001. Get out of here with this shit.
I'm not taking a chance at this new-ass building.
What is it, the Freedom Tower or something like that?
michael shermer
Freedom Tower, yeah.
joe rogan
That's just a big old bullseye.
michael shermer
Yeah, I haven't been in it yet.
I've been around it.
joe rogan
It's not even that big.
michael shermer
Well, I think it's taller than the...
joe rogan
It's not.
unidentified
It's not.
joe rogan
It's not as big as the original towers, right?
michael shermer
I think it is as tall.
joe rogan
Is it?
michael shermer
Yeah, I think so.
joe rogan
I thought it was shorter.
It's definitely not as big as the one in Dubai.
The Dubai one's like a half a mile, right?
Isn't it something crazy like that?
How tall is the tallest building?
jamie vernon
I just went to the One World Trade Center leasing page.
It says at 1,776 feet, One World Trade Center is the tallest LEED gold-certified building in the Western Hemisphere.
joe rogan
That's not good enough.
This is America.
We need to be number one.
We need to go straight to the moon.
michael shermer
In the solar system.
joe rogan
Yeah, we need to take an elevator right to the fucking moon.
Right outside of space.
Is that possible?
Can they build a building that's so high that it goes into space?
Why not?
michael shermer
No, I don't think so, because structurally it wouldn't hold.
joe rogan
Why not?
Make it the shape of a pyramid.
michael shermer
Well, it's like, why aren't trees, you know, a thousand feet tall?
Because the material would just collapse.
I don't think you could have it strong.
It'd have to be so fat.
joe rogan
Oh, that's right.
Japan was going to build that space elevator.
Oh, look at it.
You got jacked with the pop-ups.
Japan takes tiny first steps towards space elevator.
Yeah.
You can fuck off.
I'm not getting into that thing.
It would take a few years before I'm willing to climb into that sucker.
But...
michael shermer
So the other problem with conspiracies, just to get back to that for a moment, is the problem of anomalies.
What do you do with anomalies?
This is true in all science.
No theory explains every single thing that's out there that we want to study.
There's always going to be some, like, quirky thing that the main theory here that explains all these things here doesn't account for that.
Okay, what do we do with that?
Well, my joke is you assign it to a grad student.
Let them figure it out.
But what outsiders mistake is that, well, my theory explains this little anomaly, so therefore it should replace this theory.
And so people like Neil and Sean Carroll, Lawrence Krauss, Michio Kaku has like two webpages.
He has a link on his webpage.
If you have an alternative theory of physics, go to this page.
So they go there and it has, your theory has to explain all of these things over here that our theory currently explains and your, whatever your said anomaly is.
And, of course, they can't.
So it's not that scientists are dogmatically close-minded to the anomalies.
It's that we can't explain everything, and you don't have to do anything with that.
Just leave it there.
Maybe eventually they'll pile up, and there'll be a new theory, like with Einstein's relativity.
Okay, there's enough anomalies here, like the orbit of Mercury and a few other things.
And so we have to modify Newtonian physics a little bit.
Okay, that happens.
But for the most part – and so conspiracies are filled with these things.
Like the moment something big happens, you go back and – okay, but there's this weird thing here.
How do you explain that?
I don't know.
We don't have to explain everything.
joe rogan
Do you know that there's a growing movement that think that the space is fake?
michael shermer
Space is fake?
No.
This is different than the flat earthers?
joe rogan
Google hashtag space is fake.
unidentified
Oh, no.
joe rogan
Hashtag space is fake is people that are so fucking stupid the flat earthers kicked them out.
michael shermer
Oh my god.
joe rogan
For real.
Flat earthers kicked out the space is fake people.
Space is fake is...
michael shermer
Oh my god.
joe rogan
They're the most skeptical.
michael shermer
So what would be the upper atmosphere would be the edge of the universe?
unidentified
It's all bullshit.
joe rogan
It's all fake.
And it's tied in some weird way to religion, which is really interesting.
Because even the flat earth people, there's a tremendous amount of them that are extremely religious.
And they talk about the firmament and the Bible and that this is what's really going on.
They're trying to keep us from the knowledge that God has created this place as a very special place.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
And so by pretending that it's round, they somehow or another are controlling us.
We're thinking that we're not exceptional and we're not lucky.
Space is fake.
jamie vernon
They're using a video from Ryan Gosling's movie he just made about Neil Armstrong, The First Man on the Moon.
Just be like, look, here's proof.
This is how they fake everything.
They're making a movie.
joe rogan
Because the way they made the movie, that's evidence that it's fake?
jamie vernon
I don't know if maybe this person doesn't recognize that as being Ryan Gosling right there.
He's got a NASA suit on.
joe rogan
Maybe it's just a troll account.
This is how NASA fakes everything.
This is the video I was talking about, guys.
Now you know it's all a big act.
Click on space is fake, though.
jamie vernon
This is what I'm on.
I'm on the whole thread.
joe rogan
Yeah, but I mean click on it because there's a bunch of other ones.
jamie vernon
Yeah, no, I'm on that thread.
joe rogan
There's a tremendous amount of people that literally believe that space is not real.
michael shermer
Google a video of Buzz Aldrin and how he deals with the no moonies that we never went to the moon.
There's a video of Buzz Aldrin punching a guy.
unidentified
Yeah.
michael shermer
Have you seen that?
joe rogan
That guy.
I had dinner with that guy.
michael shermer
You did?
joe rogan
The guy he punched.
Yeah, I was a firm believer that we never went to the moon.
unidentified
You were?
joe rogan
Yeah, this is what happened.
I watched that Fox documentary, The Moon Conspiracy Theory, Did We Go?
And I was like, holy shit.
Because it was on television.
And this was 96, 97. I remember I went to work and I told everybody, you've got to see this documentary.
It's crazy.
We never went to the moon.
And I watched that one and I watched this guy's...
What is his name?
jamie vernon
Bart Seibel.
joe rogan
Bart Seibel.
So I had dinner with him.
He absolutely believes that we never went to the moon.
100% believes it.
I don't know if he still believes it.
I think he's like a cab driver or something now.
He was involved in the news or local television or something like that, back where he's from.
Then he released a documentary called A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Moon.
And in his documentary, one of the things he did have is some really interesting footage of the lunar module, where it looks like they're faking a shot of them being really far out, but then when they remove this cover, the covers from all the windows that were inside the lunar, not the lunar module, what is the one, the orbiter?
It really looks like they're in low Earth orbit.
And this is like the main thing pointing to that they couldn't get out of low Earth orbit.
Then there was also the fact that they lost all of the telemetry data, which was the binary, you know, the ones and zeros that show the position of the lunar module at every stage.
There was a bunch of different things.
The fact that no one wanted, especially Neil Armstrong, he became a recluse, never wanted to talk about it.
You go and watch the press conference, the press conference, they look very shady, look like they're completely full of shit.
michael shermer
Yeah, but Buzz Aldrin's not like that.
He talks to everybody.
joe rogan
He was a drunk for a long time, though.
He was very depressed and became an alcoholic after the moon landing.
And the idea is that, in conspiracy circles, if I'm talking as them, the idea is that he got over it after a while and needed to make a living, and now he talks about it constantly.
But Neil Armstrong never did the thing that's compelling is that there was there were some There's some faking going on if you look at Gemini was a Gemini 15 Michael Collins.
There's an image of Michael Collins when they were testing some of the space walking stuff and some of the some of the the things they would do to to walk outside of a spaceship They had them all strapped up with cables and they're just experimenting with these things.
They took that photograph and then blacked out the background.
Probably some overzealous PR agent.
You mean when they're in the pool in Houston?
This is it right here.
So what it is is like...
So the first one is clearly he's in a studio and they're working on things and just trying to understand how all this stuff works.
And the second one, they took the exact same photo and just reversed it and blacked out the background.
But that doesn't mean that they didn't go to the moon.
That just means that someone got a hold of some photographs and faked it.
It's way more likely that there was more of that going on than that people didn't actually go to the moon.
The thing about going to the moon that's really interesting is if they can go again, and they do go again, and they find all that stuff there, You know, then everybody has to just go, oh, yeah, I guess we were wrong.
michael shermer
The stuff is there.
I mean, there's instruments on there that we still monitor that the Apollo astronauts left there.
joe rogan
Well, not necessarily monitor.
We shoot a laser up there and it bounces off.
But, you know, a laser will also bounce off the surface of the moon.
michael shermer
Yeah, but I don't think like that.
joe rogan
Not as precise.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Right, yeah.
But the Russians did that too with Lankahood 1 and 2. I believe they left solar or laser reflectors up there as well with an unmanned mission.
jamie vernon
Japan has video footage as of like last week.
Yeah, the dark side of the moon.
And people say that's all fake too.
michael shermer
Of course.
joe rogan
Well, space is fake, dude.
There's no space.
Of course the moon's not even...
What is the moon if space is fake?
How do they explain that?
What's interesting is the images of the dark side of the moon look exactly, even like the landing and the whole setup looks very similar to the Apollo missions.
So they would have to either be in cahoots or have worked together with NASA. Same sound studio.
Yeah, to figure, they'd use the old stuff.
Yeah, look at it.
I mean, this is the footage.
I mean, goddamn, that looks eerily similar to what you saw when the Apollo astronauts were there.
I think it is entirely possible that some of the practice film footage of them on the surface or doing things turned out to be pushed off as actual footage of moon landings.
There was no television.
Back then there was no internet.
There was no VCRs.
There was no ability to review things and watch them over again.
They projected something on television one time and that was it.
So when they released pressed releases and videos, it's entirely possible that some of those videos that got through were actually just tests.
It's entirely possible that there was, just like the Michael Collins photos, that there was some fuckery going on.
You're dealing with so many human beings.
You're dealing with so many people.
See, an estimated 530 million people watched Armstrong's televised image and heard his voice described.
Okay, what does that mean?
jamie vernon
It was broadcasted live for like six hours that day.
joe rogan
Yes, yeah.
It was actually broadcasted live on a projection screen.
What they did was they didn't get a straight feed.
They were filming the footage that was on a projection screen.
That's how they did it.
And there's some wonky shit that looks like they fall down and then they get pulled back up by wires when they're on the surface of the moon.
But again, I think...
How much of that is actual footage of them being on the moon?
And how much of that is just test footage?
I mean, I don't know.
I don't know.
michael shermer
I'm not sure about that.
joe rogan
But I think also, I don't know jack shit about space travel.
I don't know anything about astrophysics.
I don't know anything about, like, what it takes to land on the moon and come back and whether or not...
And most of the people that talk about this don't know.
michael shermer
You know, the Mythbusters did a nice episode on, you know, did we fake going to the moon, and they showed a bunch of little things.
For example, on the moon with its gravity, when you go something like that into the dust, you know, the particles come up and they arc back down in a certain way that would be different than if you're on Earth.
So the gravity is different, causes the dust to settle in a different way.
There was a bunch of things like that that proved we were there.
joe rogan
Well, it certainly proved that what took place took place in a vacuum.
michael shermer
Yeah, and a gravitational pull, the same as the moon.
joe rogan
Right.
michael shermer
You've probably seen the feather and the hammer drop.
joe rogan
But you know you can do that here.
michael shermer
Well, yes, in a vacuum, yes, that's right.
joe rogan
Yeah, but even a feather and a hammer, it depends upon what kind of feather it is.
But a feather and a hammer, even if you just held them here and dropped them on the ground, they probably would land at a very similar pace.
michael shermer
There's a spoof video about, that we never went to the moon, but a couple of British comedians.
joe rogan
The Kubrick thing?
Is that the Kubrick one?
michael shermer
No, Peele, what's their name?
joe rogan
Key and Peele.
michael shermer
Key and Peele, yeah.
So the three of them are talking and, you know, okay, we're going to fake this whole thing.
And then the troubleshooters, she's like, well, now, you know, people are going to ask, well, how did we go to the moon?
And we're going to have to, you know, build a big rocket so we can say, well, we went in that big rocket.
And they're like, well, how much would it cost to build that big rocket?
Well, it would be really expensive.
I mean, we might as well just go to the moon.
And then they start talking about the expenses.
Well, we only have to feed three of them if we go to the moon.
But if we shoot it as a shoot here in the studio, we have to have catering for everybody to be super expensive.
It kind of goes on like that.
It's very funny.
joe rogan
That is funny, but the conspiracy theorists would say, well, they couldn't send someone to the moon, so they had to fake it.
That's why they haven't been back.
They went from 1969 to 1973, is that what it was?
Six successful missions, seven attempts, Apollo 13 being the one that didn't make it.
It's a fun theory.
And what happened with me is I got way better at spotting bullshit and learning critical thinking skills and then paying attention to all sides.
I mean, the real issue...
With something like that, is if someone could prove, definitively, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that not only is it impossible, that no one ever went to the moon, absolutely prove it, that would be giant.
I mean, it really would be.
I mean, it would be a huge story.
But is it even possible to do that?
michael shermer
The other analogy I use, like with the WikiLeaks, is there, of all those tens of, hundreds of thousands of memos and papers and letters and government documents, there's not one mention anywhere of 9-11 as an inside job, you know.
And we had to allocate these funds to go to this construction company who was then, you know, seen working at the World Trade Center.
Nothing like that.
So that, in this case, the absence of evidence is evidence of absence.
It didn't happen.
Not an inside job.
joe rogan
The 9-11 one.
michael shermer
Yeah.
And something like that would be true for the moon landing.
I mean, all those people that worked on that, not one of them saw anything and wanted to write a book, go on 60 minutes.
joe rogan
The idea would be that it was compartmentalized and that everyone, like say if you're working on the O-rings, you don't have access to the people that are working on the thrusters.
If you have access to this, you don't have access to that.
And that there was only a very small group of people that controlled everything.
Also, 1969 was a very different environment in terms of what you could get away with and not get away with, what you could say.
It's just, it was really fun.
It was really fun to believe that they're fake going to the moon.
I spent an inordinate amount of time looking at it, but I completely dropped it.
I completely dropped it after I just...
I paid attention to what I actually know.
michael shermer
But now you can kind of empathize with those who do believe crazy theories.
joe rogan
Oh, yeah.
But you want to hear a dumber one?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Here's a dumber one.
For the longest time, like months, I believed in a thing called rods.
Do you know about the rods?
Yeah, I know about rods.
michael shermer
The little insects.
joe rogan
Yes.
Well, this guy put out this document.
This documentary that there was these things flying so fast we couldn't see them with the naked eye.
And that they were like jellyfish-like creatures that lived amongst us.
And they had all this video footage of especially these people that were jumping.
They were skydiving into this enormous cave in Mexico.
And as they're skydiving into this cave, you see those things flying back and forth.
And I was hook, line, and sinker.
I was like, oh my god, these things are around us all the time.
I was going outside, looking up, trying to spot them.
Like, imagine, these beings that are flying so fast that we can't see them.
The only way you capture them is on camera.
And then a show called Monster Quest cracked the riddle.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
They show that it's a video artifact.
And then if you have really high speed camera, you just see the insect.
But if you have low speed, standard definition video cameras, it creates this artifact as these things pass by very close to the lens at a high rate of speed, it elongates their video signal and it makes them look like this jellyfish type thing.
But it's really just a video artifact.
michael shermer
Yeah, again, it's a good example of anomalies.
You know, here's this weird video anomaly.
What is it?
How about just say, I don't know.
joe rogan
Well, if you don't know anything about video, it's way easier to say, oh, they captured something.
You know, take a camera, put it outside.
You will capture these things.
Amazing.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
That's right.
The other aspect with conspiracy theories is cognitive dissonance.
That is, we want the size of the event to be matched by a cause that's equally of that size.
So the analogy I use is, you know, the Holocaust, the worst genocide in human history caused by the Nazis, the worst regime, political regime in human history.
There's a match there.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
But if you say something like, you know, JFK, the leader of the free world, brought down by who?
Lee Harvey Oswald?
Just some nobody?
You know, there's this mismatch.
Or 9-11, this huge thing by 19 guys with box cutters?
joe rogan
Do you think that Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Do you really?
What makes you think that?
michael shermer
All of the evidence, and none of the evidence against anybody else, and all of the evidence against, particularly him.
Gerald Posner's book, Case Closed, and then the attorney, what's his name, that was the Manson attorney.
joe rogan
I forget his name.
michael shermer
He has a massive book where he lines up every single one of the arguments by the JFK conspiracy.
For example, Experisists make a big deal about how Oswald got a job at the Book Depository building, which just happened to be where the parade route was going, so he could have a clear shot.
So it was Posner that tracked down when the White House determined, even when Kennedy was going to Dallas, let alone what the parade route would be, and Oswald already had the job there.
That's just chance.
joe rogan
He knew in advance, bro.
michael shermer
That's right.
He knew the future.
joe rogan
Do you think it's possible that Oswald was in cahoots?
michael shermer
No.
joe rogan
No?
michael shermer
No.
joe rogan
Why do you think that?
What about the magic bullet theory?
michael shermer
Well, that's been settled by the fact that the way it's shown in the videos is that the two seats are like this, and that the bullet has to do this.
Well, in fact, the seats were like that, and that Connelly was down here in Kennedy.
joe rogan
Well, you're explaining this in audio form, just when you're saying it's like stadium seating.
One's elevated above the other one.
michael shermer
That's right.
So the bullet actually, when it passes through the neck, Through Kennedy's neck and then hits Connolly's shoulder, it is already moving down.
joe rogan
I think it hit his wrist.
It fractured his wrist.
Right.
michael shermer
This has been tested and tested and tested.
joe rogan
Well, sort of.
Here's my issue with it.
There's a couple issues.
One, on the pro side, the idea that bullets will take a straight path is ridiculous.
I've talked to hunters that have shot animals in the front and had a bullet come out the same side they shot it.
It ricocheted off bones and came out like the front of the animal.
Like bullets take weird paths when they hit things in particular.
So do arrows.
They take, and as a person who's well versed in firearms and shot animals and hunted, you Sometimes a bullet goes straight through, and sometimes it hits bones and wacky things happen, things deflect.
But on the negative side, they always distort.
Bullets always distort, particularly when they hit bone.
What bothered me was that they found that bullet in Connelly's gurney, When they brought him to the hospital, they just conveniently found this bullet.
unidentified
Aha!
joe rogan
We have it.
This is the bullet.
It matches the same rifle.
michael shermer
But it wasn't pristine.
It was flattened.
joe rogan
Barely.
If you look at that bullet, that bullet is nothing like a bullet that's hit bone.
When bullets hit bone, they mushroom, they balloon, they bend, they distort wildly.
They don't come out looking like that.
They come out looking like that when you shoot them into water or when you shoot them into feathers.
They don't come out looking like that under normal circumstances when they shatter the bone of two different people.
michael shermer
Well, do you know that for sure?
joe rogan
No, I do not know that for sure.
But one thing I do know a lot about is I know quite a bit about what bullets look like when they hit things.
I've looked into this pretty extensively and I've talked to a lot of people in law enforcement, military, hunters, and none of them believe that that bullet Hit bones, shattered bones, and came out looking like that.
Is it possible that that bullet was the only bullet ever in the history of the world that did do that?
Yeah, it might be.
michael shermer
Okay, so we're getting kind of caught up in the weeds of the anomalies.
Just the bullet.
Oswald himself had attempted to assassinate a general named Walker six months before.
With his rifle and a handgun, and he went over to the house.
He took a shot through the guys when he saw him at the desk, took a shot, missed him.
He told his wife about it.
He's, I'm a revolutionary.
I'm trying to start something here.
joe rogan
Don't get me wrong.
I'm not saying that Oswald was innocent.
I'm not.
I mean, and I think it's very possible that Oswald did shoot at the president.
He might have even hit the president.
It's also very possibly that some other people were involved as well.
michael shermer
Who?
joe rogan
I don't know.
michael shermer
See, this is the problem.
joe rogan
But wait a minute.
Why is it a problem?
If you don't know who they are, just because you don't know who they are doesn't mean they didn't exist.
michael shermer
Okay, but why do we need to postulate extra people?
joe rogan
Because of all the gunshots that happened in a short amount of time.
The reason why they came up with the theory of the magic bullet in the first place, because they had to account for a bullet that hit a curb underneath the overpass.
Do you know that, right?
michael shermer
Yeah, well, okay, there's...
joe rogan
Do you know why they came up with the...
Yeah, I've been there.
Do you know why they came up with the...
michael shermer
But it's short.
I mean, it's right there.
You can hardly miss.
joe rogan
That's not the point.
Well, that's sort of true.
Yeah, it's not a far shot.
michael shermer
And he was a pretty good marksman.
Posner tracked down his...
joe rogan
We're not talking about that.
We're talking about the reason why they came up with the magic bullet theory in the first place.
Do you know why?
michael shermer
Well, I thought it was because of the alignment of the seats.
joe rogan
No, because they had to attribute three shots...
They had to figure out, and one of them, they were thinking, well, all these wounds came from three bullets.
But then they found a bullet that had hit the curb on the underside, and a guy checked into a hospital because he was hit with a ricochet.
So there's a curb that they proved was hit with a bullet.
There was a bullet hole in the granite or whatever the fuck the curb's made out of.
It hit this guy.
He went to the hospital, so he was hit with a ricochet.
So they knew that one bullet had not hit the president, and so they had to attribute all of these wounds to one bullet now.
They had one bullet that landed into his neck, another bullet that hit him in the head.
So how do these three bullets cause a wound on Connolly as well?
Then they came up with the...
There's the bullet.
Look at that bullet, bro.
michael shermer
But you have to look at the end.
It's flattened if you look at it from the end...
joe rogan
No, it's not.
Look at this.
Under no circumstances do I feel that this bullet could hit a wrist and still not be deformed.
We proved that by experiments as a chief consultant in wound ballistics for the U.S. Army who supervised tests for the Warren Commission.
Here's the thing.
I don't necessarily think that...
There was some grand conspiracy, but I do think it's entirely possible that someone took that posthumously, took that rifle, and wanted to pin it on Lee Harvey Oswald definitively.
Look, there's people that do things when they know someone's guilty, and they plant evidence.
Mark Furman did that with O.J. Simpson.
They found his glove, and they planted evidence.
And that was one of the reasons why O.J. got off, because there was some sort of conspiring to make it look like he was, you know, the evidence was a clear path.
They could have just taken that rifle and...
Look, it could have been that Oswald did it alone.
It's possible.
But it also could have been that some other people were shooting at him, too.
It could have been that they had decided to have Oswald be a part of this.
And when Jack Ruby ran in and shot him, that doesn't look a little suspicious?
That some guy with ties to the mob gets right up to this guy who just shot the president and shoots him?
Like, why?
michael shermer
He's never shot anybody before.
joe rogan
Do it publicly?
michael shermer
Posner talks about Ruby's character and who he was, major Kennedy supporter.
Running with some bad dudes, some bad hombres there in Texas, and he was a gun owner.
Security wasn't anything like it is now.
He really could just walk right in like he did.
joe rogan
It's possible, but it's also possible that that guy owed something to the mob, and this is what they told him to do.
You're going to get rid of that guy.
No one's going to care.
They're going to be happy.
Fuck that guy.
He just shot the president.
Who knows?
It seems so...
It seems like people want it to be one way or the other, and they want this case closed option.
michael shermer
It doesn't have to be that way.
I mean, Lincoln was assassinated by a conspiracy, and that was evident pretty quickly afterwards, and they rounded him up.
World War I was launched by a conspiracy with the assassination of Franz Ferdinand by a Serbian group called the Black Hand, a group of nationalists.
joe rogan
Well, we already talked about the Vietnam War, too, the Gulf of Tonkin incident.
That's a false flag.
michael shermer
So these things do happen.
They're all false flags.
There are conspiracies to assassinate foreign leaders.
Hitch wrote this book on Kissinger as a war criminal, that all the shenanigans we were doing in South America with dictators there were backing this dictator because he's a son of a bitch, but he's our son of a bitch versus this guy, and we're going to assassinate Castro, all the stuff that came out that Johnson tried to cover up that came out.
In the Pentagon Papers about Kennedy plotting to have Castro assassinated, that's a kind of conspiracy.
Absolutely, this does happen.
The question is, did it happen in that particular case or this one or here?
And the evidence, in my opinion, after reading particularly Gerald Posner's book, Case Closed, it's There's a funny internet meme that went around last week of a guy that dies goes to heaven and God says, you've been such a good fellow your whole life.
I'll grant you one which you can ask me anything.
He said, all right, who killed Kennedy?
And God said, it was Lee Harvey Oswald acting alone using his own Carcano rifle.
And the guy goes, this goes higher up than I thought.
joe rogan
That's funny, man.
Did you ever read David Lifton's novel?
Or a book about it, rather?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Best Evidence?
michael shermer
Best Evidence.
I didn't read the whole book when I was researching this back in the 90s after the Oliver Stone film came out.
Because after that, when that came out, I thought, man, if only half of this or 10% of this is true, it's definitely a conspiracy.
But then there are websites dedicated to everything he got wrong there.
joe rogan
Well, he made people up.
Like the general, the Donald Sutherland character, that guy doesn't even exist.
He just used him as a theatrical tool.
michael shermer
Yeah, a very distorting film.
But film is such a powerful medium that it's hard to overcome that.
joe rogan
Well, that movie in particular, you've got Kevin Costner, who's the good guy.
michael shermer
Everybody's in that.
joe rogan
Everybody loves it.
michael shermer
Jack Lemmon and Walter Matthau.
joe rogan
It's a crazy movie.
And it really has you believing that there's some sort of a conspiracy.
michael shermer
Back and to the left.
Back and to the left.
joe rogan
Here's the thing about that, though.
I've looked at that over and over again.
Yes, it is back and to the left, but the spray kind of comes out of the front.
michael shermer
Yeah, it does, yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah, it kind of comes out the front, and one thing that does happen when people or things get shot is you have nerves, and nerves react, and things do weird results in your body.
If you get hit by something, it doesn't...
michael shermer
Well, like the throat one where his hands come up like that.
joe rogan
Well, he's grabbing his neck, apparently.
That was the other thing, was there was a difference in the autopsy results from Bethesda, Maryland versus in Dallas, Texas.
Dallas, Texas...
They attributed the throat wound to a frontal shot that something hit him in the front.
And then the Bethesda, Maryland, they said that it was a trach wound.
They opened him up to clear his breathing pathway.
And then the conspiracy theorists would say, why would you clear the breathing pathway of a guy who doesn't have a brain?
His brain was shot out of his head.
There's a lot of shenanigans.
I just don't like when people say they know one way or another.
We Harvey Oswald acted alone.
How the fuck could you know?
There was also bullet fragments in Connelly's wrist that weren't missing from the bullet itself.
The bullet itself, whether you think it's pristine or not, it's still not missing a lot of fragments.
And there's fragments in Connelly's body that you could detect on an x-ray.
There's x-rays of his wrist.
And you could see the little pieces of the bullet.
michael shermer
I don't know.
I don't know what the explanation for that is.
joe rogan
Exactly!
michael shermer
That's my point.
But the fact that I don't know, I'm not the world's expert on this stuff.
joe rogan
People want to clean it up.
That's what I don't like.
They want to clean it up or they want to muddy it up.
Instead of looking at it 100% objectively, they want one thing or another.
I think it's entirely possible that Lee Harvey Oswald...
It's either, to me, they want to say...
These are the two narratives.
Lee Harvey Oswald was a patsy, he had nothing to do with it, the government set him up, or he acted alone.
Well, why couldn't he have been involved in it?
You know, he obviously was involved in some shady characters.
The guy spent a ton of time in Russia, came back over here very easily, even though the Cold War was going on.
There's a lot of weird stuff.
He might have very well been some sort of a government informant or working in cahoots with the government.
If that's the case, and he did shoot Kennedy or shoot at Kennedy...
Who's to say that he wasn't with other people and they killed him because this guy was going to go to jail and he was going to start talking?
When they arrested him, he said, I'm a patsy.
I'm just a patsy.
And then, blam!
He's dead.
Oh, we got him.
And that's it.
Wrap it up tight.
It wasn't until the Zapruder film that people really started to question.
And I think that was...
It might have been ten years later, right?
We've talked about this.
You know the whole history of the Zapruder film, how it was released?
The Geraldo Rivera show.
Isn't that crazy?
Dick Gregory, a comedian, brought the film footage to the Geraldo Rivera show and showed it on television for the first time.
Life magazine had the rights and didn't do anything with it.
They kept it for more than a decade.
And Dick Gregory got a hold of the actual film footage and premiered it on the Geraldo Rivera show.
I want to say it was like 1971 or 72 or something like that.
So it was way, way after the assassination that the American, what was it?
Oh, that's crazy!
75!
So all those years later, and then people got a chance to see the footage, and they were like, whoa, this is not how it was described to us at all.
And it made people skeptical.
michael shermer
There's a good NOVA show on ballistics and the head and testing the rifle and could you shoot that many times and that many seconds and so on.
To me, it's pretty convincing.
joe rogan
The problem with me is I know too much about what happens when bullets hit bones.
I don't buy that that was the bullet.
I think they could have just dropped that bullet off.
It doesn't mean that Lee Harvey Oswald didn't do it.
The thing about that bullet, though, is that there might be some fuckery involved.
And the David Lifton book, that was the book that got me into conspiracies.
That fucking book, goddammit.
If I could go back and not read it.
I bombed on stage because of that book.
michael shermer
You did?
joe rogan
Yeah, well, it was my fault.
But I read that book the day I was performing.
And I was freaking out.
Because I was like 24 or something like that.
I was like, oh, this is crazy!
They killed the president!
You know, I was so naive.
I was, like, really bummed out when I went on stage.
And then I realized, like, oh, you can't – like, I didn't know any better.
I'd only been doing comedy for three years.
I'm like, oh, you can't go on stage bummed out.
Like, you've got to get your head together.
You can't just say the jokes and not have some emotional attachment to them.
But that book highlights – what it was was Lifton was a bookkeeper or an accountant, I believe.
And he was hired to do something with the Warren Commission Report.
And because he found some contradictions, and he went over the entire Warren Commission Report, which is an enormous, enormous publication, and he found all of these problems, all of these problems in the Warren Commission Report, and all these contradictions.
It was his determination after reading everything and writing his book.
He thought that the conclusion they made, they made before the fact and that they wrote all this stuff to sort of back up their conclusion that it wasn't based entirely on an objective version of the facts and of the event itself.
And his take was there was a conspiracy.
michael shermer
Well, it's launched a mini-industry of books and films.
joe rogan
It has, man.
Think about all the money that's been made off of the Kennedy assassination.
michael shermer
You could go down the rabbit hole with this stuff endlessly.
joe rogan
Did you ever see the Jesse Ventura version of it?
michael shermer
He believes everything's a conspiracy.
He's the best.
I was on his conspiracy show.
unidentified
Were you?
michael shermer
Yeah, he's out there.
joe rogan
Oh yeah, he believes it.
Yeah, he was like, no one could have made that shot!
They definitely could have made that shot.
It's a rifle.
It's not that far.
And just because someone gets lucky doesn't mean they can't get lucky.
Like, people get lucky all the time.
People flip a coin and it lands on heads a mile away.
I mean, you know, you could throw a coin.
You could throw a coin out of a helicopter, you know?
And you could say, this is going to be heads when it lands.
And it can be heads.
You can get lucky.
It really is possible.
michael shermer
Well, this assassination of Franz Ferdinand that triggered the First World War, they messed up.
I mean, they had like seven of them, and they met in secret, and they got their weapons that morning, and so on, and a couple of them chickened out, somebody else got lost.
There's like three of them there.
Somebody threw a hand grenade, missed, rolled into the car behind Franz Ferdinand, and they got hurt and went to the hospital, and he's like, oh, fuck this.
I'm not giving my speech.
Let's go to the hospital and visit, see how he's doing.
So they double back like half an hour later.
They double back and come back down the same route.
And the guy who had missed, he was just sitting there on the curb.
It's like, oh, fuck, here they are.
Bam!
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
Pure luck.
joe rogan
Pure luck.
michael shermer
Yeah?
joe rogan
Yeah.
That does happen.
michael shermer
Yeah?
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
I mean, I think that history turns more on that kind of thing than on carefully orchestrated, perfectly executed plots.
joe rogan
Sure.
It certainly can.
But, you know, the idea that...
I've always found it offensive, the idea that there's no way Oswald could have hit him.
Like, people say that.
Like, there's no way.
There's no way.
Like, you never shot anything.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
That's crazy.
I can make that shot.
100%.
Yeah.
Look, if you have a rifle with a scope and a guy is 100 yards away, you tell him you can't shoot him?
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
That's crazy talk.
That's crazy talk.
The rifle was out of line.
That was the other thing they said.
The scope wasn't lined up correctly.
Here's the thing, folks.
If you have a rifle, okay, and this has happened to me before, and you drop the rifle, the scope gets damaged.
It gets moved.
It's a very sensitive thing.
Like, when you're talking about something that goes faster than the speed of sound, a bullet, boom, firing out of a rifle.
That is going incredibly fast, and to be able to get that reticle exactly on where you think that bullet's going to hit requires a lot of adjustments.
When you go to the range, they set up a lead sled.
You put your rifle down on this sled so you're not holding the rifle.
And by the way, Osball wasn't holding it either.
The idea was that he had it rested.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Which makes it much more steady and much more easier to make an accurate shot.
So you set up this rifle on the lead sled, and it's usually 100 yards or 200 yards, however far the distance is to the target.
You squeeze, squeeze, squeeze, boom, the trigger goes off, and you see that the bullet is low and to the left by a couple inches.
You make an adjustment on the scope.
If you drop that rifle, that scope gets knocked, the adjustment's out the window.
So the idea that there's like a perfect chain of command between Lee Harvey Oswald pulling that trigger and that scope never got rattled at all.
No, but the conspiracy theorists want you to think there's no way he could have made that shot.
That scope wasn't even lined up good.
How the fuck do you know?
How do you know?
You don't know.
Anybody who knows anything about rifles knows there's no way you could know.
Because all you'd have to do is whack it.
Here, I'm going to bring you the rifle and just bump it with your elbow funny.
Knock it into a wall when you're handing it to someone and that scope's going to be off.
So then you take it to a range.
We're going to prove definitively that he could have never made this shot because his scope is off.
Boom!
unidentified
Look!
joe rogan
It's six inches to the left.
Wow!
Case closed.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
No, there's no way people know whether or not that scope was on when he was pulling that trigger.
There's no way you know.
michael shermer
When I went to Dealey Plaza, it's so big in our public imagination.
joe rogan
It's not.
michael shermer
It's not.
You go there and you're like, this is it?
It's tiny.
joe rogan
It's so small.
michael shermer
And then you go up to the museum and you're on the sixth floor, the book depository, and you look down and they have an X, the two X's in the street.
And you think, that's just right there.
joe rogan
Dude, I could shoot that with an arrow.
michael shermer
I bet you could.
joe rogan
I can.
I guarantee you.
If you give me some time, you give me some time.
If you put a target right where that thing was, right where that Lincoln was, and you put me in that window, I guarantee you I hit that target with a bow.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
The idea that you couldn't...
I'm holding it.
No rest.
The idea that you couldn't do that with a rifle?
You certainly could.
Lee Harvey Oswald certainly could have done it.
He certainly could have shot at Kennedy.
He was a crazy fuck.
Lee Harvey Oswald was involved in a lot of shady shit.
It wasn't like he was just some dentist somewhere.
michael shermer
And he scored the second highest marksmanship.
There it is, right here to here, right?
joe rogan
Dude, that's so small.
That is such a short distance.
michael shermer
Then the other question I had, when you're coming up Houston Street and going left, I always wondered why he didn't shoot him there when the car's coming right at him.
joe rogan
What was in the other window?
He was in the window on the left-hand side.
He was over there.
michael shermer
No, no.
No, no.
unidentified
It's...
michael shermer
Uh-uh.
jamie vernon
It's over here?
michael shermer
Yeah, it's right there.
joe rogan
That's where he shot him from?
That window there?
michael shermer
Yeah.
So I always wondered why he didn't shoot him when the car was coming right at him, because that would have been a cleaner shot, it seems to me.
joe rogan
Head-on, you mean?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Yeah.
Maybe we want to shoot him in the back of the head.
michael shermer
Does it have a sniper?
joe rogan
Maybe panic.
michael shermer
It's that upper right, yeah.
Ooh, look at that.
3D. Wow.
joe rogan
Yeah, when we drove through it, not last time I was in Dallas, a couple times ago, but when we drove through it, it's like, it's eerie.
You're like, wow.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
It all happened right here.
michael shermer
I've been twice there, and there's always conspiracy people walking around.
They're looking for a tip, so I gave this guy 10 bucks.
They go, all right, give me the whole story.
And, oh, he was very entertaining.
Okay, here's the grassy knoll, the pickety fence.
unidentified
Yeah.
michael shermer
And he had another one about this man.
He took the manhole cover off.
He goes, there was somebody down here in the manhole.
unidentified
Oh.
Oh.
michael shermer
Popped up.
unidentified
Bam.
michael shermer
Shot him.
Went back down in the manhole.
joe rogan
My favorite dumb conspiracy is they believe that the driver turned around and shot Kenny.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
That's the best one.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Those are the space's fake people.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
What do you You're always going to get a bunch of really wacky conspiracies whenever anything happens in the news, whatever it is, anything and everything.
michael shermer
Particularly if it's big and famous, again, back to this cognitive dissonance, like Princess Di, cause of death, drunk driving, speeding, no seatbelt.
Tens of thousands of people died.
joe rogan
The guy was drunk?
michael shermer
He was drunk, yep.
joe rogan
The driver of her car was drunk?
I didn't know that.
michael shermer
Well, drunk.
He was partially drunk.
He was tipsy drunk.
unidentified
Wow.
joe rogan
I didn't know that.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
So drunk driving, speeding, and she wasn't wearing a seatbelt.
joe rogan
Why wasn't she wearing a seatbelt?
michael shermer
But it doesn't feel like someone like Princess Di should die the way tens of thousands of Americans die in automobiles every year.
Seems like there should be the MI5 and the royal family and the Arabs and the Palestinians.
Everybody was involved.
joe rogan
Well, here's an example of an absolute conspiracy that we know was a conspiracy.
Jamal Khosoggi.
michael shermer
Yes, right.
Yeah, good example.
This kind of stuff does happen.
joe rogan
This is a real conspiracy.
That guy was murdered.
He went to the Saudi embassy in Turkey.
They had him set up.
They flew in 15 people, including a guy who was a...
He was a forensics expert, and he was an expert in forensics evidence, and they think that he was there to make sure that there was nothing left behind.
This is the official story.
They strangled him, caught him up, and there's even recordings, apparently, that people have listened to.
michael shermer
That goes all the way to the top, Saudi Arabia.
joe rogan
What is this, Jamie?
michael shermer
That's the last video I've seen him.
joe rogan
Oh, the body double video?
jamie vernon
Yeah, that's him walking in, and then it's the last time he was seen.
joe rogan
Yeah.
He entered into there and there was 15 different dudes that were waiting for him.
They killed him, chopped him up, and there's videos of those guys leaving with suitcases.
And they say that the suitcases had his body in them.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Chopped up.
Yeah, it's...
That's real.
But that's also, you know, Saudi Arabia, they can get away with some pretty sketchy shit.
And it seems like nothing's going to happen, right?
Like a few people got fired?
michael shermer
Well, I have to say on this that Michael Moore's film on 9-11, he made the point, he was the first I'd seen make the point, that the Saudi Arabia family got out of the United States on 9-12 when all flights were canceled.
joe rogan
Yes.
michael shermer
And that Bush let them, you know, And now here we see that Trump doesn't want to condemn the Saudis because they're our allies.
So there's a bunch of shit in there.
It goes all the way back to 9-11.
And we know the Saudis bankrolled most of the 19 hijackers.
joe rogan
Yeah.
michael shermer
So that's the kind of conspiracy that we should be paying attention to.
Not that Bush was involved and made it happen in the secret – this is the kind of shit that really happens in politics.
People are banking each other, so we have to be nice to each other and overlook it.
Like when Trump said, Putin murders people.
Oh, well, everybody does that.
unidentified
What?
joe rogan
Yeah.
Well, we do some terrible things, too.
michael shermer
And that's true.
joe rogan
Well, it is true.
And, you know, I guess he's got a point.
But, yeah, there's so much money.
There's so much money involved in Saudi Arabia.
michael shermer
In this article I was writing, I cited the criminologist Manuel Eisner in a study of 1,500 monarchs in 45 monarchies across Europe between AD 600 and 1800. Found that about 15% of them, 227, were assassinated, corresponding to a homicide rate of about 1,000 per 100,000 ruler years, 10 times the background rate.
So in other words, assassinations in history are pretty common.
This is how power often changes hands before liberal democracy spread and after 1970s.
This was not uncommon.
So we shouldn't be surprised that people believe this kind of stuff because there's some truth to that.
joe rogan
The Khashoggi thing is unsettling to folks because what he was killed for, they think, well, there's two different versions of it, right?
He was killed for criticizing the Saudi Arabian government, but there's also that he was criticized because he was aware, or he was killed, rather, because he was aware of some spy software that's being utilized and that if he wrote a story about this spy software being utilized by the Saudi Arabian government that it would be a huge disaster Could be.
michael shermer
Yeah.
I mean, there's probably more.
I'm sure there's a lot we don't know.
So here's my concession to conspiracy theories.
When you get elected president, they take you in the back room and they go, okay, here's what's actually going on.
joe rogan
Right.
michael shermer
Oh, shit, I can't close Gitmo.
No, I can't close Gitmo because no one will take those bad dudes.
Okay, but I was going to pull the troops out of Afghanistan.
No, I can't pull the troops out of Afghanistan if we do that.
Here's what happens.
Oh, shit, but we don't know this.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
We know this.
And I think that something like that does go on, maybe not quite so secretly, but just that, you know, you and I don't need to know these things.
Right.
You need to know basis.
And the president does.
When they're candidates, they say, oh, whatever they say to get elected.
And then they get in there and go, okay, I didn't realize that the Saudis are doing this and this and this, and we need them for these six reasons over here.
Okay, they did this bad thing, and if we condemn them, then they're not going to do these things over here, so I better lay off the condemnation.
That kind of stuff, I suspect, does happen a lot.
joe rogan
I suspect the same thing.
What's fascinating to me about Trump is that he doesn't seem to care at all about violating protocol or about releasing information that he probably should.
I mean, he's already accidentally released top secret information.
I would just feel like if he knew for sure some stuff, he would be the last guy you would want to trust with that.
michael shermer
Right.
I know.
But, you know, this thing about him wanting to pull the troops out of Syria, there's got to be another story behind there.
Like, you know, Putin maybe said, look, we got to take care of our business here in Syria.
We're going to take care of Americans over here and you get your Trump Tower in Red Square when I'm gone.
Whatever, you know, there's some kind of – that kind of stuff is the sort of thing that will come out in a – The equivalent of a WikiLeaks in 20 years will go, oh, like the Gulf of Tonkin.
Oh, okay, that's what happened.
joe rogan
What do you think of conspiracy theory that says that there's some video of Trump getting peed on or peed on people?
That was published in some serious newspapers.
michael shermer
There's so much of this stuff that I just can't keep track of it.
joe rogan
Don't you think with him, though, too, they're more than willing to put stuff like that out there because they don't like him.
So they'll pull that trigger a little bit quicker.
michael shermer
Maybe.
Yep.
But during the Bush administration, people hated George W. Bush.
joe rogan
Do you think they hated him as much as they hate Trump?
michael shermer
No.
I think now they're going, oh, we would love to have George W. Bush back.
joe rogan
Yeah.
I feel like they just thought he was incompetent.
Asked directly, Putin does not deny possessing compromising material on Trump.
michael shermer
But what did he actually say?
Yeah, I don't know.
joe rogan
Yes, this is about the pee tape, says Matthew Iglesias.
michael shermer
Vox.
joe rogan
What is it?
Oh, it's Vox?
jamie vernon
I don't know.
michael shermer
Keep moving.
joe rogan
That doesn't mean anything.
He probably didn't understand what they were saying.
He speaks Russian.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
I don't know.
Do you find it odd that these conspiracies not only...
It seems like it's a part of our mind, the way our brains work, our collective mindset.
Is that we tend to be attracted to conspiracies and we tend to hope that those are true more than we hope a simple explanation exists.
michael shermer
Yeah, well, it depends.
It depends on who your group is and do they have power or not.
So we know from studies that people that are out of power tend to concoct conspiracy theories about those in power.
And the moment they get in power, they drop the conspiracy theories and the ones that are out.
So you're going to get more conspiracy theories about Republicans when the Democrats are out of power from left-leaning people and vice versa.
Blacks are more likely to think that the CIA planted crack cocaine in the inner cities and those sorts of things.
Conservatives are more likely to fear big government conspiracies.
Liberals are more likely to fear big corporate conspiracies.
There may be elements of truth in all of these things, but the ones you latch on to have to do with How much power you perceive the other guy has that you don't have, and therefore they must be doing something to get that that I can't do.
I'm on the outside.
And so we tend to misperceive how much control and power people really have in positions of power, CEOs, politicians, and so on.
Usually they don't have as much control and power as we think they do.
And people that get in there, they go, oh, I don't have this kind of control or power.
I thought I would when I got here, but obviously I don't.
Too many things that have to check some balances that are in place.
joe rogan
Also, you can't do these things on your own.
You really need a group of people to conspire along with you.
So you need to have these frank discussions with some sort of an understanding that you have to...
michael shermer
Right.
In other words, like 12 guys in London are going to control the world's economy.
How are they going to do that?
I mean, who do you call to start a war and cause inflation or whatever?
More likely, it's like in the Cuban Missile Crisis, where you have jockeying back and forth, back and forth, back and forth.
Okay, look, we're going to give you the missiles in Turkey if you take the missiles out of Cuba.
And it just ends up being some boring little thing that dissolves...
The tension that could have been World War III. It's like, wow, just this little thing.
So much of history turns on those little – so in a way, we got lucky there, but not just luck.
I mean, Kennedy and Khrushchev both wanted to untie the knot.
Khrushchev sent a memo to Kennedy saying – You have pulled on this rope, and I have pulled on this rope, and I don't know if either of us can untie it, but here's an idea.
That's when he floated the, you take the missiles out of Turkey.
And I was just watching this Netflix documentary on this, and there was a thing about Castro sent a memo to Khrushchev saying, light him up!
You know, comrade, we are ready to die for the cause.
You can just nuke all of Cuba and nuke America.
I don't care.
We're ready to die.
And Khrushchev apparently was like, holy fuck, this guy's a madman.
We're not going to do that!
Wow.
joe rogan
Castro is ready to nuke Cuba?
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
Jesus.
Where's that memo?
michael shermer
They talked about this in this Netflix.
joe rogan
This was during the times of Operation Northwood when they were going to blow up a drone jetliner and blame it on the Cubans and arm Cuban friendlies to attack Guantanamo Bay and use it as a motivation to get us into war.
Castro was a fascinating case because that guy kept that place 90 miles away from Miami.
He kept that place running on his own until he died.
That is crazy.
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
Really, it's crazy that he was able to pull that off.
michael shermer
Well, he had a lot of economic support from Russia.
Otherwise, that would not have succeeded.
joe rogan
But still, it's so nuts that he was so close.
He was running a military dictatorship, essentially a boat ride away.
michael shermer
Yeah.
I was just in Moscow a few months ago for a conference, and so I went to visit their World War II museum, what we would call a World War II museum.
It's a massive building.
And they call it the Great Patriotic War Museum.
And the whole thing is kind of a tribute to Russia liberated Europe from the Nazis.
joe rogan
What?
michael shermer
Yep.
joe rogan
This is current?
michael shermer
Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
I mean, this is their – from their perspective, they lost 27 million people.
You Americans, you know, 500,000, nothing.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
And from their perspective – and you go to Berlin right next to – The Victory Museum.
joe rogan
Look at that.
michael shermer
Yeah.
joe rogan
It's called the Victory Museum.
michael shermer
Well, there it is.
The Museum of the Great Patriotic War is a history museum located in Moscow.
unidentified
Yeah.
michael shermer
And they have this room with these chains hanging down with little crystal balls at the end of them that represent the 27 million people.
And it's very moving.
joe rogan
Go back to that.
That right there is good.
Look how beautiful that place is.
michael shermer
Yeah, it's quite stunning.
And each of those rooms...
That you go into, it's like a diorama of some battle that they fought.
I think it's good for us to know this, to recognize from their perspective, they won the war, not the British, American, and French.
We did a little bit, from their perspective.
But the fact that they lost so many people, 27 million.
joe rogan
What's going on with that picture?
michael shermer
I don't remember that.
joe rogan
Fucked up looking trees?
michael shermer
I don't remember seeing that.
joe rogan
That's a weird picture.
I mean, they have a point in terms of their contribution, in terms of the loss of lives.
michael shermer
Yeah.
I mean, every country has its perspectives in that regard, which is why it's good to know some history so you know what other people are thinking and what they went through.
joe rogan
Well, it's again, though, it's very similar to what we were talking about earlier in terms of the distribution of the news.
It would be very nice if there was one absolute news source you can trust with no slant on it whatsoever.
When it comes to the distribution of history, it's of course always written in a way that favors the people that are writing it.
michael shermer
Yeah.
I was just talking to Rachel Kleinfeld.
You know, I have a podcast now.
How long have you had?
A few months.
About six months now.
unidentified
Congratulations.
michael shermer
Science Salon podcast.
Glad you hopped on.
It's sort of an extension of our old Caltech lecture series, but instead of lectures, we're now doing dialogues.
joe rogan
What's it called so people can get it?
michael shermer
Science Salon.
joe rogan
Science Salon.
michael shermer
Yep.
So just skeptic.com.
It's on there.
So I'm interviewing or dialoguing with Rachel Kleinfeld.
She has a new book called A Savage Order.
And it's about failed states and what happens to them and why corruption spreads so quickly and then how to basically squelch that.
So like after the Soviet Union fell apart, you know, all these mobs basically took over and it's like the Russian mafia, the Republic of Georgia fell apart fairly quickly.
And then, you know, so one of the reasons people apparently like Putin is he kind of came in and squelched all that.
And maybe one of his points of popularity is that at least we have one bad guy who's kind of keeping order instead of all these little mafioso-type gangs.
Yeah.
And then I said, so if he actually held an election, he might win.
It's hard to say because we don't have a good source of what the Russian people really like.
We have the Russian media saying, the Russian people love Putin.
Okay.
Do we know that's an accurate survey?
joe rogan
It is pretty astonishing what kind of a control he has over that country, though.
michael shermer
Yeah, it's powerful.
I went to visit – well, I saw Lennon's tomb in the mausoleum there.
He's still – he's looking pretty waxy to me.
joe rogan
Oh, that's right.
You can actually see his body or what's left of it.
michael shermer
You can see his body, yeah.
Yeah, what's left of it, yeah.
Another Netflix series I just binge-watched, Trotsky.
It's called Trotsky, and this is a Russian-made movie.
It's a drama and it's really good and it really shows – it's interesting because Trotsky was on the outs all the way until just recently because Stalin had him assassinated and then Stalin had him literally airbrushed out of photographs because for a while it was Lenin, Stalin and Trotsky as the big three.
And then when Lenin had a stroke, it was like, okay, so Stalin and Trotsky, who's going to take over when the boss is gone?
And so they kind of showed how that happened.
And again, conspiracy.
It's all conspiracy.
No one knows what's really going on here.
joe rogan
You've been in this business, this debunking conspiracies in the skeptic business for quite a long time.
Do you feel like there is any improvement in the critical thinking skills of people and their ability to recognize the falsies and the flaws and the way they're approaching these things?
michael shermer
Hard to say.
joe rogan
Confirmation bias.
They're less of that now than before.
michael shermer
I like to think we're having an influence.
There are some studies that show fewer people believe in these pseudosciences and quackery and paranormal, but the declines are not that dramatic over, say, the last few decades.
There are deprogramming, biased deprogramming studies and programs in which you can teach people about the confirmation bias and the hindsight bias and so on.
The problem with those is they work really well to teach people how to spot the biases in other people.
They're really good at that.
But then you say, well, what about you?
Oh, you know, fortunately, I'm above all that.
So there's a blind – that's called the blind spot bias.
You can't see your own bias, but you can see it in other people.
The reason these studies are done is because we have a problem with climate change.
We have climate deniers.
How do we get people who don't know anything about it to shift from I'm a skeptic to I'm a believer?
And it turns out just piling on facts isn't going to do it.
joe rogan
No, people's identity are trapped in their initial beliefs.
Their initial statements.
If they think that 9-11 was a conspiracy, their identity is somehow inexorably connected to this conspiracy being a fact.
And then you argue it as if you're arguing your own value.
It's a really weird thing that happens when people start talking about ideas.
You very rarely find people that are disconnected from their ideas to the point where you could point out that something's incorrect and they go, oh, thank you, I didn't know that.
Like, most people aren't that confident.
michael shermer
No.
joe rogan
Or they just look at it the wrong – it feels like a personal attack on them.
michael shermer
Also, if it's a belief or claim or theory or whatever affiliated with a political or moral or religious value – The people auto-correct in their brains when they hear global warming, they hear liberalism, communism, anti-capitalism, control of the market, big government, and I'm against those things, so that global warming thing has got to be false.
joe rogan
Yeah, that is one of the weirder aspects of tribal thinking, right?
michael shermer
Pinker makes the point that Al Gore's film, An Inconvenient Truth, was a terrible thing for the environmental movement because it associated global climate change with liberalism, the Democrats, And all that.
And it's like, okay, I see what's going on.
It's that Al Gore left liberal stuff.
joe rogan
Yeah, that's right.
Yeah.
Well, in a sense, he's right.
And then in another sense, it was also the amount of profit that Al Gore made, both from that and from some other endeavors that he has.
They said that he's one of the first green billionaires.
It's like, oh, Jesus.
michael shermer
What's his carbon footprint?
joe rogan
He flies around on a private jet everywhere.
He's talking about the world...
Yeah, it's like, it's screwy.
But that's, you know, everything's messy.
People are messy.
michael shermer
Right.
So we're very tribal.
We commit to political parties and religious beliefs, and we stick by them pretty closely, pretty tightly.
And the facts get filtered through those, understandably.
You know, what to do about it, you know, that's under debate.
It's the same thing with the atheist debating.
How do we get people to leave religion?
Well, there's a hundred ways.
You know, Leah Remini doing her show on Scientology.
Anyone watching that would think, okay, I'm not joining this church.
And so if you had a thousand of those for bad beliefs, hopefully we'd see that shift.
joe rogan
I would love it if there was some sort of a secular option, a community-driven, ethics-driven, morality-driven, friendship-driven thing where people could go and instead worship, maybe just appreciate life.
And sort of confirm some of the best aspects of community and culture and who we are and do it in a place where it makes you really conscious of it.
So, because I think there's some real benefit to people going to church and everyone in the community dresses up nice and you're sort of agreeing, hey, we're committed to being civil and to being kind and to worshiping.
And that this belief in a higher power, if...
It empowers people to think this way, and it gives people a motivation to be kind.
It would be nice if there was a secular option like that that is decentralized.
It's not run by one person who winds up banging everybody's wife and taking all the money, because that's what happens, right?
michael shermer
It always happens.
You can set your clock by these guys.
It's unbelievable.
Well, Joe, the humanist movement is something like that.
joe rogan
What is this?
I'm not aware.
michael shermer
Secular humanists are just humanists.
There's groups all over the world.
joe rogan
Do they have churches?
michael shermer
Well, they have meeting places.
I don't want to call them churches.
More broadly, the kind of universalist Unitarian Church is a church, and it's a religion, but they're pretty secular.
They're like secular Jews.
You know, they believe in the culture and the ceremony and the rituals.
I've been to a number of these humanist and universalist Unitarian churches, ceremonies.
They light candles.
They sing hymns to Newton.
They have testimonials about how I lost my religion.
And to me, I didn't really like it that much because I was never crazy about church in the first place.
But a lot of people clearly get value out of this, atheists and humanists that don't believe in God.
The gathering together once a week and being with fellow like-minded people, that has a lot of psychological value.
joe rogan
It connects people.
That's one of the great things about community centers and neighborhoods.
It just connects people and like, hey, we're all in this together.
All right, Bob, see you tomorrow.
Bye, Mary.
michael shermer
Social capital, yeah.
joe rogan
There's something great about that with church.
I mean, I was having this conversation with Bill Burr about this recently.
We were talking about it, and he's like, I don't really want to go to church, but I think there's something to that, to go into a place and putting your faith in all the people around you and the higher values and morals and ethics that you're all agreeing to.
michael shermer
Yeah, that's right.
It's back to the self-help thing.
It's sort of a reminder every week, be a good person.
Don't forget to donate to charity.
Here's some local charities here.
These are our causes.
Be good.
Be nice to your spouse and your children.
So people kind of leave a little charged up for the week on Sunday, back to Monday.
joe rogan
And that's probably a big draw of those big Tony Robbins things, too, right?
There's a community of us together.
We're all trying to do better.
We're all trying to better ourselves and optimize our lives.
michael shermer
That's right.
There's nothing wrong with it.
Same thing back to Jordan Peterson.
That's right.
He's given a message.
People like to hear that.
And, okay, so what?
Why is that bad?
It's not bad.
Now, of course, people like Richard Dawkins will point out, yeah, but can we decouple all the supernatural nonsense from the social community?
Yes, we can.
joe rogan
But don't you think that there's less of an acceptance to the supernatural nonsense than there was, say, 50 years ago, 100 years ago?
And it seems to be a trend towards secularism.
Those numbers are getting better.
michael shermer
The percentage of nuns, people tick the box for no religious affiliation.
That used to be in the single digits.
It's now 25% of all Americans, 33% of millennials, those born after 1991. And it looks like probably with iGeners it's going to be closer to 50%, people born after 1995. Now, they're not necessarily atheist, agnostic skeptics, but they don't affiliate with any religion.
And that's good because in the sense that, you know, it's religious behavior that causes some of these social problems that we are encountering now with Islam, for example.
You know, so if somebody privately believes in God or whatever and they don't act on it, okay, I guess I don't care in that sense.
It's the acting on your beliefs that causes the problem.
joe rogan
Well, when you enforce those beliefs on other people in particular.
michael shermer
That's right.
So when it spills over in politics, education, science education in particular.
joe rogan
Well, that's one of the real problems they're having in Europe when they're dealing with people that are coming over from other countries where they have a different set of values and they're seeing women in skirts and they're calling them whores.
And it's like, oh, bro, you're in England.
michael shermer
Right.
joe rogan
Different set of rules over here.
michael shermer
Come to California, you won't believe it.
joe rogan
And they think that God has, you know, God has dictated these rules.
In their eyes, they're seeing some horrible sin.
They're seeing the decay of the moral fiber of their environment.
michael shermer
These are primitive beliefs having to do with men wanting to control women's reproductive rights.
There's evolutionary reasons for this.
You had Brett and Heather on here, and they explained that beautifully.
But we have to overcome that.
Just because it's an evolved tendency for men to want to control women's reproduction doesn't mean we should do that.
In fact, it's the opposite.
And so I make the case in one of my Scientific American columns on abortion that You know, if our mutual goal between pro-lifers and pro-choicers is to reduce the amount of abortions, we know the formula.
Educate women, empower women, birth control, access to birth control, and so on.
It just happens automatically.
The pregnancy rates go down, therefore abortion rates are going to go down.
We know how to do this.
But still, people, the pro-lifers, just glom on to it.
But it's a moral issue.
Take the moral out of it.
I understand it's a human life or potential human, whatever you want to argue about that.
joe rogan
I get on that.
michael shermer
Take that out.
Let's just work to the common goal of reducing the number of unwanted pregnancies.
joe rogan
My favorite one that still exists is abstinence.
The idea that they're trying to push this on these, essentially, especially when you're talking about really young people that are just getting horny for the first time.
Yeah.
I mean, they're on drugs!
michael shermer
To say no?
unidentified
What?
joe rogan
What are you talking about?
You take the average 17, 18-year-old kids, and they get them together and no one's in the room, and they're raging!
Raging with hormones!
And they're both supposed to keep their clothes on.
Like, look, man.
It's not going to happen.
It's just not going to happen.
You've got to let that go.
And this idea that you're going to tell them that God wants them to be abstinent.
Like, are you sure?
Why did he give us these goddamn hormones?
What's happening here?
michael shermer
There's studies on how effective abstinence-only programs or chastity pledges and these sorts of things.
joe rogan
How effective?
michael shermer
Not only are they not effective, they're worse, because then people go into a date or something unprepared.
And then the hormones kick in, and they start going at it, and then they don't have protection.
joe rogan
Well, there's also the thing where Catholic schools, like when I was a kid, we always knew, and we're talking about in the 80s, everyone knew that girls who went to all-girls Catholic schools were freaks, because they were never around boys, because they were all in just a school with girls, and everything is suppression, suppress, suppress, suppress.
They just can't wait.
They get out, they find a boy, and they go crazy.
Like, everybody knew it.
I mean, this is not something that I knew as a comedian or as a person who studies culture.
This is something I knew as a 14-year-old.
Everyone knew that girls who went to all-girl Catholic schools were freaks.
It just has the opposite intended effect.
michael shermer
There was a study, a British study I found, that found some small, it was like 1.5% or whatever, of 10,000 women who said they got pregnant without having sex.
joe rogan
Oh, that happens.
michael shermer
How did that happen?
joe rogan
It does happen.
It's immaculate.
michael shermer
It's in the Bible, bro.
It's an immaculate conception.
That's right.
joe rogan
It's hilarious.
Yeah.
michael shermer
Or they do everything but, or they have anal or whatever, and say, well, we didn't actually have sex, you know, like Clinton.
Well, what do you mean by sex and have?
unidentified
Right.
joe rogan
Sexual relations.
I did not have sexual relations.
michael shermer
That woman.
joe rogan
Yeah.
Sex is intercourse.
Penis, vagina, that's it.
Everything else is just hanging out.
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
Yep.
joe rogan
Well, it's – the need for belief systems is – it's so – I mean, it helps people to have belief systems if they're positive and they're objective and they're well-reasoned and they're – you know, these are, you know, backed by facts and knowledge.
It helps.
But the need for belief systems is so strong that we'll take a belief system that's wonky.
It's because we have the desire.
michael shermer
That's right.
Yeah, the brain abhors a vacuum of belief.
That's the way I put it, and something's going to be in there.
So let's try to put in those brains rational, science-based values.
And we have those.
I mean, humanist values, the humanist movement is now almost a century old.
Universal Human Rights, the Universal Human Rights Declaration just celebrated its 50th anniversary.
You can get diverse people to agree.
You don't have to have the correct philosophical arguments to get there, but, you know, just everybody should be treated equally under the law.
Can we at least agree on that?
Yes, okay.
I mean, if you start off with – Pinker makes this point in Enlightenment Now – if you start off with, Jesus died for our sins, that's the most important value to me, you're not going to get agreement in a room full of, you know, UN diversity.
You've got to start with something super basic in general.
Everybody deserves equal rights.
Okay, yeah.
And then you start to build from there.
And we can do that.
joe rogan
You've been in this for a long time, and you've done some really valuable work.
It's so nice that there's someone like you that really has dedicated their life to really illuminating truth, exposing all the flaws in people's thinking.
Do you feel like the reception of this is...
It's easier now, or there's momentum behind this kind of thinking?
michael shermer
I do, yeah, for sure it's more open.
Part of my – I have a distorted view.
I'm from California.
I grew up in Southern California.
We're a pretty liberal society here, so I'm empathetic to people that write me from Oklahoma or Arkansas, and I'm in this little town, everybody.
The only question is, which Christian church do you go to?
You know, the Baptists or the Presbyterians?
unidentified
Right.
michael shermer
And, you know, everyone in his family, everyone at work is a believer, and he's an atheist.
Okay, so I haven't faced anything like that.
You know, when I'm a middle-aged white guy, you know, I do have white privileges, I know.
And so I am sympathetic to others.
But I do think, across the board, things are more tolerant.
You know, we know this from studies on interracial marriage, for example.
That's not even an issue anymore.
The gay rights thing has changed very rapidly.
I mean, that was It's stunning how quickly social attitudes changed after the Supreme Court.
joe rogan
Well, we have to remember, in 2013, Hillary Clinton was still saying that she didn't believe in gay marriage.
michael shermer
That's right.
joe rogan
Because that was a political position.
michael shermer
That's right.
Obama in 2011. Although you never know when a politician says something.
Of course.
But now, so I predict, you know, like the gay marriage thing, no one will even be talking about it in another year or two.
It'll change so quickly.
And so across the board, the acceptance now of atheists, humanists, secularists, agnostics, whatever, has become much better.
In most places, there's still some, of course, Islamic countries where Not only would they burn me and you, they'd burn Catholics because they picked the wrong religion.
So there's still that.
joe rogan
I wonder if there's some improvement there in those countries because of the internet with younger people when they're being exposed to these new ideas.
michael shermer
Yeah, maybe.
I'm not sure on that data.
The last time I saw a big poll was on how supportive you would be of Sharia law.
And these were pretty scary, like a third to a half.
Of Muslims living in Muslim countries said they would support Sharia law.
And if you look at Sharia law, as you know, it's pretty scary.
Very anti-democratic, illiberal attitudes about rights and women and things like that.
So there, I think the prediction would be, yes, millennials and iGeners, when they get into power, then maybe – not just political power, but like controlling talk shows, radio shows, TV shows, scripts, things like that.
I think most moral change happens in people's minds from inculcating it from culture, pop culture, of just how you talk about other people.
Dawkins makes this point that you can tell pretty much down to the decade when a book was written by the way they talk about women, like a novel, talk about women or blacks or whatever, going back, say, a century.
You can say, well, that was 1930s, the way they're talking about Jews, you know?
And that's the kind of thing that shifts very slowly.
You hardly notice it.
But from people like you, comedians, you tell certain jokes or you say certain things and it becomes more acceptable.
Scripts for television shows and films.
And all of us kind of watch it and absorb it and just think, yeah, you know, we shouldn't be saying those kinds of things about women and Jews and blacks or whatever.
Stop doing that.
Not consciously.
You just kind of soak it in.
So I think you still need laws.
We have to sometimes change the law and just say, okay, it's now illegal to discriminate against Jews or whatever.
You can't do that.
Now, people may still want to do that.
How do we change their thinking?
Well, that's the bottom-up thing that takes the course of decades or maybe a century.
joe rogan
And it takes generations sometimes because the new young kids have to see the flaws in the way their parents are thinking and have access to this information and form their own opinions on these things, hopefully based on objective reasoning and reality and all the awesome stuff that's available now.
michael shermer
My stepdad was in the Pacific War, and the way he talked about Japanese, you know, when I was a kid in the 60s, I'm like, whoa.
And then by the time I became an adult, I'm like, Dad, don't say this stuff.
Don't say it out loud.
joe rogan
When you think about 1947 to 1960, that's a tiny period of time.
It's so short.
I mean, it's really like, you know, we're talking about the early 2000s.
Imagine if World War II happened during the early 2000s.
Yeah, it's hard to remember.
It's hard to put it into perspective.
michael shermer
I think pop culture, the media, social media, and so on is going to accelerate moral progress.
It'll happen faster.
Like, it happened faster for women than it did for blacks.
It happened faster for gays than it did for women.
Maybe whatever's next, animal rights or something like this will accelerate even more, maybe trans rights or something like that.
joe rogan
What do you think about the pushback against this idea that we are living in the safest time ever and that there is an absolute trend?
Like Pinker gets criticized about this, where people say, no, the world is still not safe for these people, for this group, for that group, and for you saying that the world just shows your white privilege and this white male perspective and...
michael shermer
I'm on board with Steve across the board on these things.
He's got the data.
It depends on the question you're asking.
It's like if you say, yeah, but my life is not better.
We're not talking about your life.
The question is, is society getting better?
Of course there's ups and downs, and this group is doing better than that group, and yes, there's still some racial discrimination, and yes, there's still clearly anti-semis, as we've seen recently.
But across the board, if you take the last 200 years, Which direction are the trend lines going?
They're all going in the right direction.
So again, it's scale.
The question is, what's the scale we're talking about?
So it's a little unfair to Pinker to say, well, you're blind to that thing over there.
He's not talking about that one thing there.
He's talking about just across the board.
joe rogan
Yeah, I agree.
Listen, man, thanks for everything.
Thanks for everything you do.
michael shermer
You're welcome.
joe rogan
Thanks for all your articles and your books, and thanks for coming on here.
And please let people know your podcast, once again, is called Skeptic Salon.
michael shermer
Yeah, Science Salon.
joe rogan
Science Salon.
Sorry, Science Salon.
michael shermer
You can just go to skeptic.com and it's posted there.
And yeah, so Skeptic is still going.
joe rogan
Social media.
michael shermer
Michael Shermer is my Twitter feed.
joe rogan
You have Instagram as well?
michael shermer
I don't do that.
joe rogan
How dare you?
You don't do Instagram?
michael shermer
That's MichaelShermer1.
joe rogan
Oh.
Do you have an Instagram?
unidentified
I do.
michael shermer
I do.
I'm going to start posting as of today, okay?
Oh.
joe rogan
We'll take a photo of you.
michael shermer
I always click on yours because you always have interesting photographs from wherever you're at.
And it is kind of fun.
joe rogan
It's fun.
michael shermer
Just take an extra minute or two.
joe rogan
Giant waste of time, though.
Don't get sucked in.
michael shermer
I'm already wasting so much time on Twitter.
joe rogan
Well, thank you, Michael.
Appreciate it, man.
michael shermer
Thank you.
Thanks for having me.
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