Truth vs. NEW$ Inc, Part 1 (23 March 2025) with Don Grahn, Joachim Hagopian, and Brian Davidson
Don Grahn, Joachim Hagopian, and Brian Davidson analyze a March 2026 crisis where President Trump's ultimatum to Iran risks catastrophic strikes on nuclear facilities, prompting Iranian threats against Gulf power grids. They detail Russia's S-400 deployment neutralizing Israeli air superiority and an FATA-2 hypersonic missile destroying a $4 billion IMI complex. The hosts argue traditional borders are collapsing under advanced drone warfare while exposing a global surveillance grid driven by Palantir and CBDCs, concluding that raw power, not law, dictates this new world order where despots face elimination or forced alliance. [Automatically generated summary]
Welcome, folks, to truth versus news incorporated here.
This is March the 23rd.
Spring has sprung, and all kinds of things is bringing forth that are not really good news-wise.
And so, we're here to resent the harsh news.
And we got some pictures and other things that are unbelievable.
And we have the best people in the world to show them.
We got Jim Fetzer, who is just a fantastic producer of this show for 20 years or more, and he's written such good books as Nobody Died at Sandy Hook in America, Nukesa 9/11, and 40 other books that should be in your library.
He's tremendous.
I'm very proud to be associated with this gentleman.
Plus, we have Joaquim Glopin all the way from Bali, Indonesia, who's in a spot where he can have privacy and politicize what's going on in this great land of ours here.
And there's lots going on, as well as being reported by Brian Davidson, a private investigator out of Texas.
Well, Jim, we got a better show and got some breaking news about Trump gives an ultimatum about opening some straits.
Are we still in the streets?
Oh, Don, I'm telling you, the situation is grim.
Trump has done some really stupid things.
We begin with Trump giving Iran a 48-hour ultimatum.
Black screen.
Black screen.
Okay, let me find out.
Let me find out what happened there.
Good now?
Nope.
No?
No.
Huh.
That's very strange.
Okay.
How about now?
I can edit it.
There we go.
How about now?
There we go.
Okay.
Okay.
Trump is giving Iran.
Trump gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum on Saturday that would have been due today.
Check it out.
Here we got Colonel Davis talking about.
We have breaking news tonight.
I don't normally come to you on a Sunday night, but this death or a Saturday night, but this definitely warrants it.
President Trump, just about two hours ago, announced an ultimatum to Iran.
Let me just pull this up to you.
This is on Truth Social here.
And listen, I'll just tell you right off the top: this is about as unhinged as it gets.
And this should alarm everyone.
This is what President Trump said about three hours ago now.
It actually, this is at 7:44 p.m. specific Eastern Standard Time when this was released.
And that's important.
President Trump writes: if Iran doesn't fully open without threat, the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various power plants, starting with the biggest one first.
Thank you for your attention to this matter.
That weird way he ends all that.
Now, that is the reason why this is unhinged and should alarm every American, especially those who are supporting President Trump.
Already, as I've told you with a lot of clarity and detail, this was a war of choice that should never have been started, that had a golden bowl offering of a diplomatic solution before he gave the order that would have given him an enormous victory.
But instead of taking that, he took a course of action which has now resulted in the deaths of at least 13 Americans, 200 at least wounded.
Probably thousands of Iranians have been killed.
Who knows how many in Israel have been killed as a result of this war that started, and others throughout the Middle East, all because he did not want to take a golden diplomatic victory.
We can only speculate why he decided to choose the war.
Whether it was to do something that Benjamin Etanyahu said, who can say?
But now then we see that that was an irrational decision and an unwise decision.
But now then here, he's threatening to open the Strait of Hormuz.
Let me show you why I say this by itself is unhinged.
Just barely an hour before he wrote this, he wrote this text here.
He says, the United States has blown Iran off the map.
And yet their lightweight analyst, they being the New York Times, David Sanger, says that I haven't met my own goals.
Yes, I have.
And weeks ahead of schedule.
Their leadership is gone.
Their Navy and Air Force are dead.
They have absolutely no defense and they want to make a deal.
I don't.
We are weeks ahead of schedule.
Just like their incompetent election coverage of me, the failing New York Times always gets it wrong.
So number one, just on the surface of it, just as that stands right there, this is irrational.
What are you talking about that you have blown Iran off the map?
You have blown up a lot of things and a lot of buildings and killed a number of people, but they're hardly blown off the map as they continue to graphically demonstrate with their missile strikes and drone strikes throughout the Middle East, especially in Israel tonight.
More on that in just a second.
But then he says, you know, some reporter says that he didn't meet his goals.
And he is so thin-skinned about this and so paranoid, he has to go out on True Social and put out this claim that, yes, I have.
And then he literally talks like a child.
They said, I haven't met my goals.
Yes, I have.
Does that not, I mean, I'm being serious here.
Doesn't that sound like a child?
That's how a child would say it.
Yes, I did.
And then weeks ahead of schedule.
What have you meant weeks ahead of a schedule?
What were you supposed to have accomplished?
What was supposed to take place?
That their Navy and Air Force are dead?
Did you blown up that?
They have no defense?
Well, they kind of do, as they demonstrate painfully, bloody, graphically, with great explosive power.
That is clearly untrue.
But then after insulting David Sanger and saying that you've blown Iran off the map and you've accomplished your goals, then you want to turn around and say that if Iran doesn't open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, then we're going to start obliterating power plants.
I mean, if they're blown off the map, then how can the Gulf, how can the Strait of Hormuz be shut down?
How can the Persian Gulf still be blocked off to traffic?
How can they still be preventing tankers from going out?
How can they still be preventing the U.S. Navy from getting to within almost 1,000 miles of Iranian batteries?
Iranian shoreline.
Do you see that this is irrational?
But listen, like all these things, this doesn't come free.
This doesn't come with no cost.
Like I always say, to every action.
There is a counteraction.
Now, you may recall early in this war, when this first started, there was a desalination plant that was hit in Iran.
And they said, listen, understand, if this keeps happening, we're going to hit other desalinization plants in the region.
That if you attack our ability to create clean water that our people need to literally survive, there are other people who need it a lot worse than we do.
Iran, because of all their mountainous drain, they actually have enough water that they can survive without any of these desalination plants.
They get a very small percentage of it.
Not the case with other Gulf regions like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar.
They absolutely have to have these desalinization plants to be able to have life-sustaining water for their population.
Well, with President Trump saying that he's going to shut that off, that he's going to go after their major power plants if they don't obey within 48 hours, there has been a pretty immediate response already, almost right away from the Iranians.
It's almost like they were expecting this.
The spokesman for the central headquarters of Hazat Khatam al-Anbia, sorry if I'm pronouncing that wrong.
This is the official spokesman for the Iranian side, following previous warnings.
If Iran's fuel and energy infrastructure is attacked by the enemy, all energy, information technology, and desalinization infrastructure belonging to the United States and the regime in the region will be targeted.
And what he means by the regime in the region is all the other Gulf Coast countries.
So there's a real problem here.
especially since the largest power plant Trump said he'd begin with is a nuclear power plant.
Thus, we're now confronted with what Larry Johnny had observed that if this were to happen...
Hi, I'm Andy Levian, General Counsel at the DNC.
We just sued President Tomb Ridge.
Donald Trump's reckless power plant gamble against Iran now threatens to unleash chaos far beyond its borders.
In a dramatic ultimatum over the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. president has essentially told Iran to open the waterway on Washington's terms or face an all-out assault on its grid.
The warning once issued by slain Iranian security chief Ali Larajani now seems to be coming back to haunt Donald Trump.
Ali Larajani had chillingly cautioned that if Washington dared attack Iran's power grid, the entire region would go dark in minutes.
Despite Trump's bluster and talk of obliteration, it is Tehran that appears to hold the real switch.
Donald Trump has now openly threatened to obliterate Iran's power plants in response to Tehran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, escalating the conflict from a naval standoff into a direct war on the country's civilian infrastructure.
On March 21st, the U.S. president issued a stark 48-hour deadline, demanding that Iran fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face devastating strikes, effectively turning one of the world's key energy arteries into a ticking time bomb.
This hard pivot to direct threats against Iran came after Trump first tried to shift responsibility onto nations who use the Strait of Hormuz, telling them to police and guard the route themselves while Washington pretended it did not need it.
Even before this ultimatum, Trump had already floated the idea of outright destroying Iran's power grid, hinting that the U.S. could target the country's electrical lifelines in a move that would amount to economic and humanitarian warfare.
Boasting to reporters, Trump claimed the U.S. military could take apart Iran's entire electric capacity within just one hour, suggesting a strike so severe it would cripple the country for decades and push the entire region toward catastrophe.
Trump said, and I quote, if Iran doesn't fully open, without threat, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 hours from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various power plants, starting with the biggest one first.
Iran answered Trump's power plant threats with a stark warning of its own, signaling that U.S. and Israeli energy infrastructure across the region would be placed firmly in the crosshairs if Washington dared to strike Iran's grid.
Yeah, and it's even more severe than that, as we're about to see.
Here we have from Hal Turner Abed Iran sends a message to Washington.
In a tightly structured 12-minute address, Ayatollah Aman Syed Modabay Khomeini, this is the son of the former Ayatollah, moved from familiar rhetoric into something far more consequential.
The opening half followed the expected script, revisiting decades of U.S. war-mongering rhetoric, sanctions, assassination, regional conflict.
But midway through, the tone shifted from retrospective to strategic.
Syed Khamane outlined three concrete demands, each with a defined timeline: a rapid U.S. military withdrawal from the Middle East, a full rollback of sanctions within 60 days, and long-term financial compensation for economic damages.
Then came the ultimatum.
Failure to comply, and Iran escalates economically, militarily, and potentially nuclear, not hypothetically, but operationally.
Closing the Strait of Hermouse, formalizing defense ties with Russia and China, and moving from ambiguity to declared nuclear deterrence.
The timing of external reaction was just as telling.
Within hours, both Beijing and Moscow issued statements aligning carefully but unmistakably with Tehran's framing.
This definitely looked coordinated.
And Trump's response: he ordered a halt toll strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, as he claimed.
And into the conflict nearest, President Trump said Monday, today, this is a 48-hour deadline, that he put plans to attack Iran's energy infrastructure on hold amid productive conversations.
I am pleased to report that the United States of America and the country of Iran have had over the last two days very good and productive conversation regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East.
Dangerous Waters Ahead00:07:37
Trump posted in an all-cap message on Truth Social, based on the tenor and tone of these in-depth, detailed, and constructive conversations, which will continue throughout the week.
I've instructed the Department of War to postpone any and all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for a five-day period.
I must say, the Iranians have denied these conversations taking place, but I believe Trump has realized he's in a desperate plight and wants this to end to find a way.
And I believe he's preparing to comply with their demands.
Joachim, your thoughts.
We're dealing with a mentally ill child in Donald Trump as our commander-in-chief.
He reacts just like a little bully on the playground.
And when he doesn't get his way, he makes those kind of threats.
But, you know, a playground bully is on the playground.
This guy's playground is our planet, our only home.
And every human and life form on the planet is dependent upon this maniac in charge of the United States waning empire.
And when empires are in their decline, that is most apt when they do rash, insane kind of moves that jeopardize the life and well-being of our entire planet in this case,
especially when we're talking about destruction of nuclear power plants with a radioactivity fallout that can result from it.
This guy's a maniac.
You know, I've been saying pretty much for many months now, the 25th Amendment applies for the sake of the safety of the entire world, the 25th Amendment,
that this man is not fit to be in the office of president where he can make those kind of moves to plunge us into potentially a nuclear war or any other kind of World War III where we have, you know, the Eastern powers versus the West, you know, the old divide and rule.
So, you know, I mean, it goes from day to day where this guy's totally making these rash, crazy statements.
And thank God, Iran backs it up with action that is always very prudent and restrained, but they show what they will do.
And in this case, if the maniac went ahead, pretty much the whole Middle East, Israel, and all the Gulf states, the desalination would take place where there would be no water source for especially for Israel and the Gulf states where it's flattened.
They don't have the water reservoirs that Iran does.
So yeah, he's leading us into such dangerous waters.
And thank God, somebody got to him finally and he's pulled it off.
And of course, he has to do his face-saving lies saying, yeah, we're in talks, you know, and it's really working out good.
And then Iran says, no, we're not.
We don't even have a third party between us right now.
So yeah, he's completely exposed.
You know, we keep referring to the naked emperor, you know, he's totally exposed to the entire world as a total nutcase that's a danger to all of us.
I got to say, if he'll end the world, I'll give him a hug at a kid, no matter how he tries to save face.
Ryan, your thoughts.
Mute it.
I'm beginning to wonder if the real war here isn't Iran versus America, but more system versus system.
I feel like it's leaning toward a confrontation between two different world orders.
The United States model is dollar dominance and global naval control and open trade routes.
And the Iran-Russia-China model is regional control, energy leverage, and financial systems.
So to see Iran shut down Hormuz, it's economic warfare against, let's call it the Western global hegemony system.
Because 20% of global oil flows through Hormuz.
So you've got a massive energy disruption that's going to be taking place.
And that proved that you don't really need to defeat America militarily.
You just need to choke the system that it depends on.
And, you know, our greatest weakness isn't our military or our weapons.
It's our dependency on a global system.
And so it's a really different war in terms of the fact that this is not a regional conflict like Ukraine, Russia.
This is more of a battle for dominance over Middle East resources.
And, you know, Joachim's right.
Trump is acting like a child in terms of the way he's handling this.
I mean, I remember the professional diplomats of old that would have taken these things on head to head, but now we have a bloated institutional bureaucracy that seems to be making decisions apart from any perspective of diplomacy whatsoever.
And that's going to get us into a lot of trouble.
I don't know exactly what it means.
I sure would like to win the war in a sense, but I just don't know what winning means.
Does winning mean an expanded Greater Israel project?
Does winning mean we continue to control the Straits of Hormuz for the next hundred years using Israel as our proxy?
Does winning mean that we just get regime change?
You know, I tend to think that these are bigger issues than, oh, we're, you know, we're just trying to make sure that that regime goes and we replace them with a Western puppet.
Because I don't think it's going to be that simple.
Very, very good.
Meanwhile, we have two huge developments militarily.
Unpredictable Trajectories00:12:27
Russia just gave Iran its S-400.
Every Israeli F-35 is now tracked in real time.
Stunning.
48 hours ago, a convoy of 14 Russian Antonov An-124 heavy transport aircraft landed at Isfahan Shahid Babaye airbase in central Iran.
The flights originated from Hamaymim Air Base in Syria and Chikolovsky military airfield near Moscow.
They flew a route that avoided NATO airspace entirely, crossing over the Caspian Sea before descending into Iranian territory.
Each aircraft carried components too large and too heavy for any other transport plane on Earth.
The cargo was unmistakable to every intelligence agency watching.
Russia had just delivered the S-400 Triumph air defense system to Iran, the most advanced surface-to-air missile system ever exported by the Russian Federation.
The system that NATO spent two decades trying to prevent from reaching the Middle East.
And with its arrival on Iranian soil, the air war over Iran changed overnight.
Because the S-400 does not just shoot down aircraft, it sees them.
It tracks them.
It follows every movement of every aircraft within a 600-kilometer radius, including aircraft that were designed to be invisible, including the F-35.
Let me tell you exactly what the S-400 is, because understanding this weapon system is understanding why Israel, the United States, and every Western Air Force just lost their most important advantage in this war.
The S-400 Triumph, NATO designation SA-21 Growler, is Russia's premier long-range air defense system.
It was designed to detect, track, and destroy aircraft, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and hypersonic targets at ranges of up to 400 kilometers.
That 400-kilometer range is where the system gets its name.
But the range of its missiles is only part of the story.
The real power of the S-400 lies in its radar.
The system uses multiple radar arrays working in coordination.
The 91N6E Big Bird Acquisition Radar can detect airborne targets at ranges exceeding 600 kilometers.
That means an S-400 battery positioned in central Iran can see aircraft taking off from bases in Israel, from aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, from airfields in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE.
It does not need to wait for those aircraft to approach Iranian airspace.
It sees them the moment they leave the ground.
The 92N6E Gravestone Engagement Radar provides precision tracking at ranges up to 400 kilometers, feeding targeting data to the system's missiles with a level of accuracy that allows interception of targets as small as a cruise missile traveling at treetop altitude.
But here is the capability that has Israeli and American military planners most concerned.
The S-400's radar is specifically designed to detect low-observable aircraft.
Low-observable is the technical term for stealth.
The F-35 Lightning II, the most expensive weapons program in human history at a total program cost exceeding $1.7 trillion, was built around one fundamental promise.
It cannot be seen by enemy radar.
The F-35's radar cross-section is classified, but publicly available estimates suggest it is approximately 0.101 to 0.05 square meters when viewed from the front.
That is roughly the radar signature of a golf ball.
Against older radar systems, the S-300 variants that Iran previously operated, this level of stealth was sufficient.
The F-35 could penetrate Iranian airspace, strike its targets, and leave before Iranian radars could establish a reliable track.
The S-400 changes that equation.
Its radar operates across multiple frequency bands simultaneously, including low-frequency L-band and VHF band radars that are significantly more effective at detecting stealth aircraft.
A stealth aircraft is not truly invisible.
It is optimized to defeat specific radar frequencies, primarily the X-band and S-band frequencies used by most fire control radars against those frequencies.
The F-35 is nearly undetectable.
Against the lower frequencies employed by the S-400's acquisition radars, the F-35's stealth advantage is significantly reduced.
It does not disappear entirely, but it shrinks from invisible to detectable, from a ghost to a shadow, and a shadow is enough.
Let me give you the specific configuration that Russia delivered, because the details matter.
According to intelligence assessments compiled from satellite imagery, flight tracking data, and regional sources, Russia delivered four complete S-400 battalions to Iran.
Each battalion consists of eight launcher vehicles, each carrying four missile canisters.
That is 32 launchers per battalion, 128 launchers total, with a combined loadout of up to 512 missiles ready to fire.
The missiles themselves come in four variants.
The 48N6E3 with a range of 250 kilometers.
The 40N6E with a range of 400 kilometers, the longest range surface-to-air missile ever deployed operationally, the 9M96E2 medium-range interceptor, and the 9M96E short-range interceptor for close in defense.
This is not a single weapon.
It is a layered air defense network in a box.
It can engage targets at 400 kilometers and still defend itself against aircraft that somehow get within 40 kilometers.
It can track and engage up to 80 targets simultaneously per battalion.
Four battalions means the system can theoretically engage 320 airborne targets at the same time.
Now let me tell you where Iran is positioning these systems, because placement determines everything.
According to satellite imagery analyzed by multiple open source intelligence organizations, two battalions are being deployed around Tehran, protecting the capital and the nearby Parchin military complex, which Western intelligence agencies believe is connected to Iran's nuclear program.
One battalion is being deployed near Isfahan, protecting Iran's uranium enrichment facilities at Natans, which are located approximately 70 kilometers to the northeast.
The 4th battalion is being positioned near Busheir, protecting Iran's only operational nuclear power plant and the nearby Karg Island oil export terminal.
Look at those locations on a map, and the strategy becomes immediately clear.
Iran is not using the S-400 to protect its borders.
It is using the S-400 to protect the assets that matter most.
Its nuclear facilities, its capital, its oil export infrastructure.
These are the targets that Israel has been striking with F-35s for the past nine days.
These are the targets that the United States has been hitting with B-2 bombers and cruise missiles.
Iran just put the most advanced air defense system in the world directly between those targets and the aircraft trying to destroy them.
Let me explain what this means for Israeli air operations, because the operational impact is immediate and severe.
Well, before the S-400 arrived, Israeli F-35s operated over Iran with relative impunity.
They faced older S-300 PMU-2 systems that could be jammed, spoofed, or simply avoided by flying at the right altitude and angle.
Israeli electronic warfare capabilities, among the most advanced in the world, could suppress Iranian radars long enough for strike aircraft to complete their missions.
The S-400 is a fundamentally different challenge.
Its radar is designed to resist electronic jamming.
It operates on multiple frequencies simultaneously, so jamming one frequency does not blind the system.
It has dedicated anti-jamming processing that can identify and filter out electronic interference.
Israeli electronic warfare pods, which were effective against the S-300, may not be effective against the S-400.
That is not a certainty.
It is a possibility.
But in military aviation, a possibility that your jamming might not work is enough to change every mission plan, every flight path, every risk calculation.
Here are the numbers that quantify the impact.
Since Operation True Promise 4 began, Israel has conducted an average of 78 airstrikes per day on Iranian territory.
The majority of deep strike missions, those targeting Tehran, Isfahan, and other high-value facilities, have been conducted by F-35I Adir aircraft.
Before the S-400 deployment, Israel lost zero F-35s to Iranian air defenses.
Zero.
The S-300 systems Iran operated could not reliably track them, let alone shoot them down.
Within the first 24 hours of the S-400 becoming operational, Israeli air activity over central Iran dropped by approximately 40%, according to flight tracking analysis.
That is not because Israel chose to reduce operations.
It is because every mission into S-400 coverage zones now carries a risk that did not exist 48 hours ago.
This guy is so brilliant.
His reports are so good.
Here's yet another.
Iran just destroyed Iran's IMF factory with the TAR-2 hypersonics.
This is a $4 billion facility, keeping all the replacement, all the military components most essential to the war in production.
It is gone.
March 14th, 2026, 3.17 a.m. local time.
Residents in Ramat Hasharan, a wealthy suburb just north of Tel Aviv, woke to a sound they had never heard before.
Not the familiar wail of air raid sirens, not the distant boom of interceptors engaging targets overhead.
This was different.
A sharp, violent crack that rattled windows across the city, followed immediately by a shockwave that set off car alarms for kilometers in every direction.
Then, the explosions.
Multiple impacts within seconds of each other.
Massive fireballs erupting from what locals knew as the restricted industrial zone on the eastern edge of town.
The facility that everyone understood was important, but nobody talked about publicly.
Israel Military Industries, IMI, the largest weapons production complex in Israel, and it was burning.
Iran just announced that four FATA II hypersonic missiles struck the facility with precision.
The Israeli government has not denied it.
Let me tell you exactly what just happened and why this single strike may have done more damage to Israel's military capability than the last thousand missile attacks combined.
The IMI complex in Ramat Hashran is the industrial backbone of Israel's entire defense apparatus.
This facility produces approximately 30% of all ammunition used by the Israeli Defense Forces.
It manufactures critical components for the Merkava main battle tank, guidance systems for precision munitions, and propellant for aero-interceptor missiles.
The facility employs over 3,000 workers across multiple production lines running 24 hours per day.
The replacement value, somewhere north of $4 billion, and that is just the physical infrastructure.
The intellectual capital, the specialized workforce, the proprietary manufacturing processes cannot be replaced quickly.
Iran just struck the one target in Israel that directly degrades Israeli military capability, not by destroying weapons already built, but by preventing weapons from being built in the future.
Let me explain what a FATA-2 hypersonic missile actually is.
The FATA-2 is Iran's most advanced ballistic missile.
The name FATA means conqueror in Arabic.
This missile has a range of approximately 1,400 kilometers, more than enough to reach any point in Israel from Iranian territory.
It uses a two-stage solid-fuel propulsion system, meaning it can be launched within minutes with no vulnerable preparation time.
The FATA-2 reaches speeds exceeding Mach 13 during its mid-course phase.
That is over 16,000 kilometers per hour.
The missile crosses the distance from Tehran to Tel Aviv in AIS in approximately 12 minutes.
The final approach phase is where it becomes truly terrifying.
The warhead separates and begins a hypersonic glide.
It is maneuverable, adjusting its trajectory during descent.
It does not follow a predictable ballistic arc, and it impacts at speeds between Mach 8 and Mach 10.
At those velocities, even a near miss from an interceptor may not destroy the incoming warhead.
Iran claims they fired four FATA-2 missiles at the IMI complex.
Satellite thermal imaging.
From commercial providers confirms at least three major impact sites within the facility perimeter.
That means at minimum, 75% of the missiles reached their targets.
Israel's Aero-3 and David's sling systems, the ones specifically designed to intercept this class of threat, either did not engage or failed to achieve kills.
Here is why.
The Arrow system was built to counter ballistic missiles following predictable trajectories, calculate the launch point, predict the apex, position the interceptor, and destroy the target during its vulnerable mid-course phase when it is traveling in a straight line at constant velocity.
The FATA-2 does not cooperate with those assumptions.
Its trajectory is not predictable.
Its velocity is too high for intercept geometry to work reliably.
And its terminal phase maneuvering means even if you get close, close is not good enough.
You need a direct hit or near-simultaneous detonation.
The Arrow interceptor costs approximately $3 million per shot.
Reports suggest Israel fired at least six interceptors at the incoming FATA-2 salvo.
That is $18 million in defensive expenditure.
The FATA-2 Threat00:10:09
The result?
Three impacts on target.
$18 million spent.
$4 billion in damage sustained.
the mathematics do not favor the defender now let me walk you through there's much more to it of course but you get the idea We have here two massive developments, the S-400, and now the strike on the IMI facility.
Here we have two additional reports.
That's what sends more troops in Maul's ground invasion of Iran.
The whole idea is simply absurd.
They wouldn't have a chance.
Iran has a million-man army.
They've been preparing for a ground invasion from the beginning.
Bring it on.
And two officials, World Health Organization, admit they've been preparing for the possible use of nuclear weapons in Iran.
Israel may feel desperate enough to try it, but as Colonel McGregor has observed, there are nations that would respond by nuking Iran if Iran were to nuke if Israel were to nuke Iran.
Joachim, your thoughts.
Yeah, it seems every move that Trump makes, it's checkmated by Iran and friends like Russia, giving them that S-400.
You know, I was like wondering when that would happen, because obviously, you know, they needed that a long time ago.
That could have taken out a lot of the damage that Iran has already suffered had they had one in place.
So I'm really kind of surprised that they hadn't gotten that S-400 there sooner.
But yeah, it is a game changer because it tracks everything.
And we're not talking just airspace over Iran.
We're talking the entire Middle East airspace.
So these planes sent out by Israel and the United States, they're going to be tracked and they're going to basically be neutralized.
They do not have the power now.
You know, Trump keeps saying, well, they have no air force, Navy, blah, blah, blah, blah.
You know, well, all they need is a secure air defense where all your planes, and that's your only thing, unless you send more troops in where they will die, which obviously the idiot's considering.
But basically, it eliminates the power, the air power of Israel and the United States.
So, I mean, I wish they'd had this in the very beginning because there wouldn't have been the damage to Iran so much.
And maybe the war would have been over already or never happened even.
So, you know, and then we have the second story here with the IMI factory.
Wow.
They just took out the ballistics ammunition center of Israel.
And now Israel is totally, totally dependent upon America, which already does not have the kind of arsenal, be it ammunition or weapons, to give to Israel.
Too many have gone out to the Ukraine war already.
They're depleted.
So, I mean, in every step that America tries to make and Israel to shut down Iran and, you know, open the Ormuz Strait and the regime change and all the rest of the things that they've been wanting, Iran has an answer for it, you know, and they block it every time.
So, you know, finally, you know, maybe, maybe Trump is finally realizing, yeah, we actually have a lot more to lose than win if we proceed with offensives against Iran, because they have a measure to go against it for our every move.
So maybe it's sinking in, but, you know, with Trump, he's so irrational and really unpredictable.
You just don't know what he's going to do next.
But anyway, this is a move, big move in the right direction for Iran.
I thought Iran had the S-400 from the beginning, but it's like when they had this mutual agreement with Russia, they declined.
Russia offered to have a mutual defense treaty and Iran declined.
I think it was a matter of national pride.
And now they've done this on a barter basis.
They got the S-400 in return for sending Russia a bunch of drones they can use against Ukraine and perhaps others.
But now I think Iran realizes the importance of Russian support here.
And I believe it may also be that if I'm right, Bibi is dead and Trump is therefore not so much constrained by following his master's bidding and may really feel how much he's out there on the limb and want to do something about it to bring it to an end.
Brian, Brian, your thoughts.
Well, if they have the S-400, then we are obviously no longer guaranteed air domination.
And if we can't control the sky in this conflict, then we're going to find ourselves in a bad spot in terms of an actual battle that takes place.
The first strike has become much more complicated if they have it.
We can't just go in there and open with an overwhelming air campaign.
That's going to slow down the idea of shock and awe that we obviously rolled out in Iraq.
And that's going to make things much more complicated for Trump.
I think Trump is under a tremendous amount of pressure right now.
And maybe you're right, Bibi's not there, but I think he's just, he's allowed the system to push him into such a terrible corner that he has to, he doesn't know how to react.
I don't think he's ever been down, maybe since the early 80s.
You also have to think about this.
Like I said earlier, this is a global conflict in a sense.
This is not just Iran and America or Iran and Israel.
The China-Russia layer is really, really big.
And if China, if Russia is supplying the S-400s, that's not just a weapons transfer.
That's a participation in shaping the battlefield.
And would you blame them?
I mean, look at the Western participation we did in Ukraine, even though we called it Ukraine's war and just said that we were sending them a bunch of money.
So I guess we've got it coming.
It's fair play.
But I think most importantly, and this might matter a little more than people realize.
Jim might actually realize it because he was in the military, but the psychological impact of knowing that they have weapons is going to change the way the pilots run the show.
They've always assumed that they had air dominance and that all the airspace was going to be America controlled.
But if that assumption breaks, planning becomes very cautious, escalation becomes uncertain.
And when that happens, you tend to roll toward the nuclear option because the war in the air becomes a lot less predictable.
So the miscalculation that we're in danger of here is not that it makes Iran unbeatable.
It's making the cost of being wrong much, much higher.
Because if we're wrong and we can't handle it, we could lose much, much bigger issues.
And not just issues today.
We're talking about issues down the line with NATO doctrine and Middle East dominance and Taiwan scenarios.
So it's probably very important to ask: if we can't assume immediate dominance, does that make war less likely or just simply more dangerous?
And I think this is something a lot of the commentators have begun to lean toward here: is that Maybe our knowledge base in such a closed-off place as Iran isn't really strong enough, and our intelligence assets aren't really strong enough to put us in a good position here.
So Trump's going to have to decide whether he wants to try to keep pushing the cultural angle that we're technically superior to everybody and we're guaranteed victory instead of considering the deeper issues at play here that we're talking about potential annihilation if we miscalculate.
Yeah, in addition, I mean, after all, to potential BB being gone, look at those two developments we just talked about, the S-400 and taking out the IMI.
I mean, those are major, major developments that weigh against the U.S. and Israel.
So I think that there are all kinds of reasons for Trump wanting to get out, not to mention that he's so far over his head.
Reshaping the Conflict00:03:06
He really doesn't understand what he's doing.
Now get these additional developments.
Iran sank a U.S. supply ship in the Red Sea.
30,000 interceptors were lost in 20 minutes.
30,000 interceptors were lost in 20 minutes.
And those are expensive little beauties.
Yeah, that's such a telling story.
They've actually taken it down already.
Meanwhile, RAN now, by striking Diego Garcia, showed the length of their range is double what it previously assumed.
Heretofore, it thought to be 2,000 kilometers.
4,000 kilometers.
Let that number settle for just a moment.
4,000 kilometers.
That is the distance between Tehran and a tiny island in the middle of the Indian Ocean called Diego Garcia.
And right now, that distance matters more than almost anything else happening on the planet because Iran just proved it can close that gap with a ballistic missile.
Think about what that means.
Diego Garcia is not just any military base.
It is the most critical United States military installation in the entire Indian Ocean region.
B-52 bombers, the heaviest, most powerful long-range strike aircraft in the American arsenal, have been launching from that island to conduct operations against Iran.
It is the nerve center, the launch pad, the crown jewel of American power projection in that part of the world.
And Iran just put a missile on it.
Now, here's where this story takes a turn that should stop you cold.
Iran's officially declared missile range, the number they've told the world, the number that's been in every intelligence briefing, every threat assessment, every military calculation, is 2,000 kilometers.
2,000.
That's the public record.
That's what the book said.
Diego Garcia is 4,000 kilometers away.
Iran hit a target at exactly double their declared range, double.
Either Iran has been hiding this capability for years, quietly developing missiles that could reach places the world thought were safe, or they found a way to extend that range by reducing the warhead payload.
Either scenario is, to put it plainly, a fundamental reshaping of what we thought we knew about this conflict.
Wonderful, wonderful.
The guy's very, very good.
We have a couple other stories to add.
Let's see here.
Yes, the Iranians have an underwater drone that will be the nightmare of the U.S. Navy.
Listen to this description.
Fascinating.
Iran adds our underwater drone would be the nightmare of the U.S. Navy.
Lithium-powered.
Can travel silently at 18 to 25 knots for up to four days.
Underwater Drone Nightmare00:12:39
Hazard go in swarming can search for targets and hone in using AI algorithms.
Once the U.S. Navy is close to the Strait of Harbouz, these can be released and wreak havoc on our Navy.
Meanwhile, there's a rebellion brewing in the U.S. military.
We saw it on the Gerald Ford with the resistance.
I won't bother searching.
We know how bad it is, and we know that the situation is very, very grim.
Joachim, the sailors don't want to fight and die for Israel.
Joachim, your thoughts.
Yeah, they've made a statement, haven't they, for the last month, actually, stopping up the sanitary system of the crappers on the carrier.
And I think there was a fire, they called it in the laundry room, but I think it was probably even set by the sailors.
Yeah, the morale on that ship is not willing to die for the Greater Israel Project.
They've made their statement very, very clear to the world.
And again, the stories that are coming out here are all in the favor of Iran.
You know, they took out ships.
They're taking out planes too, the F-35s, the F-15s, they're taking out the U.S. and Israel planes.
So there's really, I mean, as well as ships.
And then Iran strikes 4,000 kilometers.
You know, I mean, yeah, that was another weapon they had that they up their sleeve that no one knew about.
And here they go.
So, I mean, they got an answer for every single thing that the U.S. and Israel can, you know, deliver.
They got an answer for it.
And it makes America the loser.
You know, the American empire is not an empire anymore.
It's an empire in basically free fall decline.
And again, I brought it up earlier that when empires go, that's where they do their most rash bidding and make the most mistakes that only accelerate their ruin.
And I believe with the madman Trump in the office holding the buttons, you know, we're not out of the woods yet, even though Iran has had an answer for everything that they put out there.
There's so much that can happen still.
And once the human judgment is involved, error is very high when they begin reacting to what they perceive as existential threats.
So we have that factor going too.
So yeah, we're not out of the woods, but I'm really happy to see Iran has come totally prepared with the help of their strategic allies.
And America and the West, Israel, they do not have an answer for any of it.
So if logical minds prevail, this war will find an exit.
Trump's, I think, pretty desperate now looking for one.
And I think there's an opportunity here.
He can claim victory and do the whole hop and pop of how wonderful he is and what a magnificent gift he is to the world.
And everybody's not going to believe him because everybody knows he's a complete fraud and a complete inept asshole.
Whoops, am I going to get in trouble by you-know-who?
You know, for saying asshole.
So, yeah, they don't have an answer.
No, no, and he is one.
Brian, Brian, your thoughts.
Well, if it's true that Iran can hit or did hit Diego Garcia with a range of 4,000 miles, that means there's no such thing as a safe zone.
Oh, 4,000 kilometers, whatever.
There's no such thing as a safe zone.
And Western leverage and intelligence has probably been wrong.
And I think this is also possibly true about the illustration we saw of the underwater drone.
But, you know, I think we have to ask the questions: if these weapons are indeed floating around and Iran has them, how is that going to affect the global structure?
Is that going to make the global structure harden toward Western dominance to resist this type of weaponry?
Are they going to assemble NATO alerts and UN emergency sessions and do big full-scale escalation?
Well, you know, if we really take a look at what's taken place, none of that has happened.
So I don't know if we're overestimating or if this is part of the propaganda or part of the war.
I trust Sachs.
I like Sachs on almost everything he does.
But what he's doing here is stacking some assumptions on the warfare framing that really are going to result in urgency, fear, and cognitive reset.
People are going to be out there buying toilet paper if this is really going this direction.
But the fear that it taps into is very real.
If they do have those types of ranges and they can reach farther than we think, that's going to be a real military concern.
There's going to be collapsing safe zones all over the place.
There's going to be deterrence structures.
And, you know, I think really the question that's going to start to develop with these military campaigns are: are we entering a world where distance no longer protects military power?
And if that's true, then I can see that careening towards a global new world order or at least magnifying the potential state of that because they're going to say, look, there's no such thing as borders anymore.
Anybody can reach anywhere with anything.
And so, you know, we all need to come together and make sure that the current despots that aren't part of the major global struggle need to be taken out or join this new alliance of world orders because we can't have, you know, we can't have another North Korea out there threatening the world with nuclear weapons.
I just don't know.
I'm trying to think through what the implications are, but I feel like the implications are this is going to stress that new world order concept, and it might be propaganda that's designed to push that agenda.
Well, those are intriguing thoughts, Brian, but I have no doubt that this is all legit that Iran has been planning this for 30 years.
They have a great culture.
They have excellent scientists.
They have made technological innovation the world hasn't seen before.
It means warfare has changed, and the methods of the last war aren't working in this.
It's a war of drones and missiles and ships, tanks, land warfare no longer are significant.
Iran really holds all the cards.
I don't think there's an international reaction other than to be impressed by the sophistication of Iran's ability to defend itself and that it's all totally within the range of international law for everything Iran is doing, unlike the actions of the U.S. and Israel, which are blatant violations of the United Nations Charter, international law, Geneva conventions.
It's really outrageous.
So that both militarily and morally and legally, Iran is in the right.
And aided and abetted by Russia and China, they are going to be impossible to defeat.
Joaquin, your thoughts as we conclude our first hour.
Well, I think what you're saying is all valid, but what Brian was saying too about the movement toward globalization and basically the tracking system, the surveillance grid, you know, the CBDCs and the social credit score and all of that as an absolute megalomaniacal centralized control.
I believe that is still going on apart from the battlefields here.
And that is our biggest concern because, yes, they have wanted one world government.
Yes, they wanted depopulation of the earth.
And even though this is slightly apart from what we're talking about when it comes to the war situation right now in the Middle East, but that in the background is what's been going on now for quite some time with Palantir and the fascist government.
They're moving straight ahead with all of that.
And I also have to say that the East-West divide, I'm not so sure, especially with China being the social model for the social credit score system.
I'm not so sure that the Eastern powers, Russia, aren't part of that whole movement for one world government.
I'm not totally believing that they have even the power to basically have national sovereignty be the norm.
We haven't been moving in that direction.
And I think the agenda for one world government and depopulation is still full speed ahead.
Brian, a final thought?
Doctrine, constitutions, legal theories, those aren't power.
Power is the power to break the law.
And I would like to believe that there was an enforcement structure that could enforce the Geneva Convention against America right now.
But I just don't, I don't think it's out there.
We are using our hegemony power to break the law.
Israel is using their power, blackmail power combined with other powers to break the law.
Everybody breaks the law because power begins to break itself through that.
And when there's no global enforcement authority, all those contracts and doctrines and legal theories don't matter whatsoever.
What matters is the man with the gun.
Don, take us out.
Oh, wow.
Have to take us out on this.
Well, it seems like we got a real power struggle in this world here.
And the powers are really showing their powers as positively as they can in light of what all is happening in this crazy world here on March the 23rd, 2026.
Boy, spring is springing or, you know, things are springing loose.
So you want to come back for a second hour.
Hopefully it's not going to be as hot as this one, but who knows?
Come on back and find out.
Thank you for watching and thanks for showing us post this wherever you can.