Glenn Beck and John Solomon dissect the Iran-Israel conflict's impact on global oil markets, linking geopolitical strain to eschatological warnings about civilization's collapse. They reveal how U.S. intelligence allegedly withheld evidence of Chinese voter data espionage due to analyst bias against Donald Trump, while estimating $500–$700 billion in annual federal fraud could be saved by enforcing existing laws. Beck contrasts Lindsey Graham's military proposals with his cautionary navigation analogy, urging listeners to heed intuition over social media noise and prepare for potential calamity through faith and truth. [Automatically generated summary]
It's really about staying the course and making sure you know how to judge truth and how diligent you need to be on that.
I told a story of a ship that was going to go from New York to London, ends up in Miami.
How did that happen?
I'll tell you that story also.
Find that still small voice.
And you're picking people to listen to.
Be careful because we're entering a new time in world and global and man's history.
Also, John Solomon is here with a recap of all of the news of the day.
Really fascinating stuff, especially about the war that you don't want to miss.
All on today's podcast.
War affects supply chains.
And right now, one of the most important shipping routes in the world, the Strait of Hormuz, along Iran's southern border, is under massive strain.
About 20% of the world's oil passes through it.
And when conflicts in that region happen, it is effectively closed right now.
Consequences will ripple out fast.
Air freight costs have already soared by as much as 400%.
Some shipping routes now require detours that add close to a million dollars to a single voyage.
And those costs are passed right along to you.
Experts are warning that this could escalate before it even starts to settle down.
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Hello, America.
You know we've been fighting every single day.
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The Movement Needs Your Voice00:05:47
I want you to take a look at the world that we are standing in.
A war with Iran that has already drawn in the United States and Israel and starting to separate people.
Oil routes are threatened, missiles crossing borders, regional powers trembling, the Vatican pleading for bombs to stop.
There is a description of these times at the end of the Bible.
It's wars and rumors of wars.
And that's the way everything kind of feels right now.
You know, you might have heard your father, your grandfather say, there are no atheists in a foxhole.
The prospect of war, even one across the world, makes people reach for ancient stories and holy books, whether you're religious or not.
It happens.
And there is something unsettling that is going on.
And something about this war in particular that makes us think about the ancient world and the beginning of everything, but also the end of everything.
You know, whether that's nuclear war or the apocalypse, things that none of us want to think about.
We don't want to think about those things.
Christians believe that upheaval, apostasy, calamity, a moral collapse are signs of the end.
But we don't know when that end is.
This has happened over and over again all throughout history.
Some Jews look at Israel restored in their land, surrounded by enemies, and asking whether, wow, is history moving to the place where the Messiah, as promised to the Jews, is coming?
Muslims, especially with the Shia eschatology, they hear this language of oppression and chaos and deception and war and ask whether is Trump the Dajal?
Is he the Antichrist?
They're actually saying that in parts of the Middle East.
He might be the Antichrist.
Is the Mahadi coming?
And their own tradition speaks of widespread injustice and the Mahadi being revealed.
Jesus comes back, but not as Jesus, as, you know, anyway, the deceiver falling, the great Satan falling, and history rushing towards a reckoning.
So let me talk to you about what's happening here.
What do you see happening?
The world's great faiths are not suddenly agreeing on every doctrine.
They're doing something more haunting than that.
They are all staring at the same storm, each from a different tower, each from a different text, each with a different vocabulary, but they're all looking at the horizon and saying in one form or another, this may not be ordinary.
Civilizations don't merely collapse from bad economics or failed diplomacy.
Sometimes they do.
They collapse when they lose any sense that eternity has a claim on them.
When nothing is sacred and everything becomes negotiable, and we have been here in the last 25 years, marriage is negotiable.
Truth is negotiable.
Whose truth?
What truth?
Your truth.
Children become negotiable.
They're not your children.
They belong to somebody else, the school, the state.
We can do whatever you want because they're not underage, really.
We can adjust their body.
How do you know what sex is?
Justice is negotiable.
Even human life is negotiable.
And once people have lost the permanent, they become the perfect prey for the intermediate.
And that's where we are right now.
And believe it or not, everyone in every land on planet Earth is prey.
We are all distracted by notification.
We are hypnotized by politics.
We are consumed by work.
We're buried in debt.
We're entertained to death.
We're arguing about personalities while the foundations of the world shake beneath our feet.
And yet we don't stop and say, what are we really arguing for here?
Isn't there something bigger here?
The deepest question is not whether this is the end of days.
The deepest question is, if it were the end of days, would we even notice?
Or are we all too busy scrolling, too busy branding ourselves, too busy chasing comfort, too busy treating the soul like an afterthought?
I've been thinking about this a lot over the last few weeks, and It is important that you hear me.
If there's even a possibility that this is such a time, then our conversations are absurd.
We should be talking less about who won the clip of the day war and more about whether we are right with our Maker.
Less about endless outrage machine and more about repentance and forgiveness and courage and discipline and empathy and mercy.
When's the last time your social media said to you, what kind of man are you becoming?
When's the last time you pondered that?
What kind of a woman am I becoming?
Beyond Outrage and Confusion00:13:16
What have I taught through my actions, through the way I live my life?
What have I taught my children to worship?
Comfort?
Success?
Identity?
Tribe?
Or truth?
Do they know what truth is?
Have I made peace with my neighbor?
Have I made peace with my family?
Have I told my family what matters most and am I living my life that way?
Have I lived my life as though history is random?
Or have I lived my life and am I living my life today, knowing that one day I will have to answer for the life and for every minute I was given.
For over 30 years, I have made a living looking ahead.
Connecting dots.
Sometimes seeing patterns before they fully form.
And if you've listened to me for any length of time, you know this already, but there's a lot of times I am not right.
I'll say it.
There are a lot of times I am out and out wrong.
Things I misunderstood.
Times I moved too fast.
Times I trusted the wrong sources.
Filled in the gaps with my own conclusions.
That's real and that's all on me.
But there is another part of my record that matters.
Because when you step back and you look at the arc, there are moments, if you've been listening to me for a long time, that are hard to ignore.
In 1999, I spoke about Osama bin Laden and I said there will be a major terrorist attack on New York City with blood, bodies, and buildings in the streets.
Two years later, it happened.
In the early 2000s, I warned about our financial system stressed beyond reason, something that could snap and take the world down with it.
In 2008, it did.
I thought it would lead us to a Great Depression.
I was wrong because I didn't see TARP.
But when I saw TARP, I said these interventions, the bailouts, they're going to stabilize thing in the short term.
They'll fundamentally change our system and they will delay a deeper reckoning.
And that deeper reckoning is still ahead.
It's not a victory lap.
This is a timeline.
I've talked about the ideological movements, the Marxist, anarchists, Islamists forming strange alliances that nobody said could, nobody could say they would ever do.
I was crazy for saying it.
I warned that they would create chaos in the Middle East and then chaos in Europe and it would lead to massive migration waves that would test the cohesion of all Western nations.
It would come here to America and cause chaos in America and its plan was to topple the Western world and Western civilization.
That was something that was nuts when I first said it.
It's not really now, is it?
Years ago, I spoke about artificial intelligence in terms that sounded extreme at the time, that we could reach something like AGI around 2030, that it would disrupt not 5 or 10% of our jobs, but something closer to half of our jobs.
That put me back then way on the edge of the fringe, lunatic fringe.
Now I'm much closer to the center of the conversation.
And that wasn't about jobs.
That was about losing truth.
So how do you reconcile the two truths that I have, that I'm wrong a lot, and then I have these things that are like shocking?
Here's the only answer I can give you.
I know the difference between when I'm reasoning something out and when something feels placed in front of me.
And you can call that intuition, you can call that pattern recognition, you can call that experience.
I call it listening to the spirit.
I'm not going to force that on you, but I will tell you I don't take credit for the moments that turned out right because I know they were not engineered or reasoned out by me.
I know it and only I know it.
So I can't prove that to you.
But I have learned the hard way to be very, very careful about telling those two things apart.
Because when it's just me, when it's just my analysis, my guess, my conclusion, I hold that loosely.
I expect to be challenged.
I expect to revise.
It's why I say to you all the time in monologues, especially in the last few months, but especially about this war, I don't know.
I could be wrong on this.
That's me.
I'm trying to send you a signal.
Whenever you hear me say that, I'm sending you the signal.
This is my pattern recognition ability.
It is my reason.
It's a chance that I am really wrong on this.
That's what I'm trying to tell you when I say that.
But when it's something else, something that arrives fully formed and also as a weight and a clarity and an urgency, I have learned do not dismiss or ignore it.
And that's what I want to talk to you about today.
I'm not going to make a prediction or lay out a timeline or a headline.
I today want to pass a warning I feel more than compelled to share with you.
Time matters right now in a way that is hard to explain with any kind of chart or data.
The world is not falling apart randomly.
There is a direction to it and there is awareness beyond what we can see.
I feel compelled to tell you none of this is a surprise to God.
None of this is catching him off guard.
None of this is outside of his view and neither are you.
I believe deeply that people are being called quietly, individually, across different faiths, countries, different lives, not all with the same words, but with the same pull.
You might feel it yourself.
a pull to get closer to him, to simplify, to spit yourself out of the system, to return to the basics of how we are supposed to live.
And I don't mean go live in a log cabin.
I mean the way you're supposed to live in your own home.
Because the times ahead are not going to be easy.
There is going to be confusion.
If you think you're confused now, you won't.
You haven't seen anything.
And there are going to be voices, loud, convincing voices that will try to pull you off course.
And some will sound really righteous.
Some, you will agree.
Listen to everything, but mainly listen to him.
Some will sound like they're right for a while.
1% off course is going to make a big difference.
They will sound urgent and they will sound like they have all the answers.
They don't.
I don't.
I don't.
I was talking with my staff this morning about the state of America and we talked about how it reminds us of the battles in the Bible where the enemy is just consumed with the spirit of confusion, like a fog over their camp.
And they just start killing their brothers and their allies instead of who they're supposed to be fighting.
They just all turn on each other.
That fog has clearly fallen over America.
And we're watching right now the left rip itself apart for years and it gobble other parts of the left.
And now the right is joining in.
But beyond politics, we're ripping each other apart in our own families, in our marriages.
The spirit of confusion has us attacking the people we're supposed to be fighting with and not against.
And it is a thick, thick fog.
And it's easy to get lost in if you don't have your footing.
If you're not grounded in something deeper than what's happening right now, you can and will get lost.
Now, let me give you some good news.
We make it.
We make it.
It's going to be fascinating to see how God solves all this, but we make it.
However this unfolds, however difficult the road becomes, the story doesn't end in darkness.
There is something on the other side that is glorious and worth enduring for.
Something better than what anyone has ever known.
But getting there requires preparation.
Not just in what you store or plan, but in who you are.
One of these days, I'm going to tell you some things about.
I always know when trouble is coming because I come under attack and my family is under attack now like it's never been.
I mean, it's been bad in other times, but and it's it's playing on me.
You have to get these things cleared up.
Your family matters.
Your faith matters.
Your daily choices matter more than any headline.
I told my wife yesterday we have to double our work on feeding the hungry.
We have to double our work on telling the truth, leaving your sins, loving your children fiercely, like they're the only thing that matters.
Honor your vows.
Pray like heaven is real.
Read the ancient words again.
Stand down from hatred.
Step away from the lie that politics will save only what repentance can save.
And you know what?
I hope I'm wrong.
And, you know, if this is not the beginning of some grand chapter, those are still the right things to do.
We all need to live our life as if, you know, the life that we live as if the Messiah is near is the life we should live, even if he's not.
So don't get distracted.
Don't chase every new voice.
Don't trust any voice, including mine.
Trust the still small voice.
Don't dismiss it ever.
Do it.
Do what he tells you to do.
And you know the difference between yours and his.
It's usually something you don't want to do.
Then do it.
But time is short.
Strengthen your relationship in God in whatever way you understand.
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Election Influence Op Concerns00:14:22
Now back to the podcast.
This is the best of the Glenn Beck program.
Let me go to John Solomon.
I know your site is leading with the Chinese spy.
Can you give us an update on that, John, before we get into the rest of the news of the day?
Yeah, listen.
Five years, almost six years after the U.S. intelligence community first discovered that China had gained access to Americans' voter registration data, we're finally finding out the Congress had no idea.
The president had no idea.
The American public had no idea.
And that's kind of remarkable because two years ago in Great Britain, when Great Britain revealed that its voter registration data had been accessed by China, hacked by China, there was national recrimination.
There was a national crisis.
Major changes to security.
There were people who were fired.
There were hearings and blue ribbon panels.
Great Britain took such a breach of the election system very seriously.
But in America, the CIA, FBI, the DHS, in the end of the Trump and the beginning of the Biden era, just deep sixed it.
Didn't let anybody know.
So we head into the 2026.
Not even the president.
Yeah, does not evidence that the president.
The reason I say that is because we have now a report from the ombudsman for the United States intelligence community.
And that ombudsman wrote that his name is Barry Zoloff.
And he wrote that this evidence was kept from the president himself, specifically because U.S. intelligence analysts inside the CIA, inside the FBI, inside the Homeland Security Department, didn't like Donald Trump.
They called him the Vulgarian in the Oval Office.
That's actually what they wrote about their commander-in-chief in their own emails.
And that they chose not to brief on this because they didn't want Donald Trump's policies on China to succeed.
So you have an intelligence committee caught red-handed, putting their political interest ahead of their country's interest.
John, when is any of this going to make any difference?
Well, it's a great question, right?
We're a week into these revelations.
The White House hasn't driven a narrative from the podium.
You don't see Carolyn Levin talk about it on the podium, even though the evidence is absolutely dispositive.
We've put the declassified evidence into the president has put it up on truth.
He's raised some concerns about it.
The President's Intelligence Advisory Board, chaired by Devin Nunes, they announced today that they're going to be investigating this.
Senator Ron Johnson is seeking the documents from the Senate Public Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.
But the administration, which has everything to gain in helping the American people understand this, fix it.
For instance, we got a debate going on in the Senate right now over the SAVE Act, the Save America Act.
None of the senators know if their state was hacked by China.
That's something that the Trump administration bureaucracy could do today.
They could set up briefings for the senators and give them that information.
I don't know.
I don't know.
Apparently they can only handle one thing at a time.
Democrats can handle five things at a time, right?
But we seem preoccupied.
This administration has proven that they can handle 100 things at a time.
I don't buy into that.
Yeah, well, if they choose to.
But here's a situation.
They knew it was coming.
The White House knew this was coming.
The CIA knew it was coming.
The DNI knew it was coming.
They released the documents.
But they've yet to contact the senators and tell them what states are there.
And so I continue to ask those questions.
Who wins?
More coming.
Who wins if we don't pay attention to this?
I'm trying to figure out motive on why you wouldn't say anything.
I think there's a gain, right?
China wins if their capabilities are still preserved because there hasn't been the sort of alert that Great Britain did.
And then one could argue the Democratic Party does it.
And I say that only because of the documents that Kash Patel released last June that we broke here at Just the News in June of last year, that China sent tens of thousands of fake driver's licenses into Chicago Her Report to be distributed around the country.
And the goal of that, according to the FBI's own counterintelligence sources inside China, was for China to register people, fake people, to vote for Joe Biden, help Joe Biden beat President Trump in the 2020 election.
Now, we intercepted those, but it's pretty clear that China either has a preference with the Democratic Party or some sort of alliance with the Democratic Party based on what the FBI wrote.
John, can you believe you live in this time?
I mean, any other time in our lifetimes, this would have shut everything down.
Yeah, right.
We should shut everything down.
We should put our defenses up.
We should fix it.
By the way, it's eminently fixable.
But the partisan divide in America makes everybody see red when they want to see green and green when they want to see red.
There is no bipartisanship.
Party becomes before country.
And you see this sort of gridlock driven by partisan blockage.
It's terrifying.
How is the Save America Act?
You've judged these things for forever.
You've seen them.
Anything going to happen again?
I think it gets skinnied down.
I think at the end of the day, some of the other provisions, including a ban on absentee voting for most Americans, will be preserved because several red states like Arizona do it.
Georgia does it.
Florida does it pretty effectively.
But if they skinny it down to voter ID and to citizenship checks, which are 85% popular in the American public, there's a good chance that they can pick up six or seven senators, particularly when senators start to find out that their state was act and one of the targets of this Chinese influence operation.
I think that's a very big thing.
That's going to come out.
Listen, we're going to keep on the CIA.
We're going to keep on the DNI.
We are going to find out which states there are.
We're told it's as many as 18.
We're going to stay on it until every state knows that they were impacted by China's mal influence operations.
Do you have any states so far?
None, none whatsoever.
Nope.
But we expect that in the next ranch of documents.
Talk to me a little bit about the FBI.
They seize the records for Maricopa County.
This seems like a million years ago now.
And are we re-litigating this or have they found anything significant?
I think in Georgia and Fulton County and Arizona, Maricopa County, the two big urban centers, the metropolises for voting in those two states, the goal of the FBI is to find out, much like at the end of the day, gangsters sometimes get caught not on their mobster activities, but sometimes on taxes or technical violations, to hold accountable those state and city and county officials who didn't follow their state election laws.
There's one unique part to the laws that the Democratic Party helped pass in the 1960s, and it says that if a state doesn't follow the laws on the books for the elections, and it does so knowingly and willingly, by the way, a county and a city as well, if there's a knowful and willful effort not to follow the laws on the books for the state election, when it's a federal election, it becomes a federal offense.
And so I think what the FBI is trying to create, what the Justice Department is trying to create, is deterrence, which is we may prosecute people for not following the laws in 2022 and 24 so that they do follow the laws going forward in elections.
What are those laws?
Keeping the voter rolls dirty when they're supposed to be cleaned up.
You see a lot of problems with that.
Just last week, Harmeet Dillon reviewed.
She's going through some of these voter rolls.
She's found tens of thousands of non-citizens who made it onto the voter rolls, and she hasn't even gotten to California and New York and some of the big states yet.
That's a problem.
The law in those states says that non-citizens should not be on the voter rolls.
Changing the ballot so that the ballots go out whether someone requests them or not.
Some states ban that from happening or they don't do a voter identification like signature matches or which are required in Arizona or photo ID matches, which were required in Wisconsin but waived in some circumstances in 2020.
If those officials are showed to have done that in violation of the laws that their legislatures put out, they can be charged federally.
And that'll be the first accountability we had for a loosey-goosey election system that has kind of been wandering about without structure for about 20 years now.
It just gets worse every election.
We're now seeing an administration committed to holding the states to the laws they say around the book so that everybody's treated equally.
And if you don't do it, you could be prosecuted.
That'd be refreshing.
I believe it when I see it.
The next thing on this same kind of subject is JD Vance going in after all of the corruption.
And John, I firmly believe I'll bet you a third of our deficit is just waste and bribery and corruption.
And it's going to be found everywhere.
It is.
Are we making any progress on this?
And will anybody actually be held accountable?
I believe that a system is falling into place right now.
We're seeing in Minnesota mass prosecutions.
We're up over 120 people.
That's a large criminal case.
I think at the end of the day, California is just starting to ramp up.
New Yorkers start ramping up.
You are exactly right.
If you look at the GAO report, it estimates anywhere from $500 to $700 billion a year, which is about a third of the discretionary budget of the United States, is wasted.
Either through going to dead people, going to ineligible people, going to foreign conmen, going to domestic conmen or con women.
That is something that you don't need Congress to fix if you just enforce the rules that are on the book.
And there's some really simple things that I think you'll see JD Vance get done right away.
Most grant programs, most entitlement programs still don't check the dead person database at the Social Security before sending out a check.
Now, that's just simple, basic due diligence.
That could save a lot of money here, tens of billions of dollars just doing that.
Checking to see if someone says that they're living in Alabama, but their check is being sent to Moldova or Russia, not to pick on any particular country, that would find a lot of the foreign fraud that we saw rampant during the COVID-19.
It's like that easy, literally that easy.
I have a former comptroller of the United States, who's, I think, one of the smartest guys to, he's been saying this for 20 years.
Nobody's been listening to him.
I think JD Vance has dialed in these three simple recommendations from the Comptroller of the United States.
The third is go in.
Every year, the GAO identifies high-risk programs, programs that clearly don't have protections in place and have a long history of wasting money.
Just implement the recommendations, which most agencies have not done.
Those three things, the Comptroller of the United States said could save between $300 and $500 billion a year.
Not a single law needs to be passed by Congress.
Not a single recision needs to happen.
Just that alone.
If JD Vance achieved that, that would be an extraordinary gift to the American public.
Is that why they went after Ilema so hard?
Oh, yeah.
You're hanging over the Holy Grail.
And you see now what the Holy Grail looks like, right?
When you dissect Minnesota, it is a plot that the Democrats have.
First, open up the border, then get nonprofits to move people to the blue cities and blue states where you're trying to ramp up your apportionment, where you're trying to ramp up your representation, where you're trying to ramp up your federal funds algorithm, and then keep them there by letting them defraud programs so that they're happy and they're making good money off the taxpayer, because then you get another congressional seat or you get an X amount of extra billions of dollars a year.
It's that coordinated.
We see it.
That's why when these whistleblowers came out in Minnesota and said, we told the governor, we told the attorney general they weren't interested in looking at it.
There's a system that the Democrats have built.
And I think right now, for the first time, you're seeing it being dismantled piece by piece.
I fear, you know, politicians or politicians, I don't care left or right.
You think this is happening in the red states as well?
Oh, absolutely.
It happens everywhere at the end of the day because what happens is the headbone's connected to the shoulder bone, the backbone, down to the leg bone.
By the time they get to the leg bone, there's some man or woman in a blue city, in a red state, that's deciding whether you're going to get that money or not, whether I'm going to check the voter, the dead database.
And so getting, because the federal distributions keeps going downstream, it eventually gets to either a crooked or an incompetent bureaucracy at the local level that administers those funds.
That's what you see in Minnesota most times.
Everybody knew there were problems with the autism program.
Everybody knew there were problems with the food program.
Everybody knew there were problems with the child care program.
But the people at the bottom of the food chain, they didn't care and they didn't intervene.
Now, did they not care for political reasons?
Did they not care because they just weren't good at their job?
We don't know the answer to that.
But when those people start getting indicted because they weren't good stewards of the money, you're going to see the system tighten up pretty quickly.
And I think that's the next wave of indictments.
All right.
We got the fraudsters and the con men, at least in Minnesota.
Now the question is, who downstream is getting investigated?
We've seen criminal referrals from James Comer, looking at some of the people in the state government.
We've got whistleblowers that have dates and times and names of when people were told and didn't act.
When state officials start getting and county and city officials start getting indicted for not protecting the federal funds that they were entrusted with, that's when the system is going to tighten up really quick because that's where all the abuse occurs downstream from Uncle Sam.
You're listening to the best of the Glenn Beck podcast.
Hear more of this interview and others with the full show podcast available wherever you get podcasts.
Welcome to the Glenn Beck program.
So all weekend, the Dow Jones were just, it was taking a bath and it was the worst week ever.
And today, the Dow Jones is up, almost 700 points.
Why?
Because Trump just said things are going well in Iran.
Can we not be the Dow Jones?
Ground Troops and Iran Update00:04:13
Can we not be whatever the latest is on what somebody has just said to make us feel really, really bad or really, really good?
You don't want to be like that.
You know, that just leads to absolute disaster because nobody has any idea.
We are so confused right now.
And that is part of this age, confusion and chaos.
And spit yourself out of that system.
If you are feeling confused and chaotic, find the things that make you feel anchored and don't avoid what's going on.
As you will understand, next hour, I'm going to be talking about something that is really, you know, the top three things probably I've ever had to say on broadcast.
In reality, number one thing I've ever had to say on broadcast, but you'll understand when I get there.
You need to listen to next hour.
But without any kind of despair or lies in your life, you just have to know what the truth is and then just keep pushing forward on the truth.
You know, I was just talking about Lindsey Graham and what he said over the weekend.
This guy has never met a war he doesn't like.
I want you to listen to Lindsey Graham, what he just said.
Here's what I tell President Trump.
Keep it up for a few more weeks.
Take Carg Island where all of the resources they have to produce oil.
Control that island.
Let this regime down upon.
Is this going to, though, take Carg Island?
Is it going to involve U.S. troops on the ground?
Let me just read you something.
The Atlantic does an assessment on that.
They say U.S. troops may well take Carg Island.
We believe their ability to do so, but only to endure ballistic missile strikes, drone attacks, petrochemical smoke, all without a reliable means of obtaining logistical support.
This has been an amazing military operation.
God bless the fallen.
But it's a difference when we talk about troops on the ground.
I trust the Marines, not that guy.
I trust D.O.D. We got two Marine expeditionary units sailing to this island.
We did Iwo Jima.
We can do this.
Okay, Iwo Jima, not a good example.
Why?
It was a slaughter.
It was a meat grinder.
We lost so many people in Iwo Jima.
If you're willing to do that, okay, then we have to have a different kind of conversation with the American people because the American people do not have a stomach, have the stomach for a meat grinder.
They don't really even understand what the objective is at this point.
You know, we've been promised this is going to be a short-lived thing.
We're not going to have ground troops, et cetera, et cetera.
And, you know, then you throw in Iwo Jima?
No, no.
But let me show you how easy it is to get lost on this.
Here's Lindsey Graham saying, you know, the guy has never met a war he doesn't like.
And we should do this.
We should do this.
We should do this.
I am saying we don't have a choice now, whether you like it or not.
don't have a choice.
We have to, we have to fight this to win this.
I don't know what that means.
And if you're talking about ground troops, that's a whole different conversation.
But you could listen to this and say, well, Glenn Beck's saying the same thing that Lindsey Graham is saying.
No, no, no, we're not.
No, we're not.
Same thing could be said a little while ago.
I was saying, this is becoming very, very concerning.
And we are in trouble, I think.
And we just have to be very, very careful.
Now, you could listen to that and say, Glenn Beck is against this war, just like, you know, Joe Kent is.
Well, no, I'm not saying the same thing that Joe Kent is.
Joe Kent is against the war and says this could be very, very bad.
Glenn Beck is saying, I don't know about this war.
I trust the president.
I trust our military, but I'm very nervous about it.
But, you know, if we're going to go deeper into it, that changes the ballgame here.
I need to hear more from the president of the United States.
Similar, maybe.
Staying On Course Carefully00:06:36
But what Joe does is he goes further.
This is how you get lost.
Let me tell you a story.
Let me tell you a story about a ship.
It's in New York Harbor and it's got a 100-day crossing.
It's going to take 100 days to go to England and it's planning on docking in England.
And everybody is ready to go to England.
They're all very excited.
But none of them really know how to read the stars.
You know, they trust the compass and a few charts, but they're not sure of the compass, how that really works either.
But the word is, you know, who's ever at the wheel, just hold her steady, just hold her steady.
Okay.
London that way.
Few degrees here and there won't matter, right?
Well, let's just say that every day the ship runs on the old tradition of four-hour watches.
So somebody's got the helm.
That's six times a day, 24 hours.
The helmsman's change.
And each time a new man takes the wheel, something small happens.
Okay.
The first helmsman, he's tired from the night before.
So he just swings it one degree too far south, close enough.
No one's going to notice a single degree on a ship this big.
He's not wicked.
He's not just lazy.
He might be tired that hour.
Next guy comes in, glances at the compass, thought the previous course looks right enough, but he's off by a degree.
This time, it's just easier on his shoulders because he's sore.
He was working out, you know.
Third man, distracted by a story he was telling, drifted another degree.
And so it goes on night after night, watch after watch.
Not one of them choosing the wrong course.
Not one of them saying, all of them believing we're going to London.
But just a tiny misjudgment.
Not wrong, just not right.
Almost right.
By one degree.
One degree at a time.
Well, by the end of the first week, the ship is now 10 degrees off course.
No one noticed.
Sea looks the same.
Wind still feeling the sails.
Daily log, steady as she goes.
Second week, the drift is now 20 degrees.
Officers shrug.
We'll correct it tomorrow.
Well, tomorrow never comes.
The mathematic, the mathematics of the sea, merciless.
Same of the air.
Same with life.
London, initially, 51 degrees from New York.
Florida, a sunny beach, 201 degrees.
The difference is 150 degrees.
At one degree of error per watch, six watches a day, the ship needed 150 shifts to swing from London all the way around going to Florida.
The 25th day, the helmsman on the day watch feels the wheel answer strangely.
It's a little light in his hands.
He checks the compass.
He kind of blinks.
The card shows 201 degrees.
Dead on for Miami.
The ship is no longer almost headed for London.
It's headed for Florida.
The coast of England is now behind them and to the north.
The coast of Florida is somewhere just over the southern horizon and drawing nearer every time.
How did it happen?
How did this happen?
Imagine being the captain.
Well, I guess, I mean, how did it happen?
I mean, nobody really failed.
There wasn't one failure of one guy.
No one had mutinied.
No great storm had blown them off course.
Just a thousand tiny decisions, each one easy, each one smaller, each one almost right until they were headed towards Miami.
That's life.
You're going to hear from a lot of people, including me, that might be almost right.
In your life, we must be correct for your course.
You must be correct.
What is your compass?
What is the thing that you check every day and go, am I on course?
Because I have news for you.
Social media, it's going to take you one to 10 degrees off course, but you could do it every day.
And it's just a little, just a fraction of a degree off course every day because of social media.
You could get so wrapped up in your worry of war and politics and everything else that that could take you a fraction of a degree to 20 degrees off course.
You could start listening to somebody like me.
Let me use me as an example.
And you're like, yeah, that guy's right.
But you're not listening entirely to everything that I say.
And so if you're just blindly following, you're like, well, but I agree with him, but I might be headed in a place where you don't want to go.
We have to be very, very, very careful on the influences in our life.
We have to be much more discerning on everything that we do.
And every life is about to change.
And we all need to be aware that we are in charge of our course and setting it every day and be aware of the little things.
My shoulders hurt.
So, you know, I'm just going to let it drift a degree.
Everything we do has a consequence and we don't notice it until we're headed towards, well, this sounds like a good thing, until we're headed towards Miami and not to London.
We don't notice it until it is way off course.
Just be careful.
The little decisions matter.
Life, like the sea, keeps exact and perfect Arithmetic.