BUY CAST BREW COFFEE TO SUPPORT THE SHOW - https://castbrew.com/ Become A Member And Protect Our Work at http://www.timcast.com Host: Tim Pool @Timcast (everywhere) Guest: My Second Channel - https://www.youtube.com/timcastnews Podcast Channel - https://www.youtube.com/TimcastIRL Charlie Kirk Assassination Sparks Civil War Fears | Tim Pool
Anyone who is declaring it should stop, which is actually a really fascinating headline in that it is inadvertently a direct quote from me from like seven or eight years ago, in which I pointed out that when civil war happens, you will not be able to get off-season, out-of-season fruits.
There's always a little bit of truth, but an overestimation.
The real threat, in my opinion, comes from the left.
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And the reason why is that the fringes of the right wing that engage in violence are renounced, are rejected by the right.
The person who killed Charlie Kirk based on all available evidence, that which has been presented by the FBI, the DOJ, as well as even confirmed by Axios with six sources, the shooter was motivated by trans ideology, likely because of a roommate or lover that this man lived with that was trans.
There's evidence that numerous trans individuals had foreknowledge of the shooting saying specific dates and Charlie Kirk, something was going to happen to him, things of that nature.
Now, we don't know exactly for sure, and the investigation is still underway.
But right now, all evidence points to defense of transgender ideology against Charlie Kirk, who had just answered a question about transgender mass shooters when he was shot and killed.
That is, you will see run-of-the-mill moderate Democrats espousing this ideology.
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You will see the most moderate of liberals claiming, making claims in line with this ideology.
The violence that we see from the far left is not being denounced.
They are celebrating it, and now they are deflecting, putting up lies, claiming that it was Nick Fuentes who in fact radicalized a right-wing griper into killing a conservative, which makes literally no sense.
Now, by all means, the liberals are going to tell each other that clearly the right-wing is just so dangerous that they kill each other.
They're going to say that I'm lying.
They're going to say I'm wrong.
I've brought some receipts, but this video is not so much talk about who's responsible, but more so what's happening and approach it from a bit of an analytical point of view.
I'm sure all of you have the question, is this a civil war?
Hence, it is trending.
It is trending on X and on Google.
And all of these articles have been written.
I want to read for you a bit from this, from the Independent, the reaction to Charlie Kirk's murder proves America is closer than ever to its next civil war.
I won't read the full thing, but there are some points Stephen Marsh makes that I want to read with you.
He says, we'll start from the beginning.
It took days for the suspect in the shooting of Charlie Kirk to be named, but the identity of the killer and his reasons for killing hardly matter in the wider picture.
Political violence already surging will surge further.
America will continue further down the road to the perdition of the republic.
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When I published the next civil war in 2022, the experts on civil war and assassination I spoke with were clear with me.
What is uniquely dangerous about the current moment the United States faces is not the political violence in itself, but the collective reaction to it.
America is now, and it has always been an outlier for political violence.
Americans could not agree that that was unacceptable.
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I don't want to promote or identify people on social media who crowd about the death, crowd about the death, like their teammate just won a football game, but on my feeds at least, it was not limited to a few cranks or extremists.
What about the children killed in Colorado?
It was a perfectly common sentiment.
Anyone on the left who imagines the political assassination of their opponents is going to lead to more stability or a better America is seriously, seriously diluted.
The right in America has responded with blood-curdling threats of retribution.
Donald Trump blamed the radical left for the shooting and promised a crackdown, saying its rhetoric is directly responsible for the terrorism that we are seeing in our country today.
In his Oval Office address, he then omitted violence against Democrats from a list of politically motivated attacks, incidents of what he termed radical left political violence.
I am not aligned with the far left transgender ideology, even when I'm saying I'm willing to use their preferred pronouns.
It's not enough.
But then they say Groipers killed Charlie Kirk.
Okay, so which is it?
I've never been threatened by a Groiper.
I've been asked for debates.
Why would they go after Charlie Kirk?
Why would a Grouper live with a trans person if that's all that was happening?
The truth is this.
It doesn't matter what you think is true.
It doesn't matter what even actually is true at the end of the day, because the left will believe what they deem to be true and the right will believe what they deem to be true.
And that is enough for each side to declare war on each other.
Already we're seeing people severing ties.
I have friends that have celebrated the death of Charlie Kirk and I do not want to ever interact with them again.
Charlie was my friend.
I'm not saying that I was best friends with the guy or we were really good friends or anything like that.
I'm saying I just texted him a week ago.
It's an absolutely insane feeling to me.
He had helped our crew.
He had been good to us.
He had moved mountains to have us be a part of his events.
He had come on the show numerous times.
I have just behind me a drawing made by Jessica here at TimCast.
He really believed that the storming of the Capitol would be a wake-up call and that reasonable people would get together to put an end to political violence over roaming America.
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He was wrong.
The American people are developing a taste for the dehumanization of the other.
The right has so far been responsible for almost all of the political violence in the United States, but the left is fast catching up.
Luigi Mangayone, who shot a man for being the CEO of a health insurance company, has shrines in New York.
Now, here's where I would like to debunk.
You see, Stephen Marsh probably would admit this to be true, actually.
The problem we have with claiming the right is responsible for the violence is that Stephen Marsh told me he's referring to sovereign citizen types and anti-government or white supremacist types who actually have no place in mainstream modern American politics.
They exist on the fringes of what is only tangentially described as the right for some reason.
I don't know why racial identitarians are right-wing when Charlie Kirk said he wanted a race-neutral country and the favorite Supreme Court justice of everyone on the right is Clarence Thomas.
But you see what they do?
If a racist kills someone, he's right-wing.
And then Charlie Kirk, who is opposed to racism, is of the same political category.
Meanwhile, on the left, when George Floyd dies, every, every liberal, every Democrat, and every leftist is aligned on the issue of George Floyd, and they riot, and even Kamala Harris raises money.
I haven't spoken about the Charlie Kirk murder until now because we didn't know anything.
And since my channel was created not to report the news, but to make sense of it, I felt like the only responsible thing to do was to wait until there was more information.
It now appears that the person who shot and killed right-wing political commentator Charlie Kirk was like the majority of shooters in America, a young white male from a conservative, pro-gun, religious background.
That is to say, a man came from a religious background, and then you move on.
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But what if she actually explained the true facts of the individual?
He came from a religious background and came to reject it, or that his background had nothing to do with it.
There's more.
After being told for two straight days that the left had declared war on America, that the shooter was most likely trans, or in Congresswoman Nancy Mace's words, pro-tranny, after the Wall Street Journal published an article they had to later walk back, that the bullets had a pro-trans message because it turned out to be just the markings of one of the world's biggest ammunition factories.
Full stop.
That's a lie.
An abject, overt lie.
As we all know, one of the bullets said, hey, fascist, catch.
They're saying on the left that this was a video game reference.
Not that he actually shot Charlie Kirk, who was trans critical and has been called a fascist.
But when you have individuals like this that will not be honest at the bare minimum and say, here are the facts that we think we know, but will outright lie.
You may show the community notes.
Tyler Robinson is officially registered as unaffiliated.
Utah Governor Charlie Cox stated that he was indoctrinated by the left.
The governor said that.
While the shooter did come from a conservative background, the governor of Utah and the FBI have confirmed that leftist ideology was behind the murder.
I don't think that he was a leftist, hardcore leftist, but gender ideology is a left-aligned ideology, and it's aligned with mainstream Democrat positions.
This is not me saying this to condemn Democrats, but to point out, my friends, when liberals are dancing on the grave or lying about what happened to solidify their worldview, there is no reality in which we are sharing space.
You will go out and say Charlie Kirk did not insult black women.
All I'm saying is, when I tweet civil war because something happened, and I'm saying this is what's happening, they then write articles saying Tim Poole calls for a civil war.
I think it's the biggest mistake we'll make in this country.
I believe the left wants it because it'll destroy the Constitution.
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But what is true is the left will believe it.
They'll say the right is causing it.
Even Stephen Marsh called it toxic to pull down the flags to half mast for Charlie Kirk.
The LA Times.
Professor Kevin Waite had just finished a seminar on the run-up of the American Civil War on Friday when a student cautiously raised her hand.
Can I ask about the Charlie Kirk situation?
The student, he said, wondered whether recent events carried any echoes of the past.
Hyperbolic comparisons between modern political conflict and the horrific bloodshed of the past centuries have previously been the stuff of doomsday prepper threads on Reddit.
But this week's shooting made it mainstream topic of conversation.
While cautioning the country is nowhere near as fractured as it was when the Civil War erupted, Waite and other scholars of the period say they do increasingly see parallels.
Our current political moment is really resonating with the 1850s.
He and other scholars note similarities between the deployment of troops to American cities, widespread disillusionment with the Supreme Court, and spasms of political violence, especially from disaffected young men.
What we call polarization, they call sectionalism.
And I believe that's right.
And in the 1850s, there was a growing sense that the sections of the country were pulling apart.
Even before Kirk's alleged assassin was publicly identified as a 22-year-old who left anti-fascist messages, President Trump blamed the shooting on the radical left political violence.
Well, he was right, wasn't he?
Conservative influencers amplified the rhetoric.
With Trump ally Laura Loomer opposing an ex more people will be murdered if the left isn't crushed with the power of the state.
But it's a fact statement.
Aaron Danielson was shot and killed in cold blood by Michael Reinhold in Portland, simply walking down the street.
In Provo, Utah, a BLM rioter ran up to a car for no reason and shot the driver.
A man in a dress just last year showed up on our old property and physically attacked one of its residents.
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We don't even work there anymore.
That's how insane this is.
Now, I'm not saying the right's not violent or capable of it.
I think that the sections of the right that are are not part of Charlie Kirk's message.
They're not at Turning Point USA.
Mainstream Democrats, they fundraised for the BLM rioters who burned these cities down.
They called it in defense of looting.
We are not the same.
They want to say, some aspects of modern politics are worryingly similar.
What almost scares me more than the violence itself is the reaction to it.
It was paranoia, the perception that this violence was unstoppable that really sent the nation spiraling towards civil war in 1860 and 61.
Top of the mind for Wade was paramilitary political movements known as the Wide Awakes.
Hundreds of thousands of torch-toting, black-capped abolitionist youths who took to the streets out of frustration with their Republican reps.
There was this perception that anti-slavery, Republicans, hadn't sufficiently been aggressive, Wade said.
He believed that, he said, they believed that it was the slaveholders that were really pushing their agenda much more forcefully, much more violently, and anti-slavery politicians couldn't just sit down and take it anymore.
Most Democratic politicians of the era were fighting to expand slavery to the Western territories.
The Wide Awakes struck terror in their hearts.
For their political opponents, it was really a scary spectacle.
Anytime a cotton gin burned down in the South, they pointed to the Wide Awakes and other more radical anti-slavery slavery northerners.
This is arson.
The South was highly militarized.
Every adult white man was part of a local militia.
It was like a social club.
So it was easy to take these local militias and turn them into anti-abolitionist defense units.
Legal scholars have already noted striking similarities between Trump's use of the military to aid his mass deportation effort.
The Trump administration has leaned on constitutional maneuvers used to enforce the Fugitive Slave Act, a divisive law that empowered state slave catchers from the South to make arrests in northern states.
I argue it was the fugitive crisis more than the territorial crisis that drove the coming civil war.
The resistance in the North essentially made the fugitive slave law dead letter.
Now, I have made the argument, one idea, is that a potential path in this country towards civil war is the immigration of vice.
I'm sorry, of I'm sorry, the enforcement of immigration law.
Sorry.
If this is to follow a more social, liberal, left-aligned world, Then you get Trump arresting illegal immigrants through National Guard or through ICE.
The left rejects this and says, these are our neighbors and friends and they deserve rights.
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The left makes the argument that the right was seeking to restrict the human rights of undocumented citizens, which is a phrase they've used.
Should the right lose the Civil War, illegal immigrants will be granted amnesty, the borders will be opened, and the argument will be no person is illegal, and humans, regardless of citizenship status, get human rights.
That appears to be the liberal economic world order's agenda.
This would create a one-world state where anyone is free to move in any direction.
But with the end of slavery in the United States, which was nationwide and for hundreds of years and internationally, how things were handled, certain people were not free to move about and do whatever they wanted.
They were owned.
With the defeat of the Democrats by the Republicans, the North of the South, and eventually the total abolition of slavery, no longer could a person be owned.
The left is using similar logic right now.
If you enter the border in violation of our laws, it is the law that is unjust.
You are free to come.
And should the right lose, they will amend the Constitution to say all humans are granted these rights and can vote and can freely move about the country.
They will abolish the idea of citizenship, which is a massive goal of the liberal economic order.
If the right wins, however, the far left fringe ideology will be dismantled.
The United States will be protected, its borders restored, and this would be the end of the liberal economic order.
I don't know what's going to happen or who's going to win.
We don't know.
One thing that I find truly fascinating is that strawberries in winter, in this Atlantic Artillery article, they're not citing me, which I actually was, I thought they were actually quoting me.
It will not be unions of states aligning with each other and then going and saying, I hereby declare.
No, that's a different time.
Civil wars look like civil wars always have.
What does it mean for you?
You'll wake up one day and you will turn on the news and every few minutes will be a report about violence.
And that's exactly what's happening right now.
Again, this is more of a civil strife era, which is when bleeding Kansas, pre-Civil War, before you get full-scale warfare.
But I woke up, I turned on Fox News, and every other story was about something like this.
And now they tried blowing up a Fox truck.
That's what it looks like.
When things get heavy, when the United States, if it does come to a civil war, you will turn on the news, and Brett Bayer will say, in Texas, I-95 suffered massive damage after an IED explosion.
There were no injuries, though the road is going to be closed until further notice for repairs, obstructing trade.
For those of you in New York, you may not be able to get those strawberries in time for Christmas.
Moving on, we had a report out of California where the weather, that's what it's like.
There will be reports of shootings.
There will be a report of IEDs.
There will be a report of explosions.
And for most of you, it will be in some far-off land.
There will be battlefronts.
I don't know who will be fighting in them.
But it's not going to be for the most part in the beginning.
Large trucks of California National Guard rolling into D.C. against U.S. National Guard like in the movie Civil War.
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That's silly.
That's not what it would look like.
Because anybody who looks at what's going on around the world right now or has ever had any kind of basic training in this stuff, I'll tell you.
In Syria, there was a market, semi-residential.
People walking down the street with grocery bags.
Two men with rifles looking through the window of a building started shooting people.
There were no tanks.
There were no soldiers pulling up in APCs.
The two guys came in undetected into government territory, into Assad-controlled territory, and said they were going to start killing collaborators and government agents.
And that was it.
It means that one day you'll be walking down the street and you'll hear an explosion and you'll dock and you don't know where it is and you'll run home.
It means one day you'll be walking home, you'll hear gunshots and you won't know where it comes from and you'll run home.
It's a big country.
Civil war doesn't look like the movies.
People don't get it.
One day you'll be at home and you'll hear some gunshots while you sleep.
You'll peek out the window, careful not to get too close, and you'll see men, three or four with armor and guns, running through the streets.
And they'll be gone.
And you won't know why or what happened.
And you will just get your family together, hide in the basement, lock your doors.
Eventually, one day you'll wake up and there'll be a man on TV who says the war is over.
We've won.
And then they'll say, it's time for everyone on other faction to surrender and give up and lay down your arms.
If your side loses or wins, it doesn't even matter.
There will be a period of military dictatorship.
That's what history tells us.
Now, I don't know if that's what's going to happen.
But I can tell you when I go in line and they are lying intentionally and they believe the lies, all that really matters is they're saying, this is the world that I live in, and it is different from yours.
And that could be left or right.
So Stephen Morris sees something I see.
There's a bifurcation with no healing.
Neither side wants.
I mean, I don't personally, you know, I would argue that Charlie Kirk was the off-ramp who was saying debate, but the right was winning.