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Jan. 6, 2019 - Sargon of Akkad - Carl Benjamin
21:40
The No Deal Apocalypse
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So I guess the no-deal Brexit apocalypse is upon us and we're all gonna die.
If you've been reading the news about this at all, the media coverage of this has been ridiculous.
Just absolutely absurd.
And deliberately so on the part of these publications.
Basically two days ago the government said right okay prepare yourselves for a no-deal Brexit because it's looking that way because we can't get the EU to agree with us on anything and we're too weak to actually negotiate properly.
So we're going to end up crashing out of the European Union, which in my opinion is the optimal thing to do anyway, just from a sovereignty perspective.
But we're going to end up crashing out because of the incompetence of the Tories and the intransigence of the EU.
The deal that is on the table is the best and only deal possible and the EU27 leaders confirmed on the 13th of December in their conclusions that it will not be renegotiated.
So on the EU side we have started the process of ratification on this basis and we will now follow closely the ratification process in the UK.
We will be ready to start the preparations for negotiations on a future partnership immediately after the signature of the withdrawal agreement and, as I have said, for now no further meetings are foreseen between the Commission's negotiators and the UK negotiators, as negotiations have indeed been concluded and as again, as I explained, President Jungle His office, of course, always available to you central Prime Minister May's views with regards to the temporary nature of the backstop and the candidate for the data we have continued to pay for the back of the money.
The left and the company's officials where we are, is doing bureaucracy with Germans, which is wonderful.
Isn't that just what everyone wanted to have?
To spend their time talking about German bureaucracy?
But either way, they've decided that they're not going to negotiate on this at all, and now it's got to go through our parliament, and everyone knows it's going to get voted down, which is honestly one of the few things that RMPs are going to do right, but they're not even going to do it right for the right reasons.
In other words, the fucking sky is falling at least that's what they think, because they seem to live in this tiny bubble that distorts everything that goes into it.
Britain isn't the second largest net contributor to the European Union.
It's actually some tiny dependent island and without our magnanimous German overlords we would wouldn't be able to survive, except now it's looking like we're coming to leave and oh oh, they're not going to get the deal they want.
What happens if they don't get the deal they want?
Fuck.
Europeans will have to shut out billions more to fund Brussels budget if we quit the EU with a no-deal.
A top Eurocrat warned earlier today, God, you've got to love the way the sun writes it, haven't you?
EU'S German budget chief said that Europe would suffer without the 39 billion previously promised by Britain to pay after Brexit, which is unsurprising because 39 billion is a fucking enormous amount of money.
When asked what the impact would be, he said that depends on whether the British would be prepared to honour their rights and obligations until the end of 2019.
If that doesn't happen then next year a middling three figure million amount would be added to Germany.
I'm sure the German taxpayers are going to be thrilled about that.
That suggests the total extra contributions for the whole EU would end up being several billion euros to make up for the money they won't get from the UK.
Well obviously.
I don't know why they thought this was going to be one-sided.
I don't know why everyone is acting like it's us that's going to suffer.
I mean it looks like there might be problems on the continent and in Ireland.
Emergency EU aid sought for Brexit format.
No deal UK withdrawal will lead to massive losses for farmers.
Well that's not good news for the European Union is it?
But hey at least it's not going to cost us 39 billion now.
Dublin has already alerted the European Commission that it will be lobbying for emergency aid to cope with the fallout to Irish trade particularly for the beef, dairy and fishing sectors.
And this comes just at a time when Ireland is apparently under increasing pressure from key EU member states, France and Germany, to increase taxes on multinational high-tech companies in Ireland.
Oh, that's good news for your growing economy.
I wonder if Britain will lower taxes on multinational high-tech companies in our country.
I wonder if we'll encourage them to come here.
Oh, what's that?
We can do all of this unilaterally because we'll be an independent sovereign state.
Wow, that sounds like a really good idea.
It's almost like we should have fucking thought of this before.
It's almost like we should have done this on day one in 2016.
And how much are they after?
Well, Agriculture Minister Michael Creed told the Irish Independent that if and when a hard Brexit becomes a reality, Ireland will be making a case for a major grant aid.
Pay up, France and Germany.
What's that, yellow vests?
You're not happy about the fuel tax?
Oh dear.
I guess that the riots that have still been going on will continue to go on indefinitely.
For an eighth weekend, Yellow Vest protesters have converged on the Champs-Élysées in Paris.
They've also rallied in Bordeaux, Toulouse and Lyon.
They're outraged at the cost of living and President Emmanuel Macron's economic policies.
In December, Paris experienced its worst unrest in more than 50 years.
100 cars were torched and the Arc de Triomphe vandalised.
Paris will just be a continual burning dumpster fire of wasted money.
Good on you, European Union.
This is just perfect.
You're going great.
But on the plus side, it works really well for Britain.
We are going to destroy the European Union by accident and once again, save the continent from tyranny.
You're looking at hundreds of millions here.
Between the beef industry and the fishing industry, we're talking mega money.
The move for special aid would reverse a trend in Ireland, in which it was a net contributor to the EU.
So now you've lost two net contributors to the European Union.
Well, this project's going very well, isn't it?
I'm sure this is not going to be a problem.
Unlike the pro-European activists I spoke to the other day, I think this might have some knock-on effects.
But it seems that the second biggest contributors leaving, seems that there are massively Eurosceptic movements gaining ground all over Europe.
doesn't look very stable I don't know where you get the second biggest but we're the second biggest net contributor after Germany We contributed about 9%.
Germans contributed about 19.
So the gap is big.
Sure.
It's a big gap.
So it's a German project.
We're contributing a relatively small amount.
They can suck up.
We're the second biggest contributor.
But it's 9%.
They can survive that.
I don't think the Germans want to pay another 10 billion.
Do you think the Germans would want to?
No, but there's 27 other countries.
Most of them aren't net contributors.
No, but they would.
Well, yeah, but they're going to have to contribute a bit more.
How do the Swedes feel about paying extra money?
Oh, not too happy.
Not too fucking happy at all.
What do you want?
Another 15 billion kroner?
Yeah, no problem.
Just take it.
It's fine.
I mean, the finance minister's only saying, look, this is actually really unreasonable at this point.
But don't worry, that's fine.
You guys carry on as you were.
The Agriculture Minister said that the UK currently takes 50% of Irish beef, amounting to 280,000 tonnes per year and 80,000 tonnes of cheddar cheese.
One third of the fish in value terms caught by Irish boats meat come from UK waters.
All of these would be huge losses to the Irish economy.
No shit.
And they even go as far as to give us the advantage that Britain will have in this situation.
It's unclear what tariffs, if any, would apply to Irish meat and dairy products going to the UK.
But even if it is tariff-free, under World Trade Organization rules, beef produced far more cheaply in South American countries with lower veterinary environmental and welfare standards would also get tariff-free market access.
As in, they're going to lose their business to South American farmers.
We won't lose any money.
In fact, our food is going to get cheaper.
They're going to lose money and they're fucked.
Do you understand how strong our position is here?
Remainers!
Our beef is going to get cheaper.
The European Union is going to suffer because we choose to leave.
This puts us in the position of strength.
This is what I've been saying all along.
We are the ones calling the shots.
I don't know why the Conservatives are the most weak and spineless people to have ever walked the earth.
I have no idea.
I have no idea why the Labour Party have absolutely no idea how the economy works.
Wait, socialism is coming.
Unfortunately, the huge drop in the value of the pound sterling is already putting Irish farmers in a position where they're apparently losing their shirts on beef, netting them €3.80 per kilo.
They're going to be totally undercut by the rest of the world.
We are accidentally going to ruin Ireland.
I don't want to ruin Ireland, but I think that you can look at the EU at this point and say, listen, why couldn't you have just given them a fucking deal?
And the thing is, it's not like we haven't known forever that it is completely within the European Union's interests in order to make Brexit as difficult and expensive as possible as the independent say.
The independent who are currently running a campaign for us to remain in the European Union.
They currently have a petition with like five million signatures or something.
They know that this is the case.
They know that it's good for the EU if they do this.
And they know that it's better for us if we just walk away.
Seriously, for the European Union, as the Guardian said in July this year.
Dear EU, please take Theresa May's bloody chequers plan.
Theresa May's Checkers Plan effectively just makes us a vassal state of the European Union.
The vassal state was a reference to the proposal that we would have to accept all new EU laws and be subject to the European Court of Justice.
That would be a worse position than we're in currently because we would have no say in these laws.
And it would also be worse because the EU would be able to pass laws that we can currently veto.
So there are still areas of European regulation creation that are subject to unanimity.
In the period once we've left, in the transition period, we obviously won't have a vote.
And it would be perverse if we had to accept laws that we could currently veto and have therefore stopped in an interim period between the date of departure and the conclusion of the final agreement.
No shit.
Take it seriously.
No shit.
Because it is literally us surrendering.
And the only alternative is for us not to surrender, which seems to be the worst thing that our political class can even imagine.
Look, guys, we can't just surrender ourselves to the Germans.
Why not?
Because the Germans won't accept it.
Okay, well, how are we going to do this?
Well, they're going to make us fight.
What does that mean?
It means we're going to accidentally destroy the European Union by bankrupting the profitable half to pay for the unprofitable half.
I'm honestly at the point where I don't know whether the British attempt to keep the continent disunited was ever actually intentional.
I'm at the point where it's like, well, I mean, it seems like it was sensible foreign policy to keep the continent disunited, to keep France and Germany essentially split up so they didn't form a super power block and dominate the entire continent.
But I think it might have just been done by accident at this point.
I'm actually at the point where I don't think that we were quite smart enough to actually be able to do that.
But on the plus side, bumbling around and fucking it up has much the same effect.
And then, of course, Project Fear.
Oh, you know they're going to be real, really bad tailbacks when it comes to going into Dover.
Okay.
Oh, that sucks.
That sucks.
That really sucks.
I'd rather my country be independent and have tailbacks than the vassal of the European Union, if that's okay.
That's what I'm going for.
And I'd rather have a tailback than pay £39 billion.
I'm just saying, I know I'm selfish that way, but I can live with the fact that there are tailbacks.
That is disruption.
I can accept.
That is an acceptable loss.
I'm sorry that it's happening.
I'm sorry that the European Union is going to have to set up new checkpoints going into Europe.
I'm sorry that that's the case.
We don't have to do that on our side.
We don't have to set up a checkpoint if we don't want to.
And I think that we shouldn't.
I think we shouldn't bother setting up checkpoints.
We should just effectively say, you know what, we're just going to leave it as it is.
If you guys make any changes, then I guess we'll respond to it.
But if we leave it like it is now, where it's working for both of us, where nothing has to happen, we can use a bit of game theory here and just say, well, I guess we'll just let it carry on.
So we don't have to have tailbacks.
So I think that really, this is not any kind of threat at all.
You fucking children.
Why would anyone think we're like, oh, God, if we're going to have tailbacks in Dover, cancel Brexit?
I tell you what, it's unbelievably pathetic to see the depths that Project Fear have gone to.
It's ridiculous.
It's like the only thing they haven't done is threatened to fucking kill themselves.
You thought they fucking hadn't.
You thought, well, obviously they're not going to have threatened to commit suicide if we have a no-deal Brexit.
That'd be fucking ridiculous, wouldn't it?
Well, here we are.
Here we are in the most fucking ridiculous year that has ever existed.
2019 has become a fucking riot.
We are only on day five and Brexit is driving European citizens to suicide, apparently.
At least if you listen to any of the leftists on Twitter, oh, what have we become?
Fucking hell.
This is pathetic.
No one believes it.
No one believes it.
Some who have lived here in Britain for decades said the heavy climate of uncertainty had caused them to lose trust in the government and fear for their right to be in the country, leading to a severe deterioration in their mental health.
They're kind of not that strong to begin with, to be fair, if that's what they think.
Let's watch their video, shall we?
There's increasing talk of a no-deal Brexit.
But what would it mean for ordinary people?
The first thing it would mean is transport chaos.
A no-deal Brexit means that the UK would only have the World Trade Organization rules to fall back on.
Only.
We would only have the standards that every other country in the world has that we would be able to control at will.
And we could just, you know, pick up the phone and be like, hello?
Bongiorno.
No Spico di Española.
Sperkin's the English bitter.
Fuck, what language do you even speak in Argentina?
You get the joke.
In fact, two jokes and one there.
Organisation rules do not include aviation.
The direct consequence of this is that planes would be unable to fly from the UK to the EU and vice versa.
Imagine thinking anyone takes that fucking seriously.
Literally, on the day of Brexit, 29th of March, all of the planes going to the EU are going to stop.
That's just it.
That's it.
Done.
No, that's done.
No, we can't do it.
Says in the rules, that's why.
The rules say it.
The bureaucrats say it.
Planes can't fly now.
No one believes that, dude.
A knock-on impact of transport chaos is disruption to food supplies.
We import around 30% of our food from the EU.
It's conceivable that UK supermarkets could rapidly see shortages on their shelves, especially if people start to hoard goods in anticipation of there being problems.
Okay, so the supermarkets have got 30% less food.
But the other 70% come from countries outside of the European Union.
So why?
Why?
Why would we not just order more from them?
Why would we be like, well, I guess we're just not going to be able to buy any more from them?
I guess they're just not interested in selling.
I guess they're just done with it.
We've got all this money.
We're trying to get the stuff and nobody wants to fucking sell it.
We're not even going to put tariffs on them.
Why the fuck would this be a problem?
You fucking loon.
70% of our food already comes from outside of the European Union.
You just said it.
What are you thinking?
I love how this is so vibed.
Listen to the music behind it.
Like, I don't have ominous music behind mine.
I should probably put triumphal fucking music as Britain once again destroys a pan-European empire.
You never defeat the eternal angler.
Another sector that could very rapidly get into trouble in the event of a no-deal Brexit is the NHS.
It's estimated that we import around 37 million packets of medicine every month from the EU.
And this includes radioactive isotopes for the use of treatments of cancer.
Any disruption to those supplies could have very serious consequences for people who rely on treatment from the NHS.
Imagine the fucking headlines.
European Union refuses to send these 37 million packets of medicine.
I mean, go on, justify this, John Claude Juncker.
God, I'd love to hear how you're justifying not sending 37 million packets of medicine to people who are going to suffer without them.
Tell me about human rights again.
Do go on.
Like, there is no way politically it is viable for Juncker to effectively kill millions of people in Britain by denying them medicine.
As if there wouldn't be a political solution slightly fucking sooner.
And assuming that is, we couldn't just get them from somewhere else, which I'm absolutely certain we can.
I mean, like, imagine the PR coup.
European Union refuses to send this medicine, even though Britain's trying to pay for it.
And Donald Trump rides for the rescue like the fucking God Emperor.
And it's just like, here you go, here's a trade deal.
Oh, yeah, by the way, he has offered us a bunch of free trade deals.
I mean, you know, don't worry about it, though.
Just don't fucking worry about it.
It's not like we'll be fine and you're a fear-mongering prick.
Around 3 million European nationals live in the UK.
A no-deal Brexit with no agreement on their status would instantly plunge them into a hell of insecurity.
What would be their right to schooling, to healthcare, to residence?
Who knows?
Oh, God.
Who knows?
Gas chambers.
It's going to be gas chambers.
You just, you've pushed us to it.
Obviously, nothing's going to change about their fucking rights.
Their rights are going to be just fine.
Just fine.
We're going to leave them intact.
It's unbelievable.
Unbelievable that I even have to have this virtual conversation with you.
It's like, what are we going to do with the European citizens?
Like, what would the Germans do?
Should we just like ring the Germans up and be like, excuse me?
What do you do with the big resident alien population that you don't really like anymore?
Fucking moron.
It's going to be fine, dude.
Because seriously, like, come on.
Come on.
We know what we're going to do.
We can do nothing.
Nothing with them.
They're going to be free to stay for as long as they like.
And in perpetuity, I'm sure we'll even offer them citizenship.
Why wouldn't we?
If you're living in this country permanently, you may as well become citizens.
It's been an unusual political event.
This would be something we could just unilaterally do.
Just give them citizenship and say, hey, you know, stay if you want, don't if you don't want to.
It's up to you, your choice.
Take it easy.
Incidentally, the 1 million Brits who live in mainland Europe would also be instantly plunged into a chasm of insecurity.
Jesus.
The answer again is nothing.
Like, there's no way that, like, the Spanish government or something are going to start taking punitive action against British citizens or expatriates out in Spain who have bought property out there.
They're not going to do that.
I'm certain.
I have faith in the Europeans that their genocidal ways are behind them at this point.
And they've decided that live and let live is the answer.
I have every faith in that.
I honestly do.
I genuinely believe it to the core of my being that the million or so Brits who are on the continent at the moment will survive Brexit.
Maybe we should just go and ask the head of the World Trade Organization what's going to happen.
What's it like for the rest of the world trading under WTO rules?
What does that mean?
How badly fucked are we?
I tell you what, first, let's go ask the mouthpiece of the party of Davos.
Let's see how they're reporting it.
World Trade Organization wants on disruption to UK if no deal Brexit.
Oh god, disruption?
Oh, anything but disruption?
A disruption has never been overcome, where things return to normal after a short period of time.
It's very unlikely that the government will have agreed tariffs and quotas with all other member countries by next March.
Roberto Azevido, the head of the WTO, said on Friday that other countries would look to take advantage of the UK's position, complicating or preventing agreement on some points.
The moment that other countries begin to sense an opportunity to increase the market share or increase the quota here or there, they're going to go for that.
There will be a lot of uncertainty here.
There will be a lot of unpredictability.
It is very unlikely that you're going to have 100% agreed outcome for all WTO members between now and March.
Okay, then we'll have to go with whatever percentage that we've agreed and just run with it and see if we can't improve things as we go.
Just how bad will that be for Britain?
Oh, it won't be the end of the world, and trade will continue no matter what.
The head of the World Trade Organization, a former Brazilian trade negotiator, said there will be an impact.
It may be larger or smaller depending on the sector.
It's not going to be the end of the world, but it's not going to be a walk in the park either.
So it's not going to be the end of the world.
Bit of stormy seas on the way, but afterwards, everything will be smooth sailing.
It's played up like this is an absolute catastrophe.
I don't give a shit if it's a bit stormy sailing for a couple of months.
Deal with it.
Fucking deal with it.
We voted to leave.
We want out of the European Union.
That's it.
If there's some difficulties in there, that's up to you, geniuses, to fix.
Surely that's why you get the salary you get.
Holy crap, I don't want to hear it.
I'm fucking sick of hearing it, right?
Stop fearmongering.
Stop panicking and just do it!
Don't let your dreams be dreams.
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