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April 23, 2017 - Sargon of Akkad - Carl Benjamin
11:34
I Think Le Pen Will Win
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So I think Le Pen is going to win the French elections and I will tell you exactly why.
I'm sure you're all aware on April 21st when an ISIS attacker leapt out of his car and started shooting.
He ended up shooting three officers, killing one before he was shot dead.
A witness who was a young man said, there was a police van and the man came up in a grey Audi and parked right behind it.
He got out with a Kalashnikov and started shooting them straight away.
One of the officers who was by the door of the van collapsed.
The man could have shot at anyone, but he aimed at the police.
And that enabled us, the rest of us, to run away and hide.
This was not the first time he had done this.
In 2001, he had crashed a car into a car owned by a police officer while driving a stolen vehicle.
He had then shot and wounded the officer and the officer's brother.
When he was placed under arrest, he'd requested medicine in the police station.
When an officer asked him exactly what he needed, he grabbed the officer's weapon and tried to shoot him.
Since January 2015, 239 people have been killed in terror attacks in France.
There have been dozens of them.
They happen all the time.
And the response to this is breathtaking from the apparent leading candidate, Emmanuel Macron, who says that this is just a fact of daily life.
You should just expect a terrorist to try and kill you and your family and the police.
Just deal with it.
His exact quote, this imponderable threat, this threat will be a fact of daily life in the coming years.
This is the most pressing issue that France is facing, in my opinion.
And you call it an imponderable threat.
You won't even think about it.
You are just saying, fucking live with it.
And that's just the terrorism.
That's not to mention all of the other problems that these communities have brought with them.
Not seeing
this or something.
What the fuck do you think this looks like?
I mean, what do you think is happening here?
You have gangs from communities attacking your cops.
Oh yeah, well, we've loosened the laws.
Yeah, yeah, bit too little too late, isn't it?
should never have got to this position.
Do you not understand that these people seem like fucking savages?
I don't give a shit where they came from.
I don't give a shit what religion they follow.
I don't give a shit about anything other than the fact that a good person does not do this, regardless of how fucking poor they are.
This is a total lapse of any kind of moral standard, and your police seem unable to deal with it.
You know, people see this happening, right?
Unsurprisingly, 51% of French police will probably be voting Le Pen.
Le Pen has said that she won't just live with it, and everyone's accusing her of exploiting the Paris shooting to boost her campaign.
I don't think she needs to exploit it, given that that's one of the main thrusts of her campaign.
She is actually promising to do something about these terror attacks.
Given that this suspect came from Belgium, maybe that's actually a useful thing to say.
Far-right presidential candidate Marie Le Pen called for France to instantly reinstate border checks and expel foreigners who are on the watch lists of intelligence services, adding that these are steps that she would take if elected.
My god, what do you think is going to sit better with voters?
Do you think that they're just going to be like, you know what, we probably should just live with it.
It is going to be a fact of daily life.
Why do anything about it?
Or am I going to elect a leader who's actually going to choose to try and do something?
Le Pen, who has been campaigning on a hardline anti-EU, anti-immigration platform, urged the socialist governments carry out immediate measures that are included in her campaign manifesto.
We cannot afford to lose this war, but for the past 10 years, left and right-wing governments have done everything they can for us to lose it.
We need a presidency which acts and protects us.
Do you think that is what people want to hear?
Or do you think just live with it is what people want to hear?
Contrast that with Macron.
I think we must one and all have a spirit of responsibility at this extreme time and not give in to panic and not allow it to be exploited, which some might try to do.
Oh yeah, there are only dead bodies in the street, Macron.
Don't worry, it's not really a crisis though.
People are only dying.
Hundreds of people are only dying.
It's not really a crisis though.
I'm sure you'll be okay, but what about the people whose families now have to deal with the fact that they've lost loved ones because of radical Islamic terrorists?
She is also a hardline Eurosceptic.
She has promised a referendum on the EU membership of France, whereas Macron is the complete polar opposite.
But the thing is, the hardline anti-immigration, anti-Islam position that Le Pen takes is not the only important factor here.
The anti-Islam, anti-immigration issue is just one of many.
There is also their stances on the EU.
Le Pen is heavily Eurosceptic and has promised an in-out European referendum in the same manner as Brexit, and we know how that went, whereas Macron is pro-EU.
He doesn't want to leave.
He wants to stay in.
Well, I wonder how that will go down with the plebeians.
Some 8,000 supporters did get inside to hear his centrist pro-Europe message in person, including this thinly veiled dig at US leader Donald Trump's intention to build a wall along the Mexico border.
I don't want a new wall.
I can reassure you there'll be no wall in my manifesto.
We have European borders and that is our real security.
Totally out of touch.
This is the middle class party line.
This is exactly what the middle class people sitting around behind him want to hear.
If you actually speak to the working class, however, they are not happy with the European Union.
They think that it is to blame for their nation's woes.
Take for example this 54 year old unemployed man from Nyon who says that Europe has been a catastrophe.
It has brought us taxes and immigrants and nothing good.
Such contempt for the European Union from a street corner in this former industrial town is widely shared across one of the bloc's linchpins.
Time and time again, people interviewed by the Times in France have expressed anger at Brussels.
Many voiced the sort of sentiments that led to Britain voting leave.
Complaints of bureaucracy, regulations and open borders.
Now, this doesn't mean that French voters actually think that leaving the EU is a good idea.
They just want a Eurosceptic politician in charge.
So even if Le Pen does get in and calls a referendum, that doesn't mean the French will leave.
But that will change the dynamic within the EU.
For example, voters, even Eurosceptic ones, say that a Frexit would be more difficult and costly than Brexit because the country had adopted the Euro.
Polls suggest that 75% of voters do not want to leave and the same proportions want to stick with the Euro.
Yet it is hard to find anyone who supports the EU in its present form.
Some back Le Pen's call for an association of sovereign states.
Others support Melanchon's policies.
People are not happy with the EU because the EU is doing nothing good for them.
The working class people.
The people who make up the majority of the voting base.
The people who want to benefit from protectionism.
The people who think France is getting a raw deal.
Highly Eurosceptic, highly anti-immigration, highly protectionist.
Oh, she's going to increase the state budget, maybe extra taxes.
They'll pay for it.
They do not care.
They will pay for it.
They will pay to feel protected.
They will pay to get rid of the bloody immigrants who are trying to kill them.
They will pay to stop Angela Merkel unilaterally bringing in millions of foreign immigrants who can then just move around Europe as they please.
They will pay for that.
The EU is an elitist organisation and everyone knows it.
It has not done well for the working people of Europe.
This is something that is untenable because they are bearing the burden of it.
They will vote for change.
Even if they don't end up voting to leave the EU in France, which they may well not, they will still vote for someone who will basically fuck the project up from the inside.
Le Pen is going to win.
It doesn't matter whether it's what I want or not.
I think this is going to happen because people will not continue to suffer under these constant attacks.
They will not continue to see themselves increasingly impoverished.
They will not allow this to continue because, as I said before Brexit, and I've said time and time and again, you can't paint a rosy picture for the working class within the EU.
There simply is nothing good in their future.
They will vote for anything if you don't have an alternative that looks even slightly better than the consistent decline they have been under.
Do not think that Le Pen can't win.
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