Sept. 18, 2024 - Bannon's War Room
47:59
Participants
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| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
| This is what you're fighting for. | ||
| I mean, every day you're out there. | ||
| What they're doing is blowing people off. | ||
| If you continue to look the other way and shut up, then the oppressors, the authoritarians, get total control and total power. | ||
| Because this is just like in Arizona. | ||
| This is just like in Georgia. | ||
| It's another element that backs them into a corner and shows their lies and misrepresentations. | ||
| This is why this audience is going to have to get engaged. | ||
| As we've told you, this is the fight. | ||
|
unidentified
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All this nonsense, all this spin, they can't handle the truth. | |
| War Room Battleground. | ||
| Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| Alright, Jack Posobiec here, guest hosting for The War Room while Stephen K. Bannon continues to be his political prisonership there in FCI Danbury. | ||
| Steve Bannon is fighting the Deep State. | ||
| He's in his battle against the Deep State, but we have heard, of course, reporting that came out from a former inmate who was incarcerated with him. | ||
| Who's now been released to J6er who said that he's in there, he's praying every day that he's attending church regularly and he's working behind the scenes for victory in 24. | ||
| So today we're going to talk about how we can work for victory in 24 because this is about action, action, action. | ||
| This isn't about sitting around. | ||
| This isn't about waiting for someone else to come in. | ||
| This is about understanding that we are the ones who have the agency. | ||
| We are the ones that ultimately will fall to. | ||
| And even if Stephen K. Bannon is locked up, and even if I'm locked up, or any of us are locked up, or all the War Room hosts are locked up, guess what? | ||
| They can't get all of us. | ||
| And even if we're gone, the rest will remain. | ||
| That's what it's all about. | ||
| So ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard. | ||
| Today is September 17th, 2024. | ||
| Anno Domini. | ||
| We want to talk about the Trump assassination attempt and the second one, and the fact is the New York Times has been posting profiles of the shooter now. | ||
| This guy, Ryan Wesley Rath, if you go to the New York Times, they've been changing the headlines around on it. | ||
| But the first headline that went up said, Man Arrested at Trump Golf Course Had a History of Crusading for Causes. | ||
| A History of Crusading for Causes. | ||
| And then when you go down deeper, it says, Crusader for Causes Large and Small. | ||
| Oh, a crusader for causes large and small. | ||
| Sounds a lot like austere religious scholar. | ||
| That's the New York Times essentially saying that if you go and attempt to shoot and kill President Trump that they will make you into a hero. | ||
| They will give you glowing press coverage and we know that studies have shown that positive press coverage has incited and in the past can incite copycat attackers. | ||
| They want someone else to do this. | ||
| Again, Crusader. | ||
| Just look at what they say about Steve Bannon in the New York Times. | ||
| Go look what they say about War Room. | ||
| Go look what they say about myself, about Natalie Winters, about all the guest hosts. | ||
| Understand, this is what they say about them. | ||
| Look at what they say about us. | ||
| So a crusader for causes large and small. | ||
| Then they changed the headline because they realized that he wasn't actually arrested at the Trump golf course. | ||
| So they said, oh, we've got to we got to change that around. | ||
| So that doesn't exactly work because he was arrested 45 miles away because he was able to get out. | ||
| And so they now changed it to suspect in apparent Trump assassination plot, crusaded for many causes again. | ||
| They are not there to inform you. | ||
| They are there to misinform you. | ||
| You are looking at high level state media and propaganda campaigns. | ||
| The same time the media is attacking Trump and JD Vance for talking about the realities of migrant crime in places, the forgotten towns and villages of this country, like Springfield, Ohio, like places in Western Pennsylvania, places throughout the Rust Belt where they're importing these types. | ||
| They're talking about the realities of what's going on, and then the media says, oh, you're inciting violence. | ||
| And at the same time, the media will turn around and refer to the assassin as a crusader. | ||
| Understand where we are headed from here. | ||
| This is why myself and Joshua Lysak have put together the new book, Bulletproof, and it's all about the assassination attempts, the truth about the assassination attempts on Donald Trump. | ||
| We've got the information about Ryan Wesley Routh in here, his deep ties to Ukraine, his ties to the foreign fighter flow that was going back and forth. | ||
| Who was he talking with over there? | ||
| What information did he receive over there? | ||
| What training did he receive over there? | ||
| And so if anyone has pre-ordered this, yes, Ryan Wesley Routh and the second assassination attempt are included in this book. | ||
| Future editions, of course, will have more information as the investigation continues. | ||
| But I want to get in here. | ||
| So we've got Sam Faddis who's got a white hot piece up on Substack about this entire thing. | ||
| He's going to join us now to look through this as well. | ||
| Sam, tell me when you're looking at this situation, what went into your piece and what really stands out at you? | ||
| Well, of course, the first thing that jumps out here is something that I know you're all over all the time, which is, there's about 9 million things we don't know, right? | ||
| I mean, we're talking about this and, and, and have a dearth of information and based on experience, unfortunately, are probably really pessimistic right now, that we're going to get any answers. | ||
| I mean, certainly not any answers from officials. | ||
| But let's just The first thing that jumps out at me is this in terms of what we do know what definitively factually, we got two individuals, however, they got there and whoever else may be associated with it, who I'm talking Butler and in Florida, right, who are basically flakes, you know, to use a medical term, and who have | ||
| Rifles, commonly available firearms that are all over the United States. | ||
| In other words, we didn't have SEAL Team 6, and we didn't have the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, and we didn't have a bunch of the boys all around the planet who want Trump dead. | ||
| We just had these guys. | ||
| But for the grace of God, Trump would be dead in Butler. | ||
| And again, he came frighteningly close to being dead in Florida. | ||
| So this is the Secret Service. | ||
| This is the level of protection. | ||
| And this is an absolute catastrophic failure. | ||
| You and I could get on the phone and call up a dozen guys with prior experience of various types and provide better security for this as folks who aren't really protective detail experts. | ||
| So somebody I mean, look, there are a variety of levels to that. | ||
| But let's cut to the chase here. | ||
| It is demonstrably true for whatever motivation, That they, the United States government, are making an affirmative decision not to provide sufficient protection to Donald Trump. | ||
| You've got a guy that apparently set up on a fence line for 12 hours in advance of attempting to kill the president at a location that, as I understand it, is known to be used by the paparazzi for photographing the president when he goes golfing. | ||
| And the Secret Service isn't in control of that location, hasn't scouted that location. | ||
| I mean, again, absolute catastrophic failure. | ||
| And somebody at some level somewhere is making a decision to say, we will not provide the resources and the level of expertise necessary to keep this man alive. | ||
| This is exactly what we ask in Bulletproof as well, because for the first situation, we hear that, of course, not only these grave discrepancies and independent failures botches by security, the overall question, of course, is why wasn't security in place at first? | ||
| Again, why was there no drone coverage in Butler, an outdoor rally, and then here, Sam, Walkthrough people how and I had Eric Prince on Human Events yesterday talking about this, but I'm sure you know as well as many others. | ||
| One drone with an infrared camera would easily have picked up this individual hiding in the tree line in a prone sniper's position with with the sniper's nest, with the makeshift ceramic plates | ||
| and the tile that he had put together, this makeshift hide site. | ||
| One drone is all that it would have taken with essentially commercially available technology | ||
| to spot this guy. | ||
| And by the way, not minutes before Trump, Trump was on the fifth hole, this guy was on the sixth hole, | ||
| but apparently he had been waiting there for 12 hours. | ||
| You could have flown the drone at any point and found him easily. | ||
| Yeah, and again, let's keep in mind. | ||
| This is Donald Trump, former president of the United States, | ||
| the guy who gave the order to have General Soleimani head of the Quds Force killed | ||
| in response to which the Islamic Republic of Iran has said explicitly they will kill him. | ||
| And we know they are actively attempting to do that. | ||
| Now, you can barely keep this guy alive with one wacko with a rifle. | ||
| Again, whoever else may or may not be behind that. | ||
| In terms of what's on the table, one guy with a rifle. | ||
| Now, yet you know that he is being hunted by the Quds Force with access to Hezbollah, their networks, their connections to Venezuela, all of their resources. | ||
| Well, good God, if the Quds Force shows up at the golf course, and that's your level of competence, it's a bad day. | ||
| He's not only going to be dead, half your detail is going to be dead. | ||
| And they're going to walk away from this. | ||
| This guy was using some sort of It was originally reported as an AK. | ||
| I think it's actually another Soviet block manufactured weapon. | ||
| But, okay, your average deer rifle, a Remington 700, is effective out to 800 meters, 800 yards, and half the guys in America could hit a target from there. | ||
| And you're letting a guy approach within 300 yards, and you consider that to be standoff distance? | ||
| I mean, what I'm saying here is that this is not fine points. | ||
| This is not, hey, maybe we need to go back and revisit some methodology. | ||
| This is absolutely catastrophic. | ||
| And it comes down to the fact that somebody at some level, you start with the head of DHS, is making an affirmative decision. | ||
| We will not employ the resources necessary to keep this man alive, even given everything that's gone on. | ||
| Even given where we are as a country and the fact that his death might touch off violence coast to coast, even given that environment, we will not do what is required to keep him alive. | ||
| That is a conscious, affirmative decision. | ||
| Look, and once you make these decisions again and again, that essentially is approval. | ||
| Indifference is approval. | ||
| By the way, Tucker Carlson was talking about this at one of his events recently. | ||
| I'm going to be at an event with Tucker coming up here on Monday in Pennsylvania, and we're going to be delivering a briefing on this entire situation. | ||
| So if anyone's out there, you want to come out, it's September 23rd. | ||
| And we need to go through and understand that the media propping up this assassin, | ||
| potentially looking for copycats, trolling for copycats, | ||
| essentially activating copycats out there. | ||
| Then you have the entire other side of the media saying that, | ||
| oh, this guy, by the way, let's talk about his media contacts | ||
| because I was going through right before we did, right before we did the show today, | ||
| I came on and I said, all right, let's go through the list of press contacts | ||
| that this individual Ryan Wesley Ralph had. | ||
| He was interviewed in the New York Times. | ||
| Again, prior to all this, New York Times, Newsweek, Semaphore, CBS. | ||
| These are some of the most high-level journalistic outlets in the entire world. | ||
| And he has direct contact and direct ink with all of them. | ||
| So my question of course is, did he contact any of them prior to this? | ||
| Because Sam, you saw as well as I, he had that GoPro situated right there, he wanted to have the video, he wanted to have proof of the shot, and the question that I have then, is did he use these contacts to tell them that he was shopping a story around, that he was going to have a video, that he was looking for someone to give him an exclusive, that he was going to say, I was the one who did this, I was the one who saved the world because in his own head he's saving the world by trying to kill President Trump, and did any of them have any foreknowledge of this? | ||
| Yeah, well, at this point we have to ask all of those questions, and nobody in his right mind can say that all of those things are inconceivable. | ||
| I mean, look, we just saw what Hamas did in Israel last fall, and demonstrably true. | ||
| That all sorts of folks in press organizations and supposed peaceful organizations, political organizations, had foreknowledge of that, were aware of what was going to happen. | ||
| Mass murder, mass rape, and not only condoned it, but planned in advance for how they were going to publicize it. | ||
| So we have to ask all these questions. | ||
| Look, I know you're digging into Butler and you have this book coming out. | ||
| How many questions about Butler that people have, just average Americans, have actually been answered? | ||
| And do we really, realistically, at this point in history, think that the government is going to give us honest responses to those things? | ||
| No. | ||
| No reasonable person would think so. | ||
| No, I don't think so at all. | ||
| Sam, we've got to run here. | ||
| I've got a quick read for one of our partners. | ||
| Where can people go to get access to your latest article and your writings? | ||
| Best place to find me is at ndmagazine.substack.com, but I mean, I'm on Twitter as Real Sam Faddis and everywhere else. | ||
| Alright folks, check it out. | ||
| Go get the absolute source directly from this. | ||
| Again, we're going to be looking at all the information as it comes out. | ||
| This is a fluid situation. | ||
| Want to go now, and by the way, people have asked, how can I support Steve while he's gone? | ||
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| I want to know guys, do we have Mark on? | ||
| Okay, great. | ||
| So we're working on getting Mark Mitchell there from Rasmussen. | ||
| Mark, so looking at all of this as it pertains to the election, all of these things, the ups, the downs, I don't know if you guys have had any opportunity to see any change in the data or receive any new data since this second assassination attempt, but I wanted to get your sense of things as it stands right now. | ||
| Mark, how are you? | ||
| Doing well. | ||
| Great to be here. | ||
| Really psyched because everybody loves numbers right now. | ||
| And I love talking about them. | ||
| And we are the people that everybody should go to because we're the only pollster putting out daily data. | ||
| These people basically poll once a month. | ||
| They're polling only two days. | ||
| And who knows what kind of analytics voodoo they do between one sample and the other. | ||
| And they're all guessing what the trend is. | ||
| They don't know. | ||
| Well, we're showing you on a chart what the trend is. | ||
| And now we have four data points back after the debate. | ||
| And to be honest with you, it looks like it really hasn't changed much at all, nor do | ||
| I expect it to. | ||
| Kamala Harris got a bit of a bounce in August. | ||
| Trump was just absolutely blowing Biden out of the water in our numbers. | ||
| She entered the race and her numbers immediately got up to about 45%. | ||
| And then they kind of hit a ceiling at 46, 47, and we have Trump at 49 right now. | ||
| So it looks like a two-point race, and we've been saying this for a long time, that that | ||
| is probably where it was going to settle out at. | ||
| Trump was up five way back at the end of July. | ||
| Now it got all the way down to plus one for Trump two weeks ago. | ||
| And don't just take it from us. | ||
| Take it from New York Times. | ||
| It had the exact same number. | ||
| And now here we are at Trump plus two and the last four nights of data were tied. | ||
| Trump plus six, Trump minus six, Trump plus six. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| It's a little bit more volatile. | ||
| That's what you'd expect when you're looking at only 360 data points over each night. | ||
| But the, you know, the weekly results, the big polls are coming. | ||
| It was plus two last week. | ||
| It looks like it's probably going to be plus two again this week. | ||
| And that's what's crazy. | ||
| Like, listen, Trump was shot in the head. | ||
| They switched the candidates around. | ||
| They had a DNC that didn't really give her much of a bounce. | ||
| It's like a semi-good debate performance in which she said nothing that appealed to independents isn't going to move the needle, nor is a Trump tweet. | ||
| And I guess at this point, nor is Trump getting shot. | ||
| And maybe he'll get a little bit more of a bounce and we just haven't seen it yet. | ||
| It's hard to know when there's this much noise. | ||
| I'd love to be having bigger overnight samples. | ||
| Maybe in a week, we'll know. | ||
| But I kind of expect these numbers to open up anyways, because Kamala Harris doesn't seem to have a ton of substance in her campaign. | ||
| And I think voters are going to start to look for that. | ||
| So right now, Trump national popular vote win of plus two. | ||
| Atlas Intel agrees with us. | ||
| New York Times agrees with us. | ||
| The Wall Street Journal is only about a point or two left of us. | ||
| Pretty sure Trafalgar and Rich Barris have it all in the same kind of vicinity. | ||
| And then you have all the other characters, right? | ||
| They all seem to be clustered around Harris plus four right now, although I understand that Morning Console is trying to edge Harris up to almost as good as Hillary Clinton was doing against Trump. | ||
| I don't think it's going to work, but all those people like the USA Today's, the YouGov's, ABC, like the Reuters, Ipsos, those people think that Harris is winning by four. | ||
| And even if it was, it's still way worse than Trump was doing against Biden. | ||
| So yeah, I think at this point, it's probably his race to lose. | ||
| And I can only imagine the Kamala Harris campaign is praying for an act of God right now. | ||
| Well, you know, that's that's that's that's good news. | ||
| But at the same time, I do think that people out there in the swing states, you got it. | ||
| You got to put the pedal to the metal. | ||
| We're actually going to Cliff Maloney here in a minute. | ||
| Mark, what can you tell us what's on the horizon? | ||
| What are the next things that that Rasmussen is going to be looking at? | ||
| We are pulling the trigger on a swing state poll. | ||
| 10 states going either into the field tomorrow, today or tomorrow. | ||
| Those results will probably be back Friday or Monday. | ||
| We haven't polled the states since August. | ||
| It all, in my opinion, comes down to Pennsylvania. | ||
| Every single swing state in August at the height of the DNC was a statistical tie. | ||
| We expect to see some rightward movement when we go into the field this time, and I also think that we're still probably leaning too left in the swing states. | ||
| But people are right to be suspicious about what may happen in Pennsylvania, which is a must-win state for both Kamala Harris and Trump. | ||
| A lot of attention is going to come down to that. | ||
| Follow us at Rasmus underscore poll on Twitter. | ||
| You'll see those numbers next week. | ||
| I'll probably put videos out about it on YouTube as well. | ||
| And we have to see, like, there might be a different story playing out in the swing states than nationally. | ||
| We know that they're going to asymmetrically apply their voter, you know, turnout methods. | ||
| And there's probably going to be about a billion dollars of ad spend in the swing states as well. | ||
| So it does come down to the swing states. | ||
| But again, Trump is doing eight points better in our polling than he was four years ago. | ||
| He's doing better than he's been doing at any point at any time in the last 10 years, this close to an election. | ||
| And other credible, high quality pollsters agree with us. | ||
| All right, appreciate it. | ||
| By the way, I want to get Cliff Maloney here in real quick because he is on. | ||
| Mark, let me hold you over. | ||
| Cliff's going to hop on real quick here. | ||
| Cliff, we're getting the numbers there out of Rasmussen, and I understand you only have a couple of minutes before the break, but let me know on the ground how people can get involved in Pennsylvania and if they're in town this weekend for the Tucker tour that's coming through Pennsylvania, President Trump going to Pennsylvania. | ||
| Real quick, Cliff Maloney. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yeah, PAHase.com. | |
| We've got 120 full-time ballot chasers on the ground. | ||
| And Jack, just one number before you let me go. | ||
| 303,000. | ||
| That is how many mail-in ballot requests Democrats are down right now compared to this time in 2020. | ||
| We're out there with the PAHase. | ||
| We're chasing ballots. | ||
| PAHase.com. | ||
| Would love for Patriots to get involved. | ||
| And don't miss the Tucker event with Poso. | ||
| It's going to be a huge, huge event. | ||
| Well, Cliff, now this is huge. | ||
| Now, that being said, you know, hearing the numbers that we're hearing from Rasmussen there, looking at Pennsylvania, I saw there was another piece inside Advantage came out that had essentially, I think it was Trump plus two in Pennsylvania, but then there's some liberal polls that have Kamala up. | ||
| I mean, Pennsylvania, it looks like it's neck and neck. | ||
|
unidentified
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Yeah, and look, if you just look at the difference between Republicans and Democrats, we have a 247,000 mail-in ballot request advantage compared to where we were in 2020. | |
| So Republicans are still down. | ||
| But Jack, remember, Democrats need 20-20 levels of mail-in support. | ||
| The energy is not there for Kamala. | ||
| The momentum is not there for Kamala. | ||
| Pennsylvanians are rejecting the Democrat platform of no solutions and no policy. | ||
| To me, everything we're seeing on the ground, when we're knocking on the 500,000 doors we're knocking across the Commonwealth, that's what gives me optimism, that the people are with Donald Trump. | ||
| Look, and it's as simple as that. By the way, I've got family members that are up there knocking doors. | ||
| I've got friends that are up there, guys that, you know, guys that were in my wedding that are | ||
| up there knocking doors in southeastern Pennsylvania. | ||
| President Trump, by the way, coming to southeastern Pennsylvania to Our Lady of Czestochowa | ||
| right there in Doylestown, which is, of course, the National Shrine of Our Lady. | ||
| This is a huge, huge church for Polish-Americans. | ||
| You know, Cliff, Kamil Harris was talking about the 800,000 Polish-Americans in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Well, as a Polish-American in Pennsylvania, President Trump showing up at Our Lady of Czestochowa with the President of Poland, Andrzej Duda himself, this Saturday means a whole lot more than any little Yeah, and I think, you know, I was a little nervous for you, Poso, when I saw her making the Polish play, especially in Pennsylvania. | ||
|
unidentified
|
I thought that might hit a little close to home. | |
| Look, I think she's going to try all the identity politics she can, but there's just, there's not a coalition they can put together. | ||
| They're going to run up the score in Philadelphia. | ||
| They're going to run up the score in Pittsburgh. | ||
| But at the end of the day, this is about us doing blocking and tackling. | ||
| And that's why at pachase.com, we've hired these folks. | ||
| Every dollar that people donate goes directly to the ballot chaser, their housing, their gas money. | ||
| This is about doing the work that the Democrats do. | ||
| Let's fight fire with fire. | ||
| And remember, Jack, we're focused on red counties. | ||
| where Republican clerks count the ballots. | ||
| So if you're worried about the integrity of the election, we need to go into those Republican counties that have 70 or 80 percent turnout and turn it into 90 or 95 percent, just like the Democrats do in the cities. | ||
| That's why I'm optimistic about us winning here in November. | ||
| And remember, ballots are out now. | ||
| OK, this isn't like me and you when we grew up, where it was just one day of voting. | ||
| As you know, there are 50 days of voting. | ||
| So they've delayed it a little bit, but ballots are going to start hitting this week. | ||
| It's time to go to war, and we're ready for it. | ||
| It's time to go to war with the War Room. | ||
| Cliff Maloney, the PHAs, give him a follow. | ||
| Get involved, folks. | ||
| Right back here. | ||
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| America is standing on the brink of an election meltdown, and Jim Rickards, editor of Strategic Intelligence, the man who predicted the 2008 financial crisis, Trump's victory in 2016, and the COVID disaster is sounding the alarm. | ||
| Rickards has just dropped a bombshell that could change everything you think you know about the 2024 election. | ||
| He's uncovered what he calls the Democrats' secret plan to keep Trump out of the White House, even if he wins. | ||
| This isn't some far-off theory. | ||
| He's warning that this meltdown could lead to a 50% market crash. | ||
| The total collapse of the U.S. | ||
| dollar and violent riots in our streets. | ||
| The stakes are higher than ever, folks, and if you're not prepared, you could lose everything. | ||
| But Jim Rickards isn't just predicting disaster. | ||
| He's laying out five critical steps you need to take now to protect yourself, your family, and your financial future. | ||
| This isn't fear-mongering. | ||
| It's coming straight from a man who's been at the highest levels of intelligence, finance, and national security. | ||
| Go to Meltdown24.com right now to watch his urgent presentation. | ||
| Don't wait until it's too late. | ||
| Meltdown24.com. | ||
| That's Meltdown24.com. | ||
|
unidentified
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All this nonsense, all this spin, they can't handle the truth. | |
| War Room Battleground with Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| All right, Jack Pasoek back here in on the War Rooms. | ||
| Stephen K. Bannon continues to be a political prisoner of the regime there in F.C.I. | ||
| Danbury. | ||
| And our thoughts and prayers are with Steve's enemies and our actions are for the defense and the salvation of the Republic. | ||
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| That's TNUSA.com slash Bannon. | ||
| Alright folks, we got Mark Mitchell back on here. | ||
| So Mark talking about the importance of Pennsylvania. | ||
| As a swing state with Cliff Maloney, of course, you know, I've been saying all along, PA is the key. | ||
| PA is the key. | ||
| And what can I say, you know, as a proud son of the state of Pennsylvania, I certainly am a little biased when it comes to that. | ||
| But it really is starting to look like Pennsylvania may shake down as the Rust Belt that is the key that picks the lock, as Steve would say, of the 2024 election. | ||
| What's your analysis there? | ||
| Yes, and if it does, I think it'll play into the bigger story that I think, which is the fact that Democrats are losing independence. | ||
| So back in 2020, Biden won independence nationally by lower double digits. | ||
| And when we polled in Pennsylvania, it was very close. | ||
| We had Trump plus one in the two-way, Trump down one in the multi-way. | ||
| It was the middle of August. | ||
| We still have our sample weighted D plus one there. | ||
| But this poll, for some reason, Pennsylvania, like other states, is more registered Republicans and Democrats, less independents. | ||
| And in this sample, we had Trump losing independence four points in the two-way. | ||
| And that is different than every other battleground state and nationally, because there's been a 25 point rightward shift in independence because they absolutely hate the Biden regime and what they did to America. | ||
| And even like just seeing how independents respond to Kamala Harris and her lack of substance in the debate. | ||
| I think that, you know, listen, some of these people are younger, they're more susceptible to things like The positive press that comes out of the DNC, I think that's part of what we saw in August. | ||
| But if there is more Trump support than there is in my poll, It's because the independents are growing and mad and being underrepresented in this poll. | ||
| And I mean, I think that's like really the big story. | ||
| The independents almost everywhere poll like Republicans here. | ||
| Trump is winning them by 12 points nationally. | ||
| And I expect that to be the case in Pennsylvania. | ||
| And that's what I'll be looking for in the numbers that we get next week. | ||
| Well, and what's this latest I'm hearing, by the way? | ||
| So Axios, of course, has the story out. | ||
| The same Axios, by the way, that was pushing is all the way back in 2020 saying, oh, here we go again. | ||
| The red mirage. | ||
| It's going to be a red mirage. | ||
| We expect Pennsylvania to go blue, but there's going to be a red mirage that night. | ||
| So we just had Cliff Maloney on here with P.A. | ||
| Chase. | ||
| We obviously people know that I work with Turning Point Action, Charlie Kirk, Scott Pressler, who was just on the show this morning is a good friend of mine. | ||
| They're going to be up at this and I'll put it out there again. | ||
| So I'm going to Pennsylvania with Tucker Carlson on September 23rd. | ||
| So that'll be on Monday. | ||
| If folks want to come, if they want to be there in Pennsylvania, Reading, PA, myself, Tucker Carlson, and yes, special guest, Alex Jones will be there, Reading, Pennsylvania, September 23rd. | ||
| Folks, you can go to TicketmasteratTuckerCarlson.com to check that all out. | ||
| Tucker will also be in Hershey PA with J.D. | ||
| Vance on Saturday, President Trump in PA Saturday. | ||
| So there's a ton of stuff going on in Pennsylvania. | ||
| That being said, with all of this activity focused on early votes, focused on mail-ins, Mark, why is Axios still pushing the same tired narrative of this red mirage that they were back in 2020? | ||
| Well, I have my suspicions. | ||
| 64% of voters think it's at least somewhat likely that U.S. | ||
| intelligence agencies are influencing political news. | ||
| I really do think at this point with how tied in they are to the regime, I think it's reasonable to question the unity and consistency behind all these messages. | ||
| Now, listen, In our polling, far out from elections, they do tend to favor Republicans somewhat. | ||
| I think each pollster has sort of their own flavor of numbers they put out. | ||
| But all of the time, coming into election season, voters wake up, they become politically engaged, and you can palpably feel that in the numbers. | ||
| And that's exactly what happened in 2022, right after the Supreme Court decision on abortion. | ||
| The polls just went from literally a Republican plus 10 in our numbers to about a plus 5. | ||
| And I remember coming on War Room, and Steve pressuring me week after week. | ||
| And it was like, one week, Republicans plus 7. | ||
| The next week, Republicans plus 1. | ||
| If you do the averages, it was R plus 4. | ||
| The final result was about R plus 2.8. | ||
| So we were 1.2 points too left. | ||
| Guess what? | ||
| Or too right. | ||
| We were 2 points too left in 2020. | ||
| And I think the reason is, is because Republicans overperform when Trump is on the ballot. | ||
| And that's nice. | ||
| They can console themselves at night with this concept of red mirage. | ||
| I can tell you we're not going to get another surprise like the Supreme Court ruling, in my opinion, that's going to change these numbers. | ||
| Because here's all the things that have been thrown at these numbers in the last two months. | ||
| Trump getting shot in the head, a candidate switcheroo, the DNC, a debate, like the single Like pivotal debate, and nothing's really changed. | ||
| We saw this Trump plus two coming from a mile away. | ||
| We said, oh, Trump's plus five now against Harris is probably going to get a lot of positive press for her. | ||
| It's going to settle into Trump plus two. | ||
| Again, I think it's going to take an act of God to move the numbers from where they're at now. | ||
| No, that's huge because, and this is something that I've been banging on even prior to the debate. | ||
| And I remember there were people spreading this narrative as, oh, Trump didn't do well in the debate. | ||
| Oh, Trump underperformed at the debate and Kamala was this and Kamala was that. | ||
| And people need to understand that for the underlying fundamentals of this race, none of that has changed. | ||
| So Mark, in terms of that, one of the things that Rasmussen always tracks, you guys, You guys do right track, wrong track for the direction of the country. | ||
| You guys track people's satisfaction with the level of things in the country. | ||
| You track their issues in terms of stance. | ||
| And the issues that people are focusing on in 2024 are directly related to things that Donald Trump has always been strongest on. | ||
| Economy. | ||
| border, immigration, foreign policy. | ||
| These are the areas where he excels. | ||
| That's why the one issue, and I'll have you walk through the analysis and correct me if I'm wrong on anything. | ||
| The one issue where Harris is not underwater, of course, is or excuse me, I got to go since we're talking PA underwater, okay, underwater. | ||
| It's, you know, they, since I've been DC for so long, they were saying, you know, you got to say water, you got to say waters. | ||
| It's water. | ||
| It's water. | ||
| I know it's water. | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's water and that's what it is. | |
| That's what it is, man. | ||
| It's water. | ||
| Well, yeah, I wouldn't drink the water in New Jersey, but. | ||
| Then again, you don't want to drink the water down. | ||
| If you're in Kunchahakan either, you don't want to drink the water either because those | ||
| guys drink directly out of the squiggle. | ||
| Sorry guys. | ||
| Sorry, it's just true. | ||
| But look, the one issue where she's not underwater with Trump is of course abortion. | ||
| That's why she wants to try to make these comments about IVF or just straight up lying | ||
| about what President Trump or where he stands on it, which AD Vance has said about abortion. | ||
| She wants to make that the cause of the election. | ||
| She's certainly using it to whip votes. | ||
| This is where they're trying to hope that the Taylor Swift play comes in because they | ||
| know that this is an issue they can use to motivate single women, single unmarried women | ||
| that they can gun into and say, look, this is your top issue. | ||
| And we see demographically that it is single unmarried women are the number one supporting | ||
| group for the Democrat Party. | ||
| Mark Mitchell, walk me through the issues at play here. | ||
| Okay. | ||
| If you ask voters what their issues are, they're going to say the economy number one, border number two, abortion number three. | ||
| If you ask independents, it's economy and then abortion. | ||
| Even Democrats put the economy first. | ||
| Now, I will say abortion was pretty successful for them in 2022. | ||
| But you have to understand the way that public opinion responds to these types of things. | ||
| What they responded to, in my opinion, was the exogenous shock of change. And the right had this too. I mean, they were | ||
| very successful in mobilizing conservative voters against Obamacare. But guess what? We still have Obamacare, | ||
| just like, and nobody cares about it anymore. | ||
| I think you're going to get the similar kind of thing with abortion. | ||
| But the fundamentals, even in my opinion, are something even deeper than the economy, because quite frankly, inflation has eased. | ||
| And even though the price of bread hasn't come down, people probably have forgotten about it or gotten used to it. | ||
| But here are some fundamentals. | ||
| Right track, wrong direction. | ||
| Independents right now, only 28% of them think the country's on the right track. | ||
| 67% say wrong direction. | ||
| Black voters, 42% right track, 49% wrong direction. | ||
| The 18- to 39-year-olds, very similar. | ||
| The only people who think the country's on the right track is Democrats, and it's only 58% of them. | ||
| And this one was mind-blowing to me because, again, a bigger signal even than inflation. | ||
| And this is horribly damning. | ||
| And in my opinion, it explains why independents hate her. | ||
| When considering the general conditions of the country, which is closer to your feeling, America needs more of the same or a fresh direction. | ||
| And people say fresh start, new direction, 69% to 24%. | ||
| But Kamala Harris, even though she's young, even though she's a woman, even though she's getting all this glitz and glamour in the Taylor Swift endorsement, 60% of voters think she's more of the same. | ||
| Only 34% say she's a fresh start, new direction. | ||
| Trump is the fresh start candidate. | ||
| 52% to 39%. | ||
| But the number among independents is astounding. | ||
| 62% of independents, Kamala Harris is more of the same. | ||
| 54% of independents, Donald Trump is a fresh start in a new direction. | ||
| So here's what it comes down to. | ||
| People hate the Biden regime. | ||
| That's why he has such a high, I mean, like his approval numbers among independents are absolutely god-awful. | ||
| 16% of independents strongly approve, 52% strongly disapprove. | ||
| This transcends inflation, the economy, any single issue. | ||
| Independents hate Biden, and they think she's part of the Biden regime. | ||
| And that's what President Trump's got to do there. | ||
| And I do think that for all of the moments of the debate, yes, of course, the eating the cats and eating the dogs has become this TikTok trend, which is still going by the way, I actually went on and checked last night, it's still going on TikTok. | ||
| But Uh, that even though it generated the trend, I do think that the most viral video and perhaps the most powerful video of that was his closing statement to say, if you can do all these things, why haven't you done them yet? | ||
| You've been in office for all of these years. | ||
| You've essentially been in office for four years. | ||
| You don't get to play this game. | ||
| And this has been the actual big lie of 2024. | ||
| The idea that she can she can sit there and go to the media and go to Dana Bash on CNN and go to all these other outlets that well correction she isn't going on that many outlets it's just Dana Bash at CNN and then this one local reporter in Philadelphia even though they conducted the interview in Pittsburgh oddly That she says, well, I'm a new way forward. | ||
| You're not a new way forward. | ||
| Your day one already happened. | ||
| You are currently in office. | ||
| You are the incumbent. | ||
| So they're trying to have their cake and eat it, too, and claim that the things that that have been quote unquote their claims that have been accomplished under the Biden administration are accomplishments of hers. | ||
| But at the same time, all of the failures are Biden. | ||
| So she doesn't want to get any association with Kabul. | ||
| She doesn't want any association with the failures of Israel-Gaza. | ||
| She doesn't want any association with the failed hostage rescues, et cetera, et cetera, because she knows that it's a loser to be associated with this regime, with this administration. | ||
| And yet she is associated with it because she's the vice president. | ||
| And she was the last one in the room for the Inflation Reduction Act, which is actually the Green New Deal light and all of these other things that have gone through. | ||
| Yeah, we have polling that shows that. | ||
| The independents think that the Biden administration was a failure, and they think she deserves more blame for the failures than she deserves credit for the success by a majority. | ||
| But I'll tell you, don't dismiss the memes. | ||
| Listen, those cat memes are hilarious. | ||
| I absolutely love them. | ||
| But the government would shut down the cat memes if they could, because do you remember the NPC memes and how it utterly put the fear of God into people on Twitter? | ||
| I'm pretty sure the government caused Twitter to shut that down. | ||
| So the memes are powerful and the social, I mean, the viral TikTok aspect is definitely a new angle to this race. | ||
| You're talking about like Trump, Trump's rallies are great, like Trump should do his rallies, the red meat. | ||
| But here's the thing. | ||
| Kennedy had a really good independent game and now Kennedy is campaigning for Trump. | ||
| You want to talk about Pennsylvania, I think the Kennedy aspect of Pennsylvania is the part that really nobody's focusing on. | ||
| Kennedy should be in Pennsylvania Like Kennedy name is is yeah, a couple things there. | ||
| So the NPC meme, I actually had somebody pretty high level name that everybody would know who outside of politics reach in and say, I think the NPC meme is one of the most powerful things you guys have ever created. | ||
| That this is it's it just shows everything you you transported these regime. | ||
| Vessels in a way that mocks them for what they've become. | ||
| A simple little repeater for whatever the television is telling us. | ||
| And that goes all the way back to COVID. | ||
| Then when you talk about what Trump should be doing, look, not just the rallies, I would actually argue town halls. | ||
| Go and conduct a town hall where he's actually talking to the voters and the citizens of Springfield, Ohio. | ||
| Go to Aurora, Colorado, and then go back to Butler, Pennsylvania. | ||
| Those are the three places that he needs to go if he wants to win this election. | ||
| And the debates with the rigging and ABC, whether or not they gave the questions to | ||
| Kamala Harris in advance, and this whistleblower situation ends up being real, that we know | ||
| that she knew that she wouldn't be fact-checked, and she knew that President Trump would be. | ||
| So she was able to sit there and lie about things like the insurrection hoax and the | ||
| fine people hoax with reckless abandon. | ||
| She was able to do these things with obviously malice aforethought from David Muir and Lindsey Graham. | ||
| Right. | ||
| Freudian slip, Lindsay Davis, because she knew she knew that she would not be fact checked. | ||
| Look, when it comes again and then you say Pennsylvania is the final stand, it really is. | ||
| It really is. | ||
| Hold the town halls there and just just start stumping. | ||
| Go from town to town, area to area, those interactions. | ||
| And look, you can you can do it in such a way that it maintains security posture. | ||
| OK, you're not going to be able to go into, you know, hold these random events at restaurants | ||
| and showing up at cheesesteak stands and stuff the way that he was before. | ||
| But he's able to do a lot directly with the people. | ||
| That's always been his best content. | ||
| And by the way, it's a forum and a format where Kamala Harris can not she can't see | ||
| she doesn't have the chops. | ||
| Yeah, I mean, there's total asymmetry. | ||
| He has the credibility of a term that he did a lot of this stuff and he has substance to his policies and voters know that. | ||
| And that's the thing. | ||
| She was not trying to reach independence in the debate because it was just the hoax stuff again. | ||
| They all see through that. | ||
| Like, listen, we tested the bloodbath. | ||
| Nobody thought Trump was talking about violence at all whatsoever. | ||
| It's all performative. | ||
| She was doing it for the media, and she's not reaching independent voters. | ||
| And again, like literally back to Pennsylvania from August, when Kennedy was only getting 3% of the vote nationally, he was taking home 13% of the independent vote in Pennsylvania. | ||
| Get Kennedy to Pennsylvania. | ||
| Do these town halls. | ||
| Go on Russell Brand and talk about very specific policy points, just like what he did with Elon Musk. | ||
| I mean, absolutely. | ||
| And can I also say, listen, We are an independent pollster. | ||
| We do not take political sides. | ||
| But we all need to agree again that the Make America NPC meme again has to happen. | ||
| That was incredible. | ||
| Probably the best meme I've ever seen. | ||
| It's sad the government killed it. | ||
| They have Twitter back. | ||
| Where is it? | ||
| Let's get it back up there. | ||
| Well, you know what they say about memes. | ||
| Memes are not created. | ||
| Memes are revealed to us from God and the universe itself. | ||
| But I'll just throw out before we end here that, we've got about a minute left, but that Kennedy name in Pennsylvania is massive. | ||
| People talk about how because you have a ton of Irish Catholics in Pennsylvania from across the Southeast to the Southwest. | ||
| You've got people who remit. | ||
| These are the working class Democrats. | ||
| These are the folks who are the Reagan Democrats. | ||
| They were and the Reagan Democrats originally were the Kennedy Democrats. | ||
| This is the blue collar worker. | ||
| That's the name that Kennedy resonates with. | ||
| And obviously, RFK Jr. | ||
| is the most high profile living Kennedy right now. | ||
| You get him out there on the stump for President Trump in these areas, hopefully with President Trump in these areas at rallies, that's going to have a massive effect. | ||
| Mark Mitchell, thank you so much for being here from Rasmussen Reports. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Always happy to be here. | |
| All right, folks. | ||
| Remember, Tucker Carlson, myself, Pennsylvania, Alex Jones as well, September 23rd. | ||
| So next Monday, I will see you there in my great home state of Pennsylvania. | ||
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