July 19, 2022 - Bannon's War Room
48:12
Participants
| 
| Speaker | Time | Text |
|---|---|---|
|
unidentified
|
Peace. | |
| I mean, every day you're out there. | ||
| What they're doing is blowing people off. | ||
| If you continue to look the other way and shut up, then the oppressors, the authoritarians, get total control and total power. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Because this is just like in Arizona. | |
| This is just like in Georgia. | ||
| It's another element that backs them into a corner and shows their lies and misrepresentations. | ||
| This is why this audience is going to have to get engaged. | ||
| As we've told you, this is the fight. | ||
| All this nonsense, all this spin. | ||
| They can't handle the truth. | ||
| War Room Battleground. | ||
| Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for Stephen K. Bannon today. | ||
| War Room Battleground. | ||
| And, um, at some point that musical stop, but it's kind of nice music. | ||
| There we go. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| All right, we're good. | ||
| Look, this This show's a different cat from the other War Room show for good reason. | ||
| What I love about this show is its granularity. | ||
| The mission right now of everyone who's considered to be themselves a Trump deplorable, as I am, a War Room action, action, action oriented person, | ||
| Um, we have, we have one mission, uh, for 2022, and that is to take back the House of Representatives from, um, the Democrats and do it in the name of MAGA. | ||
| Do it in the name of Trump Republicanism, not Rhino Republicanism. | ||
| And at the same time, we're pursuing that mission. | ||
| We also must, must win races across this great country, key races in Secretaries of State, which are basically the election officials in states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, which Who were responsible for the steal of the 2020 election. | ||
| We had Soros-backed people in Michigan and Pennsylvania in particular, and they did incredible damage to this republic by facilitating illegal ballots, contaminating the ballot box. | ||
| So there's that. | ||
| And then there's also issues like school boards. | ||
| Boards of supervisors. | ||
| I mean, these school boards right now, every parent in America who is concerned about preparing their children for a highly competitive world wants their schools to focus on rewriting arithmetic, calculus, physics, STEM, science, technology, engineering, math, | ||
| And just as the US military is focused now not on military preparedness and developing the next generations of defense weapons to fight off things like hypersonic vehicles from the friggin Chinese and Russians. | ||
| Our school boards are focused not on teaching our children well and preparing them well for what we face but instead | ||
| Um, have been just engulfed by this woke Democrat progressive party, which teaches everything but what our children need in order to be prepared for a competitive world in a very, very tough global economic environment. | ||
| And what this show does is provide the opportunity to give you windows into these state and local races so that you understand boots on the ground what's going on and sometimes you'll find a race that you might want to contribute to or give to or be interested in and what's beautiful about Steve Bannon and the War Room is that | ||
| He sees the big picture, but he does it in a way, it's like a pointillism painting, right? | ||
| It's like, there's all these little dots out there. | ||
| School boards, congressional districts, secretaries of state races, down-ballot races. | ||
| But when you put it all together, it becomes a pattern of power and who has it. | ||
| And right now, we are relatively powerless. | ||
| To defend ourselves against the policies of a president and a Congress and some state legislatures and governors who are doing everything in their power, and a lot of times they don't even understand it, to destroy our economy. | ||
| To erode the fabric of our society and our culture and our American ideals and shred the Constitution in the process. | ||
| The War Room is broadcast deep in the swamp. | ||
| I point this direction. | ||
| And I could literally throw a baseball and hit the Supreme Court. | ||
| I wouldn't do that. | ||
| Don't come arrest me. | ||
| I've been arrested once in leg hours. | ||
| That's once is enough. | ||
| But my point is that we're here in the swamp and we see These bad decisions get made every day. | ||
| I mean, look, it's like Congress spends virtually all of its time now on everything but solving the problems that you out there in deplorable land care about. | ||
| Your major concern right now is the price of gasoline and the price of food and whether you're going to have a job at a decent wage tomorrow when you go in. | ||
| And do your punch card or however it is you check in for your work. | ||
| And there's serious issues afoot. | ||
| So that's the big preamble. | ||
| And true to that spirit, in the first half hour of the show today, we thank Frank's Beach for hosting this, among others. | ||
| We're going to talk to a series of candidates For various offices. | ||
| So, if I'm correct, the first person we want to go to is a gentleman named Anthony Sabatini. | ||
| I believe it's the 34th district in the great state of Florida. | ||
| I want to welcome Anthony to the War Room and I want to just talk Start out, Anthony, if you can, describe your district, where it is in Florida. | ||
| I'm an old Floridian, so you can be as specific as you can. | ||
| Tell us when the primary is, when absentee ballots starting, who your opponents are, and why are you the guy? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Hey, well, Dr. Navarro, thanks for having me on. | |
| It's great to be back on. | ||
| I think I did 20 appearances in the last year. | ||
| It's been great keeping everybody in the war room posse up to date on what's happening in Florida. | ||
| I'm currently in the Florida State House, which has been the honor of a lifetime. | ||
| I've been there fighting with DeSantis against the radical left for the last four years, but now I'm running for an open federal congressional seat. | ||
| It's actually one of the seats that emerged when Steve and the War Room Posse started beating the drum and making sure that we put pressure on the state legislature to pass a strong constitutional map that was going to provide good wins for constitutional conservatives. | ||
| So a new Republican seat emerged. | ||
| And that's what I'm running in. | ||
| It's District 7. | ||
| It's the area between Orlando and Daytona Beach. | ||
| It's a strong conservative area. | ||
| So the real battle is actually the primary. | ||
| It's me, the America first populist choice who believes in constitutional liberty, who's been fighting alongside Governor DeSantis for the last four years. | ||
| And following in Trump's footsteps, trying to make the country great again against some swamp creatures, you know, those affiliated with the old Bush wing of the Republican Party, which wants to roll back the gains and the posture and the issues that animate the Republican Party today. | ||
| And so that's really the race in a nutshell is Republican primary between the new America first movement and the old Bush wing. | ||
| And when when's the primary, when's the absentee ballot start? | ||
|
unidentified
|
So in Florida, we have very late primaries. | |
| It's August 23rd, but the absentee ballot voting, which we call vote-by-mail voting, started three days ago. | ||
| So Saturday, folks are mailing their ballots in. | ||
| We've been working the phones on that. | ||
| And then early voting will start August 13th. | ||
| Open primary, where the Dems can vote in your primary, or is this a closed primary where only registered Republicans vote? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thank goodness it is a true closed Republican primary. | |
| No NPAs, no non-party affiliates, no Democrats. | ||
| Yeah, good. | ||
| That's good. | ||
| And the metrics usually in these races are how much money have you raised relative to your rivals, and what's the latest poll say? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, the latest poll has me up plus seven, so I'm number one in the race, which is great. | |
| That came out literally today, Rasmussen. | ||
| And we've raised $1.1 million, and every last penny of it from grassroots patriots across the state and across the country who appreciated the fight that I put up during COVID against tyrannical local governments and against woke institutions that are trying to push wokeism in our schools, etc. | ||
| Disney was a big fight that gained me a lot of support in this race. | ||
| People know who the real fighter is. | ||
| Are you seeing any of the dark money, the Rhino money, going into your rivals? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yes, very slowly. | |
| It started to come in slowly. | ||
| I have one opponent who's very, very strongly affiliated with Dan Crenshaw, endorsed by Dan Crenshaw. | ||
| And so that dark money is coming in. | ||
| I think it's going to come in a flood in the next few weeks. | ||
| But in the beginning, it's just sort of been trickling in. | ||
| The good news is that a lot of his money has been grifted away by the grifters that animate Right now they're on the sidelines. | ||
| It's a very good chance DeSantis stays out. | ||
| I guess, is DeSantis or Donald Trump, are they both staying on the sidelines in this race? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right now they're on the sidelines. | |
| It's a very good chance DeSantis stays out. | ||
| He's actually never endorsed in a normal congressional primary. | ||
| But I definitely am hoping for and somewhat expect a Trump endorsement. | ||
| I've met with him several times. | ||
| I've been the strongest pro-Trump MAGA fighter in the state legislature for the last four years. | ||
| So I'm expecting something positive to happen in that realm. | ||
| All right, Anthony, we wish you the best. | ||
| If you're watching the War Room from Anthony's district, absentee ballots have begun. | ||
| You know what to do. | ||
| It's so critical that we get pro-Trump folks back. | ||
| I'm assuming you're solid on the pro-Trump MAGA agenda. | ||
| The way I describe it, ...is secure southern borders, fair not free trade, including tough tariffs on China, and an end to endless wars. | ||
| Are we on the same page there, Anthony? | ||
|
unidentified
|
100%. | |
| Gotta save the American industry and bring it back, and we need to close the border, and we need to be doing deportations. | ||
| That's the heart of the movement, and anybody that differs from us on that is not MAGA whatsoever. | ||
| Let me ask you the last question. | ||
| It's going to be the tough one. | ||
| I don't mean to leave it to the end, but if you get elected, are you going to vote for Kevin McCarthy for Speaker? | ||
|
unidentified
|
No, never. | |
| Never. | ||
| In fact, I'm the only He's a candidate in the race that's pledged not to vote for Kevin McCarthy under any circumstances. | ||
| He's a weak leader. | ||
| He can't be trusted. | ||
| And we need to be looking at somebody more like an Andy Biggs, somebody filling with the Freedom Caucus, who has a command of the issues, but also the courage that's needed and that's totally absent in the old guard. | ||
| That courage is necessary to bring the Republican Party to a great period. | ||
| And I'm sorry, but McCarthy don't have it. | ||
| I'm so glad to hear that. | ||
| Folks in the war room know my views as well as Steve's views on Kevin McCarthy. | ||
| He is part of the rhino wing of the Republican Party along with Mitch McConnell in the Senate. | ||
| And if we take back the House and Senate in 2022, For the Republican Party and those two are the leaders. | ||
| We will not have fulfilled the mission. | ||
| So let's get Anthony Sabatini in there. | ||
| And thank you for your time, sir. | ||
| I'll let you get out there and shake some hands and knock on some doors. | ||
| Good luck to you, sir. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Thanks, Peter. | |
| You're a hero. | ||
| Good to meet you. | ||
| Good to talk with you again. | ||
| Take care. | ||
| You are my brother. | ||
| Take care, man. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right. | |
| Again, what I love about this show is we go right to the grassroots. | ||
| Let's move now to the great state of Missouri. | ||
| And Kyle, my buddy, I see you. | ||
| It's Kyle, right? | ||
| Kyle LeBrew. | ||
| Yes. | ||
| Kyle LeBrew. | ||
| All right, say it again so everybody knows who you are. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Kyle LeBrew. | |
| All right, my brother. | ||
| So tell us now about the 4th District of Missouri. | ||
| Where is it in the state? | ||
| Do you have a Republican-only primary? | ||
| How many opponents do you have? | ||
| How much money have you raised and who's endorsed you? | ||
| You can run through that checklist. | ||
|
unidentified
|
So the 4th District is massive. | |
| It runs All the way up just below Kansas City and all the way down just above Springfield, Missouri and all the way over to the Kansas border. | ||
| The absentee ballot has already started to go out and our primary is August 2nd. | ||
| So if anybody's watching this, please consider voting for me. | ||
| I am the only candidate in the race that is an American businessman. | ||
| I built my business from the ground up. | ||
| I built houses. | ||
| I started that in 2008, so I certainly know what it's like to reinvent yourself and to work through trials and issues. | ||
| I have raised very little funds because I'm funding this myself, actually. | ||
| I don't want to owe anybody. | ||
| I don't want to be part of the swamp. | ||
| I just want to be somebody that can say no and needs to be said no and say yes when it's best for America. | ||
| And what I'm seeing as I'm out here, we're knocking about 1,200 doors a day is what we're hitting. | ||
| We're doing it the old school grassroots way. | ||
| Looking in people's eyeballs, letting them know what we're about. | ||
| And what people are telling me is that they're tired of the same as usual, everybody stalemating and getting nothing done. | ||
| And I'm the type of guy that picks up an issue and gets it done one at a time. | ||
| And that's what I'll be doing. | ||
| Have you ever been Intellectual politics before. | ||
| I mean, what motivated you to run for office? | ||
| Because it's, it's, it's not, it's a labor of love. | ||
| I, you know, I've done it myself. | ||
| You put a lot, a lot on the line, a lot of your times, you and your case, your own money. | ||
| I did that myself. | ||
| If you'd talked to me before your race, I would have told you never to do that. | ||
| Go out and raise money. | ||
| But it's too late now. | ||
| But what, what, what, what got you going on this Kyle? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, I look at the world today and I just, I see people making awful decisions for my children every single day. | |
| And I'm tired of standing by waiting for someone to do what's right. | ||
| And I just decided to get involved. | ||
| And you're absolutely a hundred percent right. | ||
| You don't have any idea how much it takes to be able to get your on a race like this until you get in it. | ||
| And you start to appreciate the people that are there trying to fight for what's right, because you realize that it is a sacrifice. | ||
| And I'm, you know, I'm sacrificing family time. | ||
| I'm, I'm sacrificing money and I'm sacrificing, uh, some of the other opportunities that are around me because I believe that America is the greatest country in the world. | ||
| And I'm just tired of watching, uh, one bad decision after the other. | ||
| I mean, you look at even the, the, uh, ads for today. | ||
| They're telling, they're telling people just to suck it up, that it'll get better on this, on this gas prices thing. | ||
| Well, you know, we got single moms, we got dads that are just being pressed down farther and farther trying to get to work. | ||
| And, uh, you know, we got farmers that are trying to stay afloat in this economy that we have. | ||
| And it seems like our president is so far disconnected that he doesn't even realize, um, what the American people need. | ||
| And then, then you see people that are in Congress just going, Oh, it's not that bad because they're all millionaires. | ||
| You know, they're not the people that are in the grassroots here in Missouri, just trying to get by. | ||
| You know, they don't really understand what the average American is dealing with. | ||
| And I guess that's what I want to bring to Congress, is I want to bring the voices of people and get rid of all this political— Is there a— Go ahead. | ||
| Is there an incumbent in this race? | ||
| Is there an incumbent in this race? | ||
|
unidentified
|
No incumbents, but it's a full primary. | |
| There's quite a few people running— It's an open seat. | ||
| Yes, yes it is. | ||
| And what's the, as they say in the trade, is it plus seven Democrat, plus seven Republican, plus two, what is it considered to be? | ||
| Is this a contestable seat? | ||
|
unidentified
|
This is Trump country, so I think it's an R25. | |
| Okay. | ||
| So whoever wins the primary, it's done, right? | ||
| So how many candidates do you have that you're tilting against here? | ||
|
unidentified
|
Well, there's five serious. | |
| Candidates and I'd say that there's a couple there's a couple more that I don't really know what they're doing a couple of them have a website so But is it you know, is it a winner-take-all primary or is it the runoff? | ||
| With the top two to get 50% It's a winner-take-all and so I'm running That gives you a chance that gives you a chance you could win this with 20% of the vote That's correct. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah, I That is correct. | |
| Anybody in America that's willing to work has a chance, and I'll outwork anybody, I promise you that. | ||
| Has President Trump endorsed anybody in the race? | ||
|
unidentified
|
He hasn't endorsed anybody in the race, and it's looking like he's probably not going to, just because it's, you know, it's not one of the more... It's a toss-up. | |
| Yeah, toss-up districts, but it's whoever wins the primaries is going to win. | ||
| And, uh, they're going to be the representative of the fourth district. | ||
| And so. | ||
| I'm excited to bring, uh, who I am as a business owner and as a father to, to Congress to try to represent these people. | ||
| You know, I think it's. | ||
| Has Kevin McCarthy reached out to you, or has he endorsed anybody in this race? | ||
| Is he funneling money in? | ||
| Because, you know, that's what he does. | ||
| He tries to buy votes so that he stays in power. | ||
| What's the status of Kevin these days? | ||
|
unidentified
|
He's not reaching out to me, but I'm sure he's involved. | |
| There are some rhinos in this area, as you can tell by our legislator vote. | ||
| And I, you know, there's just, there's rhino money here trying to press hard on, on that Senate position and other things. | ||
| And, uh, for me, I'm just, I'm just sick and tired of people not getting things done. | ||
| You know, Missouri is the show me state. | ||
| So we're ready for people to actually do something. | ||
| And, uh, you know, we can get it done one voice and one vote at a time. | ||
| Alright sir, you seem like a good man and a capable man. | ||
| Let people know how they can help with your campaign and then we're gonna bid you farewell here and good luck. | ||
|
unidentified
|
That's kylelabrew.com. | |
| I'm on Facebook, I'm on Twitter, I'm on Gitter and as of recent I'm even on TikTok so check me out and we'll get some things done. | ||
| I appreciate you guys and appreciate everything you and Steve do for Alright brother, good luck to you out there in the trenches. | ||
| Look, a man like that, America should be proud of. | ||
| He's putting it on the line in the name of democracy and we need more folks like that rather than less. | ||
| Alright, as I promised, we're going to continue around this great country. | ||
| Next, we're going to Arizona. | ||
| And who are we seeing? | ||
| Okay. | ||
| All right. | ||
| So we've got a few minutes left. | ||
| We're going to try to get our Arizona candidate back. | ||
| In the meantime, let me just try to put this in perspective here. | ||
| Let me brazenly do a pitch for my Taking Back Trump's America book here. | ||
| And the reason why I bring it up is because This book is a blueprint and a battle cry, essentially, for taking back Trump's America in two stages, really. | ||
| Stage one has to be, it absolutely has to be, removing Nancy Pelosi from the House of Representatives as Speaker of the House. | ||
| As I talk about in the Taking Back Trump's America book, The ascendance of Pelosi in 2018 was a contributing factor. | ||
| To Donald Trump's loss in 2020. | ||
| The whole theme of the Taking Back Trump's America book on Amazon, by the way, is a takeoff on Ronald Reagan's personnel is policy phrasing, where I take a more granular view of bad personnel is bad policy, is bad politics. | ||
| And the problem we had, and I tell the story in Taking Back Trump's America, about how in the White House decisions were made to focus more on the Senate rather than the House in the 2018 races. | ||
| And despite my warnings and warnings of others like Steve, we let that house slip away and the ensuing chaos and attacks from the likes of Pelosi, Schiff, Raskin and others took their toll on Donald Trump in the 2020 election. | ||
| All right, we have our next guest back. | ||
| Matt, excuse me, Cameron, who do we have here? | ||
| Sherry Spire, I'm so delighted. | ||
| Sherry, to welcome you to the War Room. | ||
| You are from the great state of Arizona, I believe, and tell us what you're running for and why. | ||
| Sure. | ||
| I'm running for Superintendent of Public Instruction. | ||
| In most states, it's actually an appointed position, but here in Arizona, it is elected, which is probably a good thing. | ||
| We need to make sure that we have the will of the people. | ||
| In every key position and this is the person who is the chief education officer in the state. | ||
| So that's what I'm running for to bring some sense into the Department of Education. | ||
| We have a very progressive liberal superintendent right now that we must take out of office comes from Denver. | ||
| We only got a minute. | ||
| I apologize that but we had some technical difficulties. | ||
| What's the worst thing that the person is doing right now in that position and how would you stop it? | ||
| You know, she's obsessed with LGBTQ and gender ideology. | ||
| So the sexualizing and the grooming of our children is real. | ||
| I can't explain and convey how bad it is, actually, in all levels. | ||
| I mean, from kindergarten on, they are talking to our children about things that they should not be talking to them about. | ||
| And here you're showing one of those pages that we just posted. | ||
| This is in a Human Geography AP class in Vail, Arizona. | ||
| And I don't know what this has to do with geography. | ||
| I understand the cultural shifts and movements of humans around the universe and earth. | ||
| But they're talking about LGBTQ agenda in every textbook, in every assignment, it seems like, in everything. | ||
| And it's a problem. | ||
| Look, we appreciate people stepping up and speaking their minds and running for office. | ||
| So, we wish you well. | ||
| Sorry we didn't have more time. | ||
| Quickly, how can people get a hold of you on social media or website? | ||
| Sure, my website is sapiraz.com. | ||
| S-A-P-I-R-A-Z dot com. | ||
|
unidentified
|
And on Twitter, at Sherry Sapir. | |
| S-H-I-R-Y S-A-P-I-R. | ||
| Alright, good luck to you, madam, and we'll be talking in the future. | ||
| Take care. | ||
| War Room Battlegrounds with Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| And I want to bring on one of the favorite guys I like to talk to, one of the most astute guys, and he's always perfect for the Battleground show because what we're about here is granularity. | ||
| And one of the things that's been weighing on my mind since the Georgia, and we'll call it what it is, fiasco, Where we lost Jody Heiss in the Secretary of State race. | ||
| That would have been a good replacement. | ||
| Instead, we're stuck with Raffensperger there. | ||
| And Vernon Jones got his head handed to him there. | ||
| And it's like, There's something about Georgia where this rhino wing of the Republican Party, they're deep-pocketed. | ||
| They seem to have good ground game. | ||
| They kind of know how to hit above their weight when it comes to battling Trump. | ||
| And I'm worried, deeply worried, that something like that might be going on. | ||
| In Arizona, as I'm watching Carrie Lake struggle against the billionaire money of Robeson fighting against her. | ||
| I know that they're going to go after Fincham every way, which lose his Secretary of State race. | ||
| And of course, there's the Blake Masters race. | ||
| So let's bring in Richard now. | ||
| I just love the color of your t-shirt, Richard. | ||
| I think I might get one of those myself. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Nice! | |
| And so, if you could, why don't we start with Arizona, and there's some other issues I want to do, but tell me, boots on the ground, do you see any kind of a repeat of Georgia fiasco in Arizona in your polling, and have I read that wrong? | ||
| Tell me what you're thinking, what you're seeing. | ||
| Yeah, we actually did stay in the field for another day, Peter, to make sure we didn't miss anything with Mike Pence and Doug Ducey. | ||
| But the fact is, Kerry Lake, and people can go check it out on creativedestructionmedia.com or just cdm.press. | ||
| The poll was just released there. | ||
| The Senate's coming out, the Secretary of State. | ||
| It'll be out within minutes. | ||
| Kerry Lake is doing something that David Perdue just never could do and Jody Heist never could do. | ||
| Which is dominating. | ||
| And we aren't talking about two totally different electorates. | ||
| One is really heavily Hispanic. | ||
| Even in a Republican primary, there's going to be a good chunk of Hispanic voters. | ||
| And the former president is popular in the state of Arizona. | ||
| So I think it's fair to say the endorsement in Arizona carries more weight than it does in some of these Southern Uppity, old school, rhino is the word, Republican states. | ||
| Yeah, I mean, Kerry Lake's got a big lead here, 43 to 29. | ||
| 43 to 29. | ||
| How big? | ||
| It started 43 to 29. | ||
| Robeson is the, Robeson's the 29? | ||
| She is. | ||
| Is this a closed primary? | ||
| Republicans only? | ||
| Can the Democrats come in and make mischief? | ||
| Yeah, you can. | ||
| I mean, there is a little bit of mischief making. | ||
| You can do that. | ||
| But the fact is, it's not significant. | ||
| You know what is? | ||
| The percentage of voters who typically call themselves independents, who intend to vote on the Republican side versus the Democratic side. | ||
| So looking at it right now, independent and third party voters, we asked in which primary do you intend to participate? | ||
| Sixty-two percent, almost. | ||
| Sixty-one point six percent of these voters said, I'm voting in the Republican primary. | ||
| And they're going for Lake and Masters, by the way. | ||
| They're going for Lake and Masters. | ||
| All right, so here's a question. | ||
| We'll get to Masters. | ||
| What percentage of the voters, and I'm sure you must have asked this, already know that Lake has the Trump endorsement and that's influencing their decision? | ||
| That, you know, that's a good question because in Georgia, 60% of voters told us in the state of Georgia that they didn't, they couldn't accurately tell us who, uh, the president endorsed, which was to me, uh, crazy. | ||
| Uh, this is not the case here. | ||
| About 25% don't know about the Trump endorsement. | ||
| Totally different ballgame. | ||
| So, uh, it is, there's without a doubt, Peter, it's helping. | ||
| And honestly, before, if I don't want to leave Arizona too soon, but out saying this, It's a state that really underscores how important, illustrates how important this fight for the party is. | ||
| If you look at, and Donald Trump did so much better than McSally among these groups of voters that are the future of the country, not just the state of Arizona. | ||
| So all of, if I tweeted before, folks, look at the cross tabs, look at age, look at race and look at generation, because we asked, are you first, second, third generation? | ||
| What state were you born in? | ||
| The people who are making up the surge in the population in this country like America First. | ||
| They don't like Republican establishment candidates. | ||
| So, this is why Donald Trump outperformed... And this includes... | ||
| Yeah, and this includes Hispanics. | ||
| More and more, right? | ||
| Is that part of the equation? | ||
| Kerry Lake is thrashing Robeson with Hispanics. | ||
| Blake Masters has about a 15 point lead. | ||
| These guys, see I was on with Charlie Kirk before and I was trying to explain the demographic. | ||
| And he said, they're the Joe Rogan voters. | ||
| They're just Hispanic, Hispanic Joe Rogan voters. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Working, working, you know, folks, family folks, uh, definitely the Hispanic vote is going to play a huge role going forward. | ||
| And that's why Arizona is not going to turn into Georgia because Georgia is 30% plus sometimes, uh, African-American. | ||
| And there's a lot of yuppie whites, Peter. | ||
| You know, there's no better, remember we called them yuppies in the 80s and 90s, right? | ||
| That's who they are, the overly educated, you know? | ||
| That's not the case outside of Phoenix in Arizona, you know? | ||
| So I was concerned that it was a horrible tragedy. | ||
| Trump's ex-wife, Ivana, died and that made the trip that Trump was going to take On behalf of Lake and Masters to Arizona, that got canceled. | ||
| I was told that the absentee ballots were already rolling in. | ||
| So I guess what you're saying is now that you've been in the field, she's okay without that. | ||
| And Masters is also. | ||
| Let's turn to Masters. | ||
| Go ahead. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Well, I was just going to say, Carrie, you know, the situation with Carrie Lake's race is that it isn't as crowded and there's a lot less undecideds now. | ||
| Governor races tend to decide a little bit quicker than some of these Senate, like really hype Senate battles. | ||
| But we did ask about Likelihood to vote, but also have you voted already? | ||
| Do you plan to vote before election day or are you going to vote on election day? | ||
| Robeson leads by a poultry, one point among those are already voted, 42.5 to 41.9. | ||
| Kerry Lake leads with the voters who haven't voted yet, but intend to vote early before election day, 41.7 to 25.8. | ||
| And then on election day, it's just a bloodbath. | ||
| 46.7 to 20.5. | ||
| But Arizona's heavily mail-in, so it's very key to both Lake and Masters that they're winning that vote of people who intend to cast their ballots before Election Day. | ||
| I just don't know where Robeson's going to find the vote. | ||
| How do you explain the dead heat for that first tranche you described between Robeson and Lake? | ||
| You know, I think you kind of said... | ||
| I think you kind of said it before. | ||
| They have a ground game in some of these states. | ||
| They really know how to use it. | ||
| A lot of people underestimated some of these camps. | ||
| They bank them. | ||
| They bank them, yeah. | ||
| The thing is, and I have noticed, the president has tweeted in truth several times, go out and vote. | ||
| Get those early ballots in. | ||
| Uh, and then also I think it's the kind of voter, you know, the more skeptical voter doesn't want to hand their ballot in right away. | ||
| We did hear about a couple of problems, by the way, people who wanted to go, uh, vote in person said, take me off the, the, uh, permanent mailing ballot list. | ||
| And then yet we're still receiving ballots, uh, that they didn't expect to receive. | ||
| If that happens to you and you plan to vote in person, take the ballot they mailed to you. | ||
| Uh, with you when you go to vote in person. | ||
| Make sure you bring it with you. | ||
| Don't fill it out, just bring it with you. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| Alright? | ||
| Um, because, yeah, it's a you-know-what show, Peter. | ||
| Yeah, yeah. | ||
| Did you ask the question, uh, um, did you do any match-ups of, uh, Katie Hobbs on the Democratic side? | ||
| The, the disasters, the Secretary of State who, who basically, uh, stole the election from Trump. | ||
| Did you, did you, uh, Matt, do a match-up with Lake versus Robeson? | ||
| We did. | ||
| We did. | ||
| You know, it's not, it's not out there yet, but I will just tell you this. | ||
| You know, we're going to drop a bomb on people if- Breaking news here. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Lake is ahead of Hobbs. | ||
| It's a small lead, but it's a lead. | ||
| She's winning independence. | ||
| She doesn't have bleeding in the crossover. | ||
| And Masters is not that far behind Kelly at all. | ||
| It's very doable. | ||
| And the reason why is because Masters wins a voter. | ||
| So does Lake, by the way. | ||
| And as somebody like Masters, I think a lot of these Hispanic voters, they like the rough and tumble. | ||
| They like that. | ||
| So, you know, Donald Trump performs so much better among these voters. | ||
| McSally, with Masters, he doesn't have that problem. | ||
| So Kelly is not going to split these voters. | ||
| In your world, is Arizona a purple state now? | ||
| I mean, if you're telling me that both the governor and the Senate races are dead heats, effectively, or within reach of the Republicans, that doesn't sound like a red state to me. | ||
| How do you square that circle? | ||
| You know, I think over time we may see it swing back Republican, but the fact is, I wouldn't call it a red state. | ||
| And this is somebody who calls Florida a red state. | ||
| It's done. | ||
| Democrats can just hang it up there. | ||
| Fundraising against Ron DeSantis should be considered fraud. | ||
| You're just taking people's money. | ||
| But that took time. | ||
| And in Arizona, we saw some stuff exactly, it's basically on par with what we saw in Florida. | ||
| Some of these white educated voters went to the Democratic side and Republicans took all of the new arrivals and newly naturalized first generation Hispanic workers. | ||
| Which is what I've told people, you know, that they, I hear a lot about, well, voters from California and voters from the Northeast. | ||
| The truth is, Peter, we've polled this. | ||
| If they're first generation Arizona or Floridian, they came from those blue areas and did not bring their politics with them, or at least they didn't bring their state politics. | ||
| They're leaving there because they can't stand those states anymore. | ||
| So, you know, Ted Cruz held on in Texas because of that voter. | ||
| And the same thing, by the way, is, was is going eventually, I believe, to be true in Arizona. | ||
| So while Republicans will lose some of those Phoenix area educated whites, again, there's so much in this poll. | ||
| If you look by generation, the story jumps right out at you. | ||
| It jumps right out at you. | ||
| And we saw the same thing with Donald Trump as well. | ||
|
unidentified
|
We did, which is why he did better than all those polls suggested. | |
| Talk to me down ballot now, the Mark Fincham, Secretary of State race. | ||
| He's got a number of people he's running against. | ||
| He's a Republican. | ||
| He's on the war room all the time. | ||
| He's the guy who's been best on the election integrity issue on our side of the fence. | ||
| Where does he stand? | ||
| And on the Dem side, do they have somebody who's got a lot of name ID running with a lot of money, or is that kind of a cypher race? | ||
| We didn't, yeah, we didn't pull the Secretary of State on the Democratic side, but we did, we did do the Democratic primary with Hobbs, which was interesting. | ||
| Very weak, you know, in the fifties. | ||
| And with one of the, one of the gentlemen who Aaron Lieberman, he was running to be the first Jewish governor of Arizona. | ||
| He withdrew, but his name was still be on the ballot. | ||
| He still takes a chunk from Hobbs. | ||
| And then Marcos still taking about 15%. | ||
| So there's a huge number of undecideds on the Democratic side that are unhappy with their choices this year. | ||
| They like Kelly better, but they don't like the statewide candidates that are running. | ||
| So it shows you how Hobbs is overstated. | ||
| She's overrated badly. | ||
| Is that a win or take all race, or will there be a runoff in the primaries? | ||
|
unidentified
|
It's a win or take all. | |
| Huge number of undecided. | ||
| 51% are still undecided in the Secretary of State's race, but Fincham does have a lead. | ||
| He has about an 8 point lead. | ||
| Well, nine, excuse me, nine. | ||
| He's got a nine point lead, but you know, you're talking about 50%. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Yeah. | |
| I think the 50% undecided is like 50% don't know who the hell's running and probably won't, won't vote in the down ballot. | ||
|
unidentified
|
Right. | |
| I mean that, I don't know what the drop off is from governor and Senator, but I suspect that there's a lot of people who don't vote for secretary of state. | ||
| A little bit, a little bit of an undervote coming there, folks. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| And also too, it could be huge if that rally does happen because, you know, you're going to have apparently dueling rallies when Mike Pence wants to go out there and make trouble. | ||
| You know, if the president does eventually go out there and give his shout outs, then those high turnout people, they're going to hear that, Peter. | ||
| They're going to. | ||
| I don't, I honestly, as I'm polling and looking at these numbers, I don't know why the former vice president stepped up to embarrass himself here. | ||
| I don't know why they did this. | ||
| They have to have the numbers we're seeing to get involved now with Robeson. | ||
| They're basically trying to Mastriano Lake. | ||
| It's not going to work. | ||
| It's not going to work. | ||
| She's already on the force. | ||
| This is what I was worried about. | ||
| It's the Georgia formula and I think they could pull it off, but I hope Georgia is sui generis, that it's just weird compared to some of these other areas. | ||
| I think it's going to be an outlier. | ||
| Yeah. | ||
| Alright, so we got about six minutes left here. | ||
| What I'd like to do now is have you take your best shots of what you're seeing, what's the latest breaking news, and also maybe comment on the ongoing soap opera on Capitol Hill as whether that's eroding Trump at all. | ||
| You know, I really don't. | ||
| I don't think it's touching him at all. | ||
| I mean, people have to understand, you know, a year ago, two years ago, let's say, I would have been that guy, and I was all through 2020, who simply said, look, the way that demographics are in this country now, Republicans are not going to be able to win the popular vote. | ||
| So, you know, get ready to lean on the electoral college. | ||
| And that's what it was put in place for, by the way. | ||
| Um, but the fact is that the way that the census is coming out, it's going to back up what I'm saying. | ||
| It did. | ||
| The difference here is that the former president is winning voters that Republicans didn't even have on the radar and he's changing the equation. | ||
| So I'm stunned when I poll and he has these national leads. | ||
| Folks, that is not supposed to happen for a Republican candidate anymore. | ||
| And you know, the truth is, I think sometimes we forget. | ||
| How the incredible feat that he pulled off, winning Michigan, winning Pennsylvania, winning Wisconsin, blowing out Ohio and Iowa, that just never happens for Republican candidates. | ||
| It never happens. | ||
| Just so we don't bury an important point here, what you're saying is that generally... Those people don't care about January 6th. | ||
| Republicans win the White House generally in the Electoral College by just the way that goes, but they often lose a national vote. | ||
| What you're saying is Trump's winning the national vote as well. | ||
| Yeah, absolutely. | ||
| He would carry the popular vote at this point, which to me, I would have told you two years ago was impossible. | ||
| Bush v. Gore wasn't a fluke. | ||
| It wasn't a fluke. | ||
| It was part of a trend. | ||
| Bush got lucky in 2004 and carried the popular vote a little bit, but we were facing this disadvantage. | ||
| This built-in disadvantage. | ||
| But that change in the Hispanic vote, Peter, is completely upending the equation. | ||
| And nobody would have believed that. | ||
| Demographics is destiny. | ||
| Remember the blue emerging wall? | ||
| The emerging blue majority? | ||
| Sorry. | ||
| That was supposed to be forever, folks. | ||
| Forever. | ||
| Now, let me put you on the spot here. | ||
| How many seats Are the Republicans gonna win net, do you think, in November? | ||
| If any, just in case you're pessimistic. | ||
|
unidentified
|
60? | |
| Is it a Gingrich thing? | ||
| No, in the house. | ||
| Is it the 60 Gingrich Obama kind of carnage? | ||
| Is it the 100 seat Bannon flood? | ||
| Is it 30 because of Roe v. Wade? | ||
| Is it the kind of carnage? | ||
| Is it the 100 seat Bannon flood? | ||
| Is it 30 because of Roe v. Wade? | ||
| How are you handicapping this at this point in time? | ||
| Historically, Republicans have a cap of about 200, a little under 250, which is really, I mean, if you do the math, it's 247 seats. | ||
| Now with redistricting, you could push that cap a little bit. | ||
| So like 248 to 49, maybe 250. | ||
| But you would have to be running a good race. | ||
| And that's the problem, Peter. | ||
| Every time they look like they're going to bust that cap, they do something like sneak an amnesty in. | ||
| Stupid. | ||
| You know, they're dumb. | ||
| These are incredibly stupid people. | ||
| Pass a gun bill. | ||
| People, by the way, when I said that amnesty, that visa program was coming, people thought I was being a little hysterical. | ||
| And I just know, you know from hearing these guys, and girls, all these years, you know it when you hear the whisper that they're about to do it. | ||
| They really are that dumb. | ||
| So, you know, they did. | ||
| It's just incredible. | ||
| This is why I tell, at this point, you know, I'm not bearish. | ||
| I think that it's a foregone conclusion that Republicans are going to take the House. | ||
| I just think that all of the historical indicators suggest A complete route, something on the level of historic, but that they're not playing for that right now. | ||
| I would argue, and I've been saying this, if the former president does intend to run again, he should seriously consider waiting until after the midterm. | ||
| Because they're going to blame him, Peter, if he announces a run in 2024 and they inevitably put up mediocre numbers. | ||
| They're going to scapegoat him. | ||
| I've already heard several of them talk about that. | ||
| Genius. | ||
| Genius. | ||
| You heard that from Richard Berenson. | ||
| That is the smartest thing I've heard in a month. | ||
| Yeah, smartest thing I've heard in months. | ||
| Hey Richard, I really thanks for spending time again in the War Room. | ||
| It's always a pleasure. | ||
| I'm glad my timing was good on my Arizona question because you have the receipts. | ||
| We probably broke a little news here. | ||
| We kind of led with those results. | ||
| Tell people now, we got 20 seconds. | ||
| Tell them how they can get to you and get your stuff. | ||
| Go check out the crosstabs at cdm.press. | ||
| You'll see all the polls up there. | ||
| Follow me on social at People's Pundit. | ||
| And peoplespundit.locals.com. | ||
|
unidentified
|
All right, my brother. | |
| Take care, man. | ||
| Love that shirt. | ||
| All the best. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro. | ||
| My brother. | ||
| Peter K. Navarro in for brother Stephen K. Bannon. | ||
| Our prayers are with him. | ||
| And we are in the war room. |
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