Margaret Killjoy and Robert Evans dissect the nuclear brinkmanship of the early Cold War, examining whether atomic bombs were necessary to end WWII or if Japan was already defeated. They analyze Curtis LeMay's controversial area bombing tactics in Korea, which killed two million civilians, and the suppressed incident where a B-29 crashed with an atomic bomb over Guam. The discussion covers Truman's rejection of MacArthur's radioactive cobalt belt proposal and the rapid expansion of the arsenal to 12,000 weapons by 1959. Ultimately, the episode reveals how deterrence strategies evolved from tactical desperation to global existential risk, questioning the morality of weapons designed to depopulate the earth. [Automatically generated summary]
Transcriber: nvidia/parakeet-tdt-0.6b-v2, sat-12l-sm, and large-v3-turbo
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Nuclear Hellfire and Radiation00:04:02
Cool zone media.
Welcome back to Behind the Bastards, the special episodes on how we're all possibly going to die in nuclear hellfire.
I'm Robert Evans.
This is a series we'll be doing over the course of two weeks, five episodes.
We're in our second week, so you'll be getting a bonus episode this week about the sons of bitches who created the doomsday device that, again, could kill every single person you've ever known and loved and every animal on earth except for, you know, cockroaches and the like 15 minutes from now or right now.
You know, we'd have no way of knowing unless you're, I don't know, in the White House at this exact moment.
Margaret Killjoy, welcome to the show.
How are you doing?
You thinking about nukes?
Well, I got promised this is about Warhammer 40k, but I suppose we're learning about the nuclear apocalypse.
I'll bring you on when we do our Warhammer show.
That'll...
Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
There's a lot of genocide in that too.
I can be the podcast editor for that because I actually don't know anything about Warhammer.
It does involve a lot of nukes and radiation poisoning, which is what we ended our last episode talking about.
Our friend Louis Slotin, who was the partial father of the first atomic bomb, had his innards dissolved due to a horrible nuclear error.
Oh, yeah, and he got to kind of like leave a record for science.
Because he was a pretty cool guy.
Like, that's badass.
Like, when you know that, like, okay, well, I have just taken an immediately fatal dose of radiation.
I'm going to die the most nightmarish death imaginable.
Time to take notes.
Like, fucking, that's cool.
That's cool.
Like, and I guess.
Also, acting with agency is like a really good way to not stress.
Right.
Yes.
You know?
And, like, I have a job.
I'm just doing my job.
And I'd say it takes him off the perpetrator.
Like, he did help build that first nuke, but as we've discussed, there's some mitigating factors.
I think dying to it afterwards, you know.
Yeah, has come up.
It's happened.
I'm taking him off the list of guys I'm pissed at.
Yeah.
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He related to the phantom at that point.
Yeah, I was definitely the phantom in that.
That's so funny.
Justifying the Atomic Bomb00:15:19
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So before we move on past World War II, we should at least linger on what guys like LeMay and General Power would have argued was the most important question of the whole war, right?
Which is still a question that people debate today.
Did the use of atomic weapons against the Empire of Japan force its leaders to surrender, thus sparing both Japan and the Allies, primarily the U.S., a hideously bloody ground invasion, right?
This is a question people still argue about.
There's not an objective answer here.
I think it'll be pretty clear where I tend to land once we get through this, right?
But this isn't something that like, this is something that's debated, right?
Like I'm not going to come in and just give one side of this.
Again, I have my take on the matter.
I think it's worth emphasizing, even if you argue that the sheer horror of atomic warfare forced Japan to surrender, that the military of Japan never independently agreed to call it quits.
And if the Emperor of Japan had not broken the Supreme Council's deadlock and started peace negotiations, we can't say that the civilian population wouldn't have continued supporting the war effort, no matter how many firebombs or even additional nukes fell, right?
We actually don't know that.
There's also, like, that's that's a valid point.
There's also an argument that the view pushed after the war, which is that the horror of nuclear warfare was justified by avoiding a greater slaughter in Japan, that like if we had invaded the main island, so many more people would have died.
That that gives too much credit to atomic weapons as a single weapon system.
In an article for Outrider.org, Jasmine Power writes, there is general agreement that the bombing of Nagasaki did little in the way of changing the hearts and minds of the Japanese military.
By blaming their surrender on the atomic bombs, Japan avoided the Soviet Union having a hand in the post-war reconstruction process.
Japan was afraid that the Soviet Union might try to push a communist regime onto the country.
It was also very convenient for the U.S. that Japan attributed their surrender to the atomic bombings.
And so it was a way to stay capitalist was to be like, oh, it was the nukes.
The nukes did us in.
More than that, it was a way to avoid what happened to Germany, right?
They're watching Germany get split up, right?
That's obvious at this point, and they don't want that, you know?
And surrendering now before the Soviets are in, you know, in the mix, so to speak, means that the country doesn't get split up, right?
You're not going to have Tokyo divided or whatever, right?
That's one argument people will make, you know?
And in this view, pretty simply, Japan was defeated not because of the nukes, although that's not a non-factor, but they were defeated because they were defeated viciously and comprehensively in every field of military endeavor.
It's not just the nukes, it's the fact that we beat the shit out of them all across the Pacific, right?
Yeah.
Like, which is probably, I mean, certainly a more accurate view than just saying it was the nukes, right?
Like, there was a whole war.
A lot of guys had to die to finish that thing, right?
And yeah, Harry Truman, the president who ordered the atomic bombs dropped, went on record basically saying that military planners had told him that when they were looking into like what, how many people would die in an invasion of the Japanese home islands, American casualties alone would have been in the neighborhood of 500,000 to a million.
And if you're talking about the kind of casualty ratios that we saw on these other island hopping campaigns, that would have meant both the military and civilian cost for Japan would have been higher than that, right?
Now, that said, this is not a real estimate, as best as I can tell.
You will encounter it often.
Comes up constantly, but it's heavily debatable whether or not those numbers, that 500 to a million American casualties estimate, have any basis in reality.
Per an article.
How many did we lose in Europe?
We lost in the whole war.
The United States lost about half a million people.
Okay.
Like, so this would be basically doing World War II all over again for us, more or less, right?
Yeah.
It's not perfectly accurate, but it's pretty close.
And I want to quote from an article by Alfie Cohn on kind of the veracity of these numbers.
Historian Barton Bernstein writes that military planners at the time put the number of American casualties between 20,000 and 46,000.
But far more disturbing than this discrepancy is the strong possibility that neither an invasion nor a nuclear attack was actually necessary to get Japan to surrender.
And this is an interesting point, because if you're saying, oh, 500,000 to a million Americans killed and injured, millions of Japanese people dead, you know, maybe the nukes saved lives.
But if you're looking at, well, 20 to 46, 40,000 or 50,000 American casualties, probably twice that many Japanese casualties, well, maybe that's better than nuking the island, right?
You know, could they have just laid siege to the whole?
Because they were already, in fact, doing it.
And that's another point, as we'll get to, that's another point people will make, is that Japan would have broken on its own, right?
In a good essay on the subject for his book, You Know What They Say, The Truth About Popular Belief, Alfie Cohn gives a succinct version of what we might call the skeptic's case against the necessity of nuking Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
He notes that the U.S. firebombs had already incinerated Japan's six largest cities, and our basically the siege that we put on the home islands had blocked all oil from entering the country.
What held up Japanese surrender was in part a desire for the emperor to retain his title.
Cohn cites a 1946 report from the War Department Strategic Bombing Survey study group, which concluded, the Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombs did not defeat Japan, nor by the testimony of the enemy leaders who ended the war did they persuade Japan to accept unconditional surrender.
The Emperor, the Lord Privy Seal, the Prime Minister, the Foreign Minister, and the Navy Minister had decided as early as May of 1945 that the war should be ended, even if it meant acceptance of defeat on Allied terms.
Based on a detailed investigation of all the facts supported by the testimony of the surviving Japanese leaders involved, it is the survey's opinion that certainly prior to this 31st of December 1945, and in all probability prior to 1st November 1945, Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war and even if no invasion had been planned or completed.
This is the U.S. War Department.
So that's the they were already beat theory.
They were beat.
They were beat.
And I would say that's by far the strongest argument if you're going with a fact-based argument.
Not that it's the only one, but I think it's the strongest.
You know, your feelings may vary on this.
I'm not a historian, but I'm convinced pretty well.
Now, there was at least one other secret intelligence assessment from the same time done by the U.S. Army's Planning and Operations Group, which reached a similar conclusion.
And several prominent U.S. officers agreed.
Admiral William Leahy, the president's chief of staff during the war, called Truman's decision to deploy an atomic bomb for the first time adopting, quote, an ethical standard common to the barbarians of the Dark Ages, which is a nuts thing for the president's chief of staff to say about like Dwight Eisenhower reached a similar conclusion early on, arguing it wasn't necessary to hit them with that awful thing.
So I guess I go with Ike on this one.
Not a perfect man, but he pretty much knew World War II pretty well.
That's why you have the I'm with Ike button.
Yeah, I'm with Ike.
It wasn't necessary to hit them with that awful thing.
We didn't have to do that.
Now, I've allowed that there's still some room for argument here about how much the use of nukes influenced Japan's decision to surrender, because the bombing campaign in general influenced their decision to surrender, and the nukes were part of that, right?
But what isn't arguable is this.
President Truman and men in high positions within the U.S. Army like Curtis LeMay never considered anything but a nuclear option once they knew they had a bomb, right?
There was never any possibility in their minds but that they would use it.
Per Cohn's article.
The fearsome new weapon was not treated as an option of last resort.
It would be easier to accept the argument that he, Truman, had no choice but to drop the bomb if other possibilities, such as demonstrating its power to Japanese leaders on an unpopulated island and demanding surrender, had been carefully considered.
They were not.
There was never a serious attempt to find a strategy short of obliterating the children of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
As Yale sociologist Kai Erickson put it, using nuclear weapons was not, by any stretch of the imagination, a product of mature consideration.
We have it on the authority of virtually all the principal players that no one in a position to do anything about it ever really considered alternatives to dropping the bombs on Japan.
So it's pretty much we have a new toy.
We're going to see what this thing does.
Yeah.
The speedometer goes up to 200.
I'm going to 200.
Yeah.
We're already planning for the next war.
Like they handed LeMay a list of Soviet cities that might be nuclear targets, right?
Like they wanted to use this thing in part to scare the Russians.
That's not all it was, but that was part of their logic, right?
Yeah.
Now, it bears emphasizing that the atomic bombs we dropped on Japan killed between 150,000 and 250,000 people.
The initial death toll was horrific enough, but it was what came after that really was the nightmare.
I've spoken to a Hiroshima survivor, and she described the sight of thousands of blinded, burnt people throwing themselves into rivers in a desperate attempt to quench their burning bodies.
And all of these, like a huge number of these people, died.
Like the rivers were just flooded with corpses, charred bodies of people who had tossed themselves, burnt and singing and like melting basically into the water.
Like it's, it's, it's, it was horrible.
And in the days and weeks after the bombing, survivors started to sicken, vomiting up blood, pulling their hair out in clumps from radiation poisoning, right?
Like the this is something that we were pretty immediately aware that not only does the bomb kill a shitload of people when it goes off, but there are knock-on effects that continue killing people, right?
Even though we didn't have a full understanding of this, we had a pretty good understanding pretty early of what we were doing to people with these things.
The Air Corps generals did their best to minimize the horror of atomic weapons.
In November of 1945, General Leslie Groves, who's again the military head of the Manhattan Project, sat before the U.S. Senate Special Committee on Atomic Energy.
And I want to read you a selected QA from that meeting.
Senator Millikan, General, is there any medical antidote to excessive radiation?
General Groves, I'm not a doctor, but I will answer it anyway.
I always love it when people say that.
The radioactive casualty can be of several classes.
He can have enough so that he will be killed instantly.
He can have a smaller amount, which will cause him to die rather soon.
And as I understand it from the doctors, without undue suffering.
In fact, they say it is a very pleasant way to die.
Oh, yeah, that's what people say about all of us.
That's what people say about radiation, about having your insides liquefied.
Pleasant.
Chill.
All the parts of you that tell you that you're in trouble are also destroyed.
Yeah, exactly.
You're fine.
You're chilling.
Now happens to everyone.
That was a lie.
That was not just Groves not knowing.
That was Groves lying to try and make nukes more palatable for Americans.
When he said that, the average citizen, and indeed the average senator, would not have had to dig very deep to find at least a little countervailing evidence that radiation poisoning was not pleasant.
Precisely what had happened on the ground in Hiroshima and Nagasaki was not yet fully understood by most Americans, but early reports of horrific burns and lingering sickness far from the blast site were available.
More to the point, you've heard about the radium girls and the like.
People had been exposing themselves to different kinds of radiation for decades, and they died horribly.
We knew radiation poisoning was not pleasant before we ever dropped an atomic bomb.
Right?
Now, again, the point here is that Groves was, he was not just lying.
He was engaged in a cover-up.
This is a conspiracy, and it's a conspiracy that ran parallel to one of the most successful marketing campaigns of all time, the campaign to get Americans on the bomb.
Step one of that campaign was to keep people from thinking of the horrors of atomic weapons for a little while longer.
We knew eventually it would get out, right?
These generals all knew you can't lie about this forever, right?
But the longer we lie about it, the more money we get into these programs, the more momentum they get behind them, the more we can centralize the U.S. military and defense apparatus around nukes, which was their goal, right?
Their goal was to replace as many humans as possible with atomic weapons, and they start on it almost immediately.
For these generals, as for Curtis LeMay, the existence of the atom bomb seems to have given some sort of purpose and provided a dark animating force to the remainder of their lives.
Immediately after the war's end, they set to work launching a new kind of campaign, a media blitz targeted at convincing decision makers in the U.S. that nukes were the only future for the military that was worth caring about.
Three months after the bombing of Hiroshima, LeMay visited the Ohio Society in New York City to give a speech.
He warned/slash promised the Minnesota that the next war, understood to be the next world war, would be fought with rockets, radar, jet propulsion, television-guided missiles, and that all of these weapons would be launched at speeds faster than sound and involve atomic power.
So he's got a pretty clear vision of the future, our friend Curtis LeMay, and he is now trying to sell it.
And like, are there other because, okay, we have this like thing where apparently people who build bombs are obsessed with how bombs are the only thing.
Yes.
Right.
Are there other character classes who feel like similar about like, like, are like the fighter jets being like, no, all that matters is fighter jets.
Yes.
Yeah.
Yeah, go ahead.
Yes, there are.
And we will talk about that.
Unfortunately, most of the people who disagree with LeMay just want nukes to be used differently.
But there are some people.
There's a couple of decent human beings still in the military establishment in this period who are like, what the fuck is wrong with you people?
Are you out of your minds?
Yeah, I bet you know what this thing does.
Yeah.
I'm able to figure out this means destroy the world.
Yeah.
That seems bad.
Why are we building the world killing machine?
Why are we doing this?
We live here.
Yeah, this is the one planet that we've got.
Yeah.
Back in 1921, DuHay had argued that the invention of the bomber craft basically rendered all other types of weaponry obsolete.
And LeMay was making a similar argument, but with the nuclear weapon at the heart of this fabled air force that could finally do the whole job of war all on its own.
He argued, quote, the Air Force must be allowed to develop unhindered and unchained.
There must be no ceiling, no boundaries, no limitations to our air power development.
That doesn't sound at all like a crazy man.
No.
And it's, you know, this is a pretty bleak series of episodes.
I will say one thing that has me optimistic is that Curtis LeMay tried harder than any single human ever has to end the human race, and he didn't do it.
And I don't quite know why.
Like, it's shocking that we survived Curtis LeMay.
He would do shit like fly bombers into Russian airspace just to like tweak them.
Like he was such a piece of shit.
And they always had nukes, right?
Quantum immortality as a species.
That's all I got.
It's nuts.
Like no one has ever tried harder to wipe out the human race than Curtis fucking LeMay with his fucking dead face.
Oh man, it's nuts.
I wonder if like the villains and pulp stuff from like 200 years ago didn't even claim that they're going to destroy the world.
Surviving the Cold War00:10:48
Whereas like now we have villains who are like, I'm going to destroy the world.
Like yeah.
Yeah.
Because people can now.
People can now.
And we have examples of people who really worked hard to try to do that, you know?
And this is ultimately kind of why we are now at the point where the whole human race is, you know, 15 to 30 minutes away from annihilation at any given moment in time, which is Curtis LeMay and a bunch of guys that followed him felt the Air Force, and to them, this means the nuclear air force must be allowed to develop unhindered and unchained.
I cannot emphasize enough how much of LeMay's speech to the Ohio Society was just warmed up DuHay.
He insisted no air attack, once it is launched, can be completely stopped.
This was an echo of DuHay's argument that the sky was too vast for bombers to be perfectly intercepted, right?
And this hadn't proved true in World War II, but when you got nukes, it kind of is true, right?
If you send 500 bombers and they each have a nuke, one of them is going to drop that fucker, you know?
Yeah.
Also, when people say history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes.
Yeah.
This feels a little on the nose.
I actually wasn't sure.
DuMay and Louie.
Duhe.
Yeah.
Duhay and LeMay.
Yeah.
Yeah.
It is weird how history they literally rhyme.
Yeah.
I hadn't even got that fuck.
No, I was because I was trying to remember which one was which.
Yeah.
DuHay is the old Italian guy who was like in 1921, bombers of the future, all we need.
No, no use in having anything else.
Yeah.
A couple decades later, the man who rhymes says the same thing.
Right.
Nuke.
Yeah.
If you get, if anyone gets into the military whose name rhymes with either of these guys' names, we need to redact it immediately.
So as Richard, I'm going to quote now from a piece in The New Yorker by Richard Rhodes, in which he lays out LeMay's thinking in the rest of this speech.
And it all kind of follows from the basic idea that you can't stop an aerial nuclear attack.
Quote, this meant to LeMay that the United States would have to have an air force in being that could immediately move immediately to retaliate if the country was attacked.
The preparation for retaliation, the threat of it, might be sufficient to prevent attack in the first place.
If we are prepared, it may never come.
It is not immediately conceivable that any nation will dare to attack us if we are prepared.
So in November of 1945, LeMay was already thinking in terms of what came to be called deterrence.
But therein lay the contradiction.
If no air attack could be completely stopped, then retaliation would not protect the country.
It would only destroy the enemy's country in turn, right?
And what he means by an air force in being is you always have planes loaded with active nuclear bombs ready to fly minutes away from flight.
And it's eventually going to mean you always have planes in the air with nukes.
And that's going to mean for a period of like a couple decades, there are never not nukes flying around in the air.
Always.
And this is before there's no governor on these.
This is not a thing today.
Every nuke that we have, you have to get like codes and shit from the nuclear football.
This is some guys in a plane have the ability to activate these things, right?
You're like, oh, my wife left me.
Yeah, exactly.
Like, it's fucking remarkable we lived through the Cold War.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So, yeah.
What we see in this period, as early as 1945, is men in the military establishment expressing a sense of interest in minimizing the harms of and knowledge about nuclear war to civilians.
People were tired after World War II.
Soldiers long deployed wanted to return to civilian life.
The country desperately needed to stop paying for the costs of a wartime military.
Yet now that the Cold War was kicking up, the U.S. found itself simultaneously pressed with all kinds of new commitments.
Nuclear weapons offered a solution to what seemed like an impossible problem.
And I'm going to quote from Rhodes again.
In the four years that the United States held a monopoly on nuclear weapons, it reduced its military forces to bare bones, shrank the defense budget from its wartime high of nearly $90 billion to less than $15 billion, and counted on a small but growing nuclear arsenal to deter a Soviet march to the Atlantic across a war-ravaged Western Europe, right?
And this is kind of the first use that we have for nukes after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, which is we can't keep all these soldiers in the field, but we're now responsible for guarding Western Europe from the scary communists.
So let's just keep a bunch of nukes all over the place.
That way we don't need as many guys.
We can just set off a shitload of nukes and we can slow these Russians down while we get our shit in gear, you know?
And this works as a deterrent strategy when the Soviets don't have a bomb, right?
Because they don't have anything to counter this with.
Pap Arnold sent a letter in 1945 laying out, and he's an Air Force general, laying out some of the first principles.
Well, the Air Force doesn't exist yet, but he's an army air thing general.
Laying out some of the first principles for what would become the theory of deterrence.
Quote, we must therefore secure our nation by developing and maintaining those weapons, forces, and techniques required to pose a warning to aggressors in order to deter them from launching a modern, devastating war.
In order to ensure this happened, Arnold ordered studies into the scientific projects the Air Force should support over the next 20 to 30 years.
This resulted in 1946 in the Air Force setting up the Rand Corporation.
You've heard of the Rand Corporation.
Yeah, I did not know that they were Air Force.
Yes, that's how they start.
And Rand just means R D. Like literally, that's why it's Rand, right?
Oh, shit.
Okay.
I assumed it was someone's name.
Yeah, it's the Rand Corporation.
They're set up in Santa Monica, right on the coast, beautiful area.
And a former defense engineer named James Rubel later wrote of the this is the first Rand project.
Rand quickly proposed a death ray project, which the Air Force approved.
So, top men, guys, everyone's super sane.
Not a bunch of dudes whose brains have been melted by lead and war trauma just trying to come up with apocalypse weapons.
I don't know, guys.
Deathray feels like a good idea.
Let's get one of those fuckers.
I watched War of the Worlds to hell with it.
And to be honest, if we'd made a death ray, that would be pretty cool.
Yeah, would it be Second Amendment?
You know, yeah.
I would be carrying one this exact moment, Margaret.
I'm ready for a death ray.
I think certain people should know it.
A death ray is a one-on-one.
It's not really a major step up from bullets, you know?
No, it's probably faster and less painless to get shot with.
Yeah.
You know?
And I bet it's, I don't know, good at killing Martians, which we might need to do if Elon Musk ever sets up a colony on Mars.
Anyway, I think we're both pro-Death Ray.
I'm actually, I've come around on the Rand Corporation, Margaret.
I'm going to be honest with you.
Yeah.
Speaking of the Rand Corporation, you know who supports this podcast?
Not the Rand Corporation, because we're primarily talking about how they nearly killed everyone like a million times.
We're sponsored by Death Ray International.
That's why we're coming out so strong on death rays right now.
That's right.
And actually, the death ray company that sponsors us is called Life Ray, you know, because it's a death ray for personal defense, you know?
Yeah, it saves lives.
It saves lives.
That's the life ray.
There's two golden rules that any man should live by.
Rule one, never mess with a country girl.
You play stupid games, you get stupid prizes.
And rule two, never mess with her friends either.
We always say, trust your girlfriends.
I'm Anna Sinfield, and in this new season of The Girlfriends...
Oh my God, this is the same man.
A group of women discover they've all dated the same prolific con artist.
I felt like I got hit by a truck.
I thought, how could this happen to me?
The cops didn't seem to care.
So they take matters into their own hands.
They said, oh, hell no.
I vowed I will be his last target.
He's going to get what he deserves.
Listen to the girlfriends.
Trust me, babe.
On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
I'm Lori Siegel, and on Mostly Human, I go beyond the headlines with the people building our future.
This week, an interview with one of the most influential figures in Silicon Valley, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman.
I think society is going to decide that creators of AI products bear a tremendous amount of responsibility to products we put out in the world.
From power to parenthood.
Kids, teenagers, I think they will need a lot of guardrails around AI.
This is such a powerful and such a new thing.
From addiction to acceleration.
The world we live in is a competitive world, and I don't think that's going to stop, even if you did a lot of redistribution.
You know, we have a deep desire to excel and be competitive and gain status and be useful to others.
And it's a multiplayer game.
What does the man who has extraordinary influence over our lives have to say about the weight of that responsibility?
Find out on Mostly Human.
My highest order bit is to not destroy the world with AI.
Listen to Mostly Human on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.
Hey, I'm Nora Jones, and I love playing music with people so much that my podcast called Playing Along is back.
I sit down with musicians from all musical styles to play songs together in an intimate setting.
Every episode's a little different, but it all involves music and conversation with some of my favorite musicians.
Over the past two seasons, I've had special guests like Dave Grohl, Leve, Mavis Staples, Remy Wolf, Jeff Tweedy, really too many to name.
And this season, I've sat down with Alessia Cara, Sarah McLaughlin, John Legend, and more.
Check out my new episode with Josh Grobin.
You related to the Phantom at that point.
Yeah, I was definitely the Phantom in that.
That's so funny.
Share each day with me each night, each morning.
Say you love me.
You know I.
So come hang out with us in the studio and listen to Playing Along on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
What's up, everyone?
I'm Ago Modem.
My next guest, you know, from Step Brothers, Anchorman, Saturday Night Live, and the Big Money Players Network, it's Will Farrell.
My dad gave me the best advice ever.
I went and had lunch with him one day, and I was like, and dad, I think I want to really give this a shot.
I don't know what that means, but I just know the groundlings.
I'm working my way up through and I know it's a place they come look for up and coming talent.
He said, if it was based solely on talent, I wouldn't worry about you, which is really sweet.
The Phantom Bomber Pilot00:16:05
Yeah.
He goes, but there's so much luck involved.
And he's like, just give it a shot.
He goes, but if you ever reach a point where you're banging your head against the wall and it doesn't feel fun anymore, it's okay to quit.
If you saw it written down, it would not be an inspiration.
It would not be on a calendar of, you know, the cat just hang in there.
Yeah, it would not be.
Right, it wouldn't be that.
There's a lot of luck.
Yeah.
Listen to Thanks Dad on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
And we're back having a good time.
So right around the time the Rand Corporation gets formed, you know, because the war is over, because the normal, normal life is starting to reassert itself, or at least the new normal, some people have begun to question the logic with which men like Bomber Harris, Curtis LeMay, and General Power, I still can't believe his literal name was General Fucking Power, approached aerial warfare.
Was it really possible to break a nation?
And General Motor, who is in charge of the vendor pool.
Yeah, right, yeah.
Is it really possible to break a nation's will through bombing, right?
This was a question that people, you know, there are guys like LeMay that are like, obviously, it is.
Look at what we did.
And there are more thoughtful men who are like, actually, the evidence doesn't really bear this out.
And I want to read a quote here about members of the Strategic Bombing Survey from Keeney's book, 15 Minutes.
How did one measure a broken will?
Far more effective were strikes against petroleum refineries, airport factories, and power plants, the loss of which ravaged the Germans' war-making capabilities and destroyed their economy.
This led to post-war air atomic planning that emphasized Soviet industry as targets for nuclear strike, key targets that, if destroyed, would have an effect far larger than the facility's mere destruction.
These plants were often located in major urban areas.
Said one Air Force general of this conundrum.
I think it was sort of a shock to people when a few began to talk about the bonus effects and industrial capital, and particularly when they began to ask, what was a city but a collection of industry?
And that's an important, yeah, it's hideous.
Where the fuck do they live?
It must be, these are suburbanites.
This is because suburbanites have entered the war.
Yeah, yeah, and are now running the army, sure.
Yeah.
But that term bonus effects is used a lot in nuclear war planning.
And a bonus effect is the added destruction that you get while destroying the targets you're actually aiming at in atomic war.
So you're trying to get away from.
This is the opposite of collateral damage, but it's the same concept.
It's collateral damage, but good, right?
Like we needed to take out this tank factory and we killed a million civilians at the same time.
That's a bonus effect, baby, right?
Yeah.
And there's other bonus effects.
Radiation poisoning causes bonus effects.
Nuclear bombs, especially once we start making thermonuclear weapons, they cause firestorms, massive firestorms.
Some theoretically, some like the size of states, right?
And that's a bonus effect, you know?
I mean, as they've been trying to do that since the beginning, based on what you've told me last week, yeah.
And they have been, you know, a firestorm really fucks people up.
People don't like firestorms.
No.
The argument military leaders were making about the future for the first four years after World War II can best be summarized by a memo General Loris Norstad, Assistant Chief of Staff for the Army Air Forces, sent out in 1945.
He laid out the need for a ready force of aircraft that could strike quickly and effectively anywhere in the world.
In a memo to the House of Representatives, he argued the existence of this ready force would act as a deterrent to any countries looking to acquire nuclear weapons.
So first, we need a ready force so that no one else will get nukes.
If we always have planes ready to nuke people, no one else will even try to get them, right?
This is their first argument, you know?
Yeah, not as strong as the argument, but I think this is coming based on what you told me last week.
Right.
Yeah.
Now, this ready force is established in March of 1946 as part of what becomes known as the Strategic Air Command.
The SAC is responsible not just for nukes, but for the Air Force's long-range bombing operations, right?
When we're bombing Korea, when we're bombing Vietnam, the SAC, especially in Korea, are going to be heavily involved, right?
And they're not obviously using nukes in those wars, but they come to control a lot of our nukes and they come to control our long-range missile assets.
I say control.
Technically, all of our nuclear weapons at this point are in the custody of the Atomic Energy Commission, right?
And they maintain direct control over the nuclear weapons that we're starting to build in the post-war period, right?
But what you're going to see happen during these first four or five years after the war is we're increasingly deploying nuclear weapons around the world to have this Air Force in readiness, right?
This ready force.
And so basically, they're kind of cashiering these nukes out, and SAC is maintaining control of them, right?
But, you know, the SAC gets them from the Atomic Energy Commission.
And the SAC-I'm surprised that none of them got stolen.
Oh, they, oh, Margaret, just wait.
None of them got stolen, maybe, but we lose a lot of these fucking bombs.
Okay.
We'll get to that.
But the SAC, today, one of the things that scares me about our current nuclear force is that it is the shittiest job in the Air Force, maybe in the whole military.
People will argue about this, but I've talked to a couple of nukes and they did not like it.
It is not a prestigious job.
It is not a fun job.
It is boring.
People cheat on tests constantly.
There's stories about guys in nuclear silos doing fucking ecstasy, you know, because it's a shit job.
In this period of time, it is not seen as a shit job.
These are seen as this is the best part of the military to be in.
This is the most elite force in the military.
It's certainly the best thing to be if you're any kind of pilot, right?
And these are the best pilots and engineers that our entire military can put together, right?
And they're tasked with a singular purpose.
I mean, so it's different at this point.
That is probably what you want.
Now, that's the idea.
It's debatable.
Are they ever really that good?
We'll talk about that.
Curtis LeMay takes command of the SAC in 1948.
He's not the first guy in charge of it, but he takes command and he really forms it in a meaningful way.
The next year, 1949, the USSR detonates its first nuclear warhead, terrifying members of the U.S. defense establishment.
There had been a lot of guys.
Anyone who was smart knew, well, of course, like Soviet Union's got a good science program.
They have resources.
They've got spies.
They're going to get a bomb, right?
They have the ability to get uranium or plutonium, all this, whatever shit they need.
It's like a fifth of the world's landmass.
They have the ability to do this.
Yeah, like we invented the wheel.
No one else has the wheel.
No one's going to figure out the wheel.
They figured out machine guns too.
God damn it.
No, of course they were going to do this, but there were, and it's a mix.
There were plenty of people, obviously.
There were a number of people in our military who knew that this was going to happen at some point.
But there are a lot of people who are shocked, right?
And are terrified and like, oh my God, I can't believe the communists figured out this bomb, right?
Is this because that like spy couple or is that?
There are several spies who play a role.
And honestly, I think that that probably did more to stop nuclear weapons from being used again in war than anything else.
I think once the U.S. has them, if the Soviets didn't ever acquire them, we probably would have wound up nuking the USSR at some point, right?
Yeah, that seems very likely.
That's unprovable, but that's kind of where I come in, right?
Of like, well, it's kind of the gun.
It's the gun thing.
Do I wish like there were no semi-automatic and automatic assault rifles at all in the country?
That would probably be more pleasant.
Am I not going to have one when the crazy ass motherfuckers I know have them?
Like, the people who want to kill me have it.
I've read enough history to know what happens after you disarm.
And here's the problem.
That's, there's a logic to that.
And also that leads us both to having 400 million guns and having tens of thousands of nukes, right?
So it's like, I understand the thought process, but it might fundamentally be what's doomed, what will doom us, right?
So there's a degree to which, like, I have to put myself in the, in where these guys are.
And keep in mind, this is not a period of time in which all of our generals or most or many of them are dudes who just came up and have done this as like a desk job, right?
All of these, Curtis LeMay saw heavy aerial combat.
All of these guys did, right?
So these dudes are fucked up and crazy at this point.
These people have incinerated cities from the sky.
They're not thinking the way normal people think anymore.
And the same is true of the Soviets, by the way.
They lost 20 million people in this war.
The Soviets, we're not getting into it because I have less detail on it, but they are making mirror decisions generally to the U.S., right?
Sometimes a little less crazy, sometimes a little crazier, but they're also have all been completely deranged by this hideous war, right?
Yeah.
So I do have a little bit of like, well, fuck, how could this not have gone bad, right?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So for quite a while after the Soviets detonate their first atom bomb, the U.S. will retain a massive advantage in the number of nuclear weapons, right?
That will not last forever.
Eventually we reach parity.
I think they do actually beat us at one point in total number of nukes, so it's a little hard to know.
But from this point forward, there was no denying that nuclear deterrence would eventually be a thing, right?
And so you wind up in this, there's the 1950 to like 52, 53 is this insanely dangerous period, really up until like the early 60s, where the Soviets have some nukes, but not all that many.
And the U.S. has a lot.
And we could have started and won a nuclear war.
It would have been really pretty easy for us, right?
There would have been casualties and tens of millions of deaths, but they would have mostly been over in Europe, right?
Because the Soviet Union just didn't have a lot of bombs and they didn't have the ability to get a lot of bombs over here.
There's no ICBMs.
You're flying fucking bombers, right?
Yeah.
So we would have lost Alaska.
Maybe, right?
Like their long-range bombing capacity, especially in like 1949-50, is probably could have accomplished that, but it wasn't great, right?
Right.
In 1950, a year after the first Russian nuclear test, the United States had nearly 300 nuclear weapons.
The USSR had five.
The newly founded Joint Chiefs of Staff and the U.S. Department of Defense, which that all gets started in this post-war period, right?
We don't have the Joint Chiefs or like, you know, in World War II, right?
This is a post-war innovation, you know, if you want to call it that.
But the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the DOD had concluded after a study that some 200 nuclear bombs would be sufficient to depopulate most of the earth, quote, leaving only vestigial remnants of man's material works.
That is the joint chiefs.
They say 200 nukes will do that.
And so we build 300.
Great.
150%.
Yeah, cool.
Well, we'll get a lot more.
By 1951, we'll have more than 400 such weapons, right?
Meanwhile, in its first three years as a nuclear power, the USSR goes from one to 50 atomic weapons of varying power.
Shortly after taking over the SAC, LeMay decided that the new post-war Air Force had gotten sloppy, and he ordered a fake combat mission against Dayton, Ohio to prove it.
A massive bomber.
I love that he's like, well, let's have them pretend to blow up Dayton.
See how good they are.
Yeah, fuck it.
So he has this massive bombing raid over the city that's like, it's a fake, they're not dropping real bombs, obviously, but all of the fake bombs are horribly off target.
Like they fuck up really badly.
The supposedly elite force cannot drop bombs to save their goddamn lives, right?
This is probably less on train.
I mean, there's some degree of training.
It's more that just like bombers aren't great at hitting things precisely at this point.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And nukes.
They're not TV guided.
I remember there were plenty of TV guiding.
Yeah.
Not quite yet.
And it's the kind of thing, you know, one of the benefits of nukes.
It's horrible to say this, but it is a benefit from a military standpoint is that you don't have to be very accurate because it's a fucking nuke, right?
Yeah.
But it's what people say about shotguns, but real.
Right.
But accurate.
Yes, accurate.
Like you really can be pretty far off with a nuke and still hit your target.
But these guys do so badly that even with nukes, they would not have destroyed most of their intended targets.
This is not an effective raid.
And LeMay calls this fake attempt to destroy Dayton, quote, the darkest night in American military aviation history because not one airplane finished.
That mission is briefed.
And like, man, you were part of raids where guys died.
I think that's darker.
Like where guys died and the mission wasn't really that successful.
I think that's worse than a raid where fake bombs just don't hit very well.
I don't know.
Y'all incinerated babies.
Yeah, that might be darker.
Hiroshima might not.
Oh, it might be darker, arguably.
Yeah.
Now, this means that when the Korean War kind of starts up, it's going to be not quite the last point.
Some people will argue that, like, you know, there's some shit in the JFK's early administration, like Berlin.
There's some shit during the Eisenhower administration in Taiwan, where we probably could have used nuclear weapons without total planetary annihilation or getting nuked into the Stone Age ourselves, right?
But the Korean War is the last major armed conflict where the U.S. could have used nuclear weapons on a tactical level and known the risks were minimal, that things would have like spiraled into global annihilation, at least at that point, right?
And given that fact, given that we could have nuked North Korea and even China, and guys wanted to, it's kind of a miracle that we didn't.
It's like shocking to me when I get into the history that like we that it didn't happen, right?
Yeah.
And going into the war, some powerful men in the Defense Department argued for just that action.
Curtis LeMay was the most prominent of a cadre of officers who considered our nuclear arsenal, the term they used for it was a wasting asset.
In other words, because we know the Soviets are starting to build up a nuclear arsenal and starting to get long-range bombers and the other things they need to be able to strike us, every day we don't use our nukes, they become less effective.
Basically, he's saying we got to use them or lose them, right?
If we don't use them now, we'll never be able to use them, right?
Right.
And if you're playing the world like a video game, this is true, right?
If I'm a video game general, I would start nuking immediately, which I do in any video game that gives me a nuke, right?
Yeah.
Which is why gamers should not be allowed in the Department of Defense.
No.
Oops.
All gamers under strict control by non-gamers.
Right.
So at the start of hostilities in Korea, strategic bombing advocates encouraged a campaign against a handful of significant strategic targets in North Korea.
And they succeeded in these bombing raids on paper, right?
The SAC destroys the targets assigned to them.
But North Korea, if you know much about North Korea then and now, they didn't have a lot of expose.
There wasn't a lot that we could really do to fuck them up that bad by bombing them, right?
Like we do some damage, but that's just kind of not how their military is wired at this point in time.
And to make matters worse for the United States, we start this war using very new high-tech guided bombs like the ASMA-1 Tarzan, but those run out immediately, which is a thing in modern warfare too.
If you look at what's happened in Ukraine, right?
Like you have these incredible munitions that are capable of really impressive things, but also it's really hard to make them.
And you get to get a lot of money.
Yeah, we're trying to slow them all.
And it turns out you go through that shit real fast in a war.
So as I said, Curtis LeMay had taken over control of the SAC in 1948, and he was the architect of the bombing campaign against North Korea.
He interpreted the fact that we had run through all of our most advanced munitions without ending the war as another L for team precision bombing.
So he orders U.S. bombers to start playing the classics.
Colonel Risioni, in that article that he wrote, describes SAC's plan as to, quote, increase the level of pain in North Korea by bombing civilian targets.
LeMay and the SAC used U.S. air power to kill around 2 million North Korean citizens over the next two years and change.
MacArthur's Crazy Plans00:11:18
Jesus, fuck.
I straight up didn't know that.
I know so little about the Korean War.
It's between a fifth and a sixth of the population of North Korea we kill through primarily aerial bombing.
Oh my God.
But it's also still a hideous war crime.
Like we murder 2 million people and it doesn't win.
Like again, the thing that keeps happening that has always happened every time someone like LeMay is like, well, we just got to cause them enough pain that their morale breaks.
And what happens is their morale doesn't break.
Right.
And it they're always like forever and ever.
I've been just in a bunch of stuff about people defending against the Roman Empire and Gaul and things like that.
Right.
And you start saying like, oh, well, these people, like these people, you know, the horrible druids, they sacrificed children or whatever.
Right.
And who wasn't like one who wasn't.
Yeah.
And even if they were, do you know how many, you know how many as children you'd have to sacrifice to get anywhere near the evil of what Rome did in terms of killing them?
Julius Caesar does a genocide in Gaul.
Like, yeah.
And so, like, communism is whatever.
It's the same thing as the people who are like, well, the conquistadors stopped the child sacrifice and the Americans.
They're like killing all the children.
You think the Spanish Inquisition didn't involve any fucking kids dying, man?
Yeah.
Totally.
Okay, bro.
Totally.
Yeah.
Look, I'm not saying, I'm not saying any of these, any society, any organized empire anywhere in the Americas or elsewhere has been a nice empire.
None of them are.
But if you're just being like, well, look at the bad things they did.
Uh-huh.
What were you guys getting up to?
Huh?
Yeah.
Does that justify you killing two million people?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Come on, bro.
Was North Korea so bad that they all just need to die?
It's the same thing as like, well, look at all these fucked up things and plenty of fucked up things.
The Soviet Union, the People's Republic of China did a lot of, but like, we murder millions of people from the sky repeatedly all over the world.
Yeah.
So, you know, I don't know.
Don't get up your own ass about your side being particularly nice.
Angels.
Right.
The angels as you incinerate cities, villages, largely.
But yeah.
Once again, though, this is really important.
Actual war disproves all of the foundational assumptions of our military leadership.
First off, North Korea invades despite the fact that the U.S. has troops in South Korea and we have an overwhelming edge in strategic bombing.
Per the theories that LeMay and Duhei both espoused, if you have a good enough strategic bombing force, you won't get attacked, right?
That's the point.
It just doesn't work.
It's never true.
That also, the fact we have air superiority, but it doesn't stop North Korea from fighting effectively.
And none of the bombing we do doesn't shatter civilian morale.
In fact, a strong argument could be made that the Korean War goes as badly as it does because guys like LeMay had gotten their way in the interwar period.
As I noted earlier, we really cut back on the military after World War II.
And in fact, all military development outside of making the SAC stronger took a back seat.
And as a result, when North Korea invades, the U.S. troops stationed in South Korea are not well prepared.
Their weapons are barely maintained.
I've talked to my grandpa about this.
He was there the whole war and he was like, yeah, we were in shit shape when the war started.
And it was because they had let like we like fucking our bazookas wouldn't fire and shit.
Like we had like there were serious issues with like the maintenance of basic equipment because guys like LeMay were like, all we need are bombers, bro.
Trust me, all we need are bombers, you know?
Yeah.
Whereas they actually needed the life ray.
Right.
We needed the life.
A couple of life rays would have really solved this whole problem.
They wouldn't have even tried if we had a life ray.
That's what I'm saying.
Now, after North Korea invades, they pushed the small U.S. garrison and the South Korean forces down the peninsula until General Douglas MacArthur, at the head of a UN amphibious landing force, came aground at Incheon and pushed the North Koreans back almost to the border with China.
Then China enters the war with a shitload of dudes, and suddenly the UN forces are in full retreat and they get pushed back.
It's really, it's a, it's a, it doesn't, not enough study of uh not enough people, Americans, know anything about the Korean War, but it's a fucking wild ass time.
Yeah, I know so little about it.
It's World War II and then Vietnam.
That's what I know.
Right.
It's a little, it's, it's, and Korea is kind of halfway between World War II and Vietnam in terms of like fighting tactics and all that stuff.
You know, you do have a lot of these big armored clashes.
You have dog fights and stuff, but you also have more advanced, you know, you have these guided missiles and stuff, right?
Early ones.
So Douglas MacArthur, as he's getting the shit hammered out of him, requests 10 atomic bombers with live nukes be put on standby in Guam, right?
Because he wants to have the option to use them in an emergency situation, right?
Truman says yes to this.
MacArthur also wants these planes and their nukes placed under his direct control.
And this is a weird moment where Curtis LeMay may have saved a lot of people's lives.
And I don't think it's for a good reason, but he steps in and he begs Trimmin to say no and keep the bombs under SAC.
He wants the bombs to stay with the SAC, right?
He wants to have control over them.
But I do think he is less, I don't think he would have, I don't think he certainly was not unwilling to nuke North Korea, but he was less interested in doing it than MacArthur, right?
He was not convinced it was the only path forward.
And MacArthur was really convinced it was the only way to win, right?
Right.
Now, for decades, because the fact that we sent nukes to Guam during the Korean War has been well known.
But if you look up any histories that are like older prior to the 21st century, it will say the SAC sent nine planes and nine atomic bombs to Guam.
We now know that this was inaccurate.
And I'm going to quote from the book 15 Minutes here.
The first nine departures for Guam were uneventful, but as the last B-29 accelerated down the runway, two propellers ran away as the bomber lifted off, forcing the pilot to shut down two engines.
In what would later be described as heroic flying, the pilot somehow pulled the fuel-laden bomb-laden bomber into the air and managed to turn back towards the runway.
But as he did, he lost altitude and the bomber simply went into the ground.
The crash was not hard, reported an aide to General LeMay.
But 12 men were dead and eight were trapped in the burning wreckage, which came to rest at the edge of a trailer park that housed military families.
That's a nuke.
We blow up a nuke next to base housing.
And that's why everyone just knew that we sent nine planes because they just pretend this doesn't happen.
They lie about they cover this the fuck up, right?
So this is like, this is drop safe.
Nukes are drop safe.
Kind of.
The good news is that because of how nukes work, they don't detonate on accident.
They have to be set up for in order to get the big explosion that we all recognize as a nuclear blast, you have to set off a nuke in a specific way.
The bad news is that even if it's not set off in the way that causes a traditional atomic blast, you're still talking about 5,000 pounds of conventional explosives in the bomb and a bunch of radioactive material.
So it does, it can still make, from what I've seen, because this happens a few times, it doesn't always make a dirty bomb, but it can.
You can get radiation contamination when one of these things explodes in a plane crash, right?
That does happen sometimes.
I don't actually know if it does in this case because of how much was covered up.
I can't tell you if any of these fucking civilians in the base housing got rad sick, but the blast of this nuke not going off as a nuke is felt 30 miles away.
It kills seven rescue personnel and it injures 181 civilians.
The Air Force immediately lies and says, oh, that was just loaded with normal bombs.
It was a training mission.
Sorry, guys.
Not a nuke, though.
Don't worry.
Yeah.
And like the nine planes next to it.
Right.
It was 44 years before the fact that a fucking nuke exploded was declassified.
And Margaret, that's not close to the only nuke we lost.
This is the thing I did not know.
We fucking lose so many nukes.
It's crazy.
On November 10th, 1950, an SAC bomber encountered engine trouble and had to drop an MK-4 atom bomb set to self-destruct 100 miles outside of Quebec.
And here's the wild part.
That was the fifth nuclear bomb lost by the SAC from the end of World War II to November of 1950.
Five lost nukes in five years.
Oh my God.
And that counts as a success because we self-destruct the nuke.
So it doesn't just land, right?
We'll get to that.
Back to the Korean War.
Because this is all going right.
As this is all going on, you know, MacArthur grows increasingly bullish on tactical nuclear warfare as the situation in Korea grows more dire.
He develops a plan that would have involved dropping between 30 and 50 tactical atom bombs on enemy air bases and depots.
And then he would have followed up by a massive invasion of Taiwanese troops backed by two Marine divisions.
Enemy reinforcements from China were to be blocked.
This army that he's going to have basically cut Korea off from China, they're going to lay a belt of radioactive cobalt behind them in order to make it impossible for Chinese forces to cross into Korea for generations.
That was the plan, is irradiate the entire border alongside nuking a bunch of people.
That's like salty in the earth behind you, but another level.
I cannot exaggerate how fucking insane Douglas MacArthur is at this point.
Like he is completely, dangerously unhinged.
One of the craziest men to ever command a U.S. military force.
Truman refused this insane plan.
Thank fucking God.
And as a result, MacArthur criticized the president publicly, which led to him being removed from command.
The Korean War ended with a shitload of dead people and without a real peace, but also without additional nuclear explosions.
So, you know, that's good.
It could have been worse, I guess, is what I'm saying, you know?
So civilian control of government is better than the military control of government.
Yeah, because again, these people lose their fucking minds.
And MacArthur, like Curtis LeMay is a voice of reason here.
That's how crazy MacArthur is.
Not much of a voice of reason, but a little bit of one.
Because MacArthur is batshit crazy.
At the start of the Korean War, the U.S. moved almost 90 nuclear weapons into Europe out of fears that a whiter communist invasion of the West was imminent.
Now, the Soviet arsenal is really small at this stage.
And again, there's no ICBMs.
Bombers still aren't super good.
So time is not as much of a factor, right?
We don't have to have these things ready to detonate at five minutes' notice, right?
And so for safety's sake, again, this is one of these, the Atomic Energy Commission kind of comes in and is like, we'll send the bombs over, but not the nuclear material.
We will keep the nuclear cores in the U.S. so that we can airlift them over to Europe on a moment's notice.
Right, because they're smaller than the bombs themselves.
Right, right.
And it's safer than just having a live nuke where someone could steal it or set it off, right?
You store the ammo and the gun in a different place when there's children around.
Yeah.
This is moments like this of just minimal sanity are so rare in the nuke story that it's just like a breath of fresh air.
Separating Cores from Bombs00:04:02
Like, oh, somebody wasn't completely out of their goddamn mind.
But you know who is out of their goddamn mind, Margaret?
Is it our sponsor, Life Ray?
That's right.
Life Ray.
Because it turns out Life Ray is incredibly radioactive.
They will fry your brain.
Even being in the same state as one is very dangerous.
Buy one today.
I think it's worth it.
Uh-huh.
For safety.
Yeah.
There's two golden rules that any man should live by.
Rule one, never mess with a country girl.
You play stupid games, you get stupid prizes.
And rule two, never mess with her friends either.
We always say that, trust your girlfriends.
I'm Anna Sinfield, and in this new season of The Girlfriends, oh my God, this is the same man.
A group of women discover they've all dated the same prolific con artist.
I felt like I got hit by a truck.
I thought, how could this happen to me?
The cops didn't seem to care.
So they take matters into their own hands.
They said, oh, hell no.
I vowed I will be his last target.
He's going to get what he deserves.
Listen to the girlfriends.
Trust me, babe.
On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
I'm Lori Siegel, and on Mostly Human, I go beyond the headlines with the people building our future.
This week, an interview with one of the most influential figures in Silicon Valley, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman.
I think society is going to decide that creators of AI products bear a tremendous amount of responsibility to products we put out in the world.
From power to parenthood.
Kids, teenagers, I think they will need a lot of guardrails around AI.
This is such a powerful and such a new thing.
From addiction to acceleration.
The world we live in is a competitive world, and I don't think that's going to stop, even if you did a lot of redistribution.
You know, we have a deep desire to excel and be competitive and gain status and be useful to others.
And it's a multiplayer game.
What does the man who has extraordinary influence over our lives have to say about the weight of that responsibility?
Find out on Mostly Human.
My highest order bit is to not destroy the world with AI.
Listen to Mostly Human on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.
Hey, I'm Nora Jones, and I love playing music with people so much that my podcast called Playing Along is back.
I sit down with musicians from all musical styles to play songs together in an intimate setting.
Every episode's a little different, but it all involves music and conversation with some of my favorite musicians.
Over the past two seasons, I've had special guests like Dave Grohl, Leve, Mavis Staples, Remy Wolf, Jeff Tweedy, really too many to name.
And this season, I've sat down with Alessia Cara, Sarah McLaughlin, John Legend, and more.
Check out my new episode with Josh Grobin.
You related to the Phantom at that point.
Yeah, I was definitely the Phantom in that.
That's so funny.
Share each day with me each night, each morning.
Say you love me.
You know I.
So come hang out with us in the studio and listen to Playing Along on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
What's up, everyone?
I'm Ego Modem.
My next guest, you know, from Step Brothers, Anchorman, Saturday Night Live, and the Big Money Players Network, it's Will Farrell.
Woo, My dad gave me the best advice ever.
I went and had lunch with him one day, and I was like, and dad, I think I want to really give this a shot.
I don't know what that means, but I just know the groundlings.
I'm working my way up through it.
I know it's a place they come look for up and coming talent.
He said, if it was based solely on talent, I wouldn't worry about you, which is really sweet.
Fusion vs Fission Fallout00:15:44
Yeah.
He goes, but there's so much luck involved.
And he's like, just give it a shot.
He goes, but if you ever reach a point where you're banging your head against the wall and it doesn't feel fun anymore, it's okay to quit.
If you saw it written down, it would not be an inspiration.
It would not be on a calendar of, you know, the cat just hang in there.
Yeah, it would not be.
Right, it wouldn't be that.
There's a lot of luck.
Listen to Thanksgiving on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
And we're back.
So, at this point, the Atomic Energy Commission maintained custody of our nuclear weapons when they were not actively in use.
The DOD never likes this, and they use the opportunity to argue that the military should have direct control over our nuclear arsenal.
Eventually, Truman agreed to give Strategic Air Command custody of these weapons in Guam, right?
This is kind of the first time that the military gets direct custody for a long period of time is in Guam during the Korean War.
In 1951, the U.S. had increased its stockpile of nuclear weapons from 299 to 438, twice the number the Joint Chiefs of Staff had been told in an internal report could destroy civilization.
As I noted, the USSR has around 50 bombs.
Their stockpile will grow rapidly after this point.
But to deal with the fact that the gap is starting to close, we start working on a bigger bomb, right?
It's first known by its nickname, the Super, and this is the first thermonuclear bomb, aka the hydrogen bomb.
And as a brief aside, most post-apocalyptic, post-atomic apocalypse movies and fictions, imagine a bunch of bombs kind of like the Hiroshima bomb going off.
That's what Fallout does, really.
Because you look at DC and Fallout, what is it, three or four?
I forget which one DC is in.
I've played some of them, but I don't remember though.
If you look at DC and like a lot, most of the buildings are still relatively intact, right?
That doesn't happen if you drop a thermonuclear bomb.
Annie Jacobson goes over like if one of the standard hydrogen bombs were dropped on DC, like, and these are actively aimed at DC at all times, right?
The Russians always have some aimed at DC, you know, just like we've got shit aimed at Moscow.
I'm not blaming them.
Yeah.
Like, we're both doing this crazy shit.
Everyone within a mile of the blast dies immediately.
Everyone within two or three miles of the blast is incinerated over the course of a few seconds, right?
You're talking millions of deaths in the space of a minute or two.
Like, these are not survivable.
Everything is combustion.
There's no buildings left.
Everything is combusted near like the power of these bombs cannot be exaggerated.
These are not survivable.
There is not an after thermonuclear war.
Is it a different fundamentally different technology?
It's the craziest thing you can imagine.
Hydrogen bombs, hydrogen weapons, right?
Like thermonuclear weapons work on the premise: what if you set off a nuke with a nuke?
Right?
Here's Annie Jacobson describing how these work.
The super's monstrous explosive power comes as the result of an uncontrolled, self-sustaining chain reaction, which hydrogen isotopes fuse under extremely high temperatures in a process called nuclear fusion.
An atomic bomb will kill tens of thousands of people, as did the ones dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
A thermonuclear bomb, if detonated in a city like New York or Seoul, will kill millions of people in a superheated flash.
These are so this is, I think, it's fission versus fusion, maybe or something.
Yeah, I think that's that's basically what's going on here.
But you're setting, instead of using conventional explosives to start the nuclear reaction, you're using a nuke to set off a nuke, basically, right?
Yeah, yo, dog.
Uh-huh.
Uh-huh.
It's just the craziest thing.
The prototype thermonuclear weapon was designed by a guy named Richard Garvin and had a 10.4 megaton explosive capacity that made it equivalent to a thousand Hiroshima bombs.
Oh my God.
Or an idea of what that's the first one of these we make, right?
Uh-huh.
These things, when we start detonating them, we'll talk about it, but like we repeatedly horribly irradiate and like permanently injure huge numbers of U.S. troops because we don't get nearly far away enough because we don't realize how big they're going to be.
Like one of these is like 50% larger than we'd expected it to be.
Enrico Fermi, Garwin's mentor and a Manhattan Project scientist, actually sent a letter to President Truman begging him not to go through with testing the first hydrogen bomb.
Quote, the fact that no limits exist to the destructiveness of this weapon makes its very existence and the knowledge of its construction a danger to humanity as a whole.
It is necessarily an evil thing considered in any light.
Don't build the torment nexus.
I know.
Yeah.
But what if a torment nexus is built by the torment nexus?
Right, right, right.
But Garvin wants to solve this fun problem.
I love that they're like, we built the ultimate weapon.
It can kill God.
And people are like, not enough.
Not enough.
What if we use one of those to make a bigger one of those?
Yeah.
Truman ignores this letter from Fermi.
The first thermonuclear bomb was detonated in the Marshall Islands in November of 1952.
It left behind a crater large enough to hold 15 pentagons.
In her book, Annie Jacobson relies on a before and after image of the Marshall Islands to show the destructive power of this device.
Sophie's going to put it up, but you can see the bomb was detonated on an island called Iluj Lab.
And you see the before, there's Ilujlab.
It's an island.
And then in the after, there's just no island.
Yeah, that's just a black spot on the map.
It's gone.
The island is gone.
Yeah.
A year or two ago, James Stout over at It Could Happen Here went to the Marshall Islands to report on, I mean, there's still ongoing fallout, both in the literal and figurative sense for the people of the Marshall Islands because of how many fucking nukes we set off there, right?
Like, there's tremendous suffering in the Marshall Islands.
We are not doing this on quote-unquote, I mean, to the extent that they're uninhabited, it's because we forced people off, right?
Like, this is a crime against humanity.
Our testing of thermonuclear weapons in the Marshall Islands is a crime against humanity.
You can check out James Stout's reporting on it if you want more on that after this series, right?
I'm not going to be getting into it because he did that series, but you can see just in the picture how catastrophic these weapons are.
Yeah.
In the immediate wake of the Ivy Mike test, President Truman gave his farewell address.
He mourned that, quote, the war of the future would be one in which man could extinguish millions of lives at one blow, demolish the great cities of the world, wipe out the cultural achievements of the past.
Such a war is not a possible policy for rational men.
Now, that's not wrong, but you're one of the irrational men who made this possible.
Like, you're wearing the banana suit here, Truman.
Like, come on, man.
You gave the call to use the first of these fucking things.
Yeah.
Jacobson goes into more detail about how military planners respond, despite what Truman says, to the existence now of thermonuclear weapons.
Quote, what happened after U.S. war planners saw what 10.4 megatons could instantly destroy simply boggles the mind.
What came next was a mad, mad rush to stockpile thermonuclear weapons, first by the hundreds and then by the thousands.
In 1952, the United States had 841 nuclear weapons.
A year before Truman left office, in 1951, a group of scientists and researchers that included Dr. Robert Oppenheimer launched Project Vista.
This was a study to analyze if there was any room for improvement in NATO's strategy for responding to a Soviet invasion.
They concluded that having the SAC be in charge of basically everything through their one strategy of nuking everybody was a bad idea.
Instead, yeah, here's the problem.
They conclude that instead, NATO should replace manpower with low-yield tactical nuclear weapons that would evaporate advancing Soviet forces and that could be deployed by battlefield commanders on the ground.
Now, there's a degree to which they're trying to do a kind of noble thing here, right?
The stated goal here is bring the battle back to the battlefield.
If you're using nukes on soldiers, but not nuking cities, maybe we don't consume every city in Europe with atomic hellfire, right?
That's what Project Vista is kind of trying to argue for.
And their conclusions are supported by the U.S. Army, not because the Army is a particularly benevolent force, but because it reduces the influence of the SAC, right?
The SAC has the nukes now.
The Army wants some nukes of its own, right?
Right.
As Schlosser writes in the book Command and Control, as would be expected, Curtis LeMay hated the idea of low-yield tactical weapons.
In his view, they were a waste of fissile material, unlikely to prove decisive in battle and difficult to keep under centralized control.
The only way to win a nuclear war, according to SAC, was to strike first and strike hard.
Successful offense brings victory.
Successful defense can now only lessen defeat, LeMay told his commanders.
Moreover, an atomic blitz aimed at Soviet cities was no longer the SAC's top priority.
LeMay now thought it would be far more important to destroy the Soviet Union's capability to use its nuclear weapons.
Soviet airfields, bombers, command centers, and nuclear facilities became SAC's primary targets.
LeMay did not make sense.
Yeah.
Yeah, yeah, he's not completely off base here.
LeMay did not advocate preventative war, an American surprise attack on the Soviet Union out of a blue.
But the counterforce strategy he endorsed was a form of preemptive war.
SAC planned to attack the moment the Soviets seemed to be readying their own nuclear forces.
Civilian casualties, though unavoidable, were no longer the goal.
Offensive air power must now be aimed at preventing the launching of weapons of mass destruction against the United States or its allies, LeMay argued.
This transcends all other considerations because the price of failure might be paid with national survival, right?
This is the origin of what becomes launch-on-warn, right?
So you don't wait to get a bloody nose.
You don't wait for them to hit you.
You wait until you're pretty sure they're about to hit you and you hit them.
That's a really dangerous evolution strategically, right?
You can understand kind of how he gets there, but that ups the possibility of a nuclear war significantly once you're now saying we won't wait to get hit, right?
It's so interesting too, because it's all predicated on this idea that national survival, right?
He's very concerned about national survival.
Like, I'm much more concerned about humanity's survival, not even because I'm a humanitarian, people think, but because I'm a human, right?
Like, all if you destroy all life on Earth, that nation's gone.
Yeah, there's, well, and that's that's part of the craziness.
Like, the understated crazy in that paragraph is that LeMay thinks tactical nukes are a waste of fissile material.
Bro, you have four times as many nukes by 1951 as it would take to end civilization and just your country.
What's wasted, bro?
Are you worried you're not going to have enough of these fuckers?
Like, that's by the before they made them the God-killing machine that kills by God.
Right, right.
We need considerably less once hydrogen bombs are in the fucking mess.
Now, one of President Dwight D. Eisenhower's first concerns when he took office would be to bring a resolution to this conflict, right?
This conflict between the army and the air force via the SAC, right?
After having his national security team take a new look at U.S. defense policies, Ike decided both sides were right.
The U.S. needed tactical nuclear weapons on the ground in Europe, but we also needed an arsenal of thermonuclear weapons that could bomb the Soviets at a moment's notice.
After all, in late 1953, the USSR detonated its first thermonuclear device.
By 1954, the United States had more than 1,700 nuclear weapons.
By 1955, that number had climbed to nearly 2,500.
We were building roughly two bombs a day.
By 1959, the United States had an arsenal of more than 12,000 nuclear weapons, and we were manufacturing more than five per day, including three different families of thermonuclear warheads.
You see just how quickly, like, there's not any conceivable use for 12,000 nuclear warheads.
Everyone's dead after the first thousand, at least, you know, maybe less, right?
Like, um, surprisingly, it was under Eisenhower that the Army suffered its most significant budget cutbacks, losing a fourth of its manpower.
This has kind of been forgotten, but Ike does, you know, people are generally aware of like the military-industrial complex speech.
But at the start of his presidency, Ike really prunes the military budget and actually causes like kind of an eruption of anger within the military at him, at General Eisenhower, because he's cutting back so much.
The Army, in order to deal with this loss of manpower, starts lobbying for more nukes of its own because that's the only thing you can get funded for now, right?
That's all they're giving out, you know.
General James R. Gavin, during secret testimony before Congress, laid out the number of atomic shells, anti-aircraft missiles, and landmines the Army needed.
These are all nuclear artillery, nuclear anti-aircraft missiles, and nuclear landmines.
Nuclear landmine's a great plan.
I can't come up with any negative thoughts.
Good.
Sounds safe.
Yeah.
What's crazy is how many Gavin wanted?
106,000 for battlefield use, 25,000 for air defense, and 20,000 to hand out to the rest of NATO.
Jesus Christ, bro.
These people are so crazy.
I will say there is some, maybe the only arguably ethical weapons that we're building at this point are the air defense nuclear weapons, because the plan of this is if you have a huge bomber fleet coming in, the only way you can stop them, maybe, and ensure that none of them drop a nuke on a city is you nuke them in the air because nukes fuck up planes really bad.
And that's actually kind of reasonable if there's this many of these things.
Yeah.
Seat shooting.
Also is only going to kill soldiers.
I mean, the fallout and right, there will be consequences to that too.
But it's a defensible position as compared to everything else that they're doing, right?
Like I can see how you might want to be able to just like try to blow up 500 planes in the air with a big nuke, right?
That kind of makes sense.
Like, this is all crazy, but I get it, you know?
It's so interesting because I'm under the impression our current system is the like shooting a bullet with a bullet approach.
Yes.
Yep.
Did we move away from skeet shooting?
We definitely have moved away from nuclear anti-aircraft artillery.
We have the ability to use that, but also we've gotten a lot better.
And so have our quote-unquote adversaries at making planes that are hardened, you know, from EMP and the like.
I don't think it's as much, there's just not much point in defenses.
The other reason is that like, sure, you could stop some bombers, but it's the ICBMs that are going to kill everybody and the sub-launched nukes.
And you can kind of, again, we have these things called like FAD batteries that could be, if we actually had any placed in the U.S., could be useful against like a sub-attack, right?
You could actually stop a good number of sub-base nuclear weapons, right, with these batteries, but they're all deployed overseas, protecting like Israel and the like, right?
We don't have any.
One of the scenarios Jacobson talks about is like a North Korean sub nuking this huge like nuclear power plant on the coast of California, which would cause this Titanic environmental catastrophe.
And she points out like there are plans for having FAD batteries that could protect this thing, but we just we're using them all overseas, so we don't have any set up.
And that's one of those things where I'm like, well, I guess I'm, if we're going to be spending money on something, I would like to spend money on more of those and not the bullet that shoots another bullet in the air or more nukes.
I don't know.
Yeah, totally.
But none of this really is going to be enough if there's a full-scale nuclear engagement.
You know, your best hope is that maybe someone, it's just one or two nukes that get fires and maybe we're able to stop them, you know?
California Nuclear Threats00:03:26
Yeah.
Anyway, that's part three, Margaret.
Yay.
Got any pluggables to plug?
Well, if you like history, Cool People Who Did Cool Stuff is the opposite of this show.
Although I still have to end up talking about terrible things all the time.
And you can go listen to that at Cool People Who Did Cool Stuff.
And you can also listen to Robert and I playing Pathfinder on the It Could Happen Here feed or the CoolZone Media book club feed.
That's right.
You can check all that out.
And you can check me out in a Daika Day when we do the next episode because you're getting a bonus one this week, you lucky dots.
Anyway, assuming that, you know, we don't all die in nuclear hellfire, which is entirely possible.
It could happen right now.
Oh, no, we're good.
All right.
Oh, okay.
Behind the Bastards is a production of CoolZone Media.
For more from CoolZone Media, visit our website, coolzonemedia.com or check us out on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Behind the Bastards is now available on YouTube.
New episodes every Wednesday and Friday.
Subscribe to our channel, youtube.com/slash at behind the bastards.
When a group of women discover they've all dated the same prolific con artist, they take matters into their own hands.
I vowed I will be his last target.
He is not going to get away with this.
He's going to get what he deserves.
We always say, trust your girlfriends.
Listen to the girlfriends.
Trust me, babe.
On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
10-10 shots fired in the City Hall building.
How did this ever happen in City Hall?
Somebody tell me that.
A shocking public murder.
This is one of the most dramatic events that really ever happened in New York City politics.
They screamed, get down, get down.
Those are shots.
A tragedy that's now forgotten.
And a mystery that may or may not have been political, that may have been about sex.
Listen to Rorschach, Murder at City Hall on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
I'm Laurie Siegel, and this is Mostly Human, a tech podcast through a human lens.
This week, an interview with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman.
I think society is going to decide that creators of AI products bear a tremendous amount of responsibility to the products we put out in the world.
An in-depth conversation with a man who's shaping our future.
My highest order bit is to not destroy the world with AI.
Listen to Mostly Human on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.
Hey, it's Nora Jones, and my podcast, Playing Along, is back with more of my favorite musicians.
Check out my newest episode with Josh Groban.
You related to the Phantom at that point.
Yeah, I was definitely the Phantom in that.
That's so funny.
Shari stay with me each night, each morning.
Listen to Nora Jones is playing along on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.