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April 29, 2025 - Viva & Barnes

04:16:43

ELECTIONS CANADA RESULTS LIVE STREAM WITH VIVA COMMENTARY!!!

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	Okay, more analysis to come by Hurley, still indicative of something.
	And just before we go to break, we are declaring a conservative gain in that writing.
	So again, those results are trickling, but we are able to make some declarations.
	We're going to take a quick break.
	We'll see you in just a few moments of time.
	Stay with us.
	Welcome back to election headquarters here at CTV News.
	We continue to track early results as they come in from Atlantic Canada.
	I want to bring in my colleague, CTV News Chief Financial Correspondent Amanda Lang.
	We do have some changes to just quickly put up on the board.
	Some conservative gains so far.
	I'm coming, people.
	Give me 30 seconds.
	And some liberal losses at this point.
	Yeah, give me 30 seconds.
	The economy became probably, if there's one thing underpinning that ballot box competition over what the question is, is it Trump or is it change?
	It's the economy, right?
	That's right.
	And typically, of course, we know when people go to the polls, they're voting on their pocketbook.
	And that often works against the incumbent, especially after a period like the one we've seen.
	We saw high inflation.
	We saw the aftereffects of a global pandemic.
	So the vote for change was very powerful.
	And then into the mix you get, well, now we feel threatened and we need to defend ourselves against the trade war.
	And that, of course, was the wild card that we've been dealing with.
	Underneath it all, though, people still, at the end of the day, when they're checking off that ballot, they're thinking about their own situation, and there's so much uncertainty right now.
	So it does come down to stewardship, I think.
	Who will manage our economy better?
	Have you been surprised by the whiplash?
	I mean, there are days in the past couple of weeks where we've seen the size of Canada's GDP just wiped out on stock markets.
	And if you're younger, you've got time to make up that money.
	If you're a senior in this country who's worked their entire life preparing for
	The golden years.
	And to see that evaporate in mere moments, I mean, it's not easy to stomach.
	It's been jarring in the extreme.
	And I think I said this to you, Omar, on your program, which is even on the days when it was up.
	Five, six, seven percent.
	That's not a good day.
	That doesn't feel rational or normal or the way stocks should move.
	And it speaks to the level of uncertainty in the world.
	And we're starting to see this show up in the economy.
	Even if you waved a wand and it was all over today, we have damage done.
	And the damage will persist for our economy and elsewhere.
	And we're talking here in Atlanta, Canada, about St. John, the hardest hit place for tariffs in the country.
	96 percent of their exports go to the U.S. Go to the U.S. And, of course, a very integrated economy, too.
	They come back as well.
	Well, in the form of sort of refined products.
	So all of this is going to be in the mix, but it's really interesting to watch at the end of the day, how do people feel about what they're voting on and how regional will that be?
	And as far as what the parties are pitching, what stands out to you?
	So it was interesting to see, and we'll talk mostly about Liberal PC, because that's, you know, who's going to like the government here.
	And both of them are really making the case for, we'll get you through this, but such different approaches.
	Liberals' big spending really...
	We're focused on a trade war, throwing money at a problem, not so much worried about the fiscal balance.
	And the conservatives taking that same message that they've had all along, which is we want to downsize government, we want to reduce your taxes, so that the kind of undertone was, yeah, sure, there's a trade war, but remember, we're the guys that are going to deliver something different here.
	And we'll see whether that works in terms of the messaging and how it gets read in the end by what people actually absorbed.
	You know, economists, the balance is out in terms of which one will succeed, because in both platforms, there isn't a lot of unknown quantities.
	Where does the revenue come from?
	Where do the cuts come?
	We don't really know any of those things.
	But voters actually were hearing more, and maybe this is intentional, of course, more of the subtext than the actual details.
	Magic math all over.
	Exactly.
	We'll see what they choose.
	But I've got to thank you, by the way.
	The past few weeks have been, it's been a seesaw, but you've been our voice of calm and our voice of reason in a very strange and different environment.
	Amanda, we'll check in with you just a bit later.
	Let's head over to Sandy right now, who's been keeping with the pulse of the people.
	Well, Omar, it's interesting.
	We were listening to Corey and Scott bring up the age factor, and I want to talk about that with our talk people here, because older Canadians tend to vote Liberal by a huge percentage.
	Those 35 to 54 prefer the Conservatives.
	And then there's the youth vote.
	Conservatives are resonating with young people.
	Is that what you're hearing?
	Well, the callers and the listeners tend to be a little bit older quite often, but I do have a lot of very engaged young people.
	Am I not loud enough, people?
	The answer is no.
	What are they saying?
	Is it the same party, just different leaders?
	So if they're angry about the potential of the liberals winning...
	What I noticed in the last couple of days is that some of the older audience who I mentioned had become a bit defensive of Mark Carney.
	In the early days, the conservatives were running against a resume.
	And it's a really good resume.
	And as they got to know him a little bit, he had a cranky side.
	He was mean to reporters.
	Look inside yourself.
	I don't think that played very well with older people.
	So that started to soften up a little bit, but the anger of younger people played in, too.
	When the platforms got costed, I started to get emails and texts from people, younger people, saying, look at the deck.
	Nobody in the chat wants to hear them.
	Okay, good.
	So we'll keep it.
	Did Viva jump out the window?
	I'm going to keep this here.
	What I'm going to do, first things first, everybody, share the link on social media.
	Second things, actually, what I find more useful than this.
	Let me open up the Kalshi market in a separate window where you don't...
	Oh, I'll flip the link to Barnes.
	Maybe Barnes is going to want to get in here.
	And we're going to talk about this.
	Kalshi...
	The Kalshi markets are what's really fun to watch.
	Who will be the next?
	It's 60-40 now.
	I'm going to say that I'm the smartest person on earth.
	I'm going to say that I'm not smart.
	Let me just show you.
	There's so much crap on my computer.
	I said, regardless of what the outcome is, the numbers as they currently stand make no bloody sense.
	Look at this.
	This is what you like to see.
	And everyone's going to say, oh, Vivi, you're going to have to admit Pierre won a good campaign.
	No, Pierre can win.
	And I would dare say that it would be that I contributed more to spreading the word of the liberal carnage, pun intended.
	This is what I wanted to say.
	It doesn't matter who you...
	It's a coin toss at the end of the day.
	What's not a coin toss anymore is going to be the liberal majority because the results are coming in from the Maritimes.
	Stephen Britton's going to come in from our locals community.
	To give us some insights.
	This is absolute insanity.
	Remember when Carney was at 80% this morning?
	85% this morning.
	And right now, Carney is at 57%.
	I'll just say one thing.
	If it's a conservative majority, Viva will be very happy for prediction reasons.
	If it's a conservative minority, I don't know what kind of feckless government that's going to look like.
	I don't know what would be required to pass a non-confidence to trigger another election within a year.
	I don't even know if that is politically feasible.
	What was I about to say other than that?
	Oh yeah, and then I don't know who forms what sort of coalition opposition.
	I'm not a spiteful man.
	This trend right here makes me feel very good.
	Oh, I can't swear because my wife is listening.
	Frickin' carny.
	So that is the leader.
	But let's just go with majority.
	No, it's not.
	Is it a majority?
	Next government of Canada.
	Conservative minority is up.
	What's conservative majority at?
	Conservative majority.
	Up to 9%.
	Holy hell.
	And by the way, you heard it.
	I said it.
	There was zero chance, very little chance it was going to be a conservative, a liberal majority.
	It would have been the end of Canada.
	If it's not going to be a liberal majority, it's a coin flip between a conservative minority and a liberal minority.
	Oh my goodness.
	Liberal majority.
	I was saying when it was at 70 cents, there's no better place to put your money than no.
	Down 37. So the results are coming in from the Maritimes.
	And I was expecting them to be worse coming out of the Maritimes.
	But this is where I appreciate the limitations of my own understanding.
	And I'd like Stephen Britton to come in, who I would rely on more for the analysis.
	Say, we're going to get early.
	I love this.
	This makes me happy as well.
	It's like the exact inverse of the Biden steal in 2020.
	Oh, hey!
	Oh, my God!
	What the heck just happened?
	We thought we were going to...
	Oh, the market said this morning that we were going to be a 70% likelihood for majority liberal?
	Hold on a second.
	I have a martini.
	If you hear me leaning over and...
	Yes, liberal majority.
	Get the F out of there, you sons of bitches.
	I won't say market manipulation, and the reality is this is a sum zero game.
	So whoever bought it's going to be a liberal majority at 70 cents is losing their shirt right now.
	And I don't want to get cocky and get ahead of myself.
	If the only thing that happens tonight is that it's not a liberal majority, I'll be satisfied.
	Conservative minority, liberal minority.
	Where's the conservative majority?
	Oh my goodness.
	So, for those of you who don't understand, nobody currently watching doesn't understand.
	Let's just go back to the Prime Minister.
	I'm not going by writing because I couldn't pretend to understand the writings.
	Look at this.
	And someone had said in response to one of my questions to Richard Barris on Twitter, an inversion like this, when did Carney come into the picture?
	He came around here.
	An inversion like this is not organic.
	Whether or not it was Chinese money or Indian money, and I'm not trying to say that in the racial sense, in the political sense, government money.
	It was inorganic.
	But set that aside.
	It was never 85% Carney, in the likelihood of things.
	It's still 50-50.
	It was the same thing with Kamala and Trump.
	And I like this.
	This is beautiful.
	That's a thing of beauty.
	They're going to meet at the middle, baby.
	Why don't you meet me in the middle?
	Okay, so these are the markets, and it's phenomenal.
	Within a few minutes, it's 60-40.
	This is what it always should have been, and I do think that there was foreign money at play here.
	It was Kyle Kemper.
	You know what?
	I'm going to send him the link too.
	Oh, Stephen Britton's in the house.
	It was Kyle Kemper who said, you know, he was doing just placing some hypothetical bets.
	A million dollar bet would have swayed it so that it would have been Pierre Poiliev a 70% favorite.
	It would have cost you a million dollars for the marketing of saying, oh, Pierre Poiliev is now the 70% favorite.
	And for those of you who don't understand what I'm saying, if you were to place a million dollar bet In favor of Pierre Poiliev and do what they call, you know, basically chasing the rise.
	Say like, okay, I'm not going to place the bet and limit it at 20 cents.
	I'm going to just buy up until I get my million dollars bought up.
	You artificially jack up the price of the stock and it's called slippage.
	And so it would have cost you a million dollars through slippage to manipulate the market so that it would look like Pierre Poiliev was the 70% favorite.
	A million bucks?
	To any interests who want to influence public opinion, the polling, the news headlines is nothing.
	It's free money for a Chinese Communist Party.
	And so that's what it would have cost to sway the polls back in favor of Poiliev.
	And that's to say that that's how easily the markets could have been manipulated and probably were manipulated in favor of Mark Carnage Carney.
	Now, That said, and I did say, you know, you can manipulate the markets.
	There should be some smart money in there that's going to get them.
	Anybody who bought this money can sell now for 30% if you're not in for the long run.
	And so smart money could have gotten in and made some sweet coin just in the last hour based on what was my mildly informed opinion that I will attribute to Robert Barnes in large part.
	Did I send Barnes a link?
	If you want to pop on.
	So this is what's going on in real time.
	Let's just go back here.
	I'm going to keep this one open in the backdrop.
	So you could have just made 20% on your money.
	Get the hell out.
	Who knows what's going to happen now?
	Because it's a coin flip in the ordinary run of things.
	I'm just getting a DM from someone named agentguru__io.
	This is how old I am, people.
	I can't fucking read anymore.
	Get your T-levels up, Canada, says BMF.
	And Rob128 says, Thanks, Viva, from Windsor, Ontario, my kids, and I love your show.
	Go PPC.
	I am predicting that the PPC is going to...
	I think they're going to get half of the votes from last time.
	From 2021, I think.
	I think they'll get 500,000 votes.
	The guests are here, sir.
	Say it again.
	The guests are here.
	How many guests do we have?
	Holy crab apples.
	Kyle Kemper pops in just like that.
	And so does Stephen Britton.
	Well, guys, unmute your cameras and un-mic your microphones.
	I did that on purpose.
	Unmute your mics and un-camera.
	Gentlemen.
	All right.
	Viva!
	How are we feeling, baby?
	Well, I'll tell you one thing.
	I'm feeling a lot better right now because from a financial perspective, all I need is a liberal not-majority in order to just like...
	Free money for the rest of the night.
	From a spiritual perspective, if it's a conservative majority is coming up, but I don't think that's going to happen.
	Even if it's a conservative minority, maybe they'll work with the block.
	By the way, Kyle, Steve and Britton, let me introduce both of you to the world who may not know who you are.
	Kyle, you are my brother from another mother, but I shaved, so we no longer look the same.
	They call you Weed Diva.
	Now, Steven.
	It's like you're wearing some zinc, too.
	No, I'm just shining because I was out biking with my kid and my lights are too...
	And pay attention to the pimple, people.
	It's not even a pimple.
	It's an ingrown hair.
	Look at it.
	All night long.
	Steven, the world might not know who you are.
	You are a member of our locals community, but introduce yourself.
	I think you're still...
	Oh, you're still muted, Steve.
	Either you're muted or your mic is not being recognized.
	Right, but that's a different mic.
	That's not the right mic.
	That's such a Canadian accent, I hear.
	While he's doing it, we do have an update on the numbers.
	Yeah, let me bring this up here.
	Here, we got this.
	So I can bring this up.
	I won't bring up their verbal diarrhea from coverage, but...
	Libs22.
	So, okay.
	Stephen Britton, can I hear you now?
	Can you hear me now?
	Oh, yes.
	Loud and clear, deep and booming.
	Steve, yeah, tell the world who you are.
	I am a long-time member of the Locals community here from vivabarmslaw.locals.com.
	And, ooh, nice margarita there, Viva.
	Anyway, I got my scotch, by the way, just in case anyone's wondering.
	So, I've been around the block many, many, many, many, many times in the Canadian election scene.
	Yeah, I'm adding the A's for the American audience there.
	I don't even think you need to.
	I think they can pick up on it.
	It's such a distinct Canadian.
	I'll ping whenever you do another one.
	I tend not to say A for that very reason.
	But in any event, I have been around numerous elections in the Canadian scene since 1993.
	That was my first one.
	I was, let's see, I was riding a McLeod for that one.
	And then 1997, I ended up in Edmonton, Strathcona.
	But between then, I spent a lot of time in the riding of Calgary Southwest.
	Now, this was back in the day when I was part of the Reform Party.
	2000, I was in Calgary Northeast with the Canadian Alliance.
	And of course, then there was a big shift to the Conservative Party in 2004.
	So I was there for that.
	I was there for 2006.
	I sat out for the 2008 because my daughter was on the way.
	2011, I sat out for that one and, man, was that a fun election because that was the one where the Conservatives won their majority.
	2015 was a disaster, the year that Canada committed suicide, in my personal opinion.
	Oh, am I allowed to say that on?
	Oh yeah, yeah, don't worry, go for it.
	Okay, too late now anyway.
	So I've decided to follow this one.
	So interestingly enough, when it comes to actually the campaigns that I've worked on, guys, I've never worked on a losing campaign.
	So I'm not working on this campaign.
	I'm completely out of it.
	But it'll be interesting to see where it ends up because I am following it.
	And I've got money on the popular vote.
	But I don't have money on whether or not it's a majority, minority, or anything like that.
	Anything can happen.
	And we're still pretty early because we've got another 25 minutes before the big set of writings comes in at 7 p.m. Eastern, or Mountain Time, rather.
	That's 9 o 'clock Eastern.
	So we've got 25 minutes to go before we really start to see the results flowing in.
	And I'm going to have to adjust my graph here.
	The question is this, Steve.
	Well, first of all, everyone should know also that you and I go back and forth on Twitter.
	I have zero ill will to you and you have zero ill will to me.
	None at all.
	And full stop, I actually respect your insights more than my own, actually.
	The question is this.
	Thank you.
	We just saw, oh, conservatives just dropped to nine.
	They stole something.
	I'm joking.
	It bounces around.
	This is going to happen because the results come in by polling stations.
	It'll balance out over time.
	And I'm seeing that somebody has posted a photograph of a Canadian ballot in the chat.
	Do not do that!
	It is illegal to photograph your ballot.
	Is this it?
	Well, it's not ticked off.
	It's not signed off.
	My writing, Quebec Centre, didn't even have a Conservative this year.
	What the F?
	Hold on.
	DTQC.
	Bleu Quebecois.
	People's Party.
	NDP.
	Liberal.
	That's impossible.
	What writing is this?
	My writing, Quebec Centre.
	Unless they were dropped...
	That sounds weird to me.
	It sounds weird.
	But it's from DTQC and I know him and he's not...
	Do not do that though!
	They'll lock you away for longer than they do.
	Never mind, I won't make any of those jokes.
	We're getting the results out of the Maritimes right now.
	Correct.
	I was saying if the Maritimes typically go liberal, if you looked at the map that we saw floating around, everything's red in Canada, which is liberal, except Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba.
	I said, if the Maritimes are coming in early, like totally in favor of the liberals, it's going to be a very, very bad indication.
	Thus far, even two to one for the liberals with the conservatives is still not that bad.
	Am I wrong in thinking this is mildly encouraging coming out of the Maritimes, which tend to go wildly liberal?
	It varies from year to year.
	That's a really difficult one to answer.
	I'm pulling up the map from last time here, and it keeps sending me to Wikipedia for some stupid reason.
	Because I wanted to compare what's happening this year to what happened last year or last time.
	And I'm not 100% sure.
	I think it was pretty split in the Maritimes last time around and Newfoundland.
	So you can't really judge solely on that.
	What's really going to be the determining factor is the 905 area code in Southern Ontario, 905 and what's the other one?
	519.
	Those two area codes in Southern Ontario are going to be a huge indicator of where things are going to go.
	Because Ontario and Quebec, of course, determined the results of the election pretty much.
	Coming into the prairies, you know which way Alberta is going to go.
	There's no doubt about that in my mind.
	Quebec last election, 2021.
	Your election?
	Yeah, my election.
	Quebec got 30...
	Was it 35 seats for the Bloc Québécois, the separatist federal party?
	Let's have a look.
	It was 35 or 32. And by the way, Kyle, if you know offhand or you want to chime in, feel free.
	I'm good.
	I'm not the stats guy.
	No, and Steve is.
	I'm trying to call you the betting markets.
	Dude, I'm looking at the betting markets right now.
	It's...
	Liberal minority is now up to 41%.
	Liberal majority is now down to 30%.
	Conservative minority is up to 24%.
	I still do not want to see a liberal minority, but that'll be less devastating than a liberal majority.
	I mean, the one that I think clearly is that, you know, is that carny poly of one, because that seems to be the market that's got the most liquidity on poly market.
	And, like, you know, we've seen a big bounce already from $0.20 goes to $0.30 right now.
	Yeah, so those guys got 32 seats last time around.
	32 seats.
	So 32 seats of the now it's up to 343 ridings for the aggregate.
	So you get a majority need 172.
	32 seats.
	The projections are that they're going to lose roughly a third of those this time around.
	The block?
	Yeah.
	Okay.
	The question is, well, that is the polls, the markets, whatever that...
	Say that again?
	Who said that?
	The markets or the predictions were that the block is going to get between 18 and 27 seats, which means they're going to lose about a third of their seats.
	That shocked me.
	I don't know how the bloc would lose that many seats because that's a substantial portion.
	But then two questions, Steve, if you know the answer.
	Is it accurate?
	And if they do lose those seats, to whom do they lose them?
	I would have difficulty believing someone would vote bloc Quebecois and then vote liberal.
	I would imagine them go more conservative than liberal.
	Yeah, sorry.
	No, I was just starting to form my thoughts here.
	It's hard to say.
	Okay, the chat is now distracting me with images of Moose going over backwards on icy highways.
	It's really hard to say because the Bloc tends to be fairly left-leaning.
	So you can't make the distinction that they're going to go conservative.
	Although the Bloc Québécois was started by Lucien Bouchard, who came out of the Progressive Conservative Party, it's really hard to say which way they're going to go.
	Because they could end up going liberal just because that's where they're shifting the vote.
	If the Bloc Québécois voters can't stand Pierre Poitier.
	If they, the other hand, they could end up shifting their vote to the NDP, which would bump the NDP up.
	Because remember in 2011, the NDP went well.
	Yes, and as far as I'm concerned from any Betting market perspective.
	If they shift from the block to the NDP, couldn't care less.
	The question is if they shift from the block to the Liberals.
	During the debates, and we watched the French and the English, there was an issue of Carney.
	The question came up of Carney not respecting provincial independence, provincial autonomy, provincial rights.
	And it was seemingly in respect of the transnational pipeline.
	And so...
	Did I misunderstand it or was the issue that the Libs under Carney were sort of talking about imposing interprovincial pipelines despite provincial objections to those?
	Stop it there.
	Was that accurate?
	It's possible.
	The thing is, pipelines, it's a very specific issue that I don't know how many Canadians are really going to latch on to because the majority of Canadians are mainly concerned about where their next meal is coming from.
	True.
	I don't really know.
	I think provincial autonomy, provincial jurisdiction, which natural resources like oil, gas, mining, and all that, Does tend to fall under provincial jurisdiction.
	You know this.
	Yeah.
	That much I know.
	The only question is, what was the interprovincial rift?
	If it was the libs were going to come in and impose their unilateral federal will over the Quebec unique autonomy, why would anyone from Bloch go vote liberal afterwards?
	And I guess that will be the...
	We'll see how the market is doing after that.
	When it hits Quebec, if the Bloch loses seats and then the conservatives pick them up, that's going to be...
	A determinant, presumably for the rest of Canada, at least as it relates to the election, but indication of where Ontario is going to go.
	Yeah.
	Now, J.P. Spooner just put in the check.
	J.P. Spooner is another Canadian who has been with Viva Barnes Law for a very long time as well.
	He's saying that he just typed in the, and I don't know how accurate this is, but he did say that pipelines are banned in Quebec.
	Now, if that's the case, that would...
	That would suggest to me that because the bloc is very much...
	Who's in power in Quebec right now?
	Is it Liberal or is it the...
	Oh, no.
	It's the CAQ.
	It's the Coalition...
	I think it's the CAQ.
	The Coalition Avenir de Quebec.
	That just sounds wrong.
	It's François Legault.
	I'm just sure it's...
	It's not the Liberals then.
	Oh, no, no, no, no, no.
	And then the Conservatives.
	François Legault, born 1957.
	Right.
	He is the Coalition Avenir de Québec since 2011, the CAQ.
	So, yeah.
	The CAQ.
	By the way, it's C-A-Q, Coalition Avenir de Québec.
	Okay.
	I'm thinking the slang for what CAQ might mean.
	It's the CAQ, and then when we get to the seals, then we're going to get to le foc.
	That's right.
	That's right.
	And just think, remember this, the Canadian Alliance, its official name was the Conservative Reform It's so bad.
	So the bottom line, the CAC, and I don't know how you qualify them politically, but the Coalition Avenir de Québec has the majority.
	They picked up seats in the last provincial election.
	Right.
	So it's neither the Parti Québécois or the Liberaux.
	And it's not the Conservateur either.
	I actually had Eric Duhem on the channel at least once, maybe twice.
	I like him a lot, but that effing guy.
	But this is the issue.
	So Quebec went more tyranny after COVID with Francois Legault.
	They gave him more seats.
	So maybe the bloc then goes, they might go liberal.
	That's what we'll see.
	It depends.
	It depends what the population of Quebec wants.
	If they don't want pipelines in Quebec and they're happy with the fact that there's a pipeline ban in Quebec, assuming what J.P. Spooner said is accurate, then they may go bloc.
	Yeah, I would love to see the Bloc pick up seats this time around.
	And if I'm from Quebec, if I'm disenfranchised, I would vote PPC, but I know that would go nowhere.
	I'd vote Bloc.
	At least Yves Blanchet, that's the law, his name is Yves Blanchet, I like him.
	At least he's sincerely, genuinely looking out for Quebec-only interests.
	Other provinces might get pissed off at that.
	He did perform well in the English debate.
	Yeah, he's good.
	I like it.
	He's got a nice, deep voice.
	He's very thoughtful.
	That is not very green, he says to Mr. Carney, about what Brookfield assets...
	He's not running for prime minister either.
	But he says with a very, very soft tone.
	That is not very green, Brookfield.
	You invest in dirty oil and offshore accounts.
	And I'm saying, why the hell is Pierre Paul...
	Okay.
	Anyway.
	Yeah, yeah.
	Now we know we're going to get into our fights.
	Hey, tell me that I'm right about giving Pierre a hard time.
	So the next polls close in 45 minutes.
	That's going to be 45 minutes.
	15, 15 minutes.
	Oh.
	Okay, so hold on.
	What am I saying?
	I'm just going by fake news CTV.
	It's funny.
	CNN.
	No, CNN is restreaming CTV.
	Oh, interesting.
	So we're getting all the maritime.
	So that's Northwestern.
	Newfoundland, Labrador.
	Oh, you can't see my cursor.
	Hold on a second.
	This is Newfoundland.
	I thought they closed at 7, not 7.30.
	No, I thought they closed at 8 or 9 even.
	Well, it depends on your time zone.
	Yeah, no, no.
	Oh, I see what you're saying.
	Yeah, because Newfoundland is actually an hour and a half ahead of us.
	Yeah, they've got their weird time zone.
	They've got 30 minutes difference because of the Newfies.
	I have to do it.
	It's actually really cool.
	South Australia does it too.
	Yeah, I mean, there's jokes, but then there's also, it's kind of cool to be 30-minute time zone difference off.
	What was I about to say about the CAC?
	So we'll see.
	So the Bloc Québécois, I don't, I'm curious, I don't see them losing seats.
	And if they don't lose seats, it'll be a very wild thing to see the Bloc presumably working with the Conservatives who are going to want to get provincial approval for any sort of transnational pipeline.
	Yeah.
	Now, you see, that's actually what I'm also thinking from who's going to end up holding the reins of power in the next parliament.
	Because if the opposition parties hold the Liberals to a minority and the NDP collapses, like I'm predicting, based on what's happened with their polling numbers, because, you know, you and I have gone back and forth on this.
	I think the NDP support has tanked because they've all gone to the Liberals.
	And not just polling numbers, fundraising numbers, right?
	That's more determinative than polling.
	Interesting.
	I never give you that much thought.
	I don't give much thought to the polls anyway.
	No, I give zero thought to the polls.
	I give slightly more than zero thought to the markets.
	But fundraising.
	And apparently, from what I was reading on Twitter, and I take everything with a grain of salt, but they were saying, like, you know, the fundraising had dried up for the NDP because no one was interested in pissing away their money, much like with Bernie the commie Sanders or the champagne socialist Sanders.
	So, and they were saying, like, jokingly, Jagmeet was, like, doing events in public parks and, you know, he had to co-opt union protests in order to seem like he had an audience.
	And I don't know the answer.
	He has terrible commercials, too.
	Oh, God.
	I hate...
	There's people I loathe in politics.
	I actually don't hate Pierre Poiliev.
	I kind of think I could like him.
	I think Pierre has a life story that he has failed to impart on the world in the degree to which it needs to be imparted on the world.
	He is a man who was born from a 16-year-old young girl who decides...
	Single mom, yeah.
	Single mom, carried him to term, put him up for adoption.
	Whatever her issues were, she got pregnant again, put up the brother for adoption, made sure the same parents got him.
	He was raised by this family.
	He's got a non-verbal autistic child.
	You know, in as much as Kamala Harris milked her lie of a childhood too much, Pierre did not, I say exploit in a...
	Proper sense.
	His actual lived experience to the degree that I think he ought to have.
	I have nothing against him, and I think I'm just disappointed, but maybe things will turn out not so disastrously.
	Sometimes you just get dealt a bad hand, too.
	True, but when you make the most of a bad hand, you can either bluff or you can play it properly.
	That's one thing.
	I have nothing against Pierre Poilievre.
	I loathe Justin Trudeau.
	I think Carney is a disgusting, filthy son of a...
	Sir?
	Oh, I've got other words I could use to describe him.
	See, the kid wants to show the turtle that we have.
	Okay, let's see.
	Yeah, well, the turtle's gotten big and fat.
	Okay, so check it out.
	Hold on a second.
	Just don't drop him.
	This is a cooter.
	This is a cooter turtle.
	Now, they carry salmonella even in captivity.
	Is it a turtle or is that a tortoise?
	No, that's a turtle.
	Do put them back.
	You'll feel very bad if you drop them.
	Go.
	We've become the animal rescue of the neighborhood.
	We've got a red ear in our fish tank that's still white on the outs.
	I think it's permanently bleached because it was found in someone's pool with chlorine and it's permanently paler than a normal red ear.
	Go for it.
	Okay, there was a comment in the chat I just want to address here.
	Do the majority of Canadians think that their elections are legitimate?
	And yes, the majority of Canadians do because of the way it is performed.
	The way they happen here, it's all done by hand, as everybody knows.
	And there are what we call scrutineers.
	That's the same as election observers in the U.S. And the scrutineers, at the very beginning, they all come into the polling station.
	They look inside the ballot box.
	They make sure that it's empty.
	And then it is taped shut with duct tape, which is white tape.
	Then you sign across the seal.
	And until that seal is broken, that election box is...
	There's a chain of custody that it is always and it is not broken until the polls have closed on election night.
	Steve, do take the opportunity just to tell people what your socials are because we'll have a lot of people watching and I'm not good at reminding people to remind the public.
	I'll finish this answer first.
	So the entire chain of custody is well known, and the parties, once they actually do close the polls, then that polling station is sequestered.
	So nobody in...
	Nobody out until the count is complete.
	And at any time, any one of those scrutineers can challenge the validity of a ballot, if they think it's a spoiled ballot, they can also challenge the validity of a voter.
	If they think who unseals the box, it is the returning officer in the polling station.
	Anyway, in any case, the...
	So that is completely sequestered.
	Nobody in, nobody out until the results are, until the ballots are counted and they are verified as, you know, by everybody there.
	Then they're put under lock and key and in case that there's ever a...
	A judicial recount where a judge has to look at every single ballot.
	So there's a whole chain of custody and there's a whole way of doing things.
	So no, we don't use Dominion voting machines.
	I've actually asked that question at a polling station before and it got a roar of laughter.
	And the other thing is, another question I saw go by here was, what is the possible harm of photographing your ballot?
	I have absolutely no idea.
	All I know is that it is against the law not to photograph your ballot.
	The argument is that it's voter intimidation or voter, not voter suppression, but voter intimidation.
	You can make, hey, take a photo evidence of your ballot and confirm you voted the way we asked you to.
	And it also identifies your vote and it's supposed to be a secret ballot.
	When I asked you to identify your social medias, there was a reason for that.
	Yes, your socials, please.
	And then, Kyle, you'll do the same thing.
	Okay.
	You will not find me on Facebook because I dumped Facebook.
	Actually, you will, but I'm not responding to anything.
	I haven't used Facebook for well over a year now.
	It's a long story there.
	You can find me on YouTube at TheRealStevenBritain.
	Grumble, I am also known as TheRealStevenBritain.
	And you can find me on X at SCBritain.
	B-R-I-T-T-O-N.
	Kyle.
	You, as well.
	Welcome back.
	I think he might still be on mute.
	He's on mute.
	I'm going to get your...
	No longer on mute.
	Sorry, this is my first time doing this.
	Dude, did you just put on a suit and tie or something?
	I did.
	I did.
	I watched Kevin O 'Leary standing in front of him.
	He was wearing shorts.
	I was like, this guy is hilarious.
	I'm like, I gotta dress up.
	Let's put on a nice little blue shirt.
	It's got a...
	Fancy bow on it and a nice little purple tux.
	Let's go.
	We're going to go celebrate tonight.
	And now you've got me wanting to do the same thing, Kyle.
	I'm not doing it.
	You're going to see sweat stains under my armpits.
	Kyle, just so everybody knows also, it's the cat in the bag or the cat's out of the bag.
	You are Justin Trudeau's half-brother.
	You share a mother.
	Truth.
	That's wild.
	It's so wild.
	I will never be able to get over it, but I like you.
	And I am also unofficially, colloquially, Mark Carney's nephew.
	And does that make you related to Andrew Coyne?
	Andrew Coyne is my unofficial grandfather.
	Hold on one second.
	Jokes aside, what is Andrew Coyne's familial relationship to Justin Trudeau?
	He's related to Justin Trudeau through marriage.
	That would explain why he is the biggest shithead of a propaganda...
	I said I wasn't going to swear.
	The biggest poo-poo face of a propagandist.
	There's no blood relation, Brian.
	I mean, his Deborah Coyne was his...
	Pierre had a daughter as well named Coyne.
	I never knew there was any familial bylaw or whatever between Andrew Quinn, who I have needled so hard he's probably perforated by now on Twitter.
	Okay, fine.
	Yeah.
	Kyle, what are your socials?
	My socials, Kyle Kemper on X. Kyle JJ Kemper on Instagram, though I rarely do it, but feel free to tag me if I'm around on there.
	Facebook.
	Yeah, I'm Kyle Kemper.
	Again, I don't really go on there too much.
	I'm reading the chat.
	YouTube, Kyle Kemper.
	Club Maha.
	We have a podcast every Wednesday.
	It's a pretty good time.
	Yeah, I don't know.
	I'm feeling good.
	Now, this all started with me saying that I...
	Oh, the election!
	So, Steve, to your point about...
	I get flack because people say, Viva, they're going to steal the election like they did in 2020.
	It's Dominion voting machines.
	First of all, there are no Dominion voting machines.
	There's no voting machines at all.
	No, it's paper ballot, and it's two pieces of ID.
	Then people say, Viva, there's an option where you don't have to show ID.
	Yeah, it's the third option.
	You've got to get someone at the voting station to vouch for you and sign some sort of affidavit.
	Bottom line, I do not espouse the idea that there's...
	Voting fraud in the sense that we saw and suspect in 2020 because we don't use machines.
	It's two pieces of ID.
	It's pencil, paper, ballot.
	Two pieces of tracing things through.
	That's it.
	I hate that.
	I used one piece of ID, my driver's license, and that card that they...
	I don't have one here.
	It's the same size as whatever it is.
	It's roughly the same size of this.
	It's two pieces.
	The idea...
	It's basically two pieces of ID.
	When I voted, I remember having to show that I lived at the address on my freaking ID.
	So I'm not concerned about that.
	And there were a bunch of people flipping out about the pencil issue.
	Like, oh, it's a pencil.
	They can erase it.
	They can't erase it.
	That doesn't mean anything.
	They can...
	Tear up your vote, and then it's nothing to do with the pencil.
	It's to do with someone shredding your vote.
	So that level of voter fornification is not existent at the federal level.
	Provincial level, it is an issue, especially in British Columbia.
	So set all that aside.
	Well, here's an interesting thing that I find this amusing.
	Elections Canada actually prints and produces for every election.
	These rulers with the words Elections Canada on the ruler.
	The only purpose that they have this ruler is so they can place the ruler on the paper, use a pen, and cross out the voter's name.
	That's the only reason they do this.
	So just imagine how much is spent on providing rulers to elections officials.
	For that one reason.
	that one reason.
	Snap piece?
	I put myself on mute because I was eating cucumber, and I don't think anybody wants to hear me chew on cucumber.
	Let me see what's going on in VivaBarnesLaw.locals.com.
	That is where I'm going to be focusing the attention.
	Viva, which new state will you be moving to?
	Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba.
	Hey, dude, it might be Newfoundland at this point.
	Okay, Viva's brother is here.
	That's from DTQC.
	They call Kyle Kemper my weed brother.
	Because Kyle's not here, but he'll hear it when he comes.
	They think Kyle Kemper smokes marijuana, and they know that I do not.
	I don't.
	It's legal in Canada, Steve.
	It is.
	It's legal nationwide.
	I remember the day they legalized marijuana in Canada.
	I went down to the marijuana stations on St. Catherine.
	It was one of my more popular videos.
	It got 500,000 views.
	It was like one of those vlogs on my freaking scooter.
	Let me see what's going on here.
	If I go to donations...
	Okay, so hold on.
	Not Kyle, but Encryptus is sending me some...
	Here we go.
	Viva Swanky Pants over on Commitubuses.
	Thank you very much for your help in solidifying my confidence in conservatism.
	I've been watching for years.
	Love from Peterborough, Ontario.
	I'll get to that in a second and then Rob128.
	Hold on.
	That is an eight, not a three.
	Says, thanks, Viva, from Windsor, Ontario.
	My kids, and I love your show.
	Oh, yeah, we saw it.
	Go, PPC.
	Then we got Bear Lamb.
	My entire family and I voted for the PPC in Winnipeg.
	I hope we can get a few numbers higher than usual.
	With the PPC, it would be so much wiser to focus on specific writings where you have a chance and not wasting any energy on writings where you don't.
	That's how the Green got elected.
	Yeah, and that's no shade of Maxime.
	I like Maxime.
	I've never had anything remotely substantially negative to say about Maxime, except maybe to say he doesn't play politics to his detriment.
	Okay, good.
	Yeah.
	When I see Kyle come back in, I thought I just came back in on the stream.
	There's been a lot of questions to address to Kyle in the chat just a few minutes ago, too.
	What was the questions?
	The paternity of Justin Trudeau.
	Oh, no, so Kyle...
	You get that a lot, I'm sure.
	Your mother was Margaret...
	Not Margaret.
	Was it Margaret Trudeau?
	Margaret Trudeau Kemper Sinclair.
	So Kemper is your biological father.
	My mother was born, made a name Sinclair, and then she married Pierre Trudeau and had Justin, Sasha, and Michelle, three children.
	And then 10 years after Michelle was born, I was born and she remarried to Fried Kemper, who's my father.
	And then regarding the question of Castro, that feels like to me that that was just a very clever piece of disinfo.
	And strategic misinformation to derail conversations whenever his name comes up.
	This Castro talk would come up and it would just take attention off of him and into this little area.
	And it was very effective.
	And given the level of AI and AI tools, that entire supposition and that people feel so strongly about, he's Castro's son!
	Who cares?
	Two photos, and I mean, come on.
	I'll give you two photos that shows that, like, I don't know, Viva's my father.
	No, no, no.
	Unless midgets can give birth to six-foot giants.
	Which would you like?
	I can make any one of those photos you want.
	And also, by the way, Australia's not real, and the Earth is flat, and a lot of people believe that, too.
	So, it is what it is.
	So, how do you describe mountains?
	Well, hold on.
	So for anyone watching who doesn't know the voice of God that you just heard, that is Encryptus.
	That is the Viva Fry equivalent of...
	No, that's the Joe Rogan equivalent of Jamie for the Viva Fry channel.
	Encryptus is agentguru__io, and he does amazing work.
	And there he is on the screen.
	I still say his avatar looks like Jack Dorsey on steroids, but that's a separate thing.
	With a glowing beard.
	Kyle, the question is this.
	Shoot.
	And I don't remember if I asked you this when I had you on the first time.
	The rumors of...
	I don't even know if I should ask you.
	Please ask me to ask you.
	Alright.
	We can talk about it later, Viva.
	If you don't feel comfortable asking it, we can discuss it more later.
	The 2000 rumors of why Justin Trudeau resigned from that school that he was teaching at.
	Go on.
	Is there any truth to those rumors?
	Well, Justin had a lot of...
	He's a real showman and liked to be the center of attention.
	Everybody absolutely adored and loved Justin.
	Have you been to high school lately, Viva?
	Well, I go.
	When I go into schools...
	The smell brings back traumatic experiences.
	Like, high schools have a smell, like hospitals, but different.
	It's interesting.
	Now, that being said...
	But, anyway, seriously, though, like, again, that is the old time.
	Where did he go?
	That being said, like, look at how fast he was dropped and has completely disappeared.
	He's kryptonite to the liberals in this election campaign.
	I know that you don't speak with him.
	You don't speak with him after 2020-ish, give or take.
	I don't think he's, like, he's probably not invited to be at, like, any of the parties tonight, which is, like, man, he put, he, like, made a huge sacrifice to take that deal to, you know, be that, be that, be that elected leader for so long.
	And now he's, you know, his term is done.
	He's in, he's in forced hiding now.
	Yeah, he ain't gonna, he knows that, well, he's not gonna show up during the campaign.
	He may show up after the fact.
	He may write, he might write a book at some point.
	Dude, it's actually amazing.
	And Kyle, you make me feel bad for my enemies.
	I consider Trudeau to be an enemy.
	I consider you to be a friend.
	I know you and I like you.
	That's not even considered.
	I like you too.
	He cannot walk among his brethren for the rest of his life.
	And I can't imagine a greater hell than that.
	It's a hell of his own design.
	Yeah.
	And, you know, that was the, that was, I feel like, you know, the deal that was kind of entered into.
	And I think it really, he like signed up, like knowing like, you know, kind of what was going to take place for like the first half of the contract.
	But as soon as COVID came down and it was like, this is your script.
	Like, this is my script.
	This script sucks.
	And like, you know, I got to be, I got to be the tyrant pharmaceutical salesman, great divider here.
	To be honest, I'm pretty sure the amount of outside influence shaping and helping his worldview was limited.
	An amazing thing is it's not that he's not been invited to.
	He's toxic to whatever campaign Mark Carnage Carney, as you like to say, CBDC Carney, was running.
	CBDC Carney has been his informal advisor for five years.
	That mother effer.
	Kids are listening.
	Says, hey, Trudeau, yeah, we've had a five-year, half-decade relationship, but we can't have anything to do with you and you can't have anything to do with us.
	Enjoy your purgatory.
	He's in purgatory on Earth right now.
	No, and they're not, like, disputing anything that's happened over the last 10 years, either.
	It's just like, ah, Trump, trade war, tariffs, ah, Pierre Paulyov, Trump, mega, ah.
	And then absolutely no reference whatsoever to Justin.
	Justin was just that leader.
	And the other person that's also gone a little bit quiet and I think they recognize she doesn't score very high with popularity amongst people is Chrystia Freeland.
	So she's also...
	She scores very high.
	Didn't you post anybody just the other day?
	Sorry.
	My punchline was with Nazis.
	Sorry.
	Steve, what did you say?
	Didn't you post something that she had done just the other day over on X?
	She put out a flipping campaign video.
	She's like a demon out of a horror movie trying to lure you into her lair.
	She is a demon.
	Hold on.
	How tall is Christa Freeland?
	I have to see this.
	If I am not taller than Christa Freeland, how tall is Christa Freeland?
	She's 5 '1".
	She has to be 5 '1".
	And I have to be tall in there.
	Hold on, it's coming.
	Christopher Phelan's height is reported at...
	Shut the fudge up.
	Five foot nine inches.
	I don't believe.
	I don't believe.
	She's almost taller than me.
	No, she is the troll out of Don't Look Back.
	Get out of here.
	I don't believe.
	Okay, hold on a second.
	No, she's an evil dwarf is what she is.
	I don't believe that.
	She abandoned Justin, didn't she?
	Kyle's looking.
	He's fervently looking there.
	He doesn't believe it.
	That is unacceptable.
	There's no chance.
	Maybe if she's wearing nine-inch heels.
	There's no way.
	No, I agree.
	I'm going to go to Google.
	Yeah, and Tom Cruise is 6 '1".
	Like, get out.
	I know that Tom Cruise is 5 '6".
	And FIBA can dunk.
	Like, let's go.
	Tom Cruise is only 6 '1 on Target 2. Okay, so I'm sitting here 5 '2 on a good day.
	But this is...
	Okay, I'll let Kyle...
	So, bottom line...
	She's an evil, murderous, midget troll.
	That's what Christa Freeland did.
	Am I in trouble?
	But why did it say 5 '9"?
	Grok has misled me.
	My wife just came in and said she's 5 '9".
	Let me start again.
	That's what Google said, too.
	I just don't believe it.
	But that's...
	How tall is my wife?
	I don't know if Brock's going to tell you that.
	I don't have any information about your wife, but she is hot and she's got soft skin and her hair smells like silk.
	And Brock just got brownie points for Viva.
	Good comment.
	My wife, she's one inch taller than Christia the Midget, the Savager in Freeland.
	Don't hang on the door handle.
	Christia the Barbarian.
	The Amazon.
	Okay, so she's 5 '2", not 5 '9".
	Okay.
	So someone says 5 '9".
	That's not funny.
	That's funny.
	It's hilarious.
	Oh, my kid is reminding me to remind everyone to go buy Louis the Lobster.
	Look at that.
	It's framed perfectly.
	Go get it.
	It's on Amazon.
	Illustrated by Abigail Martin.
	You know what's very distracting?
	I cannot stream when I have a child looking at me behind the camera.
	Get out of here.
	Take this and get out of here.
	If I can show you the room, he's going to hurt himself.
	So we've been having kitchen renos for the last two months, and we've been eating out of the living room, cooking our food out of a toaster, an air fryer, and a microwave, which only recently started getting replugged in with stuff.
	And so the other half of my office is food and storage.
	It's warm enough now in Florida.
	You could probably have a barbecue.
	Oh, no.
	Well, we've been doing barbecue every night.
	Warm enough in Florida.
	It's warm enough in Florida in mid-December.
	Close the door.
	Yeah.
	I used to do barbecues in Canada in mid-December, and the best thing about it is the martini would get colder the more you cooked, as opposed to warmer the more you cooked.
	I've done barbecues at 20 below.
	Yeah, well, you see, fire burns whatever the temperature is, so long as you have sufficient...
	She's eight inches...
	Oh my goodness!
	Don't read that one.
	No, I thought it was a legit answer.
	I'm going to skip that.
	My goodness.
	You know what?
	We've restarted our trend.
	Holy crap.
	Is that all?
	We've got to get music chat.
	Or what is it called?
	It's called music chat.
	Get in here and make a song out of this.
	Okay, so.
	It is next post closing in 20 minutes.
	We're at 9 o 'clock Eastern time.
	It could be a long night.
	It's not going to be long for me.
	I'm going to be asleep.
	So long as the liberals don't get a majority.
	Where do we need to go?
	In order to know that the Liberals are not going to get a majority?
	Well, once Ontario hits, we'll have a pretty good idea of the trends.
	Right now, we don't know what's going on in, obviously, Eastern.
	There was one BQ showing on the chart there on the screen for a little bit, and I had it on mine as well.
	I have a chart down right about here that I'm following the results with.
	The block did have one, but then it was replaced and went to the Liberals.
	The thing is, what you need to watch for is to see how the numbers from Ontario pan out.
	If Ontario goes 50-50 Conservative-Liberals, then we're going to be in a good position for when they're...
	With the Prairie Provinces as well.
	Although that's all going to come in at once, so you're not going to really know.
	But 50-50 Liberal in terms of popular vote throughout the province, and then you have to break it down by riding?
	You've got to go by riding.
	I'm talking ridings.
	Okay.
	Yeah.
	The main thing is, it depends on where those numbers pan out.
	It'll also hinge on how many NDP and how many Blocs Québécois.
	End up in the House of Commons, because I can't, I don't see the block supporting the Liberals, but I do see the NDP supporting the Liberals if they get enough seats.
	Now, if they've, and I think they've tanked, I think they've collapsed.
	I think the Liberals are probably as high as, you know, they're going to be what they get, but support-wise, popular support, I think it's pretty much...
	They pretty much peaked early, and I think that they've fallen back a little bit since.
	Well, this is the interesting one.
	Go to the one-hour candle on this one, too.
	On the bottom there, it says all.
	If you go to the one-hour, they came real close.
	Do you see my cursor here?
	No, you don't.
	That's not the right thing.
	What do I have back here?
	It's my screen.
	That's my screen.
	Oh, okay, encrypted.
	So show us what's going on.
	Yep.
	I put my money on the actual popular votes.
	I'm also going to bring up Calci in just a second as well so we can compare side by side.
	How do you have this functionality that I don't have?
	This is like they're almost bumping.
	They came real close.
	There was a spike there when they were like 1313 according to the numbers.
	You can see it came real close, but now it's gone back and separated.
	That money keeps pouring in on Kearney.
	That CBD money keeps pouring in on Kearney.
	Forget the money.
	It is definitely manipulated.
	Easy.
	Liberal majority is back up to 52%.
	So the question is this, but based on just the numbers of the...
	I mean, last time, when Justin got the Liberal majority last time, like, he swept Atlantic Canada.
	Yes.
	Yes, he did.
	So that is not happening this time.
	I don't, like, how can, like, I really don't think it's going in that path tonight.
	I don't see a majority at this point.
	And if a minority happens in the balance of power, we could see another election pretty quickly.
	And it might be a little bit of a longer election, too, at some point.
	That's a challenge of a conservative minority, too, is there could be another election fairly quickly.
	A conservative minority will lead to an election fairly quickly, I think.
	But a liberal minority coming out of tonight does not necessarily mean that...
	Mark Carney will be Prime Minister for the next few years.
	Because he's going to have to face the House without the NDP propping him up.
	And if that happens, it'll be like Frank Miller in Ontario in 1980...
	something or other.
	When he tried to form a government and he fell on the throne speech.
	And he went to the governor general, or sorry, the lieutenant governor in Ontario, asked for an election, and the lieutenant governor asked David Peterson to form a government, because he had an agreement with Bob Ray for two years, that Bob Ray would prop him up for two years on matters of confidence.
	So you could find that the conservatives and the bloc put together an accord where they are supported by the bloc for a couple of years, and then we go into another election in two years' time.
	With Pierre Polyev as Prime Minister, even though he doesn't win tonight.
	Seat count once.
	Yeah, that's interesting.
	Even if you lose to another party and the other party gets a majority, you can still go in and try to form a government if you like.
	You can face the House, and the House will vote you down, of course.
	But you don't have to resign if you lose an election.
	Hmm.
	I heard that if Carney loses tonight, too, he'll be the shortest serving prime minister in history.
	What did Kim Campbell serve?
	Longer.
	39 days?
	Hold on.
	Let me Google that.
	That would just be so great if Uncle Mark only got 45 days and turf.
	She destroyed herself in that election.
	Who was the shortest PM in Canada?
	Charles Tucker.
	Charles Tupper.
	No, Boal.
	What's his face?
	Boal.
	Oh no, you had it right on the first time.
	The shortest serving Prime Minister of Canada was Sir Charles Tupper, who served as the sixth Prime Minister for only 68 days.
	Between 1896 and 1896.
	And how long was he?
	How long did Kim Campbell serve?
	132 days.
	She doubled that, man.
	That's how good it is.
	And she called the election with like five days left in her mandate.
	So hold on.
	Let me make sure I understand this.
	There's Seamus O 'Regan.
	So did Seamus not run again?
	He's out, eh?
	Oh, he quit ages ago.
	You know who else I hate?
	You know who else is a piece of shit?
	Seamus O 'Regan.
	Well, he could do less damage to Canada from the House of Commons that he did for the set of Canada AM.
	Moncton Dieppe.
	67 for Petit Pas.
	That means small feet.
	Small feet or small steps.
	I'm not joking.
	Petit Pas.
	Petit Pas.
	And then we got Jocelyn.
	His name is Jocelyn.
	Oh my goodness.
	Woke politics has taken over Canada.
	What an unfortunate name.
	I'm joking.
	King's Hance.
	What are these districts?
	This has got to be New Brunswick.
	Is it New Brunswick?
	Okay.
	Is that New Brunswick or is that Nova Scotia?
	It's one of the two.
	London is New Brunswick.
	The question is this.
	Is Paul Doerr a male or female?
	Hold on.
	Let me see here.
	Who's Paul Doerr?
	Oh, we were aware.
	Now we're at David Brazil.
	Oh, these people.
	We just lost Kyle again.
	Oh, no.
	Kyle, come back.
	He'll be fine.
	How the fudge do the frickin' Green Party get 3.3% of the vote?
	And I had to bust my ass to get 3% of the vote for the PPC.
	Bust their asses.
	You were up against the Space Cadet, though.
	Yeah, no, but the trend was cross-Canada.
	It's branding.
	Just name yourself after a green-ish party.
	Like, PPC, my only critique about the PPC is it sounds like a communist Chinese party.
	Like, the PPC sounds like the CPC, which is unfortunate.
	Did you have a get-out-the-vote group for election day?
	I don't even know what that is, but we should just call it the GPC, the Green Party of Canada, and we'll get more votes.
	And make it green, not purple, because nobody cares about purple these days.
	Yeah, you need a campaign manager, and you need a get-out-the-vote team.
	And they're the guys who call all your identified supporters on election day to remind them to go down to the polling station to vote, and if they need a ride, they offer them a ride.
	That's get-out-the-vote.
	Conservative minority, that's the question.
	Liberal minority is up to 32%.
	Conservative minority is down to 12%.
	Oh, that was my question.
	So Maritimes, it'll be split 10-23, which I still think is good.
	You get to Quebec.
	Quebec is really going to determine whether or not it looks like it can be possibly a conservative minority.
	Well, Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta will all close at the same time in just under 10 minutes now.
	And so you're going to see some big numbers start to cascade in anytime soon.
	And that's really going to give us an idea as to...
	What the result's going to be.
	Interesting.
	I'm pulling my numbers from the Globe and Mail and it's different than what is showing on CTV right now.
	What do they look like?
	22, 10, and 2. 22, 10, and 2. For what is...
	23 and 10 on Global News there.
	Is there one that is more accurate than the other?
	Should we switch speeds?
	No.
	They're all about the same.
	I can even look at the actual Elections Canada site.
	Elections Canada has the same results as what you're seeing on Global News there.
	Perfect.
	23 and 10. I'm not a big fan of the Global Mail at the best of times.
	I set up a poll in YouTube just to see what people were voting for or wanted to vote for.
	We've got a pretty decent-sized audience at the moment.
	We're about 3,000 votes.
	3% voted for liberals, 85% for conservatives, 10% for PPC, and 2%.
	I say this without judgment.
	That's just our audience capture.
	How many voted for PPC?
	10%.
	It's very early tonight, too.
	Yeah, but our audience will obviously over-represent for PPC.
	And then, to a lesser extent, CPC.
	Well, 3,000 votes is a pretty darn good number.
	Hold on a second.
	Say that again, Steve?
	3,000 people choosing to participate in a straw poll like that is pretty darn good because the federal polling companies, they go for just over 1,000, and they can claim that theirs is 99.7% accurate, 19 times out of 20. Now,
	the difference is they always...
	Balance their results by gender, by location, and all that.
	The YouTube poll is a straw poll, and it represents those who chose to vote.
	So you've got a lot of biases coming in that you can't measure.
	And that's what I think was skewing a lot of the polls during the campaign as well.
	Those who are more motivated to, or those if you're really, really happy or really, really angry, those are the people who are going to respond to polls.
	Most people just hang up the phone.
	Yeah.
	Now, Encryptus, what did you just say?
	I was just about to say that it looks like Mark Carney is actually starting to drop a little bit in Polymarket.
	Still at 100% in Calci for the next Prime Minister question.
	Hold on, did you say 100%?
	Oh yeah.
	That's what I was trying to show before.
	Shut the front door.
	He's at 100% in Polymarket?
	No, Kalshi.
	No, he's not at 100% in Kalshi.
	Let me get Kalshi.
	Yeah, and that's not manipulated.
	No, it's not possible.
	Hold on a second.
	For Prime Minister.
	Who will be the next Prime Minister?
	The Liberal Party.
	So he's at 80%.
	That's not 100%, but that's...
	This is the one I'm looking at.
	Which one am I supposed to be looking at?
	Oh, no.
	Hold on.
	Let's see what you're looking at.
	Who will be the next Prime Minister of Canada?
	Dude, what is this, Kalshi?
	When is this from?
	No, no, that has to be very, very old.
	That's old.
	No, right now he's at 80% because he did bounce back up.
	No, dude, okay, hold on a second.
	Let me bring this one up because this is crazy.
	It's here, here, here.
	Who will be the next Prime Minister?
	Okay, good.
	Hold on.
	Encrypt us.
	Let me bring...
	How do I share a screen?
	Oh, I've got it.
	I've got it now.
	Yeah, that was from the...
	Okay, so here.
	But look at the bounce back because it dipped down and bounced back up.
	It's amazing.
	But the question is, at this point, to engage in that level of manipulation, who's it going to impact?
	The Western provinces who are going to now go change their vote if they think Carney's going to win?
	It's 80-20, but look at that.
	Oh, they were so close.
	When was that?
	That was two hours ago.
	I see two people dancing.
	That's a joke.
	I see a candle holder.
	I've pulled up my positions on the poly market right now and will the Conservatives win the Canadian election by what is that one?
	3% to 6% and currently I put down whatever it was and currently it's I think I'm in the money with that one.
	Not 100% sure, but I'm pretty sure I'm going to lose the one where the...
	Will the Conservative win the election by over 12%?
	I'm not going to win that one.
	No, but the question is, assume that Carney...
	Assume the Liberals...
	It's going to be a Liberal minority or a Conservative minority.
	Very little chance for Conservative majority right now is trading at 6 cents.
	Whether or not it's even worth...
	A conservative majority?
	Is it six cents?
	On Cal sheet.
	Conservative majority.
	That's a moon bet right there.
	Yeah, but it's a moon bet.
	What would it take for there to be a conservative majority given the current set?
	You've got about three minutes to make that before that number changes a lot.
	The only thing that made that happen is BC doesn't vote.
	Well, no, but BC went 50%.
	No, Ontario.
	We got surprising numbers out of Ontario as well.
	Yeah, BC tends to flip and flop.
	BC will go, like, Lower Mainland's going to go quite strong NDP, I think.
	They normally do.
	The island is definitely going to go NDP, sure.
	But they're not going conservative.
	Well, the Lower Mainland will split.
	The interior of BC, along through the Kootenays and the Rockies in that area, they'll go a lot conservative.
	When you get up into the north, like the Prince George, Prince Rupert region, that's all going to go much more conservative.
	It always does.
	But the question is this.
	Conservative minority versus conservative majority, at least based on the betting markets, conservative majority is now up to 7%.
	It's up a percent.
	Conservative minority.
	It's at 14%.
	If you have to decide which one you want to bet on, the minority is encompassed in the majority, so you get your inclusion there.
	If it's a majority, it includes a minority.
	You're at 13 cents on the dollar, and then it's a liberal minority, which is the alternative, at 37 cents, up 15 cents an hour.
	Yeah, it's really tough.
	I really don't like to try and predict an election result off the betting markets, because this is just what people think the result's going to be.
	I don't think that means anything.
	The betting markets are controlled with money, too.
	So, Vivo, you and I were talking about this can actually be a sophisticated element, recognizing, especially with what happened in the last election in America.
	This is an area where you can influence the outcome and hold off an eventuality by perception.
	Yeah, the only question is though, I don't think betting has an impact on the outcome right now.
	The only question is if you want some like maximize easy chances of one minute.
	I'm just looking at it on my end.
	I think I'm done because I don't know what the hell I'm doing anymore.
	Liberal minority is at 36%.
	Liberal majority is down to 43%.
	Conservative minority, 15%.
	Conservative minority, 8-1 versus conservative majority, which would be 18-1.
	Conservative majority, how does that happen at this point in time?
	It depends on Ontario.
	They're going to come really close to sweeping Alberta.
	That's guaranteed.
	That's 26 seats right there.
	You need 172 to win a majority.
	That's your bare minimum.
	So you need...
	Saskatchewan, which will go quite strongly Conservative as well.
	You need Manitoba, which is going to split between the Conservatives, a little bit of Liberal, and a couple of NDP if the NDP are lucky.
	And then it's rural Ontario, 905, 519, and some of Northern Ontario.
	That's really going to determine what, which, and if, if, if the outside of Toronto goes strongly conservative, then you could in theory see a conservative majority, depending on what happens
	in Quebec.
	Now, if the conservatives do not get any seats in
	then their majority hopes are pretty much shot.
	I think it depends.
	So it depends on Ontario and Quebec.
	We'll have to see.
	It's now one minute past closing time for the polls, so now the results are really going to start to come in.
	And of course, my Elections Canada feed just crapped out.
	We've got a comment that says voter turnout was reportedly strong.
	That's a good sign.
	That's a good sign.
	How good of a sign is it?
	Because some people say it's a good sign for the Liberals.
	The Liberals and the Conservatives especially have very strong get-out-the-vote movements.
	I've been involved with the Conservatives, the Reform Party, the Canadian Alliance on the get out the vote.
	They know what they're doing there.
	And it's just a matter of how strongly and how well they can get their vote out.
	And, you know, people are going to be pushing the get out the vote because the Liberals are saying, hey, we don't want to lose this thing.
	And the Conservatives are saying, remember, if you don't vote, Mark Carney just might win.
	Which is what I actually put in X today as a public post, reminding everybody, reminding the Liberals to stay home and reminding the Conservatives to get out and vote.
	Because if you don't vote, Mark Carney might win.
	I'm reluctant to even make those choices.
	That's it!
	I mean, for every one vote that you get out, if you can convince one vote on the other side to stay home...
	Yeah, voter suppression is not the way to do it.
	But...
	Well, understanding that Mark CBDC Carney is a central banker and is a banker.
	It's not just a retail banker.
	He's a central banker.
	They are literally the cancer of the earth.
	They have been holding us back from extreme prosperity and abundance through manipulation, through sucking the wealth out of nations and giving it to their friends.
	I'm seeing the results starting to pour in now.
	Conservatives are up to 14 to 25 to 4. Out of which province?
	What are we at now?
	We're now starting to see Quebec and Ontario and Manitoba and Saskatchewan and Alberta coming in.
	It's really going to come in fast now.
	I've got to drop for a couple minutes too.
	Go for it.
	Get out of here.
	Don't worry.
	I'll come back.
	We'll be here.
	Nobody's going anywhere.
	What I can't say is...
	Who said what now?
	What was that?
	Any message to send over to the boys at Rebel?
	Oh, you're going over to Rebel?
	Say hi to Ezra for me.
	Say hi to Ezra for all of us and say hi to Uncle Mark and say, we hope you lose your freaking riding in the PN, you son of a...
	He's riding in the PN, right?
	Okay, enjoy Rebel.
	You're the Rebel.
	Love you.
	I love you.
	I feel like he's got Superman tattooed on his chest is what I feel like I'm looking at.
	It kind of looks like that, doesn't it?
	I've dropped some new superchats in your DMs.
	New superchats in the DM of Rumble.
	Oh, this is on Twitter.
	Roger Malone, $20 superchat, says keep up the good work.
	Boys Hingis says 54% to 46% libs polymarket right now.
	PPC 5% doable.
	No, I don't think so.
	The PPC in 2021 got to 3.2%.
	If they get more than the last time, that would be amazing because maybe they'll get a seat.
	I don't think they're going to get more than they did in 2021, and it's not because I don't like them.
	It was a snap election.
	They didn't fill the roster, so they had like 250.
	Candidates for the 343 seats just because it was called quickly and it favors the ones who can mobilize quickly and who have the deep pockets.
	But if the PPC even gets one freaking seat, it would be a miracle.
	And it'll be a wonderful miracle.
	Well, PPC is currently sitting at popular vote wise.
	PPC is sitting at 0.8% of the popular vote nationwide.
	Of all the votes counted.
	Yeah, thus far.
	Maritime.
	And whichever ridings you're reporting in from Quebec and Ontario and whatnot.
	And we're really starting to see the results coming in fast now.
	We're going to need to interpret these as they come in.
	Yeah, and you can see this graph that I've got up on my screen here, that is showing the number of seats.
	And it's going to curve around because the bottom...
	The midpoint is if any one of the parties passes, where is it?
	It's roughly this point here on the graph.
	This is roughly the midpoint.
	This is your majority point here.
	I've actually got it toned down a little bit now.
	Hold on.
	Let me encrypt this.
	Is your backdrop or is it mine?
	Can I take this out?
	Yeah, you can just switch to your screen.
	You're not actually sharing.
	Once you share, it'll take over.
	Oh, here we go.
	Okay.
	Okay, so I'm going to move this over a little bit now.
	This graph here...
	Hold on, hold on, what is this sorcery that I'm looking at?
	How are you overlaying this image on your body right now, sir?
	OBS.
	Shut the front door.
	I'm not getting OBS because that sounds like IBS, which is Irritable Bowel Syndrome.
	Or Obstructive Bowel Syndrome.
	It's called Open Broadcaster Software.
	Open Broadcaster software.
	So this graph here, which is now here in front of me, this is the midpoint.
	This is, I've now adjusted the graph to, where is it?
	I've lost, because I'm looking at my screen and of course it goes left, left is right and right is left here.
	This is the midpoint.
	So when anybody crosses this line here, any one color passing this point here is they're in majority territory.
	So, it'll be interesting to see.
	So, right now we're sitting at 32, 22, and 8, according to the Globe and Mail.
	Okay, interesting.
	There.
	So, and all this is, is this is just a good graph that I'm importing from Excel.
	Okay, that's very cool.
	Okay, so...
	Hmm.
	So, it's really hard to say.
	Like, everything hinges on Ontario and Quebec.
	Between the two of them, Ontario's got a population of 16 million, give or take.
	Quebec, 9 million.
	That's half of Canada.
	More than half?
	Give or take, yeah.
	I'm not sure what the numbers are.
	Alberta will not fight like hell to stay Canadian.
	Alberta's the province that's most likely to secede alcohol holocaust.
	Just wanted to throw that out there.
	I did see that comment.
	Because I live here in Alberta, and I can tell you, should Mark Carney win, I will be AB51, baby!
	Hashtag AB51.
	Oh, Alberta51.
	Mark Carney wins even in a minority capacity?
	If he stays prime minister after all the dust settles, if there's a minority parliament, then I'm out of here.
	I'm looking at a couple of options.
	There's a place in Honduras called Prospera.
	Which is a business-friendly city with its own laws.
	I'm also looking at moving to the States if necessary.
	But Mark Carney wins.
	I'm putting my affairs in order.
	My daughter is 16. When she's 18, I'm much more ready to go at that point.
	It'll take me a couple of years, but I will be out of here.
	It's wild.
	Let me just see what's going on with this.
	It's not looking good at this point.
	But the new numbers are coming in.
	So let's bring back the back screen.
	Who's going to do this?
	Encryptus, are you doing this?
	Yeah, you have to share.
	You have to bring it back in.
	I have to share?
	What the hell, sir?
	Oh, I just saw a concern.
	Okay, this is looking very good.
	I think.
	Bloch Quebecois!
	Okay, thus far has gotten eight seats.
	Oh, you got our first MVP on the board.
	Could you believe that the Bloch Quebecois...
	A federal party dedicated to the separation of Quebec from the Federation has now got a third, thus far of the East, of the votes of the Conservative.
	That always flabbergasts me.
	Yep.
	What the?
	Conservative minority.
	So, Conservative majority.
	You have to...
	Oh, you're looking at the polymarket again?
	Yeah, I'm just looking.
	I'm just saying, like, in terms of...
	The conservative majority still is at six cents, so it doesn't look like...
	Yeah, it's...
	I don't think anyone's getting a majority tonight.
	I think, basically, Canada's going to accomplish the same thing that they accomplished in 2021, which is nothing.
	That makes Canadians dumb.
	I'm sorry.
	That makes the Canadians continue to vote for these effing scoundrels, unintelligent, political amnesiacs, Or...
	It's not yet an official sponsor, but we've got Paleo Sticks.
	I'm going to have a Paleo Sticks.
	Oh, God.
	Teethanot Tools.
	You have more to eat than I have, David.
	Right now, I'm just going to use my spider.
	What do you got there?
	Here in the glass?
	Deanston Scotch.
	But I've had one English muffin for supper.
	I'm going to be eating after we're done the stream tonight.
	That's pretty late.
	I will not necessarily be until midnight.
	Might just tune out.
	Well, you can only do this for so long before you start driving yourself crazy.
	Presumably, Quebec and Ontario will be determinate if it's in favor of the Conservatives.
	If it's not...
	Then you've got to see how the other provinces perform to the west.
	If it's conservative leaning, heading into Ontario, goes into...
	We're seeing all of those provinces coming in together now.
	Because this is where we're going to get the ball.
	BC is going to close in...
	Let's see, when do the next polls close?
	I think BC...
	Is it two hours?
	Or is it one hour?
	I don't know.
	Time to look that up.
	Well, you have a mouthful of meat.
	I believe there is a rubber one.
	So while David chews on his food, Brave AI is telling me that BC hours are from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time.
	So that's going to be 8 p.m.
	That's 20 minutes from now, roughly.
	So BC will start coming in.
	I'm not going to choke live on TV.
	Although I did get something stuck in the back of my throat.
	Hold on a second here.
	Let's do this.
	Yeah.
	Jay Zambonga.
	Jay Zambonga.
	78 says, sending my best energy to Canada.
	Chet Chisholm, who is a long-time member of our community, my mole up in Canada.
	This quote, I feel, sums up Canadian politics.
	It's a YouTube link.
	Yeah, let me just go get that one afterwards.
	Chet, I hope you're doing well.
	101PlayWow says, first time watching, few questions.
	Does Canada allow ballot harvesting?
	No, I mean, the ballot harvesting in Canada would have to consist of destroying ballots and recreating new ballots.
	And at that point, you're talking about total lawlessness.
	I'm not really sure what ballot harvesting means.
	So what they're talking about is a group gathering of ballots.
	No, no, no.
	The old folks' homes, the things that was illegal in many states here, but they kind of let it happen.
	Yeah, that's not allowed here.
	If you need to vote any other way than at an advance poll or at the voting station on polling day, then you have to go down to the Elections Canada office anywhere in the country and vote by what's called special ballot.
	And they give you a little box to write the name of the person you're voting in.
	Of course, I have to do the research as to who's running in your home constituency.
	And you write that person's name in, and you put it in an envelope, and then you sign it, and then you put it in another envelope.
	Or you put it in your ballot envelope, then you put it in another envelope, and you sign the outside of that second envelope.
	And it's called a special ballot.
	And that's the only other way that you can vote.
	And I know this because I did that one in 2019.
	It is, excuse me, it's not to be like protective of the Canadian system.
	It's just better.
	The federal level is just better than the American system.
	There's no machines.
	There's no vote flipping on the machines.
	And there's paper trails, two pieces of ID, double crossing off.
	If it's going to be fortification, it's literally going to be destroying the ballots and then replacing them with something which is not going to happen.
	And once the ballot goes into the ballot box, that's it.
	You're done.
	Okay, and then we got, did Trump have a positive or negative impact on the election?
	How long do you think the results will take?
	I think we'll know by tomorrow.
	The negative impact or the positive impact of Trump, that's the wrong question.
	It was Trump acted.
	Did the response have a negative or positive impact?
	Because Trump can do something, and depending on how you respond to it, the impact will be different.
	So I've been saying from the beginning, I believe Pierre screwed up Trump's involvement.
	Trump got himself involved by making statements.
	He's a president.
	He's going to.
	And I believe that...
	He's a loose cannon.
	Steve and I will disagree.
	We agree.
	He's a loose cannon.
	I like that loose cannon.
	I didn't say I didn't like it.
	No, I should not.
	I believe that that loose cannon could have had a very positive impact for the conservatives, but I believe that Pierre fumbled that ball.
	Whether or not it was ever possible for the Conservatives to get a majority.
	I think he did the best he could with a bad situation.
	In cryptos, Chrystia Freeland was a journalist for the Washington Post.
	I believe that is true.
	I'm going to fact check that on Griffon.
	Griffon!
	Croissant!
	Okay.
	I'm fairly certain she was a journalist for the...
	Oh, there we go.
	Do we put this on...
	Is this my computer?
	That's Encryptus's.
	It's mine.
	I'm sure.
	You want to put the audio on?
	Do you pay for YouTube Premium Viva?
	Are you crazy?
	I'm not giving any more money.
	How do you know it's...
	It says Premium.
	I was like, why does he get the Premium?
	I got Courtesy CTV News.
	No, I'm not giving YouTube any of my money.
	Encryptus...
	Okay, this is...
	So this is looking very good that it will be a big fat no.
	To a Liberal majority.
	That seems pretty much in the bag.
	Yeah, they're a bit low on the Liberal seat count right there.
	I got the Global Mail site up and they say the Liberals are sitting at 53. The block's at 11 right now on the Global Mail site.
	Okay, so it's not determinant of the ass shellacking that the NDP is going to get.
	But it's looking bad for the MVP.
	Mother effort!
	They're down to two.
	They're at one.
	That fudging guy.
	And that is actually...
	You're so getting in trouble.
	I know, I'm just waiting to come down the door to my office.
	The thing is...
	Jagmeet Singh, he will burn in hell, but he'll have his pension.
	Good for him.
	The thing is, the NDP, it looks like...
	This is still fairly early.
	We're not going to know for a little bit yet, but the trends seem to be that the NDP is not going to be holding the balance of power.
	And if that's the case, Pierre could end up as Prime Minister.
	Explain that part.
	If the NDP...
	Because if the NDP doesn't hold the balance of power, presumably...
	Yeah, or the NDP's votes have shifted to the Liberals and then they get...
	I'm talking in seats again.
	Okay, so hold on.
	Explain that to the thick man.
	The way this works is all that...
	The most important thing is the number of seats that your party gets.
	So you're saying in any riding, if the NDP goes to the Liberals, it makes no difference if the Liberals would have won that riding anyhow.
	Correct.
	Correct.
	Because, you know, you only need one vote to win the seat.
	Eventually, Steve, I'll get it.
	I understand that now.
	And that's what I've been saying.
	A vote for the PPC is a vote for the Liberals.
	Because every vote that goes from the PPC, from the Conservatives to the PPC, because that's where it's going to come from.
	No, but hold on.
	I'm going to stop you there.
	The NDP had seats before.
	So if they lose seats, someone's picking that seat up.
	Correct.
	And it's most likely going to be the Liberals.
	Yeah.
	And in which case...
	The NDP might have had control for a coalition, but if they lose their seats to the liberals, the liberals pick it up.
	They might not get a majority by the way it's looking, but they might get, I don't know, is there a word for a strong minority?
	There is.
	It depends.
	Like, right now, the Globe and Mail says the liberals are sitting at 64. We're still more than 100 away.
	There's still more than 100 away from a majority, though.
	The majority is too...
	Magic number is 172.
	That's 50% of the House of Commons.
	Because all that matters is the number of seats that you get in the House of Commons.
	Because we do not elect our government, we elect our legislature.
	And then the legislature, the leader of the party with the largest number of seats, gets first crack at forming a government.
	That's how the parliamentary system works.
	It's quite different from the way the American system works.
	Because our cabinet, which is the government, is the cabinet, sits as members of the legislature, which is very different from the way it works in the States.
	Yeah.
	Okay.
	That's good.
	Let me see some of the chat.
	Is anyone going to mind if I...
	No, hyphen.
	It's first past the post.
	Not first to the post.
	First past the post.
	In the Belfry, it says, Chinese and East Indian influence upon political parties in Canada is rampant.
	There's no question about that.
	My wife was fired.
	What does that have to do with the First Amendment, idiots?
	It says, Liberty Guard, that's not...
	PPC make conservatives conservative.
	Yeah, Jeffrey, Jeff Tindall.
	Max is trying to save a drowning man.
	It says forced name change.
	Most PPC voters would not have voted for conservatives.
	A lot of PPC voters are people who usually don't vote because they're disgusted with the current options.
	I don't know how true that is.
	I think that's true, but I'm biased because I think you're not splitting a vote you don't get.
	I think you're just losing.
	I voted PPC before.
	I voted PPC last time.
	It made absolutely no difference, and I knew it wouldn't make a difference, but I voted PPC because I knew Justin was going to get his minority.
	But what, not that I don't know where you live, but your writing goes liberal.
	No, my writing goes conservative, very conservative.
	And I knew that was going to be, it was a foregone conclusion.
	Like Western Canada, where I live, it's a foregone conclusion.
	There's no point.
	Like the liberals put on a, they put on a show, but they don't get anywhere.
	And that's just the way it is.
	Ooh, the block's going to look, seems to have stalled at 10. But for now.
	Anyway, but I voted PPC in 2021 because I wasn't 100% sure.
	2019, it was a bit different.
	2021, I voted PPC because, to be honest, the principles of the PPC I generally agree with.
	It's just the stakes are now too high in my view.
	For Canada because of the whole vote splitting thing.
	And I just did not want to risk electing a Liberal and having my vote go somewhere that's not going to help a Conservative from winning the seat.
	So the next polls are closing in 10 minutes.
	Correct.
	And that's going to be...
	That's not going to be...
	Hold on.
	What writing is that going to be?
	That's...
	10 minutes is...
	That's going to be BC.
	So we're counting...
	BC and Yukon.
	So Quebec, Ontario, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Alberta have been closed for some time now.
	They're just tallying the reports.
	For 20 minutes.
	Okay.
	So this is what I keep saying.
	The bulk of the election results are now coming in.
	And it's 74, like, leading or elected, which means that they're ahead in the race, but they haven't crossed the threshold and been declared elected yet.
	And now it's really starting to speed up because it's now 77 to 55 for the liberals to the conservatives.
	So it'll be quite interesting to see.
	I'm going to declutter this down a little bit.
	Someone in our local community, I'm pretty sure this gets you sent to hell.
	I didn't do this, but that gets you sent to hell.
	I'm going to be the next pope.
	Oh gosh, this is what I look like when I lose my hair.
	Yeah, but you're also Jewish.
	Yeah, well, I mean, I was going to make some very, very politically incorrect jokes right about there, but I won't do it.
	Yeah, this is oddly enough what my dad looks like, kind of.
	I'm going to stop the screen show.
	That's terrible.
	You got to take it when you're a celebrity, Viva.
	Well, I just look old and...
	Can we put on the audio?
	Shediac, New Brunswick.
	I've been to Shediac.
	They have the world's largest lobster in Shediac.
	You might play in cabinet.
	Of course he hasn't.
	I hate this guy.
	The Prime Minister would never do that.
	I'm excited tonight to have been re-elected as the Member of Parliament for Bo Sijua.
	Can't stand him either.
	He's an attack dog.
	Mr. Carney, if he becomes Prime Minister at the end of the evening, I'm confident he will be.
	We'll decide who he wants to serve with him.
	I'm just happy to be re-elected tonight in my riding.
	This is the jackass who promised to steal your guns and give them to Ukraine.
	He's not getting mine.
	I know that you didn't read my comment and I know why you didn't read it and I am not going to go any further than say that they're just not getting mine.
	It's the infamous boating accident.
	Holy...
	Mr. Illuminati.
	It says, Romans 13:1, the ESV, which is the ESV, English Standard Version.
	English Standard Version.
	For there is no authority except from God, and those that exist have been instituted by God.
	I like it.
	Massive educational change, which will probably come only after massive revival awakening, that is what is needed, and then change in structure.
	So, Encryptus, do I hear you?
	You got a couple more superchats in...
	El Super Chat.
	The last one you read was from Boise Hingis.
	There's two more.
	Bro doesn't know OBS.
	I'm supposed to read this from Pietro Vieira.
	I know what OBS stands for.
	It stands for an obstetrician.
	That's what looks in the woman's vagina to make sure there's a baby in there.
	That's OBGYN.
	I know what an OBS is, okay?
	It's an obstetrician.
	No, I know what OBS is in that I don't want to have anything to do with it.
	Get Barris in here, says Svehansis.
	Let me see if I can get Barris in here.
	Invite?
	Has Barris been commenting on the federal Canadian election?
	Yeah, I think he's been...
	Oh my god.
	What happened?
	You need to look in the local chat and bring that one up.
	Am I going to be unhappy?
	You're going to laugh and be unhappy.
	ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
	You know what's funny about this?
	This is exactly what I would look like As a religious Jew as well.
	There's a religious Jew and Indian Viva are going to look very much...
	Holy hell.
	Viva's converted to sickism.
	Oh my goodness.
	Jug meat fry.
	I think I could look like that tomorrow morning if I tried.
	Okay, I'm going to take that out of here.
	Holy hell.
	What was I looking at?
	I was going...
	I got distracted.
	I was in the DMs.
	So Pietro Vieira says, Viva doesn't know...
	Bro doesn't know OBS.
	I don't.
	Get Barris in here.
	That's what you distracted me on as I was about a boot to go to Barris.
	We'll see if we can get Barris here.
	That'd be great.
	That'd be interesting.
	I've never talked to Barris.
	Oh, Barris is awesome.
	Here, let me do this.
	Barnes is mentioning a bourbon with Barnes as well and may join us as well.
	Well, then that would be great.
	That would give me time to go eat some dinner while bourbon with Barnes carries the...
	Okay, so we got that.
	I'm going down here now.
	Where was I?
	No, I was an Asian guru.
	Prediction for the upcoming administration says Manny Rivas.
	Prediction for the upcoming administration.
	In Canada?
	I don't know.
	It would be great if Carney...
	If Carney loses his riding in Nepean, very unlikely, but let's just say it happens with the vote splitting, what happens?
	Someone has to give him their seat?
	Yeah, that's the most likely outcome.
	What they tend to do is, during a federal election, all bets are off.
	So every party will run as many candidates as they possibly can.
	But if the party changes leaders between elections, what will generally happen is someone who's sitting in a fairly safe seat will voluntarily give up their seat just to get the leader of the party into the House of Commons in a by-election.
	And sometimes that even happens, like someone will resign their seat if somebody loses their seat, if the leader loses a seat in a general election as well.
	I'm seeing a lot of comments saying that Canadians are idiots for voting Liberal.
	Even close to being over yet, folks.
	So, you know, we don't want a final judgment on the election until we know.
	Like, I keep saying this, don't count your votes before the polls have closed.
	Now, the polls have closed, the votes are being counted, but there is 343 seats up for grabs, and anything can happen.
	Still, nobody is going to know until that last vote is cancelled, or at least until it gets...
	It gets called one way or the other, and it could be a fairly long night.
	Well, what just happened that the calcium markets now have rebounded to liberal majority is now at 65%.
	Is it down or is it up?
	No, no.
	Well, it's up from what it was down at.
	It went down to 40%.
	Now it's back up to 65%.
	So what results just came in that are...
	Well, it's just Ontario.
	Arnie has been in the same question.
	He's at 90%.
	That's Prime Minister.
	Well, yeah, he's going to be Prime Minister after the election regardless.
	Even if he loses tonight, he'll still be Prime Minister until he resigns.
	Liberal majority is back up to 63%.
	Well, that's because people are looking at the trends and they're thinking it's going to continue.
	Yeah, that's interesting.
	Get that guy off my screen.
	Oh, God.
	Oh, God.
	Look at her.
	While you're wanting to get rid of that Viva, you should look at another meme and bring that up, too.
	Let me see if I want to bring it up.
	So we got Hindu Viva.
	We've got...
	No, I got the Sikh Viva.
	Oh, now we got Freeland Viva.
	This is Viva Frey.
	Viva Freiland.
	Oh, look how beautiful.
	Dude, if I...
	I'm still...
	I'm doing it better than Dylan Mulvaney, although my hands...
	Yeah, so hold on now.
	89 to 64, says Stephen Goldstein.
	94, 67, 13. 94, 67, 13, which is going to be the more accurate.
	Yeah, so, and now we're into Ontario, so that's interesting because it's not going to keep up.
	Let me see here.
	Canada is fucked.
	I get to say that because I'm reading a chat.
	It says FIM66.
	Yeah.
	It's not like your kids don't know the words already.
	Oh no, they've heard me say it more than once.
	Psalm 3310, English Standard Version.
	English Short Version.
	The Lord bring the counsel of the nations to nothing.
	What does that mean?
	The Lord brings the counsel of the nations to nothing.
	No, the Lord is the boss, so...
	That's kind of...
	You presume people are going to be seeing the bump from Quebec, Ontario, and then presume it's going to carry on.
	So, Stephen, I had on Remanded, who's been doing some decent journalism out of British Columbia.
	BC went 44% Conservative in the last provincial election, which doesn't make sense to me, because that means to me that the Conservatives in British Columbia are not Conservatives.
	Do you have any understanding of that?
	BC is an interesting place.
	We call it the Left Coast for a reason.
	For the longest time, there was no Conservative Party in BC.
	In fact, Gordon Campbell, who got a DUI in Hawaii, actually, I think, was the Liberal Premier of BC, and he was pretty much the most Conservative.
	Of all the candidates.
	BC is very, very loony left.
	I think they've got a Green Party government in BC right now, if I'm not mistaken.
	I could be, but it's either NDP or Green.
	And they tend to go Green or Liberal or NDP.
	There's a new Conservative Party starting out in BC, but federally and provincially, they also tend to split a little bit too.
	But my question was like, what does conservative mean out of British Columbia?
	Because when I was interviewing the Remanded and they were talking about how they were not challenging the elections, the outcome of the election, which took like over a month to count, using Dominion voting machines, all sorts of irregularities.
	And I was like, oh, how did they go from zero conservative seats in 2021 or whatever it was, to 44, which is almost 50%, and they're not fighting tooth and nail for power?
	And then I said, maybe they're not...
	True conservatives, in any sense.
	Now, is it actually a conservative party that these guys are, or are these guys like the Liberal Party of BC?
	I don't know.
	That was my question, isn't it?
	By the way, here, Encryptus, I'm going to give you this.
	No, I can do this.
	Can you switch the screen down?
	Yeah, but Encryptus, I'm going to give you this because I want to bring up Pleb, who's at the HQ for the conservatives.
	Sure.
	Here.
	No, this is Pleb on his live stream, or is this Pleb?
	Yeah, Pleb on his live stream is live streaming from...
	And he DM'd me and said, go ahead and use my stream if you want.
	And I said, good, because I don't want to be talking all night.
	I don't want to go stuff my face with some food.
	That's not a chicken.
	Don't blame you.
	Yeah, I'm going to do that in a second.
	So if we can bring that up, because I think...
	They seem to think it's going back to a liberal majority at 62% now.
	That will be obviously the only outcome that will make me puke.
	Well, it's starting to slow...
	I just don't know.
	The NDP are not going to be a force in this one.
	Yeah, but the problem is if they're not a force because all of their seats have gone to the conservatives, the liberals, sorry, that's a big problem.
	Well, there's going to be some overlap in some of the writings anyway.
	Okay, well, let's see here.
	I love when they touch their freaking screens like CNN.
	Look at this guy.
	He thinks he's cool.
	I have plugged stream up.
	He's literally showing a camera showing a TV screen of the global news feed.
	Okay, so fine.
	That's fine.
	I'll keep an eye on it in case something comes up.
	The most high rules the kingdom of men, Daniel 417.
	A lot of biblical verses here.
	Hoping your Trump guy wins, Eric G104.
	Yeah, the only problem is he's not really a Trump guy, but...
	The markets have changed.
	It's showing liberal majority is on the rise.
	Oh, yeah.
	Yeah, the Carney...
	Being PM, if it's a liberal majority, that's the end of Canada.
	Well, it's the end of Canada.
	Canada's done.
	Canada will be dead to me.
	Liberal majority is up eight points in the last half hour.
	Yeah, but they were down to 39%.
	They were down to like...
	But it is true.
	People are reacting to the numbers coming out of Quebec and Ontario.
	Let me see this guy here.
	This guy got my attention because it's all in caps.
	Holy shit, are you guys paying attention to what the state media is doing?
	They call incumbents leading with no votes counted.
	I guess that depends on the writings and whether or not they just, like Westbound NDG, they don't need to wait to count them.
	They just know the liberal shithead one.
	Shoothead.
	Well, the thing is, if it's a strong, safe liberal seat, then they're going to call it with no votes counted.
	That said, they tend to say leading or elected, which doesn't mean very much.
	It means that the person is in the lead in the tally of the votes as they're moving forward.
	It doesn't really mean much.
	If there's no votes counted, it does not count as either leading or elected.
	It still says writings to report.
	So, for example, on the screen there, CTV, or Global rather, is saying that there's 140 writings to report.
	That's going to be all the liberal incumbents, all the conservative incumbents who are running for re-election, but they just haven't reported any results yet.
	Got a super chat from Commitube that says, Viva, my Canadian parents in Florida registered to vote before the cutoff but got no ballot in the mail.
	What gives?
	I can attest to the delays of a snap election in terms of triggering foreigners abroad to vote and how short those delays were.
	Cannot confirm as to what gives, Vain.
	If it's a writing in which it might come down to one vote, I mean, they get angry.
	But it was a...
	I'm telling you, the diabolical nature of having called such a quick snap election was diabolical.
	Like, meticulously diabolical in every single respect.
	I saw it coming.
	Yeah, I see it coming.
	You know what?
	I'm an idiot.
	I thought Carney would hold on to power for as long as he could, drag it out into September.
	And then try to pass...
	He's been able to.
	Yeah, that's the thing.
	Because then, what's his face?
	Jagmeet got his pension and would have triggered a non-confidence vote.
	Yeah.
	Jagmeet basically sacrificed his party for his pension.
	Yep.
	He sacrificed his country for his pension.
	Well, that too.
	May he live forever, as they say in Sparta.
	May he live forever, wallowing in the shame and regret of everything that he did.
	So they've got to get to 172 for the majority.
	If we may hear the vapid bullshit coming out of this guy's face in Kryptis.
	Results are coming in, Donna.
	That 17 is getting closer to that majority number of 18. None of it is final, but it shows that the Liberals are beginning to pick up the possibility of making it much closer towards them getting a majority than the Conservatives catching up.
	And forming government, which is not how it looked when we were first kind of looking at Atlantic Canada.
	Okay, Eric, thanks.
	The swingometer is garbage.
	Liberals now leading or elected in 115 ridings, the Conservatives in 82, the BQ in 15, and the NDP in 4. And all the polls are closed now across the country, so those numbers are going to keep populating down there.
	Let's go to Mercedes Stevenson and the political panel.
	It's going to really come in fast now.
	Thanks, Donna.
	Well, our first opportunity...
	And we'll say, holy cow, how's that person winning or how are they losing?
	There's five polls reporting.
	But even more importantly, even when you get to half the polls reporting, who's left?
	And is your vote coming that's left?
	Or is it not?
	And that's what you learn as folks that have been through a couple of elections.
	All right, we can turn that off.
	There'd be verbal diarrhea now.
	Yeah, so that's...
	All right, well, that's it.
	So now it's going to be a question of how quickly we know if it's a majority or not.
	Yeah, and it's really going to come in quickly.
	I expect we'll know for sure within an hour.
	Of whether or not it's going to be majority.
	Yes.
	The decision desk at the various networks will call the result very soon.
	Within the hour, I suspect, because it's really going to pile in.
	There are comments coming in saying CTV is already called a liberal.
	A liberal what?
	The comment was CTV calls a liberal win, whatever that means.
	Well, a liberal win.
	Well, I think that's pretty much...
	I think we...
	Well, you don't know for sure, but it wouldn't surprise me.
	Yeah, but a liberal win...
	The question is a liberal minority or a liberal majority?
	Like a win versus match.
	A win doesn't necessarily mean a majority, of course.
	I was just reading the comment.
	We have some idiots in our comments, too.
	One guy says, Trump fucked Canada, so fuck Trump.
	Okay, good for him.
	Trump didn't do anything to Canada.
	Trump is Trump.
	Trump will do what Trump does.
	And the thing is, as Pierre said, I think Pierre said, he can't control Trump, but he can control how he reacts, what we do about what Trump says and does.
	He's going to focus on what he can control.
	Are they calling it?
	Who's calling it?
	Or minority, but Global News is projecting that the Conservatives can't win enough seats at this point to form a government.
	So we'll have...
	Eric, did you have thoughts on that?
	Not entirely true.
	They can't catch up to where the Liberals are.
	At the moment, the Liberals are ahead by, it looks like, 39 votes.
	39 ridings.
	Now, these numbers can change.
	Some ridings are close.
	But what I've noticed...
	We're just looking at the Liberal headquarters there, we should quickly say, and then we'll get to Mackenzie.
	When you watch these numbers climb through the evening on an election night, those numbers will change, that 127, that 89. But they tend to be within a little range of, like, plus or minus five.
	And right now, the Conservatives would just have to make up too many, I think, is the decision desk.
	Deciding that there's just too many writings to make up ground on to catch the Liberals.
	Okay, let's go to Mackenzie Gray who was there at Liberal headquarters.
	Mackenzie.
	Yeah, Donna, big cheer went out when the call was made that the Liberals will win the most seats in this election.
	Of course, Mark Carney is still hoping for a majority government.
	That is a word that he only said once at a rally in Kitchener earlier in the campaign.
	Then his preferred term was that he'd look for a strong mandate to take on Donald Trump.
	The Liberals still think that a majority is possible at this point in time and a lot more votes to count.
	But fundamentally, this is one of the biggest political comebacks in Canadian political history.
	If you would have talked at the start of the year that the Liberals would have been able to...
	to win this election.
	Most political observers, and probably myself included, would have thought you were crazy.
	Polls were showing at that point in time, just before Justin Trudeau quit as Prime Minister, that the Liberals could end up being the fourth party behind the Bloc Québécois, behind the NDP, and the Conservatives would have had a supermajority at that point in time.
	But Mark Carney has been able to orchestrate a major comeback.
	The Conservatives unable to adapt their campaign to deal with Mr. Carney's new approach to things relative to Justin Trudeau.
	I know yet to be seen if the Liberals were able to get that strong mandate, a majority that Mr. Carney is looking for.
	All right, Mackenzie Gray, thank you.
	We should point out 172 is what the Liberals need.
	Thank you.
	Mike, obviously we're going to see as the numbers come in, but I do not agree that it's not possible.
	It depends on which writings are still to report, which I just don't know based on the results that we're looking at.
	All we know is that how many are coming.
	Now they're really cascading in now.
	But how could any sane person vote liberal?
	That's what I'm wondering.
	Do you want to sponsor me?
	Kalshi is up to 80% liberal majority and Polly Market is 99%.
	No way.
	It doesn't mean much.
	Like 133 to 93. I think it goes without saying that at this point...
	I am prepared to say that the Liberals are going to have the largest block of seats in the House.
	That does not mean that they are going to be the government moving forward.
	And Pierre did not run the worst campaign in history.
	The worst campaign in history was run by Kim Campbell.
	No, no, I take that back.
	The worst campaign in history was run by Stéphane Dion.
	I can't even keep track of the care of this.
	I want to bring this up.
	This is exactly like CNN.
	How do you not see what's happening right in front of your eyes?
	They're announcing the wrong vote.
	Okay, good.
	Anyhow, it's not even a question of I told you.
	So holy hell.
	Congrats, Canada.
	At the very least, it's going to be a liberal minority.
	In the short term.
	Until the House convenes and whether Pierre can sit down with The leader of the Bloc Québécois, what's his name, Yves?
	Yves Lanchet, yeah.
	Yves Lanchet, and decide if they're going to try and work together to get these guys out.
	And what Pierre would be...
	And Pierre did do some podcasts, Ricky Ridge.
	Anyway.
	Well, we'll see.
	We'll see.
	It's not a question of I told you so.
	There's no joy in any of this.
	How stupid do people have to be?
	Well, it doesn't mean that...
	I'm still hopeful that Pierre will be able to take the House away from the Liberals.
	And if he can do so at least for two years and govern effectively for two years...
	With a minority supported by the bloc, then go into an election in two years' time, then history tends, in a situation like that where there is an agreement, then history has shown time and again that,
	oh, there's Ben Rooney, that the winner tends to be the party that was in power.
	Snuggle Struggle says, It's looking like Canada collectively chose government-assisted suicide.
	The nation itself was offered medical assistance in dying, I guess.
	Though the Conservatives are coming on strong right now.
	Like, we're at 98 now.
	To 136.
	It doesn't...
	It's going to be a nail-biter.
	A nail-biter for what?
	For majority or for minority?
	It's going to be, well, it's a nail-biter for, like, as I said, the Liberals at 136, assuming that's what they come into the, that's what they end up at.
	They could end up in the 140s for all I know.
	But it all depends on, and the block's starting to make a showing here because they're up to 20. So 99 and 20 is 119, right?
	So 119 to 135, 138 if you count the NDP with the Liberals.
	It all hinges on what happens and who can get their caucus, their parliamentary caucus, past that magic number of 172.
	The chat's sort of going doom and gloom right now because it doesn't look, oh, the Conservatives are now at 100.
	But there's only a 35-seat difference.
	And yes, 172 is the magic number.
	And it depends on tomorrow, over the next couple of weeks, while there's the parliamentary wrangling to see if the opposition parties can get together and actually agree on something where Pierre and Yves can...
	form a government or if Eve is going to go and support the liberals, if the liberals are going to give him more goodies.
	I just cannot believe how bloody stupid people can be.
	I think I'm a little bit more hopeful than you are right now.
	Yeah, you are.
	The fact that...
	It's amazing.
	People have stopped voting Green, stopped voting NDP, and all those dumbasses went over to the Libs.
	Why even do that?
	You're rewarding the Libs for 10 years.
	I'm sorry.
	Yeah, Canada's getting what they voted for.
	The only problem is so are many other Canadians who don't deserve it.
	I think it was Don McDonald who wrote a book called Up the Hill or On the Hill or something.
	He was a finance minister under Trudeau, I think.
	Pierre Elliott Trudeau, that is.
	And he wrote, Every Democracy Gets the Government It Deserves.
	And how right he is.
	So, like, should the liberals do...
	Should the Liberals form a majority?
	The next four years, whether I'm in Canada or not, every time something goes wrong...
	I will be reminded, Canadians, this is what you voted for.
	You voted for this.
	This is your fault.
	Nobody will take responsibility for it.
	They'll just blame Trump.
	It's all Trump's fault.
	That's too easy.
	That's what people want.
	Let me go over to Rumble here.
	The Rumble chats I haven't been putting.
	Oh, I do have them up here.
	Let me bring this up.
	That's a nasty chat that I just saw go past.
	MKTelephoneMan says, just pray God's will be done.
	I thought it was God will be done.
	Your will be done.
	Look on the bright side, Dave.
	Your Vero might get some super cool and based new neighbors.
	Gorgeous.
	Come down.
	Canada's not going to be safe.
	It's not even safe now.
	Gorgeous Mayhem says, hey guys, what is the approximate percentage chance Alberta joins the states?
	That's years in the making if it happens.
	That's years in the making.
	It's got to go through a...
	Provincial referendum.
	Got to get federal approval.
	Got to have a legislative, not legislative, judicial problems.
	You go through the courts.
	Yeah, well, basically a...
	A vote yes in a referendum.
	A yes vote in a referendum basically is a mandate to negotiate with the federal government for secession.
	Now, that said, do you really think Alberta would sit back and say, no, well, fine, we'll just take it.
	No, of course we're not going to do that.
	Like, I've been a separatist since the year 2000.
	I see Canada as a marriage of convenience, and it is very, very inconvenient to be Canadian right now.
	So it's become less and less convenient ever since the beginning of, well, it's been very inconvenient for Alberta since 1905 when Alberta became profits.
	Because the resources are just siphoned out of Alberta and fed to Ontario.
	And eventually, Daniel Smith has already put on the table that if the...
	If the federal government doesn't start actually looking up for Alberta, she's going to hold a referendum on secession.
	I can't believe it.
	Anyway.
	When they call someone's district, do they stop counting the remaining votes?
	No, so it can change over time.
	Viva, you and your guests need to bring up the Election Canada results page just to read off all the different parties located below the results.
	Troublemaker.
	This is something I meant to mention earlier.
	In Pierre Poilier's own constituency of Carlton, there are 91 candidates on the ballot.
	91. I can't even get this one up here so I can read it.
	Do you see this real tad, Dad?
	PPC splitting votes leads to what...
	We had happen in Alberta with reform.
	PPC had right ideas, but they did not use strategies.
	By the way, just so nobody understands, the PPC had nothing to do with these results.
	And for good and for bad.
	Zero.
	I'm going to reserve judgment on that.
	David, because I want to see what the actual results in the individual writings are, and I'm not going to be able to do that tonight.
	We'll know, like, if I go and simply take, count, add the PPC and the Conservative vote together, that will really determine, in my mind, if the PPC siphoned enough votes off the Conservatives or not.
	Even if it did, you can't control how other people are going to vote.
	People are going to do what they're going to do.
	The only thing that I've been saying, and I've been saying it earlier, and I've been saying it the whole campaign, and mainly it was mainly to get people to stop bugging me about it.
	But the point being is now we're getting into danger territory because the liberals are sitting at 149.
	What's the PPC?
	What's the popular vote look in that here?
	Yeah, the PPC is still sitting at 0.8%.
	You know, they split the vote.
	It's PPC.
	That's why I'm not your buddy guy there.
	Now, do you understand why I'm so blackpool?
	Too many Canadians are weak and feminized.
	They'd much rather have big daddy government take care of them, even if it means living in the pods and eating bugs.
	Well, you see, that's the whole Liberal Party of Canada attitude.
	Their attitude is, Canadians are idiots.
	They think that you're idiots.
	And they want to, because they think you're an idiot, they believe that you need to be taken care of.
	Which means that they need to take your money and feed it back to you in all these programs and whatnot that you never asked for to begin with.
	It's not going to be like a Hillary Clinton type.
	We thought she would win.
	It's not going to turn into a viva fry I fucking told you so for the last four years.
	But I told you so.
	Whether or not they eke out a minority.
	I've lost a lot of respect for Canada tonight.
	The fact that the Conservatives...
	Viva, go easy on Pierre.
	It's unicorn farts that you wish that's going to make the election.
	No, no.
	But don't hold Pierre to a higher standard.
	Let him do what he thought he was going to do.
	Go to the middle and win over those liberals.
	Well, it's possibly a bad advice.
	NDP is down to five.
	You see, my whole thing is the Liberal Party needs to be absolutely obliterated and destroyed parliamentarily.
	And obviously, that is not happening tonight.
	It says, I'm crying in my beer.
	Who said that?
	Hyphen.
	Well, Hyphen, maybe Costa Rica, expats living in Costa Rica don't pay tax.
	Are they going to get angry if I don't want to see them?
	I don't feel sorry for Canada, says Trumpinator.
	Five bucks.
	A relative and co-worker of mine each said they would have voted conservatives but are scared by Pierre's populist rhetoric reminding them of Trump.
	It's insane.
	Oh my goodness.
	Says Shaker Silver.
	I know Pierre.
	I make no secret of this.
	I know Pierre.
	I've known him for ages.
	I met him in 1997.
	I worked with him on Stockwell Day's campaign for the leadership of the Canadian Alliance.
	He's a good guy.
	Yeah, he might be a good guy.
	I have no doubt he is.
	He fucked up his campaign.
	I've been saying it for a very long time and taking shit for it online.
	Shaker Silver says, a relative and co-worker of mine...
	Oh, sorry, I got that one.
	Sorry.
	Darren Fishman says, they don't bring in a central banker to BPM and not have him in.
	When the fix is in the fix...
	No!
	CBDC is coming.
	Well, I might agree with that, Darren, but bottom line.
	Well, this sucks.
	I just feel bad for the people of Canada.
	The Canadian people are essentially voting for Justin Trudeau.
	They're not voting for Justin Trudeau 2.0.
	They're voting for Justin Trudeau's puppet master.
	He was there before Justin Trudeau.
	He was the guy behind the curtain.
	Flip my avatar, Pierre.
	Come on home.
	Come home, Viva.
	Flip my avatar.
	Pierre should have went to PBD, Sean Ryan, Nelk Boys podcast.
	He literally only showed up to podcasts with zero hard questions.
	Fumbled the bag.
	You know something?
	If Pierre had gone to American podcasts, what do you think the Liberals would have been doing?
	I don't give a shit.
	It doesn't matter anymore because whatever he did didn't work.
	Oh, hey there, Kyle.
	And we're back.
	Welcome back.
	So what's the mood at Rebel Lake?
	I don't know, man.
	I sat in the waiting room for like 45 minutes and never joined, but I listened to their stream.
	You know, I feel like I watched CBC go ahead and declare this thing.
	They've declared what?
	Liberal government.
	Oh, man.
	Yeah, so is global.
	It doesn't mean it's going to be a government.
	It means that they're going to have the largest block of seats.
	What do you mean?
	They're going to have a minority.
	The only question is, are they going to hit 172?
	Yeah, that's the question.
	Ultimately, I'm very frustrated.
	And you look at the betting markets, it's over.
	Yeah, I've lost all the bets that I made in Polymarket.
	I've pretty much written them off.
	But then again, it was only $18 or something.
	It's one and a half cents now on Pierre.
	Yeah.
	Oh, man.
	So now it's time to think about, what's happened here?
	Do you mind turning off these heads?
	Well, let's go.
	We can listen to them.
	No, no, no.
	We're just going to leave it up so we can see the numbers going up.
	151.
	Oh, wait.
	That's right.
	I've got...
	Oh, that's...
	What's his face?
	Forgive me.
	I know that guy's face.
	He's...
	Jules Duceppe.
	Jules Duceppe.
	And I'm in the background, so I had CBC heads chatting away.
	And really, they're excited.
	They're so jubilant right now.
	Yeah.
	Well, I've heard stories in 2004 that Peter Manspich was dancing around yelling, we won!
	We won!
	So, yeah.
	The Communist Broadcasting Corporation, I flatly refuse to watch.
	I have it on parental lockout.
	Well, and it's like, even like the rebel guys, like they were using the CBC's data sources.
	And I noticed the Election Canada data source, like on my end at least, like just crapped out and won't load anymore.
	Yeah.
	So, yeah, I mean...
	When it comes to seed counts, what you want to watch for is the magic number for the Liberals.
	If the end is Liberal 172 minus NDP, that's what we're actually watching for.
	So the Liberals now are not shooting for 172.
	They're shooting for 172 minus whatever the NDP gets.
	And the NDP is sitting at 6. So 172 minus 6 is 166.
	And they're at 153.
	So it looks like it's really over.
	It's getting close.
	And.
	The only question is over for what?
	Very popular to me.
	Liberal majority.
	How do they define it?
	If the liberal majority make up the next government, then the outcome resolves to yes.
	If the liberal majority, does that include a coalition?
	No.
	Not in the betting markets.
	The betting market is 172.
	What we're seeing is that if they get 166 and NDP actually carries 6, Then they effectively have the majority and they can continue doing exactly what they've done for these last fucking 10 years,
	bringing us to this point and the fact that they were able to so rapidly shift the entire country around this Trump derangement syndrome and this anger.
	Personally, I'm like...
	And Max Bernier, he's got absolutely roasted in his seat in Bose.
	He's probably fourth place.
	And he had an opportunity, and it should have happened months ago.
	As soon as Carney stepped in, him and Pierre should have honestly had a talk and come together and generate that potential path forward.
	But, you know, ultimately, we've seen the campaign that Pierre ran.
	And, you know, now we can play, now we can look back on it, but also look forward into, you know, what's going to happen next.
	Yeah, now I just saw a comment go past here.
	They said Canada will be a shithole country.
	No, no, no, no.
	Canada has been and always has been.
	For the last 10 years, Canada has been a shithole country.
	It's just now making it worse.
	There was another question I saw.
	Can someone please...
	The counting is still going on.
	And the other comment I wanted to address that I saw go by was...
	Can someone please tell me if it's over now for sure?
	Is it a Liberal win?
	It is probably going to be a Liberal, at the very least, it's probably going to be a Liberal Party minority of seats in the House of Commons, also known as a plurality, meaning they have more seats than anybody else, but they may not have more than half of the seats combined.
	And that's really what you're looking for.
	So if the Liberals pass 172, Then it is over.
	The Liberals get a blank check for the next four years.
	If it is Liberals plus NDP, it passes 172.
	No, it's not rigged.
	It's just a game.
	It is not rigged.
	I can attest to it not being rigged because I know how these things work.
	The rigged is just too easy to say.
	It's baseless.
	Here's what's scarier.
	It's not rigged.
	It's fucking Canadians that actually voted for this.
	You've got an extraordinarily huge population that are driven by not being exposed to the critical thinking, but a deluge of propaganda that would make President Snow very happy.
	Well, here's the thing.
	Remember, the mainstream media...
	Which the majority of Canadians still consume is bought and paid for by who?
	The Liberal Party of Canada.
	Holy mother...
	I denounce...
	Salty Albertan, who I follow and I think he follows me.
	It's official.
	Canadians are fucking retarded.
	Fuck you, Canada.
	Go fuck yourself.
	And then there's ten middle fingers.
	And then it says...
	I denounce Canada.
	You fucking disgust me, liberal commie retards.
	I am not Canadian.
	I'm Albertan from North America.
	And Canada can kiss my lily white ass, you bunch of low IQ brainwashed Stockholm syndrome motherfuckers.
	Go fuck yourselves.
	Eat shit and choke on it, you bunch of cock fucks.
	I thought you were supposed to censor yourself.
	No, I'm reading someone else's.
	Let me just make sure I'm not sure.
	There's other people on the screen.
	Canada needs an immediate annexation by the USA.
	You fucking retards.
	Newtards don't deserve a country.
	He's not wrong.
	That was Salty Albertan, who I know someone in my immediate milieus follows.
	No.
	I'm not, I want to say, I'm not, I thought we would win.
	There's some rumble rants coming in.
	I'll get those in a second.
	I just want to see what the markets, because it looks like it might not be a majority government.
	There'll be one seat.
	No, it's...
	It's looking less likely right now because it's 150 to 128 with the bloc at 23. So that's 123 is 140, 150.
	Well, the bloc plus the conservatives have more than 150 right now.
	All I'm interested in is the betting markets, not in terms of the coalition government afterwards.
	But congratulations.
	Congratulations, Candy.
	I must make sure not to say anything that I will regret tomorrow morning.
	Yes.
	I told you so.
	Canadians, other than the three of you guys, are fucking retarded.
	It's unbelievable.
	Well, I mean, there's a lot of really good, awakened Canadians, but it's just a little margin.
	At the end of the day, that needs to come out to move this.
	And at the end of the day, this is also the party system that rules.
	So thinking about what happens next, is CBDC one of the first priorities that they're going to put out there?
	I don't see.
	It depends.
	It depends how much time they have to operate in.
	CBDCs are definitely on the plan.
	Same with digital companies.
	Did you hear the news from today?
	MasterCard.
	MasterCard is now allowing Stablecoin to be used as method of payment.
	So you can spend your Stablecoin directly from your credit.
	That's okay, but Stablecoins are censorable too.
	You don't need a CBDC when they can freeze your effing bank account.
	You might even be better off with a CBDC.
	Maybe it's easier to have it in somebody else's name and you can pull out money from somebody else's account.
	You don't need these things.
	It's just...
	NDP is starting to come on strong.
	A little bit stronger now.
	You've got some BC numbers that are starting to come in.
	I get to say...
	I can hedge my bets because I said I effing told you so, although I did put my money on a Pierre Polyev not absolutely screwing everything up, and congratulations, he did it.
	So everyone who gave me a hard time, you can apologize.
	I mean, I'm not going to say I kiss my white, hairy ass.
	It's not hairy, and it's Floridian tanned.
	But you can apologize and blame the vote splitting.
	Blame the vote splitting that doesn't exist.
	Blame Trump as though Trump is the reason why Pierre lost.
	You're a bunch of denialist, juvenile children who can't take responsibility for your own inaction and your own failed policy.
	Pierre Polyev thought he was going to win by doing exactly what he said he should not do in his Jordan Peterson interview.
	I clipped it.
	I shared it.
	And you all told me that I was being unpatriotic.
	I'm the coward that left because I've seen it.
	He said what he should not do by way of policy.
	Try to go middle ground to get the votes of people.
	Compromise on your values.
	Take for granted the support that you have.
	And congratulations, you blew a slam dunk.
	Blame Trump.
	Blame me.
	Blame everybody else except for yourselves.
	It's not your fault, Viva.
	You're one vote out of how many?
	I'm no vote.
	Go to Westbound ADG.
	I bet you Westbound went 55% this year.
	Yeah.
	Same with my vote, like, you know, like Ottawa Centre, like we're not...
	Yeah, I know where you're ready when.
	Ottawa Vanier, like Montfortier, like, you know, those are the safest seats ever.
	Ottawa smells like liberals.
	Pierre deserves it.
	Congratulations.
	You screwed up the easiest election to win because you thought you could score more points by being anti-Trump.
	Congratulations.
	You couldn't be more anti-Trump.
	The game did change when Justin Trudeau resigned.
	The game did change, but it didn't mean you forgot how to dribble a freaking ball.
	So yeah, the game changed, and Pierre screwed up.
	Beginning to end from day one, screwed up.
	Congrats, and to the victor go the spoils.
	Well, and I mean, and congrats to the Liberal Party on running an extraordinarily effective propaganda campaign.
	They don't get congrats.
	I'll give them congrats.
	They did it.
	They were able to run a very effective...
	Propaganda campaign across the entire country where they have all the chips and they played it really well and they were able to disassociate Justin Trudeau and his entire cabinet and all the action that they did over the last 10 years in place of Mark CBC Carney and pumping him up on the resume.
	He's an economist.
	He knows so much.
	No, no, I'll tell you.
	Congrats on the Liberals for having effectively dictated Pierre's policy to his detriment for his election strategy.
	Good for them.
	They really did.
	They really did browbeat Pierre into doing exactly what they wanted him to do.
	And so I said it all along.
	Congrats, Pierre.
	You're letting the Liberals and their propaganda machine dictate your political election strategy, and it's not going to work out well for you.
	They let them bully him into silence.
	Oh, but if he says anything, they'll call him pro-Trump.
	They did it anyhow.
	Oh, but if he goes on a podcast, they'll demonize him.
	They did it anyhow.
	So congrats.
	You clipped your own wings, Pierre, and you let the liberal and their propaganda machine do it.
	Just a couple of pieces of information here.
	Right now, 13,996 of 70,445 polls as individual Polling districts have reported their results.
	That's only 20% of all the polling stations across the country have reported their results.
	People are going to call this copium.
	By the way, Westbound Energy, thus far, 67% liberal.
	It was 53%.
	I was looking that up.
	I don't know if it's true.
	I'm just bringing it up.
	But bottom line, call it cope.
	The Conservatives are not winning a majority.
	They're not winning a minority.
	And they'll be...
	Where did he go?
	Did I scare him out?
	They'll be lucky if they don't offer to the liberals a majority government.
	And as it is now, if the libs team up with the bloc, they're going to have an effective majority.
	Yeah, I just want to address that.
	Someone said gay beer.
	I agree.
	Super gay beer.
	Not my choice.
	My father just went back up to China to...
	And I was left over with a box of this.
	I'll be back.
	I'm still going to drink it.
	I'm not going to just waste it.
	Probably give a bunch of it away.
	Yeah, out of curiosity, I'm looking at Westmount right now.
	So, like, yeah, because...
	Viva is right when he says it was copium.
	He's got a valid point when he says that.
	Though, is Westmount even there?
	Though, I think there's also something to say, like, there's lots of votes to come still, and the bigger polls have not been counted yet, because they take longer to count.
	But I think that it's fair to say that it's most likely going to be a liberal of some kind, a large caucus from the liberals.
	I don't even see Westmount.
	Yeah.
	Oh, there it is.
	Sorry?
	I just wish there was a little...
	Go ahead.
	So you said there's only 20-something percent reporting.
	Of the remaining, in historical elections, has that ever changed any of the reporting results?
	That's a fair comment, not significantly.
	So how long until I get arrested and request for extradition for my tweets calling Mark Carney?
	A three-passport-carrying motherfucker globalist whore.
	How long?
	I doubt you'll get arrested for that, Viva.
	Oh my goodness.
	If you're already in the States, you can claim asylum and you'll be saved.
	Dude, I made jokes.
	I made jokes.
	Now I'm not trying to be funny.
	Tamara Leach is waiting for sentencing.
	Chris Barber is waiting for sentencing.
	Pat King, they've appealed to...
	Pat King, I was on with Pat last night and he's like, oh man, if Carney wins tomorrow, they're going to come right after me.
	They've been rewarded for their persecution.
	They're going to come after X. They're going to gently clamp down for our safety.
	For the safety.
	But I will say, there's going to be a lot of energy towards...
	And one of the things I listened to on the Rebel side was the talk about the Alberta separation movement.
	And that's going to gain a lot of strength.
	I think there's a number of parties that are already kind of spinning up efforts in anticipation of this result.
	We shall see what that looks like.
	It's not a question of looking smart.
	It's just a question of, like, being unhappy that you're right.
	I called it with Pierre's campaign.
	I called it in terms of, like, there was rumorings, and I will not mention names, like people suggesting conservatives were sort of wishing for a liberal win because it will facilitate Alberta secession.
	And by the way, it'll facilitate Quebec secession now.
	I like the fact that the block didn't, it looks like they're not going to lose all that many seats.
	This is going to be the breakup of Canada.
	No, they're doing fairly well, actually.
	Here, get over here.
	Come on in here and close the door.
	I just put a, I just put the, it's a Notre Dame de Grasse Westmount is the writing that Westmount is now part of.
	So I guess there is a redistricting.
	So I just put the liberal percentage in the private chat.
	It's a 65.4% liberal.
	When I ran, it was 53%.
	What percentage of the votes are in?
	12 of 217 polls.
	Lots of votes to count still.
	It's a population of 111,000 and there's 79,932 people on the list.
	It's going to be 60%.
	It was 53% when I won.
	When I ran.
	Well, that's Mark Garneau's writing.
	Space Cadet Mark Garneau.
	So he doesn't surprise me in this latest.
	Me saying that shows you what I think of him.
	I once had a country.
	It was called Canada.
	Keep going.
	Oh, the creator is in one now.
	Bye.
	And it's over.
	It's over.
	Canada's dead.
	Canada is dead to me.
	It's so bad because there are...
	But the thing is this.
	How many are there?
	How many millions will have voted for the Conservatives?
	Ten?
	Well, let's see.
	If you go by the percentage of popular vote, the Conservatives are sitting at 40.3% of the popular vote.
	Oops.
	Oh, good.
	I didn't close my window.
	Let's have a look over here.
	This is the national vote here.
	It's really difficult to tell you what the actual vote count is because Elections Canada's website is really badly slow.
	Well, Barnes is going to comment.
	Yeah, so let's say 10 million Canadians who are good, peace-loving, freedom-loving Canadians.
	And complacent and do as they're told.
	Yeah, well, because they did not hold Pierre to the standard of a conservative leader.
	Not just during this election campaign, for the last four fucking years.
	And I'm sorry, it's...
	I didn't get mean on Pierre in the last month.
	I've been pretty consistently, constructively critical of the Conservatives, and Pierre in particular, for the last four years.
	It's asylum.
	I don't even know if I can go back to Canada after this point.
	I'm glad I renewed my passport.
	Yeah, well, no one can take your passport away from you, of course.
	No, but they can if it's expired.
	Now I got 10 years on that thing.
	Well, you've got a right to a Canadian passport as a Canadian citizen.
	Yeah, right.
	I have a right to a bank account, and that depends on who you ask.
	Mr. Demented 669 says, get ready for more carbon tax.
	Can't believe people vote for this.
	Demanger says, Australian elections in a week.
	We have exactly the same scenario playing out.
	Conservatives have blown their lead.
	Globalists are winning.
	This is what Steve Bannon asked me this morning.
	Is this going to set off the liberal wave across Western society?
	It's like, only the cucked fucking societies.
	What percentage of liberal win is due to mass migration?
	I think a lot, actually.
	This is from Catapult.
	Catalpa Rescue, or Catalpa Rescue, I think a substantial portion, because you have 4 million people that came in over the last decade.
	Assume 20% became citizens.
	That's a substantial vote, and then they put them in.
	I think, I don't know, that's my own personal, unsubstantiated, unevidenced position.
	The amount of, not illegals, but immigrants over the liberal rule, it's 10 years now, it's been 4 million plus, and I'd say...
	A million became residents or votable.
	Maybe about.
	I'm not going to have a heart attack tonight because it's just so flipping depressing.
	We got not rigged, just regarded.
	And I think Olivia Kassoff means retarded.
	Not rigged, just retarded.
	I'm betting 1,000 on election predictions since 2015, says forced name change.
	This is not encouraging for Australia's election, says CL from Australia.
	Hilario Sevilla, how does it feel to be a loser?
	How does it feel to be right is the proper question, and it feels bad, and I'll tell you that.
	I've got a friend in Ontario who's a strong liberal supporter, and it's amazing that her friendship has survived despite his liberal TDS.
	In any case, what was that?
	Total of 172 with Libs and NDP.
	Oh yeah, no, not 172 with Libs.
	I'm just hoping it'd be a minority.
	They officially formed a minority.
	164 and 10, yep.
	Oh, I see.
	NDP plus Liberals is 164, is 172.
	Yeah, so there's the coalition there.
	But what I was saying is this friend of mine in Ontario has...
	As being a consistent liberal supporter, and he and I have argued for many, many times, and we spent an entire drive from Algonquin Park back to just west of Toronto, shouting at each other over this.
	And he said to me once, Steve, why can't you guys out west just be gracious losers?
	And I looked at him and I said, a gracious loser is still a loser.
	And no, I'm not going to say...
	Oh!
	Jagmeet Singh is losing his seat.
	Am I allowed swearing?
	Are we into it enough?
	Fuck that guy.
	He deserves to live the rest of his life in solitary.
	He's still got his pension.
	He only gets his pension at 65 years, so he's got to live the next 30 years making his own existence.
	He's a multi-millionaire.
	He's fine.
	Yeah, you know what?
	What good is all the riches of the universe for he who has forsaken his soul?
	But of course, I say that as a man who lives by the beauty of living among his brethren.
	Indeed.
	And being welcome among his brethren.
	So...
	Alright, it looks like it's going to be a liberal minority just by the markets.
	Yeah, it does.
	And hello, Mr. Barnes.
	Sweet!
	That's all I care about.
	Canada can burn!
	I just care about it.
	No liberal majority.
	As long as there's no liberal majority, my big bet cashed.
	That doesn't matter, people.
	You might think the future of Canada matters, the future of freedom matters.
	No, no, no.
	It's winning the bet.
	And now President Trump will have the authority to go in and help free Alberta, free Saskatchewan, or however you say their name.
	Saskatchewan.
	Free the last free people left of Canada.
	We can bring them into America, and we can ship all the others to El Salvador.
	Why would you want all of Canada to join the United States, Robert?
	We just want the good, honest, decent people of Canada.
	And we'll make Viva the new prime minister, the new governor of the new state.
	First of all, you've got to love Barnes.
	Barnes is a single-tracked mind.
	Forget the fact that there's 20 million people.
	Forget the fact that Canada is going to be Venezuela.
	You will be eating squirrels in 15 years.
	The only bet that cashed that mattered was no to a liberal majority.
	And Barnes is business and results-oriented.
	And when he makes a recommendation, you can listen or you cannot listen.
	But the bottom line, Barnes, asylum.
	Okay, so you start working on the papers.
	I'll start...
	And I'm now looking for a job in the States, Robert, by the way.
	What's interesting is what I'm still seeing is it looks like it's still close whether even they and the NDP will equal a majority, right?
	Or am I wrong about that?
	It depends on the final line.
	Okay.
	I did predict the Greens would win one seat, so that's good to see.
	I love it.
	The Greens.
	Can you imagine?
	How many seats did the Greens have in 2021?
	They had at least, I thought they had seven.
	I'm going to look that up.
	Well, again, and if the Greens do get one, and then they literally could hold the balance of party with the NDP potentially.
	Which, by the way, which news station is this?
	Because this is worse than the U.S. election.
	They keep changing the thing.
	I mean, it's like 160, 163, Green's got to see.
	Oh, baby, cars are up.
	Yeah, because they changed their numbers as the polls report in, Robert.
	So it's leading or elected.
	So the numbers will always change from time to time.
	I see liberals under 160.
	That'd be nice.
	In 2021.
	In 2021, the Greens had two seats.
	So they've...
	The only problem is...
	It's so bad because I want to say...
	Nine ridings to report, too.
	So it's like, you know, we're still missing...
	We're still under 30% overall reported.
	It could all be conservative!
	Well, okay, so this is the only, not credit, but the only saving grace I'll give to the Pierre Paulievre campaign.
	Clearly Canadians don't want a populist voice because it looks like the PPC is going to get a third of what they got in 2021.
	So the bottom line, Canadians are a bunch of abused housewives who enjoy the abuse and want to give their husband brass knuckles after the Super Bowl ring was not painful enough.
	So congratulations.
	Stockholm Syndrome, mother effers, not only re-electing the person who's been abusing you for the last 10 years, giving them more power, giving them brass knuckles, giving them...
	It's not over yet.
	It doesn't even matter at this point.
	There's too much and too many people voting for the Libs NDP.
	Luck is the wild card.
	But you've empowered your abusers.
	So good for you.
	What do you think they're going to do next time?
	They're going to beat you harder.
	They're going to lock you down harder.
	They're going to strip your rights harder.
	They're going to lock up your bank accounts harder.
	Congratulations, Canadians.
	You are a bunch of...
	You tolerate abuse and you reward it.
	And this is what you're going to get.
	The only problem is a lot of other people are going to get it too.
	Man, it looks like a lot of my bets are going to win tonight.
	So I had the Conservatives doing better than 139 seats.
	You're doing a 145 right now.
	Yep, and I have specific bets that they'll win between 140 and 160.
	Those were underdog bets, by the way.
	It was a 3-1 in the betting markets that the conservatives would get over 140 seats, which I didn't understand.
	And that the liberals would not get 190 or more seats, 180 or more seats, 170 or more seats.
	Looks like that's pretty safe now.
	I had yes that they would get right between I'm hoping they finish right between 150 and 159 because that was 10 to 1. They're sitting at 157 right now.
	I've never seen the numbers fluctuate.
	This is worth the American election night.
	People would panic when they would see the number.
	But here it's like 163, 158, 159.
	In America, if you see the number go down, You're going to invade the Capitol.
	That's exactly right.
	I have a question for you, Steve.
	A comment just came up as a super chat.
	It said, what happened to the 7 million early votes in the United States?
	We happen to count those last.
	How does that work in Canada?
	They count them tonight.
	I don't know if they count them first or last.
	I don't think it's systemic in Canada like it is in the States.
	I don't know if they're separated or segregated out in the same way.
	In the States, it does depend.
	There's a couple of states that actually do the early votes last, and the other states do the early votes first.
	Like Florida does early votes quicker.
	Arizona did it the other way around.
	They definitely separate them out.
	I can tell because statistically you can look up on the Elections Canada website and look at what the advanced polling results were.
	There's also special ballots and there's two groups of special ballots.
	One group is for military personnel and incarcerated prisoners.
	Yes, our felons get to vote.
	And then the other special ballots are everybody else.
	I also have the Quebec block to get between 21 and 30 seats.
	That looks pretty safe at this point.
	It does look pretty safe.
	They're sitting at 24 right now.
	At NDP to get 10 to 15 seats.
	Well, they're right on the edge because they're at 10. And what did you have for the Green Party?
	To get one seat.
	Well, they got one so far.
	Yep.
	But it's only leading.
	They're not elected yet.
	Right.
	So basically, that's what the thing means at the bottom is who's leading.
	It's leading and elected.
	Leading or elected.
	Oh, leading or elected.
	That's how the numbers keep changing.
	Yes, because if the lead will change, then the number will change.
	For those of you listening, that means Barnes cleaned house and everybody needs to go join sportspicks.locals.com for the best sports and political betting knowledge you can get.
	What I tell people is if you're going to have...
	Bad policies and bad politicians.
	You might as well profit from it.
	It's like Joe Biden.
	We bet that he would pardon his brother 50 to 1 on Inauguration Day.
	Cha-ching!
	Because if he's corrupt, why shouldn't you make money off of it?
	Not just the Biden family.
	Yeah, but that was the auto pen, so that doesn't really count, does it?
	Yeah, yeah, exactly, exactly.
	Probably somebody at Polymarket will challenge it on those grounds.
	Do you think that can happen?
	Oh, I mean, Polymarket declared the winner of the Venezuelan election was the guy who got crushed, and the woman who got crushed in the election, because the New York Times declared the winner.
	So, like, during the Canadian, there's been a lot of weird betting things going on in the Polymarket on the Canadian election, and it's because there are a bunch of people who are aligned, hoping Carney would do well.
	Knowing Polymarket could influence public perception of the election, they've rigged the rules at Polymarket.
	To create bogus outcomes.
	I mean, once they said the Venezuelan loser was really the winner, that's who they paid out, was if you bet on it.
	I was like, it was insane.
	That meant that it's just the Polymarket's trying to use like blockchain voting mechanisms.
	And so they have this group of people that are involved and they get to say somebody won that didn't win.
	That something happened that didn't happen.
	Like right now, they're still pretending there's no Bitcoin reserve that Trump declared two months ago.
	So you don't actually use Polymarket then?
	I don't.
	I used to because I loved it because, you know, it's Bitcoin, crypto, a lot of utility to learning to use Bitcoin and crypto, a lot of utility to having that outside of the easy access of U.S., you know, rogue creditors in the U.S. or other governments.
	But until they fix this UA problem, this voting problem on decision making, I can't recommend it.
	Right now, Calci...
	Now, luckily, Calci had all these bets available.
	So, you know, for those wondering, the big bet was no liberal majority, which was an underdog, by the way.
	That was as low as three to one.
	Two weeks ago.
	Some long shot bets on maybe the Conservatives would win just because it was 4-1, 5-1 worth the long shot.
	But otherwise, those Conservatives would get between 140 and 160 seats.
	Liberals would get between 140 and 160 seats.
	You may be losing that one right now.
	Yeah, the Quebec block would get between 21 and 30 seats.
	The NDP would get between 10 and 15 seats, and the Green Party would get exactly one seat.
	Right now, almost all the bets are cashing in the black.
	So far, from a betting perspective, looks great.
	Though I want the Liberals to lose that 160.
	They've got to go down a little bit to cash that last one.
	But it looks to me like they'll have a majority, but nowhere near the command majority.
	They're not going to have a majority.
	No, they will not have a majority.
	You need 172 to have the majority, and that means that would be their...
	They basically have a blank check to just...
	They'd be guaranteed a stable government of four years.
	But anything less than that, then it's generally traditionally going to be around a two-year mandate, and then we'll be back to the polls again.
	Yeah, that's what I was...
	Because the other thing I'm wondering here is, it looks to me like, let's say it finishes...
	Let's say that between liberals and NDP, they don't get over that majority, even with the Greens.
	Is there any chance that the Quebec bloc as a group joins the Conservatives to form a majority?
	It's iffy because the bloc tends to be very, they tend to be left-leaning.
	Even though they migrated, they were formed out of the Conservative Party.
	It was the RIF, there was a, it was Brian Maroney and Lucien Bouchard that were the, it was like the Canadian coalition kind of thing.
	But when Meech Lake and the Charlottetown Accord collapsed, then Lucien Bouchard basically turned around and walked away and formed the Bloc Québécois.
	And he took enough members of Parliament with him that they were still an official party in the House of Commons, had a minimum of, had at least three questions during question period, which means that they're going to get media coverage because question period is what I call theater the absurd.
	If you've ever watched it, you can watch it on, it's basically, it's the chance for parties to get singers in on each other every day in the House of Commons.
	And it's just crazy.
	Some of the things that go back and forth, like Pierre LBL got himself thrown out for using the word wacko at some point.
	And the entire Conservative caucus got up and left with him.
	So he ended up forming the Bloc Québécois and in 1993 ended up as the official opposition in the House of Commons, which means his party got the first five questions.
	And that's when they came within 1% of Quebec seceding from Canada in a referendum.
	And then they just sort of dwindled since.
	And they've gone more and more left ever since.
	Liberals are losing ground.
	The networks are scrambling.
	Are they?
	Maybe the early push by Mark Carney and his friends, Uncle Mark and his friends.
	I saw something that somebody told me that CBC had announced a liberal majority.
	It's a liberal government, not a majority.
	But yeah, they're super quick.
	And then you're going to get the global pile-on effect, which is all of a sudden, now, because Uncle Mark is a purebred globalist...
	Just watch.
	I haven't had a chance to check Twitter, but I'd assume that we're going to see heads of states all congratulating Mark Carney.
	It's probably already happening right now on his win.
	They did this in Brazil like I've never seen before.
	I remember Justin was one of the first people to congratulate him, and it all piled on.
	The international leaders declared who the winner was in Brazil.
	You know how Trump should welcome him, right?
	Congratulations to Governor Carney.
	Yeah, I don't know if he's going to do that.
	Congratulations to Governor Carney.
	Please join us.
	Joining me in Mar-a-Lago in two weeks' time, we're going to be having an unveiling of a great statue.
	Hey, Viva, do you see USA Now has your new Canadian flag image up and going for Carney?
	It's in the chat.
	You're on mute, Viva.
	I may have to go put a child to bed.
	I might have to check out.
	Encrypt this.
	You can handle this if I go and wind it up.
	But hold on.
	I got you.
	Where is the...
	Let me go in the chat.
	Hold on.
	VivaBarnesLaw.locals.com I got a kid.
	He doesn't want to go to bed.
	Apparently he wants me to cry him to sleep.
	So that's the reaction of Ethan to the Canadian election.
	He's like, good or bad?
	Not good.
	So bad.
	Is this it?
	The commie flag right now?
	New Canadian flag sample.
	That's pretty close.
	If we put this on merch, Barnes, are we going to sell it or are we going to get arrested?
	Oh yeah, that's a good idea.
	That's a great idea for merch.
	Just so you know, 146 plus 24, it's 170.
	The conservative plus the bloc are two seats away from controlling the house.
	Right, that's what I'm curious by.
	Now, you guys know this obviously a lot better than I do.
	Does the Quebec group vote as a bloc?
	Do some of them break off and join the Liberals?
	How would that work?
	They tend to go by caucus groups.
	So it's like in your House of Representatives or your Senate, the Republicans, the party discipline is a lot more tightly knit here than it is in the States as well, because our whips are very strong, unlike in the U.S. So if they say this is a matter of confidence,
	that means the party caucus is going to vote with their leader.
	Which is what their leader tells them to do, because a matter of confidence is what determines whether the government actually falls or not.
	And that would be, is it 172 gives you the majority?
	Correct.
	172 is the magic number.
	Right now, that's what the Conservatives and the Quebec Bloc have.
	Yeah, but that would be with the coalition.
	147.
	With the coalition, but not with a...
	Yeah, it will not be a...
	It's going to be a minority parliament.
	That's guaranteed at this point.
	Okay, if I back out, I'm going to continue listening, but if I don't come back, it's not because of the black...
	Just come back when you're done.
	We'll be here.
	Sorry.
	Just tell Ethan, you escaped canon time.
	You're safe down there.
	Before you go, you have to add me as admin on the stream.
	How do I do that on Studio?
	In the settings within your dashboard.
	I gotta tell you, from a betting perspective, I do love the way these change.
	Because like, one minute I'm thinking, Green Party won, we'll win.
	And then Green Party two, no, we lost.
	No Green Party zero, lost again.
	What were the odds on that one that you bet at?
	Even money.
	Even when I first put it out, it was an underdog bet.
	And it was just looking at the data.
	It was looking at that there was only one seat that seemed likely to go green.
	There was a second one that was an outside shot.
	But I thought one seat made the most sense.
	There's no admin setting where I can add Encryptus as an administrator on Rumble Studio.
	Okay, well, while you're working that one out...
	If it goes on forever, everybody, I will be back.
	I'm going to leave on the backdrop and it'll be beautiful.
	There's a $1 tip here from DTQC.
	I think it's addressed to you, Robert.
	Would you kindly use your connections to lobby Trump world?
	To accept Canadian political refugees?
	Yeah, I agree.
	I think they should announce an asylum status for Canada and Europe for those that are getting persecuted for their political beliefs.
	It's happening to Germany.
	It's happening to the EU.
	The spread is down to six!
	The spread is down to six, guys!
	It's coming down to the wire.
	It is like...
	These motherfuckers really called it.
	I thought they'd call it too early, too.
	They'd call it super early.
	There's six seats there, friends.
	It would be beautiful.
	I was saying earlier that I can actually see after tonight, even if Mark Kearney had lost the election, I was saying that he was going to be Prime Minister tomorrow.
	Though, because it takes a few days for the transition to occur.
	Though, I think after tonight, what you're going to see is there's going to be some wrangling behind the scenes, which there normally is.
	And then it's going to be whether or not Pierre and Yves Blanchet of the Bloc Québécois can hammer out an agreement, which I don't know if that's possible.
	They may be too far apart ideologically.
	But if they do...
	Then it's going to be an interesting...
	That means that Pierre could end up as Prime Minister without another election happening.
	It really looks like it's all up to Yves Blanchet at this point on who runs the government right now.
	It does.
	Because what can happen is the government comes forward with a throne speech, and the governor, Mark Carney, will come forward with a throne speech once Parliament resumes.
	And then the opposition parties just vote it down.
	And that means the government falls.
	Mark Carney then has to go report to the Governor-General that he has lost the confidence of the House of Commons.
	And then the Governor-General can either call an election or ask Pierre Poilievre to form a government.
	Those are the two options that the Governor-General will have.
	And then, basically, when I say Governor-General, basically I'm saying the Governor-General is the representative of the king.
	So basically, the governor general acts in the king's name in this case.
	So it's the monarch because it's the king's parliament.
	So the monarch will then ask Pierre to form a government.
	And then for the next couple of years, we have a conservative minority government, at which point we'll probably go to another election in a couple of years' time.
	And hopefully Pierre comes back with a majority at that point.
	Fascinating.
	So, really, Conservatives are still in play at this point.
	Oh, yeah.
	Everything is in play right now, Robert.
	It's all up in the air.
	Now, it depends on whether the betting markets, in your case, it depends on whether the betting markets determine who the next Prime Minister of Canada is going to be and when their cutoff date is, because it's all up in the air tonight.
	Yeah, let me take a look at the...
	Oh, shit.
	Are you saying I should...
	Take a little bet on Pierre?
	There's a chance?
	It's a chance.
	It's a slim chance, but there's a chance.
	There's a question that came into the vibrabarneslaw.locals.com chat from Zach the Cat.
	When will Carney have to step down?
	Carney has to step down.
	He'll either resign after the election if he loses it, like he loses control of the House of Commons, or he will have to step down.
	If his government falls.
	And a vote of no confidence.
	Because the way it works here is the government serves at the pleasure of the monarch or as long as they hold the confidence of the House of Commons.
	Yeah, I think like in the way it works with Kalshi, at least, is it's who is going to be the next Prime Minister of Canada.
	So the...
	Which...
	Could be carny, but I think how it's phrased would actually respect the change, even if that change doesn't happen for a couple of weeks.
	Yeah, it's going to take a couple of weeks.
	It's going to take a few days at the very least, because 148 plus 25 is what?
	It's 160, 172, 173.
	Man, the comments on Polymarket are awesome!
	Take a look at the screen.
	Oh, Pierre Polyev is not in the lead in Carleton right now.
	On the first poll.
	Yeah, the one poll reporting him.
	Bruce Fangio.
	That's going to change pretty darn quick.
	There's 91 candidates on that ballot.
	Bruce Fangio was one candidate.
	They're like, we're not actually going to...
	He's got a good name.
	Let's not let him speak.
	Yeah.
	Ninety-one candidates on that ballot.
	Oh, my God.
	Who becomes prime minister if the Conservatives and Wauwakar make a government together and Pierre didn't win a seat?
	Oh, Pierre, because he's still the leader of the Conservative Party.
	He just has to either appoint himself to the Senate, which he theoretically could do.
	Actually, he can't appoint anyone.
	The Prime Minister doesn't appoint anyone to the Senate.
	The Governor General does it again.
	But he can ask the Governor General to appoint him to the Senate, and then he governs from the Senate, or he asks one of his other guys to step down in a safe seat somewhere and runs in a by-election.
	Crazy.
	No, it's not crazy.
	It's just the way it's done.
	This is a lot closer than I think people realize right now.
	Fan joy is like counting as one of those 157s right now.
	Yep.
	Right.
	It's just back and forth right now.
	Right.
	Wow, this is sweet.
	It's turning out pretty good.
	Well, you're liking it because you're making money tonight.
	Yeah, yeah, exactly.
	But I don't want liberals to have a majority.
	That would be...
	Yeah, that's off the table at this point, Robert.
	It's going to be a minority parliament.
	Oh, now three seats apart.
	Oh, man.
	Holy shitballs.
	Check out the polling market.
	I bet it's just boosted big time.
	I might need to replenish my scotch at this point.
	So, here's Calci.
	Liberal majority was at 80% the last time we looked at this.
	Now we're down at 25%, with a liberal minority up at 75%.
	It was at 40% earlier.
	Sure.
	Honestly, this is why I love political betting markets.
	Who's dumb enough to still be betting liberal majority?
	God bless these people.
	These people need to be separated from their money for the sake of humanity.
	Well, it's going to be a very, very weak liberal minority by the look of it, because right now it's 155 leading or elected for liberals to 151 leading or elected for the conservative.
	Ooh, down to two, baby!
	And it just swapped to 155 to 154.
	This thing is bouncing around like crazy.
	Oh, it is.
	These are the larger polling districts now, the ones with more...
	More ballots in the boxes coming in now.
	So, 100% to lose?
	I bet I can win.
	What does that mean?
	That's just a chat.
	That's a Viva Barnes.
	That's a rumble chat.
	There's a couple superchats here.
	One one says, from Anthony Immel, it says, if the Conservatives and Black Cup have more combined seats than Libs and BP, they could agree to vote non-confidence, right?
	That is correct.
	The question is, is it likely?
	That's going to all hinge on a number of factors.
	There's a window now of lobbying and politicking that can be done with the bloc towards forming that non-confidence as well.
	The thing is, fucking Uncle Mark, one of the things that he needed, he needed the majority government.
	Because I put out the video about disclosures, and by accelerating it, a lot of the disclosures didn't kind of come out within the timeframe, but there will be disclosures coming out.
	This is at least what I'm led to believe.
	And so if we get another 20 days, disclosure time happens, and every day that goes along is an opportunity for Uncle Mark to further be exposed for the globalist hack that he is.
	Have you actually met him?
	No.
	Okay.
	Is that the way you call him Uncle Mark?
	I don't think anybody in America could, like, go live overseas and make all their money overseas and then just come back and be declared president.
	His name is on the money, bro.
	Yeah.
	His name is a letter $20 bill.
	Everybody's looking at their $20 bill like, Carney.
	Oh, yeah.
	I like that man.
	That means he's like a president.
	He was governor of the Bank of Canada.
	We're going to call the $20 bills the carnies!
	That is wild.
	Barnes, I've got a question for you in the Super Chats from Canadian Crispy Bacon for $6.99 Canadian.
	It says, ask Barnes how he feels about election cam talking about marked ballots home, taking marked ballots home, and what would happen in the USA if that happened.
	So, did that happen in Canada?
	Yes.
	If you take a ballot out of a polling station, you're going to jail.
	Yeah, I would hope so.
	Here in the States, we have more creative ways to handle that sort of thing.
	You just have some late-arriving mail-in ballots shipped and printed at the right places and the right people.
	That's how we end up with these ballots in Georgia that magically and miraculously didn't...
	They were supposedly sent through the mail.
	And there was no sign that it had been folded.
	You know, it's like, how did they send it?
	Like, they supposedly sent it to, like, one of these envelopes, and it had no creases in it.
	It was like, you know, somebody just came in, dropped off the ballot, Poe.
	That's, you know, the ballot, it's amazing how in the state, America has the worst ballot security of any modern country in the world.
	And it's, like, you guys are going to know the results tonight.
	I mean, in America, in California, you don't know the results until three months later.
	Are the ballot boxes in the States locked with a padlock and a key or something?
	Supposed to be, but often not.
	Often they're just in big, huge containers.
	Big plastic containers.
	That's what caused controversy in Georgia when they found people pulling out these big plastic boxes underneath and they just started counting the ballots.
	You're like, that's how it's done?
	Out from under the table, that's right.
	Yeah, exactly.
	From under the table.
	Making it look even more sus.
	Now, what you're looking at on the screen here from Global News there, that's the greater Toronto area he just had up.
	And all of that red is Liberal seats and all of that blue on the outer reaching round there is Conservative seats.
	So that's typical for the way Ontario goes.
	It's now the Conservatives are dropping back a little bit.
	It's 157 to 148 now.
	It's going to bounce around again for a little bit.
	I think this is the only one I've seen like this.
	I've followed elections all around the world, and they usually only put up what the current lead is, a popular vote.
	But I've never seen them say, okay, here's the count, the tally count, who's leading at the moment.
	That's totally different.
	It's always been done this way, and I don't know why they do it.
	Well, I do know why they do it.
	It's to make it more dramatic on TV.
	There's a Brampton North calendar.
	This is a PPC kind of affecting that writing right there.
	I didn't see what the vote count was.
	There was a one-point spread between the Conservatives and the Liberals, and the PPC had 2%.
	You see?
	Right there.
	That's a split vote.
	I assume a lot of the PPC vote dropped off because of fear of liberals winning easily.
	A lot did, but I mean, fucking Max Bernier, I mean, he could have just pulled a Bobby Kennedy and just understood, like, what's at stake in the long tail here and, like, come away a hero.
	Now he just looks like a fucking loser, unfortunately.
	It's sour grapes.
	Yeah, that's always when to negotiate, when to back off, when to leverage what you've got into something bigger.
	Though I wonder if Pierre would have even...
	Trump was smart enough to see the opportunity with Kennedy.
	I don't know if Pierre would have been smart enough to say, hey, how about we do this kind of thing?
	He seems like he almost wanted to distance himself.
	And he did.
	And he did, and that's where it would have ultimately taken Max, and he would have gotten a ton of flack for it.
	But to say the best choice to do this, I encourage every single one of my members to join the Conservative Party as a member, and let's get involved, and let's bring the freedom element into the Conservative Party.
	Let's make the Conservative Party great again.
	Let's go with that fucking angle all day long.
	We need the Tea Party in Canada.
	Because Canada is a two-party system, plus the bloc, which is this outlier.
	Well, any democracy that uses first-past-the-post is going to gravitate towards a two-party system anyway, because that's just the way it works.
	It's a law of political science.
	It's just going to be, right now, what we're just waiting for is that last writing to report in and a few more of the votes.
	It's going to be, it's going to, it's looking like it's going to be a bit of a late one tonight for us.
	It looks like, it looks like we got close there for a second, but.
	Yeah, but it's backed off of it.
	Yeah, but it's 168, 169 for the Liberal, NDP and Green Party.
	And 148 and 125 is still over the magic number of 172.
	Yeah, I was going to say that for about half an hour now, it's consistently had conservative and the bloc.
	So what is the likelihood the bloc aligns with conservatives?
	I don't know.
	I can't.
	What do you think, Carl?
	The Alberta-Quebec coalition.
	We're going to mine Bitcoin, guys.
	We're going to mine tons and tons of Bitcoin.
	We're going to go energy crazy.
	We have all the energy.
	We've got all the energy.
	Let's get rich.
	Oh, shit.
	Interesting.
	I don't know what happened.
	He said something dramatic and then disappeared.
	Yeah, he does this.
	I know hopefully encrypt us.
	There you are.
	What happened?
	The Alberta Quebec Coalition didn't like that talk right there.
	Sounds like the CBC booted you out.
	The mining Bitcoin?
	Let's go.
	I mean, let's get rich.
	Guys, this is the thing.
	Carney and company are not going to make Canada rich.
	They're going to make themselves rich.
	They're all about themselves.
	Canada has an opportunity to be extraordinarily prosperous if we got a little bit creative and removed ourselves and broke our chains from Mark Carney and his friends, Uncle Mark and his friends.
	They are masters and they seek to destroy and suck wealth while keeping people just barely alive.
	They don't want to kill them because they don't get the votes, but they want them on life support and being very grateful that they're on paid life support.
	We have fallen way behind.
	Go ahead, Barnes.
	Yeah, I was going to say, I assume it's a huge disappointment to liberals.
	I mean, they were going into the night assuming they were going to win massively.
	They have a big majority.
	I mean, like over 170.
	They all had their elbows up.
	They were fucking ready.
	Yeah.
	Elbows up.
	Do you think Carney's ever played hockey in his life?
	I mean, you know, it's like, come on.
	Oh, yeah.
	Mark Carney played.
	He has a perfect record.
	He never let in a single goal when he played for Harvard.
	He stopped all five shots he faced.
	But he was on the team.
	He was a goalie, and he was on the team, and he played for 10 minutes in one game, and he stopped all five shots.
	So he never had a goal against.
	He got a perfect record, and there's not too many goalies that can say that.
	Yeah, no doubt.
	What's the future of the NBA after all this?
	Well, I'm pretty sure Jagmeet Singh is probably going to resign, and then they'll select a new leader, and then...
	They'll try to rebuild.
	This is like the worst case for them.
	To a liberal minority where they don't have balance of power, even if they team up with Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedno.
	This is not their worst showing ever, though.
	Their worst showing ever was 1993.
	Nine seats.
	Yeah, you know, that's where a lot of the betting lists were.
	Because when I took them to get over 10 bets, that was a 2-1 underdog bet that the betting markets were saying they were going to win 5-9.
	Oh, man.
	Dude, look at Bruce Fanjois pulling away!
	10 reporting.
	I don't think that one's going to win.
	We have fallen behind on the tips and rants by quite a bit, so I just want to start reading through some of these.
	Go ahead.
	Give me a chance to get some.
	Read some of that action.
	Perfect.
	Some of these might be questions for Steve, too.
	Alien Baby for $4.
	Canada is poorer than Mississippi.
	Did these voters realize that they could be wealthy and free if they abandoned the Liberal Party?
	No shit, right?
	From Ouzillion, $5.
	Real question, if Alberta was to leave, would they bring the Yukon and Northwest Territories with them?
	Also, what would happen to Canada if they and Quebec leave?
	Thank you.
	Yeah, that's a Steve question.
	And when Viva gets back, that's another.
	Because I am curious, how would secession play out if that route goes down the road?
	Boy, that's some tight races.
	Look at that.
	47 to 46.8?
	If that was Lyndon Baines Johnson, he'd be on the phone to get in those extra ballots.
	From Wrigley Boys, $2.
	Good thing they became a non-resident two years ago in Eastern Europe.
	Caucasian region to the rescue.
	Oh, good.
	Stephen's back.
	This was a good one for you to answer.
	So the question was, if Alberta was to leave, would they bring the Yukon and Northwest Territories with them?
	Also, what would happen to Canada if they and Quebec leave?
	I have absolutely no idea.
	That's crystal balling, quite frankly.
	I really don't know.
	My first thought is, do I care?
	My second thought is, would we bring the Yukon and the Northwest Territories with us?
	That's really, really tough to say.
	Highly unlikely because the population of the Yukon and the Northwest Territories is very strong in the Inuit, which is an indigenous population.
	And they're very tied to federal government funding.
	So I don't think that...
	I don't see the territories coming with us.
	What would happen to the provinces, Ontario?
	Manitoba and Saskatchewan.
	Well, Saskatchewan is very similar to Alberta, so I can see Saskatchewan joining Alberta as the great 51st or maybe even the 52nd state.
	Ontario would probably have to rejig their finances a bit because all of a sudden they're no longer dealing with Canada.
	And funding from the prairie provinces anymore when they qualify for it under the equalization formula.
	But there's a whole, like, how likely is this to happen?
	That's the all-important question, though, because I honestly don't know.
	The cities are more likely to, in Alberta, where the majority, like the population is, they're more likely to vote to stay in Canada, while the rural places, like where I live, Very strong in saying, get the hell out of here.
	But everything's up in the air.
	You just don't know.
	First of all, we've got to convince the government to actually have a referendum to begin with.
	And if the provincial government of Alberta says, no, we're not going to hold a referendum, that's the end of it.
	Got it.
	So Uncivil says, Canada has no electoral college, so only Ontario...
	Quebec matter in any federal election.
	It's a sad state of affairs.
	I don't know if that's exactly accurate.
	The House of Commons is the Electoral College, essentially.
	Yeah.
	Right.
	It's like if we elected our president from Congress.
	Right.
	Exactly.
	From Uncivil again, my Canada partition plan let Quebec and Ontario go.
	And be their own screwed-up Singapours.
	Just cut their land border at Hudson Bay.
	Keep everything north of that.
	Do something similar for the Vancouver-Victoria metroplex.
	Otherwise, it'll work quite well.
	The rest will be U.S. territories eventually.
	Alright.
	For partly 72, $5.
	Block losing to libs.
	Quebec might just have the libs, the 12 seats they needed for a majority government.
	Glad to have left this shithole province.
	MK Telephone Man.
	$5.
	Yeah, sense of wisdom.
	Robert shows up.
	That one's been hanging around for a while, I think.
	So, now we're on to Locals from RyanPD911.
	Three new states.
	Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba.
	Even better.
	Canada will never win a Stanley Cup again.
	All caps.
	Canada's not going to win a Stanley Cup as long as...
	Gary Bettman is in charge of the NHL anyway.
	We've got Sean487 on Rumble.
	$5 as a disabled bet.
	I have nowhere to go.
	Viva, some of us are not blessed like you, you fucker.
	Well, the language in these superchats tonight, or this is the locals chat, isn't it?
	No, that one was Rumble.
	It's all over tonight.
	It's on all three platforms at the moment.
	I'll have to check and see if I have enough Acadian blood to get deported to Louisiana by King Charles.
	I'll tell him I missed the boat.
	I love the Acadians of Louisiana.
	Now, in all seriousness, Robert, what are the chances of Trump opening up the states to Canadian refugees?
	I'd be interested.
	Trump, there's the political point of doing so.
	I think there'd be fun in doing it just because of how UK and Europe are cracking down on speech.
	It's a great way to counter what real constitutional rights are for amnesty seekers.
	I think his long-term objective is to reinstate the old Lincoln plan, or as much of it as you can.
	Abraham Lincoln's plan, which is to go and the US would take large parts of Western Canada.
	He sees it as a resource issue.
	He sees it as a national security issue, especially.
	In terms of controlling borders.
	It's going back to the Monroe Doctrine of controlling Americas, the Americas, the continents, and shifting all defense back to here and getting them out of Europe, Asia, Africa, everywhere else.
	You could trim the defense budget as much as half a trillion dollars, half of the defense budget.
	So he sees Canada, and he doesn't want jobs going to Canada from the U.S. in terms of auto manufacturing especially.
	So to him, I think he was fine with the liberal winning or liberal government in it because he sees that it's easier to push around and to marginalize.
	That was my thought too.
	It was amazing how many liberals sort of took the bait on it in Canada.
	Oh yeah, if we elect a liberal, we'll now stand up to Trump.
	It's like, no, now you're going to get smacked around twice as hard.
	That's what's going to happen.
	That's exactly the point that I made on X, by the way.
	If Trump thinks that Pierre Polyev is going to be harder to work with than Mark Carney, then I want Pierre Polyev to be prime minister.
	Right, exactly.
	If you're a Canadian, that's exactly right.
	And I thought that was the smarter move for Pierre.
	How do you maneuver through Canadian dislike of Trump without becoming an echo chamber of Carney?
	You say, I know how to negotiate with Trump.
	I know how to stand up for Canada, but do so smartly and intelligently, not belligerently, in a way that will screw our interests long term.
	But Pierre always struck me as like Mitt Romney-lite, Canada's version of Mitt Romney.
	Careful.
	I know the man.
	Oh, you know Pierre?
	I do.
	I honestly can't take anyone seriously who's named Pierre, but beyond that prejudice, what do you like?
	It's just Peter.
	I know, I know.
	He's a nice guy.
	When you're sitting and having drinks with him, he's hilarious.
	That's what people have said.
	It's like he didn't translate that well to the campaign trail with consistency.
	I was hanging out with him.
	It was the...
	I think it was the night or a couple of nights after the Ken Starr report was released back in the year 2000 and the cigar jokes were flying that night.
	We'll leave it at that.
	Now that the polls have closed nationwide, I feel kind of safe actually saying that.
	I wasn't going to say it beforehand.
	But this was also in the year 2000.
	That was like 25 years ago.
	It's amazing how much it keeps fluctuating.
	The liberals get up to a liberal NDP majority, then it goes back down, then it goes back up, then it goes back down.
	There you go.
	Now it's in majority territory again.
	163 and 9, 172, yeah.
	They're right at that.
	It's going right back and forth.
	But you're telling me that these blocks will vote as a block.
	It's not like, oh, there's four...
	Quebec block people that will go the other way.
	You're saying that...
	It's very, very rare that will happen because what happens is if you do that, if you do break party discipline, they will kick you out of the caucus.
	So then you sit out the remainder of your term as an independent member of parliament or...
	Maybe you can find another party to join.
	But usually what will happen is they kick you out and you end up sitting as an independent member of parliament for the rest of the parliamentary term, however long it is.
	And then you have to run, hopefully, as an independent in the next election and hopefully your popularity, your personal popularity carries it for you.
	But what ends up happening most of the time is you end up losing the seat.
	So you break party discipline and your political career is over.
	Pretty much.
	What would the Quebec bloc want from the conservatives to form a government?
	Goodies.
	And what matters most to them?
	Is it separation stuff or is it just direct power and money to Quebec?
	Well, they want...
	What are they looking for?
	They're mainly looking for...
	What is...
	Chrystia Freeland.
	Strength for Quebec.
	God help us.
	I hate that woman.
	Yeah.
	She's in.
	Of course she's in.
	That doesn't surprise me.
	Did she at least properly designate the Nazi party as her party?
	No, she's a liberal.
	Officially, yes.
	Nowadays, there's not much difference.
	Oh, did I just say that out loud?
	Neoliberal.
	Nouveau Nazis.
	Isn't she the one whose dad was a Nazi?
	Her granddad was a Nazi?
	Something like that, yeah.
	There's some connection there.
	Yeah, that's why they were cheering for the Nazi that they brought in the Canadian Parliament.
	But when you listen to the speech that the speaker was reading, and you can see it, like, he realizes halfway through his speech what he's saying is like, oh shit, but he can't stop.
	He can't just go, uh...
	It was so great when you were fighting the Russians in World War II.
	He fought the Russians against the...
	Wait a minute, he was fighting the Russian invasion of...
	The Ukraine in World...
	That's not good.
	Because he realized halfway through.
	Oh, shit.
	Anyway.
	Yeah, that's an all-time classic.
	Yeah, that is.
	It costs the speaker his job.
	So, yeah.
	So, I'm going to keep going through.
	There's still a whole bunch of these tips I want to get through real quick.
	Alright, so...
	Jaker2, $100, subscribe to Locals.
	I'm assuming that is a yearly membership.
	DTQC, would you kindly use your connections to lobby Trump world to accept Canadian political refugees?
	I read that one for you.
	From RyanPD911, why wouldn't the conservatives give them what they want and let Quebec secede?
	What downside is there?
	Liberals will never vote for you, so let them be free.
	Letting Quebec libs will be out of your hair, at Robert Barnes.
	Yeah, now I wonder, so I was going to ask, so two questions on that, secession in general.
	How does that work in Canada?
	Like in the U.S., it's actually very difficult.
	We had a little civil war, so it's not so easy for somebody even to create a new state here.
	It's uncharted political territory.
	The Supreme Court has said that, yes, a province can secede.
	It's called the Clarity Act.
	On a clear question with a clear majority, both of which are undefined terms, then a province can, in theory, in fact, secede from the country.
	That doesn't mean that 50% plus one is a clear majority.
	And the question that was asked in 1995 on the Quebec referendum ballot basically was written in such a way that voting no meant yes, I want to stay in Canada.
	So it gets really convoluted and it could lead to a bit of a constitutional crisis if a province did vote to secede.
	The main thing is, as I see it, is a province voting to secede is really a mandate to negotiate the terms of secession with the government.
	It's a bit like negotiating a divorce.
	Is that achievable or is that unachievable?
	Theoretically, it's achievable.
	The thing about the U.S., when the U.S. formed and declared independence, signed the Declaration of Independence in 1776, they basically said, well, we're no longer part of the U.K.,
	right?
	And they said, we're done.
	We're not there anymore.
	And I'm pretty sure that if a province said that and then went to defend their sovereignty, then the Canadian government could do one of two things.
	They could say, okay, fine, go.
	Or send in the tanks and all hell breaks loose.
	And if Alberta votes to secede, I know what side of those tanks I'm going to be on.
	I'm wearing a red hat.
	What does that say?
	It'll be like the South Park episode.
	You know, the movie.
	Invade Canada.
	We'll bring the U.S. military to protect the freedom fighters from the tyrannical government in Ottawa.
	My hat actually says, stop Justin.
	I've had this hat for years.
	From RyanPD911.
	This was 20 minutes ago.
	I just bought a $100 conservative minority to pay out $4,200.
	Oh, wow.
	That's worth the odds.
	Worth the long shot.
	You know, 42 to 1. Don't drop $1,000 on it.
	So a conservative minority government would be the conservatives form the coalition with the Quebec block, right?
	At this point, yeah, but it's not looking very likely if things stay the same.
	And it's now pretty much settled in.
	164 to 146.
	It looks like a lot of these races are close.
	It doesn't surprise me.
	Yeah, it looks like you get about two dozen seats that could go either way.
	Like this kind of thing, right?
	Yeah, like they have that guy's part of the 163 and he's up by one-tenth of a percentage point.
	Yeah, how many polls are reporting in, though?
	That's what you really want to check.
	Oh, that one's almost done.
	That one there is probably going to go to a judicial recount.
	Where a judge has to sit down and look at every ballot and decide who the person voted for.
	So that's how a judicial recount works.
	The judge themselves does the recount?
	Well, I'm not 100% sure on this, but generally speaking, it'll go to a recount, and then somebody will contest the results of the recount, and then it'll go before a judge, and the judge will determine the...
	There's some votes where it's blatantly obvious because everything's done by hand, and you're supposed to...
	Any mark on the ballot that does not identify the voter is a valid mark.
	So it could be a check mark, it could be an X, it could be a vertical line inside the circle.
	Generally, the instruction is to place an X beside the name of the person you're voting for.
	So a judge will look at it and determine if there's never going to be any hanging chads in Canada.
	But it just comes down to...
	How the judge determines whether the ballot is a valid ballot or if it's a spoiled ballot.
	Like, if that X crosses into another person's name or something, then it's going to be controversial for the person who...
	And that's one of the reasons, actually, why it's recommended that you do an X. Because the two separate marks will determine...
	The first mark marks the ballot, the second mark confirms your vote, right?
	So that's why they say to do an X. Ah, how interesting.
	Yeah, a checkmark.
	Like, if you extend that checkmark up into another circle, you're going to poop.
	Okay.
	I said I'm on a live trial there for a second.
	He has a comment here.
	I'll back to that one.
	All right, from Troublemaker Jonah.
	Why would Bernie ever go back to the party of Scheer?
	Fuck the progressive party, conservative party.
	Touching that, man.
	From P. Hance.
	Great to be here.
	Another one from P. Hance, conservatives could offer BQ more self-governance and form a government.
	Disappear.
	Decentralization would be a good one, thinking about it.
	Yeah, for sure.
	That's a topic I'd love to get into and talking about, like, actually, how do we return power to the people and a voice to the people above the party?
	Because at the end of the day, this is our exercise in democracy is making this check on a ballot.
	And then after that, there's literally zero accountability of the representatives to their constituents.
	I mean, would you guys disagree?
	No.
	Yeah.
	It's a two-way street, though.
	As the constituent, you've got to make the effort to reach out to your Member of Parliament just as much as the Member of Parliament has to make the opportunities available for you to reach out to them.
	I completely agree.
	I completely agree.
	I was talking to a Member of Parliament who didn't run again for re-election, but him and I had been talking about You know, I pose the question, you know, you're a representative, so you should be listening to what the people want.
	He's like, yeah, absolutely.
	I'm like, well, you know, would you be interested in, like, creating, having a solution to actually, like, you know, give voice on all of your votes to your constituents?
	And, you know, he was very open because, you know, there's a lot of people that will just come out and vote but aren't really engaged.
	But then there's other people that are far more engaged and actually represent larger swaths of people.
	And from my purview, it's all towards, and this kind of came clear to me after the trucker.
	The situation in the Freedom Convoy was like, we have no voice as a people within parliament.
	And the ability for referendums and a sense of direction.
	Hey, welcome back.
	Who's back?
	Sorry, I interrupted you.
	Go ahead.
	I actually wrote a little booklet called Canadao.
	And it was going to be why we don't need a prime minister, but that felt a little bit too cheeky.
	So it was how we return power to the people, looking at liquid democracy and direct governance in a form similar to DAOs, to be able to enable that type of direct input on actions.
	And this was something that Pierre Poglio even talked about, was referendums and the power of referendums in Switzerland towards changing The threshold for triggering a referendum has to be really high.
	It's got to be difficult to trigger it, but I'm all over the idea of finding a way to trigger a referendum.
	In Switzerland, it's 100,000 signatures.
	On the official referendum signature pads.
	And when you get that amount, then that referendum goes to vote and they have votes four times a year.
	Much like in California.
	Where did I go?
	You're still here.
	Oh, there you go.
	Yeah.
	And then what's interesting is the government sends out a pamphlet to every voter.
	Or a little booklet that has the government's position, which is the no to the referendum, and then they have the official position of the referendum.
	So it goes out to everybody, and the position for the referendum is written by the referendum people, and the government responds.
	And the way the Swiss system of governance works, you can ask a Swiss person, like, who's the head of state, and they don't even know, because every year it rotates across, like, you know, this...
	council, let's say, of the heads of state.
	So politics in Switzerland are not something like that are as heavily glorified as they are in the West.
	It's also a lot smaller of a country, though.
	Did the little guy get to sleep, Eva?
	You're muted.
	Can't hear you, Viva.
	The kid is asleep.
	The next step is now I've got to go walk the blind piece of garbage of a dog and then squeeze out the paralyzed dog.
	And then...
	So nothing...
	I've been listening sort of on mute, but the only argument...
	It's really close.
	I mean, the conservatives...
	It's gone back and forth between whether conservatives in the Quebec block will have a majority.
	Or the Liberals and NDP and the Greens will have a majority.
	But bottom line, the only question is, from the betting markets, is who's got the minority government?
	And it looks like it's going to be the Liberals, unless the Conservatives somehow...
	That's probably right.
	For a while, it got all the way within two seats.
	And then it went back up.
	But there's going to be no Liberal majority.
	And there might not be a Liberal government yet.
	That is not locked in the way the media is reporting.
	The media keeps reporting, oh, Liberals have won.
	Liberals have won.
	It's like...
	Not exactly.
	Yeah, CTV retracted their prediction and changed it to, we're predicting a liberal two-party government.
	What does that mean?
	Right now, they're at 170.
	It's 171.
	They're still short of a majority.
	When it comes to Carleton, which is Pierre Poilievre's writing, I saw someone type in that Pierre Seaton is in danger.
	It's still early.
	Only 40 of 266 polls are reporting.
	That's 15.04% of the polls are reporting.
	So there's still lots of votes to be counted in that writing.
	There's 105,000, 106,000 people who are on the electors list, and only 14,812 of those potential voters have been counted so far.
	Someone asked, let's make Diagilon real.
	I don't know if you can see this.
	I got my diagonal on a chip.
	Although I don't deserve it.
	It says purebloods and everybody knows my blood situation.
	I do not like it.
	Are you waxed and waxed?
	I'm not waxed by any means, but I have taken two of those shots back in whenever we will not speak of it.
	Oh, that was back when you were running for office.
	Well, it was back when...
	It had nothing to do with anything except for pacifying neurotic...
	members of family, which luckily I survived.
	I could check my batch numbers.
	But no, it's...
	Do you think you got the saline?
	No, I just know that whatever my batch was, there were zero virtually nil adverse events reacted.
	You probably got the saline.
	It's possible.
	You think they actually did that?
	Fuck yeah.
	They had to have a control group.
	And they had to have their own batches and monitoring.
	They sold that saline for the full fucking price.
	Of course they did.
	Of the good mRNA stuff.
	Without getting into it, I can tell you for absolute certainty that my first shot was definitely a COVID vaccine because I know this because it was AstraZeneca and after getting the AstraZeneca,
	which I have to add was not an mRNA vaccine.
	It's a dead virus.
	But I definitely had mild, mild symptoms after the fact.
	By the time I'd gotten home from driving, I already had the headache and the sore neck.
	So I know full well that that was a actual mild COVID symptoms.
	Fever broke in the next morning at 5 a.m.
	And so that was definitely a COVID vaccine.
	Now, I can't say my second one was or was not saline.
	So it's theoretically possible that I still, if it was a saline shot, I could be a pureblet.
	Steve, as I listen to, I just put on my other bling bling, which is the other portion of the diagonal.
	This is like, if I ever get ready, like, he had paraphernalia from diagonal on this radical online Canadian military thing.
	Oh, man.
	Yeah, I agree with Matt Hammond from our locals chat that Canada could have avoided all this by joining America during the revolution.
	Then maybe you'd have more freedom people than redcoats running things up there.
	Well, all the redcoats, all the American Empire, all the United Empire loyalists moved up to Canada from what became Canada from the States.
	P. Hans over on...
	I don't know how many...
	I don't know what we read in Locals, but it says, so everything is done by hand, yet they count in less than one day.
	California may need to go to Canada to learn how to count.
	Did we read these chats?
	Those we had.
	We got through a bunch, but not the most recent ones.
	All right, and then we got DTQC.
	My fellow liberty-loving Canadians, I don't know if they will hang the anti-vax first or the PPC first, but we know we will hang.
	DTQC says, Freeland's granddaddy was a Ukrainian collaborator who took charge of confiscated Jewish journal.
	Also, he banged her sources.
	Also, she banged her sources.
	That's how she became famous.
	She did work for the Washington Post.
	She had the Kamala Harris strategy.
	Another Canadian.
	I believe she's a Jamaican Indian American raised in Canada.
	Can we pull up some pictures of a 20-year-old Chrystia Freeland real quick?
	Yeah, let me get that.
	Not to give everyone...
	Dreams or nightmares.
	Her and Jacinda Ardem, Christian Freeland, young, hot.
	Dude, it's amazing what happens when your soul gets sucked out of your body.
	Can you believe?
	It's not possible.
	Wow, she used to be attractive.
	And now she's a nightmare.
	Well, there's indication.
	This right there, that's indications as to where things are going to go, and that's an indication as to where things have gone.
	I'm sorry.
	I'm not making fun of it.
	Holy moly!
	Why are so many liberal women ugly?
	It's just an honest-to-God point.
	I've noticed the same thing.
	Conservative women are gorgeous.
	Yeah, conservative women are hot.
	Maybe that's why they're liberal, because they're ugly.
	Let me just pick up ones that we don't even necessarily like.
	Let me just get...
	Well, AOC you could put as not too ugly, but that's about it.
	Even ones that we might not like as humans.
	Ann Coulter is still...
	I was saying, some people age well.
	She's maintained her age well.
	She has not aged poorly like so many liberals do.
	So what did I miss while I was...
	The kid's asleep.
	The wife is asleep.
	I gotta walk the dogs.
	People tell me Viva's not over yet because they're...
	Really, it isn't.
	I think the media's been trying to say, Liberals win, Liberals win.
	And that's not really what's happening.
	They're not going to get a majority.
	Period.
	That's not happening.
	And that's what was overwhelmingly predicted for the last...
	He's on stage right now.
	Over the last six weeks, they've been predicting liberals are going to win with these and win a big majority.
	That's not happening.
	And whether or not they even end up...
	Look right now.
	They're 170.
	They don't have...
	Unless they get the Quebec block, they could be shut out of power.
	So it's like, this is actually a wicked tight election going right down to the left.
	And the media is representing it as anything but.
	But I would call that cope because...
	Pierre went into this with whatever, a 60-point leader.
	Oh, way back when Trudeau was running.
	But Pierre was a wuss candidate, and that's what you get with wuss candidates.
	Well, I'll just say what I said.
	This is where people are saying, Viva, it's over.
	I criticized Pierre for the last four years.
	Did you write this in bed?
	I may or may not have written this on the bathroom.
	I can escape from the bed for two seconds.
	But what I love is someone...
	This person right here, you're not Canadian.
	You might be getting a picture of my passport with a middle finger.
	Do you know who she is?
	She's a brat.
	She's so brat.
	Well, a dumb itch bay is what she sounds like.
	Because, by the way, I love it.
	You can fuck right off, eh?
	How many times are you going to comment on someone's one person's Twitter feed?
	Maxime is already back.
	The bottom line is, Pierre Lott, he did not win an election that was a shoo-in.
	And then the only question is, he would have done so much worse if he didn't appeal to the middle ground by being anti-Trump.
	Bullshit.
	And Patrick Bet David was like, hey, he just tweeted out an hour ago, hey Pierre, how did your strategy go?
	You turned down my show, you turned down Tucker, you turned down all these major platforms that would have reached a whole bunch of Canadians that otherwise wouldn't have heard your message.
	Jordan Peterson is not an interview that people listen to.
	Jordan Peterson is so fucking smart in his world that he turns away people.
	Like he did not hit the general kind of pop.
	And also he never got like, you know, really angry enough.
	He never called the fake media, just fake media.
	Like honestly, like embrace some of that bravado that Trump has.
	He's very cerebral.
	But just get get a little fired up about the possibility of Canada as opposed to being a little bit of a wet blanket bitch.
	He's a queer politician.
	He's a lot like the Tories of the UK.
	The Tories blew a perfect opportunity to dominate UK politics by how they mishandled the aftermath of Brexit and the COVID in Ukraine.
	This is what I point out to people.
	Look to UK.
	Look to Canada.
	This is what would have happened to the U.S. if Trump hadn't come along.
	We would have kept blowing opportunities to win power.
	You see it in House races.
	You see it in Senate races where the institutional Republican professional class politician is not well-liked or welcomed.
	I mean, what they wanted is something to break through.
	I mean, that's why Boris Johnson broke through.
	That's why for a period of time Bernie Sanders in the States and Corbyn in the U.K. broke through.
	They were looking for anything that wasn't.
	Some generic talking head that looks like they've been preparing to run for office since they're six years old.
	Let me play this because this is where I think it's going to come back to haunt them.
	That interview that he did with Jordan was like, I'm already your president, Mrs. Clinton.
	But this part here...
	...about the probability that if the conservatives in Canada take power, that they'll be...
	If they take power.
	...into this global utopian delusion that seems to have enveloped so many...
	So many leaders, kind of regardless of their political stripe, what do you think, if anything, can inoculate you or has inoculated you against that?
	I know better.
	Oh, I know better.
	Well, elaborate.
	What do you mean?
	I'm not going to do that.
	And it will be hard, because the temptation will be...
	This is the mistake that conservative parties around the world have made countless times.
	They think, well, anybody who's got a conservative mindset is already voting for me, so I can go off and chase the ideas of my political opponents.
	And then everyone will love me because I'll have the conservatives due to the fact that I have the name conservative.
	And then I'll have all these other people because I've embraced their contrary direction.
	And in the short term, it works.
	Can I pause?
	Is that not exactly what he did with his campaign?
	Yeah, exactly.
	I mean, it seems like someone who's lacked self-awareness to a large degree.
	But I also think it represents, you know, there's just too much, there wasn't enough of the PPC spirit inside the conservative party from looking at it from a distance.
	That they were basically just not Trudeau.
	It wasn't ever clear to me, now granted, I'm just an American following it tangentially, but like almost everybody around the world knew what kind of Trump stood for, whether he liked it or disliked it.
	I never got a clear sense of what would Pierre be as head of Canada other than just not Trudeau.
	I mean, that was the part that was missing to me.
	My question about Pierre is how quickly is he going to concede?
	And that will also be very telling.
	Because if he concedes quickly...
	It will not...
	I see no reason to do that when the majority is like this.
	I mean, you got...
	In terms of...
	Right now, they're still...
	They're 172.
	The libs are 171.
	I mean, it's been going back and forth the last hour and a half.
	But who actually has a functional majority, two-party majority, is not at all determined yet.
	It's going to take a good couple of weeks.
	A lot of the polls and media prognosticators were dead wrong again.
	They were predicting liberals would be...
	This is why they jumped out with their headlines.
	Liberals were going to win 180 more seats.
	It was going to be an easy liberal majority.
	They were going to breeze through.
	And it was going to be announced within an hour.
	And that's been what the betting markets have been saying is an 80% probability now for six weeks.
	And they were dead wrong again.
	So it's extraordinary how badly wrong the so-called professional political commentary really is.
	Oh, people are reminding me that Victoria Newland is also another one who...
	Okay, hold on.
	You guys know what she used to look like?
	Victoria Newland.
	They age like ogres.
	They age like a character out of Lord of the Rings.
	Robert, ogres is quite literally the only way to describe...
	I swear to you, it's what happens when you have your soul sucked out of you and you literally become a living demon.
	What does demon possession look like?
	See Christina Freeland.
	See Victoria Dillon.
	And hold on, let's go with this.
	How do I get out of here?
	Compare that to the Russian spokesperson.
	Whoever that woman is, she's like 50 and she still looks hot.
	Jacinda Ardem.
	But the thing is, she might actually have a medical condition, which I don't want to...
	She looks like the woman from the movie with Bill Murray.
	Lost in translation.
	What's her name?
	Scarlett Johansson.
	And then she looks also like...
	Maybe something happened, but that explains it.
	She looks like somebody went through an unsuccessful trans surgery right now.
	She looks like someone who had her soul sucked out of her by the devil himself.
	With those teeth.
	I don't want to say what I think she looked like with those teeth.
	I know why, because it has a double entendre, as we say in Québécois.
	I do want to answer one of the comments that was in the chat I saw go by.
	The question was...
	Yes, yes, yes.
	I can't pronounce that name.
	That is what the condition is called.
	You are correct.
	The question I saw was, does Canada actually have a rhinoceros party?
	Did I just see that right was the question.
	And the answer is yes.
	Canada does in fact have a rhinoceros party.
	Their policies include banning drinking and smoking establishments.
	And giving everybody a petri dish so Canadians can develop their own Canadian cultures.
	They are a joke party.
	Yeah, they've made it there.
	A couple of other ones here in our local screen says, Canada has no real military, says P. Hance.
	USA invasion starts on Monday.
	So Pierre's down mightily.
	He's down 1,300 votes.
	And how many is that?
	60 of 266?
	In his own riding.
	Yeah, but he's going to come.
	He's going to come back.
	Yeah, yeah.
	I can't see him losing.
	I mean, that's still 8%.
	He's not in a good position.
	Yeah, well, there's 91 candidates running against him, so the vote's going to split 90 ways.
	I'll be back in two seconds.
	You're being called.
	Okay.
	I'm going to go squeeze out a dog before she pees on the floor.
	I can feel it coming.
	Put her outside.
	Wow, it's amazing how close some of these seats are.
	Oh, yeah.
	In 1993, on election night, one person in Alberta won their seat by one vote.
	Wow.
	No, I'm serious.
	Edmonton East.
	No, Edmonton West, rather.
	Now, that did change when it went to the recount, but that was the initial result.
	One vote.
	Some of these, if you're looking at it from a district perspective, where is it the liberals have lost, where they were expected to do better, where have they underperformed the most?
	Because I saw a seat in Newfoundland split, and it looked like a massive shift there.
	Is it a rural phenomenon?
	Is it a working class phenomenon?
	Is it an ethnic phenomenon?
	What is it where they're underperforming expectation?
	Those are all questions that I can't answer tonight because I haven't been able to look at the results because the Elections Canada website is incredibly slow and it would take me a little bit of time to do the analysis.
	I can definitely, you know, within the next couple of days, I'll be able to put that together and I'll also be able to tell you just how many writings the PPC did actually cost the Conservatives the seat based on I look forward to the next election because we'll have the AI helping us with the data analysis for these questions.
	We're still not quite there.
	Yeah, that's if there is another Canadian election in four years.
	Oh, well, there'll be one sooner than four years.
	There's no way this goes four years.
	Underneath this area, there's no way this goes.
	That's if there's a Canada lift.
	Canada's not going anywhere.
	So the way elections work is you have more pressure to call it quicker if you have a minority government.
	Is that right?
	Yes.
	Because minority governments tend to be very tiring for the members of parliament who are part of it because everyone is constantly negotiating and going back and forth and talking to each other to try and get things passed and make sure that the budget,
	which is the big one.
	If the budget is defeated in the House of Commons, it's an automatic vote of no confidence.
	Like, the budget is always a vote of confidence, and if the budget fails, then the next day the Prime Minister is visiting the Governor General, simply because the budget is such an important document.
	Joe Clark found that out the hard way in 1979.
	I'm unmuted here.
	I'm going to read these.
	1980, rather.
	Voting matters in Canada.
	We just do what the UN says, and Mark Carney is developing climate policy for the UN, so the people who make the policy are a part of the funding and laws of the policy.
	CSIS, they, them, 007.
	Erhodes says, to quote Jeremy McKenzie, PP has a small PP.
	Erhodes says, hoist the diagonal flag, Viva.
	It's silly.
	I don't have the diagonal flag, but I got a bunch of other stuff.
	What is that?
	I've never heard of it.
	No, the diagonal is the...
	Where is it?
	Well, the Diaglon is the this.
	Let me see if I can.
	That's the ring that comes from Diaglon.
	There you go.
	WF...
	What is that based on?
	So Diaglon was a meme that like, you know, these...
	It's a bit like Kekistan.
	Ah, it's Kekistan.
	Ah, that's great.
	Isn't it amazing that we can refer something like Kekistan and everybody...
	And also, the ring says F-Y-M-M, which means, fuck you, make me, which was them, you know, their middle finger to Canada.
	What's amazing is that it fits so perfectly.
	It's almost like a second wedding ring.
	Kyle, it's still your thunder there.
	I'm the leader of the diagonal party.
	So the idea is, Robert, it's joining Alaska to Florida with all of the states that run in the middle.
	Oh, right.
	So instead of just replacing me too with I'm not your buddy guy, hoist it, I'm going to fight.
	Okay, now hold on one second.
	I name, do swear I'll be faithful to bear truly, this is Mancy King Charles III, King Canada.
	His heir's successors, so help me God.
	Viva, I would like to see you and Myron talk more about his point of view on the federal agent and current legal affairs.
	Maybe even have Barnes on.
	Yeah, it was a good one today.
	Myron and I will definitely do it again.
	Just how deranged you have to be to still vote liberal after everything that happened.
	That's a long time ago.
	Okay, fine.
	Is it less stress than when running for office?
	Yeah.
	It's just more depressing because it's terrible.
	It's just terrible.
	You do what you can.
	You offer the criticism that you can.
	You get shit on left, right, and center.
	It all comes true.
	And then you have some bitch on the internet saying, I'm not Canadian.
	This is the level of cope.
	It's shit on me because I live in Florida when everything I said was right.
	How do you prove you're Canadian?
	You know what I mean?
	You can be macho or you can do this.
	I don't know how you prove you're Canadian.
	I voted for Carney.
	That's how I'll show I'm Canadian, people.
	I'll show you my ballot, you idiots.
	It's got to have the weakest form of national identity of almost any country in the world.
	And then also, if the insult is you're not even Canadian, why would I want to even pretend to be Canadian?
	What does it mean to be Canadian?
	Potential compliment.
	Otherwise, the only thing I think of when I think of Canada is I think of A. Hey, hey, hey.
	I have a beer, eh?
	Poutine is flipping delicious.
	But fishing?
	Fishing skinny?
	Yeah, not so much.
	There's good fishing in America.
	Oh, natural outdoors?
	Not so much Canadian.
	There's a lot of that in America.
	Snow?
	You got snow in America.
	So what does it mean to be Canadian?
	Canadian meat?
	The definition of Canadian to a Canadian is not American.
	Yeah, that's right.
	But I agree.
	That's exactly what it is.
	At least you properly identified the color red with the liberals, right?
	I don't know why in the U.S. somehow we end up with red being Republican.
	That doesn't make any sense.
	I mean, you know, reds, the old red coats, the old commie red, you know, should be Canada red.
	The party rouge and the party bleu is where it comes from.
	Yeah, what does it mean to be Canadian?
	North American and not American.
	That's what it means.
	I'm from North America.
	I'm not Mexican and I'm not American.
	So congrats.
	I'm an idiot who votes for a globalist whore.
	I guess the people of Quebec, do they think of themselves more Quebec than Canadian?
	They definitely think of themselves more as Quebecer than French.
	And then more as Quebecer than Canadians.
	So it's a crazy thing.
	They already have the identity that Alberta is going to acquire within six months.
	But I still see this as being the Balkanization of Canada because it's quite clear the country's not working.
	It's a very different sense of identity between Quebec and Alberta because the founding of Quebec is based on a very strong and united culture.
	Le Français.
	The French.
	Western Canada was settled primarily by Eastern Europe, like huge Ukrainian contingent out here in the West.
	And that's one of the reasons Pierre Poiliev didn't come out and condemn the Ukrainians as strongly as you would have liked him to.
	Because the moment you condemn the Ukraine for their behavior in the war, then...
	You're going to be alienating a whole bunch of people who are very concerned about their loved ones living in the Ukraine still.
	So you don't want to come out and say the Ukraine is bad, although we know what Zelensky has been doing with the press squads throughout the Ukraine.
	But so many people out here are terrified of what's going to happen to their families living in Kyiv that we don't want...
	The politicians are going to say we affirm the Ukrainian population's citizenship's right to self-determination.
	Which is exactly what Pierre said.
	A Canadian is ancestrally American except no guns and no balls.
	Not bad.
	I've got four guns.
	Elizabeth May become the Speaker of the House.
	That's what the Toronto Star is putting forward.
	Elizabeth who?
	Elizabeth May.
	The drunken Green Party idiot?
	The Green Party.
	That's hilarious.
	Hold on.
	That's a joke, right?
	No, that's literally an article.
	I'm like four down in the headlines.
	I'm just going to go looking through my Twitter feed.
	Elizabeth May Viva Retard.
	And I believe I'm going to get the screen.
	I know exactly what tweet I'm looking for.
	If she did become the Speaker of the House, how long would she last?
	Here we go.
	I tell you, I remember everything.
	Here's Elizabeth May, for those of you who don't know.
	And I'll read my comment in this.
	Especially when it's, as she said, existential threat.
	Watching Elon Musk parade around the world as the new emperor evolve along with his buddy Donald Trump, I am deeply concerned for the next election in Canada.
	I'm going to put on this.
	This is a real person.
	She looks like a rabbit.
	She looks like, no, she looks like the dog out of the cartoons with the jowls hanging down.
	Out of the Disney, the Acme cartoons.
	This is a real human.
	And she's not making a joke right now.
	I am deeply concerned for the next election in Canada.
	I think Musk interfering in Germany's elections on the side of the far-right parties that want to play footsie with Nazis and say we don't have to feel guilty.
	You know who she's talking about?
	The AFD, the same one that Pierre Poliev referred to as extremists and AFD Christine Anderson should go back to her country.
	Oh yeah, and who he chided a bunch of...
	Honest MPs for meeting with, because Christine Anderson is fucking awesome, and she's got some great points.
	Man, Pierre had an opportunity.
	He could have absolutely laid into Mark Carney so savagely.
	There was so much ammo, and he did not.
	He gave him a relatively easy ride.
	Never mentioned Weff once.
	Never mentioned Bilderberg once.
	Or a central banker.
	Just central banker.
	But you really want a fucking banker?
	Not just anybody.
	A central banker.
	A globalist whore.
	By the way...
	This is what I said to that guy because I felt bad.
	I said, Elizabeth, I called you a retard earlier tonight.
	I apologize.
	That was premature.
	People correct me and said, you're not retarded.
	You're just drunk.
	Others corrected them and said, you're not drunk.
	You're just retarded.
	Others corrected both of them and said, you are both retarded and drunk.
	Of you giving a shout-out to Omar Khadr.
	Can you please confirm if you are retarded, a drunk, a terrorist sympathizer, and or a combination of all three?
	Sincere question.
	This is actual?
	Let's move on to the press gallery dinner last night.
	Glenn, Rosie, thank you for making in this morning.
	First of all, Rosie, before we get to it, I know it was generally a funny affair.
	Come on, get over here.
	Here you go.
	Omar Khadri, you've got more class than the whole cabinet.
	Thank you.
	This is Canadian politics.
	Could you imagine her as the Speaker of the House?
	Well, it's kind of the Speaker Canada probably deserves.
	Yep.
	The only reason that I could see that happening is because it would prevent the, it would give the Liberals just that one extra vote.
	Because the Speaker only votes in the case of a tie.
	Did she win her seat or is it someone else's seat thus far?
	The green seat.
	I'm curious as to find out.
	They've gone back and forth, but usually the green has mostly been at one.
	Which is where my bet is, by the way.
	So let's finish right at one.
	No zero, no two.
	Just right at one.
	What happens to Pierre if he loses his seat?
	If he loses his seat here?
	They were mentioning earlier that Steve was mentioning earlier he could be appointed to the Senate or something.
	He could still be in the majority role.
	I guess he could still be appointed prime minister if he got to deal with the Quebec bloc, right?
	They're back to 173 again.
	Someone's got to give him their seat.
	Someone's got to give up their seat and give it to him.
	Is that the simplest thing?
	Someone can just give up the seat and he just strolls in and is like, I'm just...
	I believe so.
	I believe so.
	Or he runs in a by-election.
	There is a by-election.
	But that might be months away.
	No, I think someone's got to give in their seat and then they run in the by-election because, yes, weak.
	Not to cut this short because it's already been four hours.
	Gentlemen, if I were to end it, would no one object?
	Yeah, no problem.
	I think we're good.
	If you're over at SportsPix, the Viva's hiding it, masking it, but he's thrilled at all that money he's cashing tonight.
	Canada be damned to at least make some cash.
	He got out of there.
	It's even Steven, only because I was like, all right, by the skin of the teeth that it wasn't a liberal majority.
	I was like, okay, the liberal majority seems like the most outrageous 70% bet, but...
	No.
	You lose on conservative minority.
	Lose on conservative majority.
	It's just like, you apportioned it.
	So it's like, it's an even-steven.
	The big loser of the night?
	Freedom-loving frickin' Canadians.
	And Canada as a whole.
	So, because Canada's not ready for a populist revolution.
	Bullshit!
	They were.
	And Pierre was supposed to be the man to shine.
	And he turned into a...
	Little pussy.
	And he did exactly what he said he shouldn't do on Jordan Peterson's interview.
	He did exactly what he said he shouldn't do.
	And it was the exact outcome that he said would happen.
	But he just presupposed that he would be the Prime Minister, like Hillary Clinton, wishing herself the future president.
	Happy birthday.
	We've got some arguing to do about that, but we can do it tomorrow.
	Yeah, at least the Liberals underperformed.
	So for those of us with a betting interest, that's good.
	But Canada is still doomed because that story hasn't changed.
	So, hey, that's my wrap for tonight.
	Thanks, everybody.
	Was Elizabeth May even running?
	Because I just tried to find her name on the Elections Canada website.
	I was going to say Barnes.
	You can share your socials.
	Everybody knows where to find Barnes.
	Britton, Steve, you're fantastic.
	You're insightful.
	Where can people find you?
	They can find me on X. S-C.
	C being my middle initial.
	B-R-I-T-T-O-N.
	S-C-Briton.
	I'm going to shave it.
	You can find my name on Facebook, but you can also find me on the tubes.
	Not that I do very much.
	My last video is...
	Almost a year old now.
	That's the way to kill your channel.
	Stop uploading.
	It'll be the end of it.
	Yeah, I'm well aware of this, but life gets in the way sometimes.
	It's a good one.
	It's 15 minutes about climate change.
	You can find me, TheRealStevenBritain on the YouTube and on Rumble.
	But you'll find me on X most often.
	I shared your link on Twitter.
	I shared Kyle.
	Kyle is Kyle Kemper.
	Dude, it's fantastic.
	And yeah, well, look, I was right, but it's not disastrous.
	Disastrous would have been a liberal majority.
	We'll see what happens with a functional majority if they can get it.
	But I was right, period.
	Full stop.
	It's not a victory lap.
	It's actually a lap of shame.
	Canadians can't see through this shit, and you've got enough people voting libs.
	Quebec and Ontario, you like being beaten, you're abused housewives, and you just basically gave your husband the brass knuckles because you just don't have enough of it.
	And no matter what you do, it's thank you, daddy, and at least it's not Trump.
	At least it's not Trump.
	You just mandated a globalist banker, three-passport-carrying, WEF Bilderberg meeting attending, Davos globalist whore.
	That's what you did.
	And he's yours now.
	Kyle, one more thing to say for myself.
	At least I'm not Jagmeet Singh.
	He's got his custom dagger.
	He's got his custom turbans.
	He's got his custom bikes.
	He's got a BMW coupe.
	He's got his federal pension.
	He sold his soul.
	And may he never be able to walk among his brethren again.
	Kyle, where can people find you?
	I mean, you can find me on Twitter, Kyle Kemper, and I'll just pop around.
	But that's the best place, you know, if you care to follow.
	That's right there.
	Before everyone goes, make sure you've liked, shared, subscribed, snip, clip as you see fit.
	Especially the part where I said, I was right, I told you.
	Pierre took a sissy route out and it has come back to bite him in the ass.
	It was his election to lose and he lost it.
	Alone.
	Not as a result of PPC vote splitting.
	Gentlemen, we're going to end it and we'll say our proper goodbyes.
	I'll take out the week.
	We don't need to end it on that.
	Godspeed, everybody.
	Peace out.
	If I may as well, no matter what happens here, I truly believe that Canada is going to go in a good direction.
	Nothing can stop the great awakening of humanity.
	We've never had such access to technology, to knowledge, to talent, to resources.
	We are encountering a little bit of a speed bump here with, you know, Uncle Mark and his friends and their continued quest to dominate and own and bring about this globalist new world order.
	But they will fail.
	They will ultimately fail.
	And, you know, they did not, as it looks right now, they have not succeeded in getting the mandate, which would have given them free reign to go mental.
	Pierre, you fucked up.
	You could have done a lot better.
	You could have been stronger.
	You could have been more honest.
	Max Bernier, you fucked up.
	You didn't talk to Pierre.
	You guys didn't come together.
	All the PPC people.
	We live in a two-party system in Canada.
	That's just the way it is.
	Everybody just becomes CPC members.
	We actually get in there and infiltrate and change the verbiage and tonage.
	Pierre's a good man, but it looks like he might lose his seat tonight.
	We'll see.
	But in the end, everything is going to be okay because there is great knowledge, there's great hope, there's great passion.
	Let's focus forward.
	This doesn't end tonight.
	There's more energy.
	There's action plans.
	Because guaranteed on the other side, they have action plans as well.
	The forces of darkness are very well organized.
	The forces of light are less organized, but they are much, much stronger.
	Let us continue to forge forward in our righteous duty and speak the truth and be creative and criticize by creating.
	You can never fix a system by fighting it.
	Truly change something.
	Make a new system that makes the existing system obsolete.
	That is our mission in front of us.
	Are we going to continue to operate underneath King Charles and their sick group of people who they.
	I'll tell you.
	We'll be sovereign citizens ourselves.
	We can't all escape to Florida like we have, Viva.
	No, but I'll tell you something.
	Your white pill is much like Michael Malice's white pill in his book.
	What was it called?
	Not Unhumans.
	He had the other book.
	Yeah, the white pill was that after 80 million people were killed under communism, the people finally woke up.
	Steve, what were you about to say?
	You said you wanted one more thing.
	Yeah, well, at least I'm not Jagmeet Singh.
	Okay, fine, fine.
	That's fine.
	All right.
	Well, we're going to say this.
	Good night, everybody.
	I've got a middle finger to give to somebody on the internet with my passport behind it.
	So let me go find that in the bathroom.
	What I am going to do, Viva, though, is I'm going to sleep on this.
	And tomorrow, after I've done my daily duties at work, I'm going to be...
	I can't duty.
	I'm going to use the...
	I'm going to go through the results and just writing by writing.
	Determine how many writings CPC plus PPC would have exceeded the liberal vote.
	You can go ahead and do that.
	I'll tell you in advance, I don't care.
	The bottom line is this was a defeat, but it's not catastrophic.
	But it's something that people should listen to.
	And the people is not the PPC.
	They lost votes.
	They lost two-thirds of their votes.
	Pierre Poiliev and the Conservatives need to start fucking listening.
	Aaron O'Toole is a big fat tool.
	No one liked him.
	And Pierre Poiliev was Aaron O'Toole 2.0.
	Nobody wanted it.
	Be a fucking hero that Canada needs.
	Not a little sissy that kowtails and tries to get the middle ground vote of the Liberals.
	I think it proves though tonight, it proves that Canada is more deeply divided than ever.
	No, it's quite unified.
	Behind a bunch of people who enjoy being abused.
	And they need their liberator.
	And that liberator is not going to come.
	You know, bending over.
	Maybe it will.
	All right.
	All right.
	Ending it.
	Everyone, thank you.
	Godspeed.
	God bless, peeps.

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