Feb. 22, 2026 - The Political Cesspool - James Edwards
54:48
Radio Show Hour 2 – 2026/02/21
Radio Show Hour 2 dissects Padrick Martin’s warning that U.S.-Israel military strikes on Iran could escalate within weeks, citing its unbreakable Shiite structure, hypersonic DF-26 missiles, and canceled carrier defenses. Trump’s proposed "humiliation ritual" deal—nuclear abandonment without sanctions relief—may provoke war, while Israel’s push stems from election-driven vulnerabilities and a perceived debt to Trump. China’s Haifa naval base, gifted in 2020, adds risks, potentially emboldening Beijing to target Taiwan or Japan if U.S. power appears weakened. The episode frames Iran’s resistance as a calculated deterrent against regime collapse, with broader geopolitical fallout looming. [Automatically generated summary]
You're listening to the Liberty News Radio Network, and this is the Political Cesspool.
The Political Cesspool, known across the South and worldwide as the South's foremost populist conservative radio program.
And here to guide you through the murky waters of the Political Cesspool is your host, James Edwards.
You know, as I said in the first hour, folks, I mean, we have a relatively deep bench here, and new guest, first-time guests make appearances every year.
And so we're always expanding the roster.
But my job here as a coach is to look at the people that we've got and put the best show together, depending on what the issue of the day dictates.
And I don't like to draw from the weld too often and encumber guests by asking them to appear, you know, in short order.
It's a Saturday night after all.
Our guests are husbands and fathers and family men.
But, you know, when something like this spouts off in the Middle East, I got to have guys like Mark Weber, who's coming on next week.
I've got to have Padrick Martin.
I've got to have Padrick Martin tonight.
So I texted Padrick yesterday, and he so graciously agreed to join us again.
Padrick was with us the second show of this year as Venezuela, the Venezuela situation occurred, and he was on with Jose Niño that particular program, and what a great show that was.
But he's back again tonight.
Of course, the former government contractor will now continue the discussion of the apparent coming war with Iran by offering his expert insight.
Now, why is Padrick an expert on what's going on in Iran?
Well, number one, he holds two master's degrees, including one in Islamic studies.
He has worked in 78 different countries, spending the majority of his time in places like the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, and yes, the Middle East.
That's why we had to have Padrick tonight.
And Padrick, I'm so thankful for you giving us that time and giving our audience that time.
How are you tonight?
You know, gentlemen, I'm doing great.
Thank you very much for the invitation.
I was just telling you before I got on here that you saved me from rebuilding the bathroom.
My wife's kind of broke.
Well, like my father used to say, any man that says he's a boss at home will lie about other things, too.
That honeydew list is definitely, it'll get you.
But, no, you know, I really do appreciate the invitation.
Thank you very much, James.
And, you know, it's really an important subject.
As, again, we've talked before is, you know, we've got a lot of young men, especially from the South, who are in the United States military.
And these kinds of wars are going to suck in our boys into wars that they really have no business being part of.
I've spent the majority of my career as part of the GWAT operation and specifically got my master's in Islamic law with regard to Iran.
More specifically, the Jafari School of Islam, which is what dictates most of Iranian policy.
It's what the Grand Ayatollah Khameni is currently the leader of that specific sect of Islam.
And this is the kind of war that I don't think the U.S. really understands what it's getting into.
Bibi Netanyahu does, but the U.S. is not.
Hey, he's not getting himself in it.
He's getting us in it.
Well, we'll get to that in a moment.
But you touched on something there, Padrick, that I wanted to talk about.
So, you know, interestingly, also, folks, as I mentioned, first show of the year, Venezuela had occurred hours prior to us going live on the air that first January 3rd.
David Zotty was on.
He's a former United States Air Force staff sergeant.
We had him back on tonight.
Padrick and he had a debate in the American Free Press that spawned from their takes, their respective takes on Venezuela.
Patrick was with us the second show of the year.
And David was with us in the first hour, Padrick.
And so we were talking about all of the equipment that has been shipped over there.
I won't go over all of it with you, but it's 120 aircraft, multiple warships to the region.
It looks like they are really gearing up to do something.
It doesn't look like a bluff.
David is of the opinion that Iran can weather this and come out better somehow.
Now, would you agree with that?
And then we'll get into how this war may be litigated.
I agree with him.
The way Iran is structured is very different than anywhere else we've ever been.
And it's really built to bend, not break.
That's the way Iran is structured.
It's been structured that way for centuries, even when it was prior to its renaming in 1935 from Persia to Iran.
The overall structure of Iran is made to weather these kinds of storms.
And as I pointed out in an article that I'd written before, is that Iran has never really been conquered.
It certainly has been invaded successfully.
Tehran has fallen.
Tehran was taken by the Soviets in 1941, along with a joint British operation.
It's been taken by even Amir Tamor Tamerlane conquered Iran.
What about Alexander the Great?
Alexander the Great, another one.
So they've taken the capital cities, but they've never actually really taken the overall Persia.
And every time they find a way to boot out those who have taken them.
So it may take a couple of generations, but they always boot them out.
Now, one really interesting part of this is that when Alexander the Great had taken Persia, it was not yet Islamic Iran.
It was not yet Shiite Iran.
And so it's a very different and uniquely structured country that is, from a social justice perspective and so forth, there's a lot of elements as part of it of the overall identity and zeitgeist of Iran that creates a unique identity within Islam as a whole that makes it even more passionate, so to speak, about the protection of its own unique ethnicity, so to speak, put it that way.
So it's a really, it's a very different kind of country than we've ever dealt with before.
And again, Alexander the Great was able to take Persia, but sure enough, what happens next, he winds up getting as far as Afghanistan and India, winds up having troubles in Afghanistan, winds up having issues in India, winds up dying on his way back really to on his way back towards Greece.
And ultimately, you wind up really a breakup of the extent of the Greek empire.
This is a whole different structure here.
We've got a very localized, almost the way I would describe Iran is like attacking a beehive, where you have very small, interconnected cells of communities, however, family communities that have existed for centuries, millennia, that have a strong faith in Islam.
They have financial networks that are interdependent but also independent.
They call Bonyats.
They have the Basiji that's been developed over the course of really since the Iranian Revolution, but the Basiji, which is kind of a National Guard militia hybrid, has been around really in different forms and variations for centuries.
And then you have the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, which really can only be sort of a Marine Corps, so to speak, of Iran, sort of quasi-special forces, quasi-special unit.
And then you have the Artesh, which is the conventional military that has existed for 2,500 years.
So Artesh has been around since the 6th century BC.
So this is a country that is really very, it's got a lot of overlapping structures.
You can take out Khomeini.
We probably wouldn't Maduro him.
We wouldn't pull him out in the middle of the night.
But you can kill him.
There's no question you could probably get Khomeini.
The United States has that power.
But you cannot replace him, especially in a country whose almost its entire identity is structured around its Shiite Islamic faith.
And that's been that way since really probably around the 7th or 8th century, since the death of Muhammad, subsequent battles over the future of Islam, and then ultimately the Shiites, the followers of Ali, Shia Ali, who find themselves a home in Iran across the Zagros Mountains and really develop a very unique interconnected web where if you attack one bee, you're attacking the entire hive and they can come at you at once or they can disperse at once at will.
So again, this is not Iraq.
This is not a, you know, Iraq was segmented.
It had a lot of different sects within it.
It had the Marsh Arabs, Shiite Marsh Arabs.
You had the Sunnis who happened to be in the western portions of Iraq, many of whom were former Saudis who had just kind of taken positions in what became Iraq after the British lost Iraq, sorry, after the British lost Saudi Arabia to the Wahhabi Saud family.
And then you have, of course, the Kurds in the north.
This is not like that.
Iran knows who they are.
And if I'm not mistaken, you know, again, when you're talking about Iran, you're talking about Persia.
You're talking about Indo-Aryans.
You're talking about something different than, say, the population of Gaza.
They're not Arabs.
Yeah, you're talking about something totally different and a totally different thing.
And, you know, Patrick, I am a great admirer of maps.
If you put me in a map room, I would just be transfixed for days.
If you put a wall map, a large wall map, put me in front of that, I'll just stay until I fall over.
And so I love maps.
I love looking and reading about geography and topography.
And if people are unaware, Iran has a total land mass of 1.65 million square kilometers.
So in other words, that is the 17th largest country in the world.
It is one-sixth the size of the United States, and it is a rugged terrain.
It's a lot bigger than Texas.
It is a mountainous terrain.
It is ringed by mountains.
And then if you're looking at it, you've got Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Turkmenistan on its eastern side.
And on the west, you've got, of course, Iraq, Kuwait, Turkey.
But it's ringed by mountains.
And then on the south, you've got the Persian Gulf.
In the north, you've got the Caspian Sea.
So you're going to be able to get, you know, certainly you get warships on Iranian ground, you know, right there at the cusp of it.
And you can get air.
You can get airplanes.
It's a lot like putting boots on the ground in Afghanistan.
You just can't get enough on there.
You can get battleships.
You can get warships on their border.
You can get airplanes over their airspace.
But it's going to be difficult to have an occupying force.
If you couldn't occupy Afghanistan long term, you're not going to be able to occupy Iran.
So how does this war, if it comes to that, and do you believe, by the way, Patrick, a two-part question.
Do you believe it will come to that and in short order?
And if so, how is this war?
Well, who is we?
And how will it be litigated?
Yeah, so first of all, you're absolutely right.
The geography of Iran is incredibly challenging.
Even its Persian shores are essentially cliffs.
I mean, they are really, these are not as easy as attacking Normandy, to put it that way.
And I say that, I really put that in that word, easy.
It's not as easy as Normandy.
That's how hard it would be to take Iran from a literal L-I-T-T-O-R-A-L term.
You look at Afghanistan, well, the area of Pakistan, by the way, is Baluchistan specifically.
That's in the southeastern portion of Iran.
The Baluches are some of the most violent and vicious.
They wound up, they kill both Pakistanis and Iranians equally.
They've killed Americans equally.
In fact, some of my colleagues in the early 2000s were skinned alive by Baluchis trying to cross in Afghanistan, looking for allies in the early parts of that war.
Afghanistan itself is challenging.
Afghanistan, the area of Afghanistan you would have to use would be the Hazara zone.
The Hazara and the Iranians have a very tight relationship.
They're both Shiites.
They're both Jafari school of Islam, Twelvers, Shiite Muslims.
So they have a protective zone barrier.
And even that Turkmenistan area, which has been largely controlled by dictators between both Turkmenbashi and then after that, Bernie Mohammadov.
So you've had different types of leadership in there that really kind of protects that Iranian's eastern periphery.
When you look at his west, of course, Iraq is not really a favorable spot for the United States, as we're well aware.
And again, it's got the Shiite marsh Arabs in the south who are somewhat loyal to Iran.
And then you have, of course, you have Turkey as well.
So it's a fortress.
So that's the first part to understand.
Secondly, Iran is not uniformly Persian.
It's about roughly 65% to 70% Persian.
There's about 20 to 25% large Azeri population as well that moves back and forth, but they also identify as Shiites.
And that Azeri population is just as hardened, if not more so, in the protection of Islam for a lot of reasons.
So you have this additional element that's part of that.
That's a complete wildcard.
So you can put all the troops that you want in there, everything you want, but actually corralling these folks.
In Afghanistan, as you pointed out, Afghanistan had 12 different ethno-linguistic tribes that managed Afghanistan.
You had Pash Jews in the south.
You had Uzbeks in the north.
And you also had, of course, Tajiks and so forth as well.
So you had a region that was so, it was almost like a mosaic, if you want to put it that way, as far as Afghanistan is concerned, with a singular ring road where each part of the ring road changed tribal affiliations.
That is not the case in Iran.
Iran is a fortress of one solid unifying identity in that they understand their Shiite origins.
And being Shia, being specifically Jafari Shia, they have a feeling that Islam was stolen from them going back to the 7th century and that everybody has been against them in some way and that they have always fought back and they have always won.
And that's one of the reasons that really guides their foreign policy.
It's why they backed the Ismaili Shiites in Lebanon, Hezbollah.
They backed the Zaadi Shiites in places like Yemen.
Again, you're looking at a very unique idea.
These are not like, again, the Iraqis, the Afghans.
In Afghanistan, we had natural allies who just simply because people hated each other.
These are tribes that were, especially the Tajik-speaking population versus the Pashtu-speaking population, wanted to kill each other.
That does not exist in Iran.
You don't have that.
You might have some secular folks in Tehran.
Citizens Of Tehran Feeling00:10:21
And when you see these protests, for instance, as a good example, the way to look at this is for the American listener, American viewer, imagine if you looked at, say, the Minnesota riots of 2020 and the Seattle riots, Chaz, or whatever it was called back in 2020.
And you said, you know, the United States really hates Trump.
There's no way this is about the United States about to fall, and they really hate Trump.
Everybody hates Trump.
Look, look at the news coverage.
Minnesota is burning because of George Floyd and the racism in America, blah, blah, blah.
Well, it would be very easy to make that assumption if you were somebody from outside of the United States viewing this stuff and all you're seeing in the news is Minnesota burning or you're seeing Chaz weirdo hippies in Seattle creating their own little autonomous zones.
That if you look at what's happening in Tehran, which by the way, I do not believe the numbers and I don't believe these mass atrocities supposedly and I really do not believe even that many protesters are on the ground.
But even if they were, this would be a very low-class event.
I mean, like if New York City was burning down, well, what happens in New York City does not really impact the folks outside of Memphis.
Does not really affect the folks outside of Ocalo, Florida.
Doesn't really impact the folks outside of Salt Lake City.
That's in New York City.
Well, the same goes for Iran.
The urbanites in Tehran may be upset.
They may be ginned up.
They may have been a few folks throwing rocks and what have you.
But that's not Iran.
Tehran is just like every other urban capital.
It's got its own urban population.
It's own issues.
Iranians know who they are.
And again, they are a unified identity.
We are not going to beat them.
We might be able to hit them hard, but not beat them.
I'm so glad you said that because that was actually one of the questions that I had for you tonight: what are the citizens of Tehran feeling tonight?
And I really liked how you compared that to what we may feel as Americans or as Southerners compared to what somebody in New York City or Washington, D.C. may feel.
That was a very fascinating answer.
Very insightful.
Thank you for that, Padrick.
And I think the people in Tehran and in Iran, if they want to look at what their future would be if the Israelis win and take over, they need to look at Gaza.
I mean, you know, yeah, a little bit different thing because, you know, Gaza, of course, is such a small, narrow strip of land.
But yeah, I mean, sure.
I mean, that's what they want.
There are many tender mercies coming in there directly.
Well, let me ask you this, Padrick.
This is, again, I like to bring this out that we were live on the air when Operation Midnight Hammer commenced.
And that is a very powerful sounding name for such a relatively weak operation.
And then they allowed Iran to bomb a non-existent base to save face.
That was a weird thing.
This 12-day war of last summer was a real thing.
Now, I brought this up with David Zetty in the first time.
I'd like to get a very quick answer for you on this, and then I got one more thing for you before we go to the first break of this hour.
And that is, do you believe that that so-called 12-day war ended in a ceasefire as a result of Iran's outperforming what Israel thought that they would be able to do in terms of inflicting damage?
Ballistic missiles.
Yes.
Yes, I do.
And I think there's another issue as well.
The United States has really spent most of its armaments.
In fact, its supply chain system is a disaster in Ukraine.
This is something I worked on back in 2022 and 2021 was the Ukraine component of supply chains.
And I can tell you right now the United States does not have the ability to continue to provide missile defense systems and armaments to both Ukraine and to Israel.
It's got to be one or the other.
And Israel was really bleeding out dry very quickly.
A very key component of the reason why the United States is trying to pull out of the Ukraine engagement is because we simply don't have rare earth elements necessary to continue to provide support for Ukraine and to provide for Israel.
And Israel knows that.
And Israel has been begging really the United States to get out of the Ukraine issue, the Ukraine war, and come and continue to give it more and more support.
Well, I think what they never really countered, they never really truly appreciated was that Iran has really developed a really complex system of weapons that comes from an asymmetric form of missile attack that makes it very hard for them to defend.
And the Iranians are now beginning to get to a point where they can exhaust the Israelis' missile defense systems in a quick manner in such a way.
And I think the Iranians were looking for a chance of breathing because the Iranians really just want to be left alone.
And they want to have their own.
They're like Greta Garbo.
But on the other hand, they found out just exactly how many ballistic missiles they could throw at them.
And I think that it's a lot cheaper to use the ballistic missiles offensively than it is to defensively shoot them down.
Well, here's another question for you about that is that, I mean, so this 12-day war, it was very weird.
Israel started it.
The United States entered it June the 21st, and then it was over.
And then it was like nothing was really resolved.
So it seemed to me that at that time, Iran had surprised Israel with their military prowess, with their ballistic missiles and penetrating the so-called.
And that's the reason for this war because they found out that they have something more than nuclear weapons to threaten them.
Well, I mean, so Israel pushed pause on it for eight months, and now they're retooling, and now here we are.
So the question is, where are we, Padrick?
I mean, do you see a limited-scale operation as we saw in last June?
Or is this something where you're in it to win it?
The United States is going to go with everything it's got.
And then, you know, both you and Zuddy are in agreement that Iran will be able to withstand this.
That's interesting.
But, you know, interestingly, also interestingly, I read something, I guess it was a joke, but it could very well be true, with regard to when this will happen.
If you want to know when, you need to look to see when pizza delivery orders are spiking at the Pentagon and when all the gay bar activity is dying down in D.C. That's going to be your telltale.
Do you believe that this is going to happen within the next few days?
Yeah, and let me say this first, too, before you get into that.
I think that, you know, Israel, because of that last year, that 12-day kerfuffle that we had, they found out that they have as much to fear from the ballistic missiles as they thought they did from the nuclear weapons.
And now they want Iran to give up the ballistic missiles.
And if they do that, they're defenseless.
I actually have a question that came in for Padrick from a listener in Illinois.
We'll get to that after the break.
But Patrick, the question right now is, and that's a great point, Keith, and that is something that one of our listeners who's listening right now live has also is also commenting on.
But Patrick, when do you see this kicking off?
And what do you think the scale and scope will be?
I can answer that right now if you want, or you want to wait for the break.
Your choice.
Go ahead for that.
Go ahead for that one, and then we'll get into the ballistic missile thing.
I do think it's going to be within the next week.
I think Trump has kind of cornered himself into declarations.
Plus, it's something to point out and something really came out big is that the tariffs were knocked down by SCOTUS.
So between the tariffs and Epstein files, there needs to be some kind of distraction from domestic affairs.
Now, over the course of the next week, you will have some kind of action.
The big challenge here is that Iran does have Chinese-made anti-ship missiles, and they may possibly have the DF-26, which the Chinese have been begging to try to try for quite some time.
The DF-26 long-range ballistic, it's a hypersonic anti-ship missile system, could take out an aircraft carrier from 1,500 kilometers away.
So right now, the Iranians, this is my guess here, is how this would go.
If the United States decides to use one of its aircraft carriers as part of the assault, the Iranians are not going to play games.
And the Chinese who are assisting the Iranians, at least strategically, will probably have them use one of the missiles of the DF-26.
It's part of the YJ-20 hypersonic missile program for China.
It'll probably knock out one of the aircraft carriers.
You're going to lose about 3,500 to 5,000 men in one shot.
We only got two of them, and I think they're obsolete armaments, actually, and sitting ducks.
And also, I understand that the Chinese have some type of special stuff to basically scramble up all of our communications.
Well, they do.
Yes, that's true.
It's also important to note that under the Obama administration, under the Obama administration, all anti-ship ballistic defense systems were canceled by the Obama administration in 2015.
So all the hypersonic anti-ship ballistic systems as part of an agreement, an idea that it would be a peaceful agreement with China that was part of the Taiwan tensions at the time.
Well, the aircraft are sitting ducks in other words.
Well, we'll get to Patrick about that.
Hey, listen, you know, we talk about his work as a former government contractor, 78 different countries.
He spent time working for Uncle Smoo and his degrees.
He's a southern nationalist, too.
He's always with us for Confederate History Month, and we'll be again in April.
We'll be right back.
Pursuing Liberty, using the Constitution as our guide.
You're listening to Liberty News Radio.
This hour from Town Hall, I'm Mary Rose.
In the wake of the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs, economist Steve Moore believes President Trump will find a workaround.
He sounded pretty confident that he will find a way to make these tariffs legal so that he can go forth.
The much anticipated but never guaranteed U.S. Canada showdown for gold in men's hockey at the Olympics is on Bob Agnew reports.
Jack Hughes scored two goals, including one with a highlight reel individual effort.
And the Americans rolled into the final by routing Slovakia 6-2 in the semifinals on Friday night.
They'll meet tournament favorite and top-seeded Canada on Sunday for the title.
It comes a year since the North American rivals played two memorable games against one another at the Four Nations face-off.
Bob Agnew reports.
American Idol Finals00:03:19
A former American Idol contestant is charged with murder and his wife's death.
Former American Idol contestant Caleb Flynn pled not guilty Friday to murder and the death of his wife Ashley in a 911 call Monday.
A frantic Flynn says someone broke into their Tip City, Ohio home and shot his wife.
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Okay, but you're not with them now.
No, they're in their room.
They're not even awake.
Flynn arrested Thursday for murder and staging the crime scene to mislead investigators.
Bond set up $2 million.
Flynn was on season 12 of American Idol.
I'm Julie Walker.
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The National Weather Service said up to two feet of snow was possible as it issued blizzard warnings for New York City, Long Island, southern Connecticut, and coastal communities in Jersey and Delaware.
More on these stories at townhall.com.
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It is common for politicians, major media outlets, and nonprofits to hype white on black murders aggressively or even claim that blacks are living in fear of white people.
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Hard To Believe00:11:51
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Well, as I so often tell you, ladies and gentlemen, some of the best content of the three hours that we are together each week actually occurs during the commercial breaks.
And I chided brothers Patrick and Keith for giving away some of the best content of the night during the last five minutes where we were off the air.
Well, it goes back to Keith's question as to whether or not these aircraft carriers are setting ducks.
Patrick, you had an answer for that during the break that I begged you to share with the audience and also a retort.
Start there.
We have to make haste, but I couldn't let that pass.
One thing, for sure, the aircraft carriers are sitting ducks.
No question about it.
And nothing gets the United States more excited about going to war than killing its sailors.
As we saw with Pearl Harbor, now, of course, you guys, Keith and I are discussed.
You can go ahead and kill sailors if you're the Israelis shooting at the USS Liberty.
That was up at the break.
Yeah.
So you can get away with it if you're Israeli now.
But if you're anybody else, you're not allowed to get away with that, right?
Yeah.
And so, I mean, if you want to get a war going, you go kill some sailors.
You're going to get yourself a war.
You know, Gulf of Tonkin.
You know, Vietnam, of course, we have Pearl Harbor.
Even during the Korean War, we had attacks on U.S. ships, U.S. vessels.
So, I mean, again, it's just something that happens.
It's always the sailors that are put in a place where they could get killed, and then we want them going into wars because, of course, America, rah-rah, you know, we've got to go get vengeance for those dead sailors.
That's what happened again.
One of the things really concerned about are the Israelis.
Well, they've killed the most sailors without any kind of repercussions whatsoever.
All right.
Well, that was a fascinating, it was entertaining to say, well, I don't know if that's the right word, but it was, but it was.
Anyway, I wanted to share that.
That was the conversation we were having here with the break.
Thank you, Patrick, for going back to that.
Now, let me get to this.
I found out of all the things I've read in preparation for our talk tonight, I found an interesting piece here that was published by a site I'd never heard of before, Responsible Statescraft.
I'm going to read two excerpts from this, and in the last segment of the hour, we've got to get to some questions from the listeners.
But this is what this reads, and you tell me if you agree or disagree.
The deal that Trump has put forward entails Tehran completely giving up its nuclear program in return for no new sanctions, but no actual sanctions relief.
This is, of course, a non-starter for Iran.
There are hardly any more sanctions the U.S. could impose on Iran.
And the current level of sanctions is suffocating the economy already.
Accepting this deal would not enable Iran to escape its economic dead end, but would only prolong the economic decay while depriving it of nuclear leverage it believes it needs to free itself from existing sanctions.
Second, according to sources, Trump recently also floated the idea of a smaller attack with the Iranians responding symbolically by striking an empty U.S. base.
But Tehran has refused and made clear that any attack would be responded to forcefully.
Trump may hope that with a much larger strike force in the region, Tehran will reconsider its response.
But it is difficult to see why Tehran would, since caving to this military threat would only likely invite further coercive demands, beginning with conventional military options, such as its missile capabilities.
That is, Iran's remaining deterrent against Israel.
Without it, Israel would be much more inclined to attack and cement its subjugation of Iran, or alternatively, move to collapse the theocratic regime altogether, Tehran fears.
Is that a pretty accurate assessment of what they may be considering over there?
It is.
By the way, that's the Russian perspective as well.
A lot of the Russian news sources have had very similar thoughts and ideas about this: is that the idea that what Trump had put out as a proposed peace plan is really not a peace plan at all.
It's really a humiliation ritual.
Now, there's a lot in here, you know, a lot to unpack.
Again, this is a really big topic, but the Israelis, by the way, have had their eyes set on the Persians really since the Babylonian captivity.
It's something to point out that there is a biblical relationship between Persia and Israel, but more specifically, I have my own thoughts and my own ideas about who really are the Jewish people in general.
I do not believe that they are the Israelites that we know of.
But yet that said, there's a certain lineage or lineal factor involved here where there's been a very long-term requirement of the Jews to take Persia, to take Iran.
And this is just part of it.
I mean, in fact, there's a large Jewish population in Iran now, many of whom are part of the Tehran protests, by the way.
So that's just something to point out.
The plan that Trump put forward was very clearly a plan that was articulated to ensure that the Iranians do not comply.
It's all part of wanting going to war.
There's no way that Trump is even thinking about not fighting Iran.
I mean, this is already on the table.
I think that idea really has, and again, part of this was all part of the supply chain challenges that existed.
The United States simply was not in a position to fight a war last year.
And it really was not in a position to fight a war and protect Israel last year, this time last year.
It just wasn't there.
One of the things that we need to remember, too, is that, you know, Trump is basically a sock puppet.
The guy that's actually calling all the shots is Netanyahu.
On this issue.
Yeah.
Yeah, President Netanyahu.
You know, that's one of the things.
I mean, everybody looking at this now, one thing that I think a lot of folks have forgotten is Greenland is part of this, by the way.
So one of the issues, Greenland's got the largest rare earth elements that are untapped in really in the world.
And the United States does not have the capacity right now to provide its own rare earth element needs for the sake of weapons development and anti-ballistic missile defense, et cetera.
So we need those raw materials badly.
And again, what was a glaring hole, it was the inability of the United States to provide its own supply chain needs.
I can get into detail with this, but to put this in perspective, in late 2021, early 2022, myself and a couple of other colleagues were approached to work a supply chain project in Ukraine.
We put together proposals at the time for defense.
We were not aware that this was going to happen with regard to what happened with Russia.
We just didn't have the details on it.
But there was already an understanding that Russia was going to go into Ukraine.
Ultimately, what happened was they gave these programs, the Biden administration gave all these programs, supply chain programs to a group of very small black-owned businesses in the Tampa area, all of whom completely failed.
I mean, what I'm telling you, they completely failed.
There were weapons sitting in ports in places like Tampa, New Orleans, Galveston, Texas, that never shipped.
And this is 2024.
They never shipped.
And so you have, there were fake rare earth element mineral contracts by these black contractors in Tampa.
I mean, it was all over the place.
And so you have, I think when Trump came into office in 2025, January 2025, it's my opinion that those who were at the top that were giving him direction, guys like Mike Wallace and so forth at the time, believed that the United States had more available to it than it did, largely because a lot of the numbers were inflated by these smaller black and LGBT allied folks, people of color type folks that were in charge of all these contracts, and they were inflating their numbers because they wanted to get paid.
And so it was really an interesting thing.
Another example of diversity being our greatest strength, right?
Oh, no question about it.
And it was, again, we weren't aware of the specifics in late 2021 at the time when the contract came, was presented to me as part of an RFP process, request for proposal process.
But we do know that where it went, who won those awards.
And they were inflating the numbers, and nothing was coming of it.
And I do think there was a holy Lord moment, probably a little bit more crass than that, in last year, in early 2025, when they realized that they really did not have the ability to support Ukraine-Israel, and they really didn't even support the ability to support Ukraine, let alone Ukraine and Israel.
The Israelis knew it.
The Israelis were, I think this is one of the reasons why they kind of took a step back.
They've waited for the last year.
They've been trying to assemble what they could and what they can.
And now I think the real reason here is this.
Israel knows that the midterm elections are coming and that Trump is going to lose some of his political leverage here, most likely at the end of the year.
So now is the time to strike while the iron's hot, even if the United States is really ill-prepared for this.
So what?
It doesn't matter to them if more American boys die.
They need to hit now while they can, and that's what they really want.
And the United States simply does not have the supply chain infrastructure necessary to effect any kind of war, any kind of military action whatsoever, beyond something along lines of like a limited special forces type engagement like we just did in Venezuela.
Well, you know, what it's expensive to process those rare earth minerals, even if you have the resources.
And we have so many wars going in so many places.
Like, what is it?
750 bases and 150 different countries around the world.
You know, and we're on the verge of losing the dollar as the world's reserve currency.
How are we going to afford all this, even if we had the resources?
A thought to ponder as we take this break.
Patrick, we'll come back with that.
We've got a few questions from the audience.
We'll try to get to at least a couple of them.
When we come back, we're talking about Iran and the likelihood, or in fact, the inevitability that we will be at war with them by next week when Mark Weber joins us in the first hour of the last show of February.
March around the world is going to be interesting this year.
We'll be right back.
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All right, Patrick, we have got to get to some questions from the audience.
This one comes from the Pride of Effingham, Illinois.
This is the favorite son of Effingham.
And he writes, how predictable it is that for years we were nagged and mandated to help eliminate Iran's nuclear program.
And now, but now they cannot even possess ballistic missiles either.
So, are we obliged to start a war with every enemy of Israel who possesses missiles?
We are, thanks to Israel First President Trump, so writes the author of this piece.
Canon and fodder for them evidently destined to kill their enemies for them for eternity.
Do you have a response to that, Patrick?
Absolutely right.
I mean, there's really nothing if you go into, well, first of all, we go into Iran.
We're not getting out of it.
Not the same way we went in.
So I think this will be the end of the United States.
We know it.
This is going to be a bad one.
So we go into Iran, we're done.
But that said, yeah, I mean, the bottom line is we work for Israel now.
And because we work for Israel now, Israel is our master.
If the Israelis decide that somebody else has a weapon that might be able to hurt them, we're going to have to go in there.
We're going to be demanded to go in there.
Again, I just don't think we're going to have the capacity to do so, especially if we get stuck to in a war with Iran.
Well, once we lose reserve currency status, that will answer the thing.
We will no longer be daddy warbucks for Israel or anyone else.
That's correct.
You know, a good parasite knows when to stop sucking the blood out of its host.
And Israel is not a good parasite.
It's just a parasite.
Are ticks better evolutionary?
I think they are.
We've already got a bad case of Rocky Mountain spotted fever here.
All right.
Here's another one from a mutual friend.
John Kiriakow speculates that, quote, Netanyahu threatened to nuke Iran if the U.S. didn't attack first.
Do you think there's any credence to that?
I doubt it.
I don't think the Israelis would waste their nuclear arms on Iran.
Not at this moment anyway.
I just don't think they would do it.
They like having that ability to just fire that weapon when they want to.
And to be fair, the Israelis are looking at other threats as well in the region.
Iran is just one of the larger threats to them.
But they also have additional threats that they are constantly eyeing.
And I would say this, especially the Israelis are especially looking cautiously, let me put it that way, at Turkey and its growing encroachment in the region.
All right, another question.
Why is Trump doing this?
That seems like a simple question, but it's actually probably the most important question we could ask right now, and he wants to live.
I have a theory about that, actually.
All right, go ahead.
Go ahead.
I have a theory about this.
You go first.
Go.
So here's what I think you have.
So in 2020, I do believe the election was stolen.
Nobody can tell me otherwise.
And I think what happened was he had these electoral systems, these electronic systems, where the algorithms were manipulated to make sure that Biden won.
So every time a vote went for Trump, some kind of number went out, like 1.12 or whatever it was, went to Biden or something.
And plus you had stuffing ballots and so forth as well.
I do believe that in 2024, the same was expected.
Kamala Harris apparently reportedly already had Victory Champagne open that evening.
They were ready to start toasting.
They had all kinds of celebratory gestures.
They had everything ready to go.
I really do believe they thought in 2024 they had this in the bag.
I think there were certain Marxist elements within the United States that really thought this was done.
It was over.
They're about to win.
Again, these are really Maoists.
I wouldn't even say that.
So they're Maoist elements that really thought they were going to win.
And it is my belief that the Israelis, who are outstanding when it comes up to manipulating anything involving electronic formats, you know, again, Hackers may have gone into the systems and actually reversed those codes and then let Trump know it.
I think it's been, I think the Israelis probably went to Trump and said, hey, we helped you win because we stopped their algorithms.
So you now owe us.
And I could foresee a scenario where Trump feels that he is required to pay back that.
And if you want to win in November and want us to do this again, you've got to do our bidding.
Exactly right.
Yep, exactly right.
All right.
Well, I mean, it very well could be that simple.
As a matter of fact, that's the most simple and logical answer.
Well, the simple and logical answer is what, Occam's razor?
It's usually the one.
Well, I mean, but here the thing is, I mean, the nuance on Trump is, and we've been far more objective on covering him than I think some in our ranks.
I mean, you know, even perhaps favorable would be a word.
But how do you cover Trump going forward after this?
I mean, can you partition any good that has occurred in the last 10 years to white interest versus vis-a-vis?
The question, James, ought to be this.
Can you see him not doing this and moving forward?
Well, I mean, if you think about it this way, gentlemen, is Trump in 2028 will probably move to Israel.
I mean, he's already talking about doing this seaside deal, right?
In Caesar and so forth.
I wouldn't be surprised if you were Trump Towers of Gaza in 2029, and that's where he lives under Israeli protection, where they have an extradition agreement with the United States.
He'll be the mother.
That's probably what's going to occur.
I bet that's what happens.
The mayor of Gaza with Kushner landlords.
Yeah, we're all eating soy gruel inside some kind of Marxist re-education camp.
He's out there eating, you know, he's eating fake bacon in Israel.
He's not eating Gefelta fish, I'll tell you that.
McDonald's without cheese.
Minister of meat.
Okay.
Soil and green.
Okay, that's too, we're having too much fun now, considering the stakes.
But again, Patrick, I got to ask you, I guess as we start to come to a close this hour, what I said a moment ago, I mean, I mean, we are coming up next week.
Mark Weber will be on.
We may very well be at war by next week.
I wouldn't be surprised if we're not.
I mean, the Royal We, of course.
I mean, we with air quotations.
But in two weeks, we'll start our March Around the World series.
March around the world is going to be infinitely more interesting if this kicks off as we expect it will.
Now, with just a few minutes remaining tonight, Patrick, the question to you is, where are we a week from now in your opinion and any other final thoughts that we haven't covered yet with you?
And contact information, anything you like.
I think we are engaged in some form militarily.
I think there's going to be an attempt to make it a limited strike.
I don't know if Iran will have struck yet by the time we do our strike, but by this time next week.
But I would say within the next two weeks, we will probably have some kind of large-scale catastrophe in the Gulf, likely an aircraft carrier being struck or one of the other vessels in the area being struck.
Do you move that much aircraft and naval ordinance without, you know, that couldn't be a bluff, right?
I mean, you're moving it over there because you're going to do something.
No, but it'd be suicidal if, like Patrick had said, we don't really have the defense systems to protect them.
Well, but all that, you know, I mean, I don't want to get too much in one question, but I mean, are you moving that much without planning to use it?
Right, exactly.
No, you don't.
And think about it.
You've got the convergence of three different fleets.
You have the sixth fleet in the Mediterranean, you've got the fifth fleet in the Gulf, and you have the Seventh Pack Fleet coming now in the support of the Fifth Fleet.
So you've got the convergence to three different unique Navy fleets.
That's enough manpower.
It's enough air power, anyway, to essentially bomb the bejesus out of Europe and take Europe out.
I mean, so you have the air power there.
If you want to kill every man, woman, and child in Iran, I guess they could do that, tragic as it would be.
But there's something else to really point out here, and this is something really critical that everybody's missing.
In 2019, the Israeli government took a U.S. naval base.
It was paid for by U.S. tax dollars and gave it to the Communist Chinese Party in Haifa.
They gifted it to them.
The Chinese took over the base that was originally intended for the United States Navy.
They gave it to them in March 2020.
So the Israelis, our greatest ally, gave over a U.S. military base to the Chinese.
The Chinese using that as a signals intelligence base and as a refueling base for its Navy and naval operations of the region.
That signals intelligence base is capable of giving the kind of strike commands and kind of strike information necessary for the Chinese YJ-20 anti-ship missile program, anti-ship ballistic missile systems to be able to strike U.S. naval assets in the region at will.
And that is something that's an example of Israel being our greatest ally.
Exactly.
And so they now have the ability to, they not only have the ability to strike, but they also have the intelligence capacity with Chinese military assistants who, again, have been itching to try their own, their hypersonic anti-ship ballistic missile systems on a U.S. vessel for quite some time.
Because let's face it, if you look at this, it's a prelude or kind of a prelude to the possibility of any kind of war with Taiwan.
Patrick exposed a big weakness in our defense.
Rich Hamlin is tuned in tonight.
He's on the all the best.
Hey, say that again.
Say it out loud.
Rich is the great guy.
Rich, I love you, man.
God bless you.
God bless your wife.
I'm glad he's listening.
I love Rich.
He's tuned in.
He's on the mend.
And we love you too, Rich.
All the best to you and Janice.
And he said this is a good segment.
And he asked if this would be a good time for China to take Taiwan and Japan.
I'm thinking about, you know what?
I think after watching the U.S. take a couple bruises, and as Keith had pointed out, seeing the U.S. dollar probably lose its position of preeminence, one of the reasons why we're going to crypto as quickly as we can, because I think that's part of this whole game, is to switch into crypto.
I do think this would be the time when China kind of waltz into Taiwan.
I don't even think they would, to be honest with you, the way Taiwan is kind of working right now, they may be able to just kind of waltz in there.
Taiwan itself, maybe not Japan, but certainly Taiwan.
You know, like Hitler going into Austria.
Yeah, a little bit different.
Kind of.
Kind of.
But I will say this.
Every now and then there is kind of an hour where I am reminded why I have done this for 22 years.
This is that hour.
Patrick Martin, you are that guest, and I really appreciate you coming on tonight and making our show worth listening to to everybody who's tuned in across the country and around the world here on AM 1600 in Memphis and wherever you receive our feeds, the affiliate stations, the different internet outlets that carry us.
If you're listening in the broadcast archives even, this is why we do what we do.
I don't think anybody's had a better analysis.
No, hey.
Thank you, gentlemen.
That is straight up.
Patrick, straight up.
Thank you for coming on tonight and for lending us your brilliance and making us sound like a good radio program.
We'll be back with Rick Tyler.
Have you heard about the Nationalist Solutions Conference?