Tim Pool Daily Show - US DOMINATING Strait Of Hormuz, Trump Says “Nothing Left To Target”
Aired: 2026-03-11
Duration: 01:02:23


=== Iran Controls Strait of Hormuz (14:53) ===

[00:02:18]  What is going on, Patriots?
[00:02:20]  This is Tape Round here, holding it down on this beautiful, beautiful Wednesday afternoon.
[00:02:26]  It is a fantastic day here, and I am very excited to be back with you today for the Timcast News Live Show.
[00:02:33]  Obviously, quite a bit of action in the news.
[00:02:36]  It's actually really all Iran.
[00:02:38]  That's all there is to talk about.
[00:02:39]  Before we get started, I forgot to turn this light on.
[00:02:42]  I'm gonna turn it on real quick.
[00:02:42]  Look at this.
[00:02:43]  We do it live.
[00:02:43]  One sec.
[00:02:48]  Oh, yeah.
[00:02:49]  Oh, now we're now cooking.
[00:02:51]  Now we're cooking in peanut oil.
[00:02:52]  We've got our lights on.
[00:02:53]  This is how we do it.
[00:02:53]  We do it live.
[00:02:54]  This is raw.
[00:02:55]  This is why people like Timcast because we raw dog everything.
[00:02:58]  Quite frankly, things are very, very raw out here.
[00:03:01]  So, like I said, Iran is what is on the docket today.
[00:03:04]  Again, it's an escalating situation.
[00:03:09]  I will say this.
[00:03:10]  The goal of the Trump administration is coming a little bit more into focus here.
[00:03:16]  Seems pretty evident to me that the Street of Hormuz really is the target here.
[00:03:20]  We are trying to lock it down for good.
[00:03:23]  And I think maybe these people that, you know, they had speculated that perhaps putting a pincer movement on China have a point.
[00:03:29]  But ultimately, it looks like this is, again, about just securing oil.
[00:03:34]  Primarily, it's the same situation we had in Venezuela.
[00:03:37]  Obviously, there is the Israel component.
[00:03:39]  That is the main reason we got involved.
[00:03:40]  But as far as what is our goal, because there's reporting from the Wall Street Journal that indicates that the Israelis obviously want a full regime change, of course they do.
[00:03:48]  But that the United States Trump really wants to wrap this up as soon as possible.
[00:03:51]  So we're trying to figure out how do we get our bag before we get out of here.
[00:03:55]  And I think the Strait of Hormuz is the answer here.
[00:03:56]  So we're going to get into that.
[00:03:57]  It's going to be really fascinating stuff.
[00:04:00]  I have a few more stories that we'll try to get to in the docket.
[00:04:03]  Obviously, I have an update on the fire, the massive fire in Glasgow.
[00:04:08]  Again, it's not a consequential story necessarily.
[00:04:11]  It's not changing the face of global politics, but nested in this story really is a lot of truth about Western civilization, broadly speaking.
[00:04:23]  Obviously, this beautiful old Victorian building was burned down because of the careless management of an illegal vape shop ran by a Pakistani migrant.
[00:04:36]  Really horrific stuff.
[00:04:37]  And really, like I said, it kind of encapsulates every issue that we have in this sort of our societies very concisely.
[00:04:44]  So we got that in the books.
[00:04:47]  And then we will be joined at the half-hour mark by the great Tony Ortiz.
[00:04:51]  We're going to bring him in, obviously, Texas specialist.
[00:04:54]  He knows the ins and outs of Texas politics.
[00:04:56]  I don't know if there's anyone that knows more about it than him.
[00:04:59]  And we'll be bringing him on to discuss the Cornyn situation, the John Cornyn Senate race in Texas.
[00:05:08]  So it's going to be really great stuff.
[00:05:10]  With that, I think before we get into today's show, well, you know, we'll play the ad halfway through.
[00:05:17]  Where's my freaking?
[00:05:19]  Okay, here's my mouse.
[00:05:20]  All right.
[00:05:23]  Let's go.
[00:05:24]  Let's see.
[00:05:27]  Okay.
[00:05:27]  All right.
[00:05:28]  Let's get into it.
[00:05:29]  Here's our first story.
[00:05:30]  This is from the Wall Street Journal.
[00:05:33]  Really exciting stuff here.
[00:05:34]  Iran control from the Wall Street Journal.
[00:05:39]  Iran's control of Hormuz means it's exporting more oil today than before the war.
[00:05:45]  Tehran is letting ships carry its crude go through the strait while it scares off others.
[00:05:52]  Okay, let's hang on.
[00:05:53]  Let me get a little red bull down the hatch.
[00:05:55]  One second, folks.
[00:05:58]  I'm just out of it today.
[00:05:59]  I don't know what's going on.
[00:06:00]  All right, Iran's.
[00:06:01]  Okay, from the Wall Street Journal.
[00:06:04]  Iran's control of Hormuz means it's exporting more oil today than before the war.
[00:06:07]  Okay, yes, correct.
[00:06:09]  Now I remember where I was.
[00:06:10]  Yeah, so obviously this headline hits the docket this morning.
[00:06:13]  I think Disclose TV had put up a tweet, you know, declaring this, and people were, you know, coming out and saying, well, so much for the U.S. dominance in the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:06:23]  If oil, you know, if Iran's able to export more oil than ever before, how does that indicate that they're in control whatsoever?
[00:06:30]  Like, what's going on here?
[00:06:32]  You know, if you saw in the title, the title we went with here at Timcast today was, look, the U.S. is dominating the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:06:40]  This sort of headline is proof of that.
[00:06:42]  This doesn't actually, you know, this isn't to tamper our point.
[00:06:45]  This is to emphasize it because the reason for that is because, again, Iran senses that a total lockdown of the strait is coming.
[00:06:54]  Therefore, they need to get all the oil out while they can.
[00:06:57]  In addition to that, Trump and Israel have successfully struck so many storage depots throughout Iran.
[00:07:07]  We saw the scenes over the weekend, you know, in Tehran, the Israeli strike that took out that massive oil refinery, and it looked like something out of a movie.
[00:07:19]  Again, that is proof that Iran is trying to offload as much of this oil that they have.
[00:07:23]  That's just the reality of the situation.
[00:07:25]  80% of Iranian oil goes to China.
[00:07:28]  So, you know, they got to get it out as fast as they can.
[00:07:33]  If you look at the way that their oil supply works, I guess I can pull this up real quick.
[00:07:37]  I'll pull up, let's see if I can get Google Maps.
[00:07:42]  The way that Iranian the Iranian oil export works is because the Strait of Hormuz is actually quite shallow along the coasts, they have to use, They have to get a little crafty with how they export.
[00:07:58]  So if you can see here, I just wanted to make sure I didn't dox ourselves with Google Maps.
[00:08:04]  So here's the Strait of Hormuz right through here.
[00:08:08]  But what's interesting is the way Iranian oil exports work is actually along the coast here.
[00:08:12]  Maybe if I use satellite, it'll be a little clearer.
[00:08:15]  It's actually quite shallow, especially on the eastern edge.
[00:08:19]  It's actually very shallow.
[00:08:20]  And the way that, you know, these super tankers operate, super tankers is what the majority of international oil, that is how it is.
[00:08:28]  It is, you know, that's how it's traded.
[00:08:30]  It's how it's moved.
[00:08:31]  It's how it's shipped.
[00:08:32]  They're massive.
[00:08:33]  They won't fit into these ports that Iran has all along the Gulf.
[00:08:39]  So what they do instead is they use this island here, the island of Karg.
[00:08:45]  This is obviously controlled by Iran.
[00:08:48]  And they use this island because the water around the island is actually quite deep.
[00:08:54]  And so they're able, the Iranians, they've built out a massive pipeline network which flows all the way into Karg.
[00:09:04]  And I don't have a ballpark estimate of how much of their oil goes through this island, but it is, again, upward.
[00:09:09]  It's the majority of their oil that is shipped by water.
[00:09:14]  Again, is shipped out through Karg.
[00:09:16]  And so this is why if you notice, the Israelis struck the refinery in Tehran, which is a very big deal.
[00:09:26]  The United States nor Israel has struck Karg.
[00:09:29]  And the reason they don't want to strike Karg is because the ultimate goal, at least for the Americans, is after they wrap this war up, they need a stable political situation.
[00:09:42]  They don't want to leave behind a vacuum.
[00:09:45]  A vacuum in Iran would be absolutely devastating for all parties involved.
[00:09:50]  We want to be able to leave behind a stable political system that we can just sort of put in our own guys.
[00:09:56]  And so if you bomb Karg here, if you were to strike Karg and basically incapacitate the Iranian oil industry, that takes away the future Iranian regime's ability to export oil.
[00:10:12]  So it'd be a massive, massive problem.
[00:10:14]  What I suspect is happening is you're seeing, again, you're seeing Iran basically export all of their oil.
[00:10:21]  In addition to that, what you're seeing is you're seeing from the president, you know, this is from the Central Command this morning.
[00:10:29]  U.S. forces are degrading the Iranian regime's ability to project power at sea and harness international shipping.
[00:10:34]  For years, Iranian forces have threatened freedom of navigation and waters essential to American regional and global security and prosperity.
[00:10:41]  You're seeing that.
[00:10:42]  You're seeing from President Trump.
[00:10:46]  President Trump just, this was over the weekend, obviously, said 46 Iranian ships are at the bottom of the ocean.
[00:10:52]  Trump says, in fact, I got a little upset with our people.
[00:10:54]  I said, what quality?
[00:10:56]  Excellent, sir.
[00:10:57]  I said, why don't you just capture and use it?
[00:10:58]  And they said it's more fun to sink them.
[00:10:59]  They like sinking them.
[00:11:00]  They say it's safer.
[00:11:01]  It's probably watch the clip real quick.
[00:11:02]  It's a funny clip.
[00:11:03]  Being utterly demolished.
[00:11:05]  The Navy is gone.
[00:11:06]  It's all lying at the bottom of the ocean.
[00:11:09]  46 ships.
[00:11:10]  Can you believe it?
[00:11:11]  In fact, I got a little upset with our people.
[00:11:13]  I said, what quality of ship?
[00:11:16]  Excellent, sir.
[00:11:17]  Top of the line.
[00:11:18]  I said, why did we just capture the ship?
[00:11:20]  We're going to use it.
[00:11:21]  Why did we sink them?
[00:11:22]  They said, it's more fun to sink them.
[00:11:23]  I just said, that's suck.
[00:11:26]  They like sinking them better.
[00:11:27]  They say it's safer to sink them.
[00:11:29]  I guess it's probably true.
[00:11:30]  So you see this, and you may be thinking like, okay, valid, we're roughing up the Iranian Navy.
[00:11:37]  Why?
[00:11:39]  You know, if regime changes the goal here and or if destroying their nuclear program is the goal here, what's their navy have to do with any of that?
[00:11:49]  You know, the Iranians aren't really known for their navy by any stretch.
[00:11:56]  They're not, that's not how they, that's not how they project power whatsoever.
[00:12:02]  They project power, again, well, they're trying to protect power through a nuclear program.
[00:12:06]  And so, let's see, I wanted to, well, you can see here, I'll just pull up.
[00:12:15]  This was from Reuters, and this was based off of this was this is JP Morgan.
[00:12:20]  They're basing this off of an Axios report that indicated, going back to Carg Island, that the Americans were actually looking at seizing Carg Island.
[00:12:29]  So, to my point, the Navy, what's the Navy have to do with anything?
[00:12:32]  If nuclear program dehabilitation is the goal, if regime changes the goal, why attack their navy?
[00:12:38]  Why does central command, again, put so much emphasis on destroying the Iranian regime's project power at sea?
[00:12:44]  When has Iran ever projected power at sea?
[00:12:47]  They're not really considered a naval power, not even really considered a naval power in the region, let alone internationally.
[00:12:53]  But we've allocated so much resources to destroying Iranian cargo.
[00:12:58]  And look, Iran understands this.
[00:13:01]  This is from CNN.
[00:13:02]  Iran begins laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, sources say.
[00:13:05]  Now, they've already had mines.
[00:13:07]  There's been mines in the Strait of Hormuz for a bit of time from what we've read.
[00:13:12]  But they're ramping this up.
[00:13:14]  Again, they're kind of starting to start to think the Iranians at the Strait of Hormuz might not be theirs forever, at least indefinitely in this current regime.
[00:13:25]  Again, this is from CNBC.
[00:13:27]  Three cargo ships struck off Iran's coast.
[00:13:29]  UK says, including one in the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:13:31]  So things are ramping up in the Strait of War.
[00:13:33]  That's where all the action is right now.
[00:13:35]  Okay, this is the reality of the situation.
[00:13:40]  So then this is what you see.
[00:13:41]  Now we see the headlines.
[00:13:43]  This indicates that this could be what's coming.
[00:13:45]  Trump said today, or it wasn't Trump, it was the Trump, but the White House said that, you know, there's, they didn't say this, sorry, there was a report that the White House was considering another round of strikes.
[00:13:56]  This could take like two more weeks.
[00:13:59]  The question is, where?
[00:14:00]  You know, Trump has come out and Trump has said, look, I don't know what's left to strike.
[00:14:05]  You know, we've struck everything.
[00:14:07]  There's not really any viable targets left.
[00:14:11]  And if you are to take him at his word, then you have to start to think, okay, what would we be striking?
[00:14:15]  And then naturally, you know, you start to think, okay, well, maybe it's trying to secure the strait.
[00:14:20]  Maybe it's really about choking out, you know, Iran's oil capacity.
[00:14:24]  That is what would topple the regime.
[00:14:27]  You almost don't even need to put a boot on the ground, right?
[00:14:29]  If you're able to completely eviscerate the Iranian oil regime, you don't even need to put a boot on the ground.
[00:14:34]  You don't.
[00:14:35]  They're going to run out of money.
[00:14:37]  That's how they fund everything.
[00:14:40]  And so I think this would be massive.
[00:14:46]  And then, like I said, here with Karg, if we're able to secure this island, right?
[00:14:53]  If we're able to seize it, I think that's curtains for Iran.
[00:14:56]  It really is.
[00:14:57]  They have no way of getting their oil out of the country.
[00:14:59]  Because again, they ship through pipelines.
[00:15:02]  They bring their oil here.
[00:15:03]  And then this is where the supertankers come in, collect the oil, and then ship it all the way out the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:15:10]  If you seize this island, it's over.
[00:15:12]  They don't want to bomb it, obviously.
[00:15:14]  This is why JP Morgan's saying oil shock to worsen should the U.S.-Israel seize Iran's Carg Island.
[00:15:24]  Who's to say?
[00:15:25]  This is a JPMorgan projection.
[00:15:27]  I mean, we are seeing reports now that the Venezuelans, now that we're sort of flooding the market with their oil, that's part of the reason oil hasn't gone outrageously expensive in lieu of this conflict.
[00:15:38]  I mean, I mean, all the Gulf states being struck, you know, Iran, everything.
[00:15:47]  It's all would indicate that, you know, oil prices should be shooting through the roof.
[00:15:54]  It's just not the reality.
[00:15:55]  It's not the reality of the situation.
[00:15:58]  Iran's oil experts would.
[00:16:01]  This is from Reuters.
[00:16:02]  Iran's oil exports would stall and output half if the U.S. and Israel were to seize its port on Karag Island, triggering further attacks from Tehran on regional oil infrastructure, JP Morgan said in a note.
[00:16:15]  Axios reported on March 7th that the U.S. administration had discussed seizing the island, which sits some 30 kilometers off Iran's coast in the Gulf and processes 90% of its crude exports.
[00:16:30]  A direct strike would immediately halt the bulk of Iran's crude exports, likely triggering a severe retaliation in the Strait of Hormuz or against regional energy infrastructure.
[00:16:40]  But this is the interesting thing, is we're already seeing that.
[00:16:44]  We're already seeing the Iranians indeed are, again, targeting the Gulf states.
[00:16:49]  This is kind of a question people ask, and this is interesting.
[00:16:53]  People are asking, okay, how stupid are the Iranians?
[00:16:57]  This is what people have said.
[00:16:58]  How stupid are the Iranians?
[00:17:00]  Is that following U.S.-Israel strikes, they start bombing the Gulf states.
[00:17:04]  They start bombing the UAE.
[00:17:05]  They start bombing Bahrain.
[00:17:07]  They start bombing Qatar.
[00:17:08]  They start bombing the Saudis.
[00:17:09]  They start bombing Oman.

=== Strikes Halt Iranian Oil Exports (02:45) ===

[00:17:11]  The reason for that is because those Gulf states have the ability to put pressure on the Americans, put pressure on the Israelis to wind up the strikes, right?
[00:17:19]  To wind up this operation.
[00:17:21]  If they keep getting hit, they're going to say, hey, can we get this wrapped up?
[00:17:24]  Like, what's going on here?
[00:17:26]  That's why Iran's taking out or attempting to inflict damage on the Gulf states.
[00:17:32]  Now, the question is, are they effectively doing damage to the Gulf states?
[00:17:37]  I don't know if that's necessarily true or not, but what else do we have here?
[00:17:44]  I think that's all I got on the Iran front.
[00:17:49]  Yeah.
[00:17:52]  Anyway, let's move on to this next one.
[00:17:54]  This is what I got here.
[00:17:59]  Right.
[00:18:00]  Pakistan.
[00:18:02]  I didn't know there was a Muslim version of India.
[00:18:05]  You find these things out when you're growing up and it's quite hard.
[00:18:07]  You know, I think you think India, right?
[00:18:09]  And you hear about India and you're a little nervous.
[00:18:11]  You hear about it.
[00:18:12]  Freaks you out a little bit hearing about what's going on over there.
[00:18:16]  It's really some serious stuff.
[00:18:22]  Sorry, I'm just feeling so crap right now.
[00:18:25]  I think it's these allergies.
[00:18:26]  It's just got me cooked.
[00:18:27]  I don't know what it is.
[00:18:31]  Leading report puts this headline out.
[00:18:33]  This is really some beautiful stuff.
[00:18:34]  Some Pakistanis no longer want to immigrate to the United States because of President Trump.
[00:18:39]  Wajahat Ali claims.
[00:18:41]  I think this is great news.
[00:18:43]  What do you guys think?
[00:18:43]  This is great news, right?
[00:18:44]  This is fantastic.
[00:18:45]  All right, this is what's interesting to me.
[00:18:47]  This is what do we got here?
[00:18:52]  This was in Glasgow.
[00:18:54]  I talked about it on the show a few days ago.
[00:18:58]  This Victorian, this beautiful central station in Glasgow, it's this beautiful Victorian building, hundreds of years old.
[00:19:09]  It's really spectacular, spectacular building, and it kind of just epitomizes what makes Britain by extension what makes America great.
[00:19:16]  What makes Western Europe such a great place?
[00:19:20]  It's this beautiful architecture.
[00:19:21]  It's this attempt from the population to reflect the Imago Day and everything, not just through our own lives, but in the environment around us, to sort of bring forth God's image and whatever we can, whatever is possible.
[00:19:41]  I think architecture certainly is a way to do that, right?
[00:19:47]  You want your environment to be uplifting.
[00:19:49]  You want your environment to be, you know, anyway, yeah, you want.

=== Spectacular Architecture in Britain (02:08) ===

[00:19:56]  So, anyway, so this happens in Glasgow.
[00:19:59]  This train station burns down.
[00:20:04]  And it was really tragic stuff.
[00:20:05]  You know, we're seeing it.
[00:20:06]  We're seeing it happen live on Twitter.
[00:20:09]  You know, you're seeing the building engulfed in flames.
[00:20:14]  And it's really, it's really tragic stuff.
[00:20:16]  It's really, it's really hard to see.
[00:20:18]  And immediately, you know, people are trying to figure out what could be the cause of the fire.
[00:20:23]  You know, people's minds go back to every time there's a fire in the city center, you know, people immediately start blaming the electrical work.
[00:20:33]  You know, they're saying, okay, you know, maybe the city's asleep at the wheel on electrical inspections.
[00:20:38]  That could very well be the case.
[00:20:42]  Who knows, right?
[00:20:43]  Who knows?
[00:20:43]  But, you know, people go back to the Notre Dame in Paris when the Notre Dame burned down.
[00:20:50]  And immediately, I think people kind of knew what happened, right?
[00:20:53]  I don't think this was the workings of the French.
[00:20:55]  I don't think they're going to let their guard down when it comes to the most important building in their country, or at least the most iconic building in their country.
[00:21:02]  That's certainly not the case.
[00:21:04]  Now, obviously, this building in Glasgow isn't by any stretch the most iconic building in Scotland.
[00:21:11]  But it is, you know, it's a very beautiful building.
[00:21:13]  It's a very old building and these sorts of things.
[00:21:15]  I'm just kind of talking in circles here.
[00:21:17]  Here's what gets interesting.
[00:21:18]  So the fire breaks out.
[00:21:20]  Immediately people are trying to figure out what happened.
[00:21:22]  Now, a lot of locals start saying and they start speaking up and they're saying, hey, there was like some dodgy shops kind of in the bottom level.
[00:21:30]  Can we take a look at that and see if that could be the cause of this fire?
[00:21:37]  Immediately people start discussing this specific vape shop and they say, hey, things are a bit dodgy in there.
[00:21:46]  Things are a bit shady.
[00:21:48]  This is from Count Dankula.
[00:21:49]  He put this write-up after this fire occurs.
[00:21:56]  And here's what he had to say.
[00:21:58]  The Union Street fire story gets worse and worse.
[00:22:00]  Shop was run by Pakistani nationals.
[00:22:03]  Did not have a legal license to sell vapes.

=== Dodgy Shops Spark Fire Inquiry (05:12) ===

[00:22:05]  We're not even registered.
[00:22:06]  Owed 10,000 pounds of business rates from last year.
[00:22:10]  Council sent bailiffs after me for being three weeks late on a 2,000 pound payment.
[00:22:19]  The shop was sold to a new owner only two weeks ago.
[00:22:22]  Fire was apparently caused by an overloaded vape charging station.
[00:22:26]  They most likely had multiple extensions plugged into the one socket.
[00:22:32]  Allegedly, a woman had rented a room for her business upstairs and was due to open for her very first day of business literally the next day.
[00:22:39]  Foreign scammers are already setting up fake GoFundMes to try and scam locals who want to donate to help the business owners.
[00:22:47]  That is just very typical.
[00:22:50]  And yeah, I mean, that's just the reality of the situation.
[00:22:57]  Gosh.
[00:23:03]  Is that, you know, these people come here and the standards that they have, right?
[00:23:08]  standards that that that they um they have for building codes and these sorts of things in pakistan um is just not on par uh with what our standards in the west are whatsoever um and that's gosh i'm sorry i can like barely talk um Just not, it's not the same as the West whatsoever.
[00:23:35]  Um, and so, yeah, you come here and you can't expect them to you know operate their business the same as us.
[00:23:43]  That's just that's just the reality.
[00:23:45]  Um, and so it reminds me of this story.
[00:23:49]  Um, this was uh a few months ago, actually.
[00:23:52]  And John Doyle was the one, you know, out of all people, John Doyle, he was the one that actually kind of flagged this story or this specific narrative and exposed it to everyone for everyone to see.
[00:24:05]  Um, this was Blaze Media's Blaze Media's write-up on it.
[00:24:15]  New ex post from Zorhan Mamdani has even conservatives nodding in approval, but are they duped?
[00:24:21]  John Doyle says Mamdani's small business plan that even the right is applauding is nothing more than a Marxist trick to benefit his foreign base.
[00:24:30]  Um, I'll read here: uh, New York City mayor-elect Zorhan Mamdani slapped a new caption on a five-month-old campaign video pledging to boost New York City's small business ecosystem with massive deregulation measures, leading some conservatives to applaud the socialists as more base than they originally thought.
[00:24:47]  In the clip, Mamdani vows to quote make it faster, easier, and cheaper for small businesses to get started and stay open by cutting fines and fees by 50%, expediting permits and applications, appointing a quote, mom and pop Tsar to fight bureaucracy, and increasing funding for small business programs by 500%.
[00:25:08]  This kind of red tape slashing deregulatory rhetoric is something you would normally hear from Republicans or maybe an old-school Democrat, but to hear it from a self-described socialist is truly an anomaly.
[00:25:21]  Or is it?
[00:25:22]  John Doyle, Blaze TV host of the John Doyle show, says these conservatives praising Mamdani's small business plan have had the wool pulled over their eyes.
[00:25:29]  Mamdani doesn't really care about small businesses, quote, he is simply rewarding his foreign base.
[00:25:36]  And he talks about the redistribution, obviously, that we're familiar with.
[00:25:41]  But this is really the crux of what's going on here.
[00:25:44]  And I think Doyle is absolutely correct.
[00:25:46]  And this kind of ties in very well to the situation that we saw.
[00:25:52]  The situation that we saw in Glasgow.
[00:25:55]  One second.
[00:26:06]  Apparently, this is from Doyle.
[00:26:08]  Apparently, nobody is understanding that this guy isn't accidentally good on an issue.
[00:26:12]  This is done only to make it easier for illegal aliens and other foreigners to quote set up shop without having to jump through hoops.
[00:26:18]  Established businesses didn't have that luxury, but now Mamdani is increasing startup cash for quote new businesses, whose businesses, and removing regulations or waiving fines for things that I'm guessing these extremely unassimilated demographics would have no ability to do, much less interest in doing.
[00:26:37]  Cleanliness standards, worker hygiene standards, temperature control, food safety inspections, record keeping.
[00:26:42]  Something tells me that Mamdani isn't rug-pulling his Marxist-based.
[00:26:46]  He's rewarding it.
[00:26:49]  Because Marxism is not an ideology to people with no intellectual history, it means quote free stuff and doing whatever I want.
[00:26:55]  That's why the foreign-born population elected him mayor.
[00:27:00]  And that's what he's doing here.
[00:27:02]  The absolutely last thing you need is less oversight and regulation of people who are navigating civilization for the first time.
[00:27:13]  Yeah, that's absolutely true.
[00:27:15]  And that kind of, man, I'm so like Tim.

=== Demographic Shifts in Texas Politics (14:46) ===

[00:27:17]  My throat is just like completely gone.
[00:27:21]  I'm really struggling here.
[00:27:24]  This ties into the situation in Glasgow, obviously, is these guys that are running the shop.
[00:27:30]  Again, they have the standards, the expect, or the, you know, the business standards and practices that you would see in Pakistan.
[00:27:39]  And that's just the reality on the ground.
[00:27:43]  Jeez, Louise.
[00:27:44]  Oh, my gosh.
[00:27:45]  I'm freaking hurting, dude.
[00:27:50]  So you can't focus because you're just like hurting so bad.
[00:27:53]  That's why I can't get a bog together.
[00:27:54]  It's like my throat is just gone.
[00:27:56]  So let me play this ad and then try to figure out what to do when we get back.
[00:28:01]  I think Tony might be ready, which would be a godsend.
[00:28:04]  So let me get this ad played and then I'll be back after the break.
[00:28:07]  It is Beam Dream.
[00:28:08]  Go to shopbeam.com slash Timcast and pick up your nighttime blend to support better sleep.
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[00:28:23]  And then you go to sleep and you sleep like a stone.
[00:28:27]  I started drinking this several months ago.
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[00:29:01]  Go to shopbeam.com slash Timcast to pick it up.
[00:29:06]  All right, well, we are back.
[00:29:07]  Thank you very much to Beam Dream for sponsoring the show.
[00:29:10]  And I'm very excited to be back here today because I think we're going to have Tony Ortiz hop in here and discuss all things happening in the great state of Texas.
[00:29:18]  Obviously, you guys have probably been following the race between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton.
[00:29:23]  You know, Ken Paxton being kind of the more MAGA base aligned of candidate in the Senate race.
[00:29:29]  Cornyn definitely being a through and through swamp creature.
[00:29:32]  I don't think there's any doubt about that.
[00:29:34]  Well, the interesting thing about the race is Trump has obviously weighed in and endorsed John Cornyn, which, you know, to the dismay of pretty much everyone.
[00:29:43]  And it's quite interesting because, you know, people have pointed out Trump's biggest weakness for the longest time has been who he endorses.
[00:29:50]  So I'm going to bring in Tony Ortiz and we're going to have a chat with them.
[00:29:53]  Let's see.
[00:29:54]  Hey, Tony, can you hear me?
[00:29:55]  Hey, how are you?
[00:29:56]  I'm doing all right, brother.
[00:29:57]  How about you?
[00:29:59]  Good.
[00:29:59]  Good to see you.
[00:30:01]  All right.
[00:30:02]  Well, let me get this fired up.
[00:30:03]  And there we are.
[00:30:04]  Here's your beautiful face is now on camera.
[00:30:06]  Tony, thank you very much for joining.
[00:30:08]  I'm very happy to have you on today.
[00:30:09]  For the people who don't know who you are, the five people out there, could you give a quick intro of who you are and what you do?
[00:30:14]  Yeah, I run Current Revolt.
[00:30:16]  We're a Texas-based media outlet that specifically covers just Texas-based news.
[00:30:21]  So things like affairs and scandals and just inner party happenings within Texas.
[00:30:26]  All of that is on our website.
[00:30:27]  I love that.
[00:30:28]  I love that.
[00:30:28]  Well, I had to bring you in because this story, well, it's not just, it's many stories nested within one story.
[00:30:35]  It's obviously all the election drama in Texas.
[00:30:38]  And obviously, this is going to be your ballpark.
[00:30:40]  I wanted to lead with the big one.
[00:30:42]  Obviously, this is the one that everyone's talking about: the Cornyn versus Paxton race.
[00:30:45]  There's a lot of moving parts here.
[00:30:47]  The interesting thing I think everyone's pointing out is Trump has had this problem for the longest time in which he seems to not look into who he's endorsing or he just endorses just obviously guys that hate him.
[00:31:01]  I think there's really no other way to put it.
[00:31:02]  And this seems like to be another case where Paxton obviously seems to be the MAGA favorite.
[00:31:08]  Obviously, the base is behind him.
[00:31:11]  He's great on policies, Trump loyalist, I would say.
[00:31:15]  And then Cornyn gets the nod over him.
[00:31:17]  Could you maybe give us some of the inside baseball into why this is happening?
[00:31:21]  And maybe specifically from the Texan point of view, why Cornyn has such an unfavorable view among Texans?
[00:31:28]  Yeah, there's probably two reasons, right?
[00:31:30]  That you can speculate on.
[00:31:31]  One is the biggest one, which is Democrats also view Paxton as the least likely to win against Tallarico.
[00:31:38]  Tallarico, James Tallarico, is the nominee for Texas Senate for the Democrats, right?
[00:31:44]  And polling has consistently shown, and this is all polling has consistently shown that when it's a Paxton, Ken Paxton versus James Tallarico matchup, Ken Paxton performs the worst versus compared to like a John Corner, right?
[00:31:57]  So not only are like conservatives and like right-wing people supporting Ken Paxton, but Democrats want Ken Paxton to win, right?
[00:32:04]  They view him as the weaker one.
[00:32:05]  So maybe Trump sees maybe the long-term game on this, right?
[00:32:09]  And the risk associated with that race.
[00:32:12]  And then additionally, you know, Cornyn is currently the nominee.
[00:32:15]  He's the incumbent.
[00:32:17]  And it could be a situation where the votes are really tight right now.
[00:32:22]  We don't have enough of a majority to get what we want done in Congress and in the Senate.
[00:32:28]  And Trump really needs that Cornyn support to get certain things passed.
[00:32:32]  That makes that makes a lot of sense.
[00:32:33]  I mean, because Trump, obviously, I think in his, he hasn't endorsed, full-blown endorsed Corny, if I'm correct, but he basically says something along the lines of like, I endorse people with a winning record.
[00:32:43]  And he's basically saying he's going to endorse the incumbent.
[00:32:45]  I mean, for lack of better word, you could read between the lines a little bit.
[00:32:48]  And I imagine that endorsement would be coming soon.
[00:32:51]  To your point, I mean, that's a bit alarming, I would say, for the Texas GOP that they're actually having to make calculations on who they run because the state's gotten that tight electorally.
[00:33:01]  And I, you know, I remember during the beto run, you know, conservative media was mocking them, you know, routinely, but a lot of the Texan politicos were saying, like, hey, I don't think you realize, you know, the demographics in this state have changed, right?
[00:33:13]  And things here, this isn't, you know, deep ruby red like it used to be.
[00:33:18]  Obviously, you know, Beto got beat pretty considerably, but it's getting tighter and tighter.
[00:33:23]  And that is to me a bit sad that we can't just run a Ken Paxton and know that he's going to be a shoe-in.
[00:33:30]  Yeah, and it's even, it's even worse than that.
[00:33:32]  So we just had our Republican or our primaries.
[00:33:34]  We just had our statewide primaries.
[00:33:36]  And the numbers, the totals finally came out.
[00:33:39]  And more Democrats voted in the primary than Republicans.
[00:33:44]  And this is the first time it's happened in a very long time by 100,000.
[00:33:49]  So again, you have 100,000 more Democrats in the state of Texas turning out to vote than Republicans.
[00:33:55]  If those numbers maintain, that is not good for the state of Texas as far as Republicans go.
[00:34:02]  Absolutely.
[00:34:02]  And when you were on the show, I think it was the show I was hosting, actually, you were on.
[00:34:07]  I made this point, and this like always triggers people in the audience because they don't like to hear it, but it's just the reality on the situation is because the narrative, not just among Texans, but among like red state people in general, people that reside in red states is, well, you know, the natives of this state are great and super conservative.
[00:34:24]  It's these out-of-state transplants are the ones that are like really, you know, screwing things up for us politically.
[00:34:29]  But that's just never reflected in data.
[00:34:31]  And there's a handful of states where that might be true.
[00:34:34]  Like I think North Carolina, that probably is true.
[00:34:36]  But if you look at Texas, if you look at Florida, it's the people out of state that are actually voting Republican.
[00:34:42]  It's the natives, specifically in Texas, the natives.
[00:34:45]  And this data point I always cite, and you might have some other data, is from the Cruz Beto race and the exit polling.
[00:34:51]  And it indicated, not just an exit polling and follow-up polls, that those who said I was not born in Texas voted 5545 for Cruz.
[00:34:59]  And then those that say I'm a native-born Texan voted 5545 for Beto.
[00:35:04]  So obviously that would indicate that, no, someone that's leaving California, making the decision to leave California is leaving because they're a conservative.
[00:35:11]  They're not like leaving just to ruin another state.
[00:35:13]  Like that's the narrative.
[00:35:13]  And I'm sure there are people that operate like that, specifically the ones moving to Austin.
[00:35:17]  But the vast majority of these guys are just like, yeah, you know, I left California for a reason.
[00:35:23]  So I'm going to vote for the leadership that's made this state viable for me to move my family to.
[00:35:28]  Right.
[00:35:29]  You're 100% right.
[00:35:30]  So, yeah, you've seen that across the board as whereas Texas natives are voting Democrat.
[00:35:35]  And a lot of people forget Texan, Texas as a state has only been a red state for I think like 30, 40 years, not very long in the grand scheme of things.
[00:35:42]  So it just recently became a Republican state.
[00:35:45]  But yeah, you have a lot of Texas immigrants to Texas, right?
[00:35:50]  People from California, New York, Illinois, coming, and they're realizing why they left.
[00:35:55]  And they are voting red.
[00:35:56]  So that's good, right?
[00:35:57]  But the Texas natives are voting Democrat.
[00:35:59]  And so, yeah, we have a huge problem.
[00:36:01]  Additionally, the state just redrew its districts, which was a huge deal.
[00:36:06]  And a lot of that redrawing was based off the previous fact that Hispanics had kind of started to lean right.
[00:36:14]  Unfortunately, the Hispanics leaned right in the earlier elections, and now they're going back left.
[00:36:21]  Yeah.
[00:36:22]  And that redrawing was based off of the Hispanics.
[00:36:25]  So now it's looking like, man, this maybe was not a good idea.
[00:36:29]  Do you think there's so many different narratives on the Hispanic conservative shift?
[00:36:35]  I think the number one would be: do you think it was just primarily a Trump thing?
[00:36:39]  Like they just wanted to vote for Trump, but they're not Republicans yet.
[00:36:42]  I mean, that kind of seems to be the obvious explanation there.
[00:36:45]  Yeah, well, like with any minority, right?
[00:36:47]  Like Hispanics, blacks, whatever it is, are very tribal, right?
[00:36:51]  So it's all about protecting their own tribe to say.
[00:36:55]  So like the so yeah, to your point, like the support for Trump was huge for Hispanics.
[00:37:00]  They like the machismo attitude.
[00:37:02]  They like the aggressiveness.
[00:37:04]  They like that.
[00:37:05]  And Hispanics generally are generally pro-life.
[00:37:08]  They don't like the gay, trans stuff.
[00:37:10]  And so that was the support for Trump.
[00:37:13]  But, you know, they have that asterisk where, well, I'm right-wing, except when it comes to like maybe deporting relatives or something like that.
[00:37:21]  And so, you know, these ICE lockdowns, which are phenomenal, by the way, these ICE raids and these deportations, which are really good, and the country needs more of actually.
[00:37:30]  Hispanics that were maybe slightly leaning towards Trump are now like, well, hey, you're deporting my cousin or you're supporting a friend of a friend, right?
[00:37:37]  And they don't like that.
[00:37:39]  You've seen a lot of this drama happening, especially in the RGV, the borderline, the southern borderline of Texas, where the Hispanics that were previously for Trump, they're seeing all these deportations happen.
[00:37:50]  And they're like, well, maybe I'll vote for the Democrat this time around.
[00:37:53]  And it's not good.
[00:37:54]  Well, as I understand it, I went to high school in the San Antonio area.
[00:37:58]  So I am slightly familiar with sort of the dynamics, especially in the RGV.
[00:38:03]  Because, you know, so many people from the RGV moved to San Antonio.
[00:38:06]  And something that I was told, I don't know if this is still the case.
[00:38:10]  This maybe sounds like it was more of a 20th century thing, but I don't know.
[00:38:12]  Maybe you could enlighten me here.
[00:38:14]  Is that they said that they kind of had like a clannish way of voting in the sense of there would be like one or two people in a family that would really like kind of be the negotiators, you know, with the local politicians, and then they would make the decision for the family on who they were going to vote for.
[00:38:28]  It was almost like a micro version of block voting where you would see like Brownsville rapidly swing from Democrat to Republican just based off of like what a few of the you know grandfathers, you know, like what their relationship was like with the local councilmen or something like that.
[00:38:41]  Yeah, it's funny you bring that up because that is the case, even in the Republican party, the Republican Party down there, where you have members of a family that run the local GOP clubs or GOP groups or parties down there.
[00:38:55]  And so you'll have like the husband, the wife, the cousin, the in-laws.
[00:38:59]  They're all part of this group, right?
[00:39:02]  And then their uncle is also in office.
[00:39:04]  And so like everybody kind of coalesced around supporting a certain person and they're all business owners.
[00:39:09]  So like you almost have to vote for them because you have business dealings with such and such.
[00:39:13]  So yeah, a lot of these decisions are made, like you said, like clans or like group voting.
[00:39:18]  And you can argue that's good or bad.
[00:39:21]  I'm not a big fan of it, but that's just kind of the mindset with the Hispanics down there for sure.
[00:39:27]  So this is what's interesting, kind of to your point, with the demographic shift that we're seeing in Texas, certainly on the voting edge.
[00:39:36]  I think this explains that, you know, people, I think maybe they think when they think Texas, and we're saying on the show, like, hey, Texas natives are voting Democrat, they're voting blue.
[00:39:45]  And a lot of people react negatively to that because their perception of what a Texan is or what Texas' demographics look like is frozen from like 1980.
[00:39:53]  And the reality is that's just not the case anymore.
[00:39:56]  I mean, the overwhelming majority of births in Texas are not white.
[00:39:59]  I think like only like 25, 30% of native born or if you took a birth in 2026, you know, 25%, I think it's 25 to 30% of those are going to be white.
[00:40:09]  So, you know, your demographic that's most likely to vote Republican is now a fraction of the population.
[00:40:15]  That explains why Texas natives increasingly so are voting blue.
[00:40:20]  Because, I mean, you did point out that it shifted to a red state fairly recently, but correct me if I'm wrong, but a lot of those former Democrat voters are just Dixiecrat voters.
[00:40:28]  And that's why you saw Arkansas was voting blue until the 90s or why West Virginia was voting blue until the 2000s, not saying they're necessarily Dixiecrats up there.
[00:40:35]  But you kind of had the white working class, so to speak, voting for the Democrat Party, where now this new, you know, the new coalition, the Obama coalition, has made up the majority of Texas Texans.
[00:40:47]  I mean, that's just reality on the ground, rather.
[00:40:51]  Yeah, and to your point, like the data has shown that Hispanic children enrollment in public schools has now outpaced white children enrolling, right?
[00:41:02]  Which says that Hispanics are not only having more children, but there's probably more Hispanics just coming to Texas, either legally or legally anyway.
[00:41:09]  So you've got your first situation now where you've got a state where the majority of children that are enrolling in public schools are Hispanic.
[00:41:16]  So that leaves whites as a minority group, right?
[00:41:20]  Which a longer, maybe different discussion is, well, do whites now benefit from minority benefits and programs and stuff?
[00:41:27]  And I think they should, right?
[00:41:28]  In this case.
[00:41:29]  But yeah, you can argue it is every way you want, but it's a problem.
[00:41:34]  It's a problem.
[00:41:35]  You've seen education decrease in Texas.
[00:41:38]  You've seen reading rates and math rates and all of that has gone down year over year.
[00:41:42]  And it's not getting any better.
[00:41:44]  And, you know, we just passed school choice, which is a whole different other argument about whether or not that's actually going to help the problem in Texas.
[00:41:51]  But the demographics are changing and it's not a good outlook for the state of Texas.
[00:41:55]  And with Democrats now voting in more primaries than Republicans, either Republicans need to wake up and figure out how to run the party better.

=== Education Decline and GOP Strategy (15:43) ===

[00:42:03]  You know, we've got a Republican Party chair.
[00:42:06]  It's an Indian guy, wasn't born in America, who's running the Republican Party of Texas.
[00:42:10]  And he's been outvoted in his primary.
[00:42:14]  So is the party being run well?
[00:42:16]  I don't think so.
[00:42:16]  And I think a lot of people don't feel that way either.
[00:42:18]  I mean, that was so bizarre to me.
[00:42:20]  I mean, again, you could probably enlighten me a little bit on this situation, but just being an outsider watching this Herrera Gonzalez race, and I'm like, this Gonzalez guy has such a track record that it's like absurd.
[00:42:32]  He's like a super villain and he's running for the House.
[00:42:35]  I'm like, if you're the state GOP, why are you not reeling this guy in or shepherdstoking him or something and throwing someone else out there?
[00:42:41]  And Herrera is great and I'm glad he won.
[00:42:44]  You know, he seems like a really nice guy and everything.
[00:42:46]  But, you know, he's not ordinarily winning that race unless he is running against someone that's such a train wreck like Gonzalez.
[00:42:53]  You're 100% right.
[00:42:54]  And he ran against Gonzalez last cycle.
[00:42:57]  He only lost, I think, by less than 200 votes.
[00:42:59]  So he got pretty close.
[00:43:01]  This scandal happened.
[00:43:03]  We broke it back in September about Gonzalez having an affair with his former staffer, married staffer, and then her killing herself.
[00:43:12]  If that hadn't happened, you got to wonder, would Herrera have been able to really pull it off as well as he did, right?
[00:43:19]  And they were still heading to a runoff.
[00:43:20]  The only reason they're not heading to a runoff anymore is because Gonzalez decided not to run for re-election, but he hasn't resigned.
[00:43:26]  He's still in office.
[00:43:28]  But yeah, you've got to wonder if the party is doing enough to actually get people to turn out and they're hitting the politicians that are not actually good conservatives.
[00:43:38]  I don't know.
[00:43:39]  I don't know what they're doing with their time down there in Austin.
[00:43:42]  It's bizarre.
[00:43:43]  I've pointed this out in the show where it seems like the deeper red the state is, the worse the state GOP is.
[00:43:48]  Now, Texas, obviously, to your point, kind of swung, you know, swinging bluer and bluer, but this is still the GOP that operates like it's a plus 15, plus 20 Republican state.
[00:43:59]  And the fact that the senators are John Cornyn and Ted Cruz, it's like, what are we doing?
[00:44:04]  You know, because Texas is the most important state for the Republican Party.
[00:44:07]  I mean, I guess you could say Florida now, but Texas is, you know, you get that of the George Bush, and that's where a lot of these apparatuses are built.
[00:44:14]  Dallas, Fort Worth is, you know, a hub for conservatism.
[00:44:17]  And the best we can, you know, throw out.
[00:44:19]  Because you look at the Democrats, the offerings they have out of California.
[00:44:22]  It's like some of the most radical senators in the country.
[00:44:24]  And then this is what we have coming out.
[00:44:27]  And that just really exemplifies, I think, like cowardice, for lack of a better word, that kind of runs throughout the leadership of the Texas GOP because the base in Texas.
[00:44:35]  I think Texas Republicans generally are some of the more hardline, conservative voters in the whole country.
[00:44:43]  Like they're not soft on a lot of issues, I guess, because they're on the forefront of a lot of them.
[00:44:47]  Yeah, it's interesting, right?
[00:44:49]  There's a lot of them like that.
[00:44:51]  But, you know, we just had our primary race between Cornyn and Paxton and Wesley Hunt.
[00:44:56]  And of those, in that race, even I was anticipating that Paxton was just going to destroy Cornyn.
[00:45:03]  In fact, Paxton himself thought that he was going to destroy Cornyn.
[00:45:06]  He even was recorded on video saying in an interview, there was data potentially showing that Paxton could win outright.
[00:45:13]  He wouldn't even trigger a runoff.
[00:45:15]  But come election day, the numbers show Cornyn actually outwon Paxton.
[00:45:21]  More people voted for John Cornyn than Paxton.
[00:45:24]  And so it's like, is this, you know, Paxton for as great as he is, you got to ask yourself, why do Democrats want Ken Paxton to win?
[00:45:34]  Why?
[00:45:35]  It's like a red flag, whether you love Ken Paxton or not.
[00:45:37]  That is a red flag.
[00:45:38]  And a lot of the, you know, you and I and many others, we live in this bubble where we're surrounded by people who consume politics, whether recreationally or for profession.
[00:45:50]  And so we surround ourselves more with people who agree with us and believe in us and are far right, you know, like us.
[00:45:56]  But the fact of the matter is, a normy, maybe Fox News listener that just listens to news every day on TV, they maybe find problems with Ken Paxton's affairs and scandals enough that they're going to vote for John Cornyn.
[00:46:09]  And so I think the party needs to do a better job of outreach and getting better messaging out.
[00:46:14]  Yeah, absolutely.
[00:46:15]  I mean, with Cornyn, I guess Tallarico is considered such a potentially dangerous figure that it is worth, you know, just, and I think someone made the point they're kind of gaming out why Trump would endorse Cornyn.
[00:46:27]  I personally think it's just because he's bad at endorsements.
[00:46:30]  You know, I don't think there's any extra like game going on here.
[00:46:32]  But some people are saying, well, you know, at the Paxton fiasco, where he said, like, hey, I'll drop out if we get the Save Act passed.
[00:46:38]  Like, I respect that.
[00:46:39]  I think that's noble.
[00:46:41]  I like that a lot.
[00:46:42]  And so people are speculating, well, maybe that's why Trump endorsed Cornyn is to get the SAVE Act across the finish line.
[00:46:48]  And again, he knows that Cornyn's probably more of a shoe-in in the general election.
[00:46:53]  Do you think there's anything to that?
[00:46:54]  Or do you think it's with my kind of initial assessment?
[00:46:57]  I think he's just kind of bad at endorsements.
[00:46:58]  And Cornyn's probably just nice to him when they see him, see each other.
[00:47:01]  I think it's a mix of all of it, right?
[00:47:03]  Like we got to remember that Trump endorsed Tony Gonzalez.
[00:47:06]  Like, talk about bad endorsements.
[00:47:08]  Trump, love him or hate him.
[00:47:09]  He's horrible at endorsements.
[00:47:11]  He's not good.
[00:47:12]  And the fact of the matter is, like, his endorsements, at least in Texas, are meaning a lot less.
[00:47:17]  He endorsed Sid Miller, the ag commissioner here, and Sid Miller lost.
[00:47:22]  So a lot of Trump's endorsements actually lost versus Governor Greg Abbott's endorsements.
[00:47:27]  So yeah, you're seeing this change in how Trump's endorsements are perceived.
[00:47:33]  And yeah, I think it's a combination of Trump's bad at endorsements and also calculating who can win against Tallarico.
[00:47:41]  Tallarico is a far left Democrat, like super, super far left.
[00:47:46]  But he's perceived by normies as a moderate Democrat.
[00:47:52]  He talks very slow, very gentle.
[00:47:54]  He's a Christian.
[00:47:55]  He's a pastor.
[00:47:57]  He like all this stuff.
[00:47:59]  And to normies who just view him as his interviews, and he was even on the Joe Rogan show podcast.
[00:48:05]  To normies that see that, they're like, okay, this is a guy who's moderate.
[00:48:08]  He's a Democrat, but he's not as far right as Trump.
[00:48:11]  I might consider voting for him.
[00:48:13]  But to people that actually know a little bit about him, like you and I and your listeners, we know that this guy's a far-left Democrat.
[00:48:20]  And so the party itself and others need to do a better job of bringing out that far-left rhetoric that Tallarico has said in the past to let people know who he actually is.
[00:48:30]  I mean, because it's not hard to see someone like him slipping through because again, everyone in Georgia, that Georgia Senate race a few years ago, and everyone was thinking the same thing, like, well, you know, okay, it's still a red state.
[00:48:41]  You know, just because the Democrats are ascendant, it's still a red state.
[00:48:45]  You know, what are you going to do?
[00:48:46]  It's Georgia.
[00:48:47]  Then Ossef and Warnock are your two senators.
[00:48:49]  So it's like not hard to see a situation in Texas where just Coroner Paxton, to your point, I mean, if Paxton gets in a few hit pieces, Tallarico gets a few more slam dunk interviews.
[00:49:00]  We're looking at a Tallarico senator, you know, senator from Texas, James Tallarico.
[00:49:05]  I anticipate if Ken Paxton wins this runoff and it's a Paxton versus Tallarico race that the Democrats are going to hit Paxon incredibly hard on affairs and scandals and money issues and staffing issues.
[00:49:18]  And normies don't like that stuff.
[00:49:23]  People like us, we can look past maybe the affairs.
[00:49:27]  Me personally, I can't, but we can look past the multiple affairs to justify voting for somebody who's going to vote a certain way that we need.
[00:49:35]  But a normie may view it as like a character issue.
[00:49:38]  They're like, well, you know, I really can't get behind this.
[00:49:41]  You know, I can't support this.
[00:49:43]  And they may end up flipping for Tallarico.
[00:49:45]  And so this is a very serious problem.
[00:49:47]  And unfortunately, the turnout also has massive ramifications for the down ballot.
[00:49:53]  Democrats voting just because there's a Senate race, they're going to turn out and vote Democrat for the entire ballot, down ballot.
[00:49:58]  And so those have big ramifications for Texas all across the state.
[00:50:03]  Do you think this is kind of interesting?
[00:50:05]  I guess this is kind of old news in a way, but I'm just curious what your thoughts were.
[00:50:09]  Because again, you would have the inside scoop here.
[00:50:11]  What's the whole Colbert Tallerico situation?
[00:50:15]  We know what happened.
[00:50:15]  Like Timcast, we covered it extensively.
[00:50:17]  I mean, Timped like an hour on it.
[00:50:18]  It was pretty crazy.
[00:50:20]  But my question would be, do you think that that was the Texas Democrats like terrified of their internal polling was saying Jasmine Crockett is like toxic?
[00:50:28]  Let's keep her off the ballot.
[00:50:29]  Or do you think that was just, you know, Tallarico and Colbert are boys?
[00:50:32]  Like, what do you think specifically was the motivation?
[00:50:34]  Because it does seem like it was an electoral play in that primary and obviously it worked.
[00:50:39]  Yeah, I think maybe a little bit of both, right?
[00:50:41]  It's manufactured outrage, right?
[00:50:43]  Like the whole thing was kind of a setup.
[00:50:45]  I do think that maybe the Democrat leaders in charge or whatever would maybe viewed Crockett as a worse candidate because she is.
[00:50:56]  And so, yeah, they were definitely pushing for Tallarico.
[00:50:58]  And I think Democrats, you know, we had a special election here in the Dallas area where it was a plus 17 Republican district and a Democrat won it.
[00:51:09]  So that's huge.
[00:51:10]  A Democrat won a plus 17 Republican district over a Republican.
[00:51:16]  So the Democrat won that.
[00:51:18]  And the guy who won, the Democrat, is a normal-looking white dude.
[00:51:22]  Yeah.
[00:51:22]  Decent-looking white guy, looks like he goes to the gym, right?
[00:51:25]  And now you've got Tallarico who's another white guy.
[00:51:28]  I really feel that the Democrats have finally woken up and realized, like, we need to run normal-looking people to win races.
[00:51:34]  You can't run these trans or freaks or outlandish people because they're just not going to win.
[00:51:40]  And so I think they figured that out.
[00:51:41]  And Tallarico's a, at least facing, he's a normal looking white guy.
[00:51:46]  Yeah, exactly.
[00:51:46]  And the Republicans are going the other direction.
[00:51:49]  Like Virginia, everyone's so pissed about Spanberger as they should be.
[00:51:53]  And it's like, well, you ran a diversity candidate.
[00:51:56]  I mean, win some series.
[00:51:57]  She's from Jamaica, right?
[00:51:58]  Like, what are we doing here?
[00:52:00]  And it's all because she just had like a photo shoot with a gun.
[00:52:02]  And they're like, oh, wow, this is like a finally a black woman that gets it.
[00:52:05]  Like, what are we doing?
[00:52:06]  Meanwhile, you know, that's Junckin' secret is Junkin just was like reflective of the largest group in America, which is white men.
[00:52:14]  What group also what group votes?
[00:52:16]  The majority of voters for the record are white people and white men.
[00:52:21]  Just run people that like look like them and you might actually like win decisively.
[00:52:25]  And the Democrats like finally figured it out.
[00:52:27]  Granted, I think it's because they ran Kamala.
[00:52:28]  There was that tweet after Kamala lost where it was the picture of all the frat bros in a line and they're like, here's every Democrat candidate going forward.
[00:52:35]  Yeah, and that's that's, I think they figured out.
[00:52:37]  And the Republican Party, like you said, has kind of swung the other way.
[00:52:40]  I mean, like, look, like you have a lot of really weird candidates running in the Republican Party.
[00:52:44]  Like Valentina Gomez, love her for what she does, maybe, and whatever, her rhetoric, but she is a horrible candidate, like barely speaks English, horrible accent.
[00:52:53]  Yeah.
[00:52:54]  Not even from Texas.
[00:52:56]  Ran and didn't even make a runoff, like had a horrible performance, right?
[00:53:02]  So you've got a lot of these, and again, going back to the Republican Party chairman, you've got a guy who wasn't born in America, has an incredibly thick Indian accent.
[00:53:11]  And, you know, now look where the state is.
[00:53:13]  Look at the state where we're at.
[00:53:14]  Right.
[00:53:15]  And so, yeah, you've got a problem where like maybe the Democrats have figured out we've got to run decent looking normal, normal people to run.
[00:53:22]  And the Republican Party's like, well, you know, we'll win over all these minority votes by getting in all these strange people and strange outliers to run.
[00:53:31]  And maybe that'll get us votes.
[00:53:32]  And clearly it's not working.
[00:53:34]  Yeah, like let's just go down to Costco and like pluck people out at random and then we'll run them for office.
[00:53:38]  It's like, what are we doing here?
[00:53:40]  Because like Trump ran up the numbers with Hispanic and did very well with black voters.
[00:53:45]  I'm not saying that should be the objective, but it's like, great, if they're going to vote for us, that's sick.
[00:53:48]  What did Trump do?
[00:53:49]  He didn't really do anything.
[00:53:51]  He kind of just like plowed forward.
[00:53:53]  If anything, 2024 was his campaign where he pandered the least.
[00:53:57]  And that's really like ran up the numbers with them.
[00:53:59]  So it's like, you don't even need to do that.
[00:54:01]  The Democrats realize this.
[00:54:02]  They're like, look, whether it's Crockett or Tallarico, like these groups are client, like client voters.
[00:54:07]  They're going to vote for us no matter what.
[00:54:09]  And then they can, I guess, ballot harvest to make up the difference if they're going to fall short.
[00:54:12]  So they realize that, but the Republicans are like, let's, maybe if we run a trans black guy, but he has a gun, then, you know, maybe they'll finally vote for us.
[00:54:22]  And I think of that, I think a lot of, I think it's keeping a lot of people home.
[00:54:25]  I mean, I do think that the majority of Texans would probably be like, of course I want Paxon over Cornin.
[00:54:31]  But a lot of those people are just disengaged.
[00:54:32]  They're kind of demoralized to an extent.
[00:54:34]  They're really just fixated on what's happening in the White House and they're just not particularly interested in, you know, what a senator could possibly offer for them or certainly what their local candidates could possibly offer.
[00:54:46]  I mean, that's why I think people like you, that your work's so essential because it's putting it on their doorstep.
[00:54:50]  Like, actually, this directly affects you.
[00:54:51]  What's happening in the White House, you may see it at the pump and that's about it.
[00:54:55]  Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
[00:54:56]  And, you know, these, these Senate races, congressional races are super important.
[00:54:59]  We as a as a rag media outlet, we, we focus a lot on like the municipal stuff.
[00:55:04]  You know, most people can't even name one person on their city council or their mayor.
[00:55:09]  Yeah.
[00:55:09]  You know, and that's, that's a problem.
[00:55:10]  Those are the things that really affect you.
[00:55:12]  Are they as exciting as like these congressional races and these senate races?
[00:55:16]  No.
[00:55:17]  But the guy who's the mayor of your city or the people on your school board have a huge effect on your taxes as a business owner or a homeowner or even a renter in the city you live in.
[00:55:27]  So, yeah, a lot of people aren't paying attention to this local stuff, this local stuff.
[00:55:31]  And maybe that's why they're not turning out to vote.
[00:55:34]  You know, the Republican Party as a whole needs to do better about getting that messaging out so that Republicans turn out not to just, don't just turn out. every once in a while in an election to vote in a very popular Senate race, but they actually turn out to vote in their municipal elections or their school board elections and things like that.
[00:55:52]  This is all grim, obviously.
[00:55:54]  Are there any white pills you would have for any Texans watching?
[00:55:57]  Are there any indications that in some ways things are moving in the right direction?
[00:56:01]  Or do you think on the whole, it's like alarm bells going off?
[00:56:04]  There's some good indications or good elections that we have.
[00:56:08]  We got Dan Crenshaw out of office.
[00:56:11]  We've got Steve Toth in there and Toth is a phenomenal, a former state house rep and now he's going to be in office there.
[00:56:17]  Sid Miller, love the guy, funny, cool, stereotypical Texas looking guy, but he wasn't doing a great job.
[00:56:25]  The ag commissioner, which controls, for a lot of people that don't, the ag commissioner controls like the farming, the livestock, everything that's really, really important in Texas.
[00:56:35]  And we got Nate Sheets in there.
[00:56:36]  Nate Sheets is a phenomenal candidate, former business owner who is incredibly intelligent.
[00:56:41]  He's going to do a lot for the state of Texas and the economy.
[00:56:44]  So we've got those races.
[00:56:46]  Don Huffins won for Texas Comptroller.
[00:56:49]  So Texans, the Comptroller position is a really, really big deal here in the state.
[00:56:54]  And you've got Don Huffins in there.
[00:56:55]  And so he's going to do a really great job.
[00:56:58]  So yeah, we've got a lot of good wins in here.
[00:57:00]  People are paying attention to specific races.
[00:57:03]  But I think what really the party needs to focus on is turnout, getting actual other Republicans that don't normally vote actually out from their homes and to the ballot box to vote.
[00:57:13]  Yeah, because that was so interesting that you said there was the Democrats at the edge and primary voting, because I did look under the hood and the Republican registered.
[00:57:20]  I mean, there's far more Republicans registered than Democrats.
[00:57:22]  I mean, obviously the gap's probably tightening up, I would imagine.
[00:57:25]  But if we just had the same apparatus that they had, I'm not even saying like we need to do the middle-of-the-night mail with the drop boxes or whatever, but like if we just had an apparatus where we could go to these suburbs and just knock on a few doors and say, I don't know, like, are you take, are you going to go vote?
[00:57:40]  No, okay, do you want me to do it for you?
[00:57:42]  Like, why are we not doing it?
[00:57:44]  We could be running up the numbers in Texas and only doing whatever we wanted.

=== Paid Influencers Control Social Media (02:54) ===

[00:57:47]  Yeah, I mean, it's, you know, Republicans run at a handicap in the sense of like we don't have the apparatus that Democrats do.
[00:57:55]  Democrats have all of Hollywood supporting them.
[00:57:58]  They have all these corporations supporting them.
[00:58:01]  They used to have a lot of social media accounts supporting them and these influencers.
[00:58:04]  And Republicans, we have to run on kind of, you know, different types of methods to get our vote out.
[00:58:10]  And, but yeah, you know, there needs to be more brainstorming on how you get actual Republicans to turn out and vote.
[00:58:17]  It's just, it's currently not happening at the rate it should.
[00:58:21]  Yeah, and it's like the weirdest thing is on social media.
[00:58:24]  I mean, I'm not, you know, picking on anyone here because there's a lot of people that are doing this.
[00:58:27]  But, you know, these election specialists and then they're like registering people at like the grocery stores and gas stations.
[00:58:34]  But it's like New Jersey.
[00:58:35]  And I'm like, that's great, but we're literally going to lose Texas.
[00:58:39]  Like we could realistically lose Texas.
[00:58:41]  Georgia's probably gone.
[00:58:43]  North Carolina's on the way out.
[00:58:44]  It's like, shouldn't we be A, shoring up numbers in these states?
[00:58:48]  And B, should we think a little more outside of the box and like voting drives?
[00:58:50]  Because it's like sick.
[00:58:51]  Okay, we registered a bunch of voters.
[00:58:52]  Like we saw in New Jersey.
[00:58:53]  It's like, wow, like Republicans are tearing up Democrats at voter registration.
[00:58:56]  And then we got like smoked in the election.
[00:58:59]  So it's like, maybe we need a little more because you go look what the Democrats are up to.
[00:59:03]  And they're literally like performing super villain levels of like voting extraction.
[00:59:08]  Like it's the most amazing.
[00:59:08]  They have like inventions they've come up with out of nowhere to extract votes out of these neighborhoods.
[00:59:13]  And it's remarkable, really.
[00:59:15]  Yeah, like the field work is so important, right?
[00:59:17]  Door knocking, hitting doors is so incredibly important.
[00:59:20]  A lot of people, Republicans especially, love to just sit on Facebook or Twitter or X and just talk about politics all day.
[00:59:27]  But average normie voter is it.
[00:59:29]  The average normie voter is still working a nine to five in a cubicle and gets a lot of their news either from talk radio on the way to work or from Fox News in the break room at the office, right?
[00:59:40]  Or at home.
[00:59:41]  They don't get it from X.
[00:59:42]  They don't get it from Facebook.
[00:59:43]  They don't get it from these influencers or Instagram or TikTok.
[00:59:46]  And so, yeah, you've got to get to the people and talk to them about these races because otherwise they just continue to vote whenever they feel like a major election is happening.
[00:59:55]  And so, yeah, in a non-presidential year when Trump is not on the ballot, they're staying home.
[01:00:00]  They're not voting.
[01:00:01]  And dude, with how rancid the discourse has gotten online, it might be better off if these people are watching Fox News.
[01:00:07]  It's so bad now.
[01:00:09]  Yeah, the social media stuff's out of control.
[01:00:11]  The biggest thing that's been at least affecting Texans a lot is these paid influencers.
[01:00:15]  You have a lot of these political celebrities that are getting paid to promote or shill certain candidates.
[01:00:22]  And they're putting out these narratives that, you know, when come election day, they completely crumble and it's just not the case.
[01:00:28]  And, you know, I would warn, especially, you know, Republicans and your viewers probably already know, but like a lot of these influencers you see online that are promoting specific candidates, they are possibly getting paid to promote these candidates.

=== Rancid Discourse on Fox News (01:41) ===

[01:00:42]  And then these candidates lose and they're like doing this shocked Pikachu face.
[01:00:46]  Like, how did this happen?
[01:00:47]  But it's because they're getting paid to do it.
[01:00:49]  And it's not a genuine endorsement.
[01:00:51]  And so, yeah, it's really important to exercise kind of discernment over who's endorsing who and why.
[01:00:59]  Yeah.
[01:00:59]  No, I totally agree.
[01:01:00]  Well, Tony, thank you so much for hopping on, dude.
[01:01:02]  It's always fantastic.
[01:01:04]  Thanks for having me, Take.
[01:01:05]  Yeah, where can people find you to get more?
[01:01:07]  Yeah, big, big help would be following us.
[01:01:09]  If you're a Texan, we're a must-follow.
[01:01:11]  You can follow us at Current Revolt on X. Instagram and Facebook are the same.
[01:01:16]  But if you want daily Texas news in your inbox, just go to currentrevolt.com and put your email in there and you can subscribe.
[01:01:21]  Awesome.
[01:01:22]  Well, thank you so much, Tony.
[01:01:22]  We'll catch you next time.
[01:01:23]  Thanks for having me.
[01:01:25]  All right.
[01:01:26]  Well, that was the great Tony Ortiz.
[01:01:28]  Always fantastic having him on.
[01:01:30]  He's one of the best.
[01:01:31]  He really is one of the best.
[01:01:32]  There's no question about it.
[01:01:33]  And yeah, like Texan, that's an essential, that's an essential follow.
[01:01:38]  I'm always putting my old Texas people on game for the great Tony Ortiz.
[01:01:42]  So with that, go to wine.
[01:01:43]  Now, that first half hour, dude, I was dying.
[01:01:46]  I was literally dying.
[01:01:47]  I had to go and chug another water.
[01:01:50]  And it was like messing with my head.
[01:01:51]  Like, I couldn't think clearly.
[01:01:52]  I couldn't string together a thought.
[01:01:53]  So my apologies for that.
[01:01:55]  Hope the second, the second half hour made up for it.
[01:01:58]  And I'll get dialed in.
[01:01:59]  I'll go lock in.
[01:02:00]  I'm going to get some more pool water down the hatch.
[01:02:02]  I think that's what I'm missing.
[01:02:03]  So with that, you can follow me on X and Instagram at RealTate Brown.
[01:02:07]  And obviously, we'll be back tonight for Tim Castor IRL at 8 p.m.
[01:02:11]  You can hang out with the crew.
[01:02:12]  They're down in Austin right now.
[01:02:13]  It's a very Texan, very, very, you know, salient, poignant that we had the great Tony Ortiz on.
[01:02:19]  So with that, Tim Castor, 8 p.m., follow me, X and Instagram at RealTate Brown.
[01:02:22]  See you guys tomorrow.