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Oct. 31, 2024 - Sean Hannity Show
30:32
Latest Polls Update - October 30th, Hour 3
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This is an iHeart Podcast.
Stay right here for our final news roundup and information overload.
All right, news roundup and information overload hour toll-free on numbers 800-941 Sean, if you want to be a part of the program.
Um before we get started in our final hour here, a word from your president, Joseph Biden.
They're good, decent, honorable people.
The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.
His demonization is unconscionable, and it's un-American.
The only piece are all pieces of garbage, irredeemable deplorables, bitter Americans that cling to God and guns and our Bibles and religion.
Well, at least we know what they really think of us.
And if you're not that, then you're a Nazi.
If you're not that, you're a fascist.
If you're not that, you're a racist.
If you're not that, you know, just think of whatever name, horrible name they can call you, and and that's pretty much what Democrats think of anybody that dares to disagree with them.
Um we have spent a lot of time on this program looking at polls, especially in the swing states.
And we have the latest polling data, and we have our polls, Matt Towery, Insider Advantage, Robert Cahaley, the Trafalgar group.
Great to have you both back.
And uh uh guys, thanks for being with us.
Do you think Matt Towery that this garbage comment is gonna have any impact on this race?
I do in this sense, Sean.
I I think it it knocked uh the Democrats off of their talking points from the rally, in which they took the joke from a comedian who hadn't really nothing to do with Trump other than the fact that he was on the stage during the rally.
It's on the stage like two and a half hours before Trump.
Maybe three hours.
I don't know.
Uh exactly.
Uh but that that had been turned into a New York Times on Monday morning had headlines about Nazi fascism, disgrace, uh, racist.
You know, we could see what the playbook was going to be.
And then along comes Joe Bot with this garbage comment.
And it knocks them off of their entire plan.
I I think it's a stupid plan, but I don't I don't understand where the Democrats think that they're picking up vo votes by calling Donald Trump a Nazi.
Um I mean it it it does it falls on deaf ears with most people.
But that having been said, it took them off of that.
Now they're on different defense again.
Uh in very, very difficult territory because they have now given Trump and his base another reason to turn out as hard as they can.
Because they basically said that forty let's say basically forty-five to forty-seven percent of the nation are are garbage.
And um people are talking about it.
I mean, it's it's the talk of the town, so to speak, around the country today.
Let me ask you both this, and Robert will give you the first crack of this.
Now, earlier today, you know, Kamala gave a big quote unity speech.
She's going to unify the country whether you vote for her or not.
Uh she was given an opportunity to push back and say that Joe Biden shouldn't have said this, and this is her answer.
You sympathize with any voters who do feel offended by or insulted by the garbage coming.
I am running for president of the United States.
I will be traveling to three states today to do what I have been doing throughout, which is talking with the American people about the fact that first of all, I get it in terms of the concerns they have about challenges like the price of groceries.
Oh, so she doesn't, you know, I have three rallies today.
Wow.
He doesn't want it.
Now, she also dodged a question about her running mate, Tim Walls, comparing Trump's Madison Square Garden rally to the 1939 Nazi rally, which it obviously was not.
And again, he won't answer, and she won't stop her surrogates, her running mate, her supporters from making these Nazi fascist comments, racist comments that they keep making.
I talked to Governor Walls yesterday.
He compared uh Trump's rally on Sunday to that of one of the Nazi rallies in the 30s at Madison Square Gardens.
Do you compare that?
Do you find that a similar comparison?
Listen, this election is in seven days, and I think the American people have a very clear choice.
And on the one hand, you have Donald Trump, who is constantly fanning The flames of division and hate.
Who is trying to have the American people point their fingers at each other?
Or my leadership.
Which is founded on a lived and experience.
All right.
In other words, he's not going to answer.
He answers as it relates to Biden's comments.
I have three rallies today.
She answers on Tim Walls, you know, making the Nazi analogy, election in seven days.
She herself has called Donald Trump supporters fascist.
Does any of this impact the American people, Robert Cahaley?
Well, first of all, I'll give her credit.
If she had engaged, then the then the story would be what she would say.
Like, you know, I don't think they're they're they're a trash and stuff like that.
So I I think it was smart on her to keep some message this from there.
But really, this comment, I mean, you've got to wonder somewhere deep in uh deep in Joe Biden's mind is it is he actually trying to help her win?
Because there was a lot of cleaning up the new action as a comedian, and this just wiped that away.
I mean, it has wiped that away, and it became the new deplorable.
And I mean, I can expect that Trump's portals will start acting like that trash can character on Tespe Street before it's all said and done, and you know, making a thing out of being trash, but I it really just seems like such a silly comment, and it makes sense that she's trying not to engage.
But the difference is this was a comedian, and I I Donald Trump gave a like a three-minute answer last night on this, knew nothing about it, never heard it, you know, was disgusted by it.
I couldn't have said enough bad things about it, and then talked about his history with the people of Puerto Rico and and how much he loves the people of Puerto Rico and what he what he did as president for the people of Puerto Rico.
So I mean there's there's such a difference.
They feign this phony outrage.
But go ahead, Robert, finish.
Absolutely.
No, you're right.
He did a great job of cleaning it up.
That that's absolutely the case.
But this actually just is like a wave that washed over it, and that that's just yesterday's news.
I mean, this is really, you know, we talked about the news talking about how the next outrageous thing erases the last outrageous thing, and and the and the Trump thing was like minimum on the scale of outrage, and this is at the top.
I mean, this is equal to deplorable.
Uh I think it is huge, and it is just going to motivate Trump supporters.
And like I said, I expect to see garbage themed signs and people wearing trash bags and everything else in the next week.
But it is literally giving them another rally cry.
And uh I just it is exactly the way if it could have been storybook written for the Trump campaign to close with something dismotivational.
It was a huge misstep.
And I almost wondered if Biden do it on purpose.
Now, both insider advantage, Matt Towery's polling organization and Trafalgar, Robert Cahale's polling organization, ranked among the top pollsters in both 2016 and 2020.
So the big question I have is based on your polling and what you see in the aggregate on realclearpolitics.com, Matt Towery, where is the race today?
Okay.
So here's what we have to do.
We have to decide if the other pollsters have adjusted their polling to be more in line with Robert and myself for for presidential cycles or not.
If they have not, and you have the polls that we have and the averages and the real queer politics average, Trump normally outperforms all of those polls by two or three points in each of these states.
Not all the states, but in most.
If that were the case, then you're looking at a Trump victory and perhaps uh winning several of the battleground states that they don't expect him to win right now.
Necessarily, obviously, either Pennsylvania or Michigan is necessary for him to win.
Now, if you if you believe that they have adjusted and that they're trying to get in line and capture that shy Trump voter, then it's a neck and neck race because Robert and I have almost every one of these states at one point at the most.
Um Georgia's gonna be an exception.
Let me just say about Georgia.
The African American turnout in Georgia has been phenomenally disappointing to the Democrats.
It is over there.
They're at twenty-six percent.
They needed to be at twenty-nine percent today.
They are even running ads, Sean, that tell black voters that if they don't vote, their voting record can be disclosed to their employer and other individuals.
I'm not kidding.
That's how I know you're not kidding.
We talked about it yesterday about this outside group running this ad.
I didn't know it was in Georgia, but they're running it at well, I did know it was in uh Georgia, Philly, uh Detroit, and and other places around the country.
But what about this factor?
Factor in one more thing that is a little outside of of your area of expertise and that is early voting, which you mentioned in Georgia, because we're seeing similar trends in every battleground state.
Well for for me, uh I I I have to tell you, uh Georgia's been my bellwether through these presidential races since 2016.
And um I can't believe in my mind that the African American vote, the other base votes for the Democrats is so lethargic in Georgia, but somehow it's just on fire in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, other states.
It's a disconnect.
So I have to believe that the early vote that we're seeing which Republicans are trying to what we're seeing in Georgia we're seeing in all these battlegrounds because I'm seeing those numbers.
Yeah well that well uh Pennsylvania's a little problematic for the Republicans because the Democrats requested a whole lot more mail in ballots.
And by the way, that's the only way you vote early in Pennsylvania.
You can carry it to a place and put in a little box but it's all considered mail in voting.
So that means a lot of the vote in Pennsylvania is going to be same day election voting.
I I I think all of these trends look very good for Donald Trump.
You know, we've been burned Robert and I making predictions but I can say the trend line right now either the other pollsters have come way up and they've got their game together and it's going to be nip tuck or Robert and I are right again, they're going to be off again Trump probably wins by bigger margins than we're talking about in our polls.
Same question Robert I I I feel right now that uh everything except for Nevada and Wisconsin I feel like are are very strong for Trump.
And again it goes back to just what Matt said if the other guys have adjusted their polling then this is a neck and neck race.
If they haven't, this may very well be a race that Trump gets more than the electoral votes he needs.
Wisconsin, their same-day voter registration means that polling is extremely difficult.
Of everyone who registered from 2022, 23, and 24, 51% registered on election day of 2022.
So we have no idea how many people can register and vote on election day.
So it's a very difficult state to poll Nevada same token with the uh union vote and the way they they put them on buses and everything on the Saturday before the election uh you can see last minute changes there.
But the other places look very stable and this lack of enthusiasm and the African American vote uh I we're seeing it other places too these ads threatening people are significantly tell you that they're very worried about that and the attention that's been paid there.
And if they don't get what they need with African American vote, they don't get what they need with Hispanic vote this election is not going to be one.
Do you both see that the trend lines demographically in all seven states?
Robert, you go first.
The trend lines among the Hispanics we I see across all the states certainly and uh maybe even more so in Nevada than any other state.
Uh you know it it it's hard to beat that casino machine but the Hispanic vote is is is very strong and there's not a lot of uh African American there but we see it everywhere with the uh African American males and the and the being for Trump and then the lack of enthusiasm and the others and so these trends lines are very strong for Trump.
There are some you know on females on the uh Gen Z that are very energized uh for Harris but the males in Gen Z are almost the exact opposite it's the strongest gender gap of all of them and so I the trend lines look very good for Trump across the board but cutting in on these minorities is devastating for the Democrats.
Matt, we'll give you the last word okay I agree with Robert and all of that we collaborate as you know and have a podcast together polling plus where you can listen and hear what we have to say in detail.
But uh the one trend line that has concerned me with regard to Trump has always been the senior voters.
And there are there are some of the most pro-abortion and some of the most anti-Trump individuals are men and more than that women over the age of 70 who feel like they've made Enough money to be okay, don't care about inflation, view themselves as being the elite because somehow they you know they live in a halfway decent house and member of some crummy country club, but they view themselves as being elitist and intellectual, and they are very intent in their voting.
And so that's a countervailing force that that the Trump team's having to get over because they could never quite get these folks on board.
But people have to worry about the the red wave in 22 never materializing.
Um I I think that this is a different situation.
Let me explain why very quickly.
In a off-year in a midterm election, the turnout is a manufacturing one.
It it is based on on what these various campaigns do and how much money is spent, and that can be a variable.
No one can control or predict.
In a presidential year with Donald Trump and and Harris or whomever, you know it's going to be a full turnout.
And you also know that there are a lot of people who don't want to say they're voting for Donald Trump for the very reason we talked about at the beginning of this.
There's term garbage, there's the term racist.
They're afraid to be on a list.
And Robert and I try to get our information a little more anonymously, so they don't feel so much on the spot.
And that's why we've been a little better at getting this stuff.
But even we can't capture all the Trump votes.
So no, uh an election presidential election year is not like a midterm election.
All right, Matt Towery and Robert Cahely, thank you both.
800-941 Sean, our number if you want to be a part of the program.
I 25 now to the top of the hour.
Toll free.
Our number is 800-941 Sean, if you want to be a part of the program.
My interview, part one of with President Trump from yesterday.
Uh, we're gonna air that in a second.
Part two of that interview will air on Hannity tonight on the Fox News channel.
Please set your DVR.
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Yesterday morning I sat down with President Trump in Florida at Mar-a-Lago and interviewed him.
We ran part one last night.
We had so much news between Kamala's final speech as they declared it, and of course, uh being called garbage by Joe Biden, or anybody that supports Donald Trump.
Uh so we broke the interview into two parts.
Part two will air tonight, but I think it's worth playing here because we covered a lot of ground, and this is my interview with President Trump.
Mr. President, this will be one week from today's election day.
The last interview I will ever have with you as a candidate.
I'm sure you're probably not thinking about that yet.
Well, not really, but it's uh a little bit sad.
We've been together a long time as a candidate.
Now we can be together maybe toward making America great again because we have to do that.
You know, it it is amazing.
Um with one week to go.
How are you feeling about the race?
I think we're leading in every state, every swing state.
Uh, I think we're even picking up maybe some states that traditionally don't go Republican.
Uh people want to see change.
They don't want to have borders where murderers are being released into our country and many others, drug dealers where jails are being emptied out into our country.
I happen to think it's the biggest issue.
I think inflation would be second to horrible inflation and economy.
I mean, the economy went bad because of inflation.
We had no inflation whatsoever.
We had a great economy, maybe the best ever.
I think the best economy anyone's ever had.
And when you see what's happened to our country, it's very sad.
But when you see what they're allowing to come into our country and kill people, I'm just randomly just kill so many people.
Young girls are dying left and right.
Uh we can't let this happen.
I think it's the most important issue.
And we're talking about by the thousands.
They're coming in by the hundreds of thousands and even the millions.
And uh so they have 21 million people released into our country through a ridiculous open border policy of Kamala.
Uh you have to blame her because she was put in charge of the border by Biden who went to sleep at four o'clock.
And she's done a horrible job.
And by the way, I think it's very important for your listeners to know that the border patrol endorsed me powerfully and said she was horrible.
They said I was the best ever, and that she is the worst ever.
So it shouldn't be that much important.
She in her own words, and this has frustrated me in the campaign.
The media is covered for her.
You know, an extension of her press office.
She has said in her own words she wants to decriminalize illegal immigration.
Free food, housing, health care, education, her running mate legal driver's licenses for illegals, free taxpayer-funded college, free sex change surgeries.
Correct.
And defund the police.
And defund the police.
Don't forget, she was one of the leaders of defund the police.
That means it's in her psyche, defunding the police.
We have to do the opposite.
We have to let the police do their job.
We can't take away the house and their pension and their family and everything else if they uh are a little bit more aggressive.
We have our country is a crime-ridden country.
When they go into department stores and they strip the store, they strip the store.
And our police are standing out there wanting to do their job, but they're told, stand down, don't touch anybody.
And they're walking out with refrigerators, and they're walking out with air conditioners.
And there's hundreds of they let them walk away as long as it's under a thousand dollars.
Yeah, yeah.
Well, that was her policy.
Under anything under $950, you don't prosecute.
But really it's much worse.
They don't prosecute anyway.
The only ones they go after is me, people like me.
Uh they go after Catholics.
They go after and evangelicals will be next.
Uh this is a horrible group of people.
These are very dangerous people.
Or or they're they will use limited resources to look into moms and dads at school board meetings as potential domestic terrorists.
We're now with the final week of this campaign.
We have two very, very different closing arguments that have emerged.
Kamala's closing argument, her, her surrogates, Nazi, fascist, racist, uh Stalin, Hitler, Mussolini.
And I thought this was supposed to be the campaign of joy.
It doesn't seem very joyful to be.
What's your reaction to when you hear that?
They have no joy.
They took it away from a man.
I'm not a fan of Biden, obviously, but he had 14 million votes.
She got no votes.
She was the last in 22 people ran.
She was last.
She came in last, never made it to Iowa.
They went in and they said, uh, you're not running anymore, we're taking it away.
They took it away, and he gave up much more easily than I would have thought he would have.
But this is not a campaign of joy for them.
It's a campaign of hatred.
You know, my father, and I mentioned this for the first time yesterday.
I was in Pennsylvania, and I mentioned it.
I said, uh my father when I was young, never mentioned the name Hitler ever.
He was tough on it.
Somebody would say Hitler.
Never mention that name.
Nazi.
Never mentioned, never mention that name.
And he meant it too.
And it was a word that you never use.
You know, you never use those words.
It's the embodiment of the people.
They accuse me of being a Nazi.
They accuse me of being a uh Hitler type guy, or a Hitler lover.
And I'm not.
I'm the opposite.
They're the ones that are doing.
They're oppressive.
This is like an oppressive Machine.
And you know, they also happen to have the press for whatever reason.
But think of their think of what they're fighting for.
They're fighting for open borders where millions of people can pour into our country.
Think of it.
Millions, who would who can get elected with that?
They're thinking of having men playing in women's sports.
You know, it's interesting.
I've been a politician now for nine years.
I can't, I hate to say I'm a politician, but I guess I'm a politician.
Nobody's ever come to me and say, sir, it's really important that we let men play in women's sports.
Sir, transgender operations all over the place are really important.
Nobody ever brought this stuff up.
They bring up, could you lower taxes?
Could you do this?
Could you do that?
Could you help me here, my businesses, you know, et cetera, et cetera.
They bring up a lot of things.
But nobody ever came to me and said it's really important that we do this.
Men should play in women's sports.
I think it's got a constituency of about almost nothing.
And yet they do it.
Maybe it's because they want to destroy the country.
I don't know.
Or gender-affirming care for minors.
Sure.
Care without parental consent.
So uh a young man leaves for school and goes to school, and the authority takes him over without parental consent, and they do things to him that you don't want to know about.
I mean, is this supposed to be America?
I don't think so.
That doesn't seem like that.
These people are radical people.
And let me tell you, she's not a smart person.
She's a low IQ individual.
I've said it for a long time.
She speaks so slowly, everything's so slow.
She thinks of answers.
They ask her a question.
She talks about she was grown up with a lawn growing on her front yard.
Everything is like crazy.
Sixty minutes protects her, sixty minutes takes out her answer and puts a new answer in because her answer was so bad.
Could you imagine them doing I would love to have them do it for me?
Think of it, she had 60 minutes, CBS, they should lose their license.
This isn't just editing.
They took out her whole answer, every word, and they put a totally different answer in so that she looked better because she looked like a very stupid person if they would have left the original answer.
I've never even heard of a thing like that.
You mentioned your father, and you did have, I know the media would like to focus on the comments of one general, but you had about a week or so ago, 200 former generals, admirals all come out and support him.
Over 300 people from the administration, the most respected people.
I see even Bill Barr's name was mentioned.
They said, well, that's nice.
Because he understood, look, he understood I did a hell of a good job.
And so did everyone.
They signed a document.
Over 300 people.
The press will not put it out.
I'm so glad you asked, thank you for asking this question.
But I had over 300 of the top people from intelligence, generals, everybody, from the administration saying Trump was a great president.
But the press won't put that out.
They just don't.
Look, we have a very, very corrupt and dishonest press.
And I think with time it gets better because they're all doing pretty badly.
If they if their closing argument and their surrogates are doubled down and triple down and quadrupled down on Nazi, Nazi, fascist, fascist.
Think of the environment we're in.
In Butler, Pennsylvania, you came within a millimeter of being murdered, assassinated.
No.
We had Trump International.
You had a would-be assassin in in the bushes with an AK-47 with a scope on it.
This is the environment we're in.
I am told you can confirm if you want or not.
Iranian hit squads are in this country that want to assassinate you.
And you have the an entire establishment in the Democratic Party.
Kamala's not telling them no.
She's she herself is using these some of these words.
Tim Walls is using these Nazi analogies.
And in light of the environment of what has happened and assassination squads being here, what is your reaction to the fact that they won't stand up morally and say, stop with the Nazi fascist garbage, and let's argue on the issues of the day, and whoever wins wins.
They only go after consequential presidents.
I'm very consequential.
I make China pay.
I had Iran ready to make a deal.
They would have done anything now.
They they have 350 billion dollars.
They were broke with me.
And I would have been very good to Iran.
They had to have one thing: no nuclear weapons.
You can't have nuclear weapons.
Nuclear weapons are the greatest danger to our country going forward, to the world going forward.
It's not global warming.
I'm an environmentalist.
I do great things.
We had the cleanest air, we had the cleanest water.
But if the ocean rises one-eighth of an inch over the next five hundred years, we'll handle that.
What we don't want is global warming of the nuclear variety.
And that could happen tomorrow.
You've created a broad coalition.
I believe the Republican Party is now the party of hardworking men and women, and the Democratic Party is the party of Hollywood, New York, and D.C. coastal leagues.
If that so you have built a very broad, diverse coalition, including Hispanic Americans, African Americans.
And by the way, I'll put the numbers up on the screen, and we can and show people where they were in those first three years of your presidency.
The best growth rate in 60 years, and the people that did best were minorities in America.
That's right.
They did.
And you have built this coalition.
Anyway, so you have this big event at Madison Square Garden.
went on for hours.
I don't even know if you were there for the whole thing.
I don't know what time you got there.
I was told and made aware that you had no idea about this comedian who made comments.
I still have no idea who he is.
Somebody said there was a comedian that joked about Puerto Rico or something.
And I have no idea who he is.
Never saw him, never heard of him, and don't want to hear of him.
But I have no idea.
They put a comedian in, which everybody does.
You throw comedians in.
You don't vet them and go crazy.
It's nobody's fault.
But somebody said some bad things.
Now, what they've done is taken somebody that has nothing to do with the party, has nothing to do with us, said something, and they try and make a big deal.
But I don't know who it is.
I don't even know who put them in.
And I can't imagine it's a big deal.
I've done more for Puerto Rico than any president I think that's ever that's ever been president.
I, when the hurricanes came, I rebuilt, I helped them rebuild their electrical system.
I helped them rebuild dams and everything else.
That place was hit by so many hurricanes.
It's almost like hurricane, Hurricane Alley.
I've never seen anything like it.
And Puerto Ricans love me because I was the president that stood up for them more than any president.
I've had great relationships with Hispanics, but I've had really great relationship with Puerto Rico and people from Puerto Rico.
They love.
Every time I go outside, I see somebody from Puerto Rico.
They give me a hug and a kiss.
I gave them more money.
I sent the hospital ship when they had one of the big hurricanes.
They had no hospitals.
The hospitals were wiped out.
I sent the big Mercy ship.
I sent it to Puerto Rico fully equipped.
It took care of things.
I mean, they love me in Puerto Rico and I love them.
I was I was there handing out food.
I got in trouble for that too, because we were having fun.
We had a lot of people, and I was throwing paper towels to the back.
They were all having fun.
And the fake news came, oh, that was very disrespectful to be throwing towels.
Uh no, I have unbelievable good relationship with Puerto Rico and the Puerto Rican people.
Uh who this comedian was, I have no idea.
You wish he wasn't there.
Yeah, I mean, I I don't know if it's a big deal or not, but uh I don't want anybody making nasty jokes or stupid jokes.
Probably he shouldn't have been there, yeah.
All right, we'll have more with President Trump coming up tonight.
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