All Episodes
Previous Next
Oct. 11, 2024 - Sean Hannity Show
29:58
Latest Polls - October 10th, Hour 3
| Copy link to current segment

Time Text
This is an iHeart Podcast.
All right, news roundup and information overload hour toll-free.
Our telephone numbers 800-941 Sean, if you want to be a part of the program.
I loved when I read today.
We will go over our latest poll numbers with our polls in just a minute here.
Donald Trump made the statement what just yesterday that they had rented out MSG, Madison Square Garden, and to make a play for New York and New Jersey.
He said this in Scranton PA.
We just rented Madison Square Garden.
We're going to make a play.
We're going to make a play for New York.
Hasn't been done in a long time.
It hasn't been done in many decades, but we're going to make how could New York be run worse than it is, right?
With all the problem, everything is corrupt in New York.
And we're going to make a play.
And let's see.
I mean, I think that, you know, the migrants, the migrants have taken over Madison Avenue.
They've taken over Fifth Avenue.
They've taken over the parks.
The kids can't play little league.
You know, it sounds like a trivial thing.
It's a big deal when you have a son that's a little league player and he can't play.
So uh we're going to uh go Madison Square Garden.
We went to the Coliseum, Nassau Coliseum.
We could have filled up the NASA Coliseum three times.
It was incredible.
We've we left there a few weeks ago was incredible.
So we're doing Madison Square.
Now we do have a lot of poll numbers that have come out.
But before we get to that, let me just set the stage here.
Uh, because we had poll numbers, for example, Quinnipiac has Harris now down four in Michigan, and Harris down two in Wisconsin.
And Insider Advantage, that's that's our friend Matt Towery, who will join us in a minute.
Uh Donald Trump has a two-point lead in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
But here's what really interests me before I get to some of the other polls.
Kamala is massively underperforming both Biden in 2020 and Hillary in 2016.
If you look at the real clear politics, it showed as of yesterday in 2016, Clinton was up nearly five points, four point six points.
On this date in 2020, Joe Biden was up nine point seven points.
I mean, a massive, massive lead that he had.
That is now a racing.
If you look at, for example, the latest poll numbers that have come out uh on the real clear politics average.
Uh you see the Hill Emerson, uh, very similar to Insider Advantage.
They have Donald Trump leading by one in Pennsylvania.
Is it close?
Yeah.
Uh in Michigan, the Hill Emerson has it tied 4949.
Uh if you look at some of the other polls that I think are important that are relevant to all of this, it's a one-point race in Wisconsin.
North Carolina, Trump up one uh according to the Hill Emerson.
If you look at Georgia, it's a one-point race.
Robert Cahaley, who will also join us in a minute, has Trump up by by one.
Uh and the Hill Emerson has Trump up by one also in Georgia.
Uh you look at some of the other states, you know, there we they are pretty much what you would expect them to be.
And uh then you can look at, you know, some of the polls that came out yesterday, the Quinnipiac poll.
It's a two-point race nationally with Trump and Harris.
I mean, that's a big deal.
And then if you look at Michigan, as I said, it's 51 Trump, 47 Harris.
And if you look at Wisconsin, it's a two-point race.
You know, well, actually, there's another Michigan poll that had Trump up by two in Michigan.
If you look at Wisconsin, it's a two-point lead uh by in Quinnipia.
Donald Trump over Kamala Harris.
Now, are these numbers numbers to take to the bank?
No, they're not.
I don't want people to react to the numbers and let this in any way impact how you how you approach this election.
You have to act as though your vote is going to be the deciding vote.
And by the way, I don't care what state you're in, but especially if you're in Georgia and North Carolina and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and Michigan, and if you're in Arizona And Nevada and all these other states.
Now, Trump is is going to try for some other states as well.
That's fine.
If nothing else, it can help on the congressional level.
Anyway, here to join us, our pollsters, Matt Towery insider Advantage.
Also Robert Cahaley is with us with the Trafalgar group.
Guys, welcome back to the program.
Um I always like to, regardless of what the polls say, Matt Towery, I like to use the analogy that there's two minutes left in a football game.
You're on your own 20.
You have no timeouts.
You got to march down the field, 80 yards, cross the plane, kick the extra point if you want to win.
And that's that is no small undertaking.
So uh I like that the polls are where they are.
I'd certainly much rather be Donald Trump today than Kamala Harris, but you know what the but is.
Well, let me add to the 20 yards.
So we have a new poll out uh right now uh that's in uh Michigan, and uh Trump's up by two in Michigan, a very solid two, I might say.
And the Senate race there is closing as well.
And then in Wisconsin, we have Trump even, but again, the Senate race closing, which means the Republicans have some momentum up there.
Let me just add one thing to this uh thought about don't take these polls for granted.
There's one thing that we can't figure out because you know, you look at crosstabs, the polls, and some make them all available, some don't make them that much available.
Um it's hard to figure out exactly how these pollsters, other pollsters are waiting their polls.
Suppose the New York Times, which is r which were they were terribly off in 2020.
And suppose that Quinni Pack, which was terribly off in 2020, and some of these other pollsters who who sort of participate in the battlegrounds have adjusted their waiting to try to adjust for their lack of catching and finding the shy Trump voter.
In that instance, we may not be as far behind the RCP average in 2020 or 2016.
We won't know till election day.
But what we do know, it's a very close race.
This is not certainly not the blowout that it looked like it was going to be for Donald Trump against him in in 2020 against Biden, nor the blowout that was expected with Hillary Clinton.
This is a very close race.
All the British betting odds have moved heavily to the Trump side.
But it's all about turnout, and it's also about recovery from storms.
North Carolina has taken a licking in Republican areas.
Uh there's a controversy as to how much help they're getting or not, but these people have got to be able to vote, and they've got I think they have the incentive to vote.
There's no question about that.
But they have to be able to vote.
And that's not the first thing on their mind right now when you don't have cellular service, you don't have electricity, you don't have anywhere to go at night to to sleep soundly.
Lot of problems there.
And Florida, you know, where I live in Florida, uh, I escaped the the worst of the storm, but so many areas really got hit hard.
We got three plus million people without power.
Now, I know Ron DeSanis will get Florida back in shape, so I'm not as concerned about that.
But North Carolina am.
I'm concerned about North Carolina as well, and I don't think you have a motivated governor.
He certainly wasn't even motivated to pre-position uh the necessary items, knowing a big uh hurricane was headed right in his direction, neither did Kamala Harris or J or Joe Biden, but I can tell you, having Sarah Carta being on the ground for as long as she's been in some of the hardest hit areas, uh, that there are a lot of pissed off people that feel abandoned because they were abandoned.
Robert Cahaley, your thoughts.
Well, there's no question about that.
And one of the concerns I have is that Roy Cooper is on the ballot.
So I can understand he may work very hard to get Ashville uh make sure they get their votes, but the surrounding communities are not near as progressive as Asphalt.
And I want to see what those mechanics are.
I mean, literally the mechanics of voting.
Where you know the post offices, some are gone.
Some of the places they would go to vote.
I mean, like it mechanics of voting are very important.
How are they gonna make that happen for people?
And what is the incentive of this governor who has every reason not to do it to do to do what needs to be done.
I mean, I'm I'm I trust that that that Kemp is gonna make sure that the Georgia voters vote, and that we're gonna see the same thing with DeSantis.
But I'm I'm really concerned about that and and you know I spent a lot of time up there and I know a lot of folks up there and they do feel abandoned and thank goodness for you know people like Congressman Corey Mills and uh Samaritans first.
I don't I don't know where these guys would be without a lot of his private sector help up there and they know it and they want to vote but that mechanics is something that needs to be addressed.
It has to be addressed but I can tell you having spoken to both Senator Ted Budd and Senator Tom Tillis uh they're gonna make sure that these people are identified and given the opportunity Republican or Democrat to vote.
And uh that is absolutely something that they're working on even as we speak.
Well that would certainly be a good thing uh Sean because I just tell you right now um it puts yourself in the place of the folks here in Florida right now.
We've had two storms in a row.
Give you an example I live in a really great area in St. Petersburg.
My precinct was wiped out in the last hurricane.
So I don't even know where I'm gonna vote.
Now I know I can count on Ron DeSantis and and the Secretary of State here to make sure I'm able to vote.
But as of right now as I sit in a city waiting to go back home to my home in St. Pete, I don't know where I'm voting or how I'm voting.
So imagine if you're in North Carolina.
Well I mean I you know I understand that and I totally agree with you.
But uh you know we'll s we'll we'll have to see what happens.
Now Georgia's a lot closer than I would like uh but Georgia also was impacted by this and Governor Kemp had to go back not once not twice but three times.
He originally asked for ninety counties to be declared disaster areas.
They only granted eleven.
Then he went back to the White House and again he requested the ninety and then they gave him thirty more thirty more.
And then finally they gave in and they gave him the full ninety counties that he had asked for but he had to work hard.
Did he have to talk to Kamala Harris?
Was that something he had to do just to get those counties declared?
I I don't think Kamala Harris knows what day it is herself.
I mean honestly the she was she was too busy hobnobbing with with Hollywood elites to you know bother or care about or get on the ground and hand out bottles of water and food and and and get government helicopters flying into these remote areas you know if it wasn't for groups like Operation Hilo and and some others uh I'm not sure people would have lived or survived.
I think whatever the final death toll eventually is it would be much higher but for you know these charitable organizations and neighbor helping neighbor.
Well certain certainly the optics have been terrible and I I can't imagine why her advisors thought it was a good idea to go on the Colbert show and to go on the view and all these sort of light programming and chit chat about issues is as so much of the country was facing either post disaster or another disaster.
It it made her look weak and I think that's that's coming across that the main thing that about let me just add one other thing Sean I think Robert could could probably add to this but the thing that we're noticing and I don't know if this is true in Georgia but it certainly was in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin is the African American male vote is just dropping out of sight for her.
Not that she's not going to get the majority but she is losing that vote it every time we poll the African American vote actually goes the other way.
I've never seen this happen before in the entire time I've been polling and I told a lot of Southern states and states that have large African American communities.
These numbers are going in the wrong direction for her.
They're not going down usually they go they start at like 17 for Republican and then they go to about 12 and by election day they go to the usual seven or four or five these are going opposite.
They're going from like ninth.
They went well it went down to Robert didn't they go to like seven and ten when she first became the apparent nominee and then they started drifting back and now they're in the twenties and going higher.
Yeah I mean that they're approaching where they were against Biden.
So the entire you know kind of new net bump is over with her and it's actually becoming cool in some of the circles to to be for Trump.
And that's something that would have not predicted.
All right quick break right back more with our polsters Matt Towery and Robert Cahale than your call's coming up 800 941 Sean is on number if you want to be a part of the program.
All right, we continue with our polsters.
Matt Towery of Insider Advantage, Robert Cahaley with the Trafalgar Group.
What do you guys make of what I mentioned?
The real clear politics average, you know, as of yesterday.
Hillary was up by five points in 2016.
Biden up by 9.7 in 2020.
And it's only a two-point race today.
She is way underperforming both of them in terms of real clear politics.
Well, as I said, I think it could be two directions.
I mean, but the most likely is that he's simply doing better.
And you're gonna add a point or two to these final RCP averages, which are usually pretty reliable.
And he's going to do much better than we expect.
The other side of it is, as I said, I I I am very suspicious whenever I see a Quinapia come in with a poll that shows Trump up by four or five.
And I and I start thinking, okay, well, maybe they've decided to change the way they wait their polls because they don't want to be there with egg on their face come election day, just like no policer does.
Um it's how you wait these polls to decide everything, Sean.
And we don't know yet whether they've adjusted or whether they haven't.
If they haven't adjusted, then Trump's on his way to a blowout state.
But if they have adjusted, then these are very close.
And I'm gonna assume they have adjusted and assume these races are very close because turnout is the name of the game in the end, as we all know.
All right, Robert Gahelli, Matt Towery, thank you both.
All right, let's get to our busy phones.
Linda, could you say that again?
Can you do it really fast?
Of course.
That's gonna be your message for Christmas.
I'm gonna call you on Christmas morning and say that.
No, I don't want to call on say it again.
I'm gonna call you on Christmas morning.
Christmas morning, that's gonna be your Christmas present.
Instead of being like, When are you calling Christmas morning?
You're gonna what?
You're gonna call me, call?
Yeah, I'm gonna call you.
How do you say it?
Cal.
I'll call you.
I'll call it.
I'm going I'm going to call you.
Going to call you.
And you're welcome.
Not call.
Not call it's not call, it's not crawl.
You better be careful or your ho ho ho is going away.
You're not even going to get your NMLS.
Oh man.
If I can only tell you, Linda gets a little bit worked up as we get closer to elections.
A little?
That's an understatement.
That is an understatement.
Linda gets very worked up before elections.
Oh.
It is it and and we love your passion.
We do.
But it but it it's at some point.
I just wish maybe you take a day off.
Just uh maybe a weekend day.
Fine, I'll see you on Monday.
I'll be out tomorrow.
Enjoy.
Are you really going to take off tomorrow?
Of course I'm not going to take off tomorrow.
We have work to do.
Exactly.
But maybe I'll take a day this weekend and not send you one text message.
How's that?
Are you serious?
You can't do that.
No, I would don't know.
I would I would if if it would help you relax for a day.
I mean, I don't expect you to respond immediately to the text message.
You can go through them in your leisure, and unless I unless I write the words call me now.
If I write call me now, then that means you gotta call me now.
That means it's there's some problem we gotta we gotta get rid of.
But that doesn't happen very much anymore.
Thank goodness.
No.
Only occasionally.
Once in a while.
Once in a while.
Linda, by the way, is an expert at Starlink.
I had no idea.
And now I have my own Starlink system, thanks to uh my radio and TV partners, and Linda's walking the engineer how to set the darn thing up.
Listen, I gotta give full credit to Phil and Mark over there.
They they barely use me.
I just said what I did, and and Phil was determined to read the book and get it on his own.
So hat tip to Phil.
He didn't even need me.
Uh we kind of did a little.
Uh, but it's amazing that you're so that you love technology that much.
I can't stand it.
I'm just trying to keep up with Blair.
I mean, I'm a nerd, but he's a big nerd.
But I'm just you know, and now anything Eli Starlink, you know, I love Star Trek.
I stayed in Florida.
I was not in the hot zone where it was really bad.
I was not even in an evacuation zone.
I was in a you prepare to evacuate zone, okay?
That's where I was.
And anyway, so I'm watching and I'm trying to download this app that a friend of mine sends me, and then it's like I gotta pay $99 a year.
I'm like, all right, I'll pay for the stupid app.
He says it's really, really good.
And honestly, I'm I I I just I could I I downloaded it and then It didn't work.
I couldn't figure out how to make the stupid app work.
And then I figured out I found another app.
They suggested another one, the NOAA app, which I downloaded, and at least I can get uh you know, a look any time I wanted, uh in terms of the track of the storm and things that I wanted to look at, and it was fine.
But I mean that that's that you would never have a problem with a new app, would you?
No, I wouldn't.
But I also wouldn't pay $99 a year for it unless it was operating my phone for me.
Uh anyway, that's why I call my kids.
You know, talking technology is not exactly my favorite uh topic.
Uh all right, let's get to our busy phones.
Georgia Brian is standing by.
Brian, you gotta give props to your governor, like Governor DeSantis in my state of Florida.
I mean, he was prepared, you know, for the hurricane, uh Helene and for Hurricane Milton, and I know some areas in South Georgia were impacted again, and I'm sorry to hear sorry about all of that for the people in Georgia too, but um at least your governor was prepared.
Uh Kamala and Joe did nothing.
My governor was prepared.
He had fifty thousand people uh standing by stage for this hurricane.
Unbelievable.
Yes, sir.
Um thank you for having me.
Um you and uh Newt earlier uh touched on a lot of the things I wanted to talk about.
But I would like to ask this.
Um if if having an open border is unconstitutional, uh isn't that an oath of office violation?
Is they're willingly doing it and they're making the taxpayer pay for it.
That seems to be I'm not sure if that qualifies as treason, but it seems if you're not doing if you're doing it breaking the law, a federal law on purpose.
Should there be more talk about that?
Well, I mean, I I think the fact that they give all this money to all these foreign countries is something we as a country have gotta examine.
Why are we giving money to the Taliban?
Why two hundred billion dollars to Ukraine and and Ukraine has is such a mineral rich country that they could pay for for all the weaponry we are providing them?
You know, why are we giving countries to why are we giving billions of dollars to Jordan and Egypt?
Why are we giving money to Sudan?
Why are we giving money to Somalia?
Why are we giving money?
You know, why is well well, why all this money to to Lebanon where they're firing rockets at our closest ally?
I wouldn't give them a penny unless the rocket stopped being fired.
I'm just sick and tired of it.
And the people of of North Carolina, if it wasn't for Operation Hilo dot org and Samaritan's Purse and neighbor helping neighbor and people with horses and mules going into the the mountains of North Carolina, I guarantee you the death toll would have been much higher than it was.
Um of these people that were giving money to these other countries, uh they're not our allies.
Would you think that even some of them would be considered our enemy?
Isn't that aiding and betting our enemy?
Uh I think it is, you know, look, uh for Kamala Harris got was on with Howard Stern.
I I watched this and it was it became it it was such a it was the most horrific ass-kissing interview I've ever seen.
And Howard was known in in the day to be one of the best interviewers ever.
And he could have asked some real questions.
You know, and it was it was it frankly, it just is is awful.
And his attack against Trump supporters, if you support or Trump, then you're stupid.
He basically is saying to every one of the people that used to listen to him ten, fifteen, twenty years ago, you know, to to you know, shoving the middle finger in your face and telling you to drop dead.
You know, and I don't know what's happened to him.
But anyway, I'm watching this whole thing unfold, and I'm just seeing how pathetic I mean, these interviews did not help her.
They all hurt her.
Every one of these interviews hurt her.
Anyway, go ahead.
Uh a lot of things I end my rants with is is hashtag we need media reform because our media obviously has been bought and paid for by the evil corporations.
I don't want to say their name online, but uh cat walk, it rhymes with that maybe.
But anyway.
Uh which one?
Thank you so much, sir.
Thank you so much for uh uh taking your time with me.
I am at work currently and I have to sketle, but thank you for All right, you use Kid Addle, don't get fired over calling me.
Uh Linda, I didn't I missed that reference.
What was he saying?
I think he was trying to find a word that rhymed with either black rock or black walk.
Because there's a lot of talk about different people doing different things.
Could you say walk again?
No.
Save it for you for that.
All right, let's go to my free state of Florida.
Roxanne is standing by Roxanne.
How many people in your life go, Roxanne?
How many people do that?
Oh, a bunch.
I mean, do you like it as a compliment or are you kind of sick of it?
Yeah, but if they're able to remember my name and who I am, then go for it.
Anyway, what's on your mind today, Roxanne, my fellow Floridian?
What's happening?
Well, some of the things I think you kinda already tapped on a little bit ago, but some of the concerns I have, you know, here in Florida, we have the back to back hurricanes.
Yeah, we had time to repair.
If you evacuate, take your important documents with you, you know, leave.
But you know, some of the people there in the Carolinas, you know, they had no warning with the floods from storm effects from Hurricane Helena.
You know, they what they got out was on what they were wearing.
So now here we are coming up, you know, twenty, what, twenty-seven days from voting.
How do you go about identifying who you are when you have nothing to prove?
You have no documents to show that you're you.
I don't know how they're going to do that.
And the other concerning is where are they going to go vote?
And it was concerning things that Axelrod said the other day, you know, the people of Asheville, the liberal voters are gonna find a way to vote, and then I see FEMA in Asheville, but you got you know, he was putting down the people in the rural countries, they're probably not gonna be able to find a way to vote for Trump, the conservative ones.
So that's concerning.
Well, it's concerning, but I know the issue is being addressed.
I talked to Senator Tillis, I talked to Senator Ted Budd.
Uh I know it's gotta be addressed.
I talked to people in the Trump campaign.
I've talked to people in the RNC.
I mean, I have a lot of contacts and a lot of sources, and I talk to everybody, and they better pay attention to it, otherwise they're gonna turn around and lose the state that they really gotta win.
We gotta win North Carolina, we gotta win Georgia, and we gotta win Pennsylvania.
We gotta win them all.
I mean, we just gotta plan on winning them all.
That's what that's where we are as a country.
Unless, you know, w otherwise we're gonna elect the most radical person to ever run for that office, and that scares the living hell out of me.
Absolutely.
When she one of her so-called interviews she's recently has had and made the statement that she's gonna do everything she can to make sure that Trump is not president, you know, what does that look like?
You know, is that is that a reason why you're not seeing federal government helping some of these poor people to not get back on their own two feet so they can't vote?
And what else does that look like?
You know, is Trump's already survived, you know, two near assassination attempts on him, you know.
I'm not trying to be a conspiracy theorist, but it's just this is you know, the evidence speaks for itself, and what is you know, what does that mean that I'm gonna do everything I can to make sure?
Yeah.
Well, I think everybody has to look at it this way.
You've got to do your part.
And if you are in an affected area, for example, there there's going to be ways, and we'll once we get the information for people that are impacted by this, we're gonna tr we're gonna get the information out there, we'll put it front and center and make sure we reach as many people as possible.
Um I don't want to give away what I know is going to happen that will help in this effort because it was kind of told to me in confidence and I didn't it was sort of an off the record conversation.
It wasn't on the record, so I don't feel at liberty to share it.
Uh although I like to share everything with my audience.
But it made me pretty confident that they understand ha the severity of this problem and they're dealing with it.
Okay.
So hang in there.
Glad to hear that other people are already addressing, you know, my concerns and I'm sure other people have the same concerns of their ability to be able to make it into vote, even though they're just in survival mode.
Where is our next bottle?
You know, how how do you put your life back together when everything you've lost everything?
But I know there's still people that have you know the American heart and they're gonna try to find a way to vote.
Oh, they got to.
And uh I'm just I promise you it's being worked on, and I promise I'm gonna do a lot of follow-up on it, okay?
Uh appreciate the call Roxanne.
I get Linda's the singer.
Can you do Roxanne like The song.
No, I'm not a dude.
Well, try it like a girl.
No, I don't live in a woke world.
I sing like a chick.
They got dudes to sing dude songs.
Oh my God.
Chicks and dudes.
I mean, you're like an old hippie from the 60s.
I am not like an old hippie.
I am as straight as an arrow, bro.
I'm I'm not playing any of these games.
I love seeing like the best of them.
I went to see him in concert, but turns out he's a little more literally.
I'm not the biggest.
I'm not the biggest thing fan.
Never mind.
Oh my god, I love him.
He's like ridiculous.
And you see in my thoughts.
Well, I don't know.
He just doesn't he his I don't know.
It's just never.
Yeah, you like brandy, so I'm not usually I'm not using you as my yardstick of music.
Well, can we play that?
I mean, because no, I want people to understand that you're dead wrong about the song.
Trust me, that song is a bumper.
We actually did some research.
It's the words of the song go, Brandy, you're a fine girl.
What a good wife you would be.
But my life, my love, and my lady is the C. Now, the song was written by one of the lead singers in the band, and it was about an old girlfriend named Randy, but they thought Brandy sounded better.
All right, ready?
Come on.
No, again, this is your moment to check out.
This is a great song.
You don't have the chorus, you just got this.
This is what we got.
This is our bumper.
This is our FCC approved music that keeps us fine.
Exactly.
Now you play.
Linda thinks when you s what the so the words say Brandy, you're a fine girl.
What a good wife you would be, but my life, my love, and my lady is the C. And she's like, no, he's talking about either whiskey or he's talking about his love.
Or brandy.
He could be talking about Brandy.
It's all right.
No, it has nothing to do with the woman.
He's saying that is that you think Brandy is actually the C. And he said, No, Brandy, you're uh why why am I bothering?
You're you're you're just doing this to an You're just doing this to piss me off.
I might be.
I might be doing it just a little bit.
You might be doing this just to piss me out.
Just a little bit.
You do a better show when you're irritated.
Just so you know.
Oh my gosh.
800-941-SHOD.
Music.
The biggest stories of the day.
This is the Sean Hannity Show.
Now, that's gonna wrap things up for today.
Hannity tonight, 9 Eastern.
Bad news.
Year over year.
Oh, inflation.
What a shock.
Up again.
Steve Moore, David Asmond, Vivek, Ramaswamy, Clay Travis, Tommy Larren, Judge Janine Piero, set you D VR, 9 Eastern, Hannity on Fox.
We'll have the latest polls.
All the information about a corrupt CBS and a corrupt news media mob.
Nine Eastern.
See you tonight, back here tomorrow with only 25 days to go and the best election coverage available on your radio dial.
▲
Export Selection