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Oct. 10, 2024 - Sean Hannity Show
30:43
Bill O'Reilly - October 9th, Hour 2
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All right,
Leonard Skinner's Simple Man.
That can only mean one thing on this radio program.
That means all things self-proclaimed simple man.
That means all things Bill O'Reilly, all things Bill O'Reilly at billo'reilly.com.
Again, just in the last week, Bill O'Reilly's book, Confronting the President's Just Out, No Spin Assessments from Washington to Biden.
It's on Hannity.com, Amazon.com, bookstores all around the country.
I have a question before I want your overall big picture analysis of this race.
Let me throw a couple of things by you.
If we go back four years ago, Harris right now nationally, real clear politics average is up exactly by two points.
Four years ago, Joe Biden was up 9.7 points on this day, four years ago.
In the top, in the key state, for example, in Pennsylvania, Biden was up by seven points.
And as of today, it's Donald Trump by 0.2 points.
How do you interpret that dramatic difference in polling only?
My interpretation is the support for Kamala Harris is very thin.
That most of the people that will vote for her are voting against Trump, but not in the numbers they did in 20.
So my chart, which is based on internal polling, and I don't, I have to be honest with your audience, as I always am, I don't get internal polling from the Democrats, but I have a source that gives me the Republican internal polling.
So it looks Joe Biden got 81 million votes in 20.
I don't see Kamala Harris getting more than 70 million now.
I think I agree with you.
Did you see the comments of Mark Halperin?
Because if you're looking for insight into the Democrats and their polling, what Halperin is saying is that the internal polling of the Democrats is so bad that she's losing and losing maybe in all seven swing states.
And that might explain why she's doing the Call Me Daddy podcast and a very, very different Howard Stern than we grew up listening to, who's gone woke and radical left and that hard-hitting news show, The View, and drinking a beer with Stephen Colbert, none of which I think has helped her.
And the 60 Minutes interview was a disaster for her.
Well, number one, I can't pin my analysis on Mark Halpern with all due respect to him.
So he may or may not have access to the information, but I am fairly confident that what I have is true.
So I don't see right now, if the election were held tomorrow, Harris getting more than 70 million popular votes.
Trump support is pretty much the same as it was in the hardcore area, the MAGA people.
That means 74 million votes for him is in reach so that he could win the popular vote, which is almost unheard of these days with New York, California, and Illinois being so liberal.
On the electoral college front, my source says that Trump is up by two if you add up all the seven swing states.
I believe that is accurate, but that is very, in the sense that it can, the storm, for example, Milton would tilt that, depending on where the storm hits and the damage and things like that.
But the popular vote, I think, is pretty well set that Trump will likely beat her in the popular vote, which then, if you correspond that over, gives him a 70% chance of winning the electoral vote.
Which is what the gamblers have it at now.
If you notice the betting line, because I was in London over the weekend, you can bet in London on the presidential race.
Legally, you cannot hear.
Of course, the bookies, the illegal people.
Actually, for the first time, just as of last week, there is a way to legally bet.
I think, don't quote me on this.
I believe that might have changed.
I had a brief conversation with Steve Wynn about it.
He said it was changing.
I don't know if it did.
For example, Polymarket, for example, has Trump at 53.2, Harris at 46.2.
You go back 10 days ago, and it was the direct opposite.
What's happened, Bill?
What's happened is that Trump got momentum from Butler, Pennsylvania.
That was a huge win.
And here's something interesting that your audience might not know, unless they watch VonbillRiley.com, which they should because we have such good information.
The crowd size in Butler has not been confirmed by any media organization, including the AP.
So I called the Pennsylvania State Police, which is in charge of giving out the crowd size of all events in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
They refused to give me it because they were ordered by Josh Shapiro, the Democratic governor of Pennsylvania, not to give the information out because it would make Trump look good.
I called myself, and I got my own estimate.
It's around 100,000 plus.
Just a little bit more than that.
But say on.
Well, 100,000 plus means plus.
Yeah.
Go ahead.
100, 110.
That exposition tied into the assassination attempt in a swing state that's working class primarily has helped Donald Trump immeasurably.
Now, you ask whether Harris's cupcake media tour has helped her.
No, but it didn't hurt her either.
It's a wash.
Uninformed voters, and there are millions of them, they'll vote on a motion, who their friends are voting for, that kind of thing.
That's always been the case in America, always, going back to Thomas Jefferson, John Adams.
But people who are serious voters, who love their country, who are analyzing what's best for their country, they're not going to be swayed by any of this propaganda.
But Kamala Harris dramatically hurt herself when she stepped out of her rehearsed answers.
Remember, she has a rehearsed answer.
She'll give you for anything.
So would you do anything different at the border?
Well, no, because Donald Trump messed up the border.
That's her rehearsed answer.
I mean, she didn't say it for anything.
You ask her.
But when she said on the view, when Sonny Hostin, of all people, said, would you do anything differently than Joe Biden did?
And she said, I can't think of anything.
And why do you think this doesn't hurt her?
Because on all of these questions that she wouldn't do anything differently, et cetera, et cetera.
And her answer on immigration, I mean, Whitaker pushed her, I think it's Bill Whitaker.
He pushed her hard on immigration because, you know, it went up 400% under you, and then she just doesn't answer the question.
And it looks so evasive, I think people realize she's lying.
So I think there is damage there.
Let me play it just to make sure that we're on the same page.
There was an historic flood of undocumented immigrants coming across the border the first three years of your administration.
As a matter of fact, arrivals quadrupled from the last year of President Trump.
Was it a mistake to loosen the immigration policies as much as you did?
It's a long-standing problem.
And solutions are at hand.
And from day one, literally, we have been offering solutions.
What I was asking was, was it a mistake to kind of allow that flood to happen in the first place?
I think the policies that we have been proposing are about fixing a problem, not promoting a problem.
Okay.
But the numbers did quadruple.
And the numbers today, because of what we have done, we have cut the flow of illegal immigration by half.
We have cut the flow of fentanyl by half.
But we need Congress to be able to act to actually fix the problem.
Well, if anything, would you have done something differently than President Biden during the past four years?
There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of, and I've been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact.
All right.
I have two issues here.
How can you turn the page if you can't name one thing you do differently?
And on the issue of immigration, but three years, Bill, I have tape of her saying over and over again, the border is secure, the border secure, the border secure.
So I think it hurts her.
Okay.
It doesn't hurt her on the people who support her because they're voting against Trump.
They're not voting for her.
Okay.
Now, on 60 Minutes, you remember the Leslie Stahl Trump interview, which is the reason Trump gave for not doing 60 Minutes.
Every time that Trump said Hunter Biden's laptop indicates this, Leslie Sahl says, oh, that's not verified.
So all Whitaker had to do after Vice President Harris obviously misled the entire world by saying that from the beginning, the Biden administration had solutions to stopping the border madness, which they didn't.
That's just not true.
All he had to do is say, give me one solution that you had because they didn't have any.
But he didn't.
He's not quick enough.
And I'm not criticizing him.
I mean, I thought he did a decent job, but they're not quick enough.
When it's Trump, they're very quick because they've been told when he says something that is dubious to you, you call him on it immediately.
But they don't do that to Harris.
Now, the reason that I think Trump at this point, and again, if the election were held tomorrow, because you can't predict this, it's so unsettling.
So many things could happen, is because people are going to pull the lever based upon their own circumstance.
So not like you and me, that we're looking out for the country long term.
It's not Hannany and O'Reilly.
It's, I just got back from the grocery store, and I'm still getting the hell kicked out of me at the cash register.
And I can't vote for Harris.
So I got to get back.
By the way, we should note here, this is the first time in your career that you ever announced who you're voting for.
You've never done this before.
And I shouldn't say this, but I talked to Trump on Sunday.
He calls me, I'm at the Jet Minnesota game in the middle of 80,000 people.
The phone rings and it's him.
You're in London watching that game.
Because he saw the picture of me and the jet owner, Woody Johnson, the former ambassador of the Court of St. James.
We're on a sideline together.
And I said, yeah, Mr. President, how are you?
I'm in the middle of, I'm at Tottentham Stadium and the people are screaming, they're yelling, and all of this.
And he's given me jazz because I do criticize him, as you know, not on a regular basis and not unfairly, but when he does something like that I feel is injuring his campaign.
I say it.
And you know that.
I've always said it.
And I said, look, for the first time in my career, I have told the world that I'm voting for a certain candidate, which is you.
And I've explained it because I feel that Harris Walls is such a danger to the structure of the country.
All right, quick break.
We'll come back.
All things simple man Bill O'Reilly on the other side.
800-941-Sean is our number if you want to be a part of the program as we continue.
We can see now of all things simple man Bill O'Reilly.
His book, Confronting the Presidents, now has debuted number one on the New York Times list, bookstores around the country, Amazon.com, O'Reilly.com, and Hannity.com as we continue.
Let me ask you one more question because I agree with all of that, and you and I are on the same page, but this is important, and I'm just running out of time.
This is the worst hurricane response we've ever seen in history.
And but for Samaritan's Purse, generous people that, you know, we had an operationhilo.org, people on the program yesterday, people donating helicopters, food, supplies.
They basically, last Friday, Joe Biden said everybody has everything they need and everybody's happy.
It was so untrue.
It took them a week to even really respond, and they only spent $4 million in week one.
They abandoned those people in North Carolina, Bill, and they abandoned them badly.
Now they're trying to say that anybody that is a critic is playing politics, but the people that weren't there when the people were needed were Harris and Biden.
How will it play out?
North Carolina, it'll swing it to Trump because of the Asheville situation.
Asheville, a very liberal town, as you know.
That'll swing that state to Trump.
So he'll win North Carolina.
Otherwise, there'll be data that surfaces about, look, Biden's checked out.
That's the problem.
He's checked out.
He's not running the country.
Nobody's there.
There isn't anybody running the country right now.
And that'll be the circumstance until Election Day.
And then if Harris wins, she'll get her own team in there right away on the periphery of it.
She can't go to the White House until Biden leaves.
But nobody's around the country.
So of course you're going to have bureaucratic nightmares when there's no one in charge.
It's as simple as that.
It really is unbelievable.
Anyway, Bill O'Reilly's new book, Confronting the Presidents, No Spin Assessments from Washington to Biden.
Just go to Hannity.com, Amazon.com, bookstores around the country.
I mentioned OperationHilo.org.
They've been saving lives and doing a phenomenal job.
And by the way, thankfully, they had mules and horses delivering supplies.
It's pathetic.
And SamaritansPurse.org, which I donated to, and I urge people to help them.
Bill O'Reilly.
All right.
27 days.
We'll see you with 20 days to go next week.
Thank you, sir.
Thanks.
Have me in.
800-941-Sean on number.
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Do you realize it is nearly two weeks since Hurricane Helene?
And I never in my life have seen a more defensive administration than I did see today with Joe, Kamala, Mayorkas.
They're all trying to do catch up, and they're all trying to silence any critic.
And they're getting their help from the people in the media mob.
But there are certain facts that you cannot, that they absolutely positively cannot evade.
You know, it all started with, oh, it's dangerous to criticize FEMA, according to the FEMA chief.
It's dangerous.
It's unfair.
It's political.
Kamala Harris unleashing on Trump.
Have you no empathy?
Now, meanwhile, she was out in Hollywood raising money and didn't lift a finger to help the people of North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Florida after Hurricane Helene.
They pre-positioned nothing.
Now, Ron DeSantis did.
He had 30,000 utility trucks.
He had 18 wheelers standing by with water, food, medicine, supplies for the people of Florida.
He has them standing by right now.
And my state in Florida is about to get pounded.
I'm already beginning to see the initial impact of this.
And anyway, so he did his job.
Governor Kemp of Georgia did his job.
The federal government didn't prepare for a thing.
And we had Sarah Carter parked in the worst-hit areas in North Carolina.
She was there four separate times reporting for our show, talking to the people on the ground.
They didn't see anybody from the federal government.
Now, Samaritan's purse was there.
We had this organization on yesterday.
What is it?
Hilo, what is it called, Linda?
OperationHilo.org.
Those are the guys.
They got 100 helicopters, 400 missions a day, looking for people that were in desperate need.
They found them.
They got emergency food supplies, evacuated as many people as they could.
And not a single person that was interviewed that we have on tape said they saw anybody from the federal government because they didn't for a week.
And then we find out Maorkis, six days later into this, says, yeah, by the way, we don't have enough money for hurricane season.
And then we go to FEMA's own website and it says FEMA's Shelter and Services Program and how they did, in fact, raid the coffers and they took a billion dollars in the last two years to give to Harris Biden unvetted illegal immigrants and, you know, and take that money away that was supposed to be designed for Americans in case of an emergency.
On top of that, we went to FEMA's website again, and we look at what their goals are at FEMA for emergency response.
Goal one, instill equity as a foundation of emergency management.
And diversity and equity and inclusion cannot be optional.
They must be core components of how the agency conducts itself internally.
And FEMA's leadership and workforce demonstrate is required to demonstrate an increased commitment to integrating diversity, equity, and inclusion.
Goal number two, lead the whole of community in climate resilience.
Got to get in your climate change nonsense.
Goal three, promote and sustain a ready FEMA and a prepared nation.
And I'm like, these people, how about we just help every American in need?
And there's not a thing that Kamala would do differently.
So here it is now, just shy of two weeks later.
And they're mad at the criticism that they're getting.
They're the ones that said they were bankrupt.
Now, I know Congress is saying in a report that, well, they found the money.
And there was a New York Post article says, well, no, they're not exactly as broke as Mayorka said, but he's in charge of the agency.
He's the one that made the proclamation, not me.
They're the ones that didn't show up.
They're the ones that were missing in action.
And but for these incredible people helping people, people on the ground helping each other, neighbor helping neighbor, and Samaritans Purse and all these other organizations that mobilized and saved lives and got food and water and bare necessities to people.
I bet the death toll would probably be twice or three times as high as it ultimately will end up being.
And we don't even know what that number is.
And now they're just, now they're mad that anyone dares to criticize them.
Now, think about this.
Entire towns in the Southeast have been wiped out.
We have reports and video of horses and mules being used to deliver fairities to people.
We're told that the hurricane fund is nearly broke.
Kamala is tweeting out money that she's given $153 million additional monies to the $350 million that she's giving to Lebanon.
I've gone over in great specificity all the money that goes to these globalist organizations and all the money that goes to all these foreign countries.
I can go over it again if you really want me to.
I mean, $385 million to the people of Lebanon when the people of North Carolina, Georgia, and everywhere in between need this money.
Anyway, 800-941 Sean is our number.
Joe Bistardi is with us.
We have Hurricane Milton now about to touch down sometime this evening by the coast of Tampa or a little south of that.
I've been in steady touch with Joe.
What's the latest, Joe?
Well, again, we want to make sure people understand this.
You're watching it drop on the Sapper-Simpson scale.
It is not dropping on what we use, which is a power and impact scale, which takes into account size.
The size of the hurricane is expanding.
The wind at the center is decreasing, but this strong wind is expanding out.
So what you're going to get is instead of having hurricane-forced winds 20 miles from the center like it's been with this tight little system that you see, you're going to have hurricane-forced winds extending out 100 to 125 miles from the center.
It just won't be as powerful at the center.
Now, that means that structural damage will be less than, let's say, a cap five or four on a Sapper-Simpson scale hit.
But there's more widespread area getting winds 75, 90, even gusts to 100 miles an hour.
You saw what happened with Helene.
We had gusts to 100 miles an hour all the way into Georgia because it got bull whipped in there.
So this is going to be causing hurricane force winds all the way through the I-4 corridor late tonight tomorrow morning to Orlando.
And it's going to go offshore, I think, near Cape Canaveral, a little bit north, probably around 10 in the morning.
The landfall is near Bradenton.
I'm nervous about this.
And the reason I'm nervous about this is the European computer forecast keeps shoving this directly up Tampa Bay.
And that makes me a little bit nervous because in the past, it has been almost rock solid with this.
And there are wobbles that are going on.
But the thing about this is, folks, because it's not a pinprick anymore, because it's wide, the eye may be 30 miles wide, it means that basically you're getting a bulldozer in the water pushing water toward the coast.
It's not like Charlie, Irma, or Ian, which were coming up from the south.
This is for Tampa.
It's coming directly generally at you from the southwest.
But even if it passes a little to the south, the storm surge is going to be very high in Tampa Bay.
And of course, it'll be higher right where it makes landfall.
Worst case scenario is if it came up Tampa Bay, and it's storm surge that is a huge concern here.
So I think it'll be near Bradenton around midnight, probably in the vicinity of Lakeland at about 4 a.m.
This is the center of the storm.
And probably around 6 a.m. near Orlando.
And we get out to sea around 10 o'clock tomorrow morning.
Also, tornadoes are a big deal in south central Florida, especially.
Been a lot of tornado warnings this afternoon, and they're going to continue tonight.
So even if you're not in the main part of this storm, if you're, you know, 100 miles to the southeast and south central Florida, even to the southeast coast, you should be aware of the idea that there'd be more than average tornado activity for that part of Florida.
All right.
So what do you want specifically for you to tell people?
Let's start from Naples, Florida, up the western seaboard in the Gulf Coast of Florida and all the way through, because it's going straight across my home state of Florida.
And everybody, you know, Sarasota, Fort Myers, Tampa, north of Tampa, you know, all the way across the state, Orlando, I-4 corridor.
Tell people specifically what they should expect, who needs to leave, and what happens if they risk staying and don't take evacuation orders.
Well, first of all, when you're dealing with a storm of this magnitude, you can always come back to your house after it's all over.
So what you really want to say is if you are in Tampa, Bradenton, or wherever town, listen to the local officials to whether you should be evacuating.
All right?
I mean, these people know what's going on.
Of course, you've got every, so I always advise you listen to your local officials evacuating.
And even though, again, I don't want people to be fooled by the reduction of the category of the storm because it's simply changing its nature and becoming bigger.
Because it's becoming bigger, places like Naples are probably going to get wind gusts to Hurricane Force in a six to eight beats surge.
You go further north to Fort Myers, 75 to 90 miles an hour, probably, I'd say, by midnight tonight.
And then it starts calming down after that.
Storm surge a little bit higher, that Bradenton, Sarasota area, they're going to see wind gusts probably at 120 miles an hour in there.
We're already getting wind gusts to near Hurricane Force in parts of Tampa Bay because of the way the bay funnels the air to some extent.
So those areas in there, Tampa, I think the worst in the storm in Tampa is probably midnight to 3 a.m.
And you get on the other side of Pinellas County.
It's probably about the same time.
And they have an interesting problem there because the back side of this storm is going to have very strong northwest winds into Pinellas County.
So that's something that you folks there will want to think about.
It probably won't be over completely till 3, 4 in the morning as far as the damaging wind goes.
And when we get inland, of course, we've got the tornado problem.
Lakeland, again, I think you're going to see wind gusts to hurricane force in Lakeland and Orlando.
It may be a lot like Ian when Ian went through there.
So you're going to have some damage in there, cumulative minor to moderate damage, but that's going to pile up.
And as far as the rain goes, the flooding, the worst part of the rain is on the north side of the storm.
So that would be, let's say, Pinellas County to about Daytona Beach.
There's going to be 12 to 18 inches of rain in some places tonight into tomorrow morning as this goes by.
So hopefully that sort of sums it up.
A lot of towns in there and trying to get as much as I can in.
Yeah.
I think now, what about people that are more inland?
What's going to happen in Orlando, for example?
What's going to happen on the west coast of Florida?
I'm sorry, on the east coast of Florida.
Well, again, in Orlando, I think let's say between five and seven or eight in the morning is the worst part of the storm, or the center will be crossing.
So you're going to have wind gusts to hurricane force.
If you go back and think about Ian, that was just two years ago.
This storm may be very similar in Orlando as Ian was.
You know, Ian came across there.
And on the east coast, what will happen is, as the storm approaches, not much is going to be going on.
As soon as the center gets to the coast, that's when the wind is really going to start cranking in.
It'll be cranking up at Daytona Beach and St. Augustine and places like that very late tonight and tomorrow morning.
But where it goes out to see at Titusville and those places, the strongest winds will be as the storm is exiting for two, three, four hours.
It'll come out of the north and you'll get wind gusts 75 to 100 miles an hour as the storm is moving away there.
Yeah.
Anyway, I appreciate everything.
Joe Bistardi, Weatherbell.com, official meteorologist of the Sean Hannity Show.
Joe, we'll check in tomorrow when we're on the air.
This is going to be right in the heart of Florida, and our prayers go out to the people of Florida.
The one thing I will say, thank God Governor DeSantis doesn't have to count on Kamala Harris for any help or assistance, especially after her cheap shot this week.
But we'll put that aside for another day.
Anyway, 800-941-SHAWN, our number if you want to be a part of the program.
He's always been a street fighter who takes on the system.
And Hannity is doing it today.
Fighting left-wing powers who want to stamp out conservative voices, fighting fire with fire.
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