Craig Keshishian, was educated at Cornell, Princeton, and Yale Law School, and served on the White House staff for President Ronald Reagan. and Matt Towery, Syndicated Columnist, Attorney and Pollster, talk about the polls and the potential win for the President on Tuesday.The Sean Hannity Show is on weekdays from 3 pm to 6 pm ET on iHeartRadio and Hannity.com. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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All right.
Thanks, Scott Shannon.
Five days we're here.
You're the ultimate jury.
Live free or America will die.
I don't know how we'd ever recover if the stated depressing policies of uh Joe Biden, the weak frail, and cognitively struggling to be charitable, half a corpse.
I mean, I I can't see this guy finishing out any term.
And most Americans say the same thing in the polls.
That's why I keep saying pay attention to Kamala Harris, pay close attention.
Uh there is so much good news that I have to share with you, which is hard to do five days out of an election.
I don't know.
I always have this air of pessimism during elections.
I I prefer, and it's just the way my mind works.
I just want to act and in my mind thinking we're down, we're way behind.
We got a lot of work to do.
I want to catch up.
Uh you gotta stay right, you know, laser focused on things.
And I think that is good advice for everybody.
And then I use my football analogy, about two minutes left, no timeouts, you're on your own 20.
You gotta, you know, march down the field 80 yards, cross the plane, kick the extra point to win.
It's never easy for a Republican to be elected the president of the United States.
You gotta run the table.
All these states that I keep mentioning, I'm mentioning them on purpose.
Because if you're in these states, these states matter.
Your vote matters.
I don't care what anybody tells you.
I don't care what the media says, although there's a lot of good polls.
All of a sudden we're beginning to see a shift in polling.
What a shock.
Uh it's a much closer race than they've been telling us.
Well, that's just uh a CYA by most of these either polling or media organizations.
They're so corrupt.
But let's start with the best news of the day, and that is the GDP report, uh, which is massive.
Remember, we had in the beginning, look.
President first, 10 days after first identified case of corona travel ban, and the subsequent travel ban, then the you know, quarantine, the first one in what, 50 plus years.
And then, of course, we go through this major hit in in late March, April, and we're told that as many as two, two and a half million Americans may die if we don't shut down the economy.
We shut down the economy, we flattened the curve, we all knew there'd be hot spots that come back time to time to time, and we knew that the second quarter uh reduction of GDP was going to be massive.
It ended up being massive.
But the growth of the third quarter that just came in today uh was much better than anybody had predicted or expected, and that quote, V-shaped recovery that we've been hoping for is now a reality.
Real GDP growth at an annualized rate at 33.1% in the third quarter, beating every expectation and achieving what is an all-time high increase.
As a matter of fact, this quarter, uh which is uh July, August, September.
This rise in GDP is nearly double the previous record that was set over 70 years ago.
Real consumer spending, way up by 40.7%.
That too breaking and shattering all previous records.
The economy saw massive increases in business investment, 20.3%, residential investment, 59.3%, inventory investment, which means future buying expectations.
That's 6.6 percentage points to GDP.
Uh the president was right.
This next year is gonna be the best economic year we've we probably will have on record.
Uh 11.4 million jobs have been gained or recovered uh because of the jobs that were lost because of the lockdowns.
That is now, you know, we're now in the 7% range on unemployment on the president.
And they thought it was going to get as high as 25% at different points.
The economic recovery has beaten every solid expectation, outpacing uh the recovery that Obama was making up on the stump yesterday.
The CBO projected unemployment rate, which would still be above 10% in December.
Well, it's now at 7.1%.
Sorry, the president's policies are working.
U.S. this is historic in terms of this economic recovery.
Over 11 million new jobs.
Unemployment rate is already cut in half, 7.8%.
Economists have predicted unemployment would not be this low until the end of 2021.
And by the way, we're not even talking about all the states.
You have all these blue state governors that have kept their states in almost a perpetual shutdown mode.
Imagine if they had followed the policies of the president and the rest of the country.
Joe Biden would be the worst person.
Now what does he want to do?
He wants to increase taxes.
Great.
That's not going to work.
Increase the bureaucracy.
That's not going to work.
He's going to literally eliminate fossil fuels, fracking all the energy sector jobs we have, spend trillions on this, you know, another Cylindra debacle.
And the economic growth in the third quarter is fairly amazing.
By the way, the largest quarterly GDP growth on record was only 16.7%.
I mean, it shatters that.
It more than doubles that.
The largest GDP growth when Joe Biden was president was 5.5% for the 2013.
But remember, they're the first administration that never had a GDP growth of 3% for a full year.
SP, they had forecast 29.5.
Bank of America, their forecast was 27%.
Morgan Stanley was 27.
The Congressional Budget Office had it at 23.
Economists surveyed by the Fed, they predicted 19.
Kiplinger projected 18.
The New York Federal Reserve, 13.75.
The economy has gained 11.4 million new jobs as people now are making their way back to work.
And there's got we have a long way to go and a lot of growth to happen.
Now there's another thing.
Now, if I had come out and said the following, which I'm going to read from the New York Times, I promise you I would be excoriated, even though it's they actually got to the truth.
Because everywhere Joe Biden goes, he's trying goes, he's trying to scare the hell out of everybody as it relates to all things COVID, COVID, COVID.
Now, I know he's been napping and sleeping in his bunker in his basement nearly 24-7, even off again yesterday.
He did a he did a rally today.
It lasted like 10 minutes, and he's out of there.
And it was nobody there for the most part anyway.
Even the New York Times is acknowledged, Times is acknowledging that we have gotten the therapeutics and the means and the knowledge now to deal with COVID-19 far better than when this thing first hit us in January, thanks to China.
Anyway, they I'll read from the New York Times as COVID-19 continued its rampage over the summer and fall, infecting nearly 8.5 million Americans.
The survival rates, even of seriously ill patients appears to be improving.
At one New York hospital system where 30% of coronavirus patients died in March, the death rate had dropped to 3% by the end of June.
Well, that's a 90% improvement in survival rates.
This is what the president has been talking about.
These are the new therapeutics.
These are the new treatments.
This is the REMDisovere.
This is for some hydroxychloroquine, then zinc and vitamins and steroids and now convalescent plasma, uh regeneration and everything else that we've developed, as we have gone full on hardcore finding not only the vaccine, we're in the final stage.
The vaccine, I think, is going to be announced within a week.
probably they just don't want to do it before the election is that would be political.
But the reality is they started final stage human trials in late July.
Now, the reason that they're ongoing is because they're working.
Otherwise, they stop them.
If people had died, they would have stopped them.
So people are not dying from the vaccine.
That's number one.
What do we learn in stage two trials?
We learn that everybody was building up corona COVID-19 antibodies.
Okay, so that's continuing in stage three trials.
And what I've read, what they've been willing to share up to this point, the companies, a number of them now, on the verge of the vaccine to bring and get approval from the FDA, is that any side effects are minimal.
They're not having massive side effects.
So that's well, that's going to be great for first responders, medical professionals, and those that are most vulnerable with pre-existing conditions, uh, or compromised immune systems.
Uh, you know, medical researchers, scientists, the great Americans in in all these fields have been amazing.
Anyway, so the New York Times pointed out, scientists wondered, you know, were the lower death rates simply a function of demographic changes or a reflection of real progress.
Researchers, NYU Langone Health zeroed in on the question of analyzing the outcomes of more than 5,000 patients hospitalized at the Systems 3's hospitals March through August and concluded the improvement was real, not just a function of changing demographics, meaning younger people.
And when they controlled for differences in patients' age, sex, race, underlying health problems, severity of symptoms like blood oxygen levels at admission, they found the death rates had dropped significantly way down from March of 25.6%.
Other doctors agreed.
Mortality is way lower than they used to be.
That's good news.
You know, it's funny because now that they've gone gone, Joe Biden's gone full in COVID, COVID fear, covert panic, uh, seemingly unaware of final phase uh vaccine trials.
Uh even Chucky Todd is beginning to wonder whether or not Joe Biden is taking the coronavirus too seriously.
During a segment on uh his Meet the Press, he said, interesting when you look at both candidates, in some ways, one not taking the virus seriously enough, uh, referring to the president, but then pivoting to Biden saying, and one, if there's a criticism, it might be he's taking it too seriously.
At least when you look at both candidates in some ways, um, one not taking the virus seriously enough at all, uh and one, if there's a criticism might be, is he taking it too seriously, at least when it comes to campaigning.
Marcos, let me start with you.
Um is there any part of you that's nervous about the light Biden footprint when it comes to campaigning, uh, when it comes to the door knocking when it comes to this stuff, it is probably the only hole in the campaign infrastructure, which is obvious why it's there.
It's due to the pandemic.
Okay.
What you know, they don't want to report on the progress.
They desperately don't want well, we're not gonna accept if Donald Trump's vaccine.
It's not gonna be Donald Trump's vaccine.
It's gonna be uh the American people's vaccine.
It's not gonna be approved by Donald Trump.
I approve that vaccine.
No, no, it's gonna be the medical researchers, the pharmaceutical companies, the FDA, they'll make the decision.
And then I I know that Biden's talking about, you know, another shutdown, and you know, the dark winter is coming upon us.
Actually, just the opposite, depending on how fast we can logistically produce and dispense the uh vaccine when it comes.
But this is massive news.
This is record breaking.
This is the V-shaped recovery we had all hoped for, and now we've got it, and that means that okay, we get the virus behind us, and you know, it's put our foot to the gas, and America could have its most prosperous economic year on record.
Wouldn't that be great?
Hope and opportunity and living, life again, and going to restaurants and going to ball games.
I I hope we can keep politics out of ball games for for once.
Hey there.
I'm Mary Catherine Hamm.
And I'm Carol Markowitz.
We've been in political media for a long time.
Long enough to know that it's gotten, well, a little insane.
That's why we started Normally, a podcast for people who are over the hysteria and just want clarity.
We talk about the issues that actually matter to the country without panic, without yelling, and with a healthy dose of humor.
We don't take ourselves too seriously, but we do take the truth seriously.
So if you're into common sense, sanity and some occasional SAS, you're our kind of people.
Catch new episodes of Normally every Tuesday and Thursday.
On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen movement in polling that we're seeing Susquehanna polled 400 likely voters that favored Donald Trump as it at I think they had 484 and that poll, I mean this is getting pretty interesting, especially if you look at some of these swing states here.
And if you look at Florida in particular, which is what I'm talking about, two polls out one by Rasmussen, the other by Susquehanna we have the insider advantage polls another one.
Biden in the biggest swing state of the election uh all three of them now have Donald Trump with pretty comfortable leads.
48-44 is the Susquehanna poll.
Rasmussen has it 49-46 Trump.
And Insider Advantage had Trump by three as well, which is good news if you're looking at undecideds.
Some other anecdotal information we're gathering.
Now the trend is continuing with Rasmussen nationally.
Trump at 48 and Biden at 47 among likely voters.
When you move to the state of Pennsylvania, We have the Insider Advantage poll that had Trump by...
three then we've got the Susquehanna poll this guy's pretty interesting Jim Lee of Susquehanna polling and research you know and you look at for example Robert Cahalley of what's the name of his group Trafalgar.
Trafalgar group yes thank you he's predicting now that Trump has a slight lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania both places and that he'll win North Carolina which has been scaring a lot of people on the Republican side.
I don't know for whatever reason I think some Republicans have been concerned about Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona and I think you have to pay attention to those.
I think those that are really afraid of Texas are not reading Texas right that's my take but what they are seeing is all of these states that Donald Trump would have to win are now moving poll after poll in this final week towards Donald Trump.
Dick Morris uh picked up the trend and so did the New York Times and their New York Times Siena poll they're finding that President Trump is now carrying 24% of voters in the Philadelphia area we believe mostly minority voters every poll that we're referring to has Trump at 15% or higher with African Americans and double digit leads over where he was in 2016 with Hispanic Americans.
We'll continue Hey there I'm Mary Catherine Hamm.
And I'm Carol Markowitz.
We've been in political media for a long time long enough to know that it's gotten well a little insane.
That's why we started Normally a podcast for people who are over the hysteria and just want clarity.
We talk about the issues that actually matter to the country without panic without yelling and with a healthy dose of humor.
We don't take ourselves too seriously but we do take the truth seriously so if you're into common sense sanity and some occasional sass you're our kind of people catch new episodes of Normally every Tuesday and Thursday on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast or wherever you listen all right 25 till the top of the hour five days you are the ultimate jury it is nearly game day and many of you are still voting we still have all our voter information if you need it at Hannity.com an interactive
map uh where you're going to learn things like okay where do I vote uh how do I do absentee voting is it too late when is early voting start stop where do I vote day of Who's running for Congress in my district, et cetera, et cetera.
And I just want everybody in this audience to know one thing.
I don't care what anybody in the media says to you.
I don't care what any poll says to you.
I don't care how they try to uh deflate turnout uh of conservatives thinking, oh, it's a lost cause with all the 17-point lead, Joe Biden in Wisconsin.
That is complete, utter and total BS.
And I'll take any bet from that whatever polling company did that stupid poll that it's not going to be anywhere near that.
As a matter of fact, I would predict Wisconsin is going to be close.
We have polls now with the president.
It is neck and neck in Michigan.
It is neck and neck with a slight lead in Pennsylvania for the president.
Would I take it for granted?
No.
Do I trust politicians and people that count the votes?
Do I believe in voter integrity for Philly and other areas in Chicago elsewhere?
No, I don't.
And I hope Republicans have enough poll watchers and enough lawyers on the ground, making sure that no nefarious activities occur.
But with that said, just if you every single thing that matters to this country is on the line here.
This is about capitalism versus socialism.
This is about America taking a radical left turn with false phony promises that will never be fulfilled.
That your government is going to take care of every single solitary need you have.
And they're going to do it while simultaneously eliminating fossil fuels, fracking the energy sector of our economy.
That is all one big lie.
Government, the same Democrats that they can't even give in this cities and states they run simple safety and security.
They can't even restore simple law and order.
They can't even provide an education for our kids, which is their number two most important responsibility.
You know, every lie you've been told about Obamacare, and don't forget the lockbox has been busted open, and there is no social security lockbox.
And yeah, they're going to have to somehow means test it.
They'll figure out a way to take your Social Security money back to.
Oops, sorry, you don't have it anymore.
Everything is on the line.
You know, we're now literally on the verge of this vaccine.
The therapeutics are now there, and even the New York Times shockingly admitted it.
I couldn't believe it.
If you look at, you know, what has Joe Biden done for anybody to make this country?
What policy can you refer to that he's implemented with his name on it that he pushed that has made this this country or your life better?
There is no answer to that question.
But it's about higher taxes or lower taxes, more bureaucratic red tape or less bureaucratic red tape.
Energy independence, American prosperity, millions of jobs in the energy sector, the world's largest producer of energy versus this trillions wasted on this new Green Deal madness.
And we'll retrofit every home and we'll retrofit every building.
And you can't build buildings with steel and glass anymore.
I mean, this is madness.
What are the trades going to do?
What are the workers going to do in construction?
You know, how we how do you what are we going to build, you know, skyscrapers with what?
Lollipop sticks or you know, ice cream cone sticks or what?
You know, we can't cut down trees.
That would be illegal also.
This is about fundamentally altering this country.
And to ever dig our way out of what they would put in place.
Then you look at their power grab.
They're packing the courts.
Then you look at, oh, we're going to add four Democratic senators, DC statehood, et cetera.
Then we're going to give 15 million people that didn't respect our laws, our borders, our security.
We're going to give them amnesty.
Well, that's something of great value.
Let's hope they vote for us in every subsequent election.
Let's hope we have a Democratic majority in the Senate in perpetuity by packing the Senate like we're packing the courts.
Let's have let's put judicial activists on the courts that will that will do that which we can't get done legislatively.
They'll do it through through judicial fiat.
I mean, this is nuts.
This is the nuttiest, most dangerous radical agenda of any major political party in history.
They're saying they will raise your taxes.
Believe them.
They're saying they'll pack the courts.
Believe them.
They're saying that they will eliminate fossil fuels.
Believe them.
They're saying they're gonna do all of it.
Believe them.
They mean it.
I don't like Donald Trump's style.
Well, Donald Trump kept his word, gave us the tax cuts.
He's building the wall.
He made us energy independent for the first time in 75 years.
He built those pipelines.
He opened up Anwar.
We're now the world's largest producer of energy.
He tore up more bureaucracy that helps out manufacturers and create jobs than anybody in history.
He shattered every record low unemployment for every demographic group in the country.
He was able to get us out of these never-ending foreign conflicts by taking off the handcuffs, the rules of engagements of our great military.
That's how we beat the caliphate in Syria.
That's how we took out Solomon and Al Baghdadian associates and everybody else.
The president was tough.
Many of you called me and said, No, he's gonna create a trade war.
We're gonna have trade wars.
This is gonna be protectionism.
It's gonna end in a disaster.
I told you, no, he's not.
I said he's negotiating.
Everything he does is a negotiation.
If I talk to the, you know, then candidate Trump or President Trump said, I'd like to have you for an interview.
How long do you want?
I'll say 30 minutes.
I'll give you 10.
You know, then I and we usually agree on 20 or somewhere in there, and then I go 30 anyway, if I can get away with it.
Little trick of the trade.
You know, what what do you want for the future of this country?
You know, w uh, do you want a president that's gonna restore law and order?
Do you want a president that believes in safety and security?
What is the democratic unholy alliance with teachers union ever done for any child in any blue state in any liberal run city to help improve education?
Nothing.
We pay more per capita per student with the worst results.
He's offering school choice to every parent.
You know, all the things that the president has done for minorities, record low unemployment, African Americans, Hispanic Americans, Asian Americans, women in the workplace, youth unemployment, African American youth unemployment.
Why didn't Joe and Barack do that?
Why didn't they do opportunity zones?
Why didn't they come up with the platinum plan?
Why didn't they do criminal justice reform?
Why didn't they do police reform?
Why didn't they do any of these things?
Donald Trump said, I'm gonna pick from this list.
These are the type of justices I'll put on the court.
And he kept his promise.
Joe won't even answer the question if he's gonna pack the courts.
By the way, we're following some of the interesting uh congressional races and just giving like a quick introduction to people that we have found very impressive.
Greg Raths is a retired Marine Corps colonel, fighter pilot, three combat operations, was in uh desert storms, 75 combat missions, FA 18 Hornet, 30 years active duty, now running for office, 45th district of uh California, uh six years as a councilman in Mission Viejo, California, mayor of Mission Viejo.
Uh, I hear that you have a real good shot at your race.
Is that true, sir?
Welcome to the program.
Hey, thanks, Sean.
Yes, we have a great chance of winning.
And to win the House of Representatives, we need to win three or four of these seats in California in Orange County that we lost in 2018 through ballot harvesting.
Well, do you think uh first of all, do you have enough uh poll watchers and lawyers on the ground to ensure integrity of our elections there in your district?
Absolutely.
We got four attorneys, they'll be there on election night in uh seven days after we have a great chance of winning this.
Irvine's the largest city in our district, and it's actually mission Viejo.
As you said, I served for 30 years on active duty uh flying uh F 18 Hornets and F four phantoms, and I'm ready to go to Washington now and get ready for Combat there also.
By the way, good what a career you've had.
Thirty years.
Good for you.
Thank you for your service to the country.
Uh what are the polls showing where you are?
I know that it's a toss-up district, a plus one Republican registration.
Uh how's it going with early voting out there?
It's going very well.
It's going to be very, very tight.
We need all Republicans to get out involved in the uh independence and no party preference.
Right now we're getting about 15% of the Democratic vote.
We feel really good to get this seat back.
The uh of my opponent is uh far left, uh, more left than AOC.
She does not fit this district.
The 10 cities in the district are all run by Republican mayors, the two uh state senators are Republican, assembly Republicans, so she does not fit the district, so we feel really good.
Let your listeners know you can go to Greg Raffs.com to check out uh more about me.
G-R-E-G-R-A-T-H-S.com.
It sounds like you'd be a terrific congressman.
I don't I don't have representation in New York.
I might have to adopt you as my congressman like I did with Bob Dornan years ago.
Uh thank you, Greg.
Okay, Sean, thank you.
800 941 Sean is our toll-free telephone number.
You know, I see all of these forces for four years now.
The media mob.
Now we see just how corrupt and abusively biased Twitter, Facebook, Google, all these big tech companies are.
You know, it's it's an in-kind donation.
The 99% of the media mob hate and have hated Donald Trump.
They've spread every lie, every conspiracy theory, every hoax.
They have harassed this man morning, noon, and night, and the president still goes about his business and keeps his promises and fights like hell.
You know, look at the difference between a guy that works, you know, three, four rallies a day every day now, going on for weeks, right after, you know, he got over COVID in ten days.
Unbelievable.
And you compare it to Joe Biden.
Yesterday takes the day off.
He's sleeping and napping in his basement bunker.
And Joe is not going to be the one making the decisions, I'm convinced.
Come on, man.
He's got Kamala Harris, the most radical senator as his running mate, Bolshevik Bernie's economic plan, AOC's new Green Deal Plan, you know, uh Bozo O'Rourke, hell yeah, we're coming for your your guns or uh as his guns are.
I mean, is this the is this the direction you want to take the country?
Do you really believe that government can provide every single thing you want, need, and desire in life free?
And do you find it acceptable?
What do you think it's gonna do to business people if we have no energy?
They're gonna leave the country.
Just like they're leaving New York and New Jersey and Illinois and California.
They're gonna leave the country.
And they're gonna move to countries and manufacture goods in a more business friendly environment.
The idea that you're gonna take 60 cents of or 66 cents of everybody's dollar that they make, and don't believe when they repeal the Trump tax cuts, which Joe said, on average, the average family is gonna lose thousands right there.
The higher the cost of energy, you pay that cost.
Raising corporate taxes, you will be paying that money because corporations don't pay money.
They pass they pass the cost on to you, to us, to we, the people.
You have all these powerful forces, the deep state, big tech companies, the media mob, and they are a corrupt mob.
Democratic Party, you know, they wake up every second hour, minute of every day, hating all things Donald Trump.
Won't even help with coronavirus relief if it if the president's gonna get some of the credit.
It's sick.
All these big forces against the president.
Deep state, look what they've done to him.
There'll be no justice if, by the way, Biden ever won.
All those investigations, all those guilty players, corruption, abuse of power goes away.
What kind of country do you want for your children?
Do you want liberty and freedom and capitalism?
Free markets, invention, innovation that has led to a standard of living and a wealth that Is the envy of the entire free world?
Or do you think your government that gave you Obamacare is going to be able to take care of your health care, your job, pay for your schooling?
And they're just going to take it from somebody else.
Guaranteed vacations and guaranteed jobs and guaranteed healthy food and guaranteed government schools and guaranteed health care.
How do you think that's going to work out?
What has government ever done that's successful?
What have they done to earn such trust of the American people?
Hey there.
I'm Mary Catherine Hamm.
And I'm Carol Markowitz.
We've been in political media for a long time.
Long enough to know that it's gotten, well, a little insane.
That's why we started normally a podcast for people who are over the hysteria and just want clarity.
We talk about the issues that actually matter to the country without panic, without yelling, and with a healthy dose of humor.
We don't take ourselves too seriously, but we do take the truth seriously.
So if you're into common sense, sanity, and some occasional tasks.
You're our kind of people.
Catch new episodes of Normally every Tuesday and Thursday on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen.
All right, hour two, Sean Hannity Show.
Glad you're with us.
Five days, you are the ultimate jury, 800-941.
Sean, you want to be a part of the program.
A lot of polls now coming out that are very different, which by the way, reminiscent of 2016 than what we have been seeing this entire presidential season, and that is, oh, they're getting an awful lot closer.
For example, if you look at the polls out by Rasmussen, 52% likely voters approving the president's job performance, uh only 47% disapproving.
Susquehanna has a poll, which is which is interesting.
Uh likely voters favor Trump 4844.
That poll conducted October 23rd through 25th.
Uh Rasmussen, as I said, Trump had a three-point lead in Florida, 4946.
Our friend Matt Towery polling Pennsylvania, 4846, had the president up by three in Florida in his poll.
Uh then you go even further into some of these other polls.
You know, Trump is gaining in in a lot of different places.
Why all of a sudden, why last minute?
Why once again uh we're told there's no chance, no chance, no chance, and all of a sudden, I guess it's a little CYA in the part of the pollsters.
Uh there's one thing Ronald McDaniel of the RNC has been tweeting out, which is very interesting to me, and I don't think I don't know how you calibrate this or factor this into uh, you know, how this would would turn into votes, but for example, people that are showing up at the president's rallies, they talk about the number of people signing up, like 18 uh nearly 19,000 in Ohio, 42% of them not Republican.
30% of them didn't vote in 2016.
Uh New Hampshire, very similar story.
Uh Pennsylvania, uh, 23% not Republican.
21% didn't vote in 2016.
And it goes on in uh in a whole series of these polls.
Pretty fascinating.
Same thing in Michigan.
32% didn't vote in 2016, and 50% were not Republican that went to the president's rally in Michigan recently.
Uh, you see in every poll a dramatic increase.
Dick Morris picked up on this in his column today, and he's been pretty well known in terms of being a polster.
And that the president is is getting as high as 20, 25% of the vote among African Americans and higher numbers with Hispanic Americans.
Uh, even the polls that have been coming out that are pro-Biden are showing the president with the 15% approval rating among minorities.
Uh Washington Examiner had a good point about this today.
Uh you have the latest Jim, what's his name?
Jim Lee of Subsquehanna polling and researched, issued some of the same points of our friend uh Cahale, who's from the Trafalgar group, Robert Cahalley, about shy Trump voters being missed by the pollsters.
Anyway, here to weigh in on uh all of this is Craig Cashishion and also Matt Towery.
Craig is the educated at Cornell Princeton, Yale Law School, served on the White House staff for Ronald Reagan.
Uh Matt Towery's been in the polling business, insider advantage for years.
He was even polling for Newt Gingrich uh back in the day of the contract with America.
Welcome both of you to the program.
Hi, Sean.
All right, Craig, your take on the polls.
Why are so many of them so flawed and why all of a sudden the last minute changes we're seeing?
Well, Sean, I used to poll for President Reagan, and uh over the years I recognized, especially in 2016, that there was a submerged Trump vote for uh for the president uh back then, and I think that that quotient is growing and has remained uh uh a very serious underweighted factor in this election cycle.
I I have to tell you that you know the the polling industry as we know it uh doesn't have the same gifts or advantages as it did 20, 30 years ago when everybody owned a landline.
It's a very difficult business today.
So you have to look at things like crowd size and Sean, crowds are power.
The size of those crowds, they may be anecdotal or collateral evidence to most folks, but I think there's a direct nexus to enthusiasm and to the bottom line of of outcomes.
And when you see 25,000 people braving cold weather in Nebraska to see the president, that tells you something that tells you that there's enthusiasm that tells you that they're gonna show up for a winner, not for a loser.
Uh they have more important things to do than brave cold temperatures.
That is purely evidential uh and evidentiary and that have to be taken into account.
And I think also in the culture the cancel culture that we're in today, I think Republican voters are very reluctant when some stranger calls them on their personal cell phone, knows their name, and wants to know how they're voting.
I think it's an affront, and it's an invasion of privacy.
And then the cancel culture are in too.
I think they're also a creative uh uh recriminations and and consequences.
So I have seen in polls that I've looked at that I've consulted, a tremendous number of uh rejected ballots that come from Republican survey attempts to assess voter sentiment, especially amongst Republican uh respondents.
So there are a lot of uh collateral and holistic points that have to be taken into consideration, not look not just looking at the bottom line of some survey.
And Matt Towry, let's get your overall take on uh all of this.
You you picked up a lot of these trends early too, including the support of minorities in America for the president, his policies to me what brought people into onto his side.
Uh and you know, I don't think there's any real definitive reason to vote for Joe Biden unless you want to adopt the most radical agenda of any major political party in history.
Well, uh to Craig's point, and it's it's a privilege to have Craig on because he has a great history um in polling, and it's great to have him as part of this.
Um a couple of things.
First of all, these trends are taking place, and and I just want to tell your listeners, you're gonna hear over the weekend all sorts of polls coming from the media, coming from other groups.
They're gonna cause you to think that Donald Trump is just cratering.
They are not correct.
These are not correct polls.
Just like in 2016, they are off.
Why are they off?
Even in the instance where they get the data correct, which is very rare these days because they're using cell phone data that I believe primarily is taken way ahead of time, and basically as a panel.
People who are hyper political and who care about politics tend to skew very liberal and to the left.
And that's gonna change your whole thing, garbage in, garbage out.
But even when they're correct, they're weighted incorrectly.
So so the the issue is this.
We're seeing African Americans trending up for Donald Trump.
He's at 14, 15 to almost 20 percent in many of these battleground polls have done.
And Sean, we I've never seen that in my entire career, and I don't I doubt Craig has ever seen that for a Republican before either.
Uh Hispanics are trending up substantially.
And you can't have that taking place and then come back in these battleground states like Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, where those those um various demographics are critical.
You can't come back and say, Oh, it's a blowout, it's a five-point win for Biden.
It's humanly impossible.
So I know the polls I'm seeing.
Now, they think our polls are bad.
I understand, because there are so many polls have been submitted by these media organizations, and they they're using systems that we don't agree with, and they say, Oh, That's just people who lean Republican or whatever.
We will see on election day.
In 2016, I was right.
I think I'm going to be right again in 2020.
All right, let's go over the specific states.
It's always hard for a Republican, Craig, to win the presidency.
You got to win Florida.
You got to win Ohio.
You got to win Georgia, you got to win North Carolina.
You got to win Iowa.
You got to win Arizona.
You got to look to pick off Nevada, maybe New Mexico over the energy issue.
Then you go for the hard heavy lift.
That's Pennsylvania.
That's Wisconsin.
That's Michigan, Minnesota.
How do you see these specific states?
We see trends, especially in Michigan.
I'm seeing in Michigan and in Pennsylvania towards Donald Trump, but it's still hard.
President won Michigan by 10,700 votes in 2016.
Won Wisconsin by, I think 22,000.
He won uh Pennsylvania by 44,000.
Not a lot of votes when you think of the population numbers we're talking about.
Agreed.
It's threading a needle, but the president is more than capable of doing so.
Here's one important fact our listeners need to.
I know they know well.
Joe Biden didn't make just one startling goof in the debate with the last debate with the president.
He made two.
When he said uh uh a dark winter is coming, it was straight out of the game of thrones, a very bad TV episode.
Folks want optimism.
They want they don't want to live in fear.
Not even FTR after Pearl Harbor adopted that kind of tone.
And the second one, of course, was his big gaff on oil and gas industry and his desire to extinguish that.
And you know only too well that that has repercussive effects uh not only in Ohio and Pennsylvania and Michigan, but downstream in the businesses that count on rubber that count on oil, like rubber, polymer, automotive, and steel.
And that's a that's a thread that runs through all of the industrial heartland in the Midwest.
So you know only too well people who are technicians in the fracking industry who are working on the automotive lines at a GM, they're thinking, Jesus, this fellow wants to eradicate my business in 10, 15 years, and I'm 30 years old.
Do I have to go back to college or go to a learn another trade?
Voting is like buying an expensive high-end ticket item.
People get second doubts, and they start combating their fears and insecurities and their and their decisions when they have to sign on the dotted line.
That's what you're seeing right now.
Speaker Gingrich got that right.
You're seeing that right now.
And Sean, I got 2016 right on the button, too.
And what I saw is a migration taking place just about this time.
The pivot was a week out.
Uh, and you'll start seeing more migration over the last over the next several days until election day, because of all those gaps and other issues.
Yeah.
You know, Matt, I'm looking at the crowds today, for example, and the president again.
I've never we we watched a lot of elections together.
We've been friends for a long time.
I've never seen a phenomenon like this.
I mean, they announce one day that they're gonna go to these three cities, and they go to those three th cities, and tens of tens of thousands of people, even if it's freezing cold and rain, are waiting for Donald Trump to be at a Donald Trump rally.
That it's a phenomenon.
I don't know how you quantify that.
I don't know how you factor that into polling.
I don't know.
There's certainly enthusiasm that I've never seen for any other candidate before than this one.
Well, certainly on the Republican side.
The only one I was ever a part of um would be Ronald Reagan, and even he could not uh in 24 hours notice get the sort of crowds that we're seeing, for example, in Tampa today.
I'm here in Tampa Bay, it's very hot, very hot.
I'm told for my friends on the ground there that 25 to 30,000 people at Raymond James Stadium, it's as many as you have at most Buccaneers games.
So it's just a phenomenal turnout on 24 hours notice.
And and I I just want to add to to to the point that Craig had.
These crowds mean something because they're symbolic of something greater, and that is that uh this person is attracting people for a reason.
Our polling showed that most younger voters under the age of 65 do not want another lockdown if COVID surges again.
So you had the media right now pushing COVID.
Oh my goodness, ABC, NBC, CBS, you turn it on CNN.
We are having a COVID nightmare.
But yet at the same time, the people who are hearing that don't want a lockdown.
And of course, it's incredible.
The New York Times is pointing out death rates are plunging for seriously ill COVID patients.
And you know, Chuck Todd even saying, uh oh, I think Joe Biden might be taking the coronavirus too seriously.
In other words, he does he not know the therapeutics that have been created and we're on the verge of a vaccine.
All right, let's go to predictions.
Uh Craig, I'd say with your education at Cornell, Princeton, Yale Law School, uh serving in the White House of Ronald Reagan.
You have a few credentials behind you.
What do you think?
How's this going to end?
I think it's going to end very well for the president.
He is he is an optimist.
Uh Joe Biden is a pessimist.
Uh those contrasts are so stark that the American people see them.
They also see results, Sean, and they realize very carefully that the president executes.
He gets the job done.
His style might have some issues for some folks, but at the end of the day, he performs for the American people.
And that's why you see these huge crowds gathering for him around the country.
They know the job is not done.
It's going to be 280 votes north.
That's my take.
He may not win all three big states in the Midwest, but he'll certainly take Pennsylvania and Ohio and the big ones in the South.
That's all his.
I'm hoping he goes after Minnesota, Sean.
I think we're going to be able to do that.
I agree.
There's something going on in Minnesota.
I totally saw that four years ago.
We saw that four years ago.
Look, Sean and Matt, and I think Matt agrees, Matt and I have had some chats.
Minnesota has been the fulcrum of riots and upheaval for the last several months, correct?
Do you think the good people of Minnesota who live in the suburbs like seeing that sort of thing, especially if it might creep into their neighborhoods?
They want law and order, and they know they know who the man is to get the job done.
So I think Minnesota is ripe for the plucking.
I also think Nevada.
I also think New Mexico are also on the on the board.
So let's see.
Last word, Matt Towery.
I agree with him.
Ditto on uh Minnesota, Nevada's a possibility.
I I want to say one thing, though, about Georgia, because of course I've told it more than any place other than Florida.
Um, Georgia had a huge storm come through.
There were over a million people without power, also in central Alabama.
People there are going to have to resume their early voting as quickly as possible to keep the president and the game there.
I believe the president will carry Torchia, and I think he'll carry Florida.
But this disruption is going to create a blip, and the voters are going to have to decide how intense they are about re-electing Donald Trump in that state.
Good points, both of you.
All right, Craig, thank you.
Matt Towery, thank you.
800 941 Sean.
If you want to be a part of this extravaganza, Eric Trump, he's out on the road campaigning for his father.
Uh we'll get Austin Goolsby's reaction to this massive 33.1% growth in GDP for the third quarter, setting and shattering every record in 70 years and much more.
As we continue, the best election coverage, five days, you're the ultimate jury.
Hannity tonight at nine.
Quick break, right back.
We'll continue.
Hey there.
I'm Mary Catherine Hammond.
And I'm Carol Markovitz.
We've been in political media for a long time.
Long enough to know that it's gotten, well, a little insane.
That's why we started normally a podcast for people who are over the hysteria and just want clarity.
We talk about the issues that actually matter to the country without panic, without yelling, and with a healthy dose of humor.
We don't take ourselves too seriously, but we do take the truth seriously.
So if you're into common sense, sanity, and some occasional SAS.
You're our kind of people.
Catch new episodes of Normally every Tuesday and Thursday on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen.
All right, 25 till the top of the hour.
Glad you're with us.
Toll free, it's 800-941.
Sean, you want to be a part of the program.
Interesting when the president says, I am going to restore law and order if needed in Philadelphia.
Well, the DA is oh, not so fast.
No, you're not.
What is the president supposed to do?
We're just supposed to allow the anarchists to what, riot, loot, burn arson and not do anything about it?
Uh Philadelphia police bomb squad, uh, the ATF office uh were near the scene uh after explosives were found in a van.
The first job of any elected official is to keep people safe and to keep people secure.
The president addressed this When he was in uh Arizona yesterday, here's what he said.
Last night the city of Philadelphia was ransacked by violent mobs, and Biden supported people.
These were all Biden supported people.
And he wouldn't even call them out.
This morning they said, please call them out.
He doesn't want to get involved because he doesn't want to lose the radical left.
Stores were looted, police cars were burned, and dozens of officers, great officers were injured.
Biden and Harris stand up and they stand with the rioters and the vandals.
I stand with the heroes of law in force.
And a trip down memory lane.
Joe Biden, police become the enemy, of course, reallocate funds or redistribute them and Kamala Harris praising the defund of police movement.
We've got to reexamine what we're doing with American taxpayer dollars and ask the question are we getting the right return on our investment?
Are we actually creating healthy and safe communities?
And that's a legitimate conversation, and it requires a c a really critical evaluation.
And I applaud Eric Garcetti for doing what he's done.
Surplus military equipment for law enforcement.
They don't need that.
The last thing you need is an up-armored Humvee coming into a neighborhood.
It's like the military invading.
They don't know anybody.
They become the enemy.
They're supposed to be taking these people.
So my generic point is uh we agree that we can redirect some of the funding.
Yes.
Uh absolutely.
And one of the things that we also need to be doing is fundamentally changing the way, and I've been pushing it for years, changing the way we deal with our prison system.
Okay.
Well, why didn't you fix the way we deal with our prison system?
It's like every single thing Joe is out there saying and memorizing that he's going to do, be it on the coronavirus.
There's not one idea that he mentioned on how he deal with coronavirus that Donald Trump had not done months and months and months ago while he was hiding out and sleeping and napping and taking hot cocoa uh uh the afternoon tease, whatever he does.
It's unbelievable.
Redirect funds, police become the enemy, defund the police, and say nothing about the anarchy, the violence, the rioting, the looting, the the cops that are attacked regularly.
Don't say a word.
Well, if you're not going to keep people safe and secure, that's your job one.
It's pretty simple.
Eric Trump is with us, by the way.
He is uh out on a campaign stump like his dad, crisscrossing the nation.
Well, like the entire Trump family.
Uh what city are you in today, sir?
Yeah, hey, Sean, how are you?
I'm I'm heading to Lansing, Michigan.
I'm driving up um ninety-six as we speak, and it's it's unbelievable.
Everywhere I look, there's Trump signs.
It's Sean, there's so much love out here.
You and I talk about this all the time, but there is so much love in this country.
You know, all you watch when you you know, when you watch TV, all you see is hate out there.
Not on your show, but generally when you watch the mainstream media, there is so much love in this country, I can't even tell you.
And um it just it feels so beautiful out here, it really does.
I'll tell you the biggest news of the day, you cannot deny to have GDP growth setting an all-time record, thirty-three and a uh point one percent in the third quarter.
That is the V-shaped recovery we had all hoped for.
Uh it is the quarter now, GDP double the previous record set seventy years ago, and the great American economic comeback is underway.
And I would add to this, you know, had a not a if we didn't have a lot of blue states that still kind of remain in seventy-five percent shutdown mode, uh, it would have been uh exponentially even bigger than that.
Yeah, well, I'm driving through one in Michigan, uh, literally as we speak, um, Sean.
But yeah, 33.1% GDP growth, quarter over quarter.
I mean, even your friend Joe Scarborough said that you know that number is unparalleled ever before in American history.
I mean, uh, even he can't deny the you know the greatness of that number.
Joe doesn't like me like he used to.
Joe Joe Scarborough was my friend in two thousand.
He was calling me, they're stealing this election.
He's screaming, you know, and into the phone talking about you know, pimpled dimpled, dented Chads, but he's changed a lot.
Hey, you're you're you're you're not alone.
He used to love us as well.
But listen, you know, that that number can make every American proud.
And my father has built the greatest economy this country's ever seen, and the great country has taken care of our vets, and he's getting peace deal after peace deal.
I mean, no one's talking about it, Sean, but you know there's like four peace deals in the last four weeks in this country.
I mean, you remember John Kerry.
If you move the embassy of Jerusalem, you're gonna stir up a hornet death in the Middle East.
Now we have four peace deals in the last four weeks, and the media didn't even talk about it.
And it's it's uh it's really unbelievable.
But but but by the way, America sees it.
America appreciates it, America sees it.
Um I see it every day.
I see it every day with the passion at these rallies that I uh you know that I speak at every single day.
America, America's by the way, I hope you're getting the bigger crowd than Don Jr.
Don Jr. was claiming on TV last night that he's getting three thousand at all of his events.
Is that true?
You know, honestly, the crowds out there, Sean, are are incredible everywhere we go.
I mean, just it they're they're they're they're massive.
I mean, and we're not on the ticket.
We're not we're not on the ticket.
I mean, I I was speaking across from from Biden.
He was in Scrand Pennsylvania with Bon Jovi.
I was literally two miles away, a couple miles away in Mount Cocail.
And Sean, I had six, seven, eight hundred people at that event.
That was like a hundred.
And literally, he he he had he had 15 cars max, meaning and half of them were probably staff cars, right?
And he had Bon Jovi, uh he had a rock star with him, and you know, and I'm not on the table.
Bon Jovi played for more pumpkins in that in that set than he did for people.
But but but you know, and and it it's just amazing.
And in and unorganized, you had a a thousand Trump supporters in an area that used to actually be very democratic, right?
You had a thousand Trump supporters descend down the hill on the concert.
I mean, there was I it the whole thing was unbelievable.
And I'm seeing that everywhere I go.
I was in Phoenix, Arizona the other night.
That the energy was off the charts.
I mean, Michigan, um all over Arena, Nevada, and then Las Vegas.
I I feel awful for the people in in Navada because of all of the shutdowns.
Uh uh these uh the these folks gotta pay their their mortgage, they gotta pay their rent, they gotta pay their car payments.
Uh what are they saying to you about all the restrictions uh that are preventing them from getting back to work?
They're upset.
People in this country want to go back to life, and you know, they they they want to get back to the American dream.
They want to get back to work and they want to get back to church and they want to get back to their kids of Little League games, and they want to get back to their hobbies.
I mean, Americans in our DNA, we weren't meant to be locked in a basement, Sean.
It's just like it's not in the American ethos and and spirit.
It's not who we are as as people.
And and you're seeing it.
I mean, people in Pennsylvania are incredibly upset.
People in Michigan are really upset.
Um you just mentioned Nevada, um, incredibly upset.
I mean, they're artificially holding back these states, and they're doing that to hurt my father in so many cases.
And um, and I'm telling you, it's backfiring on people.
People are not into it.
They want to get back to life as they know it, and they appreciate the fact that my father seems to be the only one that's fighting against everybody to reopen back up our country.
I mean, Joe's talking about a very dark winter coming.
I mean, you saw that that debate, Sean.
He goes, There's a very dark winter coming.
My father's looking at him like he's a big thing.
Does he not know that we're now in the in literally in the final week of final stage, third trial, human stage trials for vaccines?
And the only and they started in late July, and the only reason they've been allowed to continue is because they're obviously a working and people are not dying, and people are getting antibodies and people don't have severe reactions, which means it's about to go online.
Is he not aware what the scientists are doing?
Sure.
Well, he should be.
And and look how well Regeneron worked.
I mean, my father literally took it, tells me it's he goes, it was like the miracle drug.
I mean, he literally said that the following day.
He sounded great, Sean.
So he flew to Walter Reed that night, you know, was obviously on Regeneron that day.
He called me at 8 15 the next morning.
He was at the conference table at in it, you know, in an office of Walter Reed because he's not exactly let's hang out in a hospital bed type guy and eat applesauce.
He calls me the next day.
He sounded great.
He sounded like a million bucks.
I mean, it was it's unbelievable.
Regeneron's working, uh, the therapeutics are working, the vaccines are right around the corner.
Um, but irrespective of all of that, America has to, we have to live lives.
We have to go out.
And and by the way, the notion that we can just lock ourselves in a basement, most Americans, Sean, don't have that luxury.
You know this better than anybody.
They don't have the luxury of doing what Biden does where he just doesn't appear for weeks on end.
I mean, people have to go out and make a living for their families.
Oh, it's true.
And and now they're they're able to in many, many states, and people, you know, what we have turned the corner on this.
And and all credit to American medical researchers and scientists and and doctors and medical professionals and frontline workers.
Uh I let's talk about the battleground states.
We have now have numerous polls showing that your dad is winning in Pennsylvania, that your dad is winning in Florida, that your dad is winning in Ohio and North Carolina, and your dad is winning in Michigan.
Still a lot of very, very close races.
Um I'm telling everybody to just ignore most of the polls, look at them, but ignore them and assume that your vote is gonna make all the difference.
I I agree, that's the right approach.
I mean, we always, as a family, we always play as if we're 10 points down.
That's how we like I mean that's that's how we campaign.
We campaign every second of every single day.
You know, Biden's 12 hour days.
I put in a 12-hour day.
It's like that's uh that's a vacation in Hawaii to us, Sean.
You know that.
But we always play as if we're five points down or ten points down, and and that's how we campaign, and that's how we work, and everybody has to get out and vote.
And if they do, Sean, I'm telling you, we're gonna have the most beautiful day.
We're gonna have a more beautiful day than that incredible November 8th and 2016 that we all remember so well.
But I'm telling you, the spirit is there, America's there.
Americans love this country, they love the American flag, they love our pledge of allegiance, they love law enforcement officers, are sick and tired of these proposals to socialize medicine and um you know increase our taxes by four trillion dollars.
They don't want a guy who's been in politics for 47 years, you know, ten years longer than I've been alive.
Like they just don't want that.
They're rejecting who that side is, and and and you know what?
We all have to get out, and we have to vote for this country, and if we do, we're gonna have a beautiful day on November 3rd.
Well, that's ver that's possible, and it would be shocked the world uh two point oh, which everybody could use.
Uh you look at Joe Biden, and I see somebody that is weak, somebody that is frail, somebody that is cognitively struggling, and somebody that has embraced the most radical agenda ever in the history of any major political party.
You know, Bolshevik Bernie is economic czar, ALC, his new green deals are Bezo Bozo Rourke, is his guns are.
Uh, yes, hell yes, we're coming for your guns.
And Kamala Harris, even to the left of Bolshevik Bernie as his running mate, who, you know, according to a lot of polls, people think will become president if he can't finish his term.
Your thoughts.
Yeah, listen, I agree with all of that.
I mean, I I I do agree that he's weak, and I agree that he's um incredibly tired, Sean.
I mean, he's tired.
I mean, the guy doesn't leave his his his house, and you can't have somebody that's tired in the Oval Office.
That much I can tell you.
This is a 24-hour a day job, seven days a week, and you better have backbone and you better have fight.
And you know, Sean, we we talked we've talked about this a million times, but I mean, we haven't had a fighter in the in the Oval Office for a very long time until my father came.
I mean, who is willing to sign up, you know, stand up to China, and who is willing to stand up to the European Union and NATO and everybody else around the world that absolutely ate our lunch.
I mean, they were eating our lunch, and there's no one signing up for that you know there's no one standing up for this country, and there's no one fighting for this country.
And I really thank God every day that we have a fighter in in the Oval Office, and somebody who just does not does not care.
We'll we'll fight for the you know the the things that we all love and appreciate and won't let countries around the world use and abuse us.
And you look at Biden, what did Biden ever fought for?
I mean, he gave a hundred and fifty billion dollars to a country that chance death to America, a hundred and fifty billion dollars.
I mean, sometimes we lose track of how big a number is, but I mean, unthinkable amounts of money to a country that literally takes it, builds missiles, and then shoots it, you know, shoots them at our bases in the region.
It's it's you know, he's tired, he's ineffective, uh, his ideas were all wrong.
His foreign policy was horrible.
I mean, he he was one of the guys pushing to get into Iraq, you know, one of the things my father said not to get into.
And um it's not it's not the kind of intellect you can have.
It's not the kind of intellect or energy you can have if you're commander in chief.
All right, Eric Trump out on the stump.
He's uh in you.
I think you said that Lansing, Michigan is where you're headed next.
Uh, we always appreciate you being with us.
Uh saw pictures of the uh the two kids, they're getting cuter by the day.
Thank God they look like their mom.
And uh keep working hard.
We got five days, and we can shock the world again, and I think it's gonna happen.
Eric Trump, thank you for being with us.
All right, eight hundred nine four one Sean toll free telephone number.
Let's see how uh Austin Goolsby tries to spin out of the great economic news and the V-shaped recovery that's undergoing now, as with that we're undergoing as a country.
That is next and your calls coming up eight hundred nine four one Sean.
You want to be a part of this extravaganza.
Hey there.
I'm Mary Catherine Hammond.
And I'm Carol Markowitz.
We've been in political media for a long time.
Long enough to know that it's gotten, well, a little insane.
That's why we started normally a podcast for people who are over the hysteria and just want clarity.
We talk about the issues that actually matter to the country without panic, without yelling, and with a healthy dose of humor.
We don't take ourselves too seriously, but we do take the truth seriously.
So if you're into common sense, sanity, and some occasional sass.
You're our kind of people.
Catch new episodes of Normally every Tuesday and Thursday.
On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen.
Hi, news round up information overload hours, Sean Hannity Show, 800 941.
Sean, you want to be a part of this extravaganza.
We've been going over the numbers all day, and they are just massive.
Talk about a V-shaped recovery.
GDP growth, third quarter, annualized rate, 33.1%, beating all expectations, and an all-time high increase.
Third quarter rise in GDP, nearly double the previous record, set 70 years ago.
Real consumer spending uh led the way with an increase of 40.7%, again, shattering all previous records.
The economy saw massive increases in business investment.
Uh residential investment, inventory investment, and Americans are going back to work.
11.4 million jobs now have been gained and recovered since uh the start of the plague, which has been most incredible.
Nobody predicted this kind of economic recovery this quickly.
Here's the president touting it, and here's also Jim Kramer saying what would happen if we got away from these policies.
Together we built the greatest economy in history, and now we're doing it again.
We increased middle class family income over $5,000.
More than five times the gains under the last administration.
After the virus arrived, we passed three trillion dollars in economic relief and saved over 50 million jobs, many in your state, many, many in your state.
We've experienced the smallest contraction and the fastest recovery economically by far of any major nation in the world.
That's a big thing.
And our numbers are going to be coming out very shortly, very soon.
GDP and the Fed in Atlanta just made a prediction.
They said 35%.
No, I'll take 25 right now.
35 would be many times larger than the largest number we've ever had.
GDP, the all-important GDP.
35 is what they predict.
And let's see what happens.
And it'll be three days before the election.
So I'll make you a deal.
If the number's a bad number, you don't have to vote for me.
Okay.
But I think it's going to be incredible.
If you look at housing starts, if you look at automobile and all the productivity that we've had, if you look at hiring 11.4 million people over a short period of time.
But a blue wave means for a lot of people, short and cover whenever election night really ends.
Uh, because there's a lot of stocks in a blue wave that would be crimped or despised by a hijack uh of the far left.
Which you mentioned.
You mentioned that on Squawk.
So is that your new thing?
Are you concerned about that?
Yes.
Is that gonna happen right away or is it gonna take who knows when we've got the election counted?
All right, uh joining us now our old friend Austin Goolsby.
I'm sure he's happy for the country today.
He's a professor at Chicago's uh Booth School of Economics, former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors for the Obama administration.
Uh and uh I saw I saw you must have written Obama's speech the other day when he started saying he inherited this great economy.
He did.
I gave him that great economy, and of course, ignoring the 13 million more Americans on food stamps, eight million more in poverty, lowest labor participation rate since the 70s, worst recovery since the 40s.
I guess he forgot all that.
All right.
How significant is this massive growth in GDP?
Even you, Austin Goolsby, have to have something great to say about that.
Wait, am I on the air?
I called the crank all the studio.
They just vote me off.
By the way, did you vote yet?
Well, you live in Chicago, you vote early and you vote often.
I'm so I'm sure you voted numerous times.
Now a lot of dead people I hear vote there still.
Look, the Chicago Bears are five and two, Sean.
I don't want to hear anything.
Uh good for you.
Now, here's the thing.
It's an excellent number.
Superb number.
And it's two-thirds of the hole that we're already in.
If you just look over the last 12 months, we're down.
It's gonna be 2020 is gonna be the worst GDP number that we've had in 70 years.
And the people who are not gonna be able to do it.
Well, you know, only you have to only you in that clip you just played were not even factually true.
Even only you could take this massive unprecedented historic rebound recovery after we shut down the economy because there were projections that two two and a half million Americans might die.
Only you could say, yes, but we're going to be down for the year in all likelihood.
How could you not look at 33.1% growth in GDP for this quarter, which, by the way, was higher than the largest quarter shutdown, the shutdown quarter, the second quarter, and then also the nearly 12 million jobs back in the economy and say
that, wow, this is a remarkable and historic turnaround considering what the administration had to do to shut down the economy,
for the safety of the American people part of that I agree with except the part you you you certainly don't think that the president should get credit if he made the downturn worse right if if he took something made it worse and then came back to I don't think the president give him credit for that.
Listen all the models all the scientists and I'm not being critical even but you know the reality is is they didn't know what they were dealing with.
Nobody knew what we were dealing with in the beginning and they were trying their best but the estimates were as high that two and a half million Americans would die and say excuse me ex Austin yes they did.
That's what the estimates were if we didn't shut down the economy and that's why the country demanded it Trump's own administration put out the cubic model in April that said we would be down to zero deaths per day by May sixteenth listen you you know I love how I love how you cherry pick and you pick and choose only that which you want to see but the reality is all of the projections ended up being wrong.
All of the scientists were wrong all of the models were wrong and in spite of all of that we're now on the verge of a vaccine or therapeutics have you know have literally been transformational even the New York Times has a a piece out today admitting that the death rate uh has plunged for seriously ill is excellent.
Yeah well thank you Donald Trump thank you Operation Warp speed Donald Trump didn't do I mean the it's not excuse me Donald Trump created all the PP what are you thinking Donald Trump for I'm thinking number one he was smart enough ten days after the first case to put the travel ban in effect the one that Joe Biden called hysterical xenophobia and fear mongering will you admit Austin Austin Goolsby checking out on that.
Will you agree that Donald Trump's travel bananas was a good decision for the American people?
I do agree that was a good decision.
OK, it wasn't xenophobic.
Now, do you agree that the president Operation Warp Speed never before in the history of any virus?
Have we gone within 10 months, a 10 month period of time from identifying the virus to now being final human stage, third stage trial testing for a vaccine?
And it's been going on since late July, which means we have the vaccine and that we're.
I mean, are you counting?
What I can't understand is, are you just...
just not counting or you have forgotten the parts where he said it's gonna go away by a miracle all it is is the flu.
Never said it was a said don't worry about it.
Well he could have been hiding in the basement like your buddy Joe Biden.
All right let me ask you this question.
I want an honest answer but you're voting for Joe, right?
Or did you vote for Joe yet?
I'm gonna vote for Joe.
Okay.
Let me ask you a question.
When you watch Joe Biden okay be be honest.
Does he not look weak, frail and like he's struggling in a big way cognitively to you be honest.
No what?
Absolutely not and not to President Trump either since President Trump out on D V saying that he thinks that Joe Biden took performance enhancing drugs.
If you're okay Let me let me play for you.
Let me play some of the some of the highlights of Joe on the campaign trail.
He hasn't been out very often.
He has to take five days off before any debate.
He even took off yesterday during the final week of a campaign.
Your old friend Barack has been called in to fill in for him because he's too tired.
Anyway, you tell me if this is Joe cognitively struggling or not.
Listen.
Here's the deal.
One of the things that that is important is that keep in mind, although they're going to vote on Barrett.
I think today's and the character of the country, in my view, is literally on the ballot.
What kind of country we're going to be?
Four more years of George uh George, he uh gonna find ourselves in a position where if uh Trump gets elected, uh we're gonna be uh we're gonna be in a different world.
Yes, we had a good relationship with Hitler before he in fact invaded Europe, the rest of Europe.
Come on.
We have put together, I think the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics.
But my wife Jill, as you know, and Doug Emhoff, uh Kamala's wife are there.
Common will be back uh later this week.
My name's Joe Biden.
I'm Joe Biden's husband, and I am Camel's running mate.
You all think I'm kidding, don't you?
And by the way, you know, I sit on the stand and it get hot.
I got a lot of I got hairy legs that turn that that that that that that turn uh um blonde in the sun.
And the kids used to come up and reach in the pool and rub my leg down so it was trained and then watched the hair m come back up again.
And look at it.
So I learned about roaches.
I learned about kids jumping on my lap.
And I've loved kids jumping on my lap.
Some have speculated.
You're a line dog that you that you are subject to some degree of cognitive decline.
Have you been tested for some degree of cognitive decline?
I've been tested and I'm constantly testing.
We, the people, we hold these truths, etc.
Sounds corny, but it's real.
Because now you say, by the way, are you gonna stick with the president on the following president of the last guy on this issue?
I have more people supporting me in the black community that have announced for me because they know me.
They know who I am.
Three former chairs of the black caucus, the only black African-American woman that ever been elected to the United States Senate.
a whole range of people.
My point is...
That's not true.
The other one is here.
That's not true.
I said the first...
I what I propose is is it can be done.
I think we're in a position to really make it happen.
And my team and your team are already working closely together and like to light up the path forward here.
Critical laws like the pro act to strengthen collective bargaining.
I'm politics like prevailing and look.
I guess I'm I'm getting I'm I'm taking too much time, but you know.
Back in the in the spring, late fall, early, I mean late spring, late winter, early fall, early anyway.
You know what I mean.
So we can chip in and support those who listen to this, shipping and support our campaign.
Text Joe, two, three.
Excuse me, I gotta get this right.
We hold these truths to be self-evident.
All men and women created by the go, you know the you know the thing.
But please clarify specifically, have you taken a cognitive?
No, I haven't taken a test.
Why the hell would I take a test?
Come on, man.
That's like saying you before you got in this program.
If you take a test where you're taking cocaine or not, what do you think, huh?
Are are you a junkie?
What do you say?
Don't worry.
Anyway, Austin, I know you're dying to respond.
Uh Austin.
Hey, look.
Are you gonna vote for that guy?
Embarrassing.
If you think that of Joe Biden, it must be really embarrassing for President Trump to be ten points down to a guy who makes these series of gas, like what you say.
How do you think?
I'm gonna I'll I'll take the bet, whatever you wanted to be on the election.
I'm gonna vote.
I'm gonna bet Joe can't finish his first term.
I think I agree with most people in the polls.
Bet on the election.
We are I read.
We'll bet on both.
All right, we played all of Joe's hits, you know, created whole these truths to be a self-evident.
All men women.
We all these truths to be self-evident.
All men and women created by the Go, you know the you know the thing thing.
God, the creator of everything, Austin.
Is he all there?
I'll admit some of those are pretty funny.
But you think?
Are we gonna bet on whether you think Joe Biden is gonna be the president or not?
I'll take a bet.
How much?
Let's take a bet.
Okay.
How about the loser shaves their head?
I can't shave my head.
I work on TV.
That's not allowed.
It's in my contract.
I gotta keep my air.
Okay.
Now, now I have a next question.
Do you have any problem that zero experience hunter?
He goes on GMA, no experience in oil, gas, energy, or Ukraine.
That his father says you're not getting one billion dollars unless you fire the prosecutor, who turns out was investigating his zero experience son being paid millions.
Do you have a problem with that?
I they investigated that.
I didn't ask you about their investment.
Do you have a pro do you have a problem with that?
Zero experience hunter gets millions of dollars.
And that was millions of dollars.
And then the vice president at the time, Joe Biden, leverages a billion of our taxpayer dollars to fire the prosecutor.
You told me this, Sean.
So I went and looked at it, and it was got fact checked.
The totally fact checked by who?
The New York Toilet Paper Times?
No, the New York Times.
It was like with a factor.
Listen, I hope I get I hope I get million dollar deals like that with no experience.
I really do.
Hey, uh I don't know how many million dollar deals you got.
It might be a few, but you're gonna be buying million.
Might be if Joe Biden is the You got it.
Dinner, uh, and of course, your your lovely bride, who I don't know how the hell she puts up with you.
All right, Austin Goolsby.
Thank you.
I don't know how you don't know how you like me, Sean.
But I don't know, I don't know why, but I do.
I you're right.
It's a weakness I have.
I can't help it.
All right, quick break.
We'll come back on the other side as we continue the Sean Hannity show.
25 till the top of the hour.
We'll get to your calls in a minute.
800 941 Sean, if you ever want to be a part of the program.
Maybe one of the best ads I've ever seen is by a gentleman named Joe Collins.
He's running for Congress out in California in the in the 43rd district.
Do you know where I am?
At Maxine Waters' six million dollar mansion.
Do you know where I'm not?
In her district.
Maxine Waters doesn't live in her district.
I do.
My name is Joe Collins, and I'm running for Congress.
Listen to this.
I'm Joe Collins.
I'm running for Congress against Maxine Waters.
Do you know where I am right now?
Maxine Waters' six million dollar mansion.
Do you know where I'm not right now?
Maxine Waters district.
Yep, that's right.
Maxine does not live in her district, but I do.
I was born right here in South LA.
In a place Maxine refuses to live.
Maxine Waters did not drink our water.
She does not breathe our air.
And while she sits here in her mansion, our district is in ruins.
Let me show you.
This is South LA.
I was born here.
I grew up in 14th Normand.
Maxine Waters has been in office in 44 years.
Has anything got better around here?
I can tell you firsthand that it hasn't.
I survived the drive-by shooting in this house when I was a child.
Gangs, drugs, violence.
That was my upbringing.
And where was Maxine Waters?
Nowhere to be found.
I survived Maxine's district.
Graduated high school, went on to join the U.S. Navy.
I fought for this country.
But while I was fighting for this country, Maxine Waters cannot be bothered to fight for her own district here in America.
And when I returned from war, I came back to my community as a war zone.
And why doesn't Maxine Waters want to live her own district?
Because she doesn't want to suffer the consequences of her own policies.
South Los Angeles has been represented by Maxine Waters for 44 years.
What has she done for this district?
Just this year, deadly crime spiked 15% in South LA.
Much of it due to gang activity.
The homicide rate of South LA has shot up by 53%.
South LA has the highest poverty rate in the city With the crippling 43% of his residents living below the poverty line.
Meanwhile, in LA County has a homeless population of over 40,000 people.
Homelessness rates has increased by 264% since 2009.
Los Angeles is one of the largest hubs of sex trafficking of young girls and women.
LA is in a top ten least safest cities in America to raise a family.
And our schools fail our children.
In South LA, 29% of black children never graduate high school.
Unbelievable, how sad is that.
You can't have safety, security, and education.
You're shut out of the American dream.
It's inexcusable to me.
Anyway, Joe Collins is running against Maxie Waters.
We thought we'd check in with him today.
Joe, how are you?
I'm doing good.
How about yourself?
Uh, Navy vet, Republican running for Congress, your opponent's Maxime Waters.
You know what?
No, she doesn't live in a district.
She lives outside the district.
She has a nice house.
When I went in front of her house, I was like, wow, this is really big.
Nothing like what we have in the district.
This house is massive.
It's really nice.
Well, let me ask you this.
Do you think you have a chance?
Because their nation look, she's got very high name recognition.
Do you think you got a chance?
Yeah, we're we've been whipping on Maxine up and down the 43rd district ever since uh we got in this race in a in a general and a general election.
Um when it comes to name recognition, uh the reason why is because we're in a heavily democratic district, and people weren't expecting us to do so well, but they forgot that I'm from this district.
So all the radios, they wouldn't let me get on, we just bought it all.
All the TV shows and and advertisement, we bought it all.
All the billboards, he bought it all, and we've been heavily um invested and engaged in the community and people know who we are.
I remember hearing the first time Maxine uh created an advertisement, which was really strange because you think that with the name uh recognition that she has, she would never uh come campaign against anybody, but she said my name six times in one minute.
That's how we knew we had her.
And uh we we just kept the press on.
We kept our our foot on the gas, and we've been ramming this election ever since, and we're winning right now.
You think you're gonna win this election?
You're gonna defeat Maxine Waters in California.
Oh, yeah, without a doubt.
Without a doubt.
We have Maxine up against the law, she's scared.
People know who we are.
We've raised eight million dollars um on our campaign so far.
She's only raised 1.4 million.
People love us, they hate her.
And you know, I remember the first time, you know, we said Maxine hasn't done anything for our district.
I used the S word.
I said she hasn't done anything for our district.
People was upset, but I kept preaching and preaching, and we started pointing out the injustices of her failed leadership, and people's like, you know what?
She never has done anything.
So yeah, we're gonna win.
We have a what about her incendiary rhetoric?
Let's play it.
And so let's save the course.
Let's make sure we show up wherever we have to show up.
If you see anybody from that cabinet in a restaurant in a department store, the gasoline station.
You get out and you call it on them.
And you tell them they're not welcome anymore, anywhere.
You're not welcome anymore, anywhere.
You go, you get in their face.
I mean, she said a lot of these things.
Yeah, she did.
Let me let me be 100% honest with you.
Um, she tried it.
She sent gang members with what guns to our events, our family events that we have.
We have children and women there.
She sent thugs, he sent people to harass us.
So, yeah, she's tried it, but it didn't work out.
And uh it got to the point where people were that she said we'll say, you know what, we don't get paid enough to come uh message you guys because the same energy they give us, we give it right back to them.
And uh it's gotten pretty pointless for them to continue to come to our events and try to harass us because we we go back and harass them back, and you know, once we start pointing out what she haven't done and and what she pays them to come do it, they they kind of quit her campaign and we hired them.
All right, we wish all the best.
Well, watch uh good luck.
It's gonna be uh uphill fight ever taking out somebody as well known as Maxime Waters, but if you can do it, that'd be awesome.
I think your ads are phenomenal.
Good job.
Uh Joe Collins for Congress, California District 43.
Thank you, sir.
Thank you.
North Carolina, very, very important state.
Michelle, uh, we're counting on you, Michelle, in five days to pull in the great state of North Carolina.
Well, Sean, um, I am certainly hoping that we do it.
I will tell you, we have an incredible slate underneath President Trump, a true grassroots conservative that can paint this state red and change its direction from here on out.
And I really believe that President Trump is bringing people out of the woodwork.
Why?
Because he is the president of the people.
I think for being the wealthiest and the most well known person to ever be in the Oval Office, he has also been the most approachable, the most genuine, and the most real to the American people.
And he's doing what he said.
He told us on his inauguration speech that this was a win for all of us, that he was going to bring, he was going to give the power back to the people where it belonged.
And I think everybody is chomping at the bit to get out and to vote him back into office and to vote everybody down ticket to change the trajectory of the United States of America.
Well, I gotta tell you something, Michelle.
Uh I think that the enthusiasm for the president is obvious.
The lack of enthusiasm for Joe is real, and I think most people see Joe as like net you know that all this guy does is talk down everything.
And then he's adopted the most radical agenda of any major political party candidate in history.
We now know what's at stake here.
Americans have been warned.
Now it's up to the American people.
Uh thank you, Michelle.
Becky is in Texas, Texas uh is going to stay red, but they're telling us it could flip.
Do you believe that, Becky?
I do not think so.
And I want to just say right off the bat, we love, love, love your show.
We watch it every night.
Um, I am one of the conductors on one of the Trump trains in Burney, Texas.
We have seen incredible enthusiasm.
We have got four thousand Trump train participants down on the coast.
We have traveled twenty-five hundred miles just in the last week all over parts of the United States.
And I was involved in another Trump train in another city.
The enthusiasm is incredible.
And when we when we drove our Trump train through Gatlinburg, Tennessee, there were a handful of people that were giving us inappropriate gestures, but the majority of people, and there are thousands there because this is a tourist town, were giving us approval and yelling at us, Trump 2020, please, Trump 2020, cheering us on with our flags and our magnetics and everything.
It's happening everywhere.
These the these spontaneous rallies and uh uh convoys are just popping up everywhere.
They're popping up on the road, they're popping up on water, that popping up in in just about every state now.
Well, and we don't see Biden signs for every hundreds of Trump signs.
We may see one or two Biden signs, and then one other thing I want to tell you, because I'm part of a Trump train, I get information fed to me from all over the United States about other people.
There is a group of Democrats in Arizona that closed their Democrat headquarters that have particip had um gone along to houses and um tried to encourage people to vote for Biden.
They have now turned Republican, they've closed the headquarters.
Everybody in the headquarters quit the Biden campaign and are is voting for Trump because of the scandal that came out.
So I don't believe the polls, and how is that working for Hillary?
But what I'm seeing with all of the Trump enthusiasm with Trump trains and the information I'm getting said, it does not pan out.
Yeah, uh, I think it's a good analysis.
You know, these anecdotal stories did not just one, they're they're everywhere.
Uh, about the passion, the support, the enthusiasm that people are having and how invested people are in this election year.
Uh Jack is next in Florida.
Jack, you're on the Sean Hannity show.
Pleasure to speak with you finally, Sean.
How are you?
I'm good.
How are you?
Glad you called.
I'm living the dream.
I'm a Democrat in Fort Lauderdale.
Uh basic analysis.
I looked at what Biden's policies did the last time I went in office.
I have a disabled wife.
My insurance tripled.
My out-of-pocket expense for her medications went up fifteen hundred dollars a month.
And with Trump's policies, I am literally five thousand dollars a month, better and disposable income.
Listen, and this was a of a difficult year, the worst pandemic since nineteen seventeen and eighteen.
And look at the economic recovery we're now making.
I mean, it should make every American feel good and confident and happy that you know what?
We're gonna go right back to where we were.
And last year, 2019 was the best year economic year we've had in decades.
So uh that's that's terrific news for you.
No, it's been a great turnaround.
And my wife, who had lost her doctor with uh Vice President Biden has him back because of the deregulations.
Her health care is better.
It's less expensive, and my out-of-pocket expense for her medications has gone down huge.
I mean, I'm literally disposable income.
I'm five thousand dollars a year, better in nineteen than I was in twenty fifteen.
Unbelievable.
Listen, this is what the difference between liberty, freedom, hope, and opportunity is capitalism, risk and reward, invention, innovation.
It is it's not this top-down government guaranteed pre-K through college, government guaranteed uh student loan forgiveness, government guaranteed jobs, guaranteed wage, guaranteed vacation, guaranteed healthy food, guaranteed health care, had an Obamacare workout, uh, guaranteed retirement, guaranteed, cradle to grave, womb to the tomb, no fear, no worry, no stress in life.
Your government will be there for you and take care of everything.
Why would anyone believe that?
When has government ever done anything well?
You know, we can't even get that democratic governors and mayors to restore law and order and safety and security.
We can't, you know, they're not even educating our kids.
Uh, we have a great Hannity tonight, full coverage, five days until you are the ultimate jury.
Uh, we have the great one, Mark Levin, Maria Baromo, Pete Heggseth, Senator Ron Johnson with the follow-up of the Biden family corruption scandal that's growing by the hour.
Leo 2.0, he's out on the road uh with the Trump campaign, Dan Bongino.
You'll meet a Michigan Democrat who is now voting for Trump, Kaylee McEnaney.
Uh, we'll go over all the numbers, maps, everything you need to know, and keep you up to speed.
Set your DVR.
We'll see you tonight, 9 Eastern Hannity, Fox News.
We'll be back here tomorrow.
Four days to go.
Thank you for being with us, and please vote.
You want smart political talk without the meltdowns?
We got you.
I'm Carol Markovich.
And I'm Mary Catherine Hamm.
We've been around the block in media, and we're doing things differently.
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