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Feb. 20, 2026 - Real Coffe - Scott Adams
01:01:05
Episode 3099 - The Scott Adams School 02/20/26

The Scott Adams SchoolHosts: Erica @ZiaErica Owen @OwenGregorian Marcela @MarcelaMarjean Sergio @SergioInTucson Discussion: President Trump Triangle Power Move Obama's UFO Aliens Reveal Anti-ICE Terrorism Anti-ICE School Walkouts Bernie's LA Rally Susie Wiles 2026 Plans SCOTUS Trump Tariffs Ruling Former Prince Andrew Iran Nuclear Rebuild~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~DISCLAIMER: This podcast makes no warranties or representations about the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Viewers assume all risks associated with using or relying on this content.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

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Dilbert's Flask Friday 00:05:17
With a little space helmet on.
Good morning.
Good morning, everybody.
Welcome in, everyone.
Let me cue this up.
Dee Blake was first.
Oh.
Oh, look how good you guys look.
Hi, Rumble.
Good morning.
Crazy.
Josie.
All our favorites are here.
I know.
Look, he moholic.
Is Beaver here yet?
I was going to bring a tanker today for my sip, but I don't know what a tanker it is, so I didn't bring it.
Someone will have to tell me.
I'll ask Grock.
Somebody's designed for beer.
Somebody on YouTube says, happy Flask Friday.
I like that.
Happy Flask Friday.
I like that.
Credit W, 1911.
All right.
Happy Flask Friday to you.
So yes, it's Friday.
All right, you guys.
We have a news crew show for you today and a great way to end the week, but we must do something first.
So if you happen to have a tanker, I'd like to see it.
All right.
So we'll toss it over to Scott.
Morning, everybody.
What an amazing day.
And today will be one of the best coffees with Scott Adams ever because we have fun topics.
Don't always.
Sometimes the news does not cooperate, but today, yeah, we got some good stuff.
It's worth staying around for.
And all you need to make this a special day.
Well, I think you know.
All you need is a cup or bugger, a glass of tanker chelsa sign, a canteen, jug, or flask, a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
The dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
It's called a simultaneous sip and it's going to have an outgo.
Ah, yeah.
I feel every corp bustle in my body coming alive because the corp bustles were a little bit dead until now.
Oh my God, the corpuscles.
We take them for granted.
I'd like to thank the locals for posting pictures of tankards for me.
This is why all of you should be on locals.
It is so helpful.
Thank you.
So I think I do have a tankard now that I've seen one.
Welcome to the Scott Adams School.
I'm going to just say it's our place to hang out, have a nice time, commune, have a sip, get some news today, be with old friends, make new friends.
And this is where Scott Adams wanted us to be.
This was his wish, and his wish is our desire.
The Coffee with Scott Adams library still lives on YouTube.
You can also find more than Coffee with Scott Adams on his local subscriber page where we would love you all to come over.
Sometimes the locals get more attention because we're really like a family and we're looking for new family members.
So come on over to scottadams.locals.com.
And it's a subscription base and it's very affordable.
And there's going to be a lot more content there that you haven't seen and more to come.
My name is Erica and I'm with the news crew today.
We have Sergio, Marcella, and Erwin.
Good morning, everyone.
Just a reminder, the Scott Adams Dilbert calendar has been restocked on Amazon.
I was just reading this today.
It says double Dilbert.
For those of you that might not have noticed, I'm happy to tell you the 2026 Dilbert calendar is made entirely in America, printed on two sides for twice the comics.
Classic Dilbert comics are on the front of each page, as always, but on the back of each is a spicier Dilbert comic.
Did you guys know that?
Created more recently with provocative topics you might not want to share with your humorless co-workers, but no one will see those comics unless they check the backs of the calendar pages.
I hope you enjoy the new and improved Dilbert calendar, Scott Adams.
P.S. The only source for buying the 2026 Dilbert calendar is amazon.com.
So I don't know if a lot of you knew there's a spicier second side.
So check it out.
Okay, so we have some fun news topics.
Owen and Marcella picked some out for us today, and we're just going to go through them.
And please chat away with us and we'll be reading your comments.
So who's going first?
Marcella, you want to go first?
Sure.
Thank you.
So my first story is just a short one.
It's regarding Canada losing to the U.S. in the Olympics.
The women hockey defeated Canada by two to one and we won the gold medal.
So be proud of yourselves.
Canadians, BJ, sorry, next time.
BJ, Viper, Montreal Gallery.
We want so good.
Olympic Gold Medal Win 00:11:26
Our little top hat to the north.
Yes.
And it was women too, Sergio.
So we did it.
Yet another victory over Canada.
Women against women, right?
Yeah, it was fantastic.
I didn't even notice that it was women when I saw the victory.
That was good.
That's how good it was.
We'll go on to our next story.
We'll leave that for the after show.
The Board of Peace met in Washington, D.C. Trump, President Trump held the first Board of Peace meeting where he met with many leaders and dignitaries that have signed up for the Board of Peace, which is kind of like saying, we don't need the UN.
We don't need you.
We're here.
How it works from my research to give you this is that there's a chairman.
And guess who the chairman is?
Trump.
Trump is the chairman.
So when they took a picture of the entire dignitaries and everybody that's part of it, Trump was in the middle.
And right next to him was JD Bands and Rubio.
And they made the perfect triangle.
It's the power move.
The music was picked by Trump.
He even remarked, there you go.
There's their visual.
Nice, nice setting.
What was really funny is there are two things that are funny, and then we'll go to the comments.
The one thing that was really funny is that Trump started by saying peace is simple, but yet hard to find.
And this is why we are really here.
So he reframed it.
We're not here to compete with the UN.
We're actually here to make peace.
And then the next thing that he did is he remarked that the building he was in was the State Department building that was new to the State Department or the government.
And that Marco Rubio and whoever does it named it after him.
Of course, he had to go there.
And so we'll tell us what you think.
Tell us what does the triangle mean?
And I like this new blur on me, actually.
I appreciate it.
So the triangle.
Marcella, let them know what the triangle means, like the position.
The triangle would be that he is in the middle.
He's the main factor of the of the power, the power center, the center of power.
So that he alone is needed to keep going.
The other thing that I would remark is that he has Rubio and Vance equally next to him, not in the other way around.
So it talks about what his legacy will be.
And he feels very secure to leave it to the both of them.
I think Erica, Sergio, one of you talked about the deep bench that we have in the Republican Party.
Like I own it, we have.
So that tells you what he wanted.
Because one of the things that you have to understand, Trump is not just wordy and really good with words.
He's also good with images.
You have this power.
He didn't have to have this meeting.
He could have had a Zoom meeting with all of them.
So go ahead.
And the music too, the music, don't forget that.
He sets the tone.
That's what persuasion at the highest level is like when you control all the factors around it to create the conditions for everybody to agree with you and everybody to go along with you.
So yeah, Marcelo is completely right about Trump positioning himself as the chairman, like the apprentice, right?
Like next week, his two lieutenants that used to be George and his daughter and that other lady.
So now he's doing the same thing at this worst stage.
And he's saying, okay, we have all these guys here.
They all paid $1 billion, right?
To get in.
So it's an exclusive thing, right?
It's like an elite.
And a little bit that he's not competing with the UN.
He's just saying, you know what?
We're here as the real power dealers here.
And it's just a great start.
It's a fantastic start to achieve so many things.
With this, you can deal with every single problem because the high ground is the top persuasion, right?
I mean, it's just amazing.
And this can help with the alien situation too, which we're going to talk later too, right?
Trump was in its element.
He was having a good time.
He joked about Rubio having a velvet glove and Vance being a little harder with his messaging.
And he was even joking that he might fire Rubio if he did any better because he was kind of outshining the master, to use a phrase from 48 Laws of Power.
But no, he was complimenting Rubio and saying he was, you know, it was great to have people like him and Vance to work with.
So it seemed like he was just having a good time with a lot with the whole thing.
Good problems to have.
Yeah.
And on the way, so Trump is a very busy man.
So on the way to, he did the DC thing in the morning, I assume, you know, unless he controls time.
Then he flew to Georgia, Rome, Georgia, which is quite epic that it's named Rome.
But he went to Rome, Georgia.
He on Air Force One, he had a conversation.
This is our next story, aliens.
I had queued up the X-Files theme, but you just have to play it in your head because I think we would get dinged in YouTube for playing it for copyrights.
Anyways, aliens are the next story.
And basically, he was talking to Peter Ducey from Fox News.
And Peter Doocy asked him about Barack Obama's comments on aliens.
And he said that he gave, by he, he meant Obama gave classified information that he wasn't supposed to be doing at the time.
And later on in the day, because that news broke and everybody's like, oh my God, does that mean there's aliens?
Like, what's going on?
What's next?
You know, TMC commented that President Trump might be the first president to confirm the existence of aliens.
And later on, I don't know if Owen wants to read it or Sergio or Erica.
Trump posted on Truth Social at night at 8.13 my time, I guess.
But so it would be later for him.
He posted about what he wants to do with the X files.
I mean, the alien files.
Yeah.
Well, I mean, first I would clarify that I don't think he's, I don't think he did confirm the existence of aliens, but he did make an interesting statement, which is when he, when he was told that Barack Obama said aliens are real, that Trump said he was revealing classified information.
So indirectly, he probably did kind of indicate that there might be something in our classified files indicating that aliens are real.
But, you know, it's hard to know even if that is real, just like we're seeing with the Epstein files where there's a lot of stuff in there that's not really vetted.
It's not really verified.
It could just be somebody saying something.
And as Scott has often told us, a lot of this alien stuff might have been literally just planted in a bunch of files to deceive people.
And, you know, even Joe Rogan, who's a big alien believer, or at least he wants to believe, has been very skeptical with all these files coming out and all these stories coming out saying, you know, how do we know if this is disinformation or if this is real?
That most of it's just based on secondhand knowledge or people saying that somebody told them something or somebody showed them something.
There's all these stories.
There's one of the recent ones was about some massive UFO that couldn't be moved.
So they built a building around it and people are trying to figure out where that might be.
But there's no proof, right?
There's no real proof of any of this at this point.
And even if a bunch of documents come out, kind of like a dump like the Epstein files, it's not going to mean that it's all real.
It's not going to mean that it's true.
And so it'll be interesting to see how they manage this, because I think this would be a lot more sensitive even than the Epstein files, in my opinion, because you can't just dump a bunch of files and say, oh, look, there are a bunch of aliens.
No, no, and I want to, you did something good, Owen.
I want to correct the statement.
The statement was from TMC.
TMC said that Trump might be the first president to say that.
And there was another lady this morning that was saying, like, allegedly, President Trump has the extraterrestrial speech ready.
So it's all like, you know, it's, it's, you know, somebody in the chat was like, Scott would never believe this.
And we know that Scott would be like, no, no, there's no, no such thing as aliens.
So I don't know if Erica did not believe.
Yeah, but Scott, just so you guys know, believes zero about aliens and other life.
And we have here the, wait, wait, wait, wait.
We have here.
Wait, I don't know how to point at you, but Erica was our alien reporter on in New Jersey for the show.
Drone reporter.
Drone reporter.
Sorry.
Are there aliens in there?
Maybe.
And I didn't have that aerial phenomenon.
Thank you.
I'm always like, what does that mean?
Can we just say UFO?
We're changing everything.
It's got always complaining about the quality of the photos taken of UFOs, right?
They were always blurry.
And I always wondered that, you know, was thinking like, I wanted to send you a camera, Erica, when you were doing those reports.
I had a camera was special for you, you know, like it would have been great.
It has a 90, 120x magnification.
So it's perfect for UFOs.
But yeah, so you have all these UFO photos, all blurry, and the Epstein photos are not blurry, but they have redacted, right?
So we have this situation that we need to have more recall it release of information.
There's a lot of disclosure, right?
Disclosure, that's the word.
And so this is the year of it, the golden age.
All the secrets are going to be out there.
And we're not going to, like Owen says, we're not going to know what's true and what's not.
So we're still going to, we're still not going to know anything.
So the statement from Trump for reference is: based on the tremendous interest shown, I'll be directing the Secretary of War and other relevant departments and agencies to begin the process of identifying and releasing government files related to alien and extraterrestrial life, unidentified aerial phenomena, UAP, and unidentified flying objects, UFOs, and any and all other information connected to these highly complex but extremely interesting and important matters.
Disclosure Deluge 00:02:13
God bless America.
Love it.
All right.
To be all right.
And Massey immediately came out and said, Oh, this is all just a distraction from Epstein.
And so you've got all the counter reactions coming out now.
Well, so we can go to an Owen story.
Let's do it, Eric.
We have the View.
Interestingly, if you remember the story a couple days ago where the reporter asked Trump, or I'm sorry, there was a reporter that asked Catherine Lovitt, you know, whoever called Trump racist and completely gaslighting as if there was no evidence that anyone ever referred to Trump as racist.
And of course, the rapid response team spun up and dumped all the receipts.
And here we have the view coming out saying that Trump is racist.
And it was actually in response to a guest saying the opposite: that this person, Savannah Christley, said Trump saved her black friend's life and had been with that person for many years.
And Hostin interrupted and said, Oh, no, he's a racist.
And Whippy Goldberg started talking about all the executive orders against the DEI policies and claiming that that meant he was racist.
And so they just can't seem to accept that he's not racist.
There's still full Trump derangement syndrome, which is exactly what the White House spokesman David Ingel said, calling Hostin an extremely unlikable, talentless hack with a poorly rated TV show who clearly suffers from a severe case of Trump derangement syndrome.
And he went on to list all of Trump's achievements for black Americans, criminal justice reform, opportunity zones, HBCU funding, school choice, and tax cuts.
And Trump, he also pointed out Trump received historic black support in 2024 in the election.
I find it fascinating that these lunatic on the view have no idea how mentally disturbed they are.
Like they are cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs.
Like they, they're so far off of reality.
And they're so, their, their Trump derangement syndrome and Republican derangement syndrome.
Teachers' Walkout and Media Control 00:15:09
And anyone who likes derangement syndrome is so like stage four and counting that I don't think people like them can be saved because if they don't believe what they're saying and they're just lying, that's even like worse than believing what they're saying.
So I mean, they're, they're crazy.
And that Sonny Hostin, oh my God, I can't.
Dave Rubin, I used to want to kick his butt.
I would be in the shower listening to him and I'd have the speaker going and then he'd play clips of the view.
And I'm like, no, I'm stuck in the shower and I need to turn your voices off.
But they are just, they're so horrible.
And I, and I blame the network.
I mean, again, it's it's um all propaganda on these major networks.
There's no real news.
There's no truth.
There's no care for humanity, civility, the truth, and actually being transparent.
So I don't care what they say.
Well, and I think they're in the Epstein files, right?
Too Whoopi Goldberg is for asking to use a plane.
Okay.
And so now it's okay to be in the Epstein files.
Well, she's she's complaining that she's being dragged.
I think that was the statement she made.
So she's certainly suffering from a lot of what a lot of people are suffering from when their name comes up there.
But I do, as I've said before, I think I don't think there's anything significant in there against Whoopi other than asking to use a plane.
And I don't think it was even her.
It was just somebody else on her team that said, hey, we need a plane and we're looking for a private one.
Can we use yours kind of thing?
Did you see Joy that car?
She's like, anyone could be in that for any reason.
It's like, oh, oh, oh, okay, Joy.
Now you say that.
Gotcha.
Yeah, they have a hard time staying consistent given their views because the hypocrisy just bleeds through all the time.
Owen, just like Erika was saying about listening to the show on the side, you know, suffering.
That's how I feel that when you're talking about these ladies, I'm trying to not imagine them.
So I'm going to blame you for that.
You know, if I start thinking about those ladies, I can move on.
So the next story is there's another attack on ICE in Boise, Idaho this time.
And I mean, to me, this is a really significant attack.
Apparently, somebody stole an ambulance from a hospital, packed it full of gas cans, and rammed into the DHS office in Boise, Idaho.
And so it seems to me a lot like the Oklahoma City bombing.
I mean, I think they were trying to do arson or something, and that's what they were charged with.
But, you know, to me, this is a pretty significant attack.
And then the next story I saw about this was most of the networks ignored it.
They didn't talk about this terror attack just as if it didn't happen.
I think ABC was the only network that covered it.
And otherwise, it was just, you know, everybody just pretended like it hasn't happened.
So the media is definitely being very selective about what you're doing.
You're right.
That's Timothy McVay level stuff right there.
And that's that's really scary.
And it's so out of control.
I don't know that there's a mental illness crisis in this country, obviously.
I didn't know about this story.
That's a good point.
Owen, this story has been worried because this is the first time I heard about it in your notes.
And now that's interesting.
That is just so hidden.
They really want to shine the spotlight away from that issue.
And it's a big one.
It's all this SSRIs, right?
All this mental illness that is going on, like Erica was saying.
Well, I think it's just narrative control, right?
Like they don't want to make it seem like there's people doing bad things against ICE.
They want to make it all seem like ICE is the ones doing the bad things and they don't want to show any of the other side.
And so the media is very much playing along with the anti-ICE movement in terms of mainstream media.
And I think that's just with your information sources is that one of the biggest ways that the media controls the narrative is by not covering the stories that they find inconvenient or that are against their narrative.
They just don't put them on the air.
And, you know, for many people, that means they never hear about them, right?
So you need to have a diverse set of sources or, you know, get your media or your information from many different places if you want to really find out everything that's going on.
And, you know, that's just reality now with media.
I mean, you're not going to get the full story from anybody, really.
But, you know, you need to probably have a mix of different sources if you really want to get the full picture.
Can't hate them enough.
That's for sure.
Yeah.
And then there's another story about a high school where 300 students ditched class for an anti-ice walkout.
I'm guessing it was probably encouraged by some of the teachers.
I don't think any of this is organic.
But apparently they were all suspended now.
So the principal just said, you know, you can have your own opinions, but you can't violate the rules.
So apparently they left to do this walkout and then they went home or went shopping or did various disruptive things.
They have another walkout planned.
So it does seem like even in Virginia, some of the administrators in the schools are cracking down on this and saying you can't just walk out of school.
So I'm encouraged by that.
Wait, did you said that the child got hit by a car?
Not in this case.
Oh, but I mean, that's important to understand too, there that the teachers were nowhere to be found.
The kids did a walkout.
I forget what town it was in, you guys, but a child was hit by a car and killed.
So this is what's happening in your public schools.
And I cannot stress enough.
I mean, I don't have children.
So like you're going to be like, oh, well, that's easy for you to say.
Get your kids out of these schools if you can.
I mean, homeschooling is the way of the future.
Like they're doing an ICE protest and your kid gets hit by a car and dies.
What's happening?
We'll post that.
I'll post a link to that story after the show because that's horrifying.
Yeah.
I mean, it is dangerous.
And I think anytime kids go to school, you kind of assume the parent, the teachers are, you know, acting like, I think they call it in loco parentis, but they're at least watching your kids, right?
Like your kids aren't going to be just out on the street doing whatever.
And, you know, and unfortunately, I think a lot of teachers are kind of training students to do this.
I don't think very many kids just come up with these ideas on their own and just say, hey, let's have a walkout.
It's either the teachers in the school or some NGO.
I saw one guy had to pull over.
They threw something at him.
He was bloodied.
This is from a school and he's yelling at the kids.
He's like, what are you doing?
You can't throw things at people.
What is happening?
And by the way, there's a guest, a guest professor I'm trying to get on who is going to shed so much light on this for you guys.
So I'm going to keep it tight-lipped until I have him, but we are going to definitely talk more about what's happening in the public school system with the teachers union.
Big league.
All right.
Marcella?
Sure.
My next story is the billionaire tax rally.
Last night in Los Angeles, Bernie Sanders, what I call Bernie Yelling Sanders, was there to rally the troops to tax the billionaires.
I wish I would have known I would have gone.
But anyways, it was, he said that we are, there's an addiction crisis in America and that that is the greed of the billionaire class and that enough is enough.
So I wanted to juxtapose it because all the Democrats have is taxing and hoaxing as a solution, which the story that we didn't get to do last news cycle was the Mindami story about him charging or wanting to charge 9.5 property tax.
But there was a story yesterday that Florida voted 80, 80 to, I think 80, 30, well, basically a landslide vote to get rid of property taxes except for the school tax somehow.
So it shows you what you can choose.
You can choose either to go to the yelling Sanders side where you're going to get taxed to death, or you can choose to go to the right side.
So go ahead.
Any takes?
So I went to see Bernie live one time and I ran.
Did you?
Yes, back in 2016 or something.
No, no, no.
Did you shake his hand?
It was so boring.
It was the most boring.
And it was at a university, right?
All young people, and there's nothing to be excited about when this guy is talking.
And it's so bad.
It's so horrible.
And yeah, I love that you are putting that contrast because contrast in persuasion is so important, right?
To really contrast those two things.
We have growth, economic growth as a promise, as a plan.
And these guys just have like, hey, give me more money.
Mondani started taxing regular people too.
I mean, they're going to have to tax everybody in order to pay for the free bosses and the free stores and all the stuff.
So it's not going to work.
Which reminds me of that post that says, what's wrong with communism?
You run out of other people's money eventually.
Mandami certainly is looking like a fool at this point.
And I think there's people speculating that maybe Hochul is actually just playing along in the sense of not raising taxes now because there's an election coming up.
But as soon as the election's over, she might raise the state taxes.
And of course, we have all this stuff going on in California with the billionaire.
I think it's the, you know, the unrealized gains tax, which is a disaster for so many reasons.
It's the first tax of its kind, and it would probably cause all sorts of disruption because many of these billionaires have all their money tied up in their companies.
And so they would either have to sell a bunch of stock and tank their own stock price or they'd have to maybe even in many cases sell their companies just to be able to pay this tax.
That's the main problem.
On top of just, you know, essentially being a wealth tax where it's like, if you have too much money, we're just going to take it.
And, you know, the latest on that that I saw was it's Steven Spielberg is leaving California.
So even the Hollywood elite are just fleeing these taxes.
What a hypocrite.
Stay there.
Stay there.
Where is he going to go?
I can't wait to hear where he's going.
I don't remember.
Florida.
Yeah.
I mean, it does seem like a lot of the people are flowing into either Texas, like Austin, or somewhere in Florida, depending on your political point of view, probably.
Somebody corrected me in the chat.
Well, not corrected me.
They added that the quote that I did was Margaret Thatcher.
Thatcher.
Okay.
And my next story is actually the juxtaposition of this rally, which is Trump's speech on the economy and affordability in Rome, Georgia.
So Trump is shifting into a full campaign mode in order for the midterms.
He wants to win.
He does not want to leave this on the table because one of the things that happens is that if we lose Congress, Lord, you know, who knows if we lose the Senate.
But I don't believe that the Senate, we can lose for the Republican Party.
But if we lose Congress, there'll be just impeachment, this, impeachment, that.
Actually, yesterday, I believe Susan Rice made a, who was part of Obama's administration, made some comments about what would happen once we get a Democrat in office as the president.
And one of the things is to get rid of everything Trump has done, prosecute all over the place, do away with all the things put in Supreme Court justices that are uh, extremely liberal, not even moderate um, and it she's not dumb.
So one of the things that you can see is, in the Supreme Court, some of the justices are getting a little bit older, so they're gonna have to eventually retire or somebody's gonna retire them um, And so that kind of puts a picture.
But in regards to President Trump and his speech on the economy, he said that he wants to put America first, that the 50% therapists on foreign steel have revived the local mills.
He made the speech at a local mill in Georgia.
I believe it was Coosa Steele, COOSA Steel.
And basically he went over all of the things that are actually working.
He's asking for more time because of the destruction, again, that Biden made in regards to when Biden was in office, they had four years of auto-penn ruling.
And it takes a long time.
You have to get like rid of all the immigration issue, get rid of the discrepancy between trade discrepancies that one, were already there even before Biden, and then were increased after Biden.
So it's not easy what they do.
They're working very hard and they are showing that things are moving.
Things are being, it's happening.
So put it to the floor.
What are your thoughts?
I personally was very inspired by this speech because we are now crossing into a new territory now.
We are not talking about your grandfather's campaigns in the midterms before all of that stuff has to be re-evaluated.
Susie Wiles, the new Iron Lady, I will call her, you know, the real Iron Lady.
That's so good.
Susie Wiles.
Yeah, she's a stone cold killer.
I love her.
She's amazing.
And she was giving an interview explaining what was going to happen over 2026.
And she said, oh, just wait.
We're going to have him in every rally.
He's going to be on the ballot locally, in every battleground.
He's going to be in there.
Trump's Resonating Issue 00:13:27
And so, yeah, we need to reevaluate all our previous assumptions at this point because we haven't had this situation before.
So we can always say, oh, history-wise, you know, we always lost.
Trump is challenging that assumption and saying, hey, what if?
What if we don't lose?
Why do, I mean, I know that it's at 80%, 90% chance of no winning, but, you know, who cares about the ads, right?
Now we have aliens coming too.
So who knows?
There's so much stuff that can happen, you know, and that can help.
Who knows?
Are the aliens pro Trump?
Right?
I mean, who knows, right?
So we'll see.
Some aliens are.
Some aliens aren't.
That's true.
That's true.
I think the economy is going to be the big issue in the midterms.
And I think it's going to be interesting to see what it looks like when we get closer to it because, you know, everything from the stock market to jobs to wages to affordability, it's going to be on everybody's mind.
I think that's going to be the dominant issue.
And right now, it seems like it is getting better.
You know, mortgage rates are down, wages are up, inflation's down.
It's all looking good.
But I think, unfortunately, it's kind of looking good from a statistics standpoint, but people are still going to the grocery store and saying, oh, my God, this is so expensive.
And so even though it's not deserved, all this inflation that happened under Biden is now getting blamed on Trump.
So I think the challenge will be how do we actually show people that the economy is better and that the Trump policies are working.
So I think messaging wise, they're hitting the right notes.
They're going after the right things, focusing on the economy, saying we're making things better.
We're bringing prices down.
We're working on prescription drug prices.
That apparently seems to be one of the better issues that's resonating.
And it looks at this point like the Democrats are retreating on the economy because it does look better for the GOP when they start talking about it.
So they're pushing all these woke issues and saying we're going to undo everything that Trump did.
And that may be a huge mistake, but it does seem like that's the direction they're heading.
And, you know, an interesting story I posted was that it looks like the Republican pollsters are kind of frustrated because when they pull people on these various woke issues like the trans surgeries on kids, that people, it doesn't pull well because people don't believe it's real.
They literally think, well, no one would ever do that.
So that didn't happen.
And they just don't understand that this stuff really was real, that they were really doing trans surgeries on kids, even though there's lawsuits about it now and there's settlements being made and all these things that show it's actually real.
It's all true that this stuff was happening.
Did you see people just don't believe it?
They just think, oh, that can't be real.
Did you see the plastic surgeon, Owen, who just came out and he's apologizing because he went along with it?
And I'll post that story too.
But yeah, that's a good start.
Apologizing and admitting that you were caught up in a culture at your hospital, wherever you work, your medical place.
And he just said the culture was like, don't question this, just do it.
And he went along with it.
And he said it was a big mistake.
And he regrets it.
And yeah, more people, more doctors need to come out and talk about that because we've lost all faith in the medical industry.
I think I have mostly.
Yeah.
I mean, I, you know, it is hard to believe.
I get that part because it's like, really, you're cutting off people's genitals, kids, like you're sterilizing them and making them unable to have any sexual pleasure or anything, like just ruining people's lives.
And, you know, it's just hard to believe that that was okay.
So there's breaking news from what I hear.
The Supreme Court has decided that the tariffs of President Trump are illegal.
And it's a majority opinion, meaning that six justices, even the conservative justices, have chimed in and agree that Trump doing the tariffs the way that he did are illegal.
I haven't read the opinion.
It's like probably 300 pages, but 6 to 3 is pretty strong, showing that there probably was reason for that.
And that's going to cost a huge issue in the midterms because part of his speech of the economy was that the tariffs gave him the power to control the economy with other countries.
So, and then, as I want to remind you as an attorney, the Supreme Court of the United States is the highest court you can go to unless you change, unless you change legislation and create legislation to change the law in Congress and in the Senate.
So, which without a Congress, without the midterms.
So, that in itself could be a reason why everybody has to go out to vote in the midterms to have Congress have majority Republicans in it, because we can pass a legislation that says that he can do that.
And then the Supreme Court can't undo that.
You know, obviously, there'll be lawsuits.
It's unconstitutional, blah, blah, blah.
But if you're able to legislate this, then you're better off than just having executive order tariffs.
So sorry.
Simple as God says.
Scott Passent says he has other levers to pull.
The effects take longer.
So I'm going to recommend I'm going to check in with Megan Kelly's podcast today.
She'll have a bunch of legal legals on discussing this to before I get absolutely, you know, Erica-ish.
Okay.
Yeah, we'll have to see how it plays out.
I mean, I think it certainly is a big defeat or a setback, but I don't think Trump's going to take it lying down.
And I think we'll have to see how it plays out.
It may even help him in some ways of giving him something else to complain about and get people upset and ready to go vote.
And I'm sure they were expecting it.
I mean, the writing was on the wall, at least legally, that it was expected to come down this way.
So I'm sure they, like you said, Erica, they probably have different things in their arsenal to do something else than this.
I trust in Beset and Stephen Miller and all the other people.
Yes, you should.
Yeah, definitely.
Sergio, you want to say something about it?
Well, Marcelo was saying that this can be used for the advantage of the midterms.
I love that frame a lot.
I think that's a very good way of looking at it instead of thinking like, oh, we just lost, you know, no, we haven't lost.
There's ways to get through this.
And yeah, it's time to look at the Senate now and see what can be done to grease things through, you know, through those guys, you know, maybe that Philly Boster nuking it and taking other things more serious, you know, to accelerate.
And because yeah, Jon Thun, I don't know if that's not the story, but right now he doesn't seem to be on the team, right?
He doesn't seem to be motivated to get things through.
So are we having some kind of issue here like in 2020, you know, like Owen, you always talk about like those loyal to him and the one the ones that are not.
And that's what is happening right now.
And we need to, I mean, I don't, we don't need to.
I don't need to know anything, but somebody has to do something.
I'll do it.
Call your senator.
Push tune.
We can, we all, one thing that Scott showed me is that all of us, you know, we feel that we're not important, that somehow we're just one person.
But one person can change the world.
So push, push on social media everywhere.
So the more you push, that's what Trump would want you to do because this is not.
I mean, what Dem, even Democrats are for voter ID.
Like there is a majority of them.
I don't know the specific figure, but I know that it's not, it's like 25% are against it.
And so we're having the 25%ers lead this country.
So, Owen.
Yeah.
So another story.
I don't know how much we want to talk about this, but Prince Andrew was arrested over his Epstein ties.
It looks like they're going to let the justice process play out with that.
King Charles just said, you know, we'll have to, you know, he's claiming he just learned that with deepest concern, the news concerning Andrew and the allegations of misconduct in public office, a full, fair, and proper process must now take place in which this matter will be properly investigated by the appropriate authorities, blah, blah, blah.
So he's been arrested.
Looks like the UK is taking this Epstein thing a lot more seriously than we are so far.
I'm hoping we will see more investigations and arrests here with people like Reid Hoffman or Alex Wexner, you know, the people who are at least most obviously deeply involved with Epstein.
And then along with that, we have a resurface of Trump shaming Andrew over his ties.
Apparently, there was a 2015 video that said, you know, about Andrew.
Well, I think he's got a problem.
That island was really a cesspool.
There's no question about it.
Just ask Prince Andrew.
He'll tell you about it.
So it seems like Trump is again coming up aces on this in terms of calling it more than anyone else ever did before all the arrests happened.
And so I think he's kind of coming out relatively unscathed.
I mentioned Megan Kelly's podcast again.
I was listening to it yesterday.
And I'm sorry, I don't know the name of the guest she had on, but he's like the guy to talk about the royal family and all of these things in great detail.
But this is actually going to have really bad ramifications potentially, allegedly, for the royal family.
So much so that King Charles may have to step down and they might have to put in, oh my God, what's his name?
The son we like.
What's his name?
Not, oh, what's the son we like, Prince?
Him.
And we like his wife.
Oh, my God.
See, I don't do the royals.
But anyway, but anyway, they said this could really be William William.
So it could be Prince William.
They said that he might really have to, they, that he might really have to step down because he, uh, because King Charles knew some of what was going on and may have allowed certain things to take place to like keep it out of the spotlight or, you know, save phase for the family.
So this is really big.
And let's keep an eye on that because that's like life-changing stuff.
That's world-changing stuff.
So, you know, yep, play stupid games.
You're going to win stupid prizes.
Yeah.
All right.
Well, so we also have our favorite judge, Boesberg, rubber stamping a Department of Justice request to keep the payments between FBI and Twitter secret.
Apparently, the DOJ didn't want that information released and Boesberg approved it.
The Twitter files, I think, show $3.4 million of reimbursement for censorship.
So that may be some indication of what was going on there.
But apparently they don't want you to know how much money the FBI was paying Twitter to censor people.
And then on the general theme of fraud, waste, and abuse, there's another person who was caught basically getting kickbacks for ghost employees.
This person is Karan Gupta, who was part of a healthcare related fraud.
And he's been found guilty of laundering and hiring unqualified friends as ghost employees for this place Optum.
He was earning himself a $260,000 salary.
His friends were getting $100,000 salaries and Gupta was apparently getting kickbacks from that totaling $1.2 million.
So that guy's going to jail.
And then now there's another audit in Kentucky.
An auditor is flagging a bunch of luxury expenses that Bashir's administration is spending.
Apparently, they spend $183,000 on out-of-state travel, $7.6,000 on a German limousine, $17,000 on a distillery dinner, $360,000 on a conference, $338,000 to Derby VIP nonprofits.
So it seems like we're having some controversy down in Kentucky.
I'm not sure if Massey has commented on that at all, but looks like there's yet more waste and abuse being exposed.
Iran's Economic Impact 00:11:22
So I'm glad to see that.
All right.
Next story.
You have more, Marcela?
Yeah, I do.
I was just trying to read the opinion to give more of a feedback.
It's 170 pages.
So I, yeah, I can do all that at once, but we have Iran.
Fox News is reporting that there's a secret buildup by Iran to rebuild their nuclear sites damaged previously by U.S. strikes and preparing for war.
I feel like we're all giving you negative news, but there's light at the end of the tunnel.
You know, we give you Prince Andrew, tariffs are not legal, blah, blah, blah.
And one of the things in the Iran issue is that, you know, it's the data we have, you know, can you trust it kind of thing?
There's satellite images showing construction at the key nuclear sites.
And then President Trump made statements about Iran.
If they don't do what they're supposed to, then there'll be issues with him, with the U.S.
He didn't give more indication, but one of the things that people have been have seen is that there's a lot of different military movement around Iran in the area.
So I mean, I've been predicting we're going to be doing some strikes relatively soon for a while.
And I don't expect it to be some long drawn out war like the Iraq or Afghanistan situations where it went on for 20 years there in Afghanistan.
But I do think it's probably going to happen.
I know the recent statement from Trump, I think it was at his Board of Peace event where he said Iran basically has 10 or 15 days to figure it out, but he may not even wait the full 10 or 15 days based on his track record.
That may be a way of making them think they have time so that he can put in a strike.
So it does seem like it's coming and probably relatively soon.
So watch your Pentagon pizza indicator and see when it's going to actually pop off.
And we do have the state of the union.
Is that on Tuesday next week?
Yes.
So I'm sure we hear a lot about Iran.
The timing is good, right?
For a big announcement like that.
So I think that what we have in Iran is great because we're showing what happens again when somebody that was destroyed already conquered, they're like showing signs of no one to be conquered anymore, right?
The nuclear problem was destroyed, obliterated, and now they want to, oh, let's get it going again.
So this action speaks a lot about his how precise he's going to be, right?
His precision, how he can affect the destruction and just get over it and come back if it's needed.
But this time, I think I've seen a lot of push also for this overall regime change.
You know, they just change completely who's in charge.
I mean, this frame of these people that are taking power right now that are not, they serve the power they have there.
They just took it over like jackals taking away meat from the lions of the Persian lions, right?
So I think that that's the Trump is coming in there to get those jackals away, you know.
And then one of the things this is for Erica and for everybody to remain positive.
I don't know what this means exactly.
And maybe Owen can and or anybody else can chime in, but the Dow Jones said immediately went up.
NASDAQ rose, stock market rose immediately upon hearing the Supreme Court striking down this rule or this, you know, this tariffs from Trump.
So yeah, I mean, to me, that's probably just an indicator of what they think might happen because of this, because it may end up being more what they would consider free trade, where it would allow more goods to flow into the United States and for people to pay less.
And maybe it'll create more spending, you know, more affordability.
But from what I've seen so far, it's not really affecting affordability that much.
The inflation is super low as it is.
But I suppose, you know, any reduction might mean that there could be lower prices on certain things.
And I'm guessing that's what the reaction would be about.
Just because it means, you know, more trade potentially and maybe lower prices for things.
But I just, I tend to think like all these economists and even Wall Street analysts are getting it wrong because what we've actually seen is it hasn't impacted prices that much.
It hasn't impacted inflation nearly what these Nobel Prize winning economists were predicting.
And so taking them away is probably not going to necessarily reduce prices either.
It's probably just going to increase profits for the companies in other countries.
And it also obviously makes it less, it takes away one of our levers of power to negotiate better deals on things.
I really don't know what this is going to mean for doing trade deals now because, you know, if the Supreme Court is basically saying Trump can't do that, well, who is going to do it?
I don't think we're going to have Congress negotiating with all these countries.
So I'm not really sure where we go from here.
So I think one of the reasons that the stock market might be going up is that there was this uncertainty for a long time whether the tariffs were going to stay or go.
So now that they know, oh, they're going to perhaps go away, they know they have certainty about how to play the market.
Would that be a, would that be part of the reason?
Certainly it could be related to that.
I mean, the stock market definitely doesn't like uncertainty.
They don't like volatility or, you know, big changes that we don't know which way it's going to go.
And so anytime something's resolved, it could have a positive impact on the stock market, but it's not necessarily going to benefit real people.
It's not going to benefit the middle class or the lower classes in terms of affordability nearly as much as I think people are thinking probably.
And so I, you know, I see this as a negative thing overall, but I do think, you know, what the stock market does is a different question because most poorer people or even many middle class people don't have huge stock holdings.
So it's not really going to impact them.
And I don't know.
I'm looking at the stock market now.
It's at like SP is at like 6,900.
That's I differ.
I think it will impact them in this way, where if the business class or the people that are investing in a stock market now have more money to invest, there's going to be more foreign investments coming in.
More jobs, more need for labor.
That's just how I see it.
But, you know, like you said, it's not everybody in the stock market.
So like you said before, they won't see that immediately.
And that's important for these midterms.
If I wanted to paint a positive light on this, what I would say is it's going to be better for Europe, you know, because like Germany was cratering and a lot of other countries that were having these higher tariffs were just, their economy is going south and that's going to drag down the United States to some extent.
You know, it's not like we're totally disconnected from all these other economies.
And certainly China and other places would factor into that as well.
That if they're not doing well, then we're not doing as well.
And, you know, I'm arguing against myself a little bit here.
And I really am, I'm just trying to present the other side.
Like that's what other people might say.
It's not really my view, but it's, you know, if the European economy is healthier, then maybe they'll buy more American products.
Maybe they'll, you know, come here and travel more.
Maybe they'll, you know, have some positive impact.
But I tend to think overall, if I just start from an America-first perspective, I'd rather have the tariffs.
Hey, what does it look like?
This is the question for all three of you in the chat too.
What does it look like to be to have economic success?
You know, if the economy is what is holding, going to hold people back, what is it going to do?
What does it look like?
How does it show when people is doing good, right?
I mean, I want to know because from a visual way and I want to understand that.
What are the signs that we will see that?
That goes to everybody.
I think it's different for everybody depending where they are in their life.
But I think at the very minimal success marker would be that you can actually save money and, you know, like your basic things like gas in the car, food on the table, have a little bit of money left over in your paycheck to save so you can dream and do other things later.
I think it's not, I think it would be not living paycheck to paycheck and feeling insecure and scared and like you can't meet your basic bills.
And there were times in the past, right, that we had that, right?
So that feeling that we had that maybe other people doesn't even know what that means.
They haven't even felt it in their lives.
I think young people are getting the short end at this point.
You know, Gen Z getting into the workforce, not being able to buy a house, not being able to afford enough to have kids.
So it's going to take some time to work through that where people are actually saying, wow, things are better now.
You know, mortgage rates are down, job rates are up, wages are up, but not enough where people are going to say, oh my God, it's night and day, totally different.
It's more like, okay, real wages went up 3%, which is great, but it's only 3%.
It's not going to mean like 100%, which is what the inflation has been over the last couple of years, if you put it all together.
So, you know, when your grocery bill went up like 50% or double and your wages went up, let's say 6%, you don't feel like you're getting ahead.
And so I think for people who are at that lower end of the economic spectrum, or even just middle-class people, I mean, even if you're making $100 or $150,000 a year, you're still probably feeling like things are really tight and things are not, you know, better than they have been in the past.
And so I think, you know, it is different for everybody, like Erica said.
But I think Scott would often say the jobs are probably the biggest thing.
If people have jobs, that's probably the most important indicator.
If you see unemployment going way up, then that's going to be a huge problem for the economy.
But as long as people have jobs, that means they're getting income and they're going to be spending that income, which is going to make the whole economy work.
So that's probably the base factor.
Let's Go Out And Be Useful 00:02:08
Good jobs.
You're muted.
Thank you.
Okay, before we leave, I just want to read somebody pointed out that Joel Pollock had made a post, which might be a good reframe about the hearing.
So Joel, Joel, friend of the show, we love you.
He said Trump lost politically in court, but actually wins.
He can say he did his best to protect the U.S. industry.
He made some trade deals.
He was stopped by the courts, not lack of will or GOP leadership.
And theoretically, prices should fall.
So he continues to win on affordability.
And I think that's a good positive note to end on, right?
We like that.
We love Joel Pollack.
You guys, thank you so much.
We loved having you here today.
And thank you for all your feedback in the chat.
We're reading what you're saying.
It's so helpful.
The memes are great.
But please, like tomorrow we have Owen Gregorian Spaces.
He'll be on with Sergio and SJV.
And he'll be starting at 7 a.m. West Coast.
Owen, why don't you tell us real quick?
Yeah, 7 a.m. Pacific, 10 a.m. Eastern.
We'll have the after party tomorrow.
We'll be talking about the news for probably several hours.
Yes.
So thanks.
Thanks to the co-hosts, the news crew.
I love you guys so much.
We had another fun week together.
We have a great guest lined up for Monday, you guys.
So we're going to do the news on Tuesday, but we'll be announcing who that is.
Actually, I'll probably post it later today.
And the homework assignment will be to watch what I post from this guest because I want you to really be familiar with something the guest is going through.
Okay.
So thank you, Shelly and Bree for hosting all of us today.
And you guys, let's go out and be useful.
Have a closing sip to our beloved and very much missed Scott Adams.
And I love you guys.
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